ESMAP AN ASSESSMENT OF THE ENERGY TOOLBOX PLANNING MODEL A Report to the World Bank Industry and Energy Department Energy Strategy and Management Assistance Program of the Results of a Summer Research Internship Ernesto Cordova September 1991 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVESUMMARY .................................. i C . I INTRODUCTION ......................................1 . III EVALUATION CRITERIA ............................. 6 TV.CASESTUDIES ..................................... 7 1.HAITI ..........................:............ 7 1.1 CASE DESCRIPTION ........................ 7 1.2 EVALUATION ............................. 11 2. COLOMBIA ................................... 17 2.1 CASEDESCRXPTION ........................ 17 2.2 EVALUATION ............................. 23 V .APPENDICES ...................................... 29 EXECUTIVESUMMARY This study evaluates the performance of Energy Toolbox (ETB), a wide-energy model, in the context of two levels of use: 1- Quick energy assessments for individual countries: these would require a basic , level of analysis including the construction of the energy system flows both in tables and graphics as well as the generation of simple demand scenarios. 2- In-depth assessments of the energy sector or subsectors: these would require a more sophisticated level of analysis. This level includes the Disaggregated Demand Analysis System @DAS) and the Econometric modules for analyzing the demand side and the linear programming package (LP-ESPS) for the supply side. For purposes of this assessment two case studies were developed: a case for Haiti that assesses ETB's performance at the most basic level of analysis, and a case for Colombia that assesses the more sophisticated and time-consuming level of analysis. conclusions Overall, ETB is very flexible with respect to both levels of analysis. The user has options as to the type of energy and cost wits to be used, energy sources, conversion processes and economic sectors to be considered, level of aggregation, time periods, reports and form in which demand is projected and scenarios are created. The model is rigid only in the type of printouts generated under the Graphics Network, DDAS and LP- ESPS modules. As far as applicability is concerned, ETB performs both levels of analysis very efficiently; the most basic level allows the user to replicate fairly quickly a country's energy system and generate a variety of reports on costs and energy requirements in * energy balance formats. At the more sophisticated level, ETB allows the user to perform more detailed analyses at both demand and supply. In the demand side linear regression and/or disaggregated demand analysis can be performed in order to generate demand forecasts. In the supply side linear programming can be used to optimize the flows of the energy system. At the most basic level of analysis, the only important limitation of the model is that it does not permit the imposition of basic restrictions on the energy system. Parameters such as refinery yields and other conversion processes' conditions are not taken into consideration at this level by ETB. They are only incorporated in the evaluation at the more sophisticated level of analysis by the linear programming module. Basic energy assessments performed by ETB should offer the possibility to impose a --I greater variety of restrictions on the energy system. The difficulties created on the programming side by such changes would probably be outweighed by the benefits derived from the performance of "quick" and "realistic" energy assesstnents. I. INTRODUCTION The assessment of Energy Tool Box (ETB)is intended as a follow-up activity to the project "Assessment of Personal Computer Models for Energy Planning in Developing Countriesw. ETB received a good review in relationship to the other models assessed in the project and as a result it was decided to further evaluate ETB using two case studies: Haiti and Colombia. The assessment of ETB is carried out taking into consideration that there are at least two types of potential users of the model: bank staff, who would be interested in quick energy assessments for specific countries; and, energy planners from client countries who would be more interested in a more in-depth analysis of the energy sector or specific sub- sectors. ETB's structure is such that it is possible to assess the 'model according to its performance with respect to the two different types of uses. The model's structure recognizes three different levels of analysis: 1- Level A: This is the most basic level of analysis and includes the replication of the Energy Reference System both in tables and graphics as well as the generation of simple demand scenarios in absolute terms and/or using growth rates. 2- Level B: This is a more sophisticated level of analysis which includes the Disaggregated Demand Analysis module which allows the use of simultaneous equations in order to generate more complex demand scenarios, a module for regression analysis and a module for linear programming. 3- Level C: This is not included in the current r e l e cf the mods1 used for the assessment, but it is designed to perform detailed sub-sectoral analysis such as power, oil refining and rural energy. In this assessment the case of Haiti is used in the context of level A of the model 6- and the case of Colombia is used in the context of level B. Therefore, each of the cases is developed taking into consideration the purpose of the application of ETB. This paper is organized in six parts; part one is devoted to the introduction. In part two the model is described using the "Assessment of Personal Computer Models for Energy Planning in Developing Countries" report and ETB's manual as references. Part three presents the criteria used to carry out the evaluation. These criteria are the same as were presented in the "Assessment of Personal Computer Models for Energy Planning in Developing Countries" report. In part four the cases of Haiti and Colombia are developed and evaluated. In the case of the former basic data on consumption, technical characteristics of power plants, short-run capacity expansion plans and costs of fuel imports and power generation are used to produce a series of reports useful for the performance of an energy assessment. _ -_ In the case of the Colombia, data is extended in order to perform a more elaborate analysis of demand pisaggregated Demand Analysis'module) and to optimize the energy system (Linear Programming module). Both of these cases are described and assessed in the context of the two different applications of ETB (levels A and B discussed above). Finally, part five are the appendices which include the tables and graphs used and/or produced in the case studies. 11. MODEL DESCRIPTION Energy Toolbox is a set of software tools for aggregate planning studies at the national, regional or sectoral level. ETB is a commercial package developed by the Energy Policy Group at the Imperial College and marketed by ERL Energy Ltd., both based in London, U.K. C ETB comprises a number of different analyses systems arranged in a hierarchical fashion in three levels (A, B and C). While all the modeling tools are accessible from the menus and may be used for any type of study, the different levels conceptually relate to varying degrees of difficulty required to implement them. The major building blocks of ETB are: 1- Reference Energy System network flow model (RES):This is a tool used to describe a reference system defined by the user. It is a netw'ork representation of the energy flows, from supply, through conversion and distribution to final demand. The inputs required by this module include costs, conversion efficiencies and capacity data. The driving inputs of the model are the final demands, which are provided either as external inputs or by another ETB module. Other features of RES include its ability to define the basis for the linear programming module and its ability to employ user-defined process models. These process models convert energy inputs into energy outputs according to rules defined by the user in external programs. They are used where the normal linear definition of energy conversion activities are insufficient. The output of this module is a quantitative description of all energy flows between primary energy supply and final demand. 2- Network graphics: This module can display a graphic representation of RES on the com;~ut:r screen. Hard copies can be generated by using the print screen function. This module can also display subwindows and RES data in pop-up windows. 3- Report generator: This module can generate a number of reports automatically, including cost reports, energy balance tables, and reference reports that compare two $ different scenarios. All these are created in spreadsheet format. 4- Disaggregated Demand Analysis System (DDAS): This module is used to derive energy demand for up to forty time periods. It allows input, modeling and projection of demand data disaggregated in any fashion to the user's requirements such as by region, income groups, sectors, activities, technologies, processes or appliance types. 5- Econometric Analysis Program: This module uses regression analysis techniques to estimate multivariate and single-equation econometric models, and applies them to produce forecasts. Tools available include Ordinary, Weighted and Generalized Least Squares estimations, Residuals analysis and Ridge regressions. 6- Linear Programming Energy Supply Planning System (LP-ESPS): This module - extends RES by introducing changes in capacity as a result of investments, by changing the static (single-period) solution of RES into a dynamic (multi-period) solution, and by introducing the optimization of fuel mixes (and flows) of the system. LP-ESPS automatically converts RES into an LP problem (whose structure can be modified manually by the user) and solves it to find the least cost set of energy flows and investments. The results are fed back to RES and the report generator. Level A of ETB includes RES, the network graphics and report generator. These are the most basic modules which allow quick and easy manipulation of data as well as generating results and reports. Level B includes DDAS, the Econometric Analysis Program and LP-ESPS in addition to the modules from level A. The use of these modules is more complex and time consuming and, may require knowledge of specific analytical tools such as linear programming and/or regression analysis. Level C modules are designed to cope with more detailed sectoral planning than can be carried out in the more aggregate RES and LP-ESPS modules. The first two recently-developed modules include power sector planning and rural energy planning. "Alternative Electricity Sector Opportunities Program" (AESOP) is designed to carry out detailed multi-period electricity system capacity expansion planning of mixed hydro-thermal systems. It interfaces with RES for initial data. An LP model is used to screen power station investment alternatives. Detailed examination is carried out using probabilistic simulation around an interactively developed investment plan generator. The "Framework for Rural Energy Decision Analysis" (FREDA) is designed to carry out the balancing of supply and demand of biomass and commercial fuels in rural areas. The country or region is disaggregated into a number of local energy systems L within which fuel balances are calculated by disaggregating fuel use by activities, processes, technologies, etc. Surpluses and deficits are transported between local systems to balance fuels within the region. The evaluation criteria include the following categories: 1- User friendliness includes aspects such as the amount of on-line help provided during the formulation phase, the completeness and readability of the model documentation and the resilience of the computer code against user errors. 2- Comprehensiveness of output evaluates the relationship between the questions a model is supposed to answer and the completeness of its output. 3- Data intensiveness evaluates the amount and type of data required for the model to run. Lack of particular data or time series may render the model inapplicable for a given purpose. - 4- Sophistication evaluates the type of knowledge required by the user in order to use the model. 5- Transparency evaluates how well the model outputs can be understood in terms of the inputs. 6- Robustness of results evaluates the degree of mathematical continuity of the model results, i.e., whether insignificant or small changes of the model inputs can yield major changes in the model output. 7- Treatment of uncertainty evaluates how the model takes into account the intrinsic uncertainty of its parameters. 8- Flexibility evaluates the adaptability of the model to the actual data situation. 9- Applicability and limitations evaluates how well the model performs the tasks for which it was constructed. 1 IV. CASE STUDIES 1. HAITI 1.1 CASE DESCRIPTION Haiti is a country of few natural resources where most of the energy needs must be satisfied through fuel imports. The country has a population of approximately six million people, a population density of about 215 per square kilometer and is by far the poorest in the region. In this assessment the case of Haiti had the following objectives: 1- To represent the flows of Haiti's energy system in "energy balance table" and "network flow" formats, and to compute the costs of the different flows in the system for the base year (1989). The data used includes final demands, technical characteristics of conversion processes and costs of supply and generation. 2- To use simple growth of demand to generate two different scenarios for 1995. One includes a business-as-usual type of situation where capacities are left unaltered and the other involves the addition of capacity in the power sector in 1994 (year in which new thermal plants are supposed to be in operation). Even though energy demand is the same under both scenarios, the total cost in the system would not be the same. The energy subsectors considered in the assessment are: 1- Petroleum: This involves the imports of oil products only because Haiti does not have 2 refinery. 2- Power: This involves the generation of electricity from hydro, diesel and residual fuel oil sources. For this assessment the country was divided into eight generating blocks (chosen by a combination of factors such as geography, type of source and capacities). 4. 3- Fuelwood and charcoal: This involves the utilization of fuelwood for both direct consumption and production of charcoal. 4- Coal: This involves the imports of coal for use by industry. 5- Sugar cane bagasse: This involves the use of bagasse by sugar cane related industries. C The demand sectors considered in the assessment are residential, transportation, industry and all other consumption grouped under "commercial". The costs used in the assessment include the import costs of oil products (based on estimation of CIF prices), cost of fuelwood, cost of charcoal production and the fixed and variable cost of power generation (other than fuel). The costs for other sources such as bagasse and coal were not available and no attempt was made to estimate them. The technical characteristics considered in the model were the conversion efficiencies in the power plants and in charcoal production. It is important to note that the assumptions made in the model are not rigorous since the prime objective of running ETB was to assess its performance and not the accuracy of the assumptions and results. Appendix A contains the input data and output results for the base year (1989). REF'ERENCE ENERGY SYSTEM In order to produce the RES the user must define a set of "activity groups" (corlversion processe, and supply and demand sectors) and the set of "activities" (fuels) that are part of each group. The user must also define the "activity shares" which link the different activities between the groups thus, linking the whole network from supply to demand. The links represent the shares of supply activities going to each demand activity, eg. if electricity is generated from hydro and diesel, the user must define the I. percentage of each hydro and diesel that make up electricity. ETB requires that activity links be established only between two groups at a time. As an example assume that a system has the sectors "supply", "elec. generation" and "demand", the group "supply" has the activities "gasoline", "hydro" and "diesel", the group "elec. generation" has the activities "gasoline" and "electricity" and group "demand" has the activities "gasoline in transportation" and "electricity in residential". In this case note that gasoline was included in the group "elec. generation" even though gasoline is not used to generate electricity. This is necessary because ETB is demand driven and in order for the model to trace gasoline from "demand" to "supply", it should have a bridge to get to supply. In this case the activity share for gasoline between "supply" and "elec. generation" is 1 because 100% of the gasoline from the "supply" goes to the group "elec. generation". The activity groups should contain all the activities necessary to make all the links within the system, considering that such links are made only between adjacent groups. The characteristic in the group "elec. generation" that is particular to electricity generation is that the user must define the conversion efficiencies for electricity generation in that group. There are different parameters that must be defined for each group but they are explained very clearly in the manual. Once the system has been defined in terms of the groups, activities, and shares, the user proceeds to enter the values for final demand for the base year. The user then has the option to enter values for up to ten time periods or, to use growth rates to generate the demand values. Once the demand values are entered for the base case (period for which the model is built), the system is ready to be calculated. The user selects the time period for which the model is to be run. For this, there are up to ten time periods that can be projected (either using growth rates or absolute values). The output of the process is a set of reports for each of the groups. These include: energy requirements, losses, net energy produced, total variable and fixed cost of production (generation). Finally, the energy units, currency units and energy names used in the model 4 must all be defined in advance. ETB has specific databases for each of them where they are defined. In the case of energy and currency units, the user can choose to enter the values in whatever units helshe prefers as long as they have been defined in their respective databases (conversion tables). ETB makes the necessary internal conversions, thus maintaining consistency in the system. NETWORK GRAPHICS C The generation of the graphic representation of RES is practically automatic. The user can control printing and displaying functions but generating network graphics is automatic and its structure cannot be changed within the module. REPORT GENERATOR This module can generate three types of reports: energy balance tables, cost reports in the same format as energy balance tables and summary reports, including energy and cost outputs. The set of cost reports, include reports for variable, fixed, incremental and total costs. In addition to the various types of reports, the user has the option to customize hislher own table or make use of ETB's automatic balance table. One possibility is to generate the automatic balance table and then perform the necessary changes on it. Once a format has been customized, it can used again for other cases. .- The manipulation of data and format in the balance tables is similar to a lotus spreadsheet. There are specific rules for the functions and expressions that can be easily followed from the manual or the on-screen help function. 1.2 EVALUATION USER FRIENDLINESS ETB provides good on-line help at all times for the modules discussed above. At any point the user can access the help screen with the F1 function key. In addition to % this, there is a system of codes against user errors throughout the modeling process (data entry and network calculation). Considering the modules in level A, for the most part the manual is clear and complete. However, there are two areas that deserve more information and explanation; the use and construction of "process" models and the mechanics of building the RES. With respect to the former, the users (even those with some modeling experience) need to know more about the use and applications of process mdels. With respect to the latter, the manual should expand on the mechanics of the links for each activity between each pair of adjacent groups. This is important because calling the groups names that identify a conversion process and based on the examples used in the manual, the user may be induced to infer that the only links that matter are those of the conversion processes. The energy units, energy price, energy forms and energy categories databases along with the pop-up windows display database simplify and speed-up the modeling process, both in terms of building the model and generating different scenarios. COMPREHENSIVENESS OF OUTPUT The model is supposed to trace the flows in the energy system from final demand to total supply in order to evaluate energy requirements, conversion processes and alternative supply andlor demand scenarios. The model output reports for Haiti were comprehensive. They include energy and cost balance tables (which can be customized b to produce the reports in a variety of ways), summary reports (which include summaries of both the physical and cost figures), a graphic representation of the flows of the energy system, and the activity groups summaries which include the efficiencies, the flows and the costs of the power and charcoal plants. Costs are disaggregated in the reports into capital, variable and, incremental costs. Incremental costs represent any additional costs derived from producing above capacity. Note that in the reports in appendix A, the costs for charcoal production were reported in the "fuel distribution" activity group. This was purposely done because the production costs for charcoal were available on a per unit of charcoal produced basis (after losses). Therefore, if the cost had been applied to the "charcoal production" activity group, they would have been multiplied by the units required which would have overestimated the cost. Finally, it should also be noted that the reports in appendix A show costs for the "sectoral demand" activity group. These costs reflect only the margins, markups, profits, etc. that are charged to the consumers. In this way, the costs attached to each activity group represent the incremental costs in the system. This is important because otherwise the costs would be counted twice. DATA INTENSIVENESS The modules in level A require basic data on final consumption, efficiencies of - conversion processes, knowledge of the mix of primary energy going to produce electricity, knowledge of refinery yields and other mixes of primary energy that may be required in other conversion processes. In addition to this, the different capital, variable and incremental costs for the different flows and processes are used to calculate the total costs in the system if desi~ed by the user. In Haiti's case study, RES was used to analyze the flows of the energy system for 1989 and 1995. As a result, data was collected only for that year. Since RES is demand driven, the flows in 1995 (up to ten periods are allowed) were calculated by making 4. demand projections based on different annual growth rates for the different sectors and fuels (absolute values are also allowed within RES). The detail and amount of data required is flexible. As a starting point, the user can build the RES using very aggregate data with a minimum amount of cost items. As data becomes available, the model can be expanded to include more disaggregated data and more cost items. SOPHISTICATION e If the model is intended to be used only to solve the RES, to present graphic representation of the flows and to produce energy balance tables (level A), the user does not need any familiarity with or knowledge of any software package or analytical tool. The user is only required to understand the theoretical framework of the Reference Energy System, and it is helpful (but not required) to have some familiarity with LOTUS 123 (or other type of spreadsheets) in order to easily customize the table reports. TRANSPARENCY The model is transparent. The RES module produces output reports that include the inputs to the model. In this way, the user can make sure that the inputs entered in the model are correct and can also see and assess the output results in terms of the inputs. Both the network graphics as well as the report generator use the output results from RES to generate their own outputs. In these cases, these modules can be said to be transparent with respect to RES. ROBUSTNESS OF RESULTS The results of the model are robust. This is because the computations performed in level A of the model involve only the four basic mathematical operations and basic data base and logic manipulations of data. Therefore, any changes in the output derived from changes in the inputs are proportional to the changes of the inputs. I. TREATMENT OF UNCERTAINTY The input data is taken to be definite in the model. As a result, uncertainty can only be taken into account through the definition of scenarios which can be easily generated. In the case of Haiti, uncertainty was considered only via alternative growth rates for demand, but in theory, the user could consider alternative capacities or other technical characteristics to account for uncertainty. FLEXIBILITY The model is very flexible with respect to the RES and report generator modules. -. The user can adapt the model to any level of aggregation and data situation. Once a basic model has been built, it can easily be expanded as data becomes available. In the case of Haiti, the model for the base case (1989) was built uGng final consumption of energy, cost of electricity generation, cost of charcoal production, the cost of f u e l w d and imported oil products, and the efficiencies of power and charcoal plants. In building RES the user has options as to the type of energy and cost units to be used, energy sources, conversion processes and economic sectors, the level of aggregation, time periods (up to ten), and form in which demand is to be projected. As far as the network graphics module is concerned, it is only intended to present - a graphic representation of the flows modeled in RES and, therefore it has a very rigid structure with few options for generating printouts. The task of building scenarios is also very flexible. In the case of Haiti, one scenario was developed considc ring the commissioning of a gas turbine and three diesel plants in 1994. The idea was only to compare total energy costs (including both capital and variable costs) between the base case and the scenario in 1995. To build a scenario the user can take the base case, change the file name of the 1. base case, perform any desired changes to the parameters and/or variables and then save the scenario results under the new file name. This process is facilitated by the pop-up windows that show different listings of the files created at the different stages (from building the model to the report generator) of the modeling process. This is particularly helpful in the report generator module where the user may have to work with a large number of files. At this stage the user will have the names of all the scenarios created in RES plus the different report options (energy balance, variable cost, capital cost, incremental cost, total cost and summary report), each of which could be generated for each scenario. APPLICABILITY & LIMITATIONS Level A of ETB was designed to represent the energy flows from supply through conversion and distribution to final demand, to perform simple demand projections, and then to represent the energy flows for the projected periods. Ultimately, reports in balance and summary formats can be produced for both energy and costs. In Haiti's case, ETB performed the above stated tasks very well. The RES was built without major difficulties; the demand projections were easily generated; the links between activity groups and among activities were also easily established; and the conversion processes were easily simulated using the efficiencies and the activity shares (discussed in the description of the case study). As far as output reports for Haiti, ETB generated the following: - network graphics showing the links among the flows and nodes in the energy system - the RES summary tables with energy requirements, efficiencies and costs for each activity greup - energy balance tables for 1989 and 1995 for the base case and an energy balance for 1995 for the alternative scenario 6. - a summary table with total energy flows and costs for the activity groups and the system as a whole for each of the periods and scenarios. Although E m ' s performance in the modeling process was in general very good, some minor problems were encountered: 1- Under costs in RES the user is expected to enter the annualized capital costs on a per unit of capacity basis. This is confusing because users may be inclined to enter the costs on a per unit of capacity basis (MH, GW, etc.) when in reality the model computes on a per unit of energy (capacity * 8760 hrs.) basis. The logic solution would be to leave the same heading but to change the formula to consider units of capacity. 2- Also under RES, the quality of the presentation of the report summaries for the activity groups is not very good. The introductory paragraphs and the format in general are not visually appealing to a reader who was not involved in the modeling process. 3- In the report generator, the automatic energy balance format contains misplaced cell formulas in some of the conversion rows thus, resulting in misplaced figures in the report. These can easily be corrected manually, but the automatic balance tables should be generated correctly. In addition to this, the first column of the balance tables should be automatically printed in every page of the report tables. Otherwise, if the energy balance reports are long, it would be difficult to match the columns with the rows. Finally, the summary reports include a column for total energy and total costs (after adding the flows and costs for each activity group), however, the figure for total flows is conceptually wrong. The flows going to the demand group are the same flows originated in the supply group minus the losses in the conversion processes, transmission a 4 ddistribution. When they are added, double counting errors are commi:ted. 2 .1 CASE DESCRIPTION Colombia's demand for energy is met almost entirely by its own natural resources, some of which are also exported. The country has a population of r approximately thirty million people and considering its current socio-political crises and in relation to the rest of Latin America, the country has a stable economy. In this assessment the case of Colombia had the following objectives: 1- To represent the flows of Colombia's energy system in "network flow" format and to compute the supply costs of the system for the base year (1988). The data used includes final demands, technical characteristics of conversion proces'ses and costs of energy supply and generationlproduction. The main source of data was a study carried out by Mr. Carlos Ferreira while attending the Imperial College in London. However, the data on cost and technical characteristics of conversion processes presented in this study were very limited and as a result very simplistic assumptions and estimations had to be made in order to carry out this assessment. 2- To use the "Disaggregated Demand Module" of ETB to make projections of demand from 1988 to 1997 and then to plug these results in the "Reference Energy System Module" (discussed under Haiti). This allows a comparison of energy requirements between different time periods. 3- To use the LP-ESPS(linear programming) module in order to optimize the flows of the system and to add constraints to the model (since P ?has limitations in ?hi. ~ t y of restrictions that can incorporate). The energy subsectors considered in the assessment are: 1- Petroleum: This involves the production and refining of crude, gasoline imports (since refinery output can not meet the demand) and crude, diesel, kerosene and fuel oil exports. 2- Power: This involves the generation of electricity from hydro, oil derivatives, coal and .' natural gas. 3- Coal: This involves the production, consumption and exports of coal. No distinction is made between thermal and metalurgic coal. -- 4- Natural Gas: This involves the production, processing and consumption of natural gas. 5- Fuelwood and charcoal: This involves the utilization of wood for both direct consumption and production of charcoal. 6- Bagasse: This involves all the agriculture residues used by the industrial and agriculture sectors. The demand sectors considered in the assessment are residential, transportation, industry, agriculture, commercial, exports (defined in the assessment as another demand sector) and "other" (used to include all other consumption). The costs in the assessment include the import costs of gasoline (based on an estimation of CIF prices), costs of crude, gas and coal production, costs of crude oil refining and gas processing, and an estimation of electricity generation costs. Costs for fuelwood, charcoal, and bagasse were not available and no attempt was made to estimate them. The technical characteristics considered in the model were the conversion efficiencies of all the processes and the refinery yields. 6. In the disaggregated demand analysis module, GDP was used to compute the energy intensities which were used as the bases for making the demand projections. GDP was assumed to grow at an annual rate of 5% from 1988 to 1997. Finally, as in the case of Haiti, it is important to note that the assumptions made in the model are not rigorous since the prime objective of running ETB was to assess its performance and not the accuracy of the assumptions and results. Appendix B contains L. the input data and output results for Colombia. REFERENCE ENERGY SYSTEM RES has already been described in the previous section, however, the case of Colombia introduces the oil refining process which demands special treatment by ETB. - RES is a demand driven module in which the user must define the "activity shares" according to the proportions of the supply activities feeding a demand activity. In cases like the power sector there is no problem in defining the shares because the demand activity (electricity) is produced from a series of supply activities (diesel, fuel oil, hydro, etc.). In this case it is a simple matter to define the proportion of each supply activity that make up the total output of electricity. In the case of oil refineries there is one supply activity (crude) producing several demand activities (oil products) but the user must still define the demand activities in terms of the supply activities. For example, in the case of Colombia, gasoline is produced by oil refineries, gas plants and from direct imports. Therefore, the user must define the gasoline shares (and requirements) according to the proportions of these three supply activities. However, the final supplies of the model may not be compatible with the technical restrictions of the refineries (yields). In the case of Colombia, the model's output for gasoline from the refineries was much higher than the highest possible yield (based on 4. type of crude and existing technological conditions of the refineries). In discussing the issue with Mr. Ray Tomkins of the Energy Policy Group at the Imperial College in London and main writer of ETB's models, he suggested that the easiest solution to this problem was to manipulate the shares until the refinery outputs were more in line with the yields. He also suggested that one could run the linear programming module in order to include the yield restrictions in the model. Finally, he mentioned that an intermediate module is under consideration that would allow the user to include basic restrictions to RES such as oil refinery yields. DISAGGREGATED DEMAND ANALYSIS SYSTEM @DAS) This module was used to perform the demand projections from 1988 to 1997. -. The results were then fed to RES in order to compute the energy requirements of the energy system. .. DDAS allows the user to establish several levels of disaggregation which are constructed in a tree-like manner. For each node of the tree the user is then required to define all the variables that interact directly and indirectly with the node. DDAS performs basic data base operations across and within nodes, and allows the user to define up to three systems of equations (including simultaneous equations) for each node and make estimations for up to forty periods. Because of the limitations discussed above in relation to the data from Colombia, the formulation of the demand model was very simple. The model included three levels; total energy, sectoral consumption and sectoral consumption by fuel. Two system; of equations were developed; one defining the energy intensity for each fuel in each sector and the other, defining the demand for each fuel in each sector as a function of the energy intensity and GDP. The latter was used to make the demand projections. Once the projections were made for each fuel in each sector, data base operations of the module were used to aggregate the results by sectoral consumption in the second level and by total consumption in the first level. Finally, for the results to be read by RES, the fuel names must correspond to the names and categories defined under RES. The user can select the fuels names in advance by using the RES menus for names and categories. If the code D (for demand) is , attached to the names, DDAS will create a RES file for these fuels. LP-ESPS (LINEAR PROGRAMMING) This is a tool used to optimize the energy flows described under the Reference Energy System (RES). LP-ESPS uses the information developed under RES to set up the LP problem. First, the variables and constraints' dictionaf'ies are generated by LP- ESPS. These dictionaries are created automatically but they can be modified either to change the parameters or the names of the variables. Once the dictionaries are defined, they are used to set up the LP problem for the base year in terms of an objective function, and the full set of constraints and bounds. At this point the user is also allowed to change the time tables for each of the constraints. The time tables allow the user to define different growth patterns for the time horizon of the problem. Once the base year has been defined, LP-ESPS generates the matrix for the multiperiod formulation and subsequently generates the solution of the problem. Finally, the user is allowed to feedback the solution to RES. In the case of Colombia, the LP formulation was used only to set up constraints in the refinery. Restrictions were utilized to reflect the yields in the production of LPG, gasoline, kerosene, diesel and fuel oil. ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS This assessment does not cover the econometric module in detail. Partly, because there was no historic data available for either Haiti or Colombia, and also because it is not considered to be a key feature of ETB. This module was evaluated broadly and the following comments are offered: 1- The module is the least developed of all ETB modules included in the assessment. It is very rigid and not nearly as user friendly as the other ETB modules. 2- Every time a model is run, the results are written in the ECNM.RES file. Therefore, if the user wants to save the results, helshe must save the file under a different name after the model (or variant of the model) is run. * 3- The data TRANSFORMATION sub-module allows only a limited number of operations. As a result, the user must make use of more time consuming procedures in order to achieve certain operations such as divisions and copying variables. 2.2 EVALUATION USER FRIENDLINESS ETB provides good on-line help for the DDAS module where the user can access the help screen at all times with the F1 function. In the case of LP-ESPS, on-line help c. offered is more limited but the manual provides an entire volume for this module. Considering the modules in level B, the manual is clear and complete for the most part. However, there are some areas such as growth functions in DDAS that deserve more detailed explanation. Also, the manual could be improved by specifying the mechanics to be followed in order to run the different modules or, by developing some type of tutorial. . . As with the previous modules, in DDAS, the energy units, energy prices, energy forms and energy categories databases along with the pop-up windows display database simplify and speed-up the modeling process, both in terms of building the model and in terms of generating different scenarios. COMPREHENSIVENESS OF OUTPUT The output reports of DDAS are comprehensive. The module allows the user to produce a report for any (or all) nodes of the tree. Three types of reports can be produced: 1- The names of the variables defined under the node 2- The data of the variables within the node arranged by periods (in the columns) 3- The data of the variables within the node arranged by variable names (in the columns). 6 DDAS also allows the user to create graphs for the variables within a node. However, ETB does not provide graphics printing functions and as a result the user must save the graphs under separate filenames to be printed outside the model. Finally, the user is also allowed to generate a graph showing the nodes' "tree". In the case of LP-ESPS, the output is also comprehensive. The model produces two types of reports: one for the base year solution and one for the multi-period solution. r These include the objective function, the constraints and the solution of the problem. DATA INTENSIVENESS - In order to utilize the DDAS module the user is required to have at least a basic level of disaggregation for sectoral demand of energy (the same level defined in the "demand" activity group of RES) and basic macroeconomic arid demographic data such as income, prices and population characteristics. The user can establish up to three sets of equations (including simultaneous equations) representing the interdependence of the consumption variables with the macroeconomic variables and/or other consumption variables. The idea is to build the more aggregated variables from the most disaggregated data possible. The model can then be expanded by parts as data becomes available. In the case of the LP-ESPS module, the user is required to utilize the same data - used to create RES plus any additional restrictions (such as process yields) and costs that the helshe may want to impose on the energy system. SOPHISTICATION If the user is interested in the application of the DDAS module, it is not necessary to have knowledge of any particular software package or analytical tool. The user is only required to perform basic data base operations and data manipulation. In the case 6. of LP-ESPS the user must have some theoretical background in linear programming. This is specially true if modifications are made to the dictionaries, which is inevitable if realistic assumptions are to be made of the energy system. TRANSPARENCY The model is transparent; both DDAS and LP-ESPS modules produce output ' . reports that include the inputs to the model. The user can check the inputs entered in the model and also see and assess the output results in terms of the inputs. ROBUSTNESS OF RESULTS The results of the model may or may not be robust, because the computations performed in the DDAS module at level B of the model involve linear andlor non-linear equations and because the nature of LP problems is such that depending on the structure and conditions of the problem small changes in the inputs may generate large changes in the optimal solution. TREATMENT OF UNCERTAINTY The input data is used as definite in the model. As a result, uncertainty can only be taken into account through the definition of scenarios which can be easily generated. In the case of Colombia, uncertainty can be considered via alternative growth patterns for dernand and alternative capacities or different technical characteristics. FLEXIBILITY The model is very flexible with respect to the DDAS module. The user can adapt the module to any level of aggregation and data situation. Once a basic model has been I built, it can be easily expanded as data becomes available. In the case of Colombia, the model for the base case (1988) was built using final consumption of energy, energy intensities, expected growth of GDP and population growth (in the case of projections for wood consumption). In building DDAS the user has options as to the type of energy and cost units to be used, economic sectors to be considered, level of aggregation, time periods (up to forty), and form in which demand is to be projected. However, two aspects of the time periods are not very flexible in DDAS: 1- The output printouts always include the listing for the forty years allowed in the report independently of how many periods the user is estimating. - ~ 2- Time series can not be automatically generated. The user must enter every period of the time horizon of the model. -. As far as the LP-ESPS module is concerned, it uses information from RES to automatically set up the LP problem allowing the user to make modifications. Modifications are inevitable if the user is to make a realistic representation of the energy system. Next, LP-ESPS solves the problem for the base year first and then for the multiperiod horizon. Finally, it feeds the results back in RES. With the exception of the modification of the dictionaries, this process is entirely menu driven. An inconvenience for the user is that he/she is only allowed to generate printouts ,. - once the model has been formulated in the LP set up. A more flexible option would be to allow printouts of the dictionaries in order to permit the user to analyze the model building process outside the computer environment. 'The task of building scenarios is also very flexible under both DDAS and LP. ESPS. In the case of the former, scenarios can be created by changing the parameters and/or variables defined in the module. In the case of the latter, the user can either change parameters under RES or the bounds andlor constraints under LP-ESPS. APPLICABILITY & LIMITATIONS Level B of ETB was designed to perform a more in-depth analysis of the energy system, both at the demand as well as at the supply side. In the demand side, ETB permits the user to use either econometric and/or disaggregated demand analysis in order to produce the demand projections used by RES. Q In the supply side, ETB permits the user to optimize the energy flows of RES through the use linear programming. In Colombias' case ETB performed the above stated tasks very well (with the exception of regression analysis which was not assessed in detail). The DDAS model was built without major difficulties and the demand projections were easily generated. As far as LP-ESPS was concerned, the LP problem was fohulated and solved again without major difficulties. Although ETB's performance in the modeling process at level B was in general very good, some minor problems were encountered: 1- Under DDAS, the AV.GAS name was offered as a possibility for a fuel name. However, the program does not allow dots to be declared as part of the names. Either the program should be changed to accept such names or the manual and help screen should warn the users. 2- Since ETB does not provide printing options for graphics under DDAS, it should provide very clear and detailed explanations as to how to proceed in order to print graphics outside model. 3- A limitation worth noting for both DDAS and LP-ESPS is that they require 500 KB and 512 KB of resident memory respectively. This is important because the availability of personal computers with expanded resident memory is limited in 6. developing countries. Even if a PC has a capacity of 640 KB, there are usually other RAM-using features that reduce total RAM in the computer to below 500 KB. 4- In the case of LP-BPS, there are parts of the module where the help functions do not work properly. The program does not respond when they are activated. 5- Under LP-ESPS, the demandlsupply balance constraints are split into demand and supply constraints. Instead of defining single equations where the user includes the demandlsupply balance, the user is allowed to define restrictions separately for demand and supply. Since capacity constraints are not considered under these equations, it is difficult to see the meaning of these restrictions at this level. 6- Finally, one of the most important issues that are raised from this assessment is the overall usefulness of ETB in the context of energy assessment needs of developing countries. This assessment has shown that even the most basic evaluations of the energy system (level A) may require incorporating basic limitations 6f the energy system that the modules at level A (specifically RES) do not currently include in the modeling process. Aspects such as refinery yields and other process conditions are not taken into consideration at this level by ETB. These restrictions are only incorporated in the evaluation at level B through the use of LP-BPS. However, the user should not be forced to formulate (modifying the dictionaries) and solve an LP problem in order to incorporate high degrees of realism in the simulation of the energy system. Basic energy assessments performed by ETB (level A) should offer the possibility - to impose a greater variety of restrictions on the energy system. The difficulties created on the programming side by such changes would probably be outweighed by the benefits derived from the performance of "quick" and "realistic" energy assessments. " APPENDIX A R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y SYSTE.M. Energy flow data -Print of calculation results. Model : HA1 Date : 1989.0 Activity group : SUPPLY, Notes on printout. Pages 5 / 6 . Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Total capital cost = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If Itenergy flows inm or "energy flows outN are true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No fileN will be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. ~ctivitygroup : 1 SUPPLY Page 1. (SUPPLY) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI C El Base Yr % Growth LPG IMPORTS TOE GASOLINE IMPORTS TOE . AV GAS IMPORTS TOE KEROSENE IMPORTS TOE TURBO IMPORTS TOE DIESEL IMPORTS TOE FUELOIL IMPORTS TOE RESIDUAL IMPORTS TOE HYDRO DOMESTIC MWH FUELWOO DOMESTIC TOE BAGASSE DOMESTIC TOE COAL IMPORTS TOE Page 2. (SUPPLY) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 LPG IMPORTS 2 GASOLINE IMPORTS 3 AV.GAS IMPORTS 4 KEROSENE IMPORTS 5 TURBO IMPORTS 6 DIESEL IMPORTS 7 FUELOIL IMPORTS 8 RESIDUAL IMPORTS 9 HYDRO DOMESTIC 10 FUELWOO DOMESTIC 11 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 12 COAL IMPORTS Page 3. (SUPPLY) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr - % Growth 1 LPG IMPORTS 2 GASOLINE IMPORTS 3 AV.GAS IMPORTS 4 KEROSENE IMPORTS 5 TURBO IMPORTS 6 DIESEL IMPORTS 7 FUELOIL IMPORTS 8 RESIDUAL IMPORTS 9 HYDRO DOMESTIC 10 FUELWOO DOMESTIC 11 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 12 COAL IMPORTS Page 4. (SUPPLY) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG IMPORTS 2 GASOLINE IMPORTS 3 AV. GAS IMPORTS 4 KEROSENE IMPORTS 5 TURBO IMPORTS 6 DIESEL IMPORTS 7 FUELOIL IMPORTS 8 RESIDUAL IMPORTS 9 HYDRO DOMESTIC 10 FUELWOO DOMESTIC 11 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 12 COAL IMPORTS Page 5. (SUPPLY) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost 1 LPG IMPORTS 2 GASOLINE IMPORTS 3 AV.GAS IMPORTS 4 KEROSENE IMPORTS 5 TURBO IMPORTS 6 DIESEL IMPORTS 7 FUELOIL IMPORTS 8 RESIDUAL IMPORTS 9 HYDRO DOMESTIC 10 FUELWOO DOMESTIC 11 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 12 COAL IMPORTS Page 6. (SUPPLY) Total costs of the network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 LPG IMPORTS 2 GASOLINE IMPORTS 3 AV.GAS IMPORTS 4 KEROSENE IMPORTS 5 TURBO IMPORTS 6 DIESEL IMPORTS 7 FUELOIL IMPORTS 8 RESIDUAL IMPORTS 9 HYDRO DOMESTIC 10 FUELWOO DOMESTIC 11'BAGASSE DOMESTIC 12 COAL IMPORTS Page 7. (SUPPLY) External file energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy ad just flows flows No Name Category (+/-) out ? in ? 1 LPG IMPORTS 0 No File File 2 GASOLINE IMPORTS 0 No File File 3 AV. GAS IMPORTS 0 No File File 4 KEROSENE IMPORTS 0 No File File 5 TURBO IMPORTS 0 No File File 6 DIESEL IMPORTS 0 No File File 7 FUELOIL IMPORTS 0 No File File 8 RESIDUAL IMPORTS 0 No File File 9 HYDRO DOMESTIC 0 No File File 10 FUELWOO DOMESTIC 0 No File File 11 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 0 No File No File 12 COAL IMPORTS 0 No File No File R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Model : HA1 Date : 1989.0 Activity group : ELECGEN, Notes on printout. Pages 5 1 6 . Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Total capital cost = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If Itenergy flows inttor Itenergy flows outttare true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then ItNo filettwill be written. Energy flow data -Print of calculation results. Activity group : 2 ELECGEN Page 1. (ELECGEN) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [El Base Yr % Growth LPG TOE GASOLINE G TOE . AV GAS KEROSENE G G TOE TOE TURBO G TOE DIESEL G TOE FUELOIL G TOE RESIDUAL G TOE ELECTRIC CAPHAIT G MWH ELECTRIC DROUET G MWH ELECTRIC MATHURIN G MWH ELECTRIC VARREUX MWH ELECTRIC CARREFOU MWH ELECTRIC PELIGRE MWH ELECTRIC DELMAS MWH ELECTRIC OTHER MWH FUELWOO TOE BAGASSE TOE COAL TOE Page 2. (ELECGEN) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 ELECTRIC CAPHAIT 10 ELECTRIC DROUET 11 ELECTRIC MATHURIN 12 ELECTRIC VARREUX 13 ELECTRIC CARREFOU 14 ELECTRIC PELIGRE 15 ELECTRIC DELMAS 16 ELECTRIC OTHER 17 FUELWOO 18 BAGASSE 19 COAL Page 3. (ELECGEN) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV. GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 ELECTRIC CAPHAIT 10 ELECTRIC DROUET 11 ELECTRIC MATHURIN 12 ELECTRIC VARREUX 13 ELECTRIC CARREFOU 14 ELECTRIC PELIGRE 15 ELECTRIC DELMAS 16 ELECTRIC OTHER 17 FUELWOO 18 BAGASSE 19 COAL Page.4. (ELECGEN) More unit energy.costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV-GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 ELECTRIC CAPHAIT 10 ELECTRIC DROUET 11 ELECTRIC MATHURIN 12 ELECTRIC VARREUX 13 ELECTRIC CARREFOU 14 ELECTRIC PELIGRE 15 ELECTRIC DELMAS 16 ELECTRIC OTHER 17 FUELWOO 18 BAGASSE 19 COAL Page 5. (ELECGEN) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost LPG GASOLINE . AV GAS KEROSENE TURBO DIESEL FUELOIL RESIDUAL ELECTRIC CAPHAIT ELECTRIC DROUET ELECTRIC MATHURIN ELECTRIC VARREUX ELECTRIC CARREFOU ELECTRIC PELIGRE ELECTRIC DELMAS ELECTRIC OTHER FUELWOO BAGASSE COAL Page 6. (ELECGEN) T o t a l costs of t h e network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name C a t e g o r y cost cost cost 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 ELECTRIC CAPHAIT 10 ELECTRIC DROUET 11 ELECTRIC MATHURIN 12 ELECTRIC VARREUX 13 ELECTRIC CARREFOU 14 ELECTRIC PELIGRE 15 ELECTRIC DELMAS 16 ELECTRIC OTHER 17 FUELWOO 18 BAGASSE 19 COAL P a g e 7. (ELECGEN) E x t e r n a l f i l e energy f l o w s . % Flow Energy Energy adjust flows flows No Name C a t e g o r y (+/-) out ? in ? 1 LPG File No F i l e 2 GASOLINE File No F i l e 3 AV.GAS File No F i l e 4 KEROSENE File No F i l e 5 TURBO File No F i l e 6 DIESEL File No F i l e 7 FUELOIL File No F i l e 8 RESIDUAL File No F i l e 9 ELECTRIC CAPHAIT File No F i l e 10 ELECTRIC DROUET File No F i l e 11 ELECTRIC MATHURIN File No F i l e 12 ELECTRIC VARREUX File No F i l e 13 ELECTRIC CARREFOU File No F i l e 14 ELECTRIC PELIGRE File No F i l e 15 ELECTRIC DEWS File No F i l e 16 ELECTRIC OTHER File No F i l e 17 FUELWOO File No F i l e 18 BAGASSE File No F i l e 19 COAL File No F i l e R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Model : HA1 Date : 1989.0 Activity group : CHARPROD, Notes on printout. Pages 5 1 6 . Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Total capital cost = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in - the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . - If "energy flows in" or "energy flows outu are true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No file1' will be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 3 CHARPROD Page 1. (CHARPROD) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [ El Base Yr % Growth LPG TOE GASOLINE TOE . AV GAS TOE KEROSENE TOE TURBO TOE DIESEL TOE FUELOIL TOE RESIDUAL TOE FUELWOO TOE CHARCOAL TOE BAGASSE TOE COAL TOE ELECTRIC MWH Page 2. (CHARPROD) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 CHARCOAL 11 BAGASSE 12 COAL 13 ELECTRIC Page 3. (CHARPROD) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr - % Growth 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 CHARCOAL 11 BAGASSE 12 COAL 13 ELECTRIC Page 4. (CHARPROD) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 CHARCOAL 11 BAGASSE 12 COAL 13 ELECTRIC Page 5. (CHARPROD) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost LPG GASOLINE 4 . AV GAS KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 CHARCOAL 11 BAGASSE 12 COAL 13 ELECTRIC Page 6. (CHARPROD) Total costs of the network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 'FUELWOO 10 CHARCOAL 11 BAGASSE 12 COAL 13 ELECTRIC Page 7. (CHARPROD) External file energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy ad just flows flows No Name Category (+/-) out ? in ? LPG 0 No File No File GASOLINE 0 No File No File . AV GAS 0 0 No No File File No No File File 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 0 No File No File 6 DIESEL 0 No File No File 7 FUELOIL 0 No File No File 8 RESIDUAL 0 No File No File 9 FUELWOO 0 No File No File 10 CHARCOAL 0 No File No File 11 BAGASSE 0 No File No File 12 COAL 0 No File No File 13 ELECTRIC 0 No File No File R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Model : HA1 Date : 1989.0 Activity group : FUELDIST, Notes on printout. Pages 5/6. Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Existing + Incremental capital cost Total capital cost = Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export). If "energy flows inw or Itenergy flows outttare true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then ItNo filet1will be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 4 FUELDIST Page 1. (FUELDIST) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [El Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG G TOE 2 GASOLINE G TOE 3 AV.GAS G TOE 4 KEROSENE G TOE 5 TURBO G TOE 6 DIESEL G TOE 7 FUELOIL G TOE 8 RESIDUAL G TOE 9 FUELWOO G TOE 10 BAGASSE G TOE 11 COAL G TOE 12 ELECTRIC G MWH 13 CHARCOAL G TOE Page 2. (FUELDIST) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 BAGASSE 11 COAL 12 ELECTRIC 13 CHARCOAL Page 3. (FUELDIST) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 ,AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 BAGASSE 11 COAL 12 ELECTRIC 13 CHARCOAL Page 4. (FUELDIST) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 BAGASSE 11 COAL 12 ELECTRIC 13 CHARCOAL Page 5. (FUELDIST) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 BAGASSE 11 COAL 12 ELECTRIC 13 CHARCOAL Page 6. (FUELDIST) Total costs of the network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 LPG 2 GASOLINE 3 AV.GAS 4 KEROSENE 5 TURBO 6 DIESEL 7 FUELOIL 8 RESIDUAL 9 FUELWOO 10 BAGASSE 11 COAL 12 ELECTRIC 13 CHARCOAL Page 7. (FUELDIST) External file energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy .adjust flows flows No Name Category (+/-) out ? in ? LPG 0 No File No File GASOLINE 0 No File No File . AV GAS KEROSENE 0 0 No No File File No No File File TURBO 0 No File No File DIESEL 0 No File No File FUELOIL 0 No File No File 8 RESIDUAL 0 No File No File 9 FUELWOO 0 No File No File 10 BAGASSE 0 No File No File 11 COAL 0 No File No File 12 ELECTRIC 0 No File No File 13 CHARCOAL 0 No File No File R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Model : HA1 Date : 1989.0 Activity group : SECTDEM, Notes on printout. Pages 516. Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity Total capital cost = = Energy flow - capacity Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in tne activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If Itenergy flows inM or "energy flows outvtare true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No filettwill be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 5 SECTDEM Page 1. (SECTDEM) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name category [PI [ El Base Yr % Growth LPG HOUSEHOL G TOE GASOLINE TRANSPOR G TOE AV. GAS TRANSPOR G TOE KEROSENE INDUSTRY G TOE KEROSENE HOUSEHOL G TOE TURBO TRANSPOR G TOE DIESEL TRANSPOR G TOE DIESEL INDUSTRY G TOE FUELOIL INDUSTRY G TOE RESIDUAL INDUSTRY G TOE FUELWOO INDUSTRY G TOE FUELWOO HOUSEHOL G TOE BAGASSE INDUSTRY G TOE COAL INDUSTRY G TOE ELECTRIC INDUSTRY G MWH ELECTRIC COMMERCI G MWH ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL G MWH CHARCOAL COMMERCI G TOE CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL G TOE Page 2. (SECTDEN) - Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 LPG HOUSEHOL 2 GASOLINE TRANSPOR 3 AV. GAS TRANSPOR 4 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE HOUSEHOL 6 TURBO TRANSPOR 7 DIESEL TRANSPOR 8 DIESEL INDUSTRY 9 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 10 RESIDUAL INDUSTRY 11 FUELWOO INDUSTRY 12 FUELWOO HOUSEHOL 13 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 14 COAL INDUSTRY 15 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 16 ELECTRIC COMMERCI 17 ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL 18 CHARCOAL COMMERCI 19 CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL Page 3. (SECTDEN) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG HOUSEHOL 2495 0 0 0 2 GASOLINE TRANSPOR 3 AV. GAS TRANSPOR 4 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE HOUSEHOL 6 TURBO TRANSPOR 7 DIESEL TRANSPOR 8 DIESEL INDUSTRY 9 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 10 RESIDUAL INDUSTRY 11 FUELWOO INDUSTRY 12 FUELWOO HOUSEHOL 13 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 14 COAL INDUSTRY 15 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 16 ELECTRIC COMMERCI 17 ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL 18 CHARCOAL COMMERCI 19 CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL Page 4. (SECTDEM) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 LPG HOUSEHOL 2 GASOLINE TRANSPOR 3 AV.GAS TRANSPOR 4 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE HOUSEHOL 6 TURBO TRANSPOR 7 DIESEL TRANSPOR 8 DIESEL INDUSTRY 9 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 10 RESIDUAL INDUSTRY 11 FUELWOO INDUSTRY 12 FUELWOO HOUSEHOL 13 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 14 COAL INDUSTRY 15 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 16 ELECTRIC COMMERCI 17 ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL 18 CHARCOAL COMMERCI 19 CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL Page 5. (SECTDEM) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost 1 LPG HOUSEHOL 0 6810 2 GASOLINE TRANSPOR 0 61610 3 AV.GAS TRANSPOR 0 2422 4 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 0 5917 5 KEROSENE HOUSEHOL 0 18913 TURBO TRANSPOR DIESEL TRANSPOR . DIESEL INDUSTRY FUELOIL INDUSTRY RESIDUAL INDUSTRY FUELWOO INDUSTRY FUELWOO HOUSEHOL BAGASSE INDUSTRY COAL INDUSTRY ELECTRIC INDUSTRY ELECTRIC COMMERCI ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL CHARCOAL COMMERCI CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL Page 6. (SECTDEM) Total costs of the network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 LPG HOUSEHOL 2 GASOLINE TRANSPOR 3 AV. GAS TRANSPOR 4 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE HOUSEHOL 6 TURBO TRANSPOR 7 DIESEL TRANSPOR 8 DIESEL INDUSTRY 9 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 10 RESIDUAL INDUSTRY 11 FUELWOO INDUSTRY 12 FUELWOO HOUSEHOL 13 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 14 COAL INDUSTRY 15 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 16 ELECTRIC COMMERCI 17 ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL 18 CHARCOAL COMMERCI 19 CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL Page 7. (SECTDEM) External file energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy ad just flows flows No Name Category (+/-) out ? in ? 1 LPG HOUSEHOL 0 No File No File 2 GASOLINE TRANSPOR 0 No File No File 3 AV. GAS TRANSPOR 0 No File No File 4 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 5 KEROSENE HOUSEHOL 0 No File No File 6 TURBO TRANSPOR 0 No File No File 7 DIESEL TRANSPOR 0 No File No File 8 DIESEL INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 9 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 0 No File No File RESIDUAL INDUSTRY 0 No File No File FUELWOO INDUSTRY. 0 No File No File FUELWOO HOUSEHOL 0 No File No File BAGASSE INDUSTRY 0 No File No File COAL INDUSTRY 0 No File No File ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 0 No File No File ELECTRIC COMMERCI 0 No File No File ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL 0 No File No File CHARCOAL COMMERCI 0 No File No File CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL 0 No File No File / Energy Demands for model: HA1 Activities Energy % Energy Time Values NO Name Category Unit Growths 1989.0 1990.0 LPG HOUSEHOL TOE GASOLINE TRANSPOR TOE . AV GAS TRANSPOR TOE KEROSENE INDUSTRY TOE KEROSENE HOUSEHOL TOE TURBO TRANSPOR TOE DIESEL TRANSPOR TOE DIESEL INDUSTRY TOE FUELOIL INDUSTRY TOE RESIDUAL INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO HOUSEHOL TOE BAGASSE INDUSTRY TOE COAL INDUSTRY TOE ELECTRIC INDUSTRY MWH ELECTRIC COMMERCI MWH ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL MWH CHARCOAL COMMERCI TOE CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL TOE Activities Energy % Energy Time Values No Name Category Unit Growths 1992.0 1993.0 LPG HOUSEHOL TOE GASOLINE TRANSPOR TOE . AV GAS TRANSPOR TOE KEROSENE INDUSTRY TOE KEROSENE HOUSEHOL TOE TURBO TRANSPOR TOE DIESEL TRANSPOR TOE DIESEL INDUSTRY TOE FUELOIL INDUSTRY TOE RESIDUAL INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO HOUSEHOL TOE BAGASSE INDUSTRY TOE COAL INDUSTRY TOE ELECTRIC INDUSTRY MWH ELECTRIC COMMERCI MWH ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL MWH CHARCOAL COMMERCI TOE CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL TOE Activities Energy % Energy Time Values No Name Category Unit Growths 1995.0 1996.0 1 LPG HOUSEHOL TOE 2 GASOLINE TRANSPOR TOE 3 AV.GAS TRANSPOR TOE 4 KEROSENE INDUSTRY TOE 5 KEROSENE HOUSEHOL TOE TURBO TRANSPOR TOE "DIESEL TRANSPOR TOE DIESEL INDUSTRY TOE FUELOIL INDUSTRY TOE RESIDUAL INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO HOUSEHOL TOE BAGASSE INDUSTRY TOE COAL INDUSTRY TOE ELECTRIC INDUSTRY MWH ELECTRIC COMMERCI MWH ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL MWH CHARCOAL COMMERCI TOE CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL TOE Activities Energy % Energy Time Values No Name Category Unit Growths 1998.0 LPG HOUSEHOL TOE GASOLINE TRANSPOR TOE . AV GAS TRANSPOR TOE KEROSENE INDUSTRY TOE KEROSENE HOUSEHOL TOE TURBO TRANSPOR TOE DIESEL TRANSPOR TOE DIESEL INDUSTRY TOE FUELOIL INDUSTRY TOE RESIDUAL INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO INDUSTRY TOE FUELWOO HOUSEHOL TOE BAGASSE INDUSTRY TOE COAL INDUSTRY TOE ELECTRIC INDUSTRY MWH ELECTRIC COMMERCI MWH ELECTRIC HOUSEHOL MWH CHARCOAL COMMERCI TOE CHARCOAL HOUSEHOL TOE 1 2 3 4 5 Energy balance table created from RES network Model : HA1 Energy unit: TOE Price unit: G primary balance====-======================================= Date: 1989 HYDRO LPG GASOLINE AV.GAS KEROSENE TURBO .................................................................... DOMESTIC 27780 0.00 IMPORTS 7168 64853 2549 26137 24760 ...................................................................... supply 27780 7168 64853 2549 26137 ..................................................................... 24760 SUPPLY 0 0 0 0 0 ELECGEN -27780 0 0 0 0 0 CHARPROD 0 0 0 0 0 FUELDIST -3 58 -3243 -127 -1307 -1238 ...................................................................... Conversion -27780 -358 -3243 -127 -1307 -1238 ..................................................................... ...................................................................... Fin supply 0 6810' 61610 2422 24830 23522 ..................................................................... ...................................................................... TRANSPOR 61610 2422 23522 INDUSTRY 5917 COMMERCI HOUSEHOL 6810 18913 - - Demands 0 6810 61610 2422 24830 23522 ...................................................................... ..................................................................... Error 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...................................................................... ..................................................................... 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 DIESEL FUELOIL RESIDUAL FUELWOO BAGASSE COAL ELECTRIC g ...................................................................... 10 1709442 60053 0.00 11 127508 9856 63173 9004 0.00 12 ...................................................................... 13 127508 9856 63173 1709442 60053 9004 0 14 ...................................................................... 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 -32079 0 -36285 0 0 0 47734 17 0 0 0 -832137 0 0 0 18 -4771 -4 93 -1344 -43865 -3003 -450 -7160 19 ...................................................................... 20 -36851 -493 -37629 -876002 -3003 -450 40574 21 ...................................................................... - 22 90657 9363 25544' 833440 57050 8554 40574 23 ...................................................................... 24 72470 .. 25 18187 9363 25544 58440 57050 8554 16078 26 5188 27 775000 19308 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 CHARCOAL Total g .................... 10 1797275 11 335008 12 .................... 13 0 2132283 14 .................... 15 0 0 16 0 -48410 17 166427 -665709 18 -8321 -75682 19 .................... 20 158106 -789801 21 .................... 22 158106 1342482 23 .................... 24 160024 25 199133 26 140606 145794 27 17500 837531 1 2 3 4 1 RES n e t w o r k summary for 1 r e s u l t f i l e ( s ) 2 Model: HA1 ( u n i t s i n 1000s) 3 Energy units: TOE 4 P r i c e units: G 5 6 SUPPLY ELECGEN CHARPROD FUELDIST SECTDEM 7 1989.00====================================================~====== 8 Energy f l o w 213 2 2132 2084 14 18 1342 9 Capacity 0 79 0 0 0 10 ...................................................................... 11 V a r i a b l e cost 521857 347625 0 159770 740102 12 E x i s t cap cost 0 0 0 0 0 13 Incr cap cost 0 0 0 0 0 14 ...................................................................... 15 T o t a l cost 521857 347625 0 159770 740102 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total 7 ========3= 8 9109 9 79 10 ---------- 11 1769354 12 0 13 0 14 ---------- 15 1769354 * APPENDIX B R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy flow data Model - Print of calculation results. : COL Date : 1988.0 Activity group : DEMAND, Notes on printout. Pages 5 1 6 . Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Total capital cost = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If "energy flows inM or "energy flows outttare true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No filen will be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 6 DEMAND Page 1. (DEMAND) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [El Base Yr % Gr0wt.h GASOLINE RESID TCAL GASOLINE TRANSP TCAL CRUDE EXPORTS TCAL CRUDE INDUSTRY TCAL KEROSENE RESID TCAL KEROSENE TRANSP TCAL KEROSENE EXPORTS TCAL KEROSENE INDUSTRY TCAL DIESEL TRANSP TCAL DIESEL EXPORTS TCAL DIESEL INDUSTRY TCAL DIESEL COMERC TCAL DIESEL AGRIC TCAL DIESEL OTHER TCAL FUELOIL EXPORTS TCAL FUELOIL INDUSTRY $ TCAL FUELOIL COMERC $ TCAL LPG RESID $ TCAL LPG INDUSTRY $ TCAL LPG COMERC $ TCAL NATGAS RESID $ TCAL NATGAS INDUSTRY $ TCAL ELECTRIC RESID $ TCAL ELECTRIC EXPORTS $ TCAL ELECTRIC INDUSTRY $ TCAL ELECTRIC COMERC $ TCAL COAL RESID $ TCAL COAL EXPORTS $ TCAL COAL INDUSTRY $ TCAL BAGASSE INDUSTRY $ TCAL BAGASSE AGRIC $ TCAL WOOD RESID $ TCAL WOOD AGRIC $ TCAL CHARCOAL RESID $ TCAL Page 2. (DEMAND) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity No Name Energy Category flow capacity Base Yr % Growth - energy losses 1 GASOLINE RESID 2 GASOLINE TRANSP 3 CRUDE EXPORTS 4 CRUDE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE RESID 6 KEROSENE TRANSP 7 KEROSENE EXPORTS 8 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 9 DIESEL TRANSP 10 DIESEL EXPORTS 11 DIESEL INDUSTRY 12 DIESEL COMERC 13 DIESEL AGRIC 14 DIESEL OTHER 15 FUELOIL EXPORTS 16 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 17 FUELOIL COMERC 15 LPG RZSID 19 LPG INDUSTRY 20 LPG COMERC 21 NATGAS RESID 22 NATGAS INDUSTRY 23 ELECTRIC RESID 24 ELECTRIC EXPORTS 25 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 26 ELECTRIC COMERC 27 COAL RESID 28 COAL EXPORTS 29 COAL INDUSTRY 30 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 31 BAGASSE AGRIC 32 WOOD RESID 33 WOOD AGRIC 34 CHARCOAL RESID Page 3 . (DEMAND) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth GASOLINE RESID GASOLINE TRANSP CRUDE EXPORTS CRUDE INDUSTRY KEROSENE RESID KEROSENE TRANSP KEROSENE EXPORTS KEROSENE INDUSTRY DIESEL TRANSP DIESEL EXPORTS DIESEL INDUSTRY DIESEL COMERC DIESEL AGRIC DIESEL OTHER FUELOIL EXPORTS FUELOIL INDUSTRY FUELOIL COMERC LPG RESID LPG INDUSTRY LPG COMERC NATGAS RESID NATGAS INDUSTRY ELECTRIC RESID ELECTRIC EXPORTS ELECTRIC INDUSTRY ELECTRIC COMERC COAL RESID COAL EXPORTS COAL INDUSTRY BAGASSE INDUSTRY BAGASSE AGRIC WOOD RESID WOOD AGRIC CHARCOAL RESID Page 4 . (DEMAND) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE RESID 2 GASOLINE TRANSP 3 CRUDE EXPORTS 4 CRUDE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE RESID 6 KEROSENE TRANSP 7 KEROSENE EXPORTS 8 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 9 DIESEL TRANSP 10 DIESEL EXPORTS 11 DIESEL INDUSTRY 12 DIESEL COMERC 13 DIESEL AGRIC 14 DIESEL OTHER 15 FUELOIL EXPORTS 16 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 17 FUELOIL COMERC 18 LPG RESID 19 LPG INDUSTRY 20 LPG COMERC 21 NATGAS RESID 22 NATGAS INDUSTRY 23 ELECTRIC RESID 24 ELECTRIC EXPORTS 25 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 26 ELECTRIC COMERC 27 COAL RESID 28 COAL EXPORTS 29 COAL INDUSTRY 30 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 31 BAGASSE AGRIC 32 WOOD RESID 33 WOOD AGRIC 34 CHARCOAL RESID Page 5. (DEMAND) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost 1 GASOLINE RESID 2 GASOLINE TRANSP 3 CRUDE EXPORTS 4 CRUDE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE RESID 6 KEROSENE TRANSP 7 KEROSENE EXPORTS 8 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 9 DIESEL TRANSP 10 DIESEL EXPORTS 11 DIESEL INDUSTRY 12 DIESEL COMERC 13 DIESEL AGRIC 14 DIESEL OTHER 15 FUELOIL EXPORTS 16 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 17 FUELOIL COMERC 18 LPG RESID 19 LPG INDUSTRY 20 LPG COMERC 21 NATGAS RESID 22 NATGAS INDUSTRY 23 ELECTRIC RESID 24 ELECTRIC EXPORTS 25 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 26 ELECTRIC COMERC 27 COAL RESID 28 COAL EXPORTS 29 COAL INDUSTRY 30 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 31 BAGASSE AGRIC 32 WOOD RESID 33 WOOD AGRIC 34 CHARCOAL RESID Page 6. (DEMAND) Total costs of the network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 GASOLINE RESID 2 GASOLINE TRANSP 3 CRUDE EXPORTS 4 CRUDE INDUSTRY 5 KEROSENE RESID 6 KEROSENE TRANSP 7 KEROSENE EXPORTS 8 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 9 DIESEL TRANSP 10 DIESEL EXPORTS 11 DIESEL INDUSTRY 12 DIESEL COMERC 13 DIESEL AGRIC 14 DIESEL OTHER 15 FUELOIL EXPORTS 16 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 17 FUELOIL COMERC 18 LPG RESID 19 LPG INDUSTRY 20 LPG COMERC 21 NATGAS RESID 22 NATGAS INDUSTRY 23 ELECTRIC RESID 24 ELECTRIC EXPORTS 25 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 26 ELECTRIC COMERC 27 COAL RESID 28 COAL EXPORTS 29 COAL INDUSTRY 30 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 31 BAGASSE AGRIC 32 WOOD RESID 33 WOOD AGRIC 34 CHARCOAL RESID Page 7. (DEMAND) External file energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy adjust flows flows No Name Category (+/-) out ? 1 GASOLINE RESID 0 No File No File 2 GASOLINE TRANSP 0 No File NO File 3 CRUDE EXPORTS 0 No File No File 4 CRUDE INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 5 KEROSENE RESID 0 No File No File 6 KEROSENE TRANSP 0 No File No File 7 KEROSENE EXPORTS 0 No File No File 8 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 9 DIESEL TRANSP 0 No File No File 10 DIESEL EXPORTS 0 No File No File 11 DIESEL INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 12 DIESEL COMERC 0 No File No File 13 DIESEL AGRIC 0 No File No File 14 DIESEL OTHER 0 No File No File 15 FUELOIL EXPORTS 0 No File No File 16 FUELOIL INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 17 FUELOIL COMERC 0 No File No File 18 LPG RESID 0 No File No File 19 LPG INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 20 LPG COMERC 0 No File No File 21 NATGAS RESID 0 No File No File 22 NATGAS INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 23 ELECTRIC RESID 0 No File No File .. 24 ELECTRIC EXPORTS 0 No File No File 25 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 26 ELECTRIC COMERC 0 No File No File 27 COAL RESID 0 No File No File 28 COAL EXPORTS 0 No File No File 29 COAL INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 30 BAGASSE INDUSTRY 0 No File No File 31 BAGASSE AGRIC 0 No File No File 32 WOOD RESID 0 No File No File 33 WOOD AGRIC 0 No File No File 34 CHARCOAL RESID 0 No File No File R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y SYSTEM. Energy flow data Model - Print of calculation results. : COL Date : 1988.0 Activity group : TRA/DIST, Notes on printout. Pages 516. Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Total capital cost = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents n percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If "energy flows inu or "energy flows outw are true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No filew will be written. Energy flow data -Print of calculation results. Activity group : 5 TRAIDIST Page 1. (TRAIDIST) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [El Base Yr % Growth GASOLINE $ TCAL CRUDE $ TCAL KEROSENE $ TCAL DIESEL $ TCAL FUELOIL $ TCAL LPG $ TCAL NATGAS $ TCAL ELECTRIC GENER $ TCAL COAL $ TCAL BAGASSE $ TCAL WOOD $ TCAL CHARCOAL $ TCAL Page 2. (TRAIDIST) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELECTRIC GENER 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL Page 3. (TRAIDIST) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr - % Growth GASOLINE CRUDE KEROSENE DIESEL FUELOIL LPG NATGAS ELECTRIC GENER COAL BAGASSE WOOD CHARCOAL Page 4. (TRAIDIST) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existi~lg annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELECTRIC GENER 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL Page 5. (TRA/DIST) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital Name Category saturation capacity cost cost GASOLINE CRUDE KEROSENE DIESEL FUELOIL LPG NATGAS ELECTRIC GENER COAL BAGASSE WOOD CHARCOAL Page 6. (TRA/DIST) Total costs of the network - Total Total . Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELECTRIC GENER 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL Page 7. (TRA/DIST) External file energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy adjust flows flows No Name Category ( + / - ) out ? in ? 1 GASOLINE 0 No File No File 2 CRUDE 0 No File No File 3 KEROSENE 0 No File No File 4 DIESEL 0 No File No File 5 FUELOIL 0 No File No File 6 LPG 0 No File No File 7 NATGAS 0 No File No File 8 ELECTRIC GENER 0 No File No File 9 COAL 0 No File No File 10 BAGASSE 0 No File No File 11 WOOD 0 No F i l e No F i l e 12 CHARCOAL 0 No F i l e No F i l e R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y SYSTEM. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Model : COL Date : 1988.0 Activity group : ELECGEN, Notes on printout. Pages 5 1 6 . Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Total capital cost = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If "energy flows inu or '*energyflows outw are true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No filem will be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 4 ELECGEN Page 1. (ELECGEN) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [El Base Yr % Growth GASOLINE TCAL CRUDE TCAL KEROSENE TCAL DIESEL TCAL FUELOIL TCAL LPG TCAL NATGAS TCAL ELELIQ TCAL ELEGAS TCAL ELEHYDRO TCAL ELECOAL TCAL COAL TCAL BAGASSE TCAL WOOD TCAL CHARCOAL TCAL Page 2. (ELECGEN) A c t i v i t y element energy flows and c a p a c i t i e s ( i n energy u n i t s ) . Activity A c t i v i t y energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELELIQ 9 ELEGAS 10 ELEHYDRO 11 ELECOAL 12 COAL 13 BAGASSE 14 WOOD 15 CHARCOAL Page 3. (ELECGEN) U n i t energy costs. V a r i a b l e cost A n n u a l i s e d capital per u n i t c o s t per u n i t energy e x i s t i n g capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELELIQ 9 ELEGAS 10 ELEHYDRO 11 ELECOAL 12 COAL 1 3 BAGASSE 14 WOOD 15 CHARCOAL P a g e 4. (ELECGEN) More u n i t energy costs. I n c r e m e n t a l capital c o s t per u n i t e x i s t i n g annual c a p a c i t y No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELELIQ 9 ELEGAS 10 ELEHYDRO 11 ELECOAL 12 COAL 13 BAGASSE 14 WOOD 15 CHARCOAL Page 5. (ELECGEN) c a p a c i t y of t h e n e t w o r k Percentage E n e r g y Existing Incr capacity f l o w over capital capital NO Name C a t e g o r y s a t u r a t i o n capacity cost cost 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELELIQ 9 ELEGAS 10 ELEHYDRO 11 ELECOAL 12 COAL 13 BAGASSE 14 WOOD 15 CHARCOAL Page 6 . ( E L E C G E N ) T o t a l c o s t s of t h e n e t w o r k Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name C a t e g o r y cost cost cost 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 ELELIQ 9 ELEGAS 10 ELEHYDRO 11 ELECOAL 12 COAL 13 BAGASSE 14 WOOD 15 CHARCOAL P a g e 7 . (ELECGEN) External file energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy adjust flows flows No Name C a t e g o r y (+/-) out ? in ? 1 GASOLINE 0 No File No File 2 CRUDE 0 No File No File 3 KEROSENE 0 No File No File 4 DIESEL 0 No File No File 5 FUELOIL 0 No File No File 6 LPG 0 No File No File 7 NATGAS 0 No File No File 8 ELELIQ 0 No File No File 9 ELEGAS 0 No File No File 1 0 ELEHYDRO 0 No File No File 1 1 ELECOAL 0 No File No File 1 2 COAL 0 No File No File 1 3 BAGASSE 0 No File No File 14 WOOD 0 No File No File 15 CHARCOAL 0 No File No File R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy flow data Model - Print of calculation results. : COL Date : 1988.0 Activity group : ENGY PRD, Notes,on printout. Pages 5 1 6 . Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity Total capital cost = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If "energy flows inttor "energy flows outogare true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No fileguwill be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 3 ENGY PRD Page 1. (ENGY PRD) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [El Base Yr % Growth GASOLINE TCAL CRUDE TCAL KEROSENE TCAL DIESEL TCAL FUELOIL TCAL LPG TCAL NATGAS TCAL HYDRO TCAL COAL TCAL BAGASSE TCAL WOOD TCAL CHARCOAL TCAL Page 2. (ENGY PRD) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). Activity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 HYDRO 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL Page 3. (ENGY PRD) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 HYDRO 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL . Page 4 ( ENGY PRD) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 HYDRO 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL Page 5. (ENGY PRD) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 HYDRO 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL Page 6. (ENGY PRD) Total costs of the network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 KEROSENE 4 DIESEL 5 FUELOIL 6 LPG 7 NATGAS 8 HYDRO 9 COAL 10 BAGASSE 11 WOOD 12 CHARCOAL Page 7. (ENGY PRD) External fils energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy adjust flows flows No Name Category (+/-) out ? in ? 1 GASOLINE File No File 2 CRUDE File No File 3 KEROSENE File No File 4 DIESEL File No File 5 FUELOIL File No File 6 LPG File No File 7 NATGAS File No File 8 HYDRO File No File 9 COAL File No File 10 BAGASSE File No File 11 WOOD 0 No F i l e No F i l e 12 CHARCOAL 0 No F i l e No F i l e R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy flow data Model - Print of calculation results. : COL Date : 1988.0 ~ctivitygroup : PROCESS, Notes on printout. Pages 5/6. Total annual costs of the network Percentage capacity saturation = Energy flow / capacity Energy flow over capacity = Energy flow - capacity = Existing + Incremental capital cost Total capital cost Total Energy cost = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External file energy flows. Percentage flow adjustment is a variable which allows the user to dead-end a proportion of the flow at each activity element - useful for defining exports in the system. A positive value represents a percentage increase in the energy flow in the activity element (import) while a negative value is a flow out (export) . If "energy flows inw or "energy flows outw are true then energy flows in to or out from the RES at this point enabling the user to bypass part of the RES network by using external process models and their associated external files. If no external file is defined for this activity group, then "No filen will be written. Energy flow data - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 2 PROCESS Page 1. (PROCESS) Activity element names and efficiencies. Price Energy Percentage thermal Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name Category [PI [El Base Yr % Growth GASOLINE $ TCAL 100 0 CRUDE $ TCAL 100 0 CRUDE REFINERY $ TCAL 95 0 NATGAS PLANT $ TCAL 90 0 HYDRO $ TCAL 100 0 COAL $ TCAL 100 0 BAGASSE $ TCAL 100 0 WOOD $ TCAL 100 0 CHARCOAL PLANT $ TCAL 20 0 Page 2. (PROCESS) Activity element energy flows and capacities (in energy units). ~ctivity Activity energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Category flow Base Yr % Growth losses GASOLINE 13553 CRUDE 89852 CRUDE REFINERY 105699 4 NATGAS PLANT 19712 5 HYDRO 26066 6 COAL 119036 7 BAGASSE 13695 8 WOOD 40705 9 CHARCOAL PLANT 3411 Page 3. (PROCESS) Unit energy costs. Variable cost Annualised capital per unit cost per unit energy existing capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 CRUDE REFINERY 4 NATGAS PLANT 5 HYDRO 6 COAL 7 BAGASSE 8 WOOD 9 CHARCOAL PLANT Page 4. (PROCESS) More unit energy costs. Incremental capital cost per unit existing annual capacity No Name Category Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 CRUDE REFINERY 4 NATGAS PLANT 5 HYDRO 6 COAL 7 BAGASSE 8 WOOD 9 CHARCOAL PLANT Page 5 . (PROCESS) Capacity of the network Percentage Energy Existing Incr capacity flow over capital capital No Name Category saturation capacity cost cost 1 GASOLINE 0 13553 0 0 2 CRUDE 0 89852 0 0 3 CRUDE REFINERY 107 6699 0 0 4 NATGAS PLANT 0 19712 0 0 5 HYDRO 6 COAL 7 BAGASSE 8 WOOD 9 CHARCOAL PLANT Page 6. (PROCESS) Total costs of the network Total Total Total capital variable energy No Name Category cost cost cost 1 GASOLINE 2 CRUDE 3 CRUDE REFINERY 4 NATGAS PLANT 5 HYDRO 6 COAL 7 BAGASSE 8 WOOD 9 CHARCOAL PLANT Page 7. (PROCESS) External file energy flows. Z Flow Energy Energy adjust flows flows No Name Category (+/-) out ? in ? 1 GASOLINE 0 No File No File 2 CRUDE 0 No File No File 3 CRUDE REFINERY 0 No File No File 4 NATGAS PLANT 0 No File No File 5HYDRO 0 No File No File 6COAL 0 No File No File 7 BAGASSE 0 No File No File 8 WOOD 0 No File No File 9 CHARCOAL PLANT 0 No File No File R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . Energy f l o w d a t a - P r i n t o f ~ z a l c u l a t i o nr e s u l t s . M~=ldel : 120L Date : 1988.C) A c t i v i t y group : SUPPLY, Notes on p r intcnut . Pages 5/15. T u t a l annual c o s t s i l f t h e networ I:: Percentage c a p a c i t y s a t u r a t iiln = Energy f l l ~ t w / c a p a i i t y Energy f 1o w cover c apac i t y = Energy flclw - capacity Tiltal i a p i t a l ~~11s.t = E x i s t i n g + I n i r e m e n t a l i a p i t a l cl:,st Tcltal Energy crlst = T o t a l i a p i t a l + T c ~ t a l var i a b l e ~ : o s t Page 7. E x t e r n a l f i l e energy f l : I IWS. Percentage f l i ~ wad.justment i s a v a r i a b l e which a1 l i l w s t h e user t c l dead-end - a prclpclrt i o n 111ft h e flclw a t each a c t i v i t y element - u s t . f u l flzw d e f i n i n g e x p o r t s i n t h e system. A p o s i t i v e value r e p r e s e n t s a percentage increase i n t h e energy f1111wi n t h e a c t i v i t y element I'impilrt:) w h i l e a n e g a t i v e v a l u e i s a f l o w I = I U ~ Cexpurt:). I f "energy flclws i n " clr "energy f l c ~ w so u t " a r e t r u e t h e n energy f l o w s i n t111 or o u t frilm t h e RES a t t h i s p i l i n t e n a b l i n g t h e user t o bypass p a r t ~=lft h e F:ES netwlsrl:: by u s i n g e:,;ternal p r o c e s s models and t h e i r assuciated external f i l e s . I f no e x t e r n a l f i l e i s d e f i n e d f~:~rt h i s a c t i v i t y group, t h e n "No f i l e " w i l l be w r i t t e n . Energy fllzlw d a t a - P r i n t i l f i a l c u l a t icln r e s u l t s . A c t i v i t y group : 1 SUPPLY Page 1. lSLlPPLYl A c t i v i t y element names and e f f i c i e n c i e s . F'riie Energy Percentage t h e r m a l Act i v i t i e s unit unit efficiencies No Name C a t e g c ~ r yC F ' l CEI Base Y r % G r I Z I W ~h 1 GASOLINE IMPORT $ TEAL 2 CFU : DE DOMESTIC: % TCAL 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC % TEAL 4 HYD RO DOMESTIC $ TC:AL 5 COAL DOMESTIC % TKAL 6 BAGASSE DOMESTIC % TCAL 7 WOOD DOMESTIC: $ TC:AL Page 2. (SUF'PLY:) A c t i v i t y element energy flclws and c a p a c i t i e s ( : i n energy u n i t s ) . Activity A c t i v i t y energy A~~tivity Energy capacity energy N i l Name Cat egs~r y f 1111w Base Y r % 13rowth 11~1sses 1 GASOLINE IMPORT 13972 0 2 CRUDE DOMESTI r3 20 15.33 : ) t 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC 20322 33647 4 H V ~ F ' ~ nnMF9T 1r 3F.(-1 F.F. 0 6 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 13833 7 WOOD DOMESTIC 45480 Page 3 . out ? in ? 1 GASOLINE IMPORT 0 No F i l e No File 2 CF:UDE DOMEST IC: 1 ): No File No File 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC O NI : File NI:~ File 4 HYDRO DOMEST IC O No File No File 5 COAL DOMESTIC 0 No File NI-1 File 6 BAGASSE DOMESTIC O No File No File 7 WOOD DOMEST IC 0 No File No F i1 e R E F E R E N C E E N E R G Y S Y S T E M . E n e r g y flor*. d a t a - P r i n t o f c a l c u l a t i o n r e s u 1 t . s . Model : COL Date : 1996.0 A c t i v i t y g r o u p : DEMAND, Notes on p r i n t o u t . Pages 5/6. T o t a l annual c o s t s of t h e network P e r c e n t a g e c a p a c i t y s a t u r a t i o n = Energy f l o w / c a p a c i t y Energy flow o v e r c a p a c i t y = Energy flow - c a p a c i t y Total capital cost = E x i s t i n g + 1ncrement.al capit.al rnnt T o t a l Energy c o s t = Total capital + Total variable cost Page 7. External f i l e energy flows. = e r c e n t a g e f l o w a d j u s t m e n t i s a \ ? a r i a b l e w h i c h a l l o w s t h e 11ser t o tie;-c~:r-e~lti a proportion of t h e f l o v a t each a c t i v i t y element - u s e f u l for. t l e f ' j t l j r t q e x p o r t s i n t h e system. A p o s i t i v e v a l u e r e p r e s e n t s a-*perc:ent.age I ~ I I - . ~ ~ R S F ~n ; t h e energy flow i n t h e a c t i v i t y element ( i m p o r t ) while a negative \ ~ I I I P I S a flow o u t l e s p o r t ) . I f "energy f l o w s i n " o r "energy f l o w s o u t " are t r u e t h e n e n e r z y flow< i n t o o r o u t f r o m t h e RES a t t h i s p o i n t e n a b l i n g t h e u s e r t o b y p a s s p a r t o f t h e RES n e t w o r k b y u s i n s e x t e r n a l p r o c e s s m o a e l s anci t h e i r associated external files. I f no e x t e r n a l f i l e i s d e f i n e d f o r t i l l c . a c t i v i t y g r o u p , t h e n "No f i l e " w i l l be w r i t t e n . Energy flow d a t a - Print of calculation results. Activity group : 6 DEMAND P a g e 1 . (DEMAND) I c t i v i t y e l e m e n t names a n d e f f i c i e n c i e s . Frice Energy P e r c e n t a g e t h e r m a l Activities unit unit efficiencies No N a m e C a t e g o r y [ PJ [El Rase Y r % Growth GASOLINE RESID TCAL 0 . i10 GASOLINE TRANSP TCAL . ii 0 0 CRUDE EXPORTS TCAL 0 . 00 CRUDE INDUSTRY TCAL u . O(i KEROSENE RESID TCAL . 0 0 Ci KEROSENE TRANSP TCAL . 0 00 KEROSENE EXPORTS TCAL . 0 00 KEROSENE INDUSTRY TCAL li . 0 l 1 DIESEL TRANSP TCAL 0.09 DIESEL EXPORTS TCAL 0.00 DIESEL INDUSTRY TCAL 6.00 DIESEL COMERC TCAL . 0 iiii DIESEL AGRIC TCAL 0 . i)O DIESEL OTHER TCAL . 0 ii (i FUEL01 L EXPORTS TCAL 0.60 FUELOIL INDUSTRY TCA L 0 . o(i FUELOIL COMERC TCAL 0.00 LPG lkbual~kS 1LAL LPG COMERC S TCAL NATGAS RESID 8 TCAL NATGAS INDUSTRY 8 TCXL ELECTRIC RESID $ TCXL ELECTRIC EXPORTS S TCAL ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 8 TCAL ELECTRIC COMERC 8 TCAL COAL RESID $ TCAL COAL EXPORTS 8 TCAL COAL INDUSTRY $ TCXL BAGASSE INDUSTRP 8 TCAL BAGASSE AGRIC 8 TCXL WOOD RESID 8 TCAL WOOD AGRIC $ TCAL CHARCOAL RESID 8 TCAL Page 2. (DEMAND) Activity element energy flows and capacities ( 1. in energy 1.1nit.s Activity Activity energy Act.ivit.y Energy capacity energ:';- No Name Category flaw Base Yr % Growth losses GASOLINE RESID 0.00 ii .0 ii GASOLINE TRANSP 0.00 0 . oo CRUDE EXPORTS 0.00 ii .on CRUDE INDUSTRY 0.00 0 . nri KEROSENE RESID 0.00 . 0 0 i) KEROSENE TRANSP 0.00 O Ori. KEROSENE EXPORTS 0.00 0.013 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 0.00 . 0 (iii DIESEL TRXNSP 0.00 0.00 DIESEL EXPORTS 0.00 0 . Oir DIESEL INDUSTRY 0.00 0.00 DIESEL COMERC 0.00 0.n0 DIESEL AGRIC 0.00 0. O n DIESEL OTHER 0.00 0. 00 FUELOIL EXPORTS 0.00 0.00 FUELOIL INDUSTRP 0.00 . 0 [iii FUELOIL COMERC 0.00 0 . no LPG RESID 0.00 0 . 0 ii LPG INDUSTRY 0.00 11.93 LPG COMERC 0.00 0 .i) 0 NATGAS RESID 0 .,0 0 . ij 0 ii 22 NATGAS INDUSTRY o., 00 . ii O i i 23 ELECTRIC RESID 0 " 00 0 . nci 24 ELECTRIC EXPORTS 0.00 0 . 00 25 ELECTRIC INDUSTRY 0 " 00 0 00 . 26 ELECTRIC COMERC 0.00 0 . 0ii 27 COAL RESID 0 ,,00 0.00 28 COAL EXPORTS O., 00 0.0t1 29 COAL INDUSTRY 0 00 a 0 .Oil 30 BAGASSE INDUSTRP 0,oo . il (i ii 31 BAGASSE AGRIC 0.00 0 00 . 32 WOOD RESID 0.00 0 .O(i 33 WOOD AGRIC 0.00 0.00 33 CHARCOAL RESID 0.00 0 00 . Page 3 . (DEMAND) Unit energy casts. Variable cost Annualised napltal per unit cost. per unit. energy existing c.apacity GASOLINE RESID . 0 iiii GASOLINE TRANSP (i. O(I CRUDE EXPORTS 0 . ii 0 CRUDE INDUSTRY 0 . i)n KEROSENE RESID i . ) i) (i KEROSENE TRANSP 9.01i KEROSENE EXPORTS f/ , 0 0 KEROSENE INDUSTRY 0 . iifi DIESEL TRANSP i) . ijii DIESEL EXPORTS 0.00 DIESEL INDUSTRY 0.CiO DIESEL CONERC (i00 . DIESEL AGRIC 0.00 DIESEL OTHER O . nn FUELOIL EXPORTS (.j , CI w h i l e a n e g a t i v e v a l u e i s a f 1u w o u t I e x p o r t :I . I f "energy f l o w s i n " or "energy f l o w s o u t " a r e t r u e t h e n energy f l o w s i n t ~ z t o r o u t f r o m t h e RES a t t h i s p o i n t e n a b l i n g t h e u s e r t o bypass p a r t o f t h e RES n e t w o r k b y u s i n g e x t e r n a l p r o c e s s mctdels and t h e i r associated external f i l e s . I f nl:~ e x t e r n a l f i l e i s d e f i n e d f o r t h i s a c t i v i t y group, t h e n "No f i l e " w i l l be w r i t t e n . Energy f11:lw d a t a - P r i n t o f ca1l:ulatit:tn results. A c t i v i t y group : 1 SUPPLY Page 1. (SUPPLY 1) A c t i v i t y element names and e f f i c i e n c i e s . Price Energy P e r c e n t a g e t h e r m a l Activities unit unit efficiencies No Name C a t e g o r y CP3 CE3 Base Y r % Growth 1 GASOLINE IMPORT 3 TCAL 2 CRUDE DOMESTIC 3 TCAL 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC $ TCAL 4 HYDRO DOMESTIC 3 TEAL 5 COAL DOMESTIC 3 TCAL € BAGASSE DOMESTIC 3 TEAL 7 WOOD DOMESTIC 3 TCAL Page 2. (SUPPLY1 A c t i v i t y element e n e r g y f l o w s and c a p a c i t i e s ( i n e n e r g y u n i t s ) . Activity A c t i v i t y energy Activity Energy capacity energy No Name Cat eg111r y f 1ow Ease Y r % Gruwth losses 1 GASOLINE IMPORT 20643 (3 2 CRUDE DOMEST I C 297853 0 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC 30025 33647 J uvnwn T rT ~ ~ M E C +?Rc;~T n 6 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 20438 7 WOOD DOMESTIC 54 105 Page 3 . (SUPPLY) U n i t energy c o s t s . Var iable c o s t A n n u a l ised c a p i t a l per u n i t c o s t per u n i t energy existing capacity NO N a m e Category Base Yr % Growth Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE IMPORT 19630 0 0 O 2 CRUDE DOMEST I C 6597 (1 (1) O 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC 242 1 0 0 0 4 HYDRO DOMEST I C : (1 0 O (1) 5 COAL DOMEST I C 4175 0 0 (1) 6 BAGASSE DOMESTIC (1) (1) (1 (1) 7 WOOD DOMESTIC 0 0 0 0 P a g e 4. ( S U P P L Y ) More unit e n e r g y c o s t s . Incremental capit al c ~ z t s t per u n i t e x i s t i n g annual c a p a c ity NIZ~ N a m e Category Base Yr % Growth 1 GASOLINE IMPORT 2 CRUDE DOMEST I C: 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC: 4 HYDRO DOMEST 11: 5 COAL DOMESTIC 6 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 7 WOOD DOMEST I C Page 5. ( S U P P L Y 1 C a p a c i t y of the n e t w o r k P e r c e n t a g e Energy Existing Incr capac it y f 1o w over capi t a1 capital N o Name C a t e g c ~ r ys a t u r a t i o n c a p a c i t y cost cost 1 G A S O L I N E IMPORT 0 20643 2 CRUDE DOMESTIC 0 237853 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC 89 0 4 HYDRO DOMEST IC 0 38512 5 COAL DOMESTIC (1 177647 6 BAGASSE DOMESTIC 0 20438 7 WOOD DOMEST IC 0 54 105 P a g e 6. ( S U P P L Y ) Tlzttal c o s t s ~ztf t h e n e t w o r k T o t a1 Total T a t a1 capital var i a b l e energy NCI N a m e Category cost cost cost 1 GASOLINE IMPORT 2 CRUDE DOMESTIC 3 NATGAS DOMESTIC 4 HYDRO DOMEST I C 5 COAL DOMEST I C 6 R~GASSF nnMFcTTr P a g z 7. (SUPPLY) External f i l e energy flows. % Flow Energy Energy adjust f 1 uws f 1O W S No Name C a t e g o r y (+/-) ,=lut ? in ? 1 GASOLINE IMPORT O NI-I File No File 2 CRUDE DOMEST I C O No File Nu File 3 NATGRS DOMESTIC 0 No File NIZI File 4 HYDRO DOMEST I C O No File Nu File 5 COAL DOMESTIC (1) NCI File No F i l e C BAGASSE DOMESTIC O Nu File Nu F i l e 7 WOOD DOMEST IC: O NO File No F i l e DISAOREOATED DEWAND ANALYSIS SYSTEM DEMAND PROJECTIONS FOR Tge RESIDENTIAL SECTOR .................................................. Local V a r i a b l e s for path: \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\GAS C u r r e n t E n e r g y T o o l b o x Model: COL .................................................. (1) A n n o t a t e d l i s t of variable names, a t t r i b u t e 8 and u n i t e . Name Attributes Comment Unit GASOLINE DEN TCAL GASINTEN GDP EPX G i n m i l l i o n US$ - r e a l 1987 prc TCAL/ $ (2) L i s t of v a r i a b l e names and v a l u e s . .................................................. Name Unit GASOLINE TCAL GASINTEN TCAL/$ GD P Name Unit GASOLINE TCAL GAS I N T E N TCAL / S GD P Name Unit GASOLINE TCAL GASINTEN TCAL/ $ GDP .................................................. Local Variables for path: \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\KER Current Energy Toolbox Model: COL .................................................. (1) Annotated list of variable names, attributes and units. Name Attributes Comment Unit KEROSENE DEN TCAL KERINTEN EPX !Xu/S GD P G in million USS - real 1987 prc .................................................. (2) List of variable names and values. .................................................. Name Unit KEROSENE TCAL KERINTEN TCAL/S GDP Name Unit 1992.0 1993.0 1994.0 1995.0 KEROSENE TCAL 1681.05 1765.10 1853.35 1946.02 KERINTEN TCAL/S . 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 GDP 37179.91 39038.90 40990.85 43040.39 Name Unit 1996.0 1997 .O -*1998.0 ' 1999.0 KEROSENE TCAL 2043.32 2145.49 0.00 0.00 KERINTEN TCAL/S 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 GDP 45192.41 47452.03 0.00 0.00 .................................................. Local Variables for path: \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\LPG Current Energy Toolbox Model: COL .................................................. (1) Annotated list of variable names, attributes and unite. Name Attributes Comment Unit LPG DEN TCAL TCAL / S LPGINTEN GDP EPX G in million USS - real 1987 prc (2) List of variable names and values. .................................................. Name Unit LPG TCAL LPGINTEN TCAL/ S GDP Name Unit LPG TCAL LPGINTEN TCAL/$ ! GDP Name Unit LPG TCAL LPGINTEN TCAL/S GDP .................................................. L o c a l V a r i a b l e s f o r p a t h : \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\ELEC C u r r e n t E n e r g y T o o l b o x Model: COL .................................................. (1) A n n o t a t e d l i s t of variable names, a t t r i b u t e 8 a n d u n i t s . Name Attribute8 Comment Unit ELECTRIC DEN TCAL ELECINTEN EPX TCAL/ $ GDP G i n m i l l i o n US$ - real 1987 prc .................................................. (2) L i e t of variable n a m e s a n d v a l u e s . .................................................. Name Unit 1988.0 1989.0 1990.0 1991.0 ELECTRIC TCAL 9745.00 10232.25 10743.86 11281.06 ELECINTEN TCAL/$ 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 GDP 30588.00 32117.40 33723.27 35409.43 Name Unit 1992.0 1993 .O 1994.0 1995.0 ELECTRIC TCAL 11845.11 12437.36 13059.23 13712.19 ELECINTEN TCAL/$ 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 GDP 37179.91 39038.90 40990.85 43040.39 Name Unit 1996.0 1997.0 -1998.0 1999.0 ELECTRIC TCAL 14397.80 15117.69 0.00 0.00 ELECINTEN TCAL/ $ 0.32 0.32 0.00 0.00 GDP 45192.41 47452.03 0.00 0.00 .................................................. Local Variables for path: \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\COAL Current Energy Toolbox Model: COL .................................................. (1) Annotated list of variable names, attributes and unite. Name Attributes ' Comment Unit COAL DEN TCAL COALINTEN EPX TCAL/$ GDP G in million US$ - real 1987 prc .................................................. (2) List of variable names and values. .................................................... Name Unit COAL TCAL COALINTEN TCAL/ $ GDP Name Unit COAL TCAL COALINTEN TCAL/$ GDP Name Unit COAL TCAL COALINTEN TCAL/$ GDP .................................................. Local Variables for path: \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\CHARC Current Energy Toolbox Model: COL .................................................. (1) Annotated list of variable names, attributes and units. Name Attributes Comment Unit CHARCOAL DEN TCAL CHARCINTEN EPX TCAL/ S POPULATION G in thousands .................................................. (2) List of variable names and values. .................................................. Name Unit CHARCOAL TCAL CHARCINTEN TCAL/$ POPULATION Name Unit CHARCOAL TCAL CHARCINTEN TCAL/$ POPULATION Name Unit CHARCOAL TCAL CHARCINTEN TCAL/$ POPULATION .................................................. Local Variables for path: \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\WOOD Current Energy Toolbox Model: COL .................................................. (1) Annotated list of variable names, attributes and units. Name Attributes Comment Unit WOOD DEN TCAL WOODINTEN EPX TCAL/ S POPULATION G in thousands (2) List of variable names and values. .................................................. Name Unit 1988.0 1989.0 WOOD TCAL 33134.00 33760.23 WOODINTEN TCAL/S 1.04 1.04 POPULATION 32000.00 32604.80 Name Unit 1992.0 1993.0 WOOD TCAL 35584.78 36193.28 WOODINTEN TCAL/S . 1.04 1.04 POPULATION 34366.90 34954.58 Name Unit 1996.0 1997.0 WOOD TCAL 37965.86 38497.38 WOODINTEN TCAL/S 1.04 1.04 POPULATION 36666.49 37179.82 .................................................. Local Variables for path: \NATIONAL\RESIDENT\NATGAS Current Energy Toolbox Model: COL .................................................. (1) Annotated list of variable names, attributes and units. Name Attributes Comment Unit NATGAS DEN TCAL NATGASINTE EPX TCAL/ S GDP G - in million US$ - real 1987 prc (2) List of variable names and values. .................................................. Name Unit NATGAS TCAL NATGASINTE TCAL/S GDP Name Unit NATGAS TCAL NATGASINTE TCAL/S GDP Name Unit NATGAS TCAL NATGASINTE TCAL/S GDP F i l e : C: \ETB\.COL\.COL.BOB( 1 0 / 3 / 1 9 9 1 1 Friday October 11. is91 base gear objective function : 2-j paze ___________________---__----------------------------------- ___________________-_--_-------------------------------------------- ---------- No V a r N a m e C o s t Coef TimeF Change Rat,e Groi.~p k a m e ___________________--------------------------------------------------- 1 GasRes 00 0 0 0.0000 DEMAND 2 GasTra 0.0000 0 0.0000 DEMAND 3 CruEx1-1 . (-1!i 0 i I iJ 0 (j.O(.)(.iii fiEM.4K11 4 CruInd i).C)i)OO 0 0.0000 DE?l.i%D 6 IierRes . 0 0 0u 0 ij . 0 000(.! TrEE.liiJI. 6 KerTra 0.0000 0 0.0000 rrEb1AND 7 IierExp . 0 0000 (0 0 , I ti I Ir Ebj4 i\J i t 8 KerInd 0.0000 0 0.0000 DEllAND 9 DieTra . 0 0 0 0 (i 0 CJ.OOO~I IJE?T~K~I 10 DieEsp 0.0000 0 0 . CiOOO DE~I.-\NTJ 11 DieInd O.OOO(i O 0.00i.iO TrE?iX;- 70 CruRe2 0.0000 0 0.0000 Sup ~tus11~ary 71 NatPll 0.0000 0 O . OU[)O Sup ausiliary 72 NatP12 0.0000 0 1). 0 0 0 0 Sup ausi 1 J ary ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ............................................................................... F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BBD(10/13/1991) Sunday October 13, 1991 base year Bounds page : 1-1 - -- No bound Name Type(<=>) Bound Value TimeFeature Group Name ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Gaskes >=10988274.7070 50 Lbuund o f GasRes 2 GasTr a >= 188706030.1500 49 Lbound o f GasTra 3 C r uExp >= 328249581.2400 48 Lbound o f CruExp 4 CrctInd >= 269891 12.2280 47 Lbuund o f C r u I n d 5 Ker k e s >= 579 1457.2864 46 Lbound o f KerRes 6 Ker T r a >= 18961474.0370 45 Lbaund o f KerTra 7 KerExp :>= 5083752.0338 44 Lbound o f KerExp 8 Ker I n d ,% . /- - 3333333.3333 43 Lbound o f Ker I n d 9 DieTra .' - <- 32872696.8 170 42 Lbound 13f D i e T r a 10 DieExp >= 9886934.6734 41 Lbound o f DieExp 11 DieInd >= 7650753.7688 40 Lbound o f D i e I n d 12 Di eCom >= 5757956.4489 39 Lbound o f DieCom 13 DieAgr >= 1056 1 139.0280 38 Lbound u f DieAgr 14 DieOth >= 12654941.3740 37 Lbound o f DieOth 15 FueExp >= 132035175.8800 36 Lbound u f FueExp 16 FueInd >= 4451423.7856 35 Lbound o f FueInd 17 FueCum >= 1 122278.0570 34 Lblmnd 13f Fuel213m 18 LpgRes >= 16009212.7300 33 .. Lbound o f LpgRes 19 LpgInd >= 288944.7236 32 Lbound o f L p g I n d 20 LpgCom >= 1206030.1508 31 Lbound o f LpgCom 21 Nat Res >= 3676716.9179 30 Lbound o f NatRes 22 Nat I n d >= 37412060.3020 29 Lbound o f N a t l n d 23 E l eRes >= 40808207.7050 28 Lbound o f E l eRes 24 EleInd >= 30473193.3300 26 Lbound o f E l e I n d 25 E l eCom :> = 16042713.5680 25 Lbound o f E l eCom 26 CoaRes >= 7504187.6047 24 Lbound o f CoaRes 27 CoaExp >= 2846901 17.2500 23 Lbound o f CuaExp 28 Coalnd >= 75774706.8680 22 Lbound o f CoaInd 29 Bag I n d >= 31616419.4100 21 Lbound o f Bag I n d 30 BagAgr- >= 22864321.6080 20 Lbound o f BagAgr 31 WuoRes >= 138752093.8000 19 Lbound o f WooRes 32 WouAgr >= 23 182579.5640 18 Lbound o f WoaAgr 33 ChaRes >= 2713567.8392 17 Lbound o f ChaRes 34 E l e l iq (= 5360134.0033 0 Ubound o f E l e l i q 35 E l egas <= 5360134.0033 0 Ubound o f E l e g a s 36 E l ehyd <= 195561139.0300 0 Ubuund o f E l ehyd 37 E l ecoa <= 56302345.0590 0 Ubound o f E l ecoa 38 ker use <= 53333333.0000 0 Ubound o f 3'3 Diesel <= 82500000.0000 0 Ubound o f D i e s e l 40 Fuelu i <= 144160000.0000 0 Ubound o f F u e l o i 41 C r uRe f < = 4 14572864.3200 0 Ubound o f C r uRe f 42 Nat D o m <= 140300335.0100 0 Ubound o f NatDom 43 C r uRe 1 <= 123750000.0000 0 Ubound o f CruRel 44 C r uRe2 <= 8250000.0000 0 Ubound o f CruRe2 ================================-----------------=================--------===== File : C : \ E T B \ C O L \ C O L . B C N C ~ ~ / ~ ~ / ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ I ~ : \ E T ~ \ C O L \ I Z O L . B C V C ~ ~ / ~ ~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-1 ......................................... Group : demand/supply balanlze ~ z o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c c ~ n s t r a i n t so f G a s c ~ l i ConsName : SupCl LEG((=>> : = EHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCtX~ns: N .................................................... No VarName f ic ient C1~1ef TimeF Lifetime - File : IZ:\ETB\I~OL\COL.BI:NC~~/~~/~'~'~~~I::\ETB\C:OL\I~OL.B~_~V~~~/~~/~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1931 base year C o n s t r a i n t s I = I = I ~ S: 3t:)-2 ............................................................................... Group : demand/supply b a l a n ~ - eI - o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c c ~ n s t r a i n t so f Crude ConsName : SupCZ LEGCe:=>) : = RHS : ) : ( . 0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansivelZons : N .................................................... NIX~ VarName C l : ~ e f f i ~ = i e n t TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 Crude 0.9500 0 0 2 CruExp -1.0000 0 0 - 3 CruInd - 1.0000 0 O ............................................................................. ............................................................................. F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN~10/11/1'391~C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCVClO/ll/l99l~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-3 ............................................................................... Grl3up : demand/supply balance ~ ~ o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f Kerose CnnsName : SupC3 LEG(<=).) : = RHS : 0.00(:)0 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCvns : N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime F i l e : C:\ETB\CUL\COL. 8CN~10/11/1391lC:\ETE\I30L\C0L.81~V~10/11/1331l P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-4 ............................................................................... Group : demand/supply b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : supply c o n s t r a i n t s o f Diesel ConsName : Sup124 LEG(<=>> : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .-_______-,____-____---------------------------------- 1 Diesel 0.'35(:)0 O 0 2 DieTra - 1.0000 0 0 3 DieExp - 1.0000 O 0 4 DieInd -1.0000 0 0 5 DieCc~m -1.0000 0 0 6 DieFIgr -1.0000 0 0 7 DieOth - 1.0060 ............................................................................... 0 0 File : C:\ETB\I::OL\COL.~C:N~~~/~~/~~'~~~~=:\ETB\~~OL\~:OL.BCV~~O/~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1931 base year C o n s t r a i n t s 11ons : 30-5 ............................................................................... Gr13up : demand/suppl y balance c o n s t r a i n t s S~tbgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s of F u e l o i ConsName : SupCS LEG(<=>) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N NCI VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... I Fuelcli 0.35(:)0 0 0 2 FueExp -1.0000 0 0 3 FueInd -1.0000 0 0 4 FueC:c~m -1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- F i l e : C:\ETF\COL\COL.BCNCl0/11/l391lC:\ETE\COL\COL.BCV~l0/ll/l93ll P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1391 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-6 ______----------------------------------------------------------------------- -_____-_-__---------------------------------------------------------------- Group : demand/suppl y b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f Lpg ConsName : SupC6 LEG((=>.> : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : O ExpansiveCons : N No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCNC10/11/1991)C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCVCl0/11/1391~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1331 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-7 ======================'=========================================================== Group : demand/supply balance c o n s t r a i n t s Subgr~zlup : a i n t s o f Natgas supply ~:unstr CansName : SupC7 LEG((=>> : = RH S : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... NCI VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime 1 Natgas 0.9500 0 0 2 NatRes -1.0000 0 0 3 NatInd -1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... - F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL. B I : N C ~ ~ / ~ ~ /~'~~~~C:\ETE\COL\COL.BCVC~~/~~/ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-8 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... Group : demand/supply balance c c ~ n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f EleGen ConsName : SupC8 LEGC<=>.) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveC~:~ns: N .................................................... No VarName Cnefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 EleGen 0.7500 0 O 2 EleRes -1.0000 0 0 3 EleExp -1.0000 0 0 4 EleInd -1.0000 0 0 5 EleC:l:~m -1.0000 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------.------------------------------------------------------------ F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.ECN(10/11/1931~I=:\ETR\OOL\CDL.ECV~10/11/19'31~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C ~ n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-9 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... Group : demand/supply balance c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f Coal ConsName : SupC3 LEG(<=>> : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCuns : N .................................................... NO VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN~1O/11/1991~C:\ETR\COL\COL.BCV~l0/ll/139l~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-10 ................................................................................ Group : demand/suppl y b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgr~:~up: a i n t s 12f Eagass s u p p l y ~:~:~nstr ConsName : SupClO LEG(..<=>.): = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : O ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... NI-I VarName Clslefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 Eagass 0.9500 0 O 2 bagInd -1.0000 0 0 3 EagAgr -1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... File : I ~ : \ E T R \ I ~ O L \ C O L . B C N ~ ~ O / ~ ~ / ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ C : \ E T ~ \ O L . E C V ~ ~ O / ~ ~ / P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-11 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... Gr13up : demand/supply b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Sctbgroup : s u p p l y c c ~ n s t r a i n t sc ~ fWclod C~=lnsName: SupC11 LEG((=>.) : = RHS : 0.0(:)00 TimeFeature : O ExpansiveC~z~ns: N ---------------------------------------------------- No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... I Wood 0.9500 0 0 2 WooRes -1.0000 0 0 3 W~=luAgr -1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\~~OL.BCN~IO/11/19~31)C:\ETE\COL\COL.BCV~10/1~~13'31) P r i n t t i m e : Sunday Octcber 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cl:lns : 30-12 ............................................................................... Group : demand/supply b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f Charco ConsName : SupC12 LEG(<=>:) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveC~=lns: N .................................................... No VarName C ~ ~ e f f i c i e n t TimeF Lifetime F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN~1O/l1/l331)C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCV~lO/ll/l99l~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1391 C base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-13 ............................................................................................ Group : demand/supply b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : demand ~ z o n s t r a i n t so f EleGen ConsName : DemCl LEI:(<=>) : = RH S : 0.0000 TimeFeature : O ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... NZ I I VarName Cctefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 El eGen . -1 0000 0 O 2 Eleliq 0.2400 0 0 3 Elegas 0.260(:, O 0 4 Elehyd 0.8000 0 0 C Elect~a 0.2200 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 ............................................................................... - F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN~lO/ll/1991:~I~:\ETE\I~OL\COL.BCVC10/l1/1'3'31? P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1391 base year C o n s t r a i n t s - cons : 30-14 ............................................................................... Grctup : demand/suppl y balance c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f Crude CunsName : SupC13 LEG(<=>> : = R HS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCans : N ---------------------------------------------------- N VarName I Z ~ ~ e f f i c i e n t TimeF Lifetime 1 Crude 1.0000 0 0 2 Crude -1.0000 0 0 - 3 Crude1 -1.0000 0 0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ............................................................................. File : C : \ E T B \ C O L \ C O L . B C N C l 0 / l 1 / l 3 9 l ~ C : \ E T B \ C O l ~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1391 base year C ~ ~ n at rs ints cons : 30-15 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... Group : demand/supply balance c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : supply c o n s t r a i n t s o f Diesel CansName : SupCl4 LEG(<=>? : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCl=lns : N .................................................... NZ I I VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime I Diesel 2 Diesel 3 Diesel File : C : \ E T B \ C O L \ C O L . B C N ~ ~ ~ / ~ ~ / ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ I ~ : \ E T B \ C O L \ C O L . B ~ ~ V ( ~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 bacc year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-16 ---- .......................................................................... ----=-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Group : demand/supply b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : supply c o n s t r a i n t s o f Fueloi CvnsName : SupClS LEG((=>) : = RHS : 0.01100 TimeFeature : O ExpansiveCclns : N .................................................... NCI VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime _____-_-____-____---------------------------------- 1 Fuel c l i . 1 00(:)(1 0 0 2 Fueloi -1 .00CS0 0 0 3 Fuel131 - 1 .I:)I:)~(1 0 0 .................................................................................. File : ~I::\ETB\COL\COL.BCNC~~/~~/~~~~~I~:\ETB\COL\COL.BI~V(.I(:~/~I/~~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1931 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-17 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... Group : dcmand/supply b a l a n c e c ~ ~ n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f Natgas -. C~~nsName : SupC16 LEG(<=>) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveC~ins : N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 Natgas . 1 OO0O 0 (I 2 Natgas -1.0000 0 0 3 Elegas -1.0000 0 0 p=p======================p=========P================================================= File : C:\ETB\COL\CDL.EIZN(~~/~~/~'~~~~C:\ETB\I~OL\COL.BCV~~~/~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-18 ............................................................................... Cjrl3up : demand/suppl y b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f Coal Ct~nsName : SupC17 LEG(<=>> : = RHS : 0. 0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCsns : N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 Coal 1.0000 0 0 2 Elecoa -1.0000 0 0 3 ............................................................................... Coa 1 - . 1 0000 0 0 F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCNt10/11/19*3l~C:\ETE\COL\COL.ECVclO/ll/l99l~ Print t i m e ! C ~ ~ n d = nrtnher \t 17. I491 Group : demand/supply b a l a n c e c t z ~ n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : demand c o n s t r a i n t s o f E l e l i q ConsName : DemC2 LEG(<=>) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveC~=lns: N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime 1 Eleliq -1.0000 0 (3 2 Crude1 1.0000 0 0 3 Diesel 1.0000 CJ 0 4 Fuelol 1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN~10/11/1391~C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCV~l0/11/1331~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1'3'31 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-20 -------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------- --------------------------------------=---------------------------------------- Group : Subgroup : demand/suppl y balance c c ~ n s t r a i n t s s u p p l y ~ = l : ~ n s t r a i n to s f CruEef - Cc~nsName : SupOl8 LEG(<=>) : = .. RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... I Cr~tRef 0. '3500 0 0 2 CruEel -1.0000 0 0 3 Keruse -1.0000 0 0 4 Diesel -1.0000 0 0 5 Fueloi -1.0000 0 0 6 CruRe2 -1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... ............................................................................... - F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\CDL.ECNi10/11/1391~C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCV~10/11/13~1~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1931 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-21 .................................................................. -------------------------------------------------------------------a------------ ------------ Group : demand/suppl y b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : supply c o n s t r a i n t s o f NatPla Cc~nsName : SupC19 LEG(<=>) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... Nu VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime ---------------------------------------------------- 1 NatPla 0.3000 0 0 2 NatPll -1.0000 0 0 3 NatP12 -1.0000 0 0 4 Natgas -1.0000 0 0 .................................................................................. Print time : Sunday October 13, 19'31 . base year Constraints cons : ............................................................................... ............................................................................... 30-22 Group : demand/supply balance constraints Subgroup : supply constraints of ChaPla ConsName : SupC20 LEG(<=>> : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : O ExpansiveCuns : N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime ---------------------------------------------------- 1 ChaPla 0.2(:)00 0 0 2 Charco - 1.0000 0 0 -------____________----------------------------------------.-----, -------_-___--_____-------------------------------------------.---------> File : C:\ETb\COL\COL.BCNC10/11/1991>C:\ETB\COL\COL.ECV~10/11/1991l Print time : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year Constraints cons : 30-23 ............................................................................... Gr uup : demand/suppl y balance constraints Subgr~aup : demand constraints of Gasol i ConsName : DemC3 LEG((=>.> : = -. RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 i Gas~=ll - 1.0000 0 0 2 Gasoli 1.0000 0 0 3 CruRel 1.0000 0 0 4 NatPll 1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... File : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN(10/11/1391~C:\ETE\COL\COL.ECV~10/11/1391> Print time : Sunday O~ztclber 13, 1991 base year Constraints cons : 30-24 ............................................................................... Group : demand/supply balance constraints Subgroup : demand constraints o f Lpg ConsName : DemC4 LEG(<=)) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... NO VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime File : C:\ETE\COL\COL.ECN~10/1l/l9913C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCVC1O/ll/l99l> Print time : Sunday October 13, 1991 base vear Cnnetraints cons : 30-25 Grlzlup : demand/supply balanl-e ~ = o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f GasImp CunsName : SupC21 LEG(<=).) : = RH S : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveC~ms: N .................................................... N VarName Iz~rrefficient TimeF Lifetime 1 GasImp 0.0037 0 0 2 Gasol i - 1.0000 0 0 .............................................................................. ............................................................................... File : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN~~O/~~/~~~~)I~:\ETE\COL\COL.ECV~~~/~~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 19'31 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-26 ..................................................................................... Group : demand/suppl y balance c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : supply c o n s t r a i n t s 1z1f CruD13m ConsName : SupC22 LEG(<=>:, : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .. .................................................... NI~I VarName Coefficient TimeF L i f e t ime .................................................... 1 CruDum 0.00'37 0 (3 2 Crude -1.0000 0 0 3 CruRef -1.0000 0 0 ===========================================z=======a======================== File : C:\ETE\COL\COL.BCN~~~/~~/~'~'~~~I~:\ETB\COL\COL.BCV(~~/ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1391 base year C l ~ n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-27 ==============================--------------------============================= - Group : demand/supply balance c o n s t r a i n t s Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f NatDom CvnsName : SupC23 LEG(<=>) : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N -----------------__--------------------------------- Na VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 NatDclm 0.0037 0 0 2 NatPla -1.0000 0 0 .......................................................................................... F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN(10/11/1991~C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCV(10/11/1931~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 19'31 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-28 ........................................................................................... Group : demand/suppl y balance c o n s t r a i n t s - Subgroup : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f CoaDom ConsName : SupC24 LFI",(<=>> = TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... No VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime 1 CoaDum 0.00'3'3 0 0 2 Coa 1 -1.0000 0 0 F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN(1O/11/1991IC:\ETE\COL\COL.BCV~lO/ll/1991~ P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 1991 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-29 =============================================================================== Group : demand/supply balance c o n s t r a i n t s Subgrl~up : s u p p l y ~ z o n s t r a i n t so f BagDtzlm ConsName : SupC25 LEQ(<:=:;.:) : = RH S : 0.0000 TimeFeature : O ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... NIZ~ VarName Coefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 EagDam 0.0099. O O 2 Eagass -1.0000 0 0 ............................................................................... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- F i l e : C:\ETB\COL\COL.BCN(10/11/1991IC:\ETB\COL\COL.BCV(l~/11/1991I P r i n t t i m e : Sunday October 13, 19'31 base year C o n s t r a i n t s cons : 30-30 ............................................................................... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Group : demand/supply b a l a n c e c o n s t r a i n t s Subgrl~up : s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s o f WooDum ConsName : SupC26 LEG((=>> : = RHS : 0.0000 TimeFeature : 0 ExpansiveCons : N .................................................... No VarName Izoefficient TimeF Lifetime .................................................... 1 WooDom 0.0097 0 0 2 Wood -1.0000 0 0 R______ - - -_- - 3 -- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- - - ______-_-__----__------------------------------------------------------- -- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- - ChaPla 1.0000 0 0