Zanzibar: A Pathway to Tourism for All Integrated Strategic Action Plan July 2019 1 List of Abbreviations CoL Commission of Labour DMA Department of Museums and Antiquities (Zanzibar) DNA Department of National Archives (Zanzibar) GDP gross domestic product GoZ government of Zanzibar IFC International Finance Corporation ILO International Labour Organization M&E monitoring and evaluation MoANRLF Ministry of Agriculture, Natural Resources, Livestock and Fisheries (Zanzibar) MoCICT Ministry of Construction, Industries, Communication and Transport (Zanzibar) MoEVT Ministry of Education and Vocational Training (Zanzibar) MoFP Ministry of Finance and Planning (Zanzibar) MoH Ministry of Health (Zanzibar) MoICTS Ministry of Information, Culture, Tourism and Sports (Zanzibar) MoLWEE Ministry of Lands, Water, Energy and Environment (Zanzibar) MoTIM Ministry of Trade, Industry and Marketing (Zanzibar) MRALGSD Ministry of State, Regional Administration, Local Government and Special Departments (Zanzibar) NACTE National Council for Technical Education (Tanzania) NGO nongovernmental organization PPP private-public partnership STCDA Stone Town Conservation and Development Authority SWM solid waste management TISAP tourism integrated strategic action plan TVET technical and vocational education and training UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation UWAMWIMA Zanzibar Vegetable Producers’ Association VTA Vocational Training Authority of Zanzibar ZAA Zanzibar Airports Authority 2 ZATI Zanzibar Association of Tourism Investors ZATO Zanzibar Association of Tour Operators ZATOGA Zanzibar Association of Tour Guides ZBS Zanzibar Bureau of Standards ZCT Zanzibar Commission for Tourism ZEMA Zanzibar Environmental Management Authority ZFDB Zanzibar Food and Drugs Board ZIA Zanzibar Investment Authority ZIPA Zanzibar Investment Promotion Agency ZMA Zanzibar Maritime Authority ZMC Zanzibar Municipal Council ZNCCIA Zanzibar National Chamber of Commerce, Industry and Agriculture ZPC Zanzibar Ports Corporation ZRB Zanzibar Revenue Bureau All dollar amounts are U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated 3 Contents Contents .................................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................................................. 5 Objective and Approach ....................................................................................................................................................... 11 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................................... 12 Current Performance of Tourism in Zanzibar ..................................................................................................................... 14 Demand Analysis.................................................................................................................................................................................14 Supply Analysis ....................................................................................................................................................................................19 Summary of Key Challenges ................................................................................................................................................. 24 Objectives of the Tourism Integrated Strategic Action Plan ........................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Situation Analysis and Recommended Actions .................................................................................................................. 26 Analysis ...................................................................................................................................................................................................27 1. Integrated Planning and Coordination .................................................................................................................................27 2. Human Resources, Education, and Skills Development ..................................................................................................31 3. Product Development ...................................................................................................................................................................32 4. Standards and Legal and Regulatory Environment.........................................................................................................36 5. Data collection and Analysis .....................................................................................................................................................36 6. Improved Safety and Security ...................................................................................................................................................37 7. Marketing and Promotion ..........................................................................................................................................................37 Action Tables ........................................................................................................................................................................................39 (i) Table 6. Integrated Planning and Coordination ................................................................................................. 39 (ii) Table 7. Human Resource Development ............................................................................................................... 43 (iii) Table 8. Product Development .................................................................................................................................. 47 (iv) Table 9. Standards and Regulation .......................................................................................................................... 50 (v) Table 10. Data Collection and Analysis .................................................................................................................. 53 (vi) Table 11. Safety and Security ..................................................................................................................................... 55 (vii) Table 12. Marketing, Branding and Promotion .................................................................................................. 56 Annex 1: Bibliography ........................................................................................................................................................... 57 4 Executive Summary This Tourism Integrated Strategic Action Plan (TISAP) is the result of a request in 2018 to the World Bank from the Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar (RGZ) to develop an implementable action plan that provides solutions to realize the official development vision for the sector – Tourism for All. The rationale and ethos behind Tourism for All is the aspiration that tourism fully contributes to local and inclusive economic growth, delivers jobs for Zanzibaris, fiscal revenue, and, supports environmental sustainability and cultural heritage preservation. To achieve this, it is recognized by RGZ that tourism planning and management must be integrated and mainstreamed in the key RGZ ministries and sectors. To date, the development of tourism in Zanzibar has been largely ad hoc and opportunistic and has been driven almost entirely by beach resort investors. While this approach is successfully delivering growing tourist numbers and fiscal revenues, other indicators show that tourism is not contributing as much as it should to overall economic development in Zanzibar. Notably, negative environmental impacts for example through unregulated sewerage and waste disposal, high youth unemployment, 80% imported agricultural produce consumed in hotels, below average spending per tourist, and poor living conditions across the islands, especially away from Zanzibar town. Tourism is a critical and growing part of Zanzibar’s economy. However, the trajectory of future growth—as well as its role in generating local employment and investment, fostering local businesses, and ensuring positive environmental and social impacts—is dependent on the coordinated management, planning, use, and better harnessing of current and future natural, cultural, and social capital. This is a collective all-of-government effort that requires a common vision and aspiration supported by consistent coordination, planning, and investments. Numerous studies1 and literature on tourism development in small island nations have shown that strengthening local economic linkages between the tourism industry and their host communities do not happen without proactive policies, planning, and actions from the government. In transitioning from an ad hoc private sector–driven tourism development approach toward the vision of an economic transformation through the Tourism for All2 initiative, it is critical for the government to take a more proactive role in identifying and investing in public goods that are essential to crowd in and facilitate sustainable and inclusive private sector investments at all levels of the tourism value chain; transport, accommodation, activities and various goods and services that are inputs to these enterprises. To move towards redefining the Zanzibar Experience from the current short-stay-beach-centric one, to a richer and more holistic longer-stay natural, cultural and historic one requires systemic 1 For example, see McBain (2007); Meyer (2006, 2010); Steck, Wood, and Bishop (2010); Telfer and Wall (2000); URT (2003); and Zanzibar Business Council (2009). 2 “Tourism for All� refers to Zanzibar’s vision for tourism where the sector is used for economic transformation and where Zanz ibar transitions to a more inclusive economic business model. 5 changes in thinking and planning for tourism. The role of the public sector requires a “system reboot� focused around improving the following identified systemic failures: Figure 1: Systemic Failures in Tourism Development in Zanzibar Coordination Failures Institutional Resource Failures Failures Market Failures Coordination Failures × Poor coordination and communication between different government ministries, institutions and stakeholders with respect to tourism planning, tourism asset management and tourism destination management. This is further complicated with tourism-related responsibilities – e.g. Ministry of Agriculture control the “spice tour� experience – spread across multiple agencies and government levels. Similarly, there is poor communication and coordination with other tourism stakeholders (e.g. with respect to infrastructure planning, conservation, education, SMEs and entrepreneurship). Institutional Failures × Weak leadership and decision making across government. There is a greater emphasis on institution building, rather than delivering core functions. × Limited empathy, awareness and participation in tourism for host communities. The involvement of local communities in public and private investment decisions has resulted in enclave resort development that does not benefit host communities enough. × Inadequate investment in cultural heritage conservation and natural habitat preservation. Initiatives to monitor over-visitation and allow for coastal and environmental habitat conservation are not prioritised. 6 Resource Failures × A limited emphasis by both the public and private sector on human capital development and an inclusive employment agenda across the tourism and hospitality value chains. In addition to the shortage of skilled staff at all levels and professions, this has led to a failure to identify and foster talent. × The lack of comprehensive visitor research and data, on-going research into products and markets, and market intelligence. This includes research into alternative attractions as well as niche and emerging market segments. This limits the effectiveness of product development decisions and marketing strategies. × Access to investment and financing is lacking, especially for SMEs. For example, high barriers to entry hinder independent small businesses. Women are further isolated in this category. Market Failures × Limited attention has been given to product diversification and destination development. This is restricting competitiveness, recreation and tourism choices, the development of niche markets and the ability to add value and length of stay to the visitor experience. The emphasis has been predominantly on site-specific copycat construction, without more community-integrated approaches. This has affected the authenticity and uniqueness of the Zanzibar product. More importantly it has also led to spatial disparity with significant tourism growth in a few areas only. × The lack of effective mechanisms to manage, standardise and enforce best practices. This has contributed to poor interpretation, poor visitor experiences and poor conservation of environmental and cultural values. To overcome the above-mentioned significant and persistent institutional failures that impede sustainable tourism, there will need to be action from a “whole-of-government� and “whole-of- industry� approach. This will entail meaningful communication, cooperation and involvement of key partners across local, regional and national governments. A significant systemic transformation of tourism in Zanzibar is required. This involves changing government views and management of the industry (institutional reform); changing government and industry’s understanding of and provision for targeted visitors (visitor experience); and changing the process of implementation (to tangible measurable actions). This Action Plan has been prepared as an instrument of transformation, as a start on the journey towards Zanzibar’s Vision 2050. 7 Figure 2. Zanzibar 30-year Tourism Transformation Vision: “Tourism for All� Tourism 3.0 – 2050 Tourism is self-sustaining, so carrying capacity has been reached and Tourism 2.0 – 2030 Zanzibar is globally recognized as an island destination of choice. Investment focus shifts to public investments and reforms that • 1,000,000 tourists Tourism 1.0 – Current support local planning and zoning, • 15,000 hotel rooms situation value chain development, improved • 100,000 jobs local infrastructure, increased yield • 50% of GDP Investments have been made per tourist, improved environmental • $150 per person per day through the private sector on hotel sustainability, and decreased youth expenditure and resort infrastructure, with a focus employment. • 10 days average length of stay on increasing the number of tourists. • $125 per person per day • 500,000 tourists expenditure • 8,500 hotel rooms • 8 days average length of stay • 15,000 jobs • 750,000 tourists • 28% of GDP • 12,500 hotel rooms • $75 per person per day • 40,000 jobs expenditure • 35% of GDP • 6 days average length of stay LEVERS OF CHANGE to 3.0 LEVERS OF CHANGE to 2.0 ✓ Re-investment in tourism asset ✓ Common vision of “Tourism for and resource base All� ✓ Carrying capacity limits are set ✓ Formation of Tourism APEX body and focus is on investing in and DELIVERY unit value addition ✓ Integrated tourism planning ✓ Premier Indian Ocean Cruise ✓ Human resource development destination ✓ Adaptive re-use of cultural heritage ✓ Environmental protection ✓ Brand strengthening ✓ Improved legal and regulatory framework The tourism life-cycle model is often used by tourism planners to assess the stage of development for any given destination (Figure 3). For Zanzibar it is a useful framework for policy makers to gauge Zanzibar’s current and future tourism development, and the model can be used as a management tool to underpin policy decisions. While this model shows growth in visitor numbers over time, it does not present the whole picture. Increased tourism numbers alone will not deliver the desired product, investment, and market diversification that constitute to the Tourism for All vision. Growth in tourist numbers needs to be reflected in growth in the local economy, gross receipts, and tourism-related employment for locals; yield per tourist. The lack of implementation of a focused and Zanzibar-specific strategy and action plan for tourism growth has limited the opportunity for tourism-derived economic and social returns. 8 Across a range of tourism-related indicators, such as tourists’ length of stay, expenditure per tourist, and gross receipts per tourist, Zanzibar is underperforming compared to other Indian Ocean island economies. Opportunities need to be created for tourists to spend more and stay longer, and for this to happen, the fundamental value proposition and destination positioning of Zanzibar needs to change. Figure 3. Tourism Life-Cycle Model for Zanzibar Source: Modified from Butler (1980). The exploration stage is the beginning of destination development, when explorers visit an area and the tourism infrastructure is limited – Zanzibar 30 years ago. The involvement stage comes with the increasing visitation that attracts local investment in tourism and public investment in infrastructure – Zanzibar 15 years ago. The development stage is characterised by increased foreign direct investment and a range of visitors and market segments, driven by heavy advertising. The population in the destination accepts tourism – Zanzibar now. At the consolidation stage, the main income of the local economy comes from tourism, and the visitation levels continue to increase but at a decreasing rate. Extensive advertising and marketing are used to overcome seasonal variations and develop new markets – Zanzibar Tourism 2.0. Stagnation occurs when visitor numbers peak, capacity is reached, and the area is no longer fashionable. New visitors are infrequent, so the destination relies on repeat visitors and business conventions. This action plan and other reports before it, such as the 2016 Tourism Lab Report, the 2017 Diagnostic Trade Integration Study, the 2015 National Spatial Development Strategy, and, the 2003 Tourism Masterplan, support two common overarching needs that must be addressed in the medium term: 9 • More integrated approaches to destination planning and value chain development are necessary. The approaches need to better address physical infrastructure needs for residents, investors, businesses, and tourists within the context of coherent zones that have been selected as priorities for tourism development. • Public institutions within a variety of sectors need to cooperate with each other. In addition, they need to work more effectively and efficiently with each other and with private investors, communities, and other stakeholders to achieve common goals with respect to the tourism development strategy. In the short term, a tourism-related APEX body and Delivery unit needs to be created. The APEX body would have convening power across different government agencies and be able to drive the above integration and support the delivery unit in the implementation of strategic plans. It is recommended to establish a competently staffed Delivery Unit within the Zanzibar Commission for Tourism (ZCT) with responsibility for the Tourism for All initiative. This Delivery Unit needs to be supported by a high-level APEX body consisting of stakeholders along the entire tourism supply chain to help develop the shared vision and inclusive growth. The overall mandate of the APEX body would be to: • Coordinate across government and maintain accountability; • Support the Delivery Unit where necessary to convene government stakeholders or to make decisions necessary to implement Tourism for All. While the Delivery Unit would be responsible for all aspects of driving the implementation of the TISAP. 10 Objective and Approach The overall objective for this TISAP was twofold. It was to develop—together with a core team within the Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar (RGZ)—an integrated strategic action plan that can be realistically implemented within the confines of government budgets and human resources, as well as to develop partner support programs. The specific approach was as follows. 1. Previous work on tourism was reviewed. A lead consultant also facilitated thematic working groups set up by RGZ, in key thematic areas: human resources education and skills development; publicity, promotion, marketing, and travel facilitation; product, infrastructure, and facilities; and conservation, governance, and their convergence. 2. Terms of reference for each working group were developed by the lead consultant and circulated to each group. 3. Each working group worked with the consultant’s team to define key issues and opportunities related to their theme then develop joint action plans with the private sector, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), other donors, and relevant government actors. 4. Each working group identified implementable pilot/demonstration projects within each theme. The working group approach was welcomed by participants because opportunities for cross- sectoral discussion, for example between private sector and government representatives, are rare. However, if the TISAP is to be significantly more successful in moving beyond ideas on paper than previous exercises have been, high-level commitment, engagement, buy-in, and drive will be necessary. Box 1. Implementation Challenges This is not the first time that stakeholders in Zanzibar have gathered to examine issues facing tourism and associated sectors or to plan actions to address them. Indeed, the 2015 Tourism Lab Program output was the result of two weeks of deliberations by over 200 participants and was presented at the cabinet level. In addition, the Zanzibar Association for Tourism Investors (ZATI) produced a comprehensive marketing strategy document in 2010, Zanzibar’s Ministry of Information, Culture, Tourism and Sports (MoICTS) produced a carrying capacity study for Pemba in 2014, and the Singapore Cooperation Enterprise completed diagnostic work for theme-based marketing and human resources development within ZCT (2017). Although some progress has been made, major high-level blockages have prevented transformational change, and Zanzibar lacks much of the key data to appropriately respond to demand or plan for it and lacks the infrastructure and human capital capacities necessary for its development and management as a destination. Therefore, the TISAP exercise has endeavored to minimize repetition and focus on the systemic bottlenecks to sector reform. However, it was necessary to update and validate previous problem analyzes and, perhaps most importantly, to dig down into the root causes of inertia and long- term development issues in the archipelago. 11 Introduction Zanzibar’s tourism sector has grown rapidly in recent years, registering 13 percent year-on-year growth, on average, in international visitor numbers over the past four years. The number of international visitors has grown over the last 30 years, from about 18,000 in 1985 to 520,809 in 2018. The economic opportunity to harness this tourism growth for improved local economic benefits, improved social outcomes, and more sustainable environmental management to achieve Zanzibar’s Tourism for All vision is the rationale for developing this document. The flipside of these opportunities are the risks that need managing through an integrated whole-of-government approach. The consumption habits of tourism facilities and tourists themselves have a cost (for example, tourists at beach resorts consume an average of 20 times more water than residents, Cole, 2014). These hidden economic, social, and environmental costs affect freshwater resources, natural ecosystems, the social fabric, and energy resources. These costs require careful management, particularly among Zanzibar’s poor and relatively densely populated islands. The natural, cultural, and social capital that are the basis of tourism in Zanzibar are under increasing strain and threats from unplanned and rapid growth. This tourism integrated strategic action plan (TISAP) is a tool to contribute to the Tourism for All objectives by improving planning for the integration of collective public investments and government policy interventions with private sector investments and development partner initiatives, as well as driving these toward measurable (and desired and planned) outcomes. Tourism development, especially in island economies where tourism is the main economic driver, faces common challenges such as poor infrastructure, inadequate waste management, pollution, poor product development and management, poor marketing, poor linkages within the local economy, poor institutional and technical capabilities, and a shortage of appropriate and specialized core and skilled personnel. Many of these challenges are outside the remit of a single line ministry, particularly a tourism ministry, so there is a need for an integrated approach to create integrated solutions. The process for developing this TISAP brought together stakeholders from across government ministries and private sector enterprises to work toward a more integrated and participatory planning approach. While there are planning documents for and related to tourism development—such as the 1993 Tourism Development Plan for Zanzibar; the 2003 Zanzibar Tourism Masterplan; Zanzibar Vision 2020; MKUZA I, II, and III; and, in 2015, the National Spatial Development Plan—these plans, for the most part, have not been implemented. To date, the role of the government in tourism development has been limited to creating and facilitating access infrastructure such as an international airport, a regular ferry service from Dar es Salaam, a network of paved roads, destination marketing activities, and a policy for the promotion of hotel and resort investment3. That is, public investments have acted only as a catalyst for further uncontrolled and ad hoc 3This initial policy, based on the 1993 Masterplan, was to develop enclave tourism and to purposefully ringfence tourism resorts from surrounding communities. This policy has contributed, in a major way, to the current isolation of host communities from the tourism economy in resort enclaves. 12 tourism growth: public investments have not been strategic, nor have they been defined by limits of capacity. At the government level, the metrics of tourism development success in Zanzibar revolve around growing the number of tourists. Unfortunately, any gain from increased tourist arrivals may be offset by losses in terms of revenue leakage and failure to involve local people in meaningful activities that would improve their welfare. ZCT’s recently adopted Tourism Act promotes decentralization of the tourism industry. The Tourism for All program, described in the Tourism Act, fully incorporates sustainable principles and practices. The Zanzibar Strategies for Growth and Reduction of Poverty (MKUZA I, II, and III) also confirmed the importance of the tourism sector in the government’s economic development strategy. They have also consistently reiterated the core messages of the government’s tourism policy, which are: • Promote a product focusing on the natural and cultural heritage of the country; • Provide for an equitable distribution of benefits through the promotion of stronger local economic linkages between tourists and goods and service providers; • Deliver a world-class visitor experience. However, despite the government’s positive intentions, the linkages between the tourism industry and local suppliers are not sufficiently developed to provide for this equitable distribution. Although Zanzibar has enjoyed an extensive growth in the supply of tourism accommodation (about 429 registered hotels and resorts with over 8,500 rooms have been built (ZCT 20174), hotels and restaurants continue to import—largely from mainland Tanzania— approximately 80 percent of their food supply (Anderson 2011; Steck, Wood and Bishop 2010; Zanzibar Business Council 2014; ZATI 2015). To realize the positive impacts of the tourism sector on poverty reduction, strong links to other economic sectors need to be proactively encouraged. Beyond weak supply chain linkages, the range of activities available for tourists beyond the standard sun, sea, and sand experience is limited. Zanzibar is endowed with a globally significant5 and interesting cultural, historic, and natural heritage that is currently underutilized and poorly packaged thereby restricting potential spending outside of tourist resorts. 4 2017, Annual Report Zanzibar Commission for Tourism 5 Zanzibar’s Stone town was inscribed a UNESCO World Heritage site in 2000 with the following narrative: “The Stone Town is not only an historic living town but also a commercial and socio-cultural centre of the Zanzibar Archipelago. As such, the property is subject to the pressure of development, manifested through traffic problems, changes of land uses and the lack and high expense of accommodation inside the Stone Town. Tourism development since 1990 is an important factor in the development pressure on the town. However, the absence of clear policies on heritage promotion, cultural tourism, and the lack of a strategy on how to accommodate tourism development, and on how to revitalize public spaces could result in random development that could threaten its Outstanding Universal Value.� 13 Current Performance of Tourism in Zanzibar Demand Analysis Tourism in Zanzibar is a relatively recent economic activity (the first resort hotel, Blue Bay, was built in 1987). The current 1.0 version of tourism is almost entirely driven by accommodations developed in the last 30 years, and especially since 2000. Tourism demand is currently in a boom period, fueled by two leading market segments: (a) large international package tour operators shifting their business from traditional and established beach destinations in Egypt, Tunisia, Turkey, and Kenya, where political turmoil has affected the industry, and, (b) backpackers/millennials. Figure 4. Historical Visitor Numbers by Means of Access 600000 500000 Tourist numbers have more Thousands of visitors tripled in less than a decade 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 International Air Arrivals Year Domestic Air Arrivals Ferry Arrivals Cruise Ship Visitors starting to emerge in 2015, but still less than 5000 per annum Total Visitor Arrivals Tourism is now a significant source of income in Zanzibar’s economy and its largest source of foreign exchange. In 2018, the sector contributed an estimated 28 percent to the islands’ GDP and 82 percent of its foreign exchange earnings. In 2017, tourism accounted for 68 percent of investments approved by the Zanzibar Investment Promotion Authority. The sector also created an estimated 22,000 direct and 50,000 indirect jobs,6 out of the islands’ total population of around 1.4 million people. According to national accounts, accommodation and food services earned around $135 million from 520,809 tourist arrivals in 2018; approximately US$ 260 per tourist per visit. Year-on-year tourist arrivals have increased by around 15 percent for the last three years. This growth has exceeded the Zanzibar Tourism Development Policy of 2003 that targeted 500,000 tourist arrivals annually by 2020. 6 2018 World Travel and Tourism Council Annual Performance Dashboard 14 Current demand is trending towards higher-volume lower-value tourists. Figure 5, 6,7, and 8, illustrate that gross volumes from tourists’ expenditure and spend-per-tourist are far below regional destination comparators. This is a function of the kind of demand being generated. Figure 5. Comparison of Visitor Arrivals by Source Market 2014 and 2018 2014 and 2018 Visitor Arrivals to Zanzibar 60000 Over 50000 250% Increase Nunber of Visitors 40000 from these 30000 Countries 20000 10000 0 ITALY GERMANY USA & CANADA OTHER AMERICAS FRANCE SCANDINAVIA UK OTHER EUROPE KENYA NETHERLANDS SOUTH AFRICA OTHER ASIA OTHER AFRICA AUSTRALIA & NZ BELGIUM SPAIN CHINA INDIA POLAND RUSSIA CZECH TURKEY JAPAN ISRAEL Country of Origin Zanzibar is considered a long-haul destination (meaning it is a relatively long flight from major source market countries) and is therefore dependent on the competitive air transport prices that charter flights offer. Charter flights are operated, and in most cases owned, by large tour operators who have the high-street retail market access to fill the charters. The high-street retail market is a low-end market, basically selling competing sun, sea, sand packages as a commodity. A weeks’ package to Zanzibar in the UK is competing with all beach destinations globally. Table 3. Airlines flying to Zanzibar in 2018 Airlines Flying from and to Air Italy Seasonal charter: Milan Air Tanzania Dar es Salaam Arkia Seasonal charter: Tel Aviv As Salaam Air Arusha, Dar es Salaam, Pemba Island, Tanga Blue Panorama Seasonal charter: Milan, Rome Coastal Aviation Arusha, Dar es Salaam, Kilwa Masoko, Mafia Island, Manyara, Mwanza, Pemba Island, Serengeti, Tanga Condor Seasonal charter: Frankfurt, Munich Ethiopian Airlines Addis Ababa, Dar es Salaam Flightlink Limited Arusha, Dar es Salaam, Pemba Island, Serengeti Fly540 Mombasa, Nairobi 15 flydubai Dubai–International Israir Seasonal charter: Tel Aviv Kenya Airways Nairobi Malawian Airlines Lilongwe Mango Johannesburg Neos Seasonal charter: Bologna, Milan, Rome, Verona Nordwind Airlines Seasonal charter: Moscow Oman Air Dar es Salaam Muscat Precision Air Arusha, Dar es Salaam, Nairobi, Pemba Island Qatar Airways Doha Regional Air Services Arusha Travel Service Airlines Seasonal charter: Katowice, Prague, Warsaw Tropical Air Dar es Salaam, Mbeya, Pemba Island TUI fly Belgium Seasonal charter: Brussels TUI fly Netherlands Seasonal charter: Amsterdam Turkish Airlines Istanbul ZanAir Arusha, Dar es Salaam, Pemba Island, Saadani, Selous Source: Zanzibar Airports Authority There is a clear correlation between the fastest growing (and overall volume) source markets to Zanzibar in 2018 and charter flight frequencies. It is also striking that charter flights from the UK, Italy, Germany, Eastern Europe and Israel are considered the cheapest� sun sea sand� package tours available. Figure 6. Price Comparison of a 1-week Package with Flight and Accommodation ex-London Average price per person (in US$) for a 1-week package from London - flight + half board accommodation 4000 3600 3500 3250 3100 3000 2500 US$ 2000 1300 1365 1270 1500 1000 643 674 463 500 285 214 303 0 Zanzibar Mombasa Sharm-el-sheik Seychelles Mauritius Maldives Number of Properties Listed Average Price per Person for 1 week with Flight from London Source: Accessed from Expedia July 1st, 2019 for the week of August 2-9, 2019 As shown in Figure 6, package prices for holidays to Zanzibar (from the UK) are on par with what are considered “cheap� or low-end package tour destinations such as Mombasa and Sharm-el- Sheikh. 16 Figure 7. Tourist Arrivals and Spending (2016) 1,400 1,800 1,200 1,600 1,400 Revenue in US$ Millions 1,000 Number of Tourists 1,200 Tourism 800 receipts are 1,000 too low 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 0 Mauritius Seychelles Zanzibar Arrivals (in '000) Gross tourism receipts (in USD million) Source: UNWTO 2017 Tourism Barometer The fact that less than 1 percent of visitors to Zanzibar consume community-based tourism products and only 13 percent of tourists visit Jozani Forest7 is indicative of the weak level of product and market development for these offers. If Zanzibar is to move toward the Tourism for All vision, these numbers need to improve. Figure 8. Comparison of Tourists’ Activities in Zanzibar Figure 8 supports the overall assertion that relatively few leisure tourists engage in activities beyond their accommodation stays and beach visits. However, the survey results also showed that independent tourists tend to engage in more activities than package tourists. This evidence provides critical information for policy-makers and planners to affect the Tourism for All agenda. Each of the potential out-of-accommodation excursions are employment opportunities for goods and service providers. 7 Based on the number of recorded visitors (i.e. tickets sold) as a percentage of total arrivals. 17 From Figure 9 it is clear that length-of-stay and expenditure-per-tourist are well below what they could be. In part, the reason for the shorter length of stay is that Zanzibar is commonly an add-on to a safari in Kenya or Tanzania, whereas Mauritius and the Seychelles are standalone destinations. Figure 9. Length of Stay and Per Capita Expenditure (2016) 12 1,600 Per capita 1,400 Expenditure per Tourist in US$ 10 expenditure is too low 1,200 8 1,000 Days 6 800 600 4 400 2 200 0 0 Mauritius Seychelles Zanzibar Length of stay Expenditure per arrival (in USD) Source: UNWTO 2017 Tourism Barometer From a demand perspective Zanzibar is trending towards low-end volume-based tourism that is driven by global value chain operators. The disadvantage of this trend is that these market- making global tour operators can switch destinations within a season. Zanzibar is already the beneficiary of this through companies like TUI, Thomas Cook, Virgin Holidays, and Exim Holding that have shifted business from Mombasa and Egypt to Zanzibar. This reliance on volume operators is dependent on a range of supply-side issues that Zanzibar must monitor and retain: safety and security for tourists, environmental quality and beach cleanliness, hassle-free entry and exit for tourists, competitive pricing and value-for-money experiences. While maintaining these markets, it is equally important for Zanzibar to diversify, grow and strengthen its touristic offer. Zanzibar’s long-term resilience and its aspiration of Tourism for All, are most dependent on Zanzibar growing tourists’ expenditure-per-day. A future growth in expenditures by tourists will occur if Zanzibar invests in improving the overall Zanzibar experience. This means higher quality skills and entrepreneurship, better quality and higher value crafts, excursions, cultural and heritage experiences, and shopping opportunities, improved destination management and planning, and changes in the demographic profiles of visiting tourists (Zanzibar needs to attract higher-spending market segments). This will require investments in Zanzibar’s brand equity and perhaps a rebranding of the destination to reflect the higher value experiences. 18 Supply Analysis The supply side of tourism concerns the ecosystems and supply chains that collectively contribute to goods and services sold directly and indirectly to tourists. This ecosystem (Figure 10 below) is a framework of the different dimensions of the sector at the destination level required to deliver a sustainable tourism sector. In the case of Zanzibar, this starts with the vision of Tourism for All. A new sector policy is currently going through parliamentary approval and this document provides a sector strategic action plan. Figure 10: The Tourism Ecosystem for Zanzibar Vision: Tourism for All Sector Policy Sector Strategy Sector Management & Governance Platform/vehicle Environmental & Planning and Community-based & Private Sector Public Institutional for Public/Private Cultural Heritage Monitoring Civil Society Institutions Coordination Dialogue Management Results Involvement including Local Framework Government Enabling Platform Training & Business and Taxation, Security, Information and Physical Investments Image and Education Investment Licensing Health and Statistics Infrastructure & and Access to Marketing Climate and Safety Access Finance Standards Legal and Regulatory Population in the Destination Resource Endowments Tourism Enterprises Cluster (Jobs and Growth & Competitiveness) Natural Culture Urban Areas Goods and Transport Accommodation Activities, Facilities Environment and Services & Attractions Heritage Suppliers OUTCOMES &IMPACTS Sustainable Jobs and Investments, Inclusive Growth, Improved Quality of Living for Host Communities, and Improved Sustainability of Endowments There are clearly gaps and weaknesses throughout this system. At the level of Sector Management and Governance, key activities that address identified gaps have been recommended to strengthen public private dialogue, environmental and cultural heritage management, planning for tourism and improved coordination and capacity development across the relevant stakeholder ministries, private sector associations and with civil society. 19 At the Enabling Platform level there are a multiplicity of issues across all eight areas. However, the issue of the business enabling environment is significant, particularly regarding the entry of Zanzibari businesses. The business enabling environment for tourism is more disabling than enabling due to a multiplicity of taxes, levies, and fees and a confusing, often overlapping collection system spread across multiple government entities from the local to the island-wide levels. The results found in 2013 by the Tanzanian National Business Council through the “Big Results Now – Business Environment Lab� (BRN-BE Lab) were echoed by stakeholders in Zanzibar: the “multiplicity of laws and regulations, licenses, permits and certifications…the involvement of regulatory bodies/institutions with duplicative mandates; hampers enterprises’ competitiveness and limits their growth potential.�8 Clearer access to information is critical for businesses, especially in regards to licensing requirements. Priority reform areas such as realigning of regulations and institutions; simplifying taxation and reducing the multiplicity of levies and fees; and improving labor law and skills development.9 In addition, the Zanzibar Chamber study included a useful comparison with the tax regimes of other small island economies in terms of the ease of paying taxes. Ranking for ease of paying taxes for selected small island economies Country Maldives Singapore Mauritius Timor- Seychelles Comoros Dom. Fiji Zanzibar Jamaica Leste Rep Ranking 1 4 12 20 32 40 70 80 103 115 The comparison with the Maldives is noteworthy: “In [the] Maldives, a typical medium size company makes 1 payment, pays 9.1 percent of its commercial profit in taxes, and spends less than one hour per year on tax compliance…Whereas in Zanzibar Town, such a medium size company makes 48 payments, pays 40.8 percent of its commercial profit in taxes, and spends 158 hours per year on tax compliance.�10 This is huge compliance cost for a small business with the result that informality rates are high in Zanzibar. This has the additional effect of weakening standards and, in the longer term, weakening the brand and the Zanzibar experience. It is critical to address these supply-side issues to enable the growth of the value chain. There is an urgent need to address employment opportunities in tourism enterprises in Zanzibar. According to the socio-economic survey of 2016 (OCGS, 2017, p. 27), there were officially 15,109 people working in accommodations and food services. Out of the more than 8 Ibid, p. 18 9 Program Document for a Proposed Credit, the United Republic of Tanzania for the First Business Environment for Jobs Development Policy Operation, June 2015, p. 13. 10 “Improving Tax Regime and Business Environment in Zanzibar,� Zanzibar National Chamber Of Commerce, Industry and Agriculture, p. 86. 20 15,000 people employed, 10,069 were male workers and 5,040 were female. About a quarter of the employees, have a permanent contract, and almost 70 percent have temporary contracts. Zanzibaris hold the minority of managerial positions in hotels (46%) and Restaurants (11%). They also hold most unskilled positions in hotels (83%) and restaurants (70%). Figure 11. Tourism Employment and GDP Per Capita (2016) 140,000 16,000 120,000 14,000 12,000 100,000 Per Capita GDP in US$ Number of People 10,000 80,000 8,000 60,000 6,000 40,000 4,000 20,000 2,000 0 0 Mauritius Seychelles Zanzibar Direct employment (in '000) Indirect employment (in '000) GDP per capita (in USD) Source: UNWTO 2017 Tourism Barometer The youth bulge in Zanzibar is significant and could be a prospective demographic dividend if there is a match between skills and jobs. Figure 12. Population Pyramid for Zanzibar Showing “Youth Bulge� 21 The data indicates that accommodation in Zanzibar is dominated by small- to medium-sized hotels and resorts, which dictates a demand model driven by mainstream, mass-market tour operators that have the capacity to sell the rooms. It is estimated that 80% of the room inventory in Zanzibar is in the budget/economy range. Because beach tourism is a large-volume commodified product, these types of hotels and tour operators are not uncommon. Most beach-destination package tours from European source markets are controlled by and dependent on a handful of large, consolidated operators who can make or break destinations. Table 4. Accommodation Mix of some Island Economies Zanzibar Seychelles Mauritius Tenerife Accommodations (Area: 2,450 km2; (Area: 2,790 km2; (Area: 1,874 km2; (Area: 2,008 km2; population: 1.4 population: 0.1 population: 1.29 population: 0.9 million) million) million) million) Hotels (20+ rooms) 275 96 116 1180 Hotel rooms 8,540 2,710 13,511 180,900 Rental Villas 91 302 183 479 Holiday homes 45 143 149 716 Guesthouses 142 117 184 498 Source: Booking.com; accessed April 2019 Figure 12. Accommodation Types and Quantity 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Zanzibar Seychelles Mauritius Tenerife Hotels Rental Villas Holiday Homes Guesthouses Source: Booking.com: accessed April 2019 The important implication of this evidence is that Zanzibar’s tourism destiny is currently not in its own hands. The path out of this dependency is to develop, where possible, a diversified product and market mix that is both easily accessible and above-benchmark quality for independent travelers who do not purchase package tours. 22 A large part of this market segment is occupied by “millennial explorers� (formerly known as backpackers), who spend locally but tend to be on a budget. Growing the value of this market through improved products and services is a way to expand into higher yielding independent traveler markets (that is, the so-called “grey/silver market� of older tourists with more spending power). The coming years of growth in tourist numbers are both an opportunity and a threat for Zanzibar. There is clearly an opportunity to use growing tourist numbers (essentially, captive markets of resort-based tourists) to further diversify and strengthen the non-beach offerings. There is also an opportunity to create new jobs in the hospitality industry, which is reportedly adding a further 2,000 rooms over the next two years, and to add to the value proposition and thereby increase expenditure and length of stay. Also, Zanzibar needs to proactively influence the diversification of its accommodation stock to appeal to new markets of independent travelers. A threat from the higher tourist numbers comes from the increasing pressure on infrastructure, particularly water, electricity, sewers, and solid waste (supposedly, 650 tons of solid waste are produced daily by hotels and resorts across Zanzibar). Another threat is to the terrestrial environment that is under pressure to make way for new building and infrastructure. As potential threats from climate change increase globally, Zanzibar is especially prone to climate risks such as flooding and heat waves. The combined effects of current climate vulnerability and future climate change could be large enough to prevent Zanzibar from achieving economic growth, development, and poverty reduction goals. 23 Summary of Key Challenges The working groups agreed to develop a series of objectives clustered around the following seven thematic challenges: 1 Integrated Planning and Coordination 2 Human Resource Development 3 Product Development 4 Standards and Regulation 5 Data Collection and Analysis 6 Improved Security 7 Marketing and Promotion The development of tourism has been largely ad hoc, underscoring weaknesses in the institutions responsible for the sector and related services and assets. In the medium to long term, it is critical to address three overarching issues: • The need for more integrated approaches to destination planning, where needs for physical infrastructure can be assessed within the context of coherent zones selected as priorities for tourism development • The need for public institutions across several sectors to work more closely, effectively, and efficiently with private investors, communities and other stakeholders to achieve a common tourism strategy • The need for a tourism-related “delivery unit� that has convening power across different government agencies and that can drive the implementation of this TISAP Additionally, there are a range of tourism-sector-specific issues that the TISAP directly addresses: • Poor standards setting, regulation, monitoring, enforcement, and upgrading for tourism businesses—particularly for restaurants, accommodations, tour operators, and guides as well as for marine-excursion and diving services—results in products of inconsistent and often poor quality that damage the Zanzibar brand. In addition, these issues place higher-quality, fully compliant businesses at a competitive disadvantage and limits revenues. 24 • A lack of a coherent strategy and delivery mechanisms for branding, marketing, promotion, communications, statistics, research and development, and M&E means that Zanzibar is unable to develop or promote high-quality, sustainable, and inclusive tourism products and services in a cohesive, strategic manner that is based on evidence of market demands. As a result, destination information, such as health and immigration requirements, does not reach source markets efficiently. • Comparably weak planning in supply subsectors—notably agriculture, fisheries, arts and crafts, and light manufacturing—is a blockage to product development and limits quality, added value, and revenues. • The centralized administration of cultural and tourism assets and lack of PPP development have failed to unlock their potential for value and revenue generation, limiting income and reinvestment in their conservation, protection, and management. • Poor or absent infrastructure with insufficient capacity to cope with combined resident and visitor demands damages Zanzibar’s tourism product and its environment and raises conflicts with local communities. • The absence of a tourism-specific Zanzibar human resources policy has several implications: recruitment schemes are not fit for purpose, targets and monitoring for inclusiveness are not in place, workplace sociocultural compliance issues are not addressed, concerns over the efficient utilization of the Skills Development Levy remain unanswered, education and training are not adaptive to trends, and there is no coherent scheme in place to promote the tourism industry as a positive area of employment. • The lack of strong regulation and accreditation in the vocational training industry means that product quality is variable, does not correspond to industry requirements, and has weak practical elements, so qualifications are not transferrable or recognized externally. • Weak security enforcement has led to rising crime and nuisance issues in key visitor destinations, damaging the destination’s brand and reputation and limiting expenditure (which rises when visitors perceive that they can move freely and safely outside hotels). • The business licensing system is complex and confusing, making the registration difficult and overly long, which limits Zanzibar’s attractiveness to investors and competitiveness. • Tax, revenue, and fiscal planning authorities do not collect, analyze, and utilize the data required for robust policy and strategy development, such as frequent Zanzibar-specific expenditure data, tourism satellite accounts, salary modeling, cost-benefit analyses of tax regimes, and revenue streams from visitor expenditure. The result is an inability to evaluate the current taxation strategy in terms of revenue maximization, efficiency, and competitiveness and plan effectively. Tourism data collection is not harmonized among the responsible institutions (Department of Immigration, Zanzibar Revenue Bureau [ZRB], ZCT, and so on), rendering the information of little use to other bodies and Zanzibar as a whole. 25 Situation Analysis and Recommended Actions The sections that follow, which are organized by theme, detail the findings and recommendations from those working group discussions. The costs associated are essentially for studies, consultancies, meetings and public private dialogue, legal work, capacity building and training, and the production of final outputs such as legislation, new curricula and improved ICT systems and platforms. Table 5. Summary of Strategic Actions and Costs Description of Priority Strategic Actions Estimated Costs (US$) Broad Activities 1. Integrated Planning and Coordination 1,500,000 Sector dialogue, feasibility and needs assessment • Create Tourism APEX body studies, training, legal • Reform ZCT and enact the necessary legislation to create a Tourism for All delivery unit work, coordination, and • Introduce an interim port and traffic management planning. plan • Accelerate interim airport improvements • Improve Waste Management 2. Human Resource and Skills Development 1,000,000 • Develop a tourism-specific human resources strategy for Zanzibar • Tailor curricula to skills market requirements • Harmonize accreditation and registration of TVET 3. Product Development 1,500,000 o Product development and diversification strategy o Develop PPPs for Cultural Heritage assets 4. Standards and Regulation 1,250,000 o Reform and simplify licensing and integrate a rating/classification system for all businesses o Review the tourism tax regime o Develop a code of conduct for visitor behavior 5. Data Collection and Analysis 1,000,000 o Generate a tourism satellite account o Carrying capacity studies 6. Improved Safety and Security 500,000 o Implement Security Task Force to deal with crime in tourist areas and illegal operators 7. Marketing and Promotion 1,500,000 o Develop the Zanzibar Experience brand Total 8,250,000 26 Analysis 1. Integrated Planning and Coordination The need for more systemic integrated planning and coordination is at the heart of the findings, analysis and recommendations throughout this document and cuts across all themes. Together with this, the creation of a Tourism APEX Body and Delivery Unit are deemed critical to transform Zanzibar’s tourism sector and drive achievement of Tourism for All. The following sections focus on specific planning and coordination issues related to the highlighted sectors. • Environment The natural environment and social cohesion have been facing increasing pressure from tourism sector growth. Implementation of the Tourism Master Plan, and the zoning plans within it, has been poor given the lack of coordination and integration between the Department of Forestry, ZCT, local administrations and the Ministry of Lands. As a result, hotel development is encroaching on the remaining forested and mangrove areas, as well as farmland, and is often too close to or below the high-water mark, leading to erosion. Many issues can be attributed to weaknesses in the planning system and poor land-leasing decisions and management. These issues have been instrumental in the proliferation of low- quality enterprises that cater to the lower end of the tourism market. There is a dearth of new land available for tourism in Zanzibar, so developments are required on existing sites. However, as noted in the World Bank 2017 Diagnostic Trade Integration Study relatively few redevelopment applications had been approved by ZIPA since 2010. Zanzibar’s environment is heavily polluted by solid and liquid waste which damages coral reefs and blights beaches, forests, and urban areas while threatening the health of residents and visitors. Coral harvesting for construction material continues to affect reef systems and contribute to coastal erosion, and destructive fishing techniques continue to harm coral reefs. Similarly, sustained cutting of mangrove forests and the increase in salt farms in Pemba continues to deplete the forests. Coordination between sectors is ineffective, enforcement of regulation and legislation is weak, and cooperation between government and the private sector on environmental issues is poor. Integrated coastal zone management has been recognized as the proper mechanism for involving local communities in conserving natural resources, but poor design of coastal defenses exacerbates coastal erosion. Despite a proliferation of committees (tourism committees, natural resources conservation committees, and so on), there is little coordination and insufficient regard to climate change adaptation measures. 27 • Social In terms of social cohesion, a cultural policy has been published and a heritage policy is currently being drafted. However, linkages with local communities remain weak and relationships can be fractious where cultures clash. There are frequent complaints regarding tour operators and hoteliers not enforcing dress and behavior codes for guests, and some stakeholders refer to the large resort complex of Nungwi being “lost� to binge drinking, sex tourism, and drug abuse. • Cultural Heritage Management of heritage is centralized and suffers from a number of institutional, legislative, financial, and staffing shortcomings. Maintenance and preservation of key assets, which have inadequate resources and prioritization, have been poor. Some buildings have collapsed and/or been abandoned from lack of maintenance, and only seven historical sites have title deeds. • Infrastructure The existing Unguja airport struggles with peak arrivals, when up to three flights are serviced simultaneously, necessitating the use of the business lounge for general departures. Arrival passenger flow is also poor, with long immigration queues and a baggage claim system that requires handlers to arrange luggage manually in the small customs area. The airport lacks world-class safety equipment such as a modern firefighting apparatus, instrument landing system capability, and up-to-date VHF omnidirectional range radio navigation system. With the new terminal, with a projected capacity of 1.6 million annual arrivals still unfinished there is an urgent need to improve facilities in the interim. Pemba airport has very basic facilities for safety, security, and passenger handling. The runway is currently too short for the operation of the Boeing 737 and Airbus A320 series aircraft that are used by international airlines. A feasibility study is currently underway for upgrading this facility to international standards, but there is no plan in place to extend the study to the surrounding infrastructure that would be required to deal with the projected capacity of one million arrivals annually. There are various issues associated with taxi attendance at airports (training, tariffs, and metering) and conflicts between the Airport Authority and Department of Immigration. The main Malindi port in Unguja offers constrained berthing, storage, and handling facilities and suffers from serious congestion. There are also no official international sea ferry services. There is a long-term plan to develop a new hub seaport at Maruhubi, Unguja, but contracts have long been stalled in both the Tanzanian government and Zanzibar’s Ministry of Finance. It is unlikely that work will be completed within the next four years. Additionally, the existing port arrangements in Unguja exacerbate Stone Town’s congestion problems, which together cause serious delays. The current one-way system reduces traffic flow in the main tourist thoroughfares but forces vehicles into the port-area bottleneck, where 28 they clash with commercial traffic at busy times. Ferry timetabling is constricted by commercial traffic movements, causing congested peak flows. Stone Town Conservation Development Authority, the Seaport Authority, the Ministry of Infrastructure, the Municipal Council, and Bakhresa (the largest shipping company) have previously had meetings on the congestion issue, but no solution has been agreed on. Electricity coverage in rural areas of Zanzibar has improved significantly in recent years through the GoZ’s Rural Electrification Project and upgraded submarine link to the Tanzanian national grid. However, more remote areas, where many hotels are located, continue to suffer service interruptions, and the use of emergency power generators increases operational costs. Salt-water intrusion and encroachment on water sources degrade water quality, and mains water supply can be unreliable. Many businesses, including larger hotels in Stone Town, rely on tanker delivery, tanks, and, in some cases, boreholes, although abstraction capacity is limited. • Waste Management It is acknowledged and stressed by many in the tourist sector that a clean and healthy environment, within and around the hotels/resorts as well as in the surrounding rural areas, is a very important aspect of improving the paradise image and promotion of Zanzibar’s tourism sector. However, in practice, the handling and disposal of the solid waste generated in the resorts/hotels, guesthouses and other tourist facilities, is unstructured, mostly substandard, and not properly regulated or monitored. Picture 1. Solid waste from a resort I Zanzibar dumped just beyond its walls. Officially it is the responsibility of the local government authorities/districts to collect, transport, and arrange for proper disposal of hotel waste. Because of a chronic lack of funding and consequent lack of sufficient and adequate equipment (containers, trucks), this is not happening. 29 As a result, some private companies or (unlicensed) individuals are being paid to collect waste from the hotels. In some hotels, plastic bottles are separated from the waste and informally collected by individuals. No in-house separation of organic/compostable waste is done anywhere, and some smaller hotels/guesthouses dig a hole to dump the waste or they burn it. There is no formal waste disposal procedure, and waste is being dumped in rural areas. This may cause serious environmental and health hazards (for example, diarrhea, dysentery, cholera) when these wastes contaminate water resources or are washed out to sea during the rainy season. One of the important objectives of an SWM strategy is that all solid waste generated should be collected and properly treated or disposed of. In addition, there should be measures/actions to minimize waste generation and maximize recycling and composting. Another crucial element of a proper solid waste management system is the polluter pay principle, or producers’ responsibility, implying that the waste generators should pay waste fees whose collected revenues cover—at a minimum—the operational and maintenance costs of their respective SWM systems (collection, transport, disposal). In the draft SWM strategy for the Zanzibar archipelago one of the main objectives will be that local government authorities should take full responsibility for an adequate operating SWM system in their district. This is also in line with the ongoing devolution process of delegating more operational responsibilities to local governments. Most of the hotels/resorts on Unguja island are located in districts with mainly rural characteristics (North A+B, Central, South) and relatively low waste generation per capita. From preliminary data/guesstimates, most of the solid wastes in these districts are generated by the tourist sector. That is, in total, about 400,000 tourist visits per year, with an average stay of at least a few days, generate about 1.5–2.0 kilograms of waste per tourist per day. Liquid waste is mostly discharged into the sea, a long-term problem with no solution in sight, and stormwater drainage becomes unhygienic in monsoon conditions. In 2015, only around 30 percent of the estimated 650,000 metric tonnes of solid waste generated daily was handled by municipal authorities, the remainder was disposed of indiscriminately, often burned. The Solid Waste Management Project Zanzibar Archipelago is currently examining the issues and formulating solutions. The World Bank’s Zanzibar Urban Services Project for Tanzania has also worked with the municipal council for Stone Town to improve solid waste collection and transportation. The project constructed storm drains outside Stone Town and worked with Pemba town councils on institutional strengthening and small-scale investment projects. This is timely given that what little exit-survey data are available show that one in three tourists complains about poor waste management, and four in five consider not returning because of how much waste they saw. Some of the issues are relatively simple. For example, although the considerable waste from evening food stalls is cleaned from the Forodhani Gardens area on a daily basis, this does not 30 occur until well after sunrise so early visitors are greeted by a carpet of discarded paper plates, cups, and food waste. Similarly, the Darajani food market would be much more attractive to visitors if it had better standards of hygiene, cleanliness, and waste management. • Customs and Immigration The process of welcoming visitors to the islands is poor at all entry points, and customs and immigration customer service is of a low standard. Tourist-facing officers are often unequipped with the appropriate language and visitor-interface skills and are sometimes perceived to be unfriendly and discourteous. In addition, delays at immigration, especially during peak flows, and staff shortages are common. Furthermore, visa procedures are lengthy and expensive in comparison to competitors. For example, no visa is required to visit Seychelles and Mauritius, and the Maldives visa is provided free of charge. There is ongoing confusion around Zanzibar’s yellow fever certification requirements, and they are poorly communicated to foreign governments, particularly the high- risk African countries from which arriving visitors are required to produce documentation. In Pemba, yacht owners must report to the immigration office in Chake Chake to gain clearance for themselves and their crew before returning to the harbor to obtain an anchoring permit. 2. Human Resources, Education, and Skills Development The lack of an overarching tourism-specific human resources strategy for Zanzibar seriously constrains its ability to plan for and adapt to market requirements. As a result, education and training provision has limited relevance to trends in demand, lacks common standards, has no recruitment strategy or target setting nor data collection, monitoring, or analytical systems. This means, for instance, that the ongoing dearth of women in the sector remains unaddressed, and there is no means to monitor progress in local employment. In addition, systems for matching job vacancies with job seekers are weak or absent. A study on youth (ages 15–35) employment by the Ministry of Labour, Economic Empowerment and Cooperatives is in the validation stage, but no such data exist on employment by gender. This is a contributing factor, along with the mismatch between training programs and tourism market demands, to the skills gap in the tourism sector. Although importation of highly qualified personnel trained to the highest international standards can help raise local standards and provide exposure to best practices, overreliance on external labor perpetuates a situation in which local benefits—direct, indirect, and multipliers—are limited. This is particularly important given that the United Nations Children’s Fund’s ongoing study on cultural impacts of tourism in Zanzibar has found that the majority of Zanzibari adults and children perceive the tourism sector in a negative light and as something they would rather not engage with. Specific issues cited by stakeholders include incompatibility between tourism- 31 sector employment and family life, conflicts with religious beliefs such as dress codes and food and drink service, and disapproval from relatives and peers. Higher education (the State University of Zanzibar) is accredited by Tanzania Commission for Universities, and the Vocational Training Authority of Zanzibar (VTA) is mandated to regulate vocational training providers. However, unlike its mainland counterpart, the National Council for Technical Education (NACTE), VTA’s capabilities extend only to registration, not accreditation. Moreover, not all providers are registered, and they are not held to any kind of harmonized standards in the quality of their training, curricula, or faculty. The lack of accreditation means that qualifications gained in Zanzibar are not valued or recognized outside the islands. Practical training facilities and opportunities for on-the-job training, such as apprenticeships, are few. In addition, few prospective hospitality industry staff have any experience of being a tourist, so visitor empathy is lacking. The result is graduates who are not equipped for the modern workplace, lacking, for example, skills in e-commerce, social media, and current customer service expectations. As such, international hotels are resigned to the need to retrain local graduates from scratch. Conversely, many tourism enterprises have no training plan or human resources development budget allocation. Particular weaknesses are in the delivery of higher-level management training, tuition in specialized areas such as tour operation, and training in soft skills. Businesses pay a human resource levy of 5 percent of wages to the government, but there is little transparency in how the funds are distributed and utilized. 3. Product Development Although tourist numbers are growing, there is a need to persuade visitors to spend more and stay longer. Additionally, local linkages must be strengthened to increase yield (revenue per tourist) and, thereby, reduce the islands’ reliance on ever-increasing arrivals to maintain revenue flows. Both service and retail products are often of poor quality, undiversified, limited in their capacity to generate revenue and value, and lacking in their local component. The overall art and crafts offer is similarly uninspiring, consisting largely of undifferentiated, generic paintings; imported, branded textiles; and imported curios and souvenirs. There are some notable exemptions in woodwork, textiles, jewelry, and toiletries production, for example. However, these also generally suffer from the lack of design, branding, marketing and promotion strategies that characterize the handicrafts industry as a whole. One of Zanzibar’s main attractions—its cultural sites and antiquities—has suffered from long- term neglect and poor management. Some, like the House of Wonders and the Palace Museum, have become dangerously unstable and been closed down, while others offer a very limited visitor experience in the quality of interpretative materials and exhibits and number of facilities. As a result, revenues are minimal, reinforcing the vicious cycle of underinvestment and further decline. 32 Picture 2. Informal businesses are under- valued and compromise the longer-term quality of the Zanzibar Experience. The accommodation stock is highly variable in quality, and older properties are beginning to look dated. Most of the locally owned tourism facilities and services operate at lower standards, and occupancy rates are low. There have been initial efforts to implement harmonized standards to address the variability in product quality. ZCT’s pilot to design and implement an East African Community standard rating system for accommodation, with plans to later apply it to restaurants and tour operators, was halted after the first year. There is currently only one qualified assessor in Zanzibar, but that person is no longer employed by the Commission. No budget has been allocated for short-term recruitment of external assessors or in-house training. Similarly, no provision has been made for monitoring and upgrading support for rated properties. In addition, communication of the scheme to ZATI and other stakeholders was lacking and, therefore, few hoteliers are aware of or understand it. There are more than 250 (261 estimated in the 2015 Tourism Lab) tour operators in the archipelago, all offering services on an individual, unregulated, and ad hoc basis, providing inconsistent and sometimes inaccurate information to guests. Like other tourism businesses, they are not subject to quality criteria in the start-up and registration process. Those that work with outbound tour operators are subject to their terms of business, which usually include minimum operating standards, but this is not a systematic or formalized process. Although training from one of the three recognized institutions is theoretically compulsory, enforcement is weak and the courses are neither harmonized nor accredited. While dive shops are regulated to some extent by industry bodies (mainly PADI), there are no formal standards or monitoring applicable to the plethora of boat captains offering excursions—even monitoring of registration status, let alone provisions such as public liability insurance, vessel condition, marine safety equipment, and crew competence certification. 33 Those crews who are trained are undercut by those who are not. Steps are beginning to be taken to reinforce the need for licensing. On March 27, 2018, the minister of tourism chaired a meeting for tour guides and boat operators, both licensed and unlicensed, in order to communicate the importance of registration, although minimum service standards and qualifications were not part of the agenda. Food hygiene is another area that requires urgent attention. The recently established Zanzibar Bureau of Standards (ZBS) is mandated to work with the Board of Food and Drugs and other relevant authorities in regulating environmental health standards but is nonfunctional. Online travel platforms are littered with anecdotes of food poisoning and unsanitary establishments. Forodhani Gardens, one of the islands’ main culinary attractions, stands out for its poor hygiene standards and dangerous practices in the preparation, storage, and handling of food. The World Bank funded Zanzibar Urban Services Project has introduced running water to the area so that at least basic hand washing is now possible. The strength of local supply chain linkages to tourism varies among products. The volume of truly local vegetable and meat procurement is limited by Zanzibar’s agroecological conditions and comparative disadvantage in many products. Larger hotels work through contracted agents on an international level, and/or wholesalers at the major urban markets, which sell predominantly “imported� goods from mainland Tanzania. However, some vegetables, such as tomatoes, are now supplied locally in greater quantities than they were previously. Several commercial growers use drip irrigation systems to supply produce year-round. Numerous development agency initiatives to link local producers directly with hotels have had very limited success because of poor project design (often unsustainable and not market- focused), a lack of coordination and marketing capacity, the existence of strong cartels, low productivity, seasonality, and inconsistent quality. The vast majority of unprocessed fruit products, in which Zanzibar has a comparative advantage, are sourced locally, although there is limited processing and storage capacity for out-of-season supply and value addition. Agritourism product development (for instance spice tours and seaweed farm visits), tourism supply chain strengthening (local content requirements), and improvement of the retail offer, for example, require that the relevant sectors have their own strategic plans and development strategies. Otherwise, convergence with agriculture, fisheries, arts and crafts, light manufacturing, and retail sectors (and subsectors) will remain ad hoc and uncoordinated, and an opportunity to formalize complementary development gains across Zanzibar’s economy from tourism-sector growth will be lost. Regardless of tourism linkages, subsectors such as spices and seaweed would benefit greatly from strategy development in their own right, but this is a timely window in which to reboot the other key economic activities in the islands. The Zanzibar Vegetable Producer’s Association, UWAMWIMA, is the main horticultural organization. The association promotes organic production techniques but has been unable to exploit the growing niche demand for “safe� produce, an important consideration with the 34 millennial segment and other health- and environmentally conscious travelers. The group has been supported by five different NGOs but attempts to supply the hospitality industry have failed. The initiative was seen more as a service to member growers than a business venture. There was insufficient capital to honor commitments to purchase members’ produce (for onward sale to hotels and restaurants), and buyers’ business terms commonly include payment 40 days after delivery. In addition, hotels changed ownership without honoring existing debts. Some producers experienced heavy losses and lost trust in UWAMWIMA as a result. Unsurprisingly, most fish are supplied from the archipelago, although some frozen products are imported in order to guarantee supply. This is likely to be a growing trend—the inshore fishery has long been depleted, and the pelagic resource is exploited by large-scale international operations, most notably from Taiwan, Spain, France, and the Seychelles, which have been issued fishing licenses. Zanzibar’s most famous agritourism product, the spice tour, is another example of weak local linkages and poor product development. The solution is not straightforward given the nature of the spice subsector itself, which is in long-term decline. Indeed, many spice products are now imported from the mainland, the Comoros, and Asia. The so-called spice farms that guides take visitors to are often small patches of land planted with a selection of spice plants by opportunistic entrepreneurs. The spice products sold to visitors at these locations, by mobile hawkers and in shops throughout the islands, are poorly presented and packaged. Until there is a spice sector strategy, with provision for some kind of growers’ association, it will be challenging to make meaningful improvements to the spice tour products that maximize local benefits. Similarly, seaweed—now Zanzibar’s third-highest export—also lacks a sector strategy, and, as a result, no formal steps have been taken to develop tourism to production areas despite the obvious potential. Daily fish auctions are held at landing sites and markets all over the islands but are seldom visited by tourists. A private sector–led Gourmet Festival has been held for the past two years and may have the potential to become a positive new model for expansion to arts and crafts, for example. Existing cultural and natural tourism enterprises also offer examples of best practices, but most are constrained by a lack of the business skills required for successful planning, capitalization, value addition, and expansion. There are few, if any, incubator-type facilitators, and other business development services are weak or absent outside donor-funded programs, which often have questionable market orientation and sustainability. Access to finance from banks and investors remains a constraint for microenterprises, with the Zanzibar Investment Promotion Agency (ZIPA) requiring locals to invest a minimum of $300,000. 35 4. Standards and Legal and Regulatory Environment The business-licensing process is convoluted and confusing, with fees to be paid for permits from as many as 10 separate authorities, and the Zanzibar Licensing Authority currently regulates in name only. In terms of taxation, taxes applied to accommodation businesses include the value-added tax, room levy, corporate tax, infrastructure tax, training levy, and restaurant levy, where applicable. Some stakeholders claim to make post tax losses while others complain about the perceived unfairness of tax breaks for investors. Some expatriate employees have avoided income taxation by declaring meager salaries, and the GoZ has no salary modeling capabilities with which to assess immigration declarations. There is a strong perception among the sector’s stakeholders that there are considerable leakages through transfer pricing and package tourism, which sends minimal funds to Zanzibar. This can sometimes occur to the extent that debts accrue with suppliers, who change regularly, and the debts are left unpaid. The competent authorities do not have the capacity to generate the data required to evaluate the present taxation regime on a cost-benefit basis. Would a lower tax burden stimulate industry growth and, therefore, drive increased revenues, or would this deprive the GoZ of income? Would, for example, lower room rates improve Zanzibar’s competitiveness and drive up occupancy rates? No such analysis has been performed or is planned. Hotels are incentivized to under-declare room occupancy in order to minimize tax liabilities, so these data are highly unreliable. ZATI has long advocated for a reexamination of members’ liability for both the value- added tax and the bed levy, which both tax the same thing. 5. Data collection and Analysis Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSAs) provide an internationally recognized and standardized method of assessing the scale of tourism-related production and its links across different sectors. Tourism’s economic contribution to Zanzibar’s economy is a critical planning and funding-allocation tool for policy makers. Overall, the derived accounts will analyze in detail all aspects of demand for goods and services that may be associated with tourism within the economy, monitored the operational interface of the supply of such goods and services within the economy of Zanzibar. The general objective of this work is to establish the direct economic contribution of tourism through estimates of tourism demand and tourism supply; assessments of value-added by tourism activities in the economy; assess the level of employment generated by tourism activities; measure the gross fixed capital formation by the sector; and measure the collective consumption of tourism services by the government. This will require gathering of data on tourism consumption, domestic supply and imports and constructing detailed production accounts of the tourism industries, including linkages with other productive economic activities. 36 In addition, the various GoZ institutions collect different kinds of data in an uncoordinated manner. Immigration arrivals declarations do not allow for visitors’ changing plans or staying in multiple properties, and the costs and bureaucracy involved with business visa applications encourage false statements of purpose. No Zanzibar-specific exit survey is performed; the only available data are an adjunct to the annual Tanzanian national survey. There is also no institutional capacity for tourism satellite accounting and, therefore, this important economic planning tool is absent. The result of these information gaps is a very weak and incomplete picture of visitor market composition, expenditure, preferences, behavior, occupancy, and revenue, making it difficult or impossible to confidently plan and monitor marketing, promotion, destination planning, and taxation strategies (even if, in the cases of marketing, promotion, and planning, institutions existed to do so). This data underpins all planning and investment in the tourism sector. 6. Improved Safety and Security There are also growing visitor security concerns, particularly in the East Coast resorts of Kiwengwa, Paje, and Jambiani. A task force of police, ZCT, immigration, and private sector actors had some success with a pilot operation in Nungwi, but flaws in the planning process led to concerns over transparency and clarity in the utilization of funds by the businesses contributing them, and the initiative ended. Few, if any, sanctions are made on a systematic basis against illegal tour operators, unlicensed vendors, and the touts and hawkers referred to locally as “beach boys� or “mapapasi.� Previously, various incarnations of a task force had bases in different parts of Zanzibar, with tourism patrol enforcement officers. When the number of businesses expanded, “Tourism Police� were introduced, but these are often not evident at the main tourist sites. Online review platforms contain accounts of Tourist Police officers showing disinterest in recording and investigating harassment and crime and even of officers taking the side of the perpetrators and attempting to take action against the victims, suggesting a need for stronger supervision, training, and disciplinary procedures. That said, budgetary constraints limit the number of officers available. 7. Marketing and Promotion The ongoing absence of a delivery and implementation unit in ZCT that was, as the result of previous work, mandated to take on key strategic tourism development functions means that none of the following are present: • Overall marketing, branding, and promotion strategy for local, national, or international markets 37 • Coherent Zanzibar branding and messaging that is coordinated with Tanzania as a unique destination in the same country • Market research function, capable of gathering intelligence on segmented markets to inform product identification, enhancement, development, differentiation, and promotion • M&E function to benchmark destination performance against Zanzibar’s competitors • Understanding and use of modern marketing, sales, and promotion channels relevant to key market segments • Guidance to enterprises on unified and effective branding, such as the regulations by Mauritius on their branding and on national branding to ensure quality and consistency • Zanzibar-specific expenditure data to inform revenue planning and product development • Briefing of Tanzania’s commercial attachés, who are not systematically briefed in tourism issues and do not necessarily have sufficient knowledge of the sector • Mapping and inventory of cultural and natural assets 38 Action Tables (i) Table 6. Integrated Planning and Coordination Strategy 1.1 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Reform ZCT and enact High-level, MoFP, MoANRLF, 6 months $100,000 the necessary legislation interministerial APEX MoCICT, MoICTS, to transfer the body established to MoLWEE, MoTIM, ZCT appropriate authority and identify necessary policy responsibilities to a and legal action changes; Tourism for All working group implementation and established and action delivery unit plan developed Legislative changes (for MoFP, MoANRLF, 6 months $150,000 example, by-laws) MoCICT, MoICTS, The delivery unit will be necessary for MoLWEE, MoTIM, ZCT responsible for; establishment of delivery • Research, and implementation units statistics Technical, human Consultant to support 6 months $50,000 (harmonized resources, and financial across relevant needs assessment and government strategic business departments), planning and market intelligence Identification and MoFP, MoANRLF, As above With above • Marketing, allocation of budgets MoCICT, MoICTS, promotion, MoLWEE, MoTIM, ZCT branding, and Establishment of delivery MoFP, MoANRLF, 3 months $50,000 communications and implementation MoCICT, MoICTS, • Product and unit(s) covering the key MoLWEE, MoTIM, ZCT asset mapping work areas listed above • M&E Staff recruitment and Consultants 6 months $200,000 Without these key training capacities and activities, improvements around Establishment of MoFP, MoANRLF, 12 months $250,000 market responsiveness workstreams, including MoCICT, MoICTS, and tailored product market research; revision MoLWEE, MoTIM, ZCT diversification, as well as and implementation of fiscal planning, for the 2010 ZATI branding, instance, are impossible. marketing, and promotion strategy; asset mapping (see also Strategy 4.7); product development (see also Strategy 3.1); statistical 39 and analytical services; M&E Annual review and MoFP, MoCICT, Quarterly Minimal business planning MoICTS, MoLWEE, with annual MoTIM, ZCT reporting Strategy 1.2 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Introduce an interim port Stakeholder consultations Bakhresa Group (Azam 6 months $150,000 and traffic management and negotiations; Marine, Kilimanjaro plan establishment of working Fast Ferries Ltd.), ZMA, group/steering ZPC, ZMC, STCDA, committee and allocation MoFP, MoICTS, of resources Commissioner of Immigration (Tanzania Department of Immigration Services, Ministry of Home Affairs) Technical assessment As above with technical 6 months $50,000 consultant(s) Management planning on Bakhresa Group, ZMA, 6 months $60,000 interim port ZPC, ZMC, STCDA, arrangements and traffic MoFP, MoICTS, scheme Commissioner of Immigration, technical Implementation of TBD – determined by scope consultant(s) interim port upgrade and of intervention traffic scheme Contract completion and MoFP, ZPC, ZMC, tendering process for STCDA, Commissioner new hub port of Immigration, contractors Construction of new hub port and allied infrastructure Strategy 1.3 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Accelerate interim Stakeholder forum; Commissioner of 6 months $20,000 airport improvements establishment of working Immigration Services This strategy addresses the group(s); production of (Tanzania Department poor visitor experience at action plan and allocation of Immigration Services, ZIA—with immigration, of resources Ministry of Home baggage handling, Affairs), ZAA, MoCICT transport, passenger flow, Procurement and MoFP, ZAA, MoCICT, 6 months $20,000 retail, and other areas— and ensures that planning contracting contractors 40 for Pemba’s new facility Construction/renovation/ 24 months TBD by includes surrounding extension/refurbishment consultant infrastructure that can works reports support the projected visitor numbers. With the Training for visitor-facing ZATI, ZAA, MoCICT, 12 months $20,000 new terminal at ZIA staff (for example, technical consultants as optimistically predicted to immigration officials, bus appropriate be finished by late 2019 drivers, baggage handlers, and Pemba’s new facility and lost-luggage staff) only at the feasibility study stage (and discussions in progress with the African Development Bank), there is a need to fast-track interim measures. Strategy 1.4 Action Responsible Agencies Timescale Cost Improve solid waste Establish platform for ZEMA/DoE, June 2018— Meeting management and further consultations/ present costs ZATI-ZATO minimize waste discussions between (ongoing) (by Zanzibar generation by tourism tourist sector and SWM Local/district Urban stakeholders strategy team/ZEMA, authorities Services local government World Bank/Zanzibar To execute an optimal Project/SW authorities; determine Urban Services Project and cost-effective SWM M project) (main) scope and issues to SWM strategy team system (collection, be discussed. transport, disposal) in these districts, further Execute rapid survey for Hotels/ZATI, June/July To be consultations and better understanding of 2019 determined SWM project team cooperation take place waste generation data, Desk survey, with the SWM strategy including number of total or project team, the tourist tourist days, waste sector, the main local generation per tourist by students, and district government day, plastic/organic (transport stakeholders, and component, and solid costs) ZEMA/Department of waste generation Environment (DoE) as forecasts (10–20 annually) Estimated monitoring agencies. $150,000 Reviewing/recommendati ZEMA/DoE July/August $120,000 ons for relevant SWM 2020 SWM project team legislation (including. licensing conditions) and ZITA/ZATO proper fines/enforcement Agreement on a Tourist sector/hotels August/Sept Meeting joint/integrated SWM (ZATI/ZATO) ember 2020 costs approach between local Local/district (Zanzibar government authorities Urban 41 authorities/ZEMA and Services hotel sector/ZATI-ZATO Project/SW M project) (for joint/integrated waste collection system) Estimated investment/ SWM project team August/Sept Investments operational cost for ember 2019 in: Local/district joint/integrated SWM authorities Collection collection system and (including disposal at ZATI/ZATO separation Kibele landfill) equipment (bins, containers), Transport (trucks) Tender prep: $40,000 Discussions about cost SWM project team July/August Meeting covering tariffs and 2020 costs Local/district possible forms of private authorities sector involvement ZATI/ZATO $20,000 Cooperation agreements ,, ,, September Meeting with local governments/ 2019 costs SWM strategy implementation 42 (ii) Table 7. Human Resource Development Strategy 2.1 Action Agencies Responsible Timescale Cost Develop a tourism- Stakeholder forum and MoEVT, CoL, CoIS, 3 months Minimal specific human establishment of subject- MoICTS, MoFP, ZATI, resources strategy for area working groups; ZATOGA, ZATO, ZCT, allocation of resources HURAU Zanzibar Research on women’s CoL, MoICTS (possibly 6 months T Sh 15 This strategy should participation (or lack of) in also MoANRLF), million (for address the following the tourism industry researchers three sectors, issues: commissioned and per the youth • Recruitment performed, possibly to study) schemes and include agriculture and - $20,000 agencies fisheries in order to • Gender-, age-, leverage the same and location- economies of scale as the specific youth participation study employment Strategy production MoEVT, CoL, MoICTS, 12 Months $250,000 targets process MoFP, ZCT, ZATI, • Long-term ZATOGA, ZATO, HURAU harmonization of tourism M&E strategy design and MoEVT, CoL, possibly 6 months $80,000 curricula with research/analysis capacity technical consultants industry building demands and relevance to trends (also see strategies 1.2 and 1.3) • Standards on compliance (also see strategy 1.4) • Future development and use of the Skills Development Levy • Promotion of tourism as a career path for Zanzibaris Strategy 2.2 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Tailor curricula to skills General stakeholder MoEVT, CoL, ZATI, 3–6 months $20,000 market requirements forum to build consensus ZATO, VTA, school for change and finalize representatives, MoFP action plan and formation of pilot steering committee for curriculum 43 review; allocation of resources Needs assessment for 6 months $50,000 matching employer and training requirements (in tourism and other sectors) with school curricula Curriculum content and 6 months $50,000 implementation review Replacement of pilot Selected members of Quarterly Minimal committee with review team meetings permanent steering group Establish working group to ZATI, ILO, MoEVT, TVET 3 months Minimal identify specific practical institutions, ZATI, skills gaps to be ZATO, MoICTS, MoFP, addressed; resources VTA, German allocated Vocational Training Partnership Match skills gaps with 3 months $30,000 willing professionals and tourism businesses, working with ZATI-ILO and German Vocational Training Partnership programs to leverage synergies Provide industry ZATI, VTA, TVET 6 months $60,000 professionals with training institutions, technical for trainers consultant(s) as appropriate Revise curricula to include 6 months $150,000 enhanced practical (simultaneou component and s with implement improved training for training scheme, including trainers) guest lecturers and work placements Evaluate training and End of each Minimal revise accordingly for each training graduating cohort period Strategy 2.3 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Harmonize Meetings and dialogues to MoEVT and mainland 3 months $20,000 accreditation and establish country wide counterparts, NACTE, registration of TVET consensus and VTA, Tanzania harmonization protocols Commission for 44 Establishment of working Universities, Hotel group and budget lines Association of Tanzania, ZATI, MoFP Assessment of VTA MoEVT, VTA, NACTE 3 months $30,000 organizational structure and human resources capacity to produce needs assessment Streamlining and 6 months $100,000 harmonization of VTA and NACTE policies and organizational structure Training of VTA staff by 6 months $30,000 NACTE according to needs assessment Inventory of TVET VTA, TVET institutions 3 months $40,000 institutions and creation of (simultaneo contact database for us with human resources assessment managers of organization al structure) VTA develops support 3 months $40,000 packages for TVET institutions, including a workshop that would last one or two weeks, to encourage registration and support upgrading (paid for by fees) MoEVT creates by-law to MoEVT 3 months $40,000 permit accreditation following streamlining and harmonizati on of VTA and NACTE policies and organization al structure The World Bank is already supporting policy change in the education sector through a project with the State University of Zanzibar in which higher primary art teachers are being retrained in 45 science to address the gap in this area of the curriculum. The tourism dimensions to this work should be considered. The 2006 Education Policy has a specific provision for reform of prevocational training, and there is a panel of subject specialists within the Ministry of Education. However, teachers are not skilled in the delivery of the improved curriculum, and vocational training is still viewed as the default second-best destination for school leavers. Delivery is also hampered by a lack of resources that results in poor facilities and class sizes of up to 140 students. This delivery approach is viewed by stakeholders as a longer-term complementary strategy to the interim measures in table 3 below and should seek to build tourism-relevant content into all subject areas, in addition to building the practical and basic skills foundation of Zanzibar’s primary and secondary education graduates. Although a long, complicated policy review should be avoided as much as possible, school curricula are in need of revision if they are going to better equip students for the next stage of their training journey. This strategy complements those above and below as a short-term, interim measure to improve the relevance and quality of vocational tourism training by focusing on addressing the weak practical element of current syllabi. It feeds into the scheme to upgrade vocational training in the archipelago and harmonizes training nationwide (1.4 below), and it will draw on the needs assessment of employer requirements (1.1 above). The ZATI–International Labour Organization (ILO) apprenticeship program has already identified individuals within the private sector to share their experience with trainees, and companies to host student placements have been identified. In 2013, the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (UNESCO) reviewed Zanzibar’s technical and vocational education and training (TVET) policy and noted the following issue: “TVET provision in the territory is dependent on a divergent set of subsystems rather than a single unified and uniform TVET system. These branches are differentiated in terms of the level of formality, the articulation between the education provided and the world of work, and the characteristics of the target group. A broad selection of providers deliver nonformal training programs to young people and adults, ranging from public alternative education centers, through private providers, NGOs and small businesses offering informal apprenticeships, to community-based learning. Although similar models exist in many countries, the key issue in Zanzibar lies in the absence of a clear overarching TVET sector approach and the lack of articulation between the various parts of the system under a single institutional framework.� The VTA requires support to not only increase the scope of its registration and monitoring activities but also build its capacity so that it can operate as the archipelago’s arm of NACTE, being capable of providing advice and training to TVET institutions and accrediting them. 46 (iii) Table 8. Product Development Strategy 3.1 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Product Multisectoral APEX body and Delvery 12 months $150,000 Development stakeholder Unit, NGOs such as and workshop(s) for UWAMWIMA and the Diversification coordination and Zanzibar Association for Strategies examination of cross- Farmer and Fisher cutting issues, hosted Development, private by MoICTS and MoFP; sector representatives, allocation of resources technical consultant(s) as appropriate Strategic planning 6 months $150,000 exercises in priority sectors and subsectors Establishment of cross- Quarterly Minimal sectoral working group following to regularly examine initial linkages and meetings opportunities for synergy and convergence Strategy 3.1a Action Responsible Timescale Cost Develop a Resources identified ZNCCIA, MoFP 3 months $10,000 business- and allocated development Business development World Bank, MoFP, 6 months $50,000 services services MoTIM, MoANRLF, market in inventory/market ZNCCIA, technical Zanzibar system analysis consultants In order to performed, and sector convert small- strategy and scale, localized intervention guide successes in produced tourism- Business development 3 years $200,000 related services market enterprise development program development commissioning and into more implementation impactful following international economic best practice (for drivers, the example, M4P gap in basic approach) to address business skills systemic issues with needs to be pilot projects and form 47 addressed explicit strategies for through scaling-up and sustainable crowding in private sector M&E; reduce support 5 years, $20,000 provision of as appropriate and exit beginning at business inception of development program services. Strategy 3.2 Action Responsible Agencies Timescale Cost Develop PPPs Stakeholder forum and STCDA, MoFP, MoICTS, 3 months $30,000 for Cultural establishment of MRALGSD, DMA, DNA, Heritage assets working/steering MoLWEE, MoANRLF Successful group(s) community- Inventory of cultural 3 months $30,000 based and natural sites management eligible for models for decentralized natural assets in Pete and Jozani management could be applied Production and 6 months $60,000 to cultural dissemination of case heritage sites studies of existing and other natural positive models, resources to including, for example, release community-run revenues schemes in Pete and directly back Jozani into maintenance, Design of application 12months $200,000 preservation, process and criteria for and improved private sector and value addition. community-based The RGZ would organizations to open retain concessions or take ownership of over management and assets (and the revenue generation right to revoke responsibilities, management privileges if respectively agreed-upon Appropriate policy and 6 months $60,000 management legal reform to allow regimes were decentralized not implemented) management and but local revenue collection, or creation of a 48 communities mechanism to develop and businesses memorandums of would be given understanding first refusal to between GoZ and develop these applicants in order to attractions, with appropriate avoid the need for such capacity building reform support. PPPs Call for proposals and 6 months $20,000 for business plans for pilot improvement of initiatives and selection facilities and revenue sources of strongest bids using at attractions— clear and transparent for example, criteria cafes, bars, Implementation and 3 months $250,000 restaurants, galleries, shops, evaluation of pilots and museums— Open call for proposals 3 months Meeting would generate and implementation of costs rental and tax successful bids with income for the GoZ while mentoring from improving the working/steering group tourism based on ongoing product. learning Ongoing monitoring Biannual Meeting and support for costs continuous improvement 49 (iv) Table 9. Standards and Regulation Strategy 4.1 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Agencies Reform and Stakeholder forum and MoFP, ZIPA, ZRB, 6 months $100,000 simplify licensing establishment of working ZCT, ZATI, ZBS, and integrate a group(s); recruitment of MoH, ZFDB, rating/classification technical advisors as consultants system for all appropriate businesses Establishment of a one-stop MoFP, ZIPA, ZRB, 12–18 $300,000 (accommodation, shop for license applications, ZCT, ZATI, ZBS, months restaurants, tour with capability to provide MoH, ZFDB, operators) with applicants with a plan (road consultants allocated budget map) lines to the inspectorate, and Appropriate legal and policy MoFP, ZCT 6 months $70,000 for monitoring and revisions for establishment of upgrading centralized payment facility Establishment of centralized MoFP, ZCT 6 months $60,000 payment facility Needs assessment and MoFP, ZIPA, ZRB, 12 months $70,000 capacity building (as ZCT, ZATI, ZBS, necessary) for ZBS and ZFDB MoH, ZFDB, consultants Development/review of ZCT, ZIPA, ZBS, 12 months $120,00 classification systems for ZFDB national tourism components, such as and international accommodations, technical experts restaurants, tour operators, guides Budget identification and MoFP 3 months Minimal allocation for upgraded inspectorate and support service, such as business plan for ring-fenced funds from license fees Recruitment and training of ZBS, ZFDB, ZCT 12 months $120,000 inspectors and mentors for inspection, monitoring and mentoring of tourism businesses Strategy 4.2 Action Responsible Timescale Cost 50 Reform tax Working group established to MoFP, ZRB with 12 months Meeting legislation lead implementation; advice from costs resources allocated World Bank DRM Study team Implementation of MoFP, ZRB with 24 months Est. recommended actions advice from $100,000 World Bank DRM Study team Strategy 4.3 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Develop a code of Stakeholder forum and MoICTS, MoTIM, 12 months $80,000 conduct for visitor establishment of working ZCT, ZIPA, ZATI, behavior, with group for costed action ZATO, ZATOGA, sanctions for planning MoFP, Zanzibar tourism companies Institute of Development of code of that do not comply Archives and conduct Records, MRALGSD This strategy (district and town formalizes the councils), current ad hoc and consultants patchy sectoral approach toward Incorporation of code of ZATI, ZIPA, ZATO, 3 months $120,000 maintaining culturally conduct into business ZATOGA appropriate behavior licensing process, such as among visitors. requirements to submit These actions aim to cultural and client conduct clarify businesses’ policy along with responsibilities in implementation plan in encouraging visitors alignment with the code to behave with cultural sensitivity Development of enforcement MoICTS, MoTIM, 6 months $150,000 and make provisions plan, with means of ZCT, ZIPA, ZATI, for performance monitoring and verification ZATO, ZATOGA, monitoring that (possibly in coordination with MoFP, Zanzibar allows for sanctions Security Task Force – see Institute of against organizations Strategy 4.8 below), and clear Archives and that repeatedly fail to meet these sanctions (for example, fines, Records, obligations. The code revocation of license) and MRALGSD also needs to address remedial measures for (district and town workplace cultural repeated infringement councils), policies and issues consultants that may keep Zanzibaris, Review of policy and MoTIM, MoICTS, 6 months $60,000 particularly women, legislation to allow for consultant from participating in sanctions for repeated certain roles. infringement 51 Periodic progress review MoICTS, MoTIM, Quarterly Meeting meetings with working group ZCT, ZIPA, ZATI, costs ZATO, ZATOGA, MoFP, Zanzibar Institute of Archives and Records, MRALGSD (district and town councils) Ideally, all tourism-licensing functions would be moved under one roof. At the very least, an umbrella one-stop shop is required to guide applicants through the process. In addition, centralized fee collection (and redistribution to the respective competent institutions) would also greatly simplify and expedite the process, making investment easier and more attractive. This needs to be coordinated with an upgraded, clear, transparent business classification system that has the capacity to assess and monitor business performance and support continuous improvement in elevating and harmonizing product and service quality. This system should cover food hygiene matters as well as commercial issues, which may necessitate capacity building for the ZBS and Zanzibar Food and Drugs Board. The World Bank Domestic Resource Mobilization Study offers the RGZ the opportunity to review its revenue collection and taxation strategies and institutions. The kinds of issues identified by stakeholders include the need for a data system that tracks from point of entry to point of exit to aid in revenue assessment and forecasting, transfer pricing and the effectiveness of exemptions, and gaps in government capacities to model income, for example from expatriate salaries. Ultimately, the MoFP needs to be in the position to assess the costs and benefits of current and potential taxation strategies and gather, analyze, and interpret tourism revenue data for fiscal forecasting and policy making. 52 (v) Table 10. Data Collection and Analysis Strategy 5.1 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Develop a Planning meeting/forum ZCT, ZATI, ZATO, 3 months $30,000 Tourism Satellite for key stakeholders; ZATOGA, MoFP, ZRA Account for establishment of steering Tourism APEX body Zanzibar group/management committee; production of As a first step action plan towards a full TSA, there will Develop TOR for the Delivery unit and 1 month Meeting be a review of assessment of current APEX body costs the current tourism statistics systems tourism statistic Launch tender Delivery unit and 6 months $60,000 system together APEX body with mainland Tanzania Delivery of a system of Delivery unit and 12 months $500,000 tourism accounts, training APEX body of data analysts and a team within ZCT Strategy 5.2 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Commission Establish MoFP, MoICTS, ZMC, 3 months Meeting carrying capacity working/steering group(s) MRALGSD, MoLWEE, costs studies for for project delivery MoANRLF, MoTIM, Unguja ZCT, technical (exurban) and consultants Stone Town and (contractors) update the 2014 Secure and allocate funds MoFP, MoICTS, ZMC, 2 months Minimal Pemba study MRALGSD, MoLWEE, With ever growing MoANRLF, MoTIM, arrivals, there is ZCT an urgent need to address Review 2014 Pemba Working/steering 6 months $30,000 environmental, study and produce terms group social, and of reference for updating cultural carrying work and producing the capacity issues Stone Town and Unguja and reconsider exurban studies planning implementation Commission studies MoFP, ZCT, 6 months $20,000 based on the through tendering consultants results. The 2014 process Pemba study will need updating, Undertake studies and Contractors, 12–18 $400,000 and the nature of validate working/steering months Stone Town and group, contracting its UNESCO World institutions 53 Heritage Disseminate results and MoFP, MoICTS, ZMC, 3 months Meeting conservation feed into review of MRALGSD, MoLWEE, costs status and high Tourism Master Plan MoANRLF, MoTIM, population discussed in 4.3 below ZCT density, distinct from rural Unguja, implies the need for separate treatment in individual studies. 54 (vi) Table 11. Safety and Security Strategy 6.1 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Reintroduce Planning meeting/forum ZCT, police force, 6 months $60,000 Security Task for key stakeholders; CoIS, ZMC, regional Force as a PPP establishment of steering and district group/management government officials, committee; production of ZATI, ZATO, ZATOGA, action plan MoFP Identification and MRALSGSD, ZMC 3 months Meeting mandating of individual costs with responsibility in each district (Security Council) and the ZMC Appropriate legislation ZCT, police force, 6 months $60,000 enacted to reinstate CoIS, ZMC, regional Security Task Force and district government officials, ZATI, ZATO, ZATOGA, MRALSGSD, MoFP, consultants Identification and MoFP 3 months Meeting allocation of funding, with costs clarity and transparency over the collection and use of private sector contributions Recruitment and training ZCT, police force, 12 months $60,000 of patrol officers CoIS, ZMC, regional and district government officials, ZATI, ZATO, ZATOGA, MRALSGSD, MoFP Establishment of pilots in ZCT, police force, 12 months $150,000 Paje, Jambiani, and CoIS, ZMC, regional Kiwengwa and district government officials, ZATI, ZATO, ZATOGA, MRALSGSD, MoFP Evaluation of pilots and ZCT, police force, 3 months $50,000 scaling up with CoIS, ZMC, regional amendments according and district to lessons learned government officials, ZATI, ZATO, ZATOGA, MRALSGSD, MoFP Steering MoFP Quarterly Meeting group/management costs committee meetings 55 (vii) Table 12. Marketing, Branding and Promotion Strategy 7.1 Action Responsible Timescale Cost Develop the Planning meeting/forum ZCT, ZATI, ZATO, 3 months $130,000 Zanzibar for key stakeholders; ZATOGA, MoFP, Experience establishment of steering Tourism APEX body brand group/management committee; production of action plan Develop TOR for Delivery unit and 1 months Meeting International branding APEX body costs and marketing agency Launch tender Delivery unit and 6 months $60,000 APEX body Branding strategy Delivery unit and 12 months $1,300,000 delivery, marketing APEX body strategy and market positioning 56 Annex 1: Bibliography Abrahamsson, E., and L. Jacobsson. Undated. “Eco-tourism on Zanzibar.� B.Sc. thesis, Halmstad University, Sweden. Bakari, A. 2015. “The Role of Tourism Activities on Poverty Alleviation in Unguja Zanzibar: A Case Study of Nungwi and Kizimkazi Villages.� Master’s diss., Open University of Tanzania. Bretlaender, D., and P. Toth. 2014. Kwanini Carrying Capacity Assessment. 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