The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Kyrgyz Republic | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing (IPF) | FY 2024 | Seq No: 2 | Archived on 27-Sep-2024 | ISR01639 Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Natural Resources, Ecology and Technical Supervision 1. OBJECTIVE 1.1 Development Objective Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval package on 28-Nov-2023) The Project Development Objective is to i) strengthen the capacity of the Kyrgyz Republic to manage air quality; and ii) reduce net PM2.5 and GHG emissions in Bishkek. Has the Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No 2. COMPONENTS Name Component 1 - Strengthen air quality management system:(Cost 9,100,000.00) Component 2 - Support the adoption of clean heating solutions:(Cost 32,300,000.00) Component 3 - Improve Urban Greening:(Cost 7,100,000.00) Component 4 - Project Implementation Support:(Cost 1,500,000.00) 3. OVERALL RATINGS Name Previous Current Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial 4. KEY ISSUES & STATUS Sep 27, 2024 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) 4.1 Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project became effective on June 6, 2024. The MNRETS and MoF have set up their respective PIU's and the key staff are already onboard. A Steering Committee has been set up under the chairmanship of Deputy Minister of MNRETS. The PIUs have initiated procurement processes in line with the procurement plan. 5. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL Rating at Approval Last Approved Rating Risk Category Approval Package - ISR Seq. 01 - 06 Mar Proposed Rating 29 Nov 2023 2024 Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Low Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Sep 27, 2024 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) 6. RESULTS 6.1 PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes Strengthen the capacity of the Kyrgyz Republic to manage air quality Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year No Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 Yes Dec/2030 Air quality analysis report is Comments on Air Quality analysis including monitored ambient AQ data, source emission inspection and published once in two years achieving targets analysis results, is prepared and published twice a year. At least, two publications are required (Yes/No) during the project implementation. Reduce net PM2.5 and greenhouse gas emissions in Bishkek Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Projected lifetime net GHG 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 2,720,000 Dec/2030 emission reductions through Comments on This indicator presents projected lifetime net CO2 emission reduction from project project interventions (Metric achieving targets interventions, (clean heating adoption in SFHs (15 years) and urban greening (25 years). ton) Projected lifetime GHG 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 2,700,000 Dec/2030 emission reductions from households adopting clean heating options (Metric ton) Projected lifetime net 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 22,000 Dec/2030 GHG emission reductions from Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) increased public green space (Metric ton) 0.00 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 10,520 Dec/2030 Projected lifetime PM2.5 Comments on This indicator measures the change in PM2.5 emissions by the sum of i) PM2.5 emission emission reduction from achieving targets difference between introducing clean heating options in households, compared to the project interventions (Metric business as usual without replacement of the original heating appliance for expected lifetime ton) of heating appliance; ii) the estimated lifetime PM2.5 reduction capacity from increased public green space Projected lifetime 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 10,500 Dec/2030 PM2.5 emission reduction from households adopting clean heating technologies (Metric ton) Projected lifetime 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 21 Dec/2030 PM2.5 emission reduction from increased and better maintained public green space (Metric ton) 6.2 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1 - Strengthen air quality management system Indicator Name Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 1 Oct/2023 1 29-Feb-2024 1 24-Sep-2024 12 Dec/2030 Number of ambient air quality Comments on Number of ambient air quality monitoring stations that are fully operational in line with monitoring stations fully achieving targets international standards after being either newly installed (automated) and upgraded (existing operational (Number) manual ones) installed and operated in line with international standard. Database for ambient air No Oct/2023 No 29-Feb-2024 No 24-Sep-2024 Yes Dec/2030 quality and integrated air Comments on Integrated air quality and GHG emission inventory database is developed and fully operational pollutant and GHG emission achieving targets inventory is developed and maintained (Yes/No) Component 2 - Support the adoption of clean heating solutions Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year On-lending by the PFIs for 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 34,200,000 Dec/2030 clean heating (Amount(USD)) Number of direct project 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 13,000 Dec/2030 beneficiary households that Comments on Direct beneficiary households directly derive benefits from replacing inefficient heating are supported by clean achieving targets solutions with clean heating option heating measures (Number) Percentage of female-headed 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 30 Dec/2030 households receiving sub- Comments on This indicator will be based on subloan applications. loans to adopt clean heating achieving targets solutions (Percentage) Development of policy and No policy and Oct/2023 None 29-Feb-2024 None 24-Sep-2024 Sustainable Dec/2030 institutional measures to institutional Heating achieve longer-term measure is Development sustainability of the heating defined for Roadmap is sector (Text) sustainable adopted Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) heating Comments on This indicator aims to track progress in policy and regulatory development related to achieving targets sustainable heating. Component 3 - Improve Urban Greening Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 0 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 13 Dec/2030 Increased public green space Comments on This indicator measures 'changes' in public green space within Bishkek as a result of creating a in Bishkek (Hectare(Ha)) achieving targets greenbelt under the Project Number of boreholes with 0.00 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 21 Dec/2030 water-saving technology Comments on This indicator measures the number of the boreholes with water-saving technology newly newly constructed or achieving targets constructed to supply ground water rehabilitated (Number) A chapter on urban greening No Oct/2023 No 29-Feb-2024 No 24-Sep-2024 Yes Dec/2030 and irrigation is prepared and Comments on This indicator measures a chapter prepared particularly focusing on urban greening and endorsed as a part of the new achieving targets irrigation development plan and endorsed as part of urban master plan urban master plan (Yes/No) Component 4 - Project Implementation Support Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 0.00 Oct/2023 0 29-Feb-2024 0 24-Sep-2024 200 Dec/2030 Number of participants in Comments on This indicator is the citizen engagement indicator which measures participation in consultation consultations (Number) achieving targets meetings (virtual or in-person) to get feedback about the project design and implementation Share of participants in 0 0 0 90 consultations who responded ‘satisfied’ with citizen engagement processes Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) (Percentage) Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) 7. DATA ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 7.1 Cumulative Disbursements 7.2 Disbursements (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Historical Disbursed IDA-74340 Effective 50.00 50.00 0.00 0.30 49.70 0.60% 50.00 7.3 Key Dates (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Orig. Closing Rev. Closing IDA-74340 Effective 29-Nov-2023 12-Dec-2023 06-Jun-2024 31-Dec-2030 31-Dec-2030 8. KEY DATES Sep 27, 2024 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kyrgyz Republic Air Quality Improvement Project (P177467) Key Events Planned Actual Approval 29-Nov-2023 29-Nov-2023 Effectiveness 28-Mar-2024 Mid-Term Review No. 01 30-Jun-2027 Operation Closing/Cancellation 31-Dec-2030 9. RESTRUCTURING HISTORY 10. ASSOCIATED OPERATION(S) There are no associated operations Sep 27, 2024 Page 8 of 8