The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | China | Agriculture and Food Global Practice | Requesting Unit: EACMK (344) | Responsible Unit: SEAAG (9239) IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2024 | Team Leader(s): Sandra Broka, Rajesh Koirala, Wendao Cao Seq No: 1 | Archived on 03-Nov-2024 | ISR02141 | Created by: Wendao Cao on 18-Oct-2024 | Modified by: Xieli Bai on 20- Oct-2024 1. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE 1.1 Development Objective Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval package on 26-Jun-2024) The Program Development Objective is to improve productivity and lower methane emissions in selected livestock sub- sectors and enhance the governance system for greening the livestock sector in the Program Counties of Gansu Province. 2. OVERALL RATINGS Name Current Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial 3. KEY ISSUES & STATUS 3.1 Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Program was approved by the Board on June 27, 2024. The Loan Agreement (LA) between the World Bank and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) was signed on September 25, 2024. Subsequently, the Program Agreement (PA) between the Bank and the Gansu Province was signed on October 14, 2024. The legal opinion is under processing. The Provincial Program Management Office (PPMO) is preparing a Program Implementation Plan (PIP) to meet the effectiveness condition. It is expected that the LA and PA would become effective before December 31, 2024. 4. DATA ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 4.1 Disbursements (by loan) Nov 04, 2024 Page 1 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) Loan/Credit/TF Status Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Historical Disbursed Not IBRD-97010 200.00 200.00 0.00 0.00 200.00 0% 200.00 Effective 4.2 Key Dates (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Orig. Closing Rev. Closing Not IBRD-97010 27-Jun-2024 13-Sep-2024 31-Dec-2030 31-Dec-2030 Effective 4.3 Program Action Plan Action Description E&S: Prepare and implement environmental & safety code of procedures (ESCOP) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status PPMO, CPMO, Environmental and NA relevant local gov Recurrent Continuous Not Yet Due Social Systems authority (i) Cases of good practices and experiences documented; (ii) ESCOP prepared for each LPE; Completion (iii) LPEs equipped with essential animal safety, disease prevention and control facilities, and Measurement manure treatment facilities; (iv) report in Progress Report. Comments Not yet due. E&S: Strengthen the publicity, education, and management training of participating livestock Action Description production entities Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and P/CPMO, relevant NA Recurrent Continuous Not Yet Due Social Systems local govt offices (i) Training programs are implemented in each P county (district) at least twice each year; (ii) Completion The PMOs keep detailed records of these events (date, location, contents, participants, Measurement photologs, etc) and report in the Progress Reports. Comments Not yet due. Nov 04, 2024 Page 2 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) Action Description F: Recruit full-time internal auditors, or outsource the function to an accounting firm. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems NA PPMO Recurrent Continuous Not Yet Due Completion Full-time internal auditors recruited, or the function outsourced to an accounting firm. Measurement Comments Not yet due. F: Report actual procurement performance data to enable Bank to monitor the procurement Action Description performance. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems NA PPMO Recurrent Semi-Annually Not Yet Due Completion Agreed procurement KPIs reported in the semi-annual program progress report. Measurement Comments Not yet due. Action Description T: Develop a manual of LETP for fodder production and livestock sector Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Within 3 months DARA PPMO with Technical NA Other of Program Not Yet Due inputs from Bank effectiveness Completion Finalized manual, acceptable to the Bank, shared with the Program counties. Measurement Comments Not yet due. Action Description T: Establish and implement women-to-women mentorship program Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical NA DARA PPMO Recurrent Continuous Not Yet Due Completion Mentorship program established and women enrolled as mentors and mentees. Measurement Comments Not yet due. Action Description T: Prepare the Technical guidelines for low emission livestock product certification. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Nov 04, 2024 Page 3 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) Technical NA PPMO Due Date 30-Jun-2026 Not Yet Due Completion Technical Standards prepared and approved for use. Measurement Comments Not yet due. Action Description T: Technical guidelines for LETP in livestock sector adopted for use at the provincial level Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical NA PPMO Due Date 31-Dec-2026 Not Yet Due Completion Technical guidelines for (i) sustainable fodder production and (ii) LETPs in the livestock sector Measurement adopted for use at the provincial level. Comments Not yet due. Action Description T: Training materials developed on LETP for fodder production and livestock sector Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical NA PPMO Recurrent Continuous Not Yet Due Completion The material shared with the Bank Measurement Comments Not yet due. E&S: Strengthen engagement and grievance management system for beneficiaries and Action Description workers with focus on ethnic minority people and women and E&S risks management. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status (i) established within 6 months of the Program P/CPMOs, relevant Environmental and effectiveness; (ii) Not Yet NA local govt Other Social Systems reported every six Due authorities moths throughout the Program implementation. (i) Improved engagement and GRM system in place for ongoing feedback and resolving Completion grievances in a timely way; (ii) Stakeholder engagement, E&S risk mgnt process for each Measurement physical activity and grievances received are recorded and reported in the PR. Nov 04, 2024 Page 4 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) Comments Not due yet. E&S: Develop Social Benefit Monitoring system to monitor beneficiary composition and Action Description distribution of benefits Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status (i) and (ii) established within 6 months of the P/CPMO, relevant Program Environmental and NA local govt Other effectiveness; (iii) Social Systems authorities reported every six moths throughout the Program implementation. (i) A baseline database established, disaggregated by ethnicity, language, gender and age; (ii) Completion Monitoring system established for ongoing measurement of benefits across the Program; (iii) Measurement Periodic monitoring carried out and reported in the PR. Comments no comments 5. KEY DATES Key Events Planned Actual Approval 27-Jun-2024 27-Jun-2024 Effectiveness 31-Dec-2024 Mid-Term Review No. 01 23-Oct-2026 Operation Closing/Cancellation 31-Dec-2030 6. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL Rating at Approval Risk Category Approval Package - 27 Jun Proposed Rating 2024 Political and Governance Low Low Nov 04, 2024 Page 5 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Substantial Nov 04, 2024 Page 6 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) 7. RESULTS 7.1 PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Net GHG emissions 0 Dec/2022 - 78,310 Dec/2030 (methane, nitrous oxide and carbon dioxide) per year under the Program (Metric tons/year) Enhanced governance system No Dec/2022 Yes Jun/2030 (technical guidelines, MRV system, incentive system and green product certification) achieved (Yes/No) Increased productivity in TBD Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 TBD Dec/2030 selected livestock sub-sectors defined as increase in volume of production among the TLPEs (Percentage) 7.2 Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Indicator Name Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Nov 04, 2024 Page 7 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Hectares of area under 0 Nov/2022 100,000 Nov/2030 sustainable fodder production in the Program Counties where at least three CSFPTPs are being consistently (i.e., every season or year, as required) applied (Hectare(Ha)) DLI Measurement, Reporting and 0 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 use Dec/2030 Verification (MRV) systems for emission reduction in the livestock value chains (a) developed; and (b) utilized (Text) DLI Number of unique Target 0 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 700 Dec/2030 Livestock Production Entities (“TLPEs”) that have adopted at least four low emission technologies and practices from the Eligible Technology and Practices List (Number) DLI Incentive system for No Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 Yes Dec/2030 promoting low emission technologies in livestock value chains demonstrated, demonstration results evaluated, and a re-aligned Nov 04, 2024 Page 8 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) incentive system elaborated (Text) DLI Reduced intensity of GHG 0 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 TBD Dec/2030 emissions in the TLPEs w/baseline (tons/per unit of output) survey in the (Text) 1st year Share of treated and recycled 80 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 90 Dec/2030 livestock manure that meets effluent standards in the TLPEs (Percentage ) (Percentage) DLI Volume (tons) of treated and 668,000 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 737,526 Dec/2030 recycled livestock manure that meets effluent standards in the TLPEs (Text) TLPEs adopting improved No Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 Yes Dec/2030 animal health practices, specifically: (i) achieving vaccination rate against PPR, FMD and brucellosis of at least 90 percent; (Yes/No) DLI Number of TLPEs that 0 0 0 500 have developed anti- microbial resistance (“AMR”) plans (Number) DLI Increase in the number of 0 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 50 Dec/2030 livestock product certificates Nov 04, 2024 Page 9 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) in the TLPEs in compliance with green, organic or low- emission standards (Number) DLI Increased Percentage of 10 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 20 Dec/2030 Women in leadership position in the TLPEs. (Percentage) Beneficiaries satisfied with 0 Dec/2022 0 18-Oct-2024 0 18-Oct-2024 85 Dec/2030 Program implementation (Percentage) 7.3 Disbursement Linked Indicators (DLI) Actual (Current) PBC Name Baseline Closing Period Value Date 1:Hectares of area under Value sustainable fodder production in the Program Counties where at least three CSFPTPs are being Allocated Amount consistently (i.e., every season or year, as required) applied (Hectare(Ha)) DLI allocation 0.00 Value Nov 04, 2024 Page 10 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) 2:Number of unique Target Livestock Production Entities (“TLPEs”) that have adopted at least four low Allocated Amount emission technologies and practices from the Eligible Technology and Practices List (Number) DLI allocation 0.00 3:Share of treated and Value recycled livestock manure that meets effluent standards in the TLPEs Allocated Amount (Percentage ) (Percentage) DLI allocation 0.00 4:TLPEs adopting improved Value animal health practices, specifically: (i) achieving vaccination rate against PPR, FMD and brucellosis of Allocated Amount at least 90 percent; (Yes/No) DLI allocation 0.00 4.1:Number of TLPEs Value that have developed anti-microbial resistance (“AMR”) Allocated Amount plans (Number) DLI allocation 0.00 Nov 04, 2024 Page 11 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Sustainable Fodder Production and Low Methane Livestock Development Program-for-Results (P181021) 5:Measurement, Reporting Value and Verification (MRV) systems for emission reduction in the livestock Allocated Amount value chains (a) developed; and (b) utilized (Text) DLI allocation 0.00 6:Incentive system for Value promoting low emission technologies in livestock value chains demonstrated, demonstration results Allocated Amount evaluated, and a re-aligned incentive system elaborated (Text) DLI allocation 0.00 7:Increase in the number of Value livestock product certificates in the TLPEs in compliance with green, Allocated Amount organic or low-emission standards (Number) DLI allocation 0.00 Nov 04, 2024 Page 12 of 12