FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: ICR00020 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IDA Credit 6312-ET / TF0A9048) ON A IDA CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 70.6 MILLION (US$ 100 MILLION EQUIVALENT) AND A MDTF GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF US$ 31 MILLION TO THE FEDERAL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF ETHIOPIA FOR THE ETHIOPIA RESILIENT LANDSCAPES AND LIVELIHOODS PROJECT January 8, 2025 Environment, Natural Resources & the Blue Economy Eastern And Southern Africa The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective {Jun 24, 2024}) Currency Unit = Ethiopian Birr (ETB) SDR 0.759361 = US$1 US$ 1.316900 = SDR 1 FISCAL YEAR July 8 -July 7 Regional Vice President: Victoria Kwakwa Country Director: Maryam Salim Regional Director: Iain G. Shuker For Official Use Only Practice Manager: Paul Jonathan Martin Task Team Leader (s): Nigel Ross Hughes, Million Alemayehu Gizaw ICR Main Contributors: Michael Carroll, Shewakena Aytenfisu Abab The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS BCR Borrower Completion Report BCR Benefit Cost Ratio CA Conservation Agriculture CALM Climate Action through Landscape Management Project CBPWDG Community Based Participatory Watershed Development Guidelines CDM Crop Development and Management CF Community Facilitator CGIAR Consortium Group for International Agriculture Research CIG Common Interest Group CIS Climate Information Service CPF Country Partnership Framework CRGE Climate Resilient Green Economy CSA Climate Smart Agriculture CWMUP Community Watershed Management and Use Plan CWT Community Watershed Team For Official Use Only CWUCS Community Watershed User Cooperative Society DA Development Agent EFA Economic and Financial Analysis EPA Environmental Protection Authority ESIF Ethiopia Strategic Investment Framework ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework ESRM Environmental and Social Risk Management FDRE Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia FGDs Focus Group Discussions FM Financial Management FP Focal Person FTCs Farmer Training Centers GAC Global Affairs Canada GEMS Geo Enabling Monitoring Supervision GHG Greenhouse Gas GII Geospatial Information Institute GIS Geographic Information system GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (German Development Agency) GoE Government of Ethiopia GPS Global positioning system GRM Grievance Redress Mechanism HH Household IDA International Development Association IGA Income Generating Activity INSA Information Network Security Agency The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT IPM Integrated Pest Management IR Intermediate Result IRR Internal Rate of Return ISFM Integrated Soil Fertility Management JISM Joint Implementation Support Mission KGRC Kebele Grievance Redress Committee KIIs Key Informant Interviews KLAUCs Kebele Land Administration and Use Committees KMIS Knowledge Management Information System KWT Kebele Watershed Team M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MDTF Multi-Donor Trust Fund MoA Ministry of Agriculture MTR Mid Term Review MUP Management and Use Plan MWS Micro Watershed MYDP Multi Year Development Plan NPCU National Project Coordination Unit For Official Use Only NPV Net Present Values NRLAIS National Rural Land Administration Information System PAD Project Appraisal Document PCU Project Coordination Unit PDO Project Development Objective PIM Project Implementation Manual QGIS Quantum Geographic Information System RBM Result Based Management REDD+ Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation RFIs Result Framework Indicators RLLP Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project RPCU Regional Project Coordination Unit RPF Resettlement Policy Framework RSC Regional Steering Committee RTC Regional Technical Committee SA Social Assessment SC Steering Committee SDGs Sustainable Development Goals SHG Self Help Groups SLM Sustainable Land Management SLMP-I Sustainable Land Management Project Phase 1 SLMP-II Sustainable Land Management Project Phase 2 SLWM Sustainable Land and Water Management SWC Soil and Water Conservation The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT TC Technical Committee ToC Theory of Change ToR Terms of Reference UAVs Unmanned Aerial Vehicles VLD Voluntary Land Donation WGS World Geodetic System WICs Woreda Information Centers WLRC Water and Land Resources Centre WSC Woreda Steering Committee WTC Woreda Technical Committee WUA Water Users Association For Official Use Only The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT TABLE OF CONTENTS DATA SHEET ................................................................................................................................................. i I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES ..................................................................................1 II. OUTCOME .................................................................................................................................................4 III. KEY FACTORS AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME ..................................................................... 14 IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME .............................. 15 V. LESSONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ......................................................................................................... 19 ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS ........................................................................................ 21 ANNEX 2. BANK LENDING AND IMPLEMENTATION SUPPORT/SUPERVISION ....................................................... 31 ................................................................................................................................................................................... 32 ANNEX 3. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT ......................................................................................................... 33 ANNEX 4. EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................................ 34 For Official Use Only ANNEX 5. BORROWER, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS ................................. 42 ANNEX 6. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS (IF ANY) ................................................................................................... 43 ANNEX 7. TECHNICAL ANNEX ............................................................................................................................ 44 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT DATA SHEET @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@icrbasicdata#doctemplate BASIC DATA Product Information Operation ID Operation Name P163383 Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project Product Operation Short Name Investment Project Financing (IPF) ET-Resilient Landscapes Operation Status Approval Fiscal Year Closed 2019 For Official Use Only Original EA Category Current EA Category Partial Assessment (B) (Restructuring Data Sheet - 25 Oct Partial Assessment (B) (Approval package - 30 Jul 2018) 2023) CLIENTS Borrower/Recipient Implementing Agency Ministry of Finance Ministry of Agriculture DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval Package on 30-Jul-2018) To improve climate resilience, land productivity and carbon storage, and increase access to diversified livelihood activities in selected rural watersheds. Current Development Objective (Approved as part of Additional Financing Package Seq No 2 on 02-May-2020) To improve climate resilience, land productivity and carbon storage, and increase access to diversified livelihood activities in selected rural watersheds. s s s s s s @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@icrfinancing#doctemplate FINANCING i The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Financing Source Original Amount (US$) Revised Amount (US$) Actual Disbursed (US$) World Bank Financing 100,000,000.00 100,000,000.00 96,156,404.84 IDA-63120 100,000,000.00 100,000,000.00 96,156,404.84 World Bank Administered 27,658,000.00 27,658,000.00 27,658,000.00 Financing TF-A9048 27,658,000.00 27,658,000.00 27,658,000.00 Non-World Bank Financing 10,000,000.00 10,000,000.00 2,664,756.53 Borrower/Recipient 10,000,000.00 10,000,000.00 2,664,756.53 Total 137,658,000.00 137,658,000.00 126,479,161.37 RESTRUCTURING AND/OR ADDITIONAL FINANCING Amount Disbursed Date(s) Type Key Revisions (US$M) 02-May-2020 Manual 25.59 • Additional Financing • Results 25-Oct-2023 Portal 108.47 For Official Use Only • Institutional Arrangement @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@icrkeydates#doctemplate KEY DATES Key Events Planned Date Actual Date Concept Review 05-Jun-2017 05-Jun-2017 Decision Review 13-Jun-2018 13-Jun-2018 Authorize Negotiations 25-Jul-2018 19-Jun-2018 Approval 30-Jul-2018 30-Jul-2018 Signing 31-Oct-2018 07-Dec-2018 Effectiveness 14-Dec-2018 18-Apr-2019 ICR/NCO 06-Jan-2025 -- Additional Financing Sequence.02 Not Applicable 02-May-2020 Restructuring Sequence.01 Not Applicable 25-Oct-2023 Mid-Term Review No. 01 24-Dec-2021 05-Nov-2021 Operation Closing/Cancellation 07-Jul-2024 07-Jul-2024 ii The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@icrratings#doctemplate RATINGS SUMMARY Outcome Bank Performance M&E Quality Satisfactory Satisfactory Substantial ISR RATINGS Actual Disbursements No. Date ISR Archived DO Rating IP Rating (US$M) 01 26-Nov-2018 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0.00 02 28-May-2019 Satisfactory Satisfactory 3.11 03 17-Dec-2019 Satisfactory Satisfactory 18.01 04 30-Jun-2020 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 35.05 For Official Use Only 05 05-Jan-2021 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 48.23 06 24-Jun-2021 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 52.99 07 21-Dec-2021 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 65.60 08 22-Jun-2022 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 73.58 09 20-Jan-2023 Satisfactory Satisfactory 92.34 10 20-Jun-2023 Satisfactory Satisfactory 94.93 11 22-Dec-2023 Satisfactory Satisfactory 118.47 12 28-Jun-2024 Satisfactory Satisfactory 123.81 @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@icrsectortheme#doctemplate SECTORS AND THEMES Sectors Adaptation Mitigation Major Sector Sector % Co-benefits (%) Co-benefits (%) FY17 - Agricultural Extension, FY17 - Agriculture, Research, and Other Support 11 22 66 Fishing and Forestry Activities FY17 - Forestry 48 42 51 iii The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT FY17 - Other Agriculture, Fishing and 20 0 0 Forestry FY17 - Public Administration - 15 32 23 Agriculture, Fishing & Forestry FY17 - Industry, Trade FY17 - Agricultural markets, 6 54 0 and Services commercialization and agri-business Themes Major Theme Theme (Level 2) Theme (Level 3) % FY17 - Adaptation 31 FY17 - Climate change FY17 - Mitigation 35 FY17 - Environment and FY17 - Energy FY17 - Energy Efficiency 74 Natural Resource Management FY17 - Landscape 80 FY17 - Renewable Natural Resources Management Asset Management FY17 - Watershed 80 For Official Use Only Management FY17 - Agriculture FY17 - Finance FY17 - Finance for Development 74 Finance FY17 - Human Development and FY17 - Gender 74 Gender FY17 - Land FY17 - Urban and Rural Administration and 35 FY17 - Rural Development Management Development FY17 - Rural Markets 74 iv The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ADM STAFF Role At Approval At ICR Practice Manager Magda Lovei Paul Jonathan Martin Regional Director Iain G. Shuker Global Director Karin Erika Kemper Valerie Hickey Practice Group Vice President Juergen Voegele Country Director Carolyn Turk Maryam Salim Regional Vice President Hafez M. H. Ghanem Victoria Kwakwa ADM Responsible Team Leader Paul Jonathan Martin Nigel Ross Hughes Co-Team Leader(s) Million Alemayehu Gizaw Million Alemayehu Gizaw ICR Main Contributor Michael Carroll and Shewakena Aytenfisu Abab I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES A. CONTEXT AT APPRAISAL For Official Use Only Context 1. Ethiopia is a large, land-locked, and diverse country. Located in the Horn of Africa. Ethiopia covers an area of 1.1 million km2 - about the size of France and Spain combined. With an estimated population of over 100 million, out of which 80.5 percent are rural, Ethiopia is the second most populous country in Sub-Saharan Africa. The country is a land of diverse nationalities and peoples, and its biophysical environment includes a variety of ecosystems, with significant differences in climate, soil properties, vegetation types, agriculture potential, biodiversity, and water resources. The natural resource base remains the foundation for most livelihoods and is subject to considerable environmental and climate risks. 2. Ethiopia is one of the world’s poorest countries but has achieved substantial progress in economic, social, and human development over the past decade. With a per capita income of US$660 (2016), Ethiopia remains the 15th poorest country in the world. Nonetheless, growth has averaged nearly 11 percent per year since 2004 and extreme poverty fell from 55 percent in 2000 to 26.7 percent in 2016, which is one of the most impressive poverty reduction results recorded internationally (within Sub- Saharan Africa, only Uganda reduced poverty faster). Low levels of inequality have largely been maintained. Yet vulnerability to revert to poverty remains high, especially for those engaged in rural livelihoods depending on rain-fed agriculture. 3. The Government of Ethiopia (GoE) has embarked on a structural transformation of the economy and society. GoE has completed its first phase of the Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP-I) (2010– 2015), which set a long-term goal for Ethiopia to become a middle-income country by 2025, with a growth rate of at least 11 percent per year during the plan period. Through the second phase of the GTP Ethiopia put a strong emphasis on structural transformation, industrialization, urbanization, and export promotion. Public infrastructure investment has been at the center of the country’s economic strategy, and Ethiopia has been able to achieve a substantial expansion of energy, road, railway, and telecom infrastructure, financed by domestic and external public borrowing. Recent announcements indicate the GoE’s renewed commitment to improving the private sector investment climate. Public investments in basic service provision, such as education and health, have contributed to poverty reduction, as did the introduction of rural safety nets. GTP-II continues the Government’s Page 1 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT commitment that women and youth benefit from and participate in the overall economic, political, and decision-making processes in Ethiopia. 4. Alignment with higher-level objectives. At appraisal, the project was aligned with the World Bank Group (WBG) Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Ethiopia for the Period FY 17-21 as a government flagship program addressing the CPF’s resilience pillar, with a funding commitment from IDA-18 of US$100 million. It was expected to leverage and scale up support to the SLM Program while also contributing to the climate, forest, water, energy, and land tenure targets included in the GTP-II and CRGE Strategy, as well as the Home-Grown Economic Reform (HGER). The targets for natural resource management set out in GTP-II include an additional 19 million hectares to be treated with physical soil and water conservation structures, an increase in national forest coverage from 15 to 20 percent, and the provision of landholding certificates to more than 7 million households. To help meet these goals, and to bring the benefits of the SLM Program to additional rural communities affected by land degradation, the RLLP scaled up the successes of SLM interventions and complement these achievements with innovations aimed at sustaining project benefits. 5. In addition to the GTP-II and the CRGE Strategy, this transformative approach was designed to contribute to a number of other national strategies, including Ethiopia’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution ((INDC), submitted to the UNFCCC in 2017), the Climate Resilience Strategy for Agriculture and Forestry (2015), the National Adaptation Plan to Address Climate Change (2017), the Ethiopia Strategic Investment Framework for SLM (ESIF), the National Forest Sector Strategy and National REDD+ Strategy, as well as the sectoral strategies for energy, water, and agriculture, including agriculture, forestry, water resources, and energy. These key strategy documents emphasized the lack of secure tenure rights For Official Use Only creates a dis-incentive for beneficiaries to undertake productive investments and adopt sustainable management practices. Theory of Change (Results Chain) 6. The Project Appraisal Document (PAD, Report No. PAD2484) did not present a Theory of Change (ToC) as this was not a requirement at the time. Figure 1 presents the project’s ToC, formulated ex-post from the project context, higher-level objectives, outcomes, components, and activities described in the PAD. FIGURE 1.EX-POST DEVELOPED THEORY OF CHANGE BASED ON PAD. heor o hange thiopia esilient andscapes and ivelihoods ro ect c vi es utputs hort to medium outcomes ong term utcomes Increased land area under Component 1 SLM prac ces Project area showing an increase in ND I LS I corrected for climate e ects Reduced Net greenhouse gas emissions Component ouseholds with increased access to diversi ed livelihood ac vi es Component Page 2 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Project Development Objectives (PDOs) 7. The Project Development Objective (PDO), as articulated in the Financing Agreement and PAD, was to improve climate resilience, land productivity and carbon storage, and increase access to diversified livelihood activities in selected rural watersheds. Key Expected Outcomes and Outcome Indicators 8. he D ’s outcome statement was measured b the ollowing D -level Indicators: a) PDO Indicator 1: Land area under sustainable landscape management practices. 1a. Land area restored or reforested/afforested (Ha) 1b. Land area with productivity enhancing practices applied (Ha) b) PDO Indicator 2: Project area showing an increase in the NDVI correcting for climate effects (Percent) c) PDO Indicator 3. Project area showing an increase in the Land Surface Water Index (LSWI) correcting for climate effects (Percent) d) PDO Indicator 4. Net greenhouse gas emissions (metric tons) PDO-4a፡ Tons of carbon dioxide equivalent to be reduced or avoided e) PDO Indicator 5. Households adopting diversified livelihood activities supported by the project (Number) 5a. Female-headed households adopting diversified livelihood activities supported by the project (Number) For Official Use Only Components 9. RLLP was implemented through four integrated components, summarized below and described in detail in the Technical Annex. • Component 1. Green Infrastructure and Resilient Livelihoods (Total Cost at Approval: US$78.5 million, after first structuring US$86 million, and Actual at project closing US$81.37 million) – supported the implementation of Sustainable Land and Water Management (SLWM) practices, Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA), and the promotion of livelihood-diversifying IGAs. • Component 2. Investing in Institutions and Information for Resilience (Total Cost at Approval: US$12.5 million, after first structuring US$13 million and Actual at project closing US$19.84 million) – supported capacity building, information modernization and policy development; and impact evaluation, knowledge management and communication. • Component 3. Rural Land Administration and Use (Total Cost at Approval: US$23 million, after first structuring US$26 million and Actual at project closing US$12.25 million) – supported Second Level Land Certification (SLLC), digitalization of land registries, and preparation of land use plans. • Component 4. Project Management and Reporting (Total Cost at Approval: US$15 million, after first structuring US$17 million and Actual at project closing US$12.54 million) – supported financial management, procurement, environmental and social safeguards, as well as Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) and reporting. 10. The project area included a total of 170 major watersheds located in the Ethiopian Highlands, averaging approximately 10,000 hectares each. Implementing a phased approach, the 45 watersheds supported under SLMP-I would receive assistance to evolve from project-based support, including creation of CWUCSs and preparation of Watershed Management and Use Plans (WMUPs). Support for the 90 SLMP-II watersheds would allow for the completion of their Multi- Year Development Plans (MYDPs) for watershed restoration. An additional 17 new watersheds, prioritized for extent and severity of land degradation, were selected for RLLP to receive assistance for the preparation of Multi-Year Development Plans (MYDP), followed by investments in SLM interventions. Page 3 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT 11. At appraisal, RLLP covered six regions (Amhara, Benishangul Gumuz, Gambella, Oromia, SNNP, and Tigray) targeting major watersheds covering 1,378,000 hectares of land. Through the implementation of the four components, RLLP was expected to benefit 598,683 male-headed and 105,650 female-headed rural households. In addition, RLLP would benefit other indirect beneficiaries, such as: (i) communities adjacent to project intervention areas adopting SLM and CSA practices through demonstration effects, as observed under SLMP-II; (ii) private sector participants and end-consumers in value chains targeted by the project; (iii) households outside project areas benefiting from the issuance of SLLCs capacity at woreda and regional level; (iv) recipients of capacity building at all levels of government, as well as in national partner organizations; and (v) downstream communities outside project areas benefiting from groundwater recharge, reduced flooding, and lower sediment loads, as a result of SLM interventions. B. SIGNIFICANT CHANGES DURING IMPLEMENTATION (IF APPLICABLE) Revised PDOs and Outcome Targets 12. The PDO remained without modifications throughout project implementation. However, the project underwent two restructurings, which introduced important changes to key elements of the project, including additional financing (May 2020), and revision of indicators and targets, as well as reallocation of financing among components (October 2023). For Official Use Only 13. Whilst the number of watersheds remained unchanged, a government decision created a number of new regional states by ‘splitting’ the regional state, formerly known at Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples (SNNP to create four separate regional administrations: Central Ethiopia, South Ethiopia and Southwest Ethiopia. This required the establishment of new regional PIUs (RPIU) during project implementation. Consequently, the nine regions supported comprised: Amhara, Benishangul Gumuz, Central Ethiopia, Gambella, Oromia, Sidama, South Ethiopia, Southwest Ethiopia, and Tigray. Revised PDO Indicators 14. N/A Revised Components 15. N/A Other Changes 17. As part of the first restructuring (May 2020, 12 months after effectiveness), 18 additional major watersheds (identified for support with Canadian financing) also received assistance for the implementation of their respective MYDPs. Consequently, the total number of major watersheds increased to 170. Rationale for Changes and Their Implication on the Original Theory of Change The changes introduced did not have any implication on the project’s Theory of Change. II. OUTCOME A. RELEVANCE OF PDO Page 4 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Assessment of Relevance of PDOs and Rating Rating: High 16. The PDO continues to be highly relevant to the WBG CPF for the Period FY18–FY22 at appraisal and at completion, which has been extended to FY25. The PDO was also well aligned with the priorities of the GoE, both at appraisal and completion (see paragraph 4 and 5 above). The project was expected to contribute to the achievement of the objectives under Pillar Two: Enhancing resilience and reducing vulnerabilities - of the BG’s CPF while leveraging gender and climate change-oriented cross-cutting aspects through dedicated interventions. It was also consistent with the WBG’s twin goals; and its regional strategy for Africa; The PDO became even more relevant at completion, mainly because of its consistency with major GoE ongoing strategies. RLLP relevance is demonstrated by the project’s contribution to the targets related to climate, forest, water, energy, and land tenure defined by GoE strategy documents listed under paragraph 5 above. Moreover, agriculture continued to have a significant role in employment generation, food security, and rural development in the country. The project is also well aligned with relevant SDGs. 17. RLLP builds on the success and lessons of the SLMP-I and SLMP-II projects which had been implemented from 2008 to 2018 with Bank and donor support. The lessons from these projects contributed to the relevance of the design and implementation of the RLLP and the Climate Action through Landscape Management (CALM) Program for Results. 23. In conclusion, the pro ect’s purpose and implementation remained ull aligned with ma or government policies For Official Use Only and strategies, relevant SDGs, as well as Bank and Partner policy frameworks. All RLLP interventions are found to be highly relevant to the country’s policy priorities and strategies, in addition to being consistent with the needs and priorities of the beneficiary communities. B. ACHIEVEMENT OF PDOs (EFFICACY) Assessment of Achievement of Each Objective/Outcome Rating: Substantial 18. As the PDO was comprised of four distinct objectives, the achievement of project efficacy is assessed for each of the individual objectives: (i) improved climate resilience, (ii) improved land productivity, (iii) improved carbon storage, and (iv) increased access to diversified livelihood activities in selected rural watersheds. Generally, there is practical evidence that SLM interventions in Ethiopia significantly enhance crop productivity and generate considerable financial returns for farmers adopting land restoration and Climate Smart Agricultural practices. The present value of the benefits has been estimated to be more than five times higher than the present value of the costs of investment in SLM measures (Tasew T., 2023). This was further validated by the crop yield results obtained through the evaluation of CSA interventions by the project. 19. RLLP project Results Framework was designed with nine PDO level indicators and 22 intermediate level indicators. As detailed in the table provided in the Technical Annex, RLLP has made significant progress in achieving all its key PDO and Intermediate indicators, especially on increasing the land area under SLM practices, adoption and implementation of CSA practices and providing diversified livelihood opportunities to the beneficiaries, all relevant to the achievement of the intended outcomes. IMPROVED CLIMATE RESILIENCE 20. The CSA sub-component aimed at strengthening livelihoods & food security by improving the management & use of natural resources & adopting appropriate technologies to produce agricultural commodities. It integrates the three Page 5 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT dimensions of sustainable development (economic, social and environmental) by jointly addressing food security, ecosystems management and climate change challenges. Climate-smart technologies were implemented in RLLP interventions watersheds within the framework of integrated landscape management approaches, meaning that all interventions are implemented on previously restored degraded communal land, area closures, treated farmland & rehabilitated gullies. Using this approach, a total of 121,232 ha (106.72% of end target) has been treated with CSA technologies, mainly Conservation Agriculture (CA) (91,973.47 ha) & Integrated Soil Fertility Management (ISFM) (29,258 ha). 21. Building on the biophysical landscape restoration achieved through Sustainable Land and Water Management (SLWM) practices, the project extended the CSA pilot under SLMP-II to a further 200 micro watersheds, providing support for activity packages that addressed: (i) farm water and soil moisture management, through CA; (ii) ISFM; (iii) crop development and management; and (iv) sustainable livestock production, through feed development and integrated agro- silvo-pastoral practices. 22. Adoption Rates of the CSA Technologies: Surveys conducted in the RLLP intervention watersheds by the project showed that beneficiaries had embraced a total of six CSA technologies, with CA, ISFM, AF 152, and CDM being the most widely used technologies. Surveys also highlighted that most household heads perceived the positive role of the watershed management/landscape approach promoted by the project in terms of climate change adaptation. The results on the adoption of CSA indicated that 1,418 groups comprising of 42,189 households adopted at least one CSA practice/technology on their farmland because of intensive demonstration, experience sharing & awareness training carried out by the project. For Official Use Only These initiatives also helped to disseminate CSA practices to areas not supported by RLLP. Qualitative data from focus group discussions (FGDs) discussants and key informants conducted as part of the Borrower Completion Report (BCR) confirmed that household heads showed willingness to apply CSA practices due to perceived low costs, ease to manage, high price of chemical fertilizers, low health risk to human and ease to prepare from local available materials. In terms of perceived benefits, 89.7% of the sample households responded that CSA practices improved production, 80.4% responded that incomes were increased and 69.25% responded the CSA practices improved soil fertility. However, households indicated that the most influential barriers to adopting CSA technologies were lack of inputs, absence of training, and incomplete package of CSA practices. IMPROVED LAND PRODUCTIVITY 23. he pro ect’s Knowledge Management In ormation stem KMI reports has success ull achieved 1,436,697 ha of land treated with improved landscape management practices, achieving 92.25% of the target. Notably, during the mid-term review (MTR), the project had recorded only a 13.7% achievement, equating to 158,813ha, which highlights the significant progress made during the second half of the project. 24. The implementation of the package of proven SLM technologies contributed significantly not only to the project outcome of reducing land degradation but also to the objective of improving land productivity . The most relevant practices supported by the project include erosion control and water retention physical structures, combined with biological measures; degraded hillside rehabilitation through community-managed area closures (banning on grazing of community livestock), terracing, forest enrichment, communal pastureland improvement, gully rehabilitation, establishment of green corridors, woodlots, and the enrichment of pastures and rangelands. 25. A combination of different proven SWC (physical and biological) measures appropriate to local agroecological conditions were implemented on communal lands. KMIS information revealed that a total of 298,625 ha (105.70% of the target) of degraded communal land has been treated through area closures, afforestation, gully treatment, and pasture/grazing land improvement. Rehabilitation and stabilization of gullies represents one of the most successful interventions supported by the project. By the end of the project period, a total of 7,731 ha (99.11%) of gully areas had been Page 6 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT treated by implementing practices such as stone check dam construction, brushwood check dams and water collection trenches) followed by biological revegetation (assisted natural regeneration or planting of forage and fruit species). 26. Practices implemented in degraded communal hillsides included area closures for assisted natural regeneration and restrictions on free grazing, enrichment planting, soil fertility improvement and moisture retention in communal areas and/or privately managed degraded bush and woodlands. The management practices within enclosures include supporting local communities in the preparation and execution of Participatory Land Use Plans (PLUP), including cut-and- carry arrangements for livestock feeding. At project closing, a total of 1,164 PLUPs including grass cut-and-carry arrangements have been prepared and executed in the nine project regions. 27. ompl ing with the D de inition o ‘Green orridor G , the pro ect has implemented 2, 55 ha connecting two or more fragments of forest patches or landscapes in seven project regions , representing 70% of the end target. Corridors were achieved by planting suitable, preferably native tree species along rivers/streams and all-weather roads connecting forest patches in selected watersheds. 28. The survey, Focal Group Discussions (FGD), and field observations conducted in sample micro-watersheds (MWSs) within the nine regions revealed that soil erosion and water runoff were considerably reduced, resulting in clear evidence of increased moisture retention and surface and groundwater availability . As per field observations and survey responses in the nine regions, project interventions have resulted in realizable changes and a range of environmental benefits, promoting more favorable conditions for plant growth and human well-being; increasing the diversity of plant and For Official Use Only animal species in the project areas, enhancing the overall health and resilience of local ecosystems; improving land productivity, enabling more efficient use of natural resources for agricultural and other purposes; led to better water availability, ensuring adequate water supply for various needs such as irrigation, livestock, and domestic use. Specific evidence of the results achieved was provided by the Biophysical Impact Evaluation (BIE) conducted during the last year of the project (see para 36). 29. In addition, the project supported the construction of a significant number of water-related community infrastructure, (see para 47), which also contributed to the objective of improved access and management of water resources by beneficiary communities and households. PHYSICAL AND BIOLOGICAL SWC ACTIVITIES ON FARMLAND 30. Farmlands were treated using Soil and Water Conservation (SWC) measures covering an area of 280,820.55 ha, of which 79,241.55ha were biological SWC measures. The household survey conducted as part of the BCR showed that, out of a total of 3.226 household respondents, 3,141 or 97.37% (of which 792 were female-headed HH) replied that the level of land rehabilitation improvement on their land holdings due to the intervention of the project, ranged from mild to major rehabilitation. This suggests that much of their land is now covered with sustainable land management practices having a significant effect on agricultural production, mainly by controlling soil erosion and increasing moisture availability. 31. In addition, moisture harvesting structures were implemented using community labor to collect and store rainwater runoff. By project closing, an impressive 1,250,008 km of water collection trenches, 27,053 km of deep trenches, 1,588,243 micro basins and 207,194 eyebrow basins (EB) were constructed in eight project regions (excluding Tigray due to the conflict-related restrictions). These structures helped to feed irrigation systems with harvested rainwater to improve crop yields, diversify to higher value crops, increase food security, reduce the risk of flooding and enhance the quality of water. 32. The project had planned to achieve a 50% increase in Land Surface Water Index (LSWI) correcting for climate effects of the project area, while the achievement has been 70.54% (116.0% of the target). A technical evaluation of the Page 7 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT impact of this indicator carried out by NPCU/MOA. This indicator provided the evidence-bases on how SLM practices related to RLLP have contributed to soil moisture retention and availability in project supported areas. 33. The Biophysical Impact Evaluation conducted as part of the project provided clear evidence of the long-term benefits of SLM practices. Results included in the August 2024 Draft Report from measurements of key parameters conducted in a sample of 625 micro-watershed within 46 major watersheds showed: (i) a 54% reduction in overall soil losses due to erosion (from 51.7 tons/ha in 2008 to 24.0 tons/ha in 2024); (ii) an 81% reduction in sediment export (4.3 tons/ha in 2008 down to 0.81 tons/ha in 2024); (iii) reduction in average gully volume from 8,566 m3 to 4,334 m3; and (iv) statistically significant improvement in the Shannon vegetation diversity index from 1,46 to 2.74. IMPROVED CARBON STORAGE 34. As a measure of increased carbon storage, the project planned to achieve a 50% increase of the project area in Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). At closing, RLLP had succeeded in reaching 77.35% of the project area. A more comprehensive technical evaluation of this indicator carried out by the NPCU and MOA and an atlas were prepared for all RLLP supported major watersheds, as part of the handover documentation. However, data obtained from household survey conducted as part of the BCR, 87.57% of respondents reported changes in vegetation cover after project implementation. FGDs conducted in MWSs across all project regions also confirmed the perception of increased vegetation cover in the project supported micro-watersheds, as well as biodiversity enhancement and microclimate improvement as response to SLM practices especially through application of afforestation/ reforestation activities. For Official Use Only 35. Originally planned to reduce net GHGs emissions by 965,000 tons per year, calculations using FAOs EXACT tool estimate that the project achieved the reduction of 1,125,376 tons per year (116.6% of the target) and 4,215,375Tons CO2eq (2325%) of carbon dioxide equivalent reduced or avoided. Field observations in sample MWSs across all regions indicated that the RLLP project has promoted SLM and CSA practices that can contribute to reduction in GHG emissions. This includes adoption of minimum tillage, forage cut and carry system, reforestation/afforestation, agroforestry practices and area closures. The adoption of improved cookstoves also has a positive effect in reducing carbon emissions. INCREASED ACCESS TO DIVERSIFIED LIVELIHOODS 36. To strengthen community resilience through livelihood diversification, support was provided for IGAs to all RLLP watersheds, awarding grants to common interest groups (CIGs) for activities such as apiculture, poultry rearing, sheep and goat fattening, vegetable and fruit farming, and the production and marketing of improved cook stoves which help reduce pressure on watersheds’ natural resources. The RLLP further promoted CSA and livelihood diversification through stronger engagement with the private sector, and providing support for value chain connections in 16 pilot watersheds in the form of: (i) business plan development; (ii) storage facilities and small equipment for grading and processing; (iii) collaboration with other value chain programs to facilitate market linkages; and (iv) development of contracts with cooperatives, cooperative unions and other private sector partners. 37. The project aimed to support 211,350 households in adopting diversified livelihood activities (PDO-5) and successfully surpassed this target by reaching 253,620 households, organized in 2,236 CIGs (IR-5), exceeding the target by 20%. By project closing, beneficiary households, including 36,986 female headed households, adopted diversified livelihood activities supported by the project under the following categories of IGAs (IR6 and IR6a) (i) Off-farm (apiculture, shoat fattening, and poultry production), (ii) On-farm (crop production, temperate and tropical fruits, root and tuber crops, coffee seedling, spices, improved vegetable production, and vermi-culture), and (iii) Non-farm (bamboo processing, cook stove production and marketing, petty trade, masonry, and milk processing). CONNECTION TO VALUE CHAINS Page 8 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT 38. The project-initiated connections to value chain through piloting of selected woredas , where intensive training for national, regional and pilot woredas’ project team was conducted, as well as identification of key commodities for connection to value chain. The Central Ethiopia region was selected as a potential region for connection to value chains with four commodities, namely potatoes, apples, eggs and barley. Similar to the Central Ethiopia region, cases of connection to value chain were supported in selected locations of Sidama, Oromia and Amhara regions. In total, 5896 beneficiaries were supported by connecting to value chain opportunities, reporting earnings of 125,978,033.00 Birr, representing an average share of 21,367.00 Birr per individual. RURAL LAND ADMINISTRATION AND USE (Component 3) 39. Systematic land registration in project watersheds contributed significantly to the achievement of all four PDO outcomes outlined in paragraph 18 above. Land certification enhanced tenure security, which in turn encourages landholders to invest in sustainable landscape management practices, reduces land disputes, improves access to credit, and supports the adoption of sustainable agricultural land use practices. In order to achieve the issuance of land certificates, Component 3 of the project supported the introduction of modern technologies and institutional strengthening initiatives, including piloting drone aerial mapping, development of Mobile Application to automate the field level adjudication and cadastral surveying and mapping, and the rollout of the National Rural Land Administration Information system (NRLIAS). 40. Participatory Local Level Land Use Planning: A total of 1192 (105% of the end target) was prepared, of which the majority were being implemented by project closing. The development of local land use plans followed a participatory For Official Use Only approach that incorporated both scientific methodologies and community involvement. This approach ensured a comprehensive understanding of the land's potential, contributing to the achievement of outcomes related to land productivity. 41. National Rural Land Administration Information System (NRLAIS): The project assessed the readiness of land administration offices in nine regions for NRLAIS rollout, considering factors like office space, infrastructure, human resources, and internet access. By midterm, the RLLP had facilitated NRLAIS implementation in 35 woredas. This number rose significantly to 111 (100.9%) woredas by project end, with software installation, SLLC data cleaning and migration. 593 kebeles with almost 1.8 million parcels were migrated to the new system. This demonstrates a robust effort in ensuring that land records are systematically integrated into NRLAIS, thereby enhancing the efficiency and effectiveness of land administration service delivery. 42. With respect to land tenure, the number of beneficiary farmers with a sense of tenure security increased significantly, as an impressive over 1.24 million households (112.65% of the end target) in the project area received nearly 2.5 million SLLCs (103.86% of the end target), of which over 800,000 were women who received their landholding certificates either individually or jointly with a man. Moreover, 34,000 landless youth (30% women) were issued with a SLLC or other legal documentation to use communal landholdings in exchange for restoring the degraded land received. Land tenure security through land certification incentivizes investment in SLM and climate actions by providing the necessary security for long-term investments, enhancing climate resilience, reducing deforestation, facilitating sustainable and optimal land use practices, and supporting vulnerable communities. 43. Through interviews with beneficiaries, the survey conducted as part of the Borrower Completion Report (BCR) confirmed that land registration and certification has contributed to develop landholder confidence on the security of land tenure on their land, which represents a major condition for sustainable and productive use enabled by a greater willingness to invest into productive assets and infrastructure. Moreover, landholders also reported satisfaction with the transparency of adjudication procedures and the participatory approach used in every step of the adjudication process. Additional positive effects reported by the land titling efforts include (i) decrease in the number of land disputes, especially for boundaries-related cases; (ii) increase in confidence to make land rentals; and (iii) increase in land tax recovery rates. Page 9 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT 44. In summary, RLLP objectives and components were well structured, clearly defined, practical, and feasible to be achieved within the given time frame of the project. The clarity of the objectives was reflected in their alignment with sustainable development goals, focusing on enhancing climate resilience, land productivity, and livelihood diversification. Practicability was ensured through well-structured interventions like Sustainable Land Management practices, Conservation Agriculture, and agroforestry, all of which are proven to be effective in similar contexts. The feasibility of the project design was supported by robust institutional frameworks involving various stakeholders at different administrative levels, despite some challenges such as staff turnover and inadequate involvement of zonal authorities. Justification of Overall Efficacy Rating 45. The project almost fully achieved its objectives and rated as Substantial. The efficacy rating is justified by many factors, including the overall achievement of PDO and intermediate indicators (averaging 96,4% and 97.7% of the intended target, respectively), the satisfactory coverage and scope of interventions at the field level and the strategy applied to sustainably sequence landscape stabilization techniques with livelihood improvement practices. RLLP supported spatially focused interventions to promote environmentally sustainable and socially inclusive growth and contributed to strengthening environmental governance both in institutions and communities engaged in promoting improved and resilient livelihoods. Results achieved in terms of area coverage represent full compliance with expected short- and medium- term outcomes. Relevant impact evaluation results provide robust evidence for the link between SLM practices (PDO indicator) and climate resilience (PDO). These can be considered remarkable achievements, given the operational restrictions experienced by the project in terms of inflation, security issues, and COVID-related restrictions. The failure to For Official Use Only fully implement activities in the Tigray and Amhara regions due to civil unrest cannot be attributed to any shortcoming of the project. Some watersheds in other regions were also impacted, including Oromia and Gambella. C. EFFICIENCY Assessment of Efficiency and Rating Rating: Substantial 46. thiopia’s seeks to strengthen absorptive capacit , through M and interventions; adaptive capacit , through IGAs supporting diversification of livelihoods; and transformative capacity, through CSA practice linked to value chains, and land administration, that provide a basis for more fundamental socioeconomic change. The project targets landscape restoration, ecosystem services conservation, and agroforestry practices, covering nine Regional) and targeting 2,375 micro watersheds within 170 major watersheds with the total project area of 1,799,088 ha. The project disbursed budget of 126.48 million USD, constituting 96.16 million USD from IDA, 27.66 million from MTDF and 2.66 million from Government of Ethiopia. In the PAD, 45 watersheds where implementation had started during an earlier project (Sustainable Land Management Program Phase I (SLMP-I) were referred to as "graduated watersheds". Only limited benefits captured on those watersheds were attributed to RLLP. At Implementation Completion Report (ICR), it was clear that more physical treatments and improvements were also made to the "Existing SLMP II" watersheds than assumed during PAD. Benefit assumptions regarding the RLLP watersheds remain the same as in the PAD. At project closing, 136 watersheds are completed and attained watershed multiyear development plans (MYDP), while 34 watersheds have not yet completed the MYDP. 47. The economic and financial analysis of this project had considered not only the financial impacts, but wider impacts on the welfare and wellbeing of those beneficiaries of the project . In identifying the costs and benefits of a project, it is important to conduct both the financial and economic benefits expected from the project and calculation Net- Present Value (NPV), Benefit-Cost-Ratio (BCR) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR). A financial discount rate of 12 % and an economic discount rate of 5% for a period of 25 years are considered. The key efficiency indicators for the financial and economic analysis at appraisal and completion of the project are presented in Annex 4. At appraisal, the project with Page 10 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT additional financing estimated an Economic NPV of US$ 2,124 million (ETB 59.5 billion) with benefit cost ratio of 5.2. The Economic IRR was 64% and the payback period was 4.3 years. When excluding the social value of carbon, the net economic project return was US$ 1,383 million (ETB 39 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 3.8 and an EIRR of 36% and a payback period of 6.4 years. 48. Comparing these values at project completion, excluding the social value of carbon, the net project return estimated US$1,035 million (ETB 59.16 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 4.7 and an EIRR of 65% and a payback period of 5 years. At project appraisal, the net project return without the impact on carbon balance and exclusion of land transformation was US$ 654.4 million (ETB 18.32 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 2.9 and an EIRR of 22.6% with the payback period of 8.7 years. At project completion, the net project return without the impact on carbon balance and exclusion of land transformation is US$761 million (ETB 43.54 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 3.4 and an EIRR of 37% with the payback period of 6.6 years. At appraisal, the overall financial NPV including the additional finance to the project was estimated US$479 million (ETB 13.39 billion) with a Financial IRR of 35% and a benefit cost ratio of 2.6 and the payback period was 6.5 years. Comparing these values at project completion, the project Financial Net Present Value (FNPV) is US$ 398 million (ETB 22.6 billion) with a Financial IRR of 61 % and a benefit cost ratio of 3.13. 49. In addition to the direct incremental net benefits, incremental benefits from reduced GHG emissions are included using F ’s X-Ante Carbon Balance Tool (EX-ACT) model plus an estimate due to the reduced emissions from distributing 300,000 efficient cookstoves. The project’s impact on G G emissions is estimated at .9 million t CO -eq over the 25-year period (1.4 million tonne CO2-eq/year). Of this 3.6 milliontCO2-eq (0.1 million tCO2-eq per year) is from For Official Use Only improved cookstoves. As per World Bank guidelines, the economic value of reduced GHG emissions is calculated using the social cost of carbon starting at US$ 51 per tonne CO2-eq and increasing to USD 78 per tonne over 25 years. The guideline also suggests a high value scenario at USD 102 per tonne CO2-eq, which increases the value of reduced GHG emissions to USD 2180 million. Because no transactions of carbon credits are planned to reach direct beneficiaries, the financial value of carbon is set to zero. 50. Several factors are identified as driving the 25% decrease in ENPV excluding social value of carbon. Firstly, the US$ to Ethiopia Birr exchange rate increased from 28 to 57 leading to a considerable reduction in ENPV . Secondly, the ENPV increased because the land transformation area increased from 43,000 to 69,897 ha. However, ENPV decreased overall because - at appraisal – land transformation benefits were based only on forest plantations, while at closing a more conservative consideration included greening with less profitable woodland, bush and shrubland. Thirdly, the ENPV increased because - at closing – the targeted project area was larger, and more benefits were attributed to watersheds with completed MYDP. Contrary to this, ENPV decreased somewhat because – at appraisal - several of the SLMP watersheds were classified as RLLP and had originally been attributed higher benefits. 51. In general, based on the sum of expected incremental benefits both in financial analysis and the two economic scenarios analysis, the overall project and efficiency is rated as Substantial , implying that the project was financially and economically viable D. JUSTIFICATION OF OVERALL OUTCOME RATING Rating: Satisfactory 52. The overall outcome rating is based on the High rating allocated to the Relevance of the PDO, the Substantial Efficacy of reaching intended results and outcomes, and the Substantial Efficiency achieved by the project, which was within reasonable limits of error to the estimates made at appraisal. The significance of the PDO and the achieved outcomes is further demonstrated by the decision of the GoE to pursue the further expansion and upscaling of RLLP interventions through the ongoing RLLP-2 (with financing from the Green Climate Fund – GCF) and CALM PforR operations. Page 11 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT E. OTHER OUTCOMES AND IMPACTS (IF ANY) COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 53. Community infrastructure included water harvesting technology, potable water supply schemes and feeder road construction, Contributing for the project outcomes (Outcomes 1-3). According to the BCR, the end target achievement of these technologies is 398 (56.30%), 736 (93.69%) and 447 (59.79%) of water harvesting technologies, potable water supply schemes and feeder roads, implemented respectively in eight project regions. Besides the above, additional water harvesting technologies served the community in project regions include 3 community ponds, 91 HH ponds, 183 springs capped /developed, 267 hand-dug wells, 86 roof-water harvesting techniques, 95 culverts and 17 fords. 54. Regarding the supply of seedlings for the various interventions in SLM, CSA and diversification of livelihoods, the project financed the establishment and operation of nurseries in all regions. According to the KMIS report, from 2019 to 2024, the nurseries produced and distributed a total of 126,933,036 seedlings, including 68,422,456 seedlings of different tree species, 2,830,118 of fruit tree seedlings, 7,994,404 of coffee seedlings, 2,154,634 of bamboo seedlings, 34,260,445 of grass splits or cuttings) and 11,270,979 of forage seedlings. 55. All land-based and community-based outcomes were supported by the implementation of Component 2 (Investing in Institutions and Information for Resilience). The project addressed the overall technical and institutional For Official Use Only requirements for the effective provision of support services to watershed-level interventions, by providing adequate financing for training, technical assistance and capacity building at the local level, as well as supporting a comprehensive set of knowledge management and dissemination initiatives. This component provided training and technical assistance at all levels to build government capacity for planning and implementing SLWM interventions. As a result, a number of technical manuals and policy instruments were developed at the national level (details provided in the Institutional Strengthening section below and Annex). 56. A significant feature of the project was the focus on developing local capacities at woreda, kebele and community level. This included support for: (i) Community Facilitators (CFs) at kebele level; (ii) accountants to support Woreda Offices of Agriculture and Natural Resources (WoANRs); (iii) establishment of Community Watershed User Cooperative Societies (CWUCSs), highly relevant to project sustainability, and subsequent preparation of specific management and use plans (CWMUP); (iv) construction and operation of 125 Woreda Information Centers (WICs) equipped with computers, data storage devices, projectors/TV, and furniture (at closing 118 WICs are fully functional and being used by stakeholders across the 9 regions); and (iv) targeted assistance for specific technical needs, such as community monitoring of surface and groundwater, piloting access to -weather information, and training in cadaster development and land registration. 57. A total of 2083 CWUCSs have been established, representing 94.55 % of the total target of 2203 CWUCSs. Of these, 1574 (71.45% of the end target) have prepared the required Management and Use Plans (MUPs). The regions of Central Ethiopia, Gambella, Sidama, South Ethiopia and Southwest Ethiopia achieved 100% of their target. Conversely, continued support is needed in Tigray and Amhara regions, where a relatively low number of CWMUP have been prepared. 58. The project also piloted new technologies for information modernization at the local level, including electronic tablets for gathering and reporting on geospatial information, and use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs – or drones) for the acquisition of aerial photographs and production of orthophotos, which serve as a base map for the land registration and certification activities. Support for policy development under this component focused on: (i) Page 12 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT the development and application of a regulatory framework for CWUCSs; and (ii) strengthening the land administration system. Gender 59. Gender considerations have been a priority in RLLP design, as demonstrated by the inclusion of sub indicators for female beneficiaries for all major indicators in the Results Framework . Similarly, this approach was adopted by the Project’s Monitoring Information System at local levels and consolidated at the national level. In all cases, the reporting on sub indicators suggest that the proportion of female beneficiaries was highly relevant, particularly regarding the issuance of secondary land certificates. A significant benchmark is that women in the project areas gained equal land tenure security compared to men through second level land certificates, thus promoting gender equity and empowering women in land management decisions. However, the information provided by the survey conducted as part of the BCR suggests a statistically significant difference in satisfaction levels between MHH and FHH regarding the RLLP intervention. The results suggest that while the RLLP intervention has provided benefits to both male and female-headed households, it disproportionately favored males in terms of satisfaction. This appears to raise questions about the inclusivity and effectiveness of the activities implemented. Institutional Strengthening 60. To effectively achieve attitudinal and behavioral changes towards the project induced activities, training For Official Use Only was provided to project-implementing parties of all levels. As described in the PIM, a significant number of training sessions were undertaken for different project implementing stakeholders including the end users. In most cases, training has been provided by sector experts and external consultants. Theoretical training supported with demonstrations, including farmers field days, exposure and exchange visits and printed media (like magazines, signposts, brochures, leaflets, posters, and newsletters) were the mechanisms through which such trainings were delivered. The training was delivered for each level of implementation at federal, regional, woreda and kebele levels. The printing media for the ultimate users were produced in local languages. RLLP made use of a variety of media and communication tools tailored to different audiences. In terms of policy instruments, several highly relevant manuals and legal documents were prepared under RLLP, as described in the Technical Annex. 61. Moreover, capacity building training has also been provided on adoption and use of (i) web based SLM- KMIS usage system, (ii) tablet based geo-enabling system, and (iii) geo-enabling for monitoring and supervision (GEMS). The GEMS implementations training has been given to regional specialists and zonal project focal persons on usage of tablet-based Kobo Toolbox system for data collection and data manipulation. Such training was also cascaded down to woreda focal coordinators, development agents (DA), community facilitators, and Technical Committee (TC) members with the support and supervision of regional and federal experts. 62. In general, findings of the BCR indicate that across the regions and the respective project woredas, appropriate capacity building training has been given on relevant project implementation issues such as establishment and management of CWUCS, land restoration, livelihood diversification, land administration and use, land certification, monitoring and evaluation and environmental and social safeguard preparation and management. Stakeholders of all levels such as regional specialists, Zonal project focal persons, woreda project coordinators, WSCs, WTCs, and selected members of CWT, KWT, KGC, CF, and DA took part in capacity building training. Mobilizing Private Sector Financing 63. In the context of the improved livelihood outcome, RLLP promoted livelihood diversification through stronger engagement with the private sector, including establishing collaboration with other Value Chain initiatives, and conducting a comprehensive Market Assessment (see further details in Technical Annex). In addition, direct Page 13 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT support was provided to organized farmers in 16 pilot watersheds described previously for value chain connections in the form of financial assistance for: (i) business plan development; (ii) storage facilities and small equipment for grading and processing; (iii) collaboration with other value chain programs to facilitate market linkages; and (iv) development of contracts with cooperatives, cooperative unions and other private sector partners. Relevant activities aimed at mobilizing private sector engagement are described in the Technical Annex, Poverty Reduction and Shared Prosperity 64. All RLLP activities were targeted to poor rural households living in degraded watersheds. The integrated approach followed by the project, incorporating CSA and IGA in SLM-treated areas, represents a valid strategy to eventually achieve sustainable poverty reduction through improved livelihoods. Numerous examples of this assumption have been identified and documented, particularly in households that initially received SLM support from SLMP-I and SLMP-II, further consolidated by specific interventions during RLLP. 65. By focusing on providing resources and opportunities to women and youth, RLLP not only empowered these groups but also contributed significantly to achieving the project's broader objectives and indicators . This inclusive approach ensured that the benefits of the project were equitably distributed, promoting sustainable development and resilience within the community. Other Unintended Outcomes and Impacts For Official Use Only 74. A specific project intervention closely linked to poverty reduction was the support to landless youth. The level of landlessness in the country has faced major problems due to lack of economic opportunities for most poor rural youths which drives them to put high pressure on the natural capital to support their livelihoods that leads to severe land degradation threatening the resilience of rural livelihoods in many ways. Specifically, RLLP assisted over 34,000 poor rural youth (of which 10,000 were female) in the transfer of rehabilitated communal lands in exchange for their effort towards land restoration. This included identification of suitable communal land, consultation of the community for relevant decision to be made to reduce the environmental social risks, surveying of the communal lands, organizing the landless youths in groups, and issuance of land certificates. III. KEY FACTORS AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME A. KEY FACTORS DURING PREPARATION 66. RLLP preparation was considerably facilitated by the operational experience and lessons learned for the predecessor projects (SLMP-I and SLMP-II). Largely due to this, project components were coherent, and objectives were realistic, while beneficiaries, stakeholders, and implementation arrangements were adequately identified. In addition, appropriate mitigation measures to perceived risks were identified, such as the recruitment of fiduciary staff at the regional level. Despite the incorporation of key additional activities, the experience gained with SLMP-II ensured that implementation readiness was not a limiting factor. 67. However, as described in other sections of this report, the overall implementation outcomes were affected by distinct factors associated with preparation, including (a) the limited information on the actual degree of coverage achieved in individual SLMP-I watersheds, influencing the ‘completeness’ assumption (reduced support allocated by RLLP to SLMP-I and SLMP 2 watersheds) which guided the initial implementation strategy of RLLP. B. KEY FACTORS DURING IMPLEMENTATION Page 14 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT 68. Project implementation was challenged by major external factors like COVID-19 Pandemic, conflict and security- related restrictions, and inflated cost of inputs and equipment. The COVID-19 pandemic restricted effective mobility for regional and federal project staff including partners that reduced micro-watershed level monitoring and support, affected implementation momentum, restricted technical monitoring and support plan, delayed delivery of capacity building activities and reduced the functionality of monitoring platforms. The Royal Norwegian Embassy additional finance support to MoA, intensive virtual communications and social distancing-based technical support were mitigation measures during the pandemic period. 69. Security restrictions and the civil war considerably affected RLLP implementation, mostly in Tigray and Amhara regions, but also in parts of western Oromia and Gambella. M&E information shows that Tigray had a good start during the inception period, however due to the widespread conflict that lasted from November 2020 to November 2022, project implementation not only was interrupted (Tigray showed the least progress in all performance indicators) but physical and biological SWC structures on farmland and infrastructure such as the Woreda Information Centers (WIC) were destroyed or severely damaged. More specifically, 342 micro-watersheds within 34 major watersheds were unable to fully implement project interventions, NRLAIS was not functional in Tigray due to war-related damage till December 2023, while the looting and damage of documents, furniture, and ICT equipment affected 32 of the WIC financed by the project in Tigray (14), Oromia (5) and Amhara (13), including the six WICs established in GAC-supported watersheds. 70. In addition, high inflation and foreign exchange restrictions during the life of the project also affected project implementation, mainly regarding the purchase of inputs (seeds, fertilizers, hand tools, etc.) and equipment (tillage For Official Use Only machinery, motorcycles for local staff and DAs, etc.), both local and imported. IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME A. QUALITY OF MONITORING AND EVALUATION (M&E) Rating: Substantial M&E Design 71. The M&E system designed during preparation and described in the PAD was expected to reflect input-output, processes, and outcome monitoring, as well as monitoring of targets established for the indicators included in the Results Framework. M E system design and implementation, particularly at the local level (“below woreda” including the mid - term review were adequately budgeted as part of project management costs, while ambitious impact evaluations of CSA, biophysical and livelihoods, were planned to be conducted and used to reinforce and help build evidence on the impacts of improved land management. M&E Implementation 72. As a result of the timeliness and decentralized AWPB planning, data collection system employed, technical and fiduciary data generated in each micro-watershed was effectively consolidated into management and progress reports, instrumental for the analysis of project implementation by the RPCUs, NPCU, and Bank team, the latter mainly to inform ten supervision missions and the mid-term review conducted in 2021. M&E Utilization 73. The adoption of improved monitoring and reporting tools, combined with the comprehensive training provided to local staff in woredas, kebeles and communities was instrumental to having access to a reliable Monitoring System, allowing for improved project planning and management by regional and central coordinators and authorities, as well as results-based advice and guidance by the Bank’s team. Page 15 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Justification of Overall Rating of Quality of M&E 74. Learning from the weakness of the SLMP-II M&E system and ke assumptions around “graduated watersheds”, as designed, the M&E system of RLLP incorporated substantial improvements and clarity of assumptions to ensure timely and accurate project monitoring at the local level (Woreda and Kebele/watershed ). In the PAD, 45 watersheds where implementation had started during an earlier project (Sustainable Land Management Program Phase I (SLMP-I)) were referred to as "graduated watersheds". This assumption created challenges in attributing benefits and assessing the extent of physical treatments and improvements made in SLMP I and SLMP II supported major watersheds. While the PAD assumed limited additional benefits for graduated watersheds, the Implementation Status and Results Reports (ISRs) after the mid- term indicated that more physical treatments and improvements were made to the "Existing SLMP II" major watersheds than initially assumed. This contention regarding the assumption of benefits and the extent of improvements was later clarified and incorporated in the M&E system during implementation. Hence, through the establishment of 4735 platforms, of which 2375 functioned at community level, and almost 2000 at the kebele level, the M&E system provided an effective tool for the project to plan, budget, and monitor project implementation at all levels. Furthermore, the information provided by the M&E system at project closing allowed for a reliable and satisfactory assessment of project outputs and results. B. ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND FIDUCIARY COMPLIANCE 75. At RLLP closure, the overall environmental and social compliance rating was Satisfactory, based on the following achievements, further described in the Technical Annex: For Official Use Only • RLLP was classified as Category B and built on lessons learned through the implementation of the SLM Program, including the Bank-financed SLMP-I and SLMP-II. • The project complied with the triggered safeguards policies and with relevant national policy and legislations through preparing, implementing, and monitoring the RLLP safeguards instruments in an inclusive and participatory manner. All instruments were translated into local languages, including Amharic, Afan Oromo, Sidamo Afo, and Tigrigna, and distributed to the respective woredas. • A comprehensive gender analysis of the project was also conducted, leading to the preparation and implementation of appropriate mainstreaming guidelines. • The safeguards system established during the RLLP implementation period (2019 to 2024) has laid the foundation for E&S risk management for the second RLLP (P174385), including a comprehensive set of activities involving institutional arrangements, stakeholder engagement and support for vulnerable groups. • Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM): A GRM was established and operated, with a total of 6,051 Grievance Redress Committees (GRC) in the implementing kebeles, resolving all 2,293 registered cases. • E&S screening and instruments: Site-specific instruments (ESMPs) were prepared, cleared, implemented, and monitored for sub-projects. A total of 7,565 sub-projects were screened, with 4,793 ESMPs developed and implemented. 76. No major non-compliance cases were reported during the project closing mission, though some delayed E&S activities were recorded, including the submission of the compiled report on the implementation status of the E&S audit corrective action plan. These issues will be addressed under RLLP II, under implementation. Financial Management (FM) 77. The overall FM rating at closing was Moderately Satisfactory (MS), and the FM risk rating was Substantial (S). The last FM implementation supervision assessed that (i overall, the project’s financial management arrangements and their implementation was assessed as adequate; (ii) compliance with the legal covenants related to financial management was overall satisfactory, and (iii) commendable efforts from the client side in taking actions on the PAD and supervision missions FM action plans. The assessment concluded that the FM system in place provided reasonable assurance that the Bank Page 16 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT proceeds were being used for the intended purposes and that the reports that were being produced by the system were reliable for monitoring the project throughout the project’s lifetime. Overall, the project disbursed 100% of the allocations and documented them in full; IFRs were mostly submitted on time; timely and up-to-date recording of project accounts and transactions were noted; full staff positions were maintained towards the end of the project; refresher trainings were provided to the staff; frequent supportive supervisions were conducted at the lower implementations the NPCU; the project customized the project charts of accounts to accommodate the GCF APR reporting requirements to ensure GCF reporting as RLLP II co- financing; and the project could close the accounts in an orderly despite challenges. 78. Despite the overall positive FM performance outlook, some challenges have persisted over the project life including delays in AWPB preparation, approval, and notification to lower implementing entities; variations in the project working budgets and government proclaimed budgets; low budget utilization; poor quality and coverage of internal audit review oversight; manual accounting system at some implementing woredas; gaps in fixed assets management (fixed assets not timely updated at some of the lower implementations), gaps in IFR quality; delay in taking action on audit recommendations; lower counterpart contribution compared to initial design; and impact of conflict situations on FM implementation. Procurement Management (PM) 79. he pro ect’s procurement per ormance rating is Moderatel atis actor . The implementing agencies established and maintained the agreed procurement arrangement and capacity at all levels including at federal, regional and woreda level. For Official Use Only Besides, the client in collaboration with the World Bank procurement team provided training to procurement and technical staff during the implementation of the project. As a result, adequate capacity has been maintained to enable effective implementation of procurement at all levels of implementation. 80. As per the information in STEP, 669 procurement activities with an aggregate estimated cost of USD 46 million were planned during the project lifetime. Of these, close to 40% of the procurement activities were planned and implemented using open competitive procedures. This is acceptable considering the nature of the project that involves small value procurement activities sourced from the local market using proportionally simple procurement methods. Though there are risk of activities that are not captured in STEP system, the project is one of the first few projects that has tried to capture in STEP all procurement activities, including those small value procurement activities implemented at local level. Close to 20% of the planned procurement activities (32% in value terms) were cancelled after the procurement activities had been cleared by the Bank showing the limitation in preparing and implementing realistic procurement plans. Related to this, the client cancelled major consultancy activities associated Bio-physical impact evaluation, climate smart agriculture productivity evaluation and Bamboo for Landscape Restoration and Livelihood Diversification which were part of the original project design and planned and cleared in STEP. Some of these activities were cancelled after the selection process had advanced to contract signing stage, undermining the credibility of the procurement process in the ministry. 81. During the life of the project, the procurement team carried out 3 rounds of post procurement reviews. In addition, the client sponsored a consulting firm and carried out independent procurement audits. In all the reviews and the audit, there were no cases involving risk of fraud and corruption though minor inconsistencies were observed during procurement processing and contract management. Besides, the Bank is not aware of any procurement complaint that was not satisfactorily resolved. However, it is noted that the last independent procurement audit was not carried out due to delays in initiating the selection process. As per the information in STEP, there are procurement activities that are under contract implementation and procurement processing which is mostly related to limitations in updating the procurement information in STEP. Thus, the client has been urged to update the procurement information and upload all relevant procurement documents in STEP during the grace period. C. BANK PERFORMANCE Page 17 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Quality at Entry 82. Supported by the experience acquired in implementing the previous SLM project, as well as other relevant projects such as the NE MAP Project in Nigeria, India’s Karnataka atershed Project and Rwanda’s Land usbandry Project, RLLP identification, preparation and appraisal adequately addressed all technical, financial, institutional and fiduciary aspects required to achieve the expanded and ambitious development outcomes of RLLP. The project's design was well-grounded in the Theory of Change (ToC), with outcomes and outputs consistently aligned with the anticipated results, facilitated by the continuity of key staff in the NPCU and RPCUs, as well as the design of an improved, highly decentralized M&E system. 83. In hindsight, one minor weakness of project design was the stated intention of providing a mechanism and supporting elements to allow watersheds to “graduate” rom pro ect-based assistance and continue sustainable management of restored landscapes through normal government mechanisms. This approach was revised during implementation, replacing the concept of watershed “graduation” with “completion”, thus acknowledging that once SLM interventions have adequately addressed all factors of land degradation, continued project-related support to households will most likely be required to attain the ultimate goal of improved productivity and livelihoods. Quality of Supervision 84. A total of 10 Joint Independent Supervisions Missions (JISM) were conducted by Bank staff and consultants, mostly based in the Bank office in Addis Abeba. Mission Aide Memoires and ISRs were timely, comprehensive and candid, providing For Official Use Only a useful tool for Bank management oversight and country dialogue. The Mid-Term Review was carried out as planned and, considering the findings and recommendations of the review, the Bank team proactively pursued the restructuring of the Results Framework, as well as necessary adjustments to the original budgets and institutional arrangements. 85. RLLP was implemented with five AWBP approved for operation based on the thorough review and No Objection from the Bank and the respective steering committees at Federal, Regional and Woreda levels . The same Bank team was also responsible for supervising RLLP-II implementation since 2022 for 24 months in PROGREEN targeted watersheds and for 12 months in GCF financed watersheds. Moreover, on top of RLLP and RLLP-II planning and implementation, the project managed key activities of SLMP-II completion. This considerable set of overlapping tasks, combined with the contributions made by the Bank team on project-related technical matters beyond supervision responsibilities (CSA, green corridors, private sector engagement, adoption of IT-based M&E tools, NDVI and LSWI instruments, etc.) provide ample justification for the considerably high annual supervision budget, supported by Bank-executed Trust Funds, as recorded in the system for RLLP. 86. ne aspect which was not adequatel addressed b the Bank’s supervision was the implementation o three separate but linked impact evaluations, namely biophysical impact at landscape level, livelihood impacts at the household level and CSA impact at the plot level. These evaluations were referenced in the PAD, and originally planned to be conducted through different stakeholders, i.e., WLRC of Addis Ababa University, a consortium of CGIAR agencies and the Environment and Climate Research Centre of EDRI, and the Bank’s Gender Lab, respectively. owever, due to a combination of implementation and procurement delays, WLRC and CGIAR participation did not materialize, and the biophysical and CSA impact evaluations were conducted by the NPCU and finalized shortly after project closing. The livelihood outcome at the household level impact evaluation was impacted by security restrictions which rendered a considerable number of sample field sites off limits for data collection. This study produced contradictory preliminary results which suggest the need for the Bank team and the Gender Lab to jointly review the appropriateness of the methodology utilized. This process was underway at the time of ICR preparation. 87. In addition, an advanced community-based biophysical monitoring was also adopted by taking Sidama region as a pilot using advanced trail cameras to monitor water quality, stream flow and precipitation. The required data with the support Page 18 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT of trial cameras and installed rain gauges has been collected, organized and shared with the Bank M&E Team in order to incorporate these results in the overall impact evaluation framework. Justification of Overall Rating of Bank Performance 88. verall, the World Bank’s per ormance is rated atis actor . Minor shortcomings identified at inception and Mid- Term Review were adequately mitigated by the orld Bank’s support during implementation. All technical and fiduciary requirements were fully achieved in a proactive manner, contributing to both supporting project implementation and enhancing the orld Bank’s dialogue with sectoral counterparts and stakeholders. D. RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME 89. Project preparation identified several risk factors to project success and outcome and possible mitigation measures. Although the project did not conduct systematic and regular assessments of risks, relevant mitigation measures for these pre-identified risks were adequately taken into consideration, while emerging risks such as the security situation in certain project areas were appropriately reflected in periodic revisions to project implementation plans. 90. Results from project implementation highlighted several features which underscore and mitigate the overall risk of not sustaining project outcomes. These include the level of adoption of SLM practices by beneficiaries, and the fact that most of the interventions to reduce land degradation were implemented by beneficiary communities represents a clear For Official Use Only indication that watershed rehabilitation practices can be maintained and expanded with limited public funding, provided that the local support structures developed by RLLP are not discontinued. In addition, decisions made by communities organized into Cooperative Societies to enact bylaws to enforce certain practices such as area closures and grazing bans are evidence of community empowerment and the acceptance and adoption of key conservation practices by watershed households. Most importantly, the support provided by the project to enhance utilization of natural resources and increase farm productivity in stabilized areas has resulted in tangible livelihood improvements, which provide the most compelling incentive for beneficiary communities to sustain their commitment to a holistic approach to watershed management. However, this expected outcome cannot be solely supported by community commitments, without further strengthening and public support. Public policies and interventions at the national and regional levels must provide the necessary assistance to address systemic issues which could challenge project outcomes, including the alignment/mainstreaming of extension services with conservation-based production systems; promotion of SLM-oriented governance structures, such as the CWMCS; development of incentives to establish livestock production systems that incorporate SLM practices (area closures, cut-and-carry, forage production in gullies and CSA rotations, etc.); and reduction of overgrazing in fragile communal areas. 91. The agreement reached, as part of the final supervision, for MoA to prepare a detailed Sustainability Plan, combined with the World Bank’s decision to support GoE’s efforts to further consolidate and expand the RLLP success through the implementation of the RLLP-2 and CALM operations, should also be instrumental in addressing the abovementioned risks and ensuring the necessary continuity for long-term impact and sustainability of project outcomes. The NPCU/MoA has completed the necessary documents, including atlases of major watersheds, to be handed over to government and CWUCSs by January 7, 2025. Such agreement materialized in early December during a CALM supervision mission, in which MoA formally presented to the Bank a detailed watershed Handover Plan, which included a schedule for gradual transfer of 170 RLLP-assisted watersheds to regional & local governments, complemented by valuable area-specific justification in terms of number of beneficiaries, as well as NDVI & LSWI values for each of the RLLP micro-watersheds, reflecting a detailed sustainability plan. V. LESSONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 92. A strategic lesson from SLMP-I and SLMP-II reflected in the design and implementation of RLLP is the need to provide reasonable time to achieve the stabilization of degraded areas, complemented by mechanisms and supporting Page 19 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT elements to allow watershed communities to evolve from project-based assistance and adopt/consolidate sustainable management of restored landscapes through government programs. In this respect, the establishment of Community Watershed User Cooperatives Societies (CWUCS) should be instrumental to sustaining participatory watershed management when project-based support ends, provided they are established early in the life of the project to ensure adequate capacity building and governance. 93. In the design of any NRM project, security of land ownership or user rights represents a key factor for strengthening community incentives for investment in and maintenance of SLM interventions. Consequently, where such a condition is not part of the project baseline, consideration should be given to include a land certification component in project design, ideally mainstreamed with existing government programs. 94. Highly decentralized SLM implementation is a major factor of project success. As such, projects require a well- designed M&E system, ideally with the necessary platforms and tools to for primary data to be generated at the beneficiary level, while ensuring that the overall system is focused on results-based and spatial information, and not only activity-based reporting. In addition to identifying indicators to be measured, detailed indicator protocols need to be developed that provide specific procedures and frequency/uniformity for indicator data collection. 95. Important technical lessons include: (a) area closures to limit free grazing for erosion control should be complemented by fodder production to better support enclosed livestock management practices (as discussed under outputs regarding gully rehabilitation and backyard livestock farming); (b) SLM initiatives need to take into consideration the livestock For Official Use Only population in the micro-watershed in relation to the carrying capacity of the area; (c) to achieve the effective exit strategy of a treated micro-watershed, systemic issues such as the overall capacity building of the extension systems and community- based organizations should be addressed; and (d) adoption of improvement land productivity practices, well adapted to climate variability through soil and water management, combined with support for livelihood improvements linked to value chains, represent the most appropriate approach to reinforce incentives for the maintenance of investments in SLM practices. 96. Fiduciary lessons regarding the overall support to the SLM Program highlight the importance of (a) aligning project budgeting systems with the GoE budget calendar; (b) including the costs of environmental mitigation measures in subproject designs; and (c) providing adequate resources to upgrade planning, budgeting, and monitoring of inputs and outputs that are essential for decentralized operations. As such, the appointment of regional accountants as ‘mobile accountants’ in regions where significant number of project watersheds exist has contributed to improve financial reporting at decentralized levels, while assigning a project internal auditor at the federal level can improve/address internal control weaknesses. Page 20 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@icrresultframework#doctemplate A. RESULTS FRAMEWORK PDO Indicators by Outcomes Improve climate resilience and land productivity Indicator Name Baseline Closing Period (Original) Closing Period (Current) Actual Achieved at Completion Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year 406,000.00 Aug/2018 1,568,000.00 Jul/2024 1,446,409.92 Jul/2024 Comments on achieving targets PDO-1a should read "Land area restored or reforested/afforested (Ha)". The result recorded in November 2019 Land area under sustainable has been corrected, as achievements for this sub-indicator can only be recorded for areas restored, reforested, landscape management practices or afforested as part of completed MYDPs. At project completion, 91 out of 125 major watersheds completed (Hectare(Ha)) their MYDPs under RLLP. PDO-1b should read "Land area with productivity enhancing practices applied (Ha)."; The figures indicated relate to this definition of PDO-1b The minor text errors in PDO-1a and 1b occurred during processing of the Additional Financing (AF). Land area under sustainable 113,000.00 Aug/2018 193,754.00 Jul/2024 244,619.00 Jul/2024 landscape management practices (Hectare(Ha)) Land area under sustainable 6,000.00 Aug/2018 113,600.00 Jul/2024 108,106.00 Jul/2024 landscape management practices (Hectare(Ha)) Project area showing an increase in 0.00 Aug/2018 50.00 Jul/2024 77.35 Jul/2024 NDVI correcting for climate effects Comments on achieving targets This indicator was updated at Midterm and End. (Percentage) Project area showing an increase in 0.00 Aug/2018 50.00 Jul/2024 70.54 Jul/2024 LSWI correcting for climate effects Comments on achieving targets This indicator was updated at Midterm and End. (Percentage) Improve carbon storage Page 21 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Indicator Name Baseline Closing Period (Original) Closing Period (Current) Actual Achieved at Completion Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year 0.00 Aug/2018 -965,000.00 Jul/2024 -1,125,376 Jul/2024 Net greenhouse gas emissions Comments on achieving targets This indicator updated at Midterm and End. (Tones/year) 4a. Expected tons of carbon 0.00 3,096,380.00 4,215,375.00 dioxide equivalent to be reduced or avoided Metric ton (tCO2eq) (Metric ton) Increase access to diversified livelihood activities Indicator Name Baseline Closing Period (Original) Closing Period (Current) Actual Achieved at Completion Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Households adopting diversified 0.00 Aug/2018 211,350.00 Jul/2024 253,620 Jul/2024 livelihood activities supported by the Comments on achieving targets This indicator measured by survey conducted at Midterm and End. project (Number) Female-headed households 0.00 37,000.00 36,986.00 participating in diversified livelihood activities supported by the project (Number) Intermediate Indicators by Components Green Infrastructure and Resilient Livelihoods Indicator Name Baseline Closing Period (Original) Closing Period (Current) Actual Achieved at Completion Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year IR 1. Share of target beneficiaries 0.00 Aug/2018 65.00 Jul/2024 89.30 May/2022 with rating ‘Satisfied’ or above on Comments on achieving targets This indicator updated with survey conducted at mid-term and close. project interventions (aspects: livelihoods, environmental benefits, others) (Percentage) IR 1a. Share of target women 0.00 65.00 84.80 beneficiaries with rating Page 22 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ‘Satisfied’ or above on project interventions (Percentage) IR 2. Targeted major watersheds with 0.00 Aug/2018 125.00 Jul/2024 91.00 Jun/2024 Multi-Year Development Plan 100% Comments on achieving targets It was anticipated that most of SLMP-2 watersheds will have fully implemented their MYDPs implemented (Number) by Midterm. IR 2a. Targeted major 90.00 125.00 125.00 watersheds with Multi-Year Development Plan approved (Number) 0.00 Aug/2018 43,500.00 Jul/2024 47,300.00 Jun/2024 IR 3. Area enclosure as a result of the project (Hectare(Ha)) Comments on achieving targets Area enclosures prevent uncontrolled grazing, and can included as an activity in MYDPs. IR 4. Land users adopting sustainable 0.00 Aug/2018 506,000.00 Jul/2024 181,310.00 May/2022 land management practices as a Comments on achieving targets This indicator is to be measured based on a survey conducted at Midterm and End. Results result of the project (Number) previously reported were corrected to zero, as the survey has not yet been conducted. IR 4a. Women land users 0.00 276,000.00 68,356.00 adopting sustainable land management practices as a result of the project (Number) IR 4b. Female headed 0.00 47,300.00 15,771.00 households adopting sustainable land management practices as a result of the project (Number) IR 5. Functional Common-Interest 0.00 Aug/2018 2,628.00 Jul/2024 2,240.00 Jun/2024 Groups (CIGs) established or supported. (Number) IR 6. People participating in income- 0.00 Aug/2018 382,800.00 Jul/2024 389,289.00 Jun/2024 generating activities supported by Comments on achieving targets Data for this indicator is collected as part of project reporting. The methodology and the project (Number) frequency of reporting have been corrected accordingly. IR 6a. Women participating in 0.00 210,800.00 170,116.00 income generating activities Page 23 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT supported by the project (Number) Investing in Institutions and Information for Resilience Indicator Name Baseline Closing Period (Original) Closing Period (Current) Actual Achieved at Completion Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year IR 7. Community atershed Users’ 0.00 Aug/2018 2,203.00 Jul/2024 2,065.00 Jul/2024 Cooperative Societies established and strengthened (Number) IR 7a. Community Watershed 0.00 2,203.00 1,575.00 Users’ Cooperative Societies (CWUCSs) with Watershed Management and Use Plan (Number) IR 8. Woreda information centers 0.00 Aug/2018 126.00 Jul/2024 118.00 Jul/2024 being effectively used by project Comments on achieving targets This indicator updated based on the BCR. stakeholders (Number) IR 14. Number of direct beneficiaries 0.00 Apr/2022 3,539,490.00 Jul/2024 3,468,700.00 Jul/2024 (Number) IR14a. Number of indirect 0.00 21,168,512.00 21,062,669.00 beneficiaries (Number) (Number) IR 15. Number of males and females 0.00 Apr/2022 1,019,405.00 Jul/2024 1,387,537.00 Jul/2024 made aware of climate threats and related appropriate responses (Number) IR 15a. Number of females 0.00 Apr/2022 560,656.00 Jul/2024 815,524.00 Jul/2024 made aware of climate threats and related appropriate responses (Number) Rural Land Administration and Use Indicator Name Baseline Closing Period (Original) Closing Period (Current) Actual Achieved at Completion Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Result Month/Year Page 24 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT IR 9. Parcels of land surveyed and 1,776,000.00 Aug/2018 4,100,000.00 Jul/2024 4,205,153.00 Jul/2024 mapped for certification (Number) IR 10. Second level land certificates 1,776,000.00 Aug/2018 2,400,000.00 Jul/2024 2,492,615.00 Jul/2024 issued as a result of the project Comments on achieving targets The baseline for this indicator supposed to be zero. (Number) IR 11. Households who have received 438,000.00 Aug/2018 1,098,500.00 Jul/2024 1,237,468.00 Jul/2024 second level land holding certificates (Number) IR 11a. Women who have 300,000.00 795,375.00 828,904.00 received second level land holding certificates individually or jointly with a man (Number) IR 12. Landless youth who are 14,000.00 Aug/2018 34,000.00 Jul/2024 34,090.00 Jun/2024 members of groups who have been issued a second level certificate or other legal documentation to use communal land holdings in exchange for restoring land (Number) IR 12a. Female landless youth 4,200.00 10,200.00 10,664.00 who are members of groups who have been issued a second level certificate or other legal documentation to use communal land holdings in exchange for restoring land (Number) IR 13. Woredas with functioning land 0.00 Aug/2018 110.00 Jul/2024 111.00 Jul/2024 administration information systems (Number) IR 16. Participatory Local Land Use 545.00 Apr/2022 1,141.00 Jul/2024 1,192.00 Jul/2024 Plans (PLUP) local level participatory land use plans prepared at kebele level within the project intervention areas (Number) (Number) Page 25 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT For Official Use Only B. KEY OUTPUTS For Official Use Only Page 26 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Improve climate resilience and land productivity 1. Land area under sustainable landscape management practices PDO Indicators 2. Project area showing an increase in NDVI correcting for climate effects 3. Project area showing an increase in LSWI correcting for climate effects 1. Area closures on communal degraded land 2. Physical treatment of gully 3. Existing Community Forest Management 4. Afforestation / reforestation of degraded-land 5. Bamboo development on degraded-land Key Outputs 6. Forest Degradation Reduction Measures (linked to the achievement of the PDO Outcome) 7. Enrichment of degraded pasture and range land /grazing land management 8. Physical SWC on Hilly Farmland 9. Physical SWC on unhilly farmland 10. Farm water and Soil Moisture Management Improve carbon storage PDO Indicators 4. Net greenhouse gas emissions 1. Key Outputs 2. (linked to the achievement of the PDO Outcome) 3. 4. Increase access to diversified livelihood activities 5. Households adopting diversified livelihood activities supported by the PDO Indicators project 1. Cook stove production and marketing (SHG managed) Key Outputs 2. SHG based apiculture promotion (linked to the achievement of the PDO Outcome) 3. SHG based poultry promotion 4. SHG based sheep and goat fattening Page 27 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT 5. SHG based fishery promotion 6. SHG based sericulture promotion 7. Vermiculture/vermicomposting (SHG managed) 8. SHG based milk processing 9. Improved vegetable production (SHG managed) 10. SHG based bomboo processing 11. SHG managed processing, packaging and marketing fodder 12. Cook stove production and marketing (HH managed) 13. Apiculture promotion (HH managed) 14. Poultry production (HH managed) 15. Sheep and goat fattening (HH managed) 16. Fishery promotion (HH managed) 17. Sericulture promotion (HH managed) 18. Vermiculture/vermicomposting (HH managed) 19. HH managed milk processing 20. Temperate fruit planting and production (eg. Apple) 21. Tropical fruit planting and production (eg. Mango, Orange, etc.) 22. Root and tuber crop production (Enset, etc) 23. Improved vegetable production (HH managed) 24. Coffee planting and production 25. HH managed Processing, packaging and marketing fodder Page 28 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Project Management and Reporting Intermediate Results Indicators 1. Key Outputs 2. (linked to the achievement of the Component) 3. 4. Rural Land Administration and Use 20. IR 9. Parcels of land surveyed and mapped for certification 21. IR 10. Second level land certificates issued as a result of the project 22. IR 11. Households who have received second level land holding certificates 24. IR 12. Landless youth who are members of groups who have been issued a second level certificate or other legal documentation to use communal land Intermediate Results Indicators holdings in exchange for restoring land 26. IR 13. Woredas with functioning land administration information systems 27. IR 16. Participatory Local Land Use Plans (PLUP) local level participatory land use plans prepared at kebele level within the project intervention areas (Number) 1. Key Outputs 2. (linked to the achievement of the Component) 3. 4. Investing in Institutions and Information for Resilience 1 . IR 7. Community atershed Users’ Cooperative Societies established and strengthened Intermediate Results Indicators 15. IR 8. Woreda information centers being effectively used by project stakeholders 16. IR 14. Number of direct beneficiaries Page 29 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT 18. IR 15. Number of males and females made aware of climate threats and related appropriate responses 1. Key Outputs 2. (linked to the achievement of the Component) 3. 4. Green Infrastructure and Resilient Livelihoods . IR 1. Share of target beneficiaries with rating ‘Satisfied’ or above on project interventions (aspects: livelihoods, environmental benefits, others) 4. IR 2. Targeted major watersheds with Multi-Year Development Plan 100% implemented 6. IR 3. Area enclosure as a result of the project Intermediate Results Indicators 7. IR 4. Land users adopting sustainable land management practices as a result of the project 10. IR 5. Functional Common-Interest Groups (CIGs) established or supported. 11. IR 6. People participating in income-generating activities supported by the project 1. Key Outputs 2. (linked to the achievement of the Component) 3. 4. Page 30 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ANNEX 2. BANK LENDING AND IMPLEMENTATION SUPPORT/SUPERVISION A. TASK TEAM MEMBERS Name Role Shewakena Aytenfisu Abab Team Member (Land Administration) Etsubdink Tesfaye Mengesha Team Member (Team Assistant) Addis Bekele Simie Team Member (Social Developemnt) Grazia Atanasio Team Member (Communication) Esther Bea Team Member (Program Assistant) Sisay Hailemariam Team Member (Landscape Management) Rebeka Amha Woldegiorgies Team Member (Private Sector) Herbert Francisco Curry Arceo Team Member (Livelihood) Daniel C. Monchuk Team Member (M&E and Geospatial) Ahmed Alkadir Mohammed Team Member (Livelihood) Simon Croxton Team Member (Climate Smart Agriculture) Christine Mocheche Makori Team Member (Legal Council) Team Member (Knwledge Mangement and Zena Afework Demissie Communication) @#&OPS~Doctype~OPS^dynamics@icrannexstafftime#doctemplate B. STAFF TIME & COST Staff Time & Cost Stage of Project Cycle No. of Staff Weeks US$ (including travel and consultant costs) Preparation FY17 1.410 1,606.02 FY18 36.310 334,627.14 FY19 18.570 87,835.61 Page 31 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT FY20 0.000 1.11 Total 56.29 424,069.88 Supervision/ICR FY19 62.429 987,327.94 FY20 156.457 1,422,196.80 FY21 93.817 872,226.78 FY22 111.218 801,373.44 FY23 98.852 676,201.15 FY24 89.234 766,671.55 FY25 5.092 25,742.36 Total 617.10 5,551,740.02 Page 32 e Only The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ANNEX 3. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT Component Amount at Approval (US$M) Actual at Project Closing (US$M)1 Green Infrastructure and Resilient 86.0 81,372,744 Livelihoods Investing in Institutions and 13.0 19,841,103 Information for Resilience Rural Land Administration and Use 26.0 12,246,523 Project Management and Reporting 17.0 12,538,485 1 Note that the expenditures have counterpart contribution of US$2.18 million at project closes. Page 33 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ANNEX 4. EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS This annex contains the detailed components of the Economic and Financial Analysis (EFA) of the Implementation Completion Report (ICR) for the Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (RLLP). The Excel model from the PDO and the additional finance (AF) is used to conduct the EFA. The project objective and design remain the same: to improve climate resilience, land productivity and carbon storage and increase access to diversified livelihood activities in selected rural watersheds. The activities included the same package of activities identified under the project appraisal with an emphasis on increasing access to diversified livelihood activities and improving land tenure for women. The project seeks to strengthen absorptive capacity, through Sustainable Land Management (SLM) and Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) interventions. It enhances the adaptive capacity through Income-Generating Activities (IGAs) that support diversification of livelihoods; and transformative capacity, through CSA practice in connection with value chains, and land certification, that provide a basis for more fundamental socioeconomic change. The restoration of fragile landscape will result in livelihood improvement, landscape restoration, ecosystem services conservation, and agroforestry practices. At ICR, the watersheds have a mixture of both cropland and non-cropland uses with the total project area of 1799088 ha and disbursed budget of 123.3 million USD, constituting 92.9 million USD from IDA, 27.7 million from MTDF and 2.7 million from Government of Ethiopia. During ICR the following definitions have been aligned with actual implementation and slightly differs from PAD+AF analysis. In the PAD, 45 watersheds where implementation had started during an earlier project (Sustainable Land Management Program (SLMP)) were referred to as "graduated watersheds". Only limited benefits captured on those watersheds were attributed to RLLP. At ICR, it was clear that more physical treatments and improvements were also made to the "Existing SLMP" watersheds than assumed during PAD. Benefit assumptions regarding the RLLP watersheds remain the same as in the PAD. At the ICR, 136 watersheds are completed and attained watershed Multiyear Development Plan (MYDP), while 34 watersheds have not yet completed the MYDP. Note that a gradual increase in productivity is assumed to take 7 years. Some of these years are also attributed to the earlier SLMP project - not to the RLLP. Table 1: Watersheds components related to interventions and analysis Analysis Watersheds Avoided future Increased crop Increased crop yield loss yields livestock productivity PAD+AF Existing SLMP Yes No No RLLP Yes Yes (7 years) Yes ICR Existing SLMP Yes Yes (3 years) Yes RLLP Yes Yes (7 years) Yes Page 34 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Methodology A cost benefit model is used to assess the ex-ante efficiency of the project investment. The project investment cost of 123.3 million USD is disbursed at the project completion. To ensure a consistent timeframe and discount rate, the annual benefit and cost flows are developed for a 25-year period, with a financial discount rate of 12 % and an economic discount rate of 5%. In addition, recurring costs in the years after project has ended are estimated to be 2.5% of initial costs. Annual adoption rate of 5% and maximum adaptation rate of 75% are considered. Some benefits are captured for all project components – directly or indirectly. Incremental net benefits are estimated for farmers, avoided erosion on non-cropland, and agri-businesses targeted in the project (Component 1). Project investments strengthening institutions, land administration, and project management (Components 2-4) are necessary to achieve the net benefits quantified in Component 1 and are therefore included in the EFA. Project activities in Component 1 include enabling community plans for land restoration and watershed management. The plans include physical soil conservation as well as biological conservation techniques. Beneficiary farmers are targeted to adopt climate smart agriculture practices, it results in to diversify their income generating activities and adopt energy efficient stoves and lights. The benefits captured through these interventions are enabled by strengthening institutions, policies, and information flow through Component 2. It is also necessary to strengthen participatory land use planning and secure tenure rights for beneficiaries through Component 3. This enabled them to adopt new production practices and continue operating sustainably after project implementation is completed. In addition, the following incremental net benefit flows are quantified in the analysis: (a) direct net benefits and avoided soil erosion accruing to crop producers, livestock producers, forest plantations, green corridors, natural forests, and other non-cropland (bush, shrub and grassland), and (b) direct benefits from promoting energy efficiency, and global value of impact on carbon balance. Project interventions are expected to lead to improved crop and livestock gross margins providing there is long-term maintenance. At ICR, the project yield, variable cost and prices changes on crops, livestock, and non-cropland are considered. The project activities help to avoid yield losses caused by soil erosion. This avoided yield loss is valued based on the gross margin data on different land uses. To establish the linkage between reductions in soil erosion with the project activities, a Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE), adapted to Ethiopian conditions, was used in the original analysis to model soil loss associated with each of the technologies implemented. Moreover, the NPV/US$/year/household, NPV/US$/year/beneficiary, and the share of national poverty line were calculated using the 2011 National Poverty Line, 2018 amount = US$ 162 /person/year. 2011 Food Poverty Line, 2018 amount = US$ 85 /person/year. 2016 GDP = million US$ 72,374 as reference. Considerable net benefits are captured by land transformation from bare land, bush land and grassland cover to forest cover, green corridors and agro-forestry. The increase the transformed land area by 69897 ha from 43,000 ha in the PAD+AF. At ICR, a total of 28,000 ha is transformed to reforestation, and close to 20,900 ha to woodland/plantation forest, and the remaining to green corridors, vegetation or agro-forestry. Page 35 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Results The economic and financial analysis of this project had considered not only the financial impacts, but wider impacts on the welfare and wellbeing of those beneficiaries of the project. In identifying the costs and benefits of a project, it is important to conduct both the financial and economic benefits expected from the project and calculation Net-Present Value (NPV), Benefit-Cost-Ratio (BCR) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR). A financial discount rate of 12 % and an economic discount rate of 5% for a period of 25 years is considered. The key efficiency indicators for the financial and economic analysis at appraisal and completion of the project are presented in Table 2 below showing key efficiency indicators of the EFA. At appraisal, the project with additional financing estimated an Economic NPV of US$ 2,124 million (ETB 59.5 billion) with benefit cost ratio of 5.2. The Economic IRR was 64% and the payback period was 4.3 years. When excluding the social value of carbon, the net economic project return was US$ 1,383 million (ETB 39 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 3.8 and an EIRR of 36% and a payback period of 6.4 years. Comparing these values at project completion, excluding the social value of carbon, the net project return estimated US$1,035 million (ETB 59.16 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 4.7 and an EIRR of 65% and the payback period is 5 years. At project appraisal, the net project return without the impact on carbon balance and exclusion of land transformation was US$ 654.4 million (ETB 18.32 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 2.9 and an EIRR of 22.6% with a payback period of 8.7 years. Table 2: Economic and Financial Analysis – Key Efficiency Indicators PAD+AF 2019 ICR-2024 Economic Economic Analysis, Analysis, Economic excluding GHG and Economic excluding GHG Analysis, Financial land Analysis, Financial and land Analysis Basis excluding GHG Analysis transformation excluding GHG Analysis transformation Net Present Value (NPV), million US$ 1,383 479 654 1,035 398 761 Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) 3.8 2.6 3.0 4.7 3.1 3.4 Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 36% 35% 23% 65% 61% 37% Payback Period 6.4 Years 6.5 Years 8.7 Years 5.1 Years 5.2 Years 6.6 Years NPV, US$/ha 819.12 283.39 387.58 575.11 221.35 423.14 NPV, US$/year 55,323,488 19,140,477 26,177,538 41,387,106 15,929,344 30,450,611 NPV, US$/year/ha 33 11 16 23 9 17 NPV, US$/year/household 78 27 37 30 11 22 NPV, US$/year/beneficiary 16 5 7 6 2 4 Share of National Poverty Line 20% 7% 9% 7% 3% 5% At project completion, the net project return without the impact on carbon balance and exclusion of land transformation is US$761 million (ETB 43.54 billion) with a benefit cost ratio of 3.4 and an EIRR of 37% with the payback period of 6.6 years. At appraisal, the overall financial NPV including the additional finance to the project was estimated US$479 million (ETB 13.39 billion) with a Financial IRR of 35% and a benefit cost ratio of 2.6 and the payback period was 6.5 years. Comparing these values at project completion, the project FNPV is US$ 398 million (ETB 22.6 billion) with a Financial IRR of 61 % and a benefit cost ratio of 3.13. At project completion, the annual benefit and cost flows are established for crop, livestock, avoided erosion on non-cropland, and improved cook stoves. Page 36 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT In addition to the direct incremental net benefits, the pro ect’s impact on Greenhouse Gas GHG emissions is estimated using the Ex-Ante Carbon-balance Tool (EX-ACT) plus an estimate due to the reduced emissions from distributing 300,000 efficient cookstove. The economic value of the project on the carbon balance is estimated from activities in the project. The project’s impact on G G emissions is estimated at .9 million tCO -eq over the 25-year period (1.4 million tonne CO2- eq/year). Of this 3.6 milliontCO2-eq (0.1 million tCO2-eq per year) is from improved cookstoves. As per World Bank guidelines, the economic value of reduced GHG emissions is calculated using the social cost of carbon starting at US$ 51 per tonne CO2-eq and increasing to USD 78 per tonne over 25 years. The guideline also suggests a high value scenario at USD 102 per tonne CO2-eq, which increases the value of reduced GHG emissions to USD 2180 million. Because no transactions of carbon credits are planned to reach direct beneficiaries, the financial value of carbon is set to zero. The value of reduced GHG emissions with different scenarios considering the carbon market price, and the world bank low and high social price of carbon is presented in Table 3. Table 3: Value of reduced GHG emissions Net Present Value, million US$ (25-year) Market Price World Bank Low Social World Bank High Social US$ 8.3 /tCO2-eq Price of Carbon Price of Carbon constant US$ 51-78/tCO2-eq US$ 102-158/tCO2-eq Improved cook stoves (300k stoves. Incl. avoided CO2-emissions) 90 198 320 Carbon Balance (EX-ACT) 133 1,091 2,180 Total Value of Reduced GHG emissions 223 1,289 2,500 There are several factors that contributed to the 25% decrease in ENPV excluding social value of carbon. The US$ to Ethiopia exchange rate increased from 28 to 57, resulting in significant reductions in ENPV. A decrease in ENPV is also attributed to land transformation, as land transformation benefits were based only on forest plantation at appraisal, while at closing the greening of less profitable woodland, bush and shrubland were taken into consideration. At appraisal, several SLMP watersheds were classified as RLLLP and attributed higher benefits, which reduced ENPV somewhat. However, at closing the ENPV increased due to the larger targeted project area, and more benefits were attributed to watersheds that completed MYDP as well as the land transformation area increased from 43000 to 69897 ha. To illustrate the plausible cases or reasons for change in NPV (Figure 1) and IRR values (Figure 2) in the economic analysis at appraisal and completion, and relative impact are presented in Table 4. Table 4: Cases or Reasons for changes in NPV and IRR Case Case Change in NPV, Change IRR NPV million in IRR million US$ US$ At Appraisal PAD + AF 2019 Economic Analysis, no GHG, 1,383 1,383 36.1% 36.1% Change 1 Increased foreign exchange rate -806 577 -14.2% 21.9% Change 2 ICR budget and disbursement schedule 3 581 2.7% 24.6% Change 3 No new CSRPs -3 577 -0.1% 24.5% Change 4 Increased project area. reclass from RLLP to existing SLMP. 62 640 12.3% 36.8% Change 5 Increased in land transformation area. 327 966 38.3% 75.1% Change 6 LUC changes beyond just land transformation area 76 1,042 0.0% N/A Change 7 Land transformation: 40% forest plantation, 30% woodland -532 510 -44.1% 31.0% plantation and 30% bush and shrub land (greening) Change 8 Include more benefits on existing SLMP watersheds. 525 1,035 33.6% 64.5% At Completion ICR Economic Analysis, no GHG 1,035 1,035 64.5% 64.5% Page 37 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Change in Net Present Value, million US$ 1, 00 1, 00 1, 1, 00 7 1,0 1,000 7 Increase 00 00 Decrease 0 00 Total 00 0 Change 1 Change Change Change 7 RLLP ICR RLLP AF Change Change Change Change Figure 1: Change in Net Present Value (NPV) Change in Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 0.0% . % 0.0% 70.0% . % . % 0.0% 0.0% Increase 0.0% .1% 1 . % 0.0% Decrease .7% .1% 0.0% 0.1% Total 1 . % 10.0% 0.0% Change 1 Change Change Change 7 RLLP ICR RLLP AF Change Change Change Change Figure 2: Change in Internal Rate of Return (IRR) In economic terms, the incremental increase in project returns due to additional financing is US$ 1035 million measured in net present value over a 25-year period (discount rate is 5%). The EIRR increases by 29 %-points at project completion. The annual net benefit flows for the project are presented in Table 5 and demonstrated with different component in Figure 4. In general, based on the sum of expected incremental benefits both in financial analysis and the two economic scenarios analysis, the overall project profitability and efficiency is substantial. It implies that the project is viable financially and economically. Page 38 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ICR Economic Analysis - Estimated Annual Flow of Benefits and Costs 200 Social Value of Carbon 150 Other Benefits 100 million USD Livestock Benefit 50 Non-cropland Benefit due to avoided soil 0 erosion Non-cropland Benefit without soil -50 erosion Crop Benefit due to avoided soil erosion -100 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 Crop Benefit without avoided soil erosion Year Figure 3: ICR Economic Analysis: Estimated annual flow of benefits and costs Page 39 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Table 5: Economic Analysis: Estimated Annual flow of benefits and costs Year Incremental Project Variable Incremental Net Discounted Incremental Net Benefit Costs Costs Benefits Benefits 1 12 -19 -1 -8 -8 2 25 -41 -2 -19 -17 3 37 -25 -4 8 7 4 46 -31 -4 10 8 5 44 -34 -5 5 4 6 65 -10 -6 50 37 7 76 -4 -7 65 46 8 86 -4 -8 75 51 9 96 -4 -8 84 54 10 99 -4 -9 86 53 11 117 -4 -10 103 60 12 124 -4 -10 109 61 13 130 -4 -11 116 61 14 137 -4 -11 122 62 15 137 -4 -11 122 59 16 146 -4 -11 131 60 17 147 -4 -11 132 58 18 148 -4 -11 133 55 19 149 -4 -11 134 53 20 143 -4 -11 128 48 21 151 -4 -11 136 49 22 152 -4 -11 137 47 23 153 -4 -11 138 45 24 154 -4 -11 139 43 25 148 -4 -11 133 39 Total 2,725 -237 -220 2,268 1,035 Total (discounted) 1,317 -174 -109 1,035 EBCR @ 5%, 25 yrs 4.66 ENPV @ 5%, 25 yrs 1,035 EIRR @ 25 yrs 64.5% Payback Year 5.1 Years Sensitivity analysis We conducted a sensitivity analysis by considering switching values and elasticities. The result show that the estimated ENPV is more sensitive to changes in assumptions compared to during the PAD analysis. This is primarily due to the lower ENPV more conservative estimate of net benefits from non-cropland areas. At closing, livestock assumptions drive project results more. A switching values analysis is reported in Table 6, where each assumption is changed until the base case ENPV turns zero (i.e. a break-even analysis). On top of the list, a 27% decrease in livestock yields or 43% increase in variable livestock costs could reduce ENPV to zero. Adoption rate would have to fall from 75% to 9% for the project to break even. The large changes required to turn the ENPV zero in the switching values analysis does not reveal how sensitive results are at the margin. Thus, an alternative sensitivity analysis, which is elasticities are considered. The elasticities of key Page 40 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT assumptions and sensitivity analysis of economic efficiency presented in Table 7. The result show that a 1% increase in livestock yields can lead to a 3.7% increase in ENPV, and a 1% increase in the discount rate can also lead to a 0.7% decrease in estimated ENPV. Similarly, a 1% increase in non-cropland yields increases ENPV by 0.7%. Other variables with significant impact on project returns include adoption rates, and the variable livestock costs. Table 6: Sensitivity Analysis of Economic Efficiency - Switching Values Base Case Switching % change from Rank Assumptions Unit Assumption Value Base Case 1 W/P Yield Sensitivity Factor, Livestock % of yield 0% -27% 27% 1. 2W/P Variable Cost Sensitivity Factor, Livestock % of price 0% 43% 43% ltr/animal/year or 3 Yield net of losses, Bull fattening, W/P animal/year 1.00 47% 53% 4 Farm Gate Variable Cost, Bull fattening, W/P ETB/animal/year 7,345.14 12,284.47 67% % of WO/P 5 W/P share of WO/P animals per farm heads/farm 1.00 29% 71% 6 Adoption rate - annual % of area 5% 1% 85% 7 Adoption rate - Max % of area 75% 9% 87% ltr/animal/year or 8 Yield net of losses, Milk production, local breed, W/P animal/year 332.00 35.03 89% 2. 9Efficiency of stove to be deployed % 20% 1% 96% 10 W/P Yield Sensitivity Factor, Non-cropland % of yield 0% -146% 146% Note: WO/P = Without Project (Baseline); W/P = With Project. Switching value is the assumption value that causes the Base Case ENPV to turn zero (Break-even point). Exchange rate: 1 US$ = ETB 57 3. Table 7: Sensitivity Analysis of Economic Efficiency - Elasticities Base Case ENPV Rank Assumptions Unit Assumption elasticity 1 W/P Yield Sensitivity Factor, Livestock % of yield 0% 3.7 2 W/P Variable Cost Sensitivity Factor, Livestock % of price 0% -2.3 3 Farm Gate Variable Cost, Bull fattening, W/P ETB/animal/year 7,345.14 -1.5 ltr/animal/year or 4 Yield net of losses, Milk production, local breed, W/P animal/year 332.00 1.1 5 Discount Rate % per year 5% -0.7 6 W/P Yield Sensitivity Factor, Non-cropland % of yield 0% 0.7 7 Farm Gate Variable Cost, Milk production, local breed, W/P ETB/animal/year 3,209 -0.6 8 W/P Yield Sensitivity Factor, Crops % of yield 0% 0.6 9 Adoption rate - Max % of area 75% 0.6 ltr/animal/year or 10 Yield net of losses, Sheep rearing, W/P animal/year 2.30 0.6 Note: WO/P = Without Project (Baseline); W/P = With Project. Elasticity is measured as the %-change in Base Case ENPV with a 1% change in one assumption at a time. Page 41 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ANNEX 5. BORROWER, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS Borrower’s comments The Borrower has confirmed that their previous comments have been thoroughly addressed and that the achievement of the project objectives is well reflected in the final ICR. Additionally, the Borrower has committed to extracting lessons learned from the report to enhance the effective implementation of RLLP II. Page 42 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ANNEX 6. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS (IF ANY) Constenla-Villoslada et al (2022) Large-scale land restoration improved drought resilience in Ethiopia’s degraded watersheds. Published in Nature Sustainability World Bank (2013). Ethiopia Sustainable Land Management Project II (SLMP-II). Project Appraisal Document. October 29, 2013. World Bank (2014a). Ethiopia Sustainable Land Management Project (SLMP-I). Implementation Completion and Results Report. Report No. ICR3074. March 24, 2014. World Bank (2014b) Social Value of Carbon in project appraisal. Guidance notes to the World Bank Group staff. Washington, DC, July 2014. World Bank (2015a). Technical Note on Discounting Costs and Benefits in Economic Analysis of World Bank Projects. Washington, DC. World Bank (2015b). Ethiopia Poverty Assessment 2014. Report No. AUS6744. January. World Bank (2017). Assessment of Livestock Impact on NRM Interventions of SLMP-II and Recommendations for the Design of Resilient Landscape Livelihood Project (RLLP). Ethiopian Sustainable Land Management Project II (SLMP-II). Final Report. December. World Bank (2018). Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (RLLP). Project Appraisal Document. PAD2484. July 9, 2018. World Bank (2019). Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (RLLP) Additional Financing. Concept Memorandum. Draft October 18, 2019. World Bank (2023) Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (RLLP), Implementation Status & Results Report, June 2023 FDRE (2024), Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (RLLP), Borrower Completion Report, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia (FDRE), Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) World Bank (2024), 2024 Guidance Note on Shadow Price of Carbon in Economic Analysis Page 43 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT ANNEX 7. TECHNICAL ANNEX Building on lessons learnt through implementation of the SLM Program, RLLP was designed to complement core investments in biophysical watershed restoration with a set of associated activities supporting sustainable livelihoods in restored landscapes through support for Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA), diversified Income Generating Activities (IGAs), connections to value chains, and improved land tenure. The project area included a total of 170 major watersheds located in the Ethiopian Highlands, averaging approximately 10,000 hectares each. Implementing a phased approach, the 45 watersheds supported under SLMP-I received assistance to evolve from project-based support, including creation of CWUCSs and preparation of Watershed Management and Use Plans (WMUPs). Support for the 90 SLMP-II watersheds allowed for the completion of their Multi-Year Development Plans (MYDPs) for watershed restoration. An additional 17 new watersheds, prioritized for extent and severity of land degradation, were selected for RLLP to receive assistance for the preparation of MYDPs, followed by investments in SLM interventions. At appraisal, RLLP covered six regions (Amhara, Benishangul Gumuz, Gambella, Oromia, SNNP, and Tigray) targeting major watersheds covering 1,378,000 hectares of land. Through the implementation of the four components, RLLP was expected to benefit 598,683 male-headed and 105,650 female-headed rural households. In addition, RLLP would benefit other indirect beneficiaries, such as: (i) communities adjacent to project intervention areas adopting SLM and CSA practices through demonstration effects, as observed under SLMP-II; (ii) private sector participants and end-consumers in value chains targeted by the project; (iii) households outside project areas benefiting from the creation of land certification capacity at woreda and regional level; (iv) recipients of capacity building at all levels of government, as well as in national partner organizations; and (v) downstream communities outside project areas benefiting from groundwater recharge, reduced flooding, and lower sediment loads, as a result of SLM interventions. Project Components Component 1. Green Infrastructure and Resilient Livelihoods (Total: US$78.5 million of which US$65 million (SDR45.9 million equivalent) from IDA, US$8.5 million from the Multi-Donor Trust Fund - MDTF; and US$5 million from GoE). This component supported the restoration of degraded landscapes in selected watersheds to build resilient livelihoods on this newly productive foundation through three sub-components, supporting: (i) the implementation of Sustainable Land and Water Management (SLWM) practices in line with MYDPs in all 152 major watersheds (ii) the adoption of CSA practices in 200 restored micro-watersheds selected from SLMP-I and SLMP-II intervention watersheds; and (iii) the promotion of livelihood-diversifying income generating activities (IGAs) in all RLLP watersheds, and support for development of linkages to value chains in 16 pilot watersheds. Component 2. Investing in Institutions and Information for Resilience (Total: US$12.5 million of which US$6 million (SDR4.2 million equivalent) from IDA, and US$6.5 million from MDTF). This component was expected to build capacity for the promotion and management of SLWM practices and improved information for better decision-making in the project area, mainly through (i) capacity building, information modernization and policy development at central, regional and local levels; and (ii) impact evaluation, knowledge management and communication. Component 3. Rural Land Administration and Use (Total: US$23 million of which US$20 million (SDR14.1 million equivalent) from IDA, and US$3 million from MDTF). This component was designed to strengthen the rural land administration system by providing security of tenure to smallholder farmers in RLLP watersheds through Second Level Landholding Certification (SLLC) as an incentive to increase the adoption of SLM technologies and practices as well as granting communal land certificates in exchange for land restoration to targeted landless youth. This component also extended the on-going local-level participatory land-use planning instrument at kebele level within RLLP watersheds, supporting the rollout of the National Rural Land Administration Information System (NRLAIS) in RLLP woredas. Page 44 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Component 4. Project Management and Reporting (Total: US$15 million of which US$9 million (SDR6.4 million equivalent) from IDA, US$1 million from MDTF, and US$5 million from GoE). This component was expected to ensure effective implementation and reporting on project activities by financing the operational costs of the National PCU in MoA and the Regional PCUs in the Bureaus of Agriculture and Natural Resources. These PCUs were responsible for carrying out all fiduciary aspects of project implementation including financial management, procurement, environmental and social safeguards, as well as Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) and reporting. Project Relevance RLLP is well aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). It supports SDG 1 (No Poverty) by enhancing rural livelihoods through sustainable agriculture, improved land productivity, and diversified income activities, addressing poverty directly. The project is also aligned with SDG 2 (Zero Hunger) by promoting sustainable agriculture, improving soil fertility, and encouraging climate-smart practices to ensure food security. It emphasizes gender inclusiveness in line with SDG 5 (Gender Equality) by involving women and vulnerable groups in decision-making and project activities. The RLLP also addresses SDG 13 (Climate Action) by enhancing climate resilience through sustainable land management and climate- smart agricultural practices. Reforestation, soil, and water conservation activities support SDG 15 (Life on Land) by promoting sustainable use of ecosystems and preventing land degradation. At the policy level, RLLP is designed based on the framework of ESIF and supports the effort to achieve the objectives of the ESIF. ESIF is a national level strategy planning framework that guides the prioritization, planning and implementation of SLM with the aim of addressing the interlinked problem of poverty, vulnerability and land degradation at the community level. GOE has initiated the Climate-Resilient Green Economy (CRGE) initiative to protect the country from the adverse effects of climate change and to build a green economy that will help contribute to its ambition of reaching middle-income status before 2025. Specifically, RLLP is fully linked to the first two pillar of this strategy - Pillar 1: Agriculture: Improving crop and livestock production practices for higher food security and farmer income while reducing emissions; and Pillar 2: Forestry: Protecting and re-establishing forests for their economic and ecosystem services, including as carbon stocks. The project also contributed to a number of other national strategies and plans, including the Climate Resilience Strategy for Agriculture and Forestry (2015), the National Adaptation Plan to Address Climate Change (2017), the emerging National Forest Sector Strategy and National REDD+ Strategy, as well as the 10-year sector strategies for energy, water, and agriculture (2021-2030). The project leverages and scales up support to the MoA SLM Program while also contributing for implementation of the agriculture, climate, forest, water, energy, land tenure, gender & social inclusion targets in the ten years’ perspective plan ( 0 1-2030). The land certification and land use planning process supported by RLLP were carried out based on and in line with the relevant provisions of the Federal Rural Land Administration and use Proclamation No.456/2005. Project Efficacy RLLP project Results Framework was designed with nine PDO level indicators and 22 intermediate level indicators. RLLP has made significant progress in achieving all its key PDO and Intermediate indicators, especially on increasing the land area under SLM practices, adoption and implementation of CSA practices and providing diversified livelihood opportunities to the beneficiaries. Climate Smart Agriculture Practices Page 45 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT Conservation Agriculture (CA): three interconnected practices to accomplish sustainable and economic intensification of agricultural systems were promoted: minimal soil disturbance (minimum/zero tillage), mulching/permanent soil cover, and crop rotations. Improved water and soil moisture management by increased water infiltration and reduced evaporation from the soil surface, along with corresponding reduction in runoff and soil erosion, are two of the primary advantages of CA in the watershed. It lessens soil runoff and erosion, traps carbon, boosts agricultural productivity, lowers the need for farm labor, and enhances soil quality. M&E data indicated that that 91,973.47 ha. of land were treated by conservation agriculture technology while 153 road water harvesting structures were constructed during the five years of the project period. Crop Development and Management (CDM): aimed at increasing productivity and lessen crop vulnerability to external stress such as climate change through access to better performing crops (drought and diseases resistance varieties), as well as adopting and managing high value crops (cereals, pulses, vegetables and fruit). For this, the project supported the purchase and distribution of 5,592 qt. of seeds, including high value cereal crops, pulse crops vegetables. Integrated Soil Fertility Management (ISFM): practices such as composting (bio-slurry, recycled organic materials & vermi- compost), agroforestry, legume intercropping, green manuring & lime application for acidic soil treatment were implemented. Project interventions covered 18,798 ha, 2,771 ha and 7,689 ha of land area were treated by agroforestry practices, legume intercropping and green manuring/cover crops, respectively. Additionally, 1,241,064 m3 of improved compost and 62,981m3 of vermi-compost were prepared and applied by farmers to farmland. Additionally, 773 Qt of lime were used to treat acidic soils. {additional information on lime results will be added to the DM version} Forage Development & Livestock Management: this CSA technology involved producing high quality and quantity forage in communal land, pastures and along farm boundaries, gullies and back yards. Project monitoring reports indicated that 2,145,129.92 qt. of high quality & quantity forage were produced. Complementing this, a total of 5,024 HH were provided training to improve skills on feed management & utilization. Institutional Strengthening In terms of policy instruments, several highly relevant manuals and legal documents were prepared under RLLP, including: • The CBPWDG was updated. The 2021/22 budget year RLLP planning was prepared based on the updated version. • The nursery management and planting material preparation guideline was prepared, and 700 copies were printed and circulated to all project regions, zones and woredas. As a result, RLLP Nursery management and seed production planning was standardized • In collaboration with GIZ-SURED, nursery business model guidelines were prepared, and six nurseries were selected in six regions for piloting based on the guideline. In collaboration with the Rural Job Opportunity Creation Directorate of MoA, applicability assessment of nursery business guideline was conducted in selected five pilot nurseries. The business plan developed for three nurseries (Benishangul Gumuz, Gambella and Sidama) and user groups were legally organized and certified. Part of the nurseries will be handed over to the user groups as part of the Sustainability Plan being developed by the NPCU. • Using World Bank executed funding, an international consulting firm in collaboration with different stakeholders at national and regional levels, prepared the Guideline for Green Corridors establishment, including action plan for 20 selected pilot major watersheds. • Similarly, by recruiting an individual consultant, a Guideline for “Managing Biodiversity for increased benefits from Landscape Investments: Identifying opportunities for enhanced use of Native Species in the Afforestation/Reforestation programs in Ethiopia” was developed. • Complementing the Development, Management and Utilization of Community Watersheds Proclamation (No. 1223/2020), a management and use plan guideline for treated SLMP watershed was prepared and adopted. This Page 46 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT guideline was applied in micro-watersheds that fulfill completeness criteria (2019 micro watersheds of SLMP-II and all micro watersheds of SLMP-I). • An operational manual for GIS and remote sensing-based watershed management was developed, aimed at building capacity on spatial data management by regional and woreda experts. • Unmanned Aerial Systems’ Operational Agreement draft version document was prepared with participation of other stakeholders, including the Ethiopian Geospatial Information Institute (GII) and the Information Network Security Agency (INSA). • In collaboration with WB specialists, a spatial model was developed that can compute PDO-2 and PDO-3 in the cloud for all intervention watersheds. As a result, the mid-term progress for the indicators were tracked in line with PDO-1 indicator achievements. • In line with PDO-1 requirements, a data collection and common framework format was developed for micro watersheds completeness. With this common understanding, 220 completed micro watershed data was collected, and field verification was conducted in 39 micro watersheds. Synergies with other projects/programs: To improve integration and efficiency of implementation, collaboration was established with other projects, particularly working in the land sector; RELIA, GIZ-SURED, GIZ-S2RAI and CALM. Major areas of collaboration were NRLAIS, SLLC, LLPUP, capacity building and monitoring. Specific collaboration is detailed in the Technical Annex. • RLLP used orthophoto and satellite image procured by other projects (SLMP, REILA, LIFT, and GIZ-S2RAI) integrating with regional governments • Established eight model woreda for RLAS (Rural Land Administration System) with participation of all projects • Memorandum of understanding with REILIA and GIZ-S2RAI in Benishangul Gumuz to work on SLLC and NRLAIS • Action plan-based agreement with GIZ-S2RAI project in availing of satellite image for three Woredas in Gambella region • GIZ-S2RAI financial and technical support in the recruitment of the consultant to pilot the use of tablets for cadastral surveying Collaboration in capacity development, field level operation, monitoring and evaluation of participatory local level land use plans with GIZ-SURED and overall connection and alignment with CALM. Private Sector Development Relevant activities aimed at mobilizing private sector engagement included: • Collaboration with other VC programs: work initiated by the WB team explored collaboration with other VC programs to complement/facilitate market linkages e.g., meetings were conducted with WB AGP, USDA Feed Enhancement for Ethiopian Development (FEED) Project, FINTRAC (USAID’s Feed the Future , GRAD with CARE, ATA, GIZ SURED, IFC, DoTerra etc. and 1 private firms. As a result, there were different interests but IFC’s client (Luna showed the first commitment and GIZ SURED proposed another firm (Raya Horti) in a similar area. In addition, collaboration with the firm DoTerra was established, resulting in an MoU prepared & signed, and initial work started in Tigray but interrupted due to the security situation. • Market Assessment for business plan development: WB, GIZ-SURED and Tigray RPCU conducted a market assessment for the firms Luna and Raya Horti (at private sector and community levels) as a guiding/on the job learning document for NPCU’s further engagement with firms. A workshop was organized by NPCU to share the Page 47 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT findings in the presence of the firms, all national and regional leads to practically guide on how they can identify/work with firms, tools they can use/customize and on next steps to follow with firms. • Establish Livelihoods Task Force in monitoring and supporting Livelihood/ VC works activities: NPCU identified/organized a total of 49 (7 per region) multi-sectoral task force members from the 7 RLLP Regions. • Capacity Building: NPCU and GIZ SURED organized federal level training to 29 (3 female) participants on VC development and analysis. The participants were regional livelihood diversification and value chains taskforce members from Amhara, B. Gumuz, Gambella, SNNP and Tigray. Training was also given at regional and woreda level. Participants gained knowledge and skills on VC selection criteria, VC mapping, upgrading, business model assessment and results monitoring and measurement. • Selection of 20 pilot woreda and corresponding VC commodities: NPCU prepared a list of criteria and selected woredas and commodities based on the capacity building training provided. It included supply side assessment, and some regions started working on investment plan based on this. • Rapid assessment tool: this was done to assess the needs and requirements of supermarkets in Addis Ababa focusing on agricultural commodities such as honey, fruits, and vegetables. Environmental and Social Safeguards RLLP was built on lessons learned through the implementation of the Sustainable Land Management (SLM) Program, including the Bank-financed Sustainable Land Management Project-I (SLMP-I) and SLMP-II. The RLLP was classified as category ‘B’ and triggered the following safeguard policies: Environmental Assessment (OP/BP .01 , Natural abitats (OP/BP 4.04), Pest Management (OP/BP 4.09), Indigenous Peoples (OP/BP 4.10), Physical Cultural Resources (OP/BP 4.11), Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12), Forests (OP/BP 4.36), and Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37). The project complied with the triggered safeguards policies as well as with relevant national policy and legal frameworks through preparing, implementing, and monitoring the RLLP safeguards instruments in an inclusive and participatory manner. The instruments included the Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF), Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF), and Social Assessment (SA) including the Social Development Plan (SDP), and Pest Management Plan (PMP), which were disclosed on June 11, 2018. Additionally, Gender Mainstreaming Guidelines (GMG) were prepared, implemented and monitored. These instruments were translated into local languages, including Amharic, Oromiffa, Sidagna, and Tigrigna, and distributed to the respective woredas. A comprehensive gender analysis of the project was also conducted, leading to the preparation and implementation of appropriate mainstreaming guidelines. Safeguards and gender awareness training and capacity-building activities were carried out at all administrative levels. Also, the gender mainstreaming impact assessment evaluated the impact of RLLP interventions (including GMG and GAP) on female-headed households, married women, and female youth, resulting in the preparation and implementation of an audit corrective action plan to address identified gaps. Further, an Environmental and Social Audit for RLLP reviewed the project’s E S safeguards performance, where an audit corrective action plan was developed and implemented to address identified gaps. In addition, site-specific safeguards instruments, such as Environmental and Social Management Plans (ESMPs), for community subprojects, including small-scale civil works, were prepared to avoid or mitigate negative impacts. The safeguards system established during the RLLP implementation period (2019 to 2024) has laid the foundation for E&S risk management for the second RLLP (P174385). The RLLP E&S safeguards management system included (a) institutional arrangements: A multi-level government structure spanning from the local to federal levels ensured the implementation Page 48 The World Bank Ethiopia Resilient Landscapes and Livelihoods Project (P163383) ICR DOCUMENT and monitoring of the environmental and social safeguards instruments prepared for the project, along with the flow of safeguards information. This included E&S safeguards specialists (2) at the federal level, E&S officers (12) at the regional level, and E&S focal persons assigned at the zonal and woreda levels; (b) stakeholder engagement: active participation from relevant stakeholders at all administrative levels, and local communities, with 652,459 community members (including 223,764 females) consulted on various issues. Additionally, training sessions were provided for a total of 124,781 experts (including 47,563 females) on E&S safeguards management activities; (c) support for vulnerable groups: Assistance was provided to 20,090 vulnerable individuals (including 6,464 females) through the issuance of second-level certificates and other legal documentation for sustainable land use, including communal land holdings, and common interest groups (CIG) and individual-based income-generating activities. Temporary jobs were also created for 18,866 jobless youth (including 6,980 females) in central nursery sites; (d) Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM): A GRM was established and operated, with a total of 6,051 Grievance Redress Committees (GRC) in the implementing kebeles, resolving all 2,293 registered cases. The common grievance cases were IGA beneficiary targeting, late incentive payment, high demand for CSA input, and demand for community infrastructure; (e) E&S screening and instruments: Site-specific instruments (ESMPs) were prepared, cleared, implemented, and monitored for sub-projects. A total of 7,565 sub-projects were screened, with 4,793 ESMPs developed and implemented. Page 49