The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) AFRICA | Kenya | Social Protection & Labor Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2009 | Seq No: 19 | ARCHIVED on 21-Sep-2018 | ISR33219 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of East African Community,Labour and Social Protection, Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Republic of Kenya, UK Department of International Development (DfiD)British High Commission, United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 31-Mar-2009 Effectiveness Date: 03-Jul-2009 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 30-Mar-2012 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 12-Mar-2012 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2013 Revised Closing Date: 31-Oct-2018 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To increase social safety net access for extremely poor OVC households and to build the capacity of the government to more effectively deliver the National Safety Net Program. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Policy Development and Institutional Strengthening:(Cost $15.20 M) Program Implementation in Selected Sub-Counties:(Cost $51.20 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Government of Kenya has continued to make satisfactory progress in the implementation of the Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (CT-OVC) Program, including taking over the financing of 40,000 CT-OVC households previously funded by the UK Department for International Development (DfID). This means that cash transfer to beneficiaries under the CT-OVC program are now fully financed by the Government. This is an important achievement and key indication of strong commitment and ownership by the Government to the National Safety Net Program as a whole and to the CT-OVC program more specifically. The Government also continues to progress with the consolidation of the three of the four cash transfer programs under the National Safety Net Program (CT-OVC, Older Person’s Cash Transfer and Cash Transfer for People with Severe Disabilities) under the Social Assistance Unit (SAU) in the Ministry of Labour and Social Protection (MLSP). The SAU has finalized and adopted a Beneficiary Outreach Strategy to increase beneficiary awareness and understanding of the program. End of September the 9/21/2018 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) rollout of this strategy will commence. The MLSP further continues to make progress on addressing fiduciary challenges of the program and the financial management action plan is being closely monitored. 41 percent of agreed critical FM actions have been implemented and progress is being made on the remaining 59%. Lastly, a new payment mechanism is being rolled out for the NSNP and continued attention and efforts will be needed to ensure that the program manages to make payments of the cash transfer on time to beneficiaries. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Substantial Moderate Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Moderate Moderate Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Low Low Stakeholders -- Low Low Other -- -- -- Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To increase SSN access for extremely poor OVC HHs and build GoK capacity to efficiently deliver NSNP IN00614896 ►Additional number of OVC beneficiary households receiving cash transfers (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30,000.00 338,153.00 340,087 365,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2009 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 30-Dec-2018 This number of 340,087 is the total number of OVC beneficiary households on the payroll in the May/June Comments: 2018 payroll. IN00614897 ►Percent of all NSNP payments disbursed to payment service providers on time (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 9/21/2018 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Value 26.00 4.40 6.60 70.00 Date 30-Oct-2013 30-Apr-2018 30-Apr-2018 31-Dec-2018 6.6% of payments were made “on time” between Jan 2018 and Apr 2018 (payment information from May/June is not yet available). PWSD-CT, CT-OVC, and OPCT did not have any on-time payments in Comments: these payment cycles and HSNP had one payment made on time as per the protocols. Payments were late by anywhere between a few days to over 1 month. IN00614899 ►Percent of NSNP Beneficiaries who conform to the program targeting criteria (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.00 60.80 60.80 85.00 Date 31-Mar-2009 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 The PIBS survey collected this figure in 2015 (report available in 2016) and found this number to be 60.8%. The PIBS II survey conducted field work in early 2018. However, this indicator in the NSNP PforR framework has been replaced by an indicator regarding recertification since it is very difficult to accurately Comments: measure targeting conformity and the PIBS II survey may not provide comparable information to the baseline. When the PIBS II results are ready, this indicator can be reported to the extent possible. IN00614901 ►Proportion of OVC in beneficiary households aged 6-17 years who have completed or are enrolled in basic education (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 78.00 No data No data 95.00 Date 27-Feb-2009 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 The 78% baseline refers to an estimate from the KIHBS data. The actual baseline value from the 2012 baseline impact evaluation is 94. The end-line survey data has been collected and results are expected by Comments: October 2018. IN00614903 ►Project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 150,000.00 1,690,765.00 1,690,765.00 1,825,000.00 Date 08-Oct-2009 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 This number refers to the total number of CT-OVC beneficiaries (calculated as number of households multiplied by 5) from the May/June 2018 payroll. The number of female beneficiaries is calculated by Comments: dividing total beneficiaries by 2. IN00614908 of which female (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15,000.00 845,383.00 845,383.00 912,500.00 Date 08-Oct-2009 30-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2017 31-Dec-2018 9/21/2018 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Overall Comments PDO The number of project beneficiaries refers to the total number of CT-OVC beneficiaries (calculated as number of households multiplied by 5) from the Nov/Dec 2017 payroll. The number of female beneficiaries is calculated by dividing total beneficiaries by 2. However, the MIS team is currently working to produce this gender disaggregated information. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Policy Development and Institutional Strengthening IN00614900 ►Percent of NSNP progress reports produced by the MIS, according to agreed reporting standards (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value N/A 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 31-Mar-2009 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 Bi-annual report for Jan-Jun 2017 and July-Dec 2017 produced and annual report for FY 16/17 produced. However, bi-monthly reports (other than internal payment monitoring reports) are not being produced Comments: since it was agreed with program management that the are not needed on such a frequent basis. IN00614905 ►Percent of NSNP beneficiaries for whom payments are made electronically through payment services providers using two factor authentication (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 100.00 100.00 90.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Apr-2018 30-Apr-2018 31-Dec-2018 The DLI has been achieved, but is still tracked. In the past three payment cycles, 100% of payments have Comments: been made using two-factor authentication. IN00614907 ►Percent of OVC payments disbursed to payment service providers on time (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 26.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Date 30-Jun-2013 30-Apr-2018 30-Apr-2018 31-Dec-2018 Since January 2018 (time of last ISR), 0% of the CT-OVC payments have been made on time. Comments: IN00614870 ►Social Protection strategy and policy framework established (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 9/21/2018 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Policy framework New SP Policy Social Protection Social Assistance Value completed, SP Strategy framework and SP strategy in draft form Strategy adopted in process Strategy in process Date 31-Mar-2009 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 A Social Protection policy framework was adopted in June 2011. The Social Protection Secretariat is currently updating the policy framework and is preparing a Social Protection Strategy. A workshop on the Comments: draft SP policy was undertaken September 5-7, 2018. Program Implementation in Selected Sub-Counties IN00614902 ►Proportion of OVC living in beneficiary households 0-17 years holding birth certificates (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 No data No data 60.00 Date 27-Feb-2009 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 The baseline estimate comes from the CT-OVC pilot districts in 2009. The 2016 figure comes from the actual baseline value from the 2012 impact evaluation. The end-line survey data has been collected and Comments: results are expected by October 2018. IN00614904 ►Proportion of OVC in beneficiary households aged 0-5 years fully immunized (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 51.40 No data No data 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2012 29-Jun-2018 29-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 The baseline estimate comes from the CT-OVC pilot districts in 2009. The 2016 figure comes from the actual baseline value from the 2012 impact evaluation. The end-line survey data has been collected and Comments: results are expected by October 2018. IN00614906 ►Percent of NSNP beneficiaries who can name two means of making a complaint (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15.00 8.80 30.20 47.00 Date 31-May-2013 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 The PIBS II data was collected in early 2018, but is still in process of being analyzed. However, preliminary results show this indicator to be 30.2% for all four programs. It is noted that this indicator in the Comments: NSNP PforR framework has a revised endline target for 2018 of 30 percent. IN00614898 ►Percentage of NSNP beneficiaries who know program objectives and entitlements (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 37.00 55.90 55.90 60.00 Date 28-Feb-2013 15-Jun-2018 15-Jun-2018 31-Dec-2018 These are two different indicators in the PIBS[1] but the average baseline value is 55.9%. The PIBS Comments: survey collected this figure in 2015 (report available in 2016 The PIBS II data was collected in early 2018, 9/21/2018 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) but is still in process of being analyzed. It is noted that this indicator in the NSNP PforR framework has been revised to “% of beneficiaries who know correct program transfer amount for the program in which they are enrolled” Preliminary results from PIBS II report this indicator as 88.0% compared to a 2018 target of 65%. [1] % of beneficiaries' aware of at least two programme objectives (NSNP overall = 58.9%) and % of beneficiaries’ HH who know at least two programme entitlements (NSNP overall = 52.9% Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P111545 IDA-45530 Closed USD 50.00 48.52 1.48 49.21 0.00 100% P111545 IDA-53120 Closed USD 10.00 9.95 0.05 9.40 0.00 100% P111545 TF-97272 Effective USD 79.28 79.28 0.00 75.06 4.23 95% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P111545 IDA-45530 Closed 31-Mar-2009 08-May-2009 03-Jul-2009 31-Dec-2013 31-Dec-2015 P111545 IDA-53120 Closed 31-Oct-2013 05-Dec-2013 04-Mar-2014 31-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2016 P111545 TF-97272 Effective 08-Jul-2010 20-Jul-2010 20-Jul-2010 31-Dec-2013 31-Oct-2018 Cumulative Disbursements 9/21/2018 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children (P111545) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 01-Nov-2016 Related Project(s) P146161-Additional Financing for Cash Transfers for Orphans and Vulnerable Children 9/21/2018 Page 7 of 7