The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Ecuador | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing (IPF) | FY 2022 | Seq No: 5 | Archived on 05-Mar-2025 | ISR01910 Implementing Agencies: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos (INEC) 1. OBJECTIVE 1.1 Development Objective Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval package on 30-Jun-2022) The Proposed Project Development Objective is to improve the national statistical capacity of Ecuador in the production and dissemination of timely and high-quality economic and sociodemographic statistics for evidence-based policymaking. Has the Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No 2. COMPONENTS Name Project management, monitoring, and evaluation:(Cost 1,580,000.00) Enhancing demographic information with the new Housing and Population Census:(Cost 56,490,000.00) Strengthening the statistical production from surveys:(Cost 17,710,000.00) Strengthening the statistical production from Administrative Records and INEC managerial capacity:(Cost 4,220,000.00) 3. OVERALL RATINGS Name Previous Current Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial 4. KEY ISSUES & STATUS Mar 05, 2025 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) 4.1 Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project has achieved a disbursement rate of 63.41%, equivalent to $50.73 million12. The mid-term evaluation report was discussed with INEC and the PIU . The report recommends a restructure of the project to reassign unused funds from Component 1 to reinforce INEC’s statistical capacity and new conjunctural data production. Below is the component-wise progress as of the mission date: Component 1-Population and Housing Census: The data collection and processing for the Population and Housing Census have concluded, with a pending administrative closure. Census results have been public since September 2023, accessible via the INEC website and a dedicated platform, presenting demographic profiles, historical series, and specific themes. The REDATAM platform was published in October, allowing users to build custom tables. The census is being documented through the DDI standard and will be published in INEC's ANDA catalog by March 2025. Population projections are complete. Research on the LGBT+ population is in its final stage, and a population with disability study is planned. An independent evaluation coordinated by UNFPA and CEPAL was delivered on November 5, 2024. An additional in-deep evaluation focused on data processing and imputation will be delivered to INEC in early 2025. The Unsatisfied Basic Needs Index (NBI) new estimation was updated through a methodological review. Component 2- Strengthening Statistical Production from Surveys: This component includes household, economic, producer and consumer price indices, and agricultural surveys. Household Income and Expenditure Survey (ENIGHUR): Cartography was done in November, and data collection began in December 2024, and is expected to conclude in November 2025 Employment Survey (ENCIET): The hiring and training of personnel for the ENCIET happened in October 2024, and the national rollout began in November 2024 and is expected to end in October 2025. The publication of ENCIET results is expected by the first semester of 2026 Agricultural Survey (ESPAC): Data collection of the economic module ends, and the new module on machinery and equipment will start this September. Component 3- Strengthening Statistical Production from Administrative Records: Most of the intermediate-level indicators for administrative records have progressed in reporting and are close to reaching the target. Eight improvement plans for various registries have been finalized. The quality of eight administrative records has improved, including those for people with disabilities, marital status, births, deaths, and student records. There has been a 55% progress in making administrative data available through visualization. 5. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL Mar 05, 2025 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Rating at Approval Last Approved Rating Risk Category Approval Package - ISR Seq. 04 - 26 Jun Proposed Rating 30 Jun 2022 2024 Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Low Low Low Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Mar 05, 2025 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) 6. RESULTS 6.1 PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes Statistical Capacity Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 5.97 Mar/2022 6.77 15-Apr-2024 7.54 04-Nov-2024 9.30 Jul/2026 Statistical Capacity Comments on Statistical capacity improvement is measured by a composite score derived from the WB SPI (Number) achieving targets methodology Gender indicators Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Number of gender indicators 0.00 Mar/2022 0.00 15-Apr-2024 9.00 04-Nov-2024 14.00 Jul/2026 produced using recently Comments on The project will support the design and implementation of 14 new gender indicators in three adopted international achieving targets key areas: i) labor statistics using recently adopted international statistical standards; ii) standards on labor statistics agriculture statistics with enhanced measurement of ownership and control of land; and iii) and enhanced measurement administrative records focused on access to economic opportunity. (Number) Improved use of statistics measured by the number of downloads of datasets supported by the project Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Improved use of statistics 0.00 Mar/2022 0.00 15-Apr-2024 0.00 15-Apr-2024 30,000.00 Jul/2026 measured by the number of Comments on Datasets supported by the project downloaded through the NADA and Open Data catalogs downloads of datasets achieving targets supported by the project (Number) Mar 05, 2025 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Improved use of statistics measured by the publishing of twelve relevant reports Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Improved use of statistics 0.00 Mar/2022 1 15-Apr-2024 3 04-Nov-2024 12.00 Jul/2026 measured by the publishing Comments on Analytical and methodological reports produced with the statistics supported by the project of 12 relevant reports based achieving targets and published on the INEC website on statistics supported by the project. (Number) Increased availability of sector administrative data for statistical purposes. Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Increased availability of 0.00 Mar/2022 0 15-Apr-2024 9 04-Nov-2024 20.00 Jul/2026 sector administrative data for Comments on Sector administrative data available through virtualization processes statistical purposes. achieving targets (Number) Risk and Climate Change Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Number of Risk and Climate 0.00 Dec/2022 0.00 15-Apr-2024 2.00 15-Apr-2024 5.00 Jun/2025 Change indicators produced Comments on Specific climate change and risks indicators that could be produced directly through the using recently adopted achieving targets statistics produced under the project or in combination with other sources of information. international environmental standards (Number) Satisfaction rate of statistical users of the statistics Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 91.70 Sep/2022 91.70 15-Apr-2024 91.70 04-Nov-2024 95.00 Jun/2025 Mar 05, 2025 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Satisfaction rate of statistical Comments on Satisfaction rate will be estimated through a continuous survey applied to statistical users users of the statistics achieving targets that use the INEC's portal and/or contact INEC by email. produced within the framework of the project (Percentage) Percentage of adoption of relevant recommendations made by users Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Percentage of adoption of 0.00 Mar/2022 0.00 15-Apr-2024 0.00 15-Apr-2024 80.00 Jul/2026 relevant recommendations Comments on Proportion of relevant recommendations adopted by INEC related to the total number of made by users of the achieving targets recommendations received by users. statistics produced within the framework of the project. (Percentage) 6.2 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Enhancing demographic information with the new Housing and Population Census Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year 5.70 Nov/2010 4.20 15-Apr-2024 4.20 15-Apr-2024 5.00 Aug/2023 Population Census Omission Comments on Population census coverage error. Rate (Percentage) achieving targets 105.30 Nov/2010 103.90 15-Apr-2024 103.90 15-Apr-2024 100<=I<=105 Aug/2023 Population Census Accuracy- Comments on Its a method to measure the tendency for individuals to inaccurately report their actual age Whipple Index (Text) achieving targets or date of birth. Respondents to a census or other survey sometimes report their age or date of birth as a round number (typically ending in 0 and 5). This is often for cultural reasons. Mar 05, 2025 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Documented and quality- No Mar/2022 no 15-Apr-2024 no 15-Apr-2024 Yes Jul/2026 controlled population Comments on WB-NADA Catalog is an open source software designed for researchers to browse, search, statistics available in the achieving targets compare, and apply for access and download research data. NADA catalog (Text) Strengthening the statistical production from surveys Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Monetary Poverty Line base 2,006 Nov/2006 2,006 15-Apr-2024 2,006 15-Apr-2024 2,024 Nov/2024 year (Text) 2,014 Nov/2014 2,014 15-Apr-2024 2,014 15-Apr-2024 2,025 Jun/2025 Consumer Price Index base Comments on CPI is a measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer year (Text) achieving targets goods and services, such as transportation, food, and medical care. It is calculated by taking price changes for each item in the predetermined basket of goods and averaging them. 2,015 Feb/2015 2,015 15-Apr-2024 2,015 15-Apr-2024 2,024 Jun/2024 Producer Price Index (Text) Comments on The Producer Price Index (PPI) program measures the average change over time in the achieving targets selling prices received by domestic producers for their output Basic Family Basket base year 1,982 Nov/2014 1,982 15-Apr-2024 1,982 15-Apr-2024 2,025 Jun/2025 (Text) Documented and quality- 0.00 Mar/2022 0.00 04-Oct-2022 0.00 04-Oct-2022 3.00 Jul/2026 controlled Agricultural Comments on WB-NADA Catalog is an open source software designed for researchers to browse, search, Surveys in the INEC’s catalogs achieving targets compare, and apply for access and download research data. (Number) Documented and quality- No Mar/2022 No 15-Apr-2024 No 15-Apr-2024 yes Jul/2024 controlled Labor Force Comments on WB-NADA Catalog is an open source software designed for researchers to browse, search, Survey in the INEC’s catalogs achieving targets compare, and apply for access and download research data. (Text) Documented and quality- No Mar/2022 No 15-Apr-2024 No 15-Apr-2024 Yes Jul/2024 controlled income and Comments on Open Data Catalog is a list of datasets available in an Open Data initiative Expenditure Household achieving targets Mar 05, 2025 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Survey in the INEC’s catalogs (Text) Strengthening the statistical production from Administrative Records and INEC managerial capacity Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period Indicator Name Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year Approved improvement 0 Dec/2022 6 15-Apr-2024 6 15-Apr-2024 10 Jun/2025 plans of Administrative Comments on Improving plans based on INEC technical assessment of administrative data. Records (Text) achieving targets Administrative records 0.00 Mar/2022 12 15-Apr-2024 12 15-Apr-2024 20.00 Aug/2026 improved in quality Comments on Quality assessment of administrative records (Number) achieving targets Administrative data available No Mar/2022 No 04-Oct-2022 No 04-Oct-2022 Yes Jul/2026 through virtualization Comments on Accessibility of admin data statistics through virtualization process process (Text) achieving targets Mar 05, 2025 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) 7. DATA ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 7.1 Cumulative Disbursements 7.2 Disbursements (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed IBRD-94210 Effective 80.00 80.00 0.00 50.73 29.27 63.42% 7.3 Key Dates (by loan) Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Orig. Closing Rev. Closing IBRD-94210 Effective 30-Jun-2022 26-Oct-2022 15-Dec-2022 28-Jul-2027 28-Jul-2027 8. KEY DATES Mar 05, 2025 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening the National Statistical System in Ecuador Project (P178564) Key Events Planned Actual Approval 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Effectiveness 15-Dec-2022 15-Dec-2022 Mid-Term Review No. 01 27-Sep-2024 27-Sep-2024 Operation Closing/Cancellation 28-Jul-2027 9. RESTRUCTURING HISTORY 10. ASSOCIATED OPERATION(S) There are no associated operations Mar 05, 2025 Page 10 of 10