The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Kenya | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing (IPF) | FY 2019 | Seq No: 11 | Archived on 10-Oct-2024 | ISR01656 Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Labour and Social Protection, National Drought Management Authority 1. OBJECTIVE 1.1 Development Objective Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval package on 26-Nov-2018) To strengthen delivery systems for enhanced access to social and economic inclusion services and shock-responsive safety nets for poor and vulnerable households. Has the Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No 2. COMPONENTS Name Component 1 - Strengthening Social Protection Delivery Systems:(Cost 719,870,000.00) Component 2 - Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions:(Cost 303,080,000.00) Component 3 - Improving the Shock Responsiveness of Safety Net System:(Cost 323,270,000.00) 3. OVERALL RATINGS Name Previous Current Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Moderate 4. KEY ISSUES & STATUS Oct 10, 2024 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) 4.1 Implementation Status and Key Decisions The implementing agencies for the Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (KSEIP): the State Department for Social Protection and the National Drought Management Authority continue to advance project implementation. One Disbursement-Linked Result (DLR) has been disbursed during the reporting period whereas technical work on pending five DLRs is progressing. The Government has advanced data collection for the Enhanced Single Registry. Eleven more counties have been completed as of September 2024, leaving just twelve counties to be completed in October-November 2024. Both Cash-Plus programs are near completion of their test phases. NICHE has already surpassed their end target of 23,500 households in five counties. EIP is on track to complete its end target of 15,000 households across five counties. The Government and Bank teams have already initiated preparation of the KSEIP successor project to sustain the gains and expand social protection sector’s contributions to country’s poverty reduction and inclusive growth agenda. 5. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL Rating at Approval Last Approved Rating Risk Category Approval Package - ISR Seq. 010 - 26 Mar Proposed Rating 27 Nov 2018 2024 Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Substantial Moderate Oct 10, 2024 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) 6. RESULTS 6.1 PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes Strengthening social protection delivery systems Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year An SR, linked Dec/2018 Roll-out 01-Mar-2024 Roll-out 23-Sep-2024 Roll out Dec/2024 to the MIS of completed in completed in completed in four cash 24 non-HSNP 27 non-HSNP 39 non HSNP Number of counties where transfer counties, counties, counties the roll out of enhanced programs, is pending third- pending third- Single Registry covers at least functional with party party 75 percent of targeted links to the validation of validation of households (Text) PBC IPRS data quality data quality Comments on Household data collection and data processing exercise has been completed in all 47 counties, achieving targets which includes eight HSNP counties. The independent data quality assessment (QA) has been completed. Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Number of households 600.00 Dec/2018 16,027.00 01-Mar-2024 31,777 23-Sep-2024 23,500.00 Dec/2024 receiving nutrition-sensitive Comments on Over 30 thousand households were in receipt of NICHE top-ups and nutrition counselling as of cash transfer (Number) PBC achieving targets December 2024. Number of sub-counties 0.00 Dec/2018 10.00 01-Mar-2024 10.00 23-Sep-2024 9.00 Dec/2024 Page 3 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) where economic inclusion Comments on As of December 2024, 7740 participants are receiving services under Cohort 2 of EIP. model is initiated (Number) achieving targets Previously, 7290 participants completed Cohort 1 of EIP. Both cohorts are implemented in the same 10 sub-counties. Improving the shock-responsiveness of the Safety Net System Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Number of new regular HSNP 0.00 Dec/2019 24,956.00 01-Mar-2024 28,999 23-Sep-2024 32,000.00 Dec/2024 households enrolled and paid Comments on NDMA is currently paying monthly transfers to 32,000 Group 1 households in the expansion for through the GoK’s budget achieving targets counties. in expansion counties (Number) PBC 6.2 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1 - Strengthening Social Protection Delivery Systems Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 0.00 Dec/2018 290,637.00 01-Mar-2024 437,028 23-Sep-2024 341,500.00 Dec/2023 Comments on This indicator counts individual beneficiaries, both direct and indirect, of KSEIP-supported Beneficiaries of social safety achieving targets interventions: HSNP beneficiaries in expansion counties as well as NICHE and economic net programs (Number) inclusion beneficiaries. 31,777 households were enrolled in the NICHE program in ten sub- counties. Another 15030 have benefitted from the Economic Inclusion pilot. HSNP disbursements in expansion counties stands at 32000. The indicator`s value is an estimate made using the methodology described below. Beneficiaries of social 0.00 145,319.00 218,514 170,750.00 safety net programs - Page 4 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Female (Number) IRI 1: Percentage of 0.00 Dec/2018 93.00 01-Mar-2024 100 23-Sep-2024 100.00 Dec/2024 beneficiaries receiving Comments on DSA has made progress linking its system with the ESR MIS to use the registry data for payments through the new achieving targets replacement of the Consolidated Cash Transfer Program`s (CCTP) beneficiaries. This long- Inua Jamii Payment pending replacement has allowed DSA to reach 100 percent coverage through the new Mechanism for the payment mechanism. Consolidated Cash Transfer Program (Percentage) PBC G&CM system Dec/2018 Design and 01-Mar-2024 The enhanced 23-Sep-2024 Enhanced Dec/2024 for all four implementation G&CM is G&CM NSNP arrangements currently being functional in all programs for enhanced rolled out. KSEIP counties IRI 2: Integrated G&CM piloted in 20 G&CM are mechanism is strengthened sub-counties under and rolled out at development. decentralized level Comments on The nationwide rollout of the decentralized GCM system was completed years ago. Since then, (Text) PBC achieving targets DSA has developed and implemented a GCM enhancement framework, roadmap, and eGCM operational guidelines and reporting tool. In 2024, they also completed enhancements in the GCM module of CCTP MIS. The complete system including new MIS module is currently being rolled out as of September 2024. BOS for the Dec/2019 Roll-out 01-Mar-2024 Roll-out 23-Sep-2024 Enhanced BOS Dec/2024 CCTP rolled- pending pending rolled out in all IRI 3: Beneficiary Outreach out in 20 sub- 47 counties Strategy for NSNP and KSEIP counties rolled out (Text) Comments on The eBOS has been validated. Its rollout has been delayed by competing priorities, including achieving targets KSEIP DLRs. The roll out has not been completed under KSEIP. It will be taken up under KSEIP2. Component 2 - Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Page 5 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) IRI 6: Number of households 600.00 Dec/2018 16,027.00 01-Mar-2024 31,777 23-Sep-2024 23,500.00 Dec/2024 receiving package of Comments on Currently more than 30 thousand households are enrolled in NICHE and received their top-ups nutrition-sensitive social achieving targets and nutrition counselling as of September 2024. protection services (Number) 30 percent of Dec/2018 53% 01-Mar-2024 53% 23-Sep-2024 75 percent of Dec/2024 NSNP NSNP households beneficiaries enrolled in the enrolled in the IRI 5: Establishment and NHIF but no NHIF implementation of referral systematic mechanism for the NHIF referral system (Text) in place Comments on Prior to KSEIP, 223 thousand or 27 percent of NSNP beneficiary households were enrolled in achieving targets the government-subsidized health insurance managed by NHIF. By early 2024, that figure had increased to 53 percent under the KSEIP project. Since then, NHIF has been closed so no further progress has been made. Component 3 - Improving the Shock Responsiveness of Safety Net System Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year IRI 7: Percentage of payments 35.00 Dec/2018 100.00 01-Mar-2024 100.00 23-Sep-2024 75.00 Dec/2024 that are made on time to Comments on In the fiscal year 2024-25, the GOK has not allocated sufficient budget to HSNP and hence all Payment Service Providers for achieving targets payments have been delayed for the past 2-3 months. transfer to regular HSNP beneficiaries (Percentage) IRI 8: Percentage of regular 64.00 Dec/2018 100.00 01-Mar-2024 100.00 23-Sep-2024 100.00 Dec/2024 HSNP cash transfers financed Comments on No change since previous ISR. by the GoK in the original four achieving targets HSNP counties (Percentage) IRI 9: HSNP registration HSNP re- Dec/2018 Fully completed 01-Mar-2024 Fully completed 23-Sep-2024 HSNP registry Dec/2024 Page 6 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) exercise in original and registration in in original and in original and updated and expansion counties four original expansion expansion linked with completed (Text) counties has counties. counties. enhanced SR commenced according to design and operating procedures Comments on No change since previous ISR. achieving targets HSNP Dec/2018 Updated HSNP 01-Mar-2024 Updated HSNP 23-Sep-2024 Updated HSNP Dec/2024 scalability scalability scalability scalability strategy in strategy strategy strategy place implementation implementation implemented has begun, but has begun, but no scale-up no scale-up IRI 10: HSNP scalability payments have payments have strategy updated (Text) yet been yet been triggered in triggered in FY23/24. FY24/25. Comments on The scalability financing strategy, implemented from July 2024 for the financial year 24/25, has achieving targets been updated. However, with the region experiencing above-average rainfall, no scale-up payments have been triggered so far in FY24/25. 6.3 Performance Based Conditions (PBC) PBC Name Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Page 7 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Value Date Value Date 1:Number of Roll-out completed Roll-out completed in counties where the in 24 non-HSNP 27 non-HSNP roll out of enhanced counties, pending Value counties, pending Single Registry third-party 01-Mar-2024 third-party validation 23-Sep-2024 covers at least 75 validation of data of data quality percent of targeted quality households (Text) Allocated Partially achieved 0.00 0.00 Amount PBC allocation 37,396,000.00 2:IRI 1: Percentage Value 0.00 93.00 100 of beneficiaries receiving payments through the new Inua Jamii Payment Allocated 01-Mar-2024 23-Sep-2024 Mechanism for the 0.00 0.00 0.00 Consolidated Cash Amount Transfer Program (Percentage) Partially achieved PBC allocation 14,000,000.00 3:IRI 2: Integrated Design and G&CM mechanism G&CM system for all implementation is strengthened and four NSNP programs arrangements for The enhanced G&CM Value 01-Mar-2024 23-Sep-2024 rolled out at piloted in 20 sub- enhanced G&CM roll out is underway. decentralized level counties are under (Text) development. Page 8 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Partially achieved Allocated 0.00 0.00 0.00 Amount PBC allocation 20,000,000.00 4:Number of Value 16,027.00 31,777 households receiving nutrition- Allocated 01-Mar-2024 23-Sep-2024 sensitive cash 0.00 3,400,000.00 transfer (Number) Amount Achieved PBC allocation 34,000,000.00 5:Number of new Value 24,956.00 28,999 regular HSNP households enrolled and paid for Allocated 01-Mar-2024 23-Sep-2024 through the GoK’s 0.00 0.00 budget in expansion Amount counties (Number) Achieved PBC allocation 58,300,000.00 6:Number of new Value 0.00 24,956.00 28,999 regular HSNP households enrolled and paid for Allocated 01-Mar-2024 23-Sep-2024 through the GoK’s 0.00 0.00 0.00 budget in expansion Amount counties (Number) Achieved Page 9 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) PBC allocation 49,444,400.00 Page 10 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) 7. DATA ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 7.1 Cumulative Disbursements 7.2 Disbursements (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Historical Disbursed TF-A9527 Effective 70.35 64.00 6.35 59.07 4.93 92.30% 70.35 IDA-63480 Effective 250.00 250.00 0.00 145.08 91.76 58.03% 250.00 7.3 Key Dates (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Orig. Closing Rev. Closing IDA-63480 Effective 27-Nov-2018 31-Jan-2019 20-Mar-2019 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2024 Oct 10, 2024 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) TF-A9527 Effective 16-Jan-2019 31-Jan-2019 31-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2024 8. KEY DATES Key Events Planned Actual Approval 27-Nov-2018 27-Nov-2018 Effectiveness 31-Jan-2019 31-Jan-2019 Mid-Term Review No. 01 20-Sep-2021 27-Sep-2021 Operation Closing/Cancellation 31-Dec-2024 9. RESTRUCTURING HISTORY Restructuring Level 2 Approved on 07-Nov-2023 Restructuring Level 2 Approved on 13-Dec-2023 10. ASSOCIATED OPERATION(S) There are no associated operations Oct 10, 2024 Page 10 of 10