Policy, Plnning, and Romrah WORKING PAPERS Population, Helth, and Nutritlon Population and Human Resources Department The World Bank October 1988 WPS 115 Asia Region Population Projections 1988-89 Edition My T. Vu, Eduard Bos, and Rodolfo A. Bulatao The Asia region now has more than half the world's population and contributes half the world's annual population growth. The Policy, Planning, and Researh Comnplex distnbutes PPR Woiking Papens to diseminst the findings of work in progrss and to encouuge the exchange of ideas among Bank staff and all others intaesed in developmeat is. These papers carry the names of the authos, reflect only their views, and should be used and cited accordingly. The findings, interpreutions, and concsions are the authos' own. They should not be attibuted to the World Bank, its Board of Direco, itsmanageman. or anyofitsmanberctries. Polac,Pnning, and Research Population, Health, and Nutrillon World population grew by about 88 million in high fertility and high mortality countries, espe- 1987. Asia contributed half this growth, and by cially in South Asia, and low fertility countries the year 2000 its contribution is projected to be in East Asia. Although China has the largest only 4 percentage points smaller. population, India now contributes more to world population growth than any other country. At The contrast between India and China projected rates, India's population will overtake illustrates the variation in the region between China's by the end of the next century. This paper is a product of the Population, Health, and Nutrition Division, Population and Human Resources Department. Copies are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433. Please contact Sonia Ainsworth, room S6-065, extension 31091. The PPR Working Paper Series disseminates the fndings of work under way in the Banks Policy, Planning, and Research Complex. An objective of the series is to get these findings out quickly, even if presentations are less than fully polished. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions in these papers do not necessarily represent official policy of the Bank. Copyright O 1988 by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank CONTENTS Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iii Acknowledgements. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Projection Results. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Methods and Data Sources. . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Summary of Results. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Appendix: Sources of Population Data . . . . . . 17 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Tables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Detailed Population Projections . . . . . . . . . . 49 World. Geographic Regions, and Income Groups. . . . 49 World.. ............. 50 Less Developed Countries. . . . . . . . . . . . 52 More Developed Countries. . . . . . . . . . . . 54 Geographic Regions Africa. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 East Africa.. ....... 58 West Africa.. ....... 60 North Africa. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 America.. ......... 64 Latin America and the Caribbean . . . . . . . 66 Northern America. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 Asia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 East and Southeast Asia . . . . . . . . . . . 72 South Asia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 Southwest Asia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 Europe and U.S.S.R. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 Oceania.. ......... 80 Income Groups Low-Income Economies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 Lower-Middle-Income Economies . . . . . . . . . 84 Upper-Middle-Income Economies . . . . . . . . . 86 High-Income Economies (Oil Exporters) . . . . . 88 Industrial Market Economies . . . . . . . . . . 90 Nonreporting Nonmember Economies. . . . . . . . 92 Asia Region (and Oceania) . . . . 95 Asia Department V FijI. . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 Asia and Oceania. . . . . . . . 96 Indonesia . . . . . . . . . . 150 Borrowers only. . . . . . . . . 98 Kiribati. . . . . . . . . . . 152 Asia Department I . . . . . . 100 Maldives. . . . . . . . . . . 154 Asia Department II. . . . . . 102 Papua New Guinea. . . . . . . 156 Asia Department III . . . . . 104 Solomon Islands . . . . . . . 158 Asia Department IV. . . . . . 106 Tonga . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 Asia Department V . . . . . . 108 Vanuatu . . . . . . . . . . . 162 Western Samoa . . . . . . . . 164 Asia Department I Bangladesh. . . . . . . . . . 112 Noriborrowers (East Bhutan. . . . . . . . . . . 114 and Southeast Asia) Nepal . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 Brunei. . . . . . . . . . . . 168 Sri Lanka . . . . . . . . . . 118 Hong Kong . . . . . . . . . . 170 Japan . . . . . . . . . . . . 172 Asia Department II Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of 174 Burma . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 Macao . . . . . . . . . . . . 176 Kampuchea, Dem. . . . . . . . 124 Mongolia. . . . . . . . . . . 178 Korea, Rep. of. . . . . . . . 126 Singapore . . . . . . . . . . 180 Lao People's Dem. Rep. . . . 128 Taiwan, China . . . . . . . . 182 Malaysia. . . . . . . . . . . 130 Philippines . . . . . . . . . 132 Nonborrowers (Oceania) Thailand. . . . . . . . .. . . 134 Australia . . . . . . . . . . 186 Viet Nam. . . . . . . . . . . 136 French Polynesia. . . . . . . 188 Guam. . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 Asia Department III New Caledonia . . . . . . . . 192 China (excluding Taiwan). . . 140 New Zealand . . . . . . . . . 194 Pacific Islands . . . . . . . 196 Asia Department IV Other Micronesia. . . . . . . 198 India . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 Other Polynesia . . . . . . . 200 PREFACE Population projections for all countries are prepared by the Population and Human Resources Department of the World Bank every year. They are published first in summary form in the Bank's World Development ReRort and later in greater detail as technical notes or working papers and, in alternate years, as a separate book. This set of projections was prepared for World Develogment ReRort 1988. It appears for the first time in the Policy, Planning, and Research (PPR) Working Papers series. (Last year's edition appeared as a set of Population, Health, and Nutrition (PHN) Technical Notes.) No other publication is planned this year. As was done last year, separate working papers cover each of the Bank's four regions: Africa (sub-Saharan); Asia (and Oceania); Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa (including the U.S.S.R.); and Latin America and the Caribbean (and Northern America). Combined, these papers cover all countries of the world. The data format of these papers generally follows previous editions. Only minor changes have been made in the specific demographic indicators included. We intend these papers to provide a convenient and up-to-date reference on the likely demographic future of each country, to facilitate the Bank's work of assisting them in planning more productive futures. We welcome comments on their utility, and how this might be enhanced. Anthony R. Measham Chief Population, Health and Nutrition Division iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS A number of persons provided us with important information for this work or assisted us in preparing it in other ways. The Estimates and Projections Section of the U.N. Population Division has been continually supportive in providing us with data, often prior to its publication in their own books. We are grateful to the section chief, Y. C. Yu, and to his continually accomodating staff, as well as to the head of the division, Jean-Claude Chasteland. Through the U.N. Population Division, we also received data from the Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia (Celade). World Bank country economists and population specialists in the operating divisions have also provided us with recent population estimates, bringing to our attention government reports we might not otherwise see. Among them, we wish to particularly acknowledge Althea Hill, who has in addition provided us with important analyses of her own. This exercise was carried out using a personal computer program, PROJPC, written by Kenneth Hill of Johns Hopkins University. For this year's work, Hill undertook various revisions and refinements of the program that have speeded up the process. As was its predecessor, the post-reorganization Population, Health and Nutrition Division has been hospitable to this work. Dean T. Jamison, the division chief during most of the period of this exercise, showed more interest in and enthusiasm for these figures than any of us would have predicted. His successor, Dr. Anthony R. Measham, has continued in the same supportive mode. We also wish to acknowledge the interest of the Bank's International Economics Socioeconomic Data Division (IECSE), which not only consumes our numbers and incorporates them into the databases it maintains and publications it distributes but also helps coordinate communications with country economists. Useful comments on the introduction were provided by Dr. Fred Sai and Susan H. Cochrane. In producing the manuscript, Ella Hornsby was responsible not only for typing and some data entry but also for coordinating the paper flow. My T. Vu Eduard Bos Rodolfo A. Bulatao v INTRODUCTION Population projections are reported here for the individual countries comprising one of the four World Bank regions. Companion papers in this series report projections for each of the other regions. Each paper also reports summary results for various geographic regions and income groups. This introduction (included, for convenience, in each paper of the series) explains what projection results are provided in the detailed tables; describes the projection methodology; and summarizes and interprets the main results. Caution is appropriate with most projections like these. They essentially involve working out the implications of assumptions (to be discussed shortly) about particular demographic parameter levels and trends. None of the descriptions of results below should be read as indicating certitude about the future. Instead, they should be read with a universal qualifier in mind, that population will follow the indicated path if the assumptions prove to be correct. Projection Results The projections cover the period 1985-2150. Separate projections were prepared for 186 countries, economies, territories, or small-country groupings, covering the entire world. The length of the projection period is chosen to allow countries to approach stability, which for several is projected to take as long as two centuries. Only one projection is reported per country, economy, territory, or group. Other projection exercises sometimes provide high and low options. Instead of providing multiple alternatives, we choose to give only our best estimate of the likely demographic future but to update this annually. The detailed projection tables following this introduction contain two pages for each country. The first page gives projection results for every five years between 1985 and 2030, with population figures for years ending in 5 or 0 and demographic indicators for the intervening quinquennia. This information is provided: o Population by sex and five-year age groups o Birth rate, death rate, and net migration rate o Rate of natural increase and population growth rate o Total fertility rate (TFR) and net reproduction rate (NRR) o Expectation of life at birth (el0]) and at age ten (e[101) o Probability of dying before age one (x 1000), labeled here the infant mortality rate (IMR) o Probability of dying before age five (q[5]) o The dependency ratio (for exact years rather than quinquennia) 2 The second page adds results for every 25 years from 2000 to 2150 (as well as rates for the 1985-2000 period). This page provides fewer indices, including only the population by age and sex, the birth, death, net migration, and growth rates, total fertility, life expectancy, and infant mortality. Most of these numbers -re standard demographic indicators, but the infant mortality rate requires ;4me qualification. More properly labeled lq0, it is an index extracted from a Coale-Demeny model life table chosen to provide an appropriate life expectancy. It need not, and often will not, correspond to an observed infant mortality rate. Methods and Data Sources The key elements in these projections are base-year (mid-1985) total population estimates and age-sex structures, base-period (1985-90) mortality, fertility, and migration rates, and assumed trends in the rates. These elements and additional assumptions that are made will all be described. The basic methodology is identical to that used last year (see Zachariah and Vu 1988). Those familiar with the previous publication may therefore wish to skip to the summary of results. Data and sources have been updated; an Appendix indicates the sources for all base-year or base- period estimates. Total Donulation and ate-sex composition The estimates of total population in mid-1985 come from diverse sources. Where possible, estimates are Bank projections from reasonably complete censuses or official figures from governments with comprehensive population registration. Other official figures are also used, either from the U.N. PoDulation and Vital Statistics Report or from government publications. When these figures do not pertain to 1985, they are projected forward. Other sources of estimates include the U.N. 1988 revision of world population prospects (forthcoming), the U.N. 1984 assessment (published in 1986), Eurostat (1987), the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985), and Celade (1987). The specific source for each country is listed in the Appendix. The 1985 population of each country was distributed by age and sex using a percentage distrPbution from either the latest census, adjusted for errors in age reporting, or the U.N. 1984 assessment (the 1988 revision was not yet available for this purpose). Mortality level and trend The base-period mortality levels in the projections are represented by life expectancies obtained, sometimes indirectly, from a variety of sources. Most commonly, figures are based on official or other estimates appearing in PoRulation and Vital Statistics Report or government publications. Other figures are taken from the U.N. 1988 revision or the 3 Figwe I High Female Primary School Enrollment Figure 2. Low Female Pnmary School Enrollment 1.2 1.2 1.0 - 1.0 0.8 - 0.8 _ 0.6 * 0.6 - %~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Z~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ * S * S* 0.4 _ 4 _40 0.2 0.2 0 * O 0 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 Original (1965-69) female life expectancy Original (1965-69) female life expectancy Vote: Raw data and fitted values based on regress;nn equation. Note: Raw data an fitted values based on tegfesion equation. Figure 3. Expected Change in Female Life Expectancy Based on Initial Female Life Expectancy and Level of Inirial Female Primarv Sc/hoo Enrollment Figure 4 Age-Specific Fertility Pattens by Fertility Level 0.6 30 A A 0.5 A A25 4' a 00 0 0 0-2 Ie o 0 /1~ .~0.4 0 0' a ~~020 =0 ~0.3 1 0.2 10 u~~~~~~~nolEt TFR < 3.0 I 0.1 0 Lowfemalepnmary schoolen----e-t- TFRt-4.1 A Highfemaeprpnmarv school enrollment - -TFR > 6.0 0 1 I I I I I I I 0 1 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 Initial female life expect.ancy Ag .- 4 U.N. 1984 assessment. Other sources of mortality data include Eurostat (1987), the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985), Celade (1987), and various surveys. These sources often report mortality levels for periods other than 1985-90, or give indices other than life expectancies, or both. Some estimation and projection is then necessary to obtain the right index. In some cases, a mortality estimate is made first for an earlier period, and an estimate for 1985-90 obtained by applying the projection methodology being described here. Some Bank sources are also cited in the Appendix: Bank sector reports; Bank assessments, involving unpublished analysis of census or survey data; and Bank estimates, or informed judgments for which no further source can be cited (see Appendix). The future trend in mortality in all countries was represented by steady increments to life expectancy, with smaller increases at higher life expectancy levels, and with different schedules of increments where few or where many females are in school. The schedules of increments for female life expectancy were developed in earlier analysis involving regressions of change in female life expectancy between 1965-69 and 1975-79 on initial life expectancies in 1965- 69, separately for countries with different levels of female enrolment. Life expectancies were obtained from Bank files and female primary school enrolment in 1965-69 from Unesco (1977). Female enrolment was used as a control because preliminary analysis confirmed a strong relationship (R2 _ 0.50 over 30 developing countries) of female enrolment with current life expectancy and a slightly stronger relationship (R2 - 0.53) with life expectancy lagged ten years. Countries were divided into two female enrolment groups: those with female primary school enrolment of 70 percent or more and those with female primary school enrolment of less than 70 percent. Figures 1 and 2 plot changes in female life expectancy against initial levels for the two groups of countries. Also plotted are lines estimated through quadratic regression. The line for the low female enrolment group is almost linear. Female life expectancy was below 55 in all countries in this group (with the exception of Saudi Arabia, which was considered an anomaly and is not represented). We assumed that the increments to life expectancy in this group would increasingly approximate the increments in the high female enrolment group once life expectancy passed 55. This produced a single unified schedule of increments diagrammed in Figure 3 and listed in Table 1. Male life expectancies were projected either by applying roughly the same schedule of increments as female life expectancies or by first selecting female life tables and then adopting for males the parallel life tables of the same level and family. In either case, the maximum life-table level for males was set at one below the equivalent female level, imposing a slower improvement in male life expectancies. Life tables were chosen from among the Coale-Demeny models to provide the age distribution of deaths. These model life tables come in four families--North, South, East, and West--each of which has 25 levels. A 5 Table 1. Abitl Incrmt In Fenlo Lffe Expectancy Ftle primry school enrol lment Funle ltfe exp etancy Less than 70 percent at birth 70 percent or more 35.0 0.33 0.39 37.5 0.35 0.44 40.0 0.38 0.47 42.5 0.41 0.50 45.0 0.43 0.52 47.5 0.45 0.53 50.0 0.47 0.54 52.5 0.47 0.54 55.0 0.48 0.53 57.5 0.48 0.51 60.0 0.47 0.48 62.5 0.45 0.45 65.0 0.41 0.41 67.5 0.36 0.36 69.4 0.31 0.31 71.1 0.27 0.27 72.6 0.23 0.23 73.9 0.20 0.20 75.0 0.16 0.16 75.9 0.13 0.13 76.6 0.11 0.11 77.5 0.09 0.09 78.5 0.07 0.07 79.5 0.06 0.06 80.5 0.05 0.05 81.5 0.04 0.04 82.5 0.03 0.03 6 26th level corresponding to a female life expectancy of 82.5 was added. The appropriate level for each time period was chosen given life expectancy, with interpolation if necessary between adjacent levels. Choice among life table families was based on region and mortality level, as follows: Region and mortality level Life table family Sub-Saharan Africa Below 12 South 12-17 North 18 and above West North Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, and the Caribbean Below 18 South 18 and above West Northern America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania All levels West Over time, countries in particular regions may therefore switch from one life table family to another. To avoid discontinuities, the switch is made gradually, using life tables linearly interpolated between the two families involved for five intervening periods. Fertility level and trend Base-period total fertility rates (TFRs) are derived from the same mix of sources as mortality rates, including the U.N. 1988 revision; official sources, as cited in Population and Vital Statistics ReRorts or in government publications; the U.N. 1984 assessment; the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985); Eurostat (1987); and Celade (1987). We relied on two sources more frequently for information on fertility than mortality: various surveys, especially Demographic and Health Surveys and World Fertility Surveys; and the Institut National d'ttudes Demographiques (Monnier 1987). Often, all these sources give fertility for a different period or in terms of the crude birth rate, and corresponding TFRs had to be estimated using available data on age-sex composition and age-specific fertility, or obtained from a projection using an estimated TFR for an earlier period. Where no reliable source was available, an unattributed Bank estimate may be indicated in the Appendix. Future fertility trends are specified by selecting a year when the net reproduction rate (NRR) reaches unity, i.e., when the average woman's fertility results in exactly replacing herself. (This is referred to here as the replacement year.) We explain below how the replacement year was selected; what was done for countries with NRR already below replacement; how the path of fertility between the present and the replacement year was specified; and what patterns of fertility by age were applied. For all countries, the replacement year is assumed to be before 7 2050. Selecting the specific year was essentially a matter of collective judgment, aided by a particular regression procedure. The regression involved predicting judgments of the replacement year from last year's exercise. These predictors were included in a stepwise regression: 1980-85 female life expectancy; 1980-85 TFR; change in the crude birth rate from 1970 to 1980; family planning status; and a dummy variable for region, distinguishing East and Southeast Asia from other regions. Family planning status was coded as 3 for a strong family planning program (or contraceptive prevalence rate for the latest available date of 31 percent or higher); 2 for a moderate program (or contraceptive prevalence of 16-30 percent); or 1 for a weak program (or contraceptive prevalence of 15 percent or lower). All variables contributed significantly, except change in the crude birth rate, which was dropped from the equation. This equation and a similar but not identical equation estimated for previous exercises (Zachariah and Vu 1988) were used to predict the replacement year. Results were very close between the two equations. The predictions were examined and changed where warranted, in our judgment, and after comparison with U.N. Population Division projected fertility trends (from the forthcoming 1988 revision). For countries with fertility already below replacement level, the alternative assumptions applied were that fertility would remain at its current level up to 2000, and then gradually rise to replacement level by 2030. For the replacement year, TFR is simply determined from the country's mortality level, and TFR for periods beyond that was kept at replacement. TFR for earlier periods was determined through a more complicated procedure. The entire period between 1985-90 and the replacement year was divided conceptually into three phases: an early, an intermediate, and a late phase. All countries were assumed to pass through the late phase, but some were assumed to skip the early phase, the intermediate phase, or both. In the early phase, covering 1985-95, TFR remains constant or actually rises. Such a phase was defined for some sub-Saharan countries, particularly in the zone of high sterility in Central Africa. All other countries skip this phase. In the intermediate phase, TFR declines at an accelerating pace, following a reverse geometric curve. This phase lasts up to 1995 or 2000 for many countries in Asia, Latin America, and North Africa. For all sub- Saharan African countries (whether or not they have an early phase), the intermediate phase lasts until halfway between 1995 and the replacement year. In the late phase, the TFR decline decelerates, following a geometric curve, or TFR may actually rise (if fertility is below replacement), also following a geometric curve. This phase covers the 8 entire period to the replacement year not covered by the other phases. All countries with initial TFR under 3.0 exhibit only this phase. All other countries also go through this phase, though it may begin later. The age pattern of fertility was allowed to change with its level. The age patterns when TFR is 7.6, 4.1, or 2.8 are shown in Figure 4. The mean age at childbirth declines from 28.86 years when TFR - 7.6, to 28.45 years when TFR - 4.1, to 27.98 years when TFR - 2.8. For intermediate TFRs, the age pattern falls between these curves. Migration level and trend Estimates of international migration come from the U.N. 1984 assessment and the U.N. 1988 revision, documents prepared by the U.N. for the 1984 International Conference on Population, the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985), Eurostat (1987), and Bank sources. To deal with the volatility of refugee movements in various parts of the developing world, only those are counted as migrants who are believed likely to remain permanently in the receiving countries. Available data seldom include age-sex distributions of migrants, which were instead chosen in this manner. For each country, some estimate was made of the sex ratio among migrants. Based on this sex ratio, an appropriate age-sex distribution was chosen from among alternative models. This distribution was assumed to be constant over time, regardless of the total number of migrants. Trends in the volume of migration are based on past trends, but are still essentially speculative. For most countries, net migration is assumed to decline to zero by the year 2000; for the remainder, net migration declines to zero by the year 2025. Summary of Results Summary projection results are provided in Tables 2-12. (Tables 4-12 appear at the end of this Introduction.) In discussing these tables, we will summarize world population growth; note changes in these projections from previous versions; compare the four World Bank regions and 19 country departments; note other comparisons among geographic regions and groups of countries by income level; observe the results for some individual countries; and essay a brief conclusion. World RoDulation The projections show world population rising from 4.843 billion in 1985 to 6.205 billion in 2000 and 8.262 billion in 2025 (Table 2). From 1985 to 2025, the birth rate per thousand population will decline by 10 points, but the death rate will decline by less than 2 points. As a consequence, the annual growth rate will fall from 1.7 percent to less than 1 percent. 9 Table 2. Population Growth by Ggraphic Region, 1965-2025 Ppulation Growth rate Birth rate Death rate (milions) (pecent) (per 1,000) (per 1,000) Region 1985 2025 1985-90 2020-25 1985-90 2020-25 1985-90 2020-25 Wortd 4,843 8,262 1.73 0.96 27.1 17.8 9.8 8.2 Africa 560 1,508 3.06 1.76 44.8 24.3 14.2 6.6 Agrica 667 1,040 1.55 0.72 23.2 15.3 7.9 8.1 Asia 2,821 4,815 1.84 0.91 27.7 17.2 9.2 8.0 Europ, U.S.S.R. 771 864 0.48 0.14 15.0 12.9 10.3 11.5 Ocnia 25 35 1.41 0.56 19.9 14.7 8. 1 9.1 Note: In all tables, figures may not dd up to given totaels because of roding. More people are now being added to the pla.net every year than ever before, even though the peak population growth rate (2.1 percent in 1965-70) is past. In 1987, about 88 million people were added, and this number will increase for another decade, eventually reaching about 92 million. In the next century, the projections indicate that world population will continuetto grow, though more slowly. Not until the 22nd century do the projections show population stabilizing. At that point, world population will probably be well above 10 billion. cha2es in-the Drojections Table 3 indicates that these projections involve important changes since the 1980 projections, but only minor changes since last year. Since 1980, the woZld population for the year 2000 has been revised upward by 2 percent, because of a substantial upward revision for Africa and a smaller upward revision for Asia, only partly balanced by downward revisions for America and Europe. The current projections give a population for the entire continent of Africa in the year 2000 that is 8 percent larger than in the 1980 projections. This is based on ample recent evidence that fertility levels are more resistant to change than had earlier been assumed. For Asia, the change in the projections mainly concerns China. A recent upswing in the birth rate makes it less likely that Chinese fertility will soon dip below replacement and stay below for an appreciable period. In contrast to Africa, Latin America has shown larger fertility declines than previously projected. For Europe and other developed countries, the revision has mainly involved stretching out the period of below-replacement fertility. 10 Table 3. Population In 2000 and Stationary Population by Geographic Region and for Selected Cointrles (iuiinar) Projection of 1980 Projection of 1987-88 Current projection Geographic region Population Stationary Population Stationary Population Stationary or coun.try in 2000 population in 2000 population in 2000 population Vortd 6,075 9,867 6,176 10,650 6,205 10,806 AfrIca 8CS 2,071 875 2,531 87n 2,506 AmerIco 847 1,267 824 1,216 825 1,224 Asia 3,561 5,569 3,634 5,974 3,657 6,087 Europe and U.S.S.R. 833 922 818 888 821 882 Oceania 28 38 29 41 29 40 Setected contrfies China 1,251 1,555 1,274 1.683 1,279 1,695 India 973 1,644 996 1,678 1.002 1.698 Indonesla 203 350 212 363 211 356 graifl 201 345 178 292 180 306 Nigeria 153 425 163 529 163 529 These revisions have affected the projected stationary populations dramatically. The eventual stationary world population now appears almost 10 percent greater than it did in 1980. For Africa in particular, the projected stationary population is now 21 percent larger than in the 1980 projections. Aggregate changes since last year's projections, on the other hand, are minor. Projected world population in the year 2000 is up half of 1 percent this year as compared with last year. The largest revision for a geographic region is for Asia, but is barely above half of 1 percent. Projections for practically all countries have changed, but in the majority of cases only minimally, and about as often upward as downward. The larger changes have been due more often to revisions in current demographic indicators rather than to revisions in assumed future trends. Current indicators may have changed, for instance, because of new data or new analysis of census or survey data. Revised current population estimates account for new projections for countries like Swaziland, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Peru, and Papua New Guinea. Revised fertility estimates, often from Demographic and Health Surveys, account for new projections for countries like Nepal, Pakistan, Bolivia, Guatemala, and Nicaragua. Comparisons among World Bank regions The four World Bank regions, comprising all the borrower countries 11 Figure 5 Annual Growth Rates, 1985-90 and 2000 for World and Bank Regions 3.4 -l 3.2- 3.0- c 2.8- * 2.6- 2.4- e 2.2- 2.0-77 I 0- / / 4 1.6 1.4 X 1.2 1.0 o 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 /. World Affica EMN LAC Asia 1985-90 2000 Figure 6 Contribution to World Population Growth by Bank Region. 1985-2150 60- so 0 40- o 30 20- w 10 10 1 980 2 000 2 020 2 040 2 060 2 080 2 100 2 120 2 140 12 (listed in Table 14), together include 75 percent of the world's population. The regions have markedly different demographic characteristics and growth prospects (Tables 4-7). At one extreme is the Africa region: with projected high fertility, mortality, and growth rates, it should double in popuiation in 20 years. The stationary population will be four-and-a-half times the present total, assuming that all the sub-Saharan countries reach replacement level (essentially two-child families) within 50 years. If this goal is not reached, the eventual stationary population could be too large for any planner to contemplate. If, after 50 years, four-child rather than two- child families are attained, the African population in the mid-21st century would instead be eight times its current size. At the other extreme from Africa is the Asia region. As a result of low fertility in China, the Asian growth rate is low. With projected trends, the population will not double for 120 years. The Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region has the lowest mortality among the regions, and, partly as a result, has higher growth than Asia. Its total population is likely to double by around 2040. Its stationary population will be more than twice the current total. The Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa (EMN) region is demographically two distinct subregions. The European part has fertility and growth rates among the lowest in the world, but crude mortality slightly higher than in other subregions because of an older age structure. The Afro-Asian part has growth rates closer to those of the Africa region. Here, however, the fast pace of population growth is attributable to relatively high birth and low death rates. The total population of the EMN region is expected to double by 2025. Population growth rates today and in the year 2000 are shown in Figure 5. The African growth rates stand out. Like rates in the other three regions, African growth rates decline, but less than elsewhere. By the year 2000, Africa will still be growing substantially faster than any other region is growing today. Eventually, the Africa region, despite now comprising only 9 percent of the world's population, will be contributing more to world population growth than any other region. The Asia region now has more than half the world's population and contributes half the world's annual population growth. By the year 2000, Asia will be contributing 4 percentage points less of annual growth, and Africa's share will have increased by 5 percentage points. These relative contributions can be traced out further into the future (Figure 6). The Asian contribution is projected to drop until the mid-21st century, to 30 percent, and then rebound slightly. The African contribution will be rising until the mid-21st century, approaching 45 percent, before falling and rising again. These fluctuations essentially reflect the lag in Africa's demographic transition. Late in the 22nd century, by these projections, most world population growth will be taking place in Africa. 13 Figure 7 Crude Birth and Death Rates, 1985-90 by Country Department AD~~~~~ O 7 0' :00(kliUS1Sk. 30 20 0- £r4 Ar2 Ara Ara Art ArS CMI EMS AlS MSC A3S LA2 LAS £32 ASS LAI LA-S A E3 14 C O U N T m Y O t p A n NT raegig ahrat??U?v 0E ~ 00?0* Figure 8 Total Fertility Rate. 1985-90 by Cowntry Departmen.t I- -' 4 4AaAeAi r r M M S C2AAL2L3A& 5 A A S M 00 so£1 70 Ar r r r r r *0CIAAA3C3C2A2 A A A A M U ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ c0UNT 14 Country departments within regions are fairly homogeneous in the Africa and LAC regions, more varied in Asia and EMN. Tables 4-7 provide the numbers and Figures 7-9 represent selected demographic indicators (see Table 14 for the countries in each department). The six Africa country departments have higher total fertility rates and lower life expectancies than any other country departments. Among these others, relatively high total fertility rates and low life expectancies are shown in three of the four EMN country departments (excluding the European department) and in the India and Other South Asia departments. Although fertility and mortality are projected to fall across the board, changes in these rankings of the country departments are expected to be minor for many decades. Geographic regions and income grouos Tables 8 to 10 present summaries for geographic regions, defined similarly to those used by the U.N., and for income groups (Table 15 lists countries by group). The geographic summaries are parallel to those just discussed, and require no further elaboration. A brief comment is appropriate on the low-income countries. Of the 186 countries, economies, territories, or small-country groupings in these projections, 46 are classified as low income, with per capita incomes of US$425 or less (World Bank 1988). These low-income countries, most of them in sub-Saharan Africa and South and Southeast Asia, include almost half the world's population. If China and India are excluded from the group, the remaining countries will have a population growth rate of 2.8 percent, doubling in 25 years. Total fertility is very high in these remaining countries, averaging above six and likely to decline only to five by the year 2000. In that year, all developing countries combined will have a total fertility rate of 3.2. The potential for substantial and sustained population growth in the low-income countries is considerable, and may impose a growing and long-lasting burden on their economies. Some country results Table 11 summarizes the population estimates by country, and Figures 10 and 11 show the ten countries in each Bank, region with the highest fertility and the lowest life expectancy. (To complete the picture, the smallest countries or territories, those grouped under "Other," are listed in Table 12.) The current picture across countries--to pick out highs and lows-- is this: o China has the largest population. O India contributes most to the world's population growth. O Rwanda, Kenya, and Halawi have the highest total fertility. O Qatar has the highest growth rate. O Afghanistan and Guinea-Bissau have the lowest life expectancy. As a result of differential growth, the demographic picture will be somewhat different in the future. For instance, by 2025, Nigeria should replace the LI V E E X P E C T A N C Y T OT A L F E R T7I L I T Y R A T E - N 4* a ~~ ~~~~~(A C% -j 0 0 0 0 0o 0 0 0 0 - o _* b Cm e - * Guinea-Bleau -twanda \ > ' k , -4 - t ,; Sierra IOne Kenya -t _ 'flN4 r-' Guinea Nalawi ' T * ' - - --.t- Gambia. Th Ceeros Ng' eNr . ci Niger -= r rrs, Eq. Gulnea Cameroon _ _ ' r- -x- - .S Chad Cote d'lvoire ___ rY'c E s N ' r Malawi I -3' N' \ , = 5 S J T Djlboutl OCUgN rda n m . S Somalia Nigerla - 7:7RT \ \ Afgbaniatan U}Afghanistan o 22 . ;, L_ \ ; >, '_>~ - - s5~ - v 2S~Aanistan Ymen A.R - , Saudi A t s.la S ' m r.:Y 7 C z N 31- y:x-- x : st Yemen, P - r7rm r-rXwS- x-T: rrrrr\ > U Pakistan 3 Ll Libya 7: urxxsrrcsy u xs-rrn P_ak 5 0 Syrian A.A. R. _ r s- a Iran - c __ Y _n. A.R. X C Norocco 39 r x NQ N nsNJ Egypt I . C Iraq en .. SX\EC TESSXWX C W Us __ Algeria pi Y Algeawn, P..R.7 2 R 0 0I Libyo z M M ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Algerla 3 -N E\\9°f Llbya Jr Jr boljvlo fl D 1 1_ Bolivia H s, sYs T, Wx 7xmSxSx-cs-xJ * ; Hai ti - Guatemala - r Sr TT C s Peru~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~0 0 _ onduran =21= 3 Peruate la C Nicaragua caau rrs-rs -7 O Nicaragua Bellae 7_ _S; Nicaragua El Salvador - R r-\; I N -vr El Salvador 5 Haiti tlX E < \. 5 Hondur* Paraguay Brazil Ecuador D Colombia Peru (O Domainican Rep - 00Peu 0 U1mpce OSolomon Islaid ' ' " '; T i X7 iNrl;'i r. v> ' iI Kampuchea I adv~ X~ N T ~ 7 Bhutan -I aldlvesu ' ' C T X\L 7 - Nepal : Nepal-t V \-s 7 t , s' 0 Bangladesh Nepal P s S ; sr sr-r§y 7K\ ) Lao l'D Lao P.R.ur a RTh7*r:;n Kiribatl Buan ' 3 'C'1ST E _K ndina Papua New Guined s r- r-r5, T 7XX7 ', Xi Indonesia Western Samoa L7C T L 7 7 T I... Solomun Island Kanpuchea \ r-' -s-;- N- s _ 16 U.S.A. as the 4th largest country in the world, and the population of the African continent ('ncluding North Africa), now only 75 percent of that of Europe and the U.S.S.R. combined, will instead become 75 percent larger than Europe and the U.S.S.R. Table 13 represents a more distant future, some time in the 22nd century, when all countries are projected to have reached stationary populations. At this point, India will be slightly larger than China (excluding Taiwan). Nine of the ten largest countries today will still be among the ten largest, but rankings will have changed. The U.S.S.R. will have fallen from 3rd to 5th and the U.S.A. from 4th to 9th, just ahead of Ethiovia. Nigeria and Pakistan, now 9th and 10th, will replace the U.S.S.R. and the U.S.A. as 3rd and 4th. Japan will fall all the way from 7th to 19th. Its stationary population will be smaller than that of countries like the Philippines, Iran, Kenya, and Tanzania. Projected regional changes are also substantial, with the African continent accounting for 24 instead of its current 12 percent of the world total, and Europe and the U.S.S.R. for only 8 instead of 16 percent. Clearly, some countries will grow tremendously if this scenario is attained. Rwanda will be six-and-a-half times its current size; Kenya and Malawi will be about six times their current sizes; and 19 other sub-Saharan countries will have at least five times as many people as they have now. Outside sub-Saharan Africa, only two small countries are projected to achieve such growth. Conclusion These projections have been showing for several years that an increasing number of people are being added to the world population. World population growth rates may have fallen off slightly, but, as the base enlarges, the numbers added every year still continue to rise. For Africa in particular, growth rates remain very high. Even assuming eventual declines in fertility similar to those in other regions-- as these projections assume--African countries will soon have to cope with much larger populations, and the world as a whole with substantial rearrangement of demographic potential and demographic problems among countries. Like all projections, these depend on various assumptions that have been spelled out above. Some demographic trends could certainly be altered, but the scope for alteration is not unlimited, and in many cases very substantial effort will be required. 17 Appendix: Sources of Population Data ountry. Last Dublished census economy, or Population Source for population Source for fertiLity Source for mortality :erritory Date (1000) * (mid-19M5) (1985-90, unless Indicated) (1985-90, unless indicated) Afghanistan Jun 79 13051 F Bank projection from census, Bank est. Bank est. adding refugees, assumed to be abroad tewporarfLy Albania Oct 60 1626 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 -ria Sep 87 22971 J U.N. 1984 assessment Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment rican Samoa Apr 80 32 J USSOC 1985 -- Andorra Nov 54 6 F UNPVSR 7/86 ingola Dec 70 5646 F U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.) nguilla - UNPVSR 1/88 -- igua and Apr 70 66 F UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.) 1980-85, based on UNPVSR 1980-85, based on UNPVSR Barbuda 7/86; 1985-90, Bank 7/86; 1985-90, Bank projection projection zntina Oct 80 27947 F CELADE printout 2/87 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection projection Aruba Feb 81 60 J UNPVSR 1/88 (officiaL est.) tralia Jun 81 14576 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 tria May 81 7555 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 -nas May 80 223 F UNPVSR 7/86 (officiaL est.) Based on official CBR Based on official CMR est., UNPVSR 7/86 est., UNPVSR 4/87 rain Apr 81 351 F Bank projection from official Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 1986 est., LINPVSR 4/87 assessment assessment gLadesh Mar 81 87120 F Bank projection from census Based on U.N. 1984 Bank est. assessment and contra- ceptive prevatence rate bados May 80 244 F Bank projection from 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision official 1984 est. (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection projection gium Mar 81 9849 J Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 ize May 80 143 F UNPVSR 7/86 (officiaL est.) Based on USBOC 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 in Mar 79 3331 F Bank projection from census Bank assessment of 1961 Bank assessment of WorLd survey and World Fertility Fertility Survey child Survey survival rates ermuda May 80 68 F UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.) -- -- tan Dec 69 1035 F Bank projection from Based on U.N. 1988 revision Bank est. official 1986 est. (prelim.) ivia Sep 76 4613 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) swana Aug 81 941 F Bank projection from census Based on officiat est., Based on official est., Statistical Bulletin 3/85, Statistical Bulletin 3/85, Central Statistical Office Central Statistical Office zil Sep 80 121149 F UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.) 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.); 1985-90, Bank (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection projection 18 Country, Last pjblished census economy, or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality territory Date (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90, unless indicated) (1985-90, unless irdicated) British Virgin May 80 12 F UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.) -- -- Islands Brunei Aug 81 193 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Bulgaria Dec 85 8948 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Burkina Faso Dec 85 7747 F Bank projection from census Bank est. U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.) Burns Mar 83 35308 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1988 revision Based on U.N. 1984 (prelim.) assessment Burundi Aug 79 4114 F Bank projection from census Bank assessment of 1965. Bank est. 1970-71, and 1979 censuses and 1979 postcensal demographic survey Ceme;oon Apr 76 7090 F Bank projection from census, 1980-85, World Fertility Bank assessment of World adjusted for 7.4X urdercount Survey; 1985-90, Bank Fertility Survey child projection assuming survival rates redueced sterility Canada Jun 86 25309 J UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.) Official est., Population Official est. (population Projections for Canada, projections for Canada, 1984-2006 1984-2006) Cape Verde Jun 80 296 F Bank projection from census Bank assesament of official Bank assessment of official CBR est. CDR est. Cayman Islands Oct 79 17 F UIPVSR 1/88 (official est.) -- Central African Dec 75 2055 F Bank projection from census, Bank est. Bank assessment of census Rep. adjusted for 11.3X undercount data on child survival Chad *- - - U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Charnel Islands Mar 86 136 F UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 7/86 Based on UNPVSR 7/86 Chile Apr 82 11330 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.) China (excl. Jul 82 1031883 F Bank projection from official Bank est. Bank est. Taiwan) 1984 est. using official growth rate of 1.08X Colombia Oct 85 27867 J Official est. fank est. Bank est. Comoros Sep 80 335 F Bank projection from census, Bank sector report Bank sector report excluding Mayotte Island (population 50.74 thousand) Congo, People's Jan 85 1854 F Bank projection from census Bank est. Bank est. Rep. of the Cook Islands Dec 81 18 f USBOC 1985 Costa Rica Jun 84 2417 J UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) 1980-85, Celade printout 2/87; 1985-90. Bank projection CMte d Ivoire Apr 75 6710 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision U.N. 1988'revision (prelim.) (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection Cuba Sep 81 9724 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on official CBR U.N. 1988 revision (prelim. Cyprus Sep 76 613 J UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment 19 Country, tast rublished census economy, or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality rritory Date (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90, unless indicated) (1985-90, unless indicated) echoslovakia Nov 80 15283 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 erwmrk Jan 81 5124 i UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 ibouti 60-61 81 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Dominica Apr 81 75 F Bank projection from census 1980-85. based on official 1980-85, based on official data, Ministry of Health; data, Ministry of Health; 1985-90. Bank projection 1985-90, Bank projection Dominican Rep. Dec 81 5648 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) uador Nov 82 8051 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on 1987 DHS 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); 1985-90; Bank projection Egypt, Arab Nov 86 48205 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on U.N. 1984 Rep. of assessment Salvador Jun 71 3555 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Celade printout 2/87 Cetade printout 2/87 Equatorial Dec 60 24& F Bank projection from census Bank est. Bank est. Guinea and 1982 household listing (350 thousand) Ethiopia May 84 42169 F Bank projection from census Bank assessment of U.N. Bank sector report, taking data, with correction for into account 1984 famine 1984 famine Faeroe Islands Sep 77 42 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Falkland Islands Dec 80 2 F UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.) - -- Fiji Aug 86 715 F Bank projection from Bank est. Bank est. official i986 est. Finland Nov 80 4785 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 France Mar 82 54335 F Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 French Guiana Mar 82 73 J UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.) Bank est. Bank est. French Polynesia Oct 83 167 F USBOC 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Gabon Oct 60 449 F Bank projection from Bank est. Bank est. urnpulished 8/80 census Gmbia, The Apr 83 696 F Bank projection from census Bank est. Bank est. Gaza Strip Sep 67 356 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment German Dem. Rep. Dec 81 16706 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Germany, Federal May 70 60651 J Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Rep. of Ghana Mar 84 12206 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection Gibraltar Nov 81 30 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Greece Apr 81 9740 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Greenland Oct 76 50 i UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) -- Grenada Apr 81 89 F Bank projection from Bank est. Bank est. official 1983 est. Guadeloupe Mar 82 327 i U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 20 ountry, Last cublished census economy, or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality territory Date (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90 untless indicated) (1985-90, unless indicated) Guam Apr 80 106 J Sank projection from official Bank est. Based on USSOC 1985 1984 est., UNPVSR 4/87 GuateEmla Mar 81 6054 J U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projections Guinea Feb 83 5781 F Bank projection from census U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Guinea-Bissau Apr 79 768 F Bank projection from census Bank est. Bank est. Guyana May 80 759 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Haiti Aug 82 5054 J U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Celade printout 2/87 Cetade printout 2/87 Holy See Apr 48 1 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) - -- Hondiras Mar 74 2657 J CELADE printout 2/87 Celade printout 2/87 Celade printout 2/87 Hong Kong Par 86 5396 F U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.) Bank est. Based on U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Hungary Jan 80 10709 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Iceland Dec 70 205 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 India Mar 81 685185 F Bank projection from census, Bank assessment of Sample 8ased on Saffple Registration adjusted for 1.83X urdercount Registration System data System data 1donesia Oct 80 147490 F U.N. 1984 assessment 1987 DHS Bank assessment of 1985 intercensal survey Irar, Islamic Nov 76 33709 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 Rep. of assessment assessment aq Oct 77 12000 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment Ireland Apr 81 3443 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Isle of Man Apr 86 64 J UNPVSR 7/86 Israel Jun 83 4038 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Italy Oct 81 56557 F Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Jamaica Jun 82 2206 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Japan Oct 85 121049 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Johnston Island Apr 70 1 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Jordan Nov 79 2133 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); Based on 1983 Family Based on U.N. 1984 11/79 census covered East Nealth Survey. assessment Bank only Kampuchea, Dem. Apr 62 5729 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 assessment Kenya Aug 79 15327 F Bank projection from census, 1980-85, based on various 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision adjusted for 5S un.dercount national surveys, 1985-90, (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank Bank projection projection ribati may 85 64 F UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.) Based on USBOC 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 Korea, People's May a F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 Dem. Rep. of assessment assessment Korea, Rep. of Nov 85 40432 F Official est., Economic Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 Ptlaming Board assessment assessment Ktawait Apr 85 1697 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on UNPVSR 1/88 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment 21 Country, Last cublished census economy, or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality territory Date (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90, unless indicated) (1985-90, unless irdicated) Lao People5s Mar 85 3585 F Bank projection from census Bank est. Bank est. Demn. Rep. Lebanon Nov 70 2126 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment Lesotho Apr 76 1217 F Bank projection from Based on 1977 World Based on 1977 World urpblished 4/86 census Fertility Survey Fertility Survey Liberia Feb 84 2102 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) 1986 DHS U.N. 1988 revision (praLim.) Libya Jul 84 3637 J Bank projection from census Based or U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment echtenstein Dec 81 26 F UNPVSR 7/86 -- Luxembourg Mar 81 365 J UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Macao Mar 81 242 J UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on USBOC 1985 Based on USBoC 1985 Madagascar 74-75 7604 F Bank projection from census Bank assessment of Bank assessment of and 1980 budget survey 1980 survey 1980 and 1984 surveys Maluwi sep 87 7983 F Bank projection from census, Based on 1977 census U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) after excluding refugees Analytical Report Malaysia Jun 80 13183 F Official est. Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment Maldives Mar 85 181 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Bank est. Bank est. Mali Dec 76 6395 J Bank projection from census Bank assessment of 1960-61 Bank assessment of 1960-61 survey and age data from survey and age data from 1976 census 1976 census Malta Nov 67 316 F Bank projection from Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 official 1982 est. Martinique Mar 82 327 J UNPVSR 7/86 (officiaL est.) 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection projection Mauritania Jan 77 1420 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Mauritius Jul 83 1000 F UNPVSR 4/87 (officiaL est.) Based on UNPVSR 7/86 Based on UNPVSR 7i86 Mexico Jun 80 66847 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection Midway Islands Apr 70 2 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) -- Monaco Mar 82 27 J UNPVSR 4/87 lofficial est.) -- -- Mongolia Jan 79 1595 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1988 revision assessment (preLim.) Montserrat may 80 12 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Bank est. Bank est. Morocco Sep 82 20420 F U.N. 1984 assessment 1987 OHS Bank est. Mozambique Aug 80 11674 F Bank projection from census, Bank est. Based on official CDR adJusted for 4X undercount Namibia May 70 762 F Bank projection from U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) urpblished 5/81 census Nauru Jan 77 7 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) -- -- Nepal Jun 81 15023 J U.N. 1984 assessment Based on 1986-87 Based on 1986-87 Demographic Sample Survey Demographic Sample Survey 22 Coumtry, Last oublished census economy, or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality territory Date (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90, unless indicated) (1985-90, unless indicated) Netherlands Feb 81 172 J Bank est. Based on USBOC 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 Antilles Netherlands, The Feb 71 13060 J Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 New Caledonia Apr 83 145 F USBOC 1985 Based on UNPVSR 1984 Based an UNPVSR 1984 Special Supplement Special Supplement New Zeatand Mar 86 3307 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Nicaragua Apr 71 1878 J U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Niger Nov 77 5098 F Bank projection from census Bank assessment of 1959-60 U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) survey and age data from 1977 census Nigeria Nov 63 55670 F Bank projection from Official est., based on U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.) official data U.N. 1980 assessment Niue Sep 76 4 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Norway Nov 80 4091 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Damn -- -- - U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Pacific Islands, Sep 80 133 J Bank projection from official Based on USBOC 1985 Bank est. Trust Terr. 1983 est., UINPVSR 4/87 Pakistan Mar 81 84254 F U.N. 1984 assessment Bank est. Bank est. Panama may 80 1825 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection Papua New Guinea Sep 80 3011 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment Paraguay Jul 82 3030 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Celade printout 2/87 Celade printout 2/87 Peru Jul 81 17005 F Bank projection from census, 1980-85, Bank assessment; 1980-85, Bank assessment; adJusted for 4.1X undercount 1985-90, Bank projection 1985-90, Bank projection Philippines Nay 80 48098 J Bank projection from census, Based on 1986 Contraceptive Based an 1983 National adjusted for 1.9X urdercount Prevalence Survey Demographic Survey Pitcairn Island Dec 85 b F UNPVSR 4/87 Poland Dec 78 35061 J Official est., Statistical Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Year Book Portugal Mar 81 9833 F Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Puerto Rico Apr 80 3197 F UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.) 1980-85, UNPVSR 1984 1980-85, UNPVSR 1984 Special Supplement; Special Supplement; 1985-90, Bank projection 1985-90, Bank projection Qatar Mar 86 369 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Reunion Mar 82 516 J U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Romania Jan 77 21560 F Bank projection from official Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 1984 est., UNPVSR 4/87 Rwanda Aug 78 4800 J Bank projection from census Bank est. U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) and 1970 survey San Marino Nov 76 19 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) 23 Coumtry, Last published census economy, or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality terrntory Date (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90, unless indicated) (1985-90, unless indicated) Sigo Tom and Aug 81 97 F UNPVSR 1/88 (officiat est.) 1980-85. bsed on UNPVSR 1980-85. based on UNPVSR Principe 1984 Special Supplement; 1984 Special Suplement; 1985-90, Bank projection 1985-90, Bank projection Saudi Arabia Sep 74 7013 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.) Based on U.N. 1984 assessment Senegal Apr 76 5069 F Official est.. Situation 1986 DNS Estiruted fran country lile Economique di Senegalt 1985 table prepared by 0. Ew'ank, University of Pennsylvania Seychelles Aug 77 62 F UNPVSR 4/87 1980-85, based on UMPVSR Based on UNPVSR 1984 1984 Special Supplement; Special Supplement 1985-90, Bank projection Sierra Leone Dec 85 3516 F Bank projection from census, Based on 1974 census U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) adjusted for 5X urdercount Singapore Jun 80 2414 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 assessment Solomon Islands Feb 76 197 F USBOC 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 USBOC 1985 Somalia Feb 75 3253 F Bank projection from census, Bank est. Bank est. adjusted for 20X undercount South Africa may 80 25017 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.) Spain Mar 81 37746 F Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Sri Lanka Mar 81 14847 F UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) 1987 DNS Based on UNPVSR 4/87 St. Helena Feb 87 6 F UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.) -- -- St. Kitts may 80 44 F Official est., Statistics Based on official data, Based on official data, and Nevis Office. Plaming Unit Statistics office. Statistics Office, Plamning Unit Planning Unit St. Lucia May 80 115 F Bank projection from Based on official data, Based on official data, official 1984 est. Goverrwnent Statistical Government Statistical office Office St. Pierre and Mar 82 6 F UIPVSR 1/88 (official est.) -- Niquelon St. Vincent may 80 98 F Bank projection from 1980-85, Bank sector report; 1980-85, Bank sector report; official 1983 est. 1985-90, Bank projection 1985-90, Bank projection Sudan Feb 83 20564 F Bank projection from census Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment Surinane Jul 80 352 F Official est.. Central Bureau Based on official CBR Based on official CDR of Civil Affairs Swaziland Aug 86 676 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Sweden Sep 80 8320 J UIPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Switzerland Dec 80 6366 J Bank projection from official Based on INED 10/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 1984 est., WNPVSR 7/86 Syrian Arab Rep. Sep 81 905! F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment Taiwan, China Dec 80 17969 F Bank projection from census Based on USB0C 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 Tanzania Aug 78 17513 F Bank projection from census Bank est. Bank est. 24 Country, Last aublished census economy or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality territory Oate (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90. unless indicated) (1985-90, unless indicated) Thailand Apr 80 44825 F OfficiaL est., National Official est., National Official est., NationaL Economic and Social Economic and Social Economic and Social Development Board Development Board Development Board Togo Nov 81 2705 F Bank projection from census Bank assessment of 1961 U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) and 1971 censuses Tokelau Oct 82 2 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) -- -- Tonga Nov 76 90 J UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Bank est. Bank est. Trinidad and may 80 1080 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on 1987 DNS 1980-85, U.N. 1984 Tobago assessment; 1985-90, Bank projection Tunisia Mar 84 6966 F Bank projection from census Bank est. Based on U.N. 1984 assessment Turkey Oct 85 50664 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on U.N. 1984 assessment assessment Turks and Caicos May 80 7 F UNPVSR 1/88 assessment Islands Tuvalu may 79 7 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Bank est. Bank est. Uganma Jan 80 12637 F Official est. U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Bank est. United Arab Dec 80 1043 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1988 revision Based on U.N. 1984 Emirates (prelim.) assessment United Kingdom Apr 81 55678 F Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 Eurostat 1987 United States Apr 80 226546 F UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.) Based on 1981-84 TFR, USBOC Based on UNPVSR 4/87 of America 1985, and 1985 CBR, UNPVSR 4/87 Uruguay Oct 85 2931 F Bank projection from 1980-85, Celade printout 1980-85, Celade printout official 1986 est. 2/87; 1985-90. Bank 2/87; 1985-90, Bank projection projection U.S.S.R. Jan 79 262436 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on INED 10/87 Based on official 1984-85 Life table Vanuatu Jan 79 111 F USBOC 1985 Bank est. Bank est. Venezuela Oct 81 14517 F Official est. 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision 1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank (prelim.); 1985-90, Bank projection projection Viet Nam Oct 79 52742 F Bank projection from census, Bank est. Bank est. adjusted for 0.96X undercount Virgin Islands Apr 8D 97 J USBOC 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 Based on USBOC 1985 (U.S.) Wake island Apr 70 2 F UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Bank est. Bank est, Wallis and Mar 69 9 F USBOC 1985 -- Futune Western Sahara Dec 70 76 F UNPVSR 4/87 -- Western Samoa Nov 81 156 F U.N. 1984 assessment Based on USBOC 1985 USBOC 1985 Yemen Arab Rep. Feb 86 9274 F Bank proje_tion from Bank assessment of World Bank assessment of World 6/80 census Fertility Survey Fertility Survey 25 Cowntry, Last ebltished census econmv. or Population Source for population Source for fertility Source for mortality territory Date (1000) * (mid-1985) (1985-90, unless indicated) (1985-90, untless indicated) Yomnm People's May 73 1590 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Based on U.N. 1984 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Dem. Rep. of assessment Yupolavia mar 81 22425 J UNPVSR 7/86 (officlal est.) Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Based on UNPVSR 4/87 Zaire Jul 84 29671 F U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) Zwbia Sep 80 5680 F Bank projection from census 1980-85 Bank sector report; 1975-80, Bank sector report; 1985-90, Bank projection 1985-90, Bank projection Zirbeb.e Aug 82 7550 F Bank projection from census Bank est. based on official U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.) contraceptive prevalence rate of 26X Notes: When a source for an estimate is directly cited (e.g., UNPVSR 4/87), the estimte is taken as is from that publication. When an estimate is "based on" a source. the estimate is not reported in but derived using data in that ptAlication. When a source is given for a fertility or mortality estimate prior to 1985-90, the source for the corresponding 1985-90 estimate is a projection using the earlier estimate. Citations for the main docunents referred to here (usualty by abbreviations) are in the list of references. * Mature of population estimate: F a de facto; J * de jure. No census, or no fertility or mortality estimates and no projections made (the latter for small countries). a Census was for entire peninsula. b 55 peopLe. CBR Crude birth rate. CDR Crude death rate. Celade Centro Latino Americano de Demograffa (1987). DNS Demographic and Health Survey. INED Institut National d'itudes Demographiques (onnier 1987). TFR Total fertility rate. UNPVSR United Nations Population and Vital Statistics Report. USSOC United States, Bureau of the Census (1985). 26 References Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia (Celade). 1987. "Population projections.' Computer printouts. Santiago, Chile. Coale, Ansley J., and Paul Demeny (with Barbara Vaughn). 1983. Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations. 2nd ed. New York: Academic Press. Eurostat. 1987. Demogranhic Statistics. Luxembourg: Statistical Office of the European Communities. Monnier, Alain. 1987. "La conjoncture demographique: L'Europe et les pays developpes d'outre-mer," PoRulation 42(4-5):719-736. Unesco. 1977. Statistics of Educational Attainment and Literacy. 1945- 1974. Statistical Reports and Studies, no. 22. Paris: Unesco. United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1984. PoRulation and Vital Statistics ReRort: 1984 SRecial Suunolement. New York: United Nations. United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1986. World Population Prospects: Estimates and Proiections as Assessed in 1984. New York: United Nations. United Nations. DepDrtment of International Economic and Social Affairs. Forthcoming. World PoRulation Prospects: 1988. New York: United Nations. United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years. PoRulation and Vital Statistics ReRort. New York: United Nations. United States, Bureau of the Census. 1985. World Ponulation: Recent Demogranhic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World. Washington, D.C.: U. S. Government Printing Office. World Bank. 1988. World Development Report. New York: Oxford University Press. Zachariah, K. C., and My T. Vu. 1988. World Ponulation Projections: 1987-88 Edition. Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press. 27 Table 4. Population nd Percentage Distributfon by World Bank Region and Country Department, 1985-2100 Population (millions) Percentage of world population Region and cowtry department 1965 1900 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985 1990 2000 2025 2050 2100 World total 4,843 5,282 6,205 8,262 9,639 10,560 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Borrowers and non-borrowers Sub-Saharan Africa 457 535 724 1,287 1,774 2,168 9.4 10.1 11.7 15.6 18.4 20.5 Asia mnd Oceania 2,573 2,803 3.272 4,185 4,713 4,997 53.1 53.1 52.7 50.7 48.9 47.3 Europe, Middle East, and Worth Africa 1,147 1,224 1,383 1,750 2.003 2,190 23.7 23.2 22.3 21.2 20.8 20.7 America 667 721 825 1,040 1,150 1,205 13.8 13.7 13.3 12.6 11.9 11.4 Borroiers only Africa Region 415 487 664 1,195 1,658 2,035 8.6 9.2 10.7 14.5 17.2 19.3 t OceIdental and Central 40 47 64 113 155 187 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 Eastem 106 124 169 303 422 520 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.7 4.4 4.9 3 South-Central and Indian Ocean 52 61 83 149 205 251 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.4 4 Westem 119 141 194 351 486 593 2.5 2.7 3.1 4.2 5.0 5.6 5 Sahelian 36 41 55 98 138 173 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 6 Southern 62 73 1oo 181 253 310 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.9 Asia Region 2,382 2,603 3,056 3,948 4,473 4,756 49.2 49.3 49.3 47.8 46.4 45.0 1 Other South 134 151 190 291 367 423 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.0 2 Southeast 274 304 367 500 581 626 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.0 5.9 3 China 1,040 1,117 1,279 1,544 1.648 1,695 21.5 21.1 20.6 18.7 17.1 16.1 4 India 765 844 1.002 1.323 1,542 1,655 15.8 16.0 16.1 16.0 16.0 15.7 5 IrdonesIa ard Pacific 168 184 218 290 335 358 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 Elt Region 476 536 667 997 1,249 1,425 9.8 10.1 10.7 12.1 13.0 13.5 1 Pakistan and Turkey 147 169 217 343 443 519 3.0 3.2 3.5 4.2 4.6 4.9 2 North Africa 55 63 81 123 154 172 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 3 Middle East 170 197 258 411 530 609 3.5 3.7 4.2 5.0 5.5 5.8 4 Europe 105 107 112 120 122 125 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.2 LAC Region 388 430 517 706 821 879 8.0 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.3 1 Brazil 136 150 180 242 278 287 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2 Central America 104 116 143 205 244 263 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 3 Carfbbean and Other 70 78 95 130 151 159 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 4 Temperate and Tropical 78 85 100 130 148 158 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Table 14. 28 Table 5. Awwal Population Increase and Growth Rate by World Bank Region and Country Department, 1985-2100 Arrual population increase (millions) Annual growth rate (percent) Region and comtry department L985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100 World total 87.6 90.6 74.4 40.5 6.9 1.73 1.46 0.90 0.42 0.07 Borrowers nd non-borrowers Subr-Sharan Africa 15.7 20.8 22.5 16.9 2.2 3.17 2.87 1.75 0.95 0.10 Asia and Oceania 46.0 44.2 31.4 13.2 3.0 1.71 1.35 0.75 0.28 0.06 Europe, Middle East, and North Africa 15.3 15.8 13.0 8.0 1.3 1.29 1.14 0.74 0.40 0.06 America 10.8 10.0 6.9 2.6 0.7 1.55 1.21 0.66 0.23 0.06 Borrowers only Africa Region 14.5 19.5 21.5 16.1 2.0 3.22 2.94 1.80 0.97 0.10 I Occidental and Central 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.5 0.2 3.31 2.91 1.69 0.94 0.10 2 Eastern 3.7 4.9 5.5 4.1 0.5 3.19 2.92 1.80 0.98 0.10 3 South-Central and Indian Ocean 1.8 2.4 2.7 2.0 0.2 3.12 2.8B 1.79 0.97 0.09 4 Western 4.4 5.8 6.3 4.7 0.6 3.36 3.01 1.80 0.97 0.10 5 Sahelian 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.4 0.2 2.75 2.75 1.83 1.00 0.12 6 Southern 2.2 3.0 3.3 2.5 0.3 3.32 2.99 1.82 0.98 0.09 Asia Region 44.4 42.5 31.2 13.4 2.9 1.78 1.39 0.79 0.30 0.06 1 Other South 3.4 4.1 3.6 2.4 0.4 2.38 2.14 1.25 0.66 0.09 2 Southeast 6.0 6.1 4.6 2.1 0.6 2.08 1.67 0.92 0.36 0.09 3 China 15.4 14.1 8.6 2.0 0.0 1.43 1.10 0.56 0.12 0.00 4 India 16.2 14.9 11.6 5.9 1.5 2.01 1.49 0.88 0.38 0.09 5 Indoeesia and Pacific 3.2 3.4 2.5 1.1 0.3 1.83 1.54 0.87 0.32 0.09 EMN Region 11.9 13.5 12.1 7.7 1.3 2.36 2.03 1.21 0.62 0.09 1 Pakistan and Turkey 4.5 4.8 4.9 3.4 0.4 2.84 2.23 1.42 0.76 0.08 2 North Africa 1.6 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.2 2.66 2.29 1.22 0.57 0.10 3 Middle East 5.4 6.4 5.5 3.7 0.6 2.94 2.47 1.34 0.70 0.10 4 Europe 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.49 0.42 0.15 0.04 0.03 LAC Region 8.5 8.6 6.6 2.8 0.7 2.07 1.66 0.93 0.34 0.08 1 Brazil 2.9 2.9 2.1 0.9 0.3 2.05 1.61 0.87 0.33 0.12 2 Central America 2.5 2.8 2.2 1.0 0.2 2.26 1.93 1.06 0.39 0.08 3 Carifoem and Other 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.14 1.65 0.94 0.33 0.04 4 Tesperate and Tropical 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.79 1.38 0.79 0.32 0.06 Note: World Bank regions and country deprtments are defined in Table 14. 29 Table 6. Oemographic Trends In World Bank Regions and Country Departments Population (millfons) Stationary Year population when Region and as X of popula- Year country Station- 1985 tion when department 1985 2100 ary population doubles NRR=1 World total 4,843 10,560 10,837 224 2052 2045 Borrowers and non-borrowers Sub-Saharan Africa 457 2,168 2,264 474 2009 2045 Asia and Oceania 2,573 4,997 5.115 199 (a) 2035 Europe, ddtWle East, and North Africa 1,147 2,190 2,233 203 2160 2045 America 667 1.205 1,224 184 (a) 2030 Borrowers only Africa Region 415 2.035 2,125 513 2008 2040 ' Occidental and Central 40 187 195 496 2008 2040 2 Eastern 106 520 544 515 2008 2040 3 South-Central and Indian ocean 52 251 262 500 2009 2040 4 Western 119 593 619 519 2007 2040 5 Sahelian 36 173 182 504 2011 2040 6 Southern 62 310 323 525 2008 2040 Asia Region 2,382 4,756 4,843 203 2107 2035 1Other South 134 423 439 327 2019 2035 2Southeast 274 626 641 235 2036 2035 3 Chins 1,040 1,695 1,695 163 (a) 2000 4 India 765 1,655 1,698 222 2048 2010 5 Indonesia and Pacific 168 358 370 c 220 2052 2035 ENU Region 476 1,425 1,466 308 2022 2045 1 Pakistan and Turkey 147 519 535 365 2016 2045 2 North Africa 55 172 177 322 2016 2025 3 Middle East 170 609 629 370 2013 2040 4Eurpe 105 125 125 120 (a) 2020 LAC Region 388 879 898 232 2038 2025 1 Brazil 136 287 306 Q. 226 2044 2015 2 Central America 104 263 267 258 2027 2025 3 Caribbean and Other 70 159 165 234 2035 2030 4 Tuperate and Tropical 78 158 160 205 2087 2015 Note: world Bank regions and country departments are defined in Table 14. (a) Population will not double with projected rates. Tablfoe7. Estimated Fertility and Mortality Rates by World Bank Region and Country Department, 1985-2025 0 1985-90 2000 2025 Region and country departmnt CBR CDR TFR NRR e0 INR CUR CDR TFR NRR eO INR CBR CDR TFR NRR d OlE World total 27.1 9.8 3.435 1.450 64.6 67 23.2 8.6 2.964 1.300 67.3 51 17.3 8.3 2.266 1.059 71.9 28 Borrowers and non-borrowers Sub-Saharan Africa 47.0 15.3 6.497 2.396 51.5 105 40.0 11.2 5.489 2.196 57.1 80 24.1 6.5 2.747 1.251 66.8 42 Asia and Oceania 26.1 8.9 3.232 1.367 64.0 64 21.5 7.9 2.617 1.157 67.3- 47 16.0 8.5 2.149 1.008 72.2 25 Europe, Middle East, and North Africa 23.5 10.7 3.116 1.365 68.1 60 21.0 9.6 2.900 1.304 69.7 47 16.5 9.2 2.246 1.052 72.9 27 America 23.2 7.9 2.827 1.315 70.1 44 19.3 7.3 2.462 1.164 72.2 34 15.1 8.5 2.084 1.000 75.1 21 Borrowers only Africa Region 48.0 15.7 6.669 2.442 50.9 106 40.8 11.5 5.649 2.249 56.6 81 24.4 6.5 2.776 1.263 66.7 42 1 Occidental and Central 47.3 15.4 6.586 2.453 52.0 103 40.0 11.3 5.644 2.279 57.5 77 23.2 6.4 2.618 1.200 67.5 40 2 Easterm 48.3 16.1 6.736 2.435 50.1 108 41.1 11.9 5.698 2.240 55.6 84 24.7 6.8 2.820 1.270 65.9 45 3 South-Central and Indian Ocean 46.1 14.8 6.407 2.394 52.0 101 39.5 10.8 5.443 2.203 57.8 77 24.0 6.2 2.759 1.271 67.7 38 4 Westerm 48.9 15.3 6.806 2.513 51.2 104 41.0 11.0 5.676 2.280 57.2 78 24.2 6.2 2.734 1.252 67.1 40 5 Sahetian 47.3 18.8 6.477 2.217 46.8 127 42.3 14.3 5.875 2.198 52.3 99 26.2 7.9 3.031 1.326 63.1 55 6 Southern 48.0 14.8 6.689 2.482 52.2 99 40.6 10.7 5.700 2.254 57.9 76 24.3 6.1 2.764 1.271 67.7 39 Asia Region 26.9 9.1 3.323 1.392 63.0 66 21.9 8.0 2.653 1.168 66.6 49 16.2 8.3 2.155 1.008 71.9 25 1 Other South 38.4 14.3 5.194 1.867 52.4 114 32.6 11.1 4.065 1.598 56.9 90 20.2 7.7 2.432 1.087 65.9 47 2 Southeast 29.0 7.8 3.598 1.566 64.2 56 23.5 6.7 2.826 1.290 67.9 40 16.6 7.4 2.123 1.008 72.5 22 3 China 21.1 6.7 2.400 1.090 69.5 33 17.9 6.9 2.161 1.001 72.0 25 14.5 8.9 2.099 1.000 75.2 15 4 India 31.6 11.4 4.261 1.677 57.1 84 24.0 9.1 2.958 1.256 62.0 62 17.0 8.2 2.159 1.000 69.5 31 5 Indonesia and Pacific 29.0 10.7 3.637 1.475 57.3 84 23.9 8.5 2.760 1.200 63.0 58 16.7 8.1 2.145 1.C02 69.8 30 EMN Region 34.7 11.1 4.747 1.947 60.9 83 29.0 8.8 3.866 1.659 64.4 62 19.3 7.3 2.362 1.087 70.1 34 1 Pakistan and Turkey 41.0 12.3 5.559 2.1?8 56.3 96 31.7 9.3 4.232 1.738 60.5 75 21.1 6.9 2.553 1.166 68.1 39 2 North Africa 35.7 9.1 5.056 2.121 61.7 72 29.7 6.8 3.740 1.678 66.0 46 18.1 5.9 2.114 1.016 72.0 23 3 Middle East 40.4 11.3 5.740 2.287 58.4 87 32.9 8.4 4.429 1.887 63.1 65 20.0 6.6 2.337 1.066 69.5 38 4 Europe 15.0 10.0 2.040 0.964 71.6 25 14.3 10.2 1.993 0.945 73.6 18 13.1 11.6 2.074 0.994 75.9 12 LAC Region 28.7 7.2 3.602 1.618 66.4 56 23.1 6.2 2.762 1.285 69.6 42 16.4 7.2 2.102 1.005 73.5 25 1 Brazil 28.0 7.5 3.415 1.531 65.3 63 22.6 6.5 2.730 1.270 68.8 48 16.3 7.6 2.090 1.000 73.1 28 2 Central Aerica 30.4 6.0 3.909 1.786 67.6 49 25.0 5.1 2.863 1.343 70.7 35 16.7 6.1 2.093 1.004 74.0 22 3 Ctribbean nd Other 30.2 7.5 3.725 1.623 65.3 60 23.4 6.5 2.795 1.275 68.5 42 16.7 7.3 2.149 1.021 72.6 26 4 Teoperate nd Tropical 26.2 8.2 3.416 1.559 67.7 51 21.1 7.2 2.633 1.231 70.5 35 15.9 7.9 2.090 1.000 73.9 18 Note: Crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (CDR) are per 1,000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) and net reprodction rates (NRR) are per woman 15-49 years of age; life expectanry at birth, E(O), is given in years; and infant mortality rates (INR) are per 1,000 live births. (See definitions in WorLd Bank 1968.) World Bank regions and country deportmnnts are defined in Table 14. 32 Table 8. Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region nd Income Group, 1985 2100 Population (mililons) Percentage of world populatlon Region 1985 1990 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985 1990 2000 2025 2050 2100 World 4,843 5,282 6,205 8,262 9,639 10,560 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Less developed (a) 3,665 4,069 4,938 6,925 8,311 9,226 75.7 77.0 79.6 83.8 86.2 87.4 more devoloped (a) 1,179 1,213 1,267 1,337 1,328 1,332 24.3 23.0 20.4 16.2 13.8 12.6 Africa 560 652 872 1,508 2,046 2,469 11.6 12.3 14.1 18.3 21.2 23.4 East Africa 231 270 365 644 885 1,078 4.8 5.1 5.9 7.8 9.2 10.2 West Africa 204 239 326 585 810 994 4.2 4.5 5.3 7.1 8.4 9.4 North Africa 125 143 181 279 356 404 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.8 America 667 721 825 1,040 1,150 1,205 13.8 13.7 13.3 12.6 11.9 11.4 Latin America and Caribbean 399 442 530 721 835 894 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.7 8.7 8.5 Northern America 268 279 295 320 315 311 5.5 5.3 4.8 3.9 3.3 2.9 Asia 2,821 3,093 3,657 4,815 5,540 5,967 58.2 58.6 58.9 58.3 57.5 56.5 East and Southeast Asia 1,648 1,779 2,050 2,535 2,765 2,879 34.0 33.7 33.0 30.7 28.7 27.3 South Asia 1,058 1,182 1,437 2,021 2,449 2.722 21.8 22.4 23.2 24.5 25.4 25.8 Southwest Asia 115 132 170 259 325 367 2.4 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.5 Europe and U.S.S.R. 771 789 821 864 865 879 15.9 14.9 13.2 10.5 9.0 8.3 Oceania 24 26 29 35 38 40 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 Incoem groip (b) Low 2,447 2,703 3,250 4,481 5,341 5,927 50.5 51.2 52.4 54.2 55.4 56.1 Lower-middle 680 766 953 1,411 1,749 1,959 14.0 14.5 15.4 17.1 18.1 18.6 Upper-middle 592 649 769 1,031 1,194 1,287 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.4 12.2 High (oit exporters) 19 23 32 54 70 80 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 IrdLstrfal mrket 741 760 787 807 774 754 15.3 14.4 12.7 9.8 8.0 7.1 Nonreporting nomnwber 364 381 414 478 517 552 7.5 7.2 6.7 5.8 5.4 5.2 (a) "wore developed" cmprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Morthern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, ard Japan. "Loss devoaped cowripses the rest of the world. (b) Criteria for incoe groups are given in World Bank 1988. See listing in Table 15 of this paper. 33 Table 9. AnnumA Population Increrse and Growth Note by GOgraphic Region and Income Group, 1985-2100 Anail population increase (illions) Anual growth rate (percent) Region 1985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100 Wortd 87.6 90.6 74.4 40.S 6.9 1.73 1.46 0.90 0.42 0.07 Less developed (a) 80.8 86.4 72.7 40.7 6.9 2.09 1.75 1.05 0.49 0.08 More developed (a) 6.8 4.6 1.2 -0.5 0.1 0.57 0.36 0.09 -0.04 0.01 AfrIca 18.5 23.9 25.0 18.4 2.3 3.06 2.74 1.66 0.90 0.10 East Africa 7.9 10.3 11.2 8.2 1.0 9 3.15 2.83 1.74 0.93 0.10 West Africa 7.1 9.6 10.4 7.9 1.0 ! 3.22 2.93 1.78 0.97 0.10 North Africa 3.6 4.1 3.5 2.3 0.4 2.66 2.24 1.27 0.64 0.09 America 10.8 10.0 6.8 2.6 0.7 1.55 1.21 0.66 0.23 0.06 Latin America and Caribbean 8.6 8.7 6.6 2.8 0.7 2.04 1.64 0.91 0.34 0.08 Northern America 2.2 1.3 0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.80 0.45 0.11 -0.07 0.00 Asia S4.4 53.8 40.4 19.4 3.6 1.84 1.47 0.84 0.35 0.06 East and Southeast Asia 26.0 26.4 17.0 5.0 1.4 1.52 1.29 0.67 0.18 0.05 South Asia 24.9 25.1 21.4 11.9 2.4 2.22 1.75 1.06 0.49 0.09 Southwest Asia 3.4 3.8 3.3 2.0 0.3 2.73 2.26 1.26 0.62 0.09 Europe and U.S.S.R. 3.7 2.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.48 0.33 0.11 0.00 0.00 Oceania 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.41 0.98 0.51 0.17 0.04 Income group (b) Low 51.2 53.6 45.7 25.6 4.7 1.99 1.65 1.02 0.48 0.08 Lower-middle 17.2 19.3 16.9 10.0 1.8 2.38 2.03 1.20 0.57 0.09 Upper-middle 11.4 11.8 8.9 4.4 1.0 1.84 1.54 0.86 0.37 0.08 High (oil exporters) 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.1 3.27 2.94 1.35 0.76 0.09 Industrial market 3.6 2.0 -0.4 -1.4 0.0 0.48 0.26 -0.05 -0.18 0.00 Nonreporting nose'ober 3.5 3.1 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.93 0.74 0.46 0.24 0.05 (a) 'More developed" coqprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed& comprises the rest of the world. (b) Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1988. See listing In Table 15 of this paper. Tabte 10. Estimated Fertility and Mortality Rates by Geographic Region ard tncome Grasp, 1985-90, 2000. and 2025 1985-90 2000 2025 Region or income group CBR COR TFR MRR eO INR CBR CMR TFR OR e0 IUR CBR COR TfR SOR de 1 world 27.1 9.8 3.435 1.450 64.6 67 23.2 8.6 2.964 1.300 67.3 51 17.3 8.3 2.266 1.059 71.9 28 Less dweeloped (a) 30.9 9.8 3.924 1.608 61.5 74 25.8 8.3 3.199 1.379 65.1 56 18.2 7.6 2.300 1.070 70.8 30 More developed (a) 14.8 9.6 1.919 0.931 74.3 19 13.3 9.9 1.924 0.923 75.5 14 12.6 11.1 2.046 0.968 7 .3 10 Africa 44.8 14.2 6.178 2.323 53.3 100 38.0 10.5 5.136 2.090 58.7 75 23.1 6.5 2.659 1.217 67.6 40 East Africa 46.1 14.5 6.326 2.373 52.7 99 39.0 10.6 5.292 2.146 58.2 76 23.7 6.4 2.721 1.247 67.5 40 West Africa 48.3 16.2 6.684 2.431 50.3 110 41.1 11.8 5.713 2.259 56.1 83 24.4 6.7 2.715 1.257 66.2 44 North Africa 37.1 10.5 5.150 2.100 59.4 78 30.3 7.9 3.960 1.720 64.2 55 19.0 6.3 2.270 1.065 70.8 28 America 23.2 7.9 2.827 1.315 70.1 44 19.3 7.3 2.462 1.164 72.2 34 15.1 8.5 2.084 1.000 75.1 21 Latin America aid Caribbean 25.4 7.2 3.550 1.598 66.6 56 22.9 6.3 2.738 1.275 69.8 42 16.3 7.2 2.100 1.004 73.5 25 Northern Aerica 15.2 8.8 1.866 0.899 75.5 12 12.9 9.1 1.880 0.908 76.5 10 12.3 11.3 2.037 0.987 78.6 7 Asia 27.7 9.2 3.471 1.453 63.2 68 22.8 8.1 2.810 1.228 66.6 51 16.7 8.2 2.199 1.026 71.7 27 East ard Southeast Asia 22.6 7.3 2.673 1.205 68.0 43 19.2 7.1 2.333 1.073 70.8 31 15.0 8.7 2.105 1.001 74.3 18 South Asia 34.6 12.2 4.704 1.803 55.8 94 27.2 9.6 3.376 1.411 60.5 72 18.5 7.8 2.298 1.050 68.4 37 Southwest Asia 36.0 8.7 4.998 2.143 63.4 63 29.4 6.9 3.797 1.720 67.1 47 18.7 6.3 2.228 1.046 71.9 27 Europe and U.S.S.R. 15.0 10.3 1.975 0.951 73.2 22 13.6 10.4 1.958 0.936 74.6 17 12.9 11.8 2.052 0.989 76.5 12 Oceania 19.9 8.1 2.517 1.139 72.0 39 17.9 8.3 2.398 1.115 73.3 30 14.5 9.4 2.118 1.010 75.9 16 Incoame grtcp (b) Low 30.3 10.3 3.421 1.540 61.1 78 25.3 8.8 3^149 1.334 64.6 61 18.2 8.0 2.537 1.080 70.4 32 Lower-middle 34.3 10.2 4.437 1.811 59.6 77 28.4 8.0 3.491 1.517 64.2 56 18.9 6.9 2.200 1.078 70.5 30 Uprr-middle 26.5 7.8 3.355 1.523 67.5 45 22.4 6.9 2.810 1.308 70.2 33 16.2 7.6 2.109 1.008 73.B 18 High (oil exporters) 39.8 7.1 6.604 2.891 64.2 54 33.9 5.7 S.096 2.325 67.8 39 19.2 5.7 2.179 1.038 72.6 21 Industrial mrket 13.3 9.3 1.723 0.841 76.3 12 12.1 9.8 1.774 0.856 77.2 9 11.9 12.4 2.026 0.981 78.7 7 lonreporting nonm.mer 19.5 10.1 2.503 1.168 69.9 38 17.1 9.7 2.386 1.121 71.7 31 14.9 10.4 2.133 1.018 74.3 19 Note: Crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (CDR) are per 1,000 popjlation; total fertility rates (TFR) and net reproduction rates (MRR) are per wan 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, ECO), is given in years; and infant ortality rates (INR) are per 1,000 live births. (a) More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R.. Northern America (United States end Canada), ALustralia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less devetoped" comprises the rest of the world. (b) Criteria for income gra4qs are given in World Bank 1988. See listing in Table 15 of this paper. 35 Table 11. Population Projections for Alt Countries or Economies, 1985-2025 (thousands) Country or econony 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 frica 559, 3 652,164 756,939 872,085 995,825 1,124,517 1,252,230 1,380,274 1,507,611 Botswana 1,070 1,267 1,502 1,746 2,000 2,262 2,523 2,7M 2,997 Burundi 4,696 5,435 6,321 7,374 8,491 9,666 10,855 12,041 13,246 Comoros 395 474 565 665 773 883 994 1,106 1,215 Djibouti 350 405 473 550 637 733 835 940 1,046 Ethiopia 42,271 49,114 56,748 65,117 74,105 83,576 93,259 103,020 112,9,1 Kenya 20,353 24,972 30,398 36,599 43,424 50,413 57,340 64,336 71,074 Lesotho 1,545 1,765 2,024 2,302 2,600 2,903 3,209 3,522 3,822 Madagascar 10,212 11,991 14,034 16,331 18,868 21,561 24,223 26,966 29,688 Malawi 7,141 8,443 10,002 11,719 13,595 15,619 17,690 19,777 21,934 Mauritius 1,020 1,082 1,147 1,212 1,281 1,345 1,403 1,456 1,501 Mozaffbique 13,791 15,878 18,430 21,503 24,829 28,338 31,971 35,561 39,321 Namibia 1,143 1,342 1,561 1,800 2,059 2,333 2,607 2,891 3,172 R6union 546 594 644 690 729 764 797 828 855 Rwanda 6,026 7,156 8,634 10,248 12,022 13,940 15,937 17,979 20,111 Seychelles 65 68 72 76 80 84 88 93 98 Soimiaf 5,384 6,239 7,280 8,464 9,796 11,248 12,768 14,245 15,772 South Africa 31,593 35,862 40,223 44,653 49,119 53,557 57,7 61,580 65,199 Swaziland 665 791 923 1,067 1,225 1,396 1,572 1,750 1,920 Tanzania 22,242 26,577 31,545 37,056 43,095 49,498 55,797 62,381 69,038 Uganda 14,680 17,240 20,151 23,452 27,149 31,142 35,244 39,399 43,666 Zaire 30,712 35,789 41,459 47,715 54,497 61,615 68,657 75,965 83,184 Zambia 6,704 8,002 9,485 11,127 12,922 14,819 16,693 18,655 20,606 Zinbabwe 8,406 9,949 11,565 13,243 15,001 16,812 18,606 20,288 21,786 East Africa totaL 231,010 270,435 315,186 364,709 418,297 474,507 530,845 587,552 644,242 Angola 8,754 10,014 11,556 13,264 15,114 17,078 19,097 21,040 23,031 Benin 4,043 4,758 5,641 6,636 7,716 8,866 10,033 11,199 12,391 Burkina Faso 7,881 9,055 10,498 12,124 13,924 15,892 17,963 19,993 22,091 Cameroon 10,191 12,146 14,299 16,702 19,352 22,119 24,874 ?7,653 30,326 Cape Verde 327 369 421 477 541 604 667 730 788 CeD rat African Rep. 2,583 2,963 3,420 3,942 4,489 5,056 5,627 6,204 6,799 CheJ 5,018 5,672 6,414 7,251 8,155 9,116 10,101 11,057 12,038 Congo, People's Rep. of the 1,884 2,255 2,686 3,182 3,715 4,276 4,819 5,376 5,919 CMte d'lvoire 10,252 12,428 14,827 17,393 20,082 22,757 25,360 28,017 30,559 Equatorial Guinea 373 417 473 534 598 665 735 804 876 Gabon 997 1,135 1,309 1,496 1,690 1,896 2,114 2,338 2,564 Gambia, The 748 874 1,006 1,142 1,282 1,429 1,576 1,721 1,867 Ghana 12,737 14,974 17,506 20,291 23,266 26,290 29,309 32,328 35,215 Guinea 6,166 6,937 7,829 8 794 9,832 10,937 12,072 13,173 14,304 Quinea-Biss u 896 981 1,097 1,226 1,365 1,512 1,664 1,815 1,964 Liberia 2,178 2,565 2,999 3,479 4,010 4,576 5,137 5,721 6,301 Mali 7,389 8,374 9,610 11,030 12,631 14,399 16,294 18,170 20,134 Mauritania 1,764 2,012 2,315 2,675 3,079 3,514 3,969 4,417 4,882 Niger 6,391 7,447 8,727 10,164 11,757 13,493 15,304 17,053 18,861 Nigeria 99,669 118,271 139,600 163,507 189,424 216,518 242,920 270,343 297,915 36 Table 11 (continued) Country or economy 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Sio Ton and Principe 108 124 140 157 173 190 207 221 235 Senegal 6,567 7,601 8,826 10,168 11,596 13,054 14,453 15,894 17,336 Sierra Leone 3,657 4,139 4,713 5,338 6,020 6,758 7,538 8,319 9,088 Togo 3,038 3,606 4,251 4,962 5,738 6,558 7,373 8,226 9,073 Other West Africa (a) 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 West Africa total 203,608 239,124 280,171 325,942 375,558 427,562 479,216 531,822 584,568 Algeria 21,718 25,290 29,215 33,388 37,731 42,172 46,541 50,646 54.340 Egypt, Arab Rep. of 48,503 54,780 61,022 67,333 73,881 80,408 86,594 92,101 97,271 Libya 3,764 4,538 5,447 6,410 7,391 8,309 9,241 10,149 10,978 Morocco 21,941 24,542 27,457 30,489 33,491 36,319 38,966 41,389 43,747 Sudan 21,931 25,268 29,287 33,685 38,409 43,303 48,092 53,091 58,143 Tunisia 7,143 8,008 8,947 9,890 10,793 11,627 12,388 13,141 13,902 Other North Africa (a) 155 179 207 239 274 310 347 383 420 North Africa total 125,155 142,605 161,582 181,434 201,97U 222,448 242,169 260,900 278,801 America 666,926 720,623 774,334 825,459 873,797 919,493 962,711 1,003,424 1,040,364 Antigua and Barbuda 80 86 93 99 105 112 117 121 125 Argentina 30,564 32,686 34,586 36,335 37,949 39,568 41,209 42,749 44,118 Bahamas 231 257 284 310 332 352 371 389 406 Barbados 253 257 261 267 275 283 290 297 302 Belize 166 193 223 254 284 310 334 358 384 Bolivia 6,378 7,330 8,337 9,406 10,549 11,739 12,950 14,136 15,231 Brazil 135,564 150.190 165,151 179,804 193,889 207,192 219,345 230,860 241,857 Chile 12,074 12,937 13,749 14,490 15,193 15,871 16,507 17,064 17,525 Colaobia 28,418 31,171 34,147 37,003 39,628 41,961 44,252 46,498 48,610 Costa Rica 2,489 2,837 3,153 3,423 3,662 3,897 4,137 4,366 4,568 Cuba 10,090 10,500 10,943 11,379 11,771 12,088 12,351 12,570 12,747 Dominica 78 83 87 93 100 107 115 121 127 Dominican Rep. 6,420 7,180 7,961 8,731 9,469 10,169 10,821 11,461 12,081 Ecuador 9,378 10,682 12,038 13,406 14,749 16,016 17,158 18,254 19,335 El Salvador 4,781 5,269 5,802 6,384 6,993 7,603 8,178 8,763 9,365 Grenada 96 105 115 125 134 143 152 162 170 Guadeloupe 334 340 349 361 374 389 404 418 431 Guatemala 7,973 9,209 10,523 11,930 13,436 14,989 16,529 18,008 19,338 Guyana 790 831 877 929 996 1,060 1,122 1.183 1,239 Haiti 5,933 6,518 7,191 7,932 8,711 9,497 10,282 11,041 11,762 Honduras 4,382 5,156 5,984 6,835 7,689 8.526 9,323 10,046 10,747 Jamaica 2,336 2,500 2,688 2,872 3,040 3,207 3,384 3,567 3,748 Martinique 328 331 330 325 320 319 322 326 327 Mexico 78,524 87,279 96,855 106,776 116,269 124,853 132,934 140,871 14U,442 Mantserrat 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 14 15 Netherlands Antilles 190 193 200 209 218 230 240 249 257 Nicaragua 3,276 3,865 4,486 5,135 5,807 6,489 7,163 7,798 8,367 Panama 2,180 2,412 2,638 2,854 3,053 3,24S 3,432 3,608 3,765 Paraguay 3,696 4,283 4,862 5,423 5,960 6,472 6,942 7,396 7,841 37 Table 11 Ccontinued) Cowntry or econonw 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Peru 19,383 21,706 24,178 26,661 29,015 31.184 33.163 35,106 37,029 St. Kitts and Nevis 43 40 38 37 36 37 37 39 41 St. Lucia 137 152 168 186 203 218 233 249 265 St. Vincent and Grenadines 11? 128 138 149 161 172 182 193 202 Surinam. 393 440 489 535 576 614 654 694 733 Trinidad and Tobago 1,185 1,273 1,354 1,431 1,511 1,590 1,670 1,749 1,819 Uruguay 2,970 3,080 3,189 3,291 3,399 3,486 3,576 3,664 3,745 Venezuela 17,317 19,762 22,116 24,172 25,999 27,797 29,643 31,394 32,935 Virgin Islands (U.S.) 107 120 133 145 156 166 174 181 188 Other Latin America (a) 201 222 245 267 289 307 323 340 355 Latin America and the Caribbean total 398,867 441,615 485,973 529,976 572,312 612,291 650,033 686,303 720,542 Canda 25,379 26.621 27,603 28,311 28,862 29,335 29,740 30,036 30,158 United States 239.283 248,814 257,020 263,278 268,576 273,663 278,577 282,581 285,038 PuWerto Rico 3,282 3,452 3,611 3,762 3,912 4,066 4,220 4,361 4,482 Other Northern America (a) 115 121 127 132 135 138 141 143 1"4 Northern America total 268,059 279,008 288,361 295.483 301.485 307,202 312,678 317,121 319,822 Asia 2,821,424 3,093,320 3,374,995 3,650.246 3,907,143 4,143,412 4,371,074 4,594,341 4,805,976 Brunei 224 267 307 343 374 397 420 442 462 Burma 37,153 41,622 46,872 52,110 57,023 61,595 66,042 70,247 74,271 China (excluding Taiwan) 1,040,035 1,117,317 1,200,936 1,278,860 1,340,564 1,391,387 1.442,119 1,495,465 1,544,365 Taiwan, China 19,408 20,754 22,034 23,234 24,424 25,565 26,590 27,472 28,227 Hong Kong 5,337 5,707 5,988 6,197 6,362 6,510 6,650 6,774 6,864 Indonesia 163,393 178.901 195,076 211,478 227,119 241,152 254,315 267,175 279,519 Japan 120,754 123,899 126,882 129,335 131,021 131,655 131,385 130,577 129,426 Kapuchea, Dem. 7,284 8,176 9.037 9,759 10,406 11,134 11,970 12,822 13,588 Korea, Dem. PeopLe's Rep. of 20,385 22,797 25,326 27.837 30,222 32,445 34,463 36,398 38,281 Korea, Rep. of 41,055 43,771 46,624 49,373 51,854 53,982 55,831 57,525 59,050 Lao People's Dem. Rep. 3,594 4,059 4,674 5,369 6,101 6,834 7,549 8,305 9,092 Mocam 392 446 490 523 547 564 582 599 612 Malaysia 15,676 17,523 19,318 20,929 22,360 23,772 25,215 26,592 27,808 Mongolia 1,908 2,173 2,456 2,748 3,039 3,321 3,584 3,823 4,052 Philippines 55,819 62,258 68,991 75,965 82,839 89,221 94,876 100,236 105,463 Singapore 2,5S8 2,687 2,801 2,890 2,967 3,032 3,084 3,116 3,128 Thailand 51,683 56,305 60,972 65,287 69,44 73,482 77,280 80,757 83,862 Viet Nm 61,689 70,240 79,254 88,158 96,758 104,874 112,345 119,675 126,966 East and Southeast Asia total 1,648,347 1,778,902 1,914,289 2,043,354 2,157,802 2,258,958 2,352,234 2,441,913 2,525,622 Afghanistan 18,087 20,352 22,779 25,398 28,249 31,319 34,525 37,786 41,032 Bangladesh 100,592 114,040 128,923 144,820 161,178 177,563 193,738 209,465 224,356 Bhutan 1,313 1,447 1,613 1,785 1,963 2,145 2,319 2,496 2,667 India 765,147 846,056 925,500 1,001,859 1,073,725 1,137,980 1,200,46 1,262,912 1,323,317 Iran, Isltmic Rep. of 44,212 51,557 60,138 69,062 78,042 86,632 95,391 103,946 111,719 38 Table 11 (continued) Country or economy 1965 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Maldives 183 214 248 284 320 358 396 434 470 Nepal 16,625 18,721 21,224 23,943 26,788 29,656 32,417 35,247 38,092 Pakistan 96,180 112,908 131,043 149,923 168,919 189,216 210,803 232,767 253.856 Sri Lanka 15,83? 17,124 18,520 19,853 21,064 22,236 23,376 24,467 25,458 South Asfa total 1,058,176 1,182,419 1,309,988 1,436,927 1,560,248 1,677,105 1,793,432 1,909,520 2,020,967 8ahrain 417 486 556 615 661 701 739 776 815 Cyprus 665 697 725 750 774 799 823 842 857 Gaza Strip 510 586 684 807 945 1,092 1,232 1,375 1,516 Iraq 15,898 19,086 22,929 27,096 31,405 35,495 39,631 43,654 47,331 Israel 4,233 4,579 4,912 5,237 5,542 5,836 6,111 6,375 6,608 Jordan 3.506 4,144 4,826 5,531 6,239 6,925 7,566 8,145 8,709 Kuwait 1,710 2,037 2,352 2,654 2,942 3,200 3,410 3,600 3,780 Lebanon 2,668 2,650 2,778 2,964 3,156 3,339 3,539 3,751 3,964 Oman 1,242 1,511 1,772 2,030 2,298 2,572 2,850 3,114 3,354 Qatar 299 390 462 526 587 641 694 741 779 Saudi Arabia 11,508 14,015 16,935 20,046 23,191 26,115 29,051 31,875 34,419 Syrian Arab Rep. 10,458 12,545 14,741 17,027 19,382 21,768 24,052 26,093 28,060 Turkey 50,345 55,967 61,634 67,034 71,964 76,385 80,726 85,102 89,262 United Arab Emirates 1,350 1,618 1,851 2,064 2,253 2,431 2,588 2,708 2,804 Yemn Arab Rep. 7,955 9,184 10,691 12,338 14,113 15,984 17,8S4 19,800 21,757 Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. of 2,137 2,504 2,870 3.246 3,641 4,066 4,512 4,957 5,377 Southwest Asia total 114,901 131,999 150,718 169,965 189,093 207,349 225,408 242,908 259,387 Europe and U.S.S.R. 770,751 789,462 806,032 820,746 832,740 842,577 851,013 857,722 863,673 Albania 2,962 3,291 3,614 3,904 4,159 4,401 4,647 4,883 5,097 Austria 7,555 7,533 7,495 7,452 7,385 7,309 7,230 7,137 7,027 BelgiLu 9,858 9,847 9,813 9,755 9,665 9,562 9,450 9,336 9,209 Bulgaria 8,960 9,062 9,150 9,234 9,283 9,309 9,324 9,342 9,358 Charnel Islands 130 131 131 130 129 127 126 124 122 Czechoslovakia 15,500 15,710 15,966 16,289 16,591 16,857 17,081 17,268 17,407 Denmrk 5,114 5,089 5,061 5,022 4,979 4,928 4,866 4,790 4,696 Finland 4,908 5,000 5,057 5,081 5,086 5,082 5.071 5,042 4,989 France 55,170 56.269 57,345 58,357 59,081 59,646 60,122 60,539 60,821 Germsn Dem. Rep. 16,644 16,627 16,637 16,636 16,596 16,529 16,436 16,302 16,163 Germany, Fed. Rep. of 61.035 60,466 59,771 58,807 57,569 56,238 54,676 53,027 51,438 Greece 9,919 10,105 10,250 10,367 10,448 10,480 10,476 10,463 10,460 Hungary 10,649 10,583 10,539 10,518 10,485 10,427 10,345 10,249 10,146 Iceland 241 252 263 272 282 291 299 306 311 Ireland 3,552 3,689 3,834 3,978 4,140 4,302 4,452 4,585 4,698 Italy 57,141 57,550 57,814 57,894 57,653 57,139 56,461 55,716 54,987 Luxembourg 366 365 362 358 353 346 339 331 323 Malta 360 359 359 364 368 370 371 370 368 Netherlands 14,491 14,7M 14,982 15,099 15,149 15,151 15,115 15,034 14,890 Norway 4,153 4,206 4,249 4,279 4,298 4,309 4,319 4,322 4,308 Poland 37,203 38,548 39,622 40,688 41,737 42,761 43,569 44,238 44,858 39 Table 11 (continued) Country or economy 1965 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Portugat 10,157 10,271 10.408 10,548 10,677 10,775 10,846 10,901 10,948 Romnia 22,740 23,235 23,760 24,334 24,909 25,361 25,706 26,003 26,312 Cobin 38,523 39,373 40,255 41,061 41,701 42,135 42,438 42,738 43,023 ;-Ssden 8,350 8,367 8,363 8,343 8,306 8,267 8,227 8,171 8,085 ; Switzerland 6,458 6,494 6,496 6,478 6,435 6,372 6,294 6,202 6,090 United KIngdon 56,618 57,205 57,641 57,913 58,010 58,077 58,173 58,250 58,218 Yugoslavia 23,123 23,816 24,461 25,066 25,561 25,941 26,229 26,463 26,667 Other Europe (a) 253 264 275 287 297 307 317 328 335 U.S.S.R. 278,618 290,977 302,059 312,232 321,408 329,778 338,008 345,262 352,319 Oceania 24,458 26,244 27,896 29,381 30.763 32,060 33,300 34,420 35,392 Australia 15,758 16,813 17,677 18,336 18,894 19,379 19,813 20,170 20,444 FiJi 700 750 805 860 912 964 1,019 1,073 1,123 French Polynesia 17S 204 235 266 294 318 339 360 380 GUM 123 138 152 166 179 191 203 213 223 Kiribati 64 69 75 81 88 95 101 108 114 New Caledonia 150 161 172 185 198 210 221 231 241 New ZeaLand 3,254 3,354 3,450 3,548 3,639 3,715 3,790 3,855 3,907 Pacific Islands 148 164 182 202 224 246 265 283 301 Papua New Guinea 3,329 3,740 4,186 4,652 5,113 5,579 6,037 6,468 6.856 Solomon Islads 273 325 383 448 519 595 674 753 830 Tong 97 104 113 122 132 142 153 164 174 Vanuatu 131 151 174 198 225 254 285 317 347 Western Samoa 163 171 183 199 216 233 251 268 286 other Micronesia (a) 23 25 28 30 33 35 38 40 42 other Polynesia (a) 70 75 81 88 97 104 111 117 124 World total 4,843,331 5,281,816 5,743,944 6,204,958 6,645,894 7,064,022 7,472,393 7,876,265 8,262,434 Growth rate (percent) (b) 1.73 1.68 1.54 1.37 1.22 1.12 1.05 0.96 (a) For a listing of countries in the "other" categories, see Table 12. tb) Average amrL growth rate over each five-year period. The projected average arnual growth rate for 1985-2000 is 1.64 percent. The projected rate for 2000-2025 is 1.15 percent. 40 Table 12. Population of Countries and Economies in the Other" Categories Population Populatlon Countries or 1985 Countrfes or 1985 economies (thousand) econoes (thousands) Other Vest Africa Other Europe 250 St. Helen 7 Ardorra 35 Faeroe Island 46 Other North Africa Gibraltar 29 western Sahara 155 Holy See I Isle of Man 62 Other Latin America Liechtenstein 28 and the Caribbean 201 Monaco 27 Asguilta 7 San Marino 22 Arub a67 British Virgin Islands 12 Other Micronesie 23 Caymn Islands 22 Nauru a Falkland Islads 2 Tuvalu 8 Frinch Guin 83 Johnston Island 1 Turks and Caicos Islands a Mic1y Isluds - 2 Pitcalrn 0.1 Other Northern America 115 Tokelau IsLands 2 Berwuds 56 Uake Island 2 Greenland 53 St. Pierre and Niquelon 6 Other Polynesia 70 America Soa 36 Cook Islands 18 NIue 3 Watlls and Futuna Islands 13 41 Table 13. Stationary Population for All Countries or Economies Stationary population Stationary population Year Year As X of when As X of when Country or economy Miltlons 1985 pop NRRU1 Country or economy MiLlions 1985 pop NRR=1 Africa 2573 460 2045 Kali 39 522 2040 Botswam 5 441 2025 Mauritania 9 527 2040 Burundi 24 504 2035 Niger 36 570 2040 CoTOrOs 2 522 2030 Nigeria 529 530 2035 Djibouti 2 613 2045 Sao Tone and Principe 0.3 310 2020 Ethlopla 205 486 2040 Senegal 30 454 2035 Kenya 124 608 2030 Sierra Leone 18 480 2045 Lesotho 6 398 2030 Togo 16 527 2035 Madaascar 52 506 2035 Other West Africa 0.01 186 2010 Nalawi 42 590 2040 West Africa total 1038 510 2045 Nuritius 2 168 2000 M'ozmbique 74 537 2040 Algeria 81 374 2025 Namibia 5 478 2035 Egypt, Arab Rep. of 132 273 2020 Retunion 1 176 2005 Libva 17 463 2025 Rwanda 40 658 2040 Morocco 59 270 2020 Seychelles 0.1 186 2010 Sudan 101 459 2035 Somalia 30 565 2040 Tunisia 18 256 2015 South Africa 90 283 2020 Other North Africa 1 483 2035 Swailfand 3 495 2035 North Africa total 410 328 2035 Tanzania 123 555 2035 Uganda 82 561 2040 America 1224 183 2030 Zaire 142 464 2035 Antigua and Barbuda 0.1 170 2030 Zambie 37 545 2035 Argentina 52 169 2005 Zi t uie 33 394 2025 Bahmas 0.5 209 2005 East Africa total 1125 487 1045 Barbados 0.3 119 2030 Belize 1 319 2015 Angola 43 486 2040 Bolivia 24 372 2030 Benin 22 554 2035 Brazit 306 225 2015 Burkina Faso 42 532 2040 Chile 20 162 2000 Cameroon 51 503 2030 Colombia 59 209 2010 Cape Verde 1 355 2025 Costa Rica 5 216 2005 CentraL African Rep. 12 461 2035 Cuba 12 124 2030 Chad 22 431 2040 Dominica 0.2 197 2005 Corgo, People' Rep. of the 10 541 2030 Dominican Rep. 13 205 2015 Cote dlvoire 51 499 2030 Ecuador 26 274 2015 Equatorial Guinea 2 424 2040 Et Salvador 13 276 2015 Gabon 4 450 2035 Grenada 0.2 220 2010 Goabia, The 3 443 2040 Guadeloipe 0.5 143 2010 Chan 58 455 2030 GuatemLa 29 369 2025 Cuinea 26 417 2040 Guyana 2 192 2010 Guinee-Bissau 4 404 2045 Haiti 17 294 2030 Liberia 11 507 2035 NonJuros 16 355 2020 42 Table 13 (continued) Stationary population Stationary population Year Year As X of when As X of when Country or econtoy Millions 1985 pop NRR=1 Country or econamy Millions 195 pop NRR-1 Jomoica 4 189 2005 Philippines 137 246 2015 Mortinique 0.3 87 2000 Singapore 3 114 2030 Nexico 187 238 2010 Thailand 99 191 2000 Montserrat 0.02 150 2015 Viet Nun 168 273 2015 Netherlands Antilles 0.3 157 2010 East and Southeast Nicaragu 13 382 2025 Asia total 2938 178 2035 Paname 4 205 2005 Paraguay 10 281 2015 Afghanistan 76 418 2045 Peru 48 250 2015 Bangladesh 342 340 2030 St. Kitts and Nevis 0.1 128 2015 Bhutan 4 323 2035 St. Lucia 0.4 257 2015 India 1698 222 2010 St. Vincent and Grenadines 0.2 209 2010 Iran, Islamic Rep. of 169 382 2025 Surin _ 1 235 2010 Maldives 1 411 2030 Trinidd Wnd Tobago 2 182 2010 Nepal 63 377 2035 Urguauy 4 142 2000 Pakistan 423 440 2035 Virgin Islands (U.S.) 40 231 2005 Sri Lanka 30 189 2005 Venezuela 0.2 204 2005 South Asia total 2805 265 2045 Other Latin America 0.4 216 2010 Latin America and the Bahrain 1 237 2010 Caribbean total 912 229 2030 Cyprus 1 137 2005 Gaza Strip 3 517 2030 Canada 28 109 2030 Iraq 75 471 2025 United States (50 states) 279 116 2030 Israel 7 176 2005 Puerto Rico 5 148 2000 Jordan 13 357 2020 Other Northern America 0.1 130 2030 Kuwait 5 281 2015 Northern America total 311 116 2030 Lebanon 5 190 2010 Oman 5 427 2030 Asia 6118 217 2045 Qatar 1 363 2025 Brunei 1 246 2010 Saudia Arabia 54 471 2025 Surma 102 275 2020 Syrian Arab Rep. 42 401 2020 China (excl. Taiuan) 1695 163 2000 Turkey 112 222 2010 Taiwan, China 31 160 1985 United Arab Emirates 4 270 2020 Hong Kong 7 124 2030 Yemen Arab Rep. 39 491 2040 Indonesia 356 218 2010 emern, People's Dem. Rep. 9 410 2035 Japan 119 99 2030 Southwest Asia total 375 327 2040 KaTpuches. Ome. 20 277 2035 Korea, Dam. People's Rep. of 49 239 201S Europe and U.S.S.R. 881 114 2030 Korea, Rep. 65 159 1985 Albania 6 204 2005 Lao Peoplels Dun. Rep. 15 428 2035 Austria 6 80 2030 Mwaco 1 166 2005 Belgium 8 80 2030 Malaysia 33 213 2005 Bulgaria 10 107 2030 Mongolia 6 293 2020 Charnel Islends 0 80 2030 43 Table 13 (continued) Stationary population Stationary population Year Year As of Wien As X of when Cou.ntry or econwnv NiLliots 1965 pop NRR-1 Country or economy Millions 1985 pop NRR-1 Czechoslovakia 19 120 2030 Yugoslavia 27 118 2030 Denimrk 4 77 2030 Other Europe 0.4 142 2020 Finland 4 91 2030 U.S.S.R. 398 143 2020 France 58 105 2030 German Dem. Rep. 1S 93 2030 Oceania 40 165 2030 ;errany. Fed. Rep, of 40 66 2030 Australia 20 130 2030 Creece 10 102 2030 Fiji 1 193 2010 Hungary 10 92 2030 French Polynesia 0.5 284 2015 IceLand 0.3 131 2030 Guam 0.3 221 2020 Ireltnd S 144 2020 KIrabati 0.2 245 2025 Italy 46 81 2030 New Catedonia 0.3 198 2010 Luxembourg 0.3 73 2030 New Zealand 4 123 2030 Malta 0.3 96 2030 Pacific Islands 0.4 270 2015 Netherltads 13 88 2030 Papua New Guinea 10 298 2025 Norway 4 94 2030 Solomon Islands 1 529 2035 Poland 48 130 2020 Tonsa 0.2 245 2025 Portugal 11 104 2030 Vsnuatu 1 441 2035 Romnia 28 123 2030 Western Samoa 0.4 240 2015 Spain 41 106 2030 Other Nicronesia 0.1 230 2020 Sweden 7 87 2030 Other Polynesia 0.2 224 2010 Switzerland 5 79 2030 United Kingdom 56 98 2030 World total 10837 224 2045 Note: Populatiors of more than I million have been rourided to the nearest million. (a) For a listirg of countries in the "other' category, see Table 12. 44 Table 14. Countrfes and Economies Clasf lffed by Wortd Bank Reg1on nd Country Department Africa Reghin (Sub-Sdmro South-Central and Indian Ocean Southern Africa Department (AF6) Department (AF3) Botwana Occidental and Central Africa Buruwdi Lesotho Department OAFI) Conoroc Malawi Benin Djibouti Nozwbfque Cameroon Nadagascar Swaziland Central African Rep. Ruand1 Tanzania Congo, People's Rep. of the Seychelles Zambie CMte d'Ivofre ZaIre Zichab.e Equatorial Cuinea Gabon Western Africa Departsmnt (AF4) Nonborrowers Guinea Ghana Togo GuInea-Bissau Sub-Saharan Africa Liberia Angola Eastern Africa Department (AF2) Nigeria Nonibia Ethiopla Sbo Tcme wnd Princips Reunfon Kenya Sierra Leon South Africa Mauritius Other West Africa Soral la Sahelfin Department (AFS) Sudan Burkina f o Uganda Cape Verde Chad Gambia, The Mali Mauritania Niger Senegal Asia Region (id Oceania) Couantry Department IV East and Southeast Asia India Snemi Country Department I Hong Kon Bangladesh Country Department V Japan Bhutan Fiji Korea, Den. People's Rep, of Nepal Indonesio Nacao Sri Lanka Kiribati Mongolia Naldives Singapore Coumtry Department II Papua New Guinea Taiwan. China Burms Solomon Islan Kanpucha DOm. Tongs Oceania Korea, Rep. of Vonuatu Australia Lao People's Dem. Rep. Western Samo French Polynesia malysia Gum Philippines Nonborrowr New Caledonia Thailand New Zealand Viet Nm Southwest Asia Pacific Islands Gaza Strip Other Nicronesia Country Department III Isroel Other Polynesia China (excluding Taiwan) 45 Toble 14 (continued) Bwqme. idCIe East, 0d ath Afriea ONH) tRuun Card U.S.S.R.) Europe and U.S.S.R. Albania Country Depertnt I Country Deperteant III (cant.) Austria Pakistan Qatar Belgius Turkey Saudi Arabia Bulgaris Syrfa Channel Islands Country Department 11 United Arab Eeirates Czechoslovakia Algeria Yanoa Arab Rep. Dewrk Libya Yemen Ptople's Dam. Rep. of Finland Malte Frane Morocco Country Department IV Germn Dem. Rep. Tunisfa Cyprus Germeny, Federal Rep. of HuMgory Grece Couatry Department III Poland Iceland Afghanistan Portugal Ireland Bahrain Rom ile Italy Egypt Arab Rep. of Yugoslevis L-uxebourg Iran, Islmic Rep. of Netherlands Iraq Nonborro rs Norway Jordon Spain Kuwait North Africa Sweden Lebanon Other North Africa Switzerland Omen United Kingdom Other Europe U.S.S.R. Latin _mwice and 5w CthUe CLAC) agimn (Cd 0ot n A_erica) Coautry Department IV Argentine Country Department I Country Department III Chile Brazil Antigua and Barbxd Ecuador Bmhas Parguasy Coantry Department It Barbados Peru Costa Rica Belize Uruguay El Salvador Bolivia Guatemale Coltabia Nonborrowers Honduras oninica Mexico Dominican Rep. Latin America and the Caribbean Nicaragu Grenada Cuba Panma Guyana Guadeloupe Haiti Martinique J _ ic Netherlands Antilles Montwerrat Virgin Islands (U.S.) St. Kitts ard Nevis Other Latin America St. Lucia St. Vincent wd the Gr na din Northern America Surinoee Canada Trinidad and Tobago Puerto Rico Venezuela United States of America Other Northern America 46 Table 15. Countries and Economies Classified by Incom Group (based on GNP per capita in 1966 U.S. dolters) Low lncm 0S4 or ltss) East Africa West Africa South Asia Buruidi Benin Afghanistan Comoros Burkina Faso Bangiadesh Ethiopia Central African Rep. Bhutan Kenya Chad India Lesotho Equatorial Guinea Maldives Madagascar Gambia. The Nepal Malawi Ghans Pakistan Mozumbiqje Guinea Sri Lanka Rwwnda Guinea-Bissau Somalia Mali East and Southeast Asia Tanzania Mauritania Burma Uganda Niger China (excluding Taiwan) Zaire Sio Tomb and Principe Kampuchea Dem. Zambia Senegal Lao People's Dem. Rep. Sierra Leone Viet Nam North Africa Togso Sudan Oceania Latin Ammrica and the Caribbean Vanuatu Haiti Loumr-eddtle 1rmx e024M1-dOO) East Africa Latin America and the Caribbean Southwest Asia Botswana Belize Gaza Strip Djibouti Bolivia Jordan Mauritius Chile Lebanon Namibia Colombia Syrian Arab Rep. Swaziland Costa Rica Turkey Zimbabwe Dominica Yemen Arab Rep. Domfnican Rep. Yemen People's Dem. Rep. of West Africa Ecuador Cameroon El Saletvador East end Southeast Asia Cape Verde Grenada Indonesia Congo People's Rep, of the Guatemala Philippines CMte dtIvoire Guyana Thailand Liberia Honduros Nigeria Jamaica Oceania Nicaragua Kiribati North Africa Paraguay other Micronesia Egypt, Arab Rep. of Peru Pacific Islands Morocco St. Kitts and Nevis Pepua New Guinea Tunisia St. Lucia Solomon Islaids Other North Africa St. Vincent and the Grenadine. Tonga Western Samoa 47 Table 15 (continued) lwr-ddale ircem cmwr than S1,81) East Africa Latin America and the Caribbean Southwest Asia Reunion Antigua and Barbuda Cyprus Seychelles Argentina Iraq South Africa Baha_as Israel Baerbads Onn West Africa Bratil Gabon Cuadeloupe East and Southeast Asia Other West Africa Martinique Brune Mexico Hong Kong North Africa Montserr:t Korea, Rep. of Algeria Netherlands Antitles Macao Other Latin America Malaysia Europe Panm Singapore Greece Surlname Taiwan, Chira Hungary Trinidad and Tobago Malta Uruguay Oceania Other Europe Venezuela Fiji Poland Virgin Islands (U.S.) French Polynesia Portugal GuM Romania South Asia New Caledonia Yugoslavia Iran, Islamic Rep. of Other Polynesia Nish inraE Codl exporters) Southwest Asia Southwest Asia (cant.) Bahrain Saui Arabia North Africa Kuwait United Arab Emirates Libya Qatar Irratritl miket ecanrolds Europe (cant.) Northern America Italy Canada Europe Luxmadourg United States of America Austria Netherlands Puerto Rico Belgium Norway Other Northern America Charnel Islands Spain Dernark Sueden Asia Finland Switzerland Japan France United Kingdbxm Germany, Federal Rep. of . Oceania Iceland Australia Ireland New Zeasland Unemvartoo _mlr ecormo as Latin America and the Caribbean Europe Cuba Albania West Africa Bulgaria Angola East and Southeast Asia Czechoslovakia Kora, Dem. People's Rep. of German Dem. Rep. Mongolia U.S.S.R. DETAILED POPULATION PROJECTIONS WORLD, GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS, AND INCOME GROUPS 50 WORLD Population projection (thousands) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL 4FF 4843331 5281816 5743944 6204958 6645894 7064022 7472393 7876265 8262434 8610781 MALES 0-4 2937m 322276 339712 344549 342236 338798 342657 349964 352037 347883 5-9 271971 286388 315196 333126 338638 337075 334415 339035 347005 349684 10-14 269115 269744 284222 313028 331058 336744 335397 332972 337805 345959 15-19 255939 266859 267600 282095 310881 32899 334826 333674 331453 336461 20-24 224350 252925 263911 264763 279277 308032 326236 332275 331381 329417 25-29 195212 221245 249709 260740 261725 276274 305011 323349 329631 329017 30-34 176440 192365 218296 246623 257708 258833 273423 302171 320662 327178 35-39 146076 173541 189435 215214 243389 254528 255794 270440 299210 31 846 40-44 120095 143027 170237 186035 211603 239568 250736 252168 266875 295626 45-49 112478 116571 139237 166005 181622 206847 234446 245618 247254 261967 50-54 98882 107748 111959 134108 160164 175452 200086 227103 238240 240087 55-59 85480 92749 101369 105597 126871 151792 166495 190201 216293 227255 60-64 65957 M99 84496 92618 96750 116641 139810 153639 175943 200550 65-69 48709 56918 67272 73508 80826 84710 102533 123234 135798 155989 70-74 35571 38673 45627 54159 59395 65536 68945 83916 101249 111945 7s5 37512 42343 47068 54570 64528 73336 82282 89560 104657 125360 TOTAL 2437563 2660968 2895347 3126740 3346670 3553158 3753094 3949320 4135495 4302225 FEMALES 0-4 281799 309669 326715 332000 330352 327464 331350 338444 340304 336036 5-9 260781 274428 302745 320584 326723 325977 323933 328600 336324 338719 10-14 255715 258600 272389 300811 318817 325189 324693 322903 327784 33568Z 15-19 240868 253646 256689 270624 299113 317283 323850 323579 321990 327035 20-24 216046 238428 251296 254556 268614 297196 315533 322335 322299 !20921 25-29 189062 213485 235874 248888 252311 266521 295180 313711 320743 320941 30-34 171720 186539 210952 233401 246472 250093 264433 293191 311896 319139 35-39 141721 169160 184013 208455 230862 244022 247814 262304 291129 309977 40-44 116650 139224 166481 181388 205739 228110 241316 245295 259892 288730 45-49 109680 114029 136445 163491 178312 202537 224786 238017 242137 256774 50-54 97240 106457 110857 133057 159678 174385 198356 220415 233603 237813 55-59 87575 93249 102333 106812 128566 154617 169089 192683 214418 227457 60-64 73169 2373 87905 96824 101251 122365 147528 161630 184611 205786 65-69 56746 66455 75083 80451 88866 93223 113228 136973 150414 172292 70-74 46538 48179 57012 64810 69601 77254 81345 99462 120839 133064 75+ 60459 66925 71807 82066 93946 104627 11686 127404 148555 178192 TOTAL 2405768 2620848 28485?7 3078218 3299223 3510863 3719299 3926945 4126938 4308557 BIRTH RATE 27.1 26.0 24.2 22.2 20.5 19.4 18.7 17.8 16.7 DEATH RATE 9.8 9.2 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.2 8.4 GROWTH RATE 1.73 1.68 1.54 1.37 1.22 1.12 1.05 .96 .83 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.435 3.270 3.065 2.862 2.658 2.507 2.403 2.309 2.223 hRR 1.450 1.389 1.327 1.272 1.206 1.146 1.106 1,073 1.045 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 64.55 65.70 66.83 67.77 68.74 69.63 70.56 71.47 72.31 edO) - BOTH SEXES 60.01 60.65 61.32 61.82 62.38 62.89 63.44 64.00 64.52 INR - BOTH SEXES 66.8 59.8 54.1 48.8 43.8 38.8 34.0 29.7 25.9 qCS) - BOTH SEXES .0970 .0859 .0767 .0684 .0604 .0523 .0446 .0379 .0322 DEP. RATIO 65.6 63.0 62.3 61.1 58.2 54.4 52.0 51.4 51.3 51.6 51 WORLD Population projection (thousands) Suwarry for 25 Year Periods ......................................................................................................... AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .............................................. ................................................................................__ TOTAL M F 4843331 6204958 8262434 9639483 10309803 10559541 10713734 10793800 HALES 0-4 293777 344549 352037 346880 345153 345060 345276 345426 5-9 271971 333126 347005 342917 343183 344155 344814 345166 10-14 269115 313028 337805 338864 342204 343893 344663 345025 15-19 255939 282095 331453 338783 342694 343917 344422 344729 20-24 224350 264763 331381 342798 343443 343416 343729 344101 25-29 195212 260740 329631 344461 342343 341827 342602 343307 30-34 176440 246623 320662 339528 338074 339516 341418 342538 35-39 146076 215214 299210 328804 332905 337642 340471 341817 40-44 120095 186035 266875 320266 331132 336805 339461 340683 45-49 112478 166005 247254 316782 332202 335186 336996 338173 50-54 96882 134108 238240 308932 328224 329291 331217 333058 55-59 85480 105597 216293 289572 313090 315855 320478 323709 60-64 65957 92618 175943 253359 286069 295083 303688 308149 65-69 48709 73508 135798 203253 252781 268238 278541 283212 70-74 35571 54159 101249 159137 213148 231184 240041 244277 75+ 37512 54570 104657 213906 307412 355265 380081 394824 TOTAL 2437563 3126740 4135495 4788242 5094057 5206333 5277899 5318194 FEMALES 0-4 281799 332000 340304 334360 332094 331521 331335 331323 5-9 260781 320584 336324 331101 330726 331061 331208 331290 10-14 255715 300811 327784 327749 330183 331139 331325 331332 15-19 240868 270624 321990 328505 331225 331639 331488 331352 20-24 216046 254556 322299 333470 332886 331867 331426 331266 25-29 189062 248888 320743 336294 332732 331121 331006 331088 30-34 171720 233401 311896 332506 329419 329648 330528 330925 35-39 141721 208455 291129 322894 325340 328692 330383 330894 40-44 116650 181388 259892 315489 325033 329034 330466 330749 45-49 109680 163491 242137 313336 328117 329386 329818 329955 50-54 97240 133057 233603 307977 327700 326851 327344 328025 55-59 87575 106812 214418 293467 318655 319430 322673 324668 60-64 73169 96824 184611 264728 300709 308352 315963 319243 65-69 56746 80451 150414 222434 278896 294971 305070 308804 70-74 46538 64810 120839 186348 251468 273478 283572 287294 75+ 60459 82066 148555 300493 440562 525018 572229 597399 TOTAL 2405768 3078218 4126938 4851242 5215746 5353207 5435835 5475606 BIRTH RATE 25.7 19.6 15.4 13.7 13.1 12.8 12.7 DEATH RATE 9.2 8.2 9.2 11.0 12.1 12.2 12.4 GROWTH RATE 1.65 1.15 .62 .27 .10 .06 .03 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.246 2.533 2.135 2.077 2.068 2.060 2.056 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 65.75 69.74 73.69 76.15 77.62 78.91 79.55 I- BOTH SEXES 60.1 39.0 20.6 12.7 9.5 7.0 5.5 52 LESS DEVELOPED COINTR4ES PopiLtion projection (thouand) ,,,,,,,,,,.................................. ........................................ ........................................................................................ AGE GROW 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M*F 3664755 4069279 4501542 4937509 5358114 5759494 6153714 6546824 6925160 7270440 MALES 0-4 249739 278211 296260 302268 300067 296443 300101 307423 309500 305190 5-9 228049 242433 271224 289779 296462 295006 292157 296573 304549 307227 10-14 224491 225s27 240291 269100 287763 294618 293378 290765 295391 303551 15-19 209885 222275 223741 28242 267039 285778 292779 291733 289321 294121 20-24 175086 206897 219388 221011 235551 264320 283149 290350 289556 287402 25-29 146541 172007 203734 216324 218108 232691 261442 280403 287837 287325 30-34 130641 143m 169173 200784 213441 215371 229995 258756 277858 285521 35-39 103724 127920 141066 166332 197765 210465 212533 227209 255980 275216 40-44 85622 100987 124979 138061 163101 194269 206979 209202 223923 252662 45-49 76609 82586 97780 121385 134305 158968 189693 202368 204769 219477 50-54 67141 72861 78805 93628 116591 129212 153246 183262 195839 198415 55-59 54942 62438 68008 7378 87975 109914 122018 145068 173972 186284 60-64 42255 49313 56309 61552 66993 80204 100576 111906 133491 160649 65-69 32216 35905 42149 48364 53079 57987 69748 87908 98137 117564 70-74 20227 25067 28213 33321 38441 42379 46497 56294 71451 80097 75+ 19039 22086 27008 31711 37689 44307 50444 56618 67071 83642 TOTAL 1866205 2070587 2288130 2505642 2714370 2911933 3104736 3295837 3478645 3644342 FEMALES 0-4 239285 267105 284829 291301 289802 286766 290482 297635 299546 295168 5-9 218712 231828 260127 278677 286019 285427 283237 287740 295524 297974 10-14 213190 216459 229742 258171 276902 284480 284141 282209 286927 294889 15-19 196723 211045 214499 227957 256468 275365 283142 283031 281302 286187 20-24 168702 194135 208595 212319 225929 254542 273613 281630 281758 280247 25-29 141572 165983 191472 206137 210060 223832 252530 271802 280052 280422 30-34 126561 138973 163409 188993 203735 207862 221770 250571 270015 278479 35-39 99558 124017 136489 160974 186515 201342 205640 219698 248562 268149 40-44 81770 97180 121480 134020 158405 183886 198747 203227 217388 246259 45-49 72666 79384 94675 118785 131237 155471 180792 195656 200266 214458 50-54 63747 69941 76622 91759 115458 127793 151740 176810 191596 196278 55-59 52811 60489 66583 73229 88005 111163 123264 146788 171443 186027 60-64 42182 48880 56270 62260 68682 82968 105286 117030 139872 163830 65-69 33799 37421 43650 50654 56244 62357 75802 96798 107915 129567 70-74 22679 27767 31117 36710 42828 47860 53372 65426 84240 94247 75+ 24592 28075 33852 39920 47455 56447 65421 74937 90109 113915 TOTAL 1798549 199869l 2213412 2431866 2643744 2847561 3048977 3250986 34.6515 3626097 BIRTH RATE 30.9 29.4 27.1 24.5 22.2 20.9 19.9 18.8 17.5 DEATH RATE 9.8 9.1 8.5 8.1 7.8 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.7 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.11 2.03 1.85 1.64 1.45 1.33 1.24 1.12 .97 MET IGRATION RATE -.2 -.1 -.1 -.0 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.09 2.02 1.85 1.64 1.44 1.32 1.24 1.12 .97 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.924 3.636 3.339 3.058 2.793 2.599 2.467 2.352 2.247 NRR 1.610 1.511 1.417 1.341 1.256 1.179 1.128 1.087 1.052 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 61.54 63.08 64.57 65.79 67.01 68.13 69.26 70.34 71.32 e(lO) - BOTH SEXES 58.20 59.05 59.91 60.56 61.24 61.88 62.54 63.20 63.81 IRR - 80TH SEXES 73.9 65.7 59.2 53.5 48.1 42.5 37.0 32.3 28.2 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1080 .0950 .0845 .0754 .0666 .0575 .0488 .0415 .0352 DEP. RATIO 71.4 67.4 65.9 64.2 60.2 55.4 52.0 50.6 50.1 50.0 53 LESS DEVELOPED COWNTRIES Poputation projection (thousxnds) Sumry for 25 Year Periods AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ......................................................... ............................................................................. TOTAL M+F 3664755 4937509 6925160 8311204 8983632 9225709 9377618 9457117 PALES 0-4 249739 302268 309500 304156 302337 302220 302435 302585 5-9 228049 289779 304549 300287 300417 301344 302003 302356 10-14 224491 269100 295391 296297 299477 301103 301876 302239 15-19 209885 238242 289321 296245 300025 301167 301676 301983 20-24 175086 221011 289556 300377 300874 300739 301050 301420 25-29 146541 216324 287837 302319 299904 299243 299995 300698 30-34 130641 200784 277858 297516 295771 297025 298881 300002 35-39 103724 166332 255980 286946 290747 295258 298024 299373 40-44 85622 138061 223923 278847 289128 294588 297164 298389 45-49 76609 121385 204769 275949 290555 293293 294995 296170 50-54 67141 93628 195839 268717 287369 288019 289805 291622 55-59 54942 73780 1739 249569 273415 275729 280173 283361 60-64 42255 61552 133491 215046 248405 256908 265308 269712 65-69 32216 48364 96137 168462 218515 233172 243295 247899 70-74 20227 33321 71451 129549 183895 200971 209647 213806 75+ 19039 31711 67071 165829 259714 306414 330582 345100 TOTAL 1866205 2505642 3478645 4136109 4440548 4547191 4616908 4656715 FEMALES 0-4 239285 291301 299546 293565 291308 290731 290544 290531 5-9 218712 278677 295524 290418 289W(2 290272 290419 290502 10-14 213190 258171 286927 286982 289392 290349 290538 290546 15-19 196723 227957 281302 287681 290430 290853 290706 290570 20-24 168702 212319 281758 292643 292099 291093 290650 290489 25-29 141572 206137 280052 295597 291971 290357 290237 290318 30-34 126561 188993 270015 291781 288689 288894 289768 290165 35-39 99558 160974 248562 282148 284638 287948 289640 290153 40-44 81770 134020 217388 274976 284321 288322 289764 290049 45-49 72666 118785 200266 273103 287503 288772 289216 289351 50-54 63747 91759 191596 267854 287420 286448 286938 287613 55-59 52811 73229 171443 252651 278736 279413 282630 284619 60-64 42182 62260 139872 224112 261471 269013 276580 279859 65-69 33799 50654 107915 183493 241245 256916 267012 270751 70-74 22679 36710 84240 15095? 216719 238089 248176 251904 75n 24592 3992o 90109 227134 367201 451048 497890 522983 TOTAL 1798549 2431866 3446515 4175095 4543084 4678518 4760709 4800402 BIRTH RATE 29.0 21.1 15.8 13.8 13.2 12.8 12.7 DEATH RATE 9.1 7.7 8.6 10.7 12.1 12.2 12.3 NET NIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.99 1.35 .73 .31 .11 .07 .03 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.610 2.630 2.145 2.079 2.068 2.060 2.055 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 63.16 68.26 72.94 75.71 77.33 7B.81 79.54 IIR - BOTH SEXES 66.1 42.6 22.3 13.6 10.1 7.2 5.5 54 MORE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES Popjtatin projection (tho ands) AGE GROUP 195 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M+F 1178576 1212537 1242402 1267449 1287780 1304528 1318679 1329441 1337274 1340342 MALES 0-4 44038 44065 43452 42281 42169 42356 42556 42540 42538 42692 5-9 43922 43955 43972 43347 42176 42069 42258 42462 42456 42457 10-14 44625 43916 43931 43928 43296 42126 42019 42207 42414 42408 15-19 46054 44585 43858 43853 43842 43213 42047 41941 42133 42340 20-24 49264 46028 44523 43752 43726 43712 43087 41926 41825 42015 25-29 48671 49238 45975 44417 43616 43583 43569 42947 41794 41692 30-34 45799 48590 49121 45839 44267 43462 43428 43415 42804 41657 35-39 42352 45621 48369 48882 45624 44063 43261 43231 43230 4?629 40-44 34473 42040 45258 47974 48502 45298 43757 42966 42952 42964 45-49 35868 33985 41457 44621 47317 47879 44753 43250 42485 42491 50-54 31741 34887 33154 40480 43573 46241 46841 43840 42401 41672 55-59 30538 30311 33360 31817 38B96 41878 44478 45134 42321 40971 60-64 23702 28286 28187 31066 29757 36437 39234 41733 42453 39901 65-69 16494 21012 25123 25144 27748 26723 32785 35326 37661 38425 70-74 15344 13606 17414 20838 20953 23157 22448 27623 29798 31848 75. 18473 20257 20060 22859 26839 29029 31838 32942 37587 41719 TOTAL 571358 590381 607217 621097 632300 641226 648357 653482 656850 657882 FEMALES 0-4 42514 42564 41885 40699 40549 40698 40868 40809 40758 40867 5-9 42069 42599 42617 41906 40704 40550 40696 40861 40800 40745 10-14 42526 42141 42647 42640 41916 40709 40552 40694 40858 40793 15-19 4144 42601 42190 42668 42645 41918 40709 40548 40688 40848 20-24 47344 44M 42702 42237 42685 42654 41920 40704 40540 40674 25-29 47490 47502 4402 42751 42251 42689 42650 41909 40691 40519 30-34 45159 47566 47543 44408 42736 42231 42663 42621 41881 40659 35-39 42163 45143 47524 47481 4434. 42680 42175 42606 42567 41828 40-44 34881 42044 45001 47368 47334 44224 42569 42068 42504 42471 45-49 37013 34645 41770 44706 47075 47066 43994 42361 41871 42316 50-54 33493 36516 34235 41299 44220 46592 46617 43605 42007 41535 55-59 34764 32760 35750 33584 40561 43454 45824 45896 42976 41430 60-64 30987 33484 31636 34564 32569 39397 42242 44600 44739 41955 65-69 22947 29034 31433 29797 32622 30866 37427 40175 42499 42725 70-74 23859 20412 25896 28100 26774 29394 27974 34036 36600 38817 75+ 35866 38851 37956 42145 46491 48181 51443 52467 58446 64277 TOTAL 607219 622156 635185 646352 655479 663302 670322 675959 680424 682460 BIRTH RATE 14.8 14.1 13.4 13.1 13.0 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 9.6 9.6 9.6 10.1 10.5 10.8 11.2 11.5 12.2 RATE OF MAT. INC. .52 .45 .38 .31 .25 .21 .16 .11 .05 HET MIGRATION RATE .5 .3 .2 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE .57 .49 .40 .32 .26 .22 .16 .12 .05 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.919 1.917 1.908 1.940 1.969 1.991 2.009 2.032 2.059 NRR .931 .916 .912 .934 .951 .962 .970 .981 .995 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 74.28 74.85 75.30 75.75 76.16 76.47 76.82 77.18 77.51 e(lO) - BOTH SEXES 65.86 66.26 66.59 66.92 67.23 67.48 67.76 68.05 68.31 INR - BOTH SEXES 18.8 16.7 15.2 13.8 12.7 12.0 11.1 10.2 9.4 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0222 .0195 .0176 .0159 .0146 .0136 .0125 .0114 .0105 DEP. RATIO 50.0 49.7 50.4 50.2 50.5 50.2 52.3 55.1 58.3 61.0 55 MMRE DEVELOPED COWJTRIES Paputation projection (theamAwds) Sury for 25 Year Periods AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .. ........................ .................................................... ....... ............. .. ...... ..... .................... ............................ TOTAL M+F 1178576 1267449 1337274 13a8279 1326172 1333832 1336117 1336683 MALES 0-4 44038 42281 42538 42724 42816 42840 42841 42841 5-9 43922 43347 42456 42630 42766 42811 42811 42810 10-4 44625 43928 4241 42567 42727 42791 42787 42786 15-19 46054 43853 42133 42538 42669 42750 42746 42746 20-24 49264 43752 41825 42421 42568 42677 42680 42681 25-29 48671 44417 41794 42142 42439 42584 42607 42609 30-34 45799 45839 42804 42013 42303 42491 42537 42536 35-39 42352 48882 43230 41858 42157 42384 42447 4244 40-44 34473 47974 42952 41420 42004 42218 42298 42294 45-49 35868 44621 42485 40833 41647 41894 42001 42003 50.54 31741 40480 42401 40215 40855 41272 41412 41435 55-59 30538 31817 42321 40003 39676 40126 40305 40348 60-64 23702 31066 42453 38313 37664 38175 38381 38438 65-69 16494 25144 37661 34791 34267 35066 35246 35313 70-74 15344 20838 29798 29589 29253 30214 30393 30471 75, 18473 22859 37587 48077 47697 48851 49499 49723 TOTAL 571n358 621097 656850 652133 653509 659142 660991 661479 FEMALES 0-4 42514 40699 40758 40796 40786 40790 40792 40792 5-9 42069 41906 40800 40 m 40784 40789 40789 40788 10-14 42526 42640 40858 40768 40791 40790 40787 40786 15-19 44144 42668 40688 40824 40796 40785 40782 40782 20-24 47344 42237 40540 40827 40787 40774 40776 40777 25-29 47490 42751 40691 40698 40761 40764 40769 40770 30-34 45159 44408 41881 40725 40730 40755 40760 40760 35-39 42163 47481 42567 40746 40702 40744 40744 40741 40-44 34881 47368 42504 40513 40712 40712 40702 40700 45-49 37013 44706 41871 40233 40614 40614 40602 40604 50-54 33493 41299 42007 40124 40280 40403 40406 40412 55-59 34764 33584 42976 40815 39920 40017 40043 40050 60-64 30987 34564 44739 40616 39238 39339 39383 39384 65-69 22947 29797 42499 38940 37652 38054 38058 38053 70-74 23859 28100 36600 35391 34749 35389 35395 35390 75. 35866 42145 58446 73359 73361 73970 74339 7416 TOTAL 607219 646352 680424 676147 672662 674690 675126 675205 BIRTH RATE 14.1 12.9 12.6 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 9.6 10.8 12.9 12.8 12.4 12.5 12.6 NET NIGRATION RATE .3 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE .48 .21 -.03 -.01 .02 .O0 .00 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.920 1.988 2.065 2.064 2.063 2.063 2.063 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 74.82 76.48 78.03 79.05 79.60 79.60 79.60 INR - BOTH SEXES 16.9 12.0 8.3 6.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 56 AFRICA Population projection (thousndcs) AGE GROP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL H.F 559772 652164 756951 872158 996022 1124974 1252923 1381279 1509036 1631988 HALES 0-4 51054 59796 66934 73064 78318 81819 82220 83381 84284 83518 5-9 41267 48104 56778 64021 70360 75887 79751 80589 82120 83350 10-14 34558 40445 47263 55897 63157 69549 7167 79144 80104 81740 15-19 29406 33956 39084 46601 55196 62457 68886 74560 78606 79648 20-24 24441 28712 33221 39029 45793 54340 61607 68077 73810 77929 25-29 20366 23743 279t6 32436 38211 44950 S3460 60746 67263 73058 30-34 16747 19754 23090 27272 31717 37463 44187 52672 59974 665;2 35-39 13503 16188 19154 22452 26601 31017 36736 43444 51896 59203 40-44 10975 12963 15603 18s26 21786 25887 30268 35947 42619 51012 45-49 9364 10429 12374 14958 17824 21021 25053 29372 34973 41563 S0-54 7785 8769 9807 11689 14189 16961 20063 23980 28188 33648 55-59 6280 7127 06s 9064 10848 13213 15843 18791 22523 26540 60-64 4797 5549 6336 7212 8131 9764 11932 14346 17063 20508 65-69 3515 3998 4664 5360 6129 6933 8354 10246 12363 14751 70-74 2330 2670 3069 3614 4179 4798 5448 6592 8125 9847 75. 2090 2402 2803 3286 3900 4583 5338 6151 7349 9013 TOTAL 278478 324604 376940 434480 496338 560643 624312 688037 751258 811859 FEMALES 0-4 50254 s5894 65858 71818 76927 80349 80716 81838 82717 81942 5-9 40756 47531 56155 63247 69436 74832 78611 79393 80873 82061 10-14 34102 39978 46750 55353 62475 68730 74224 78121 79028 80614 15-19 28973 33546 39404 46170 54755 61899 68206 73770 77747 78740 20-24 24227 28410 32964 38805 45564 54129 61299 67658 73290 77345 25-29 20635 23671 27827 32365 38189 44942 53496 60693 67108 72809 30-34 17204 20095 23115 27248 31771 37582 44337 52882 60112 66581 35-39 14083 16689 19558 22564 26673 31181 36982 43739 52276 59533 40-44 11541 13594 16171 19013 22000 26080 30572 36356 43106 51619 45-49 9914 11080 13098 15636 18440 21397 25436 29894 35640 42351 50-54 8269 9433 10575 12546 15027s 1777 20686 24659 29055 34723 55-59 6819 7735 8861 9969 11871 14274 16943 19779 23651 27943 60-6 5257 6194 7064 8135 9189 10993 13281 15832 18554 22265 65-69 3943 4533 5387 6186 7166 8137 9796 11908 14277 16811 70-74 2684 3124 3631 4360 5047 5891 6735 8173 10017 12089 75+ 2632 3043 3593 4263 5156 6137 7291 8547 10326 12703 TOTAL 281294 327560 380011 437678 499684 564331 628610 693241 757778 820128 BIRTH RATE 44.8 42.4 39.5 36.4 33.1 29.4 26.6 24.3 22.0 EtITH RATE 14.2 12.6 11.1 9.8 8.8 7.8 7.1 6.6 6.3 RATE OF MAT. INC. 3.06 2.98 2.83 2.66 2.44 2.16 1.95 1.77 1.57 MET MIGRATION RATE -.0 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWdTH RATE 3.06 2.98 2.83 2.66 2.43 2.15 1.95 1.77 1.57 TOTAL FERTILITY 6.178 5.894 5.414 4.864 4.260 3.614 3.152 2.808 2.522 NRR 2.323 2.289 2.172 2.009 1.803 1.568 1.402 1.275 1.165 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 53.32 55.53 57.66 59.66 61.51 63.35 65.14 66.82 68.34 e(1O) - BOTH SEXES 54.24 55.33 56.37 57.34 58.27 59.20 60.12 60.99 61.80 [MR - BOTH SEXES 99.5 89.4 79.7 71.0 63.4 56.2 49.3 42.9 37.0 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1606 .1426 .1252 .1094 .0954 .0820 .0692 .0577 .0474 DEP. RATIO 92.6 93.2 92.1 88.9 83.2 76.5 69.5 63.0 57.6 53.4 57 AFRICA Poputatlon projection (thousands) Sinry for 25 Year Periods . ........................................................................................................ AGE lKIP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL N+F 559772 872158 1509036 2049483 2370051 2474498 2532396 2572476 MALES 0-4 51054 73064 84284 82001 81378 81609 81914 82047 5-9 41267 64021 82120 80464 80764 81383 81818 82002 10-14 34558 55897 80104 79275 80638 81359 81751 81954 15-19 29406 46601 78606 80071 80918 81297 81587 81841 20-24 24441 39029 73810 81703 81025 80935 81269 81649 25-29 20366 32436 67263 81566 80379 80260 80894 81450 30-34 16747 27272 59974 79578 76788 79552 80590 81281 35-39 13503 22452 51896 77080 7722 79129 80363 81077 40-44 10975 18526 42619 74885 77436 78980 80008 80699 45-49 9364 14958 34973 69293 78112 78383 79129 79954 50-54 7785 11689 28188 61535 76324 76407 77390 7B638 55-59 6280 9064 22523 52401 71566 72407 74578 76405 60-64 4797 7212 17063 42016 64763 66872 70475 72723 65-69 3515 5360 12363 30553 56314 60680 64403 66730 70-74 2330 3614 8125 20627 43545 51895 55033 57327 75+ 2090 3286 7349 19940 49886 74291 83996 91620 TOTAL 278478 434480 751258 1012987 1159064 1205439 1235197 1257395 FEMALES 0-4 50254 71818 82717 80528 79721 79645 79656 79680 5-9 40756 63247 80873 79258 79363 79613 79685 79687 10-14 34102 55353 79028 78192 79409 79741 79733 79684 15-19 287 46170 77747 79144 79905 79878 79730 79655 20-24 24227 3s8S 73290 81026 80343 79798 79636 79623 25-29 20635 32365 67108 81226 80017 79434 79507 79608 30-34 17204 27248 60112 79539 78705 79031 79453 79624 35-39 14083 22564 52276 77340 77439 7842 79508 79637 40-44 11541 19013 43106 75533 78045 79213 79517 79560 45-49 9914 1566 35640 70451 79330 79246 79184 79290 50-54 8269 12546 29055 63436 78559 78214 78339 78796 55-59 6819 9969 23651 55320 75367 75733 77066 78047 60-64 5257 8135 18554 46061 70800 72517 75436 76826 65-69 3943 6186 14277 35251 65036 69491 72762 74297 70-74 2684 4360 10017 25485 54206 64167 67241 68957 75+ 2632 4263 10326 28704 74741 114395 130746 142108 TOTAL 281294 437678 757m 1036496 1210987 1269059 1297199 1315080 BIRTH RATE 42.0 29.3 18.6 14.7 13.5 13.0 12.7 DEATH RATE 12.5 7.9 6.6 9.0 11.7 12.1 12.1 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWNH RATE 2.96 2.19 1.22 .58 .17 .09 .06 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.789 3.590 2.221 2.072 2.058 2.049 2.042 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 55.72 63.68 70.59 73.97 76.08 78.12 79.53 INR - BOTH SEXES 89.0 56.5 29.0 17.5 12.4 8.2 5.4 58 EAST AFRICA Population projection (thousads) AGE GROLIP 1915 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ..................................... .............................................................. ..............____..... _._._.........___.. __ TOTAL N+F 231010 270435 315187 364710 418295 474505 530847 587554 644245 698899 MALES 0-4 21362 25407 28452 31213 33590 35285 35707 36273 36785 36464 5-9 17130 20086 24078 27171 30031 32537 34402 35022 35737 36374 10-14 14357 16760 19714 23687 26795 29682 32232 34149 34815 35571 15-19 12080 14089 16481 19428 23382 26494 2V9 O 31976 33919 34615 20-24 10085 11776 13768 16145 19084 23014 '6133 29058 31655 33625 25-29 8335 9776 11450 13428 15795 18729 22640 25771 28711 31330 30-34 6833 8064 9490 11152 13120 15478 18411 22307 25443 28395 35-39 5505 6588 7803 9215 10867 12824 15173 18102 21977 25112 40-44 4511 5273 6337 7534 8931 10567 12509 14843 17757 21597 45-49 3751 4279 5025 6064 7239 8610 10220 12133 14436 17313 50-54 3091 3505 4019 4739 5744 6880 8210 9776 11638 13881 55-59 2461 2825 3221 3710 4393 5342 6418 7681 9174 10951 60-64 1889 2171 2509 2874 3326 3950 4816 5802 6967 8346 65-69 1374 1572 1823 2118 2440 2833 3374 4128 4992 6015 70-74 902 1043 1206 1409 1649 1908 2222 2657 3267 3968 75. 839 945 1099 1287 1521 1796 2104 2470 2952 3614 TOTAL 114506 134157 156473 181175 207907 235928 263972 292146 320225 347171 FEMALES 0-4 21160 25136 28105 30794 33101 34749 35148 35687 36191 35872 5-9 17037 19981 23924 26955 29752 32190 34005 34590 35278 35901 10-14 14274 16687 19635 23566 26618 29446 31931 33800 34435 35164 15-19 11980 14026 16435 19383 23304 26368 29220 31737 33639 34308 20-24 10081 l1733 13M 16175 19123 23032 26109 28984 31530 33463 25-29 858 9835 11481 13512 15911 18857 22757 25848 28746 31320 30-34 7053 8280 9592 11232 13257 15651 18599 22491 25597 28516 35-39 5768 6829 8047 9353 10987 13004 15394 18345 22228 25345 40-44 4760 5558 6606 7812 9110 10735 12743 15128 18076 21944 45-49 3990 4563 5347 6379 7569 8853 10462 12455 14823 17755 50-54 3326 3789 4350 5116 6124 7289 8551 10134 12097 14435 55-59 2716 3105 3554 4096 4837 5810 6938 8166 9710 11627 60-64 2120 2461 2831 3257 3772 4473 5396 6471 7649 9132 65-69 1575 1825 2136 2474 2865 3336 3978 4827 5821 6920 70-74 1067 1245 1460 1724 2014 2350 2755 3310 4047 4918 75. 1078 1226 1439 1707 2044 2434 2888 3435 4152 5107 TOTAL 116503 136278 158714 183535 210388 238577 266875 295407 324020 351728 BIRTH RATE 46.1 43.5 40.5 37.4 34.0 30.2 27.3 24.9 22.5 DEATH RATE 14.5 12.8 11.3 9.9 8.8 7.8 7.0 6.5 6.2 RATE OF HAT. INC. 3.16 3.07 2.92 2.74 2.52 2.24 2.03 1.84 1.63 NET NIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROTH RATE 3.15 3.06 2.92 2.74 2.52 2.24 2.03 1.84 1.63 TOTAL FERTILITY 6.326 6.060 5.572 5.012 4.388 3.723 3.230 2.873 2.569 NRR 2.373 2.345 2.226 2.066 1.856 1.615 1.439 1.306 1.187 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 52.74 55.01 57.11 59.20 61.15 63.11 65.00 66.70 68.19 etlO) - BOTH SEXES 53.81 54.97 56.03 57.09 58.07 59.04 59.99 60.89 61.71 INR - BOTH SEXES 99.4 89.5 80.6 71.9 64.2 56.7 49.5 43.0 37.3 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1613 .1433 .1268 .1107 .0963 .0823 .0688 .0575 .0477 DEP. RATIO 94.4 95.2 94.4 91.3 85.2 78.4 71.2 64.5 58.8 54 59 EAST AFRICA Pqputltfon projection Cthoue*mds) Sumry for 25 Year Poriods ............ ....................... .. . ....................... ........ ............. ........ .............................................................. AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ...... ........... . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. _ . . .. . . . .. . . _ .. . . ._. . . . .. . . . .. . . . TOTAL *F 231010 364710 644245 885186 1030532 1077617 1102501 1121614 NALES 0-4 21362 31213 36785 35691 35416 35536 35679 35747 5-9 17130 27171 35737 34923 35151 35442 35636 35728 10-14 14357 23687 34815 34517 35131 35441 35602 35705 15-19 12080 19428 33919 35031 35298 35409 35523 35650 20-24 10085 16145 31655 35679 35339 35227 35374 35563 25-29 8335 13428 28711 35596 34982 34909 35206 35475 30-34 6833 11152 25443 34629 34185 34603 35077 35400 35-39 5505 9215 21977 33496 33612 34448 34983 35306 40-44 4511 7534 17757 32306 33861 34420 34818 35133 45-49 3751 6064 14436 29706 34090 34147 34405 34798 50-54 3091 4739 11638 26247 33280 33202 33613 34219 55-59 2461 3710 9174 22204 31105 31349 32376 33251 60-64 1889 2874 6967 1m8 28092 29017 30596 31650 65-69 1374 2118 4992 12698 24230 26424 27960 29031 70-74 902 1409 3267 8472 18594 22524 23849 24914 75+ a9 1287 2952 8115 21018 31979 36110 39732 TOTAL 114506 181175 320225 437067 503386 524079 536808 547301 FEMALES 0-4 21160 30794 36191 35155 34807 34795 34804 34814 5-9 17037 26955 35278 34496 34657 34789 34820 34818 10-14 14274 23566 34435 34139 34714 34855 34842 34815 15-19 11980 19383 33639 34715 34960 34912 34835 34801 20-24 10081 16175 31530 35479 35135 34856 34786 34786 25-29 8518 13512 28746 35538 34930 34675 34728 34782 30-34 7053 11232 25597 34694 34251 34503 34711 34793 35-39 5768 9353 22228 33694 33805 34499 34743 34800 40-44 4760 7812 18076 32672 34226 34643 34740 34759 45-49 3990 6379 14823 30294 34726 34635 34568 34633 50-54 3326 5116 12097 27151 34356 34115 34170 34416 55-59 2716 4096 9710 23525 32853 32917 33606 34095 60-64 2120 3257 7649 19543 30811 31598 32907 33568 65-69 1575 2474 5821 14741 28082 30390 31735 32454 70-74 1067 1724 4047 10541 23241 27973 29268 30096 75* 1078 1707 4152 11740 31592 49384 56430 61884 TOTAL 116503 183535 324020 448118 527146 553538 565694 574312 BIRTH RATE 43.L1 30.1 18.9 14.8 13.5 13.1 12.7 DEATH RATE 12.7 7.8 6.4 8.8 11.7 12.1 12.1 NET NIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRoWTH RATE 3.04 2.28 1.27 .61 .18 .09 .07 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.946 3.684 2.236 2.070 2.057 2.047 2.040 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 55.17 63.45 70.48 73.87 75.89 77.91 79.51 INR- BOTH SEXES 89.3 56.9 29.1 17.7 12.8 8.7 5.5 60 WEST AFRICA Pqputation projection (thousands) AGE GRMUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M.F 203607 239124 280184 326012 375758 42B020 479906 532825 585989 637203 MALES 0-4 19314 23076 26274 29057 314S2 33096 33242 34065 34534 33962 5-9 15192 17979 21701 24928 27m76 30285 32087 32435 33442 34097 10-14 12536 14837 17605 21304 24526 27393 29939 31792 32202 33269 15-19 10470 12286 1458 17316 2092 24209 27089 29658 31545 32000 20-24 8559 10191 11983 14240 16962 20612 23826 26723 29321 3124 25-29 6944 8285 gem8 11655 13887 16590 20220 23439 26358 28992 30-34 5720 6710 8025 W02 11349 13564 16253 19872 23098 2604 35-39 4871 5508 6479 S769 9323 11054 13254 15931 19537 2276 40-44 4126 4658 5285 6Z37 7501 9032 10745 12927 15586 1917 45-49 3466 3907 428 5043 5970 7204 8705 10389 12539 15164 50-S4 2817 3232 36s9 4165 4760 5654 6846 8299 9936 12029 55-59 2245 2568 2962 3370 3849 4413 5258 6385 7763 932 60-64 1713 1975 2275 2640 3014 3453 3969 4741 5772 7034 65-69 1221 1420 1652 1918 2236 2561 2942 3390 4061 495 70-74 784 919 1083 1275 49 1743 2003 2308 2668 3207 75. 637 768 929 1127 1353 1606 1899 2214 2575 2997 TOTAL 1O0614 118319 13879M 161646 186438 212469 238276 264568 290938 316258 FEMALES 0-4 1914 22856 2s981 28695 31039 32640 32765 33565 34017 33449 5-9 15231 17897 21591 24761 27551 30015 31773 32092 33069 33697 10-14 12585 14889 17545 21224 24396 27210 29714 31526 31908 32945 15-19 10541 12348 14639 17286 20951 24126 26960 29494 31344 31772 20-24 8612 10306 12101 14380 17O14 20665 23847 26702 29267 31157 25-29 238 a389 10065 11846 14110 16734 20376 23567 26446 29045 30-34 6075 7024 8163 9821 11588 13841 16461 20097 23300 26206 35-39 5187 5870 6s08 7937 9576 11332 13577 16193 19826 23042 40-44 4361 4987 5663 6590 7706 9326 11071 13306 15916 19542 45-49 3630 4172 4787 5453 6364 7464 9061 10790 13006 15602 50-54 2984 3440 3967 4568 5218 6109 7187 8751 10451 12635 55-59 2421 279 3217 3725 4303 4933 5795 6840 8357 10012 60-64 1885 2185 2524 2938 3417 3964 4562 5382 6378 7823 65-69 1380 1610 1884 2193 2569 3005 3505 4056 4811 5732 70-74 912 1077 1274 1509 1772 2092 2463 2892 3371 4028 75 809 973 1182 1440 744 2095 2512 3004 3585 4256 TOTAL 102993 1208W. 141389 164366 189319 215550 241630 268257 295051 320944 BIRTH RATE 4.3 46.0 42.8 39.5 35.8 31.5 28.6 25.9 23.1 DEATH RATE 16.2 14.3 12.5 11.1 9.7 8.6 7.6 6.9 6.3 RATE OF HAT. INC. 3.21 3.17 3.03 2.84 2.61 2.29 2.09 1.90 1.68 MET MIGRATION RATE .1 .0 .0 -.0 -.0 -.0 0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 3.22 3.17 3fb3 2.84 2.60 2.29 2.09 1.90 1.68 TOTAL FERTILITY 6.684 6.508 6.032 54l1 4.702 3.917 3.386 2.971 2.609 NRR 2.431 2.452 2.350 2.174 1.944 1.665 1.480 1:331 1.196 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 50.29 52.72 55.11 57.15 59.21 61.25 63.27 65.25 67.18 e(IO) - BOTH SEXES 52.88 54.04 55.20 56.16 57.15 58.15 59.14 60.2 61.09 IMR - BOTH SEXES 109.7 98.4 87.4 78.5 70.1 62.4 54.5 47.3 40.5 q(S) - BOTH SEXES .1817 .1609 .1407 .1241 .1082 .0935 .0788 .0654 .0527 DEP. RATIO 96.0 97.9 98.0 95.7 89.9 82.7 74.5 66.8 60.2 55.2 61 WEST AFRICA Population projection (thousnids) Siamiy for 25 Year Periods AGE WP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL W4F 203607 326012 S85989 812233 953062 999105 1023933 1041415 NALES 0-4 19314 29057 34534 33272 32886 32963 33100 33162 5-9 15192 24928 33442 32530 32572 32857 33061 33146 10-14 12536 21304 32202 31779 P2495 32859 33040 33130 15-19 10470 17316 31545 32083 32675 32863 32977 33083 20-24 8559 14240 29321 33142 32M98 32727 32838 32998 25-29 6944 11655 26358 33309 32566 32416 32665 32912 30-34 5s2o 9602 23098 32320 31816 32064 32527 32844 35-39 4871 7769 19537 30883 30914 31863 32445 32767 40-44 4126 6237 15586 29928 30972 31863 32327 32618 45-49 3466 5043 12539 27386 31618 31692 31979 32307 50-54 2817 4165 9936 23958 31084 30907 31234 31754 55-59 2245 3370 7763 20011 28957 29172 30028 30839 60-64 1713 2640 5772 15639 25806 26676 28336 29361 65-69 1221 1918 4061 10991 22335 24152 25927 26963 70-74 784 1275 2668 7240 17026 20869 22186 23168 75+ 637 1127 2575 6701 18742 29642 33634 36918 TOTAL 100614 161646 290938 401172 465263 485585 498305 507971 FEMALES 0-4 19144 28695 34017 32813 32357 32303 32311 32326 5-9 1S231 2a?61 33069 32193 32151 32280 32326 32332 10-14 12585 21224 31908 31493 32145 32345 32355 32332 15-19 10541 17286 31344 31858 32410 32432 32360 32319 20-24 8612 14380 29267 33008 32695 32414 32315 32302 25-29 7238 11846 26446 33306 32586 32234 32244 32291 30-34 6075 9821 23300 32448 31950 32010 32211 32301 35-39 s587 7937 19826 31134 31166 31946 32247 32317 40-44 4361 6590 15916 30340 31384 32116 32280 32291 45-49 3630 5453 13006 28004 32274 32229 32156 32174 50-54 2984 4568 10451 24852 32155 31822 31777 31956 55-59 2421 372s 8357 21277 30667 30698 31194 31641 60-64 1885 2938 637T 17284 28387 29116 30497 31159 65-69 1380 2193 4811 12806 2596T 27842 29456 30160 70-74 912 1509 3371 9092 21346 25964 27285 28002 75+ 809 1.40 3585 9753 28158 4576& 52615 57542 TOTAL 102993 164366 295051 411661 487798 513520 525629 533444 BIRTH RATE 45.4 31.5 19.3 14.9 13.5 13.1 12.7 DEATH RATE 14.1 8.5 6.4 8.6 11.6 12.1 12.1 NET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GR WTH RATE 3.14 2.35 1.31 .64 .19 .10 .07 TOTAL FERTILITY 6.372 3.882 2.242 2.071 2.055 2.045 2.038 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 52.96 61.69 69.73 73.59 75.84 77.99 79.54 INR - BOTH SEXES 97.8 62.4 31.7 18.5 12.8 8.4 5.4 62 NORTH AFRICA Pcpuation projeetIon (thusands) .............................................................................................................................. AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .............................................................................................................................. TOTAL NPF 125155 142606 161s58 181435 201970 222449 242169 260900 278802 295886 MALES 0-4 10378 11313 12209 12794 13276 13438 13271 13043 12965 13091 5-9 8946 10040 10996 11922 12553 13065 13262 13132 12941 12878 10-14 7665 8a48 9945 10906 11836 12474 12996 13203 13087 12901 15-19 6855 7580 8759 9J7 10o8 11754 12398 12926 13143 13032 20-24 5797 6745 7470 864s 9747 10713 11647 12297 1284 13057 25-29 5087 5682 6627 7352 8529 9632 10599 11536 12194 12736 30-34 4194 4979 5S75 ,i 6517 7247 8421 9523 10493 11433 12095 35-39 3127 4092 4872 546s 6410 7140 8309 9411 10382 11322 40-44 2337 3032 3982 4755 5353 6287 7015 8177 9275 10244 45-49 2148 2243 2922 3852 4616 5207 6128 6849 7998 9086 50-54 1876 2032 2129 2785 3686 4428 5007 5906 6614 7737 55-59 1574 1734 186 1984 2605 3458 4167 4724 5585 6269 60-64 1195 1403 1553 1697 1792 2361 3146 3803 4324 5128 65-69 920 1006 1189 1323 1453 1539 2038 2728 3310 3778 70-74 644 709 780 929 1041 1148 1222 1627 2190 2672 75, 614 690 m 872 102o7 18l 1335 1467 1822 2403 TOTAL 63358 72128 81672 91659 101992 112246 122064 131323 140096 148430 FEMALES 0-4 9950 10913 1177m 12329 12788 12960 12803 12586 12509 12621 5-9 W488 9653 10640 11530 12132 12627 12833 12710 12526 12462 10-14 7243 8402 9570 10563 11461 12074 12579 12796 12685 12505 15-19 6452 7172 8330 9501 10500 11405 12026 12538 12764 12659 20-24 5535 6369 7091 8250 9426 10432 11343 11972 12493 12725 25-29 4879 5447 6281 7006 8168 9351 10363 11279 11916 12443 30-34 4076 4791 5360 6195 6925 809 9277 10293 11216 11858 35-39 3128 3991 4703 5274 6110 6845 8011 9200 10222 Ill 40-44 2420 3049 3903 4611 5184 6020 6757 7923 9113 101 45-49 2294 2346 2964 3805 4507 5080 5913 6650 7811 8994 50-54 1958 2204 2258 2862 3685 4378 4948 5774 6507 7653 55-59 1682 1851 2090 2147 2731 3531 4210 4773 5584 63 60-64 1252 1548 1710 1939 2000 2557 3322 3979 4528 53 65-69 989 1098 1368 1519 1732 1796 2313 3026 3614 41 70-74 705 801 897 1127 1261 1450 1517 1971 2599 31 75. 746 845 972 1116 1367 1608 1891 2108 2589 33 TOTAL 61797 70478 7999 89776 99977 110203 120105 129577 138706 1474 BIRTH RATE 36.6 34.3 31.5 28.9 26.2 23.5 21.2 19.5 18.4 DEATH RATE 10.4 9.3 8.3 7.4 6.9 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.5 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.62 2.50 2.32 2.15 1.93 1.70 1.49 1.33 1.19 HET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROUTH RATE 2.61 2.50 2.32 2.14 1.93 1.70 1.49 1.33 1.19 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.076 4.606 4.126 3.670 3.234 2.827 2.517 2.316 2.214 NRR 2.073 1.932 1.7m 1.618 1.448 1.285 1.160 1.080 1.040 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 59.43 61.33 63.25 65.17 66.62 67.98 69.20 70.36 71.16 e10) - BOTH SEXES 57.30 58.20 59.10 59.99 60.82 61.63 62.35 63.04 63.54 IRR - BOTH SEXES 77.4 68.4 59.1 50.1 44.2 38.8 34.5 30.1 26.6 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1130 .0989 .0841 .0695 .0600 .0514 .0443 .0371 .0322 DEP. RATIO 84.4 82.2 78.6 73.6 68.2 62.3 57.1 53.0 49.9 48.0 63 NORTH AFRICA Population projection Cthaumnrds) Suwury for 25 Year Periods AGE GROJP 1985 2000 2025 2050 20-5 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL NMF 125155 181435 278802 351464 386457 397776 405962 409447 MALES 0-4 10378 12794 12965 13038 13075 13111 13135 13138 5-9 8946 11922 12941 13011 13040 13084 13121 13128 10-14 7665 10906 13087 12980 13012 13058 13109 13120 15-19 6855 9857 13143 12957 12945 13024 13088 13108 20-24 5797 8645 12834 12881 12887 12980 13057 13088 25-29 5087 7352 12194 12661 1; 131 12934 13023 13063 30-34 4194 6517 11433 12630 12787 12885 12985 13037 35-39 3127 5468 10382 12700 12702 12818 12935 13003 40-44 2337 4755 9275 12651 12603 12697 12862 12948 45-49 2148 382 7998 12201 12405 12544 12745 12850 50-54 1876 2785 6614 11330 11959 12R98 12542 12664 55-59 1574 1984 5585 10187 11505 11886 12174 12316 60-64 1195 1697 4324 8619 10864 11179 11543 11712 6S-69 920 1323 3310 6864 9749 10105 10516 10736 70-74 644 929 2190 4915 7925 8503 8998 9244 75, 614 872 1822 5123 10127 12670 14252 14970 TOTAL 63358 91659 140096 174747 190415 195776 200085 202123 FEMALES 0-4 9950 12329 12509 12560 12557 12547 12541 12539 5-9 8488 11530 12526 12570 12555 12545 12539 12538 10-14 7243 10563 12685 12561 12551 12541 12535 12537 15-19 6452 9501 12764 12570 12534 12534 12535 12536 20-24 5535 8250 12493 12540 12512 12529 12536 12536 25-29 4879 7006 11916 12382 12501 12525 12535 12534 30-34 4076 6195 11216 12397 12503 12518 12530 12530 35-39 3128 5274 10222 12512 12468 12498 12518 12521 40-44 2420 4611 9113 12522 12435 12454 12497 12510 45-49 2294 3805 7811 12153 12330 12381 12460 12483 50-54 1958 2862 6507 11433 12047 12278 12393 12425 55-59 1682 2147 5584 10518 l1848 12117 12266 12311 60-64 1252 1939 4528 9233 11602 11804 12032 12100 65-69 989 1519 3644 7704 10987 11260 11570 11683 70-74 705 1127 2599 5851 9618 10230 10688 10859 75+ 746 1116 2589 7211 14991 19242 21702 22682 TOTAL 61797 89776 138706 176716 196043 202000 205877 207324 BIRTH RATE 33.9 23.5 16.5 14.0 13.2 12.8 12.7 DEATH RATE 9.2 6.6 7.4 10.2 12.0 12.0 12.3 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.48 1.72 .93 .38 .12 .08 .03 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.554 2.841 2.129 2.082 2.071 2.063 2.060 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 61.50 68.09 72.73 75.16 77.17 79.01 79.59 IIR - BOTH SEXES 68.0 39.7 21.4 14.4 10.0 6.4 5.3 64 AMERICA Population projection (thousacs) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .............................. ............................................ ................ __...................... TOTAL M+F 666926 720622 774337 a25458 873799 919495 962710 1003423 1040366 1072030 MALES 0-4 38367 39088 39816 39407 38968 38621 38556 38945 39180 39126 5-9 35130 37962 38740 39509 39144 38744 38431 38392 38797 39041 10-14 327 35001 37838 38620 39394 39042 38652 38349 38317 38726 15-19 31956 32625 34649 37681 38470 39254 38914 38535 38241 38215 20-24 31243 31730 32407 34624 37451 38255 39053 38727 38362 38080 25-29 28677 30994 31490 32164 34377 37207 38029 38836 38526 38174 30-34 24992 28437 30749 31245 31921 34140 36976 37808 38625 383?7 35-39 21535 24738 28170 S469 30970 31658 33883 36717 37559 38383 40-44 16987 21236 24417 U24 30111 30626 31324 33547 36374 37226 45-49 14257 16621 20817 23956 27327 29597 30123 30826 33039 35849 50-54 12392 13769 16091 20193 23268 26578 28812 29344 30048 32237 55-59 11425 11724 13061 15305 19255 22220 25424 27589 28122 28818 60-64 9977 10478 10780 12043 14160 17870 20662 23689 25740 26264 65-69 7867 8721 9189 9481 10630 12548 15902 18431 21187 23058 70-74 5920 6377 7104 7510 7m 8750 10382 13223 15370 17725 75+ 6678 7460 8224 9171 9974 10595 11663 13460 16545 19769 TOTAL 330184 356962 383740 409202 433195 455707 476787 496417 514031 529019 FEMALES 0-4 37121 37894 38566 38131 37681 37326 37241 37596 37801 37722 5-9 34122 36880 37701 38405 38004 37583 37253 37186 37551 37759 10-14 31885 34054 36821 37645 38355 37964 37552 37228 37165 37531 15-19 31096 31812 33991 36757 37587 38306 37923 37518 37200 37139 20-24 30674 31011 31736 33909 36676 37518 38246 37873 37477 37162 25-29 28560 30573 30920 31637 33812 36588 37442 38179 37816 37423 30-34 25119 28439 30454 30796 31520 33707 36491 37355 38101 37743 35-39 21769 24974 28291 30298 30652 31386 33581 36372 37246 37998 40-44 17340 21592 24786 2a091 30097 30466 31210 33413 36208 37090 45-49 14683 17120 21347 24517 27809 29814 30195 30949 33157 35949 50-54 13008 14392 16809 20991 24130 2740C 29395 29790 30553 32757 55-59 12348 12616 13984 16364 20478 235s6 26799 28775 29185 29951 60-64 11276 11782 12054 13389 15712 19723 22734 25895 27B36 28257 65-69 9351 10441 10929 11197 12476 14o99 18522 21402 24439 26304 70-74 7607 8194 9183 9625 9885 11063 13104 16602 19240 22038 75+ 10782 11886 13025 14504 15731 16679 18235 20872 25360 30187 TOTAL 336742 363659 390597 416256 440604 463788 485923 507006 526335 543011 BIRTH RATE 23.2 21.8 20.0 18.6 17.4 16.5 15.9 15.3 14.8 DEATH RATE 7.9 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.6 8.1 8.8 RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.53 1.43 1.27 1.14 1.02 .92 .83 n .60 NET MIGRATION RATE .2 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.55 1.44 1.c8 1.14 1.02 .92 .83 .72 .60 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.827 2.706 2.542 2.382 2.238 2.137 2.098 2.086 2.081 NRR 1.315 1.261 1.198 1.129 1.062 1.018 1.003 1.000 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 70.13 71.04 71.82 72.58 73.25 73.56 74.40 74.89 75.29 e(1O) - BOTH SEXES 63.17 63.71 64.19 64.67 65.12 65.54 65.92 66.29 66.60 IMR - BOTH SEXES 37.7 33.2 29.3 25.6 22.6 20.0 18.0 16.4 15.2 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0488 .0421 .0366 .0314 .0273 .0238 .0211 .0190 .0177 DEP. RATIO 62.9 61.3 58.9 55.1 51.8 49.3 48.7 49.4 50.9 52.5 65 AMERICA Poputatlon projection (thousadn) Sumury for 25 Year Periods AGE WR1UP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL M4F 666926 825458 1040366 1150010 1185896 1205005 1216994 1222126 MALES 0-4 38367 39407 39180 39182 39205 39265 39257 39240 5-9 35130 39509 38797 38966 39066 39148 39187 39205 10-14 32782 38620 38317 38s6s 39021 39109 39152 39179 15-19 31956 37681 38241 38709 3"80 39048 39098 39134 20-24 31243 34624 38362 38705 38076 38934 39009 39060 25-29 28677 32164 38526 38581 38685 38785 38895 38976 30-34 24992 31245 38625 38158 38436 38635 38792 38892 35-39 21535 30469 37559 37534 38210 38492 38674 38787 0-44 16987 27824 36374 37240 37879 38310 38495 38625 45-49 14257 23956 33039 37002 37575 37961 38161 38323 50-54 12392 20193 30048 36484 36866 37269 37548 37754 55-59 11425 15305 28122 35343 35351 36031 36461 36718 60-64 9977 12043 25740 3237r 32905 34078 34655 34939 65-69 7867 9481 21187 28389 29720 30998 31771 32054 70-74 5920 7510 15370 21885 25241 2656U 27329 27605 75+ 6678 9171 16545 29433 38346 41583 43917 44808 TOTAL 330184 409202 514031 566852 584364 594204 600400 603300 FEMALES 0-4 37121 38131 37801 37611 37577 37588 37546 37507 5-9 34122 38405 37551 37473 37499 37516 37512 37502 10-14 31885 37645 37165 37424 37496 37508 3750S 37500 15-19 31096 36757 37200 37442 37514 37495 37492 37494 20-24 30674 33909 37477 37578 37503 37458 37469 37481 25-29 28560 31637 37816 37600 37416 37396 37423 37463 30-34 25119 30798 38101 3320 37271 37333 37390 37443 35-39 21769 30298 37246 36ss6 37158 37290 37356 37415 40-44 17340 2O91 36208 36764 37077 37245 37298 37362 45-49 14683 24517 33157 36816 37042 37118 37171 37252 50-54 13008 2099 30553 36766 36762 36813 36931 37034 55-59 12348 16364 29185 36411 35970 36272 36531 36674 60-64 11276 13389 27836 34579 34648 35458 35874 36040 65-69 9351 11197 24439 31896 32972 34048 34620 34793 70-74 7607 9625 19240 26462 30172 31484 32123 32314 75+ 10782 14504 25360 44159 57454 62778 66353 67553 TOTAL 336742 416256 526335 5s3158 601532 610800 616593 618827 BIRTH RATE 21.6 16.7 14.1 13.3 13.0 12.8 12.7 DEATH RATE 7.5 7.5 10.1 12.1 12.4 12.4 12.5 NET NIGRATION RATE .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.42 .93 .40 .12 .06 .04 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.684 2.183 2.084 2.083 2.081 2.076 2.065 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 71.04 73.85 75.68 76.78 78.16 79.09 79.36 IHR - BOTH SEXES 33.4 20.5 14.3 12.5 11.4 9.6 6.8 66 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Populetlon projection (thousards) ,....................................................... ................................................................................................ ... ............................ AGE GROWP ¶985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M+F 398867 441614 485976 529974 sm13 612293 650031 686302 720543 751576 HALES 0-4 27946 28581 29605 29724 29378 28857 28579 28903 29200 29193 5-9 25309 27469 28181 m72 29450 29148 28665 28418 28760 29070 10-14 23434 25121 27301 28039 29148 29342 29054 28583 28345 28694 15-19 21416 23223 24931 27129 27886 29008 M16 28942 28482 28254 20-24 19388 21083 22924 24669 26888 27669 28809 29036 28779 28338 25-29 16305 18997 20737 22624 24398 26636 27440 28598 28844 28609 30-34 13677 15955 18674 20454 22365 24158 26408 2730 28400 28664 35-39 11087 13363 15659 18394 20191 22115 23918 26171 27005 2'185 4044 9000 10794 13068 15365 18094 19696 21822 23625 25873 26717 45-49 7675 8701 10479 1279 15004 17704 19497 21410 23203 25434 50-54 6480 7330 8342 10078 12274 14499 17141 18906 20788 22553 55-59 5468 6057 6878 7855 9518 11621 13759 16299 18007 19830 60-64 4317 4939 5495 6264 7180 8728 10686 12682 15059 16671 65-69 3178 3696 4251 4752 5443 6265 7642 9386 11173 13306 70-74 2310 2501 2927 3387 3809 4385 5072 6212 7658 9150 75+ 2329 2631 2926 3384 3949 4540 5259 6124 7392 9086 TOTAL 199320 220440 242379 264118 284973 304572 322966 340524 356968 371753 FEMALES 0-4 27084 27771 28745 28833 28483 27970 27691 27994 28270 28245 5-9 ?4718 26741 27500 28536 28677 28365 27881 27626 27943 28228 10-14 22940 24577 26625 27410 28465 28622 28321 27848 27600 27922 15-19 20987 22786 24450 26523 27329 28399 28568 28280 27815 27573 20-24 19179 20752 22592 24296 26399 27229 28316 28503 28227 27774 25-29 16271 18905 20525 22409 24150 26276 27125 28232 28433 28171 30-34 13728 16025 186I8 20345 22259 24021 26162 27028 28147 28360 35-39 11139 13509 15824 18505 20186 22115 23891 26042 26921 28048 40-44 9129 10943 13313 15634 18319 20012 21950 23734 25891 26778 45-49 7831 8932 10737 13096 15409 18085 19782 21722 23509 25663 50-54 6732 7603 8696 10482 12812 15106 17759 19453 21386 23168 55-59 5782 6451 730 8387 10139 12424 14679 17291 18972 20885 60-64 4690 5418 6071 6908 7957 9654 11865 14055 16599 18246 65-69 3579 4224 4908 5530 6327 7325 8925 11010 13088 15501 70-74 2722 3006 3576 4188 4753 5475 6376 7811 9683 11558 75+ 3036 3532 4036 4776 5677 6643 7774 9149 11093 13702 TOTAL 199547 221174 243597 265856 287340 307721 327065 345778 363576 379822 BIRTH RATE 28.4 26.4 24.0 21.7 19.8 18.3 17.4 16.7 15.9 DEATH RATE 7.2 6.7 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.9 7.5 RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.11 1.97 1.77 1.56 1.36 1.21 1.09 .98 .84 NET MIGRATION RATE -.8 -.5 . -.3 -.2 -.. -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 GRCWTH RATE 2.04 1.91 1.73 1.54 1.35 1.20 1.09 .97 .84 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.550 3.201 2.879 2.597 2.364 2.205 2.137 2.108 2.092 NRR 1.598 1.464 1.314 1.215 1.113 1.045 1.018 1.007 1.001 e(o) - BOTH SEXES 66.64 68.01 69.23 70.33 71.24 72.03 72.71 73.30 73.76 e(lO) - BOTH SEXES 60.86 61.64 62.38 63.05 63.65 64.17 64.62 65.04 65.38 IHR - BOTH SEXES 46.0 40.0 34.9 30.4 27.0 23.9 21.4 19.4 18.1 q(S) - BOTH SEXES .0603 .0513 .0440 .0376 .0328 .0287 .0252 .0228 .0212 DEP. RATIO 73.2 68.7 64.5 59.6 55.2 51.1 48.1 46.9 46.9 48.0 67 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population projection (thousands) Sulry for 25 Year Periods , ............................................................................................. AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .................................................... .................................................................................... TOTAL N F 396867 529974 720543 834917 874500 893678 905606 910743 MALES 0-4 27946 29724 29200 29174 29219 29286 29280 29261 5-9 25309 2927 28760 28977 29100 29181 29216 29233 10-14 23434 28039 2845 28926 29071 29147 29186 29212 15-19 21416 27129 28482 28809 29034 29089 29139 29176 20-24 19388 24669 28779 28810 28923 28984 29065 29118 25-29 16305 22624 28844 28658 28731 28853 28971 29053 30-34 13677 20454 28400 28187 28511 28732 28888 28985 35-39 11087 18394 27005 27645 28351 28621 28791 28901 40-44 9000 15365 25873 27589 28084 28468 28641 28771 45-49 7675 12729 23203 27574 27837 28165 28369 28537 50-54 6480 10078 20788 27074 27216 27588 27890 28103 55-59 5468 7855 18007 25653 25893 26617 27068 27324 60-64 4317 6264 15059 22834 23950 25150 25716 25990 65-69 3178 4752 11173 19644 21663 22821 23555 23828 70-74 2310 3387 7658 14775 18402 19495 20222 20501 75,+ 2329 3384 7392 17528 26634 29997 32311 33213 TOTAL 199320 264118 356968 411858 430620 440196 446309 449207 FEMALES 0-4 27084 28833 28270 28082 28069 2a87 28045 28005 5-9 24718 28536 27943 27956 28002 28019 28012 28001 10-14 22940 27410 27600 27950 28010 28011 28005 28000 15-19 20987 26523 27815 27988 28025 27994 27990 27993 20-24 19179 24296 28227 28105 27994 27951 27969 27982 25-29 16271 22409 28433 28072 27891 27893 27927 27968 30-34 13728 20345 28147 2M7 27760 27844 27900 27950 35-39 11139 18505 26921 27301 27695 27815 27870 27925 40-44 9129 15634 25891 27394 27642 27774 27816 27879 45-49 7831 13096 23509 27601 27609 27648 27704 27791 50-54 6732 10482 21386 27464 27318 27372 27511 27621 55-59 5782 8387 18972 26633 26535 26927 27207 27349 60-64 4690 6908 16599 24605 25411 26310 26714 26870 65-69 3579 5530 13088 22264 24212 25227 25766 25927 70-74 2722 4188 9683 18072 22140 23261 23869 24062 75+ 3036 4776 11093 25855 39567 45349 48993 50212 TOTAL 199547 265856 363576 423059 443880 453482 459297 461536 BIRTH RATE 26.1 18.6 14.8 13.6 13.2 12.9 12.7 DEATH RATE 6.7 6.4 9.0 11.7 12.3 12.4 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE -.5 -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.89 1.23 .59 .19 .09 .05 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.180 2.270 2.092 2.090 2.088 2.080 2.066 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 68.05 72.01 74.19 75.75 77.6. 78.91 79.27 INR - BOTH SEXES 40.3 24.4 17.2 15.0 13.5 11.1 7.3 68 NORTHERN ANERICA Poputation projection (thousands) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 l995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M+F 268059 279008 288361 295484 301486 307203 312679 317121 319823 320454 MALES 0-4 10421 10507 10210 9683 9590 9764 9977 10042 9979 9934 5-9 9821 10494 10559 10236 9694 9595 9766 9974 10038 9971 10-14 9348 9680 10536 10582 10246 9700 9598 9766 9972 10032 15-19 10540 9403 9918 10552 10584 10245 9698 9593 9759 9962 20-24 11855 10647 9482 9956 10563 10586 10244 9691 9584 9742 25-29 12371 11998 10753 9540 9979 10571 10589 10238 9682 9566 30-34 11315 12483 12075 10791 9556 9982 10568 10578 10225 9663 35-39 10447 11375 12511 12075 10779 9543 9966 10545 10554 10198 40-44 7987 10442 11349 12459 12018 10730 9502 9922 10500 10509 45-49 6582 7920 10337 11227 12324 11894 10626 9416 9837 10415 50-54 5911 6438 7749 10115 10994 12079 11671 10438 9260 9683 55-59 5957 5667 6182 7450 9737 10599 11665 11290 10115 8988 60-64 5660 5539 5285 5779 6980 9143 9977 11008 10681 9592 65-69 4689 5025 4938 4729 5187 6284 8260 9045 10015 9752 70-74 3610 3876 4177 4123 3964 4365 5311 7011 7711 8575 75+ 4349 4829 5298 5787 6025 6055 6404 733s 9152 10683 TOTAL 130865 136522 141361 145084 148221 151135 153820 155893 157063 157266 FEMALES 0-4 10037 10123 9822 9298 9198 9356 9549 9602 9531 9477 5-9 9404 10139 10201 9669 9327 9219 9372 9560 9608 9532 10-14 8945 9478 10196 10236 9890 9342 9231 9380 9565 9609 15-19 10109 9026 9540 10234 10258 9907 9355 9239 9386 9566 20-24 11496 10259 9144 9613 10276 10290 9930 9370 9250 9388 25-29 12289 11669 10395 9228 9662 10312 10316 9948 9383 9252 30-34 11392 12414 11766 10453 9262 9686 10329 10327 9954 9382 35-39 10630 11465 12466 11793 10466 9271 9.91 10330 10326 9950 40-44 8211 10649 1l472 12457 1177 10454 9261 9679 10317 10312 45-49 6852 8188 10609 11421 12400 11728 10413 9228 9647 10286 50-54 6275 6789 8113 10509 11317 12294 11636 10337 9167 9589 55-59 6565 6165 6675 7977 10339 11145 12120 11484 10213 9066 60-64 6585 6363 5984 6481 7755 10066 10870 11840 11238 10011 65-69 5772 6217 6021 5666 6149 7374 9598 10392 11351 10803 70-74 4885 5188 m6m6 5438 5133 5587 6727 8791 9557 *0480 75. 7746 8354 8989 9728 10054 10036 10461 11723 14267 16484 TOTAL '17195 142486 147000 150399 153264 156067 158858 161228 162759 163189 BIRTH RATE 15.2 14.3 13.1 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.3 12.2 DEATH RATE 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.9 10.8 11.8 RATE OF NAT. INC. .64 .54 .41 .36 .34 .33 .27 .16 .04 NET MIGRATION RATE 1.6 1.2 .7 .4 .3 .2 .2 .1 .0 GROWTH RATE .80 .66 .49 .40 .38 .35 .28 .17 .04 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.866 1.865 1.864 1.896 1.929 1.961 1.992 2.022 2.052 NRR .899 .899 .899 .916 .933 .948 .964 .979 .994 etO) - BOTH SEXES 75.49 75.98 76.33 76.75 77.16 77.57 77.98 78.40 78.82 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 66.72 67.09 67.35 67.67 67.99 68.33 68.68 69.04 69.40 IMR - BOTH SEXES 13.8 12.5 11.5 10.4 9.4 8.7 8.0 7.3 6.6 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0158 .0142 .0130 .0117 .0104 .0096 .0088 .0079 .0071 DEP. RATIO 49.7 50.9 50.3 47.7 45.6 45.9 50.0 55.1 60.7 64.2 69 NORTHERN AMERICA Poputation projection (thousards) Sumry for 25 Year Periods ,... .... ... .... ............................................... ...................................................................................... ..... AGE GROP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ....... ............ . .............................. ........ ............... .............................. .................................... . ........... TOTAL NF 268059 295484 319823 315093 311395 311327 311388 311384 MALES 0-4 10421 9683 9979 10008 9985 9978 9978 9979 5-9 9821 10236 1038 9989 9967 9967 9970 9972 10-14 9348 1O582 9972 9939 9951 9962 9966 9967 15-19 10540 10552 9759 9899 9946 9959 9959 9958 20-24 11855 9956 9584 9895 9953 9950 9944 9942 25-29 12371 9540 9682 9923 9954 9931 9924 9924 30-34 11315 10791 10225 9972 9925 9903 9903 9906 35-39 10447 12075 10554 9889 9859 9871 9882 9886 40-44 7987 12459 lOSOO 9651 9795 9841 9854 9854 45-49 6582 11227 9837 9427 9738 9795 9792 9786 50-54 5911 10115 9260 9410 9650 9680 9658 9651 55-59 5957 7450 10115 9690 9458 9414 9393 9394 60-64 5660 5779 10681 9543 8954 8928 8938 8949 65-69 4689 4729 10015 8745 8057 8177 8216 8226 70-74 3610 4123 7711 7110 6839 7065 7106 7104 75+ 4349 5787 9152 11904 11712 11586 11606 11595 TOTAL 130865 145084 157063 154994 153744 154008 154091 154093 FEMALES 0-4 10037 9298 9531 9530 9508 9501 9501 9501 5-9 9404 9869 9608 9517 9496 9497 9500 9501 10-14 8945 10236 9565 9475 9486 9497 9501 9501 15-19 10109 10234 9386 9454 9489 9502 9502 9500 20-24 11496 9613 9250 9473 9509 9506 9501 9498 25-29 12289 9228 9383 9,2? 9525 9503 9496 9496 30-34 11392 10453 9954 '9602 9511 9490 9490 9493 35-39 10630 11793 10326 9555 9464 9475 9486 9490 40-44 8211 12457 10317 9370 9435 9470 9482 9483 45-49 6852 11421 9647 9214 9434 9469 9466 9461 50-54 6275 10509 9167 9302 9444 9442 9420 9413 55-59 6565 7977 10213 9779 9435 9345 9324 9325 60-64 6585 6481 11238 9974 9237 9149 9159 9170 65-69 5m 5666 11351 9633 8760 8821 8854 8866 70-74 4885 5438 9557 8390 8032 8223 8254 8252 75* 7746 9728 14267 18304 17887 17429 17360 17341 TOTAL 137195 150399 162759 160099 157652 157318 157297 157291 BIRTH RATE 14.2 12.6 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 8.9 9.7 12.9 13.0 12.6 12.6 12.6 NET MIGRATION RATE 1.2 .3 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE .65 .32 -.06 -.05 .00 .00 .00 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.871 1.959 2.061 2.063 2.063 2.063 2.063 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 75.94 77.59 79.38 79.61 79.60 79.60 79.60 INR- BOTH SEXES 12.6 8.7 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 70 ASIA Poputetion projection (thotmnds) ........................................................... .................................................................................................... AGE GROUP 1985 l990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL N*F 2821424 3093323 3378743 3657286 3912770 4145375 4373140 4600428 4815390 5005220 MALES 0-4 174215 193089 203149 202968 1958% 189236 192654 198523 199533 196121 5-9 165467 170347 189531 199924 200146 193499 i87211 190918 197053 198323 10-14 171277 164258 169216 188433 198897 199221 192686 186507 190294 196499 15-19 163322 169674 162999 168003 187227 197751 198170 191758 185700 189569 20-24 135211 161361 168019 161311 166361 185580 196171 196728 190492 184599 25-29 113579 133223 159291 166040 159496 64595 183808 194494 195218 189179 30-34 104595 II1776 131366 157317 161132 157744 162888 182119 192917 193&.11 35-39 84381 102740 109960 129438 155228 16210l 155869 161077 180341 191257 40-44 70104 82460 100669 107868 127165 152732 159646 153610 158907 178187 45-49 63562 67881 80123 98034 105156 124166 149365 156315 150552 155937 50-54 56766 60695 65022 76992 94411 101386 119916 144547 151534 146125 55-59 46506 53031 56891 61118 72611 89255 95960 113758 137511 144471 60-64 35455 41968 48076 51731 55742 66484 81942 88261 104977 127355 65-69 27246 30325 36122 41563 44870 48524 58141 71943 77717 92830 70-74 17026 21371 24039 28816 33315 36103 39206 47284 58839 63796 75+ 16310 19027 23456 27603 33126 39134 44182 49131 57795 70884 TOTAL 1445022 1583424 1727930 1867159 1993778 2107509 2217815 2326973 2429378 2518941 FEMALES 0-4 165283 183545 193501 193978 187758 181761 185277 191037 191922 188465 5-9 157076 160906 179599 190178 191240 185601 180061 183924 189943 191049 10-14 160719 155747 15972 178539 189247 190464 184967 179557 183503 189587 15-19 150834 159289 154491 5862 177517 188355 189705 184354 179057 183079 20-24 129072 149051 157620 153068 157327 176319 187287 188809 183614 178446 25-29 108348 127191 147204 155949 151575 155978 175047 186168 187852 182815 30-34 99965 106541 125394 145487 154293 150115 154637 173800 185049 186880 35-39 79536 98155 104797 123694 143744 152634 148624 153284 172506 183862 40-44 65588 77839 96329 103060 121872 141879 150811 146992 151758 171003 45-49 58973 63848 76020 94375 101066 119766 139650 148617 144966 149806 50-54 52665 56932 61797 73878 91915 98570 117053 136758 145713 142224 55-59 43722 50176 54391 59265 71085 88716 95265 113442 132846 141723 60-64 35207 40713 46923 51110 55838 67311 84313 90704 108385 127286 65-69 28626 31513 36649 42568 46488 51029 61886 77905 83994 100805 70-74 19250 23791 26523 31184 36367 39940 44084 53897 68283 73813 75+ 21536 24663 29856 35173 41659 49427 56656 64206 76621 95435 TOTAL 1376402 1509699 1650813 1790127 1918992 2037866 2155325 2273455 2386011 2486279 BIRTH RATE 27.7 26.4 24.1 21.5 19.4 18.6 18.0 17.2 16.1 DEATH RATE 9.2 8.7 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.4 RATE OF MAT. INC. 1.85 1.77 1.59 1.35 1.16 1.07 1.01 .91 .77 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.84 1.77 1.58 1.35 1.15 1.07 1.01 .91 .77 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.471 3.200 2.931 2.688 2.472 2.363 2.296 2.228 2.169 NRR 1.453 1.351 1.262 1.194 1.123 1.081 1.055 1.034 1.017 e(O) BOTH SEXES 63.19 64.62 66.02 67.10 68.22 69.22 70.25 71.23 72.13 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 59.08 59.88 60.72 61.29 61.95 62.53 63.16 63.79 64.38 IMR - BOTH SEXES 68.2 60.0 53.9 48.6 43.5 38.4 33.4 29.1 25.4 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0958 .0831 .0734 .0654 .0576 .0500 .0427 .0365 .0313 DEP. RATIO 66.2 61.6 60.3 59.3 55.7 51.2 48.4 48.1 48.6 49.5 71 ASIA Poputetion projection (thousands) Sumsery for 25 Year Periods ............ .................................................................................................. AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ~~~~~~~~**.-......... .................................................................... TOTAL N4F 2821424 3657286 4815390 5539653 5848868 5967109 6048966 6083199 PALES 0-4 174215 202968 199533 196459 195217 194813 194734 194771 5-9 165467 199924 197053 194281 194030 194272 194462 194613 10-14 171277 188433 190294 191527 193268 194096 194431 194561 15-19 163322 168003 185700 190918 193595 194278 194436 194450 20-24 135211 161311 190492 193493 194438 194299 194191 194132 25-29 113579 166040 195218 19SS98 194256 193590 193599 193669 30-34 104595 157317 192917 193119 191888 192197 192873 193207 35-39 84381 129438 180341 185554 188577 190981 192340 192859 40-44 70104 107868 158907 179814 187127 190626 191974 192367 45-49 63562 96034 150552 182564 188182 190202 190921 191100 50-54 56766 76992 151534 183521 187242 187393 187889 188256 55-59 46506 61118 137511 174797 179161 179949 181805 182924 60-64 35455 51731 104977 153181 162728 167978 172261 174141 65-69 27246 41563 71m77 121204 143432 152614 158248 160230 70-74 17026 28816 58839 97056 124505 132177 136900 138462 75+ 16310 27603 57795 133668 187405 206195 218320 224321 TOTAL 1445022 1867159 2429378 2766754 2905050 2955659 2989385 3004063 FEMALES 0-4 165283 193978 191922 188281 186844 186337 186186 186190 5-9 157076 190178 189943 186488 185904 185984 186068 186158 10-14 160719 178539 183503 184121 185323 185949 186147 186206 15-19 150834 158621 179057 183951 185875 186333 186328 186263 20-24 129072 153068 183614 186995 187132 186683 186384 186225 25-29 108348 155949 187852 189661 187388 186355 186141 186085 30-34 99965 145487 185049 187760 185508 185345 185758 185934 35-39 79536 123694 172506 180712 182785 184538 185610 185933 40-44 65588 103060 151758 175365 182030 184704 185776 185946 45-49 58973 94375 144966 178418 184035 185234 185654 185593 50-54 52665 73878 145713 180280 184881 184160 184384 184503 55-59 43722 59265 132846 173954 180020 179983 181625 182506 60-64 35207 51110 108385 156510 168372 173362 177666 179399 65-69 28626 42568 83994 129160 155117 165379 171635 173655 70-74 19250 31184 68283 110795 143341 153688 159992 161784 75+ 21536 35173 76621 18K447 259263 297416 324228 336755 TOTAL 1376402 1790127 2386011 2772899 2943818 3011450 3059581 3079136 BIRTH RATE 25.9 18.8 14.9 13.5 13.0 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 8.7 7.9 9.4 11.3 12.2 12.2 12.4 MET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROiTH RATE 1.73 1.10 .56 .22 .08 .05 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.181 2.399 2.122 2.080 2.070 2.061 2.059 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 64.69 69.32 73.72 76.47 77.84 79.09 79.58 IR- BOTH SEXES 60.6 38.6 19.9 11.5 8.5 6.2 5.3 72 EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA Population projection (thousards) ,................................................... ............................................................................................. ........... AGE GROWP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL H.F 1648347 l778903 1918039 2050395 2163430 2260922 2354300 2448001 2535035 2606523 PALES 0-4 82598 93994 100775 99454 93143 88651 90393 94500 95768 93825 5-9 85693 81561 93060 99948 98755 92574 88171 89968 94112 95421 10-14 98733 85287 81210 92725 99633 98476 92332 87962 89776 93932 15-19 97955 98176 84838 808l8 92334 99253 98128 92031 87698 89530 20-24 80612 97122 97415 84228 80278 91783 98709 97631 91598 87317 25-29 68580 79779 96241 96617 83587 79702 91190 98126 97100 91137 30-34 66407 67822 79001 95418 95865 872 79143 90619 97566 96592 35-39 52334 65583 67043 78191 94540 95048 82296 78532 89990 96948 40-4 42233 51485 64616 66116 77199 93437 94002 81430 77747 89174 45-49 38930 41228 50372 63308 64832 7578 91829 92470 80153 76581 50-54 35457 37527 39s36 48784 61388 62922 73648 89371 90106 78172 55-59 29521 33493 35539 37821 46422 58491 60006 70368 85563 86413 60-64 22922 27000 30747 32715 34907 42957 54195 55695 65477 79835 65-69 16611 19930 23607 26994 28801 30825 38047 48120 49567 58470 70-74 11391 13331 16101 19194 22038 23587 25332 31422 39873 41199 75+ 10168 12774 15493 18885 22868 26980 30226 33294 39506 49054 TOTAL 840145 906092 97582 1041216 1096590 1143448 1187646 1231539 1271598 1303601 FEMALES 0-4 78685 89752 96349 95249 89353 85140 86884 90819 92028 90154 5-9 80532 77608 88795 95574 94616 88s77 84769 86572 90547 91800 10-14 92476 80160 77301 88536 95335 94419 88720 84644 86463 90452 15-19 91877 92010 79807 77029 88271 95096 94216 88558 84512 86350 20-24 78546 91227 91449 79416 76684 87943 94794 93961 88353 84347 25-29 65287 77843 90540 90906 78978 76308 87578 94459 93677 88126 30-34 63329 64613 77165 9925 90331 78534 75921 87202 94111 93382 35-39 49046 62610 63952 76540 89252 89730 78059 75509 86798 93735 40-44 39338 48378 61847 63285 75797 88480 89021 77499 75018 86308 45-49 36300 38639 47612 61002 62432 74872 87491 88107 76762 74361 50-54 33497 35408 37765 46679 59837 61298 73614 86140 86846 75729 55-59 28422 32324 34244 36656 45369 58254 59735 71874 84256 85065 60-64 23577 26914 30712 32696 35043 43513 55987 57491 69355 81501 65-69 18385 21559 24732 28443 30312 32623 40681 52493 54011 65391 70-74 13639 15738 18604 21595 24878 26656 28845 36180 46878 48380 75+ 15267 18029 21273 25646 30351 35732 40338 44954 53822 67840 TOTAL 808202 82812 942147 1009179 1066840 1117474 1166654 1216462 1263437 1302922 BIRTH RATE 22.6 22.3 20.4 17.9 16.2 15.8 15.8 15.. 14.6 DEATH RATE 7.3 7.2 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.7 8.0 8.4 9.0 RATE OF MAT. INC. 1.53 1.51 1.34 1.08 .88 .81 .78 .70 .56 MET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.1 -.0 -.0 *-.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.52 1.51 1.33 1.07 .88 .81 .78 .70 .56 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.673 2.538 2.388 2.277 2.188 2.145 2.129 2.113 2.097 NRR 1.205 1.143 1.088 1.058 1.034 1.012 1.003 1.001 1.001 e(o) - BOTH SEXES 68.03 69.16 70.42 71.12 71.95 72.65 73.34 73.99 74.62 e(IO) - BOTH SEXES 61.94 62.60 63.44 63.79 64.30 64.75 65.23 65.71 66.17 IMR - BOTH SEXES 43.3 37.7 33.2 29.4 26.0 23.1 20.6 18.6 16.8 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0578 .0f95 .0425 .0373 .0325 .0285 .0252 .0225 .0202 DEP. RATIO 57.9 52.1 52.1 53.2 50.9 47.2 45.4 46.8 48.9 51.5 73 EAST AND SJUTHEAST ASIA Poputetion projection (thouowwds) Sumry for 25 Year Periods ...... ......... ............................ ............................................................. . AGE ltCIW 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL N4F 1648347 2050395 235035 2764884 2848242 2878787 2897418 2905743 MALES 0-4 82598 99454 95768 93880 93190 92997 92974 92976 5-9 85693 99948 94112 92539 92417 92610 92794 92883 10-14 98733 92725 89776 90849 91862 92459 92768 92876 15-19 9?955 80818 87698 90860 92137 92652 92838 92864 20-24 80612 84228 91598 92900 92960 92840 92779 92728 25-29 68580 96617 97100 94399 93027 92519 92448 92466 30-34 66407 95418 97566 92670 91602 91657 91973 92195 35-39 52334 78191 89990 88048 89695 90915 91661 92019 40-44 42233 66116 77747 85528 89364 90902 91603 91851 45-49 38930 63308 80153 88548 90754 91164 91285 91303 50-54 35457 48784 90106 92285 90930 90052 89869 89897 55-59 29521 37821 85563 89691 86752 86333 8o800 87229 60-64 22922 32715 65477 77962 78228 80483 82140 82990 65-69 16611 26994 49567 6062 69482 73653 75647 76458 70-74 11391 19194 39873 53463 61940 64707 65847 66206 75+ 10168 ls885 39506 85738 100039 103129 105814 107289 TOTAL 840145 1041216 1271598 1370222 1404379 1419074 1429239 1434227 FEMALES 0-4 78685 95249 92028 90098 89301 89005 88917 88907 5-9 80532 95574 90547 88949 88680 88727 88812 88875 10-14 92476 88536 86463 87432 88239 88660 88846 88914 15-19 91877 77029 84512 87585 88632 88960 89003 88980 20-24 78546 79416 88353 89760 89626 89313 89094 88975 25-29 65287 90906 93677 91426 89907 89194 88942 88869 30-34 63329 89925 94111 89959 88743 88550 88647 88748 35-39 49046 76540 86798 85712 87141 88048 88536 88744 40-44 39338 63285 75018 83491 87139 8B327 88747 88821 45-49 36300 61002 76762 86817 88999 89072 88893 88717 50-54 33497 46679 86846 91229 90075 8886s 88350 88159 55-59 28422 36656 84256 90262 87599 86823 86915 87096 60-64 23577 32696 69355 81065 81711 83684 84976 85575 65-69 18385 28443 54011 66589 76396 80657 82378 82959 70-74 13639 21595 46878 62234 73318 76432 77358 77467 75+ 15267 25646 53822 122053 148359 155395 159765 161710 TOTAL 808202 1009179 1263437 1394662 1443863 1459713 1468179 1471516 BIRTH RATE 21.7 16.2 13.8 13.0 12.8 12.7 12.6 DEATH RATE 7.1 7.7 10.4 11.8 12.4 12.4 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWtH RATE 1.46 .85 .35 .12 .04 .03 .01 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.523 2.168 2.086 2.065 2.062 2.059 2.058 etO) - 80TH SEXES 69.26 72.67 75.79 78.09 78.84 79.39 79.59 IR - BOTH SEXES 38.0 23.5 13.9 8.5 6.8 5.7 5.3 74 SOtJTH ASIA Population projection (thousands) AGE ORaJP 9I5 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M.F 1056176 1182419 1309568 1436926 1560248 1677103 1793432 1900520 2020969 2123864 HALES 0-4 823 8s616 90924 91625 90696 88721 90211 91936 91812 90388 5-9 72065 T7976 86182 88706 89664 89011 87303 89012 90951 91031 10-14 65557 71313 789M0 85472 a8047 89066 88484 86848 88617 90612 15-19 59194 64759 70551 78212 84713 87336 88418 87909 86354 88183 20-24 49176 58103 63714 69529 77179 83692 86380 87550 87151 85702 25-29 40175 48046 56956 62586 68422 76064 82597 85372 86656 86379 30-34 34219 39157 47009 55859 61497 67351 74992 81561 84441 85841 35-39 28870 33221 3817 45952 54719 60357 66231 73879 80504 83493 40-4 25347 27845 32179 37087 44758 53417 59044 64937 72605 79285 45-49 22443 24197 26703 30949 35773 43288 51788 5n84 63297 70959 50-54 19334 21075 22832 25278 29386 34075 41355 49617 55168 61064 55-59 15392 17697 19393 21085 23427 27327 31802 38734 46670 52103 60-64 11414 13536 l5666 17239 18821 21000 24596 28753 35215 42651 65-69 9916 9445 11292 13140 14533 15950 17889 21065 24806 30590 70-74 5042 7480 7194 8657 10142 11287 12466 14078 16724 19872 75+ 5559 5594 7287 7901 9218 10883 12501 14157 16219 19230 TOTAL 546047 609790 675035 739276 800995 858826 916057 972791 1027191 1077386 FEMALES 0-4 77652 83684 86112 87267 86783 85191 86778 88566 88373 86838 5-9 69046 74512 G0846 83701 85283 85204 83948 85810 87803 87774 10-14 61493 68133 73674 8082 83044 84733 84753 83591 85516 87558 15-19 53098 60574 67269 72884 79361 82424 84206 84328 83244 85224 20-24 45397 52020 59516 66282 71978 78533 81697 83601 83824 82826 25-29 38804 44279 50915 58439 65273 71051 77671 80957 82967 83288 30-34 33125 37727 43215 49865 57408 64304 70145 7Ed46 80231 82332 35-39 27639 32088 36698 42195 48848 56401 63337 69255 76010 79472 40-44 23883 26663 31080 35687 41176 47816 55349 62326 68283 75062 45-49 20559 22899 25670 30036 34616 40070 46653 54150 61119 67078 50-54 17326 19480 21794 24536 28823 33346 38717 45219 52622 59530 55-59 13723 16098 18195 20463 23154 27320 31731 36988 43343 50578 60-64 10532 12335 14577 '6586 187m 21373 25343 29595 34656 40762 65-69 9433 8978 1060 12655 14520 16567 18984 22664 26639 31355 70-74 4942 7388 7109 8493 10247 11873 13659 15795 19011 22507 75h 5476 5768 7675 8480 9963 12071 14404 17037 20135 24295 TOTAL 512129 572629 634953 697650 759253 818277 877376 936728 993778 1046478 BIRTH RATE 34.6 31.5 28.6 25.7 23.1 21.7 20.6 19.2 17.8 DEATH RATE 12.2 10.9 10.0 9.2 8.6 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.8 RATE OF HAT. INC. 2.23 2.06 1.85 1.65 1.45 1.34 1.25 1.13 .99 NET NIGRATION RATE -.1 -.1 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.22 2.05 1.85 1.65 1.44 1.34 1.25 1.13 .99 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.704 4.159 3.648 3.183 2.789 2.588 2.463 2.348 2.248 NRR 1.803 1.647 1.490 1.332 1.193 1.135 1.103 1.067 1.033 ec(O) - BOTH SEXES 55.77 57.85 59.61 61.36 63.05 64.59 66.19 67.70 69.03 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 54.70 55.82 56.78 57.74 58.67 59.52 60.43 61.32 62.14 IWR - BOTH SEXES 93.7 83.9 75.7 67.9 60.7 53.6 46.4 39-.9 34.2 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1346 .1189 .1059 .0935 .0821 .0711 .0602 .0507 .0427 DEP. RATIO 79.5 76.0 71.9 66.9 61.2 55.8 51.7 49.3 48.1 47.3 75 SOUTH ASIA Population projection (thousands) Suumury for 25 Year Periods ............................ ............................................................ f,Z............................................................ AGE GROtP 198s 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ......................................................................................................... TOTAL M.F 1058176 1436926 2020989 2449346 2643951 2721604 2778766 2802504 MALES 0-4 82344 91625 91812 90607 90039 89803 89735 89768 5-9 72065 88706 90951 89813 896a7 89670 89653 89712 10-14 65557 85472 88617 88767 49476 89663 89657 89674 15-19 59194 78212 86354 88178 89561 89676 89607 89586 20-24 49176 69529 87151 88859 89625 89543 89444 89422 25-29 40175 62586 86656 89505 89424 89193 89213 89243 30-34 34219 55859 84441 88714 88537 88707 88993 89073 35-39 28870 45952 80504 85916 87194 88290 88811 88931 40-44 25347 37087 72605 83024 86170 88026 88560 88652 45-49 22443 30949 63297 82788 86079 87463 87924 88019 50-54 19334 25278 55168 80505 85200 85975 86489 86749 S-59 15392 21085 46670 75282 81630 82625 83807 84401 60-64 11414 17239 35215 66927 74468 77117 79492 80406 65-69 9916 13140 24806 53881 65125 69548 72880 73913 70-74 5042 8657 16724 39103 55095 59552 62709 63761 75+ 5559 7901 16219 42797 77303 90879 99167 103243 TOTAL 546047 739276 1027191 1234666 1324582 1355729 1376141 1384553 FENALES 0-4 77652 87267 88373 86688 86061 85861 85802 85816 5-9 69046 83701 87803 86057 85750 85788 85790 85818 10-14 61493 80082 85516 85206 85616 85822 85836 85827 15-19 s3098 72884 83244 84883 857BO 85909 85861 85820 20-24 45397 668 83824 85s34 86051 85908 85827 85786 25-29 38804 58439 82967 86826 86034 85704 85738 85755 30-34 33125 49865 80231 86313 85339 85349 85654 85727 35-39 27639 42195 W6010 83615 84237 85061 85624 85737 40-44 23883 35687 68283 B0762 83521 84976 85594 85684 45-49 20559 30036 61119 80436 8U807 84809 85357 85462 50-54 17326 24536 52622 78244 83677 84026 84690 84983 55-59 13723 20463 43343 73580 81397 82045 83483 84153 60-64 10532 16586 34656 66595 76041 78818 81670 82757 65-69 9433 12655 26639 55312 68877 74336 78638 80006 70-74 4942 8493 19011 43130 61049 67810 72794 74377 75+ 5476 8480 20135 51200 96133 123652 144267 154241 TOTAL 512129 697650 993778 1214680 1319369 1365876 1402625 1417950 BIRTH RATE 31.4 21.8 16.1 13.9 13.2 12.9 12.6 DEATH RATE 11.0 8.4 8.5 10.9 12.1 12.0 12.3 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.04 1.36 .77 .31 .12 .08 .03 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.125 2.644 2.161 2.096 2.078 2.064 2.059 etO) - BOTH SEXES 57.87 64.79 71.26 74.77 76.78 78.76 79.57 INR - BOTH SEXES 84.4 53.7 26.1 14.5 10.2 6.7 5.3 76 SWTHWEST ASIA Population projection (thoumu4ds) ................................................................................................................................. AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ............................................................................................................................... TOTAL IMF 114901 132001 150716 169966 18909 207350 225408 242907 259386 274834 MALES 0-4 9274 l0480 115so l1889 12058 11863 12050 12087 1V192 11908 5-9 o10 9079 10289 11270 11n7 11915 11737 11938 11990 1l8 10-14 6987 7657 9026 10236 11218 11679 11870 11696 11901 119 15-19 6173 6940 7610 8974 1l1o8 11161 11624 11818 11648 118 20-24 5422 6136 6891 7554 890 10105 11082 11547 11743 115 25-29 4823 5398 6094 6836 7487 am29 10022 10996 11462 116 30-34 3969 4796 5356 6041 6771 7420 8752 9939 10910 113 35-39 3177 3936 474 5295 5969 6696 7343 8666 9846 1(d 40-44 2524 3129 3873 466 5208 5878 6599 7243 8555 97 45-49 2189 2456 3049 .3777 4551 soes 5748 6462 7101 83 50-54 1975 2093 2354 291 3637 4389 4913 5559 6259 68 55-59 1593 1842 1959 2211 2762 3437 4152 4656 5279 59 60-64 1li8 1431 1663 lm 2013 2526 3152 3813 4285 4869 65-69 718 9f0 1223 1429 1535 1749 2204 2758 3345 3769 70-74 593 559 745 965 1135 1228 1407 1784 2242 2725 75+ 583 659 676 517 1040 1271 1456 1680 2070 25 TOTAL 58830 67542 77003 8 96194 105235 114112 122643 130589 137 FEMALES 0-4 8946 10109 11040 11461 11622 11430 11614 116S1 11521 114 -9 7498 8786 9958 10902 11342 11520 11344 11543 11594 114 10-14 6750 7455 8746 9920 low6 11312 11494 11323 11524 11578 15-19 5859 6705 7415 8708 9885 10835 11283 11469 11301 11505 20-24 5129 5803 6655 7370 8S65 9s43 10795 11247 11437 11273 25-29 4257 5069 5749 6604 7324 8619 9798 10752 11208 11401 30-34 3511 4200 5014 5697 6554 7278 8572 9751 10706 1ll 35-39 2851 3457 4146 4f95 564/ 6503 7227 8520 9699 10655 40-44 2368 2798 3402 4088 4899 5584 6441 7167 8457 9633 45-49 2115 2310 2738 3337 4018 4824 5506 6360 7084 8367 50-54 1842 2043 2239 2662 3254 3926 4722 5399 6245 6965 55-59 1577 1753 1952 2146 2562 3142 3799 4580 5246 6080 60-64 1098 1464 1634 1829 2020 2424 2984 3618 4374 5023 65-69 808 975 1308 1470 1656 1840 2221 2748 3344 4059 70-74 668 665 810 1096 1242 1412 1580 1922 2393 2926 75+ 793 866 908 1047 1345 1624 1915 2215 2664 3299 TOTAL 56071 64459 73713 83297 92899 102115 111295 120264 128797 136879 BIRTH RATE 36.0 34.1 30.9 27.8 24.7 22.8 21.0 19.3 18.0 DEATH RATE 8.7 7.8 '7.1 6.6 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.4 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.73 2.62 2.39 2.13 1.84 1.67 1.49 1.31 1.16 NET MIGRATION RATE .4 .3 .2 .A .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.77 2.65 2.40 2.13 1.84 1.67 1.50 1.31 1.16 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.998 4.579 4.086 3.587 3.064 2.735 2.474 2.278 2.177 NRR 2.143 1.996 1.813 1.627 1.401 1.258 1.149 1.066 1.025 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 63.43 65.03 66.45 67.74 68.89 69.84 70.71 71.51 72.27 eC10) - BOTH SEXES 59.22 60.11 60.92 61.70 62.42 62.99 63.52 64.02 64.49 IMR - BOTH SEXES 62.5 56.1 50.0 44.8 40.6 36.1 32.1 28.6 25.1 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0882 0779 .0684 .0604 .0540 .0474 .0417 .0366 .0315 DEP. RATIO 80.7 79.0 78.3 74.4 68.4 61.4 56.0 52.2 50.1 48.4 77 SOUTHIEST ASIA Peputatfon projection (theusands) Summry for 25 Year Periods AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ......................................................................................................... TOTAL NF 114901 16996 259386 325422 356675 366717 372782 374952 NALES 0-4 9274 11889 11952 11971 11989 12013 12026 12028 S-9 m7o 11270 11990 11929 119f6 11992 12015 12019 10-14 6987 10236 11901 11911 11930 11974 12006 12012 15-19 6173 8974 11648 11880 11897 11950 11991 12000 20-24 5422 7554 11743 1173.4 11853 11917 11968 11982 25-29 4823 6836 11462 11693 11805 11877 11939 11960 30-34 3969 6041 10910 11735 11749 11832 11907 11938 35-39 3177 5295 9846 11589 11688 11776 11867 11909 40-44 2524 4666 8555 11261 11594 11698 11811 11864 45-49 2189 3777 7101 11229 11349 11575 11712 11778 50-54 1975 2931 6259 10732 11111 11365 11531 11610 55-59 1593 2211 5279 9824 10780 10990 11198 11294 60-64 1118 1777 4285 8292 10031 10378 1(629 10746 65-69 718 1429 3345 6460 8825 9413 9722 9859 70-74 593 965 2242 4491 7470 7919 8344 8496 n5+ 583 817 2070 5133 10063 12187 13339 13789 TOTAL 588so 86668 130589 161865 176089 1s0s85 184005 185283 FEMALES 0-4 8946 11461 11P21 11496 11482 11471 11467 11467 5-9 7498 10902 11594 11482 11475 11468 11466 11466 10-14 6750 9920 11524 11484 11469 11467 11465 11465 15-19 5859 8708 11301 11482 11462 11465 11464 11464 20-24 5129 7370 11437 11402 11455 11462 11463 11463 25-29 4257 6604 11208 11409 11447 11457 11461 11461 30-34 3511 5697 10706 11488 11427 11446 11456 11458 35-39 2851 4959 9699 11385 11407 11428 11449 11452 40-44 2368 4088 8457 11112 11370 11400 11435 11441 45-49 2115 3337 7084 11165 11229 11353 11405 11414 50-54 1842 2662 6245 10807 11129 11269 11344 11360 55-59 1577 2146 5246 10112 1q924 11114 11228 11257 60-64 1098 1829 4374 8850 10620 10860 11020 11067 65-69 808 1470 3344 7259 9844 10385 10619 10690 70-74 668 1096 2393 5431 8974 9447 9840 9940 75+ 79 1047 2664 7195 14770 18369 20195 20804 TOTAL S6071 83297 128797 163557 180586 185861 188777 189669 BIRTH RATE 33.5 22.8 16.3 13.8 13.1 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 7.8 6.2 7.3 10.2 12.0 12.1 12.4 NET MIGRATION RATE .3 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTN RATE 2.61 1.69 .91 .37 .11 .07 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.506 2.759 2.122 2.081 2.070 2.063 2.061 0(O) - BOTH SEXES 65.10 69.89 73.66 75.89 77.80 79.27 79.59 INR - BOTH SEXES 56.0 36.5 19.5 12.9 8.8 5.9 5.3 78 ELIROPE AND U.S.S.R PopJlation projection (thousands) ............. ............................... ............ ............................................... ............. AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL M#F 770751 789463 8W032 820747 832740 842576 851013 857719 863674 867278 MALES 0-4 28951 29068 28542 27846 27832 27966 28057 27981 27972 28095 5-9 28985 28785 28918 28412 2732 2730 27869 27970 27905 27904 10-14 29297 28914 28716 28853 28353 27679 27679 27822 27926 27865 15-19 30121 29199 28817 28625 28767 28275 27606 27611 27758 27867 20-24 32320 29972 29054 28678 28492 28641 28157 27499 27512 27665 25-29 31566 32126 29804 28896 28525 28348 28502 28031 27385 27405 30-34 29175 31353 31925 29635 28739 28375 28203 28367 27910 27275 35-39 25766 28930 31104 31695 29443 28560 28201 28040 28217 27771. 40-44 21320 25472 28606 30778 31392 29187 28317 27969 27823 ?b312 45-49 24681 20935 25037 28129 30290 30930 28784 27939 27610 27480 50-54 21388 23916 20350 24369 27390 29527 30187 28135 27329 27020 55-59 2072 20338 22774 19451 23327 26232 28305 28997 27082 26326 60-64 15260 19097 18812 21097 18101 21747 24456 26437 27160 25430 65-69 9735 13459 16847 16666 18720 16151 19437 21877 23712 24441 70-74 10033 7968 11070 13844 13762 15485 13445 16228 18292 19883 75+ 12162 13127 12214 14072 17033 18503 20537 20185 22202 24828 TOTAL 371482 382659 392591 401046 407898 413336 417742 421089 .23795 425271 FEMALES 0-4 28002 28140 27571 26861 26817 26924 27000 26894 26847 26936 5-9 27769 27969 28107 27543 26837 26797 26906 26983 26879 26834 10-14 27873 27758 27955 28094 27531 26827 26787 26897 26975 26872 15-19 28900 27857 27738 27936 28076 27516 26813 26775 26886 26965 20-24 31027 28881 27831 27711 27910 28053 27495 26794 26757 26870 25-29 30552 30991 28843 27795 27676 27877 28022 27468 26770 26735 30-34 28534 30489 30928 28791 27748 27633 27836 27985 27434 26740 35-39 25483 28439 30392 30842 28721 27687 27574 27781 27935 27389 40-44 21518 25350 28296 30254 30718 28618 27594 27486 27698 27857 45-49 25529 21324 25139 28073 30035 30517 28447 27436 27335 27553 50-54 22778 25128 21026 24813 27727 29690 30191 28163 27175 27081 55-59 24159 22215 24538 20580 24321 27196 29150 29675 27711 26752 60-64 20948 23177 21374 23652 19899 23557 26365 28295 28852 26980 65-69 14443 19518 21643 20041 22230 18779 22283 24966 26846 27435 70-74 16679 12730 17275 19217 17891 199M 16903 20121 22582 24342 75+ 25076 26837 24784 27496 30704 31661 33905 32910 35199 38666 TOTAL 399269 406804 413441 419700 424842 429240 433271 436630 439879 442006 BIRTH RATE 15.0 14.4 13.7 13.5 13.3 13.2 13.0 12.9 12.9 DEATH RATE 10.3 10.3 10.1 10.6 11.0 11.2 11.5 11.5 12.0 RATE OF kAT. INC. .47 .41 .36 .29 .23 .20 .16 .14 .08 NET MIGRATION RATE .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE .48 .42 .36 .29 .23 .20 .16 .14 .08 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.975 1.956 1.942 1.973 1.997 2.012 2.021 2.040 2.063 NRR .951 .929 .924 .948 .963 .970 .974 .983 .995 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 73.20 73.80 74.34 74.85 75.30 75.61 75.98 76.36 76.68 etO) - BOTH SEXES 65.06 65.48 65.86 66.23 66.57 66.80 67.09 67.38 67.63 IMR - BOTH SEXES 22.3 19.8 18.0 *6.3 15.0 14.1 13.0 11.9 11.1 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0266 .0234 .0210 .0189 .0173 .0162 .0149 .0135 .0125 DEP. RATIO 50.6 50.3 51.4 51.5 52.2 51.0 51.9 54.0 56.9 59.7 79 EUROPE AND U.S.S.R. Population projection (thousands) Sumury for 25 Year Periods . ,............................................. ... .... .......... .................................. ...*, AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ~~~~~................. ......... .. .... ..... .. ....... .. .... ... .. .. ... .. ... . TOTAL N+F 770751 820747 863674 865251 870352 878531 880799 881371 VALES 0-4 28951 27846 27972 28134 28234 28256 28256 28256 5-9 28985 28412 27905 28070 28198 28238 28236 28235 10-14 29297 28853 27926 28029 28164 28223 28220 28219 15-19 30121 28625 27758 27991 28109 28193 28192 28193 20-24 32320 28678 27512 27880 28024 28144 28149 28151 25-29 31566 28896 27385 27659 27928 28081 28103 28103 30-34 29175 29635 27910 27557 27837 28017 28057 28055 35-39 25766 31695 28217 27490 27736 27937 27996 27993 40-44 21320 30778 27823 27202 27610 27812 27895 27894 45-49 24681 28129 27610 26752 27337 27580 27698 27703 50-54 21388 24369 27329 26209 26769 27160 27308 27330 55-59 20722 19451 27082 25887 25965 26404 26575 26613 60-64 15260 21097 27160 24735 24654 25116 25299 25352 65-69 9735 16666 23712 22186 22398 23050 23219 23288 70-74 10033 13844 18292 18827 19038 19832 20009 20095 75+ 12162 14072 22202 29659 30467 31949 32559 32779 TOTAL 371482 401046 423795 424268 428469 433991 435772 436260 FEMALES 0-4 28002 26861 26847 26891 26889 26892 26892 26892 5-9 27769 27543 26879 26888 26892 26892 26890 26889 10-14 27873 28094 26975 26897 26896 26890 26888 26888 15-19 28900 27936 26886 26922 26892 26885 26885 26885 20-24 31027 2m 1 26757 26901 26879 26877 26881 26883 25-29 30552 27795 26770 26793 26864 26874 26878 26878 30-34 28534 28791 27434 26813 26855 26873 26872 26871 35-39 25483 30842 27935 26878 26847 26865 26860 26857 40-44 21518 30254 27698 26736 26839 26837 26830 26830 45-49 25529 28073 27335 26506 26747 26765 26763 26768 50-54 22778 24813 27175 26325 26497 26627 26638 26643 55-59 24159 20580 27711 26625 26250 26383 26402 26404 60-64 20948 23652 28852 26482 25833 25946 25966 25963 65-69 14443 20041 26846 25115 24771 25083 25085 25083 70-74 16679 19217 22582 22745 22783 23301 23323 23327 75+ 25076 27496 35199 45465 47149 48549 48973 49052 TOTAL 399269 419700 439879 440963 441883 444539 445027 445112 BIRTH RATE 14.4 13.2 12.8 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 10.2 11.2 12.8 12.6 12.3 12.5 12.6 NET MIGRATION RATE .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRouTH RATE .42 .20 .01 .02 .04 .01 .00 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.963 2.008 2.069 2.066 2.063 2.063 2.063 etO) -I )TH SEXES 73.79 75.63 77.28 78.75 79.59 79.60 79.60 IR - BOTH SEXES 20.0 14.1 9.7 6.8 5.3 5.3 5.3 80 OCEANIA Population projection (thousads) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL M+F 24458 26244 27895 29380 30763 32060 33298 34419 35391 36205 MALES 0-4 1190 1235 1277 1293 1288 1288 1292 1293 1285 1287 5-9 1121 1189 1229 1267 1284 1280 1282 1286 1288 1281 10-14 1201 1126 1190 1225 1264 1281 1278 1279 1283 1286 15-19 1134 1205 1126 1186 1221 1260 1277 1274 1276 1280 20-24 1134 1151 1210 1121 1180 1216 1255 1272 1269 1271 25-29 1023 1159 1159 1205 1116 1175 1211 1248 1265 1263 30-34 931 1045 1166 1154 1199 1111 1170 1205 1242 1?60 35-39 893 945 1048 1159 1147 1192 1104 1162 1198 1235 40-44 708 897 942 1038 1149 1136 1182 1095 1153 1189 45-49 613 705 886 928 1024 1133 1121 1166 1080 1139 50-54 553 600 688 864 906 1000 1108 1096 1141 1058 55-59 546 529 574 659 829 871 963 1067 1056 1101 60-64 467 507 492 535 616 776 817 905 1004 994 65-69 347 415 451 439 478 553 699 738 818 909 70-74 263 286 344 375 366 400 465 589 624 694 75+ 272 327 371 438 496 521 561 633 767 866 TOTAL 12397 13320 14153 14887 15563 16193 16784 17308 17749 18109 FEMALES 0-4 1139 1185 1226 1240 1234 1233 1235 1237 1229 1230 5-9 1058 1142 1182 1218 1233 1229 1229 1232 1234 1227 10-14 1137 1064 1143 1180 1216 1232 1227 1227 1231 1233 15-19 1064 1141 1065 1141 1178 1214 1230 1226 1226 1229 20-24 1045 1075 1145 1062 1138 1176 1212 1227 1223 1224 25-29 966 1059 1080 1142 1060 1135 1174 1209 1225 1221 30-34 898 976 1062 1077 1139 1056 1132 1170 1205 1222 35-39 850 902 976 1057 1072 1134 1053 1128 1166 1202 40-44 662 849 899 970 1052 1066 1128 1047 1122 1161 45-49 581 658 842 891 962 1043 1057 1120 1040 1115 50-54 521 572 649 829 879 950 1031 1045 1107 1028 55-59 527 508 559 634 812 861 932 1012 1026 1088 60-64 481 507 489 538 613 784 834 904 983 997 65-69 382 450 475 459 506 577 741 791 858 936 70-74 318 339 401 423 411 453 520 669 718 782 75+ 433 497 550 630 696 723 777 868 1050 1202 TOTAL 12061 12925 13742 14493 15200 15867 16513 17111 17642 18096 BIRTN RATE 19.9 19.2 18(. 17.3 16.5 15.8 15.3 14.7 14.3 DEATH RATE 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.6 9.1 9.7 RATE OF HAT. INC. 1.18 1.11 1.02 .91 .81 .75 .66 .56 .45 NET MIGRATION RATE 2.3 1.1 .2 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.41 1.22 1.04 .92 .83 .76 .66 .56 .45 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.517 2.477 2.427 2.368 2.313 2.251 2.190 2.130 2.106 NRR 1.139 1.136 1.126 1.104 1.085 1.061 1.038 1.014 1.006 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 72.02 72.54 73.03 73.58 74.02 74.59 75.11 75.62 76.10 e(1O) - BOTH SEXES 64.58 64.90 65.20 65.57 65.85 66.23 66.60 66.96 67.32 IMR - BOTH SEXES 39.3 35.6 32.1 28.4 25.2 22.0 19.2 16.8 15.0 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0536 .0480 .0427 .0370 .0322 .0274 .0234 .0200 .0176 DEP. RATIO 56.8 54.5 54.5 53.1 51.6 50.6 51.4 52.5 53.8 55 81 OCEANIA Poputation projection (thousands) Summery for 25 Year Periods . .................. .. ..... ................ ........................................................... ........................... AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ........ .............. ................. ................................................. ......................... ....... . ..... TOTAL M+F 24458 29380 35391 38240 39351 39829 40149 40237 MALES 0-4 1190 1293 1285 1288 1289 1290 1291 1291 5-9 1121 1267 1288 1285 1286 1289 1290 1290 10-14 1201 1225 1283 1282 1285 1287 1289 1289 15-19 1134 1186 1276 1280 1282 1285 1288 1288 20-24 1134 1121 1269 1275 1279 1283 1286 1286 25-29 1023 1205 1265 1268 1276 1280 1283 1284 30-34 931 1154 1242 1270 1271 1276 1280 1282 35-39 893 1159 1198 1260 1266 1272 1277 1279 40-44 708 1038 1153 1247 1259 1265 1272 1274 45-49 613 928 1080 1230 1245 1255 1262 1265 50-54 553 864 1141 1207 1220 1235 1244 1248 55-59 546 659 1056 1149 1186 1198 1210 1214 60-64 467 535 1004 1050 1117 1136 1151 1156 65-69 347 439 818 922 1010 1038 1056 1062 70-74 263 375 624 742 857 888 909 916 75+ 272 438 767 1206 1320 1410 1473 1492 TOTAL 12397 14887 17749 18962 19448 19688 19860 19916 FEMALES 0-4 1139 1240 1229 1229 1229 1228 1228 1228 5-9 1058 1218 1234 1229 1228 1228 1228 1228 10-14 1137 1180 1231 1228 1228 1228 1228 1228 15-19 1064 1141 1226 1228 1227 1228 1228 1228 20-24 1045 1062 1223 1226 1227 1227 1227 1227 25-29 966 1142 1225 1223 1227 1227 1227 1227 30-34 898 1077 1205 1228 1226 1226 1227 1227 35-39 850 1057 1166 1222 1224 1225 1226 1226 40-44 662 970 1122 1214 1221 1223 1225 1225 45-49 581 891 1040 1206 1215 1220 1222 1222 50-54 521 829 1107 1197 1204 1213 1216 1217 55-59 527 634 1026 1162 1193 1199 1205 1206 60-64 481 538 983 1097 ii62 1175 1184 1185 65-69 382 459 858 1010 1107 1131 1143 1145 70-74 318 423 718 861 1013 1044 1062 1065 75+ 433 630 1050 1717 1972 2119 2214 2237 TOTAL 12061 14493 17642 19278 19903 20141 20289 20321 BIRTH RATE 19.1 15.9 13.8 13.1 12.8 12.7 12.6 DEATH RATE 8.1 8.6 10.7 11.9 12.3 12.3 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE 1.2 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROL'TH RATE 1.22 .74 .31 .11 .05 .03 .01 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.474 2.248 2.088 2.072 2.067 2.064 2.064 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 72.55 74.62 76.86 77.96 78.82 79.53 79.60 [- BOTH SEXES 35.6 22.4 12.5 8.8 6.8 5.4 5.3 82 LOW-INCOME ECONOMIES Poputation projection (thousands) . ............ ....................................... ....................................................................... AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ,.................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M+F 2447215 2703223 2976817 3250042 3508187 3752300 3995581 4242087 4480607 4695836 MALES 0-4 l'3418 180932 192749 195412 191532 18895 1Y2497 199002 200840 196856 5-9 147030 153548 176184 188270 191365 188004 185315 190030 197005 199255 10-14 151014 145578 152138 174745 186893 190106 186903 184374 189230 196327 15-19 144119 149539 144207 150777 173347 185544 188865 185800 183414 188383 20-24 117232 142097 147606 142393 148987 171508 183774 187237 184361 182151 25-29 97109 115177 139953 145529 140455 147079 169567 181926 185564 182892 30-34 89696 95276 113282 137924 143560 138616 145282 167752 180224 184031 35-39 71059 87852 93476 111355 135833 141519 136715 143427 165894 178474 40-44 59066 69197 85853 91460 109157 133407 139136 134497 141277 163706 45-49 53432 56980 67008 83388 88941 106354 130245 136006 131597 138425 50-54 47576 50832 54372 64158 80094 85537 102493 125824 131625 127506 55-59 38844 44265 47456 50895 60276 75508 80748 97008 119487 125269 60-64 29991 34881 39938 42951 46202 54944 69100 74050 89298 110448 65-69 23382 25502 29831 34315 37038 39978 47778 60428 64979 78741 70-74 14048 18198 20057 23594 27286 29574 32050 38579 49191 53131 75+ 13132 15313 19297 22607 26779 31486 35486 39400 46346 57866 TOTAL 1255149 1385165 1523407 1659772 1787745 1907460 2025953 2145339 2260331 2363461 FEMALES 0-4 150628 172586 184298 187553 184432 181756 186001 192361 194039 190017 5-9 140064 145255 167470 179753 183635 181195 179147 183951 190767 192816 10-14 142077 138476 143M 166056 178460 182515 180263 178399 183350 190284 15-19 133128 140559 137085 142501 164815 177338 181540 179455 177734 182796 20-24 111937 131324 138829 135545 141054 163419 176067 180441 178528 176956 25-29 92574 110075 129448 137084 133933 139558 161964 174751 179290 177548 30-34 85909 90795 108273 127679 135347 132358 138086 160543 173452 178142 35-39 67038 84126 89066 106555 125887 133618 130773 136618 159098 172106 40-44 54954 65371 82332 87353 104738 124002 131766 129080 135008 157470 45-49 48973 53292 63621 80455 85442 102704 121825 129607 127053 133025 50-54 43545 47092 51379 61616 78152 83117 100158 119072 126823 124383 55-59 35955 41296 44789 49062 59049 75213 80100 96829 115410 123064 60-64 29114 33268 38395 41864 45970 55636 71224 75994 92228 110275 65-69 23949 25825 29695 34584 37802 41709 50819 65505 70049 85442 70-74 15488 19653 21473 25006 29250 32164 35682 43867 57059 61190 75+ 16730 19065 23483 27604 32478 38536 44212 50274 60387 76860 TOTAL 1192066 1318057 1453410 1590270 1720442 1844840 1969627 2096747 2220275 2332375 BIRTH RATE 30.3 29.0 26.6 23.9 21.7 20.6 19.9 18.9 17.5 DEATH RATE 10.3 9.6 9.0 8.6 8.3 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.1 RATE OF RAT. INC. 2.00 1.94 1.76 1.53 1.35 1.26 1.20 1.09 .94 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.99 1.93 1.76 1.53 1.35 1.2E. 1.20 1.09 .94 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.821 3.548 3.276 3.021 2.783 2.619 2.503 2.393 2.280 NRR 1.540 1.444 1.362 1.305 1.240 1.177 1.132 1.097 1.060 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 61.05 62.51 63.98 65.12 66.35 67.51 68.70 69.87 70.95 e(1O) - BOTH SEXES 57.97 58.77 59.64 60.22 60.91 61.54 62.24 62.94 63.60 INR - BOTH SEXES 78.1 69.7 63.4 57.9 52.4 46.1 40.0 34.7 30.2 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1152 .1017 .0914 .0826 .0735 .0632 .0533 .0450 .0381 DEP. RATIO 68.6 64.5 63.9 63.3 59.4 54.6 51.4 50.6 50.5 50.6 83 LOU-INCOME ECONOMIES Population projection (thousands) Suvmry for 25 Year Periods ................................................................................. ..................................................... AGE GR W P 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ... ... ....... ....... .......................................................................... .... ...... .......... .................... ...... TOTAL .FF 2447215 3250042 4480607 5340690 5773327 5927161 6020366 6070781 MALES 0-4 158418 195412 200840 196147 194347 193986 194032 194150 5-9 147030 188270 197005 193073 192901 193390 193746 194001 10-14 151014 174745 189230 189765 192172 193276 193714 193947 15-19 144119 150777 183414 189874 192837 193524 193683 193811 20-24 117232 142393 184361 193742 193963 193463 193342 193451 25-29 97109 145529 185564 196116 193592 192489 192637 192958 30-34 89696 137924 180224 192473 190368 190832 191855 192487 35-39 71059 111355 165894 183826 186445 189595 191349 192136 40-44 59066 91460 141277 176781 185596 189497 191007 191605 45-49 53432 83388 131597 175774 187768 189255 189826 190246 50-54 47576 64158 131625 173452 186894 186127 186471 187301 55-59 38844 50895 119487 162236 177497 177705 180049 181934 60-64 29991 42951 89298 139836 159880 165006 170388 173212 65-69 23382 34315 64979 106755 139441 149970 156505 159380 70-74 14048 23594 49191 83962 118294 130224 135263 137615 75+ 13132 22607 46346 114179 171522 199736 213204 222005 TOTAL 1255149 1659M 2260331 2667992 286517 2928073 2967071 2990239 FEMALES 0-4 150628 187553 194039 188953 187013 186502 186375 186394 5-9 140064 179753 190767 186286 185865 186139 186281 186370 10-14 142077 166056 183350 183333 185341 186194 186392 186417 5-19 133128 142501 17m34 183844 186249 186675 186574 186462 20-24 111937 135545 178523 188150 187834 186985 186573 186411 25-29 92574 137084 179290 191099 187908 186441 186256 186270 30-34 85909 127679 173452 1880s5 185161 185211 185857 186144 35-39 67038 106555 159098 179930 181806 184425 185779 186174 40-44 54954 87353 135008 173294 181648 184893 186013 186186 45-49 48973 80455 127053 172561 184784 185669 185807 185775 50-54 43545 61616 126823 171010 185742 184294 184258 184608 55-59 35955 49062 115410 161856 179557 179099 181184 182591 60-64 29114 41864 92228 143008 166604 171631 177096 179544 65-69 23949 34584 70049 113428 151858 163837 171129 173848 70-74 15488 25006 57059 95537 136840 152618 159407 161878 75+ 16730 27604 60387 152355 235602 288475 318313 335471 TOTAL 1192066 1590270 2220275 2672699 2909810 2999087 3053295 3080541 BIRTH RATE 28.5 20.9 15.8 13.8 13.1 12.8 12.7 DEATH RATE 9.6 8.1 8.8 10.7 12.1 12.2 12.3 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.89 1.28 .70 .31 .11 .06 .03 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.527 2.644 2.159 2.080 2.067 2.058 2.054 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 62.60 67.66 72.81 75.91 77.37 78.78 79.56 INR - BOTH SEXES 70.3 46.1 23.3 13.0 9.5 6.8 5.4 84 LOWER-MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES Population projection (thousards) ............. ..................................... ........................................................................................................ AGE GRL.P 1985 1990 1999 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL M+F 679724 765501 857397 952954 1049766 1144614 1235456 1324810 1411455 1492775 MALES 0-4 52999 56980 60572 63021 64556 64729 64082 64812 65294 65000 5-9 46642 51178 55297 59077 61703 63409 63755 63310 64190 64827 10-14 42201 46083 50646 54798 58617 61285 63035 63439 63051 63Q99 15-19 37355 41682 45586 50171 54343 58183 60878 62668 63115 62775 20-24 31691 36672 41014 44952 49563 53749 57610 60346 62182 62686 25-29 26692 30968 359S5 40326 44299 48925 53123 57118 59797 61686 30-34 21716 26041 30326 35321 39709 43699 48330 S2549 56471 59291 35-39 17365 21124 25437 29723 34709 39092 43085 47724 51955 55900 40-44 14305 16794 20526 24813 29076 34024 38381 42372 47004 51238 45-49 12545 13707 16172 19851 24071 28274 33145 37454 41419 46018 50-54 10687 11847 13007 15415 18989 23090 27180 31927 36145 40046 55-59 8674 9861 10987 12120 14419 17820 21725 25636 30181 34237 60-64 6408 7716 8824 9885 10948 13075 16211 19825 23461 27691 65-69 4572 5382 6529 7515 8460 9413 11288 14053 17253 20487 70-74 3142 3510 4171 5102 5909 6688 7479 9015 11283 13917 75+ 2935 3347 3819 4524 5518 6567 7633 8731 10385 12838 TOTAL 339929 382891 428869 476615 524887 572022 616937 660877 703189 742617 FEMALES 0-4 51639 55441 58912 61271 62768 62956 62340 63064 63528 63214 5-9 45448 50027 53991 57659 60197 61869 62229 61804 62671 63276 10-14 40824 44942 49563 53573 57288 59877 61598 62018 61649 62563 15-19 36052 40367 44522 49183 53229 56980 59607 61375 61841 61517 20-24 31356 35496 39847 44055 48759 52842 56631 59309 61126 61642 25-29 27022 30761 34936 39332 43587 48325 52441 56278 59004 60871 30-34 22131 26454 30224 34433 38857 43141 47905 52058 55936 58707 35-39 17656 21614 25936 29731 33955 38390 42694 47485 51668 55579 40-44 14792 17182 21121 25430 29229 33451 37883 42205 47012 51215 45-49 13073 14320 16699 20599 24868 28651 32852 37271 41594 46397 50-54 11111 12538 13785 16134 19965 24169 27912 32074 36459 40755 55-59 9161 1048? 11887 13123 15416 19145 23246 26925 31020 35331 60-64 6826 8415 9687 11039 12242 14450 18023 21971 25547 29516 65-69 5133 5981 7434 8616 9878 11021 13085 16419 20123 23501 70-74 3650 4158 4894 6143 7176 8292 9319 11153 14106 17394 75+ 3923 4425 5092 6019 7464 9034 10755 12524 14981 18683 TOTAL 339795 382610 428528 476340 524880 572592 618519 663932 708267 750159 BIRTH RATE 34.3 32.1 29.6 27.1 24.6 22.3 20.9 19.5 18.2 DEATH RATE 10.2 9.1 8.3 7.7 7.3 7.0 6.9 6.8 7.0 RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.41 2.29 2.13 1.94 1.74 1.53 1.40 1.27 1.12 NET MIGRATION RATE -.4 -.2 -.2 -.1 -.1 -.O -.0 -.0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.38 2.27 2.11 1.94 1.73 1.53 1.40 1.27 1.12 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.437 4.054 3.666 3.316 2.978 2.676 2.496 2.359 2.245 NRR 1.811 1.702 1.578 1.456 1.330 1.217 1.151 1.099 1.057 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 59.63 61.61 63.45 65.00 66.36 67.57 68.81 69.96 70.99 e(IO) - BOTH SEXES 57.15 58.20 59.19 60.02 60.79 61.48 62.18 62.86 63.47 IMR - BOTH SEXES 76.6 67.7 59.6 52.9 47.3 41.8 36.7 31.9 27.7 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1134 .0988 .0855 .0747 .0654 .0566 .0482 .0406 .0337 DEP. RATIO 80.5 76.4 72.7 68.5 64.0 59.1 54.7 51.5 49.7 48.8 85 LOWER-NIDLE-INCOHE ECONOMIES Population projection (thousarnd) Suuary for 25 Year Periods AGE ElOUP 1985 2'JO0 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 Tn1A1 EJ 679724 )52954 1411455 1743946 1901977 1958549 1997677 2019837 I~ , 0,4, 52999 63021 65294 64463 64364 64546 64678 64702 5-9 46642 590n7 64190 63792 63980 64322 64570 64654 10-1/4 42201 54798 63051 63131 63833 64246 64507 64617 lq 10 37355 50171 63115 63179 63831 64144 64395 64541 .X 2.. 316S'1 (952 62182 63864 63738 63898 64197 64409 26692 40326 59797 63655 63330 63509 63939 64258 30-34 21716 35321 56471 62542 62597 63081 63706 64112 35-39 17365 29723 51955 61060 61669 62724 63483 63938 40-44 14305 24813 47004 60598 61321 62421 63167 63654 45-49 12545 19851 41419 58935 61345 61829 62539 63112 50-54 10687 15415 36145 55361 59948 60455 61352 62109 55-59 8674 1220 30181 50105 56755 57907 59332 60352 60-64 6408 9885 23461 42906 51974 53950 56171 57408 65-69 4572 7515 17253 34573 46399 48804 51341 52656 70-74 3142 5102 11283 25285 37975 41674 43970 45295 75+ 2935 4524 10385 27626 49358 61751 68723 72945 TOTAL 339929 476615 703189 861075 932418 959262 980069 992763 FEMALES 0-4 51639 61271 63528 62651 62357 62325 62272 62241 5-9 45448 57659 62671 62194 62150 62230 62245 62240 10-14 40824 53573 61649 61658 62127 62255 62254 62239 15-19 36052 49183 61841 61871 62284 62288 62245 62223 20-24 31356 44055 61126 62763 62426 62237 62202 62199 25-29 27022 39332 59004 62832 62281 62065 62112 62176 30-34 22131 34433 55936 61977 61795 61855 62050 62159 35-39 17656 29731 51668 60742 61124 61741 62024 62136 40-44 14792 25430 47012 60583 61115 61749 61970 62065 45-49 13073 20599 41594 59366 61615 61624 61746 61881 50-54 11111 16134 36459 56503 61021 61000 61241 61508 55-59 9161 13123 31020 52342 59095 59689 60415 60905 60-64 6826 11039 25!i47 *16532 56143 57627 5919f 59887 65-69 5133 8616 2012: 39606 52926 55043 57063 57862 70-74 3650 6143 14106 3MC45 46712 50770 52L20 53740 75+ 3923 6019 14981 40208 74389 94791 105755 111615 TOTAL 339795 476340 708267 882871 969560 999287 1017608 1027074 BIRTH RATE 31.8 22.6 16.3 14.0 13.3 13.0 12.7 DEATH RATE 9.1 7.1 8.0 10.6 12.1 12.2 12.3 NET NIGRATION RATE -.2 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.25 1.57 .85 .35 .12 .08 .04 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.016 2.725 2.135 2.080 2.074 2.065 2.056 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 61.71 67.73 72.40 74.86 76.76 78.56 79.46 IER - BOTH SEXES 67.7 42.2 22.8 16.0 12.9 9.3 6.2 86 UPPER-MIDDLE-INCOE EWONOMIES Population projection (thousands) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 . ................ ............................... ...... .......... .................................. ......................................................... ........... TOTAL M+F 591880 648988 708911 768900 827198 882363 934974 984881 1031092 1072949 MALES 0-4 38447 39565 41487 42099 42185 41704 41689 41729 41508 41512 5-9 35317 37899 39090 41072 41752 41893 41454 41471 41536 41337 10-14 32319 35112 37710 38922 40920 41615 41769 41344 41371 41446 15-19 29697 32089 34895 37507 38734 40741 41448 41617 41205 41244 20-24 27604 29364 317T7 34604 37226 38469 40484 41209 41395 41006 25-29 24779 27225 29018 31459 34298 36928 38183 40210 40952 41162 30-34 21565 24424 26890 28711 31165 34012 36643 3791? 39946 40708 35-39 17313 21218 24085 26562 28399 30859 33703 36336 37615 39657 40-44 13742 16962 20842 23704 26178 28022 30476 33316 35943 37231 45-49 12758 13354 16534 20361 23197 25652 27489 29928 32748 35357 50-54 11301 12242 12846 15948 19684 22465 24868 26687 29092 31867 55-59 9735 10615 11535 12132 15108 18691 21361 23684 25460 27791 60-64 7663 8844 9682 10552 11130 13907 17236 19742 21934 23622 65-69 5203 6606 7670 8429 9222 9756 12224 15199 17462 19442 70-74 4187 4127 5283 6171 6817 7487 7937 9990 12475 14377 75 4442 4943 5179 6148 7292 8347 9359 10216 12180 15002 TOTAL 296072 324588 354522 384381 413307 440548 466323 490590 512821 532762 FEMALES 0-4 37073 38307 40137 40712 40772 40292 40279 40301 40082 40074 5-9 34073 36673 37973 39867 40504 40612 40171 40182 40225 40024 10-14 31225 33925 36545 37868 39779 40433 40554 40124 40144 40195 15-19 28729 31065 33788 36428 37769 39694 40360 40494 40075 40105 20-24 26770 28505 30874 33628 36289 37647 39585 40268 40417 40015 25-29 24204 26510 28283 30688 33467 36142 37514 39467 40168 40336 30-34 21230 23951 26281 28088 30515 33309 35993 37380 39345 40064 35-39 17208 20981 23716 26066 27894 30335 33138 35830 37229 39206 40-44 13833 16964 20727 23469 25828 27669 30117 32926 35622 37032 45-49 13026 13572 16681 20420 23158 25514 27362 29811 32620 35313 50-54 11723 12686 13241 16313 20010 22728 25071 26919 29361 32156 55-59 10338 11279 12234 12798 15811 19437 22117 24431 26270 28689 60-64 8601 9745 10665 11606 12177 15094 18604 21217 23481 25291 65-69 6073 7813 8892 9778 10687 11252 14002 17318 19810 21971 70-74 5241 5156 6684 7661 8478 9314 9845 12316 15302 17566 75+ 6460 7267 7666 9128 10751 12344 13941 15307 18119 22150 TOTAL 295808 324401 354389 384519 413891 441815 468651 494291 518271 540187 BIRTH RATE 26.5 25.2 23.3 21.5 19.8 18.5 17.5 16.5 15.8 DEATH RATE 7.8 7.4 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.3 7.9 RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.87 1.78 1.63 1.47 1.30 1.16 1.04 .92 .80 NET MIGRATION RATE -.2 -.2 -.1 -.1 -.0 -.0 -.0 -.0 .0 GROJTH RATE 1.84 1.77 1.62 1.46 1.29 1.16 1.04 .92 .80 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.355 3.165 2.927 2.693 2.466 2.315 2.208 2.127 2.091 IRR 1.523 1.452 1.359 1.257 1.160 1.098 1.052 1.016 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 67.48 68.63 69.69 70.70 71.58 72.27 72.93 73.51 73.99 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 61.33 62.01 62.66 63.30 63.87 64.33 64.78 65.20 65.55 IHR - BOTH SEXES 45.0 39.8 34.9 30.4 26.6 23.7 21.1 19.1 17.6 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0588 .0510 .0439 .0375 .0322 .0282 .0249 .0223 .0204 DEP. RATIO 68.2 65.7 63.1 59.8 56.7 52.8 50.4 49.4 49.2 49.5 87 UPPER-MIDOLE-INCmIE ECONOMIES PopuLation projection (thousands) Sumry for 25 Year Periods AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .... ..... ... .... ........... ...................... .... ...... ............... ............................... .................................... ........... TOTAL *4F 591880 768900 1031092 1193750 1259729 1286994 1303749 1309241 MALES 0-4 38447 42C'.9 41508 41766 41859 41902 41926 41931 5-9 35317 41072 41536 41695 41784 41852 41891 41900 10-14 32319 38922 1A371 41675 41719 41806 41862 41876 15-19 29697 37507 41205 41425 41600 41733 41811 41835 20-24 27604 34604 41395 41031 41428 41627 41733 41768 25-29 24779 31459 40952 40811 41267 41516 41651 41694 30-34 21565 28711 39946 40786 41144 41399 41561 41618 35-39 17313 26562 37615 40443 40988 41237 41441 41520 40-44 13742 23704 35943 40026 40549 40977 41254 41362 45-49 12758 20361 32748 39798 39837 40546 40922 41063 50-54 11301 15948 29092 38599 38975 39841 40317 40494 55-59 9735 12132 25460 36272 37716 38634 39194 39407 60-64 7663 10552 21934 32030 35321 36588 37241 37506 65-69 5203 8429 17462 27551 31752 33174 34080 34415 70-74 4187 6171 12475 21150 26897 28101 29260 29658 75+ 4442 6148 12180 25580 38535 43745 46981 48192 TOTAL 296072 384381 512821 590636 621369 634677 643125 646238 FEMALES 0-4 37073 40712 40082 40139 40132 40098 40091 40089 5-9 34073 39867 40225 40155 40126 40096 40087 40086 10-14 31225 37868 40144 40204 40117 40091 40085 40084 15-19 28729 36428 40075 40132 40078 40079 40080 40080 20-24 26770 33628 40417 39916 40021 40065 40072 40074 25-29 24204 30688 40168 39846 39984 40055 40068 40068 30-34 21230 28088 39345 39951 39977 40038 40059 40057 35-39 17208 26066 37229 39769 39956 39991 40033 40038 40-44 13833 23469 35622 39541 397m 39885 39980 39996 45-49 13026 20420 32620 39605 39362 39699 39872 39899 50-54 11723 16313 29361 38897 38943 39415 39669 39711 55-59 10338 12798 26270 37351 38443 38961 39289 39351 60-64 8601 11606 23481 34191 37256 38155 38582 38685 65-69 6073 9778 19810 30862 35253 365e 37179 37358 70-74 5241 7661 15302 25383 32129 33376 34449 34727 75+ 6460 9128 18119 37171 56811 65806 71028 72698 TOTAL 295808 384519 518271 603114 638360 652317 660624 663003 IIIRTH RATE 24.9 18.6 14.9 13.5 13.0 12.7 12.6 OEATH RATE 7.4 7.0 9.1 11.3 12.1 12.2 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE -.2 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.74 1.17 .59 .22 .09 .05 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.134 2.347 2.086 2.076 2.066 2.060 2.059 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 68.66 72.28 74.68 76.44 78.20 79.33 79.56 I[R - BOTH SEXES 39.8 24.2 15.6 11.5 8.0 5.8 5.3 88 NIGH-INCOPE ECOIOIES COIL EXPORTERS) Population projection (thousarKis) AGE GROUIP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL N+F 19048 23085 27603 32315 37024 41397 45722 49849 53570 57063 MALES 0-4 1688 2020 2400 2606 2713 2619 2678 2667 2556 2,535 5-9 1406 1685 2009 2383 2586 2694 2602 2662 2653 2544 10-14 1102 1410 1685 2005 2376 2578 2686 2595 2655 2646 15-19 900 1115 1415 1683 1998 2367 2568 2675 2585 2646 20-24 817 954 1145 1428 1681 1990 2354 2553 2660 257 25-29 955 897 1001 1170 1430 1676 1979 2338 2535 2643 30-34 1001 1020 936 1022 1171 1425 1666 1964 2321 2513 35-39 795 1044 1044 948 1019 1165 1413 1651 1947 2402 40-44. 583 817 1049 1041 939 1008 1150 1396 1631 925 45-49 433 5'S 808 1031 1020 920 988 1128 1369 1602 50-54 310 423 568 781 996 986 889 956 1093 1329 55-59 221 293 399 536 738 942 934 844 909 1041 60-64 149 200 266 364 489 675 865 859 T78 839 65-69 99 127 172 229 315 425 590 759 755 685 70-74 67 71 100 136 182 253 344 479 618 617 7'5. 55 70 84 107 143 194 269 372 520 695 TOTAL 10581 12739 15081 17470 19796 21916 23975 25898 27586 29140 FEMALES 0-4 1623 1946 2312 2513 2620 2532 2589 2580 2472 2451 5-9 1353 1625 1940 2302 2502 2611 2524 2582 2574 2468 10-14 1056 1358 1626 1939 2298 2498 2607 2521 2580 2572 15-19 842 1059 1357 1623 1934 2293 2493 2603 2517 2577 20-24 687 854 1064 1357 1619 1929 2287 2487 2597 2513 25-29 601 703 861 1065 1353 1614 1922 2280 2480 2591 30-34 529 611 706 860 1060 1346 1606 1914 2272 2473 35.39 434 533 610 703 854 1053 1338 1598 1905 2262 40-44 342 433 529 604 696 846 1044 1328 1587 1894 45-49 268 337 426 520 594 685 834 1031 1313 1571 50-54 211 261 328 414 507 581 671 818 1012 1291 55-59 166 201 249 314 398 489 562 651 795 986 60-64 127 154 188 233 296 377 464 535 621 762 65-69 94 113 138 168 211 269 345 428 495 577 70-74 66 77 93 115 142 179 231 299 373 434 75+ 66 79 94 115 143 179 229 298 389 501 TOTAL 8467 10345 12522 14846 17228 19481 21747 23951 25984 27923 BIRTH RATE 39.8 39.1 35.8 32.0 27.2 24.9 22.6 19.9 18.4 DEATH RATE 7.1 6.4 5.9 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.8 RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.27 3.27 2.99 2.66 2.20 1.97 1.72 1.44 1.26 NET MIGRATION RATE 5.7 3.0 1.6 .6 .3 .1 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 3.84 3.58 3.15 2.72 2.23 1.99 1.73 1.44 1.26 TOTAL FERTILITY 6.614 6.265 5.527 4.665 3.663 3.100 2.639 2.261 2.096 NRR 2.891 2.795 2.504 2.145 1.701 1.453 1.248 1.075 1.000 eCO)- BOTH SEXES 64.18 65.81 67.20 68.42 69.56 70.60 71.47 72.24 72.95 eClO) BOTH SEXES 59.28 60.21 61.01 61.73 62.45 63.13 63.72 64.25 64.76 INR BOTH SEXES 53.7 47.0 41.1 36.0 31.4 27.7 24.6 22.0 19.8 q(5) BOTH SEXES .0711 .0608 .0521 .0f.46 .0383 .0333 .0293 .0259 .0232 DEP. RATIO 83.6 84.7 84.6 82.6 78.1 69.9 63.1 57.7 53.4 48.8 89 HIGH-INCONE ECONOMIES (OIL EXPORTERS) Poputation projcstion (thousands) Summary for 25 Year Periods .............. ............................ .. . *. ............................................................... AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL *#F 19048 32315 53570 69826 78223 80286 81710 82122 MALES 0-4 1688 2606 2556 2610 2625 2628 2630 2629 5-9 1406 2383 2653 262? 2621 2622 2627 2627 10-14 1102 2005 2655 2630 2608 2614 2624 2626 15-19 900 1683 2585 2592 2586 2606 2621 2624 20-24 817 1428 2660 2502 2570 2602 2618 2621 25-29 955 1170 2535 2508 2575 2601 2613 2616 30-34 1001 1022 2321 2599 2588 2595 2604 2610 35-39 795 948 1947 2589 2581 2574 2592 2603 40-44 583 1041 1631 2503 2531 2543 2577 2594 45-49 433 1031 1369 2546 2421 2510 2559 2576 50-54 310 781 1093 2376 2385 2479 2528 2541 55-59 221 536 909 2091 2388 2421 2459 2470 60-64 149 364 778 1641 2240 2291 2328 2347 65-69 99 229 755 1232 1960 2053 2119 2151 70-74 67 136 618 864 1690 1689 1816 1857 75. 55 107 520 922 2137 2652 2934 3023 TOTAL 10581 17470 27586 34833 38508 39479 40249 40515 FEMALES 0-4 1623 2513 2472 2517 2523 2518 2515 2514 5-9 1353 2302 2574 2541 2525 2516 2514 2514 10-14 1056 1939 2580 2549 2517 2511 2512 2514 15-19 842 1623 2517 2520 2502 2509 2513 2514 20-24 687 1357 2597 2442 2495 2512 2515 2515 25-29 601 1065 2480 2458 2508 2518 2516 2514 30-34 529 860 2272 2558 2531 2520 2514 2512 35-39 434 703 1905 2557 2534 2509 2508 2509 40-44 342 604 1587 2485 2498 2490 2503 2508 45-49 268 520 1313 2546 2409 2474 2501 2505 50-54 211 414 1012 2402 2403 2471 2495 2494 55-59 166 314 795 2156 2461 2464 2475 2470 60-64 127 233 621 1748 2394 2416 2423 2425 65-69 94 168 495 1371 2212 2287 2325 2340 70-74 66 115 373 1014 2057 2033 2153 2180 75+ 66 115 389 1132 3145 4058 4479 4579 TOTAL 8467 14846 25984 34993 39715 40807 41461 41607 BIRTH RATE 38.0 24.8 16.8 13.9 13.1 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 6.4 5.4 6.3 9.4 12.0 12.1 12.4 NET NIGRATION RATE 3.2 .2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 3.52 2.02 1.06 .45 .10 .07 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 6.070 3.078 2.086 2.074 2.065 2.059 2.058 eCO) - BOTH SEUES 65.91 70.65 74.10 76.07 77.88 79.41 79.61 INR B8WTH SEXES 46.8 28.4 16.7 12.1 8.5 5.6 5.3 9o INDUSTRIAL MARKET ECONOMIES Population projection (thousards) ................................................................................................................................ AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ... ....... .. ....................................................................................................................... TOTAL O+F 741488 759689 775303 786982 795261 801233 805322 807370 806836 sn7067 MALES 0-4 25283 25268 25142 24231 23941 23806 23896 24050 24161 24278 5-9 25590 25362 25314 25154 24224 23930 23792 23878 24031 24139 10-14 27482 25656 25402 25327 25152 24219 23922 23781 23865 2401 15-19 296£9 27530 25682 25400 25311 25132 24198 23898 23757 23839 20-24 30921 29773 27590 25693 25382 25282 25100 24162 23861 2371 25-29 29759 31071 29857 27613 25681 25355 25250 25059 24121 2381 30-, 28477 ?9071 31119 29852 27585 25646 25316 25204 25013 24071 35-3: 28t19 28508 29854 31057 297s7 27516 25582 25249 25139 24946 40-44 23531 28529 28398 29710 30899 29632 27390 25467 25140 25033 45-49 21419 23306 28247 28110 29408 30598 29358 27152 25254 24938 50-54 19893 20980 22847 27704 27578 28866 30058 28865 26720 24869 55-59 18902 19148 20225 22052 26762 26660 27929 29118 27998 2595 60-64 16593 17692 17981 19024 20769 25240 25173 26407 27580 2656 65-69 12156 14861 15922 16236 17205 18818 22917 22897 24068 2519 70-74 10720 10147 12477 13426 13735 14584 15993 19533 19564 2062 75. 13184 14600 14993 16984 18792 20027 21373 23226 26983 29064 TOTAL 362199 372303 381048 387573 392203 395310 397247 397947 397255 39505 FEMALES 0-4 24211 24238 24082 23181 22889 22748 22821 22953 23043 2313 5-9 24431 24342 24328 24133 23208 22908 22762 22828 22957 2304 10-14 26216 24525 24409 24366 24153 23223 22918 22768 22832 2295 15-19 28351 26318 24598 24449 24387 24168 23233 22924 22771 2283 20-24 29723 28540 26453 24675 24491 24417 24188 23245 22931 2277 25-29 29265 29940 28693 26539 24721 24522 24438 24200 23252 22929 30-34 28260 29416 30041 28744 26563 24736 24531 24439 24199 23245 35-39 28444 28334 29457 30048 28735 26554 24726 24518 24426 24183 40-44 23523 28428 28305 29407 29991 28684 26511 24689 24483 24393 45-49 21664 23423 28301 28173 29272 29863 28571 26417 24608 24408 50-54 20428 21456 23207 28045 27929 29032 29634 28369 26247 24462 55-59 20361 20078 21103 22837 27621 27528 28637 29257 28034 25962 6O-64 19880 19758 19513 20523 22239 26935 26876 27994 28639 27480 65-69 15511 18799 18732 18532 19526 21202 25736 25731 26854 2753 70-74 15027 13970 16980 16968 16845 17805 19386 23614 23681 24789 75+ 23995 25821 26054 28789 30488 31598 33104 35478 40624 43890 TOTAL 379290 387386 394255 399409 403059 405923 408075 409423 409581 408011 BIRTH RATE 13.3 12.9 12.3 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.8 11.8 11.9 DEATH RATE 9.3 9.4 9.6 10.0 10.4 10.8 11.3 12.0 12.8 RATE OF IAT. INC. .41 .35 .27 .19 .14 .09 .04 -.02 -.09 MET MIGRATION RATE .8 .5 .3 .2 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE .48 .41 .30 .21 .15 .10 .05 -.01 -.09 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.723 1.742 1.744 1.803 1.859 1.911 1.959 2.004 2.048 NRR .841 .838 .840 .872 .900 .925 .948 .970 .992 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 76.25 76.68 76.99 77.31 77.64 77.93 78.24 78.56 78.88 e(IO) - BOTH SEXES 67.28 67.61 67.85 68.11 68.38 68.62 68.89 69.16 e9.43 IHR - BOTH SEXES 11.8 10.6 9.7 9.0 8.4 7.9 7.4 6.9 6.4 qC5) BOTH SEXES .0133 .0119 .0109 .0100 .0093 .0087 .0081 .0075 .0069 DEP. RATIO 49.0 48.3 48.7 48.6 48.6 49.4 52.9 56.3 60.0 63.8 91 INDUSTRIAL MARKET ECONOMIES Population projection (thousands) Suwry for 25 Year Periods . ....... ............. .................................. ................................................................. ... ........................ .. AGE GRO.UP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ............................. .............................. ................................................................. ...... ............ TOTAL N F 741488 786982 806836 773699 755262 753762 753782 753811 MALES 0-4 25283 24231 24161 24153 24148 24160 24166 24167 5-9 25590 25154 24031 24070 24128 24149 24152 24150 10-14 27482 25327 23865 24051 24140 24146 24140 24136 15-19 29669 25400 23757 24144 24151 24126 24115 24112 20-24 30921 25693 23861 24180 24114 24077 24072 24075 25-29 29759 27613 24121 24019 24021 24017 24029 24035 30-34 28477 2V'852 25013 23866 23916 23973 23994 23997 35-39 28619 31057 25139 23659 23857 23946 23952 23946 40-44 23531 29710 25140 23487 23888 23896 23871 23860 45-49 21419 28110 25254 23461 23797 23732 23695 23691 50-54 19893 27704 26720 23428 23358 23360 23357 23368 55-59 18902 22052 27998 23681 22637 22685 22740 22759 60-64 16593 19024 27580 22700 21423 21604 21684 21690 65-69 12156 16236 24068 20899 19607 19943 19950 19929 70-74 10720 13426 19564 18214 17019 17264 17217 17191 75+ 13184 16964 26963 32688 28905 27983 28041 28069 TOTAL 362199 387573 397255 380699 373108 373062 373175 373176 FEMALES 0-4 24211 23181 23043 22986 22979 22990 22996 22997 5-9 24431 24133 22957 22925 22974 22994 22997 22995 10-14 26216 24366 22832 22921 22997 23002 22997 22994 15-19 28351 24449 22771 23043 23027 23003 22992 22990 20-24 29723 24675 22951 23128 23025 22988 22984 22987 25-29 29265 26539 23252 23029 22974 22966 22978 22984 30-34 28260 28744 24199 22938 22908 22957 2Z977 22980 35-39 28444 30O48 24426 22803 22894 22970 22976 22971 40-44 23523 29407 24483 22721 2299 22979 22956 22946 45-49 21664 28173 24608 22827 23029 22927 22891 22887 50-54 20428 28045 26247 23033 22825 22771 22764 22777 55-59 20361 22837 28034 23747 22534 22506 22555 22576 60-64 19880 20523 28639 23560 22034 22126 22201 22209 65-69 15511 18532 26854 22806 21230 21490 21479 21461 70-74 15027 16968 23681 21fsl 19880 20061 19977 19951 75+ 23995 28789 40624 49201 43850 41968 41887 41930 TOTAL 379290 399409 409581 393000 382154 380699 380608 380635 BIRTH RATE 12.8 11.8 12.0 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 9.4 10.9 13.7 13.4 12.7 12.6 12.6 NET NIGRATION RATE .6 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 ROWTH RATE .40 .10 -.17 -.10 -.01 .00 .00 TOTAL FERTILITY 1.739 1.905 2.061 2.063 2.063 2.063 2.063 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 76.64 77.94 79.28 79.59 79.59 79.59 79.60 INR - BOTH SEXES 10.7 7.9 5.7 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 92 NONREPORT14I NOS SER ECONOMIES Population projection (thousad) AE GRE W 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20 ............................................................................................................................... TOTAL k+F 363821 381152 397706 413525 428184 441805 454992 466886 478454 4886 MALES 0-4 16930 17495 17342 17159 17285 17622 17791 17679 17654 176 5-9 15974 1670 7287 17152 16s 17124 17475 17661 17567 175 10-14 14988 1S894 16630 17215 17e 16921 17062 17418 17609 175 15-19 14191 14896 158(5 16545 17134 17006 16849 16994 17354 175 20-24 16077 14058 14770 15683 16428 17019 16896 16749 16901 172 25-29 15912 15901 13917 146 15552 16300 168s9 16782 16642 168 30-34 13980 15727 15736 1375 14509 15425 16177 16776 16671 165 35-39 10920 13790 15535 15562 13645 14369 15287 16042 16646 1 65 U-44 81165 10724 13565 15302 15348 13468 14194 15112 15871 164 45-49 11887 8636 10465 13261 14980 15045 13216 13942 14857 15617 50-54 9113 l1421 8317 10099 12820 14505 14593 12836 13558 144 55-59 9101 8565 10763 7860 9565 12168 13795 13907 12253 12- 60-64 5150 8263 7804 9641 7210 8797 11222 12753 12888 113 65-69 3297 "437 7148 6783 8584 6317 7731 9896 11278 114 70-74 3407 2613 3538 s728 5464 6948 5141 6319 811S 92 75+ 3763 4069 3695 4199 6003 6714 8159 7613 8241 9892 TOTAL 173555 183192 192317 2008l0 208596 215748 222486 228478 234105 238963 FEMALES 0-4 16612 17135 16955 16748 1684S 17156 17296 17161 17115 171 5-9 15402 16494 17026 16852 16656 16761 17078 17228 17106 17069 10-14 14308 15364 16460 16993 16821 16624 16732 17052 17206 17088 15-19 13757 14268 15328 16428 16964 16792 16597 16707 17029 171 20-24 15565 13701 14221 15286 16390 16928 16758 16565 16678 17002 25-29 15391 15490 13644 14171 15241 16348 l6887 16719 16529 16644 30-34 13655 15308 15420 13590 14121 15193 16302 16842 16676 164 35-39 10938 13566 15224 15346 13529 14063 15135 16245 16787 16624 40-44 9203 10841 13462 15120 15252 13451 13987 15059 16169 16713 45-49 12612 9082 10713 13320 14973 15114 13335 13872 14941 16050 50-54 10220 12421 8914 10532 13111 14753 14904 13157 13694 14757 55-59 11592 9906 12069 8676 10268 12802 14423 14585 12883 13418 60-64 8618 11031 9456 11557 8324 9671 12332 13914 14089 12455 65-69 5984 7922 10192 1 8771 10760 7768 9238 11569 13079 13265 70-74 7066 5164 6e87 6. 8916 770 9498 6880 8211 10316 11690 75+ 9285 10268 9417 10408 12621 12935 14622 13521 14052 161 TOTAL 190266 197960 205389 212715 219687 226058 232506 238408 244349 249673 BIRTH RATE 19.5 18.4 17.4 16.8 16.5 16.1 15.5 15.0 14.7 DEATH RATE 10.1 9.8 9.5 9.8 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.2 10.5 RATE OD MAT. INC. .94 .86 .78 .70 .63 .59 .52 .49 .42 NET MIGRATION RATE .1 -.0 -.0 .0 .Q .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE .93 .85 .78 .70 .f3 .59 .52 .49 .42 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.503 2.471 2.415 2.356 2.293 2.227 2.163 2.139 2.126 NRRR 1.168 1.149 1.132 1.109 1.082 1.053 1.028 1.019 1.016 eCo) - BOTH SEXES 69.87 70.69 71.42 72.05 72.62 73.14 73.61 74.06 74.47 etlO) - BOTH SEXES 62.87 63.42 63.91 4.32 t4.70 65.07 65.41 65.72 66.00 -%R * BOTH SEXES 37.7 34.9 32.0 29.0 26.0 23.7 21.7 19.9 18.3 q(5) - oT H SEXES .0504 .0469 .0429 .0386 .0342 .0309 .0278 .0252 .0226 DEP. RATIO 53.6 53.9 55.9 55.1 55.5 52.7 51.8 52.8 54.8 93 NOWREPSRTING NOSEXE ECONOMIES Poputatlon projection (thouswnds) Sumry for 25 Year P*r hds AGE CROP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ..... .................................................................................................... TOTAL NF 36821 413525 478454 516995 540606 552077 5ss721 557264 HALES 0-4 16930 17159 17654 I7m77 17787 17813 17819 17822 5-9 15974 17152 17567 17637 17745 17796 17804 17809 10-14 14968 17215 17609 17590 1778 17 17793 17799 15-19 14191 6545 173S4 17548 17665 17761 1m4 17782 20-24 16077 15683 16901 17454 17605 1M6 17744 17754 25-29 15912 14636 16642 17328 17535 17672 17710 17722 30-34 13960 13785 16671 17239 17439 17613 17675 17690 35-39 10920 15562 16646 17205 17343 17543 17631 17650 40-44 86s 15302 15871 16850 17227 17450 17562 17586 45-49 11s87 13261 148S7 16248 17012 1729 17432 17462 50-54 9113 10099 13558 15699 16642 17007 17169 17222 55-59 9101 7860 12253 15172 16077 16483 16684 16765 60-64 5150 9841 12888 14235 15212 15625 15856 15965 65-69 3297 6783 11278 12236 13606 14277 14529 14661 70-74 3407 5728 8115 9657 11262 12219 12498 12645 75+ 3763 4199 8241 12905 16941 19375 20175 20564 TOTAL 173555 200810 234105 252722 264806 271434 273856 274900 FEMALES 0-4 16612 16748 17115 17091 17067 17064 17063 17063 5-9 15402 16852 17106 17066 17063 17062 17062 17062 10-14 14308 16993 1726 17062 17062 17062 17061 17061 15-19 13757 16428 17029 17073 17062 17061 17060 17059 20-24 15565 15286 16678 17047 17061 17056 17057 17057 25-29 15391 14171 16529 17005 17054 17052 17053 17054 30-34 13655 13590 16676 17004 17025 17044 17048 17050 35-39 l0938 15346 16787 17071 17003 17033 17040 17042 40-44 9203 15120 16169 16845 16982 17014 17021 17025 45-49 12672 13320 14941 16410 16896 16970 16978 16985 50-54 10220 10532 13694 16114 16743 16878 16893 16904 55-59 11592 8676 12883 16001 1654 16689 16733 16751 60-64 8618 11557 14089 15678 16259 16378 16443 16471 65-69 5964 8771 13079 14354 15400 15788 15875 15914 70-74 7066 8916 10316 12031 13835 14603 14747 14799 75. 9285 10408 14052 20420 26745 29888 30730 31066 TOTAL 190266 212715 244349 264273 275800 280643 281865 282364 BIRTH RATE 18.4 16.0 14.2 13.3 12.8 12.7 12.6 DEATH RATE 9.8 10.1 11.1 11.5 12.0 12.4 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROa IH RATE .85 .58 .31 .18 .08 .03 .01 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.468 2.232 2.093 2.065 2.059 2.058 2.057 *(O) - BOTH SEXES 70.68 73.13 75.38 77.67 79.21 79.45 79.60 IIR - BOTH SEXES 34.9 24.1 15.2 9.4 6.1 5.6 5.3 ASIA REG ION (and Oceania) 96 ASIA AND OCEANIA Population projection (thousands) .... .. ....................................................................... ..................................................................................... AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ___--_ ___..........___.................................... .. ... . . . . . . . . . . . .. _ . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . TOTAL M+F 2572502 2802749 3041963 3272318 3479231 3662919 3840311 4017441 4184788 4330178 MALES 0-4 151871 166418 173948 172554 164938 157667 159814 165202 166759 164028 5-9 147021 148815 163701 171517 170453 163182 156216 158585 164165 165902 10-14 155157 146028 147902 162829 170710 169733 162557 155682 158118 163751 15-19 149251 153966 144979 146904 161858 169795 168901 161829 155063 157567 20-24 123312 147564 152379 143553 145544 160520 168524 167750 160835 154214 25-29 103414 121613 145778 150674 142024 144081 159083 167175 166553 159808 30-34 96214 101880 120020 144066 149038 140551 142672 157713 165914 1654"0 35-39 78240 94614 100325 lt8354 142255 147294 138972 141171 156272 164584 40-44 65194 76550 92809 98515 116381 140078 145170 137054 139365 154514 45-49 59342 63211 74472 90484 96145 113748 137108 142255 134433 136869 50-54 53122 56749 60635 71655 81252 92812 109976 132812 138035 130605 55-59 43647 49712 53280 57082 67677 82605 87966 104457 126492 131752 60-64 33421 39474 45157 48537 52154 62070 75962 81040 96544 117319 65-69 25857 28666 34065 39131 42192 45496 54390 66825 71507 85542 70-74 16011 20347 22801 27260 31453 34035 36850 44340 54792 58853 75+ 15383 18012 22391 26365 31587 37236 41961 46543 54610 66624 TOTAL 1316458 1433619 1554642 1669482 1771662 1860905 1946122 2030435 2109457 2177371 FEMALES 0-4 144026 158110 165572 164819 158016 151391 153650 158927 160321 157538 5-9 139831 140505 155028 163031 162762 156437 150187 152713 158166 159705 10-14 145651 138730 139543 154192 162307 162168 155960 149818 152408 157906 15-19 137o83 144445 137684 138650 153383 161611 161584 155497 149448 152095 20-24 117915 136176 143031 136497 137593 152430 160772 160889 154932 148990 25-29 99169 116323 134602 141612 135245 136489 151413 159890 160143 154317 30-34 92404 97628 114786 133136 140198 134019 135389 150414 159003 159379 35-39 73971 90839 96127 113329 131636 138776 132762 134277 149372 158054 40-44 60936 72475 89242 94625 111751 130020 137201 131377 133010 148145 45-49 54940 59390 70857 87523 92880 109911 128069 135291 129641 131372 50-54 49240 53111 57556 68943 85338 90680 107521 125520 132747 127277 55-59 40874 46994 50822 55285 66429 82480 87750 104324 122058 129235 60-64 33283 38158 44044 7858 52189 63014 78522 83686 99826 117114 65-69 27249 29889 34460 &OO73 43644 47814 58070 72720 77665 93036 70-74 18254 22733 25258 29445 34354 37619 41436 50722 63926 68448 75+ 20619 23624 28709 33818 39843 47155 53903 60939 72666 90195 TOTAL 1256044 1369130 1487321 1602836 1707568 1802014 1894189 1987005 2075330 21521su6 BIRTH RATE 26.1 24.8 22.7 20.2 18.1 17.4 17.1 16.4 15.5 DEATH RATE 8.9 8.4 8.0 7.S 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.3 8.7 RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.72 1.64 1.46 1.23 1.03 .95 .90 .82 .68 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.71 1.64 1.46 1.23 1.03 .95 .90 .82 .68 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.232 2.972 2.724 2.509 2.319 2.237 2.203 2.167 2.131 NRR 1.367 1269 1.187 1.126 1.063 1.029 1.018 1.011 1.004 e(0) - BOTH SEXES 63.95 65.37 66.77 67.80 68.89 69.85 70.84 71.79 72.65 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 59.52 60.32 61.17 61.71 62.35 62.91 63.53 64.15 64.73 IMR - BOTH SEXES 63.5 55.4 49.4 44.3 39.3 34.6 30.1 26.2 23.0 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0884 .0759 .0666 .0589 .0513 .0443 .0377 .0323 .0279 DEP. RATIO 64.3 59.2 57.7 56.8 53.5 49.3 46.8 46.9 47.9 49.4 97 ASIA AND OCEANIA Population projection (thousands) SuIary for 25 Year Periods AGE GROJP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .... ..... ..... ........ ................... ........................................ ...................... TOTAL M+F 2572502 3272318 4184738 4712784 4913765 4996782 5058165 5081909 MALES 0-4 151871 172554 166759 164079 163080 162722 162622 162637 5-9 147021 171517 164165 162210 162091 162266 162380 162498 10-14 155157 162829 158118 159970 161469 162120 162359 162461 15-19 149251 146904 155063 159712 1618.32 162303 162391 162384 20-24 123312 143553 160835 162059 162598 162368 162217 162130 25-29 103414 150674 166553 163808 162392 161799 161738 161735 30-34 96214 144066 165914 161156 160360 160639 161127 161334 35-39 78240 118354 156272 154487 157686 159658 160691 161050 40-44 65194 98515 139365 150503 156766 159445 160426 160667 45-49 59342 90484 134433 154557 157894 159211 159604 159639 50-54 53122 71655 138035 157082 157180 156858 157110 157279 55-59 43647 57082 126492 150945 149993 150651 152054 152822 60-64 33421 48537 96544 133426 136086 140817 144144 145495 65-69 25857 39131 71507 106954 120760 128305 132540 133910 70-74 16011 27260 54792 87330 106205 111447 114805 115763 75+ 15383 26365 54610 123749 163831 174691 183560 17ms TOTAL 1316458 1669482 2109457 2352027 2440191 2475302 2499766 2509529 FEMALES 0-4 144026 164819 160321 157194 156054 155644 155514 155512 5-9 139831 163031 158166 155623 155251 155330 155398 155479 10-14 145651 154192 152408 153687 154768 155289 155462 155523 15-19 137683 138650 149448 153771 155266 155627 155630 155583 20-24 117915 136497 154932 156463 156370 155947 155696 155559 25-29 99169 141612 160143 158666 156520 155677 155493 155431 30-34 92404 133136 159003 156533 154880 154819 155156 155287 35-39 73971 113329 149372 150306 152M9 154159 155026 155284 40-44 60936 94625 133010 146621 152298 154353 155190 155312 45-49 54940 87523 129641 150842 154170 154879 155127 155037 50-54 49240 68943 132747 154054 154928 153961 154089 154127 55-59 40874 55285 122058 149929 150444 150463 151796 152444 60-64 33283 47858 99826 136066 140530 145080 148543 149844 65-69 27249 40073 77665 113764 130330 138m 143615 145072 70-74 18254 29445 63926 99757 122018 129337 134032 135192 75+ 20619 33818 72666 167478 227078 252141 272629 281694 TOTAL 1256044 1602836 2075330 2360756 2473574 2521479 2558399 2572380 BIRTH RATE 24.4 17.8 14.5 13.3 13.0 12.7 12.6 DEATH RATE 8.4 8.0 9.8 11.7 12.3 12.2 12.4 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.60 .98 .48 .17 .07 .05 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.959 2.281 2.107 2.077 2.068 2.061 2.058 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 65.44 69.93 74.16 76.81 78.05 79.19 79.59 I1R - BOTH SEXES 56.0 34.9 18.2 10.7 8.1 6.0 5.3 98 ASIA AND OCEANIA, BORROWERS ONLY Population projection (thouswds) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL M+F 2381835 2603086 2833701 3056391 3256715 3435231 3608776 3782972 3948075 4091965 MALES 0-4 144152 158879 166116 164668 157060 149924 15223M 157635 159079 156241 5-9 139012 141107 156178 163705 162584 155322 148488 151023 156612 158234 10-14 146511 138022 140200 155315 162907 161874 154705 147964 150564 156206 15-19 141263 145327 136984 139217 154357 162006 161055 153991 147357 150025 20-24 115688 139575 143754 135580 137877 153040 160756 159926 153017 146527 25-29 96211 113980 137m99 142073 134073 136438 151625 159432 158752 152012 30-34 88843 94673 112399 136111 140461 132625 135052 150280 158195 157663 35-39 70520 87252 93139 110763 134330 138749 131077 133582 148867 151893 40-44 58829 68863 85484 91373 108833 132198 136672 129202 131818 147150 45-49 53635 56907 66857 83232 89077 106276 129305 133837 126657 129394 50-54 47701 51149 54441 64170 80129 85873 102636 125145 129760 122963 55-59 38866 44475 47859 51081 60423 75706 81251 97349 119064 123730 60-64 29914 34972 40207 43408 46472 55200 69435 74691 89818 110286 65-69 23280 25498 29r74 34622 37518 40316 48123 60878 65727 79412 70-74 13967 18173 20111 23770 27600 30041 32419 38977 49?08 53918 75+ 13155 15341 19368 22757 27057 31939 36153 40127 47158 58848 TOTAL 1221548 1334194 1450870 1561845 1660759 1747526 1830989 1914039 1992152 2059501 FEMALES *^-4 136599 150860 15849 157248 150455 143962 146382 :1671 152957 150075 5-9 132222 133073 147779 155515 155196 148881 142762 .45450 150913 152344 10-14 137400 131116 132109 146945 154792 154604 148406 142395 145146 150655 15-19 130052 136190 130069 131220 146138 154099 154022 147946 142028 144835 20-24 110603 128534 134M 128887 130167 145190 153264 153332 147385 141573 25-29 92108 108999 126959 133362 127640 129069 144178 152388 152592 146775 30-34 85199 90563 107466 125502 131956 126422 127977 143187 151509 151835 35-39 66431 83639 89073 106024 124016 130547 125177 126876 142156 150570 40-44 54653 64954 82063 87596 104468 122421 128994 123811 125627 140945 45-49 49225 53141 63375 80385 85891 102667 120508 127121 122108 124020 50-54 43839 47451 51366 61532 78266 83757 100341 118021 '24638 119799 55-59 36014 41682 45255 49193 59129 75516 80931 97247 114659 121226 60-64 29170 33433 38878 42442 46253 55894 71730 77034 92914 109878 65-69 24018 25085 29971 35161 38485 42149 51263 66225 71303 86413 70-74 15584 19807 21718 25369 29882 32911 36249 44474 57962 62604 75+ 17171 19465 23928 28166 33221 39615 45602 51754 62027 78918 TOTAL 1160287 1268892 1382831 1494545 1595956 1687705 1777787 1868934 1955923 2032464 BIRTH RATE 26.9 25.6 23.2 20.6 18.4 17.7 17.3 16.6 15.7 DEATH RATE 9.1 8.5 8.1 7.8 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.5 RATE OF HAT. INC. 1.79 1.70 1.52 1.27 1.07 .99 .94 .86 .72 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.1 -.0 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.78 1.70 1.51 1.27 1.07 .99 .94 .85 .72 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.323 3.034 2.768 2.538 2.336 2.249 2.212 2.174 2.135 URR 1.372 1.286 1.200 1.135 1.068 1.032 1.020 1.012 1.004 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 63.00 64.54 66.04 67.16 68.33 69.36 70.41 71.42 72.33 e(CO) - BOTH SEXES 58.92 59.78 60.70 61.28 61.96 62.56 63.22 63.88 64.49 INR - B0TH SEXES 65.6 57.2 51.1 45.9 40.7 35.8 31.0 27.0 23.7 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0915 .0785 .0690 .0611 .0532 .0459 .0390 .0333 .0288 DEP. RATIO 65.5 60.1 58.5 57.3 53.6 49.1 46.3 46.4 47.4 48.9 99 ASIA AND OCEANIA, BORROWERS ONLY Population projection (thousands) Summary for 25 Year Periods AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL M+F 2381835 3056391 3948075 4472912 4674080 4756037 4816947 4840570 MALES 0-4 144152 164668 159079 156408 155380 155003 154899 154914 5-9 139012 163705 156612 154562 15438B 154546 154660 154781 10-14 146511 155315 150564 152283 153749 154400 154645 154749 15-19 141263 139217 147357 151962 154084 154597 154687 154680 20-24 115688 135580 153017 154320 154920 154690 154529 154438 25-29 96211 142073 158752 156194 154774 154144 154061 154055 30-34 88843 136111 158195 153677 152773 152988 153457 153664 35-39 70520 110763 148867 147026 150076 152003 153033 153397 40-44 58829 91373 131818 142920 149117 151811 152802 153044 45-49 53635 83232 126657 146914 150301 151659 152046 152073 50-54 47701 64170 129760 149563 149806 149454 149664 149813 55-59 38866 51081 119064 143711 142938 143460 144796 145546 60-64 29914 43408 89818 126834 129381 133933 137212 138560 65-69 23280 34622 65727 100792 114497 121929 126167 127544 70-74 13967 23770 49708 81845 100742 S05950 109325 110280 75+ 13155 22757 47158 114'93 155135 165935 174664 178773 TOTAL 1221548 1561845 1992152 2233803 2322062 2356502 2380647 2390311 FEMALES 0-4 136599 157248 152957 149850 148692 148269 148136 148134 5-9 132222 155515 150913 148291 147879 147949 148019 148102 10-14 137400 146945 145146 146311 141373 147904 148083 148146 15-19 130052 131220 142028 146323 147862 148247 148255 148208 20-24 110603 128887 147385 149009 148991 148581 148326 148185 25-29 92108 133362 152592 151315 149183 148319 148123 148056 30-34 85199 125502 151509 149295 147558 147452 147781 147912 35-39 66431 106024 142156 143067 145307 146773 147649 147914 40-44 54653 87596 125627 139235 144872 146965 147825 147952 45-49 49225 80385 122108 143355 146759 147532 147792 147698 50-54 43839 61532 124638 146611 147658 146691 146795 146821 55-59 36014 49193 114659 142626 143356 143271 144558 145196 60-64 29170 42442 92914 129178 133567 137968 141403 142712 65-69 24018 35161 71303 106987 123479 131837 136708 138185 70-74 15584 25369 57962 93351 115569 122885 127628 128798 75+ 17171 28166 62027 154305 213914 238892 259221 268238 TOTAL 1160287 1494545 1955923 2239108 2352018 2399535 2436300 2450259 BIRTH RATE 25.1 18.0 14.6 13.4 13.0 12.7 12.6 DEATH RATE 8.5 7.9 9.6 11.6 12.3 12.2 12.4 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWrH RATE 1.66 1.02 .50 .18 .07 .05 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.022 2.295 2.109 2.078 2.069 2.061 2.058 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 64.61 69.44 73.92 76.69 77.98 79.16 79.59 INR - BOTH SEXES 57.9 36.1 18.7 10.9 8.2 6.0 5.3 100 ASIA DEPARTMENT I Population projection (thousands) ................................................. ...................................................................................................... ......................... .......... AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ................................................... ............................................................................................. TOTAL N+F 134367 151332 170280 190400 210993 231600 251851 271675 290574 307838 MALES 0-4 11122 12177 13269 13993 14358 14521 14536 14545 14352 13877 5-9 9379 10639 11707 12812 13569 13980 14194 14261 14323 14179 10-14 9124 9252 10511 11579 12686 13450 13871 14097 14178 14252 15-19 7a86 8983 9124 10379 11447 12556 13325 13756 13994 14090 20-24 5866 7702 8797 8955 10205 11274 12383 13160 13605 13661 25-29 4703 5689 7505 8595 87m 10018 11086 12199 12987 13450 30-34 4036 4547 5529 7318 8402 8596 9837 10907 12026 1^828 35-39 3466 3883 440l 5369 7128 8203 8414 9650 10725 11851 40-44 2984 3311 3729 4246 5197 6918 798l 8209 9440 10519 45-49 2566 2821 3146 3557 4068 4994 6667 7713 7959 9180 50-54 2138 2387 2635 2951 3350 3849 4741 6349 7369 7632 55-59 1675 1938 2173 2408 2710 3089 3568 4412 5931 6909 60-64 1296 1457 1697 1909 2127 2436 2756 3203 3979 5373 65-69 1092 1060 1196 1405 1590 1781 2027 2337 2738 3420 70-74 731 810 795 904 1071 1219 1374 1577 1832 2168 75+ 675 741 828 867 965 1129 1311 1509 1753 2058 TOTAL 68738 m397 87042 97248 107644 117981 128071 137883 147192 155647 FEMALES 0-4 10624 11517 12607 13346 13743 13943 13994 14030 13850 13384 5-9 9150 10057 10990 12116 12910 13374 13642 13758 13850 13718 10-14 8854 8993 9909 10850 l1984 12792 13272 13558 13691 13798 15-19 7229 8687 8845 9769 10718 11860 12680 13177 13480 13628 20-24 5677 7049 8494 8675 9606 10565 11717 12552 13067 13389 25-29 4762 5507 6863 8295 8500 9440 10409 11571 12421 12955 30-34 4032 4604 5345 6685 8104 8332 9280 10259 11430 12296 35-39 3353 3881 4454 5191 6514 7919 8168 9124 10112 11291 -44 2785 3214 3737 4310 5040 6344 7734 8002 8962 9956 45-49 2338 2655 3077 3592 4160 4881 6163 7533 7817 8 m 50-54 1946 2203 2512 2924 3428 3988 4695 5948 7289 7586 55-59 1514 17n9 2044 2342 2741 3228 3777 4464 5675 6974 60-64 1193 1349 1617 1848 2131 2509 2974 3503 4161 5311 65-69 4FA 1007 1149 1392 1601 1861 2210 2639 3135 3744 70-74 597 753 790 909 1117 1294 1519 1822 2195 2634 75+ 599 659 803 908 1054 1288 1544 1852 2248 2747 TOTAL 65629 73935 83238 93152 103349 113619 123779 133791 143382 152191 BIRTH RATE 38.4 36.7 34.1 31.1 28.2 25.6 23.4 21.3 19.1 DEATH RATE 14.3 13.0 11.7 10.5 9.6 8.8 8.2 7.8 7.6 RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.41 2.37 2.24 2.06 1.86 1.68 1.52 1.35 1.15 NET MIGRATION RATE -.3 -.1 -.1 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.38 2.36 2.23 2.05 1.86 1.68 1.52 1.35 1.15 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.194 4.726 4.273 3.856 3.477 3.123 2.825 2.555 2.308 NRR 1.867 1.762 1.654 1.541 1.429 1.320 1.224 1.132 1.042 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 52.41 54.19 55.96 57.76 59.57 61.41 63.21 65.01 66.72 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 53.01 53.92 54.87 55.84 56.83 57.83 58.83 59.82 60.78 INR - BOTH SEXES 113.6 103.9 94.5 85.3 76.2 67.1 58.7 50.7 43.3 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1671 .1510 .1359 .1212 .1067 .0924 .0793 .0668 .0554 DEP. RATIO 88.1 80.9 77.9 74.2 69.7 64.3 59.0 54.6 51.0 48.1 101 ASIA DEPARTMENT I Population projection (thousands) Sumnmry for 25 Year Periods AGE GROIUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL .FF 134367 190400 290574 367220 408780 422664 432109 438064 MALES 0-4 11122 13993 14352 14139 14071 14047 14051 14056 5-9 9379 12812 14323 14093 13994 14004 14032 14047 10-14 9124 11579 14178 13921 13913 13918 14023 14042 15-19 7886 10379 13994 13644 13659 13966 14012 14030 20-24 5866 8955 13605 13565 13865 13953 13985 14004 25-29 4703 8595 12987 13873 13904 13911 13940 13973 30-34 4036 7318 12026 13870 13843 13818 13883 13941 35-39 3466 5369 10725 13626 13613 13694 13825 13909 40- 4 2984 4246 9440 13305 13259 13578 13768 13862 45-49 2566 3557 7959 12740 13048 13475 13670 13761 50-54 2138 2951 7369 11846 13083 13296 13449 13554 55-59 1675 2408 5931 10468 12599 12820 13000 13165 60-64 1296 1909 3979 8641 11599 11911 12255 12515 65-69 1092 1405 2738 6725 10175 10541 11144 11489 70-74 731 904 1832 4665 8180 8840 9544 9910 75. 675 867 1753 5092 10220 13436 14943 15966 TOTAL 68738 97248 147192 184212 203225 209268 213524 216225 FEMALES 0-4 10624 13346 13850 13604 13507 13460 13440 13441 5-9 9150 12116 13850 13596 13459 13437 13437 13440 10-14 8854 10850 13691 13455 13400 13427 13441 13443 15-19 7229 9769 13480 13224 13376 13438 13448 13443 2C-24 5677 8675 13067 13196 13424 13458 13449 13437 25-29 4762 8295 12421 13545 13504 13452 13435 13432 30-34 4032 6685 11430 13568 13488 13397 13408 13427 35-39 3353 5191 10112 13327 13309 13314 13385 13424 40-44 2785 4310 8962 13001 13018 13249 13374 13419 45-49 2338 3592 7817 12448 12891 13227 13350 13390 50-54 1946 2924 7289 11616 13059 13180 13262 13315 55-59 1514 2342 5675 10381 12799 12950 13058 13171 60-64 1193 1848 4161 8760 12121 12424 12714 12934 65-69 974 1392 3135 7166 11085 11541 12161 12496 70-74 597 909 2195 5430 9437 10361 11210 11626 75. 599 908 2248 6695 13677 19082 22012 24001 i OTAL 65629 93152 143382 183008 205555 213396 218585 221839 BIRTH 2ATE 36.2 25.5 17.2 14.3 13.4 13.0 12.7 DEATH RATE 12.9 8.9 8.0 10.1 12.0 12.1 12.1 NET MIGRATION RATE -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.32 1.69 .94 .43 .13 .09 .05 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.687 3.105 2.181 2.094 2.077 2.066 2.059 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 54.32 61.70 69.57 74.10 76.30 78.23 79.54 I1R - BOTH SEXES 103.6 67.8 32.3 16.4 11.3 7.7 5.4 102 ASIA DEPARTMENT II Population projection (thousnds) AGE GROaP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 . ................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M+F 273953 303955 335742 366950 396789 424895 451109 476161 500099 522016 4ALES 0-4 18734 19916 21044 2?Q S 20704 20344 20009 20166 20505 20593 5-9 17318 18376 19603 2), 4 20789 20513 20?81 19869 20042 20396 10-14 16212 17192 18258 1 4"8 20678 20704 20438 20114 19809 19989 15-19 15614 16066 17063 18137 19384 20568 20604 20348 20033 19736 20-24 14269 15397 15874 16894 17974 19225 20415 20464 20222 19918 25-29 11998 14027 15172 15679 16719 17799 19055 20251 20314 20086 30-34 9316 11777 13812 14973 15501 16553 17632 18893 20093 20170 35-39 7163 9116 11567 13604 14M 15313 16375 17453 18717 19922 40-44 5904 6971 8908 11340 13366 14533 15086 16156 17231 18495 45-49 5131 5697 6751 8657 11050 13049 14Z08 14 M 15344 16911 50-54 4272 4882 5440 6467 8317 10644 12598 13740 14308 15374 55-59 3506 3971 4559 5097 6077 7839 10061 11938 13044 13611 60-64 2751 3140 3577 4125 4628 5537 7168 9232 10987 12031 65-69 1985 2330 2677 3067 3556 4005 4810 6255 8090 9662 70-74 1359 1541 1823 2109 2432 2836 3211 3875 5065 6583 75+ 1152 1420 1681 2007 2371 2784 3282 3805 4549 5782 TOTAL 136683 151819 167809 183444 198319 212246 225131 237331 248854 259259 FEMALES 0-4 18148 19259 20356 20332 20041 19697 19373 195Zl 19842 19918 5-9 16838 17853 19017 20162 20185 19928 19609 19303 19465 19797 10-14 15659 16734 17761 18942 20100 20136 19888 19577 19277 19443 15-19 15030 15538 16636 17677 18871 20039 20086 19848 19543 19250 20-24 13737 14851 15389 16523 17577 18784 19962 20022 19795 19501 25-29 1184 13536 14673 15249 16411 17473 18691 19881 19954 19739 30-34 9366 11657 13361 14523 15125 16305 17372 18601 19799 19885 35-39 7365 9194 11487 13207 14381 15000 16197 17268 18504 19710 40-44 6205 7209 9031 11320 13045 14225 14860 16070 17142 18384 45-49 5576 6044 7043 8851 11125 12846 14029 14676 15894 16966 50-54 4786 5384 5855 6842 8624 10869 12579 13759 14416 15638 55-59 3939 4552 5143 5612 6579 8321 10521 12208 13377 14041 60-64 3091 3652 4246 4822 5284 6219 7899 10027 11670 12816 65-69 2322 2743 3266 3825 4372 4817 5699 7275 9281 10844 70-74 1652 1912 2283 2743 3241 3737 4145 4933 6339 8136 75+ 1709 2017 2387 2878 3508 4253 5070 5862 6947 8688 TOTAL 137270 152136 167933 183507 198470 212648 225978 238830 251245 262757 BIRTH RATE 29.0 27.4 24.7 22.3 20.2 18.6 17.6 17.0 16.2 DEATH RATE 7.8 7.2 6.8 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.6 RATE OF HAT. IHC. 2.12 2.02 1.79 1.57 1.38 1.20 1.09 .98 .86 NET MIGRATIONIRATE -.4 -.3 -.1 -.1 -.1 -.1 -.0 -.0 -.0 GROWTH RATE 2.08 1.99 1.78 1.56 1.37 1.20 1.08 .98 .86 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.598 3.278 2.959 2.692 2.465 2.268 2.166 2.131 2.114 NRR 1.566 1.460 1.343 1.236 1.143 1.063 1.022 1.010 1.006 elO) - BOTH SEXES 64.17 65.86 67.26 68.51 69.61 70.58 71.46 72.21 72.85 e(dO) - BOTH SEXES 59.32 60.28 61.10 61.86 62.55 63.18 63.77 64.28 64.73 IMR - BOTH SEXES 56.0 48.6 42.3 37.0 32.8 29.2 26.0 23.2 20.9 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0749 .0637 .0543 .0466 .0408 .0359 .0315 .0277 .0248 DEP. RATIO 70.3 66.4 63.3 59.8 55.7 51.1 47.7 46.2 46.7 48.2 103 ASIA DEPARTMIENT 11 Population projection (thousawvs) Sunury for 25 Year Periods .... ........ ............................... ............................................... .................................................... AGE GRCUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ... .............. ........................... .... ...... .... ...... .. ..... ...... .......................................................... TOTAL O4F 273953 366950 500099 580919 611812 626236 636422 640146 MALES 0-4 18734 21015 20505 20356 20401 20476 20512 20517 5-9 17318 20774 20042 20178 20337 20450 20501 20503 10-14 16212 19498 19809 20143 20339 20438 20488 20490 15-19 15614 18137 20033 20237 20335 20399 20457 20466 20-24 14269 16894 20222 20298 20244 20311 20402 20431 25-29 11998 15679 20314 20082 20057 20204 20346 20397 30-34 9316 14973 20093 19605 19857 20121 20303 20366 35-39 7163 13604 18717 19275 19745 20068 20253 20320 40-44 5904 11340 17231 19350 19726 19985 20156 20235 45-49 5131 8657 15844 19308 19604 19757 19957 20073 50-54 4272 6467 14308 18981 19049 19295 19608 19779 55-59 3506 5097 13044 18038 17966 18557 19033 19247 60-64 2751 4125 10987 15695 16630 17513 18103 18327 65-69 1985 3067 8090 12927 15104 15999 16596 16810 70-74 1359 2109 5065 9954 12m 13664 14229 14457 75+ 1152 2007 4549 11991 18223 20633 22571 23400 TOTAL 136683 183444 248854 286418 300389 307870 313516 315818 FEMALES 0-4 18148 20332 19842 19637 19610 19613 19619 19620 5-9 16838 20162 19465 19527 19596 19621 19623 19620 10-14 15659 18942 192"7 19536 19635 19638 19625 19618 i5-19 15030 17677 19543 19683 19679 19639 19616 19613 20-24 13737 16523 19795 19822 19659 19609 19602 19608 25-29 11848 15249 19954 19696 19552 19565 19595 19607 30-34 9366 14523 19799 19309 19431 19545 19599 19607 35-39 7365 13207 18504 19069 19404 19562 19604 19601 40-44 6205 11320 17142 19247 19491 19570 19584 19574 45-49 5576 8851 15894 19356 19525 19482 19506 19516 50-54 4786 6842 14416 19274 19219 19248 19367 19418 55-59 3939 5612 13377 18735 18537 ¶8901 19167 19250 60-64 3091 4822 11670 16916 17803 18479 18856 18941 65-69 2322 3825 9281 14738 17077 17818 18219 18295 70-74 1652 2743 6339 12249 15594 16452 16873 16983 75+ 1709 2878 6947 17705 27614 31624 34451 35458 TOTAL 137270 183507 251245 294501 311424 318366 322906 324328 BIRTH RATE 26.9 19.0 15.0 13.6 13.1 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 7.3 6.7 9.0 11.5 12.2 12.1 12.4 NET MIGRATION RATE -.3 -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.95 1.24 .60 .21 .09 .06 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.246 2.329 2.095 2.078 2.068 2.060 2.059 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 65.86 70.59 73.79 75.79 77.77 79.23 79.53 I1R - BOTH SEXES 48.9 29.7 18.4 13.4 9.1 6.1 5.4 104 ASIA DEPARTMENT III Poputation projection (thousards) AGE GROW 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL H+F 1040035 1117317 1200936 1278860 1340564 1391387 1442119 1495465 1544365 1581319 HALES 0-4 45295 56079 61053 59462 53618 50161 52486 56279 56983 54861 5-9 50082 45009 55769 60754 59203 53411 49989 52323 56121 56840 10-14 64167 49928 44884 55628 60615 59080 53310 49902 52239 56039 15-19 66240 63899 49737 44726 55449 60435 58917 53174 49785 52127 20-24 52269 65804 63514 49461 44499 55188 60171 58679 52975 49615 25-29 44179 51860 65338 63102 49168 44255 54908 5988 58425 52766 30-34 45462 43810 51469 64889 62706 48884 44019 54638 59617 58154 35-39 34020 45009 43412 51041 64393 62265 48565 43754 54334 59315 40-44 26832 33552 44440 42904 50488 63745 61679 48141 43400 5,3931 45-49 25242 26266 32891 43619 42159 49661 62758 60784 47488 42853 50-54 23411 24396 25432 31900 42368 41005 48362 61205 59365 46446 55-59 19459 22160 23146 24182 30391 40435 39199 46327 58750 57100 60-U 15459 17829 20365 21334 22345 28148 37533 36491 43252 55010 65-69 11217 13468 15594 17883 18796 19748 24949 33402 32606 38803 70-74 7514 9017 10882 12666 14587 15394 16235 20624 27763 27250 75, 6321 8226 10249 12617 15109 17781 19760 21511 25781 33407 TOTAL 537170 576310 618175 656170 685894 709597 732842 757121 778884 794547 FEMALES 0-4 42562 53100 57967 56621 51180 47971 50266 53889 54554 52513 5-9 46162 42118 52645 57594 56301 50943 47786 50094 53727 54413 10-14 59373 46003 41995 52533 57478 56204 50868 47723 50036 53674 15-19 61535 59148 45852 41895 52408 57360 56103 50786 47656 49975 20-24 50862 61204 58872 45694 41752 52253 57210 55972 50681 47570 25-29 40595 50513 60839 58610 45492 41590 52073 57034 55820 50562 30-34 42138 40270 50159 60514 58298 45278 41415 51877 56844 55659 35-39 30476 41742 39934 49834 60124 57964 45044 41223 51663 56640 40-44 23459 30115 41298 39595 49411 59664 57559 44760 40990 51406 45-49 21941 23093 29687 40813 39129 48879 59069 57034 44390 40686 50-54 20764 21459 22625 29176 40110 38504 48149 58254 56312 43878 55-59 17714 20099 20819 22044 28427 39149 37638 47138 57118 55298 60-6 15062 16833 19166 19983 21159 273ss 37762 36382 45664 5545 65-69 11899 13816 15525 17860 18621 19800 25694 35579 34388 43299 70-74 8761 10194 11939 13634 15684 16461 17605 22963 31959 31046 75+ 9561 11300 13438 16292 19098 22412 25034 27636 33679 44705 TOTAL 502865 541007 582761 622690 654670 681790 709276 738344 765481 786M BIRTH RATE 21.1 21.3 19.3 16.4 14.7 14.8 15.3 14.9 14.0 DEATH RATE 6.7 6.8 6.7 7.0 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.5 9.2 RATE OF MAT. INC. 1.44 1.43 1.26 .94 .7h .72 .73 .64 .47 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRWTH RATE 1.43 1.44 1.26 .94 .74 .72 .73 .64 .47 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.400 2.288 2.182 2.140 2.126 2.114 2.108 2.102 2.095 NRR 1.090 1.050 1.014 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 69.45 70.42 71.71 72.21 72.6 73.63 74.23 74.84 75.47 ed1O) - BOTH SEXES 62.79 63.38 64.31 64.51 65.00 65.43 65.89 66.36 66.84 INR - 80TH SEXES 33.0 29.4 26.2 23.1 20.4 18.1 16.6 15.2 13.8 qC5) - BOTH SEXES .0428 .0377 .0328 .0289 .0253 .0223 .0204 .0186 .0167 DEl. RATIO 53.6 47.2 48.4 51.3 48.9 44.6 43.0 46.1 49.3 52 105 ASIA DEPART1ENT III Popilatlon projertion (thousds) Sumnry for 25 Year Periods ........................... ................... ................................................. ................ AGE IRMIP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL N.F 1040035 1278860 1544365 1648412 1687073 1694841 1695620 1695527 IALES 0-4 45295 59462 56983 55408 54623 54297 54197 54184 5-9 50082 60754 56121 54369 53953 53956 54046 54117 10- 4 64167 55628 52239 52707 53386 53830 54051 54135 15-WV 66240 44726 49785 52520 53676 54102 54186 54167 20-24 52269 49461 52975 S4475 54678 54455 54230 54097 25-29 44179 63102 58425 56389 55092 54327 54002 903 30-34 45462 64889 59617 55476 54012 53607 53610 i3699 35-39 34020 51041 54334 51485 52274 52958 53398 53617 40-44 26832 42904 43400 48859 51948 53109 53530 53613 45-49 25242 43619 47488 51612 53592 53812 53592 53371 50-54 23411 31900 59365 56072 54816 53577 52832 52517 55-59 19459 24182 58750 55517 52596 51232 50848 50851 60-64 15459 21334 43252 47925 46591 47336 47956 48354 65-69 11217 17883 32606 34898 40751 43369 44338 44690 70-74 7514 12666 27763 32685 37391 38881 39040 38881 75. 6321 12617 25781 59293 64663 64089 63413 63053 TOTAL 537170 656170 778884 819691 834042 836936 837269 837250 FEMALES 0-4 42562 56621 54554 53001 52232 51920 51825 51813 5-9 46162 57594 53727 52036 51624 51627 51713 51782 10-14 59373 52533 50036 50473 51108 51532 51744 51825 ¶5-19 61535 41895 47656 50340 51429 51837 51917 51899 20-24 50862 45694 50681 52294 52471 52248 52032 51904 25-29 40595 58610 55820 54220 52952 52205 51893 51798 30-34 42138 60514 56844 53423 51992 51588 51591 51677 35-39 30476 49834 51663 49664 50407 51050 51474 51686 40-44 23459 39595 40990 47174 50224 51325 51732 51813 45-49 21941 40813 44390 49958 52056 52251 52029 51814 50-54 20764 29176 56312 54631 53723 52489 51749 51440 55-59 17714 22044 57118 54948 52465 51086 50690 50693 60-64 15062 19983 45664 48871 47977 48727 49349 49759 65-69 11899 17860 34388 37208 44068 46957 47987 48367 70-74 8761 13634 31959 37094 43499 45378 45548 45354 75, 9561 16292 33679 33384 94803 95683 95078 94655 TOTAL 502865 622690 765481 828721 853031 857904 858351 858277 BIRTH RATE 20.5 15.2 13.3 12.8 12.6 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 6.7 7.7 10.7 11.8 12.4 12.6 12.6 MET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROITH RATE 1.38 .75 .26 .09 .02 .00 .00 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.254 2.118 2.083 2.059 2.058 2.058 2.058 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 70.58 73.62 76.79 79.36 79.50 79.50 79.50 INR BOTH SEXES 29.5 18.6 10.9 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 106 ASIA DEPARTMENT IV Poputatlon projection (thousamls) ................... ..................................... S... ... ....... ............ .......... ....... ........ AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 203 ...................................... .................................................... ..... .... .... .............. ......... . TOTAL HFF 765147 846056 925500 1001859 107372 1137980 1200467 1262912 1323317 13791v MALES 0-4 56946 58992 58605 57792 56126 53182 53569 54838 55329 55016 5-9 50815 55409 57687 57469 56823 55326 52545 53045 54417 54996 10-14 46088 50351 54977 57281 57107 56505 55053 52321 52856 5425 15-19 42266 45590 49878 54507 56836 56706 56149 54746 52072 5264 20-24 35692 41580 44946 49237 53865 56228 56157 55666 54341 5174 25-29 29100 34978 40863 44.45 48537 53172 55576 55582 55179 5393 30-34 24836 28459 34317 40168 43561 47860 52507 54963 55060 547S 35-39 21543 24199 27828 33627 39432 42840 47147 51813 54342 5'53 40-44 19263 20853 23518 27109 32829 38578 41995 46308 51012 5361 45-49 17229 18453 20064 22687 26216 31825 37482 40896 45228 4995 50-54 14971 16232 17471 19053 21604 25035 30472 35987 39408 43732 55-59 11903 13748 14991 16188 17712 20150 23424 28604 33935 37321 60-64 8734 10508 12218 13375 14501 15928 18191 21232 26079 3111 65-69 7806 7260 8807 10290 11320 12334 13614 15629 18379 22737 70-74 3625 5918 5560 6785 7976 8828 9677 10750 12461 14788 75. 4266 4169 5697 6174 7257 8604 9862 11105 12582 14643 TOTAL 595083 436700 477427 515986 551703 583101 613419 643485 672680 699760 FEMALES 0-4 53562 55638 55369 54962 53663 51052 51512 52817 53190 52748 5-9 49078 51683 54042 54103 53982 52936 50524 51128 52511 52937 10-14 43172 48502 51174 53607 53752 53704 52718 50365 50999 52399 15-19 37503 42595 47955 50697 53198 53422 53436 52515 50207 50863 20-24 32638 36815 41931 47331 50150 52728 53029 53127 52267 50006 25-29 28147 31906 36110 41258 46695 49592 52234 52632 52799 5193 30-34 24141 27429 31206 35440 40613 46085 49042 51765 52237 52458 35-39 20719 23441 26738 30533 34789 39982 45470 48502 51279 51807 40-44 18146 20032 22754 26054 29855 34121 39308 44817 47893 50703 45-49 15717 17434 19323 22034 25320 29107 33349 38521 44011 47105 S0-54 13273 14923 16627 18507 21190 24438 28173 32380 37496 42922 55-59 10409 12361 13971 15648 17505 20132 23301 26967 31093 36098 60-64 8031 9386 11223 12M 14400 16204 18724 21783 25321 29298 65-69 7508 687' 8103 9776 11222 12751 14436 16795 19657 22960 70-74 3699 5903 5463 6516 7947 9213 10549 12049 14132 16649 75+ 4319 4438 6083 6633 7742 9410 11241 13263 15543 18403 TOTAL 370064 409356 448073 485872 522022 554879 587047 619426 650637 679349 BIRTH RATE 31.6 28.1 25.3 22.7 20.0 18.9 18.3 17.4 16.5 DEATH RATE 11.4 10.1 9.4 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.2 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.02 1.80 1.59 1.39 1.16 1.07 1.01 .93 .83 NET NIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.01 1.79 1.59 1.39 1.16 1.07 1.01 .93 .83 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.261 3.678 3.175 2.741 2.366 2.231 2.192 2.167 2.151 NRR 1.677 1.495 1.331 1.180 1.042 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(O) - B0TH SEXES 57.09 59.29 61.08 62.83 64.50 65.95 67.49 68.92 70.13 e(dO) - BOTH SEXES 55.39 56.58 57.56 58.53 59.45 60.25 61.13 62.01 62.78 IMR - BOTH SEXES 83.9 73.4 65.4 57.8 50.8 44.8 38.4 32.8 28.3 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1188 .1023 .0896 .0776 .0666 .0573 .0478 .0401 .0340 DEP. RATIO 76.2 72.3 67.1 61.5 55.9 50.9 47.3 45.4 45.2 45.7 107 ASIA DEPARTMENT IV Population projection (thoucands) Suomry for 25 Year Periods AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .............................................. ............................................................................................................. TOTAL N.F 765147 1001859 1323317 1541815 1616686 1654772 1687745 1697113 MALES 0-4 56946 57792 55329 54747 54507 54363 54282 54290 5-9 50815 57469 54417 54269 54368 54339 54239 54255 10-14 46088 57281 52856 53894 54386 54372 54255 54230 15-19 42266 54507 52072 53905 54501 54376 54229 54178 20-24 35692 49237 54341 54296 54470 54268 54144 54088 25-29 29100 44245 55179 54243 54161 54065 54043 53988 30-34 24836 40168 55060 53322 53620 53864 53968 53891 35-39 21543 33627 54342 51529 53088 53753 53903 53819 40-44 19263 27109 51012 50400 52862 53677 53760 53656 45-49 17229 22687 45228 52017 52824 53294 53362 53286 50-54 14971 19053 39408 51724 51923 52252 52524 52557 55-59 11903 16188 33935 49618 49434 50277 51021 51191 60-64 8734 13375 26079 45758 45121 47265 48576 48812 65-69 7806 10290 18379 38434 10015 43055 44674 44882 70-74 3625 6785 12461 28453 35213 36996 38488 38714 75+ 4266 6174 12582 31706 52233 56691 61303 62951 TOTAL 395083 515986 672680 778318 812785 826907 836m 838789 FEMALES 0-4 53562 54962 53190 52240 51994 51927 51906 51914 5-9 49078 54103 52511 51825 51861 51915 51898 51913 10-14 43172 53607 50999 51549 51879 51952 51925 51915 15-19 37503 50697 50207 51712 52007 51979 51928 51910 20-24 32638 47331 52267 52260 52070 51926 51903 51896 25-29 28147 41258 52799 52448 51859 51781 51867 51879 30-34 24141 35440 52237 51755 51400 51623 51851 51862 35-39 20719 30533 51279 50022 50973 51550 51856 51867 40-44 18146 26054 47893 48893 50897 51531 51821 51824 45-49 15717 22034 44011 50350 51044 51337 51639 51685 50-54 13273 18507 37496 49993 50568 50681 51238 51414 55-59 10409 15648 31093 48107 48830 49468 50597 50948 60-64 8031 12773 25321 45129 45514 4776 49647 50127 65-69 7508 9776 19657 38987 41723 45424 47913 48450 70-74 3699 6516 14132 31223 38234 41483 44383 45014 75+ 4319 6633 15543 37004 63047 75512 88600 93705 TOTAL 370064 485872 650637 763498 803901 827865 850971 858324 BIRTH RATE 28.1 19.3 15.1 13.6 13.1 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 10.3 8.3 9.1 11.7 12.2 12.0 12.4 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.80 1.11 .61 .19 .09 .08 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.661 2.325 2.127 2.094 2.078 2.062 2.058 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 59.27 66.10 72.10 75.15 77.05 78.99 79.50 INR -BOTH SEXES 74.4 45.0 21.9 13.0 9.4 6.1 5.3 108 ASIA DEPARTMENT V Population projection (thousands) AGE CROU 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL N*F 168333 184426 201243 211522 2346s 249371 263231 276760 289720 301684 MALES 0-4 12056 11714 12145 12407 12255 11716 11637 11807 11909 11895 5-9 11418 11674 11413 11896 12200 12091 11580 11525 11709 11823 10-14 10921 11300 11571 11329 11821 12135 12033 11531 11481 11669 15-19 9257 10789 11182 11465 11241 11742 12060 11967 11473 11429 20-24 7593 9093 10622 11034 1334 11125 11630 11957 11874 11392 25-29 6231 7426 892l rr 10451 10e73 11194 10999 11512 11847 117 30-34 5192 6080 7272 8763 10291 10733 11057 10879 11398 117 35-39 4328 s045 5932 7121 84 10127 10576 10912 10749 11-2 40-44 3846 4175 4890 5774 6953 8425 9931 10389 10735 1J5 45.49 3467 3670 4005 4713 5585 6747 8189 9673 10137 104 50-54 2909 3252 3463 3799 4489 5339 6463 7863 9309 9778 55-59 2324 2658 2991 3205 3532 4192 4999 6068 7404 8790 60-64 1675 2039 2350 2665 2872 3182 3787 4532 5522 6761 65-69 1180 1381 1699 1976 2256 2447 2722 3255 3913 4790 70-74 738 886 1050 1306 1533 1764 1923 2150 2587 31 75. 741 784 913 1092 13SS 1642 1939 2199 2494 2958 TOTAL 83874 91967 100417 10o996 117199 124601 131525 138218 144542 150288 FEKALES 0-4 1172 11347 11749 11987 11829 11299 11237 11414 11521 11512 5-9 10994 11362 11085 11540 11819 11701 11202 11167 11360 11480 10-14 10341 10864 11269 11013 11478 11768 11660 11171 11143 11340 15-19 8755 10222 10781 11183 10943 11419 11717 11621 11142 11120 20-24 7688 8615 10086 10664 11081 10860 11346 11658 11574 11106 25-29 6755 7537 8474 9950 10542 10974 10771 11271 11598 11526 3Ci 4 5522 6604 7395 8341 9816 10421 10867 10685 11199 11537 35-39 4518 S38l 6460 7259 8208 9682 10297 10759 10598 11122 40-44 4058 4384 5242 El 6317 7117 8067 9534 10162 10639 10496 45-49 3652 3913 4245 S095 6156 6954 7898 9357 9996 10485 50-54 3069 3482 3748 4083 4916 5957 6744 7682 9126 9774 55-59 2439 2872 3277 3546 3877 4685 5694 6470 7396 8816 60-64 l793 2213 2626 3016 3281 3604 4372 5339 6098 7002 65-69 1315 1547 1928 2308 2669 2921 3225 3937 4842 5566 70-74 875 1045 1244 1S68 1893 2206 2430 2706 3336 4139 75+ 984 1049 1216 456 1820 2252 2713 3142 3610 4375 TOTAL 84459 92459 100826 109325 117446 12477 131706 138542 145178 15139 BIRTH RATE 29.0 27.1 25.0 22.7 20.1 18.7 17.9 17.1 16.3 DEATH RATE 10.7 9.6 8.7 8.2 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.2 RATE OF MAT. INC. 1.83 1.75 1.63 1.44 1.22 1.08 1.00 .92 .81 NET NIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.83 1.75 1.63 1.44 1.22 1.08 1.00 .92 .81 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.637 3.257 2.914 2.606 2.333 2.228 2.188 2.156 2.134 IRR 1.475 1.364 1.255 1.145 1.043 1.009 1.006 1.003 1.001 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 57.32 59.74 62.08 63.87 65.53 66.65 68.04 69.26 70.33 etlO) - B0TH SEXES 55.55 56.86 58.13 59.12 60.02 60.67 61.48 62.25 62.95 I[R - BOTH SEXES 83.7 72.3 61.8 54.0 47.0 42.3 36.7 32.2 28.4 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1181 .1001 .0836 .0714 .0605 .0536 .0453 .0392 .0341 DEP. RATIO 77.1 68.5 62.3 57.7 54.7 SO.7 47.1 45.1 45.0 109 ASIA DEPMRTNENT V Population projection (thauurds) Smry for 25 Year P*riods AGE GIIWP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ........................................................................ . TOTAL N F 1683 218322 289720 334546 349729 357525 365052 369720 MAUES 0-4 12056 12407 11909 11756 l1779 11820 11857 11866 5-9 11418 11896 11709 11653 11735 11796 11842 11858 10-14 10921 11329 11481 11618 11725 11782 11828 11852 15-19 9257 11468 11473 11656 11714 11755 11803 11839 20-24 7593 11034 11874 11685 11663 11702 11767 11818 25-29 6231 10451 11847 11607 11560 11637 11729 11793 30-34 5192 8763 11398 11404 11442 11578 11693 11766 35-39 4328 7121 10749 11111 11357 11530 11653 11733 40-44 3846 5774 10735 11005 11321 11464 11588 11679 45-49 3467 4713 10137 11237 11232 11320 11465 11581 50-54 2909 3799 9309 10940 10935 11035 11251 11406 55-59 2324 3205 7404 10070 10344 10574 10894 11092 60-64 1675 2665 5522 8815 9439 9908 10322 10552 65-69 1180 1976 3913 09 8392 8965 9414 9674 70-74 738 1306 2587 6087 7186 7569 8024 8318 75+ 741 1092 2494 6712 9796 11086 12434 13403 TOTAL 83874 l08998 144542 165166 171620 175521 179564 182229 FEMALES 0-4 11702 1198? 11521 11367 11348 11349 11345 11347 5-9 10994 11540 11360 11307 11337 11349 11348 11347 10-14 10341 11013 11143 11298 11351 11355 11349 11346 15-19 8755 11183 11142 11365 11371 11355 11346 11343 20-24 7688 10664 11574 11437 11367 11340 11340 11339 25-29 6755 9950 11598 11405 11316 11316 11334 11340 30-34 5522 8341 11199 11241 11247 11299 11332 11340 35-39 4518 7259 10598 10985 11215 11297 11329 11336 40-44 4058 6317 10639 10920 11241 11290 11313 11323 45-49 3652 5095 9996 11242 11243 11235 11267 11292 50-54 3069 4083 9126 11097 11089 11092 11180 11235 55-59 2439 3546 7396 10456 10726 10865 11046 11134 60-64 1793 3016 6098 9502 10152 10562 10836 10952 65-69 1315 2308 4842 8888 9526 10096 10429 1957 70-74 875 1568 3336 7355 8806 9212 9614 9821 75+ 984 1456 3610 9f17 14773 16992 19080 20420 TOTAL 84459 109325 145178 169381 178108 182004 185487 187491 BIRTH RATE 26.9 19.2 15.1 13.7 13.3 12.9 12.7 DEATH RATE 9.6 8.0 9.4 11.9 12.4 12.1 12.2 MET NIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRO0TH RATE 1.73 1.13 .58 .18 .09 .08 .05 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.242 2.294 2.109 2.079 2.071 2.063 2.058 e(O) - 80TH SEXES 59.85 66.82 72.04 74.83 76.64 78.49 79.62 I1m - BOTH SEXES 72.5 42.6 23.0 14.7 10.9 7.3 5.3 ASIA DEPARTMENT I 112 BANGLADESH Projection with NRR21 by 2030 (thowmand) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL M+F 100592 114040 128923 144820 161178 177563 193738 209465 224356 237887 MALES 0-4 8581 9534 10353 10964 11275 11399 11425 11363 11144 10716 5-9 7218 8197 9153 9986 10626 10975 11142 11210 11191 11012 10-14 7143 7119 8095 90so5 96 10530 10889 11066 11145 11136 15-19 6056 7032 7018 7991 8944 9781 10431 10798 10985 11075 20-24 4289 5918 6s86 4884 7853 S884 9644 10300 10678 10880 25-29 3298 4167 5767 725 6739 7703 8654 9497 10163 10556 30-34 3011 3194 4048 5617 6569 6596 7559 8511 9361 10038 35-39 2564 2901 3087 3925 5463 6406 6452 7411 8365 9222 40-44 2194 2450 2782 2971 3791 5293 6225 6289 7245 8201 45-49 1852 2071 2321 2646 2837 3633 5091 6009 6091 7040 50-54 1505 1716 1928 2170 2484 2674 3438 4837 5732 5833 55-59 1189 1356 1554 1754 1984 2282 2468 3188 4506 5365 60-64 888 1027 1178 1357 1540 1752 2026 2204 2863 4069 65-69 812 718 836 966 1121 1281 1467 1708 1871 2448 70-74 549 596 531 623 726 850 979 1131 1329 1469 75+ 489 539 595 584 646 747 881 1036 1220 1452 TOTAL 51639 58536 66132 74214 82483 90708 98771 106558 113889 120510 FEMALES 0-4 8223 9004 9630 10450 10786 10941 10994 10955 10752 10335 5-9 7069 7764 8577 9434 10101 10493 10704 10809 10817 10653 10-14 6938 6944 7646 8464 9328 10006 10412 10638 10757 lom 15-19 5418 6802 6824 7532 8356 9228 9917 10336 10577 10708 20-24 4094 5278 6644 6686 7400 8232 9113 9815 10250 10505 25-29 3448 3966 5129 6480 6543 7265 8105 8996 9711 10161 30-34 3004 3327 3840 4985 6322 6406 7135 7983 8884 9611 35-39 2428 2885 3208 '3718 4846 6169 6272 7009 7864 8m 40-44 1990 2321 2770 '3092 3598 470 6016 6138 6879 m9 45-49 1627 1891 2214 r2653 2973 3474 4563 5851 5988 6731 50-54 1304 1526 1781 2095 2522 2838 3330 4392 5651 5803 55-59 1041 1196 1408 1652 1954 2363 2674 3153 4177 5397 60-64 800 921 1066 1263 1492 1776 2164 2464 2923 3893 65-69 727 668 775 905 1082 1290 1550 1904 2186 2611 70-74 436 554 515 604 713 862 1040 1263 1567 1815 75+ 408 458 565 594 677 802 977 1201 1486 1866 TOTAL 48953 55504 62791 70606 78695 86855 94967 102907 110467 117377 BIRTH RATE 40.2 38.0 35.3 32.1 29.0 26.2 23.7 21.4 19.1 DEATH RATE 15.0 1U.5 12.0 10.7 9.6 8.8 8.1 7.7 7.4 RATE OF HAT. INC. 2.52 2.46 2.33 2.14 1.94 1.74 1.56 1.37 1.17 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.51 2.45 2.33 2.14 1.94 1.74 1.56 1.37 1.17 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.50D 4.926 4.413 3.952 3.540 3.171 2.840 2.544 2.279 NRR 1.960 1.824 1.693 1.569 1.450 1.337 1.229 1.126 1.028 e(0) - BOTH SEXES 50.51 52.50 54.49 56.52 58.55 60.59 62.57 64.50 66.32 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 51.95 52.95 54.00 55.09 56.19 57.30 58.39 59.46 60.48 IMR - BOTH SEXES 117.8 107.1 96.9 86.9 77.2 67.9 59.2 51.0 43.3 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1735 .1557 .1393 .1233 .1080 O.W33 .0796 .0667 .0551 DEP. RATIO 93.4 84.1 80.4 76.2 71.1 65.4 59.7 55.0 50.7 47.2 113 BANGLADESH Projection with NRR-i by 2030 (thousands) Sumery for 25 Year Periods AGE GRCJP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL M.F 100592 144820 224356 285505 318214 328803 336761 341536 MALES 0-4 8581 10964 11144 11011 1968 10948 10951 10956 5-9 7218 9986 11191 11013 10902 10910 10935 10949 10-14 7143 9050 11145 10904 10839 10882 10925 10945 15-19 6056 7991 10985 10628 10775 10868 10916 10936 20-24 4289 6884 10678 10476 10769 10861 10898 10917 25-29 3298 6725 10163 10m 10823 10838 10864 10892 30-34 3011 5617 9361 10835 10811 10768 10815 10864 35-39 2564 3925 8365 10708 10656 10661 10763 10837 40-44 2194 2971 7245 10441 10318 10547 10713 10801 45-49 1852 2646 6091 9994 10065 10455 10640 10725 50-54 1505 2170 5732 9260 10142 10334 10478 10565 5S-59 1189 1754 4506 8131 9819 9993 10131 10259 60-64 888 '357 2863 6713 9084 9297 9542 9746 65-69 812 966 1871 5126 7947 8169 8658 8944 70-74 549 623 1329 3530 6373 6779 7407 7720 75+ 489 584 1220 3803 7837 10336 11618 12453 TOTAL 51639 74214 113889 143347 158138 162645 166253 168508 FEMALES 0-4 8223 10450 10752 10599 10537 10496 10476 10477 5-9 7069 9434 10817 10629 10505 10476 10472 10476 10-14 6938 8464 10757 10543 10449 10462 10474 10478 15-19 5418 7532 10577 10303 10409 10467 10481 10479 20-24 4094 6686 10250 10193 10438 10487 10485 10474 25-29 3448 6480 9711 10520 10522 10494 10477 10471 30-34 3004 4985 a884 10599 10544 10456 10455 10465 35-39 2428 3718 7864 10472 10428 10381 10432 10462 40-44 1990 3092 6879 10201 10143 10310 10420 10460 45-49 1627 2653 5988 9761 9956 10283 10408 10441 50-54 1304 2095 5651 072 10140 10267 10352 10386 55-59 1041 1652 4177 8050 9991 10120 10199 10273 60-64 800 1263 2923 6784 9513 9727 9926 10084 65-69 727 905 2186 5458 8678 8981 9480 9742 70-74 436 604 1567 4105 7370 7987 8739 9073 75+ 408 594 1486 4869 10452 14765 17232 18788 TOTAL 48953 70606 110467 142157 160076 166158 170508 173028 BIRTH RATE 37.7 26.0 17.3 14.3 13.4 13.0 12.7 DEATH RATE 13.4 8.8 7.8 10.0 12.1 12.0 12.1 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.43 1.75 .96 .43 .13 .10 .06 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.891 3.139 2.172 2.094 2.077 2.065 2.058 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 52.66 60.89 69.29 73.85 76.04 78.16 79.50 R- BOTH SEXES 106.9 68.7 32.3 16.7 11.7 7.7 5.3 114 BHUTAN Projection with NRR.1 by 2035 (thousands) AGE GROW 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 . ........................................................................................................................................................................ ............ TOTAL M4F 1313 1447 1613 1785 1963 2145 2319 2496 2667 2827 MALES 0-4 123 113 130 135 140 143 142 144 144 140 5-9 72 116 107 124 129 134 138 137 140 140 10-14 70 71 114 106 122 128 133 136 136 139 15-19 68 69 70 112 104 121 126 131 135 134 20-24 59 66 67 68 110 102 118 124 129 133 25-29 50 57 64 65 66 107 100 116 121 127 30-34 43 48 55 62 63 64 104 97 113 119 35-39 37 41 46 53 60 61 62 101 95 110 40-44 32 35 39 44 51 57 59 60 98 92 45-49 28 30 33 37 42 48 55 56 57 94 50-54 25 26 28 30 34 39 45 51 53 54 55-59 20 22 23 25 27 31 35 41 47 48 60-64 16 17 19 20 21 24 27 31 36 41 65-69 12 13 14 15 16 17 19 22 25 30 70-74 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 15 17 19 75+ 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 17 TOTAL 670 740 826 915 1006 1098 1187 1275 1360 1438 FEMALES 0-4 108 107 123 128 133 136 136 139 139 136 5-9 74 100 100 116 121 127 131 131 135 136 10-14 74 72 98 90 114 119 125 130 130 134 15-19 67 72 71 96 97 112 118 124 128 129 20-24 57 65 70 69 94 95 110 116 122 126 25-29 50 55 63 68 67 91 92 107 113 120 30-34 42 48 53 60 65 65 89 90 105 111 35-39 35 40 46 50 58 63 63 86 88 103 40-44 29 33 38 44 48 56 61 61 84 85 45-49 26 27 31 36 41 46 53 59 58 81 50-54 22 24 25 29 34 39 44 51 56 56 55-59 18 20 22 23 27 31 36 41 47 53 60-64 15 16 17 19 21 24 28 33 37 43 65-69 11 12 13 14 16 17 20 24 28 32 70-74 8 8 9 10 11 12 14 16 19 23 75+ 8 8 9 9 10 12 14 15 18 22 TOTAL 643 707 787 870 957 1046 1133 1221 1308 1389 BIRTH RATE 38.8 39.5 36.4 33.7 31.1 28.1 26.3 24.2 22.0 DEATH RATE 19.4 17.8 16.1 14.6 13.4 12.4 11.6 10.9 10.4 RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.94 2.17 2.03 1.91 1.76 1.57 1.47 1.33 1.16 NET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRWTH RATE 1.94 2.17 2.03 1.91 1.76 1.57 1.47 1.33 1.16 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.530 5.351 4.964 4.538 4.067 3.547 3.214 2.912 2.638 NRR 1.778 1.805 1.730 1.639 1.518 1.364 1.273 1.186 1.103 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 45.58 47.49 49.26 51.09 52.73 54.34 56.03 57.74 59.48 eClO) - BOTH SEXES 49.33 50.36 51.29 52.24 53.07 53.93 54.84 55.76 56.72 INR - BOTH SEXES 146.3 135.0 124.7 114.7 106.1 97.8 89.4 81.2 73.2 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .2188 .2008 .1846 .1683 .1539 .1406 .1272 .1142 .1014 DEP. RATIO 77.7 78.6 83.6 76.7 73.9 68.2 63.0 58.6 55.0 52. 115 BHUTAN Projection with NRR=1 by 2035 (thousands) Summry for 25 Year Periods ... ......... .......... .... ...... ......... ................. ....... ............. .. .... .... ... .... .... .... ........ AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ........ ..............@. ...... ........... ... .... ........... ...................... ...... ........... ... .......... TOTAL M+F 1313 1785 266' 3379 3844 4040 4143 4228 MALES 0-4 123 135 144 138 136 136 136 136 5-9 72 124 140 136 135 136 136 136 10-14 70 106 136 132 135 136 136 136 15-19 68 112 135 131 135 136 136 136 20-24 59 68 129 135 135 136 136 136 25-29 50 65 121 135 135 135 135 135 30-34 43 62 113 133 132 134 135 135 35-39 37 53 95 127 129 133 134 135 40-44 32 44 98 124 127 132 134 134 45-49 28 37 57 116 128 131 133 133 50-54 25 30 53 106 126 128 130 131 55-59 20 25 47 93 119 122 125 127 60-64 16 20 36 71 106 112 118 121 65-69 12 15 25 64 92 100 107 111 70-74 8 10 17 30 71 86 91 96 75+ 6 9 15 33 83 123 138 152 TOTAL 670 915 1360 1706 1924 2015 2059 2091 FEMALES 0-4 108 128 139 133 131 130 130 130 5-9 74 116 135 131 130 130 130 130 10-14 74 98 130 128 130 130 130 130 15-19 67 96 128 128 130 130 130 130 20-24 57 69 122 131 131 130 130 130 25-29 50 68 113 132 131 130 130 130 30-34 42 60 105 129 129 129 130 130 35-39 35 50 88 123 126 128 130 130 40-44 29 44 84 120 124 12S 129 130 45-49 26 36 58 112 126 128 129 129 50-54 22 29 56 102 125 127 127 129 55-59 18 23 47 91 119 122 124 127 60-64 15 19 37 71 108 115 121 125 65-69 11 14 28 62 97 107 115 120 70-74 8 10 19 36 79 97 105 111 75+ 8 9 18 45 104 161 192 224 TOTAL 643 870 1308 1673 1921 2025 2083 2136 BIRTH RATE 38.1 28.3 18.9 15.1 13.7 13.2 12.8 DEATH RATE 17.7 12.4 9.5 10.0 11.7 12.2 12.0 NET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRC4TH RATE 2.05 1.61 .95 .52 .20 .10 .08 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.252 3.570 2.338 2.130 2.089 2.074 2.061 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 47.57 54.65 63.85 71.45 75.14 77.06 79.00 IN- BOTH SEXES 134.8 97.9 55.0 24.3 13.2 9.4 6.1 116 NEPAL ProJection with NRR-1 by 2035 (thousands) ....................... .......................................................................................................... AGE GROUIP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 -**.----.--........................................................................................................................................................................ TOTAL N*F 16625 18721 21224 23943 2678S 29656 32417 35247 38092 40817 MALES 0-4 1431 1559 1788 1926 2019 2054 2021 2075 2104 2071 5-9 1173 1356 1485 1711 1852 1950 1992 1968 2032 2069 10-14 1052 1155 1337 1465 1691 1832 1931 1975 1953 2019 15-19 859 1034 1136 1317 1445 1669 1811 1911 1957 1938 20-24 724 837 1010 1111 1290 1419 1641 1783 1885 1934 25-29 644 702 813 983 1084 1261 1389 1610 1754 1859 30-34 486 621 679 789 956 1057 1232 1360 1582 17?7 35-39 428 466 598 656 764 928 1028 1202 1332 1,53 40-44 386 407 445 572 630 736 896 997 1170 1301 45-49 335 363 384 421 543 599 703 860 960 1132 50-54 271 308 335 356 392 508 563 663 815 914 55-59 215 242 277 303 323 357 465 518 613 758 60-64 168 184 208 240 263 283 314 411 461 549 65-69 111 134 148 169 196 216 234 261 345 390 70-74 67 80 98 109 125 146 163 177 201 268 75+ 63 66 76 92 107 124 146 168 190 218 TOTAL 8414 9516 10818 12221 13681 15139 16530 17940 19353 20701 EMALES 0-4 1346 1470 1692 1835 1933 1973 1949 2008 2033 1999 5-9 1122 1258 1385 1608 1757 186 1916 1903 1971 2005 10-14 1003 1100 1235 1363 1586 1736 1846 1900 1891 1961 15-19 850 980 1078 1213 1342 1565 1717 1828 1886 1879 20-24 726 825 955 1052 1188 1317 1541 1694 1808 1869 25-29 551 701 799 927 1025 1161 1292 1516 1671 1788 30-34 461 529 676 m 900 999 1136 1268 1492 1649 35-39 441 440 508 651 748 874 974 1111 1244 1468 40-44 392 419 421 487 627 723 8U 949 1086 1220 45-49 356 371 398 401 466 602 697 821 922 1058 299 332 347 374 379 443 57-4 668 790 889 55-59 238 272 304 320 346 353 414 540 631 750 60-64 186 209 240 270 286 312 320 378 497 584 65-69 99 153 174 202 229 245 269 278 332 440 70-74 64 74 116 133 157 180 194 216 226 273 75+ 77 73 79 111 138 168 200 228 260 287 TOTAL 8211 9206 10406 l722 13107 14516 15887 17307 18739 20116 BIRTH RATE 40.8 40.8 38.4 35.4 32.0 28.3 26.4 24.3 22.0 DEATH RATE 17.0 15.7 14.3 12.9 11.6 iu.5 9.6 8.8 8.1 RATE OF HAT. INC. 2.38 2.51 2.41 2.25 2.03 1.78 1.67 1.55 1.38 NET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRUWTH RATE 2.37 2.51 2.41 2.25 2.03 1.78 1.67 1.55 1.38 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.860 5.659 5.222 4.734 4.190 3.584 3.213 2.880 2.582 OR 1.978 1.987 1.907 1.793 1.643 1.453 1.342 1.237 1.135 *C0) - BOTH SEXES 47.77 49.71 51.65 53.56 55.51 57.50 59.48 61.72 63.83 e(1O) - BOTH SEXES 50.50 51.53 52.51 53.52 54.56 55.63 56.72 57.94 59.09 INR - BOTH SEXES 133.3 122.3 111.8 101.8 92.0 82.4 73.2 63.0 53.8 q(5) BOTH SEXES .1982 .1807 .1633 .1471 .1313 .1160 .1014 .0855 .0711 DEP. RATIO 84.4 82.8 82.8 81.1 78.6 72.8 65.8 59.6 55.1 52.2 117 NEPAL Projection with NRRui by 2035 (thousands) Sumary for 25 Year Periods ....................... ................................................................................. ........................................... AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ......................................... .................................................................................................... TOTAL NFf 16625 23943 38092 50038 57580 60136 61370 62434 MALES 0-4 1431 1926 2104 2034 2012 2008 2008 2009 5-9 1173 1711 2032 1994 1996 2004 2007 2007 1A-14 1052 1465 1953 1942 1990 2006 208 2007 15-19 859 1317 1957 1947 2000 2009 2006 2005 20-24 724 1111 1885 2013 2011 2005 2000 2000 25-29 644 983 1754 2017 2000 1990 1991 1996 30-34 486 789 1582 1956 1959 1971 1985 1994 35-39 428 656 1332 1864 1899 1960 1982 1990 40-44 386 572 1170 1844 1892 1961 1978 1963 45-49 335 421 960 1746 1936 1956 1961 1966 50-54 271 356 815 1578 1902 1913 1919 1935 55-59 215 303 613 1352 177 1815 1847 1880 60-64 168 240 461 1048 1587 1662 1744 1791 65-69 111 169 345 808 1410 1503 1596 1646 70-74 67 109 201 540 1121 1311 1369 1416 75+ 63 92 190 522 1318 1905 2089 2255 TOTAL 8414 12221 19353 25203 28811 29978 30491 30880 FEMALES 0-4 1346 1835 2033 1954 1925 1921 1921 1921 5-9 1122 1608 1971 1922 1912 1919 1921 1921 10-14 1003 1363 1891 1876 1910 1922 1923 1921 15-19 850 1213 1886 1886 i924 1926 1%2'2 1921 20-24 726 1052 1808 1959 1940 1925 i9e 1920 25-29 551 927 1671 1970 1935 1915 1915 1919 30-34 461 7m3 1492 1917 1902 1901 1912 1919 35-39 441 651 1244 1824 1850 1894 1912 1919 40-44 392 487 1086 1799 1850 1900 1913 1917 45-49 356 401 922 1700 1904 1904 1903 1910 50-54 299 374 790 15W3 1887 1878 1878 1896 55-59 238 320 631 1328 1791 1812 1838 1875 60-64 186 270 497 1050 1637 1707 1788 1843 65-69 99 202 332 837 1505 1612 1714 1781 70-74 64 133 226 608 1253 1491 1572 1649 75+ 77 111 260 668 1646 2530 2926 3323 TOTAL 8211 11722 18739 24834 28770 30158 30879 31554 BIRTH RATE 39.9 28.8 18.6 :4.8 13.5 13.1 12.8 DEATH RATE 15.6 10.5 7.8 9.2 11.8 12.3 12.1 HET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.43 1.86 1.09 .56 .17 .08 .07 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.547 3.608 2.272 2-106 2.084 2.072 2.061 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 49.87 57.92 67.47 73.37 75.76 77.39 79.07 INR - BOTH SEXES 121.8 82.5 39.7 18.1 11.8 8.9 6.0 118 SRI LANKA ProJection with NRR=i by 2005 (thousards) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M+F 15837 17124 18520 19853 21064 22236 23376 24467 25458 26307 MALES 0-4 986 971 998 968 924 925 949 963 961 950 5-9 916 970 961 991 962 920 921 946 960 958 10-14 858 907 964 957 9m8 960 918 920 944 958 15-19 903 8s 900 959 953 985 957 916 917 942 20-24 793 879 834 891 952 948 980 953 912 914 25.29 711 762 861 822 882 947 943 976 949 908 30-34 496 684 746 849 814 877 942 939 971 944 35-39 436 475 669 735 841 808 871 936 933 965 40-44 372 419 464 658 726 832 801 863 928 925 45-49 351 358 408 454 646 714 819 789 851 915 50-54 337 336 345 395 440 628 695 798 769 831 55-59 250 318 318 327 376 420 600 665 765 738 60-64 224 229 291 293 302 348 389 558 619 713 65-69 157 194 199 255 258 267 308 346 497 553 70-74 107 126 157 162 208 211 219 254 286 412 75+ 117 129 149 182 202 247 271 291 328 371 TOTAL 8015 8606 9266 9898 10474 11035 11584 12111 12590 12999 FEMALES 0-4 948 935 962 933 891 892 915 928 926 915 5-9 885 934 928 957 930 890 891 914 927 925 10-14 840 877 930 925 956 930 889 890 914 927 15-19 895 833 873 928 923 955 929 889 890 913 20-24 801 881 826 869 924 922 953 928 888 889 25-29 713 785 872 820 865 922 920 952 926 887 30-34 525 700 777 867 816 862 920 918 950 925 35-39 449 515 693 77" 862 813 859 917 916 947 40-44 374 441 509 687 766 857 809 855 913 912 45-49 330 367 434 503 679 758 849 802 849 907 50-54 322 321 358 426 494 668 747 838 792 838 55-59 217 310 310 348 414 481 652 730 819 775 60-64 192 204 294 296 332 397 462 628 704 791 65-69 138 174 187 270 273 309 370 432 588 661 70-74 89 117 150 162 235 239 272 327 383 524 75+ 106 121 151 194 228 306 354 407 483 573 TOTAL 7822 8517 9255 9954 10590 11201 11792 12356 12868 13309 BIRTH RATE 24.0 22.7 20.3 18.2 17.1 16.6 16.1 15.4 14.6 DEATH RATE 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.6 6.9 7.4 8.1 RATE OF MAT. INC. 1.81 1.68 1.44 1.21 1.08 1.00 .91 .79 .66 NET MIGRATION RATE -2.4 -1.1 -.5 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.56 1.57 1.39 1.18 1.08 1.00 .91 .79 .66 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.820 2.583 2.367 2.168 2.093 2.087 2.082 2.080 2.079 NRR 1.317 1.216 1.121 1.032 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 70.25 71.19 72.02 72.75 73.39 73.97 74.46 74.79 75.12 etlO) - BOTH SEXES 62.88 63.52 64.09 64.61 65.07 65.48 65.84 66.11 66.38 IMR - BOTH SEXES 28.0 24.9 22.2 19.9 18.1 16.3 15.0 14.3 13.6 qC5) - BOTH SEXES .0337 .0295 .0261 .0233 .0209 .0188 .0171 .0163 .0154 DEP. RATIO 63.4 60.5 57.2 53.9 50.4 46.9 45.2 45.2 47.5 49.6 119 SRI LANKA Projection with NRR*1 by 2005 (thousds) Sumury for 25 Year Periods ................... ....................................... ..................... .................................... .... AGE GR 0JP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .... .......... ....... ......... ....................................... .................................................................. TOTAL MF 15837 19853 25458 28298 29142 29685 29835 29866 MALES 0-4 986 968 961 956 954 955 955 955 5-9 916 991 960 950 951 954 954 955 10-14 858 957 944 942 949 954 954 954 15-19 903 959 917 938 948 953 953 953 201-24 793 891 912 941 949 952 952 9S2 ?5-29 711 822 949 948 947 949 95O 95O 0-34 496 849 971 946 940 944 948 948 A5-39 436 735 933 927 930 941 946 946 -0-44 372 658 928 896 922 938 943 943 (.-49 351 454 851 883 919 933 937 937 50-54 337 395 769 902 913 920 923 924 S5-59 25 327 765 892 884 891 896 899 -64 224 293 619 W80 822 841 852 857 65-69 157 255 497 727 726 768 783 787 70-74 107 162 286 565 615 665 677 680 75. 117 182 328 734 983 1071 1098 1106 TOTAL 8015 9898 12590 13956 14353 146t9 14721 14746 FEMALES 0-4 948 933 926 918 914 913 913 913 5-9 885 9f7 927 914 912 913 913 913 10-14 840 925 914 908 911 913 913 913 15-19 895 928 890 906 913 914 914 913 20-24 801 869 888 912 916 914 913 913 25-29 713 820 926 922 916 913 913 913 30-34 525 867 950 923 912 911 912 913 35-39 449 771 916 908 905 910 912 912 40-44 374 587 913 882 901 911 912 912 45-49 330 503 849 875 904 912 911 910 50-54 322 426 792 904 908 908 905 905 55-59 217 348 819 912 898 896 896 896 60-64 192 296 704 854 864 874 880 881 65-69 138 270 588 809 804 841 851 853 70-74 89 162 383 680 734 787 795 794 75+ 106 194 483 1113 1475 1626 1661 1666 TOTAL 7822 9954 12868 14343 14789 15056 15114 15120 BIRTH RATE 22.2 16.6 13.9 13.1 12.8 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 5.9 6.7 9.7 11.9 12.0 12.4 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE -1.3 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GRONTH RATE 14.1 .99 .42 .12 .07 .02 .00 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.572 2.101 2.075 2.067 2.059 2.058 2.058 etO) - BOTH SEXES 71.20 73.92 75.83 77.60 79.27 79.50 79.50 INR - BOTH SEXES 25.0 16.7 12.2 8.7 5.7 5.3 5.3 ASIA DEPARTMNENT II 122 BURK Projection with NRR=I by 2020 (thousands) .................................................................................................................................. AGE GROIP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ,........................................................... ................................................................................................. ............ ....... TOTAL N+F 37153 41622 46872 52110 57023 61595 66042 70247 74271 78135 MALES 0-4 2485 3026 3454 3482 3352 3228 3230 3196 3224 3287 5-9 2299 2422 2965 3400 3438 3317 3199 3205 3175 3205 10-14 2277 2279 2404 2947 3382 3422 3303 3188 3195 3165 15-19 2013 2254 2259 2386 2927 3363 3404 3288 3174 3182 20-24 1741 1982 2224 2233 2362 2901 3335 3379 3265 3154 25-29 1544 1709 1950 2193 2207 2337 2873 3306 3352 3241 30-34 1279 1512 1679 1921 2165 2181 2313 2846 3278 3326 35-39 1118 1248 1480 1649 1891 2135 2154 2287 2817 '247 40-44 866 1084 1215 1446 1615 1856 2099 2120 2254 2779 45-49 678 831 1045 1176 1404 1572 1810 2050 2074 2208 50-54 586 640 788 996 1125 1347 1511 1744 1979 2006 55-59 529 539 592 734 931 1055 1266 1425 1648 1875 60-64 430 468 481 531 661 843 958 1154 1303 1512 65-69 323 358 393 408 453 567 m 829 1003 1137 70-74 204 246 276 306 319 357 449 578 665 808 75. 176 208 253 297 340 372 415 503 638 767 TOTAL 18546 20804 23458 26105 28573 30852 33045 35097 37044 38899 FEMALES 0-4 2407 2927 3337 3360 3237 3121 3125 3094 3121 3182 5-9 2254 2352 2875 3293 3328 3214 3104 3112 3085 3114 10-14 2238 2236 2337 2861 3280 3318 3207 3099 3108 3081 15-19 1980 2217 2219 2323 2847 3268 3308 3200 3093 3103 20-24 1723 1954 2193 2200 2307 2832 3254 3296 3191 3086 25-29 1534 1695 1928 2169 2180 2290 2815 3239 3284 3181 30-34 1274 1505 1668 1903 2146 2161 2274 2799 3224 3272 35-39 1118 1246 1478 1643 1878 2123 2142 2257 2782 3207 40-44 868 1089 1219 1450 1616 1852 2098 2120 2238 2761 45-49 688 841 1059 1189 1418 1584 1820 2066 2092 2211 50-54 604 659 809 1022 1151 1377 1543 1778 2023 2052 55-59 562 569 624 769 975 1103 1324 1489 1720 1963 oO-64 476 514 524 578 716 912 1037 1251 1413 1639 65-69 377 415 452 464 515 643 825 944 1146 1301 70-74 254 304 338 371 385 431 543 703 811 991 75+ 249 293 354 412 470 514 578 703 898 1093 TOTAL 18607 20817 23414 26006 28450 30744 32997 35150 37227 39236 BIRTH RATE 33.0 33.0 29.4 25.4 22.4 20.7 19.1 18.1 17.4 DEATH RATE 10.2 9.2 8.2 7.4 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.9 7.3 RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.28 2.38 2.12 1.80 1.54 1.40 1.24 1.11 1.01 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.27 2.38 2.12 1.80 1.54 1.39 1.23 1.11 1.01 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.300 4.117 3.717 3.267 2.848 2.532 2.251 2.123 2.109 NRR 1.793 1. 7 1.638 1.469 1.303 1.172 1.053 1.000 1.000 e0) - BOTH SEXES 59.89 62.12 64.20 65.92 67.39 68.65 69.79 70.78 71.64 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 56.94 58.15 59.30 60.25 61.09 61.86 62.61 63.27 63.84 INR - BOTH SEXES 71.2 61.2 52.2 45.1 39.0 34.1 30.0 26.5 23.6 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0984 .0828 .0687 .0576 .0486 .0417 .0362 .0317 .0279 DEP. RATIO 71.9 69.5 70.9 70.8 65.2 57.6 52.4 49.2 47.9 47.4 123 BURKA Projection with NRRuI by 2020 (thousands) Sunmry for 25 Year Periods ......................................................................................................... AGE GROUJP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 TOTAL I4F 37153 52110 74271 90032 96892 99158 101285 102070 MALES 0-4 2485 3482 3224 3230 3248 3262 3271 3271 5-9 2299 3400 3175 3208 3241 3258 3269 3269 10-14 2277 2947 3195 3220 3243 3254 3265 3267 15-19 2013 2386 3174 3241 3238 3244 3258 3264 20-24 1741 2233 3265 3236 3213 3228 3249 3259 25-29 1544 2193 3352 3152 3178 3212 3241 3254 30-34 1279 1921 3278 3101 3153 3202 3234 3248 35-39 1118 1649 2817 3103 3151 3194 3224 3239 40-44 866 1446 2254 3058 3152 3174 3205 3224 45-49 678 1176 2074 3107 3117 3127 3171 3198 50-54 586 996 1979 3117 2978 3045 3117 3152 55-59 529 734 1648 292 2826 2929 3029 3068 60-64 430 531 1303 2338 2655 2771 2882 2920 65-69 323 408 1003 1666 2357 2526 2636 2676 70-74 204 306 665 1272 2018 2.36 2251 2300 75n 176 297 638 1524 2790 3141 3549 3729 TOTAL 18546 26105 37044 44495 47559 48702 49852 50336 FEMALES 0-4 2407 3360 3121 3120 3126 3129 3128 3128 5-9 2254 3293 3085 3110 3128 3130 3128 3128 10-14 2238 2861 3108 3128 3137 3132 3128 3127 15-19 1980 2323 3093 3159 3139 3129 3127 3127 20-24 1723 2200 3191 3167 3127 3123 3125 3127 25-29 1534 2169 3284 3098 3106 3118 3126 3127 30-34 1274 1903 3224 3060 3094 3119 3127 3126 35-39 1118 1643 2782 3073 3106 3123 3127 3124 40-44 868 1450 2238 3044 3126 3119 3121 3120 45-49 688 1189 2092 3115 3116 3095 3107 3112 50-54 604 1022 2023 3164 3017 3051 3087 3098 55-59 562 769 1720 3037 2928 2999 3060 3073 60-64 476 578 1413 2525 2854 2941 3012 3023 65-69 377 464 1146 1901 2676 2832 2906 2918 70-74 254 371 811 1577 2472 2590 2683 2708 75+ 249 412 898 2258 4182 4826 i442 5668 TOTAL 18607 26006 37227 45537 49333 50456 51433 51734 BIRTH RATE 31.7 20.9 15.8 13.8 13.2 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 9.1 6.9 8.2 10.9 12.3 12.0 12.3 NET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.26 1.42 .77 .29 .09 .08 .03 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.014 2.550 2.095 2.079 2.069 2.060 2.058 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 62.23 68.68 73.00 75.12 77.03 78.99 79.50 IE - BOTH SEXES 61.2 35.1 19.7 14.2 10.1 6.2 5.3 124 KAMPUCHEA, DEN. Projection with NRRuI by 2035 (thaisunds) .............................................................................................................................. AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL N+F 7284 8176 9037 9759 10406 11134 11970 12822 13588 14238 MALES 0-4 634 674 670 606 575 625 692 713 684 643 5-9 161 591 634 636 579 553 605 674 698 672 10-14 390 158 581 624 627 573 547 600 668 694 15-19 472 382 155 571 615 618 566 541 594 663 20-24 406 458 371 151 559 602 607 557 534 587 25-29 363 391 443 360 147 545 589 596 548 526 30-34 310 348 376 A 427 349 143 532 577 585 539 35-39 239 295 333 361 412 338 139 519 564 574 40-44 164 225 279 317 345 396 326 135 504 551 45-49 133 152 210 262 299 328 378 312 130 488 50-54 110 121 139 194 243 279 307 356 296 123 55-59 90 97 108 125 175 221 254 282 329 275 60-64 65 76 82 92 108 152 193 225 251 295 65-69 42 51 60 66 75 88 125 161 188 21 70-74 26 30 37 44 49 55 66 95 123 146 75+ 17 22 26 33 40 47 55 66 91 123 TOTAL 3622 4070 4505 4870 5196 5562 5982 6408 6789 711 FEMALES 0-4 622 659 653 590 558 607 670 690 661 621 5-9 172 581 621 620 S65 538 589 654 677 652 10-14 389 169 570 611 612 558 533 584 650 674 15-19 457 381 165 560 601 604 551 528 579 646 20-24 392 444 370 161 548 590 594 544 522 574 25-29 351 379 430 360 157 535 578 584 536 51 30-34 307 337 365 416 349 153 523 567 575 529 35-39 237 294 324 351 402 339 149 512 557 565 40-44 170 225 280 310 338 388 329 145 500 54 45-49 145 161 214 267 297 325 374 318 141 487 50-54 129 135 150 201 252 282 310 358 306 136 55-59 105 117 124 138 186 235 263 291 339 290 60-64 78 92 104 110 124 168 213 240 267 31 65-69 51 64 76 87 93 106 145 185 211 237 70-74 32 38 49 :2 59 67 73 84 116 150 173 75+ 23 30 37 - 48 60 72 83 97 127 168 TOTAL 3662 4105 4532 4890 5210 5572 5989 6415 6799 7126 BIRTH RATE 41.9 36.6 29.7 25.8 25.8 26.2 24.8 22.0 19.4 DEATH RATE 18.8 16.6 14.3 12.9 12.3 11.7 11.0 10.4 10.0 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.31 2.00 1.54 1.28 1.35 1.45 1.38 1.16 .94 NET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.31 2.00 1.54 1.28 1.35 1.45 1.38 1.16 .94 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.751 4.376 4.031 3.713 3.420 3.150 2.902 2.673 2.462 NRR 1.589 1.525 1.463 1.401 1.338 1.274 1.210 1.145 1.080 etO) - BOTH SEXES 45.52 47.77 50.09 52.37 54.64 56.96 59.26 61.50 63.64 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 49.35 50.56 51.74 52.91 54.11 55.35 56.60 57.82 58.98 INR - BOTH SEXES 147.2 134.0 120.8 108.5 96.7 85.2 74.2 63.9 54.6 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .2200 .1991 .1775 .1574 .1386 .1203 .1030 .0870 .0724 DEP. RATIO 54.2 60.0 79.9 70.1 59.9 53.8 53.9 56.6 57.0 54 125 KAXWUCHEA, OEM. Projection with NRR=1 by 2035 (thousands) SuLmry for 25 Year Periods AGE GRCUP 19B5 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ......................................................................................................... TOTAL NIF 7284 9759 13588 16522 18389 19128 19604 20066 MALES 0-4 634 606 684 661 647 645 646 648 5-9 161 636 698 652 638 640 645 648 10-14 390 624 668 626 630 639 644 648 15-19 472 571 594 605 629 640 644 647 20-24 406 151 534 623 638 640 642 644 25-29 363 360 548 653 644 636 637 642 30-34 310 427 585 669 635 626 632 640 35-39 239 361 564 635 606 615 629 638 40-44 164 317 504 557 581 611 627 636 45-49 133 262 130 491 590 613 622 630 50-54 110 194 296 488 604 607 608 618 55-59 90 125 329 495 f92 576 580 598 60-64 65 92 251 438 521 516 539 567 65-69 42 66 188 342 406 444 488 520 70-74 26 44 123 71 295 379 418 448 754 17 33 91 216 402 557 625 702 TOTAL 3622 4870 6789 8222 9058 9384 9626 9874 FENALES 0-4 622 590 661 640 625 621 620 620 5-9 172 620 677 633 619 618 620 620 10-14 389 611 650 609 612 618 620 620 15-19 457 560 579 589 614 621 621 620 20-24 392 161 522 608 625 624 621 620 25-29 351 360 536 640 634 622 619 619 30-34 307 416 575 658 627 615 616 619 35-39 237 351 557 626 601 607 615 619 40-44 170 310 500 552 578 607 617 620 45-49 145 267 141 490 591 614 617 618 50-54 129 201 306 493 613 616 610 613 55-59 105 138 339 511 616 598 595 605 60-64 78 110 267 469 563 555 574 593 65-69 51 87 211 385 463 504 548 574 70-74 32 59 150 93 362 464 507 534 75+ 23 48 127 302 589 840 957 1076 TOTAL 3662 4890 6799 8300 9331 9744 9977 10191 BIRTH RATE 35.7 24.8 17.6 14.7 13.7 13.2 12.9 DEATH RATE 16.4 11.6 9.8 10.4 12.1 12.3 11.9 NET NIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GOUTH RATE 1.95 1.32 .78 .43 .16 .10 .09 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.365 3.121 2.241 2.105 2.083 2.071 2.061 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 47.94 57.26 66.89 72.11 74.64 76.76 78.94 IR - W0TH SEXES 134.6 85.0 41.7 22.4 15.4 10.8 6.4 126 KOREA, REP. OF Projection with NRRu1 by 1985 (thouands) AGE GRCUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL NI+F 41055 43771 46624 49373 51854 53982 55831 57525 59050 60305 MALES 0-4 1892 2035 2146 2148 2104 2031 2008 2057 2102 2105 5-9 2190 1867 2013 2128 2132 2090 2019 1998 2048 2094 10-14 2210 2175 1856 2005 2120 2125 2084 2013 1992 2044 15-19 2281 2192 2161 1846 1995 2111 2116 2076 2007 1987 20-24 2407 2253 2170 2143 1832 1981 2097 2104 2065 1997 25-29 2104 2372 2225 ) 2148 2123 1816 1966 2083 2091 2054 30-34 1584 2072 2343 2203 2128 2105 1802 1952 2069 20r9 35-39 1217 1556 2043 2315 2179 2107 2086 1787 1937 .055 40-44 1122 1191 1528 2011 2282 2150 2082 2063 1768 1918 45-49 1055 1090 1160 1492 1968 2237 2110 2045 2028 1739 50-54 812 1012 1048 1119 1442 1905 2169 2049 1988 1974 55-59 608 762 953 990 1059 1368 1811 2066 1955 1900 60-64 470 551 693 870 907 973 1261 1674 1913 1814 65-69 332 404 476 602 758 793 854 1111 1479 1696 70-74 228 262 321 381 484 613 644 697 910 1216 7S+ 183 239 291 359 435 547 696 794 885 1089 TOTAL 20694 22033 23428 24759 25947 26951 27804 28569 29236 29762 FEMALES 0-4 1842 1981 2088 2088 2043 1971 1946 1993 2035 2035 5-9 2094 1828 1970 2080 2082 2038 1966 1943 1990 2033 10-14 2075 2084 1821 1965 2076 2079 2036 1964 1941 1989 15- 9 2130 2063 2076 1816 1961 2072 2075 2033 1962 1940 20-24 2243 2109 2048 2066 1808 1954 2066 2070 2029 1960 25-29 1978 2217 2091 2036 2056 1800 1947 2060 2065 2026 30-34 1515 1954 2198 2078 2025 2047 1793 1940 2054 2061 35-39 1195 1495 1936 2184 2066 2015 2038 1786 1934 2049 40-44 1092 1178 1479 1919 2167 2052 2003 2027 1777 1925 45-49 1035 1072 1160 1460 1898 2145 2033 1986 2011 1764 50-54 881 1010 1049 1137 1434 1867 2113 2005 1960 1986 55-59 707 849 976 1017 1105 1397 1821 2065 1961 1919 60-64 558 667 805 929 971 1059 1341 1753 1990 1893 65-69 401 507 610 740 859 902 986 1253 1642 1869 70-74 297 341 434 527 644 752 793 871 1111 1461 75+ 317 384 456 572 710 883 1067 1207 1353 1634 TOTAL 20361 21738 23196 24614 25906 27031 28026 28957 29814 30543 BIRTH RATE 19.7 19.4 18.2 16.8 15.5 14.7 14.6 14.5 14.1 DEATH RATE 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.8 7.3 7.9 8.5 9.1 9.9 RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.35 1.31 1.17 i.00 .82 .69 .61 .53 .42 NET HIGATION RATE -.7 -.4 -.2 -.2 -.2 -.1 -.1 -.1 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.28 1.26 1.15 .98 .80 .67 .60 .52 .42 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.143 2.126 2.112 2.102 2.095 2.088 2.083 2.081 2.079 NRR 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 6&.96 70.06 71.00 71.82 72.53 73.17 73.73 74.10 74.49 edIO) - BOTH SEXES 62.11 62.82 63.45 64.00 64.50 64.96 65.35 65.65 65.95 INR - BOTH SEXES 33.3 29.4 26.0 23.3 21.1 19.1 17.4 16.5 15.7 q(S) - BOTH SEXES .0407 .0354 .0311 .0276 .0247 .0223 .0202 .0191 .0181 DEP. RATIO 52.1 47.5 45.1 46.2 46.5 45.3 44.2 45.2 49.3 54.5 127 KOREA, REP. OF Projection with NRRM1 by 1985 (thousands) Sumnary for 25 Year Periods . ..... ........ .. ...... ...... .... ...... ..... ........ .... ...... . .................. ............ ................. .......................... ......... AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ,........................................................................................................................................................ TOTAL N+F 41055 49373 59050 62030 63497 64848 65255 65350 MALES 0-4 1892 2148 2102 2078 2n7R 2085 2089 2090 5-9 2190 2128 2048 2048 2069 2086 2090 2090 10-14 2210 2005 1992 2041 2074 2091 2091 2089 15-19 2281 1846 2007 2062 2084 2092 2088 2085 20-24 2407 2143 2065 2081 2081 2082 2081 2080 25-29 2104 2148 2091 2068 2056 2065 2074 2077 30-34 1584 2203 2069 2012 2024 2055 2073 2076 35-39 1217 2315 1937 1949 2011 2056 2075 2074 40-44 1122 2011 1768 1951 2023 2060 2070 2066 45-49 1055 1492 2028 1988 2027 2046 2049 2048 50-54 812 1119 1988 1975 1984 1997 2008 2017 55-59 608 990 1955 1885 1873 1917 1949 1966 60-64 470 870 1913 1656 1719 1818 1862 1879 65-69 332 602 1479 1362 1569 1684 1720 1728 70-74 228 381 910 1317 1370 1465 1484 1486 75+ 183 359 885 1891 2073 2297 2379 2410 TOTAL 20694 24759 29236 30365 31115 31897 32179 32263 FEMALES 0-4 1842 2088 2035 2002 1992 1994 1997 1999 5-9 2094 2080 1990 1979 1988 1996 1999 2000 10-14 2075 1965 1941 1976 1997 2002 2002 2000 15-19 2130 1816 1962 2003 2011 2006 2001 1998 20-24 2243 2066 2029 2030 2014 2001 1996 1996 25-29 1978 2036 2065 2027 1998 1991 1993 1996 30-34 1515 2078 2054 1981 1974 1986 1995 1998 35-39 1195 2184 1934 1929 1970 1994 2000 2000 40-44 1092 1919 177 1944 1992 2006 2002 1997 45-49 1035 1460 2011 1999 2012 2005 1993 1988 50-54 881 1137 1960 2015 1995 1979 1974 1975 55-59 707 1017 1961 1972 1926 1938 1952 1960 60-64 558 929 1990 1803 1835 1902 1927 1933 65-69 401 740 1642 1572 1772 1860 1876 1872 70-74 297 527 1111 1610 1677 1750 1748 1737 75+ 317 572 1353 2821 3232 3540 3622 3639 TOTAL 20361 24614 29814 31664 32383 32951 33076 33088 BIRTH RATE 19.1 15.2 13.5 13.2 12.8 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 6.3 8.0 11.6 12.2 12.0 12.4 12.5 NET NIORATIOQ RATE -.4 -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWNH RATE 1.23 .72 .20 .09 .08 .03 .01 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.127 2.090 2.076 2.067 2.059 2.058 2.058 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 70.05 73.11 75.28 77.32 79.23 79.50 79.50 I*R BOTH SEXES 29.5 19.5 13.9 9.6 5.8 5.3 5.3 128 LAO PEOPLE'S DEN. REP. Projection with MRR.l by 2035 (thousands) ..... ...... ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ............. ....................................... ....................................................................................................... TOTAL M+F 3594 4059 4674 5369 6101 6834 7549 8305 9092 9840 MALES 0-4 285 326 407 454 478 484 479 504 522 515 5-9 257 271 312 392 440 467 475 472 499 517 10-14 254 253 267 309 388 437 463 472 470 497 15-19 218 250 249 264 305 385 433 460 470 468 20-24 114 213 244 245 260 301 380 429 456 466 25-29 95 110 207 239 240 255 296 375 424 452 30-34 92 92 107 202 233 235 251 292 371 42.0 35-39 79 88 88 104 196 228 230 247 288 366 40-44 110 75 85 85 100 190 222 225 242 283 45-49 91 104 71 80 81 96 184 215 219 236 50-54 68 84 96 ) 67 76 77 91 176 207 211 55-59 58 61 76 " 88 61 70 71 85 165 194 60-64 33 50 53 67 77 54 62 64 77 150 65-69 23 26 40 44 55 64 46 53 55 66 70-74 14 17 19 30 33 42 50 36 42 44 75+ 11 13 16 19 27 33 42 52 48 51 TOTAL 1803 2034 2339 2686 3051 3418 377 4159 4556 4935 FEMALES 0-4 280 317 395 440 463 468 463 486 503 496 5-9 246 267 304 382 428 453 461 457 482 499 10-14 256 243 263 301 378 425 450 459 456 481 15-19 223 252 239 260 298 375 422 448 457 454 20-24 115 217 247 235 256 294 371 419 445 454 25-29 98 112 212 242 231 252 291 368 415 442 30-34 109 95 109 207 237 227 249 287 364 412 35-39 93 105 92 106 202 .32 223 245 284 360 40-44 104 90 102 89 103 197 227 219 242 280 4S-49 86 100 86 98 86 99 192 222 214 237 50-54 56 81 94 82 93 83 96 185 215 208 55-59 45 51 76 88 77 88 78 91 177 206 60-64 29 40 46 68 80 70 81 73 85 166 65-69 21 24 34 40 59 70 S2 72 65 77 70-74 15 16 19 27 32 48 57 51 60 55 75+ 13 15 18 i 21 28 35 51 66 70 79 TOTAL 1791 2026 2335 2683 3050 3416 3772 4147 4535 4905 BIRTH RATE 38.9 41.8 39.8 36.2 32.0 28.1 26.4 24.7 22.3 DEATH RATE 14.3 13.5 12.1 10.6 9.3 8.2 7.3 6.6 6.5 RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.46 2.83 2.78 2.55 2.27 1.99 1.91 1.81 1.58 NET MIGRATION RATE -.3 -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.43 2.82 2.78 2.55 2.27 1.99 1.91 1.81 1.58 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.840 5.639 5.203 4.716 4.173 3.567 3.196 2.865 2.567 NRR 2.157 2.162 2.064 1.932 1.761 1.548 1.423 1.304 1.172 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 51.22 53.46 55.77 58.09 60.43 62.78 65.09 67.29 67.72 e(1O) - BOTH SEXES 52.31 53.48 54.71 55.96 57.23 58.51 59.78 61.02 61.33 IMR - BOTH SEXES 114.6 102.7 90.9 79.6 68.7 58.3 48.5 39.3 37.8 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1672 .1481 .1294 .1116 .0945 .0782 .0629 .0491 .0473 DEP. RATIO 87.3 78.8 81.2 84.4 85.4 79.5 69.6 62.1 56.2 52.2 129 LAO PEOPLE'S DEN. REP. ProJection with NERR1 by 2035 (thousads) Summary for 25 Year Periods ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~. ......... ................. ......................................... ................................................................... ... ..... .. AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ~~. . ......... .................................... ........ ........................ TOTAL M.F 3594 5369 9092 12223 13980 14564 14938 15314 MALES 0-4 285 454 522 504 496 495 495 495 5-9 257 392 499 490 490 493 494 495 10-14 254 309 470 474 489 493 494 495 15-19 218 264 470 480 492 494 493 494 20-24 114 245 456 502 495 491 491 493 25-29 95 239 424 504 490 486 488 491 30-34 92 202 371 481 476 479 486 491 35-39 79 104 288 450 458 476 485 490 40-44 110 85 242 445 459 476 483 487 45-49 91 80 219 425 474 474 476 482 50-54 68 67 207 384 465 460 464 473 55-59 58 88 165 320 425 430 444 459 60-64 33 67 77 230 370 389 417 437 65-69 23 44 55 170 326 351 380 400 70-74 14 30 42 126 259 306 323 343 75+ 11 19 48 133 292 426 478 538 TOTAL 1803 2686 4556 6119 6956 7219 7391 7563 FEMALES 0-4 280 440 503 484 476 475 474 473 5-9 246 382 482 472 471 473 474 473 10-14 256 301 456 458 471 474 474 474 15-19 223 260 457 464 475 475 474 474 20-24 115 235 445 487 479 474 473 473 25-29 98 242 415 491 475 470 471 473 30-34 109 207 364 470 463 465 470 473 35-39 93 106 284 "41 44 463 470 473 40-44 104 89 242 438 449 464 469 472 45-49 86 98 214 422 467 465 466 470 50-54 56 82 215 386 463 456 458 466 55-59 45 88 177 328 432 435 446 460 60-64 29 68 85 243 389 406 433 452 65-69 21 40 65 190 360 385 415 436 70-74 15 27 60 146 305 359 380 403 75+ 13 21 70 185 401 606 699 806 TOTAL 1791 2683 4535 6104 7023 7345 7547 7751 BIRTH RATE 40.2 28.9 18.8 15.2 13.9 13.4 12.9 DEATH RATE 13.2 8.2 7.2 9.9 12.3 12.4 11.9 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GR0IITH RATE 2.68 2.11 1.18 .54 .16 .10 .10 TOTAL FERTILITY 5.513 3.581 2.270 2.149 2.120 2.092 2.065 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 53.69 63.21 68.66 70.94 73.40 76.05 78.79 INR -BOTH SEXES 101.6 58.7 35.0 27.9 20.8 13.8 7.0 130 PALAYSIA ProJection wIth NRR=1 by 2005 (thousands) . ... ... ............. ....................... .................................. ................................................................ .. .............................. ....... AGE GROI 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL N+F 15676 17523 19318 20929 22360 23M 25215 26592 27808 28810 MALES 0-4 1124 1152 1140 1065 1001 1024 1080 1099 1083 1057 5-9 997 1113 1143 1132 1059 996 1019 1076 1094 1078 10-14 895 992 1109 1139 1129 1056 993 1017 1073 1092 15-19 849 890 987 1104 1135 1125 1053 990 1014 1070 20-24 842 841 883 981 1097 1128 1119 1047 986 1009 25-29 716 832 833 876 973 1090 1121 1112 1041 980 30-34 561 707 824 826 869 966 1082 1114 1105 1C35 35-39 418 553 699 815 818 861 959 1074 1106 1098 40-44 322 410 544 689 805 808 851 948 1063 1095 45-49 305 314 400 532 675 789 793 837 933 1046 50-54 228 293 302 387 515 654 766 771 814 907 55-59 198 214 276 286 366 489 622 730 735 777 60-64 149 180 195 253 262 337 451 575 676 682 65-69 122 128 156 169 220 229 296 398 508 598 70-74 82 96 102 125 136 178 187 242 325 417 75+ 83 94 110 123 145 165 206 233 286 373 TOTAL 7888 8810 9704 10501 11205 11896 12599 13264 13844 14314 FEMALES 0-4 1082 1111 1101 1030 968 990 1044 1062 1045 1020 5-9 946 1075 1106 1097 1027 966 988 1043 1060 1044 10-14 858 943 1073 1104 109' 1026 965 988 1042 1059 15-19 815 855 941 1070 1102 1094 1024 964 987 1041 20-24 810 811 851 938 1068 1100 1092 1023 962 985 25-29 704 804 806 847 935 1065 1097 1089 1021 961 30-34 576 698 799 802 84 931 1061 1094 1087 1018 35-39 433 570 692 794 797 840 927 1057 1091 1083 40-44 326 427 563 685 787 792 834 922 1052 1085 45-49 314 320 420 555 676 778 784 826 914 1042 50-54 244 305 312 411 544 664 765 771 814 900 55-59 206 234 294 301 398 528 646 746 753 795 60-6 164 193 220 278 287 379 506 620 717 724 65-69 129 148 175 201 256 264 352 471 578 669 70-74 86 108 125 150 173 222 231 309 414 510 75. 95 110 136 165 200 239 300 342 428 559 TOTAL 7788 8713 9614 10427 11155 11876 12617 13328 13964 14496 BIRTH RATE 28.4 25.2 21.5 18J. 17.9 17.7 17.0 16.0 14.9 DEATH RATE 6.0 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.9 6.4 7.0 7.9 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.24 1.96 1.60 1.32 1.23 1.18 1.06 .89 .71 MET NIGRATION RATE -.1 -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 G08CTH RATE 2.23 1.95 1.60 1.32 1.22 1.18 1.06 .89 .71 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.450 2.983 2.580 2.231 2.105 2.097 2.090 2.089 2.088 NRR 1.583 1.387 1.211 l.n5!4 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 68.20 69.39 70.43 7'(.33 72.14 72.84 73.47 73.66 73.86 e10) - BOTH SEXES 61.55 62.33 63.02 6'..62 64.19 64.69 65.14 65.29 65.45 IIlR - BOTH SEXES 35.6 31.3 27.6 24.5 21.9 19.8 17.9 17.5 17.0 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0438 .0380 .0332 .0291 .0258 .0232 .0208 .0203 .0197 DEP. RATIO 70.8 67.7 63.1 55.8 49-6 44.8 43.6 45.2 47.4 49.0 131 MALAYSIA Projection with NRR=1 by 2005 (thousands) Suary for 25 Year Periods AGE GRCUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ................ ................................ ..... ........ .. ..... ...... ......... ................. ....... TOTAL N.F 15676 20929 27808 31223 31928 32343 32741 33148 MALES 0-4 1124 1065 1083 1076 1070 1069 1071 1072 5-9 997 1132 1094 1068 1063 1066 1069 1071 10-14 895 1139 1073 1052 1058 1064 1068 1070 15-19 849 1104 1014 1039 1057 1063 1066 1069 20-24 642 981 986 1043 1059 1062 1063 1066 25-29 716 876 1041 1063 1060 1057 1059 1063 30-34 561 826 1105 1073 1050 1048 1054 1060 35-39 418 815 1106 1047 1031 1039 1049 1056 40-44 322 689 1063 983 1012 1033 1044 1052 45-49 305 532 933 945 1006 1027 1035 1042 50-54 228 387 814 978 1006 1010 1015 1024 55-59 198 286 735 998 979 969 977 992 60-64 149 253 676 935 898 897 918 941 65-69 122 169 508 805 760 799 833 860 70-74 82 125 325 591 617 676 710 737 75. 83 123 286 703 968 1028 1089 1160 TOTAL 7888 10501 13844 15402 15694 15908 16119 16334 FEMALES 0-4 1082 1030 1045 1038 1030 1027 1026 1026 5-9 946 1097 1060 1033 1025 1025 1026 1026 10-14 858 1104 1042 1019 1022 1025 1026 1026 15-19 815 1070 987 1009 1023 1027 1027 1026 20-24 810 938 962 1016 1029 1028 1026 1026 25-29 704 847 1021 1040 1033 1026 1025 1025 30-34 576 802 1087 1053 1027 1021 1022 1024 35-39 433 794 1091 1032 1011 1016 1021 1024 40-44 326 685 1052 974 998 1014 1020 1023 45-49 314 555 914 943 999 1015 1018 1020 50-54 244 411 814 989 1012 1010 1009 1012 55-59 206 301 753 1032 1007 990 991 1000 60-64 164 278 717 1001 958 949 V94 980 65-69 129 201 578 908 856 892 922 944 70-74 86 150 414 706 748 814 848 873 75* 95 165 428 1029 1456 1556 1650 1759 TOTAL 7788 10427 13964 15821 16234 16435 16622 16813 BIRTH RATE 24.8 17.4 14.3 13.4 13.2 13.0 12.8 DEATH RATE 5.7 6.1 9.7 12.5 12.7 12.5 12.3 NET NIGRATION RATE -.1 .A .A .A .0 A .0 GRanrH RATE 1.93 1.14 .46 .09 .05 .05 .05 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.966 2.120 2.085 2.080 2.074 2.068 2.063 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 69.41 72.76 74.27 75.28 76.33 77.43 78.56 I* - BOTH SES 31.6 20.3 16.1 13.9 11.6 9.3 7.1 132 PHILIPPINES Projection with NRR=i by 2015 (thousndB) ............. ....................... _.............................................................................................. AGE GROWU 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 TOTAL N+F 55819 62258 68991 75965 82839 89221 94876 100236 105463 110349 MALES 0-4 4210 4212 4417 4569 4590 448 4212 4221 4354 4420 5-9 3995 4125 4141 4359 4519 4547 4411 4181 4194 4329 10-14 3413 3960 4093 4115 4336 4498 4528 4394 4167 4181 15-19 3023 3377 3924 4062 4089 4311 4474 4506 4375 4150 20-24 2737 2973 3327 3878 4022 4052 4275 4441 4475 4347 25-29 2401 2680 2918 3279 3831 3978 4011 4237 4405 4441 30-34 1998 2348 2627 2873 3236 3787 3936 3973 4201 437j 35-39 1523 1949 2298 2582 2830 3193 3742 3893 3934 4162 40-44 1173 1478 1899 2248 2532 2780 3142 3687 3840 3884 45-49 977 1129 1428 1843 2187 2468 2715 3073 3611 3766 50-54 826 927 1076 1366 1768 2103 2379 2621 2972 3498 55-59 618 766 864 1006 1282 1663 1984 2249 2484 2822 60-6 498 553 689 780 912 1165 1517 1815 2063 2285 65-69 342 421 470 589 670 786 1009 1319 1584 1807 70-74 221 264 328 369 465 532 627 810 1063 1282 75. 191 231 281 349 411 508 604 720 907 1182 TOTAL 28146 31394 34781 38267 41680 44819 47566 50140 52626 54926 FEUALES 0-4 4068 4066 4267 4419 4443 4308 4081 4089 4218 4280 5-9 3871 3996 4010 4225 4387 4418 4289 4067 4078 4208 10-14 3305 3840 3970 3991 4211 4375 4408 4280 4060 4072 15-19 2950 3271 3808 3946 3973 4195 4362 4397 4271 4053 20-24 2632 2900 3224 3772 3918 3949 4175 4344 4382 4259 2S-29 2340 2575 2846 3183 3737 3888 3924 4152 4324 4366 30-34 1952 2287 2526 2807 3150 3706 3861 3901 4132 4306 35-39 1496 1907 2242 2488 2774 3119 3676 3835 3878 4111 40-"4 1166 1458 1866 2204 2453 2740 3087 3643 3805 3851 45-49 966 1132 1421 1825 2162 2412 2699 3046 3600 3764 50-54 858 929 l093 1377 1775 2108 2358 2644 2989 3538 55-59 653 813 8ss 1045 1321 1709 2036 2283 2567 2908 60-6 538 603 755 826 980 1245 1618 1935 2177 2455 65-69 383 475 536 676 744 889 1137 1484 1784 2016 70-74 258 314 392 446 568 631 759 979 1286 1555 75+ 239 298 371 468 563 709 840 1016 1287 1683 TOTAL 27673 30865 34210 37697 41159 44402 47310 50096 52837 55423 BIRTH RATE 30.0 28.0 26.0 23.7 21.1 18.6 17.5 17.1 16.5 DEATH RATE 7.3 6.7 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.4 6.8 7.4 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.27 2.13 1.97 1.76 1.51 1.25 1.11 1.03 .92 NET NIG¢ATION RATE -.8 -.8 -.4 -.3 -.2 -.2 -.A -.A -A. GRUWTH RATE 2.18 2.05 1.93 1.73 1.48 1.23 1.10 1.02 .91 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.940 3.512 3.131 2.791 2.488 2.218 2.118 2.106 2.099 IRR 1.713 1.564 1.421 1.285 1.158 1.040 1.000 1.000 1.000 CO) - BOTH SEXES 63.41 65.18 66.69 67.99 69.11 70.13 71.00 71.77 72.45 e(1O) - BOTH SEXES 58.86 59.84 60.70 61.46 62.16 62.84 63.42 63.94 64.42 1 - BOTH SEXES 55.6 48.2 41.9 36.7 32.5 28.9 25.8 23.2 21.1 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0739 .0623 .0529 .0454 .0395 .0348 .0308 .0274 .0248 PEP. RATIO 78.2 72.7 65.4 60.3 56.5 52.3 48.3 46.0 45.5 46.5 133 PHILIPPINES Projection with NRR-1 by 2015 (thousards) Suomry for 25 Year Period& ......................................................................................................... AGE GROUP 1965 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 .................................................. .............................................................................. TOTAL MFF 55819 75965 105463 123973 130651 133831 136305 136952 MALES 0-4 4210 4569 4354 4325 4353 4377 4386 4386 5-9 3995 4359 4194 4292 4348 4374 4384 4382 10-14 3413 4115 4167 4316 4357 4370 4381 4379 15-19 3023 4062 4375 4360 4352 4357 4373 4374 20-24 2737 3878 4475 4356 4315 4333 4362 4368 25-29 2401 3279 4405 4260 4259 4312 4352 4362 30-34 1998 2873 4201 4098 4222 4302 4346 4356 35-39 1523 2582 3934 4050 4228 4299 4335 4345 40-44 1173 2248 3840 4219 4247 4278 4310 4327 45-49 977 1843 3611 4264 4203 4212 4263 4292 50-54 826 1366 2972 4105 4036 4099 4192 4232 55-59 618 1006 2484 3759 3750 3948 4079 4122 60-64 498 780 2063 3283 3487 3752 3891 3925 65-69 342 589 1584 2861 3283 3447 3568 3598 70-74 221 369 1063 2240 2807 2932 3053 3093 75+ 191 349 907 2355 3854 4366 4859 5026 TOTAL 28146 38267 52626 61144 64102 65759 67133 67568 FEMALES 0-4 4068 4419 4218 4175 4186 4192 4194 4194 5-9 3871 4225 4078 4158 4192 4197 4195 4193 10-14 3305 3991 4060 4191 4208 4200 4194 4192 15-19 2950 3946 4271 4247 4215 4196 4190 4191 20-24 2632 3m 4382 4261 4194 4185 4188 4191 25-29 2340 3183 4324 4187 4157 4177 4189 4192 30-34 1952 2807 4132 4045 4137 4182 4193 4192 35-39 1496 2488 3878 4015 4162 4194 4195 4189 40-44 1166 2204 3805 4204 4205 4193 4187 4181 45-49 966 1825 3600 4280 4196 4158 4167 4171 50-54 858 1377 2989 4171 4084 4094 4140 4153 55-59 653 1045 2567 3903 3881 4027 4108 4120 60-64 538 826 2177 3535 3745 3967 4053 4055 65-69 383 676 1784 3256 3722 3848 3918 3914 70-74 258 446 1286 2745 3435 3542 3622 3632 75+ 239 468 1287 3456 5831 6722 7440 7623 TOTAL 27673 37697 52837 62829 66549 68072 69172 69383 BIRTH RATE 27.9 19.4 15.1 13.6 13.1 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 6.8 6.3 8.7 11.5 12.1 12.0 12.4 NET NIGRATION RATE -.7 -.2 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.05 1.31 .65 .21 .10 .07 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.486 2.324 2.091 2.079 2.067 2.059 2.058 eCo) - BOTH SEXES 65.21 70.12 73.43 75.48 77.65 79.41 79.50 INR - BOTH SEXES 48.4 29.5 18.6 13.7 9.0 5.4 5.3 134 THAILAND Projection iIth NRR=1 by 2000 (thousand) .................................................................................................................................. AGE GROtP l985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 .................................................................................................................................. TOTAL M*F 51683 56305 60972 65287 69448 73482 m7o 80757 83862 86525 MALES 0-4 3265 3173 3222 3107 3110 3155 3164 3152 3133 3124 5-9 3168 3214 3135 3190 3081 3087 3135 3147 3137 3119 10-14 3160 3148 3197 3121 3178 3071 3077 3127 3139 3129 15-19 3093 3136 3128 3179 3106 3163 3058 3066 3115 3128 20-24 2652 3057 3105 3101 3154 3083 3143 3039 3049 3099 25-29 2260 2614 3020 3072 3072 3128 3060 3120 3019 3030 30-34 1844 2225 2581 2986 3042 3044 3102 3037 3099 300( 35-39 1425 1811 2191 2546 2951 3008 3014 3074 3011 3075 40-44 1154 1392 1775 2152 2505 2906 2967 2975 3037 2978 45-49 1030 1117 1352 1728 2100 2448 2845 2908 2920 2984 50-54 844 982 1070 1298 1663 2025 2365 2754 2820 2835 55-59 681 786 919 1004 1222 1570 1916 2243 2618 2685 60-64 494 611 710 833 913 1116 1437 1760 2067 2418 65-69 351 419 523 610 719 792 971 1256 1545 1820 70-74 248 273 329 413 484 575 636 784 1020 1259 75+ 219 264 304 363 452 546 658 758 918 1168 TOTAL 25888 28222 30561 32703 34750 36717 38548 40201 41645 42853 FEMALES 0-4 3177 3062 3112 3004 3008 3054 3063 3051 3031 3022 5-9 3074 3135 3034 3092 2989 2997 3046 3057 3046 3027 10-14 3037 3058 3123 3026 3085 2984 2993 3042 3054 3044 15-19 2974 3018 3044 3112 3018 3078 2979 2989 3039 3051 20-24 2579 2947 2997 3028 3100 3008 3070 2973 2984 3034 25-29 2253 2549 292l 2976 3012 3087 2997 3062 2966 2977 30-34 1849 2223 2523 2896 2957 2996 3073 2987 3052 2958 35-39 1408 1820 2195 2497 2872 2936 2978 3058 2974 3041 40-44 1157 1381 1791 2166 2469 2845 2912 2957 3039 2957 45-49 1084 La8 1352 1758 2130 2433 2808 2878 2926 3010 50-54 904 1047 1094 1314 1714 2083 2384 2756 2830 2881 55-59 727 860 1000 1049 1265 1655 2017 2315 2683 2760 60-64 534 674 802 937 988 1197 1573 1924 2215 2574 65-69 406 473 603 722 850 902 1099 1451 1783 2061 70-74 295 334 394 505 611 726 7m 953 1267 1566 75. 337 374 426 502 630 785 962 1104 1329 1709 TOTAL 25795 28083 30411 32584 34698 36766 38732 40556 42217 43672 BIRTH RATE 24.5 22.7 20.2 18.8 17.9 17.0 16.1 15.3 14.7 DEATH RATE 7.3 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9 7.3 7.8 8.5 RATE OF MAT. INC. 1.72 1.60 1.37 1.24 1.13 1.01 .88 .75 .63 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.1 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.71 1.59 1.37 1.24 1.13 1.01 .88 .75 .63 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.840 2.530 2.253 2.152 2.132 2.118 2.106 2.097 2.090 KRR 1.254 1.146 1.036 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 64.40 66.52 67.88 69.12 70.18 71.12 71.94 72.67 73.31 e(IO) - BOTH SEXES 59.41 60.59 61.38 62.16 62.87 63.49 64.05 64.58 65.03 IMR - BOTH SEXES 51.4 42.6 37.0 32.4 28.6 25.3 22.6 20.4 18.5 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0674 .0539 .0458 .0394 .0344 .0302 .0266 .0239 .0215 DEP. RATIO 67.0 59.2 54.1 49.6 47.0 44.6 43.9 44.5 45.9 48.0 135 THAILAID Projectfon with NRR=i by 2000 (thousands) Sumry for 25 Year Periods ........ .............. ........ ............... .... ...... ...... .......... ............. ............................ ................ ... AGE GRCOUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ................... ....................................... ". ................... ......... ... .... .. . ..... TOTAL F 51683 65287 83862 92410 94747 96831 98475 98895 MALES 0-4 3265 3107 3133 3149 3156 3162 3166 3166 5-9 3168 3190 3137 3140 3146 3156 3164 3164 10-14 3160 3121 3139 3128 3137 3151 3162 3162 15-19 3093 3179 3115 3107 3125 3144 3158 3159 20-24 2652 3101 3049 3083 3114 3136 3152 3154 25-29 2260 3072 3019 3074 3105 3127 3145 3149 30-34 1844 2966 3099 3073 3092 3114 3136 3143 35-39 1425 2546 3011 3059 3069 3097 3125 3136 40-44 1154 2152 3037 3015 3031 3074 3110 3125 45-49 1030 1728 2920 2918 2981 3043 3086 3102 50-S4 844 1298 2820 2829 2921 2991 3040 3058 55-59 681 1004 2618 2792 2822 2896 2953 2974 60-64 494 833 2067 2536 2648 2729 2803 2830 65-69 351 610 1545 2291 2363 2467 2565 2597 70-74 248 413 1020 1841 1939 2088 2205 2239 75, 219 363 918 2374 2853 3228 3544 3639 TOTAL 25888 32703 41645 45407 46501 47604 48513 48797 FEMALES 0-4 3177 3004 3031 3037 3033 3028 3028 3027 5-9 3074 3092 3046 3038 3030 3027 3027 3027 10-14 3037 3026 3054 3033 3027 3026 3027 3027 15-19 2974 3112 3039 3020 3023 3026 3026 3027 20-24 2579 3028 2964 3010 3023 3027 3027 3027 25-29 2253 2976 2966 3014 3025 3027 3026 3026 30-34 1849 2896 3052 3025 3024 3024 3025 3025 35-39 1408 2497 2974 3026 3014 3017 3023 3023 40-44 1157 2166 3039 2999 2993 3009 3020 3020 45-49 1084 1758 2926 2924 2967 2998 3014 3014 50-54 904 1314 2830 2872 2944 2981 3000 3000 55-59 727 1049 2683 2897 2910 2946 2970 2972 60-64 534 937 2215 2729 2832 2877 2916 2922 65-69 406 722 1783 2625 2669 2745 2812 2823 70-74 295 505 1267 2261 2366 2513 2612 2627 75+ 337 502 1329 3495 4366 4957 5410 5511 TOTAL 25795 3258 42217 47003 48246 49228 49962 50099 BIRTH RATE 22.4 16.9 14.1 13.4 13.0 12.7 12.6 DEATH RATE 6.8 7.0 10.3 12.4 12.2 12.1 12.4 NET NIGRATION RATE -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.56 1.00 .39 .10 .09 .07 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.522 2.121 2.086 2.076 2.066 2.058 2.058 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 66.36 71.10 74.03 75.87 77.84 79.41 79.50 INR - BOTH SEXES 43.8 25.9 16.8 12.7 8.6 5.4 5.3 136 VIET MMI Projection with RR-1 by 2015 (thounB) ................................................................................................................................ AGE GROIP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ................................... ........................................................................................................................................ TOTAL N+F 61689 70240 79254 8158 96758 104874 112345 119675 126966 13381 HALES 0-4 4840 5319 5588 5584 5495 5348 5144 5223 5403 5442 5-9 4251 47m 5260 5537 5541 5458 531T 5116 5198 5381 10-14 3613 4226 4750 5238 5517 5523 5442 5303 5104 5187 15-19 3665 3586 4199 4724 5212 5493 5501 5422 5285 5088 20-24 3370 3620 3549 4163 4688 5177 5458 5469 5393 5258 25-29 2515 3319 3576 3512 4126 4651 5139 5421 5434 5361 30-34 1648 2473 3275 3536 3479 4091 4614 5102 5385 5401 35-39 1144 1615 2435 3232 3496 3443 4052 4574 5060 ,345 40-44 993 1116 1583 2392 3182 3445 3397 4002 4521 5007 45-49 861 961 1084 1542 2336 3112 3375 3332 3930 4444 50-54 798 822 921 1042 1486 2255 3010 3270 3233 3819 55-59 724 745 770 865 982 1404 2136 2858 3111 3082 60-64 613 652 674 699 789 896 1288 1965 2636 2877 65-69 451 523 559 580 605 685 783 1128 1728 2325 70-74 336 353 412 442 462 485 552 634 917 1411 75. 273 349 399 464 521 565 606 677 775 1030 TOTAL 30096 34452 39033 43553 47917 52032 55810 59494 63114 66458 FENALES 0-4 4670 5136 5403 5402 5320 5179 4980 5055 5228 5262 5-9 4180 4619 5097 5373 5380 5303 5166 4970 5047 5221 10-14 3501 4160 4603 5084 5363 5372 5297 5161 4966 5044 15-19 3500 3481 4143 4589 5072 5352 5364 5290 5156 49A.2 20-24 3241 3469 3459 4123 4573 5057 5340 5354 5281 5149 25-29 2590 205 3441 3437 4104 4555 5042 5326 5342 5272 30-34 1783 2557 3174 3415 3417 4085 4538 5025 5311 5329 35-39 1385 1756 2528 3145 3389 3396 4063 4517 5005 5293 40-44 1321 1360 1730 2496 3112 3359 3370 4036 4490 4979 45-49 1257 1291 1333 1700 2458 3070 3319 3333 3997 4450 50-54 1111 1217 1253 1298 1660 2406 3011 3261 3280 3937 55-59 934 1060 1165 1204 1252 1606 2334 2928 3177 3201 60-64 715 869 991 1095 1138 1188 1530 2231 2806 3053 65-69 553 638 780 896 996 1042 1093 1415 2072 2616 70-74 415 458 533 658 762 855 901 952 1239 1824 75+ 436 513 589 691 846 1017 1188 1327 1454 1761 TOTAL 31593 35789 40221 44605 48841 52842 56535 60181 63852 67354 BIRTH RATE 33.4 30.8 27.3 24.2 21.5 19.1 18.1 17.6 16.7 DEATH RATE 7.2 6.5 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.8 6.2 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.63 2.43 2.13 1.86 1.61 1.38 1.26 1.18 1.05 NET MIGRATION RATE -.3 -.1 -.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 OUTN RATE 2.60 2.41 2.13 1.86 1.61 1.38 1.26 1.18 1.05 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.366 3.813 3.330 2.908 2.539 2.218 2.101 2.093 2.087 HRR 1.954 1.739 1.539 1.359 1.196 1.051 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 65.80 67.29 68.56 69.72 70.71 71.57 72.35 73.01 73.61 t10) - BOTH SEXES 60.18 61.03 61.80 62.55 63.22 63.80 64.35 64.82 65.25 INR - BOTH SEXES 45.6 39.4 34.4 30.2 26.8 23.8 21.4 19.4 17.6 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .0583 .0492 .0422 .0365 .0321 .0282 .0251 .0226 .0204 DEP. RATIO 80.5 79.3 75.0 68.9 61.4 54.1 48.1 44.7 44.6 46.5 137 VIET NA ProjectfOn with ERRuI by 2015 (thousands) Summry for 25 Year Perfods =....... ............ ... ..... ......... ..... .... .... . ... . .. .. AGE GRMUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ......................................................................................................... TOTAL N+F 61689 88158 126966 152506 161728 165533 167818 168351 MALES 0-4 4840 5584 5403 5334 5354 5380 5388 5389 5-9 4251 5537 5198 5280 5343 5377 5386 5385 10-14 3613 5238 5104 5286 5352 5376 5384 5381 15-19 3665 4724 5285 5343 5357 5364 5376 5375 20-24 3370 4163 5393 5374 5328 5339 5363 5366 25-29 2515 3512 5434 5306 5265 5310 5351 5359 30-34 1648 3536 5385 5097 5205 5294 5343 5352 35-39 1144 3232 5060 4981 5192 5291 5333 5341 40-44 993 2392 4521 5122 5221 5278 5308 5319 45-49 861 1542 3930 5171 5206 5216 5254 5278 50-54 98 1042 3233 5104 5055 5086 5164 5204 55-59 724 865 3111 *867 4698 4892 5022 5068 60-64 613 699 2636 4279 4331 4642 4792 4829 65-69 451 580 1728 3429 4039 4280 4406 4431 70-74 336 442 917 2496 3466 3682 3784 3812 75 273 464 775 2793 4991 5589 6049 6196 TOTAL 30096 43553 63114 75262 79404 81398 82702 83083 FEMALES 0-4 4670 5402 5228 5142 5142 5148 5152 5153 5-9 4180 5373 5047 5105 5143 5153 5154 5152 10-14 3501 5084 4966 5123 5162 5159 5154 5151 15-19 3500 4589 5156 5192 5179 5158 5151 5150 20-24 3241 4123 5281 5243 5168 5147 5146 5149 25-29 2590 3437 5342 5200 5125 5134 5145 5150 30-34 1783 3415 5311 5016 5085 5134 5150 5150 35-39 1385 3145 5005 4925 5095 5149 5154 5148 40-4U 1321 2496 4490 5093 5151 5158 5148 5140 45-49 1257 1700 3997 5183 5176 5132 5126 5124 50-54 1111 1298 3280 5183 5090 5061 5090 5101 55-59 934 1204 3177 5055 4837 4968 5045 5060 60-64 715 1095 2806 4610 4627 4882 4977 4982 65-69 553 896 2072 3899 4559 4752 4823 4813 70-74 415 658 1239 3112 4228 4422 4473 4468 75+ 436 691 1454 4159 7556 8577 9231 9377 TOTAL 31593 44605 63852 77243 82324 84135 85117 85268 BIRTH RATE 30.3 19.9 15.1 13.5 13.0 12.7 12.6 DEATH RATE 6.5 5.5 7.9 11.1 12.1 12.1 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.38 1.46 .73 .23 .09 .05 .01 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.768 2.339 2.083 2.073 2.064 2.058 2.058 e(O) - B0TH SEXES 67.33 71.59 74.36 76.23 78.24 79.50 79.50 INR - BOTH SEXES 39.7 24.4 15.9 11.8 7.7 5.3 5.3 ASIA DEPARTMENT III 140 CNINA (EXCIuINO TAIUAN) Projection uith NRRl1 by 2000 (thowuB ) ... .. ..... ....... ... ........................... ................ ............................. .... ...... ......... ................ .................... .. AGE GR0UP 1985 l990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 . ........................... .............. .......... ............ .................................. . .................. . ...... TOTAL M.F 1040035 1117317 1200936 1278860 1340564 1391387 1442119 1495465 1544365 1581319 MALES 0-4 45295 56079 61053 59462 53618 50161 52486 56279 56983 54861 5-9 50082 45009 55769 60754 5920 53411 49989 52323 56121 56840 10-14 64167 49928 44884 55628 60615 59080 53310 49902 52239 56039 15-19 66240 63e99 49737 44726 55449 60435 58917 53174 49785 52127 20-24 52269 65804 63514 49461 44499 55188 60171 58679 52975 49615 25-29 44179 51860 65338 63102 49168 44255 54908 59888 58425 52766 30-34 45462 43810 5".69 64889 62706 48884 44019 54638 59617 58184 35-39 34020 45009 43412 51041 64393 6?265 48565 43754 54334 59315 40-44 26832 33552 44440 42904 s5488 63745 61679 48141 43400 53931 45-49 25242 26266 32891 43619 42159 49661 62758 60784 47488 42853 50-54 23411 24396 25452 31900 42368 41005 48362 61205 59365 46446 55-59 19459 22160 23146 24182 30391 40435 39199 46327 58750 57100 60-64 15459 17829 20365 21334 22345 28148 37533 36491 43252 550 65-69 11217 13468 15594 17883 18796 19748 24949 33402 32606 38803 70-74 7514 9017 l0882 12666 1458 15394 16235 20624 27763 27250 75. 6321 a226 10249 12617 15109 17781 19760 21511 25781 33407 TOTAL 537170 576310 618175 656170 685894 709597 732842 757121 778884 794547 FEMALES 0-4 42562 53100 57967 56621 51180 47971 50266 53889 54554 525 5-9 46162 42118 52645 57594 56s01 50943 47786 50094 53727 544 10-14 59373 46003 41995 52533 57478 56204 S0868 4723 50036 536 15-19 61535 59148 45852 41895 52408 57360 56103 50786 47656 499 20-24 50862 61204 58872 45694 41752 52253 57210 55972 50681 475 25-29 40595 50513 60839 S8610 45492 41590 52073 57034 55820 505 30-34 42138 40270 50159 60514 58298 45278 41415 51877 56844 556 35-39 30476 41742 39934 49834 60124 57964 45044 41223 51663 566 40-44 23459 30115 41298 39595 49411 5964 57559 44760 40990 514 45-49 21941 23093 29687 40813 39129 48879 59069 57034 44390 40686 50-54 20764 21459 22625 29176 40110 38504 48149 58254 56312 43878 55-59 17714 20099 20819 22044 28427 39149 37638 47138 57118 552 60-64 15062 16833 19166 19983 21159 27358 37762 36382 45664 554 65-69 l1899 13816 15525 17860 18621 l1980 25694 35579 34388 43299 70-74 8761 10194 11939 13634 1S684 16461 17605 22963 31959 31046 75+ 9561 11300 13438 :I 16292 19098 22412 25034 27636 33679 44705 TOTAL 502865 541007 582761 - 622690 654670 681790 709276 738344 765481 786772 BIRTH RATE 21.1 21.3 19.3 16.4 14.7 14.8 15.3 14.9 14.0 DEATH RATE 6.7 6.8 6.7 7.0 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.5 9.2 RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.44 1.45 1.26 .94 .75 .72 .73 .64 .47 NET NIGEATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.43 1.4 1.26 .96 .74 .72 .73 .64 .47 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.400 2.288 2.182 2.140 2.126 2.114 2.108 2.102 2.095 NRR 1.090 1.050 1.014 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 69.45 70.42 71.71 72.21 72.96 73.63 74.23 74.84 75.47 eClO) - BOTH SEXES 62.79 63.38 64.31 64.5 65.00 65.43 65.89 66.36 66.84 IMR - BOTH SEXES 33.0 29.4 26.2 23.1 20.4 18.1 16.6 15.2 13.8 qC5) - BOTH SEXES .0428 .0377 .0328 .0289 .0253 .0223 .0204 .0186 .0167 DEP. RATIO 53.6 47.2 48.4 S1.3 48.9 44.6 43.0 46.1 49.3 52.5 141 CHINA (EXCIAVING TAIWA) Projection with HARR= by 2000 (thouarnds) Suary for 25 Year Periods GE GRGJP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 21?r 2150 .. ........ ... ...... ...................... .................................................................................... ..... ...... .. . TOTAL NIF 1040035 127?860 1544365 1648412 1687073 1694841 1695620 1695527 PALES 0-4 45295 59462 56983 55408 54623 54297 54197 54184 5-9 50082 60754 56121 54369 53953 53956 54046 54117 10-14 64167 55628 52239 52707 53386 53830 54051 54135 15-'9 66240 44726 4978S 52520 53676 54102 54186 54167 20-24 52269 49461 52975 54475 54678 54455 54230 54097 25-29 44179 63102 58425 56389 55092 54327 54002 53903 30-34 45462 64889 59617 55476 54012 53607 53610 53699 35-39 34020 51041 54334 51485 52274 52958 53398 53617 40-44 26832 42904 43400 48859 51948 53109 53530 53613 45-49 25242 43619 47488 51612 53592 53812 53592 53371 50-54 23411 31900 59365 56072 54816 53577 52832 52517 55-59 19459 24182 58750 55517 52596 51232 50848 50851 60-64 15459 21334 43252 47925 46591 47336 47956 48354 65-69 11217 17883 32606 34898 40751 43369 44338 44690 70-74 7514 12666 27763 32685 37391 38881 39040 38881 75+ 6321 12617 25781 59293 64663 64089 63413 63053 TOTAL 537170 656170 778884 819691 834042 836936 837269 837250 FEMALES 0-4 42562 56621 54554 53001 52232 51920 51825 51813 5-9 46162 57594 53727 52036 51624 51627 51713 51782 10-14 59373 52533 50036 50473 51108 51532 51744 51825 15-19 61535 41895 47656 50340 51429 51837 51917 51899 20-24 50862 45694 50681 52294 52471 52248 52032 51904 25-29 40595 58610 55820 54220 52952 52205 51893 51798 30-34 42138 60514 56844 53423 51992 51588 51591 51677 35-39 30476 49834 51663 49664 50407 51050 51474 51686 40-44 23459 39595 40990 47174 50224 51325 51732 51813 45-49 21941 40813 44390 49958 52056 52251 52029 51814 S0-54 20764 29176 56312 54631 53723 52489 51749 51440 55-59 17714 22044 57118 54948 52465 51086 50690 50693 60-64 15062 19983 45664 48871 47977 48727 49349 49759 65-69 11899 17860 34388 37208 44068 46957 47987 48367 70-74 8761 13634 31959 37094 43499 45378 45548 45354 75+ 9561 16292 33679 83384 94803 95683 95078 94655 TOTAL 502865 622690 765481 828721 853031 857904 858351 858277 BIRTH RATE 20.5 15.2 13.3 12.8 12.6 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 6.7 7.7 10.7 41.8 12.4 12.6 12.6 MET MIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 CROITH RATE 1.38 .75 .26 .G; .02 .00 .00 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.284 2.118 2.083 2.059 2.058 2.058 2.058 eCO) - BOTH SEXES 70.58 73.62 76.79 79.36 79.50 79.50 79.50 INR - BOTH SEXES 29.5 18.6 10.9 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 AS IA DEPARTMEN T IV 144 INDIA Projection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousands) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 . ......... .............. ......................................... .......................................................................................................... TOTAL M+F 765147 846056 925500 1001859 1073725 1137980 1200467 12629'2 1323317 1379109 MALES 0-4 56946 58992 58605 57792 56126 53182 53569 54838 55329 55016 5-9 50815 55409 57687 57469 56823 55326 52545 53045 54417 54996 10-14 46088 50351 54977 57281 57107 56505 55053 52321 52856 54256 15-19 42266 45590 49878 54507 56836 56706 56149 54746 52072 52642 20-24 35692 41580 44946 49237 53865 56228 56157 55666 54341 51742 25-29 29100 34978 40863 44245 48537 53172 55576 55582 55179 53936 30-34 24836 28459 34317 40168 43561 47860 52507 54963 55060 54740 35-39 21543 24199 27828 3627 39432 42840 47147 51813 54342 54530 40-44 19263 20853 23518 27109 32829 38578 41995 46308 51012 53615 45-49 17229 18453 20064 22687 26216 31825 37482 40896 45228 49956 50-54 14971 16232 17471 ,19053 21604 25035 30472 35987 39408 43732 55-59 11903 13748 14991 16188 17712 20150 23424 28604 33935 37321 60-64 8734 10508 12218 13375 14501 15928 18191 21232 26079 31110 65-69 7806 7260 8807 10290 11320 12334 13614 15629 18379 22737 70-74 3625 5918 5560 6785 7976 8828 9677 10750 12461 14788 75+ 4266 4169 5697 6174 7257 8604 9862 11105 12582 14643 TOTAL 395083 436700 477427 515986 551703 583101 613419 643485 672680 699760 FEMALES 0-4 53562 55638 55369 54962 53663 51052 51512 52817 53190 52748 5-9 49078 51683 54042 54103 53982 52936 50524 51128 52511 52937 10-14 43172 48502 51174 53607 53752 53704 52718 50365 50999 52399 15-19 37503 42595 47955 50697 53198 53422 53436 52515 50207 50863 20-24 32638 36815 41931 47331 50150 52728 53029 53127 52267 50006 25-29 28147 31906 36110 41258 46695 49592 52234 52632 52799 51993 30-34 24141 27429 31206 35440 40613 46085 49042 51765 52237 52458 35-39 20719 23441 26738 30533 34789 39982 45470 48502 51279 51807 40-44 18146 20032 22754 26054 29855 34121 39308 44817 47893 50703 45-49 15717 17434 19323 22034 25320 29107 33349 38521 44011 47105 50-54 13273 14923 16627 18507 21190 24438 28173 32380 37496 42922 55-59 10409 12361 13971 15648 17505 20132 23301 26967 31093 36098 60-64 8031 9386 11223 12773 14400 16204 18724 21783 25321 29298 65-69 7508 6871 8103 9776 11222 12751 14436 16795 19657 22960 70-74 3699 5903 5463 6516 7947 9213 10549 12049 14132 16649 75+ 4319 4438 6083 +6633 7742 9410 11241 13263 15543 18403 TOTAL 370064 409356 448073 $85872 522022 554879 587047 619426 650637 679349 BIRTH RATE 31.6 28.1 25.3 22.7 20.0 18.9 18.3 17.4 16.5 DEATH RATE 11.4 10.1 9.4 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.2 RATE OF MAT. INC. 2.02 1.80 1.59 1.39 1.16 1.07 1.01 .93 23 NET MIGRATION RATE -.1 -.0 -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 2.01 1.79 1.59 1.39 1.16 1.07 1.01 .93 .83 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.261 3.678 3.175 2.741 2.366 2.231 2.192 2.167 2.151 NRR 1.677 1.495 1.331 1.180 1.042 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 57.09 59.29 61.08 62.83 64.50 65.95 67.49 68.92 70.13 el0O) - BOTH SEXES 55.39 56.58 57.56 58.53 59.45 60.25 61.13 62.01 62.78 INR - BOTH SEXES 83.9 73.4 65.4 57.8 50.8 44.8 38.4 32.8 28.3 q(S) - BOTH SEXES .1188 .1023 .0896 .0776 .0666 .0573 .0478 .0401 .0340 DEP. RATIO 76.2 72.3 67.1 61.5 55.9 50.9 47.3 45.4 45.2 45.7 145 INDIA Projection with NRRu1 bt 2010 (thousan) Suffmry for 25 Year Periods AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ~.... ..... __. ____...... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . TOTAL MiF 765147 1001859 1323317 1541815 1616686 1654772 1687745 1697113 MALES 0-4 56946 57792 55329 54747 54507 54363 54282 54290 5-9 50815 57469 54417 54269 54368 54339 54239 54255 10-14 4608 57281 52856 53894 54386 5432 54255 54230 15-19 42266 54507 52072 53905 54501 54376 54229 54178 20-24 35692 49237 54341 54296 54470 54268 54144 54088 25-29 29100 44245 55179 54243 54161 54065 54043 53988 30-34 24836 40168 55060 53322 53620 53864 53968 53891 35-39 21543 33627 54342 51529 53088 53753 53903 53819 40-44 19263 27109 51012 50400 52862 53677 53760 53656 45-49 17229 22687 45228 52017 52824 53294 53362 53286 50-54 14971 19053 39408 51724 51923 52252 52524 52557 55-59 11903 16188 33935 49618 49434 50277 51021 51191 60-64 8734 13375 26079 45758 45121 47265 485.6 48812 65-69 7806 10290 18379 38434 40075 43055 44674 44882 70-74 3625 6785 12461 28453 35213 36996 38488 38714 75+ 4266 6174 12582 31706 52233 56691 61303 62951 TOTAL 395083 515966 672680 778318 812785 826907 8367M 838789 FEMALES 0-4 53562 54962 53190 52240 51994 51927 51906 51914 5-9 49078 54103 52511 51825 51861 51915 51898 51913 10-14 43172 53607 50999 51549 51879 51952 51925 51915 15-19 37503 50697 50207 51712 52007 51979 51928 51910 20-24 32638 47331 52267 52260 52070 51926 51903 51896 25-29 28147 41258 52799 52448 51859 51781 51867 51879 30-34 24141 3540 52237 51755 51400 51623 51851 51862 35-39 20719 30533 51279 50022 5073 51550 51856 51867 40-44 18146 26054 47893 48893 50897 51531 51821 51824 45-49 15717 22034 44011 50350 51044 51337 51639 51685 50-54 13273 18507 37496 49993 50568 50681 51238 51414 55-59 10409 15648 31093 48107 48830 49468 50597 50948 60-64 8031 12m 25321 45129 45514 47776 49647 50127 65-69 7508 9776 19657 38987 41723 45424 47913 48450 70-74 3699 6516 14132 31223 384 41483 44383 45014 754 4319 6633 15543 37004 63047 75512 88600 93705 TOTAL 370064 485872 650637 763498 803901 827865 850971 858324 BIRTH RATE 28.1 19.3 15.1 13.6 13.1 12.8 12.6 DEATH RATE 10.3 8.3 9.1 11.7 12.2 12.0 12.4 NET NIGRATION RATE -.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.80 1.11 .61 .19 .09 .08 .02 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.661 2.325 2.127 2.094 2.078 2.062 2.OS8 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 59.27 66.10 72.10 75.15 77.05 78.99 79.50 IM - BOTH SEXES 74.4 45.0 21.9 13.0 9.4 6.1 5.3 ASIA DEPARTMENT V 148 FIJI Projection with ERRE1 by 2010 (thousands) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ............................................................................. ................................................................. .............. ......................... .......... JOTAL N+F TM0 750 805 860 912 964 1019 1073 1123 1167 NALES 0-4 50 47 47 45 43 41 42 44 4443 5-9 42 48 46 46 44 42 41 42 43 44 10-14 41 41 47 45 45 44 42 41 42 43 15-19 40 40 40 46 45 45 43 42 41 42 20-24 36 38 38 39 46 44 45 43 42 41 25-29 31 34 36 37 38 45 44 45 43 42 30-34 25 28 32 34 36 37 45 43 44 43 35-39 21 24 27 31 34 35 37 44 43 44 40-44 17 19 22 26 30 33 35 37 44 43 45-49 14 16 18 22 25 30 33 35 36 43 50-54 11 13 15 18 21 25 29 32 34 35 55-59 9 10 12 14 17 20 24 28 30 32 60-64 7 8 9 11 13 15 18 22 26 29 65-69 5 6 7 8 10 12 14 16 20 23 70-74 3 4 5 5 7 8 10 11 14 16 75+ 4 4 4 5 6 8 9 12 14 17 TOTAL 354 379 406 433 459 484 510 536 560 581 FENALLS 0-4 47 45 45 43 41 40 41 42 42 42 5-9 40 45 44 44 42 41 40 41 42 42 10-14 40 39 44 44 44 42 41 40 41 42 15-19 38 38 38 44 43 44 42 41 40 41 20-24 36 36 37 37 43 43 44 42 41 40 25-29 31 33 34 35 36 42 42 43 42 41 30-34 26 29 31 33 34 35 42 42 43 42 35-39 21 24 28 30 32 34 35 42 42 43 40-44 17 20 23 27 30 32 34 35 42 42 45-49 14 16 19 23 26 29 32 33 35 42 50-54 11 13 16 19 22 26 29 31 33 34 55-59 9 10 13 15 18 22 25 28 31 33 60-64 7 8 10 12 14 17 21 25 28 30 65-69 s 6 7 9 11 13 16 20 23 26 70-74 3 4 5 6 8 10 12 14 18 21 75+ 4 4 5 6 8 10 13 17 21 26 TOTAL 346 371 399 427 454 480 509 537 563 586 BIRTH RATE 26.9 24.7 21.8 19.6 17.8 17.1 16.6 15.9 15.0 DEATH RATE 5.8 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.9 6.3 6.8 7.3 RATE OF HAT. INC. 2.10 1.92 1.65 1.42 1.22 1.12 1.03 .91 .77 MET NIGRATION RATE -7.2 -5.1 -3.4 -2.3 -1.3 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.38 1.41 1.31 1.20 1.10 1.12 1.03 .91 .77 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.250 2.938 2.656 2.401 2.170 2.084 2.077 2.072 2.068 NRR 1.491 1.369 1.250 1.140 1.036 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 o(O) - BOTH SEXES 68.19 69.72 71.03 7.19 73.21 74.10 74.88 75.57 76.17 e(1O) - 90TH SEXES 61.54 62.54 63.41 64.21 64.94 65.58 66.18 66.72 67.17 INR - BOTH SEXES 35.7 30.1 25.4 21.7 18.6 16.0 14.0 12.3 10.9 qCS) - BOTH SEXES .0439 .0364 .0303 .0254 .0217 .0183 .0159 .0139 .0122 DEP. RATIO 67.7 63.9 61.4 55.4 51.2 47.7 46.1 46.3 47.8 49.3 149 FIJI ProJection with NRRai by 2010 Cthausands) Summry for 25 Year Periods ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ..... ......... .. .................. .......... ......... .... ......... AGE GROUP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 . _......................... .. ...... ...... ......... ................. .. ........ ........... ......... .............. . TOTAL N+F 700 860 1123 127 1320 1339 1350 1352 HALES 0-4 50 45 44 43 43 43 43 43 5-9 42 4643 43 43 43 43 43 10-14 41 45 42 43 43 43 43 43 15-19 40 46 41 42 43 43 43 43 20-24 36 39 42 43 43 43 43 43 25-29 31 37 43 43 43 43 43 43 30-34 25 34 44 43 42 43 43 43 35-39 21 31 43 41 42 42 43 43 40-44 17 26 44 40 42 42 43 43 45-49 14 22 36 41 42 42 42 42 50-54 11 18 34 41 42 42 42 42 55-59 9 14 30 41 40 40 40 41 60-64 7 11 26 38 37 38 38 39 65-69 5 8 20 35 33 34 35 36 70-74 3 5 14 24 28 30 31 31 75+ 4 5 14 32 45 47 49 50 TOTAL 354 433 560 633 650 660 666 668 FEMALES 0-4 47 43 42 42 41 41 41 41 5-9 40 44 42 41 41 41 41 41 10-14 40 44 41 41 41 41 41 41 15-19 38 44 40 41 41 41 41 41 20-24 36 37 41 42 42 41 41 41 25-29 31 35 42 42 42 41 41 41 30-34 26 33 43 42 41 41 41 41 35-39 21 30 42 41 41 41 41 41 40-44 17 27 42 40 41 41 41 41 45-49 14 23 35 40 41 41 41 41 50-54 11 19 33 41 41 41 41 41 55-59 9 15 31 42 41 40 41 41 60-64 7 12 28 40 39 39 40 40 65-69 5 9 23 37 36 38 39 39 70-74 3 6 18 28 34 36 36 36 75+ 4 6 21 46 67 72 75 75 TOTAL 346 427 563 646 671 680 684 685 BIRTH RATE 24.4 17.3 14.0 13.1 12.8 12.6 12.6 DEATH RATE 5.5 6.0 8.9 11.8 12.2 12.3 12.5 NET MIGRATION RATE -5.1 -.6 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.37 1.07 .52 .13 .06 .03 .01 TOTAL FERTILITY 2.929 2.154 2.067 2.064 2.060 2.058 2.058 *(O) - BOTH SEXES 69.71 74.08 76.60 77.68 78.80 79.50 79.50 INR - BOTH SEXES 30.5 16.5 10.1 8.2 6.4 5.3 5.3 150 INDONESIA Projection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousands) AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,........................................................................................................................ TOTAL M+F 163393 178901 195076 211478 227119 241152 254315 267175 279519 290903 MALES 0-4 11662 11296 11696 11938 11781 11233 11151 11324 11441 11429 5-9 11077 11296 11009 11460 11742 11626 11103 11043 11230 11358 10-14 10599 10964 11199 10929 11389 11680 11570 11056 11001 11192 15-19 8968 10473 10852 11101 10845 11312 11608 11506 11001 10951 20-24 7354 8812 10314 10710 10972 10734 11205 11509 11417 10923 25-29 6040 7197 8648 10150 10560 10838 10613 11092 11403 11321 30-34 5036 5897 7051 8498 9996 10420 10705 10497 10982 11301 35-39 4185 4897 5756 6906 8345 9838 10268 10565 10372 10363 40-44 3738 4040 4748 5604 6744 8172 9648 10087 10394 10218 45-49 3367 3568 3876 4577 5421 6545 7943 9397 9842 10159 50-54 2829 3159 3367 3677 4360 5183 6269 7627 9044 9494 55-59 2251 2585 2906 3117 3420 4072 4852 5886 7181 8539 60-64 1623 1976 2287 2589 2793 3081 3679 4399 5356 6558 65-69 1142 1339 1646 1923 2193 2381 2635 3161 3798 4646 70-74 720 858 1018 1266 1492 1714 1870 2082 2512 3037 75+ 727 767 887 1060 1315 1596 1884 213? 2418 2870 TOTAL 81321 89125 97258 105503 113367 120425 127004 133368 139393 144860 FEMALES 0-4 11323 10942 11315 11534 11371 10833 10767 10947 11069 11062 5-9 10679 10997 10693 11116 11374 11250 10740 10701 10896 11029 10-14 10044 10574 10909 10625 11058 11326 11210 10711 10678 10878 15-19 8490 9930 10476 10827 10558 11001 11278 11173 10683 10655 20-24 7481 8359 9802 10365 10730 10479 10932 11221 11129 10649 25-29 6577 7339 8225 9672 10248 10628 10393 10860 11163 11082 30-34 5372 6433 7203 8098 9544 10132 10524 10311 10790 11104 35-39 4377 5237 6295 7072 7971 9414 10012 10420 10227 10717 40-44 3956 4248 5103 6156 6935 7834 9270 9881 10304 10129 45-49 3556 3815 4114 4960 6000 6776 7670 9098 9719 10155 50-54 2994 3391 3655 3957 4786 5806 6572 7460 8874 9503 55-59 2369 2802 3191 3458 3758 4562 5549 6304 7182 8572 60-64 1744 2151 2562 2938 3199 3493 4256 5203 5941 6800 65-69 1282 1505 1874 2252 2600 2848 3126 3833 4719 5423 70-74 859 1019 1210 1524 1847 2149 2369 2623 3248 4033 75+ 971 1033 1190 1420 1771 2195 2643 3061 3506 4254 TOTAL 82072 89776 97818 105975 113752 120726 127311 133807 140126 146043 BIRTH RATE 28.8 26.9 24.8 22.5 19.9 18.6 17.8 17.1 16.3 DEATH RATE 10.7 9.5 8.7 8.2 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.3 RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.81 1.73 1.62 1.43 1.20 1.06 .99 .90 .80 NET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROWTH RATE 1.81 1.73 1.61 1.43 1.20 1.06 .99 .90 .80 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.600 3.221 2.882 2.579 2.307 2.207 2.174 2.150 2.131 NRR 1.461 1.350 1.242 1.134 1.032 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 e(0) - BOTH SEXES 57.29 59.72 62.07 63.86 65.50 66.61 67.99 69.19 70.26 e(10) - BOTH SEXES 55.53 56.85 58.13 59.11 60.01 60.64 61.44 62.21 62.92 INR - BOTH SEXES 83.5 72.0 61.4 53.7 46.8 42.2 36.6 32.1 28.3 q(5) - BOTH SEXES .1177 .0997 .0831 .0710 .0601 .0534 .0452 .0391 .0341 DEP. RATIO 77.0 68.3 62.0 57.3 54.3 50.4 46.8 44.8 44.8 45.7 151 INDONESIA Projection with NRR-1 by 2010 (thousands) SumLary for 25 Year Periods . ....... .-... ....... .............. ............................. ......... ................. ..... . .... ...... AGE GROWP 1985 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 ..... ....... ..... ...... .. .......... .. ... ...... ... .. .. ..... .. .... ... . TOTAL M+F 163393 211478 279519 321830 335786 343114 350316 354890 HALES 0-4 11662 11938 11441 11283 11305 11345 11382 11391 5-9 11077 11460 11230 11180 11263 11323 11368 11384 10-14 10599 10929 11001 11148 11256 11310 11353 11377 15-19 8968 11101 11001 11191 11247 11284 11330 11365 20-24 7354 10710 11417 11228 11198 11232 11294 11345 25-29 6040 10150 11403 11151 11095 11168 11257 11320 30-34 5036 8498 10982 10937 10977 11111 11223 11295 35-39 4185 6906 10372 10647 10897 11067 11185 11262 40-64 3738 5604 10394 10552 10870 11005 11122 11210 45-49 3367 4577 9842 10804 10791 10866 11003 11115 50-54 2829 3677 9044 10530 10504 10588 10795 10947 55-59 2251 3117 7181 9702 9919 10141 10452 10646 60-64 1623 2589 5356 8505 9043 9502 9903 10129 65-69 1142 1923 3798 7559 8045 8601 9032 9285 70-74 720 1266 2512 5909 6907 7264 7696 7982 75+ 727 1060 2418 6514 9434 10621 11908 12859 TOTAL 81321 105503 139393 158841 164751 168429 172304 174912 FEMALES 0-4 11323 11534 11069 10911 10893 10894 10891 10893 5-9 10679 11116 10896 10849 10882 10895 10894 10893 10-14 10044 10625 10678 10841 10897 10901 10895 10892 15-19 8490 10827 10683 10913 10919 10901 10892 10889 20-24 7481 10365 11129 10990 10914 10886 10885 10885 25-29 6577 9672 11163 10958 10862 10862 10879 10886 30-34 5372 8098 10790 10782 10792 10845 10878 10886 35-39 4377 7072 10227 10527 10762 10845 10876 10883 40-44 3956 6156 10304 10472 10795 10840 10861 10870 45-49 3556 4960 9719 10810 10804 10787 10815 10840 50-54 2994 3957 8874 10682 10654 10646 10730 10784 55-59 2369 3458 7182 10075 10289 10423 10601 10689 60-64 1744 2938 5941 9170 9729 10133 10400 10514 65-69 1282 2252 4719 8608 9134 9690 10010 10154 70-74 859 1524 3248 7151 8467 8846 9225 9427 75+ 971 1420 3506 9252 14242 16290 18281 19595 TOTAL 82072 105975 140126 162989 171035 174685 178012 179978 BIRTH RATE 26.7 19.0 15.0 13.7 13.3 12.9 12.7 DEATH RATE 9.6 8.0 9.4 12.0 12.4 12.1 12.2 NET MIGRATION RATE .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROUTH RATE 1.72 1.12 .56 .17 .09 .08 .05 TOTAL FERTILITY 3.207 2.276 2.108 2.079 2.071 2.063 2.058 e(O) - BOTH SEXES 59.83 66.77 71.94 74.70 76.47 78.33 79.50 IMR - BOTH SEXES 72.2 42.4 22.9 14.7 11.0 7.4 5.3 152 KIRIBATI Projection with RRU1 by 2025 tthounds) .................................................................................................................................. AGE GIIP 198 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ................... ........................................... ............................... TOTAL MF 64 69 75 81 a 95 101 108 114 119 NALES 0-4 S 5 5 5 5 S 5 5 5 5-9 4 5 S 5 5 5 S 5 5 10-14 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 15-19 4 4 4 5 S 5 5 5 5 20-24 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 25-29 2 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 30-34 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 35-39 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 40-4 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 45-49 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 50-54 1 1 1 2 2 i 2 3 3 55-59 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 60-64 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 6S-69 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 70-74 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 75. 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 TOTAL 32 35 38 41 45 48 51 55 57 60 FEMALES 0-4 4 5 5 5 S 5 5 5 5 5.9 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10-14 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 15-19 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 20-24 3 4 3 4 4 4 , 5 5 25-29 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 30-34 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 5 35-39 2 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 40-44 1 2 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 45-49 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 50-54 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 55-59 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 60-64 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 65-69 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 70-74 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 75. 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL 32 35 37 40 44 47 50 53 56 59 BIRTH RATE 33.6 31.3 28.5 26.0 23.9 22.0 20.2 18.3 17.3 DEATH RATE 13.3 12.1 11.0 10.0 9.2 8.4 7.9 7.8 8.0 RATE OF NAT. IIIC. 2.02 1.92 1.75 1.60 1.47 1.36 1.23 1.06 .93 MET MIGRATION RATE -3.9 -3.0 -2.3 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 GROITN RATE 1.63 1.62 1.52 1.60 1.47 1.36 1.23 1.06 .93 TOTAL FERTILITY 4.182 3.827 3.502 3.205 2.933 2.684 2.456 2.248 2.169 NRR 1.571 1.491 1.411 1.332 1.254 1.175 1.098 1.022 1.000 e