EXECUTIVE SUMMARY TO THE Success Stories and Strategies for Achieving Climate Adaptation and Resilience © 2024 The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000; Internet: www.worldbank.org Some rights reserved. This work is a product of The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included in this work and does not assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, or liability with respect to the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. 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Rising to the Challenge: Success Stories and Strategies for Achieving Climate Adaptation and Resilience: Executive Summary. © World Bank.” Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; email: pubrights@worldbank.org. Cover photo: Farmer in rice field in Cianjur District, West Java, Indonesia. Credit: ©rudi_suardi/istock.com Design and layout: Fiorella Gil, ULTRA Designs, Inc. Contents ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7 Climate change and extreme events are increasing, as are their impacts 8 Development, adaptation, and resilience are inseparable 9 Countries have not mainstreamed adaptation and resilience in their economic and development policies 12 Private and public actors are stepping up A&R action and investments 15 REFERENCES 19 3 Acknowledgments The preparation of this report was led by Jia Li, Esther Naikal, and Thomas Kerr under the overall guidance of Stéphane Hallegatte. The core team comprises Jia Jun Lee, Francisna Fernando, Chloé Desjonqueres, Nisan Gorgulu, Camilla Knudsen, Penny Mealy, Ammara Shariq, and Jichong Wu. The case studies were prepared by teams from the World Bank and the International Finance Corporation (IFC), including: Paolo Avner, Anam Basnet, Sarah Coll-Black, Jana el-Horr, Habiba Gitay, Mohammad Rafiqul Islam, Bramka Jafino, Melanie Kappes, Camilla Knudsen, Jia Jun Lee, Nancy Lozano Gracia, Olivier Mahul, Sean Michaels, Tevi Obed, Ashley Pople, Anja Robakowski, Evelyn Sanchez Hernandez, Jun Rentschler, Varun Shankar, Tatiana Skalon, Vladimir Stenek, and Sara Turner. David Carlin of UNEP FI, Anne Chataigne and Mahesh Roy of IIGCC, Lori Collins of GARI Group, Marie Diron and Swami Venkataraman of Moody’s Ratings, Caitlin Drake and Felicity Spoors of Gold Standard, Irene Heemskirk of the European Central Bank, Jane Jamieson of PPIAF, Alexander Kennedy of Standard Chartered Bank, Ariane Pevide and and Michael Keane of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Ujala Qadir of Climate Bonds Initiative, and Nicola Ranger of University of Oxford contributed input and review of private sector and related case studies. Neven Fučkar of the University of Oxford provided input on climate risk and vulnerability contexts. The country adaptation and resilience readiness assessments were prepared by many colleagues across the World Bank Group, some as part of the Country Climate and Development Report process. The team is grateful for support and methodological and data input from Julie Rozenberg, Thomas Farole, Stavros Papageorgiou, Ellysar Baroudy, Ahmed Al Qabany, Craig Meisner, David Groves, Giovanni Ruta, Kai Kaiser, Elena Golub, Paola Agostini, Juan Jose Miranda Montero, Tao Wang, Katherine Stapleton, Andrea Liverani, Julian Lee, Sophie de Vries Robbé, Natalie Weigum, Serge Mandiefe Piabuo, Melanie Kappes, Ashley Pople, Yurani Arias Granada, Diji Chandrasekharan Behr, Raffaello Cervigni, Rangeet Ghosh, Wanli Fang, Philippe Ambrosi, Jun Rentschler, Phearanich Hing, and Zoran Kapor. 4 RISING TO THE CHALLENGE: SUCCESS STORIES AND STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE The team gratefully acknowledges the invaluable comments and advice provided by peer reviewers: Chiara Bronchi, Kevin Carey, Jana el-Horr, Nathan Engle, Forhad Shilpi and Vladimir Stenek. We are also thankful for comments and insights received from: Seth Ayers, Doerte Doemeland, Verena Fritz, Elisabeth Huybens, Sebastian Molineus, Franziska Ohnsorge, Julie Rozenberg, Sandhya Srinivasan, Asmita Tiwari, and Wei Zhang. The report would not have been possible without the communications, editorial, and publishing teams. Ferzina Banaji led the communications strategy and engagement with support from Lucy Buckley and Joana Lopes. Pascal Saura also provided invaluable support. The report was skillfully edited by Lucy Southwood and designed by Fiorella Gil (ULTRA Designs). This work was conducted with guidance from Renaud Seligmann (Director for Strategy and Operations of the Planet Vice Presidency), Jennifer Sara (Director of the Climate Change Group), and Hania Dawood (Practice Manager of Climate Finance and Economics in the Climate Change Group), and under the overall direction and leadership of Juergen Voegele (Vice President of the Planet Vice Presidency). 5 Contents 6 RISING TO THE CHALLENGE: SUCCESS STORIES AND STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE A girl returning from school wades across a flooded street after heavy In Ahmedabad, India, the extreme heat warnings established as part of the rains, in Guwahati, India. first heat-health action plan in a South Asian city saved thousands of lives in Credit: © D. Talukdar/istock.com its first two years of implementation. Vanuatu, a highly vulnerable Small Island Developing State, has embarked on a journey to reform its institutions and integrate climate adaptation and disaster risk management into development policies, land use plans, and infrastructure projects, ensuring that the country and its communities are better prepared for a future with accelerating climate impacts. At the same time, a commodity broker is helping to implement large- scale agroforestry programs in Côte d’Ivoire, aimed at restoring ecosystems, sequestering carbon, and improving soil fertility, while also supporting farmers’ livelihoods. Private electricity utilities are increasingly including climate risks in their business decisions and investing in resilience, and the financial sector is developing new strategic partnerships and innovative fund structures to channel more capital into resilience solutions for vulnerable populations and regions. In the context of increasingly visible climate scaled up to build resilient communities, change and disaster impacts, and the widely businesses, and economies. recognized need to do more to adapt and Building on what can be learnt from these prevent them, these success stories of initiatives, this report aims to frame the private actions, locally-driven solutions, and adaptation and resilience (A&R) imperative in government interventions offer a vision of the context of global development challenges, what can be done. As well as contributing to and to offer examples of successful and faster, better, and more resilient development, replicable actions that can accelerate progress these actions are replicable with appropriate toward more resilient development and poverty adjustments in other contexts, and can be reduction. 7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Climate change and extreme 2017). Children are particularly vulnerable events are increasing, as are to climate risks, with long-term impacts on their impacts economic and human capital development (UNICEF 2023). As the climate changes, countries, businesses, and communities must adapt. About one-fifth of the world’s population is at The earth’s climate system is experiencing an high risk from climate-related hazards. A new unprecedented rate of warming that has already analysis to inform the World Bank scorecard led to record-breaking heatwaves, droughts, overlays spatial data of key climate hazards storms, floods, and wildfires. There is evidence (heatwaves, droughts, floods, and cyclones) that climate impacts are undermining progress with household data to count people who are toward the Sustainable Development Goals both exposed and highly vulnerable due to their (WMO 2023). Vulnerable countries, people, and propensity to be adversely affected or their communities are disproportionately affected. inability to cope with the impacts (Hill et al., Warming has slowed down the convergence in forthcoming). Estimates from 103 countries, income between countries in recent decades which comprise 86 percent of the global (Diffenbaugh and Burke 2019); and within population, show that 1.2 billion people are countries, the expected impacts of climate both exposed to at least one climate-related change on the bottom 40 percent are, on hazard and highly vulnerable (figure ES.1). While average, 70 percent higher than those on the high-income countries have large populations average population (Hallegatte and Rozenberg exposed to climate-related hazards, most FIGURE ES.1. SHARE OF POPULATION THAT IS EXPOSED AND HIGHLY VULNERABLE BY REGION, 2021 Europe & Central Asia North America South Asia East Asia & Pacific Middle East & North Africa Latin America & Caribbean Total population Sub-Saharan Africa Population exposed Population exposed and highly vulnerable Source: World Bank staff calculations using World Bank Group Scorecard indicator data on percentage of people at high risk from climate-related hazards (https://scorecard.worldbank.org/); Hill et al. (forthcoming) 8 RISING TO THE CHALLENGE: SUCCESS STORIES AND STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE people at high risk are in South Asia and Sub- crucial for enhancing adaptive capacity and Saharan Africa; this is a consequence of lower the resilience of people and communities. income levels and a lack of access to the basic There is a wealth of evidence demonstrating the infrastructure and social services people need to interconnectedness of development progress cope with and recover from shocks. and adaptation. Adaptation interventions alone cannot make people and households resilient; they also need to have access to basic Development, adaptation, and infrastructure services (such as energy and resilience are inseparable improved water), financial instruments (such KEY MESSAGE #1 as saving accounts and borrowing), and critical services (such as health care). Reducing climate and disaster impacts on people, communities, and economies Thanks to economic development, the share requires more rapid development, more of people at high risk from climate-related resilient development, and targeted hazards has halved within a decade. Increased adaptation interventions. Only a whole- gross domestic product (GDP) per capita is of-society strategy will allow countries associated with lower impacts of climate change to coordinate efforts across sectors and on GDP and poverty, lower well-being losses from support people, the private sector, and natural hazards, and a lower share of population communities to build resilience. at high risk from climate-related hazards (table Rapid, inclusive development, poverty ES.1). Although GDP per capita does not influence reduction, and access to basic services are asset losses due to climate-related hazards in a TABLE ES.1. A 10 PERCENT INCREASE IN GDP PER CAPITA IS ASSOCIATED WITH IMPROVEMENTS IN VARIOUS RISK OR RESILIENCE METRICS RISK OR RESILIENCE METRIC CHANGE BASED ON Proportion of people highly vulnerable to climate- 2.8 percentage point reduction http://scorecard.worldbank.org/; Hill related hazards et al. (forthcoming) Proportion of people at high-risk from climate-related 1.5 percentage point reduction hazards Absolute asset losses (in $ per capita) from natural 8.6 percent increase CDRI (2023) disasters Relative asset losses (in % of GDP) from natural 1.2 percent reduction disasters (not significantly different from zero) Socioeconomic resilience from natural disasters 0.8 percentage point increase Middelanis et al. (forthcoming) Absolute well-being losses (in $ per capita) from natural 7.4 percent increase disasters Relative well-being losses (in % of GDP) from natural 2.4 percent reduction disasters Number of people falling in extreme poverty in 2030 due 5 percent reduction Jafino et al. (2020) to climate change Expected GDP losses due to (a subset of) climate 0.2 to 0.3 percentage point reduction World Bank Group (2024) change impacts in 2050 9 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY statistically significant manner relative to total on its own: countries also need to achieve GDP and as estimated by CDRI (2023), it does better development through climate-informed influence macroeconomic impacts, well-being policies. Income growth only explains a fraction impacts, and extreme risk levels. A 10 percent of the differences in resilience and risk levels. increase in GDP per capita translates into a This means that countries at all income levels 0.2–0.3 percentage-point reduction in the can do more to boost resilience and reduce estimated impact of climate change on GDP in risks. Policy choices regarding inequality, 2050, a 5 percent decrease in the number of financial inclusion, infrastructure development people living in poverty due to climate change and quality, and social safety nets can enhance in 2030, a 2.4 percent reduction in average well- adaptive capacity and socioeconomic resilience being losses from natural disasters (as share of at any income level. To deliver the expected GDP), and a 1.5 percentage-point decline in share development gains despite climate and disaster of population at high risk from climate hazards. risks, development policies and investment It means that a 10 percent increase in income decisions also need to be climate-informed. could reduce the global population at high risk There is a growing number of examples of how by almost 100 million people. This benefit from better development can deliver higher resilience, economic development is also visible in the including: evolution of the number of people at high risk ■ Ensuring that urban development takes from climate-related hazards, which has halved place in safe areas: With urban growth in within a decade, dropping from 36 to 18 percent the most hazardous flood zones outpacing of the global population between 2010 and 2021 growth in safe zones (Rentschler et al. (figure ES.2). 2023), driving rapidly urbanizing populations While increased development is a requisite toward safer areas can prevent flood losses for improved resilience, it is not sufficient and protection or resettlement costs. This FIGURE ES.2. SHARE OF POPULATION AT HIGH RISK FROM CLIMATE-RELATED HAZARDS, 2010–21 70 70 60 East Asia & Pacific 60 50 Europe & Central Asia 50 Low-income countries Share of population (%) Share of population (%) Latin America & 40 Caribbean 40 Lower-middle income countries Middle East & North 30 30 Upper-middle Africa income countries 20 North America 20 High-income countries South Asia 10 10 Sub-Saharan Africa Countries with fragility, conflicts, 0 World 0 and violence 2010 2021 2010 2021 Source: World Bank staff calculations using World Bank Group Scorecard data on percentage of people at high risk from climate-related hazards (https:// scorecard.worldbank.org/); Hill et al. (forthcoming) Note: Countries are excluded if the underlying survey data are not within a three-year window around the reporting year. 10 RISING TO THE CHALLENGE: SUCCESS STORIES AND STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE is particularly so for informal settlements, which tend to be exposed to higher levels of risk. The balance between the three elements—faster ■ Building infrastructure with resilience standards that consider current and development, better development, and targeted future climate risks and incorporating interventions—will depend on the context. In high- nature-based solutions: In low- and income countries, where people have universal middle-income countries, more resilient access to basic social, financial, and infrastructure power, water, sanitation, and transport sector assets would cost around 3 percent services, the focus will naturally be toward more, on average. But over their lifetimes, targeted intervention to adapt existing systems the net benefits could reach an estimated and infrastructure to cope with increased climate $4.2 trillion, or $4 for each $1 invested impacts. In rapidly-growing low-income countries, (Hallegatte, Rentschler and Rozenberg 2019). ■ Reallocating direct public investment where most of these systems still need to be built, and distortive public subsidies to ensure the broader development agenda will play a much a more resilient development pathway: bigger role, and this will have implications for both Subsidies in the energy, water, agriculture, financing and resources (box ES.1). and land sectors total $1.2 trillion per year and often have a negative effect on resilience by incentivizing excessive risk-taking and degrading natural areas or BOX ES.1. ecosystem services (Damania et al. 2023). Capturing the full picture of adaptation financing But countries cannot manage climate change Investment needs and financial flows for adaptation and and natural hazards through faster and better development are impossible to separate, particularly in low- development alone: retrofitting and targeted income countries. The broader framework proposed in this report risk management and adaptation interventions suggests higher investment needs for resilience, because they will also play a key role in reducing future include expenditures that are more often considered “development impacts. For example, countries will need to needs”—such as providing universal access to improved water, upgrade their river and coastal flood defenses sanitation, or electricity—that are foundational for resilience (UNEP in response to changing hydrology and sea level 2023; CPI 2023; World Bank Group 2023b, 2024). This contrasts rise. On average, annual capital costs for river with estimates of climate finance, which focus on investments flood protection in low- and middle-income with explicit adaptation needs or that involve incremental costs countries would need to be 0.04–0.47 percent (CPI 2023). The limited scope of existing estimates partly explains of GDP, while maintaining the current absolute why only 5 percent of total climate finance ($63 billion per year in level of risk would cost 0.15—2.4 percent of 2021–22) is considered adaptation finance. Recent efforts to better GDP (Rozenberg and Fay 2019). And due to more capture private finance for adaptation will help improve these frequent and intense heatwaves, countries will assessments (CPI 2024). But despite these differences in scope and need specific interventions to retrofit buildings definition, it is clear that adaptation and development finance needs to make them healthier, more comfortable, and in developing countries are greater than current finance flows. more energy efficient. 11 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Improved resilience will enhance and to anticipate, adapt to, and cope with climate accelerate long-term development and impacts and, as development strengthens poverty reduction. Not only will it reduce the countries’ institutional development and losses to climate change and natural hazards governance capacity, they are more likely to (a first dividend from resilience), it will also include climate considerations in their economic encourage more productive investments and and development decision-making. Development behaviors, a benefit referred to as the “second gaps, poverty, inequalities, macroeconomic dividend” of disaster risk reduction (Tanner et al. instability, and institutional development and 2015; Heubaum et al. 2022). governance capacity are key constraints to adaptation and resilience. Countries have not The assessment highlights three major gaps in mainstreamed adaptation and mainstreaming A&R and suggests three ways resilience in their economic and to bridge these gaps and design a whole-of- development policies society approach. KEY MESSAGE #2 First, focus on institutions and implementation. Most, if not all, countries have A&R readiness assessments for 44 established A&R priorities in various policy countries and economies identify major instruments—most commonly their national gaps and limits in current policies and adaptation plans or nationally determined systems, particularly in poorer countries. contributions (NDCs)—but these often diverge These include key gaps in implementing from sectoral development plans and do not adaptation measures at sector level, consider existing challenges for policy action. addressing broader macrofiscal risks A handful of the countries assessed have set and implications, and monitoring and up legal frameworks for climate adaptation evaluation. and resilience. Notable examples include A&R readiness assessments in 44 countries1 Colombia’s strong and extensive institutional show that they have made progress in framework for climate change with two key implementing A&R interventions, but most climate laws, Uganda’s National Climate Change struggle to move to a whole-of-society Act of 2021, and Peru’s Framework Law No approach. The assessment uses the Adaptation 30754 on Climate Change. Many countries lack Principles framework (figure ES.3) and finds institutional arrangements for devolving and that preparedness varies significantly across delegating responsibility and finance to local countries, sectors, and domains (figure ES.4). governments so they can lead efforts on the Countries with higher income, more stable ground. Another key area for improvement macroeconomic framework, more fiscal space, lies in clarifying private actor responsibilities and lower debt levels are better able to respond and aligning incentives for adaptation and to shocks, anticipate future risks and invest in resilience. Countries tend to perform relatively adaptation and resilience. Their populations well on preparing their health care systems tend to have the tools and instruments they need for shocks and pandemics, possibly due to the The country selection is based upon the completion of A&R readiness assessments as a key input to various World 1 Bank Group Country Climate and Development Reports (CCDRs), and results from a World Bank Caribbean region report (Browne et al. 2021). 12 RISING TO THE CHALLENGE: SUCCESS STORIES AND STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE FIGURE ES.3. THE ADAPTATION PRINCIPLES FRAMEWORK APPLICATIONS Legal and institutional framework, implementation, and monitoring PRIORITY AREA PRIORITY AREA PRIORITY AREA PRIORITY AREA 01 02 03 04 Facilitate the adaptation Adapt land use plans and Help people and firms Manage financial and of people and firms protect critical public manage residual risks macrofiscal issues assets, services and natural disasters FOUNDATIONS Rapid, robust, and inclusive development FIGURE ES.4. SUMMARY OF COUNTRY PERFORMANCE IN THE SIX A&R PILLARS 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 Readiness score 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 Foundations: Priority 1: Priority 2: Priority 3: Priority 4: Applications: Economic Adaptation of Land use plans Disaster risk Macrofiscal Institutions, growth and people and firms and critical management implementation, inclusive public assets and monitoring development Source: World Bank staff calculations, based on World Bank A&R country readiness assessments Note: Each indicator is assigned a score of 1 (nascent), 2 (emerging), or 3 (established) using a range of information sources and methods, including benchmarking against peer countries and expert judgment, and then aggregated with equal weight for each priority area and pillar. Each dot represents a country’s average score in the corresponding pillar, with the mean represented by a cross and scores between the 25th and 75th percentiles represented in the shaded box. 13 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Caring for mangroves on the coast, lessons learnt from the COVID-19 pandemic. and conclude that countries have made least Situbondo, Indonesia. But they lag in strengthening the resilience progress in addressing macrofiscal issues. This Credit: ©Sam Maulidna/ shutterstock.com of their energy systems, public assets, and highlights the technical and capacity challenges infrastructure; making land use and urban plans to identifying, quantifying, and managing risk-informed; and increasing water security. macrofiscal risks posed by climate impacts, Despite rapid urbanization, many countries lack including risks to macroeconomic stability, the institutional frameworks, technical capacity, public finances, debt sustainability, and the and finance they need to integrate climate financial sector. Among emerging economies, resilience in urban and land use planning. Most Colombia remains a leader in this area and was also lack asset management systems, climate the first Latin American country to carry out a risk screening, an inventory of critical public climate stress test of its financial sector (World assets, and sufficient budget allocation for Bank Group 2023a). Many countries have made climate-resilient infrastructure. progress on incorporating climate risks in their Second, think macro. Many studies note national budget processes—for example, Senegal that adaptation action remains fragmented, has a green budget. But most still need to local and incremental, with limited evidence develop a financial strategy to manage climate of transformational adaptation and risk and disaster risks, with clear emergency budget reductions (Berrang-Ford et al. 2021). The A&R allocation guidelines and ex post financial readiness assessments confirm this finding assistance processes, a more reactive social 14 RISING TO THE CHALLENGE: SUCCESS STORIES AND STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE protection system, and the development of report identifies a set of good practices that can appropriate financial instruments, such as be replicated, with appropriate adjustments to insurance. the local context, and scaled up across countries or sectors. Third, monitor progress and learn from it. As countries progress with A&R action, having Private actors are stepping up their robust monitoring, evaluation, and learning investments in resilience. Firms will invest in systems in place is vital. But given the evolving adaptation if it is relevant to their continued nature of climate change dynamics and other profitability and market position. But while socioeconomic factors that can exacerbate adaptation can reduce costs and improve climate vulnerabilities or hinder climate action, performance, there are persistent barriers monitoring and evaluating climate adaptation is to greater private investment. These include inherently complex and challenging, and most information asymmetries and knowledge gaps; countries have limited capacity in this area. difficulties monetizing resilience benefits; A noteworthy exception is Uganda, one of the limited awareness; unclear metrics to measure few countries that has developed an integrated success; coordination failure; and credit monitoring, reporting and verification tool, vulnerabilities that increase capital costs even which has been instrumental in enhancing for low-risk, high-return resilience investments. coordination between public and private sector These barriers disproportionally affect small stakeholders on key areas of climate adaptation and mitigation action, including data sharing and businesses and informal firms. tracking financial flows. Investing in A&R solutions often increases revenue, but all firms face implementation Private and public actors are challenges. Companies are increasingly implementing strategic interventions—such stepping up A&R action and as regenerative agriculture, more resilient investments infrastructure designs, and climate risk stress- KEY MESSAGE #3 testing of financial portfolios—which not only increase resilience, but also improve efficiency While not always visible, there are and returns. Private sector initiatives and strong examples of effective adaptation investments in resilience are often constrained practices in all sectors, regions, and by capacity issues, especially for small- and income levels. These provide lessons medium-size firms, and depend on a supportive for delivering successful adaptation interventions in both the public and policy and regulatory environment. private sectors and offer opportunities When adaptation solutions generate to replicate and scale up proven noneconomic gains, private actors need solutions. dedicated public support. When gains cannot Despite major gaps, this report dispels the be monetized, strategic coalitions and public- idea that no progress is being made. Given private partnerships help to mobilize resources. that climate change is often one among many This is especially true in the infrastructure considerations in an intervention’s design and sector, where private companies, government implementation, A&R actions are not always agencies, and nonprofit entities partner to pool visible. Through a series of case studies, this resources and secure finance for resilience. 15 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Companies are beginning to take a broader are already showing results. Although these sustainability lens when implementing examples are not intended to be comprehensive climate resilience. Firms are increasingly or representative of all interventions, they looking at risks and resilience in the context demonstrate that significant action and of broader sustainability challenges, including investments are already taking place, with pollution, biodiversity, and greenhouse gas (GHG) measurable results. They also highlight the emissions. They are also focusing on vulnerable diversity of interventions, the variability in communities, driven by business and ethical indicators and metrics, and the challenges in considerations. systematically measuring their performance In the public sector, governments and local and impact and aggregating their results. It authorities are increasingly promoting also confirms that adaptation and resilience adaptation and resilience. A first selection of present a whole-of-society challenge and need case studies in this report, summarized in table to be mainstreamed in all (public and private) ES.2, emphasizes innovative interventions that decisions and policies. TABLE ES.2. OVERVIEW OF CASE STUDIES ON PUBLIC SECTOR-LED A&R PROGRAMS CASE STUDY SECTOR(S) CLIMATE ADAPTATION POLICY/ RESULTS/OUTCOMES KEY TAKEAWAYS HAZARDS/ PROGRAM RISKS Bangladesh: Disaster risk Flood, Improving the hydromet Reducing farmers’ crop Modernizing hydromet Building end-to- management cyclone services, including losses due to better services needs to end hydromet all parts of the value weather forecasting from address sector-specific services chain, and establishing 4.11% to 0.82% needs along the entire agrometeorological downstream value chain services for farmers to deliver actionable information and better decision-making Pacific Island Transport, Cyclone, Regional framework that Increasing climate In countries where Countries: infrastructure flood, mainstreams climate resilience in 11.2 km roads resources and capacity Programmatic, landslide, considerations in transport (140 km by 2030), airport, are constrained, a regional sea level projects in all segments of bridges, wharves; reducing regional, programmatic solutions rise, coastal the transport infrastructure maintenance expenditure approach generates for resilient erosion lifecycle by 20% and post disaster benefits across projects transport rehabilitation costs by 75% by improving management efficiency, reducing transaction costs, and sharing data and lessons learned Brazil: Water, Drought The First Water Cisterns Improving water Promoting decentralized Infrastructure infrastructure program builds resilience availability; decreasing the technologies and services investment to among the poorest in the risk of diarrhea episodes and shifting from drought build drought face of growing water by 73%; improving birth relief/response to building resilience stress and moves from weight, neonatal outcomes, sustainable drought relief and response to and gender equality; resilience improves water building sustainable delivering an approximate availability and quality coexistence with drought net gain of $200 per cistern 16 RISING TO THE CHALLENGE: SUCCESS STORIES AND STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE TABLE ES.2. (cont.) CASE STUDY SECTOR(S) CLIMATE ADAPTATION POLICY/ RESULTS/OUTCOMES KEY TAKEAWAYS HAZARDS/ PROGRAM RISKS Albania: Energy, Drought, Government mandate to Providing electricity The project’s hybrid Creating an hydropower flood diversify energy sources, to 66,000 households; commercialization enabling focusing on non-hydro creating jobs in framework mitigates risks environment to renewable energy, and community; contributing posed by public sector mobilize private country’s first large-scale to NDC adaptation priority dominance in the energy investment solar photovoltaic project of climate-proofing energy sector and sets a model infrastructure and reducing for future private sector GHG emissions participation Bangladesh, Social Flood, Anticipatory and early Helping alleviate short- Anticipatory action/ Nigeria, Nepal, protection, drought response programs, term humanitarian early response are and Niger: disaster risk including through national need by reducing food more effective than Adaptive social financing safety net programs, insecurity: e.g. in Niger, a traditional, ex post protection to delivering social protection the early transfers improve response in helping people support poor and financial inclusion by food security by 8%, recover from climate and vulnerable acting ahead of predicted consumption by 17.6%, and shocks; they are also more people hazards; preventing or psychological well-being impactful when integrated reducing the adverse by 17.8% into comprehensive effects of shocks on lives climate resilience and livelihoods before the strategies impacts fully manifest India: Saving Health, urban Extreme The Ahmedabad Heat Preventing 2,380 heat- Effective emergency lives with heat- heat Action Plan establishes related deaths in the first response to extreme heat health action key measures for both two years; reducing deaths requires clearly defined plans immediate and longer- on days with maximum roles and responsibilities term actions to reduce temperatures of 47°C by across departments, the public health impacts 88% elevated public of extreme heat, through awareness, and accessible early warnings, community information outreach, capacity building, and the adoption of cool roofs Philippines: Disaster risk Cyclone, Disaster risk finance and Mobilizing the private Implementing a Comprehensive financing flood, insurance (DRFI) strategy sector through insurance; comprehensive risk- financial landslide that ensures sound improving fiscal layering strategy takes preparedness fiscal health at national resilience; protecting time; strong ownership government level, improves more households and is crucial for continuity; financial resilience at farmers, especially the and engaging the private local government level, most vulnerable; increasing sector ensures DRFI and protects financial insurance uptake among instruments protect more preparedness at individual farmers to one-third people level Vanuatu: Multiple Cyclone, Government’s multipronged Increasing policy cohesion Achieving policy Climate and flood, approach to incorporate for climate adaptation and coherence and disaster- landslide climate and disaster risk disaster risk management; coordination is a challenge resilient and resilience in policies, strengthening resilience and requires continued development legislations, climate- in project design and government leadership informed investments, and standards across various and sustained/long-term land-use planning through sectors commitments from all institutional strengthening stakeholders and policy reform 17 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY These promising examples of innovation and This report is only a start. Realizing the full effectiveness from both public and private impact of policies, private sector initiatives sector actors are already helping communities and other programs takes time, and it will take and countries better prepare and respond. decades to fully implement some interventions At the very least, they offer an opportunity and measure their benefits. The World Bank aims to better understand gaps and barriers, and to continue collecting, analyzing, and sharing taken together, for replication and learning. examples of successful (and less successful) This combination offers a way forward: once climate A&R policies or interventions to inform countries and communities have defined their decision-making across the world. 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