FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: PPIAF000101 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROJECT PAPER ON A PROPOSED ADDITIONAL CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF US$100 MILLION TO THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA FOR THE TANZANIA ROADS TO INCLUSION AND SOCIOECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES (RISE) PROJECT February 27, 2025 Transport Global Practice Eastern and Southern Africa Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective {Dec 31, 2024}) Currency Unit = Tanzanian Shilling (TZS) US$1 TZS 2,660 FISCAL YEAR July 1 – June 30 Regional Vice President: Victoria Kwakwa Regional Director: Wendy E. Hughes Country Director: Nathan M. Belete Practice Manager: Almud Weitz Task Team Leader: Sofia Guerrero Gamez The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AF Additional Financing CBRM Community-based Routine Maintenance CERC Contingent Emergency Response Component CESMPs Contractor-Environmental and Social Management Plan CPF Country Partnership Framework CRW+ Crisis Response Window Plus DBST Double bituminous surface treatment EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return ESCP Environmental and Social Commitment Plan ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework ESS Environmental and Social Standards FY Fiscal Year GBV Gender-Based Violence GHG Greenhouse Gas GoT Government of Tanzania GRS Grievance Redress Service HDM-4 Highway Development and Management Model HIV/AIDS Human immunodeficiency virus/ acquired immunodeficiency syndrome IDA International Development Association IP Implementation Progress IPF Investment Project Financing ISR Implementation Status and Results Report LMP Labor Management Plan MBDP Msimbazi Basin Development Project MFD Maximizing Finance for Development MS Moderately Satisfactory MU Moderately Unsatisfactory NPV Net Present Value OHS Occupational Health and Safety OHSP Occupational Health and Safety Plan PAD Project Appraisal Document PCE Private Capital Enabling PDO Project Development Objective PIU Project Implementation Unit PMU Project Management Unit POM Project Operations Manual PP Procurement Plan PPSD Project Procurement Strategy for Development RPF Resettlement Policy Framework RISE Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities SCD Systematic Country Diagnostic SDG Sustainable Development Goals SEP Stakeholder Engagement Plan The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER TANROADS Tanzania National Roads Agency TANTIP Tanzania Transport Integration Project TARURA Tanzania Rural and Urban Roads Agency VGPF Vulnerable Groups Planning Framework TABLE OF CONTENTS I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING ........................................................................... 1 II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING ........................................................................................................... 4 III. KEY RISKS ................................................................................................................................................................ 9 IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY ......................................................................................................................................... 10 V. WORLD BANK GRIEVANCE REDRESS .................................................................................................................... 15 VI. PROPOSED CHANGES ........................................................................................................................................... 16 VII. DETAILED CHANGE(S) ........................................................................................................................................... 16 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprbasicdata#doctemplate OPERATION INFORMATION BASIC DATA - MAIN Product Information - Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) Operation ID Product/Financing Instrument P164920 Investment Project Financing (IPF) Task Team Leaders Sofia Guerrero Gamez Beneficiary Country/Countries Geographical Identifier Tanzania Tanzania Requesting Unit Responsible Unit AECE1 (6541) IAET1 (9379) Approval Date Closing Date 27-May-2021 30-Jun-2027 Practice Area (Lead) Approval Fiscal year Transport 2021 Environmental and Social Risk Classification (ESRC) Substantial Is there collaboration between Bank and IFC? No Implementing Agency Tanzania National Roads Agency (TANROADS), Tanzania Rural and Urban Roads Agency (TARURA) IMPLEMENTATION MODALITIES – MAIN Situations of Urgent Need of Assistance or Capacity Constraints [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Fragile within a non-fragile Country [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Conflict [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made Disaster i The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Other Situations [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Performance-Based Conditions (PBCs) [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Alternative Procurement Arrangements (APA) [ ] Hands-on Expanded Implementation Support (HEIS) @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaproperationstatus#doctemplate OPERATION STATUS Development Objective (DO) Current Development Objective (Approved as part of Additional Financing package on 28-Feb-2025) To improve rural road connectivity, generate jobs, strengthen road management capacity and support emergency response in selected areas, incorporating community engagement approaches. Key Information from Last ISR Operation Ratings NAME IMPLEMENTATION LAST ISR RATINGS 09-Sep-2022 05-Mar-2023 15-Sep-2023 29-Mar-2024 05-Aug-2024 Progress towards ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately achievement of Satisfactory Satisfactory PDO Overall ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately Implementation Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Unsatisfactory Satisfactory Progress (IP) Overall Risk ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Overall ESS ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Moderately Performance Satisfactory Financial ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory Management Project ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately Management Satisfactory Satisfactory Procurement ⚫ Satisfactory ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Monitoring and ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately ⚫ Moderately Evaluation Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory ii The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Disbursement Summary (in USD million) Source of Funds Net Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed IBRD -- -- -- 0 IDA 377.55 63.04 314.65 16.69 Grants 3.90 3.60 0.30 92.31 @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprprocessing#doctemplate BASIC DATA – ADDITIONAL FINANCING Additional Financing No. 1 Additional Financing Type [✓] Activities are being added to expand the scope of the operation, perhaps in geography or in outputs (Scale-up) The operation has incurred increased costs due to inflation, exchange rate changes, and factors that were not [ ] anticipated at appraisal (Cost-overrun) The operation has experienced shortfalls in co-financing, counterpart financing, or cost recovery that were [ ] anticipated at appraisal but did not materialize. (Financing gap) The design of the operation has changed, and the new designs cost more than the original ones (Change in Project [ ] Design) Expected Approval Date Review Type/Corporate Review Level 25-Feb-2025 Regular Decision Meeting (DM) Will consulting services be required? Is this an Urgent Need or Capacity Constraint request? Yes Yes IMPLEMENTATION MODALITIES – ADDITIONAL FINANCING Situations of Urgent Need of Assistance or Capacity Constraints [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Fragile within a non-fragile Country [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Conflict [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made Disaster Other Situations [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) iii The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER [ ] Performance-Based Conditions (PBCs) [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Alternative Procurement Arrangements (APA) [ ] Hands-on Expanded Implementation Support (HEIS) @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprcostfinancing#doctemplate COSTS & FINANCING Summary (Total Financing in US$, Millions) Proposed Last Approved Additional Cancellation Total Total Operation Cost 350.00 100.00 0.00 450.00 Total Financing 350.00 100.00 0.00 450.00 Of which IBRD/IDA 300.00 100.00 0.00 400.00 Financing Gap 0.00 0.00 Financing Details (in US$, Millions) Proposed Source Last Approved Additional Cancellation Total Counterpart Funding 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Borrower/Recipient 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 International Development 300.00 100.00 0.00 400.00 Association (IDA) IDA Credit 300.00 100.00 0.00 400.00 Total Financing 350.00 100.00 0.00 450.00 IDA Resources (in US$, Millions)- Additional Financing Credit Grant SML Guarantee Total Tanzania 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Crisis Response 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Window (CRW) iv The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER National Performance- 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Based Allocations (PBA) Total 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprsort#doctemplate SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK- RATING TOOL (SORT) Last Approved Rating Risk Category Proposed Rating (ISR Seq. 07) Package - 05 Aug 2024 Political and Governance ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Macroeconomic ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Institutional Capacity for ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Implementation and Sustainability Fiduciary ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Environment and Social ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Stakeholders ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Overall ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprclimate#doctemplate CLIMATE Climate Change and Disaster Screening Has this operation been screened for short-term and long-term climate change and disaster risks? Yes, it has been screened and the results are discussed in the Appraisal Document Where risks exist, have potential resilience-enhancing measures been identified in the appraisal document? Yes Does this operation address specific risks, vulnerabilities, gaps or needs with respect to Climate Change that are identified in the SCD or the CPF? Yes Greenhouse Gas Emissions Accounting and Shadow Price of Carbon v The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Gross Emissions Net Emissions (annual average, Net Emissions (economic lifetime, tCO2e) (economic lifetime, tCO2e/year) tCO2e) Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable Explanation for Not Applicable The benefits obtained from Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reductions of the rehabilitation and reconstruction works under Component 6, in particular barriers and footpath on the bridges, as well as realignment have not been estimated, as the sections considered are short and their relative weight in the overall benefits estimated to be low. However, considering GHG emissions reduction would even increase the overall economic return. Has the operation applied the Shadow Price of Carbon in the Economic Analysis? Not Applicable Explanation for Not Applicable The Shadow Price of Carbon cannot be estimated due to the lack of data available for the CBA. POLICY COMPLIANCE Does the operation depart from the CPF in content or in other significant respects? No Does the operation require any waivers from Bank policies? No @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprteam#doctemplate TEAM Core Team Name Role Specialization ADM Responsible? Lead Transport Specialist, Sofia Guerrero Gamez Team Leader Yes Program Leader Nkundwe Jonah Financial Management Financial Management Yes Mwakiluma Specialist Fredrick Manase Nkya Procurement Specialist procurement Yes Raymond Joseph Mbishi Procurement Specialist Procurement No Emmanuel Cosmas Procurement Specialist procurement No Maliganya Aquiline Peter Safari Procurement Specialist procurement No vi The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Mohammad Farouk Environment and Natural Environmental Specialist Yes Ibrahim Kandeel Resources Social Sustainability and Emil Mathew Karuranga Social Specialist Yes Inclusions Gloria Sindano Procurement Team Procurement No Mphanda Mylyn Kabwazi Team Member Transport No Anna Abela Munyagi Team Member Transport No Yonas Eliesikia Mchomvu Team Member Transport No Melvin Daniel Mndeme Team Member Transport No Imma Ismaily Killasama Team Member Program Assistance No Gladness Mukemfura Team Member Co-TTL No Rwejumura Priscilla Simbisayi Zengeni Team Member Financial management No vii The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING 1. This project paper seeks the approval of the Regional Vice President to provide an additional financing (AF) in the amount of US$100 million for the Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) project (P164920). The proposed AF from the Crisis Response Window Plus (CRW+) will address critical infrastructure restoration following the severe climatic shocks in 2023 and 2024 of El Niño floods and Cyclone Hidaya. Given the large scale of the impact and the urgent need for assistance, the AF is essential for addressing the crises and helping the country to return to a sustainable long-term development path. The AF will ensure that the current El-Niño response reaches the affected regions, while also making core infrastructure climate-resilient to withstand future shocks. 2. In addition to the processing of the AF, the project will be restructured to allow for the reallocation of funds1 to the Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) that was activated in September 2024. Since its activation, the CERC has procured and awarded six tender packages for civil works reconstruction, mainly bridges. The packages include the following projects: (i) Kipwata Bridge and relief box culvert: construction of a 40m bridge, a box culvert at Sakura and Songas, and a 1km approach road along Marendego - Lindi - Mingoyo trunk road; (ii) Mikereng’ende Bridge and culvert: construction of a 40m bridge, a box culvert at Mtandango/Stakshari and Masaninga, with a 2km approach road along Marendego - Lindi - Mingoyo trunk road; (iii) Mbwemkuru box culvert: a 4-cell culvert (5x4m), river protection works, and 0.4km approach roads along Marendego – Lindi - Mingoyo trunk road; (iv) Miguruwe Bridge and culverts: construction of a 39m bridge with relief culverts and a 1.2km approach road along Nangurukuru - Liwale regional road; (v) Somanga Mtama Bridge: construction of a 60m bridge with a 1.7km approach road along Marendego - Lindi - Mingoyo trunk road; and (vi) Njenga II Bridge: construction of a 60m span bridge at Matandu and 1.4m approach roads along Marendego - Lindi - Mingoyo trunk road. 3. The RISE project was approved by the World Bank’s Board of Executive Directors on May 26, 2021, with an IDA credit of SDR 208.5 million (US$300 million) and a counterpart financing of US$50 million. The Financing Agreement was signed on August 19, 2021, and the credit became effective on November 16, 2021, with a closing date of June 30, 2027. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve rural road access and provide employment opportunities for the population in selected rural areas and build capacity in the sustainable management of rural roads, incorporating community engagement approaches. The project has five components: Component 1 - Rural Roads Development and Maintenance (US$324.5 million; IDA - US$274.5 million and Government of Tanzania (GoT) - US$50 million); Component 2 - Institutional Strengthening and Human Capital Development (IDA - US$15 million); Component 3: Community Engagement, Inclusion, and Protection (IDA - US$3 million); Component 4 - Project Management, Monitoring, and Evaluation (IDA - US$7.5 million) and Component 5 - Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) (US$0 million). The main project beneficiaries are the rural population across 25 out of the 26 regions of mainland Tanzania who will benefit from improved accessibility to all-season roads. The project is implemented by two implementing agencies, the Tanzania National Roads Agency (TANROADS) and Tanzania Rural and Urban Roads Agency (TARURA), which is the lead coordination agency and where the Project Implementation Unit (PIU) is located. 4. The project addresses some of the urgent challenges in the rural road subsector in Tanzania and is designed to set the foundation for the management of rural roads in Tanzania in the medium term from the policy, planning and implementation capacity perspectives and create a model for a national program. The project assists in creating a philosophy of road asset management that focuses on the safe, inclusive and all-season access for rural communities to reach their social, education, health and financial services, and helps link rural communities to 1US$25 million will be moved from subcomponent 1a (Regional roads upgrades – US$110 million) which is under Component 1 on Rural roads development and maintenance, to the zero-dollar allocation Component 5 (CERC) Page 1 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER markets and economic opportunities. Furthermore, the project incorporates community engagement and gender- responsive approaches that leverage social inclusion while reducing road safety risks and social risks. Also, the project supports the mainstreaming of digital technologies and climate resiliency approaches that are expected to be institutionalized and influence broader road sector policies. The project can also become the first large source of rural employment by generating thousands of rural employment opportunities through civil works, such as road upgrades, bottleneck improvements and routine maintenance. Project Implementation Status 5. As of January 2025, the project has disbursed a total of US$66.64 million (24 percent). The progress towards achievement of PDO is rated as moderately satisfactory (MS) as per the last Implementation Status and Results Report (ISR) of August 2, 2024, and has been either satisfactory or moderately satisfactory over the last 12 months. The project overall Implementation Progress (IP) rating was moderately unsatisfactory (MU) in March 2024, but was upgraded to MS in the latest ISR of August 2024. The IP’s MU rating of March 2024 was due to major delays in the project implementation, resulting in only 10 percent disbursement after more than two years of implementation. Following the July 2024 implementation support mission, the IP rating was upgraded to MS. This upgrade is due to improvements in Component 1 activities, which previously lagged, enabling a US$34 million disbursement between March and June 2024. 6. Component 1. Rural Roads Development and Maintenance, has four sub-components: • Sub-component 1a: Regional Roads Upgrades (US$110 million) implemented by TANROADS. The sub- component will support upgrading of regional roads to all-season access in six districts across four regions: Handeni District Council (DC) in Tanga region, Mbogwe DC in Geita region, Ruangwa DC in Lindi region, and Iringa DC, Mufindi DC, and Kilolo DC in Iringa region. Currently, there is only one ongoing civil works contract of “Upgrading of Iringa (Ipogolo) – Kilolo Regional Road (33.61km) to Bitumen Standard (US$26 million)� in Iringa region. The physical progress as of January 2025 was 40 percent, and the elapsed time was 12 months (43 percent). The other civil works contracts are at different stages of procurement. • Sub-component 1b. District Roads Upgrades (US$131 million) implemented by TARURA. This sub- component will support the upgrading or rehabilitation of rural district roads to all-season access in the same four regions and six districts as for sub-component 1a. There are two ongoing civil works contracts of Lot 1 “Upgrading of Wenda-Mgama Road (19km) to Bitumen Standard in Iringa District (US$12.84 million)� and Lot 2 “Upgrading of Mtili-Ifwagi-Mkuta Road (14km) to Bitumen Standard in Mufindi District Council (US$9.46 million)� all in Iringa region. The current overall physical progress is 81 percent for Lot 1 and 89 percent for Lot 2. The other civil works contracts are at different stages of procurement. • Sub-component 1c. District Roads Bottleneck Improvements (US$27.5 million) implemented by TARURA. This sub-component will support road bottleneck improvements, for example, spot improvements, of rural district roads in all of mainland Tanzania except Dar es Salaam. TARURA has procured 125 district roads bottleneck improvement contracts (US$20.39 million) in 130 districts across 25 regions of mainland Tanzania. The overall physical progress of bottleneck implementation is 68 percent. • Sub-component 1d. Community-based Routine Maintenance (CBRM) (US$56 million2). This sub-component will support routine maintenance activities across rural districts in all mainland Tanzania, except Dar es Salaam. Local communities will be involved in the routine road maintenance activities through different models for CBRM. TARURA has contracted three consultants for this activity: (i) International Labour Organization (ILO) who is the lead consultant and one to provide technical assistance and advice to TARURA; (ii) Establishment Consultant who will be responsible for establishing the CBRM groups, registering them as 2IDA - US$6 million and the GoT - US$50 million. All physical works activities are expected to be delivered with local counterpart funding and use the national procurement and financial management guidelines and procedures. Page 2 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER enterprises and providing these groups with training in enterprise administration; and the (iii) Procurement Modalities Consultant who will review procurement approaches and bidding documents to be used in the contracting of the CBRM groups. The consultants have started supporting implementation of CBRM in eight districts of Kongwa, Mvomero, Kilombero, Rufiji, Mkuranga, Pangani, Korogwe and Lushoto where they have established 850 community groups and are working towards implementation of the first 1500km against the planned 23,000km of routine maintenance. The overall physical progress of CBRM is 2.60 percent. 7. Component 2. Institutional Strengthening and Human Capital Development. Currently, most activities are focused on the preparation of documents and the procurement of consultants to undertake various assignments related to this component. The overall progress stands at 22.20 percent. The component has four sub- components: • Sub-component 2a. Rural Road Sector Policy Framework (US$1.5 million). This sub-component assists the GoT with the review, development and updating of policies and strategies relevant to the sustainable management of the rural road subsector. • Sub-component 2b. Institutional and Administrative Strengthening (US$5.2 million). This sub-component supports TARURA’s institutional and administrative strengthening activities to accelerate TARURA becoming an efficient service delivery institution and assist in maximizing its value to the communities. • Sub-component 2c. Technical Strengthening (US$5 million). This sub-component enhances technical capacity for rural road asset management with an emphasis on climate resilience. • Sub-component 2d. Road Safety Development (US$3.3 million). This sub-component supports rural road safety through institutional strengthening, policy enhancements, data management, and capacity-building to influence road planning, design, and operations. 8. Component 3: Community Engagement, Inclusion, and Protection (US$3 million). This component focuses on enhancing community engagement, social inclusion, and protection by strengthening TARURA’s (and TANROADS’ when applicable) capacity to involve communities, especially women, in project design and implementation. The overall physical progress is at 48 percent. The component includes three sub-components: (i) community engagement to involve vulnerable groups in project design and monitoring; (ii) community inclusion to develop a national model for community-based rural road maintenance emphasizing women's participation; and (iii) community protection to address social risks like Gender-Based Violence (GBV), workplace harassment, and infectious diseases. 9. Component 4: Project Management, Monitoring, and Evaluation (US$7.5 million). This component’s activities aim at enhancing the institutional capacity of TARURA and TANROADS for effective project coordination and implementation. It covers incremental administrative costs, such as staff, audits, training, knowledge exchanges, and procurement of necessary goods and services. 10. Component 5. CERC (US$0 million). This zero-dollar component was to allow for reallocation of credit proceeds from Component 1 to provide immediate emergency recovery support following an eligible crisis or emergency. On May 26, 2024, the GoT declared a National State of Emergency due to the El Niño floods and Cyclone Hidaya, that severely affected the country between November 2023 and May 2024. The project’s CERC was triggered on May 30, 2024, and activated in September 2024. The GoT requested the World Bank to trigger US$320 million for CERC under four projects, including US$25 million under this project, for activities to be implemented by TANROADS. The request was accompanied by a rapid needs assessment, a list of the activities to be covered by CERC, the cost estimation of them, and details on which component the funding will be reallocated from. Page 3 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Rationale for Additional Financing 11. The AF is in the amount of US$100 million to support Tanzania in the aftermath of several climatic shocks that have significantly affected the country. Tanzania is still recovering from the impact of the floods caused by El- Niño and Cyclone Hidaya, that occurred between 2023 and 2024. The severe flooding in the country led to tragic loss of lives, significant damage to properties, and extensive disruptions in transportation routes and access networks, including severe damage to the roads and bridges infrastructure around the country. The affected regions are the Coast, Dar es Salaam, Lindi, Morogoro, Ruvuma, Singida, Tabora, Dodoma, Kilimanjaro, Songwe, Simiyu, Mbeya, Rukwa, Mwanza, Arusha, Njombe, Iringa, Mtwara, Shinyanga, Kigoma, Mara, Geita, Kagera, Tanga and Manyara. The disasters have had a macroeconomic impact, including lower than anticipated real GDP growth and additional fiscal pressure. In 2023, real GDP grew by 5.1 percent slightly lower than authorities’ goal of 5.2 percent, partly due to climate related shocks that reduced production in the agriculture sector and destroyed infrastructure, including bridges and roads. Moreover, real GDP growth projections for 2024 have been revised downwards from 5.6 percent to 5.4 percent due to slow implementation of structural reforms and flood-related shocks, which destroyed bridges and roads and slowed progress in implementation of new infrastructure projects especially during the first quarter of 2024. On the fiscal front, the cost of replacing bridges and roads is estimated at 0.6-0.8 percent of GDP in FY24/25. 12. The rural roads sector in Tanzania is particularly susceptible to damage from precipitation and related weather events that cause damage to the road network and disrupt connectivity. Damages caused by heavy rains include washout of road embankments, collapse of bridges, flooding and overtopping, which result in road closure, ultimately affecting social and economic activities severely. The rapid damage and loss assessment done in May 2024 determined that the total damage and losses from landslides, floods and Cyclone Hidaya are estimated at US$368.63 million and US$184.45 million from damages and losses, respectively. The floods caused substantial damage to national (trunk) road infrastructure, including 1,904 road sections, 121 bridges and 330 pipes. At the municipal level, 63 bridges, 822 km of road sections, 84 km of major drains, and 225 culverts have been affected. 13. Upon declaration of a National State of Emergency due to the El Nino floods and Cyclone Hidaya, the GoT, with limited resources and in collaboration with humanitarian organizations, development partners, civil societies, and private sector, provided funds for emergency response. The GoT provided the Prime Minister’s Office with approximately US$4.28 million for recovery related activities and US$78.9 million to TARURA and TANROADS for immediate restoration of impacted infrastructure. II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING 14. In addition to the additional activities under the AF requested by GoT through a letter dated July 15, 2024, a Level 2 restructuring of the project is needed to undertake the following changes: a. The PDO is being modified to reflect the new scope. The PDO of the parent project focused on improving rural road access, providing employment, and building capacity for sustainable road management with community engagement. The new PDO will include the emergency response part of the AF. The proposed new PDO is to improve rural road connectivity, generate jobs, strengthen road management capacity and support emergency response in selected areas, incorporating community engagement approaches. b. A new Component 6 on Restoration of Critical Connectivity, is being created to allocate the US$100 million of CRW+ resources to support essential infrastructure, including design and supervision of bridges and road sections, in up to the 26 regions of Tanzania mainland. c. The Results Framework is being revised to reflect the new PDO-Level indicators and the intermediate indicators for Component 6. Page 4 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER d. Environmental and social framework instruments will be implemented for Component 6, including the Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF), the Labor Management Plan (LMP), the Occupational Health and Safety Plan (OHSP) developed for the parent project, Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF), and Vulnerable Groups Planning Framework (VGPF). The Stakeholder Engagement Plan (SEP) and the Environmental and Social Commitment Plan (ESCP) have been updated to address the broader project scope and new stakeholder engagement. e. US$25 million will be reallocated from Component 1 to Component 5 (CERC). 15. Scaling up of the project activities will help Tanzania recover from the impacts of 2023-2024 El-Niño and Cyclone Hidaya and strengthen the country’s resilience to future climate shocks. The US$100 million AF from CRW+ will finance the reconstruction of critical infrastructure, including bridges, culverts, drainage infrastructure and road sections across the impacted regions. The financing will prioritize rehabilitating and building climate resilient infrastructure due to its importance in reducing risk and improving service provision. Critical infrastructure is central to connecting various parts of the region and ensuring rural and urban areas function well. Changes in components and allocation of funds 16. Changes in Component 1 allocation is needed for the CERC. The current scope of RISE components will remain the same, and a new Component 6 is proposed to allocate the US$100 million CRW+ resources and a US$25 million reallocation of funds from Component 1 to 5. The Rapid Needs Assessment, the list of the activities to be covered by the CERC and the activities’ cost estimation is specified in the Project Operations Manual (POM). Table 1 below provides a summary of the new fund allocations following the proposed project restructuring. Table 1: Changes in Components and Proposed Allocation of AF Original Project Scale up in Additional Original Allocation Additional Allocation Total Financing or CERC (US$ million) (US$ million) Allocation (US$ million) Component 1. Rural Roads Development and 324.5 -25 299.5 Maintenance Component 2: Institutional Strengthening and Human 15 - 15 Capital Development Component 3: Community Engagement, Inclusion, 3 - 3 and Protection Component 4: Project Management, Monitoring, 7.5 - 7.5 and Evaluation Component 5: Contingent Emergency Response 0 25 25 Component 6: Restoration of critical - 100 100 connectivity Sub-component 6a. Regional Connectivity - 70 70 Restoration Sub-component 6b: District Connectivity - 30 30 Restoration Page 5 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER 17. Component 6: Restoration of critical connectivity (US$100 million). This component will support the construction of critical infrastructure, including bridges, culverts, drainage infrastructure and road sections across the country in the aftermath of the 2024 floods, including their design and supervision. It will help the country to recover from the impacts of 2023-2024 El-Niño and Cyclone Hidaya, and to strengthen the country’s resilience to future climate shocks. Restoring this critical infrastructure is essential for reconnecting different parts of the country and ensuring the efficient functioning of urban areas. 18. Interventions will be selected based on the eligibility criteria defined in the POM and aligned with the CRW+ criteria, with a focus on resilient and sustainable interventions, considering existing and future vulnerabilities due to climate change. This component will be implemented in up to 26 regions of mainland Tanzania and funded through CRW+ resources, with TARURA and TANROADS overseeing the implementation. (a) Sub-component 6a: Regional Connectivity Restoration (US$70 million). This sub-component will support regional connectivity infrastructure through financing of both civil works and supervision services contracts. The activity will be implemented by TANROADS. (b) Sub-component 6b: District Connectivity Restoration (US$30 million). This sub-component will support district connectivity infrastructure through financing of both civil works and supervision services contract. The activity will be implemented by TARURA. PDO and Results Framework 19. The restructuring includes a revision to the results framework. The revision reconciles the changes to PDO, PDO- Level indicators and intermediate indicators for Components 5 and 6. 20. The new PDO is to improve rural road connectivity, generate jobs, strengthen road management capacity and support emergency response in selected areas, incorporating community engagement approaches. 21. Two new PDO-level indicators have been added. The first indicator aims to measure improvement in rural road connectivity, is the scorecard indicator “People that benefit from improved access to sustainable transport infrastructure,� measured through direct users as a number of people, segregated by gender and the youth has been added. The second indicator aims to measure “support emergency response in selected areas�, with a new indicator “Number of resilient-designed interventions implemented under the CERC to restore cut off areas.� The scorecard indicator measures direct users 3 that benefit from improved access to services and sustainable transport4 infrastructure that has been built or rehabilitated through the financed interventions, for example, climate-resilient rural and urban roads. It will build on Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 11.2 to systematically measure improvements in sustainable transport. This PDO-level indicator target is yet to be defined once the CRW interventions are identified. 22. The PDO-level indicator, "Share of rural population within 5km access to good condition roads" (measured as a percentage), has been dropped; it was associated with the outcome "to improve rural road access for population in selected rural areas." 23. Four new intermediate indicators have been added to measure Component 6. They include: (i) measuring the population benefiting from restored connectivity, disaggregated in two indicators, one at regional level and the other at the district level, and (ii) tracking the number of interventions implemented, measured also through two indicators disaggregated at regional and district levels. 3People directly benefiting from new transport services and infrastructure and/or improvements in transport services and infrastructure. 4Sustainable transport is defined as the provision of improved transport services and infrastructure for mobility in a manner that is safer, more accessible, more efficient, and more resilient, while minimizing carbon and other emissions and environmental impacts. Page 6 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Table 3: Revised Results Framework* Proposed changes PDO Level Indicator Baseline Target ** Revised Improved rural road connectivity in selected areas New Scorecard Indicator: New: Direct users that benefit from improved access to 0 TBD People that benefit from sustainable transport infrastructure and services (number of improved access to people) sustainable transport New: Direct users that benefit from improved access to 0 TBD infrastructure sustainable transport infrastructure and services - Female (number of people) New: Direct users that benefit from improved access to 0 TBD sustainable transport infrastructure and services - Youth (number of people) Old PDO sub-section: To Dropped: Share of rural population within 5km access to good 48 58 improve rural road access condition roads (Percentage) for population in selected rural areas Jobs generated No changes Civil works jobs created (person-year) (Number) 0 35,000 Strengthened road management capacity No changes “People-centered� design approach for rural road development No Yes (Yes/No) No changes Share of district rural roads in good and fair condition in the 45 47 project area (Percentage) No changes Share of regional rural roads in good and fair condition in the 68 70 project area. (Percentage) New Emergency response support in selected areas New New: Number of resilient-designed interventions implemented 0 6 under the CERC to restore cut off areas (Number) Components Intermediate Result Indicator Baseline Target New Component 6: Restoration of critical connectivity New: Population (direct beneficiaries) benefitting from 0 TBD New Sub-component 6a restored regional connectivity through resilient-designed interventions (number) New Sub-component 6b New: Population (direct beneficiaries) benefitting from 0 TBD restored district connectivity through resilient-designed interventions (number) New Sub-component 6a New: Number of cut off areas at regional level restored in a 0 TBD resilient manner (Number) New Sub-component 6b New: Number of cut off areas at district level restored in a 0 TBD resilient manner (Number) * only intermediate indicators that have been revised or added are shown in this table ** pending dates will be set once the CRW interventions have been identified 24. The Results Chain (Figure 1) has been updated to align with the new PDO and to integrate both existing and newly introduced activities, particularly highlighting Component 6, “Restoration of Critical Connectivity,� along with key result indicators. Compared to the parent project’s ToC, the revised version introduces a more structured framework of short-, mid-, and long-term outcomes, emphasizing sustainability, resilience, and inclusivity in rural Page 7 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER road development. In the short-term outcomes, the updates focus on implementing emergency response mechanisms alongside climate-resilient transport infrastructure, particularly through the CERC component and Component 6. In the mid- and long- term, and also related to the CERC and Component 6, the TOC reflects the objective of establishing a climate-resilient transport infrastructure that ensures improved rural road connectivity, thereby fostering economic growth and social inclusion in the affected regions. Figure 1. Results Chain Institutional arrangements 25. Institutional arrangements will remain as defined for the parent project. The AF will continue to be implemented by TANROADS and TARURA and details are reflected in the POM. Environmental and social requirements 26. The Project Environmental and Social Framework (ESF) requirements will be implemented through the framework instruments prepared for the parent project and site-specific instruments for Component 6. Key documents will be implemented, including the existing ESMF. Site-specific Environmental and Social Impact Assessments (ESIAs) and Environmental and Social Management Plans (ESMPs) will be prepared prior to the implementation of activities. In addition, the existing SEP and ESCP have already been updated to include information regarding new stakeholders and to reflect the new commitments of the implementing agencies, respectively. The updated ESCP and SEP were disclosed in-country on December 18, 2024, and on the World Bank’s website on February 26, 2025. Consultation activities will be part of preparation of the ESF site-specific instruments, while stakeholder engagement will be a continuous activity as stipulated in the SEP. Page 8 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER III. KEY RISKS 27. The overall risk for the AF is Substantial. 28. The Sector and Policies risk for the project (Substantial). Although TARURA has 7 years of operational experience, it still requires significant institutional and technical capacity strengthening. The transfer of functions from Local Government Authorities (LGAs) to TARURA has been progressive, but some unresolved policy issues remain, particularly concerning urban roads. In addition, LGAs now depend on TARURA for road asset management, including planning, programming, and implementation, which had transitional challenges. Component 2 has mitigated this risk, specifically to support TARURA’s institutional strengthening through a gradual implementation approach. The AF will continue contributing to the institutional development efforts, addressing the broader spectrum of capacity needs, including urban road management. As TARURA’s institutional framework strengthens and the policy environment becomes totally stable, the sector strategies and policies risk are expected to diminish. 29. Technical design of the project (Substantial). The technical design risks are considered substantial for the AF, largely due to the advanced capacity requirements for TANROADS to implement new infrastructure projects, assess the current designs and improve them according to better resilient standards. To mitigate this risk, the ongoing experience of TANROADS with the CERC and other infrastructure rehabilitation activities under the parent project serve as both a valuable reference and a learning process, also helping streamline improvements and making project implementation more efficient and effective. In addition, the project's support for the National Rural Roads Plan shows a commitment to long-term sector planning and capacity building. 30. Institutional capacity for implementation and sustainability (Substantial). The substantial risk rating for institutional capacity reflects TARURA’s limited experience with World Bank-financed projects, particularly when dealing with multiple interventions that require constant supervision. During implementation of the parent project, TARURA has led implementation of several project activities, enhancing its capacity and institutional knowledge. Among the mitigation measures, ongoing cooperation from TANROADS and Component 2 of the project, which emphasizes capacity building, will further strengthen project management, coordination, and ability to address cross-cutting issues. Current project management activities are allowing TARURA and TANROADS to progressively build capacity throughout the project’s implementation, a crucial factor for successfully carrying out activities under this AF. 31. Fiduciary risk (Substantial). Both TANROADS and TARURA have satisfactory experience in implementing IDA projects and have experienced project accounting teams. They are currently implementing the parent project and will proceed with the AF, with a financial management rating deemed satisfactory by the World Bank. The project adheres to established financial management practices and legal requirements, with no overdue audits and acceptable audit reports. The project’s team has demonstrated strong financial oversight, ensuring that all financial transactions are transparent and well-documented. The financial management risk is considered Substantial due to the slow pace of implementation, low disbursements, and low budget utilization. While there are significant risks, these are being managed to a level that is acceptable to the World Bank. Regular financial reviews and internal controls are in place to mitigate any potential risks, further contributing to the project's robust financial management framework. The procurement risk is also considered Substantial due to: (i) capacity constraints and complexity of project activities which are being implemented in all regions in Tanzania mainland; (ii) frequently transferring of the procurement and technical staffs; (iii) inefficiencies in implementing procurement activities; (iv) inadequate knowledge and skills/experience in contract management, disputes and claims management; and (v) delays in paying vendors. To mitigate these procurements risks, capacity-building interventions will continue to be financed under the AF, required staffs/consultants will be hired or deployed by TANROADS and TARURA, conduct trainings on the contract management to the staff in the region offices, and the Project Management Consultant will continue to provide support to TARURA to manage project activities. Page 9 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER 32. Environment and social (Substantial). The environmental and social risks are substantial because of the possible risks linked to the planned infrastructure works, which will include construction of bridges, culverts, drainage systems, and road sections in up to the 26 regions in mainland Tanzania. Key environmental impacts and risks include noise and air pollution during construction, water pollution from runoff or improper waste management, and soil degradation resulting from construction activities, solid and hazardous waste, labor and health risks, and community health and safety concerns. The flood protection works may be associated with some risks downstream water availability and quality and natural habitats (such as mangroves ecosystems). From the social perspective, the plan is to have activities that will not require additional land take. However, it is expected that planned activities may accelerate potential grievances among workers and surrounding communities due to increased interactions between project personnel and other communities. Additionally, such interactions may heighten the risk of GBV. While most of these impacts are expected to be site specific and short-term, they will require close monitoring and appropriate mitigation measures that are included in the ESMF of the parent project and will be included in the site-specific ESMPs for each subproject. The implementation of mitigation measures will be supervised by TARURA and TANROADS. IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY A. Economic Analysis 33. The economic evaluation was done on selected priority projects from the long list presented by TANROADS and TARURA for the AF: 1) for TANROADS: Lower Malagarasi Bridge and its approach roads along the Simbo - Kalya – Sibwesa Road, and Katula bridges, culverts and access road on the Shelui – Nzega road; 2) for TARURA: Geita district urban roads.5 The economic evaluation was prepared using the Highway Development and Management Model (HDM-4), which computes the road condition of the Project’s roads under different project-alternatives and the corresponding annual road agency costs, road user costs (vehicle operating costs and travel time costs) and total transport costs over an evaluation period of 20 years to evaluate the project-alternatives in terms of net present value of benefits (NPV), at a given discount rate, compared to the without project-alternatives. 34. The main direct economic benefits from the project will be the reduction in time delays for motorized (passenger and freight) and non-motorized transport users, resulting from the improved all-year-round crossings. The rehabilitation or reconstruction of bridges and culverts, more resilient to climate change, will also lead to savings in costs of future interventions when an extreme weather event or geological hazards occur. 35. Case 1: The Malagarasi Bridge is located on the Simbo-Kalya–Sibwesa Road. Currently, only ferry services operate on this large river crossing. A user interview survey identified challenges associated with the existing ferry service across the Malagarasi River, including long waiting times, insufficient infrastructure, and poor service quality. User perspectives emphasized discomfort, primarily due to waiting times, and highlighted the importance of the crossing for business and transportation purposes. Benefits of the project are the difference between the current situation (waiting at the ferry) and improved situation (all year-round access through the bridge). The Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) for the Malagarasi bridge construction, including vehicle operating, travel time, and delay cost savings is 13.3 percent, and the NPV is US$1.8 million, using a discount rate of 10 percent. 36. Case 2: Construction of 2 bridges, 2 culverts, and access roads on the Shelui-Nzega Road. The project road forms part of the Central Corridor of the national trunk road system that carries the highest international freight flow across the country, serving a number of intermediate administrative and economic growth centers connecting Dar es Salaam Port with the North part of the country as well as neighboring countries of Rwanda, Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda and Kenya. Notwithstanding the planned upgrade of the whole corridor of 123 km, TANROADS proposed to improve immediate access, with reconstruction of 2 critical bridges (Katula 2 5 Not all information and feasibility studies for the selected measures were available. Page 10 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER at km 16+7272 and Katula 3 at km 17+124) and additional 2 large box culverts located within the same sub-section of 3 km. The EIRR for the Kulata bridges construction, including vehicle operating and travel time savings, is 56.9 percent, and the NPV is US$27.9 million, using a discount rate of 10 percent. This result is particularly high, and investment is justified due to the strategic importance of the link and the high number of heavy trucks travelling along these structures. 37. Case 3: Geita District council road. The proposed road is located within the Nzela ward in Geita District and is connecting four villages at the ward and 4 wards in Geita district council, serving a total population of 363,453 people. The project will consist of 3.85 km of road improvement, partly double bituminous surface treatment (DBST) for 2.65 km and partly stone road for 1.2 km on the swamp area. Whereas current traffic is low due to the condition and impassibility, where residents revert to the use of barges, the potential traffic on this road is high. The EIRR for the Geita district road upgrading, including vehicle operating and travel time savings, is 17.6 percent, and the NPV is US$0.950 million, using a discount rate of 10 percent. 38. Based on the results of the 3 cases studied, with an investment cost of US$24.5 million, the economic results have been scaled up to the total amount of US$100 million of additional financing and would result in overall EIRR for the project of 29.95 percent and an estimated NPV of US$124.8 million. 39. The benefits obtained from Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reductions and safety improvements to be implemented during the rehabilitation and reconstruction works, in particular barriers and footpaths on the bridges, as well as realignment have not been taken into account in this calculation, as the sections considered are short and their relative weight in the overall benefits estimated to be low. However, considering these aspects would even increase the overall economic return. 40. Besides the required further screening and prioritization of the long list of measures proposed by the beneficiaries, the sample analysis shows that investment measures are sound and economically justified, participating in climate resilient improvement of the Tanzanian road network. B. Technical specifications 41. Component 6 Restoration of Critical Connectivity will support infrastructure rehabilitation and upgrades across Tanzania following the extensive flood damages from the 2023-2024 El-Niño and Cyclone Hidaya events. This component is funded with a US$100 million allocation, divided into US$70 million for regional infrastructure projects (Sub-component 6a) and US$30 million for district level interventions (Sub-component 6b). Component 6 activities will specifically prioritize the restoration of key infrastructure, such as bridges, culverts, road sections, and drainage systems across affected regions, addressing both immediate recovery needs and long-term climate resilience. Projects financed under this component will apply national and international engineering standards aimed at increasing infrastructure durability against future climate shocks. 42. Activities under Component 6 will be selected according to the specific eligibility detailed in the POM. The eligibility criteria prioritize actions such as temporary and permanent road rehabilitation for flood-damaged roads, with alignment adjustments to avoid future landslide-prone areas, bridge repairs for immediate connectivity solutions and long-term replacements, culvert and drainage enhancements to manage water flow and prevent erosion, and earthworks for slope stabilization and embankment reinforcements. All interventions adhere to Tanzania's national policies and will comply with the World Bank’s environmental and social standards, ensuring activities cannot be located in critical habitats, protected areas, or regions with social conflicts. 43. The eligibility criteria for goods, services, non-consulting services, works, and other expenses will follow a general framework that will be expanded by TARURA and TANROADS in the POM. The proposed categories are, inter alia: (a) Carriageway and associated drainage, including reconstruction or repair of damaged road sections on original or adjusted alignments, and improvements to alignments for safety or environmental considerations, Page 11 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER such as landslide avoidance; (b) Bridges. Construction of temporary or permanent bridges to restore connectivity; (c) Earthworks. Recovery efforts for large-scale landslides, including temporary stabilization and long-term solutions, and repairs for cut slope and embankment failures, with a focus on both short-term recovery and durable construction; (d) River/Stream bank works, including erosion control to protect roadways and bridge foundations and restoration measures to mitigate potential future erosion risks; (e) Culverts and Causeways. Recovery and reconstruction of damaged or eroded culverts, vented causeways, and related structures; (f) Investigations and assessments for long-term solutions to major impacts, such as landslides and large-scale bridge repairs; (g) Goods and equipment. Procurement of essential items such as vehicles, tools, construction materials, and equipment necessary for project implementation and temporary facilities like toilets, storage units, and boreholes to support site accessibility and operations; and (h) Any additional items agreed upon by the World Bank and the Recipient, as documented in formal project communications. C. Financial Management 44. In line with the guidelines as stated in the Financial Management Practices Manual issued on March 1, 2010, a financial management assessment was conducted for the parent project. 45. The FM arrangements in TARURA and TANROADS are adequate to provide accurate and timely project information as required by IDA. The project will use report-based disbursement, with quarterly unaudited Interim Financial Reports submitted to the World Bank within 45 days after each quarter. The National Audit Office will audit all World Bank-funded projects, with annual audit reports submitted within six months after the financial year end (by December 31). 46. Additionally, TARURA and TANROADS are required to open separate designated accounts since the AF is not financing the same activities as in the parent project. This will ensure that funds are used for the intended purposes and maintain clear financial separation between different funding sources. D. Procurement 47. Procurements under the AF will be carried out in accordance with the following World Bank procedures: (a) the World Bank Procurement Regulations for IPF Borrowers Fifth Edition, September 2023; (b) Guidelines on Preventing and Combating Fraud and Corruption in Projects Financed by IBRD Loans and IDA Credits and Grants (dated October 15, 2006, and revised in January 2011 and July 1, 2016); and (c) other provisions stipulated in the Financing Agreements. 48. Project Procurement Strategy for Development (PPSD) and a Procurement Plan (PP). The borrower has updated the PPSD by identifying optimum procurement strategies for AF activities, based on which the PPs for both TARURA and TANROADS have been updated. The updated PPs have been agreed and eventually will be disclosed on the World Bank’s external website and activities will be processed through STEP. The PPs will be updated in agreement with the World Bank annually or as required to reflect the project’s actual implementation needs. 49. There is no change in procurement implementation arrangements. TARURA will continue to be the lead coordination agency for the project. At TARURA, the established PIU will continue to work closely with TARURA’s headquarter-based Project Management Unit (PMU) and TARURA’s regional offices delegated Tender Boards to carry out procurement activities of the project. At TANROADS, TANROADS’ PMU will continue to be responsible for the day-to-day running of the project’s procurement activities. E. Environmental and Social 50. AF interventions will repair flood-damaged infrastructure in urban areas with some potential impacts on natural habitats and communities, which will require TANROADS and TARURA to enhance their environmental and social risk management capacity by incorporating updated Environmental and Social Standards (ESS) for the Page 12 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER interventions and implementing site-specific mitigation plans to effectively manage substantial risks. The AF interventions are expected to take place at the footprint of existing transport infrastructure damaged by the floodings in 2024. The land use in those areas would be urban areas that have been already developed. However, the impacted areas may include some natural habitats, such as river courses or coastal mangroves that are located downstream of the proposed works or offsite facilities, such as quarries and borrow pits. 51. The environmental and social risks are considered substantial. Key environmental impacts and risks include noise and air pollution during construction, water pollution from runoff or improper waste management, and soil degradation resulting from construction activities, solid and hazardous waste, labor and health risks, and community health and safety concerns. The flood protection works may be associated with some risks downstream for water availability and quality and natural habitats (such as mangroves ecosystems). Additionally, it is expected, that the project planned activities will not require additional land take. However, it is expected that these activities may accelerate potential grievances among workers and surrounding communities due to increased interactions between project personnel and other communities. Additionally, such interactions may heighten the risk of GBV. While most of these impacts are expected to be site-specific and short-term, they will require close monitoring and appropriate mitigation measures. The E&S management of the AF will be done by TANROADS and TARURA, as in the case for the parent project. An assessment of the current capacity of these two implementing agencies reveals limitations in environmental and social risk management capabilities. The expanded scope introduced by Component 6 under AF demands comprehensive environmental and social oversight for critical infrastructure restoration. TANROADS and TARURA will enhance their E&S teams by deploying additional officers based on capacity needs, which will strengthen E&S standards’ implementation, supervision, monitoring, and reporting. All ESSs, except ESS9, are applicable to the AF as for the parent project. To manage environmental and social risks and impacts, the ESCP and SEP have been updated to address the issues related to the AF. The project, including the AF, will continue implementing instruments prepared for the parent project, including the ESMF, LMP, Occupational Health and Safety (OHS), RPF and VGPF. Site-specific instruments (e.g. ESMPs, CESMPs, quarry and traffic management plans) will be prepared prior to commencing works and will serve as foundational instruments for the identification and management of risks and impacts. These documents will be updated as needed to incorporate lessons learned, particularly from previous Occupational Health and Safety (OHS) incidents, and to reflect the scale and geographical spread of Component 6 interventions. New site- specific ESIAs, ESMPs, and specialized plans (such as biodiversity conservation and erosion control measures) will be developed for high-impact subprojects to ensure alignment with ESS standards, particularly in flood-prone and ecologically sensitive areas. Legal Operational Policies Triggered? Projects on International Waterways OP 7.50 No Projects in Disputed Areas OP 7.60 No F. Paris Alignment 52. The proposed AF is aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement for both climate adaptation and mitigation. The AF is aligned with the country’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) (2021) in promoting climate proofing of critical transport infrastructure. The activities financed under the project are Universally Aligned from Page 13 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER a mitigation perspective, as the project will finance rural road rehabilitation and reconstruction of critical infrastructure without contributing to a risk of deforestation or capacity expansion. The project will invest in non- motorized transport infrastructure, including sidewalks and pedestrian crossings. For adaptation, the main climate hazard faced by the project are vulnerability to increased intense precipitations and hence flooding. According to think hazard6, areas affected by 2023-2024 El-Nino and Cyclone Hidaya are classified as high or medium risk for river flooding. The AF adequately reduces the physical climate risks to the project outcomes. The residual risk would be reduced to an acceptable level. The activities under AF are reconstruction of critical infrastructure, including bridges, culverts, drainage to recover from impacts of 2023-2024 El-Nino and Cyclone Hidaya and improve the resilience to future climate disasters. The climate resilient designs follow stronger technical standards such as constructing wider bridge spans and culvert openings to accommodate heavier precipitation flows, and new structures and culverts will be designed for 100 years design period and hydraulic capacity for 50–100-year return rainfall. The climate adaptation measures include newly built/rehabilitated water-crossing structures against erosion and scouring and stabilizing embankments, slopes and cuts against landslide and erosion. G. Climate Co-Benefits 53. The AF aims to finance activities for post-disaster reconstruction after the recent floods, applying a “build-back better� approach for future climate hazards. A rigorous selection process for reconstruction/rehabilitation will be carried out for maximizing connectivity and climate resilient improvements. Spot improvements will include cross-drainage, culverts and bridges rehabilitation, as well as erosion protection and slope and embankment protection. The project also invests in measures promoting safer roads for pedestrians and non-motorized transport (bicycles), dedicated lanes, pedestrian crossings, and wider shoulders. The detailed adaptation and mitigation measures are described in Annex 2. H. Gender 54. Gender issues described in the original project remain valid. The following gender issues were assessed as relevant for the AF: ongoing barriers to women's participation in the road sector, persistent gender gaps in job quality and income, and the increased risk of GBV associated with infrastructure projects. The AF will continue to implement a people-centered approach that includes targeted strategies for increasing women's roles in construction and road maintenance. Specifically, the current consultancy 7 led by the International Labour Organization (ILO), that will also inform activities under this AF, will ensure: (i) that training modules include a gender perspective in terms of addressing barriers for women to participate in trainings and in terms of the content; (ii) that gender perspectives are integrated into women recruitment processes for the working groups; (iii) that innovative measures will be considered to address retention recruitment barriers, and; (iv) that mechanisms will be established for reporting sexual harassment, along with providing community childcare facilities. Additionally, contract procedures will be adapted to support gender inclusion in the different contractors and sub-contractors for the civil works. I. Citizen Engagement and Grievance Redress Mechanism 55. The implementation of the AF will build on the strong citizen engagement principles of the parent project as well as the existing project grievance redress mechanism which is in place and well-functioning with committees being established and trained. The AF will follow the current citizen engagement activities under RISE which is functioning properly with web-based capabilities for receipt and processing of grievances, and comprehensive road safety audits. This approach includes multiple rounds of community consultations designed to address the 6https://thinkhazard.org/en/ 77For additional information about the consultancy, refer to the Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920). Page 25. Page 14 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER needs and concerns of all road users, particularly vulnerable users and those in communities surrounding low- volume roads. All interventions under the AF, will continue the engagement strategy that prioritizes enhancing community decision-making and participation, with a focus on empowering women and ensuring social inclusion. Additionally, the engagement activities will help inform impacted communities on project E&S anticipated risks and impacts and mitigations measures in place to address those risks. This will include, GBV, child labor, forced labors, migration workers and OHS issues. V. WORLD BANK GRIEVANCE REDRESS 56. Grievance Redress: Communities and individuals who believe that they are adversely affected by a project supported by the World Bank may submit complaints to existing project-level grievance mechanisms or the World Bank’s Grievance Redress Service (GRS). The GRS ensures that complaints received are promptly reviewed in order to address project-related concerns. Project affected communities and individuals may submit their complaint to the World Bank’s independent Accountability Mechanism (AM). The AM houses the Inspection Panel, which determines whether harm occurred, or could occur, as a result of World Bank non-compliance with its policies and procedures, and the Dispute Resolution Service, which provides communities and borrowers with the opportunity to address complaints through dispute resolution. Complaints may be submitted to the AM at any time after concerns have been brought directly to the attention of World Bank Management and after Management has been given an opportunity to respond. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank’s GRS, visit http://www.worldbank.org/GRS. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank’s Accountability Mechanism, visit https://accountability.worldbank.org. Page 15 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprproposedchanges#doctemplate Summary changes VI. PROPOSED CHANGES Operation Information Proposed Changes Operation Information Proposed Changes Development Objective Yes Reallocations Yes Summary Description Yes Loan Closing Date Extension No (Operation Abstract) Results Yes Loan Cancellations No Disbursements Estimates Yes Financial Management No Components Yes Procurement No Legal Operational Policies No Institutional Arrangement No MFD/PCE No Implementation Schedule No Legal Covenants No Implementation Modalities No Conditions No Implementation Modalities No Disbursements Arrangements No Additional Regional No Institutions Clients No Beneficiary Countries No @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprdetailedchanges#doctemplate VII. DETAILED CHANGE(S) DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE (DO) Development Objective Development Objective (Approved as part of Decision Package on 27-May-2021) To improve rural road access and provide employment opportunities for population in selected rural areas and build capacity in the sustainable management of rural roads incorporating community engagement approaches. Current Development Objective (Approved as part of Additional Financing Package Seq No 1 on 28-Feb-2025) To improve rural road connectivity, generate jobs, strengthen road management capacity and support emergency response in selected areas, incorporating community engagement approaches. Proposed New Development Objective Page 16 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER To improve rural road connectivity, generate jobs, strengthen road management capacity and support emergency response in selected areas, incorporating community engagement approaches. Operation Abstract: Summary Description of Proposed Operation Operation Abstract (Approved as part of Decision Package on 27-May-2021) The RISE Project will address some of the urgent challenges in the rural road subsector in Tanzania. The RISE Project is proposed as a combination of mutually reinforcing investments and institutional strengthening activities. It is expected that the RISE will set the foundation for the management of rural roads in Tanzania in the medium term from the policy, planning and implementation capacity perspectives and create a model for a national program. The RISE Project will assist in creating a philosophy of road asset management that will focus on the safe, inclusive and all-season access for rural communities to reach their social, education, health and financial services, and help link rural communities to markets and economic opportunities. Furthermore, the RISE Project will incorporate community engagement and gender-responsive approaches that will leverage social inclusion while reducing road safety risks and social risks. Also, RISE will support the mainstreaming of digital technologies and climate resiliency approaches that are expected to be institutionalized and influence broader road sector policies. The RISE Project could also become the first large source of rural employment by generating thousands of rural employment opportunities through civil works, such as road upgrades, bottleneck improvements and routine maintenance. Current Operation Abstract (Approved as part of Additional Financing Package Seq No 1 on 28-Feb-2025) The RISE project will address some of the urgent challenges in the rural road subsector in Tanzania. The RISE project is proposed as a combination of mutually reinforcing investments and institutional strengthening activities. It is expected that the RISE will set the foundation for the management of rural roads in Tanzania in the medium term from the policy, planning and implementation capacity perspectives and create a model for a national program. The RISE project will assist in creating a philosophy of road asset management that will focus on the safe, inclusive and all-season access for rural communities to reach their social, education, health and financial services, and help link rural communities to markets and economic opportunities. Furthermore, the RISE project will incorporate community engagement and gender-responsive approaches that will leverage social inclusion while reducing road safety risks and social risks. Also, RISE will support the mainstreaming of digital technologies and climate resiliency approaches that are expected to be institutionalized and influence broader road sector policies. The RISE project could also become the first large source of rural employment by generating thousands of rural employment opportunities through civil works, such as road upgrades, bottleneck improvements and routine maintenance. The RISE project will also help the country to recover Page 17 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER from the impacts of 2023-2024 El-Niño and Cyclone Hidaya, and to strengthen the country’s resilience to future climate shocks, by financing the construction of critical infrastructure to restore connectivity. Proposed Operation Abstract The RISE project will address some of the urgent challenges in the rural road subsector in Tanzania. The RISE project is proposed as a combination of mutually reinforcing investments and institutional strengthening activities. It is expected that the RISE will set the foundation for the management of rural roads in Tanzania in the medium term from the policy, planning and implementation capacity perspectives and create a model for a national program. The RISE project will assist in creating a philosophy of road asset management that will focus on the safe, inclusive and all-season access for rural communities to reach their social, education, health and financial services, and help link rural communities to markets and economic opportunities. Furthermore, the RISE project will incorporate community engagement and gender-responsive approaches that will leverage social inclusion while reducing road safety risks and social risks. Also, RISE will support the mainstreaming of digital technologies and climate resiliency approaches that are expected to be institutionalized and influence broader road sector policies. The RISE project could also become the first large source of rural employment by generating thousands of rural employment opportunities through civil works, such as road upgrades, bottleneck improvements and routine maintenance. The RISE project will also help the country to recover from the impacts of 2023-2024 El-Niño and Cyclone Hidaya, and to strengthen the country’s resilience to future climate shocks, by financing the construction of critical infrastructure to restore connectivity. COMPONENTS Last Approved Proposed Component Name Cost (USD) Action Component Name Cost (USD) Rural Roads Development Rural Roads Development 324,500,000.00 No Change 299,500,000.00 and Maintenance and Maintenance Institutional Strengthening Institutional Strengthening and Human Capital 15,000,000.00 No Change and Human Capital 15,000,000.00 Development Development Community Engagement, Community Engagement, 3,000,000.00 No Change 3,000,000.00 Inclusion and Protection Inclusion and Protection Project Management, Project Management, 7,500,000.00 No Change 7,500,000.00 Monitoring and Evaluation Monitoring and Evaluation Contingency Emergency Contingent Emergency 0.00 No Change 25,000,000.00 Response Response Restoration of Critical 0.00 No Change 100,000,000.00 Connectivity Page 18 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER TOTAL 350,000,000.00 450,000,000.00 COSTS & FINANCING Private Capital Facilitation Is this an MFD-Enabling Project (MFD-EP)? No Last approved as part of Additional Financing Data Sheet (Approval) on 27-Feb- 2025 Is this project Private Capital Enabling (PCE)? No Last approved as part of Additional Financing Data Sheet (Approval) on 27-Feb- 2025 LOANS Reallocation IDA-68670-001 Cancellations (if any): New Allocation: Currency: 0.00 208,500,000.00 Financing % (Type Total) Category Expenditure Current Actuals + Proposed No. Category Allocation Committed Allocation Current Proposed 1 Gds,Wk,N/CS,WKSP,T 76,440,000.00 2,882,497.53 57,440,000.00 100.00 100.00 R SBC 1A TANROADS; 2 GD,WK,N/CS,WSP,TR 114,310,000.0 4,376,637.77 114,310,000.0 100.00 100.00 SBC1b/c/d TARURA; 0 0 3 G,N/CS,IOCWkspTr, 1,615,000.00 13,400.50 1,615,000.00 100.00 100.00 2c/d Cp4 TANROADS; 4 G,N/CS,Sal,IOC,Wksp, 16,135,000.00 1,640,355.69 16,135,000.00 100.00 100.00 Tr Cp 2,3,4 TAR; 5 Emergency Expd CER 0.00 0.00 19,000,000.00 100.00 100.00 Comp 5; 6 Gds,Wk,N/CS,WKSP 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 for Sub-component 6(a), under TANROADS' respective part of the project; 7 Gds,Wk,N/CS,WKSP 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 for Sub-component 6(b), under TARURA' Page 19 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER respective part of the project; Total 208,500,000.0 208,500,000.0 0 0 TF-A6529-001 Cancellations (if any): New Allocation: Currency: 0.00 3,900,000.00 Financing % (Type Total) Category Expenditure Current Actuals + Proposed No. Category Allocation Committed Allocation Current Proposed 1 NCS, CS under the 3,900,000.00 37,288.45 3,900,000.00 100.00 100.00 Proj; Total 3,900,000.00 3,900,000.00 DISBURSEMENTS Operation Dates & Projection Details Reasons to change the full Disbursement date and/or the projection Additional Financing Implementation Start Date Operation Closing Date 27-May-2021 30-Jun-2027 Projected Date for Full Disbursement 05-May-2025 Expected Disbursements (in US $) (Absolute) Original Estimation at Preparation Actual Year Revised Estimation (Approval Package – 27 May 2021) FY2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 FY2022 7,645,000.05 0.00 4,407,852.00 FY2023 27,799,999.95 0.00 15,552,752.93 FY2024 41,700,000.00 0.00 34,105,272.06 FY2025 56,989,999.95 0.00 12,574,706.00 ENVIRONMENTAL & SOCIAL Overview Operation Location Page 20 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Operation location and salient physical characteristics relevant to the ESS Assessment (geographic, environmental, social) (if known) The AF will include critical connectivity infrastructure similar to those of the CERC, including bridges, culverts, drainage systems, and road sections, will be constructed across 25 regions in mainland Tanzania. This component is vital to restore access and regional functionality following the severe impacts of the 2023-2024 El Niño and Cyclone Hidaya. The AF interventions are expected to take place at the footprint of existing transport infrastructure damaged by the floodings in 2024. The land use in those areas would be urban areas that have been already developed. However, the sub-projects impacted areas may include some natural habitats, such as river courses or coastal mangroves that are located downstream of the proposed works or offsite facilities, such as quarries and borrow pits. The characteristics of any natural habitats that may be impacted different subprojects would be described in correspondent environmental and social instruments. Detailed operation location(s) and salient physical characteristics relevant to the ESS Assessment (geographic, environmental, social) Under the RISE parent project, the regional and district road upgrades (SC1a, SC1b) are focused on six rural districts across four regions in Tanzania: Iringa DC, Kilolo DC, and Mufindi DC in Iringa; Handeni DC in Tanga; Mbogwe DC in Geita; and Ruangwa DC in Lindi. These activities, along with road bottleneck improvements (SC1c) and rural roads community-based routine maintenance (SC1d), which are implemented in all 26 regions of the mainland Tanzania, aim to enhance connectivity and resilience through the existing road network. All road rehabilitation and upgrades under the parent project occur within the existing rights-of-way (ROW) without the construction of new roads, minimizing the need for land acquisition. The Contingency Emergency Response (CERC) of the parent RISE project was activated in September 2024 to respond to the infrastructure damage caused by El- Niño rainfall and Hidaya cyclone in April 2024 through construction of bridges, culverts, improvement of approach roads and rehabilitation of road sections in Lindi Region. With the introduction of Component 6 under Additional Financing, additional critical connectivity infrastructure similar to those of the CERC, including bridges, culverts, drainage systems, and road sections, will be constructed across 26 regions in mainland Tanzania. This component is vital to restore access and regional functionality following the severe impacts of the 2023-2024 El Niño and Cyclone Hidaya. Although restoration will primarily follow existing roadways, Component 6 may require land acquisition beyond existing ROWs to establish resilient infrastructure and ensure climate adaptation. Tanzania lies between 29°30’E and 40°30’E, and 1°00’S and 11°48’S. Located on the east coast of Africa, it covers an area of approximately 945,000 square kilometers (km2), of which the Zanzibar Islands cover 2,400 km2. most of the country is part of the Central African Plateau (1,000–1,500 m above sea level) and characterized by gently sloping plains and plateaus, broken by scattered hills and low-lying wetlands. The Central African Plateau is deeply incised by lakes Natron and Manyara in the east, Lake Tanganyika in the west and Lake Nyasa in the south. Tanzania experiences a variety of climatic conditions. Mean annual temperatures are influenced by altitude, ranging from 21°C in high mountain areas to 29°C at sea level. Tanzania is influenced by two monsoon winds. The northeast monsoon wind, which blows southwards from December to March, brings the hottest weather, while the southeast monsoon winds that blow northwards from March to September bring intermittent rains. The main rainy season on the coast is from March to May (the long rains) with a second season between October and December (the short rains). Mean annual rainfall varies from 400 mm in the central regions to over 2,500 mm in the highlands and the western side of Lake Victoria. Tanzania shares three major freshwater lakes (Nyasa, Tanganyika, and Victoria) with neighboring countries in the region. Other lakes in the country include Masoko/Kisiba, Manyara, Natron, Eyasi, and Rukwa. Tanzania has many permanent and seasonal rivers. Main rivers include the Kilombero, Mara, Pangani, Ruaha, Rufiji, Ruvu, and Ruvuma. Tanzania’s wetlands cover about 10 percent of the country. They are classified as marine and coastal wetlands, inland wetland systems, rivers and inland flood plains, and artificial wetlands. The marine and coastal wetlands include the mangrove estuary swamps, coral reefs, seaweed and grasses, and intertidal mudflats. The inland wetlands include the Rift Valley lakes (Balangida, Eyasi, Manyara, Natron, Nyasa, Rukwa, and Tanganyika), some depression swamps (Bahi and Wembere), and Lake Victoria. The shores of the Rift Valley lakes provide a habitat for birds, with Lake Natron is known as the largest flamingo breeding ground in Africa. The waters of these lakes and the Page 21 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER adjacent land are often inhabited by wildlife, which is a major tourist attraction in Tanzania. Some swamps are important breeding sites for fish. Lake Victoria, the largest lake in Africa, is recognized for its high levels of endemic fish species, which supports a large fishing industry and provides food security and jobs for surrounding residents, it has a naturally rich and diverse indigenous fish fauna, however, the introduction of Nile perch has led to the disappearance of several indigenous species. Lake Tanganyika is home to several endemic fish species, and it is important nationally for sardine. Lake Nyasa has also diverse fish species population. Both Lake Tanganika and Lake Nyasa are world famous for their variety of aquarium fish. Tanzania’s biodiversity and unparalleled wildlife are globally renowned. Tanzania hosts diverse, distinct, and iconic ecosystems and species. About a third of the country’s total land area is officially under protection, one of the world’s highest ratios. In addition to national parks, there is a number of game reserves, wild management areas and protected forests, including mangroves, in which there are certain protection regulations for any infrastructure works. According to National Climate Change Response Strategy 2021-2026, Tanzania's transport infrastructure is under growing pressure. The challenges include floods and overflowing rivers that disrupt trade flow and transportation of goods and passengers. These risks are expected to further increase with climate change. The floods and overflowing of rivers, including during El- Niño rainfall and Hidaya cyclone in April 2024, caused severe damages on infrastructure including buildings, roads, airdromes, railways and human settlements. Similarly, in 2019 and 2020 the heavy rain caused economic activities like transportation, communication, buildings and power services to a standstill. The AF interventions are expected to take place at the footprint of existing transport infrastructure damaged by the floodings in 2024. The land use in those areas would be urban areas that have been already developed. However, the sub-projects impacted areas may include some natural habitats, such as river courses or coastal mangroves that are located downstream of the proposed works or offsite facilities, such as quarries and borrow pits. The characteristics of any natural habitats that may be impacted different subprojects would be described in correspondent environmental and social instruments. Social: Tanzania is a country marked by significant social, geographical, cultural, and environmental diversity. Its population is growing rapidly, with projections suggesting an increase from approximately 61,741,120 million (as per 2022 nationals Census) to 100 million people by 2040. This demographic shift presents both opportunities and challenges, particularly as the country seeks to balance development with the protection of its diverse communities and ecosystems. A particularly concerning social issue, among the few, is gender-based violence. There are concerns about widespread inequality and vulnerabilities faced by women, which are further compounded by limited access to resources, assets, public services, and employment opportunities. In terms of poverty, the bulk of those affected residing in rural areas where access to basic services, infrastructure, and economic opportunities can are scarce. Rural poverty is exacerbated by limited access to education, poor physical infrastructures-mainly roads, healthcare, and formal employment opportunities. All these makes it difficult for many households to break the cycle of poverty, including vulnerable communities. The AF-CRW activities, which will be implemented in regions where these vulnerabilities are most pronounced, are of critical importance. These regions include areas that are home to Peoples and Historically Underserved Traditional Local Communities, who often face the compounded effects of poverty, marginalization, and lack of access to important resources and services such as hospitals, schools and markets for treading purpose. The RISE interventions through various subprojects aims at increasing rural connectivity and contributes to inclusive development policies that consider the accessibility needs of people with for example disabled and ensure they have equal access to education, employment, and social services. The AF-CRW activities, which will be implemented in regions where these vulnerabilities are most pronounced, are of critical importance as it will increase accessibilities and inclusive access to resources/public goods. These regions include areas that are home to Indigenous Peoples and Historically Underserved Traditional Local Communities, who often face the compounded effects of poverty, marginalization, and lack of access to resources will further benefit from CRW activities interventions Borrower’s Institutional Capacity The regional roads under the RISE parent project and the additional financing are managed by TANROADS, while district rural roads fall under TARURA. The performance of the project has been satisfactory until July 2024, when some issues Page 22 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER related to OHS management has been identified and a number of incidents were recorded, and, hence, the environmental rating of the project has been downgraded to moderately satisfactory. Both TANROADs and TARURA are currently undertaking an independent OHS audit for active construction sites and the OHS systems, per the recommendation of the Implementation Support Mission of July 2024, for identifying the issues/gaps and improving the OHS risk management. Currently TANROADs is an implementing agency for TANTIP, Dar es Salaam Urban Transport Improvement Project, parent RISE and MBDP projects, all under the ESF, currently financed by the World Bank and performing either satisfactory or moderately satisfactory. TANROADs established PITs in each of those projects that include E&S staff who are overseeing the implementation of the ESF requirements and the three projects are performing either satisfactory or moderately satisfactory. TARURA is an implementing agency for DMPD2 and parent RISE projects financed by the World Bank, which are also being implemented with satisfactory and moderately satisfactory performance respectively. Both agencies have E&S staff in headquarters and in regions, and have attended a number of ESF training organized by the Bank (including OPCS organized training ESF in practice delivered in December 2023 and a tailored E&S risk management for construction works that was delivered by the Task Team in October 2024). An assessment of the current capacity of these two implementing agencies reveals limitations in environmental and social risk management capabilities, however, as both IAs are implementing the CERC components in other projects (MBDP, TANTIP and DMDP2) the management of the both organizations have agreed with the World Bank to train regional E&S officers which has started in October 2024, as indicated above, and shall continue until all regional officers have received the tailored E&S training. Nevertheless, the expanded scope introduced by Component 6 under Additional Financing, which demands comprehensive environmental and social oversight for critical infrastructure restoration TANROADS has extensive experience with Bank-financed projects but lacks sufficient environmental and social staff (both at headquarters in Dar es Salaam and regional offices) to handle the combined workload of the RISE parent project, the new Component 6 activities, and other ongoing road projects funded by the Tanzanian Government and various development partners. Given the intensive construction and significant social engagement required across 26 regions under Component 6, additional consultants will likely need to be engaged to ensure compliance with ESF and EHS guidelines. TANROADS is expected to expand its consultant support for both project preparation and implementation phases to manage the increased workload. Similarly, TARURA currently has limited E&S capacity, however, recent efforts have been made to build the capacity. Currently TARURA has 11 Environmental Officers and 25 Sociologists both in headquarters and regions. Headquarters staff oversee road rehabilitation and upgrades, supported by regional coordination offices and council/district managers. The expanded nationwide reach of Component 6 underscores the need to reinforce TARURA’s district and regional capacity, especially in flood-prone and vulnerable districts that require extensive community safety coordination and environmental resilience efforts. TARURA plans to address this by considering the appointment of additional regional E&S staff and increasing local-level support to meet the requirements of the new component. To ensure compliance with environmental and social standards, both TANROADS and TARURA will enhance their E&S teams by deploying additional officers based on capacity needs, which will strengthen safeguards implementation, supervision, monitoring, and reporting. These appointments are crucial for timely responses to concerns and grievances related to the program. Under Component 6, additional E&S considerations include managing heightened labor influx risks, ensuring safe and sustainable construction practices, and implementing rapid-response mechanisms in flood-affected areas. The program will also support the deploying a GBV/SEA specialist in the PIU to advise both TANROADS and TARURA during implementation. Furthermore, the project will continue providing capacity-building opportunities to enhance skills in environmental and social risk management and Environment, Social, Health, and Safety (EHS)-related issues. Key areas of focus include: (i) gender mainstreaming in transport; (ii) HIV/AIDS intervention monitoring; (iii) contractor management concerning environmental and social risks; (iv) grievance management; (v) stakeholder engagement; (vi) labor influx management; (vii) land acquisition and resettlement; (viii) gender-based violence (GBV) and prevention of sexual exploitation and abuse (SEA); (ix) occupational health and safety, (x) management of quarries and borrow pits, and (xi) environmental assessments and ESMP implementation monitoring. Page 23 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER Assessment Environmental & Social Risk Classification Environmental Risk Rating Social Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Original Environmental and Social Risk Rating (ESRC) Revised Environmental and Social Risk Rating (ESRC) Substantial Substantial Environmental & Social Standards E & S Standards Relevance ESS 1: Assessment and Management of Environmental and Social Risks and Relevant Impacts ESS 10: Stakeholder Engagement and Information Disclosure Relevant ESS 2: Labor and Working Conditions Relevant ESS 3: Resource Efficiency and Pollution Prevention and Management Relevant ESS 4: Community Health and Safety Relevant ESS 5: Land Acquisition, Restrictions on Land Use and Involuntary Resettlement Relevant ESS 6: Biodiversity Conservation and Sustainable Management of Living Natural Relevant Resources ESS 7: Indigenous Peoples/Sub-Saharan African Historically Underserved Relevant Traditional Local Communities ESS 8: Cultural Heritage Relevant ESS 9: Financial Intermediaries Not Currently Relevant Summary of Assessment of Environmental and Social Risks and Impacts The RISE parent project under Component 1 presents potential environmental and social impacts, including dust and noise pollution, access restrictions, and traffic disruptions, along with increased traffic and related accident risks. Environmental risks include vegetation loss, incremental deforestation, and charcoal production, community and occupational health and safety hazards including those related to traffic management and handling of hazardous materials (e.g. explosives at quarries), soil erosion, water source pollution, air and noise emissions, and aesthetic impacts from borrow pit and quarry extraction. The environmental risk rating of the parent project is currently substantial. With the introduction of Component 6 under Additional Financing, the same risks are also applicable as the same typology of works, under RISE component 1 and CERC, are also expected for repairing the damage from recent floods. However, component 6 will introduce new environmental and social risks related to restoration in flood-affected areas that could impact downstream of water bodies, and will involve handling of large volumes of demolition waste that could cause some community risks during transportation, and some environmental risks at disposal sites, though the majority of such waste will be of inert type. Component 6 additional risks are anticipated to include increased sedimentation/erosion, risk of water contamination in flood-prone areas, particularly at drainage and water crossings; risk of aquatic habitat disruption downstream working areas which may be associated with some Page 24 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) PROJECT PAPER environmental sensitivities (e.g. mangroves). The environmental risk rating for the AF is substantial, as for the parent project. The rationale for the risk rating is: (i) the above mentioned risks are mostly temporary, predictable and could be mitigated through available means; (ii) the spatial extent of the area that could be impacted is limited (including possible impacts downstream of works locations; (iii) there is medium probability of adverse effects on workers and community health and safety; (iv) the sensitivity of the surrounding environment is not high as most of the interventions will be in developed areas and risks on natural habitats are limited and could be managed according to the mitigation hierarchy; and (v) TANROADs and TARURA have developed capacity in managing such risks since the effectiveness of the parent project, however, there are some capacity concerns given the expanded nature of the interventions. The AF will also have important environmental benefits, as it would improve the resilient of the road infrastructure, protect communities from future flooding due to climate change, improve connectivity, improve road safety and reduce vehicles air emissions and noise due congestion and bottlenecks. The social risk rating for the Additional Financing (AF) is substantial, consistent with the parent project. Although the planned activities as described in AF component 6, will comprise construction and rehabilitation of critical infrastructure, including bridges, culverts, drainage systems, and road sections across all 26 regions. These activities will pose significant social risks and impacts that will require need to be mitigated. Expected impacts include risks of GBV/SE/SH, increased prevalence of HIV/AIDS, and potential exclusion of vulnerable groups, particularly women, the elderly, and persons with disabilities, during engagement and consultation processes. Local inflation may also rise, especially in the villages where the projects will be implemented. To mitigate these risks and impacts, the project will rely on the parent project’s social instruments, such as the LMP,VGPF,RPF,SEP,ESMF. The SEP has been updated to incorporate new stakeholders and engagement strategies tailored for areas where the AF will be implemented. Since project effectiveness, the PIU Environmental and Social (E&S) team has undergone capacity development to support project implementation and manage social risks and impacts effectively. Additionally, the project will pursue further actions, including mapping and partnering with relevant stakeholders—such as government entities, NGOs, and Community-Based Organizations (CBOs)—that can provide social services. It will also ensure that contract clauses include codes of conduct, clearly outlining the responsibilities of contractors and their labor force. This approach aims to foster a responsible project environment and enhance compliance with social risk management measures. Last Finalized Date Is a common approach being considered? 26-Feb-2025 No Page 25 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) RESULTS COUNTRY: Tanzania Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@afaprresultframework#doctemplate Project Development Objective(s) To improve rural road connectivity, generate jobs, strengthen road management capacity and support emergency response in selected areas, incorporating community engagement approaches. For Official Use Only PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes Baseline Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 Period 5 Period 6 Completion Period Revised Improved rural road connectivity in selected areas New Direct users that benefit from improved access to sustainable transport infrastructure and services (Number of people) CRI Jun/2027 0 ➢ NewDirect users that benefit from improved access to sustainable transport infrastructure and services - Youth (Number of people) CRI Jun/2027 0 ➢ NewDirect users that benefit from improved access to sustainable transport infrastructure and services - Female (Number of people) CRI Revised Jobs generated Civil works jobs created (person-year) (Number) Mar/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 3,000.00 8,000.00 14,000.00 24,500.00 34,000.00 35,000.00 35,000.00 Revised Strengthen road management capacity “People-centered� design approach for rural road development (Yes/No) Page 26 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) Mar/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Share of district rural roads in good and fair condition in the Project area (Percentage) Mar/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 45.00 45.00 46.00 46.70 47.00 47.00 48.00 48.00 Share of regional rural roads in good and fair condition in the project area. (Percentage) Mar/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 68.00 68.00 68.00 68.00 69.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 New Emergency response support in selected areas New Number of resilient-designed interventions implemented under the CERC to restore cut off areas (Number) Dec/2024 Jun/2027 For Official Use Only 0 7 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Baseline Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 Period 5 Period 6 Completion Period Revised Rural Roads Development and Maintenance Revise Kilometers of rural roads improved with climate resilient approaches (Kilometers) Feb/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 0.00 66.00 101.00 326 510 535 535 Revise ➢ Kilometers of regional roads improved with climate resilient approaches (Kilometers) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 0.00 33.00 40.00 91 128 135 135 ➢ ReviseKilometers of rural district roads improved with climate resilient approaches (Kilometers) Feb/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 0.00 33.00 61.00 235 382 400 400 Revise Kilometres of rural district roads that received routine maintenance with community based approaches (Kilometers) Feb/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 2,000.00 5,000.00 9,000.00 15,000 23,000 23,000 23,000 Page 27 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) Revise Kilometers of roads that received bottleneck improvements (cumulative) (Kilometers) Feb/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 700.00 1,900.00 3,100.00 3,700 4,200 4,500 4,500 Institutional Strengthening and Human Capital Development National Rural Roads Plan (Yes/No) Feb/2021 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Approval of TARURA Business Modernization Plan (Yes/No) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes For Official Use Only Approval of TARURA's Gender Policy (Yes/No) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Road Safety Data Collection System for rural district roads (Yes/No) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Community Engagement, Inclusion and Protection Number of people employed under CBRM contracts (person-year) (Number) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 2,000.00 4,500.00 8,000.00 13,000.00 19,000.00 19,000.00 19,000.00 ➢ Percentage of people employed under CBRM contracts that are women (Percentage) 0.00 10.00 12.50 15.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 ➢ Percentage of people employed in CBRM that are trained on life skills (Percentage) 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Construction workers on project site who have signed the code of conduct (CoC) and attended the CoC training (Percentage) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 System to receive and log grievances related to design, construction and operations of development projects, including GBV, within the stipulated services standards (Yes/No) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 Page 28 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project (P164920) No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Revised Contingent Emergency Response Emergency Management Protocol operationalized by TARURA and TANROADS (Yes/No) Dec/2019 Apr/2022 Apr/2023 Apr/2024 Apr/2025 Apr/2026 Apr/2027 Apr/2027 No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes New Restoration of Critical Connectivity New Population (direct beneficiaries) benefitting from restored regional connectivity through resilient-designed interventions (Number) Jun/2027 0 New Population (direct beneficiaries) benefitting from restored district connectivity through resilient-designed interventions (Number) For Official Use Only Jun/2027 0 New Number of cut off areas at regional level restored in a resilient manner (Number) Jun/2027 0 New Number of cut off areas at district level restored in a resilient manner (Number) Jun/2026 0 Page 29 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes Revised PDO Outcome To improve rural road connectivity New Indicator Name Direct users that benefit from improved access to sustainable transport infrastructure and services (Number of people) CRI Description Measure the number of direct users who benefit from improved transport infrastructure and services under the project. Frequency Annual. Data source TARURA project monitoring. Methodology for Data Data will be gathered through monitoring reports and field surveys conducted at project sites. Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Indicator Name ➢ NewDirect users that benefit from improved access to sustainable transport infrastructure and services - Female (Number of people) CRI Description Measures the number of female direct users benefiting from the project’s improved transport infrastructure and services. Frequency Annual. Data source TARURA project monitoring. Methodology for Data Gender-disaggregated data will be collected through field surveys and beneficiary assessments. Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Indicator Name ➢ New Direct users that benefit from improved access to sustainable transport infrastructure and services - Youth (Number of people) CRI Description Measures the number of young direct users benefiting from the project’s improved transport infrastructure and services. Page 30 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Frequency Annual. Data source TARURA project monitoring. Methodology for Data Age-disaggregated data will be collected through field surveys and beneficiary assessments. Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Revised PDO Outcome Generate jobs Indicator Name Civil works jobs created (person-year) (Number) Jobs created under RISE Project civil works activities, specifically through the community-based routine maintenance (CBRM) program. This initiative Description prioritizes labor-intensive maintenance activities, engaging local community groups in the maintenance of roads. Each group, consisting of 10–14 members, is tasked with maintaining clusters of roads (typically 25–50 km) year-round, depending on the topography. Frequency Annual Data source Projects reports and/or specialized reports from contractors for Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Indicator will measure the cumulative number of people (person-year) employed under RISE Project civil works activities Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Revised PDO Outcome Strengthen road management capacity Indicator Name “People-centered� design approach for rural road development (Yes/No) TARURA and TANROADS follow people-centered design approach in road design upgrade/rehabilitation under RISE in a manner acceptable to the World Description Bank for all sub-projects. The People-centered design approach entails, among other things, two (2) people-centered rounds of consultations and two (2) people-centered road safety audits. Frequency Annual Data source TARURA and TANROADS project monitoring Page 31 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Project monitoring. The People-centered design approach enriches the desk-based road infrastructure design and the conventional stakeholder Methodology for Data engagement process for road design with complementary, carefully designed citizen engagement activities and road safety audit. The people-centered Collection design approach entails, among other things, two(2) people-centered rounds of consultations and two(2) people centered road safety audits. Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Indicator Name Share of district rural roads in good and fair condition in the Project area (Percentage) Description The percentage of the rural district roads network identified in the project area that is in good and fair condition. Frequency Annual Data source DROMAS and Project Monitoring TARURA methodology for assessment of road condition. Road condition as in DROMAS verified by TARURA HQ. KM of district roads in good/fair condition Methodology for Data divided by the total KM of roads in component 1 project area. The project area for this component are the rural districts of all regions in mainland Tanzania Collection (except Dar es Saalam) Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Share of regional rural roads in good and fair condition in the project area. (Percentage) Description The percentage of regional roads network identified in the project area that is in good and fair condition. Frequency Annual Data source Road Maintenance Management System (RMMS) and Project Monitoring TANROADS methodology for assessment of road condition. Road condition as in RMMS or database available and verified by TANROADS HQ. Km of Methodology for Data regional roads in good/fair condition divided by the total regional road KM in the selected districts for component 1- sub-component 1a: Iringa DC, Kilolo, Collection Mufindi (Iringa), Handeni (Tanga), Mbogwe (Geita), Ruangwa (Lindi). NOTE: A trunk road T30 Mafinga- Mgololo will be considered as it is managed by Iringa Regional Office. Responsibility for Data TANROADS Collection New PDO Outcome Support emergency response in selected areas Page 32 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Indicator Name Number of resilient-designed interventions implemented under the CERC to restore cut off areas (Number) Number of CERC infrastructure projects using resilient designs that are successfully implemented to restore cut off areas (for example; new structures and Description culverts which accommodate future climate hazards). Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TARURA and TANROADS. Emergency Response Manual for TARURA and TANROADS CERC activation approved by TARURA and Collection TANROADS Boards. Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Page 33 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Results Area Rural Roads Development and Maintenance Indicator Name Kilometers of rural roads improved with climate resilient approaches (Kilometers) Total KM rural roads improved (upgrades/rehabilitation) in the project area through RISE Project component 1: Regional (sub-component 1a) and District Description (sub-component 1b), using climate resilient approaches. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring KM completed: Total KM delivered by contractors, certified by TARURA/TANROADS and handed over to TARURA/TANROADS for management. A section of Methodology for Data a road or a road will be only considered as finalized when all features agreed in final design are completed (i.e. road safety measures, signaling, pedestrian Collection infrastructure, etc...), following climate resilient approaches, and all steps from the People- Centered Design Approach have been followed [cumulative]. Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Indicator Name Kilometers of regional roads improved with climate resilient approaches (Kilometers) Description Total KM regional roads improved with climate resilient approaches (upgrades) in the project area through RISE Project sub-component 1a Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring KM completed: Total KM delivered by contractors and certified by TANROADS and handed over to TANROADS for management. A section of a road or a Methodology for Data road will be only considered as finalized when all features agreed in final design are completed (i.e. road safety measures, signaling, pedestrian Collection infrastructure, etc...), following climate resilient approaches, and all steps from the People- Centered Design Approach have been followed. The area for this indicator are the rural districts of Iringa Region (Iringa Rural, Mufindi and Kilolo),Mbogwe (Geita), Ruangwa (Lindi) and Handeni (Tanga).[cumulative] Responsibility for Data TANROADS Collection Page 34 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Indicator Name Kilometers of rural district roads improved with climate resilient approaches (Kilometers) Total KM rural district roads improved using climate resilient approaches (upgrades/rehabilitation) in the project area through RISE Project sub-component Description 1b. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring KMs completed: Total KM delivered by contractors and certified by TARURA and handed over to TARURA for management. A section of a road or a road Methodology for Data will be only considered as finalized when all features agreed in final design are completed (i.e. road safety measures, signaling, pedestrian infrastructure, Collection etc...), following climate resilient approaches, and all steps from the People- Centered Design Approach have been followed. (cumulative). The area for this indicator are the three rural districts in Iringa Region (Iringa Rural, Mufindi and Kilolo), Mbogwe (Geita), Ruangwa (Lindi) and Handeni (Tanga). Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Kilometres of rural district roads that received routine maintenance with community based approaches (Kilometers) Description Total KM of rural district roads that received routine maintenance with community-based approaches. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring Methodology for Data TARURA project monitoring. Cumulative total KM served with Community Based Routine Maintenance approaches in a given year. Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Kilometers of roads that received bottleneck improvements (cumulative) (Kilometers) Description Number of KM that received bottleneck improvement in the project area Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring Methodology for Data TARURA project monitoring. Summation of lengths of road links that have received bottleneck improvements. Page 35 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Results Area Institutional Strengthening and Human Capital Development Indicator Name National Rural Roads Plan (Yes/No) Description National Rural Roads Plan Approved by TARURA and TANROADS Boards including Regional and District Road Network. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring Methodology for Data TARURA project monitoring Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Approval of TARURA Business Modernization Plan (Yes/No) TARURA's modernization Plan approved by TARURA Board that includes the outcomes and recommendations from the Institutional and Functional Review, Description ICT assessment and roadmap for Digital Development, development and approval of Business Plan. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring Methodology for Data TARURA project monitoring Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Approval of TARURA's Gender Policy (Yes/No) Description Gender Policy for TARURA approved by TARURA Board and operationalized Page 36 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring Methodology for Data TARURA project monitoring Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Road Safety Data Collection System for rural district roads (Yes/No) Description Road safety data collection system approved by TARURA CE. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring Methodology for Data TARURA project monitoring Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Results Area Community Engagement, Inclusion and Protection Indicator Name Number of people employed under CBRM contracts (person-year) (Number) Description Total number of persons-year employed under CBRM contracts, disaggregated by gender Frequency Annual Data source Project monitoring and/or specialized reports from contractors. Methodology for Data TARURA project monitoring, through CBRM supervision, of total number of persons-year employed under CBRM contracts, disaggregated by gender. Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Page 37 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Indicator Name Percentage of people employed under CBRM contracts that are women (Percentage) Description Percentage of number of person-year employed under the CBRM that are women. Frequency Annual Data source TARURA Project Monitoring Methodology for Data Project Monitoring. Number of person-year employed under the CBRM that are women divided by total number of person-year employed under CBRM Collection (percentage) Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Percentage of people employed in CBRM that are trained on life skills (Percentage) Description Percentage of people employed in CBRM that are trained on life skills (such as financial literacy, GBV prevention, savings) Frequency Annual Data source TARURA Project Monitoring Methodology for Data TARURA Project Monitoring, through supervision of CBRM teams. Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Indicator Name Construction workers on project site who have signed the code of conduct (CoC) and attended the CoC training (Percentage) Description Percentage of construction workers on project site for all works who have signed the code of conduct and attended the code of conduct training. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TARURA and TANROADS Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Page 38 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Collection System to receive and log grievances related to design, construction and operations of development projects, including GBV, within the stipulated Indicator Name services standards (Yes/No) TARURA and TANROADS implement and use system to receive and log grievances related to design, construction and operations of development Description subprojects, including GBV, within the stipulated services standards. Grievances registered and resolved with the stipulated services standards. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TARURA and TANROADS Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Results Area Revised Contingent Emergency Response Indicator Name Emergency Management Protocol operationalized by TARURA and TANROADS (Yes/No) Description Protocols approved by TARURA and TANROADS Boards and operationalized in TARURA and TANROADS Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TARURA and TANROADS. Emergency Response Manual for TARURA and TANROADS CERC activation approved by TARURA and Collection TANROADS Boards. Responsibility for Data TARURA and TANROADS Collection Results Area New Restoration of Critical Connectivity New Indicator Name Population (direct beneficiaries) benefitting from restored regional connectivity through resilient-designed interventions (Number) Description Population that directly benefit from improved regional connectivity achieved through infrastructure projects incorporating resilient designs. Page 39 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TANROADS Collection Responsibility for Data TANROADS Collection Indicator Name New Population (direct beneficiaries) benefitting from restored district connectivity through resilient-designed interventions (Number) Description Population that directly benefit from improved district connectivity achieved through infrastructure projects incorporating resilient designs. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TARURA Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection New Indicator Name Number of cut off areas at regional level restored in a resilient manner (Number) The number of regional-level areas previously cut off that have been restored with resilient infrastructure and systems to withstand future disruptions. These projects, such as the construction or rehabilitation of roads, bridges, and culverts, aim to ensure long-term functionality and adaptability to future Description climate hazards. The interventions enhance access to essential services, markets, and economic opportunities for the population while promoting sustainable and climate-resilient connectivity. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TANROADS Collection Responsibility for Data TANROADS Collection Page 40 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) PROJECT PAPER Indicator Name NewNumber of cut off areas at district level restored in a resilient manner (Number) The number of district-level areas previously cut off that have been restored with resilient infrastructure and systems to withstand future disruptions. These projects, such as the construction or rehabilitation of roads, bridges, and culverts, aim to ensure long-term functionality and adaptability to future Description climate hazards. The interventions enhance access to essential services, markets, and economic opportunities for the population while promoting sustainable and climate-resilient connectivity. Frequency Annual Data source Project Monitoring. Methodology for Data Project Monitoring by TARURA Collection Responsibility for Data TARURA Collection Page 41 The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) ANNEX 1: Climate Change and Climate Co-Benefits Climate Change Vulnerability 1. Tanzania is recognized as vulnerable to climate change impacts and is ranked only 148 out of 181 countries in the 2020 ND-GAIN Index8. Tanzania is the 139th most vulnerable country and the 150th most ready country in the ranking. Through its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) commitments in 2021 9, Tanzania is working to support its wider development goals, which are geared to increase resilience to climate change impacts. Current adaptation approaches are designed to increase resilience to both natural hazards and climate change impacts, through the improvement of key infrastructure, strengthening risk management, and the mainstreaming of disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategies into existing policies and planning. The Tanzanian Government is focusing on climate adaptation with increased resilience of its infrastructure to natural disasters and impacts from climate change, particularly typhoons and flooding. The El Niño phenomenon magnifies vulnerability in the region, in particular causing frequent severe floods in wider areas of the country. 2. Due to climate change, natural hazards in Tanzania such as intense storms and floods are becoming more frequent and unpredictable. The recent El – Niño rains since September 15, 2023, have caused severe damage to the Roads and Bridges in all twenty-six regions that induced production losses in the agriculture sector Moreover, implementation of new infrastructure projects and schedules maintenance operation were slowed down. 3. Tanzania’s road and bridge infrastructure is vulnerable to climate change and natural disasters, primarily flooding and intense rainfall. The rural roads sector in Tanzania is particularly susceptible to damage from precipitation and related weather events that disrupt connectivity. Damages caused by heavy rains include washout of roads embankments, collapse of bridges, flooding and overtopping, which resulted into temporary or even long-term road closures, affecting social and economic activities severely. 4. Climate vulnerability is exacerbated on the largely gravel-surfaced local/rural roads network, where intense rainfall has resulted in accelerated deterioration. Despite the urgency for interventions to enhance the resilience of Tanzania’s (secondary) road infrastructure to climate change and natural disasters, a detailed risk-based assessment of the physical condition of the existing roads and adjacent structures (bridges, culverts, drainage, retaining walls, etc.), protection measures used to stabilize the slopes and embankments, and drainage structure is required to ensure that priority measures are selected and those measures designed to improved climate- resilient standards. 5. With respect to climate change impacts, the most salient climate risks for the project infrastructure are related to increased intense precipitations leading to overtopping of structures, erosion of slopes and embankments, and scouring around structures’ foundations and water outlets leading to collapse of the structure. Climatic events can lead to temporary closures of roads, which will negatively impact mobility, connectivity, and accessibility. Potential impacts include: • Instability of structures due to inadequate openings for the increasing maximum flows. • High levels of precipitation threaten embankment and slope stability. • Increases in the frequency and or duration of precipitation will raise ground water levels, impacting the bearing capacity of the road with potential rapid deterioration of the pavement structure under traffic. 8 https://gain-new.crc.nd.edu/country/tnzania 9 https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-06/TANZANIA_NDC_SUBMISSION_30%20JULY%202021.pdf The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) • Extreme weather events with stronger and/or more frequent storms will affect the capacity of drainage and overflow systems to deal with greater volumes and faster velocity of water flows. • Stronger or faster velocity of water flows will impact outlets of cross-drainage structures (culverts and pipes), leading initially to scouring and further to failure of the structures. Specific Project Activities to Address the Impacts of Climate Change 6. The additional financing focuses on improving or rehabilitation of the road infrastructure, drainage and culverts, particularly vulnerable to climate events, applying a “building-back better� approach. A rigorous selection process will be carried out to select the short-list of trunk and rural roads that will be rehabilitated or reconstructed under the project. The long list of candidate roads will be screened for eligibility and prioritization, to reach a shortlist of structures (and limited road sections) that maximize connectivity under climate resilient improvements. 7. A number of measures will be taken into account during the design of the measures to be financed from the AF to address the road infrastructure’s vulnerability to climate change. These include the following: 8. Resilience through improved dimensions and protection works at culverts and bridges: For all interventions envisaged by the project, the “spot improvement� will focus on cross-drainage, culverts and bridges rehabilitation, with the aim to improve the general resilience of the road network, by ensuring that the water-way crossings are sufficiently dimensioned for the expected maximum water-flows accounting for climate change weather impacts. The works will follow a “build-back-better� approach to enhance adaptation to climate change and associated road resilience to minimize future risks from similar hazards. This may also result in reconstruction of the crossings in different locations to optimize technical solutions and avoid locations with proven hazards. 9. To ensure safe and functional works, the new structures and culverts will be designed for a design period of 100 years and hydraulic capacity for 50 or 100-year return rainfall, in accordance with the climate risk zone. The new designs will follow stronger technical standards, looking at international best practice, such as constructing wider bridge spans and culvert openings to accommodate heavier precipitation flows. The additional requirements in terms of opening (higher or longer spans, or both) to reach climate resilience for a 50 or 100-year return event are variable by location and local hydrology but can be estimated to lead to a cost increase of 20 percent-40 percent compared to a traditional design. 10. Resilience through erosion protection measures of structures: An important climate adaptation measure is the protection of the newly built/rehabilitated water-crossing structures against erosion and scouring. A number of measures are being considered to ensure that extreme precipitation events do not result in significant impacts to the structures and their vicinity. They include: • Retaining walls • Rip-rap • Gabions • Debris flow mitigation and prevention measures • River embankment protections 11. Resilience through slope and embankment protection: Measures need to be taken to stabilize embankments, slopes and cuts against landslide and erosion. Measures are mostly similar with the previous ones: • Retaining walls • Rip-rap The World Bank Tanzania Roads to Inclusion and Socioeconomic Opportunities (RISE) Project(P164920) • Gabions • Slope stabilization with shotcrete • Protection nets or protection zone 12. Resilience to flooding: Although flooding is not the most prominent risk on most of the network located in hilly and mountainous environment, the design may identify local flood zones or areas prone to flashflood. After technical and socio-economic analysis (number of days per year with reduced passability, number of persons affected, cost of remedial measures, etc..), measures can include, (a) the raising of the road level, (b) the construction of water crossing structures, or, alternatively, (c) the use of concrete pavements. 13. Resilience to Temperature and Humidity Differentials: To mitigate the risk of differential settlements occurring due to the change of ground-water tables between the dry season and the frequently saturated soils during rainy periods, some road sections will need to be raised above the flood level and the high-water levels to protect the roadbed and ensure all-year passability. 14. Resilience to Extreme High Temperatures: In addition, materials resistant to high temperature and hot weather shall be used for bituminous pavement layers, to withstand extreme solicitation during the high summer temperatures, which are expected to increase with climate change events and usually lead to early deterioration (deformation and rutting) of bituminous courses. This is achieved, for example, by the use of polymer modification of the bitumen used for surface seals. 15. Resilience for local and all-year round access: Specifically in mountainous regions, the access to many locations remains difficult or expensive to construct. Therefore, the Road Network in many, mainly mountainous areas of the country does not provide redundancy of access to local communities. It is essential to avoid temporary or permanent closure of the roads, due to the lack of alternative routes. The project will minimize the risk of disruption and ensure all-year round accessibility. 16. Resilience through development of safe non-motorized transport: a large part of the current road users in particular on the local roads network are pedestrians and non-motorized transport users. The project will provide for road safety improvements in particular for the pedestrians and vulnerable road users, through larger shoulders and sidewalks, pedestrians crossing and speed calming measures (road humps) in settlements and improved signalization and road marking, thus promoting further the use of non-motorize transport means. 17. Resilience through reduced maintenance needs: Improving the roads to a climate resilient standard will result in important maintenance savings and reduced emergency interventions. As roads will be built to a higher standard, they will be expected to hold against climate events without major damages, thus releasing periodic maintenance budget for other activities. More importantly, the number of emergency interventions, and with this the emergency maintenance budget will be reduced, which not only represents a budget savings, but also makes the annual maintenance planning and programming more efficient, leading to better roads for lower maintenance budgets. 18. Resilience through climate resilience studies and designs: For all selected roads, a resilient design will be performed to ensure that all roads financed under the project will be designed to climate-resilient standards. The designs will be reviewed by independent consulting firms, and resultant recommendations to improve resilience, that may go beyond the current national design standard will be recommended to be adopted.