Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: ICR00005353 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT Loan Number 8337-CN ON THE LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$150 MILLION TO THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA FOR THE Guiyang Rural Roads Project August 23, 2021 (This ICRR replaces the version published in the Board Operations System on June 26, 2021. The M&E rating in the datasheet has been updated to match the rating in the main ICR text.) Transport Global Practice East Asia And Pacific Region CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective on May 27, 2021) Currency Unit = Renminbi (RMB) RMB 1.00 = US$0.1531 US$1.00 = RMB 6.3764 FISCAL YEAR January 1 - December 31 Regional Vice President: Victoria Kwakwa Country Director: Martin Raiser Regional Director: Ranjit J. Lamech Practice Manager: Binyam Reja Task Team Leader(s): Jung Eun Oh ICR Main Contributor: Chuntai Zhang ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS CPF Country Partnership Framework CPS Country Partnership Strategy DRC Development and Reform Commission EIA Environment impact assessment EIRR Economic internal rate of return EMP Environmental management plan FM Financial management FYP Five-Year Plan GDP Gross domestic product GMG Guiyang Municipal Government GMTB Guiyang Municipal Transport Bureau GPMO Guiyang Project Management Office IA Implementing Agency IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development ICB International Competitive Bidding M&E Monitoring and evaluation MOF Ministry of Finance NCB National competitive bidding ENPV Economic net present value PDO Project Development Objective PLG Project Leading Group PIU Project implementation unit PP Procurement plan PRC People’s Republic of China RAP Resettlement action plan RMB Renminbi RPF Resettlement policy framework TA Technical assistance TABLE OF CONTENTS DATA SHEET ................................................................................................................................ I I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES .........................................................1 A. CONTEXT AT APPRAISAL ........................................................................................................ 1 II. OUTCOME ...........................................................................................................................5 A. RELEVANCE OF PDOs ............................................................................................................. 5 B. ACHIEVEMENT OF PDOs (EFFICACY) ...................................................................................... 5 C. EFFICIENCY ............................................................................................................................ 7 D. JUSTIFICATION OF OVERALL OUTCOME RATING................................................................... 7 III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME ....................................8 A. KEY FACTORS DURING PREPARATION ................................................................................... 8 B. KEY FACTORS DURING IMPLEMENTATION ............................................................................ 9 IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME ...12 A. QUALITY OF MONITORING AND EVALUATION (M&E) ......................................................... 12 B. ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND FIDUCIARY COMPLIANCE.................................................. 13 C. BANK PERFORMANCE .......................................................................................................... 14 D. RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME ..................................................................................... 15 V. LESSONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS .................................................................................16 ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS ..............................................................17 ANNEX 2. BANK LENDING AND IMPLEMENTATION SUPPORT/SUPERVISION...........................23 ANNEX 3. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT ...............................................................................25 ANNEX 4. ECONOMIC REEVALUATION .....................................................................................26 ANNEX 5. ENVIRONMENT SAFEGUARDS ..................................................................................29 ANNEX 6. SOCIAL SAFEGUARDS................................................................................................30 ANNEX 7. BORROWER, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS ....32 ANNEX 8. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS ......................................................................................33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) DATA SHEET BASIC INFORMATION Product Information Project ID Project Name P129401 Guiyang Rural Roads Project Country Financing Instrument China Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Revised EA Category Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Organizations Borrower Implementing Agency People's Republic of China Guiyang Municipal Government Project Leading Group Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The development objective of the Project is to provide improved transport accessibility in selected areas of Guiyang in a sustainable manner. i The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) FINANCING Original Amount (US$) Revised Amount (US$) Actual Disbursed (US$) World Bank Financing 150,000,000 142,369,820 142,369,820 IBRD-83370 Total 150,000,000 142,369,820 142,369,820 Non-World Bank Financing 0 0 0 Borrower/Recipient 100,000,000 80,520,000 80,520,000 Total 100,000,000 80,520,000 80,520,000 Total Project Cost 250,000,000 222,889,820 222,889,820 KEY DATES Approval Effectiveness MTR Review Original Closing Actual Closing 06-Mar-2014 19-Aug-2014 17-Apr-2017 30-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2020 RESTRUCTURING AND/OR ADDITIONAL FINANCING Date(s) Amount Disbursed (US$M) Key Revisions 04-Jun-2019 71.12 14-Jun-2019 71.12 Change in Results Framework Change in Components and Cost Change in Loan Closing Date(s) Reallocation between Disbursement Categories Change in Implementation Schedule KEY RATINGS Outcome Bank Performance M&E Quality Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Substantial ii The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) RATINGS OF PROJECT PERFORMANCE IN ISRs Actual No. Date ISR Archived DO Rating IP Rating Disbursements (US$M) 01 21-Jun-2014 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0 02 06-Dec-2014 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0 03 03-May-2015 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 2.00 04 29-Nov-2015 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 19.44 05 01-Jun-2016 Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 19.44 Moderately 06 03-Dec-2016 Unsatisfactory 21.08 Unsatisfactory 07 29-May-2017 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 26.56 08 15-Jun-2017 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 28.86 09 01-Dec-2017 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 40.18 Moderately 10 11-Jun-2018 Moderately Unsatisfactory 40.18 Unsatisfactory Moderately 11 13-Dec-2018 Moderately Unsatisfactory 61.30 Unsatisfactory Moderately 12 02-May-2019 Moderately Unsatisfactory 71.12 Unsatisfactory 13 20-Jun-2019 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 71.12 14 27-Nov-2019 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory 78.44 15 01-Jun-2020 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 82.87 16 19-Dec-2020 Satisfactory Satisfactory 104.60 SECTORS AND THEMES Sectors Major Sector/Sector (%) Public Administration 1 Sub-National Government 1 iii The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) Transportation 99 Rural and Inter-Urban Roads 99 Themes Major Theme/ Theme (Level 2)/ Theme (Level 3) (%) Urban and Rural Development 100 Rural Development 100 Rural Infrastructure and service delivery 100 ADM STAFF Role At Approval At ICR Regional Vice President: Axel van Trotsenburg Victoria Kwakwa Country Director: Klaus Rohland Martin Raiser Director: John A. Roome Ranjit J. Lamech Practice Manager: Mark R. Lundell Binyam Reja Task Team Leader(s): Holly Krambeck Jung Eun Oh ICR Contributing Author: Chuntai Zhang iv The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES A. CONTEXT AT APPRAISAL Context at Appraisal 1. At appraisal, the economy in the People’s Republic of China (China) had grown at a remarkable pace of an average rate of over 8 percent per year in the past 20 years. This economic growth was not spread evenly throughout the country, however, with growing wealth disparities between the coastal and inland regions, and between the urban and rural areas. The government of China (the government) was addressing this issue by giving priority to economic development in the lagging western and central regions, including through financial supports to transport infrastructure development in the rural areas. During the period of 11th Five-Year-Plan (2006-2010), the government invested approximately RMB 954 billion (US$157 billion equivalent) in construction and improvement of about 1.87 million kilometers (km) rural roads. 2. Guiyang, the capital city of Guizhou Province, comprises 6 districts, 3 counties and 1 county-level city. The municipal boundaries span more than 8,034 square km and encompass hilly and mountainous terrain, with elevations ranging from 500 to 1,760 meters above sea level. In 2010, Guiyang had a total population of 4.32 million, of which 1.38 million (about 32 percent) lived in rural areas. About one fourth of the rural population in Guiyang was assessed “poor”, with annual income below the national poverty line. Guiyang Municipal Government (GMG) was taking steps to alleviate poverty and reduce the urban-rural disparity, including improvement of the rural road network. At the end of 2011, the total length of rural roads in Guiyang was about 7,875 km, which included 1,624 km county roads, 1,494 km township roads, 4,715 km village roads, and 42 km special-purpose roads. The rural road network in Guiyang was generally underdeveloped, which caused much inconvenience and high travel costs for villagers, particularly in the mountainous areas. Under the Guiyang Rural Roads Development 12th Five-Year-Plan (2011–2015), 1 GMG aimed to (i) provide all the county, township and administrative village roads with asphalt or cement concrete pavement; (ii) improve capacity for disaster mitigation and traffic safety by rehabilitating bridges and providing safety and safeguard facilities; and (iii) optimize rural roads network and its comprehensive service standard by upgrading or rehabilitating a number of county and township roads. Guiyang Municipal Transport Bureau (GMTB) was responsible for planning, implementation, and maintenance of the rural roads network in Guiyang. 3. The proposed Guiyang Rural Roads Project (the project) aimed to contribute to the improvement of the rural roads network in Guiyang,2 which was in line with the Strategic Theme One and Theme Two of the World Bank’s Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) FY2013–2016 for China: “Supporting Greener Growth” and “Promoting More Inclusive Development” respectively. The project targeted to address Theme One through optimizing energy use by reducing transport costs for rural road users; and it would address Theme Two through improving the rural roads network to increase the accessibility of education, healthcare and markets for the rural population of Guiyang. Therefore, the project was to contribute to poverty alleviation and socio-economic development of the suburban areas of Guiyang, as well as shared prosperity. The project was the second transport project financed by the World Bank in Guiyang.3 1 Guiyang Municipality Government, 2010, Guiyang Rural Roads Development 12th Five-Year-Plan (2010–2015), Guiyang Municipal Transport Bureau. 2 The World Bank. January 31, 2014. Project Appraisal Document on a Proposed Loan in the Amount of US$150 Million to the People’s Republic of China for a Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) . EASCS 3 The first World Bank financed transport project in Guiyang was Guiyang Transport Project – P093963. IDRB Loan 48810-CHA, $100 million, approved on August 1, 2008. Page 1 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) Theory of Change (Results Chain) Long-term Activities Outputs Outcome/PDO Outcome (i) Upgraded county road from Class IV to Class II; Number of beneficiaries Provide the local rural Upgrading/improving and (ii) Improved benefited from improved people with more county and township roads unclassified county and all-weather roads efficient transport township roads to Class IV access to education, healthcare, work A1, A2, A3ounty Percent travel time saving opportunity and and township on rehabilitated roads outside markets. Rehabilitated roads, with Therefore, the Project Rehabilitation of county improved safety and and township roads will contribute to drainage features Percent travel time savings poverty alleviation on upgraded roads and socio-economic development of the A1, A2, A3ounty (i) Developed rural road suburban areas of and township maintenance pilot design; Length of roads served by Guiyang, as well as Implementation of Rural (ii) Implemented rural road shared prosperity the maintenance pilot road maintenance pilot maintenance pilot; and (iii) activity Improved Guiyang Rural A1, A2, A3ounty Roads Management and township Information System Contribute to the longer-term A1ount sustainability of the A1ount y and rural road (i) Rural road network plan and (ii) Training and study development in Technical assistance (TA) tours. Guiyang Critical Assumptions A1: The institutional capacity for implementing project is strengthened A2: The government provides timely and sufficient counterpart funds A3: The resettlement program and EMDP are properly implemented Project Development Objectives (PDOs) 4. The development objective of the project was to provide improved transport accessibility in selected areas of Guiyang, in a sustainable manner. This objective would be achieved through upgrading and rehabilitation of the rural roads selected from the Guiyang Rural Roads Development 12th Five-Year-Plan, as well as implementation of maintenance pilot activities. Key Expected Outcomes and Outcome Indicators 5. The achievements of the PDO would be measured by: (i) number of beneficiaries benefited by the improved all-weather roads; (ii) percent travel time saving on the rehabilitated roads; (iii) percent travel time saving on the upgraded roads; and (iv) length of roads served by the maintenance pilot activity. These key indicators are supplemented by relevant intermediate indicators, presented in Annex 1. Page 2 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) Components 6. At appraisal, the project was comprised of four components as summarized below. Component A: Upgrading/improving county and township roads (Cost: US$147 million; IBRD: US$74 million). It would provide all-season roads to villagers and increase transport capacity in key corridors. Physical outputs included: (i) upgrading one county road from Class IV to Class II; and (ii) improving unclassified county and township roads to Class IV. Component B: Rehabilitation of county and township roads (Cost: US$78 million; IBRD: US$51 million), it would support the rehabilitation of deteriorated county and township roads. The physical outputs included rehabilitated roads with improved safety and drainage features. Component C: Rural road maintenance pilot (Cost: US$12 million; IBRD: US$12 million). It would enable GMTB to test and verify methods that could improve cost efficiency and efficacy of the rural road maintenance program in Guiyang. This component comprised of (i) development of the rural road maintenance pilot design; (ii) implementation of the rural road maintenance pilot; and (iii) improvement of the Guiyang Rural Roads Management Information System (GRRMIS). Component D: Technical assistance (TA) (Cost: US$1 million; IBRD: US$1 million). It would support the implementation of two technical assistance programs that would contribute to longer term sustainability of the rural road program, comprising (i) rural road network planning, and (ii) training and study tours. Project Restructuring 7. On May 20, 2019, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) submitted a formal request to the World Bank requesting a restructuring of the project to accommodate several changes of the project as well as an extension of the loan closing date. The government and executing agency also provided assurances that the project could be fully implemented within the new closing date. Upon the request, a project restructuring was made by the World Bank on June 14, 2019.4 The project restructuring involved the following key modifications: • Extension of the loan closing date by 18-months, or until December 31, 2020; • Reallocation of the loan proceeds among the project components and disbursement categories; • Increase the Bank financing to 100 percent for Disbursement Category 1(a), 1(b) and 1(c); and • Changes to the results framework. 8. Accordingly, the Loan Agreement was amended on June 14, 2019. 5 Revised PDOs and Outcome Targets 9. The PDO remained unchanged during the project implementation. Revised PDO Indicators 10. During the mid-term review mission in 2017, it was found that the PDO Indicator 1 (number of beneficiaries benefited by the improved all-weather roads) was misstated due to translation error in the Project Appraisal Document’s results indicator methodology section. The figures only considered those beneficiaries that benefit 4 World Bank. May 2019. Restructuring Paper on A Proposed Project Restructuring of Guiyang Rural Roads Project. East Asia and Pacific. 5 World Bank. June 14, 2019. Amendment to Loan Agreement – People’s Republic of China: Guiyang Rural Roads Project (Loan Number 8337-CN). Beijing. Page 3 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) from the upgraded roads and didn’t consider the beneficiaries of the rehabilitated roads. As a result, the end target for people with access to an all-season road was revised from 126,874 to 778,027. 11. The target of the PDO Indicator 4 (length of roads served by the maintenance pilot activity) increased from 125 km to 240 km. A maintenance center, originally planned for construction, was no longer supported under the project. Instead, it was agreed that the maintenance pilot would monitor the condition of more roads, and thus the Intermediate Results Indicator 2 was replaced with “the percent of feedback from independent monitors”, accordingly. This was defined as the percentage of responses to requests for routine maintenance improvements from independent monitors using grid monitoring system that were addressed within ten business days. Revised Components 12. The project components remained unchanged but had the following major scope revisions. 13. At appraisal, 22 road sections were selected with total 250 km to be implemented under Batch I. For the following batches, total 34 road sections were selected after commencement of the project with total 333.4 km. During implementation, (i) some original roads were removed from the project scope due to implementation delays and contract disputes (two roads with 15.1 km), and (ii) some original planned roads were no longer within the jurisdiction of Guiyang Municipality after a new Gui’an District was established as a new development zone in Guizhou Province (two roads with 25.9 km). Upon completion, total 520.0 km of rural roads were upgraded or rehabilitated under the project,6 comprising 121.8 km upgraded and 398.2 km rehabilitated. In addition, about 27.3 km of branch roads were improved upon requests from the local governments and people, which connect the project roads to nearby business/social centers or villages. Such branch roads serve as feeders to the project roads, which also extend the project benefits to a wider range. 14. Under Component B, about 67.5 km of the project roads were reconstructed rather than rehabilitated as planned. During project implementation, heavy vehicles were permitted to use several project roads to transport equipment and materials for the nearby highway and railway constructions, which caused substantial damage to some project roads. As a result, those project roads had to be reconstructed, which included the works on the sub-base structure. This necessitated additional design work and increased implementation costs. 15. Under Component C, a design on the rural road maintenance pilot was carried out, based on which the subcomponent (C.3) (the GRRMIS enhancement) was dropped. Instead, a Rural Road Monitoring and Management System (RRMMS) was developed (a computer-based rural road information and maintenance decision support system), which uses independent monitors to gather data on road conditions. Meanwhile, it became clear at that time (2018) that the maintenance pilot could not be fully implemented due to time constraints with only one year remaining until original loan closing. Hence, the loan allocation for the road maintenance pilot was reduced from US$12.0 million to US$0.9 million at the project restructuring. 16. Under Component D, the technical assistance on rural road network planning was dropped because a key activity under this component (the sharing of the rural road network GIS map with third parties) was restricted by the local regulations. Rationale for Changes and Their Implication on the Original Theory of Change 17. The original theory of change remained, but some scope and timing were changed due to: 6 At appraisal, it was planned that about total 570 km of the rural roads will be ungraded/rehabilitated under the project, which would be selected and implemented by 5 Batches on a rolling basis. Page 4 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) 18. Given the persistent delays in physical works (para. 42–44) and the shortage in counterpart funds (para. 48), the ratings for the Progress towards achievement of the PDO and Overall Implementation Progress (IP) were downgraded to Moderately Unsatisfactory in June 2018. During the Bank’s mission in October 2018, a time-bound plan of action was agreed, which was accordingly implemented. With the available counterpart funds and resolving the issues with the contractors (para. 43 and 64), the civil works on related roads recommenced in December 2018. As such, the PDO and IP ratings were upgraded to Moderately Satisfactory in April 2019. II. OUTCOME A. RELEVANCE OF PDOs Assessment of Relevance of PDOs and Rating 19. The project’s PDO was directly linked with and also continued to the themes stated in the World Bank Group’s China Country Partnership Framework (CPF) 2020-2025, 7 which focus on the engagements of (i) advancing market and fiscal reforms, (ii) promoting greener growth, and (iii) sharing the benefits of growth. The engagement iii (sharing the benefits of growth) can been achieved by increasing access to quality health and social services; and improving the quality of early learning and skills development programs. The project’s PDO was to provide improved transport accessibility in selected areas of Guiyang, in a sustainable manner. Upon completion, total 520.0 km of the rural roads in Guiyang were upgraded/rehabilitated and effective capacity building programs were carried out. As results, the connectivity and accessibility of rural population were substantially improved, and the capacity for rural road development was significantly strengthened. Such achievements are fully aligned with the Bank’s CPF. 20. The relevance of the PDO is rated as High. B. ACHIEVEMENT OF PDOs (EFFICACY) Assessment of Achievement of Each Objective/Outcome PDO 1: Number of beneficiaries by improved all-weather roads. 21. Upon completion, a total of 520.0 km rural roads was either upgraded, improved, rehabilitated, or reconstructed with much better road conditions and safety facilities. About 27.3 km of the branch/feeder roads were added to extend the project benefits to the communities. The project roads are in 8 out of 10 districts/counties in Guiyang. According to the annual surveys by the GPMO, a total of 817,027 people benefited from the project roads, including transporters and residents nearby the project roads. The actual number of the beneficiaries exceeded the anticipated target (778,027 at restructuring). The improvement of the road condition reduced travel time and vehicle operating costs and has significantly improved accessibility for the population, who can now travel farther distances to markets, access job opportunities in larger towns and cities, and receive more frequent social and health services. Additionally, the project enhanced institutional capacity for rural road development and maintenance in Guiyang, towards increased sustainability of the investment under the project. PDO 2: Percent travel time saving on upgraded/improved roads. 22. Before the project, the project roads were narrow or footpaths, seriously deteriorated and in poor conditions, and frequently disrupted during raining season, especially in the mountainous areas. Upon completion, 11 road sections with a total of 121.7 km were upgraded and improved to at least Class IV with asphalt concrete 7 The World Bank. November 11, 2019. Country Partnership Framework for the People’s Republic of China for the Period of FY2020-FY2025. Report No. 117875-CN. Page 5 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) pavement and drainage system.8 One road with 15.4 km was upgraded to Class II. The completed project roads now provide all-weather access to population and vehicles travel at 30-50 km/hour, compared to 10-30 km/hour on the original roads. The travel time on the project roads was thus reduced by at least by 50 percent, exceeding the target (by 40 percent). PDO 3: Percent travel time savings on rehabilitated roads. 23. Before the project, the project roads were in very poor conditions (some of them had no rehabilitation for about 10 years) frequently impassable during raining seasons. Upon completion, 41 road sections with total 398.2 km were rehabilitated/reconstructed with new pavement and strengthened road drainage and safety facilities. On the rehabilitated roads, the vehicles now may travel at 30-50 km/hour, compared to 20-30 km/hour on the original roads. The rehabilitated roads provide all-weather access to local population. The travel time on the project roads reduced by at least 35 percent, exceeding the target (30 percent). PDO 4: Length of roads served by the maintenance pilot activity . 24. A study on road maintenance pilot was carried out, which led to developing a RRMMS (para. 15). Under the pilot operation of the RRMMS, 259 km of the rural roads in Xifeng County was monitored.9 Currently, it is planned that the RRMMS will be applied to all rural roads of 1,484 km in Xifeng County, exceeding the anticipated target multi-folds (125 km at appraisal, 240 km at restructuring). The application of the RRMMS will provide an efficient tool for the local transport authorities to monitor the road condition, take timely actions, and increase the sustainability of the road network. 25. Through the improvement of travel time and road conditions, the project is estimated to have generated total economic benefits of RMB 4,416.7 million from VOC savings and RMB 3,672.7 million from travel time savings, over the 25-year period (2016-2040). Such benefits have and will contribute to socioeconomic development, poverty reduction, and living condition improvement in the project areas. 26. Besides achieving the PDO targets, the project also strengthened the overall institutional capacity for rural road development and maintenance in Guiyang through TAs and training programs. During implementation, the Bank’s task team provided hands-on advice as well as formal trainings to the GPMO staff, focusing on safeguards compliance, financial management and procurement, and contract management. As part of the project (Component D), domestic trainings and study tours were conducted, focusing on road project management and rural road development. Two oversea study tours were conducted, including one to Vietnam in 2017 on quality contract and community-based maintenance schemes, and one to the United Kingdom in 2019 on road construction and maintenance. Total 157 person-times of training programs were delivered for the government staff, which exceeded the target of 124 person-times. All of these trainings, study tours, and technical support have collectively improved the institutional capacity and increased the sustainability of the rural road development in Guiyang. Justification of Overall Efficacy Rating 27. All PDO achievements for the direct results indicators exceeded or achieved their targets anticipated at appraisal or at restructuring. The targets for the intermediate results indicators were also substantially achieved (see Annex 1). Sustainability of the project outcomes has been enhanced through the project. Hence, the overall PDO of providing improved transport accessibility in selected areas was achieved in a sustainable manner. The overall efficacy of the project is rated Substantial. 8 Class IV for this project represents a two-lane road with 20 km/hour designed speed and 6.5 meter width of top subgrade. 9 About 90% of the feedback from the independent monitors were addressed in 2020. Page 6 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) C. EFFICIENCY Assessment of Efficiency and Rating 28. To assess the project efficiency, economic reevaluation of the project was carried out by the Bank’s ICR task team. The actual project costs were used as the basis. A traffic analysis was carried out by comparing the actual traffic counts on the project roads with what was forecast at appraisal. The traffic forecast for future years was revised accordingly. The economic reevaluation assumed that the vehicles on the project roads could drive at faster speeds with lower vehicle operating costs (VOC). Economic benefits were recalculated by comparing the “with-project” and “without-project” cases. Consequently, the economic internal rate of return (EIRR) was recalculated at 17.3 percent for the project. By comparing with that at appraisal (22.6 percent), the recalculated EIRR is lower due to higher unit capital cost and longer implementation period. However, the EIRR is substantially higher than the World Bank recommended discount rate of 12 percent at appraisal. Therefore, the project is still considered economic viable. 29. The EIRR was subject to sensitivity analysis to test different scenarios of the costs and benefits. The sensitivity analysis results showed that the project continued to be economically viable under all tested scenarios. If a 20 percent maintenance cost increase were to be combined with a 20 percent benefit reduction, the most pessimistic scenario, the EIRR would be 12.9 percent. The sensitivity analysis also showed that the EIRR was more sensitive to the changes in the benefits. Therefore, the governments should keep the roads in good condition to ensure continued efficient utilization of the project roads at the intended vehicle speed. The details of the economic reevaluation are in Annex 4. 30. While the project implementation was delayed by 18 months, first due to project management during the early phase of implementation and later due in part to the COVID-related restrictions and part to unfavorable weather conditions, the intended scope of the road rehabilitation and upgrading was implemented by the extended closing date. The road maintenance pilot was partially implemented through restructuring but expected to yield the intended results through scale-up; and some institutional strengthening programs had to be dropped due to travel restrictions during the pandemic. Justification of Overall Efficiency Rating 31. The overall efficiency of the project is rated Modest. Notwithstanding the economic viability of the project roads based on the ex-post analysis, project implementation encountered substantial delays in physical works first due to shortage in counterpart funds and later to COVID-related constraints. The June-2019 restructuring down- scaled the project scope and extended the closing date by 18 months. The project planned to upgrade or rehabilitate total 5 batches of roads, and due to the delays and counterpart part funding shortage, it was scaled down to 3 batches. EIRR by project completion at 17.3 percent was lower than that at Appraisal stage at 22.6 percent. D. JUSTIFICATION OF OVERALL OUTCOME RATING 32. The overall project outcome is rated as Moderately Satisfactory, based on the project ratings of High relevance of the PDO with the Bank’s CPF and government’s development priorities, Substantial efficacy to promote the local socioeconomic development and increase in sustainability of the road development, and Modest efficiency of the project implementation and economic viability. Page 7 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) Gender 33. At appraisal, a social assessment was carried out with special attention to the views and needs of women, so as to address gender concerns in project planning and implementation. The social assessment included a specific chapter for analyzing impacts on women. The relevant records were appropriately documented and shared with the design consultant. In addition, it was planned that the community-based road maintenance pilot would have a focus on integrating women into all aspects of the maintenance team. During implementation, the Bank’s task team and the PMO paid adequate attention to the gender issues that the measures proposed in the social assessment were incorporated in the engineering design and bidding documents, and no differentiate wages were paid between men and women, particularly for the work of equal value. Upon project completion, the improved roads have facilitated and promoted accessibility of both genders. Mobilizing Private Sector Financing N/A Poverty Reduction and Shared Prosperity 34. At appraisal, about one fourth of the rural population in Guiyang was assessed “poor”. It was assessed that the Batch I project roads would impact 340,664 people, of whom 84,014 were ethnic minorities and 39,644 lived below the poverty line. During implementation, dedicated measures were executed to ensure the ethnic minorities benefiting from the project as much as possible, like priority provision for job opportunities to ethnic people and poor people. However, the development impacts of the project, especially to the poor, were not part of monitoring program under the project. Other Unintended Outcomes and Impacts N/A III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME A. KEY FACTORS DURING PREPARATION Adequacy of Project Preparation 35. At appraisal, the project adopted a simple design with clear objectives and scope. The Result Framework was designed with key monitoring indicators and targets, which were adjusted at project restructuring. The project roads were identified in line with the government’s plan and priority. The road design and safeguard assessment involved adequate consultations with the well selected stakeholders and beneficiaries. The project risks were properly identified, and related measures were incorporated in the project design and formulation. The project was prepared to ensure readiness for implementation. Following are the factors specially considered during project preparation. Lesson Learnt from Previous Road Project in Guiyang 36. The first World Bank financed road project in Guiyang (Guiyang Transport Project - P093963) was completed in 2013. Lessons from the previous project identified key challenges to project implementation, including (a) mixed institutional arrangements with unclear responsibilities, (b) shortage in counterpart funding, (c) lack of tools in rural road maintenance planning, (d) implementation challenges when a project has both urban and rural components, and (e) too many contract packages. The project was designed to avoid these challenges to the extent possible, through exclusive focus on rural roads, straightforward design, clear implementation Page 8 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) arrangement, counterpart funding assurance mechanism, and the project scope that includes both civil works and capacity-building to build sustainability. Project Implementation Batches 37. The project was designed to be implemented according to the Guiyang Rural Road Development 12th Five- Year-Plan. At appraisal, the project was planned to be implemented in five batches, with 22 rural road sections (a total of 250 km) identified under Batch I. The following batches would be selected and designed on a rolling basis. The project roads for the following batches were selected from the roads included in the 12th Five-Year Plan, based on a set of pre-determined criteria, including traffic volume, size of affected population, availability of counterpart funds, severity of damage, and degree of resettlement or land acquisition required. Counterpart Funding Arrangements 38. At appraisal, it was arranged that GMG would take overall responsibility of the loan management and repayment, and the county and district governments would be responsible for providing counterpart funding for land acquisition and resettlement (LAR) and part of the civil works. The financial assessment at appraisal revealed that the county and district governments had weak fiscal capacity to provide required counterpart funds. To avoid and mitigate the financial risk, the Bank’s project team adjusted the project size and increased the share of project costs covered by the loan. Meanwhile, the GPMO established a counterpart funding assurance mechanism, which required the participating local governments to submit a fund guarantee letter to GMG together with their annual project proposals and deposit their funding share upfront in a designated project account prior to project commencement (see more in para. 49). Road Maintenance and Sustainability 39. At appraisal, it was identified that the overall capacity for rural road maintenance in Guiyang needed to improve to increase the sustainability of the project roads as well as the whole rural road network. For this purpose, the project included robust TA programs, including supporting the design of rural road maintenance pilot, long-term planning of rural road development, and improvement of the existing GIS-based GRRMIS. B. KEY FACTORS DURING IMPLEMENTATION Organizational Arrangement and Restructuring 40. Arranged at appraisal, the existing Guiyang Project Management Office (GPMO) for the previous World Bank financed transport project continued for the day-to-day management of the project on behalf of GMG. To strengthen the project management capacity, the GPMO leadership instituted formalized procedures for check-in meetings and communications between departments and agencies, and the GPMO was joined by two new deputy directors, one from the Municipal Finance Bureau and one from the Municipal Development and Reform Commission (DRC). The formalized procedures resulted in a marked improvement in the accuracy and timeliness of project reporting, construction quality monitoring and supervision. These improvements demonstrated genuine effort on the part of the counterpart to learn from past experiences and make improvements to ensure better implementation progress and quality moving forward. 41. In August 2018, GMG restructured the GPMO (i) to be in compliance with local governance policies and requirements, which called for the separation of construction and management activities; and (ii) to provide current GPMO staff with permanent positions, which was expected to reduce staff turnovers. Through this institutional restructuring, the GPMO remained under the Guiyang Municipal Transport Commission (GMTC, formerly called GMRB) and in charge of overall management of the project activities. Responsibility for Page 9 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) construction activities was transferred to the Project Construction Office (part of the original GPMO). Staff under both offices remained unchanged. Implementation Schedule 42. At the time of approval, the project was scheduled to be implemented in five years from 2014 to 2018. After the loan effectiveness, the Bank’s task team carried out a Project Launch Mission to Guiyang in October 20-21, 2014, to (a) receive updates on any project design, schedule, or institutional changes that might have occurred since appraisal; (b) provide training on fiduciary and safeguards aspects of the project; (c) reconfirm role of the Bank’s task team during implementation, project reporting requirements, and regular supervision schedules. 43. The Bank’s mission in March 2015 found that (a) project implementation was delayed due to disruptions caused by construction activities of an expressway and a high-speed rail adjacent to the project roads; (b) contract had to be adjusted due to design changes ; and (c) counterpart funds were not readily available for some counties and districts despite the efforts made under the counterpart funding assurance mechanism. These issues affected 11 out of the 20 Batch I road sections,10 or 127 km out of 232 km. The schedule was adjusted accordingly and the PMO put in place measures to expedite the progress. By the end of 2015, 13 out of 20 road sections under Batch I were completed, whilst implementation of the remaining 7 road sections were substantially delayed, with three of them completed in October 2016 and the rest four as late as in December 2017. Additionally, preparation for Batches II and III fell behind the revised schedule due to delays in design activities. During that time, the mission assessed that the project progress was about two years behind the original schedule and thus, it was likely that only three of the five planned batches could be realistically completed within the original implementation period. The project scope was adjusted accordingly were made. Implementation of Batch II civil works, commenced in March 2017, and Batch III, commenced in March 2018, was delayed as some non-performing contracts had to be terminated and the project areas were affected by unusually long rains.11 Given such delays, it was agreed that Batch III would be the final procurement batch for the project. Project was then restructured in June 2019 to extend the loan closing date by 18-months. Due to time constraints, the physical works of road maintenance pilot was not implemented. 44. In early 2020, the project implementation was disrupted again due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Considering the local travel restrictions in China, the Bank’s task team carried out a virtual implementation support mission in April 2020 on an exceptional basis, using available video and audio communication tools. The mission was told that the GPMO was working towards meeting the extended loan closing date and did not plan on requesting the Bank for more extension of the loan closing date. Guizhou Province remained a low risk area throughout the pandemic and civil works and other activities resumed during summer of 2020. During the World Bank mission in November 2020 (the last implementation supervision mission), it was observed that most of the project roads were completed. The GPMO and the contractor expedited the progress in the final months of the project implementation, and by the loan closing at the end of 2020, all project roads in Batches II and III were fully completed. Project Cost and Financing 45. At appraisal, the project cost was estimated at $250.0 million including contingency ($25.5 million) and financial charges ($12.41 million). This was to be financed by the World Bank loan of $150.0 million and counterpart funds of $100.0 million, taking respectively 60 percent and 40 percent of the total project cost. 10 2 road sections under Batch I were removed from the project scope. 11 In January to October 2019, the rain full in the project increased by 33.7% than normal. Page 10 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) 46. There were several factors that caused changes in the project cost. On the one hand, the cost estimates for Batch I roads were adjusted upward during the early stage of implementation, considering deterioration in road conditions since FSR preparation, engineering enhancement due to insufficient detailed survey work during preparation, and price escalations in materials and labors. These amounted to a 20 percent increase in cost estimates from US$31.4 million (or RMB 1.18 million per km) to US$37.9 million (RMB 1.42 million per km). Subsequently, however, the actual values of the civil works contracts were about average 20 percent lower than the adjusted cost estimations, due to the competitive bidding, but greater than the FSR estimates. On the other hand, the project costs came down as some project roads were removed from the project scope (para. 12–16), and the pilot of road maintenance was not implemented. 47. Upon completion, the actual project cost was US$222.89 million, which was about 10.8 percent lower than what was estimated at appraisal. On the one hand, the costs of road rehabilitation/reconstruction (Component B) increased by $29.42 and project preparation and management (Component D) increased by $10.95 million. On the other hand, the costs of road upgrading/improvement (Component A) decreased by $24.24 million, road maintenance pilot (Component C) by $11.30 million, and the financial charge of the loan by $6.56 million. The actual project financing was revised to be $142.37 million from the World Bank loan and $80.52 million from the government counterpart funds, 63.9 and 36.1 percent of the total actual project cost, respectively. The details of the project cost comparison and project financing are in Annex 3. Counterpart Funds Availability 48. During appraisal, it was arranged that the participating county/district governments would provide the counterpart funds for the land acquisition and resettlement, part of the civil works costs, and 5 percent funding share to support the engineering design and bidding document preparation. Notwithstanding the counterpart funding assurance mechanism set out and agreed upon during project preparation, the project still experienced shortage in the counterpart funds. The Bank’s mission in October 2015 found that the required counterpart funds were not available in a timely manner in some project counties and districts, 12 , causing delays in project implementation. Upon discussion and efforts made by the governments, the fund shortfall in Kaiyang District was met, and Wudang and Qingzhen submitted guarantee letters. To prevent similar issues from reoccurring, for Batch II, Wudang District Government provided a guarantee letter for its funding share, committed RMB50 million as an advance, and committed to allocate full counterpart funding in the 2016 budget. For Batch III, it was agreed that the counterpart fund contributions should be allocated prior to commencement of the design work for the proposed road sections in related counties/districts. Given the significant land acquisition required for Batch III (about 1,385 mu), there were concerns on securing sufficient counterpart funding in time. The project counties were required to contribute land acquisition and resettlement funds by January 31, 2018; otherwise their roads would not be accepted by the World Bank for inclusion in Batch III. To alleviate counterpart funding pressure, the loan closing date was extended and the loan disbursement percentage for the civil works under Batch II and Batch III was increased to 100 percent. Institutional Strengthening Programs and Technical Assistance 49. To improve the long-term sustainability of rural roads development in Guiyang, the project was designed to include institutional strengthening programs and TAs. During implementation, the Bank’s task team provided advice on the design and implementation of the institutional strengthening programs. 50. The road maintenance pilot in the original scope aimed to test and verify methods that could improve cost efficiency and efficacy of the rural road maintenance program. It was originally proposed as a retroactively 12 Kaiyang County (RMB 11.8 million), Wudang District (RMB 10.3 million), and Qingzhen City (RMB 9.0 million). Page 11 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) financed activity, but the GPMO decided to focus on project roads preparation and postponed the pilot program by about 1.5 year. A consultant team was recruited to design the pilot program. Upon completion, the design consultants completed and submitted a study report in 2018, which was composed of the main report and several sub-reports.13 The design recommended establishing a RRMMS, instead of improving the existing GRRMIS. Due to time constraints, the originally planned physical works of the road maintenance pilot was not implemented under the project. Considering the local regulations of restricting provision of the rural road network GIS map to third parties, the TA on the rural road network planning was dropped from the original project scope. IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME A. QUALITY OF MONITORING AND EVALUATION (M&E) M&E Design 51. At appraisal, the project included a concise Result Framework that was developed following the theory of change. The PDO indicators and intermediate result indicators with annual targets of each indicator adequately measured the achievements of the project. The Loan Agreement required that GMG monitor and evaluate the progress of the project, and through the GPMO, prepare bi-annual project progress reports, unaudited financial reports, and environmental and social monitoring reports. The design of the M&E system was overall sound, with the indicators that are measurable, attainable, time-bound, and relevant to the project activities and objective. Nevertheless, there was room for a better design: some of the target values were not established during preparation (number of people impacted), and methodology for measurement was not very clear for some indicators (road length impacted by maintenance pilot activity). M&E Implementation 52. During implementation, the GPMO, on behalf of GMG, was responsible to carry out the project monitoring. The GPMO monitored the PDO result indicators annually. At project restructuring, the result indicators were revised to reflect actual needs. The project implementation data were collected every quarter, which were processed and incorporated in the semi-annual project progress reports. During implementation, the GPMO prepared and submitted to the Bank all reports required in the project legal documents, including semi-annual project progress reports, semi-annual interim unaudited financial reports, annual financial audit reports, and social and environmental monitoring reports. 53. The social safeguards were monitored and evaluated according to the Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) and Indigenous Peoples Development Plan (IPDP) developed at appraisal. Internal monitoring was carried out by the GPMO and the monitoring results were incorporated in the semi-annual project progress reports. In the meantime, external monitoring was conducted by an independent consulting entity engaged under the project. External social monitoring reports were submitted to the Bank on time during implementation. 54. According to the Environment Management Plan (EMP), a complete institutional framework was established to monitor the environmental impacts of the project and resolve any environmental problem occurred. The civil works contracts included provisions related to environmental protection and soil/water conservation. The supervision engineers and local environmental protection agency checked the work sites on a daily basis. The GPMO staff visited the project site regularly and supervised the EMP implementation. An external environmental monitoring consultant was hired by the GPMO to conduct regular site monitoring on the environmental performance of the contractors and prepare independent monitoring reports on a semi-annual 13 GPMO. July 2018. Study Report on Pilot Rural Road Maintenance in Guiyang. Guizhou University. Page 12 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) basis. The Bank’s task team inspected the environmental compliance through site visits and reviewing monitoring reports. M&E Utilization 55. The monitoring reports were well used by GMG and the Bank’s task team to understand the project progress and any issues occurred, to provide support and guidance, and to take actions as needed, e.g. adjust loan allocation and disbursement percentage, extend project and loan closing date, etc. The Bank’s task team reviewed the external monitoring and evaluation reports to ensure compliance with the Bank’s social and environment safeguard compliance policies and to maintain satisfactory monitoring. The Bank’s task team deemed these reports to be of satisfactory quality and requested the local government staff to fully utilize them in improving their work concerning resettlement and environment management accordingly. At project completion, all M&E reports were reviewed and utilized in the ICR preparation. Justification of Overall Rating of Quality of M&E 56. The project monitoring system was well designed and implemented. The monitoring results were well used by GMG and the Bank’s task team to supervise and guide the project implementation, as well as to prepare the ICR report. The quality of the M&E system is rated Substantial. B. ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND FIDUCIARY COMPLIANCE Environment Safeguards 57. The project was assigned Category B due to its moderate environmental and social impacts. Environmental assessment was carried out according to the requirement of the World Bank OP4.01 and with guidance from the Bank’s task team. Due to rolling selection process employed in the project, an Environmental Code of Practices (ECOPs) was prepared for the overall project as the EA’s instrument. 58. During implementation, an environmental management system was set up in the GPMO, contractors and supervision consultants with designated staff arrangement. Measurements specified in the ECOP were incorporated into the civil works bidding documents and construction contracts for implementation. External environmental monitoring consultant was engaged by the GPMO to supervise the environmental performance of contractors throughout the implementation process. In general, the overall environmental performance of the project was satisfactory. The details of the environmental safeguard compliance are in Annex 5. Social Safeguards 59. The World Bank OP 4.10 and OP 4.12 were applied to the project. The project adopted a framework approach during the preparation, prepared qualified Ethnic Minority Development Plans (EMDPs) and RAPs for the subsequent project batches following the framework. The external monitoring reports concluded that the project legally completed the land acquisition and resettlement, and substantially achieved the objectives as set out in the RAPs. Ethnic minorities in the project area benefitted from improved roads. The social performance and resettlement implementation were deemed satisfactory. 60. During the implementation, a management and monitoring mechanism was established, including trainings for the GPMO, project implementation agencies and other government departments involved in the LAR activities. The project established efficient institutional management during RAP/EMDP management, implementation, and monitoring. The grievance redress mechanisms were established as planned and operated effectively and public engagement was implemented throughout the project implementation. As of the end of December 2020, all the LAR activities were completed with no remaining issues. According to the social assessment and the EMDP, the Page 13 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) dedicated measures implemented under the project are benefiting the ethnic minorities. The details of the social safeguard compliance are provided in Annex 6. Financial Management 61. The financial management assessment at appraisal concluded that the project met the World Bank financial management requirements. During project implementation, the Bank’s financial management supervision confirmed that the project financial management system provided, with reasonable assurance, accurate information that the loan proceeds were used for intended purposes. The project accounting and financial report preparation and submission were in line with the regulations issued by the Ministry of Finance, which were consistent with the requirements specified in the Loan and Project Agreements. The key weaknesses—shortfall of counterpart funds and time-consuming review for contract variation—were resolved through improvement of the fund management and adequate communication to enhance clients’ awareness of the Bank’s requirements. The project financial audit reports were prepared by the auditor with unqualified audit opinions. It concluded that the withdrawals from the loan account and the funds flow arrangement were appropriate. Procurement and Contract Management 62. The procurement of the project was carried out in accordance with the World Bank’s “ Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA Credits”. At appraisal, the procurement capacity of the implementation agency was assessed, and a procurement plan was prepared. The GPMO was responsible for the procurement cycle management and contract management. 63. The initial procurement plan, covering Batch I works contracts of rehabilitating 22 road sections to be implemented in the initial 18 months, was prepared and agreed during preparation. The bidding for the Batch I (9 contracts) started in October 2014 and completed with contracts signing in February–March 2015. The implementation of most contracts was satisfactorily completed by December 2016, and while a few were delayed until December 2017, no major contract management issues were reported. However, some contractors registered complaints regarding changes in BOQ items quantities, work omissions and compensation events during field visits. The Bank’s task team provided timely support and guidance to GPMO on contract management, and GPMO responded to the complaints in an adequate and timely manner. All issues were settled amicably. 64. The procurement plan was subsequently updated to include Batch II contracts for upgrading one Class II road and Batch III contracts for rehabilitating 33 roads. The bidding for Batch II (5 contracts) started in October 2016 and completed with contracts signing in February 2017. The procurement for Batch III (11 contracts) was conducted a year later. While most of the contracts were implemented according to the agreed schedules and within budget, a few contracts were seriously delayed and experienced disputes around contract variations. Keeping close communications and consultations with the Bank’s task team, the GPMO took actions to terminate the contracts with non-performing contractors and rebid the 4 contracts for all remaining works. The rebidding processes were satisfactorily implemented, and the remaining works were completed by the end of December 2020. C. BANK PERFORMANCE Quality at Entry 65. The project was the second World Bank financed road project in Guiyang. The Bank’s task team worked closely with the counterparts for a well-designed project that was fully aligned with China’s 12th FYP and the local government’s priorities, as well as the Bank Group’s CPS for FY2013-2016. Experiences and lessons of preparing and implementing the previous project were appropriately assessed and incorporated in the project design and Page 14 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) formulation. During project preparation, the Bank’s appraisal was thoroughly conducted and ensured that appropriate economic and financial analysis was carried out. During preparation, the Bank’s task team provided substantial trainings to related government staff on fiduciary arrangement, procurement procedures, environmental and social safeguards, and technical topics. Meanwhile, the project risks were correctly identified, and appropriate mitigation measures were incorporated in the project design and formulation. The project was ready for implementation, as subsequently demonstrated. Quality of Supervision 66. Throughout the project implementation, the Bank’s task team maintained close supervision and monitoring of the implementation progress and identified issues through the following three mechanisms: (1) conducting supervision missions biannually and many smaller-scale visits to the project sites; (2) reviewing the biannual project progress reports, annual audit financial reports, and safeguards external monitoring reports; and (3) monitoring the PDO result indicators provided annually. To enhance the project implementation capacity, the Bank’s task team provided substantial trainings and technical supports to the GPMO staff and related government officers. During the project supervision missions, the Bank’s team members inspected the engineering sites and provided significant constructive advice. The Bank approved a project restructuring in 2019, which was based on proactive supervision and close consultation with the clients. The midterm reviews were conducted as planned. When the travel restrictions due to COVID-19 was temporarily relaxed, the Bank’s task team carried out the final implementation supervision mission to Guiyang in November 2020, to ensure timely and successful completion of the project. Justification of Overall Rating of Bank Performance 67. During project preparation and implementation, the Bank maintained a strong task team and carried out adequate supervision activities to ensure high quality of the project design and implementation. The Bank’s task team closely supervised the implementation progress, proactively identified and helped to resolve problems, and ensured the compliance of the Bank’s policies. The Bank task team verified and approved the project restructuring in a timely manner upon requests from the government. The support of the Bank’s task team was well recognized by the Borrower. The overall Bank’s performance is rated Satisfactory. D. RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME Budget for Rural Roads Maintenance 68. Local governments in Guiyang routinely experience shortage of funds. Most funds for rural road development are used for road construction and rehabilitation, leaving maintenance of rural roads largely underfunded. During implementation of this project, the counterpart funds were not readily available for some counties/districts. For the sustainability of the project roads, the municipal and county/district governments should allocate adequate budget under their rural road development funds and provide sufficient funds for the rural road maintenance to keep the project roads in good condition. Long-term Sustainability and Capacity Building 69. The rural road development needs capacity building and better tools. The project implementation and capacity building programs under the project have improved the GMTC ’s capacity in rural road construction and maintenance. A RRMMS was developed to assist the GMTC to monitor the road condition and support decision making in road maintenance planning. However, the pilot for testing road maintenance method and materials was not implemented (subcomponent C.2). To improve long-term sustainability, the overall institutional capacity of rural road construction and maintenance in Guiyang needs to be enhanced, the planning and decision support Page 15 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) tools need to be well used and improved, and advanced road asset management concept and methodology need to be introduced to Guiyang. V. LESSONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 70. Adaptive design and implementation scheme are an effective and efficient solution for rural roads projects. The project employed an adaptive approach, which allowed the project to be implemented in 5 batches with only the first batch of 22 rural road sections identified at appraisal stage. The subsequent batches were identified during implementation based on a set of pre-defined criteria. This shortened project preparation time and improved the readiness for implementation. Such an approach, on the one hand, allowed for the adaptability of the project to the dynamic social and economic development environment and changing priorities of Guiyang. On the other hand, by identifying subsequent batches from the larger pool of investment needs as defined in the 12th Five-Year Plan and using clearly defined selection criteria, the project design ensured that the intended development objectives are achieved. 71. The counterpart funding assurance mechanism, combined with the adaptive implementation scheme, can be an effective tool to avoid funding shortage and resultant implementation delays. This mechanism employed under the project required that the participating local governments to submit a fund guarantee letter to GMG together with their annual project proposals and deposit their funding share upfront in a designated project account prior to project commencement. After weak enforcement at the beginning of implementation, which led to delays in some civil works contracts, the mechanism was later fully enforced and proven effective. Some counties were not able to be part of the project due to their inability to commit counterpart funding; in other words, availability of counterpart funding functioned as a criterion for identifying subsequent batches. Nevertheless, the underlying fiscal issues in rural counties are systemic, the project had to be restructured to reduce the share of counterpart funding. 72. Timely restructuring of the project can ensure full achievement of the project outputs and outcomes. The project implementation was substantially delayed and only three of the five batches were implemented. To address these implementation challenges, the project was restructured to extend loan closing date, reallocate the loan proceeds, and increase disbursement percentage. The restructuring took place in June 2019, in the same month of the original loan closing date, when the government request was received. An earlier restructuring would have allowed for more proactive actions and better facilitation of project implementation. . Page 16 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS A. RESULTS INDICATORS A.1 PDO Indicators Objective/Outcome: Improved transport accessiblity in selected areas of Guiyang, in a sustainable manner. Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Unit of Measure Baseline Original Target Target Completion Number of People with Number 0.00 126874.00 778,027.00 817,027.00 Access to an All-Season Road 09-Sep-2013 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2020 18-May-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Unit of Measure Baseline Original Target Target Completion Travel time savings on Percentage 0.00 40.00 71.00 upgraded / improved roads 09-Sep-2013 31-Dec-2020 18-May-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): Page 17 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Unit of Measure Baseline Original Target Target Completion Travel time savings on Percentage 0.00 30.00 34.60 rehabilitated roads 09-Sep-2013 31-Dec-2020 18-May-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Unit of Measure Baseline Original Target Target Completion Road length impacted by Kilometers 0.00 125.00 240.00 259.20 maintenance pilot activity 09-Sep-2013 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2020 18-May-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): A.2 Intermediate Results Indicators Component: Upgrading/Improving/Rehabilitating County and Township Roads Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Unit of Measure Baseline Original Target Target Completion Roads rehablitated Kilometers 0.00 659.00 520.00 547.70 19-Aug-2014 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2020 18-May-2020 Page 18 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) Comments (achievements against targets): Component: Rural Road Maintenance Pilot Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Unit of Measure Baseline Original Target Target Completion Percent of feedback from Percentage 0.00 80.00 90.00 independent monitors that is addressed. 19-Aug-2014 31-Dec-2020 18-May-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): Component: Technical Assistance Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Unit of Measure Baseline Original Target Target Completion Number of trainees who Number 0.00 125.00 157.00 attended training and study tours 19-Aug-2014 31-Dec-2020 18-May-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): Page 19 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) B. KEY OUTPUTS BY COMPONENT Objective/Outcome 1 1. Number of beneficiaries benefited from improved all-weather roads Upon completion, total 520.0 km rural roads were upgraded/rehabilitated with much better road conditions and safety facilities. Meanwhile about 30 km of the branch/feeder roads were added to extend the project benefits to a wider range. According to the survey, total 817,027 people are benefited by the project roads, which achieved/exceeded the anticipated target (778,027 people at restructuring). 2. Percent travel time saving on upgraded/improved roads Before the project, the project roads were narrow or in foot-paths, seriously deteriorated and in poor conditions. Upon completion, 11 road sections with total 121.8 km were upgraded/improved. On the completed project roads, the vehicles now may travel at average speeds of 30-50 km/hour, in comparing with 10-30 km/hour on the original roads. The traveling time on the project roads reduced by at least Outcome Indicators average 60%, which achieved the targets anticipated at appraisal (40%). 3. Percent travel time savings on rehabilitated roads Before the project, the project roads were in very poor conditions (some of them had no rehabilitation for about 10 years) with frequent terminations during raining seasons. Upon completion, 41 road sections with total 398.2 km were rehabilitated/reconstructed. On the rehabilitated roads, the vehicles now may travel at average speeds of 30-50 km/hour, in comparing with 20-30 km/hour on the original roads. The traveling time on the project roads reduced by at least 35%, which exceeded the target anticipated at appraisal (30%). 4. Length of roads served by the maintenance pilot activity A study on pilot of road maintenance was carried, which led to a RRMMS was developed. Under the pilot operation of the RRMMS, 259 km of the rural roads in Xifeng County was monitored. Currently, it is planned that all rural roads with 1,484 km in Xifeng County will be monitored and the data collected will be Page 20 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) incorporated in the RRMMS. The length of roads impacted by the maintenance pilot program is much more than the anticipated target (125 at appraisal, 240 km at restructuring). 1. Roads rehabilitated, Rural Total 52 sections of the rural roads with total 520.0 km were upgraded/rehabilitated under the project, including 11 road sections with total 121.8 km were upgraded/improved, and 41 road sections with total 398.2 km were rehabilitated/ reconstructed. 2. Percent of feedback from independent monitors that is addressed (NEW - as per June 2019 restructuring) Because the rural road maintenance pilot was not able to implement, an alternative indicator to measure the sustainability was needed. For this purpose, the Intermediate Results Indicator 2 was replaced by “the Intermediate Results Indicators percent of feedback from independent monitors”. This was defined as the percentage of responses to requests for routine maintenance improvements from independent monitors using grid monitoring system that were addressed within ten business days. In 2020, about 90% of the requests from the independent monitors were responded in Xifeng County, which exceed the target of 80%. 3. Number of trainees who attended training and study tours Total 157 person-times of the government staff attended the training programs and study tours under the project, including the trainings organized by the World Bank, domestic trainings and study tour organized by the GPMO, and two oversea study tours to Vietnam in 2017 and to United Kingdom in 2019. All of these trainings, study tours, and technical supports have well improved the institutional capacity of rural road development in Guiyang. The number of trainees exceeded the target of 124 person-times. Component A: Upgrading/improving county and township roads Key Outputs by Component Upon completion, 11 road sections with total 121.7 km were upgraded/improved to at least Class IV with (linked to the achievement of the adjusted alignment (shorter distance), asphalt concrete pavements, and substantial safety and drainage Objective/Outcome 1) facilities. Among which, one road of 15.4 km was upgraded to a Class II road. Page 21 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) Component B: Rehabilitation of county and township roads Upon completion, 43 road sections with total 398.2 km were rehabilitated/reconstructed with new pavement and strengthened road furniture. In addition, about 30 km of branch/feeder roads were improved upon requests from the local government and people, which connect the project roads to nearby business/social centers and villages. Such branch roads serve as feeders to the project roads and also extend the project benefits to a wider range. Component C: Rural road maintenance pilot A study on the rural road maintenance pilot design was carried out. As suggested by the study, the subcomponent of the GRRMIS enhancement was dropped. Instead, a Rural Road Monitoring and Management System (RRMMS) was developed (a computer-based rural road information and maintenance decision support system), which also uses independent monitors to gather data on road conditions and communicate it to the authorities. However, the pilot program to test and verify methods of rural road maintenance, that could improve cost efficiency and efficacy of the rural road maintenance program in Guiyang, was not implemented due to time constraints. Component D: Technical assistance (TA) The technical assistance on rural road network planning was dropped off, since that a key activity under this subcomponent (the sharing of the rural road network GIS map with third parties) was restricted by local regulations. Domestic trainings and study tours were conducted, focusing on road project management and rural road development. Two oversea study tours were conducted, including one to Vietnam in 2017 on quality contract and community-based maintenance schemes, and one to United Kingdom in 2019 on road construction and maintenance. All of these trainings and study tours have well improved the institutional capacity in Guiyang. Page 22 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 2. BANK LENDING AND IMPLEMENTATION SUPPORT/SUPERVISION A. TASK TEAM MEMBERS Name Role Preparation Holly Krambeck Task Team Leader(s) Jingrong He Procurement Specialist(s) Fang Zhang Financial Management Specialist Peishen Wang Team Member Jun Zeng Social Specialist Ning Yang Environmental Specialist Xiaoke Zhai Team Member Supervision/ICR Jung Eun Oh, Yuhui Jiao Task Team Leaders Hongkun Yang Procurement Specialist Fang Zhang Financial Management Specialist Limei Sun Team Member James A. Reichert Team Member Jingrong He Procurement Specialist Yan Zhang Procurement Team Yiren Feng Environmental Specialist Ning Yang Team Member Azeb Afework Team Member Yuan Shao Team Member Kai Shang Social Specialist Page 23 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) B. STAFF TIME AND COST Staff Time and Cost Stage of Project Cycle No. of staff weeks US$ (including travel and consultant costs) Preparation FY12 2.600 20,546.52 FY13 18.150 132,272.66 FY14 12.061 140,966.14 FY15 0 0.00 FY16 0 2,281.07 Total 32.81 296,066.39 Supervision/ICR FY15 12.100 64,565.40 FY16 17.945 78,567.90 FY17 9.675 64,176.37 FY18 10.290 115,336.06 FY19 13.475 116,133.44 FY20 10.550 91,358.69 Total 74.04 530,137.86 Page 24 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 3. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT Project Costs and Financing at Appraisal and Actual (US$ million) Approved at Appraisal Actual Percentage Cost Items Total IBRD Loan Counterpart Total IBRD Loan Counterpart of Approval I. Base Costs a. Upgrading/improving county and township roads 92.66 74.05 18.61 68.42 58.07 10.34 73.8% (1) Upgrading county road to Class II 43.72 30.00 13.72 29.76 22.59 7.17 68.1% (2) Improving county/township roads to Class IV 48.94 44.05 4.89 38.66 35.48 3.17 79.0% b. Rehabilitation of county/township roads 56.57 50.91 5.66 85.98 77.59 8.39 152.0% c. Rural road maintenance 12.00 12.00 0.70 0.30 0.41 5.9% (1) Development of the rural road maintenance pilot design 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 101.7% (2) Implementation of the rural road maintenance pilot 11.40 11.40 0.0% (3) Development of the rural road maintenance MIS (Phase II) 0.20 0.20 0.30 0.30 149.0% d. Capacity building programs 1.00 1.00 0.55 0.55 54.9% (1) TA on Rural Road Development Planning 0.50 0.50 0.0% (2) Training and Study Tour 0.50 0.50 0.55 0.55 109.9% e. Land acquisition and resettlement 36.70 36.70 37.84 37.84 103.1% f. Construction supervision and implementation monitoring 3.39 3.39 2.78 2.78 82.0% (1) Construction supervision 2.98 2.98 2.63 2.63 88.2% (2) External social safeguard monitoring 0.24 0.24 0.06 0.06 25.7% (3) External environmental monitoring 0.16 0.16 0.09 0.09 53.9% g. Project preparation and management 9.80 9.80 20.75 20.75 211.7% (1) Project design and preparation 7.46 7.46 9.38 9.38 125.7% (2) Project implementation management 2.34 2.34 11.38 11.38 485.5% Subtotal (I) 212.13 137.96 74.17 217.03 136.51 80.52 102.3% II. Contingencies a. Physical contingency 19.09 19.09 0.0% b. Price contingency 6.36 6.36 0.0% Subtotal (II) 25.46 25.46 0.0% III. Financial Charges a. Front-end fee 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 100.0% b. Interest during construction 12.04 12.04 5.49 5.49 45.5% Subtotal (III) 12.42 12.04 0.38 5.86 5.86 47.2% Total (I+II+III) 250.00 150.00 100.00 222.89 142.37 80.52 89.2% Financing Percentage 60.0% 40.0% 63.9% 36.1% Source: The World Bank financial information system; the project management office Page 25 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 4. ECONOMIC REEVALUATION The Project 1. The Guiyang Rural Roads Project (the project) was designed to improve the rural roads networks in Guiyang. Before the project, the project roads were in very bad condition and had not been rehabilitated for about 10 years. Implemented in three batches, total 520.0 km of rural roads were upgraded/rehabilitated upon completion. The road upgrading included (i) constructing new roads from footpaths to at least Class IV roads, or (ii) upgrading existing roads to Class IV or II roads. The road rehabilitation included (i) resurfacing the road pavement, (ii) strengthen drainage and safety facilities, and/or (iii) reconstructing the roads. In addition, about 30 km of branch/feeder roads were improved, providing better connection between the project roads and nearby business/social centers and villages. Such branch roads serve as feeders to the project roads and extend the project benefits to a wider range. The upgrading/rehabilitation of the project roads have improved the connectivity and mobility in the project areas. 2. After initial delays in implementation, the project was restructured in June 2019, with the closing date extended by 18 months. While the project implementation was delayed again due to the COVID-19 pandemic, all activities of the restructured project were completed by the end of 2020, the revised closing date. In Batch I, 20 road sections in total 201.6 km were completed during 2015 (13 sections), 2016 (3 sections), and 2017 (4 sections). In Batch II, one road section of 15.4 km was reconstructed and upgraded to a Class II road in 2020. In Batch III, 31 road sections in total 303.0 km were completed during 2018 (1 section), 2019 (17 sections), and 2020 (13 sections). Traffic Analysis and Forecast 3. Actual traffic counts on the project roads during 2016–2020 were provided by the GMTB. The weighted average daily traffic on the project roads were 1,119 vehicles in 2016, 1,241 vehicles in 2017, 1,333 vehicles in 2018, 1,435 vehicles in 2019, and 1,490 vehicles in 2020 with the annual increase rates of 11.0% in 2017, 7.4% in 2018, 7.7% in 2019, and 3.8% in 2020. While the actual traffic volumes were at similar levels to the forecast made during appraisal, growth rates were higher than expected. Based on the observed traffic, the traffic forecast for future years was revised to average annual increase rates of 6.5% in 2021–2015, 4.9% in 2026–2030, and 3.8% in 2031 and onward. Project costs 4. Upon completion, the overall project cost was about 10.8% lower than that at appraisal. However, the actual unit cost per km, in terms RMB, was about 6.6% higher than what estimated at appraisal. The economic analysis was based on the actual annual investment costs of the project, the actual maintenance costs provided by the GMTB. Routine maintenance costs range at RMB 7,000–15,000 per km per year; periodical maintenance was assumed to take place every 5 years at the costs of RMB 0.5–1.0 million per km. The capital costs and maintenance costs were converted into economic costs by using the conversion factor (0.908) adopted from the project appraisal document. Economic benefits 5. The main economic benefits come from (i) savings in vehicle operation cost (VOC) due to better road condition, and (ii) savings in passenger travel time due to faster traveling speed on the project roads. The VOC savings were calculated using the unit VOC at appraisal: RMB 0.15 per vehicle-kilometer for motorcycles, 0.30 for car/vans, 1.21 for buses, and 1.76 for trucks. Average passenger vehicle speeds are 40–50 km per hour with the project, compared to 20–30 km per hour without project. The passenger time cost was derived from the rural net income per capita of Guiyang Municipality in 2019. Other factors, such as average vehicle loads, share of work-related trips, time costs by different road users, and travel speeds for different types of passenger vehicles, were considered in the analysis. Of the total benefits, about 62.7 percent come from the VOC savings in 2021. The share of benefits that come from passenger time cost saving increased from 37.3 percent in 2021 to 45.4 percent in 2030 and 49.7 percent in 2040. Page 26 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) EIRR recalculation 6. Based on the assumptions and parameters above, the EIRR was recalculated for a 26-year period (2015–2040), including 6 years for project implementation and 25 years for operation (with some overlaps of construction and operation periods). No capital cost was considered as the residual value of the project roads. The EIRR was recalculated at 17.3% for the project roads. By comparing with that at appraisal (22.6%), the recalculated EIRR is lower due to mainly higher unit capital cost per km and longer implementation period. However, the EIRR is higher than the World Bank recommended discount rate of 12% at appraisal. Therefore, the project is still considered economic viable. The cash flows of the EIRR recalculation is in Table 4.1. Table 4.1: Economic Reevaluation of the Rural Roads (RMB million) Costs Benefits Net year ENPV Capital Maintain Total VOC Time Cost Total Benefit 2015 148.95 148.95 -148.95 -262.50 2016 64.54 1.27 65.81 22.90 13.65 36.54 -29.27 -46.05 2017 139.68 1.68 141.35 30.28 18.05 48.33 -93.02 -130.69 2018 380.43 2.71 383.14 48.99 29.20 78.19 -304.95 -382.53 2019 165.15 2.76 167.91 49.95 29.77 79.72 -88.19 -98.77 2020 429.44 4.74 434.18 85.64 51.04 136.68 -297.49 -297.49 2021 14.16 7.08 21.25 128.00 76.29 204.30 183.05 163.44 2022 23.61 7.29 30.90 135.08 84.30 219.38 188.48 150.26 2023 47.21 7.51 54.72 142.58 93.18 235.76 181.03 128.86 2024 47.21 7.74 54.95 150.52 103.02 253.54 198.59 126.21 2025 47.21 7.97 55.18 158.95 113.92 272.87 217.69 123.52 2026 47.21 8.21 55.42 166.54 122.92 289.46 234.04 118.57 2027 47.21 8.46 55.67 174.50 132.64 307.14 251.47 113.75 2028 47.21 8.71 55.92 182.85 143.12 325.97 270.05 109.07 2029 47.21 8.97 56.18 191.60 154.45 346.04 289.86 104.53 2030 47.21 9.24 56.45 200.78 166.67 367.45 311.00 100.13 2031 47.21 9.52 56.73 209.25 176.82 386.08 329.35 94.68 2032 47.21 9.80 57.01 218.11 187.59 405.70 348.68 89.50 2033 47.21 10.10 57.31 227.36 199.01 426.37 369.06 84.58 2034 47.21 10.40 57.61 237.02 211.13 448.16 390.54 79.91 2035 47.21 10.71 57.92 247.12 223.99 471.11 413.18 75.49 2036 47.21 11.03 58.24 257.66 237.63 495.30 437.05 71.29 2037 47.21 11.36 58.58 268.68 252.10 520.79 462.21 67.32 2038 47.21 11.71 58.92 280.20 267.46 547.66 488.74 63.56 2039 47.21 12.06 59.27 292.23 283.75 575.98 516.71 59.99 2040 47.21 12.42 59.63 304.81 301.03 605.83 546.20 56.62 Economic Net Present Value (ENPV): 763.24 Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR): 17.3% Discount Rate: 12% EIRR = economic internal rate of return, ENPV = economic net present value, VOC = vehicle operation cost Source: the World Bank ICR task team Page 27 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) 7. A sensitivity analysis shows that the project continues to be economically viable under all tested scenarios. Under the most pessimistic scenario, with maintenance cost 20 percent higher and benefits 20 percent lower, the EIRR would be still be at 12.9 percent. The sensitivity analysis also showed that the EIRR is more sensitive to changes in benefits. Therefore, the governments should keep the roads in good condition for attracting and facilitating the fast-increasing traffic. The results of sensitivity test are in Table 4.2. Table 4.2: Sensitivity Test of the EIRR for the Project Tests ENPV@12% EIRR (%) Case O&M Cost Benefits (CNY million) Base Case 17.3% 763.24 +10% 17.1% 724.86 +20% 16.8% 686.47 +100% 14.8% 379.39 +10% 19.2% 1,043.14 +20% 20.9% 1,323.05 -10% 15.5% 483.34 -20% 13.5% 203.44 +10% -10% 15.2% 444.96 +20% -20% 12.9% 126.67 EIRR = economic internal rate of return, ENPV = economic net present value, O&M = operation and maintenance Source: the World Bank ICR team Page 28 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 5. ENVIRONMENT SAFEGUARDS 1. The project included improvement and rehabilitation of rural roads in Guiyang which would result in benefits in terms of providing improved access and road conditions to local communities. As the civil works were largely conducted within the existing right-of-way, the project didn’t involve significant amount of civil works, land acquisition and resettlement. The main environmental risks were those impacts related to construction stage, e.g. dust, noise, soil erosion, limited surface vegetation damage along existing roads, wastewater and solid waste, worker and community safety, traffic disturbance, etc. These impacts would be well-known and could be readily avoided, minimized, and mitigated through well-known measures and construction management practices. Therefore, the project was classified as Category B at appraisal stage. Given the common nature of the improvement and rehabilitation of rural roads, a comprehensive Environmental Code of Practice (ECOP) was prepared at appraisal stage and approved by the World Bank. 2. During implementation, environmental management system was set up within the GPMO with dedicated staff responsible for environmental management. The GPMO incorporated the ECOP mitigation measures into the bidding document for civil works and construction contracts to ensure the implementation. Contractors and supervision companies were also required to establish environmental management system with dedicated staff. The GPMO conducted regular supervision to all the construction sites to supervise the project progress, engineering quality and environmental and social performances. 3. An external environmental monitoring consultant was hired by the GPMO to conduct field environmental monitoring and environmental completion verification throughout the project implementation process. The consultant conducted periodic field inspection to all the project roads during construction stage, and identified issues and provided guidance on corrective actions, and provided external monitoring reports on a semi-annual basis. Based on the findings of these external reports, the overall environmental performance of the project was generally satisfactory. Minor issues were occasionally identified on some individual subprojects, mostly related to improper waste management on-site, lack of cover of bulk material, inadequate safety signage etc. Such findings were communicated with the GPMO and the contractors in a timely manner, and corrective actions were implemented immediately to fix these issues. 4. Overall, the environmental management of the project during implementation was satisfactory, and there were no environmental legacy issues identified up to the project completion. Page 29 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 6. SOCIAL SAFEGUARDS 1. Cumulatively, the project acquired 1,757.71 mu of land and demolished 37,313.33 m2 of houses, affecting 3,323 households economically and 148 households physically. The eventual resettlement cost was higher than what was identified in the RAP, mainly due to project restructuring and design adjustment for slope protection during construction (see the table below). At project completion, the actual resettlement cost was RMB 161.23 million, 25% greater than the estimates (RMB 129.31 million) in the RAP prepared in 2016 and 2017. 2. Overall, the resettlement was implemented under strict management and in full consultation with the project affected people (PAP). The impacted land and properties were surveyed, evaluated, and disclosed, with the meaningful participation of the PAP. For land acquisition, cash compensation and livelihood restoration measures were implemented as set out in the RAP and Guizhou provincial regulations on land compensation standards. Meanwhile, employment training and job employment supports were provided and monitored according to the RAP. According to the assessment of the external monitoring, the impact of land acquisition to individual households were very limited, while the improvement of road transportation was significant to the rural residents, especially for transportation of agricultural products, access to public services (e.g. schools and hospitals). Where house demolition was involved, options of cash compensation, property swap and replacement houses were made available for people. As a result, all affected households selected the option of cash compensation in which a third party was involved to appraise the market value of the houses ensuring the compensation was implemented at replacement cost. In addition, the households affected by house demolition were also provided with relocation subsidies. 3. There are two major ethnic minority groups in the project area, including the Miao and Buyi ethnic minority peoples. Dedicated measures were executed to ensure that ethnic minority peoples benefit from the project as much as possible. For example, several project roads were identified in areas where the minority peoples live; extensive consultation was required during project design to solicit opinions of the EM people; and provision for job opportunities to ethnic people and poor people were prioritized. 4. Grievance redress mechanisms were established as planned. There were three types of grievances collected and addressed, including (i) complaints about the compensation standards and payment process; (ii) requests for support on livelihood restoration; and (iii) inconvenience of road transportation during the construction period. The grievances were collected and addressed through the GRM effectively. The public engagement was implemented throughout the project implementation. Result of related consultation and engagement were disclosed to the public via websites or onsite disclosure. There were no remaining issues related to the LAR. 5. The project commissioned a professional social institute to conduct external monitoring and evaluation of the project resettlement. In total of 11 external monitoring reports were submitted to the World Bank through the GPMO. The monitoring reports consecutively concluded that the project delivered the compensation in full and on time; the implementation of the RAP improved their living conditions and livelihoods; and they were generally satisfied with resettlement implementation. 6. The project also generated experiences for managing rural resettlement in Guiyang and beyond. The house demolition for road construction projects could be minimized in greatest level by comprehensive site survey and elaborated design, and thus, a significant cost saving was achieved for the local government. Page 30 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) RAP Accumulated Changes Batches Component 2 2 LA (mu) HD (m ) LA (mu) HD (m ) LA (mu) HD (m2) 20 rural road Batch 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 improvement 1 class 2 road Batch 2 392.97 11,436 582.71 24,972.93 +189.74 +3,536.93 expansion 16 rural road 0 0 0 0 0 0 improvement Batch 3 15 rural road 1,316.75 3,600 1,175 12,340.39 -141.75 +8,740.39 expansion Total 1,709.72 15,036 1,757.71 37,313.33 +47.99 +12,277.33 Page 31 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 7. BORROWER, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS 1. The Guiyang Rural Road Project was implemented during 2014–2020. Upon completion, total 520.0 km of rural roads were upgraded/improved/rehabilitated/reconstructed with much better road conditions and safety facilities. Additionally, about 27.3 km of the branch/feeder roads were added to extend the project benefits to a wider range. The project roads are located in 8 out 10 districts/counties in Guiyang. According to the annual surveys by the GPMO, total 817,027 people were benefited by the project roads, including the transporters and the residents living near the project roads. The improvement of the road condition with reduced travel time and saved vehicle operating costs has significantly improved accessibility for the population, who can now travel farther distances to markets, access job opportunities in larger towns/cities, and receive more frequent social and health services. Meanwhile, some institutional development programs were implemented under the project, which have effectively increased the sustainability of the rural road development and maintenance in Guiyang. Upon project completion, the Guiyang Project Management Office (GPMO) prepared and submitted a Borrower’s ICR report to the World Bank (received on February 9, 2021). The Borrower’s ICR was prepared with no clear comments to the World Bank, but summarized the following major lessons: 2. Implementation delays. Due to slow land acquisition and resettlement and availability of counterpart funds, the project implementation experienced initial delays. To catch up on the project progress, the municipal government strengthened the project management by establishing the required engineering construction directorate, assigning clear responsibilities for the land acquisition and resettlement activities, and strengthened counterpart fund management. Such measures ensured timely and quality completion of the project. 3. Counterpart fund availability and management. The project implementation experienced shortage in the counterpart funds at beginning. To address the counterpart fund issue, it was requested and agreed that the counterpart fund contributions by the project counties/districts should transfer to the GPMO prior to commencement of the design work for the proposed road sections in related counties/districts. Then, GPMO disbursed the project funds to the project counties/districts and contractors according to the progress of the land acquisition and resettlement and the civil works. Such a mechanism improved overall management of the project funds, the cost control of the project, and timely completion of the project. 4. Land acquisition and resettlement. The shortage in counterpart funds and slow payments for the land acquisition and resettlement activities had negative influence on the project progress. Besides applying the mechanism and measure for the counterpart management, the GPMO also strengthen coordination among related government agencies at municipal and county levels. It was made clearer that the land acquisition and resettlement office at county/district level should take the responsibility with the overall coordination by the GPMO. Regular meetings were conducted among the related parties to resolve any issue occurred. Such strengthened management and clearer responsibility ensured the progress of the land acquisition and resettlement in later stage of the project implementation. Page 32 / 33 The World Bank Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) ANNEX 8. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS 1. The World Bank. November 11, 2019. Country Partnership Framework for the People’s Republic of China for the Period FY2020–2025. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, International Finance Corporation, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency. 2. The World Bank. January 31, 2014. Project Appraisal Document on a Proposed Loan in the Amount of US$150 Million to the People’s Republic of China for a Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) . EASCS 3. June 4, 2014. Loan Agreement (Guiyang Rural Road Project) between People’s Republic of China and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Loan Number 8337-CN. 4. June 4, 2014. Project Agreement (Guiyang Rural Road Project) between International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and Guizhou Province. Loan Number 8337-CN. 5. The World Bank. December 16, 2020. Preparing an Implementation Completion Report (ICR) for a project affected by COVID-19. 6. The World Bank. Restructuring Paper on a Proposed Project Restructuring of Guiyang Rural Roads Project, approved on March 6, 2014 to Guiyang Municipal Government. East Asia and Pacific. Report No. RES34642. 7. The World Bank. Implementation Status & Results Report for Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401) in June 2014–May 2020. 8. Mission AMs for Guiyang Rural Roads Project in October 2012–November 2020. 9. The GPMO. Project Progress Reports for Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P124401). 10. Guiyang Municipal Government. February 2021. Project Completion Report: Guiyang Rural Roads Project (P129401). Guiyang Project Management Office. Page 33 / 33