C OUNTRY P RIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC


CREATING MARKETS
IN SRI LANKA
Private Sector-Led Inclusive Growth from
Islands of Excellence



Executive Summary


July 2022
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Cover Photo: Rakitha Wickramaratne/Shutterstock.com
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND
MATRIX OF ACTIONS


   Sri Lanka is a country of paradoxes. With the lowest poverty rates, best social
   indicators, and highest per capita income in South Asia, Sri Lanka’s economic
   performance since independence had generally been hailed as a success before the
   current debt crisis. However, past performance occurred amidst many distortions
   and an economy less open than its peers, largely reflecting the strong involvement
   of the state in the economy. Even if this interventionist model of economic policy
   and the presence of many state-owned enterprises (SOEs) served the country well
   through the years of conflict and their aftermath, it is no longer sustainable. Indeed,
   after the rapid growth of the peace dividend in the years post-2009, the economy has
   faltered and progress on social indicators has stagnated. Many of market distortions
   remain and have been exacerbated by COVID-19. Understanding how, despite these
   handicaps, Sri Lanka achieved positive economic and social outcomes in the past
   provides the building blocks of a realistic, forward-looking growth strategy—one of
   the objectives of this Country Private Sector Diagnostic (CPSD). The research for this
   report was conducted prior to the current crisis, but the recommendations remain
   relevant to implement public policies that will support private sector led inclusive and
   sustainable growth.




   ES.1	 STATUS OF THE ECONOMY
   In 2019, Sri Lanka became one of two upper-middle-income countries in South Asia,
   before falling back to lower-middle-income status in 2020. While in the immediate
   postwar period (2009–2013) gross domestic product (GDP) growth averaged a healthy
   6.5 percent, it slowed from 2014–2018 to 4.3 percent and reached an 18-year low
   of 2.3 percent in 2019. This was before the COVID-19 outbreak, which has further
   weakened immediate growth prospects substantially and exacerbates an already
   challenging environment of low growth and pressures on fiscal and external accounts.
   The World Bank projects that the economy will contract by 3.6 percent in 2020 and
   the recovery in 2021 will be tepid at 3.3 percent. Fiscal sustainability is a concern
   with public debt reaching approximately 100 percent of GDP in 2020, not including
   large SOE debt estimated at 12 percent of GDP. In April 2022, as this report went to
   publication, Sri Lanka has indicated that it would no longer service its foreign debt and
   might negotiate with investors for restructuring the debt. The authorities also indicated
   that they were engaging the IMF.




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SRI LANKA COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC




                             The key drivers of growth in the last decade have been the favorable export
                             performance of the apparel sector and tourism sectors; the boost to consumption,
                             partly on account of remittances; and the government’s infrastructure investments
                             following the end of the war. From 2009–13, about half of the growth performance
                             was the result of higher productivity, possibly reflecting the impact of the
                             reconstruction effort, the industrial upgrading in the apparel and garment sectors, and
                             the performance of the information technology (IT) and light manufacturing sectors,
                             which compete in some of the most competitive destination markets.

                             Notwithstanding the generally good growth performance, the extent of integration
                             into the global economy has declined considerably since the new millennium, and
                             private investment has been structurally much lower than in peer countries. This
                             is symptomatic of the changes in economic policy direction that Sri Lanka has
                             experienced in the past 50 years. The positive growth that Sri Lanka experienced over
                             the past two decades was preceded by a period beginning in 1977 where the state
                             began to gradually disengage from the management of the economy, through trade
                             liberalization and privatization or commercialization of SOEs. However, this push
                             for change stopped rapidly and was even reversed in the late 1980s. A second wave
                             of reforms and the boom of the textile and clothing sectors generated growth in the
                             1990s. Since the 2000s, despite its strategic location on trade routes and proximity
                             to large markets, the country has become significantly less open: trade accounted for
                             only 52.9 percent of GDP in 2017, down from 88.6 percent in 2000, a low number
                             for a midsize economy. The share of private investment in total gross fixed capital
                             formation fell from 89.8 percent in 2000 to 81.8 percent in 2017, reflecting both the
                             impact of the last stages of the civil war and strong public sector and debt financed
                             investments. Moreover, from 2015 to 2017, private investment at 16.5 percent of GDP
                             was significantly below the levels in China and India of 29.5 percent and 20.1 percent
                             of GDP, respectively. This weakening investment performance reflects not only the
                             difficult business environment and the presence of the state, but also—more recently—
                             the lack of macroeconomic stability. It is also correlated with a decline in the World
                             Bank’s Logistic Performance Index from 2.75 in 2012 to 2.6 in 2018, in contrast to the
                             performance in Vietnam where it increased to 3.27 over the same period.

                             The deceleration of growth starting in 2013 reflected lower public investment and a
                             subsequent contraction in construction, as well as a slowdown in manufacturing. It
                             highlights the weakness of the foundations of Sri Lanka’s growth performance and
                             the inability of the state—despite its central presence in the economy—to provide an
                             environment conducive to such growth. This all the more so because the state’s public
                             investments suffer from a considerable efficiency gap, estimated at 30 percent (World
                             Bank 2019g) and have not generated the return on investment needed to finance the
                             corresponding loans. This has been associated with the build-up of unsustainable
                             macroeconomic imbalances and large external financing requirements, resulting from a
                             high fiscal deficit. Considerable increases in external debt, weak revenue mobilization,
                             and large losses suffered by SOEs have constrained fiscal space and created an
                             acute balance of payments crisis. Since April 2020, Sri Lanka has lost access to the
                             international capital markets, and in April 2022, authorities announced a suspension
                             of repayment of certain Fx-denominated loans.1




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                                                EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND MATRIX OF ACTIONS




Growth has failed to deliver the qualitative results expected by Sri Lanka’s population:
•	 The employment intensity of growth has declined, and there is a lack of high-quality
   jobs, especially outside Colombo. While the official unemployment rate is low, the
   share of informal employment in low-quality jobs is large. At the same time, many
   skilled workers choose not to work in the private sector, as they prefer prestigious
   civil service or SOE positions, the latter employing around 250,000 people.
   Moreover, high-quality job opportunities for workers have not always materialized,
   leading to outward migration.
•	 Structural transformation has been slow. The export product mix of Sri Lanka
   has not changed much and remains much less complex than in aspirational peers
   like Costa Rica, Malaysia, and Thailand. Some transformation in production
   and employment has happened: the share of agriculture in GDP declined from
   14.3 percent (2002) to 7.7 percent (2018), and agriculture’s share of employment
   declined from 38 to 26 percent, while employment in services increased from 38 to
   46 percent over the same period. Agriculture employment remains, however, higher
   than in some aspirational peers (Costa Rica, Malaysia). In fact, a large part of the
   economy—including the apparel and agriculture sectors—continues to operate in
   the low-skills labor-intensive space at wages comparable to those in lower income
   countries like Bangladesh.
•	 There is significant spatial disparity in economic and social development, with
   several regions of the country significantly lagging the relatively prosperous region
   around Colombo. Regions affected by the civil war (in the Northern Province,
   Mullaitivu, Mannar, and, to a lesser extent, Kilinochchi), Batticaloa in the Eastern
   Province, and Monaragala in the Uva Province remain far behind in levels of poverty,
   infrastructure, and economic development.

Finally, the economy is facing the economic fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic2 , which
has adversely affected several sectors, including tourism, and further constrains the
already tight fiscal space. Moreover, rapid aging poses an additional constraint on the
country’s future growth performance.



ES.2	 KEY CONSTRAINTS ON THE ECONOMY
Attempts to resume growth and accelerate structural transformation in the Sri Lankan
economy face a number of obstacles, some of which have been present for a long time.


The Cost of Doing Business for Outsiders
The policy environment is often unpredictable and nontransparent, and policy
decisions lack consistency; both contribute to a complex investment climate. Policies
are subject to frequent shifts (reversals in trade and tax policies, in particular for
sectors that benefit from protection owing to political connections). Periods of inward-
and outward-oriented policies have alternated. Policy decisions also lack consistency:
for instance, in 2012, “hub” regulation laws were passed with the goal of becoming
a logistics hub, while maintaining a 40 percent equity cap for foreign investors and
high levels of protection. Examples of lack of coordination were found in several
policy areas reviewed in this report: education policy, innovation policy, transport and
logistics, and tourism.




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SRI LANKA COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC




                             A highly restrictive trade regime with average customs duties on imports of 22.3
                             percent because of para-tariffs creates a bias against exports and diversification by
                             directing private investments into protected sectors served by Sri Lanka–based firms.
                             Import protection has been driven partly by the desire to protect national production,
                             and partly by fiscal exigency: taxes on international trade accounted for a high average
                             of 18 percent of tax revenue during 2014–19, much higher than in other upper-middle-
                             income countries, where the average is about 1–3 percent. Access to foreign-sourced
                             inputs also becomes more costly because of high taxation and controls at the border.

                             The investment climate is poor for most firms. The poor quality of the regulatory
                             environment constrains investment decisions. However, some foreign investors and
                             larger companies can access far better terms, notably under Board of Investment (BOI)
                             sanctioned regimes and BOI zones. The success of some of the exporters attests that
                             investment climate conditions can be improved when needed.


                             Gaps in Supply of Essential Inputs
                             Constrained fiscal space and inefficient management of some large-scale projects have
                             limited the ability of the government to address key infrastructure gaps, especially in
                             transport and energy. There is a particularly urgent need to upgrade airport and port
                             infrastructure (expansion of the Port of Colombo terminals) and improve internal
                             road connectivity. At the same time, while the country enjoys almost 100 percent
                             electrification, the cost of electricity is high, and generation is at capacity. Procuring
                             additional generation capacity through an improved public-private partnership (PPP)
                             framework, and a better economic incentive structure implying a gradual shift to cost-
                             reflective tariffs, combined with rebalancing the generation mix toward renewables
                             would be needed to support a faster growth trajectory.

                             With the government owning about 40 percent of the banking system, large budget
                             deficits are to a significant extent funded by state-owned banks. Furthermore, the
                             state provides guarantees to state banks to facilitate lending to SOEs and occasionally
                             allows for outright dismissal of loan obligations. As a result, the private sector, in
                             particular small and medium enterprises (SMEs), is deprived of resources that are
                             needed to support innovation and productivity-enhancing investments. Furthermore,
                             the preferential access to finance for SOEs distorts competition with the private sector
                             and in turn affects the quality and cost of services in these sectors.

                             Most land is publicly owned (80 percent). Land use is highly fragmented and can be
                             subject to regulations, such as the restriction of the use of agricultural land in some
                             regions to certain crops (rice for instance) and restrictions on foreign use of land.
                             Also, ownership of vast tracks of land by some public entities leads to underutilization
                             and misallocation.




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                                                 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND MATRIX OF ACTIONS




      HOW DID SRI LANKA GROW DESPITE CONSTRAINTS
ES.3	 
      IN THE PAST?
Many of the above constraints have been prevalent in the past, including periods when
Sri Lanka enjoyed rapid economic growth and poverty reduction. Understanding how
this came about provides guidance in charting a growth strategy in the future. Some of
the constraints have endured for a long time because they are politically sensitive and
may be challenging to relax in the near term. A growth strategy must take this into
account and identify reforms that are both economically salient and politically feasible.

In reviewing Sri Lanka’s past economic performance in the wake of several obstacles,
three lessons emerge:

a. 	 Making use of the global marketplace. In some sectors (textile and clothing,
     tourism, IT, high-end manufacturing) companies have been expanding their
     footprint to the global marketplace where the distortions prevalent in the domestic
     market are not present and demand is unlimited. In this process, companies have
     been able to become competitive and upgrade production to more sophisticated
     products and markets.

	   Recent successes in mainly export-focused niche sectors, such as IT-enabled
    services and light value-added manufacturing show that Sri Lankan firms can be
    internationally competitive, including in the most competitive destination markets
    (for selected sectors). Sri Lanka’s private sector is changing, including recent
    growth of sophisticated IT-services exports (business process management [BPM]
    in legal, accounting, and financial services; knowledge process outsourcing [KPO]
    services in data analysis and software operations) and new investment and exports
    in precision and high-quality manufacturing and agro-food processing (advanced
    technical apparel and textile-based products and customized rubber-derived
    products for instance).

	   To fully harness Sri Lanka’s comparative advantage and integrate it further into
    global value chains, the country needs to build on the innovative drive in the large
    existing manufacturing sectors, such as apparel, and entrepreneurial dynamism
    in niche sectors, such as information and communications technology (ICT) and
    high-tech products. These sectors, if scaled up, hold the potential to drive Sri
    Lanka’s full transformation to an upper-middle-income country. Improved access
    to external markets is essential in this respect: the size of the country’s domestic
    market is too small to allow production of higher technology products at the
    scale necessary to fully support their growth potential. In this context, it will be
    essential to step up efforts at greater integration in global value chains: concluding
    bilateral free-trade agreements could be the key to accessing large markets and
    becoming a more attractive destination for new investments.




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SRI LANKA COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC




                             b. 	 Finding a way to work around the distortions. One important characteristic
                                  of the Sri Lankan economy is the coexistence of structures typical of advanced
                                  economies with those of lower-income economies. There are large conglomerates
                                  that are generally efficient and operate at the global production frontier, while
                                  most of the private sector is small with low productivity firms in the informal
                                  sector—many of them in the agriculture and service sectors. Conglomerates—a
                                  few large enterprises—are active in sectors as diverse as transport, apparel,
                                  retail, light manufacturing, and tourism. Many are long-established companies
                                  that have significant market shares, and sometimes protected positions in some
                                  of their sectors of activity, and as a result, have been less affected by complex
                                  regulations. In addition, many globally competitive firms, including foreign-owned
                                  corporations, operate in export processing zones, which has allowed them to
                                  circumvent restrictive labor regulations and access more efficient trade regimes.

                             	   Leaving aside these large firms, Sri Lanka’s private sector is dominated by the
                                 informal sector (in terms of number of firms), albeit to a lesser extent than in
                                 some South Asian peers. While there are numerous SMEs, they are not dynamic
                                 enough to drive structural transformation toward a more typical upper-middle-
                                 income country.

                             c. 	 Addressing interdependent distortions. Some of the distortions in the system are
                                  the result of a complex equilibrium and fundamental redistribution effects and
                                  cannot be easily removed without simultaneously addressing other constraints.
                                  Important sensitive policy areas such as land, infrastructure, and education reflect
                                  redistributive or compensating policies that will be difficult to disentangle.

                             	   For instance, even though Sri Lanka has a good education system with among
                                 the best indicators in South Asia and boasts pockets of highly qualified labor,
                                 skills gaps are noted by employers as one of the important constraints to their
                                 development. Notably, lack of graduates from public education in science,
                                 technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) fields and technical and
                                 vocational skills that can more easily be used in the private sector are among
                                 the most significant shortcomings noted by employers. While there are private
                                 providers of education, to the extent authorized, the regulatory environment fails
                                 to properly monitor their quality.

                             	   Meanwhile, students graduating from public universities in Sri Lanka cannot
                                 find good jobs in part because they are taught skills that are less relevant for the
                                 modern-day private sector, and in part because they prefer prestigious government
                                 jobs over private sector jobs. Absent any civil service reform, there will be little
                                 uptake for improved education. Furthermore, proposals to introduce private
                                 universities have been met with strong resistance from education professionals.




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                                                EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND MATRIX OF ACTIONS




ES.4	 THE WAY FORWARD
With this backdrop of an economy that needs to accelerate economic growth but is
faced with numerous constraints. This CPSD proposes the following steps to promote
a more dynamic private sector in the country (table ES.1).

With a limited domestic market, Sri Lanka cannot compete at scale in most industries.
It must differentiate itself by further diversifying into higher value-added industries
and harnessing opportunities for regional integration. Recent successes in knowledge
and quality-intensive sectors (spanning sectors from value-added agricultural products,
to specialized manufacturing and IT-enabled services) could be scaled up with
appropriate upstream policies. The second pillar of private sector-led growth should be
on scaling up tourism, as soon as recovery from the COVID-19 crisis will permit, and
then investing in more sophisticated and varied tourism offerings.

A focus on green and sustainable development will leverage Sri Lanka’s natural
assets and a well-preserved environment while contributing to the fight against
climate change. The environmentally sustainable use of natural assets is central to the
tourism industry, but also to several key natural-resources connected sectors such as
agriculture and marine-based production mentioned below. Mitigation of the impact of
climate change will also be integral to future private sector growth through an increase
in renewable energy use (a key objective for the energy, urban, and transport sectors)
and better management of coastal areas.

Through SOE reforms, the government can mitigate the mounting fiscal risks
and costs negatively affecting macrofiscal stability, a key determinant for foreign
investments. It can further use its state-owned business enterprises as catalysts for
private investments and partnerships instead of displacing them. This would require
the government to modernize and consolidate the legal and regulatory framework
governing SOEs, reduce the competitive neutrality concerns affecting the level
playing field, and strengthen the corporate governance and performance of its key
SOEs through specific measures recommended by the World Bank integrated SOE
diagnostic, which complements this report (World Bank 2020c).


Strengthen Innovation Ecosystem to Enable Dynamic Industries
There are innovative industries in Sri Lanka, but overall, the country scores relatively
low on innovation metrics, and the public sector underinvests in innovation. In 2018,
Sri Lanka adopted its Innovation and Entrepreneurship Strategy 2018–2022 with the
involvement of significant private sector players. The National Innovation Agency was
created to implement it. To more fully realize the potential of producing value-added
goods and services, public policies supporting innovation must be less fragmented
and more oriented toward commercial efforts. This supposes stronger links between
public policies and the private sector, with a more diverse array of incentivizing plans
and publicly funded facilities to provide space for innovation, as well as better links
between university research and commercial use.




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SRI LANKA COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC




                             Support “Islands of Excellence” in IT, Specialized Manufacturing, and
                             Agribusiness
                             Sri Lanka has several islands of excellence in sectors that have the potential to grow
                             and further contribute to exports. There is manifest and latent comparative advantage
                             in several sectors, such as ICT (as demonstrated by artificial-intelligence-based KPO
                             services), resource-based industries (coconut and rubber derived industrial applications
                             and products), and light specialized manufacturing (with high value-added content such
                             as high-end textiles or electronic sensors) that have driven growth in recent times and
                             have the potential to drive it in the future. These sectors do not systematically compete on
                             price, even though the cost of the work force remains attractive compared to competitors,
                             but rather on providing tailored value addition to their customers: they have in common
                             the ability to adopt innovative production techniques and customize production to clients’
                             needs. Another common characteristic is their ability to maintain high quality standards
                             that are demanded by the most sophisticated markets and customers.

                             Beyond strengthening government support to education, innovation, and standards
                             that will help accelerate the growth of high-value manufacturing and services, offering
                             a better business environment and land for new investments is critical. In the short-
                             term, an expansion of BOI processing zones is needed. However, in the long term,
                             instruments and practices that have proven successful in the context of the BOI (such
                             as customs and trade facilitation measures) should be rolled out to the rest of the
                             economy and remaining restrictions on foreign investment and ownership considered
                             for elimination.


                             Exploit Tourism Potential to Create Jobs in Lagging Regions and
                             Balance External Accounts
                             Tourism remains one of the most important sectors in the Sri Lankan economy as
                             the second-largest export earner, a significant employer (169,000 direct and 219,000
                             indirect jobs), and a key source to finance the balance of payments. The number of
                             annual tourist arrivals has grown more than 500 percent over the last decade—from
                             about 450,000 in 2009 to around 2.3 million in 2018, equivalent to roughly a 23
                             percent annual growth rate over this time period. The direct contribution from the
                             industry, estimated at US$4.4 billion (2016), accounts for about 5 percent of the
                             country’s GDP. Furthermore, tourism-specific investments accounted for close to 10
                             percent of total foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2018. Tourism is also important
                             because of its inclusivity, being the sector that is most geographically diverse,
                             having the largest share of SMEs and registering a significant growth in the female
                             employment share since 2018. However, women’s employment in the tourism sector
                             remains well below the industry average, accounting for less than 10 percent of the
                             industry, compared to the global average of 65 percent.

                             To ensure growth in the tourism sector in the medium term, there is a need to improve
                             logistics and connectivity and address shortages of skilled and service-oriented
                             workforce, which would be important to provide high-value tourism services. The
                             capacity of tourism and hospitality training institutes in regions outside Colombo
                             needs to increase to address future demand. There is also the need to build strategic
                             capacity for policy formulation within government agencies dealing with tourism and
                             enhance interagency coordination. Post-COVID-19, it will take longer than expected
                             to regain the confidence of tourists to return; now is the moment to review how this
                             could be facilitated.


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                                                                          EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND MATRIX OF ACTIONS




TABLE ES.1 MATRIX OF INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES AND GOVERNMENT MEASURES TO CREATE MARKETS

                        SHORT-TERM MARKET CREATING
                        OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT                 MEDIUM-TERM MARKET CREATING
 PRIORITY               AND GOVERNMENT MEASURES (12-24               OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT AND
 SECTORS                MONTHS)                                      GOVERNMENT MEASURES (3-5 YEARS)

 Enabling sectors and objectives

 Finance                Opportunities for private investment         Opportunities for private investment
 Deepen the supply      •	 Post-angel-stage VC funding.              •	 Consolidation in the NBFI sector.
 of the sector, while   •	 Increased credit to MSMEs.
 targeting dynamic                                                   Measures
 sectors (working       Measures                                     •	 Establish comprehensive financial
 around distortions).   •	 Increase capital requirements for            consumer protection framework.
                           the sector, which could facilitate        •	 Rationalize the agencies overseeing
                           consolidation and/or exit of nonviable       different subsectors of the financial
                           institutions and harmonize capital           system into two supervisory agencies:
                           requirements between banks and               the CBSL and a newly created FMA.
                           NBFIs.                                       FMA could oversee financial consumer
                        •	 Review asset quality of NBFIs (after         protection across all financial services.
                           pandemic).                                •	 Enact amendments to the Banking
                        •	 Eliminate lending interest rate caps.        Action to: (a) enhance bank resolution
                                                                        framework for banks and NBFI; and
                        •	 Create a risk-sharing facility for MSME      (b) subject state-owned banks to the
                           credit.                                      banking law.
                        •	 Facilitate creation of venture capital    •	 Enact modern secured transactions law
                           fund for post-angel-stage investment in      and create modern uniform online registry
                           promising start-ups.                         of security interests for movable assets
                                                                        (tangible and intangible).
                                                                     •	 Develop new legal framework,
                                                                        including for emerging areas such as
                                                                        digital finance and fintech.

 Power                  Opportunities for private investment         Opportunities for private investment
 Boost renewables       •	 None in the short term.                   •	 Renewable energy PPPs.
 while preparing
 for the future         Measures                                     Measures
 (compensating for      •	 Launch a multi-project competitive        •	 Prepare a short- and medium-term
 distortions).             tender for renewable energy                  implementation and financing plan
                           procurement, including large (utility-       based on the Long-Term Generation
                           scale) projects.                             Expansion Plan 2018–2037 with prioritized
                        •	 Assess feasibility, and identify             investments.
                           appropriate business models and           •	 Progressively move to cost reflective
                           financing structures for the proposed        tariffs to improve the financial standing of
                           Sri Lanka-India transmission line.           CEB; consider as transition a transparent
                                                                        direct subsidy to CEB.
                                                                     •	 Develop India-SL transmission line.




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SRI LANKA COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC




                             SHORT-TERM MARKET CREATING
                             OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT                     MEDIUM-TERM MARKET CREATING
     PRIORITY                AND GOVERNMENT MEASURES (12-24                   OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT AND
     SECTORS                 MONTHS)                                          GOVERNMENT MEASURES (3-5 YEARS)

     Education and           Opportunities for private investment             Opportunities for private investment
     skills                  •	 TVET PPPs.                                    •	 Internationalization of universities:
     Boost TVET offerings                                                        attracting international students; foreign
     and industry-           Measures                                            investments in universities (with the BOI);
     university links        •	 Reinforce university–private sector              links with foreign universities for research.
     (compensating for          coordination to match skills to               •	 Private sector investment in universities
     and working around         demand and promote innovation                    focused on the provinces.
     distortions).              (improve fiscal incentives; review IPR
                                policies; fund innovation spaces).a           Measures
                             •	 Develop Sector Skills Councils in             •	 Improve university faculty in priority fields
                                priority sectors (TVET) with a view              such as STEM: promote PhD scholarships;
                                to aligning the supply of skilled labor          fill vacancies; hire foreign nationals.
                                with demand. Offer firms incentives to        •	 Establish an independent quality
                                build in-house training capabilities.            assurance council. Review quality of EDPs;
                             •	 Improve governance of the TVET                   reform National Vocational Qualifications
                                sector and coordination among the                (course accreditation; quality assurance).
                                ministries responsible for training           •	 Differentiate missions between teaching,
                                institutions to improve efficiency and           research and innovation, and community
                                enhance the quality of training programs.        services and regional development.
                                                                              •	 Restructure the Skills Development Fund
                                                                                 to allocate resources competitively.

     Transport and           Opportunities for private investment             Opportunities for private investment
     logistics               •	 Development of the East and West              •	 Value-added storage facilities (cold
     Develop future             Container Terminals using a landlord             storage, third-party logistics, and MCC/
     transport and              port model and evaluate strategic                LCL services).
     value-added logistics      private sector participation.                 •	 Value-added services (bunkering, marine,
     services (better                                                            and so forth) related to Hambantota port
     use of the global       Measures
                                                                                 activities.
     marketplace)            •	 Improve institutional strength and capacity
                                development to bolster SLPA as a regulator.   Measures
                             •	 Develop a master plan to improve city-port    •	 Finish highway expansion projects.
                                and port-hinterland connectivity (including   •	 Expand Jaffna International Airport
                                feasibility studies and financing options).      runway.
                             •	 Perform needs assessment for new              •	 Automate port-gate clearances and
                                gateway supply chain advanced logistic           transfers between extended port
                                infrastructure.                                  gates, inland ports, and other customs
                             •	 Complete the extension of the BIA                authorized economic zones, industrial
                                terminal.b                                       parks, and container freight stations.
                             •	 Roll-out the Sri Lanka customs
                                National Single Window with the
                                appointment of a high-level steering
                                committee.

     IT infrastructure                                                        Measures.
     Prepare for a                                                            •	 Review regulations to allow local loop
     more open market                                                            unbundling and address last-mile
     (compensating for                                                           connection competition issues.
     distortions).




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                                                                              EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND MATRIX OF ACTIONS




                        SHORT-TERM MARKET CREATING
                        OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT                     MEDIUM-TERM MARKET CREATING
PRIORITY                AND GOVERNMENT MEASURES (12-24                   OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT AND
SECTORS                 MONTHS)                                          GOVERNMENT MEASURES (3-5 YEARS)

Traded sectors

Tourism                 Measures                                         Opportunities for private investment
Plan for volume         •	 Strengthen intra-island and international     •	 Underdeveloped sites (east and South
growth and develop         air connectivity.c                               coast, nature reserves), MICE, wellness
new upscale             •	 Reinforce capacity of tourism                    tourism.
offerings (better          ministry to manage future growth
use the global                                                           Measure:
                           in value-added and environmentally
marketplace).              sustainable tourism (new destinations,        •	 Develop more sustainable tourist
                           branding, MICE, wellness tourism).               destinations with public investment
                                                                            in connectivity, marketing, and
                        •	 Establish a single regulatory agency
                                                                            destination development.
                           to manage national parks and identify
                           future development sites; review the          •	 Train the 50,000–60,000 new
                           Flora and Fauna Protection Act to assess         hospitality staff needed, including
                           the potential for protected areas to be          measures to attract and retain women
                           opened to tourism in an environmentally          to the hospitality sector.
                           sustainable way.

IT-enabled services     Opportunities for private investment             Opportunities for private investment
Facilitate the          •	 Post-angel-stage VC funding (see above).      •	 Continued expansion of the BPM sector.
supply of labor, key
skills, and inputs      Measures                                         Measures
to a growth sector      Prioritize IT skills at the university level     •	 Improve the regulatory environment to
(better use of the      •	 Improve labor laws and facilitate                address issues regarding data localization
global marketplace).       granting visas for qualified expatriates         and management and digital transactions
                           (for example, French Tech Visa).                 (signatures, payments).

                        •	 Develop a comprehensive strategy
                           to prop up the start-up ecosystem:
                           improve access to business facilities,
                           advice, and finance and regulatory
                           reform to address taxation, capital
                           repatriation, and bankruptcy.

Manufacturing           Opportunities for private investment
Expand space and        •	 Value-added manufacturing relying on
facilitation measures      skilled manual labor and quality assurance.
for high-growth
firms (better           Measure
use of the global       •	 Create new BOI zones outside
marketplace and            Colombo to accommodate demand
working around             from prospective investors. Consider
distortions).              specific needs of industries (logistics,
                           industry clusters) and the economic
                           viability of multiple zones.




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SRI LANKA COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC




                                      SHORT-TERM MARKET CREATING
                                      OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT                                     MEDIUM-TERM MARKET CREATING
     PRIORITY                         AND GOVERNMENT MEASURES (12-24                                   OPPORTUNITIES FOR INVESTMENT AND
     SECTORS                          MONTHS)                                                          GOVERNMENT MEASURES (3-5 YEARS)

     Innovation policy                Measure                                                          Measure
      Increase emphasis               •	 Incentivize private investment in R&D (tax                    •	 Develop channels for greater access of
     on innovation                       incentives, credit guarantees, and lending                       innovative firms to international markets
     policies in                         facilities) targeting innovative sectors.                        and international sources of knowledge
     connection with                  •	 Redirect public support to private                               by enhancing market knowledge and
     export sectors                      innovation adoption: business                                    facilitating regional integration with key
     (better use the                     advisory services (for example,                                  trading partner countries.
     global marketplace)                 Colombia) and technology extension
                                         services (for example, India), as
                                         well as innovation vouchers and
                                         collaborative grants.
                                      •	 Reduce fragmentation of government
                                         R&D programs and duplication of
                                         agencies.

     Access to land                   •	 Adopt the policy of parcel-based land                         •	 Establish a new policy on state land
                                         registry and cadastral map for all land                          and building asset management
     Better use fallow
                                         ownership and land use rights in Sri Lanka.                      incentivizing public asset
     public lands while
                                      •	 Revise the registering property                                  monetization and revising permitting,
     improving land
                                         processes to 3 steps (from the                                   leasing, and granting concessions on
     information systems
                                         current 9).                                                      state lands.
     (compensating for
     distortions)                     •	 Carry out or review an inventory
                                         of State Land Assets with a view to
                                         putting them to commercial use .

     Taxation and trade                                                                                •	 Gradual reduction of para-tariffs as
                                                                                                          fiscal situation improves. Target para-
                                                                                                          tariffs based on analytical work and
                                                                                                          consideration of priority sectors for the
                                                                                                          government growth strategy.


Note: Priority measures are in boldface. BIA = Bandaranaike International Airport; BOI = Board of Investment; BPM = business process management; CBSL = Central
Bank of Sri Lanka; CEB = Ceylon Electricity Board; EDP external degree programs; fintech = financial technology; FMA = Financial Markets Authority; IPR = international
property rights; IT = information technology; LCL = less container load; MCC = multi-country consolidation; MICE = meetings, incentives, conference/conventions and
exhibitions/events; MSMEs = micro, small, and medium enterprises; NBFI = nonbank financial institution; NCRE = nonconventional renewable energy; PPP = public-
private partnership; R&D = research and development; SL = Sri Lanka; SLPA = Sri Lanka Ports Authority; STEM = science, technology, engineering, and mathematics;
TVET = technical and vocational education and training ; VC = venture capital.

a. Also relevant to innovation policies below.
b. Also of relevance for the tourism sector.
c. See also transport above.




       NOTES
       1	   Sri Lanka's credit rating was downgraded by S&P (to 'Selective Default') ’Fitch (to 'C') and Moody's (to ‘Cd') after authorities announced
            suspension of interest and principle repayments in foreign currency.
       2	   The successive national lockdowns affected not only tourism but also domestic consumption.



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SRI LANKA COUNTRY PRIVATE SECTOR DIAGNOSTIC




      IFC
      2121 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
      Washington, D.C. 20433 U.S.A.


      CONTACTS
      Jean-Christophe Maur
      jmaur@worldbank.org
      Volker Treichel
      vtreichel@ifc.org


      ifc.org




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