The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Tajikistan | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing (IPF) | FY 2021 | Seq No: 8 | Archived on 16-Dec-2024 | ISR02434 Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Agriculture 1. OBJECTIVE 1.1 Development Objective Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval package on 18-Jun-2021) The development objective of the proposed project is to strengthen the foundations for a more resilient agricultural sector in Tajikistan. Has the Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No 2. COMPONENTS Name Strengthening seed, seedling and planting material systems:(Cost 53,400,000.00) Support investments in Agri-Logistical Centers (ALCs) for horticulture value chains:(Cost 25,000,000.00) Strengthen public capacity for crises prevention and management:(Cost 25,600,000.00) Project management and coordination:(Cost 4,000,000.00) 3. OVERALL RATINGS Name Previous Current Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Dec 16, 2024 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) 4. KEY ISSUES & STATUS 4.1 Implementation Status and Key Decisions This is a Med-Term Review (MTR) mission of the Project. The Project is making good progress on various fronts including the number of farmers reached and supported. As of October 31, 2024, the Project supported 12,890 smallholder farmers with high quality inputs. with is having a positive impact on food security and farmers' income. The Project has also progressed in terms of starting the tendering process for the construction of the Agro Logistics Centers (ALCs) with the first lot already advertised. There are number of activities the are facing various challenges in terms of approval process. The World Bank team is following up closely with the Government of Tajikistan. 5. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL Rating at Approval Last Approved Rating Risk Category Approval Package - ISR Seq. 07 - 18 Jun Proposed Rating 18 Jun 2021 2024 Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Substantial Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Dec 16, 2024 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) 6. RESULTS 6.1 PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes Strengthen the foundations for resilient agricultural sector Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 0.00 Mar/2022 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 75.00 Jun/2027 Comments on Share of the produced certified seeds, seedlings and planting materials that are sold Certified seeds, seedlings and achieving targets commercially. planting materials sold commercially (Percentage) The seeds farms that have been supported by the Project with the elite seeds and fertilizers, are starting to sell quality seeds to regular farmers. it is expected to start reporting on this indicator during the next mission. Support investments in agri-logistics Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 0.00 Jun/2021 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 30.00 Jun/2027 Clients benefiting from ALC Comments on Construction of the first Phase of the ALCs should start around May 2025, services to farmers services (Percentage) achieving targets will accordingly began around October 2026. Female clients benefiting 0.00 Jun/2021 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 35.00 Jun/2027 from ALC services for at least Comments on Construction of the first Phase of the ALCs should start around May 2025, services to farmers one year (Percentage) achieving targets will accordingly began around October 2026. This will include women farmers. Strengthen public capacity for crisis management Indicator Name Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year No Jun/2021 No 15-Dec-2023 No 30-Nov-2024 Yes Jun/2027 Comments on Crisis management comprises early warning, preparedness and response. Database includes, achieving targets at minimum, information on planted areas by crop and district, agricultural production Database for timely and forecast, farm land use, and major soil types in each agro-ecological zone that would need to effective information for crisis meet characteristics of accuracy, completeness , consistency, timeliness, and/ or validity. management available (Yes/No) This activity is related to the establishment of the first phase of the Information System under MoA, which will support in providing details on area cultivated and projected yields, which will be helpful to the food security situation in the country. Prevalence of moderate or 30.00 Oct/2022 30.00 15-Dec-2023 30.00 30-Nov-2024 20.00 Jun/2027 severe food insecurity in the Comments on This indicator builds on the findings of the proposed IPC approach in assessing food security population, based on the achieving targets situation in the country. This activity is pending final feedback back from GoT. Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). (Percentage) 6.2 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Strengthening seed, seedling and planting material systems Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Production of improved 0.00 Jun/2021 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 60.00 Jun/2027 seeds, seedlings and planting Comments on Proposed climate indicator. Farming is significantly affected by climate change due to the high materials (Percentage) achieving targets vulnerability of its natural environment and its low adaptive capacity. In addition to rising Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) average temperature and loss of glaciers, Tajikistan suffers from more frequent droughts and strong winds, which have a large impact on crop yields, amongst others. The project will invest in availability of climate-resilient and drought-resilient seeds, seedlings and planting materials. The indicator will be disaggregated for (1) major crops, and (2) early generation/ foundation and commercial seeds, seedlings and planting materials. Improved multiplied seeds, 40.00 Jun/2021 40.00 15-Dec-2023 40.00 30-Nov-2024 65.00 Jun/2027 seedlings and planting Comments on Share of produced multiplied seeds, seedlings and planting materials certified by responsible materials certified for achieving targets entity for commercial sale. commercial sale (Percentage) Number of seed 0.00 Jun/2021 72.00 15-Dec-2023 72.00 30-Nov-2024 50.00 Jun/2027 multiplication farms Comments on Indicator measures how many public and private seed farms and nurseries involved in the supported by the project achieving targets multiplication of seeds, seedlings, and planting materials are supported by the project. (Number) Vulnerable rural households 0.00 Oct/2022 12,868.00 15-Dec-2023 12,809 30-Nov-2024 345,000.00 Jun/2027 who benefitted from Comments on The end target of this indicator is being discussed with the PMU if it is attainable by end of the emergency improved seeds, achieving targets Project. total number of smallholder farmers in Tajikistan is 170,000. fertilizer, and small farm machinery (Number) Support investments in Agri-Logistical Centers (ALCs) for horticulture value chains Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Jan/2022 0 30-Nov-2024 New or better jobs (Number Comments on Construction of the first Phase of the ALCs should start around May 2025, services to farmers of people) CRI achieving targets will accordingly began around October 2026. Commence of operations will result in creating large number of jobs at various levels throughout the value chain. New or better jobs for Jan/2022 0 30-Nov-2024 women (Number of Comments on Construction of the first Phase of the ALCs should start around May 2025, services to farmers people) CRI achieving targets will accordingly began around October 2026. Commence of operations will result in creating Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) large number of jobs at various levels throughout the value chain. Jan/2022 0 30-Nov-2024 New or better jobs for Comments on Construction of the first Phase of the ALCs should start around May 2025, services to farmers youth (Number of achieving targets will accordingly began around October 2026. Commence of operations will result in creating people) CRI large number of jobs at various levels throughout the value chain. 0.00 Jun/2021 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 15-Dec-2023 5.00 Jun/2027 Comments on A fully operational ALC is defined as providing any services such as sorting, cooling, storage, Number of ALCs fully achieving targets packing and logistics facilities. operational (Number) Construction of the first Phase of the ALCs should start around May 2025, services to farmers will accordingly began around October 2026. Commence of operations will result in creating large number of jobs at various levels throughout the value chain. 0.00 Jun/2021 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 15-Dec-2023 70.00 Jun/2027 Clients satisfied with quality Comments on Construction of the first Phase of the ALCs should start around May 2025, services to farmers of services provided by ALCs achieving targets will accordingly began around October 2026. Commence of operations will result in creating (Percentage) large number of jobs at various levels throughout the value chain. Strengthen public capacity for crises prevention and management Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 0.00 Jun/2021 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 70.00 Jun/2027 Clients who report that the Comments on The activity of developing an agriculture MIS haven't yet commence, and accordingly this two-way channel for feedback achieving targets indictor is not yet assessed. However, the ongoing engagement with farmers and beneficiaries and response works show that there is high level of interest in the services the the system will provide to them, in (Percentage) terms of crop forecast, and the early detection of pest and disease, and the relevant control measures. The first phase of the system is expected to be operational by end of 2025. Area surveyed (under 0.00 Jun/2021 9.30 15-Dec-2023 9.30 30-Nov-2024 25.00 Jun/2027 surveillance) for crop Comments on The area surveyed for crop protection and locust control. protection and locust control achieving targets (Percentage) Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) Agricultural forecasting No Jun/2021 No 15-Dec-2023 No 30-Nov-2024 Yes Jun/2027 system is established and Comments on This activity tracks the development of the Agriculture MIS, which will help in tracking crop operational (Yes/No) achieving targets forecast. the first phase is expected to be established and operational by end of 2025. 30.00 Jun/2021 30.00 15-Dec-2023 30.00 30-Nov-2024 180.00 Jun/2027 Capacity for soil testing Comments on Capacity will be measured by the number of soil samples tests to be conducted by soil testing expanded (Number) achieving targets laboratories supported by the project on a daily basis. National agriculture 0.00 Oct/2022 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 3.00 Jun/2027 strategies, policies, and/ or Comments on The PMU is working closely with GoT on revising the law on food fortification to facilitate the programs in which nutrition achieving targets planned activities of the Pre-Mix Revolving Fund. objectives and indicators are mainstreamed (Number) No Oct/2022 No 15-Dec-2023 No 30-Nov-2024 Yes Jun/2027 Premix revolving fund Comments on Hiring of an International organization is under process to carry out the Technical Assistance established (Yes/No) achieving targets and the development of the Fund. Women that have any type of 0.00 Oct/2022 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 352,946.00 Jun/2027 anemia who have received Comments on The procurement of the micronutrient has been completed, preparation for distribution is iron-folic acid supplements as achieving targets ongoing in coordination with the Ministry of Health. per the national guidelines (number) (Number) Children (5-69 months) that 0.00 Oct/2022 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 6,250.00 Jun/2027 have any type of anemia who Comments on The procurement of the micronutrient has been completed, preparation for distribution is have received iron-folic acid achieving targets ongoing in coordination with the Ministry of Health. supplements as per the national guidelines The End target of this indicator will be increased through a proposed Project Restructuring. (Number) Children who are at risk of 0.00 Oct/2022 0.00 15-Dec-2023 0.00 30-Nov-2024 10,000.00 Jun/2027 severe acute malnutrition Comments on The procurement of the micronutrient has been completed, preparation for distribution is (SAM) who have received achieving targets ongoing in coordination with the Ministry of Health. ready-to-use therapeutic food Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) (Number) The End target of this indicator will be increased through a proposed Project Restructuring. Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) 7. DATA ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 7.1 Cumulative Disbursements 7.2 Disbursements (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Historical Disbursed IDA-D8600 Effective 58.00 53.11 0.00 23.35 29.97 43.80% 58.00 IDA-E1450 Effective 50.00 51.27 0.00 20.56 31.00 39.87% 50.00 7.3 Key Dates (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Orig. Closing Rev. Closing IDA-D8600 Effective 18-Jun-2021 21-Jun-2021 18-Nov-2021 30-Jun-2027 30-Jun-2027 Dec 16, 2024 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Resilience of the Agriculture Sector Project (P175952) IDA-E1450 Effective 22-Dec-2022 18-Jan-2023 10-May-2023 30-Jun-2027 30-Jun-2027 8. KEY DATES Key Events Planned Actual Approval 18-Jun-2021 18-Jun-2021 Effectiveness 18-Nov-2021 18-Nov-2021 Mid-Term Review No. 01 11-Nov-2024 21-Oct-2024 Operation Closing/Cancellation 30-Jun-2027 9. RESTRUCTURING HISTORY 10. ASSOCIATED OPERATION(S) There are no associated operations Dec 16, 2024 Page 9 of 9