SERIES




Maintaining the Momentum while
Addressing Service Quality and Equity
A Diagnostic of Water Supply, Sanitation,
Hygiene, and Poverty in Ethiopia



ETHIOPIA
This work was financed by the World Bank Water and Sanitation
Program and the Swedish International Development Cooperation
Agency and was a multi-Global Practice initiative led by Water and
Poverty with significant support from Governance and Health,
Nutrition, and Population.
Maintaining the Momentum
while Addressing Service
Quality and Equity
A Diagnostic of Water Supply, Sanitation, Hygiene, and
Poverty in Ethiopia
© 2018 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank
1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433
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Please cite the work as follows: World Bank. 2018. Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing
Service Quality and Equity: A Diagnostic of Water Supply, Sanitation, Hygiene, and Poverty in Ethiopia. WASH
Poverty Diagnostic. World Bank, Washington, DC.

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Cover design: Bill Pragluski, Critical Stages LLC.
  Contents

  Acknowledgments	                                                                 xi

  Executive Summary 	                                                            xiii

  Abbreviations 		                                                                xxi

  Chapter 1  Introduction	1
     References	4

  Chapter 2  Demographic and Poverty Overview 	 7
     References	15

  Chapter 3  Framework for WASH Service Provision in Ethiopia 	19
     References	24

  Chapter 4  Rural WASH Sector Analysis 	27
     Rural Water Supply Subsector Analysis	                                        27
        National Status and Trends	                                                27
        Evolution of Funding and Capacity for Delivering Rural Water Supply 	      27
        The Expansion of Rural Water Supply Infrastructure and its Sustainability	 29
        Access Disparities by Wealth and Consumption 	                             33
        Access Disparities by Geography 	                                          33
        Access Disparities by Service Qualities along the Service Delivery and
        Results Chain	                                                             40
        Implications of Service Quality on the SDG Baseline 	                      46
        Implications of a Shift Toward Piped Water Supply on Affordability	        47
     Rural Sanitation Subsector Analysis	                                          53
        National Status and Trends	                                                53
        Access Disparities by Geography and Livelihoods 	                          54
        Access Disparities by Wealth and Consumption 	                             62
        Access Disparities by Geography and Poverty	                               64
        Overlapping Deprivation and Rural Sanitation Access	                       66
        Barriers to Rural Sanitation Access	                                       68
        Implication of Achieving the SDG Targets	                                  70
     Capacity Constraints across Rural WASH	                                       71
     Notes		                                                                       72
     References	73

  Chapter 5  Urban WASH Sector Analysis 	77
     Urban Growth and Institutions	                                          77
     Urban Water Subsector Analysis	                                         81
        National Status and Trends	                                          81
        Evolution of Funding for Urban Water Supply	                         81
        Access Disparities by Wealth and Consumption 	                       85
        Separating Service Affordability from Other Barriers to Hooking Up	  93
        Access Disparities by Service Quality Along Service Delivery and
        Results Chain	                                                       95
        Implications of Service Quality on the SDG Baseline	                 96
     Urban Sanitation Subsector Analysis	                                    99
        National Status and Trends	                                          99
        Access Disparities by Geography and City Population 	               102


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                   iii
             Access Disparities by Poverty 	                         104
             Access Disparities by Tenants Compared to Home Owners 	 105
             Sanitation Solutions across the Service Chain	          106
             Role for the Private Sector	                            110
             Implication of Achieving the SDGs Targets	              114
          Notes		                                                    115
          References	115

      Chapter 6  WASH, Nutrition, and Health 	117
         Notes		                              122
         References	122

      Chapter 7  Conclusions and Recommendations 	125

      Appendix A  Poverty Calculations 	135

      Appendix B  Linear Regression Model of Improved Water Supply in
                   Rural Areas of Ethiopia	137

      Appendix C  Hydrogeological Index	143

      Appendix D  Water Quality	147

      Appendix E  Logit Regression Model for Improved Water on Premises
                   in Urban Areas of Ethiopia 	155

      Appendix F  Logit Regression Model for Shared Sanitation in Urban
                   Areas of Ethiopia	159

      Appendix G  Supply- and Demand-Side Barriers Households Face in
                   Hooking Up to Utilities	161

      Appendix H  One WASH National Program: Institutional and
                   Implementation Arrangements	163

      Appendix I      Woreda-Level Financing	165

      Appendix J  WASH and Health: Defining Exposure Risk Factors and
                   Model for Analysis	169

      Appendix K  WASH and Health: Distribution of Exposure and Susceptibility	179



      Boxes
      Box 1.1:	   Data Used in This Report 	                                                      2
      Box 2.1:	   Ethiopia’s Absolute Poverty Line	                                               8
      Box 2.2:	   Ethiopia’s Rural Productive Safety Nets Program	                               15
      Box 3.1:	   De Jure Assignment of Functions in Ethiopia’s Rural Water Subsector	           21
      Box 3.2:	   Integrating Public Finance with Development Assistance 	                       22
      Box 4.1:	   Maintenance of Water Points in Lodi Etosa Woreda, Arsi Zone, and
                  Oromia Region 	                                                                31
      Box 4.2:	   Lessons from the El Niño Drought	                                              43
      Box 4.3:	   Poor Households Receiving Safety-Net Funding from PSNP Excluded
                  from Access to Improved Piped Water 	                                          49
      Box 4.4:	   Health Extension Workers Support Improvement in Sanitation	                    54
      Box 4.5:	   Challenge of Sustaining Sanitation Improvements in SNNPR	                      59


iv	                                Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Box 5.1:	 Case Study of Applying for Connection by Poor People in Harar City	         88
  Box 5.2:	 Accountability for Urban Sanitation Service Delivery in Addis Ababa	       107
  Box 5.3:	 Example Case of a Household in a Densely Populated and
            Inaccesible Area’s Attempt to Empty Latrine Facilities 	                   111
  Box 7.1:	 Rural Water Supply Recommendations	                                        126
  Box 7.2:	 Rural Sanitation Recommendations 	                                         128
  Box 7.3:	 Urban Water Supply Recommendations	                                        129
  Box 7.4:	 Urban Sanitation Recommendations 	                                         131
  Box 7.5:	 Targeting WASH Investment for Health Benefits 	                            132
  Box G.1:	 Coverage, Access, and Hook-Up Rates: Relationships and Definitions	        162



  Figures
         E S.1:	
  Figure ­        Shifts in Service Delivery over the Past 20 Years in
                  Ethiopia, 2017	                                                      xiv
         ES.2:	 Key Challenges in Service Quality in Four WASH Subsectors
  Figure ­
                  in Ethiopia, 2016	                                                    xv
         ES.3:	 Inequalities in Service Delivery across the Four WASH Subsectors
  Figure ­
                  in Ethiopia, 2017 	                                                  xvi
  Figure 1.1:	    JMP Estimates of Water Supply and Sanitation Coverage in
                  Ethiopia, 1990–2015	                                                   2
  Figure 2.1:	    Livelihood Types by Region in Ethiopia, 2010	                          7
  Figure 2.2:	    Share of Population by Population Size of Towns and Cities in
                  Ethiopia, 2007 and 2015	                                               9
  Figure 2.3:	    National Poverty Trends in Ethiopia, 2000–11	                         10
  Figure 2.4:	    Poverty Headcount by Region in Ethiopia, 1996–2011	                   10
  Figure 2.5:	    Absolute Numbers of Poor and Nonpoor Households, by Region
                  and Residence in Ethiopia, 2012	                                      11
  Figure 2.6:	    Mean Consumption, by Urban, Rural, and National Quintiles in
                  Ethiopia, 2011	                                                       12
  Figure 2.7:	    Household Size and Poverty	                                           12
  Figure 2.8:	    Poverty by Livelihood Type in Ethiopia, 2007	                         13
  Figure 2.9:	    Poverty by Livelihood Type and Region in Ethiopia, 2007	              14
  Figure 2.10:	   Poverty Rates by Livelihood Type and Safety Net Coverage in
                  Ethiopa, 2011	                                                        14
  Figure B3.2.1:	 Financial Channels in Ethiopia	                                       22
  Figure B3.2.2:	 Sectoral Financial Flows in Ethiopia	                                 23
  Figure 4.1:	    Rural Drinking Water Trends in Ethiopia, 1990–2015	                   27
  Figure 4.2:	    Budgets and Expenditure for Main Rural Water Supply Financing
                  Modalities in Ethiopia, 2006–08	                                      28
  Figure 4.3:	    Regional Variation in Water Point Functionality in Ethiopia, 2012	    30
  Figure 4.4:	    People per Water Point by Region in Ethiopia 2012	                    30
  Figure 4.5:	    Rural Drinking Water Coverage by Wealth Quintile in
                  Ethiopia, 1995–2011	                                                  34
  Figure 4.6:	    Rural Drinking Water Coverage by Consumption Quintile in
                  Ethiopia, 1995–2011	                                                  34
  Figure 4.7:	    Access to Rural Piped Water from Public Stand Posts by
                  Consumption Quintile in Ethiopia, 2011	                               35
  Figure 4.8:	    Access to Rural Piped Water from Public Stand Posts by
                  Wealth Quintile in Ethiopia, 2011 	                                   35
  Figure 4.9:	    Access to Improved Sources of Water in Rural Areas by Region in
                  Ethiopia, 2000–16	                                                    37
  Figure 4.10:	   Improved Water Coverage by Dominant Livelihood Type in
                  Ethiopia, 2007 and 2010	                                              38
  Figure 4.11:	   Improved Water Coverage with Regions, by Livelihood Type	             39


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                        v
      Figure 4.12:	   Improved Water Coverage by Woreda’s Dominant Livelihood Type
                      and whether the Woreda is a Recipient of the PSNP Safety Net	        39
      Figure 4.13:	   Service Quality along Results Chain between T60 and B40
                      Households in Ethiopia, 2016 	                                       41
      Figure 4.14:	   Households Able to Fetch Water within 30 Minutes in
                      Ethiopia, 2000–16	                                                   42
      Figure 4.15:	   E. Coli Risk Levels at Point of Collection by Rural Water Supply
                      Type in Ethiopia, 2016	                                              45
      Figure 4.16:	   Main Source of Household Drinking Water by Type in Ethiopia, 2016	   45
      Figure 4.17:	   Estimates of Safely Managed Rural Drinking Water in
                      Rural Ethiopia, 2016—SDG Methodology	                                47
      Figure 4.18:	   Average Total Consumption per Person per Year in Ethiopia, 2011	 48
      Figure 4.19:	   Trends in Access to Rural Sanitation	                                49
      Figure 4.20:	   Rural Sanitation Coverage by Region in Ethiopia, 2016	               55
      Figure 4.21:	   Rural Sanitation Coverage Trends in Large Regions, Emerging
                      Regions, and Chartered Cities in Ethiopia, 2000 and 2016	            55
      Figure 4.22:	   Rural Sanitation Coverage Trends by Regions in Ethiopia, 2000–16	    56
      Figure 4.23:	   Open Defecation Rates in Ethiopia, by Livelihood Type and
                      Production System, 2007	                                             58
      Figure 4.24:	   Open Defecation Rates by Livelihood Type and Region in
                      Ethiopia, 2007	                                                      59
      Figure B4.5.1:	 Rural Populations in Ethiopia with Unimproved Latrines and
                      Practicing Open Defecation, by Region, 2016	                         62
      Figure 4.25:	   Sanitation Coverage by Rural Consumption Quintile in
                      Ethiopia, 2000–11	                                                   63
      Figure 4.26:	   Sanitation Coverage by Rural Wealth Quintile in Ethiopia, 2000–11	 63
      Figure 4.27:	   Exposure Variables by Economic Level for Rural Populations
                      of Children under 5 in Ethiopia, 2011	                               64
      Figure 4.28:	   Rural Sanitation Coverage–Gender Analysis	                           64
      Figure 4.29:	   Open Defecation Rates by Woreda Population Density in
                      Ethiopia, 2007	                                                      66
      Figure 4.30:	   Open Defecation Rates by Livelihood Type and Population
                      Density in Ethiopia, 2007	                                           66
      Figure 4.31:	   Overlapping Deprivation Trends in Rural Areas in Ethiopia, 2001–11 	 67
      Figure 4.32:	   Access to Sanitation by Education Level of Head of the
                      Household in Ethiopia, 2011	                                         67
      Figure 4.33:	   Sanitation Coverage Compared to Access to Credit in Rural and
                      Urban Regions in Ethiopia, 2011 	                                    69
      Figure 4.34:	   Sanitation Coverage Compared with Access to Credit in Poverty
                      Quintiles in Ethiopia, 2011	                                         70
      Figure 4.35:	   Rural Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2016—SDG Methodology 	        71
      Figure 5.1:	    Population Growth by Population Size of Towns and Cities in
                      Ethiopia, 2007–15	                                                   78
      Figure 5.2:	    Share of Population by Population Size of Towns and Cities in
                      Ethiopia, 2007 and 2015	                                             78
      Figure 5.3:	    Urban Drinking Water Trends in Ethiopia, 1990–2015	                  82
      Figure 5.4:	    Towns Transitioning from Rural to Urban Local Governance,
                      Ranked by Access to Improved Source of Drinking Water, 2007 	        83
      Figure 5.5:	    Donor Aid to Urban Water Supply and Sanitation in
                      Ethiopia, 2006–15	                                                   83
      Figure 5.6:	    Urban Drinking Water Coverage by Wealth Quintile in
                      Ethiopia, 1995–2011	                                                 86
      Figure 5.7:	    Urban Drinking Water Coverage by Consumption Quintile
                      in Ethiopia, 2000–11	                                                86
      Figure 5.8:	    City Size and Poverty in Ethiopia, 2015	                             87




vi	                              Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Figure 5.9:	     Improved Access by Addis Ababa, City States, and Other
                   Urban Areas in Ethiopia, 2011	                                      87
  Figure 5.10:	    Proportion of PSUs in Ethiopia with Supply- or Demand-Side
                   Barrier to Hooking Up Households, 2011	                             91
  Figure 5.11:	    Coping Strategies in Areas of Small Towns in Ethiopia with
                   No Piped Water, 2011	                                               91
  Figure 5.12:	    Share of Urban B40 and T60 Households Hooked Up to
                   Available Urban Water Supply in Ethiopia, 2011	                     92
  Figure 5.13:	    Total Expenditure per Year by Urban Households on Water, by
                   Wealth Quintile and Source in Ethiopia, 2011 	                      93
  Figure 5.14:	    Annual Water Bill for Households Consuming 6 m3 of Water per
                   Month in Ethiopia	                                                  94
  Figure 5.15:	    Annual Average per Capita Expenditure, by Water Source in
                   Urban Areas in Ethiopia, 2011	                                      94
  Figure 5.16:	    Disparities Driven by Relative Wealth along Service Delivery
                   and Results Chain in Ethiopia, 2016	                                95
  Figure 5.17:	    Water Quality in Addis Ababa, Secondary Towns, and Small
                   Towns in Ethiopia, 2016	                                            96
  Figure 5.18:	    Main Source of Household Drinking Water in Urban Areas in
                   Ethiopia, 2016	                                                     96
  Figure 5.19:	    E. Coli Risk Levels at Point of Collection by Urban Water
                   Supply Type in Ethiopia, 2016	                                      97
  Figure 5.20:	    Estimates of Safely Managed Drinking Water in Urban Areas in
                   Ethiopia, 2016—SDG Methodology 	                                    97
  Figure 5.21:	    Urban Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2000–16	                     99
  Figure 5.22:	    Sanitation Service Chain in Ethiopia	                              100
  Figure 5.23:	    Share of Improved and Unimproved Private and Shared
                   Latrines in Ethiopia, 2011	                                        100
  Figure 5.24:	    Urban Sanitation Coverage with Shared Latrines in
                   Ethiopia, 2000–11	                                                 101
  Figure 5.25:	    Trends in Access to Urban Sanitation across Regional Groups in
                   Ethiopia, 2000 and 2016 	                                          102
  Figure 5.26:	    Share of Total Urban Population, People with Unimproved
                   Latrines, and Practicing Open Defecation in Ethiopia, 2016	        103
  Figure 5.27:	    Access to Sanitation in Urban Areas by City Population in
                   Ethiopia, 2007	                                                    103
  Figure 5.28:	    Urban Sanitation Coverage by Poverty Quintile in Ethiopia,
                   2005 and 2016	                                                     104
  Figure 5.29:	    Share of Private Latrines by Wealth Quintile in Ethiopia, 2011 	   104
  Figure 5.30:	    Sanitation Coverage among Urban Households Owning or
                   Renting Properties in Ethiopia, 2011	                              105
  Figure 5.31:	    Sanitation Service Chain	                                          106
  Figure 5.32:	    Opportunities for Private Sector Engagement across the
                   Service Chain in Ethiopia	                                         110
  Figure 5.33:	    Urban Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2016—SDG Methodology	       114
  Figure 6.1:	     Trends in Nutritional Status of Children under Age Five in
                   Ethiopia, 2000–16	                                                 118
  Figure 6.2:	     Exposure, Susceptibility, and Risk Indexes for Children under
                   Five in Ethiopia, 2011	                                            120
  Figure 6.3:	     Relationship between Community-Level Access to Water
                   or Sanitation Services and Stunting in Ethiopia, 2011	             121
  Figure A.1:	     Access to Water by Wealth Quintile Analysis in Ethiopia,
                   2000 and 2011	                                                     135
  Figure A.2:	     Access to Water by Consumption Quintile Analysis in Ethiopia,
                   2000 and 2011	                                                     136




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                       vii
        Figure B.1:	     Mean Improved Water Coverage Levels by Livelihood Type in
                         Rural Areas in Ethiopia, 2007	                                   138
        Figure B.2:	     Ordinary List Squared Regression Results for Possible
                         Determinants of Improved Water in Rural Areas of Ethiopia 	      139
        Figure B.3:	     Mean Improved Water Coverage Levels in Agropastoralist and
                         Pastoralist Areas with and without PSNP in Ethiopia, 2007	       141
        Figure B.4:	     Mean Improved Water Coverage Levels in Agrarian Cropping
                         Areas with and without PSNP in Ethiopia, 2007	                   142
        Figure D.1:	     E. Coli Risk Levels at Collection Point and Household Level
                         in Ethiopia, 2017	                                               151
        Figure E.1:	     Odds Ratio Results for Improved Water on Premises in
                         Ethiopia, 2017	                                                  156
        Figure F.1:	     Odds Ratio Results for Sharing of Toilet Facilities in Ethiopia	 160
        Figure H.1:	     Schematic of the OWNP Institutional and Implementation
                         Arrangement	164
        Figure J.1:	     WASH Poverty Risk Model Conceptual Framework	                    169
        Figure K.1:	     Distribution of Susceptibility Factors by Economic Level for
                         Children under Five in Ethiopia, 2011	                           181
        Figure K.2:	     WASH-Related DALY Enteric Burden for Children under Five
                         in Ethiopia, 2011	                                               182


        Maps
        Map 2.1:	        Net Sellers and Buyers of Food Crops in Ethiopia, 2010	                    8
        Map 2.2:	        Productive Safety Nets Program in Woredas and Responsible
                         Agency in Ethiopia, 2010 	                                               13
        Map 4.1:	        Coverage of Improved Water Supply across Woredas in
                         Ethiopia, 2007	                                                          36
        Map 4.2:	        Hydrogeology Index in Ethiopia, 2016	                                    36
        Map 4.3:	        Productive Safety Nets Program in Woredas and Responsible
                         Agency in Ethiopia, 2010	                                                38
        Map 4.4:	        Open Defecation Rates in Ethiopia, 2007	                                 57
        Map 4.5:	        Improved Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2007	                          57
        Map 4.6:	        Poverty Relationship to Open Defecation in Ethiopia, 2007	               65
        Map 4.7:	        Poverty Relationship to Improved Latrines in Ethiopia, 2007	             65
        Map 6.1:	        Share of Children Stunted in Ethiopia, 2017	                            119
        Map 6.2:	        Share of Children Underweight in Ethiopia, 2017	                        119
        Map 6.3:	        Risk Index Values in Ethiopia for Populations of Children
                         under Five, 2011 	                                                      121
        Map 7.1:	        Effect of Water Supply and Sanitation Access Improvement on
                         WASH Risk Reduction in Ethiopia, 2011	                                  132
        Map K.1:	        Exposure Index Values in Ethiopia for Populations of Children
                         under Five, 2011	                                                       179
        Map K.2:	        Susceptibility Index Values in Ethiopia for Populations of
                         Children under Five, 2011	                                              180


        Tables
        Table B3.1.1:	   Responsibilities of WASH sectors institutions	                           21
        Table 4.1:	      Average Tariff by Scheme Type and Payment Method	                        48
        Table 4.2:	      Involuntary Turnover by Sector and Professional Level in
                         Ethiopia, Fiscal Year 2013	                                              72
        Table 5.1:	      Main Urban Water Supply and Sanitation Donors by
                         Commitments in Ethiopia, 2006–15	                                        84
        Table 5.2:	      Operational Costs and Revenues for AAWSA in Ethiopia, 2011–16	           85


viii	                               Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Table C.1:	      Relationship between HI Index and Recommended
                   Development Approach	                                           143
  Table D.1:	      E. Coli Risk Levels at Point of Collection by Water Supply
                   Type, Location, and Region in Ethiopia, 2017	                   150
  Table D.2:	      Availability and Sufficiency of Water, by Technology and
                   Location, 2016	                                                 152
  Table D.3:	      Safely Managed Drinking Water Services in Ethiopia, 2016	       153
  Table I.1:	      Average Per Capita Expenditure by Region in Ethiopia and
                   Change in Access to Improved Water Supply	                      165
  Table I.2:	      Ethiopian Woredas with Reported Capital Expenditure, 2010–12	   166
  Table J.1:	      Exposure Risk Model Parameters 	                                171
  Table J.2:	      Exposure Scenarios and Assigned Relative Risk from
                   Literature Estimates	                                           172
  Table J.3:	      Definitions of Other Exposure Risk Factors	                     172
  Table J.4:	      Model Parameters for the Susceptibility Index	                  173
  Table J.5:	      Summary of Susceptibility Index Calculation	                    175




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                    ix
  Acknowledgments
  The WASH Poverty Diagnostic in Ethiopia was led by Dominick de Waal (Senior Economist,
                                                                                   ­ P).
  Water GP) and Oliver Jones (Senior Water Supply and Sanitation Specialist, Water G

  Over the duration of the task, team members included Wendwosen Feleke (Operations Officer,
  Water GP), Eyob Defere (Consultant), Libbet Loughnan (Consultant), Tewodros Tebekew
  (Consultant), and Yemarshet Yemane ­ (Consultant).

  The team greatly appreciates the constructive inputs of the Ministry of Water, Irrigation and
  Electricity, Ministry of Health, and Ministry of Education during the conceptualization and
  development of this ­ report. The team also recognizes the collaboration of the Central Statistics
  Agency to expand the water module of the Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey (ESS) and Living
  Standards Measurement Study (LSMS) to provide important additional and current WASH-
                                         report.
  related data to assist the analysis of ­

  Contributions are also acknowledged from Roger Calow and Florence Pichon (both Overseas
  Development Institute [ODI]) and ­Prof. Seifu Kebede (Addis Ababa University) on governance
  and hydrology analysis; and contributions from Oliver Cumming (London School of Hygiene and
  Tropical Medicine [LSHTM]) and Richard Rheingan (Appalachian State University), John
  Anderson, Karoun Bagamian, and Said Ryan (latter three, University of Florida) on health and
  nutrition ­analysis.

  The peer reviewers for this work were: Helene Grandvoinnet (Lead Social Development
  Specialist,), Ruth Hill (Senior Economist), Anne Bakilana (Senior Economist – Health) and
  Shomikho Raha (Public Sector ­  Specialist).

  The team is also grateful for feedback and discussion with Luis Andres (Lead Economist),
  Tesfaye Bekalu (Senior Water Supply and Sanitation Specialist), Gulilat Birhane (Senior Water
  Supply and Sanitation Specialist), Tom Bundervoet (Senior Economist), Craig Kullmann (Senior
  Water Supply and Sanitation Specialist), and Vivek Srivastava (Lead Public Sector Development
  Specialist). The team also thanks Jyoti Shukla (Senior Manager) and Wambui Gichuri (Program
  ­
                     support.
  Manager) for their ­




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  xi
  Executive Summary
  The WASH Poverty Diagnostic (WPD) in Ethiopia is part of a global initiative to understand the
  linkages between service delivery of water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) and
              poverty. The WPD provides a detailed analysis of the history, status, strengths, and
  eliminating ­
  weaknesses of WASH service delivery in Ethiopia to inform policy, planning, and programming
  for universal access to safely managed water supply and sanitation and attainment of the new
  Sustainable Development Goals ­  (SDGs).


  Poverty in Ethiopia
  Between 2000 and 2011 the proportion of households living below the national poverty line
                                                   ­ ercent. Over this same period there was also
  fell from just under 45 percent to just under 30 p
                                                                                           Ethiopia.
  convergence in the rate of poverty, to around one person in three, across all regions of ­
  Though poverty rates were slightly lower in urban (26 percent) than in rural areas (30 percent),
                                                                       ­ reas. Ethiopia’s population
  the great majority of Ethiopia’s poor households still live in rural a
  lives predominantly in rural areas (83 percent) though there are strong signs that urbanization
  is accelerating with some estimates forecasting urban growth at ­       5.4 percent a year (World
  Bank ­2015c).

  In support of its predominantly rural population and its livelihoods, the Government of Ethiopia’s
  (GoE’s) poverty reduction efforts have, since 2000, focused on rural and agricultural
  development. There has been a very deliberate effort to promote agricultural development,
  ­
  provide basic rural services equitably, and develop safety nets for households especially in the
  eastern half of the country, which has less food security and lower rainfall than other r ­egions.
  These basic services have been delivered at industrial scale through a two-tier decentralization,
  first to regional states and subsequently to over 800 districts ­   (woredas). Funding for these
   basic services has grown consistently from the early 2000s, supported by both GoE and donor
  ­sources.

  Poverty reduction efforts in urban areas have been less focused and deliberate with a sizable
  and growing divide emerging among households living in urban ­      areas. Recognizing this growing
  urban inequality, and alongside investments in urban infrastructure promoting growth, GoE
  began to address poverty in urban areas through large-scale investments in housing in the
  ­
  mid-2000s. This investment has aimed to replace traditional social housing nationalized in the
  Derg era and managed by urban local governments (kebeles) with “condominium housing”
  units, which are large blocks of flats being built in the peri-urban areas of particularly larger
  cities. Yet Ethiopia’s urban growth is not just in its large cities but includes a very broad base
  ­
  of even faster growing small towns for which a separate strategy is needed to finance their
  infrastructure ­needs.


  WASH Services in Ethiopia
                                                                       ­ upply. This significant
  In 2015 Ethiopia met its Millennium Development Goal (MDG) for water s
  achievement was largely driven by the very rapid increase in rural areas where 35 million
  people got access to piped and protected water sources between 1994 and ­    2015. In urban
  areas, an additional 10 million people benefited from gaining access to piped water on
                                                           savings.
  premises, including the benefits of convenience and time ­

  The MDG for sanitation was not met but good progress was made in reducing open defecation
           areas. Over 40 million people built basic latrines in rural areas and in urban areas good
  in rural ­
  progress was made with 8 million people moving up the sanitation ladder from basic to



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                   xiii
                  ES.1: Shifts in Service Delivery over the Past 20 Years in Ethiopia, 2017
           Figure ­


                   Rural water         Rural sanitation          Urban water           Urban sanitation

                From surface to      From open defecation     From public taps to    From basic latrines to
               improved sources        to basic sanitation   taps in the compound      improved facilities

                 35 million             40 million              10 million               8 million
                  people                 people                  people                   people
                  have gained              have built          have joined those          have gained
              access to water from     basic latrines and       with access to             access to
                 piped systems,            no longer           more convenient             improved
                 protected hand             defecate          piped water in their            toilet
               pumps and springs          in the open         home or compound              facilities


       Source: ­DHS.




                       ­acilities. However, gains in urban sanitation coverage have been offset by
       improved toilet f
       increases in urban population and a lack of improvement on the entire sanitation service
       ­chain.

       The progress in improving access to WASH services has been driven by a combination of
       decentralization and sector ­ reforms. The backbone for all basic service delivery in Ethiopia is
       political, fiscal, and administrative ­decentralization. Decentralization has provided the basic
       financing, staffing, and administrative systems in regions and woredas for service delivery,
       including for water supply and s ­ anitation. In tandem, sector reforms to guide the specifics of
       water supply and sanitation service delivery have put in place the policies, plans, and basic
       technical guidance needed by sector professionals to deliver s­ ervices. This includes establishing
       clear expenditure assignments for rural water supply and sanitation at both regional and
       woreda levels and policies establishing progress toward cost recovery in urban areas—albeit
       thus far only for operations and some ­   maintenance.

       Financing of WASH service delivery has been through a combination of general and special
       purpose grants, as well as development ­  assistance. The largest flows to WASH—over 60
       percent—have been through the regional and woreda block grants, the food security program,
                                                                     Fund. Donor finance that is not
       the productive safety nets program, and more recently the MDG ­
       specific to WASH service delivery supports many of these general and special purpose grants
       especially through the Protection of Basic Services program and the Productive Safety Nets
       Program ­ (PSNP). In addition, there has been donor funding specifically for WASH services
       through a wide range of projects, and more recently consolidated as programmatic funding
       through the One WASH National ­  Program.

       Although WASH sector investments from donors have not been the main financing sources,
       donor investment has been instrumental in building capacity at regional and woreda l       ­evels.
       From the mid-1990s, donors have supported policy and institutional development, underpinning
       the formation of the Federal Ministry of Water ­     Resources. Since service delivery was
       decentralized, donor projects shaped the formation and capacity building of regional water
       bureaus and woreda water desks, town water boards, and ­  utilities. Administrative and technical
       capacity building benefitted from a learning-by-doing approach through the rigorous design,
       procurement, contract management, and reporting required, especially by African Development
       Bank (AfDB) and the World B  ­ ank. In turn, support from the United Nations Children’s Fund
       (UNICEF) and the World Bank Water Supply and Sanitation Program (WSP) have had a big
       influence on approaches and capacity to deliver rural sanitation and behavioral changes,
       integrating these into the nationwide, GoE-led Health Extension P ­ rogram.


xiv	                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Rural water supply and sanitation infrastructure has been delivered at scale and equitably
                 ­ uality. This means that the putative economic benefits expected as a result of
  but is of poor q
  investment in WASH services delivery have not been fully r  ­ ealized. Albeit from a low base, the
  rollout of rural water supply infrastructure has been rapid since 2000 with increases in
  coverage being some of the fastest in the ­   world. However, this improved infrastructure used
  by an additional 35 million people has not translated into the expected time savings for
  fetching ­water. Even by 2016 less than half this number of people (<17 million) were brought
  into the fetching water within 30 minutes c  ­ ategory. Between 2000 and 2011 the proportion
  of people able to fetch water within 30 minutes fell (from 65 percent to 57 percent) as many
  people walked further to improved water sources than previously to unimproved ­           sources.
  Only by 2016 did the proportion of people able to fetch water within half an hour return to the
  2000 ­level.

  There is little difference in water quality between improved and unimproved sources in rural
  ­ reas. ­E. coli contamination of both protected and unprotected springs and wells was reported
  a
  at over 90 percent in the 2016 Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey ­   (ESS). Even in more expensive
  interventions contamination rates were extremely high: tube wells (>85 percent) and piped
  water systems (>75 ­   percent).1

  The functionality of systems remains a challenge, especially as the stock of infrastructure
  ­
  grows. The National WASH Inventory, last conducted in 2011, reported that 25 percent of
  schemes were ­ nonfunctional. Discontinuity of supply and unpredictable breakdowns interrupt
  access, jeopardizing the health benefits associated with continuous ­ access. The recent drought
  raised concerns about the resilience of systems, with in particular very high rates of hand-dug
  wells running dry, and raising the question of whether progress in extending access to basic
  services has masked a problem with their underlying ­  vulnerability.

  Increases in rural sanitation coverage have resulted in increased convenience and improved
  safety and dignity, especially for women, but the poor quality of infrastructure has resulted in
  limited health ­benefits. Very few latrines reliably separate people from fecal ­     matter. Though
  survey data lack the ability to reliably define this quality, very few latrines have a washable slab
  with effective covers, prerequisites to avoid fecal-oral ­ transmission.

  Though the rollout of both rural water supply and sanitation has been equitable across wealth
  groups, access to these services has lagged behind in pastoralist and agropastoralist ­     areas.
  In Ethiopia, people in rural areas pursue broadly three livelihood types: agrarian, agropastoralist,
  and ­pastoralist. Together pastoralists and agropastoralists are a significant minority group in




             ES.2: Key Challenges in Service Quality in Four WASH Subsectors in
      Figure ­
      Ethiopia, 2016


              Rural water         Rural sanitation          Urban water           Urban sanitation

                     Over            Less than                Average

            85 percent            10 percent                revenue               55 percent
             of improved           of all latrines        per cubic meter        of households
              rural water        constructed in rural      sold was just            with a latrine
              sources were       areas qualify as            US$0.32                  share
           contaminated           an improved             against costs of        with two or more
                  with E. coli           latrine             US$0.29                 households


  Source: ­DHS.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                    xv
       Ethiopia making up around 10 percent of the p ­ opulation. While progress on water supply and
       sanitation coverage has been made in the predominantly pastoralist and agropastoralist
       regions of Afar and Somali, it lags behind that of other ­regions. Furthermore, coverage in the
       pockets of pastoralist and agropastoralist areas of other large predominantly agrarian regions
       (including Oromia and Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region [SNNPR]) has also
       lagged behind, pointing to systemic problems in the ability of the decentralized service delivery
       machinery to reach pastoralists and ­agropastoralists. The problems are driven by a combination
       of complex hydrogeology, remoteness, financing modalities, and the interface between the
       bureaucracy and these more mobile forms of ­  livelihood.

       In contrast to rural WASH services, urban WASH services have delivered real benefits but not
                    ­ ustainably. With over 10 million people joining those who are able to access water
       equitably or s
       from a piped source on premises, significant time savings have been realized in urban a    ­ reas.
       However, these time savings have been disproportionally captured by wealthier households
       (top 60 percent [T60] of the wealth index), which are nearly four times more likely to have
       access to piped water on premises than poorer households (those in the bottom 40 percent
       [B40] of the wealth i                                                    ­wofold. For around one-
                             ­ndex). The reasons for this inequitable uptake is t
       third of unconnected households, mainly in smaller towns, there is a basic lack of infrastructure
       to hook up ­  to. For the other two-thirds of unconnected households, mainly in large urban
       centers, there is infrastructure to hook up to but there are barriers in the form of connection
       charges and utility ­inertia.

       In the case of urban sanitation, while driven by individual investment rather than through
       capture of a public service, households in the wealthiest quintile are six times more likely to
                                                              ­ uintile. Over half of urban households
       have improved their latrines than those in the poorest q
       share latrines with two or more other households, and this proportion is significantly higher
       among households that rent (77 percent) rather than own (29 percent) their h        ­ ouses. The
       expanding private rental market requires increased dialogue with the private sector and greater
                              standards.
       regulation to maintain ­

       Though delivering real benefits WASH services are far from ­    sustainable. In the case of water
       supply, cost recovery is barely covering operational costs, is only partially covering maintenance
       costs, and is not covering the replacement of i   ­nfrastructure. Much routine maintenance is
       being deferred because costs are only marginally below ­   revenues. Moreover, the new sources
       of water that will need to be developed to meet rapidly increasing urban demands will incur
       higher marginal costs as existing urban and peri-urban sources are ­      depleted. In the case of
       urban sanitation services, though both the numbers and the proportion of improved latrines




                  ES.3: Inequalities in Service Delivery across the Four WASH Subsectors in
           Figure ­
           Ethiopia, 2017



                   Rural water        Rural sanitation         Urban water           Urban sanitation

               Access to improved    Latrine coverage in      Wealthier              Households in the
                water sources in
                                       Emerging            households are nearly      wealthiest
                 pastoralist                                   four times
                                        regions              more likely to have   quintile are six times
                       areas is                               access to piped        more likely to have
                   twothirds            is half that of      water on premises       an improved latrine
                   of that in          coverage in the         than poorer            than those in the
                agrarian areas       Large regions              households           poorest quintile


       Source: ­DHS.




xvi	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  have risen over the past 20 years, fecal sludge management chains are nascent at b­ est. In
  many towns these chains are nonexistent, resulting in fecal sludge being dumped untreated
           environment.
  into the ­

  The potential health benefits of providing access to water supply and sanitation services are
  not being fully realized due to communities not reaching high enough coverage levels to break
  the transmission of ­   disease. This is further compounded by poor quality of services—
  unimproved latrines and poor water quality—upon which most households ­          rely. The health
  burden of inadequate access to WASH services is disproportionately borne by poorer children
  and those in vulnerable geographic a  ­ reas. Children in poor households are up to 2   ­ .7 times
                                                                          ­ nderweight. Overlapping
  more likely to be underweight and five times more likely to be severely u
  vulnerabilities substantially modify the impact of WASH ­       investments. Children in poor
  households have higher exposure and susceptibility than children in rich households, with the
  B40 having approximately 50 percent of the cumulative share of the susceptibility and r     ­isk.


  Conclusions and Recommendations
  The GoE has been successful at linking the decentralized generic service delivery machinery
  it has put in place with the sector policy direction, plans, and capacity to rollout basic
  WASH services at an industrial ­scale. This has been done with strong country leadership
  that directs both domestic public and overseas aid resources well with basic, public access
  WASH services (nonrivalrous, nonexclusive ­   goods). However, when WASH services have
  added value and a private dimension (rivalrous and exclusive goods), progress on
  implementing the policy direction, particularly on cost recovery, has been limited and the
  sector outcomes regressive, with wealthier households disproportionately capturing the
                     expenditure.
  benefits of public ­

  The rollout of basic WASH services has been equitable across wealth groups though albeit less
  equitable across livelihood ­types. Basic water supply services in rural areas include public
                                               boreholes). In the case of sanitation and hygiene
   water points (protected wells, springs, and ­
   this has been through knowledge disseminated from health extension workers across the
  ­country.

  The challenge for basic WASH services will be to improve quality and functionality while
  achieving ­  universality. Without making these shifts, the contribution of WASH services to
  improving key health indicators, such a reducing diarrhea and stunting, will not be ­      realized. In
  the case of rural water supply there are two p ­ riorities. First, to ensure that rural water services
  deliver their potential health benefits, water quality needs to be ­   improved. Second, rural water
  supply needs to deliver on the economic promise of freeing people’s time by bringing services
  closer to peoples’ homes, and do so reliably by addressing mechanical ­         functionality. This, in
  turn, will increase demand for water quantity, which requires more systematic approaches to
  water resource assessment and monitoring both to respond to the increase in demand and to
  reduce vulnerability to extreme climate ­ events.

  For sanitation, the main aim is to improve the quality of latrines to ensure they separate people
  from fecal m­ aterial. Moving the millions of rural households using unimproved latrines up the
  sanitation ladder is going to require a combination of demand- and supply-side a     ­ pproaches.
  Health extension workers will need additional skills and updated communication tools to more
  effectively combine demand creation with supply-side ­  interventions. This would include market
  development for businesses selling sanitation products as well as nonhardware subsidies for
  bringing supply and demand ­   together.2

  This study shows that the availability of microfinance in Ethiopia is positively correlated with
                      coverage. Expanding financing options for producers and consumers of
  improved sanitation ­
  sanitation products should be promoted, and targeted subsidies, possibility through PSNP        ,
  should be explored to ensure that the very poorest households are not left b ­ ehind.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                       xvii
         Remaining inequalities in basic services are principally in pastoralist and agropastoralist
         areas. GoE is well aware of this service gap and in 2009 set up the Ministry of Federal Affairs
         ­
         principally to close the service and capacity gaps between large and low-income ­          regions.
         Addressing this gap requires building greater technical expertise in areas with difficult
         hydrogeology and finding ways for the decentralized service delivery machinery to interface with
         pastoralist and agropastoralist ­   communities. As part of the rollout of the Millennium
         Development Goal (MDG) special purpose grant, the regions of Afar and Somali drew on
                                                       ­ gencies. While this may be part of the solution, the
         capacity in larger regions to set up drilling a
         same larger regions are having difficulty delivering services to pastoralists and agropastoralists
                      regions. This suggests that both the existing technologies and the service delivery
         in their own ­
         interface in pastoralist and agropastoralist areas needs revisiting for both water supply and
         sanitation ­services.

         There has also been progress in the rollout of WASH services with added value and a private
         ­
         dimension. These value added services—though often not yet safely managed—are piped
         water on premises and sustainably managed ­        sanitation. To date, the rollout and uptake of
         these services have mainly been in urban areas and have been regressive, with wealthier
         households disproportionately capturing piped water on premises and finding it easier to invest
                                                   facilities. Yet even these value added WASH services
         in building or upgrading their own toilet ­
         have flaws in both quality and ­sustainability.

         The challenge for value added WASH services will be addressing equity while improving quality
         and ­sustainability. For piped water supply the greatest barrier to equity needs to be tackled at
         the level of service ­providers. With two-thirds of unconnected urban dwellers in areas where
         they could hook up to utilities, there needs to be much stronger incentives for utilities to
         connect ­them.

         The qualitative work for this report brings to light both that connection charges are a barrier
         and that the interface between service providers and customers makes requesting connections
         an unnecessarily long and complicated ­      process. There is also room to gradually increase
         tariffs and improve the efficiency with which bill payments are collected to overcome a second
         problem raised by utilities: collecting revenues from poorer households connected to utilities
         cost more than the amount c   ­ ollected. This would also start to address the broader underlying
         need to work toward full cost ­ recovery.

          Investment is needed in water treatment and water quality ­       monitoring. This is especially the
         case for towns that have transitioned from being classified as rural to being classified as urban
         local governments (     ­ULGs). As towns make this transition, they lose access to woreda block
         grants but have yet to increase their own source revenue capacity for ­    investment. A transitional
         infrastructure financing arrangement is needed to plug this g       ­ ap. The MDG special purpose
         grant for capital investment that was introduced in 2011 may be part of the solution, but it is
         too early to ­  tell. The MDG grant’s highly discretionary nature, being both multisector and for
          rural or urban, does not favor targeting this transitional d ­ emographic. In parallel, improving the
         performance and reach of the Water Resources Development Fund, a public sector lending
         facility for utilities set up in 2002, could also help small towns with their water supply investment
         ­needs.

         Value added sanitation solutions, particularly in urban areas, require a citywide approach
         to tackle the full service chain, and to ensure fecal sludge is safely captured, transported,
         and ­treated. This needs increased public investment in the management and treatment of
         fecal sludge, and, where appropriate, investment in sewers to enable ­         transportation.
         However, the current low sewerage access levels, high cost, and challenge of retrofitting
         sewers in fast expanding, unplanned cities mean most transportation will be through
         vacuum trucks (which is one opportunity to engage the private ­  sector). A second opportunity
         to involve the private sector at scale is through the private urban housing sector, which can
         bring innovation and efficiency to fecal sludge management, ­          e.g., management of
         decentralized treatment ­  plants.


xviii	                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  To improve sanitation services for the poorest households, better access to fecal sludge
  transportation services is needed in unplanned urban ­ areas. While the private sector can play
  a role in driving down the cost of latrines and developing innovative solutions for challenging
  areas, government subsidies might also be ­  considered. Subsidies could be focused at lowering
  borrowing costs for improving household sanitation infrastructure, facilitating connection to
  sewers, and encouraging the use of fecal sludge transportation s    ­ ervices. These subsidies
  could be channeled through the new urban safety net ­  initiative.

  Incentives for landlords, including for kebele-managed housing,3 is needed to facilitate
  investment to reduce sharing rates and to improve the quality of ­    latrines. This could be
                                               ­egulations. The qualitative work for this report
  facilitated for new housing through building r
  highlights the need for greater responsiveness by kebele administrations to encourage rather
  than discourage home improvements that tenants are prepared to m  ­ ake.

  Geographic targeting of WASH investments to areas with higher concentrations of children who
  face poor nutrition status and health access offers a simple compass for reaching the most
  vulnerable. The regional distributions of exposure, susceptibility, and risk index values in the
  ­
  B40 population indicate that every region has highly vulnerable c­ hildren. This emphasizes the
  importance of combining geographic and poverty targeting of WASH and health ­      investments.
  The implementation of pro-poor targeting in the WASH sector would be further enhanced
  through coordination with social protection programs that focus on households with young
  children who are ­vulnerable.

  On top of the challenges of delivering services under the MDG framework, GoE and its
  development partners now need to consider the additional rigor required in delivering on the
  SDGs. Improving and expanding both basic and safely managed WASH services call for
  ­
  continuing GoE’s twin track development of both its core country systems for decentralized
  service delivery and its sector institutions that together have driven progress at scale over the
  past decade and ­ more.

  The transition to the SDGs needs to be done with two supporting factors in mind: (a) a massive
  upgrading of skills in the public and private sector to provide the right mix of skills and services
  needed to tackle the SDG, and (b) a full integration of WASH service delivery into the broader
  water governance agenda to ensure that water services are able to compete with other fast
  growing demands for ­   water.

  With the estimated SDG financing gap running into billions of dollars a year, much more than
                                                needed. The reward for making this transition
  incremental improvements to past progress are ­
  from MDGs to SDGs is the real prospect of delivering on the health and economic gains that
  have been elusive under the MDG ­framework. ­


  Notes
  1.	 Previous smaller water quality surveys reported lower levels of contamination but lacked
  	
      the scale and representativeness of the 2016 Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey Water
                    module.
       Quality Test ­
  2.	 Subsidies that facilitate market functioning, ­
  	                                                  e.g., training sanitation entrepreneurs, include
      lowering interest rates for borrowing for sanitation-related improvements rather than
      subsidies for sanitation hardware ­        slabs).
                                          (e.g., ­
  3.	 A kebele, similar to a ward, is the smallest administrative unit in Ethiopia; it translates to
  	
      ­“neighborhood.”

  Reference
  World Bank 2015c. Ethiopia Urbanization Review: Urban Institutions for a Middle-Income
      Ethiopia. Washington, DC: World Bank.



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                    xix
  Abbreviations
  AAWSA	        Addis Ababa Water and Sewerage Authority

  AfDB 	        African Development Bank

  B20	          bottom 20 percent of the wealth index

  B40	          bottom 40 percent of the wealth index

  BGS	          British Geological Survey

  BoFED	        Bureau of Finance and Economic Development (regional)

  CDF	          Community Development Foundation

  CLTHS	        community-led total sanitation and hygiene

  CSA	          Central Statistical Agency

  CWA	          consolidated WASH Account

  DALY	         disability-adjusted life year

  DHS	          Demographic Health Survey

  DP 	          development program

  EED	          environmental enteric dysfunction

  ESRDF	        Ethiopia Social Rehabilitation and Development Fund

  ESS	          Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey

  ESS-WQT 	     Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey-Water Quality Testing Component

  EWSSP	        Ethiopian Water Supply and Sanitation Project

  GBD	          global burden of disease

  GoE	          Government of Ethiopia

  GPG	          General Purpose Grant

  GPW	          Gridded Population of the World

  GTP	          Growth and Transformation Plan

  HEP	          health extension program

  HEW	          health extension worker

  HI	           Hydrological Index



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	           xxi
        HICES	     Household Income Consumption and Expenditure Survey

        IBEX	      Integrated Budget and Expenditure Management System

        IHDP 	     Integrated Housing Development Program

        ISA	       Integrated Surveys on Agriculture

        IUSHS	     Integrated Urban Sanitation and Hygiene Strategy

        JMP 	      Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation (WHO/UNICEF)

        LIU	       Livelihoods Integration Unit

        LSHTM 	    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

        LSMS	      Living Standards Measurement Study

        MDG	       Millennium Development Goal

        MoE	       Ministry of Education

        MoFEC	     Ministry of Finance and Economic Cooperation

        MoFED 	    Ministry of Finance and Economic Development

        MoH	       Ministry of Health

        MoU	       memorandum of understanding

        MoWIE	     Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity

        MoWUDC 	   Ministry of Works, Urban Development and Housing Construction

        NHSS	      National Hygiene and Sanitation Strategy

        NGO	       nongovernmental organization

        NRW	       nonrevenue water

        NSDS	      National Strategy for the Development of Statistics

        NWCO	      National WASH Coordination Office

        NWI	       National WASH Inventory

        NWSC	      National WASH Steering Committee

        NWTT	      National WASH Technical Team

        ODI	       Overseas Development Institute

        ORT	       oral rehydration treatment

        OLS	       ordinary least squares

        OWNP	      ONE WASH National Program


xxii	                              Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  PASDEP 	      A Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development to End Poverty

  PMU	          project management unit

  PSNP	         Productive Safety Nets Program

  PSU	          primary sampling units

  RADWQ 	       Rapid Assessment of Drinking-Water Quality

  RCT	          randomized controlled trials

  RR	           relative risk

  RWCO	         Regional WASH Coordination Office

  SD	           standard deviation

  SDG	          Sustainable Development Goal

  SDPRP	        Sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction

  SNNPR	        Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region

  SPG 	         specific purpose grant

  T20	          top 20 percent of the wealth index

  T60	          top 60 percent of the wealth index

  ToFED	        Town Administration Office of Finance and Economic Development

  TVET	         Technical and Vocational Education and Training Agency

  UAP	          Universal Access Plan

  ULG	          urban local government

  UNICEF	       United Nations Children’s Fund

  VIP	          ventilated improved pit (latrine)

  WASH	         water supply, sanitation, and hygiene

  WASHCO	       water supply, sanitation, and hygiene committee

  WASH PRM	 WASH Poverty Risk Model

  WDI	          World Development Indicators

  WFA	weight-for-age

  WIF	          WASH Implementation Framework

  WMS 	         Welfare Monitoring Survey

  WoFED	        Woreda Office of Finance and Economic Development


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	             xxiii
        WPD 	    WASH Poverty Diagnostic

        WQT	     water quality testing

        WRDF	    Water Resource Development Fund

        WSG	     woreda support groups

        WSP	     Water Supply and Sanitation Program

        WWTP	    wastewater treatment plant

        WQ	      wealth quintile

        YLL	     years of life lost

        ZoFED	   Zonal Administration Office of Finance and Economic Development




xxiv	                              Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
© Chris Terry/World Bank
  Chapter 1
  Introduction
  The WASH Poverty Diagnostic (WPD) in Ethiopia is part of a global initiative with the objective
  of improving the evidence on the linkages between water supply, sanitation, and hygiene
  (WASH) and poverty, as well as identifying opportunities and bottlenecks in the sector. Following
  the structure of all WPDs, this diagnostic uses existing and newly collected data to answer four
  core questions:

    ••   Who and where are the poor populations and bottom 40 percent (B40) of the national
         distribution (consumption)?

    ••   What is the level of access and quality of WASH services experienced by poor households
         and the B40 as compared to the nonpoor and to the top 60 percent (T60)?

    ••   What are the linkages and synergies between WASH and other sectors?

    ••   What are the WASH service delivery constraints and potential solutions to improving
         services to the poor households and B40?

  By answering these core questions, the WPD aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the
  current state of access to water supply and sanitation services, including understanding the
  drivers behind the significant progress in coverage in Ethiopia over the last 20 years. Ethiopia
  achieved the drinking water Millennium Development Goals (MDG) target of 57 percent,
  successfully halving the number of households without access to improved drinking water
  since 1990. In doing so over 52 million people in Ethiopia now have access to an improved
  drinking water source (within 1.5 kilometers) as compared to only 6 million people in 1990
  (see figure 1.1).

  This achievement is primarily the consequence of significant improvements in access to
  drinking water supplies in rural areas. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) aim for
  universal access to safe water supply and sanitation, raise the bar for the WASH sector.
  Water quality has been added to the definition of the SDGs water indicator for safely managed
  water coverage. Ethiopia has a significant challenge to increase the quality of coverage to
  address this.

  While Ethiopia did not achieve the MDG for sanitation, the practice of open defecation was
  decreased by 63 percent, which was the largest decrease in the proportion of the population
  practicing open defecation of any country globally. As a result, 67 million people gained access
  to a latrine over the MDG period at an average of 2.6 million people per year. This progress was
  achieved through the integration of sanitation and hygiene promotion into the wider health
  deliver mechanism, and a strong focus on behavior change. However, despite this progress just
  10 percent of all latrines constructed in rural areas qualify as an improved latrine.

  Urbanization has increased the pressure on existing services, specifically sanitation, and
  historic funding levels have struggled to keep up with demand. Just as water needs to be safely
  managed under SDG goals, the SDG definition for sanitation targets requires sanitation to be
  safely managed. Ethiopia currently has limited infrastructure and service delivery systems to
  ensure fecal waste can be safely managed across the service chain. The combination of
  increased demand and expectation of higher standards in urban areas require new approaches
  to be adapted, as well as significant increases in financing and greater institutional capacity to



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  1
     address these more complex challenges. The WPD examines the challenges that need to be
     addressed around three main areas:

       ••               Increasing the quality of services, both for greater impact and to meet the higher bar set
                        by the SDGs

       ••               Effective targeting and delivery mechanisms to reach and provide sustainable services
                        to underserved sections of the population, specifically pastoralist communities

       ••               Solutions to the growing urban water supply and sanitation service delivery gap, both in
                        large urban centers and smaller emerging towns.



         Figure 1.1: JMP Estimates of Water Supply and Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia,
         1990–2015


                                    a. Water supply                                                  b. Sanitation

                        100                                                         100
                                                             13
                                                                                                                          29

                        80                                                          80
                              48                             30


                        60                                                          60
         Coverage (%)




                                                                     Coverage (%)         92                              29


                        40                                                          40
                              39                             45
                                                                                                                          14

                        20                                                          20                                    28

                                                                                          1
                              12                             12                           4
                               1                                                          3
                         0                                                           0
                         1990                                 2015                   1990                                   2015
                                   Surface water                                               Open defecation
                                   Other unimproved source                                     Other unimproved latrine
                                   Other improved source                                       Shared latrine
                                   Piped water supply                                          Improved latrine


     Source: UNICEF/WHO 2015.
     Note: JMP = Joint Monitoring Programme.




                Box 1.1: Data Used in This Report

                This report draws on a wide range of household surveys; administrative data from the water,
                urban, and agriculture sectors; financial BOOST data for Ethiopia; and Ethiopia’s national
                integrated budget and expenditure management system (IBEX).

                                                                                                  box continues next page




2	                                             Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 1.1: Continued

       National representative household surveys. The main nationally representative surveys used
       are the Demographic Health Survey (DHS), the Welfare Monitoring Survey (WMS) and the
       Housing and Population Census. The Mini-DHS 2014 was not used. Though nationally
       representative and representative at regional level, the sample frame was not suitable for
       urban versus rural analysis at the regional level particularly in smaller regions.

       Each of these types of survey has its strengths and weaknesses. The DHS series (2000,
       2005, 2011, 2014, 2016) has water supply and sanitation definitions, which are best aligned
       to MDG and SDG monitoring. The WMS series (2000, 2010/11) are linked to the Household
       Incomes, Consumption, and Expenditure surveys, which enable econometric analysis. The
       2007 Housing and Population Census, which has a long form of the questionnaire administered
       to one in five households across the country, yields by far the highest resolution and enables
       analysis at the woreda level (district units of around 100,000 population). Though dated, the
       sector outcomes in the 2007 Census are in line with the trajectories of later surveys meaning
       that the analysis of differences in coverage among categories is insightful.

       The WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation (JMP) reports
       on global, regional, and country progress on access to WASH. The JMP data served as the
       basis for monitoring the MDGs and building indicators for WASH within the Sustainable
       Development Goals (SDGs). The JMP relies on a number of government data points and
       applies some assumptions to reach their coverage figures. Apart from instances in which the
       report directly references JMP data, the analysis in this report has used the original government
       survey data and not applied any assumptions. It was felt, specifically in relation to sanitation
       coverage, that the original government survey data provides a more accurate picture than data
       generated using the JMP assumptions.

       Atlas of Ethiopian Livelihoods. In 2010 the Livelihoods Integration Unit at the Ministry of
       Agriculture and Rural Development released a national database and atlas of livelihoods for
       Ethiopia. The data are based both on household surveys and broader field work on rural
       livelihoods. Building on work done by the Ethiopia Poverty Assessment (World Bank 2015a),
       the livelihoods database underpinning the atlas was fully integrated with the 2007 Census
       data, and the 2010/11 poverty data from HICES, as well as with hydrogeological data from
       the University of Addis Ababa.

       National WASH Inventory. In 2010/11 the Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity (MoWIE)
       compiled a national inventory of improved water points (piped and protected sources). Though
       this data have not been made public in full, summary data have been used to analyze aspects
       of service delivery such as water point functionality not possible to estimate from national
       surveys.

       Learning journeys. In addition to examining the quantitative data, the team has identified and
       followed the personal journeys of people in different parts of Ethiopia who faced basic
       problems in accessing WASH or in fixing systems that have broken down. These personal
       learning journeys are used to illustrate specific issues including: affordability, age, gender, and
       governance.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                        3
     References
     UNICEF and WHO (World Health Organization). 2015. Progress on Sanitation and Drinking
        Water: 2015 Update and MDG Assessment. New York: UNICEF.

     World Bank. 2015a. Ethiopia Poverty Assessment 2014. Washington, DC: World Bank.




4	                              Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
Bosena Abeetew, widow and mother of 7, Aboakokit Kebele, Fogera Woreda, Amhara Region
© Chris Terry/World Bank
  Chapter 2
  Demographic and
  Poverty Overview
  In 2015 Ethiopia’s population approached 100 million people. Over 80 million people live in
  rural areas. Rural livelihoods are shaped by Ethiopia’s extremely diverse geography. Rainfall,
  altitude, topology, soils, culture, and population density interact to form a complex mosaic of
  livelihood zones. Understanding and responding to the needs of different livelihood types have
  been key to reducing poverty and promoting growth in rural areas.

  Three broad livelihood types that emerge from this mosaic are: pastoralist, agropastoralist,
  and agrarian cropping. Pastoralist and agropastoralist livelihoods are dominant in the
  sparsely populated eastern and southern dry lowland areas; agrarian copping is dominant in
  the mid- to higher altitude areas, which also have higher population densities. Within agrarian
  cropping areas the lower rainfall eastern half of the country is less food secure than the west
  of the country leading to a consistent pattern of net buyers and net sellers of food crops
  (map 2.1).




      Figure 2.1: Livelihood Types by Region in Ethiopia, 2010



           National

             Tigray

           Amhara

      Benishangul

            SNNPR

            Oromia

         Gambella

             Somali

               Afar

                      0                  20                  40                  60              80   100
                                                                      Percent
                                                    Cropping      Agropastoral        Pastoral


  Source: GoE 2010.
  Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                       7
         Map 2.1: Net Sellers and Buyers of Food Crops in Ethiopia, 2010



                 Legend
                                                                        Northeastern and central
                   Net sellers                                          highland croppers

                   Net buyers                                                   48%

                   No data
                                                                                   Net buyers   Net sellers



                                                                                                              52%



                                                                                                   Agropastoralists




                                                                                                    Pastoralists




     Source: GoE 2010.




           Box 2.1: Ethiopia’s Absolute Poverty Line

           In Ethiopia, absolute poverty is measured by comparing a household’s consumption per adult
           equivalent to the national poverty line, defined as Br 3,781 per year in 2011. The poverty line
           indicates the minimum money required to afford the food covering the minimum required
           caloric intake (estimated at Br 1,985) and additional essential nonfood items (Br 1,796),
           totaling Br 3,781. This was based on the 2010/11 Household Income Consumption and
           Expenditure Survey (HICES).




     Following years of ad hoc food aid to many eastern areas of the country, including some
     pastoral and agropastoral areas, the Government of Ethiopia (GoE) and its development
     partners launched the Productive Safety Nets Program (PSNP) in 2005, which covers around
     300 woredas (box 2.1). PSNP has become a structural feature of both defining and alleviating
     rural poverty.

     Of the people living in urban areas, just under one-third live in Addis Ababa, just under one-third
     in 16 secondary cities with over 100,000 people, and, the remainder in over 200 small towns



8	                                    Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Figure 2.2: Share of Population by Population Size of Towns and Cities in Ethiopia,
      2007 and 2015


                                                  2015




                                                  2007




                                     Addis Ababa         50,000–100,000
                                     100,000–350,000     < 50,000


  Source: National Survey 2007.




  spread throughout the country. The share of the urban population outside of Addis Ababa is
  growing, as urbanization in secondary cities and small towns outpaces that in the capital
  (figure 2.2).

  While Ethiopia has been slow to urbanize compared to other countries in Africa, urbanization is
  accelerating, with recent estimates putting urban growth at above 5 percent. The “Ethiopia
  Urbanization Review” (Ozlu et al. 2015) points to the need to proactively manage urbanization
  if it is to provide jobs, infrastructure, services, and housing that will drive poverty reduction and
  growth in future. With much of this growth happing outside of Addis Ababa in both secondary
  cities and hundreds of small towns, strategic decisions on systems to support this distributed
  urban development today will have far reaching implications for Ethiopia’s cities of tomorrow
  (Ozlu et al. 2015).

  Between 2000 and 2011 the proportion of households living below the national poverty line
  fell from just under 45 percent to just under 30 percent (figure 2.3). Over this same period
  there was also convergence in the rate of poverty, to around one person in three, across all
  regions of Ethiopia (figure 2.4).

  Though poverty headcount rates were not dissimilar in urban (26 percent) and rural areas
  (30 percent), 85 percent of Ethiopia’s poor households live in rural areas (figure 2.5). With
  Ethiopia’s regional states being of uneven size over half of poor people in 2011 lived in rural
  Oromia and Amhara.

  In addition to being predominantly rural households, the household heads of poor households
  are older, less educated, and more often married than nonpoor household heads, and they
  have a greater number of dependents than wealthier households. Households in the bottom
  10 percent of the consumption distribution have even lower levels of education, are in
  households of larger size, have more dependents, and are headed by more elderly heads than
  other poor households.



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                     9
            Figure 2.3: National Poverty Trends in Ethiopia, 2000–11


                                  50
                                  45
                                  40
                                  35
                                  30

          Percent                 25
                                  20
                                  15
                                  10
                                   5
                                   0
                                          2000                            2005                        2011
                                                      Poverty rate (headcount index)
                                                      Death of poverty (poverty gap index)
                                                      Poverty severity (squared poverty gap index)


      Source: World Bank 2015a.




            Figure 2.4: Poverty Headcount by Region in Ethiopia, 1996–2011


                                  70


                                  60


                                  50
          Poverty headcount (%)




                                  40


                                  30


                                  20


                                  10


                                   0
                                   1996                   2000                        2005                    2011
                                                 Tigray          Afar            Amhara         Oromia
                                                 Somali          Benishangul     SNNPR          Gambela


      Source: World Bank 2015a.
      Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




10	                                              Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Figure 2.5: Absolute Numbers of Poor and Nonpoor Households, by Region and Residence in Ethiopia, 2012


                   a. Urban poor households by region                                             b. Rural poor households by region

                                                                           Harari

                                                                          Dire Dawa

                                                                          Gambela

                                                                             B.G.

                                                                             Afar

                                                                           Tigray

                                                                           Somali

                                                                           SNNPR

                                                                           Amhara

                                                                           Oromia

                                                                           Addis

      25           20           15          10            5           0               0           5          10          15         20      25
               Number of urban poor by region (millions)                                        Number of rural poor by region (millions)
                                                                      Poor      Nonpoor


  Sources: World Bank calculations based on GoE 2012 and 2007 Census data.
  Note: B.G. = Benishangul-Gumuz; SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




  Across urban areas, poverty rates in small urban centers—rural towns—are higher than larger
  urban centers (see figure 2.6). The exception to this is Addis Ababa, which has a higher poverty
  headcount ratio and greater inequality than most other cities, independent of size.

  Households with elderly members, widows, and with elderly or female heads are much more
  likely to be poor if they are in urban areas compared to rural areas (see figure 2.7). In urban areas
  households with an elderly member or an elderly head are 12 and 13 percentage points more
  likely to be poor than other households. This contrasts with elderly household members or elderly
  heads in rural areas, who are less likely to be poor than other rural households. A similar pattern
  is observed for female-headed households who are less likely to be poor in rural areas and more
  likely to be poor in urban areas. A number of factors influence these different characteristics of
  the poor households across rural and urban areas including (a) that urban households are
  smaller on average; (b) that there are more single adult urban households; and (c) that there are
  a higher proportion of female-headed households in urban than rural areas.

  Another contributing factor to the difference in poverty across rural and urban households is
  that, whereas the PSNP provides support to the poor and vulnerable households in rural areas,
  there is no equivalent in urban areas. Urban households do benefit more than rural households
  from indirect subsidies in fuel and food, but this benefit is not large enough to compensate for
  the lack of direct transfers among the bottom percentiles (Ozlu et al. 2015.).

  In rural areas, poverty rates are higher among households with pastoralist and agropastoralist
  livelihoods than among those areas where agrarian cropping is dominant. This is particularly
  the case in the regional states of SNNPR and Oromia where pastoralists and agropastoralist
  are minorities among households pursuing agrarian livelihoods.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                            11
           Figure 2.6: Mean Consumption, by Urban, Rural, and National Quintiles in
           Ethiopia, 2011


                                        20,000
                                        18,000




          Mean per capita consumption
                                        16,000




             (Annual Br, nominal)
                                        14,000
                                        12,000
                                        10,000
                                         8,000
                                         6,000
                                         4,000
                                         2,000
                                            0
                                                          a. Urban                       b. Rural                          c. National

                             Poorest                        3,125                                1,796                       1,891

                             Poorer                         4,883                                2,806                       2,970

                             Middle                         6,516                                3,588                       3,857

                             Richer                         8,934                                4,545                       5,062

                             Richest                       18,493                                7,374                       9,837


      Source: HICES 2011.




           Figure 2.7: Household Size and Poverty


                                          a. Household size by urban and rural and                       b. Difference in the headcount
                                           above and below the Poverty Line, 2011                        poverty rate in urban and rural
                                  8                                                               20
                                                                                                  15
                                  6
                                                                                     Headcount
            Headcount




                                                                                                  10
                                  4                                                                5
                                                                                                   0
                                  2
                                                                                                  –5
                                  0                                                              –10
                                                 Rural                 Urban                             Elderly head         Female head
                                                         Poor    Nonpoor                                           Rural     Urban


      Source: HICES 2011.




12	                                                             Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
          Map 2.2: Productive Safety Nets Program in Woredas and Responsible Agency in
          Ethiopia, 2010



                                                                                                                                                                                                           Erob
                                                                                                                                                                           Mereb Lekhe
                                                                                                                                            Tahtay Adiabo                                         Gulomekeda
                                                                                                                                                              Laelay Adiabo              Ahferom
                                                                                                                                               NW. Tigray                            Laelay Maichew                 Dalol
                                                                                                                                                                   Tahtay Maichew
                                                                                                                                                                                    Adwa        Saesi Ts ae d’aemba
                                                                                                                                                             Tahtay Koraro
                                                                                                                        Tigray                                   Medebay Zana
                                                                                                                                                     Asgede Tsembila
                                                                                                                                                                                   Werie Lekhe Hawzien
                                                                                                                                                                                                          E. Tigray
                                                                                                                       W. Tigray                                          Naeder Adet          Atsebi Wenberta
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Koneba                                   Berahle
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Kilte Awlaelo
                                                                                                                                                                              Kola Temben
                                                                                                                                                             Tselemti                   Degua Temben
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Zone2
                                                                                                                                                                                 C. Tigray
                                                                                                                                                          Adiarkay           Tselemt Tanqua Abergele                Enderta                                            Afdiera
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Abala
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Saharti Samre
                                                                                                                                                Debark                  Beyed                                                                         Erebti
                                                                                                                                                                                           Abergele          Hintalo Wajirat

                                                                                                                                               Dabat          Janamora                                                                                                                               Elidar
                                                                                                                                                                                 W. Hamra                        Alaje
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Megale
                                                                                                                                                                               Sahila                                    S. Tigray
                                                                                                                                                Wogera                                                      Egdamohoni
                                                                                                                                                                                   Ziquola
                                                                                                                 N. Gonder                                                                        Sokota           Raya Azebo                          Teru
                                                                                                                                                         Misrak Belesa                                           Ofla                Yalo                                   Dufti
                                                                                                                                               Mirab Belesa                       Dehana
                                                                                                                                                                                                   gazgibla Alamata
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Afar Zone4                                                             Elidar
                                                                                                                                                                    Ebinat          Bugna            N. Wello                       Gulina
                                                                                                                                              Mirab Belesa                                                                                             Awra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Kobo
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Lasta
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Gidan                                                                          Zone1
                                                                                                                                                                       Lay Gayiot                                                       Ewa
                                                                                                                                                                                           Meket                    Gubalafto                                                  Dufti
                                                                                                                                               S. Gonder
                                                                                                                                                               Simada               Delanta Wadla            Habru           Chefra
                                                                                                         Amhara                Bahir Dar                              Tach Gayint
                                                                                                                                                                                Dawunt            Ambassel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Asayta

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Worebabo
                                                                                                                                                                   Simada                    Tenta          Tehuledere                                                      Mille
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Kuta ber                   Adaare
                                                                                                                                                                                   Mek dela
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Bati                                                                         Afambo
                                                                                                                                                                                               S. Wello       Argeta
                                                                                                                               W. Gojam                                     Sayint Ajibar                                      Telalak
                                                                                     Metekel                                                           Gonca Siso Enessie Mahal sayint
                                                                                                                                                                                                Dessie Zuriya
                                                                                                             Agew Awi                                                                                             Argoba
                                                                                                                                                                 E/Sar Mider              Legambo
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Albugo Oromiya Dewe
                                                                                                                                                                           Debra Sina              Woreilu Dewa Chefa Dewa Harawa

                                                                       Ben Gunniz                                                                                          Wogdi
                                                                                                                                                                                           Legehida
                                                                                                                                                                                   Ketta/Kelala      Githe Rabel       Artuma/dalifagie
                                                                                                                                                      E. Gojam                                                    Aruma Fursi                     Zone5            Gewane
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jama
                                                               Asosa                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Shinile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Legend
                                                                                                                                                                Shebel Berierifa                              Menz Gera Mider        Fursi Bure mudayetu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Gile Timuga                                              Afdem       Erer               Shinelle
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Menz Keya Gebriel
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Menz Mama Mider
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Menz Lalo Mider
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Zone3

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Regions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Semurobi gelallo
                                                                                                                                                                N. Shewa (R4)                        N. Shewa (R3)
                                                                                     Kamashi                                                                          Kuyu


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Zones
                                                                                                                         Horo Gudru                                                                   Abiohu Gnea                    Dulecha
                                                                                                                                                                                            Wuchale                                                     Amibara                                               Dire Dawa     Jars
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Argoba spacial
                                                   Tongo SW        W. Wellega                                                                                                                                Argolela Tera
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Gro gutu Meta Kersa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Rombolcha
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Kimbibit Assagert
                                                                                                             E. Wellega
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                PSNP woredas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Haramaya Gurs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             G    um
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Dobba
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Meiso              Tullo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Deder                 HUNDENIE                             Jijiga
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Kurfachele                                                        Harshin
                                                                                                                                                West Shewa                                                                        Awash fentale                                                                                                Babile
                                                                                                                                                                                   AA Zone4                                                                         Chiro                Bedeno
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Fedis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Mesela             Girawa
                                                                                                                                                                                   AA Zone3                                      Fantalle        Guba Qoricha          Gemachis Melka Belo
                                                                Kelem                                                                                                              AA Zone6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Anchare Habroo                                      E. Harerge            Midhega
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Babile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Boosat                                                          Kuni
                                                                                                                                                          S.W. Shewa                                                                                     W. Haraerge
                                                                                                                                                                                                   E. Shewa                       Merti Aseko
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Gole Oda
                                                                                     Illubabor                                                                                                                                                                                 Boke
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  D\Habour
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Dedota Dodota                     Golecha(ARSI)
                                                      Zone 1                                                                                                                                        Dodota                                                     Darelebu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Meyu Mukke                                                                Degehabur
                                         Zone 3                                                                                                      Gurage            Meskan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Arsi
                                                                                                                                                                               Mareko
                                                                                                                                                                       Selti                    Z Dugda
                                                                                                         Jimma                                                                                                                                                                  Lega Hida
                                                                                                                                   Yem SW Hadiya
                                                  Gambella                                                                                    Gibe Misna
                                                                                                                                                                   A/T/J/Kombolcha
                                                                                                                                                          DalochaLanfaro                                                                              Seru                                                                      Fik
                                                                                                                                                        Unlmmu                                                                         Seru
                                                                                                                                     Gpmboro                      Selti
                                                       Zone 2
                                                                             Sheka                       Oromiya                               Lemmu
                                                                                                                                       Soro Shahego
                                                                                                                                                         Alaba
                                                                                                                                                                       Arsi Negelle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Gololcha(Bale)
                                                                                                                                                                   Shala                                                                                                               Sewane
                                                                        Godere                                                           Duna Demboya Alaba
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Warder
                                                                                                                                            Kacha Bira KT
                                                                                                                                Tembaro                                            Kore
                                                                                                 Kefa                         Gena Bosa                            Shaahemene
                                                                                                                                                           Siraro                                                                                                   Ginir
                                                                                                                         B oloso- Bombe Boloso                   Awasa zuna
                                                                                                                                                  Duguaria fan                        West                  Arsi                                      Goro
                                                                                                                 Dawro            Kingoo Koysha
                                                                                                                                          Sodo zuria
                                                                                                                                                            Boricha Shebedino
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Rayitu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Somali
                                                                                                                         Loma          Offa                       Dale Sidama                                                                                      Dawe Kechen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Barbare
                                                                                                                          Kinso Diday         Humbo Leka Abaya         Aleta wondo                                            Bale                                                                                                                                                       Korahe
                                                                                                                                                              Chuko           Bona zurila
                                                                                                                                 Kucha Boreda
                                                                                     SNNPR                        Demba goffa
                                                                                                              Geze goffa
                                                                                                                                                       Dilla zuria
                                                                                                                                                                  Dara   Hulla Bensa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Harene Bulki
                                                                           Bench Maji                                               Dita
                                                                                                                                          Mirab abaya       Wonago                  Arerosa                                                              Gura Damole
                                                                                                   Basketo   SW Oyda Zala                                                                                                           Dalo Mena
                                                                                                                           Dardamole Chencha             Yingacheffe                                                                                                                                                                                             Gode
                                                                                                                  Nbadebrest    Gamo Gofa Galanaa Kocherle                     Gedeo
                                                                                                                          Kemba A/minchizuria
                                                                                                                             Bonke
                                                                                                                                             Amaro
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Meda Walabu
                                                                                                                                            Amaro SW          Melka Sodda
                                                                                                                              Derashe
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Guji
                                                                                                                          Dirashe SW              Burji                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mustahil
                                                                                                    South Omo                      Konso       Burji SW               Dugda Dawa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Charati
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Hargelle                                  Barie
                                                                                                                              Konso SW                                                                              Liben                                                                                     Afder
                                                                                        Yangatom                                                                                                                                                               Filtu
                                                                                                                                                              Yabello
                                                                                                         Hamer
                                                                                                                                 Taltelle                                                                                                                      Liben
                                                                                           Daesenech                   Borena                                                                                    Hudet
                                                                                                                                                                                        Arero
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Dolobay

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Doloodo
                                                                                                                                              Dilo
                                                                                                                                                                               Dahahas
                                                                                                                                                             Dire


                                                                                                                                                                                          Miyoo
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Moyale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               0                       75                      150                                         300                                 450                 600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   kilometers



  Source: World Bank calculations based on the merged 2011 HICES and the 2010 LIU livelihoods database.
  Note: PSNP = Productive Safety Nets Program.




          Figure 2.8: Poverty by Livelihood Type in Ethiopia, 2007


                                          45

                                          40
      Average of poverty headcount (%)




                                          35

                                          30

                                          25

                                          20

                                          15

                                          10

                                             5

                                             0
                                                                                        Cropping                                                                                                                                        Agropastoralist                                                                                                                                                      Pastoralist
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Livelihood type



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          13
              Figure 2.9: Poverty by Livelihood Type and Region in Ethiopia, 2007


                                                               70




          Average of poverty headcount (%)
                                                               60

                                                               50

                                                               40

                                                               30

                                                               20

                                                               10

                                                                      0
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                                                                                                                                                                          st



                                                                                                                                                                                    st
                                                                                   pa




                                                                                                         pa



                                                                                                                       Pa



                                                                                                                                   pa



                                                                                                                                               Pa




                                                                                                                                                                     pa



                                                                                                                                                                                   Pa
                                                                      C




                                                                                              C




                                                                                                                                                            C
                                                                               ro




                                                                                                        ro




                                                                                                                                 ro




                                                                                                                                                                     ro
                                                                              Ag




                                                                                                      Ag




                                                                                                                             Ag




                                                                                                                                                                   Ag
                                                                                   SNNPR                        Oromiya                          Afar                         Somali
                                                                                                                       Livelihood type by region


      Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




              Figure 2.10: Poverty Rates by Livelihood Type and Safety Net Coverage in Ethiopa, 2011

                                                                      60
                                   Average of poverty headcount (%)




                                                                      50

                                                                      40

                                                                      30

                                                                      20

                                                                      10

                                                                          0
                                                                               No safety net          Safety net       No safety net           Safety net       No safety net          Safety net
                                                                                             Cropping                             Agropastoralist                           Pastoralist
                                                                                                                            Livelihood type
      Source: FAO 2010.
      Note: PSNP = Productive Safety Net Program.




14	                                                                                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 2.2: Ethiopia’s Rural Productive Safety Nets Program

       In 2005 the GoE launched the PSNP to help address the needs of chronically food insecure
       households. The PSNP is a flagship program both in its scope, covering around 10 million
       people, and in its partnership approach. The PSNP provides up to 10 million people with
       (a)  predictable food and cash transfers to targeted beneficiary households so as to avoid
       asset depletion in times of need; and (b) the creation of productive and sustainable community
       assets through a public works program that contributes to the rehabilitation of severely
       degraded areas and increases household productivity.

       PSNP has contributed significantly to improved food security in Ethiopia over the past decade.
       In the highland regions, PSNP clients have seen their average months of food security rise
       from 8.4 per year in 2006 to 10.1 in 2012. The public works program addresses root causes
       of vulnerability and food insecurity by supporting the development of a productive watershed
       and linking rural communities to small towns where they can access inputs, markets, and
       services. Further, PSNP public works have led to important improvements in rural infrastructure
       and have contributed to improved access to education and health services, enhanced water
       retention, and reduced soil and water run-off. The public works have also protected land in
       area enclosures, which increases soil fertility and carbon sequestration.

       In 2014 the annual budget of the PSNP program was over US$500 million a year. PSNP has provided
       important disaster response through contingency budgets at woreda and regional levels and a
       federal risk financing mechanism. Since its launch, PSNP has grown the number of rural woredas
       that it covers: 260 in 2005, 290 in 2009, 320 in 2014, and a planned 411 in 2018. This expansion
       has been driven both by the splitting of woredas and the expansion of the program into Afar and
       Somali regions. The analysis in this report examines data for PSNP woredas from 2005–09.

       Source: World Bank 2014b.




  By contrast to the marked differences in poverty rates between agrarian and pastoralist
  livelihoods, there was little difference in the poverty rates across the different categories of
  crop–market interaction types within the agrarian livelihoods category. Poverty rates for
  households pursuing agrarian cropping livelihoods were also very similar to those covered
  and those not covered by the PSNP safety net. This may be the result of the positive effects
  of the PSNP . However, poverty rates in pastoralist and agropastoralist were much higher in
  woredas covered by PSNP     , pointing to the possibility that the program has had less of an
  equalizing effect in these areas. These variations in the poverty characteristics of rural and
  urban areas are foundational to the analysis of service delivery explored in this report.



  References
  FAO (Food and Agriculture Association) and WFP (World Food Program). 2010. Special Report:
      Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission to Ethiopia. New York: FAO. http://www.fao​
      .org/docrep/012/ak346e/ak346e00.pdf.

  GoE (Government of Ethiopia). 2010. An Atlas of Ethiopian Livelihoods—The Livelihoods
     Integration Unit. Addis Ababa: GoE.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                     15
      ———. 2012. “Ethiopia’s Progress Towards Eradicating Poverty: An Interim Report on Poverty
        Analysis Study (2010/11).” Development Planning and Research Directorate, Ministry of
        Finance and Economic Development, Addis Ababa.

      Ozlu, M. O., A. Alemayehu, M. Mukim, S. V. Lall, O. T. Kerr, O. Kaganova, C. O. Viola, R. Hill,
          E. Hamilton, A. T. Bidgood, B. L. Ayane, A. I. Aguilera De Llano, T. Gebre Egziabher, and
          S. Z. Gebretsadik. 2015. “Ethiopia Urbanization Review: Urban Institutions for a Middle-
          Income Ethiopia.” Working Paper 100238. World Bank, Washington, DC. http://documents.
          worldbank.org/curated/en/543201468000586809/Ethiopia-Urbanization-review-urban​
          -institutions-for-a-middle-income-Ethiopia.

      World Bank. 2014. Ethiopia—Productive Safety Nets Project Four. Washington, DC: World Bank.

      ———. 2015. Ethiopia Poverty Assessment 2014. Washington, DC: World Bank.




16	                                Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
Natural spring water supply, Ayjaseta Kebele in Fegeta Lakoma Woreda, Amhara Region, Ethiopia.
© Chris Terry/World Bank
  Chapter 3
  Framework for WASH Service
  Provision in Ethiopia
  Ethiopia has taken a progressive approach to instilling rights to basic services—including the
  right to clean, safe, and adequate water supply and sanitation—in its Constitution and through
  the ratification of international conventions. Article 90 of the 1994 Constitution states that “…
  to the extent the country’s resources permit, policies shall aim to provide all Ethiopians access
  to public health and education, clean water, housing, food and social security.” Although
  universal coverage to basic service has not yet been achieved, Ethiopia has made significant
  steps to create the necessary enabling environment: sector policies and plans; institutions at
  federal, regional, and woreda (district) level; and financing modalities to support progress. Key
  to creating this enabling environment is that both the core systems for rolling out service
  delivery in general (for all basic services) and sector-specific systems for shaping that service
  delivery have evolved in tandem with one reinforcing the other enabling at-scale service delivery.

  The establishment of a decentralized system of service delivery has taken place gradually but
  deliberately over the last 20 years. The 1995 Constitution established a federal system with
  nine ethnically based regional states and two chartered cities with the right to self-determination.
  Each state has a parliamentary assembly, which elects representatives to the upper chamber
  of the federal parliament, the House of the Federation. Regions are split into two distinct
  groups, which also act a useful reference point of analysis in this report: large regions (Amhara;
  Oromia; Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region [SNNPR]; and Tigray) and emerging
  regions (Afar, Benishangul-Gumuz, Gambella, Harari, and Somali). The chartered cities of Addis
  Ababa and Dire Dawa have different structures but are considered equivalent to regions. The
  region of Harari has different characteristics than the other regions since it is largely urban.

  The first phase of decentralization took place in 1995 with some of the central government
  powers devolved to regional states. In 2003, the GoE mandated a second wave of decentralization
  to woredas. Woredas, of which there are now over 800, are Ethiopia’s key unit of local
  government. They have service delivery departments, including for water, health, education,
  and agriculture extension. Kebeles sit under woredas in the hierarchy and have an average
  population of about 5,000. In the most populous regions, zones were introduced as an
  intermediary administrative area above woredas, though their oversight over woredas varies
  among regions. The decentralization process stimulated a series of legal, fiscal, and
  administrative reforms, which began with four of the largest regions. The reforms have resulted
  in significant responsibilities for the provision of basic services being placed on woredas.

  In parallel with fiscal decentralization, regions and woredas have significant service delivery
  roles. Regional and woreda governments have their own means of raising finance through local
  taxes. However, the percentage of regional budgets derived from internal revenue is still
  relatively small (the highest share was 20 percent in 2009/10), and the rate of growth in the
  share of budget derived from internal revenue has been low (Assefa 2015). The revenue
  generating capacity of the woreda level is even more constrained due both to the woreda’s
  limited tax assignments and to their limited institutional capacity (Snyder et al. 2014).

  To compensate for the imbalance in revenue and expenditure assignments, regions rely on a
  system of intergovernmental transfers between federal, regional, and woreda levels. There are
  two main types of intergovernmental transfer instruments in Ethiopia: the unconditional, or
  General Purpose Grant (GPG); and conditional, or Specific Purpose Grant (SPG). The block


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                    19
      grant transfer scheme is based on equity in service delivery for all Ethiopians, and respective
      allocations are determined by a set of criteria that include population, expenditure needs, and
      revenue-raising capacities of each region. This approach seeks to smooth out the disparities
      in revenue-raising capacity across different levels of government (vertical imbalance) and
      equity between different jurisdictions (horizontal imbalance) (Assefa 2015).

      Regions determine formulas to distribute block grant resources to woredas as long as
      resources are allocated in a rule-based manner following a predetermined and objective criteria
      (Garcia and Rajkumar 2008). Some regions, such as Amhara and Tigray, follow the same
      budget allocation criteria to distribute resources downward to woredas, whereas others, such
      as SNNPR, use uniform distribution to all woredas irrespective of any weighting criteria.
      Together, the two tiers of regional and woreda government and the intergovernmental transfer
      mechanisms form the backbone for all serivce delivery in Ethiopia, including for water supply
      and sanitation.

      The evolution of Ethiopia’s formal water sector began in 1995 with the establishment of the
      Ministry of Water Resources, which happened in parallel with political, fiscal, and administrative
      decentralization, and which created the core systems for service delivery. The first water
      resource management policy was passed in 1999 to promote equitable and efficient use of
      water resources for water supply, sanitation, irrigation, and hydropower. The policy was shortly
      followed by a Water Sector Strategy (2001) and Water Sector Development Programme (2002)
      to set out a more comprehensive institutional and financial framework to achieve the water
      policy objectives.

      The 2005 Universal Access Plan (UAP) for water supply and sanitation consolidated the link
      between Ethiopia’s decentralized institutions with the policy direction for expanding services.
      The UAP became the nationwide delivery mechanism; it set out explicit national targets
      for  water supply and sanitation with the aim of reaching 98 percent, 100 percent, and
      98.5 percent for rural, urban, and combined rural and urban settings, respectively, with access
      by 2012 (later revised to 2015). In rural areas access was to 15 liters per capita per day within
      1.5 kilometers, and in urban areas, 20 liters per capita per day within 0.5 kilometers. The plan
      endorsed low-cost technologies and empowered woredas to deliver basic services and
      individual households to build self-supply sources. The UAP was key in galvanizing political and
      financial support for water supply and sanitation as a means of alleviating poverty.

      The integration of sanitation and hygiene promotion with water supply has been an important
      step taken by the GoE. The National Hygiene and Sanitation Strategy (NHSS) was developed
      by the Ministry of Health (MoH) and published in 2005; it complements the existing Health
      Policy and Water Sector Strategy.

      The government’s strong commitment to decentralization and a clear sector policy framework
      have provided a solid basis to guide service delivery. For the most part, the GoE has clearly set
      out functions, coordination mechanisms, and guidance for implementation within the water
      supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) sector. However, the strength of the sector policy
      framework and clarity of strategy varies among the four WASH subsectors. The rural subsectors
      are more mature than the urban subsectors, and water subsectors are more developed than
      sanitation (see box 3.1 on the roles and responsibilities for rural water supply). In urban areas,
      autonomous utilities were established and over the last 10 years the MoWIE has introduced
      further legislation to strengthen these, including a moving toward full cost recovery for urban
      water schemes. There is also a wide range in the capacity to implement these policies and
      across regions and woredas.

      Since the late 1990s Ethiopia has been a country at the forefront of managing the interface
      between public finance and development assistance. Though programmatic approaches were
      adopted earlier in other sectors such as health and education, development assistance to
      water supply and sanitation has steadily shifted from project to programmatic approaches over
      the past decade. The ambitious targets set out in the UAP and the Growth and Transformation


20	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 3.1: De Jure Assignment of Functions in Ethiopia’s Rural Water Subsector

       Ethiopia’s institutional arrangement for WASH is clearly articulated on paper, with roles distributed across federal and
                                                                                               , the government has introduced
       regional levels, woredas, and communities (table B3.1.1). Since the inception of the OWNP
       WASH coordination, management, and guidance bodies at the federal and regional tiers of government to manage
       Consolidated WASH Account (CWA) investments. These institutions are less developed, and recent research suggests
       that understanding of their role is limited at regional and woreda levels.

        Table B3.1.1: Responsibilities of WASH sectors institutions
        Level                         Body                                           Responsibilities
        Federal          Ministry of Water, Irrigation      ••   Planning, development, and management of resources
                         and Energy (MoWIE)                 ••   Development of guidelines, strategies, policies, programs
                                                            ••   Development and implementation of sectoral laws and
                                                                 regulations
                                                            ••   Chairing the national WASH committee
        Regional         Zonal Water Resources              ••   Supporting water bureaus in giving technical support to
                         Development Office                      woreda water offices and town water supply offices
                                                            ••   Coordinate activities, plans, and reports, and liaise
                                                                 between water bureaus and woreda water offices
                         Bureau of Water Resources ••            Implementing federal policies and adapting them to
                         Department                              conditions of the region
                                                   ••            Chairing the regional WASH steering committee
                         Regional WASH team                 ••   P
                                                                  roviding support to woreda-level authorities
                                                            ••   May directly support WASHCOs when breakdowns exceed
                                                                 local capacity
        Woreda           Woreda Water Resources             ••   Responsible for investigation, design, and implementation
                         Development Office                      of small-scale water supply schemes
                                                            ••   Provide technical support to town water supply offices in
                                                                 towns without municipalities
                         Woreda WASH Team                   ••   Cross-sectoral team responsible for all aspects of water
                                                                 supply and sanitation development
                                                            ••   Provide support to kebeles and WASHCOs directly for
                                                                 monitoring and technical support
        Woreda /         WASHCO                             ••   Community-level WASH committee established to manage
        kebele                                                   a specific WASH facility (there may be multiple WASHCOs
                                                                 in a kebele, depending on the number of facilities)
                                                            ••   WASHCOs are accountable to woreda water team




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                             21
        Box 3.2: Integrating Public Finance with Development Assistance

        There are three channels established for WASH sector funding, but these are complex and
        overlapping (see figures B3.2.1 and B3.2.2):


        •	 Channel 1 is on-budget and is managed by the MoFEC, regional Bureaus of Finance and
             Economic Development (BoFEDs), and woreda finance offices. “On-budget” means
             included in the national annual budget description. Channel 1 is further divided into the
             following:

            •	 Channel 1a: funds are transferred through the MoFEC to regional BoFEDs, and then
                 to WASH sector bureaus and offices.

            •	 Channel 1b: funds are transferred through the MoFEC, but funds go directly to WASH
                 sector bureaus and offices.

        •	 Channel 2 funds are made available directly to the WASH sector ministries (MoWIE, the
             Ministry of Health [MoH], MoE) and then to their respective bureaus and offices at lower
             levels. Bilateral assistance and most United Nations agency investments flow through
             channel 2, and are also on-budget.

        •	 Channel 3 funds are directly transferred by donors and aid agencies to service providers,
             and the donor retains financial control. Channel 3 funds are off-budget, meaning they
             are outside the control of government and are not included in the national annual
             budget.



         Figure B3.2.1: Financial Channels in Ethiopia
               oth and
                      )
                  ers
                  Os
              (NG




                           Cha
                               nne                                                         Channel 1a
                                   l3
                                                                                             (GoE)
                                                         Channel 1
                                                        (mainstream
                                 nel 2                  GoE system)
             (OPs g
           ch n tly to
            dir c rs)




                           Chan
                nellin

              secto




                                                                                           Channel 1b
               e




                                                                                             (CWA)
             a




      Note: CWA = Consolidated WASH Account; DP = development program; GoE = Government of Ethiopia;
      NGO = nongovernmental organization.



                                                                                       box continues next page




22	                                      Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
         Box 3.2: Continued

            Figure B3.2.2: Sectoral Financial Flows in Ethiopia



              Donor 1                                                    MoFED                        WASH sector
                                      Foreign                                                          ministries
              Donor 2                 special                             CWA
                                     accounts                              Br
              Donor 3                                                                                     WRDF




                               WASH sector bureaus                      BoFEDs

                                                                                                       Town water
                                                                                                         boards

                                   Zone sector
                                                           ZoFEDs       ToFEDs       WoFEDs
                                     offices



                                                                                    WASHCOs


         Note: BoFED = Bureau of Finance and Economic Development; CWA = Consolidated WASH Account; DP = development
         program; MoFED = Ministry of Finance and Economic Development (MoFED); ToFED = Town Administration Office of
         Finance and Economic Development; WASH = water supply, sanitation, and hygiene; WASHCOs = water supply, sanitation, and
         hygiene committees; WoFED = Woreda Office of Finance and Economic Development; ZoFED = Zonal Administration Office of
         Finance and Economic Development.




  Plan (GTP) were a major driver for the GoE and development partners to reorganize and
  streamline investment in water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH). (See box 3.2.)

  The resulting ONE WASH National Programme (OWNP) is, since 2011, the GoE’s main vehicle for
  achieving its ambitious WASH goals. The institutional arrangements for the first national WASH
  Program were set out in the 2011 Memorandum of Understanding and WASH Implementation
  Framework (WIF), signed by the Ministry of Finance and Economic Cooperation (MoFEC),
  the Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity (then Water Resource and Energy) (MoWIE), the
  Ministry of Health (MoH), and the Ministry of Education (MoE). The objective of the OWNP is to
  extend and sustain access to water supply and sanitation services in rural and urban areas,
  while moving away from discrete WASH projects and toward a programmatic, sectorwide approach
  based on four key principles:

    ••    Integration of water, health, education and finance sectors

    ••    Alignment of partner activities (donors, nongovernmental organizations [NGOs], private
          sector agents) with those of the GoE

    ••    Harmonization of partner approaches and activities

    ••    Strengthened partnerships between WASH stakeholders at all levels, from federal to
          woreda

  However, though good progress has been made in interfacing public and donor resources,
  there will be a large annual financing gap as Ethiopia adopts the Sustainable Development


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                              23
      Goals (SDGs). According to a World Bank study (World Bank 2016) on the costs of meeting the
      SDGs for WASH, it is estimated that Ethiopia would need to invest US$2.5 billion a year to
      extend basic services and over US$5 billion a year extend safely managed services (Hutton
      and Varughese 2016). The funding gap of US$2 billion a year for basic or US$4.5 billion a year
      for safely managed services will not be met by public and donor resources alone. Ethiopia and
      its development partners will need to leverage far greater levels household and private finance.

      GTP II places emphasis on building the capacity of the domestic private sector. To meet the
      high demands of the OWNP     , the private sector is a potential source of additional capacity for
      the WASH sector. There is a clear need for private contractors, consultants, and suppliers’
      engagement to support the designing, building, and rehabilitating of water supply and sanitation
      schemes. MoWIE carried out an assessment of supply chains in 2010, and the study shows
      that supply chains for hand pumps and spare parts, largely driven by market forces, were still
      in their infancy in Ethiopia. The World Bank’s own assessment of the sanitation supply chain
      further confirmed it is fragmented and weak. However, both studies confirm that there is a
      significant market for WASH products and services, such as well drilling, household water
      treatment, on-site sanitation products, and fecal sludge management.

      To maximize the private sector contribution, there is a need for more supportive sector policies
      and strategies to create a conducive enabling environment to facilitate their engagement.
      Basic challenges such as lack of clear regulatory frameworks, unskilled labor, high transport
      costs, limited availability of financial services, and land tenure insecurity are barriers to more
      meaningful engagement of the private sector in the WASH sector. In addition, questions still
      remain over whether economic conditions are such that financially sustainable private sector
      involvement in the construction, operation, and management of WASH infrastructure are
      possible in the near term without carefully planned programs of support.



      References
      Assefa, D. 2015. “Fiscal Decentralization in Ethiopia: Achievements and Challenges.” Public
         Policy and Administration Research 5 (8): 27–39.

      Garcia, M., and A. S. Rajkumar. 2008. “Achieving Better Service Delivery through Decentralization
          in Ethiopia.” African Human Development Series Working Paper 131, World Bank,
          Washington, DC.

      Hutton, G., and M. Varughese. 2016. The Costs of Meeting the 2030 Sustainable Development
          Goal Targets on Drinking Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene. Washington, DC: World Bank.

      Snyder, K. A., E. Ludi, B. Cullen, J. Tucker, A. Zeleke, and A. Duncan. 2014. “Participation and
          Performance: Decentralised Planning and Implementation in Ethiopia.” Public Administration
          and Development 34: 83–95. doi:0.1002/pad.1680.

      World Bank. 2016. Institutions and Service Provision of Urban Sanitation in Addis Ababa.
          Washington, DC: World Bank.




24	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
Collecting water from a community water point in Mareko Word, SNNPR.
© Chris Terry/World Bank.
  Chapter 4
  Rural WASH Sector Analysis
  Rural Water Supply Subsector Analysis

  National Status and Trends
  In 2015 Ethiopia met its Millennium Development Goal (MDG) for water supply. This significant
  achievement was largely driven by the very rapid increase to improved access to rural water: one
  of the top five fastest rates of change in the world. Nearly half of all rural Ethiopians had access
  to an improved water source in 2015 (see figure 4.1), up from just 15 percent in 1994 (UNICEF/
  WHO 2015).1 Over the period around 35 million people made the shift from using unprotected
  wells, springs, and surface sources to an improved water source. Two-thirds of this access is
  provided from protected wells and springs and one-third from communal piped systems.


  Evolution of Funding and Capacity for Delivering Rural
  Water Supply
  In the 1990s donor-funded programs were central to progress. Initially the Ministry of Water,
  Irrigation and Electricity (MOWIE) worked with programs such as the World Bank–funded


      Figure 4.1: Rural Drinking Water Trends in Ethiopia, 1990–2015


                                        100
                                                          16

                                        80

                                              54

                                                          35
                         Coverage (%)




                                        60



                                        40

                                              43
                                        20                48



                                             3
                                         0    0            1
                                          1990             2015
                                              Surface water
                                              Other unimproved sources
                                              Other improved sourcel
                                              Piped onto premises


  Source: WHO/UNICEF 2015.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                    27
                                               Ethiopia Social Rehabilitation and Development Fund (ESRDF) to deliver services nationwide.
                                               By the late 1990s programs such as the ESRDF were also being used to build up capacity in
                                               regional offices. Through the ESRDF alone, 3 million people in rural areas gained access to
                                               improved water at a cost of just under US$30 million, or US$3 million a year from 1995–2005.
                                               Other bilateral donors and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) delivered services through
                                               area-based projects.

                                               During the early 2000s, as decentralization took root, the rollout of rural water schemes
                                               through government systems grew rapidly. By 2006–08 around US$40 million a year was being
                                               spent on rural water supply, 65 percent of which was funded through Government of Ethiopia
                                               (GoE) block and special purpose grants, and 35 percent from, mainly, multilateral development
                                               partners. Though most of the sector finance (60 percent to 70 percent) was being managed
                                               by  regional bureaus, after the second wave of decentralization, woredas were managing
                                               10 percent of capital expenditure.

                                               By the mid-2000s rates of execution through government channels were higher than through
                                               development partner channels (see figure 4.2). From 2006–08 only 60 percent of what was
                                               budgeted for annually (US$65 million) was actually being spent. In response to these low rates
                                               of execution, both the World Bank and the African Development Bank (AfDB) changed their
                                               funding modalities by integrating them into the more streamlined channel. Over the 2008–12
                                               period this shift to funding modalities, aligned with country systems, translated into better
                                               overall budget execution rates (80 percent) though still lower in some regions and lower than
                                               this average for capital expenditure at the woreda level. With additional commitments over this
                                               2009–12 period annual expenditures on rural water supply rose above US$50 million a year,
                                               peaking at US$60 million in 2009/10. This was managed mainly by regions (43 percent) but
                                               with a sizable share managed by woredas (37 percent) and a minority share managed at the
                                               federal level (20 percent) (World Bank 2015b).

                                               Expenditure by NGOs also increased. From 2006–08 NGO expenditure on WASH was estimated
                                               at US$5 million a year, while from 2009–12 period the NGO Supply and Sanitation Forum
                                               reports annual expenditures of US$18 million a year.



          Figure 4.2: Budgets and Expenditure for Main Rural Water Supply Financing Modalities in Ethiopia, 2006–08


                          400
                          350
                          300
          Br (millions)




                          250
                          200
                          150
                          100
                          50
                           0
                                Regional block Food security     Productive      AfDB       World Bank         UNICEF        Finland (CDF)        NGOs
                                   grants        program         safety nets                 (EWSSP)
                                                                  program

                                 On treasury       On-budget multisector        On-budget water supply and sanitation                  Off-budget
                                                                      Annual budget     Annual expenditure


      Source: IBEX.
      Note: Amounts are three-year average for 2006, 2007, and 2008. AfDB = African Development Bank; CDF = Community Development Foundation; EWSSP = Ethiopian
      Water Supply and Sanitation Project; NGO = nongovernmental organization.




28	                                                                            Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  While investments from donors have not been the main financing source, donor projects have,
  and will continue to be, instrumental in building capacity at regional and woreda levels. From
  the mid-1990s donors supported policy and institutional development, including the formation
  of the Federal Ministry of Water Resources. As service delivery was decentralized, donor
  projects shaped the formation and capacity building of regional water bureaus and woreda
  water desks. Administrative and technical capacity building benefitted from a learning-by-doing
  approach through the rigorous design, procurement, contract management, and reporting
  required by donors. Good practices included (a) the use of woreda support groups (WSGs) to
  help woredas develop strategic plans and identify and design projects; (b) the development of
  project implementation manuals; and (c) annual work planning.

  By 2008 capacity for planning and supervising development of rural water supplies at the
  regional level was well established across most regions. This included skills in sector planning,
  scheme design, procurement, contract supervision, scheme management training, and
  postconstruction support. The allocation to salaries at regional level increased threefold in
  nominal terms from 2005–08, and operational costs increased fivefold, enabling regional level
  staff to manage projects. This regional capacity was greater in the large regions than in the
  emerging regions, which is reflected in the progress made across regions. The larger regions
  were able to implement capacity through state-owned drilling and dam construction companies
  and had better access to private sector contractors than emerging regions.

  Unlike capacity at the regional level, capacity and funding at the woreda level has been less
  well developed. The 2009 PER (World Bank 2009) reports that as result of increasing the
  number of woredas and the number of staff deployed on the water desks in the second wave
  of decentralization, the allocation to salaries at woreda level increased tenfold in nominal
  terms between 2005–08. During the same period, operational costs increased sixfold in
  nominal terms, but dropped as a percentage of water desk spending (33 percent to 22 percent
  of the recurrent budget). The average number of woreda water desk staff in 2008 was 7.5, with
  an operational budget averaging Br 2,000 (US$200) per staff member per year. The 2015 PER
  (World Bank 2015b) similarly notes that the low level of recurrent budget remains a constraint
  to the quality and adequacy of supervision and support to the water sector. The amount of
  recurrent budget allocated at the woreda level in 2009–12 rose from Br. 141.5 million to Br
  622.5 million. However, when divided among the large number of woredas in the country, the
  operational budget left after paying salaries averaged only Br 5,287 per woreda per year
  (around US$300 in 2015).

  Operational budgets at these levels do not enable staff members to carry out their basic
  duties of data collection and backstopping support to rural schemes. During interviews held
  at the woreda level for the 2009 PER (World Bank 2009), it was evident that coupled with the
  absence of vehicles, equipment, and office space, this environment was leading to low morale
  and ultimately high staff turnover. The result has been that woredas are understaffed and staff
  members lack key skills. Even in Amhara region, a favored region in which to work, only
  30 percent of posts were filled (World Bank 2014).


  The Expansion of Rural Water Supply Infrastructure
  and its Sustainability
  From 2006 to 2012 the construction of water points and schemes has been at an industrial
  scale across Ethiopia. The backbone of generic service delivery machinery that GoE has put in
  place through the two-tier decentralization process, coupled with strong sector policy direction
  and consistent sector funding (from government and donors), have enabled between 6,000
  and 10,000 water points a year to be constructed from 2006 to 2012.

  However, only around 75 percent of the 85,000 rural water schemes captured by the 2011
  National WASH Inventory were reported as functional (NWI 2011). 2 Though this is a higher


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                 29
      level of functionality than in many other countries in the Africa region (70 percent or lower is
      common [Carter and Ross 2016]), the role and capacity of woredas to sustain access remain
      questions  among policy makers, particularly as the stock of infrastructure grows Tincani
      et al. 2015).

      More detailed studies of water point operation reveal deeper problems of nonfunctionality
      (see  figures 4.3 and 4.4). A  2016 detailed survey of 171 community shallow (tube wells
      equipped with hand pumps), chosen to be representative of woredas in the Ethiopian Highlands,
      finds that 82 percent were working at the time of the survey, which is similar to data from the
      National Well Inventory survey. However, extending the definition of functionality to exclude low
      yielding (less than 10 liters per minute) and unreliable boreholes (down time of more than one
      month per year), functionality dropped to 45 percent (Kebede et al. 2017).

            Figure 4.3: Regional Variation in Water Point Functionality in Ethiopia, 2012


                                                35
                                                                                                                                              22

                                                30
          Water points (thousands)




                                                25                                                                                 25


                                                20
                                                                                                                          27
                                                15
                                                                                                             33
                                                10

                                                 5
                                                                                 34         33
                                                                  32
                                                       25
                                                 0
                                                     Gambela      BG           Afar       Somali            Tigray    SNNPR       Oromia    Amhara
                                                                        Functional water points       Nonfunctional water points (%)


      Source: National WASH Inventory, 2012.
      Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region; BG = Benishangul Gumuz.


            Figure 4.4: People per Water Point by Region in Ethiopia 2012


                                                35
            People per water point (hundreds)




                                                30

                                                25

                                                20

                                                15

                                                10

                                                 5

                                                 0
                                                     Tigray    Amhara       BG        Gambela        Afar      National   SNNPR    Oromia   Somali
                                                                        Population per water point      Poor persons per water point


      Source: National WASH Inventory, 2012.
      Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region.




30	                                                                      Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  A key finding from the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) RiPPLE program in Ethiopia is that
  woreda and regional government staff are often unaware of the problems village water
  committees have with repair and maintenance. Research conducted by the RiPPLE program in
  SNNPR, for example, indicates that 43 percent to 65 percent of water points or schemes were
  nonfunctional. Moreover, problems are not restricted to more complex schemes with deep
  boreholes and motorized pumps. In Mirab Abaya woreda, for example, nearly 50 percent of off-
  plot, communal water points equipped with hand pumps were not working at the time of survey
  (Calow et al. 2013).

  Improving on this level of functionality depends in part on whether woreda water desks will
  backstop community-level water management committees. Backstopping involves periodically
  checking whether cost recovery mechanisms are working and facilitating the sourcing and
  fitting of spare parts when water committees need help in keeping systems running. These
  activities require recurrent operational costs (see box 4.1).

  However, poor siting, design, and construction expose weaknesses at regional and woreda
  levels. Postconstruction sustainability audits of water point infrastructure examine siting,
  design, and construction standards. Recent studies conducted for the World Bank (Calow et al.
  2013) and the CMP (Calow et al. 2016) point to upstream implementation issues, for example,
  water point type and design were not well matched with hydrological or hydrogeological
  conditions, which is a regional planning function. A poorly sited and constructed dug well
  (woreda responsibility) or shallow well (regionally commissioned, but subcontracted to a drilling
  company) are more likely to have a low or intermittent water supplies, more likely to be
  contaminated by pathogens, and more likely to suffer flood damage. These upstream
  weaknesses greatly constrain what village water committees are able to do to keep water
  points functioning.




       Box 4.1: Maintenance of Water Points in Lodi Etosa Woreda, Arsi Zone, and
       Oromia Region

       In 2011 the Woreda Water Office built a spring protection with government funding for Tuma
       Wolkitei and Meda Gefersa villages in Lodi Etosa Woreda. A WASH committee was formed to
       oversee the scheme, but the committee received no training. Except for the poorest of the
       poor households, households pay Br 30 a year to collect water from the spring.

       Since the spring was located in a streambed, a hand pump was used to lift water into a spring
       box. In 2015 the hand pump broke. In this case the provision of the spare part was assumed
       to be the Woreda Water Office’s responsibility both by the Woreda Water Office and user
       community. The Woreda Water Office was informed of the broken pump by the WASH
       committee, but neither the woreda nor the committee had funds to purchase the spare part,
       since the WASH committee had not collected funds for the repair. Households went back to
       fetching water from traditional surface and unprotected sources. After 10 months the Woreda
       Water Office fixed the hand pump by replacing the broken part with a part taken from another
       new pump within their store. Yet, the pump was vandalized shortly afterward with essential
       screws stolen from the pump. Villagers and leaders recognized the need to strengthen the
       WASH committee; fence the scheme; and collect the nominal fee to cover maintenance cost;
       however, none of this happened.

                                                                              box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                   31
      Box 4.1: Continued




      Broken water point in Arsi Woreda Oromia.
      © Chris Terry/World Bank



      Like most government-financed schemes in the woreda, the focus during the implementation
      period was on the hardware provision alone with no consideration of sustainability. No budget
      was allocated for training the WASH committee for follow-up after the construction of the
      spring protection. Though at the zonal and woreda level, technical staff are employed to
      provide technical support to sustain the schemes yet they have no budget. Staff at Lodi Etosa
      Woreda found this lack of budget demotivating, pointing out that paying their salaries without
      an operations budget was a waste of money.

                                                                               box continues next page




32	                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 4.1: Continued

       Discussions at the woreda and zonal levels revealed that the same trend is being adopted in
       the implementation of government-financed schemes at present, and that it is common that
       designs are compromised during implementation to reduce construction costs. Unless the
       water policy is reviewed to give clear direction on roles and responsibilities and on
       postconstruction support, this trend of focusing on the infrastructure development and poor
       sustainability will continue.

       Both government- and donor-financed projects need to budget for the hardware and software.
       Budgets are needed for community mobilization and sensitization, the preliminary studies,
       design studies, capacity strengthening component, and postconstruction support. This may
       mean higher per capita costs but this would be preferable to the wasted sunk costs of
       abandoning existing schemes.

       Source: Yemane and Defere n.d.




  Access Disparities by Wealth and Consumption
  With 35 million people gaining access to improved sources but still 40 million rural
  Ethiopians without access to improved service, was it predominantly wealthier or poorer
  people who captured this gain? Ethiopia’s progress in providing access to improved water
  supply in rural areas is relatively equitable. Estimating the progress across different
  consumption and wealth quintiles, it is clear that, regardless of the metric, people across
  all quintiles have experienced a significant jump in access. Using wealth quintiles derived
  from an asset index, the poorest quintile saw a 27 percent increase in access compared
  to 36 percent by the wealthiest quintile between 1995 and 2012. Using the consumption-
  based method, the difference in access rates is even less with only a 7 percentage points
  difference between the lowest and highest consumption quintiles in 2011 (figure 4.5 and
  figure 4.6).

  Compared to the evenly spread access to improved sources, access to piped water from
  stand posts in rural areas—representing around one-third of improved water access—is
  more skewed across quintiles. Based on consumption quintiles, the distribution of piped
  water access is only marginally tilted toward those with greater purchasing power
  (figure 4.7). However, based on wealth quintiles this distribution is more skewed toward
  wealthier populations with a 33 percentage points difference between the poorest and the
  wealthiest (figure 4.8). Though part of this greater skew towards wealthier populations is
  due to the inclusion of water supply and sanitation in the asset index used to calculate
  wealth (a problem of endogeneity), it may also point to affordability of piped water compared
  to other improved sources.


  Access Disparities by Geography
  Though the progress was even across categories of wealth and consumption, there are clear
  disparities across Ethiopia’s regions (see map 4.1). Between 2000 and 2016, access to
  improved water supply more than doubled in percentage terms from just under 20 percent
  to  just under 50  percent. Progress across Ethiopia’s five large regions has been strong.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                33
           Figure 4.5: Rural Drinking Water Coverage by Wealth Quintile in Ethiopia, 1995–2011


                     100



                     80



                     60
           Percent


                     40



                     20



                      0
                             Poorest               Second                Middle                Fourth               Richest
                                                                        Quintile
                                               Unimproved         Other improved        Piped on premises


      Source: DHS, 2017.
      Note: Wealth quintile trend is based on subset of surveys (DHS) leading to steeper slope than JMP trend data. Water supply and
      sanitation variables removed from DHS asset index.




           Figure 4.6: Rural Drinking Water Coverage by Consumption Quintile in Ethiopia,
           1995–2011


                     100



                      80



                      60
          Percent




                      40



                      20



                       0
                             Poorest               Second                Middle                Fourth               Richest
                                                                        Quintile
                                               Unimproved         Other improved        Piped on premises


      Source: WMS/HICES, 2011.
      Note: Wealth quintile trend is based on subset of surveys (DHS) leading to steeper slope than JMP trend data. Water supply and
      sanitation variables removed from DHS asset index.




34	                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure 4.7: Access to Rural Piped Water from Public Stand Posts by Consumption
       Quintile in Ethiopia, 2011


                40

                35

                30

                25
      Percent




                20

                15

                10

                 5

                 0
                     Poorest              Poorer             Middle     Richer        Richest
                                                             Quintile


  Source: World Bank calculations based on WMS/HICES 2011.




       Figure 4.8: Access to Rural Piped Water from Public Stand Posts by Wealth Quintile in
       Ethiopia, 2011


                40

                35

                30

                25
      Percent




                20

                15

                10

                 5

                 0
                     Poorest              Poorer             Middle     Richer        Richest
                                                             Quintile


 Source: World Bank calculations based on DHS 2011.



 Access in two emerging regions, Gambela and Benishangul-Gumuz, has also increased rapidly.
 However, progress in Afar and Somali regions, which started from a low base, stand out as
 having fallen further behind other regional states (figure 4.9). There are multiple reasons why
 they have fallen behind, including that: they receive less rainfall than other regions, have more
 complex hydrogeology (see map 4.2), have weaker regional and woreda administrations, and,
 are sparsely populated by people practicing agropastoralist and pastoralist livelihoods.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                35
          Map 4.1: Coverage of Improved Water Supply across Woredas in Ethiopia, 2007

                                                                                  Units of measurement – Total
                                                                                  Improved Coverage = Total
                                                                                     0.0–0.2
                                                                                     0.2–0.3
                                                                                     0.3–0.4
                                                                                     0.4–0.6
                                                                                     0.6–0.8
                                                                                     0.8–1.0




      Source: Housing and Population Census 2007.




          Map 4.2: Hydrogeology Index in Ethiopia, 2016


                                                                                     Hydrology Index
                                                                                       0
                                                                                       1
                                                                                       2
                                                                                       3
                                                                                       4
                                                                                       6
                                                                                       8
                                                                                       9
                                                                                       12




      Sources: ODI and BGS, 2016.
      Note: See Appendix C: Hydrogeological for more details.




36	                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Figure 4.9: Access to Improved Sources of Water in Rural Areas by Region in
      Ethiopia, 2000–16


                90

                80

                70

                60

                50
      Percent




                40

                30

                20

                10

                 0
                 2000                        2005                             2010              2015
                                             Tigray        Affar       Amhara         Oromiya
                                             Somali        BG          SNNPR          Gambela


  Sources: DHS 2000, 2011, and 2016.
  Note: BG = Benishangul-Gumuz; SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




  It is clear that variation in disparities within regions is even greater than that across
  regions.3 While annual rainfall,4 and to a lesser extent hydrogeology, explain the interregional
  variance—particularly the difficulty of providing improved water supply in Afar and Somali—
  they do not adequately explain the variation in access rates within regions. Exploring a
  further layer of positive and negative factors helps explain the differential progress within
  regions. On the negative side, areas dominated by agropastoralist and pastoralist
  livelihoods within otherwise large regions had particularly low access. On the positive side,
  areas with higher levels of access were in areas dominated by agrarian livelihoods targeted
  by the PSNP (see appendix B for an explanation of data sources, supporting analysis, and
  regression model) (see map 4.3).

  Woredas dominated by agropastoralist and pastoralist livelihoods were just over half as likely
  to have access to improved water as agrarian woredas (see figure 4.10). This includes regions
  that have significant numbers of agropastoralist and pastoralist woredas, such as Oromia and
  SNNPR (see figure 4.11). This data suggests a systemic failure to deliver improved water
  supplies to pastoralist and agropastoralist areas even in regions where access levels were
  higher than in the pastoralist regions of Afar and Somali (appendix B).

  These broad patterns of failing to deliver to pastoralist and agropastoralist areas are
  supported by a more detailed analysis comparing access to improved water with rates of
  poverty across woredas. Just under 80 percent of woredas with both a high proportion of
  poor households and the lowest levels of improved water coverage5 were dominated by
  pastoralist and agropastoralist livelihood types whose households live in remote, low
  population density areas (less than 50 people per square kilometer). In contrast, over 80
  percent of the woredas with both a high proportion of poor and high improved water
  coverage were agrarian woredas targeted by the PSNP (see figure 4.12). For example, one
  group is in the Wolayita Maize and Root Crop livelihood zone in SNNPR. These are very high


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  37
              Map 4.3: Productive Safety Nets Program in Woredas and Responsible Agency in
              Ethiopia, 2010



                                                                                                                                                                                                          Erob
                                                                                                                                                                          Mereb Lekhe
                                                                                                                                           Tahtay Adiabo                                         Gulomekeda
                                                                                                                                                             Laelay Adiabo              Ahferom
                                                                                                                                              NW. Tigray                            Laelay Maichew                 Dalol
                                                                                                                                                                  Tahtay Maichew
                                                                                                                                                                                   Adwa        Saesi Ts ae d’aemba
                                                                                                                                                            Tahtay Koraro
                                                                                                                       Tigray                                   Medebay Zana
                                                                                                                                                    Asgede Tsembila
                                                                                                                                                                                  Werie Lekhe Hawzien
                                                                                                                                                                                                         E. Tigray
                                                                                                                      W. Tigray                                          Naeder Adet          Atsebi Wenberta
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Koneba                                   Berahle
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Kilte Awlaelo
                                                                                                                                                                             Kola Temben
                                                                                                                                                            Tselemti                   Degua Temben
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Zone2
                                                                                                                                                                                C. Tigray
                                                                                                                                                         Adiarkay           Tselemt Tanqua Abergele                Enderta                                            Afdiera
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Abala
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Saharti Samre
                                                                                                                                               Debark                  Beyed                                                                         Erebti
                                                                                                                                                                                          Abergele          Hintalo Wajirat

                                                                                                                                              Dabat          Janamora                                                                                                                               Elidar
                                                                                                                                                                                W. Hamra                        Alaje
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Megale
                                                                                                                                                                              Sahila                                    S. Tigray
                                                                                                                                               Wogera                                                      Egdamohoni
                                                                                                                                                                                  Ziquola
                                                                                                                N. Gonder                                                                        Sokota           Raya Azebo                          Teru
                                                                                                                                                        Misrak Belesa                                           Ofla                Yalo                                   Dufti
                                                                                                                                              Mirab Belesa                       Dehana
                                                                                                                                                                                                  gazgibla Alamata
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Afar Zone4                                                             Elidar
                                                                                                                                                                   Ebinat          Bugna            N. Wello                       Gulina
                                                                                                                                             Mirab Belesa                                                                                             Awra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Kobo
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Lasta
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Gidan                                                                          Zone1
                                                                                                                                                                      Lay Gayiot                                                       Ewa
                                                                                                                                                                                          Meket                    Gubalafto                                                  Dufti
                                                                                                                                              S. Gonder
                                                                                                                                                              Simada               Delanta Wadla            Habru           Chefra
                                                                                                        Amhara                Bahir Dar                              Tach Gayint
                                                                                                                                                                               Dawunt            Ambassel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Asayta

                                                                                                                                                                                                              Worebabo
                                                                                                                                                                  Simada                    Tenta          Tehuledere                          Mille
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Kuta ber                    Adaare
                                                                                                                                                                                  Mek dela
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Bati                                                                         Afambo
                                                                                                                                                                                             S. Wello        Argeta
                                                                                                                              W. Gojam                                     Sayint Ajibar                                      Telalak
                                                                                    Metekel                                                           Gonca Siso Enessie Mahal sayint
                                                                                                                                                                                               Dessie Zuriya
                                                                                                            Agew Awi                                                                                             Argoba
                                                                                                                                                                E/Sar Mider              Legambo
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Albugo Oromiya Dewe
                                                                                                                                                                          Debra Sina              Woreilu Dewa Chefa Dewa Harawa

                                                                      Ben Gunniz                                                                                                          Legehida
                                                                                                                                                                          Wogdi Ketta/Kelala
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Githe Rabel       Artuma/dalifagie
                                                                                                                                                     E. Gojam                                                    Aruma Fursi Zone5 Gewane
                                                                                                                                                                                             Jama
                                                              Asosa                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Shinile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Legend
                                                                                                                                                            Shebel Berierifa                       Menz Gera Mider          Fursi Bure mudayetu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Gile Timuga                         Afdem                                     Erer               Shinelle
                                                                                                                                                                                         Menz Keya Gebriel
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Menz Mama Mider
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Menz Lalo Mider
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Zone3

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Regions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Semurobi gelallo
                                                                                                                                                               N. Shewa (R4)                        N. Shewa (R3)
                                                                                    Kamashi                                                                          Kuyu


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Zones
                                                                                                                        Horo Gudru                                                                   Abiohu Gnea                 Dulecha
                                                                                                                                                                                           Wuchale                                                     Amibara                                               Dire Dawa     Jars
                                                                  W. Wellega                                                                                                                                Argolela Tera Argoba spacial
                                                  Tongo SW                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Gro gutu Meta Kersa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Rombolcha
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Kimbibit Assagert
                                                                                                            E. Wellega
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               PSNP woredas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Haramaya Gurs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            G    um
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Dobba
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Meiso              Tullo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Deder                 HUNDENIE                             Jijiga
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Kurfachele                                                        Harshin
                                                                                                                                               West Shewa                                                                        Awash fentale                                                                                                Babile
                                                                                                                                                                                  AA Zone4                                                                         Chiro                Bedeno
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Fedis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mesela             Girawa
                                                                                                                                                                                  AA Zone3                                      Fantalle        Guba Qoricha          Gemachis Melka Belo
                                                               Kelem                                                                                                              AA Zone6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Anchare Habroo                                      E. Harerge            Midhega
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Babile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Boosat                                                          Kuni
                                                                                                                                                         S.W. Shewa                                                                                     W. Haraerge
                                                                                                                                                                                                  E. Shewa                       Merti Aseko
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Gole Oda
                                                                                    Illubabor                                                                                                                                                                                 Boke
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 D\Habour
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Dedota Dodota                     Golecha(ARSI)
                                                     Zone 1                                                                                                                                        Dodota                                                     Darelebu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Meyu Mukke                                                                Degehabur
                                        Zone 3                                                                                                      Gurage            Meskan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Arsi
                                                                                                                                                                              Mareko
                                                                                                                                                                      Selti                    Z Dugda
                                                                                                        Jimma                                                                                                                                                                  Lega Hida
                                                                                                                                  Yem SW Hadiya
                                                 Gambella                                                                                 Gibe Misna
                                                                                                                                                                  A/T/J/Kombolcha
                                                                                                                                                         DalochaLanfaro                                                                              Seru                                                                      Fik
                                                                                                                                                       Unlmmu                                                                         Seru
                                                                                                                                    Gpmboro Lemmu                Selti
                                                      Zone 2
                                                                            Sheka                       Oromiya                       Soro Shahego
                                                                                                                                                        Alaba
                                                                                                                                                                      Arsi Negelle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Gololcha(Bale)
                                                                                                                                                                  Shala                                                                                                               Sewane
                                                                       Godere                                                           Duna Demboya Alaba
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Warder
                                                                                                                                           Kacha Bira KT
                                                                                                                               Tembaro                                            Kore
                                                                                                Kefa                         Gena Bosa                            Shaahemene
                                                                                                                                                          Siraro                                                                                                   Ginir
                                                                                                                        B oloso- Bombe Boloso                   Awasa zuna
                                                                                                                                                 Duguaria fan                        West                  Arsi                                      Goro
                                                                                                                Dawro            Kingoo Koysha
                                                                                                                                         Sodo zuria
                                                                                                                                                           Boricha Shebedino
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Rayitu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Somali
                                                                                                                        Loma          Offa                       Dale Sidama                                                                                      Dawe Kechen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Barbare
                                                                                                                         Kinso Diday         Humbo Leka Abaya         Aleta wondo                                            Bale                                                                                                                                                       Korahe
                                                                                                                                                             Chuko           Bona zurila
                                                                                                                                Kucha Boreda
                                                                                    SNNPR                        Demba goffa
                                                                                                             Geze goffa
                                                                                                                                                      Dilla zuria
                                                                                                                                                                 Dara Hulla Bensa                               Harene Bulki
                                                                          Bench Maji                                               Dita
                                                                                                                                         Mirab abaya       Wonago                  Arerosa                                                              Gura Damole
                                                                                                  Basketo   SW Oyda Zala                                                                                                           Dalo Mena
                                                                                                                          Dardamole Chencha             Yingacheffe                                                                                                                                                                                             Gode
                                                                                                                 Nbadebrest    Gamo Gofa Galanaa Kocherle                     Gedeo
                                                                                                                         Kemba A/minchizuria
                                                                                                                            Bonke
                                                                                                                                            Amaro
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Meda Walabu
                                                                                                                                           Amaro SW          Melka Sodda
                                                                                                                             Derashe
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Guji
                                                                                                                         Dirashe SW              Burji                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mustahil
                                                                                                   South Omo                      Konso       Burji SW               Dugda Dawa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Charati
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Hargelle                                  Barie
                                                                                                                             Konso SW                                                                              Liben                                                                                     Afder
                                                                                       Yangatom                                                                                                                                                               Filtu
                                                                                                                                                             Yabello
                                                                                                        Hamer
                                                                                                                                Taltelle                                                                                                                      Liben
                                                                                          Daesenech                   Borena                                                                                    Hudet
                                                                                                                                                                                       Arero
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Dolobay

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Doloodo
                                                                                                                                             Dilo
                                                                                                                                                                              Dahahas
                                                                                                                                                            Dire


                                                                                                                                                                                         Miyoo
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Moyale
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              0                       75                      150                                         300                                 450                 600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  kilometers



      Source: FAO.

              Figure 4.10: Improved Water Coverage by Dominant Livelihood Type in Ethiopia,
              2007 and 2010


                                         45

                                         40

                                         35
          Improved water coverage (%)




                                         30

                                         25

                                         20

                                         15

                                         10

                                            5

                                            0
                                                                                       Cropping                                                                                                                                        Agropastoralist                                                                                                                                                      Pastoralist
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Livelihood type


      Source: World Bank calculations based on the merged 2010 LIU livelihoods database with 2007 Census.




38	                                                                                                                               Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
          Figure 4.11: Improved Water Coverage with Regions, by Livelihood Type


                                    60
      Improved water coverage (%)




                                    50

                                    40

                                    30

                                    20

                                    10

                                     0
                                          CR      AP        CR     AP      CR      AP       PA      AP           PA   CR        AP     PA
                                           Gambella           SNNPR             Oromiya                   Afar                Somali

                                                                            Livelihood type


  Source: World Bank calculations based on the merged 2010 LIU livelihoods database with 2007 Census.
  Note: AP = agropastoralist; CR = cropping; PA = pastoralist; SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




          Figure 4.12: Improved Water Coverage by Woreda’s Dominant Livelihood Type and
          whether the Woreda is a Recipient of the PSNP Safety Net


                                    60

                                    50

                                    40
      Percent




                                    30

                                    20

                                    10

                                     0
                                         No safety net      Safety net    No safety net      Safety net      No safety net      Safety net
                                                  Cropping                       Agropastoralist                        Pastoralist

                                                         Other improved water source      Piped water from public tap


  Source: World Bank calculations based on the merged 2010 LIU livelihoods database with 2007 Census - http://foodeconomy​
  .com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Atlas-Final-Web-Version-6_14.pdf.
  Note: Data in figure show that PSNP-targeted woredas have higher coverage than non-PSNP woredas in agrarian areas but not
  pastoralist areas. PSNP = Productive Safety Nets Program.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                        39
      population density woredas (>300 people per square kilometer). Although these areas
      have difficult hydrology (HI=2), they are served by relatively high levels of piped water
      schemes (41 percent piped of 61 percent improved), indicating that they have received
      attention from the regional water bureaus (Oromia and SNNPR) and their development
      partners to overcome the difficult hydrogeology through multi-village piped schemes.

      While the PSNP is associated with higher rates of access to improved water supply in agrarian
      cropping woredas, this is not the case in pastoralist and agropastoralist woredas. Across
      Ethiopia, woredas targeted by the PSNP reported significantly higher levels of access to
      improved water than those not targeted. However, further analysis reveal that these differences
      are only significant across agrarian cropping woredas but not across pastoralist and
      agropastoralist woredas. Pastoralist and agropastoralist woredas targeted by the PSNP do not
      have better access to improved water, quite possibly because compex hydrogeology is a barrier
      not overcome with the funding available through the program. Yet, even where hydrogeology is
      complex in agrarian woredas, GoE and development partners manage to overcome these
      difficulties through the design and implementation of piped schemes, but this is less evident
      in pastoralist and agropastoralist areas.6

      Within agrarian areas local variations in access to improved water supplies may reflect
      interactions between topography, hydrogeology, and accessibility. Some less poor rural areas
      with low improved water coverage have invested in self-supply. These are remote, low population
      density areas with agrarian production systems that generate a surplus, such as the western
      enset growing areas of SNNPR or lower density sorghum growing areas of Amhara. In these
      areas where the hydrogeology is relatively easy, large numbers of households have hand-dug
      their own unimproved wells.

      Many areas worst affected by the El Niño triggered drought of 2015-16 were already known as
      seasonally vulnerable because of a combination of technical and physical constraints. They are
      areas with few springs and little or no shallow groundwater for dug wells, and they are difficult
      or impossible to reach with truck-mounted drilling rigs for accessing deeper groundwater. Such
      areas fall between the cracks of service delivery modalities: they are unsuitable for basic
      spring development and dug wells, and too difficult and expensive to reach with drilled shallow
      wells and deeper boreholes.


      Access Disparities by Service Qualities along the Service
      Delivery and Results Chain
      Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Target 6.1 relates to drinking water: “By 2030, achieve
      universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all.” It aims to achieve
      universal access, rather than just halving the proportion of the population without access.
      Next, it calls for equitable access, which implies reducing inequalities in service levels between
      population subgroups. Finally, it specifies that drinking water should be safe, affordable, and
      accessible to all. To meet the threshold for a safely managed service, the improved source
      must meet three conditions:

        ••   Accessibility: the source should be located on premises (within the dwelling, yard, or plot).

        ••   Availability: water should be available when needed.

        ••   Quality: water supplied should be free from fecal and priority chemical contamination.

      If any of the three conditions are not met, but the improved source is within 30 minutes of the
      home, it will continue to be categorized as a basic service.

      This section examines these service qualities along the service delivery and results
      chain:  (a)  time to source; (b) water availability; (c) quality of water; and (d) diarrhea and


40	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Figure 4.13: Service Quality along Results Chain between T60 and B40 Households in Ethiopia, 2016


                                                                                                            Treatment of
                                     Time to source                                                             water                             Stunting in children
                                         65%                 Availability of            Quality of water        16%        Diarrhea in children   under five years old
                 Top 60%               <= 30min                  water                     at source                       under five years old           43%
                                                                  88%                     9% low risk                             11%

                                           The larger the disparity the further apart

                                                              Availability of            Quality of water
               Bottom 40%            Time to source               water                     at source                      Diarrhea in children
                                         59%                       88%                     9% low risk                     under five years old     Stunting in children
                                                                                                            Treatment of
                                       <= 30min                                                                                   13%              under five years old
                                                                                                                water
                                                                                                                                                          37%
                                                                                                                 6%



 Sources: Time to source, DHS 2016; availability of water, ESS 2016; quality of water, ESS 2016; water treatment, DHS 2016; diarrhea and stunting, DHS 2016.
 Note: B40 = bottom 40 percent of the wealth index; T60 = top 60 percent of the wealth index.




  malnutrition outcomes. This is done for both the top 60 percent (T60) and the bottom 40
  percent (B40) of the wealth distribution (figure 4.13). The section then presents what this
  means for the SDG baseline for the rural water supply subsector.

  Accessibility is a criterion for both basic and safely managed drinking water services using
  the indicator of time to fetch water (go, queue, collect, and return). The Joint Monitoring
  Programme (JMP) uses a travel time indicator for accessibility.7 Households reporting
  collection of water from an improved source that is not on premises but takes 30 minutes
  or less (for round-trip travel, collection, and queuing) are classified as having basic services,
  while those using improved sources that take over 30 minutes are classified as having
  limited services.

  Between 2000 and 2011 the proportion of households collecting water within 30 minutes
  dropped from 65 percent to 57 percent. This is because in 2011 a greater proportion of
  households collected water from more distant improved sources than from closer unprotected
  sources (see figure 4.14). Only by 2016 did the proportion of people able to fetch water within
  half an hour return to the 2000 level (figure 4.14). So while 35 million people gained access
  to improved water sources from 2000–16, the number of people able to collect water in less
  than 30 minutes increased only by around 15 million people.

  Though women-headed households (47 percent) have slightly better access to water than
  male-headed (44 percent) households in rural areas, women (71 percent) and female children
  (15 percent) bear the burden of fetching water. The only exception to this is in the Somali
  region where in 30 percent of households men were the primary fetchers of water. This is
  maybe attributable to the median time to source being two hours compared to 30 minutes or
  less in other regions. However in Afar, which had a median time of two hours to fetch water, the
  burden fell to women in 80 percent of households.

  Availability and sufficiency of water. Availability is an important criterion for assessing drinking
  water service levels.8 In the Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey-Water Quality Testing Component
  (ESS-WQT 2016) water quality module, two questions were asked about availability and
  sufficiency of water:

    1.	 In the past two weeks, was the water from this source not available for at least one full day?

    2.	 Has there been any time in the last month when you did not have water in sufficient
        quantities?

  If the answer to the second question was yes, the respondent was asked the main reason that
  he or she did not have water in sufficient quantities.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                                     41
            Figure 4.14: Households Able to Fetch Water within 30 Minutes in Ethiopia, 2000–16


                           70

                           60

                           50




          Households (%)
                           40

                           30

                           20

                           10

                            0
                                30           60                30           60             30          60
                                     2000                            2011                       2016
                                                      Improved      Unimproved   Surface


      Sources: DHS 2000, 2011, and 2016.
      Note: Data show changing composition of sources over time.




      Across all rural areas, at the time of this survey, households reported that water was
      available (88 percent) and sufficient (83 percent) most of the time. There was variation
      across source types: piped water from stand posts (66 percent) was less frequently
      available than that from protected wells (93 percent) or protected springs (96 percent).
      Rainwater collection systems used almost exclusively in Somali region—cisterns or
      berkhads—were the least reliable with nearly 60 percent of households using them
      reporting that water in the past two weeks had not been available from these sources.

      However, in rural areas, availability and sufficiency become critical in seasonal or chronic
      drought. Detailed water audits conducted along a highland–lowland transect in eastern
      Oromia highlighted the problem of seasonality, very low levels of water use, and the
      importance of wealth in shaping service levels (Coulter et al, 2010; Tucker et al. 2014).
      Very few households in any livelihood zone exceeded the domestic (drinking, cooking,
      personal hygiene, laundry) water requirements recommended by the Sphere project (Sphere
      Project, 2011) for humanitarian emergency situations (7.5–15 liters per capita per day), let
      alone reached the levels recommended for nonemergency situations. The majority of
      households used 8–12 liters per capita per day, levels that present a high level of health
      concern (Howard and Bartram 2003). Moreover, poorer households consistently used less
      water than their better-off counterparts, particularly for hygiene, and especially in the dry
      season.

      The drought associated with the current El Niño cycle has also raised questions around the
      resilience of services and their underlying functionality. By April 2016, the peak of the El
      Niño drought, the GoE reported that around 10 million people across six regions were in
      need of emergency assistance; of these around 6 million (in over 160 priority woredas)
      were affected by acute water shortages (Howard et al 2016). Real-time monitoring of water
      access conducted by World Vision and Oxfam from January to March 2016 revealed that
      in January, at the start of monitoring, 85 percent of hand-dug wells had failed completely
      (box 4.2). A key response has been water point rehabilitation, suggesting that the drought
      exacerbated—or drew attention to—long standing problems of repair and maintenance
      (UNICEF 2016).


42	                                         Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 4.2: Lessons from the El Niño Drought

       The El Niño–triggered drought of 2015–16 was one of the worst in decades. In June 2015, the
       GoE declared the failure of the spring (belg) rains. This affected smallholder farmers and
       pastoralists in the northeastern rangelands of Afar and northern Somali region. Weak and
       erratic summer (meher) rains then tipped many pastoralists and meher-dependent farmers
       into crisis. By April 2016, the GoE reported that 10.2 million people in six regions needed




       Hand pump water supply point for Aboakokit School and local community, Aboakokit Kebele, Fogera Woreda,
       Amhara Region.
       © Chris Terry/World Bank



                                                                                box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                            43
           Box 4.2: Continued

           emergency assistance, from which 5.8 million people were affected by acute water shortages
           in 166 woredas. Following a WASH Gap Analysis led by the United Nations Children’s Fund
           (UNICEF) and the Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity (MoWIE), the population in need
           of emergency water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) interventions quickly rose to
           8.9 million people across 223 woredas.

           Piecing together WASH impacts and responses is difficult. Assessments have been periodically
           updated, but the criteria and methods used to assess WASH-related problems have evolved
           over time. What seems clear is the scale of the drought-related WASH problem took government
           and its development partners by surprise, and major arguments broke out about data on the
           number of water points that were drying out and about how best to respond.

           In January 2015, the GoE sanctioned a real-time monitoring program designed to improve the
           timeliness and accuracy of WASH reporting across six drought-affected regions: Afar, Amhara,
           Oromia, Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region, Somali, and Tigray. Supported by
           UNICEF, Oxfam, and World Vision, teams of enumerators collected data on the functionality of
           water points, consumption levels, and the time and distance for water collection. Results for
           phase 1 (January to March 2015) indicated that 40 percent of improved sources had failed
           completely; 85 percent of dug wells had failed; 45 percent of respondents were using less
           than 5 liters per capita per day; and 66 percent of households were spending over one hour
           per day collecting water—in some cases walking up to 10 hours per day. A planned phase 2
           of the monitoring work was cancelled by the GoE.

           Data have not been officially published but are widely reported in summary form. What
           they reveal is, first, there were major problems with the underlying functionality and
           performance of systems, predrought. Second, they appear to show that dug wells were
           particularly vulnerable. However, the widespread failure of wells could be attributed, in
           part, to underlying problems of poor siting, construction, and maintenance. Following the
           El Niño drought, below average rains in the south and east of the country caused by the
           negative Indian Ocean Dipole have now left 5.6 million people in need of emergency
           humanitarian assistance.

           Sources: UNICEF 2016; key informant interviews 2016.




      Quality of water at source. To be considered safe, drinking water must be free from
      pathogens and elevated levels of harmful substances at all times. The highest priority
      water quality parameter globally, and in most countries, is contamination of drinking water
      with fecal matter.9 The ESS-WQT 2016 is the first large-scale water quality testing to have
      been carried out in Ethiopia. The survey tested two samples for E. coli: one at the point of
      collection, and one directly from a glass used for drinking. At point of source 4,513 valid
      tests were conducted (see appendix D for methods and more detailed results).

      Though there was little variation across wealth or geography over nine out 10 rural samples
      tested positive for E. coli, and nearly seven out of 10 samples were classified as high (11–100
      colony-forming units per 100 milliliters) or very high risk (>100 colony-forming units per


44	                                       Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  100 milliliters). E. coli was detected across all source types in rural areas. Protected wells
  (99 percent) and springs (93 percent) were equally at risk of fecal contamination as unprotected
  sources (95 percent). Only boreholes (87 percent) and stand posts (80 percent) were marginally
  lower in the proportion of sources in which E. coli was detected and in the overall level of risk
  from fecal contamination (see figure 4.15 and figure 4.16).




       Figure 4.15: E. Coli Risk Levels at Point of Collection by Rural Water Supply Type in
       Ethiopia, 2016


                100
                 90
                 80
                 70
                 60
      Percent




                 50
                 40
                 30
                 20
                 10
                  0
                                 ta r




                                        e




                                        g




                                                                w d




                                                                rin d




                                                                                            w d




                                                                                                         ct ter




                                                                                                                              er
                              ic te




                                      ol




                                    rin




                                                             g te




                                                            sp cte




                                                                                          g te




                                                                                                                         at
                           bl wa




                                                                                                      lle a
                                    p




                                                                      l




                                                                    g




                                                                                                l




                                                                                                              n
                                   eh




                                                                   el




                                                                                             el
                                                          du tec




                                                                                        du tec
                                 sp




                                                                                                    co ainw




                                                                                                                         w
                                                                                                           io
                                                                 te
                                or
                       pu ed




                                                                                                                       ce
                                                               o




                                                              ro




                                                                                          ro
                              d
                            l/b




                                                            Pr
                           te




                                                           np




                                                                                    np




                                                                                                      R




                                                                                                                   rfa
                            p




                         el
                         Pi




                        ec




                                                         U




                                                                                    U




                                                                                                                  Su
                       w




                     ot
                    be




                  Pr
                 Tu




                                                             Water supply source

                                       E. coli >100       E. coli 11–100       E. coli 1–10        E. coli <1


  Sources: ESS 2016 Water Quality Survey.




       Figure 4.16: Main Source of Household Drinking Water by Type in Ethiopia, 2016


                30
                                                                              25
                25
                      20
                20
      Percent




                15                13            14                                                                            13

                10
                                                                    7
                                                                                               5
                 5
                                                                                                              1
                 0
                        ho r




                                            rin d




                                                                   l



                                                                            rin d




                                                                                              l




                                                                                                              r



                                                                                                                           ce
                         ip /




                                                                el




                                                                                            el
                      dp tap




                      re ll o




                                                                                                             e
                                        sp cte




                                                                         sp cte




                                                                                                          at
                                                               w




                                                                                           w




                                                                                                                         fa
                           le




                                                g




                                                                                g
                            e


                   bo we




                                                                                                          w




                                                                                                                          r
                                              e




                                                                d



                                                                             te




                                                                                          d
                   an c




                                                                                                                       Su
                                                                                                       in
                                           ot
                 st bli




                                                              te




                                                                                           e
                                                                          ro
                     be




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                                                                                                     Ra
                                        Pr




                                                            ec
                    Pu




                                                                         np




                                                                                    te
                  Tu




                                                         ot




                                                                                    ro
                                                                        U
                                                      Pr




                                                                                np
                                                                               U




                                                             Water supply source


  Sources: DHS 2016.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                              45
      Previous, smaller water quality surveys reported lower levels of contamination but lacked the
      scale and representativeness of the ESS. There have been a number of small-scale water
      quality surveys (e.g., Kebede et al. 2017) but only one other water quality survey carried out at
      any scale across Ethiopia (WHO 2010). This survey, called the Rapid Assessment of Drinking-
      Water Quality (RADWQ) was carried out in 2004–05 across 1,602 households. Though it is
      representative of improved types of water supply used in the country, it does not report
      separately on urban and rural areas. The RADWQ survey reports lower average levels of
      microbiological contamination than the ESS survey. Thermotolerant coliforms were detected in
      32 percent of borehole samples, 45 percent of protected dug wells, and 56 percent of protected
      springs. For some regions and types of source, however, such as protected springs in SNNPR,
      thermotolerant coliforms were detected in 79 percent of the samples. The ESS’s larger scale,
      enabling a greater reach into rural areas, and its stratified sample design, enabling disaggregated
      reporting for urban and rural areas, may account for the higher levels of microbiological
      contamination reported.

      Treatment of water. Though the ESS-WQT 2016 reports some improvement to water quality
      at point of use when treated, only 5 percent of rural households treated water. The DHS
      2011 and 2016 report slightly higher rates of treatment in rural areas at around 8 percent.
      The main methods households used were chlorinating (5 percent) and boiling water
      (2 percent).

      Households that reported treated water at the household level were more likely to see a
      decrease in E. coli levels (19 percent) than households that did not report treatment
      (10 percent). Water treatment is one of the few variables in the service delivery chain that
      shows variation  across wealth quintiles with households in the T60 (16 percent) more
      likely to treat water than households in the B40 (6 percent). However, given the very low
      levels of water treatment in rural areas, this does not appear to be a significant contributor
      to a divide in health outcomes.


      Implications of Service Quality on the SDG Baseline
      Though there is little differentiation by wealth the level of service available to Ethiopia’s
      rural population is very low: an SDG baseline of just 5 percent of people having access to
      safely managed drinking water. Across the service delivery and results chain, the main
      finding relating to wealth is that there is very little differentiation whether by (a) time to
      source; (b) water availability; (c) quality of water at source; (d) diarrhea; or (e) malnutrition.
      The only small difference is in water treatment, but the overall levels of treatment are so
      low that these are unlikely to influence outcomes. Rather, the analysis of links along the
      chain highlights that both poorer and wealthier households face an equally low level of
      service with (a) limited time saving being realized; (b) seasonal and drought risks to
      availability and sufficiency; (c) poor water quality; and (d) very low levels of point of use
      treatment. With failures throughout the service delivery chain, current rural service levels
      are unlikely to deliver on the health, let alone the putative economic benefits, of rural water
      supply interventions.

      The SDG baseline for safely managed rural drinking water is just 5 percent determined by
      the lowest element of the three conditions of (a) accessibility (the source should be
      located on premises within the dwelling, yard or plot); (b) availability (water from an
      improved source should be available when needed); and (c) quality (water supplied should
      be free from fecal and priority chemical contamination). Even if there were higher levels
      of water on premises, the quality of water would be the next element to determine the
      baseline.

      The SDG baseline for a basic service of rural water supply is 26 percent (see figure 4.17). This
      is where the three conditions of safely managed are not met, but the improved source is within
      30 minutes of the home.


46	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure 4.17: Estimates of Safely Managed Rural Drinking Water in Rural Ethiopia,
       2016—SDG Methodology



                                                                                                      SDG ladder
                100
                                                          Elements of safely managed                      14

                80
                                                                                                          30

                60
      Percent




                         56

                                                                       46
                40                                                                                        30



                20                      26
                                                                                                          21

                                                      5                                     7             5
                 0
                      Improved   Improved within   Improved      Improved            Improved    Safely managed
                                   30 minutes         on          available            free of    drinking water
                                    roundtrip      premises     when needed        contamination      services

                        Surface water    Unimproved   Limted service        Basic serivce       Safety managed


  Source: ESS-WQT 2016.
  Note: SDG = Sustainable Development Goal.




  However, neither of these definitions for safely managed or basic services deal with a final
  condition of the SDG: affordability. The following section examines affordability exploring some
  of challenges that there would be in expanding access to piped water.


  Implications of a Shift Toward Piped Water
  Supply on Affordability
  While expenditure on nonpiped sources is very low the expenditure on piped water and water
  from vendors rises sharply across consumption quintiles (see figure 4.18). The 2011 Household
  Income and Consumption Economic Survey (HICES) collected expenditure data on both food
  and essential nonfood items, including water. In rural areas the survey reports average actual
  expenditure on water to be Br 62 per person per year (US$3.7), equating to an implied
  subsector turnover of US$230 million in 2011.

  This pattern of expenditure is reflected in a much smaller survey of tariffs across 100
  schemes in Ethiopia conducted for the 2009 Ethiopia PER. The results of this small survey
  help explain this pattern. First, only 55 of the schemes have instituted a regular tariff (i.e.,
  a user payment per bucket, monthly, or annual), 45 of which also have a maintenance fund.
  Water tariffs are extremely low except for motorized piped schemes in which tariffs average
  just under Br 0.5 per 20 liters. Motorized piped schemes use diesel engines to pump
  water from boreholes, usually to an overhead tank, from which water is distributed to stand
  posts. These schemes have high operational costs since they have to buy diesel regularly
  for water pumping.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                              47
             Figure 4.18: Average Total Consumption per Person per Year in Ethiopia, 2011


                                    140

                                    120




          Ethiopian Br (millions)
                                    100

                                     80

                                     60

                                     40

                                     20

                                      0
                                          Poorest          Poorer              Middle              Richer           Richest
                                                Nonpiped improved sources      Public stand post    Private vended water


      Source: HICES 2011.
      Note: “Consumption per person” refers to adult equivalent.




       Table 4.1: Average Tariff by Scheme Type and Payment Method
                                                                                            Tariff (Br)
       Source/scheme type                                           Pay annually          Pay monthly         Pay per bucket
       Protected spring                                                 n.a.                  0.71                  n.a.
       Hand-dug well                                                   11.00                  1.15                  n.a.
       Shallow borehole                                                6.00                   1.31                  0.07
       Spring with piped distribution                                   n.a.                 10.00                  0.10
       Motorized deep borehole with                                     n.a.                   n.a.                 0.47
       piped distribution
       Source: PER 2009.
       Note: n.a. = not applicable.




      At the equivalent of Br 25 per cubic meter, the tariff for these rural motorized schemes is over
      five times the average urban tariff per cubic meter and 25 times the lowest urban tariff bands
      (see figure 4.19). Consuming just 20 liters per person per day would be equivalent to just
      under Br 200 per person per year, which is more than the 5 percent affordability threshold
      commonly used to gauge affordability. Many of these motorized piped schemes are in pastoralist
      and ago-pastoralist lowland areas.

      Another small-scale study of water use conducted in Shinile woreda in Somali region and
      Konso woreda in SNNPR (Dessalegn et al. 2013) reports that the poorest households are
      most severely affected by the high costs of rural water. They have the least labor to release,
      the fewest assets to collect and store water, and the least cash to pay for it. They are also more
      likely to forego income-generating activities in favor of water collection, and more likely to see
      the condition of their livestock deteriorate because of constrained water access. The study
      reveals that water fees also affect access, particularly for poorer households.


48	                                                     Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  In view of the shift envisaged to more complex piped schemes under GTP II, the affordability of
  water services and cost-sharing arrangements will need to be examined carefully. Evidence
  from national surveys, smaller studies, and the case study (box 4.3) suggest that affordability
  of rural water from piped schemes, particularly motorized piped schemes, can be a real barrier
  for poorer households to access and explains the skewed distribution of access to piped water
  in rural areas. In circumstances of shocks such as the poor harvests from recent drought
  events, the cost of water can have a profound effect on availability of cash income and on rural
  indebtedness.10




       Figure 4.19: Trends in Access to Rural Sanitation


                100



                80



                60
      Percent




                40



                20



                 0
                           2000                 2005                       2011                 2016
                                                       Ethiopia, 2000–16
                                          Improved      Unimproved     Open defecation


  Source: DHS, 200, 2005, 2011 & 2016.




           Box 4.3: Poor Households Receiving Safety-Net Funding from PSNP Excluded
           from Access to Improved Piped Water

           Mareko is a food insecure woreda in the Gurage zone of SNNPR that benefits from the PSNP.
           Ilala Gebiba Kebele in Mareko woreda has a motorized scheme that lifts water from a well at
           a depth of 270 meters. About six years ago the diesel generator used drive the water pump
           was replaced with electric- powered engine to reduce the cost of water production. Water is
           sold at Br 0.25 for a jerry can. Households also contribute Br 100 annually to cover
           maintenance costs. Households that cannot pay are excluded from accessing the piped
           water scheme.

                                                                                  box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                       49
      Box 4.3: Continued




      Ansade Seid, Ilala Gebiba Kebele in Mareko Woreda, SNNPR.
      © Chris Terry/World Bank


      While the borehole and one of its distribution points is within 200-meter distance to Ansade Seid,
      a mother of five, and to Shumba Bukeri a mother of three, both families cannot afford to use
      water from this source. Until last year Ansade bought water from the piped scheme at Br 0.15
      per jerry can, but both Ansade and Shumba now collect water from a muddy pond close to their
      house, which is also used for animal watering. They use this water for both cooking and drinking
      purposes. At times they boil the water and filter it through a cloth for drinking. Ansade adds
      cement powder, which she takes form her workplace, to help settle the sediment in the water.
                                                                                 box continues next page




50	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 4.3: Continued




       Shumba Bukeri, Ilala Gebiba Kebele in Mareko Woreda, SNNPR.
       © Chris Terry/World Bank


                                                 , receiving Br 710 per month for four months of the
       Both families are beneficiaries of the PSNP
       year, until the beginning of the rainy season. The children of both families also benefit from
       feeding program at the local school. During the rainy seasons, the husbands are able to get
       work laboring on other peoples’ farms while both Ansade and Shambu look after cattle for
       payment of basic needs (feeding, watering, and provision of shelter). Their income barely
       meets the family’s monthly need for food, and even though they receive the PSNP support they
       are unable to buy water from the improved piped water source. It is not due to lack of awareness
       about the benefits of clean water. It is simply that buying food is prioritized over buying water.

       WASH committee members evaluating Asnade’s and Shambu’s situation agreed to consider
       their case with some agreeing to enable them to receive one jerry can of water for each
       household per day free of charge. But since water sold is metered, providing water free of
       charge requires a special arrangement.

       Source: Yemane and Defere n.d.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                       51
      Model latrine of Asersash Melese, 1-5 Leader, Ayjaseta Kebele in Fegeta Lakoma Woreda, Amhara Region.
      © Chris Terry/World Bank




52	                                                                        Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Rural Sanitation Subsector Analysis

  National Status and Trends
  Improvements in access to sanitation in rural Ethiopia has benefited from the transformative
  approach to the delivery of basic health care services implemented by the government. MoH’s
  flagship Health Extension Program (HEP) operates with the premise that access and quality of
  primary health care for communities can be improved through the transfer of health knowledge
  and skills to households. This focused approach based on behaviorial change aligns with
  emerging thinking within the rural sanitation subsector and with the government’s policy of zero
  hardware subsidies for household latrines.

  The training and deployment of health extension workers (HEWs) at the kebele level through
  the HEP has provided a mechanism to promote sanitation and hygiene behaviors and adoption
  of low-cost latrine technologies at scale. The HEP is structured around packages of health
  messages delivered by around 38,000 HEWs. These packages are organized around 16
  thematic areas, of which seven relate to sanitation and hygiene behaviors. Despite the financing
  challenges of the HEP and scale of the tasks expected from the HEWs, including modules in
  the HEP packages on ways to change sanitation and hygiene behaviors have provided the basis
  for notable progress in latrine coverage. Regional health bureaus and woreda health offices
  have harnessed the HEP and outreach of the HEWs to significantly improve the sanitation
  situation in rural areas after 2000.

  Clear GoE strategies, high level of political commitments for improving sanitation, and the
  empowerment of regional bodies through an ongoing decentralization process have created a
  conducive enabling environment for sanitation and hygiene promotion and service delivery. In
  2005 the MoH’s National Hygiene and Sanitation Strategy (NHSS) focused on three main
  areas: (a) safely manage excreta; (b) safe water chain from a source to point of use; and
  (c)  hand washing with soap after defecation. This was followed in 2006 by the Universal
  Access Plan (UAP), which targeted 100 percent sanitation coverage.11 The development of the
  NHSS Strategic Action Plan (2011), supported by the National Community-Led Total Sanitation
  and Hygiene (CLTSH) Guideline, the National Sanitation Marketing Guidelines, and other
  protocols, belatedly provided the tools and methodologies to guide implementation.

  Ethiopia was recognized in the 2015 JMP report (UNICEF/WHO 2015) as having achieved
  the largest global decrease in the proportion of the population practicing open defecation.12
  In 2000, the DHS recorded that open defecation13 rate (those households without access
  to a latrine) in rural areas was at 92 percent. By 2016 Ethiopia reduced the proportion of
  the population practicing open defecation to 39.1 percent, which is an average reduction
  of over 3.5 percent per year since 2000. It should however be noted that progress has
  slowed in recent years, with a reduction of only just over 1 percent per year between 2012
  and 2016.

  While the reduction in open defecation has resulted in the uptake of latrines, most latrines
  built in rural areas are unimproved.14 The 2016 DHS reports access to unimproved latrines
  in rural areas was 52.5 percent, compared to just 5.7 percent of households with improved
  latrines15. The progress in reducing open defecation is commendable; however, the
  significant number of unimproved latrines raises questions over the public health impact
  of this change. While unimproved latrines can increase convenience and dignity for
  individuals, they are less likely to safely remove feces from the environment and not result
  in the expected health benefits. While data on latrine use remain limited, studies show
  that behavior change is less likely to be sustained by users of unimproved latrine due to
  the less pleasurable experience and the cost of maintaining less robust infrastructure. In
  part this slippage could explain the slowdown in reduction of open defecation in recent
  years, as household return to open defecation practices.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                53
           Box 4.4: Health Extension Workers Support Improvement in Sanitation

           Abakokit Keble (Faguta woreda in South Gonder zone) is an example of success in the woreda.
           After following the initial engagement of the HEWs on sanitation and hygiene promotion, it
           achieved 100 percent latrine coverage. However, the communities’ initial response to CLTSH
           was latrinization, with little focus to quality and sustained use. The poor quality latrines and
           person behavior have been test by annual rain that bring flooding to the areas. Most latrines
           are destroyed each year, and residents are now fed up with annually rebuilding their latrines,
           resulting in latrine coverage of only 5.2 percent.

           The HEWs engaged the communities in the kebele to achieve open-defecation-free status, and
           provided some technical support on how to build traditional pit latrines. However, the HEWs’
           capacity to provide technical support was inadequate when it came to building improved pit
           latrines with a cleanable floor and wall ensuring privacy. In fact, in the case of Abakokit, the
           demand is beyond just improved latrine but for more sustainable latrine technologies suitable
           for areas prone to water-logging. The HEWs struggled to meet the community’s needs, and are
           in a vicious circle in which they continue to promote the same hygiene and sanitation messages
           with decreasing success. As a result, the HEWs, who have many other tasks assigned to
           them, shift their focus to other areas in which progress is more realistic. As a result, Abakokit’s
           family and other families have returned to open defecation.

           Although this is a single case, in general, HEWs have focused on promoting latrine construction
           and have done less to promote safe excreta disposal and sustained use of latrines. Unless a
           clear strategy for hygiene promotion focuses on sustained use of latrines, along with means
           to support households to climb up the sanitation ladder, the trend of communities reverting
           back to open defecation will continue.

           Source: Yemane and Defere n.d.




      The low uptake of improved latrines in rural areas are driven by both demand and supply
      factors. From the demand side, there is a strong emphasis on households stopping open
      defecation and building basic latrines. HEWs often lack knowledge of the importance of building
      a hygienic latrine, and therefore provide communities with limited information on why they
      should invest in an improved latrine or how to build one. This is compounded by supply-side
      factors: most communities lack someone with the knowledge and skills to construct an
      improved latrine, and products to support this construction are not available in the local market.
      Where products and services are available they are often not affordable or above a price
      households are willing to pay, due to individuals’ lack of knowledge of the importance of
      investing in a latrine. There are also limited microfinance products available to support
      households build latrines.


      Access Disparities by Geography and Livelihoods
      Significant variation in the sanitation coverage can be observed among rural populations in
      different regions (figure 4.20). The most significant disparity is in open defecation rates, which
      range from 18 percent to 85 percent. The regional variation between improved sanitation rates
      are less significant, ranging from 1.2 percent to 22.7 percent.


54	                                         Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  The four large (and predominately agrarian) regions have achieved the most significant
  reduction in open defection, dropping from 94 percent to 42 percent between 2000 and 2016
  (figure 4.21). The open defecation reduced by 48 percent in the chartered cities, similar to
  the large regions during the same period. Despite open defecation in the emerging regions
  being lower in 2000 than the other regions, progress has been slowest during the period,
  reducing from 82 percent to 56 percent.




       Figure 4.20: Rural Sanitation Coverage by Region in Ethiopia, 2016


                100

                 80

                 60
      Percent




                 40

                 20

                  0
                           l



                                   PR



                                            ia



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                                                               Sanitation coverage
                                                   Improved     Unimproved         Open defecation


  Source: DHS 2016.
  Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




       Figure 4.21: Rural Sanitation Coverage Trends in Large Regions, Emerging Regions,
       and Chartered Cities in Ethiopia, 2000 and 2016


                100
                 90
                 80
                 70
                 60
      Percent




                 50
                 40
                30
                 20
                 10
                 0
                            2000            2016              2000               2016           2000             2016
                               Large regions                   Emerging regions                     Chartered cities

                                                    Improved       Unimproved         Open defecation


  Source: DHS, 2016.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                       55
           Figure 4.22: Rural Sanitation Coverage Trends by Regions in Ethiopia, 2000–16


                    70

                    50

                    30




          Percent
                    10

                    –10

                    –30

                    –50

                    –70
                             PR




                                    ra



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                                                  Improved       Unimproved       Open defecation


      Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.



      While Afar has the lowest percentage of improved latrine, emerging regions (such as Somali
      and Gambella) and the chartered cities have some of the highest percentages of improved
      latrines. When regional trends in sanitation coverage are analyzed (see figure 4.22) the large
      regions (except for Tigray) have achieved the largest percentage growth in unimproved latrines.
      Emerging regions, on the other hand, have translated more modest reductions in open
      defecation into greater proportionate increases in improved latrines.

      These regional trends can be best explained by the effectiveness of HEP in the regions and
      the different approaches that have been promoted. It is clear that HEP has been most
      effectively delivered in the large regions and Benishangul-Gumuz. This is because of the
      greater capacity of the local government structures and the increased level of financial and
      technical support provided by development partners in these regions. The fact that SNNPR
      has the lowest levels of open defecation among its rural population can be primarily attributed
      to the strong political leadership of Dr. Shiferaw Teklemariam.16 Dr. Teklemariam placed
      sanitation high up on his agenda for change, and as a result woreda and kebele health offices
      and HEWs dedicated significant time to promoting improvement in sanitation, over and above
      other interventions.

      The predominant approach promoted by HEWs and development partners in the large regions
      has been the CLTSH approach, which emphasizes collective community action to eradicate
      open defecation. Because the approach does not provide subsidies for hardware construction
      (in line with the national policy), less focus has been placed on the construction of higher
      quality (improved) latrines. Poor access to sanitation products in rural areas, due to weak
      supply chains, has further compounded the challenge of constructing an improved latrine, with
      most rural communities relying on local materials.

      There are several explanations for the higher levels of improved latrines in the emerging
      regions. The first is that the promotion of the CLTSH approach has not been prevalent in the
      emerging regions. While Gambella, Afar, and Somali have high levels of open defecation, the
      distribution of subsidized hardware through humanitarian programs have resulted in some of
      the highest rates of improved latrines. In addition, the rural populations of the city states of
      Dire Dawa and Harari reside close to these large urban centers, providing them increased
      access to local markets and affordable sanitation products, which has enabled the construction
      of improved latrines.


56	                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  These differences in coverage and characteristics of coverage also play out within regions. The
  2007 Housing and Population Census data have been used to undertake woreda-level
  intraregional analysis, while this data are slightly outdated, they provide0 a good indication of
  some intraregional trends (see maps 4.4 and 4.5). Woredas with higher level of improved
  sanitation coverage tend to also have lower levels of open defecation. The woreda analysis
  further confirms the report of the higher coverage in SNNPR, but highlights that there are
  number of woredas in southwest SNNPR (Bench Maji and South Omo Zones) that have not
  made the progress shown in other areas. In addition, the progress in northern SNNPR is part
  of a band of progress from east to west: from Central Oromia (Arsi Zone), northern SNNPR,
  western Oromia, and southern Benishangul.

  Maps 4.4 and 4.5 clearly show woredas in southern Amhara and eastern and southern
  Tigray (Misraqawi and Debubawi Tigray Zones) have higher coverage rates compared to
  other woredas in the region. This is in part due to the higher level of external financial
  and technical support in these areas, and additional donor support in these areas
  since the 2007 census has further been exaggerated this trend. In Tigray, these zones
  have benefitted from their proximity to regional capital city of Mekelle, which has
  resulted in increased donor financing, access to markets, and political attention.
  Islands of success in Benishangul-Gumuz and Afar also exist, which warrants further
  investigation.

  Intraregional variations in sanitation coverage can to some degree be explained by livelihood
  types (cropping, agropastoralist, and pastoralist) (figure 4.23a), and production systems (cash
  crops, food crop, crop sales, and livestock) (figure 4.23b). There is significantly higher rates of
  open defecation in woredas with livelihood types classified as mostly pastoralist and
  agropastoralist, compared to those classified as cropping. There appears to be a systematic
  failure to improve sanitation coverage in pastrolist communities, as with the issues regarding
  improved water supply.


      Map 4.4: Open Defecation Rates in Ethiopia, 2007                    Map 4.5: Improved Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2007



                              Tigray                                                            Tigray


                                             Afar                                                              Afar

                                Amhara                                                            Amhara

             Benishangul                                                         Benishangul
               Gumuz                                                               Gumuz
                                           Dire Dawa                                                         Dire Dawa
                           Addis Ababa                                                         Addis Ababa
                                                    Harari                                                            Harari

        Gambella                         Oromia                             Gambella                       Oromia

                                                             Somali                                                            Somali
                      SNNPR                                                             SNNPR




       Rate (%)                                                           Rate (%)
             81–100                                                             0–10
            61–80                                                               11–20
            41–60                                                               21–30
            21–40                                                               31–40
            4–20                                                                41–68



  Source: Housing and Population Census, 2007.                        Source: Housing and Population Census 2007.
  Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.   Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                     57
           Figure 4.23: Open Defecation Rates in Ethiopia, by Livelihood Type and Production System, 2007


                                         a. Livelihood                                                 b. Production system
                    100                                                             100



                     80                                                             80



                     60                                                             60
          Percent




                                                                          Percent
                     40                                                             40



                     20                                                             20



                      0                                                              0
                          Cropping       Agropastoralist   Pastoralist                    Cash crop   Food crop   Crop sales   Livestock


      Source: Population and Housing Census 2007.




                                     Those living in woredas in which cropping, specifically cash cropping, is most prevelant have
                                     the lowest levels of open defecation. However, there appears to be lower open defecation rates
                                     in areas where households consume over half the food they produce, so-called “food crop”
                                     woredas, compared to areas of crop sales. This seems counterintuitive, and unlike water
                                     supply, cannot be explained by the safety nets program (PSNP), since open defecation is
                                     11 percentage points higher in PSNP woredas on average.

                                     Differences in open defecation rates can be observed between pastoralist and cropping
                                     woredas, which further confirms the systematic challenges of addressing sanitation coverage
                                     among these groups even within the regions. Fewer differences are observed between
                                     pastoralist and agropastoralist woredas in Somali and Oromia; however, there is a significant
                                     gap between pastoralist and agropastoralist woredas in Afar (figure 4.24). The most striking
                                     difference is in SNNPR and Gambella where agropastoralist woredas have a significantly higher
                                     level of open defecation than cropping woredas (see box 4.5).

                                     Despite emerging regions’ coverage lagging behind that of the large regions, most people who
                                     lack access to adequate sanitation reside in the large regions (see figure B4.5.1a). Of the total
                                     number of people who still defecate in the open in rural areas 86 percent are in Oromia,
                                     SNNPR, and Amhara; those areas are also home to 94 percent of households with unimproved
                                     latrines. Oromia contains 45 percent of the rural population still practicing open defecation,
                                     many of whom live within pastoralist communities (see figure B4.5.1b).

                                     To bring all the regions to a similar proportionate level of coverage, there is a clear argument
                                     to focus investment in the emerging regions to address the gaps in coverage they are
                                     experiencing compared to the large regions. However, there are just over 2 million people who
                                     openly defecate in the emerging regions, compared to over 25 million in the large regions. To
                                     achieve universal access to sanitation facilities, considerable focus needs to be made on the
                                     large regions. The following section looks at the relationship between poverty and sanitation
                                     coverage in rural areas, and identifies coverage levels among the poorest woreda to further
                                     guide choices concerning the targeting of investment.




58	                                                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
         Figure 4.24: Open Defecation Rates by Livelihood Type and Region in Ethiopia, 2007


                                  100
      Open defecation rates (%)




                                  80

                                  60

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                                  20

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                                                Cropping                            Agropastoralist                   Pastoralist

                                                                  Livelihood type and region


  Source: Population and Housing Census 2007.
  Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




                        Box 4.5: Challenge of Sustaining Sanitation Improvements in SNNPR

                        Digna Koisha Humbo kebeles in Digna Fango woredas (Wolaita Zone, SNNPR0) is one of the
                                                                                                      . While the
                        poorest woredas in the area with most of its residents benefiting from the PSNP
                        kebele once reported 100 percent latrine coverage, most latrines are now dysfunctional,
                        requiring maintenance and renovation. Muntashe Chinkla is a 70-year-old mother of five
                        daughters and a son, whose once functional latrine now requires rebuilding and sits unused.
                        She lives with three of her school-aged daughters, and the household’s only source of income
                        is the agricultural product they sell from their smallholding.

                        Chinkla buys one jerry can of water per week for drinking purpose at a rate of Br 2.50 per can,
                        and collects water for other domestic use from traditional sources. Her now dysfunctional
                        latrine, which her son helped her build, is shared with his family, which places an increased
                        burden on this failing facility. She realizes her need to improve her latrine but lacks the
                        resources to hire someone to build a stronger, more permanent structure.

                        Martha Mathewos has been a HEW for the last nine years, and sees the challenge faced by
                        many households as their latrines run into despair. As the initial community enthusiasm for
                        collective action on sanitation wanes, the honeymoon period ends and households return to
                        open defecation. Mathewos, like other HEWs, lacks the interest and time to continue hygiene
                        promotion, and although one to five groups were formed as a support system for hygienic
                        behavior, in practice they have little ability or motivation to improve the situation. Even those
                        who can afford to improve their latrine are now discouraged to do so, since the collective

                                                                                                      box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                   59
      Box 4.5: Continued




      Muntashe Chinkla, 70 years old. Digna Koisha Humbo Kabele, Digana Fango Woreda, SNNPR.
      © Chris Terry/World Bank



      decisions made in the past are no longer enforced with the same accountability. The prevalent
      poor economic situation and the lack of construction material and skilled labor are other
      challenges the households in this kebele must face to either rebuild or improve their latrine.
      The dysfunctional and unused latrines scattered across the kebele are a stark reminder to the
      community of the once good progress they made in improving the environment of the village.

                                                                                     box continues next page




60	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 4.5: Continued




       Marta Matthews, Health Extension Worker. Digna Koisha Humbo Kabele, Digana Fango Woreda, SNNPR.
       © Chris Terry/World Bank



       Source: Yemane and Defere n.d.

                                                                                      box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                           61
      Box 4.5: Continued



          Figure B4.5.1: Rural Populations in Ethiopia with Unimproved Latrines and Practicing Open
          Defecation, by Region, 2016


                               a. Unimproved latrines                                            b. Open defecation

                                     3% 3%
                                                                                                       6%
                                                                                                 10%
                              22%
                                                                                                                  40%
                                                      43%                                    12%




                                   29%                                                              32%



               Oromia     SNNPR      Amhara      Tigray     Emerging regions     Oromia   Amhara   SNNPR     Tigray   Emerging regions


      Source: DHS 2016.
      Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




                               Access Disparities by Wealth and Consumption
                               Analysis of poverty quintiles using the Welfare Monitoring Survey (WMS), based on
                               consumption, shows that poverty makes no difference to access to sanitation in rural
                               areas (see figure 4.25). This data would suggest that the HEP and other strategies used
                               to create demand for sanitation seems to have been effective for all households irrespective
                               of poverty levels. However, analysis of DHS data of poverty quintiles, using a wealth index,
                               shows a difference between rich and poor households in terms of access to sanitation
                               (see figure 4.26). In the richest quintile open defecation is nearly half that of the poorest
                               quintile. While the DHS data show inequality of coverage between rich and poor households,
                               over one-third of the richest 40 percent living in rural areas still defecate in the open and
                               only 10 percent the richest 40 percent have access to an improved latrine.

                               The poorest households have the lowest levels of adoption of the three key hygiene behaviors
                               highlighted in the GoE’s policies and strategies; safe child stool disposal, safe water treatment,
                               and improved hand washing. There was almost no improved hand washing reported in rural
                               areas, and low levels of improved child stool disposal (approximately 5 percent for the top
                               20  percent of the wealth index [T20] and 2 percent for the bottom 20 percent of the wealth
                               index [B20]) and safe water treatment (approximately 10 percent for the T20 and 2 percent for
                               the B20; see figure 4.27)

                               While the association is not that strong, female-headed households have higher rates of open
                               defecation and lower rates of improved latrines than male-headed households (figure 4.28). Several
                               factors drive this including access to land, access to skilled labor, and income levels. However, the
                               data confirm that even if women would prioritize sanitation over and above male counterparts in
                               decisions on how income were prioritized, other factors constrain them from implementing this.


62	                                                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Figure 4.25: Sanitation Coverage by Rural Consumption Quintile in Ethiopia, 2000–11


                                 100



                                 80
       Sanitation coverage (%)




                                 60



                                 40



                                 20



                                  0
                                       Poorest         Second             Middle              Fourth              Richest
                                                                Rural consumption quintile
                                                 Open defecation    Other unimproved       Shared      Improved


  Source: WMS 2000–11.




      Figure 4.26: Sanitation Coverage by Rural Wealth Quintile in Ethiopia, 2000–11


                                 100



                                 80
       Sanitation coverage (%)




                                 60



                                 40



                                 20



                                  0
                                       Poorest         Second             Middle              Fourth              Richest
                                                                   Rural wealth quintile
                                                 Open defecation    Other unimproved       Shared      Improved


  Source: JMP calculations of DHS 2000–11.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                       63
                  Figure 4.27: Exposure Variables by Economic Level for Rural Populations of Children
                  under 5 in Ethiopia, 2011


                                         a. Safe child stool disposal           b. Safe water treatment            c. Improved hand washing
                                60




         Children under 5 (%)
                                40


                                20


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                                                                                                                       or
                                 or




                                                                          or




                                                                                                               or
                                                  id




                                                                                       id




                                                                                                                            id
                                                           c




                                                                                                c




                                                                                                                                     c
                                          Po




                                                                                Po




                                                                                                                     Po
                                                                  c




                                                                                                       c




                                                                                                                                            c
                                                        Ri




                                                                                             Ri




                                                                                                                                  Ri
                                Po




                                                  M




                                                                        Po




                                                                                       M




                                                                                                              Po




                                                                                                                            M
                                                               Ri




                                                                                                    Ri




                                                                                                                                         Ri
                                               Wealth quintile                       Wealth quintile                      Wealth quintile


      Source: DHS 2011.




                  Figure 4.28: Rural Sanitation Coverage–Gender Analysis


                                100


                                 80


                                 60
                Percent




                                 40


                                 20


                                     0
                                                       Male-headed households                              Female-headed households
                                                                       Improved      Unimproved        Open defecation


      Source: DHS 2016.




      Access Disparities by Geography and Poverty
      At the national level, there does not appear to be a relationship between relative wealth and
      sanitation coverage, however to gain a more detailed insight the maps 4.6 and 4.7 present the
      relationship between poverty and open defecation and access to improved latrines at the
      woreda level. What is most reveling in this analysis are the extremes, in which there is low
      poverty and low coverage or high poverty and high coverage.

      Less than 5 percent of people live in an area of low levels of poverty and high levels of
      open defecation, and 6 percent with low levels of improved latrine coverage. However,
      these woredas fall into three distinct geographic areas (yellow on the map): (a) surrounding
      Addis Ababa in the Oromia region; (b) in northern Amhara (North Gondar Zone) and northern
      Benishangul-Gumuz (Mektekel Zone); and (c) eastern Somali. The low coverage in the
      woredas in northern Amhara and northern Benishangul-Gumuz could partially be explained


64	                                                              Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Map 4.6: Poverty Relationship to Open Defecation                       Map 4.7: Poverty Relationship to Improved Latrines
      in Ethiopia, 2007                                                      in Ethiopia, 2007



                                  Tigray                                                                 Tigray


                                                 Afar                                                                    Afar

                              Amhara                                                                 Amhara

              Benishangul                                                           Benishangul
                Gumuz                              Dire Dawa                          Gumuz                                Dire Dawa
                            Addis Ababa                                                            Addis Ababa
                                                      Harari                                                                 Harari


       Gambella                              Oromia                          Gambella                               Oromia

                                                           Somali                                                                 Somali
                     SNNPR                                                                  SNNPR




      Open defecation vs poverty rate                                        Improved sanitation vs poverty rate
            Low poverty, low open defecation                                       Low poverty, low improved sanitation
            Low poverty, high open defecation                                      Low poverty, high improved sanitation
            High poverty, low open defecation                                      High poverty, high improved sanitation
            High poverty, high open defecation                                     High poverty, low improved sanitation
            Medium to either of indicators                                         Medium to either of indicators


                                                                                                                    Woreda access to improved
                                           Woreda open defecation levels
                                                                                                                            sanitation

           Poverty level                <60                60–80      >80          Poverty level                   <20                20–40   >40

            <15                            2.8                        4.7          <15                               6                          1

            15–30                                              64.7                15–30                                               64

            >30                            13                         14.8         >30                              26                          2


  Source: World Bank calculations based on Housing and Population
  Census 2007.
  Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region.




  by the poor connectivity in the transportation infrastructure and their distance from major
  cities. Cultural issues could also play a part in the poor uptake of sanitation facilities. The
  woredas in eastern Somali are mostly home to pastoralists with relatively good economic
  opportunities. However, their nomadic lifestyle makes it socially and technically challenging
  to provide sanitation solutions.

  The reasons behind the low sanitation coverage around Addis Ababa are less clear,
  considering the relatively high level of road accessibility and proximity to a large urban center,
  which offers access to the good and services. This could be explained by the fact that these
  areas have more transient populations who move from other regions into the proximity of
  Addis Ababa to access employment, and the lack of community felt in these areas. The low
  sanitation coverage could be further compounded by the fact that many of the HEWs who
  work in these areas are based in Addis Ababa and have less connection with the communities
  they serve. It could be concluded that targeting these Oromia woredas might provide an
  opportunity for quick results.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                               65
                                           As would be expected, there are a very limited number of woredas with high levels of
                                           poverty and high improved sanitation coverage or low open defecation. However, there are
                                           two groups of woredas that fall into this category (blue on the map): (a) central SNNPR;
                                           and (b) southern Benishangul-Gumuz and western Oromia. The woredas in central SNNPR
                                           appear to have benefited from the sustained campaign from the political leaders in SNNPR,
                                           which is a positive message that change can be achieved in a poor area with sustained
                                           political commitment. Southern Benishangul-Gumuz and western Oromia have a long
                                           history of external engagement from civil society and religious groups, which has
                                           complemented the government’s effort to provide services.

                                           There are a substantial percentage of the rural population living in areas of high levels
                                           of  poverty and open defecation (14.8 percent) and low coverage of improved latrines
                                           (26 percent), and from an equity perspective those areas should be targeted most urgently.
                                           The largest area that falls into this group is a belt of woredas that cover the south of
                                           Ethiopia across Somali, Oromia, and SNNPR. The high percentage of pastoralists and the
                                           remote location of these woredas contribute to their high poverty levels and the poor
                                           sanitation coverage.

                                           Livelihood type has a larger impact on sanitation coverage than population density.
                                           Figure  4.29 suggests a correlation between population density and open defecation, in
                                           which areas with lower population density experience higher rates of open defecation.
                                           However, when the woredas are split by both population density and by livelihood group (as
                                           in figure 4.30), while that association between high open defecation and low population
                                           density remains, there is a stronger correlation between the different livelihood groups and
                                           open defecation rates.


                                           Overlapping Deprivation and Rural Sanitation Access
                                           Improvements in sanitation, poverty, health, education and water in rural areas have considerably
                                           reduced the proportion of individuals deprived in multiple dimensions. Figure 4.31 depicts the
                                           degree to which those deprived from sanitation and with monetary poverty overlap with
                                           deprivation from access to the key services of health, education, and water. The number of
                                           individuals experiencing more than one out of any three deprivations has been reduced
                                           considerably. This is highest among individuals experiencing deprivation across sanitation,


          Figure 4.29: Open Defecation Rates by Woreda                               Figure 4.30: Open Defecation Rates by Livelihood
          Population Density in Ethiopia, 2007                                       Type and Population Density in Ethiopia, 2007


                                90                                                                        100

                                80

                                70                                                                        80
          Open defecation (%)




                                                                                    Open defecation (%)




                                60
                                                                                                          60
                                50

                                40
                                                                                                          40
                                30

                                20
                                                                                                          20
                                10

                                 0                                                                         0
                                     >50   50–100        100–150    <150                                        >50   50–100 100–150   <150   >50    50–100     >50
                                                    Woreda                                                              Cropping              Agropastoralist Pastora-
                                                                                                                                                                list
      Source: Housing and Population Census 2007.




66	                                                                        Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  poverty, and health access, in which there has been a 47.2 percent reduction in those
  experiencing two or three of these deprivations. This further confirms the significant gains
  made in both access to sanitation and healthcare services in rural areas during period.
  Experiencing deprivation in many dimensions at once makes it difficult to escape poverty; thus,
  the overall progress is a positive indication that poor households with access to sanitation may
  now be in a better position to see improvements in welfare.

  This analysis confirms the positive relationship between access to sanitation and education,
  with significant reductions seen in those experiencing overlapping deprivation for sanitation,
  poverty, and education. This trend is reaffirmed by national statistics that show a direct
  correlation between education levels and access to sanitation. Households with members
  who have completed secondary education and beyond are significantly more likely to have
  an improve latrine and not practice open defecation, even when one controls for wealth
  (figure 4.32).


       Figure 4.31: Overlapping Deprivation Trends in Rural Areas in Ethiopia, 2001–11


                100
                 90
                 80
                 70
                 60
      Percent




                 50
                 40
                 30
                 20
                 10
                  0
                        2000     2011      2000      2011     2000       2011       2000   2011      2000      2011

                      Sanitation, poverty, Sanitation, poverty, Water, poverty, Sanitation, poverty, Water, poverty,
                          and water        and health access and health access and education         and education
                                                              0      1   2      3


  Sources: World Bank calculations using HICES 2000 and HCES 2011.




       Figure 4.32: Access to Sanitation by Education Level of Head of the Household in
       Ethiopia, 2011


                100

                80

                60
      Percent




                40

                20

                 0
                         No education      Below primary     Primary complete Secondary complete Above secondary
                                                  Improved    Unimproved     Open defecation


  Sources: HICES and WMS 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                  67
      Barriers to Rural Sanitation Access
      While Ethiopia has a clear strategy and approach for moving rural households away from open
      defecation, policy makers must analyze ways to support the government in the next stage of
      transformative change in rural sanitation barriers and drivers to improve sanitation. A number
      of factors have driven the high percentage of unimproved latrines and in the inability of people
      to constructed improved latrines.

      HEWs have focused more on stopping open defecation, rather than the promotion and adoption
      of technology solutions that qualify as improved. The CLTSH behavior change approach has
      harnessed a community response through individuals’ emotions such as shame, pride, and
      collective responsibility, which when implemented effectively has been very powerful. However,
      where HEWs have not been provided adequate training and lacked the necessary skills, this
      approach risks households being forced to build latrines due to social pressure or even coercion,
      and not through a real desire to improve their sanitation situation. Hence poor quality latrines
      with minimal investment are built just to meet community requirement, not for personal use.

      While evidence on latrine usage in Ethiopia is still limited, global evidence shows that there is
      a link between the quality of the latrine and the regularity of use. Latrines that don’t provide a
      positive experience for their users (i.e., they smell, are dark, don’t offer privacy, are unstable,
      and risk collapse) are not used as much as when a positive experience is had. In addition, poor
      quality latrines are more likely to become dysfunctional more quickly than latrines constructed
      robustly. This includes using wood and earth for a slab instead of using concrete shallow pits
      that fill up more easily, or unlined pits in soil conditions that risk collapse. Hence, moving
      people away from practicing open defecation into using poor quality latrines has proven to
      support only temporary behavior change.

      A new generation of behavior change strategies and messages are required to provide HEWs
      with the tools to reinforce the message of collective action and to encourage the construction
      of higher quality latrines. A more balanced mix of messages is required. Messages that trigger
      key behavior changes, such as stopping of open defecation and creating demand for latrine
      use, need to be continued. However, these need to be complemented with more informative
      communication, which increases household knowledge of what constitutes a hygienic and
      sustainable latrine, the benefits of additional investment, and where to access product and
      services to build improved latrines.

      The current dearth of sanitation products and services in rural areas is another critical barrier
      to people constructing improved latrines. Appropriate products are often not available in local
      markets, and when available are often too expensive for most consumers or poorly marketed
      to reach the demand for latrines created by HEWs. If over the next decade, Ethiopia is to
      replicate the successful transition from open defecation to unimproved latrine with a move to
      improved latrine, innovative and low-cost products need to penetrate rural market. Greater
      product availability needs to be complemented with appropriate skills, both in construction of
      improved latrines and in business expertise to enable enterprises to be established, be made
      profitable, and create jobs. The Ministry of Health (MoH) partnership with other government
      agencies (such as the Technical and Vocational Education and Training Agency [TVET] and
      micro- and small business development agencies) with skills and experience in these areas
      will provide a strong foundation for this transition.

      The availability of products and services will not have the desired impact on sanitation
      uptake if consumers don’t have the necessary finance to purchase them. The government’s
      policy of providing to rural areas no hardware subsidies and limited access to finance
      (such as microcredit) has hampered households’ ability to invest in their sanitation
      facilities. This is a key contributor to latrines being constructed with less durable




68	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  materials and to lower standards, as well as the perception from businesses that there
  is limited demand for sanitation products and services. However, analysis shows that
  those households that have access to credit are more likely to invest in improved latrines
  (see figure 4.33). While this is true for all poverty quintiles except the poorest, the
  richest quintile has benefited most from access to credit. It is also clear that access to
  credit has a bigger impact in urban areas where more products and services are
  available(see figure 4.34).

  Limited data are available on the financing of businesses, but it is clear that in addition to
  making credit available for households to purchase sanitation products, businesses also
  need finance to engage in sanitation-based activities. The engagement of TVET and
  business development agencies have facilitated credit to new sanitation enterprises
  through the provision of training, accreditation, and development of financeable business
  models. However, further efforts are needed to engage microfinance institutions and the
  Development Bank of Ethiopia to enable sufficient finance to be targeted at businesses of
  varying sizes seeking to enter the sanitation market. The Ethiopia Chamber of Commerce
  and Sectoral Association can help facilitate market development and linkages to improve
  the supply chain.



      Figure 4.33: Sanitation Coverage Compared to Access to Credit in Rural and Urban
      Regions in Ethiopia, 2011


                100


                90


                80


                70


                60
      Percent




                50


                40


                30


                20


                10


                 0
                        No             Access          No             Access        No             Access
                      access                         access                       access
                               Total                          Rural                        Urban

                                                     Sanitation coverage
                                          Improved     Unimproved      Open defecation


  Source: WMS 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                       69
          Figure 4.34: Sanitation Coverage Compared with Access to Credit in Poverty Quintiles
          in Ethiopia, 2011


                   100

                   90

                   80

                   70

                   60
         Percent




                   50

                   40

                   30

                   20

                   10

                    0
                          ss



                                    ss



                                             ss



                                                       ss



                                                                ss



                                                                           ss



                                                                                    ss



                                                                                              ss



                                                                                                       ss



                                                                                                                 ss
                         ce



                                   ce



                                             ce



                                                     ce



                                                                ce



                                                                         ce



                                                                                    ce



                                                                                            ce



                                                                                                       ce



                                                                                                                ce
                         ac



                                 Ac



                                         ac



                                                   Ac



                                                            ac



                                                                       Ac



                                                                                ac



                                                                                          Ac



                                                                                                   ac



                                                                                                              Ac
                     o




                                         o




                                                            o




                                                                                o




                                                                                                   o
                    N




                                         N




                                                            N




                                                                                N




                                                                                                   N
                               Poorest            Poorer             Middle              Richer             Richest

                                                                     Quintile




      Implication of Achieving the SDG Targets
      The higher sanitation service levels that the SDG targets demand are more applicable in urban
      context than in rural settings. However, the key difference for the rural setting is that safely
      containing fecal waste in a private improved onsite facility will now only qualify as basic
      sanitation access. If the improved latrine is shared, the household will be counted as having
      limited sanitation access. To qualify for safely managed access, households will need to safely
      contain fecal waste in a private improved latrine, and once full there will need to be evidence
      that this waste is safely managed. For onsite facilities there are two modalities for achieving
      this: emptying or sealing the pit. There is very limited prospect of off-site sanitation
      infrastructures being developed in rural Ethiopia soon, although pit emptying and disposal
      services may well become more common.

      With such low improved sanitation coverage in rural areas, even reaching basic sanitation
      access will require a huge effort. There will also need to be an increased focus on the
      sustainability of infrastructure, since the new system will place increased focus on the effective
      use and whole life cycle of sanitation infrastructure, not simply its construction.

      To accurately monitor progress using the SDG indicators, new data will need to be generated by
      the GoE’s sector monitoring systems and national surveys. For example, in the data presented
      in figure 4.35, an assumption has been made that half of improved latrines are safely sealed
      once full. This data are currently not available, nor are data available on whether pits are safely


70	                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure 4.35: Rural Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2016—SDG Methodology


                                                                                                                                                     SDG ladder
                                      100
                                      90
      Rural sanitation coverage (%)




                                      80
                                      70
                                      60
                                      50
                                      40
                                      30
                                      20
                                                5               4              4                              0              ?
                                       10                                                      2 (?)                                     2 (?)
                                       0
                                            Population      Population     Population          Safely      Population      Safely      Population
                                               using          using          using           disposed     using piped   transported   using safely
                                            improved-       improved        private          on-site or      sewer      and treated    managed
                                               type          on-site       improved           treated                      off-site    sanitation
                                             sanitation     sanitation      on-site           off-site                                  services
                                              facility                     sanitation
                                                                                        SDG methodology
                                                          Safely managed    At least basic     Limited    Unimproved    Open defection


  Source: World Bank calculation based on DHS 2016.
  Note: SDG = Sustainable Development Goal; ? = figure based on best estimate using existing data.




  emptied and treated off-site. The current sector monitoring system for rural sanitation needs
  strengthening (as documented in a World Bank report [Jones 2015]). This will require additional
  investments in capacity and system development.


  Capacity Constraints across Rural WASH
  Institutional and human resource capacity remains one of the biggest barriers to progress at
  all levels of government. Tracking the evolving capacity at different levels of government is
  difficult but provides an important variable in the effectiveness of service delivery, as well as
  the sustainability of services. As more power has been devolved downward and the number of
  administrative units have increased, the capacity and maturity of institutions delegated to
  deliver basic services have varied considerably across the country.

  An internal World Bank study in 2014 estimates that at the federal level within the water
  sector, 63 percent of staff positions were filled and 79 percent filled in the health sector,
  compared to the average of 62 percent across the six sectors reviewed (see table 4.2).
  Regions and woredas were operating with even lower levels of required staff. In 2013, the ONE
  WASH National Programme (OWNP) cite a shortfall of about 40 percent across all technical
  cadres from artisans and water technicians to professional engineers, equating to some
  47,000 people. It is difficult to see  how the mandates of government institutions can be
  delivered with this extensive underdeployment of professionals.

  Even where staff have been recruited and deployed, there is an ongoing challenge of retaining
  personnel, with high turnover of both administrative and technical staff. The gross turnover rate
  (voluntary and involuntary) in the water sector was 7.6 percent and 6.3 percent in health in


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                             71
      Table 4.2: Involuntary Turnover by Sector and Professional Level in Ethiopia, Fiscal Year 2013
      Percent
      Sector                       Professional               Support       Manager              Total
      Water                               9.3                    2.1           4.7               4.5
      Health                              6.6                    5.1           8.4                 6
      Six sector average                  5.7                    2.9           3.9               4.6
      Source: World Bank calculation based on available government data.




      fiscal 2013, compared to the average across the sectors reviewed of 6.3 percent. Low
      government salaries and working in far-flung rural areas are disincentives, with staff preferring
      better terms and conditions in towns and cities.

      Evidence shows that the most significant turnover type is internal voluntary turnover (transfers
      and moves) to other positions within the public sector, which is in principle under the control of
      government. The health sector has had one of the highest total involuntary turnover rates,
      primarily due to high turnover at managerial level. In the water sector, total turnover was in line
      with the average across the six sectors reviewed; however, the involuntary turnover in
      professional staff was significantly higher.

      Men dominate staff positions in the water sector, while women make up most staff in the
      health sector. Data support the perception that in the water sectors there is a higher prevalence
      of males in professional positions, such as water engineering, with men making up 71 percent
      of the workforce. In contrast, in the health sector, women make up 53 percent of the workforce,
      including the roles of HEWs (filled almost exclusively by women). However, this data also
      indicates a lack of women further up the health system.

      The OWNP and the WIF emphasize the need to improve capacity, and a National Capacity
      Building Unit has been established to coordinate efforts. However, the capacity of government
      institutions to provide systematic and regular support is limited by staffing constraints, and by
      differing interpretations of what support is needed and how best it should be delivered. The
      lack of ongoing targeted and tailored training—as well as the lack of other capacity development
      tools, such as supportive supervision and mentoring—hamper effective delivery in the WASH
      sector. Poor mechanisms to transfer knowledge between staff when turnover occurs further
      undermines the limited capacity building efforts.

      The vision of the integrated delivery of WASH services is undermined by the low awareness of
      the principles, institutional arrangement, and working modalities of OWNP  . The potential to
      decentralized management of WASH service delivery is immense given the availability of
      woreda WASH teams, HEWs, and teachers. However, poor coordination and weak planning
      systems between the different institutions at all levels mean that these resources have still
      not been maximized.


      Notes
      1.	 See the 1994 Ethiopia Housing and Population Census, WHO/UNICEF JMP database.
      2.	 Completed in 2011 and based on a census of households and water points (users and
          systems). The census covered 92,000 rural water supply schemes, over 1,600 small towns
          and 50,000 schools and health institutions (Butterworth et al. 2013). There are plans to
          repeat and improve the exercise: one national census every two years beginning 2017.
      3.	 Based on the highest resolution data available, the levels of variation among woredas
          within each region (standard deviation plus or minus 12 percentage points to 22 percentage
          points) is greater than that among regions (standard deviation plus or minus 9 percentage
          points). (Central Statistics Agency, Housing and Population Census 2007.


72	                                        Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  	 4.	 Though annual rainfall is the basic indicator analyzed here, other related factors, particularly
        altitude and evapotranspiration rates, exacerbate the water stress experienced in low
        rainfall regions.
  	 5.	Poverty headcount ratio and water coverage are one standard deviation below the woreda
        mean.
  	 6.	Datturi et al. (2015) conclude that multivillage reticulated schemes can achieve impact
        at scale, serving a population of over 15 million people with safe water. However, they
        note that the costs of repairs associated with frequent breakdowns, power outages,
        and pretreatment (e.g., of low fluoride river water) are largely borne by regional bureaus,
        not users.
  	 7.	Typically surveys ask respondents to estimate the amount of time required to travel to the
        water source, queue if necessary, fill containers, and return to the household. While self-
        reported journey times are not always precise, they nevertheless provide a useful indicator
        of the relative time burden of water collection.
  	 8.	The human right to water specifies that water should be “available continuously and in a
        sufficient quantity to meet the requirements of drinking and personal hygiene, as well as of
        further personal and domestic uses, such as cooking and food preparation, dish and laundry
        washing and cleaning. Supply needs to be continuous enough to allow for the collection of
        sufficient amounts to satisfy all needs, without compromising the quality of water.”
  	 9.	Fecal contamination of drinking water is usually identified through the detection of indicator
        bacteria such as Escherichia coli (E. coli) in a 100 milliliter sample. Contamination can be
        highly variable in time, and brief contamination events can escape detection with routine
        surveillance but still have serious public health outcomes. Ethiopia’s standards are aligned
        with WHO Guidelines for Drinking Water Quality.
  10.	Surveys conducted during the El Niño drought in Oromia and Amhara highlight growing
        levels or rural indebtedness associated with reduced off-farm seasonal employment (vital
        for poorer households with smaller land holdings) and migration opportunities (see AKLDP
        field notes at the website http://www.agri-learning-ethiopia.org/).
  11.	The UAP’s target was more ambitious than the MDG target, in both aiming for universal
        access and setting a deadline of 2012.
  12.	The JMP relies on a number of government data points and applies some assumption to
        reach their coverage figures. The analysis in this report has used the original government
        data (DHS, WMS, and the National Census) and not applied any assumptions.
  13.	  Open defecation  is the practice of people  defecating  outside and not into a
        designated latrine.
  14.	Unimproved latrine is a sanitary facility that does not ensure hygienic separation of human
        excreta from human contact. Unimproved facilities include pit latrines without a slab or
        platform, hanging latrines, and bucket latrines.
  15.	Improved latrine is a sanitary facility that ensure hygienic separation of human excreta
        from human contact. They include flush or pour-flush toilet or latrine to piped sewer system,
        septic tank, or pit latrine; ventilated improved pit (VIP) latrine; pit latrine with slab; and
        composting toilet.
  16.	Dr. Shiferaw Teklemariam was the head of the Health Bureau in SNNPR, served as the
        Minister of Health, and is now the Minister for the Environment.


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          Assessment of the Operational Sustainability of Water and Sanitation Services in Sub-
          Saharan Africa. Oxford, U.K.: Oxford Policy Management.

      Tucker, J., E. Ludi, L. Coulter, and R. Calow. 2014. “Household Water Use, Poverty and
          Seasonality in Ethiopia: Quantitative Findings from a Highland to Lowland Transect.”
          Journal of Development Studies.

      UNICEF (United Nations Children’s Fund). 2016. Ethiopia WASH Cluster Bulletin. New York:
         UNICEF.      https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/en/operations/ethiopia​/document​
         /-ethiopia​-wash-cluster-bulletin-april-2016.

      UNICEF and WHO (World Health Organization). 2015. Progress on Sanitation and Drinking
         Water: 2015 Update and MDG Assessment. New York: UNICEF.

      WHO. 2010. Rapid Assessment of Drinking-Water Quality in the Federal Democratic Republic of
         Ethiopia: Country Report of the Pilot Project Implementation in 2004–2005. Geneva: WHO.

      World Bank. 2009. Ethiopia Public Expenditure Review. Washington, DC: World Bank.

      ———. 2014a. Ethiopia Public Expenditure Review. Washington, DC: World Bank.

      ———. 2014b. Ethiopia—Productive Safety Nets Project Four. Washington, DC: World Bank.

      ———. 2015. Ethiopia Public Expenditure Review. Washington, DC: World Bank.



74	                                Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
Community water point in Harar City.
© Chris Terry/World Bank
  Chapter 5
  Urban WASH Sector Analysis
  Urban Growth and Institutions
  The overarching trends in the urban water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) sector are
  best understood from three perspectives: (a) rapid urbanization; (b) as a result, a large-scale
  infrastructure investment and service delivery improvement requirement; and (c) a need for
  systematic policy and institutional transformation in urban and water sector governance.

  Ethiopia’s urban infrastructure and institutions are facing increased stress due to a rapidly
  increasing urbanization. In 2012, roughly 17 percent of Ethiopia’s population lived in urban
  areas, which is well below the Sub-Saharan Africa average of 37 percent.1 As of 2015,
  urbanization rates were around 3.4 percent per year, some estimates anticipate this rate could
  soon exceed 5 percent a year. Such an increase would result in 30 percent of the population
  living in urban areas by 2028 and tripling of the urban population by 2034.

  Urban growth is recognized in the Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) II as an opportunity
  for sustained economic growth and structural transformation. However, if not well managed,
  rapid urban growth could present less of a demographic dividend and more of a demographic
  problem as cities struggle to provide jobs, infrastructure and services, and housing to more
  people. Infrastructure and service delivery are already undermined by the growing urban
  population and by stretched municipal budgets.

  The urban demographic across the country has shifted with many smaller cities and towns
  holding an increasing share of the urban population (see figure 5.1). Addis Ababa is by far the
  most populous city, with twice the population of the next five largest towns. However, Addis
  Ababa grew at significantly slower rate than other urban areas, at just under 20 percent,
  between 2007 and 2015 (see figure 5.2). As a result, while in 2007 Addis Ababa accounted
  for 39 percent of the urban population, by 2015 this had reduced to 28 percent. The
  16 secondary towns2 grew by 67 percent during the same period, and now have a combined
  total population that is greater than Addis Ababa’s.

  The largest percentage growth in population is in existing and new urban centers with
  populations below 50,000. This has resulted in them accounting for just over one-fourth of the
  urban population by 2015 (similar to Addis Ababa’s share), compared to just 17 percent of the
  urban population in 2007. This shift has been driven in part by the reclassification of large rural
  settlements as urban centers, but this does not distract from the trends for significant growth
  in smaller urban areas.

  The Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity (MoWIE) is the responsible federal institution for
  provision of water supply in urban centers. MoWIE’s main responsibility is formulating the national
  urban water supply development and management policies, strategies, and programs, as well as
  monitoring and evaluating urban water supply development. The Water Resource Development
  Fund (WRDF) is a federal organization that facilitates the development of urban water supplies
  on a cost recovery basis, providing on-lending facilities to medium and large towns for water
  supply expansion works. WRDF appraises loan applications by town water utilities, provides on-
  lending facilities and ensures that loans are paid back and used as revolving funds.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                    77
          Figure 5.1: Population Growth by Population Size of Towns and Cities in Ethiopia,
          2007–15


                                                                                                              180
                             3,500

                                                                                                              160
                             3,000
                                                                                                              140

                             2,500
                                                                                                              120
          Pop. (thousands)



                             2,000                                                                            100




                                                                                                                    Percent
                                                                                                              80
                             1,500

                                                                                                              60
                             1,000
                                                                                                              40

                              500
                                                                                                              20


                                0                                                                             0
                                     Addis Ababa          100–350              50–100                 <50
                                                    Pop. of capital, towns, cities (thousands)
                                                      2007    2015         Percentage growth


      Source: World Bank calculations based on World Bank 2015c and Housing and Population Census 2007.




                                               Figure 5.2: Share of Population by Population Size of Towns
                                               and Cities in Ethiopia, 2007 and 2015

                                                                                 2015




                                                                                 2007




                                                                     Pop. of capital, towns, cities
                                                                     (thousands)
                                                                        Addis Ababa        100–350
                                                                        50–100             <50




78	                                                Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Regional water bureaus develop regional water sector development programs and strategies,
  manage water supply projects, and provide support to town water supply utilities. The regional
  bureaus develop regional proclamations to establish water utilities and town water boards. The
  Bureau of Finance and Economic Development (BoFED) allocates, channels, administers, and
  controls financial grants for urban water supply utilities in the region. Loans are directly
  channeled from WRDF to town water utilities.

  Ethiopia has no stand-alone sanitation policy, but sanitation development strategies are
  captured in the health, environment, water, and urban development sector policies. Institutional
  arrangements for urban sanitation are complex, with MoWIE, the Ministry of Health (MoH), and
  the Ministry of Works, Urban Development and Housing Construction (MoWUDC) sharing
  responsibilities for monitoring and oversight of hygiene and sanitation services at the federal
  level. This institutional fragmentation and unclear responsibilities have led to gaps in service
  provision and challenges in holding utilities accountable for improvements in service quality
  and coverage. Each ministry has focused on its own mandate, as well as internal planning and
  management systems. Hence, inadequate coordination of planning, design, implementation,
  and supervision has resulted in poor quality construction and weak asset management.

  At the regional level several bureaus are involved in capacity building, funding, and monitoring
  of urban sanitation activities. Regional bureaus with an urban sanitation role resemble the
  institutional arrangements at the federal level, and there is generally an office responsible for
  sanitation, beautification, and greenery in the regional Urban Development Bureau. Regional
  Water Bureaus in some regions are now starting to explore sewered systems, especially if they
  are part of the MoWIE’s proposed wastewater interventions in six cities earmarked for sewerage.
  Liquid waste management is further supported by the regional health bureau, which focuses
  mainly on promoting hygiene and sanitation at household level.

  Despite a new policy direction, due to the number of institutions involved in urban sanitation
  service delivery and management, it will take some time for the respective institutions to come
  to terms with the evolving environment of urban sanitation challenges. In 2017 the relevant
  ministries endorsed a cross-sectoral Integrated Urban Sanitation and Hygiene Strategy, with
  the aim of aligning relevant strands of existing policies in different sector policy documents.
  The integrated strategy takes forward mandates of various ministries in light of new insights
  and aligns institutional arrangements for greater effectiveness.

  Urban water utilities in Ethiopia are formed from two entities, town water supply and sewerage
  enterprises, which hold the function of operator, and town water boards, which are the oversight
  body. The town water supply and sewerage enterprises are responsible for the planning,
  development, and provision of water supply services in urban areas. As part of their control and
  supervisory function, the town water boards are responsible for approving town water supply
  and sewerage enterprises’ annual plans and programs, monitoring activities of the enterprises,
  and assigning the manager of the enterprise.

  Unlike in the telecom and power sector, there is no independent regulatory agency for provision
  of urban water supply services in the country. The regional water bureaus, town health offices,
  city councils, and town water boards share the burden of different regulatory activity. The
  MoWUDC also plays a part in monitoring the standard of municipal services, including water
  supply and solid waste.

  Water and sewerage entities in each municipality are legally mandated to provide wastewater
  services in the larger cities, but municipalities are responsible for solid waste and storm water
  management. In most cases municipalities have not been able to coordinate sanitation
  services (wastewater, solid waste, and stormwater) effectively. The lack of coordination between
  solid waste and liquid waste services, as well as drainage, is a problem since these waste
  streams are often mixed together; for example, drainage channels are contaminated with fecal
  waste, and are blocked by solid waste.



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                 79
      Elaine Gelan, 23 years old. Water supply connected August 2016, 9 months after application. Kebele 12, Harar, Harari Region.
      © Chris Terry/World Bank




80	                                                                           Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Mechanisms and institutional capacity to enforce public health proclamations and pollution
  control regulation are weak, even though “polluter pays” principles have been adopted formally.
  The existing regulations do not clearly define the minimum standards for services, and are
  mostly silent on the urban sanitation delivery chain of collection, transportation, treatment,
  and disposal. In addition, town and city leaders currently give very little attention to managing
  and mitigating potential pollution impacts of existing and new industries. Coordination between
  the industrial, water, and other sectors is currently too weak to manage the impacts of the
  envisaged growth in pollution from expanding population and industry. Unchecked and
  persistent industrial pollution (tannery, food processing, and textiles sectors) can cause
  significant long-term contamination to water bodies and other environmental and health
  impacts. Current weak monitoring systems mean detection will take many years, making
  cleanup very expensive or impossible.

  Capacity building and institutional development is needed across urban utilities and boards
  including clearer performance incentives and a more business-oriented approach driven by
  a clear business plan with measurable targets. This applies to all functions and roles:
  supporting senior strategic leadership approaches and skills; updating technical skills at
  the operational level; and developing greater ownership of the institutional development
  agenda. More transparent HR systems and databases will enable utilities to hold staff
  members accountable for their performance on clearly assigned responsibilities.

  The necessary technical and financial resources to adequately support rural administration
  transition to urban centers have not been sufficiently acknowledged. As a result, many young
  urban municipalities and utilities lack the skills to effectively take up the mandates expected
  of them. The strengthening of relevant institutions through the provision of increased levels of
  funding, guidance, and up-skilling sector staff is essential to meet the growing water supply
  and sanitation challenges faced in urban areas.



  Urban Water Subsector Analysis

  National Status and Trends
  The big shift over the past 20 years is that nearly 10 million people have been added to the
  group of people who get their water from a tap in the yard just outside their house (figure 5.3).
  By 2015, over half of urban households in Ethiopia got their water from a tap in the yard just
  outside their house. Just under another 40 percent fetched water from a neighbor or standpipe
  outside their compound. However, less than one in 20 of Ethiopia’s urban dwellers had a tap
  inside their house as their main source of drinking water. Over the same period those fetching
  water from standpipes outside their compound has remained fairly constant, rising from over
  5 million to just over 7 million people.3

  For around 60 percent of women and girls living in urban areas, this big shift toward using a
  more convenient source of water has avoided a significant economic loss in time used to fetch
  water.4 The rest of this section examines how this big shift to piped water in peoples’ yards
  has been achieved and why this benefit has fallen disproportionately to wealthier women and
  their families.


  Evolution of Funding for Urban Water Supply
  The progress in urban water supply has been driven by a more diverse set of funding sources
  than that for rural water supply. The composition of funding sources changes from (a) when
  piped networks emerge in small towns within a woreda to (b) when small towns are recognized
  as urban local governments (ULGs) and (c) to when ULGs split off their water supply departments
  to form utilities. In 2007 there were already over 200 locations with over 1,000 household


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                 81
                      Figure 5.3: Urban Drinking Water Trends in Ethiopia, 1990–2015


                                                       100                       1
                                                             8                   6
                                                             8
                                                       80
                                                                                37




                                        Coverage (%)
                                                       60

                                                             74
                                                       40



                                                       20                       56

                                                           10
                                                        0
                                                        1990                      2015
                                                             Surface water
                                                             Other unimproved sources
                                                             Other improved source
                                                             Piped onto premises


                  Source: WHO/UNICEF 2016.




      connections. By 2015, 140 of these locations were granted ULG status, of which just under
      100 of which had ring-fenced their water supply operations (see figure 5.4).

      As piped networks first emerge in small towns, an initial critical source of capital investment is
      the woreda block grant. In these small towns, from 2008–12, an average of US$30,000 to
      US$40,000 per year from woreda block grants went toward the capital costs of establishing
      piped networks.

      As towns graduated to becoming ULGs, they no longer qualify for woreda block grants and have
      to fund capital investment from their own revenues (municipal fees and charges). At these
      initial stages of transition, the taxes assigned to ULGs raise only a limited amount of revenue,
      which is too little to cover expenditure assignments given to ULGs. Nationwide, municipal
      revenues account for just 3 percent of the national tax effort (World Bank 2015c). For smaller
      towns this is a critical constraint in growing their water supply operations and means that they
      are heavily dependent on regional state and donor investment.

      Smaller ULGs have to compete with larger ULGs and utilities for funding from regions and
      donors. The allocation of both regional and donor funding is subject to the discretion of regional
      state or donor decisions, which makes them, from the ULG perspective, less predictable
      investment flows than woreda block grants or municipal revenues.

      The regional state funding to urban water supply is drawn from the regional block grants, and
      since 2011, the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) special purpose grant has focused on
      capital expenditure. From 2008–12, An average of US$44 million per year from these sources
      was channeled to ULGs for capital investments in water.

      Donor funding is often negotiated directly with specific towns, cities, or utilities, which results
      in it being skewed toward larger cities and utilities, particularly Addis Ababa, which received
      nearly 40 percent of donor funding (loans and grants) but accounts for only a quarter of


82	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure 5.4: Towns Transitioning from Rural to Urban Local Governance, Ranked by Access to Improved Source
       of Drinking Water, 2007


                       100
                        90
                        80
                        70
          Percent




                        60
                        50
                        40
                        30
                        20
                        10
                         0
                                                       Mile, Afar
                                       Odo Shakiso, Oromiya
                                        Digluna Tijo, Oromiya
                                       Toke Kutayu, Oromiya
                                                Robe, Oromiya
                                               Amaro, SNNPR
                                               Dendi, Oromiya
                                                Meta, Oromiya
                                     Debub Achefer, Amhara
                                              Fogera, Amhara
                                                 Tulo, Oromiya
                                        Jabi Tehnan, Amhara
                                          Gola Oda, Oromiya
                                             Dembia, Amhara
                                   Menz Gera Midir, Amhara
                                              Dangila, Amhara
                                              Becho, Oromiya
                                                Kobo, Amhara
                                               Dabat, Amhara
                                   Enebse Sar Midir, Amhara
                                                Lasta, Amhara
                                                  Dale, SNNPR
                                               Kersa, Oromiya
                                             Enemay, Amhara
                                               Ada A, Oromiya
                                                    Dubti, Afar
                                                Dejen, Amhara
                                         Haro Maya, Oromiya
                                                Cheko, SNNPR
                                          Merhabete, Amhara
                                                   Silti, SNNPR
                                              Dugda, Oromiya
                                         Tehuledere, Amhara
                                         Jile Timuga, Amhara
                                   Mizan Aman town, SNNPR
                                              Hitosa, Oromiya
                                          Shebedino, SNNPR
                                    Burayu Special, Oromiya
                                        Kafta Humera, Tigray
                             Bahir Dar town Wereda, Amhara
                                        Sawula town, SNNPR
                                Debre Markos town, Amhara
                                       Woldiya town, Amhara
                                         Abi Adi/town/, Tigray
                                         Fiche town, Oromiya
                                          Korem town, Tigray
                                  Denbi Dollo/town/, Oromiya
                                    Akaki Kaliti, Addis Ababa
                                         Gulele, Addis Ababa
                                       Woliso/town/, Oromiya
                                         Asela town, Oromiya
                                           Adwa/town/, Tigray
                                           Wukro town, Tigray
                                      Kemisie/town/, Amhara
                                         Kirkos, Addis Ababa
                                                                                                             Rural to
                                                                                                              urban
                                           Future urban areas with >1,000 connections to plot               transition          Urban areas



  Source: Population and Housing Census 2007.
  Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




       Figure 5.5: Donor Aid to Urban Water Supply and Sanitation in Ethiopia, 2006–15


                        300


                        250


                        200
      US$ (millions)




                        150


                        100


                         50


                             0
                             2006   2007       2008        2009       2010       2011       2012     2013      2014      2015
                                                              Commitments            Disbursements


  Source: OECD DAC CRS database.



  Ethiopia’s urban population (see figure 5.5 and table 5.1). The larger utilities also have greater
  revenue flows from which they can finance critical small infrastructure investments and
  household connections.

  Addis Ababa has been the only city allocating substantial own source revenue (> Br 1 billion)
  per year to improving water supply. Secondary towns, such as regional capitals, provided some
  matching funds to financing from bilateral sources.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                         83
      Table 5.1: Main Urban Water Supply and Sanitation Donors by Commitments in
      Ethiopia, 2006–15
                                                                 US$, millions
      Donor                                 Addis Ababa           Other urban              Total
      World Bank (IDA)                           99                   289                   388
      China Exim Bank                           148                   n.a.                  148
      African Development Bank                  n.a.                   64                   64
      United States                               2                    47                   49
      France                                     10                    1                    10
      Italy                                     n.a.                   10                   10
      Japan                                     n.a.                   8                     8
      Other donors                              n.a.                   5                     5
      Total                                     258                   423                   681
      Source: OECD DAC CRS database.
      Note: n.a. = not applicable.




      Recognizing the constraint that smaller ULGs face, and as an instrument for implementing its
      cost recovery policy, the GoE established a Water Resource Development Fund (WRDF) under
      MoWIE in 2002. The WRDF is a revolving fund that can loan funds from government and donors
      to expanding utilities. Since its inception, WRDF has received more than 144 applications for
      loans from town utilities all over the country, but has extended loans only to 34 towns with a
      value of Br 1.7 billion (US$80 million in 2017 prices). Utilities that have completed their grace
      period have started repaying their loans.

      Although more than 100 towns are on the waiting list to take up loans, WRDF has not yet
      started disbursing from the finance repaid (World Bank 2014a). There is, therefore, still a
      particular bottleneck in the funding or financing of water supply and sanitation infrastructure in
      towns that graduate to being ULGs after they lose their woreda block grant allocations and are
      outcompeted by larger towns and utilities, particularly for donor investment.

      Improving the performance and reach of the WRDF would help these new ULGs with their water
      supply investment needs. The WRDF has received additional funding to on-lend to utilities, and
      the management of the WRDFs is working to streamline its lending and implementation
      procedures, increase staffing levels, and address the reluctance by regional water bureaus to
      guarantee loans for utilities (reforms that could help small towns with their investments needs).

      Cost recovery from tariff holds the potential to generate internal revenue for expansion, but
      policy and practice are at odds. The Sector Policy (1999) and Strategy (2001) envisioned a
      move toward full cost recovery for urban water supply. However, the success in implementing
      full cost recovery policies for town and urban water supplies has been limited. Tariffs
      established in most water utilities cover at best operations and some maintenance, which
      leaves investments for major rehabilitation and expansion of the systems to be financed by
      government or donors. Underpricing and high nonrevenue water (NRW) undermine higher
      levels of cost recovery.

      In 2011 and 2012 the benchmarking of 76 utilities across the country reported average
      revenue per cubic meter sold as just US$0.32 against costs of US$0.29 per cubic meter sold.5
      Even the largest utility, Addis Ababa Water and Sewerage Authority (AAWSA), covers only its
      operating costs (table 5.2). This narrow margin is in part due to NRW reported as 25 percent
      for smaller utilities and over 40 percent for larger utilities.


84	                                    Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
   Table 5.2: Operational Costs and Revenues for AAWSA in Ethiopia, 2011–16
   Br, millions
   Cost and revenue items                    2011        2012       2013    2014    2015     2016
   Operating cost                           280.2        332.5      519.9   544.8   560.9     665
  Salaries and related benefits               106        130.4      138.1   213.8   202.4     240
  Electricity                                31.3        42.3       53.1    40.6    52.5     62.2
  Chemical                                   45.3            7.3    64.2    84.5    72.1     85.5
  Repair and maintenance                     18.6        20.8       68.9    35.5    45.2     53.6
  Fuel and lubricants                        23.6        26.5       25.2    34.8    36.5     43.3
  Other operating expenses                   55.5        105.4      170.5   135.7   152.1    180.4
  Revenue                                   294.9        386.7      489.9   699     640.4    689.2
  Operating cost coverage ratio              1.05            1.16   0.94    1.28    1.14     1.04
   Source: AAWSA.
   Note: AAWSA = Addis Ababa Water and Sewerage Authority.




  Although water tariffs are set by water boards, they need to be endorsed by the respective
  regional administration. Where enabled, utilities over the past three to four years in some
  secondary towns have started to accumulate tariff revenue for water system expansion.
  Adama and Mekelle are examples where utilities have reinvested earnings of around US$4
  million in 2016. But with regions reluctant to increase tariffs without seeing improvements in
  efficiency, a vicious cycle has constrained the scope for full cost recovery and financial
  sustainability.


  Access Disparities by Wealth and Consumption
  In contrast to the equitable distribution of services in rural areas, relative consumption or wealth
  strongly correlate with access to piped water on premises in urban areas. Although in 2015
  nearly 12 million people in urban areas had access to piped water in their house or compound,
  close to 8 million urban Ethiopians had to fetch water from sources outside their compound
  (see figure 5.6). This includes 1 million people who relied on unimproved sources, including
  water from vendors and even lakes, ponds, and streams in or close to urban areas. Those
  without access to piped water on premises are disproportionately poorer and are members of
  lower income households (see figure 5.7).

  Some of this inequality in access can be explained by the correlation between city size and
  access (see figure 5.8). Multivariate regression confirms this inequitable capture of piped
  water on premises by higher income households. The regression results also show that
  independent of household income levels, piped water on premises is siginificantly correlated
  with town size. Households in Addis were three times more likley to have access to piped
  water on premises than medium or large towns. In turn households in medium and large
  towns, other than Addis, were more than twice as likely to have access to piped water on
  premises than small towns. The broad trend is that as cities grow, their poverty headcount
  drops and their levels of piped water on premises rises (although Addis Ababa is an outlier
  with both higher levels of access and higher rates of poverty). (See appendix B for data
  sources and regression results.)

  However, this correlation between city size and access does not help explain what should be
  done to address inequality of access. More interesting perhaps is the unexplained variation
  among cities of similar sizes, which suggests that some are doing better than others at creating
  a poverty reducing environment and at providing access to piped water on premises (see
  figure 5.9).


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                    85
           Figure 5.6: Urban Drinking Water Coverage by Wealth Quintile in Ethiopia, 1995–2011


                    100




                    80




          Percent   60




                    40




                    20




                     0
                            Poorest             Second            Middle           Fourth          Richest

                                                              Wealth quintile
                                              Piped on premises   Other improved   Unimproved


      Sources: DHS and WMS/HICES.
      Note: Further details in appendix A.




           Figure 5.7: Urban Drinking Water Coverage by Consumption Quintile in Ethiopia, 2000–11


                    100




                    80




                    60
          Percent




                    40




                    20




                     0
                            Poorest             Second            Middle           Fourth          Richest

                                                           Consumption quintile
                                              Piped on premises   Other improved   Unimproved


      Sources: DHS and WMS/HICES.
      Note: Further details in appendix A.




86	                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
        Figure 5.8: City Size and Poverty in Ethiopia, 2015


                                0.5




                                0.4
      Poverty headcount index




                                0.3
                                                                                                                    Addis Ababa


                                0.2




                                0.1




                                     0
                                              10               11               12              13             14            15
                                                                              In (city size)
                                                   Fitted values of quadratic prediction do not include Addis Ababa
                                         Tigray       Amhara        Oromiya     Somali               Benishangul-gumuz   SNNPR
                                         Gambella     Harari        Dire Dawa   Addis Ababa          Fitted values


  Source: World Bank 2015a, 97.
  Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.



        Figure 5.9: Improved Access by Addis Ababa, City States, and Other Urban Areas in
        Ethiopia, 2011

                                80


                                70


                                60


                                50


                                40
      Percent




                                30


                                20


                                10


                                0
                                          Addis Ababa               Dire Dawa               Harari             Other urban
                                             Piped to premises       Public tap/standpipe    Other improved     Unimproved


  Source: DHS 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                             87
      An actionable analytical approach is to understand the barriers preventing poorer
      households from hooking up to piped water either from the demand or the supply side.
      Demand-side barriers prevent households from hooking up to the service, even when the
      networks pass close to their homes. Demand-side barriers can include high connection
      charges that make hooking up unaffordable; land and housing tenure that disqualify or
      make it difficult for households to connect; and other social and economic factors that
      may deter households from becoming utility customers (see the case study on Harar City,
      box 5.1).

      Household survey samples are based on geographic clusters that, at least for urban areas, are
      physically small, amounting to no more than a few city blocks. It is therefore possible to
      examine the extent to which people lacking access to water supply live in clusters where
      infrastructure is available as evidenced by their immediate neighbors being hooked up to the
      service (Banerjee et al. 2008; Wodon 2007).




           Box 5.1: Case Study of Applying for Connection by Poor People in Harar City

           In Harar, many poor people live in the older, high density parts of the town. Like in many towns
           in Ethiopia, poor people struggling to meet basic needs live either in kebele or rented housing.
           Eleni and W/ro Asamenech represent typical poor women who head households in the low-
           income areas of Kebele 12 of Harar City.

           Eleni is a daughter of migrants from Amhara region and has lived in Harar City since the age
           of three. When she was 12, her father, abandoned the family and left for another woman.
           Eleni, now 23, is dependent on her mother as she is disabled, with a limp and speech
           difficulty. Her mother, the main breadwinner, works as a cleaner in a government office in Harar
           City. They live in social housing, known as kebele housing, renovated by an NGO.

           W/ro Asamenech is a 75-year-old woman living with her 14-year-old grandson from her
           deceased daughter. She lives in a poor community in her one-room residence that was built
           by an NGO. In the past, she used to work as a house help. She is now very weak and is
           dependent on donations from people in her neighbourhood.

           Access to electricity and water services is available in this low-income neighborhood. Many
           houses have electricity connections, but fewer houses have water connections due mainly to
           the high cost of and cumbersome process of connecting. Getting a water connection in Harar
           includes filling out an application along with a copy of a property title deed, copy of an identity
           card, a passport size photo, an advance payment of Br 500 for the water meter, plus an
           additional Br 1,400 payment or more depending on the pipe length requirement from the
           service water main up to the yard tap. For people in kebele housing, a supporting letter from
           the kebele is required instead of a copy of the property title deed.

           Eleni and W/ro Asamenech do not have water connections and so buy water from the
           neighborhood public tap paying six to eight times more than if they had their own connection.
           Beside the hardship of the higher cost, carrying is a real challenge for both women.
                                                                                       box continues next page




88	                                     Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 5.1: Continued




       Asamenech Semei, 75 years old. Applied for water connection twice, still waiting as of December 2017. Kabele 12,
       Harar, Harari Region.
       © Chris Terry/World Bank



       The Water for Life Project is being implemented by the Harar utility to improve services to low-
       income households. The project is financed by the governments of The Netherlands and
       Ethiopia aim to provide 25,000 low-income people with a common water tap for three to five
       low-income households. W/ro Asamenech and two other neighbors were among the selected
       beneficiaries of this project. At the time of finalizing the connection, W/ro Asamenech agreed

                                                                                             box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                     89
           Box 5.1: Continued

           for the younger neighbors to process the requirements for the connection, not knowing that
           one of the neighbors would change the location of the tap from a communal area to being
           installed in her compound, which is up the hill from where W/ro Asamenech lives. Consequently,
           W/ro Asamenech does not benefit from this new tap since she cannot walk up the hill. So she
           continues to buy water at a higher price from houses closer by.

           When Eleni went to the utility for the first time, she had a supporting letter from an NGO
           explaining her situation and requesting a water connection free of charge. The utility, instead
           of receiving her application, told her to wait. Eight months later Eleni decided to try again. This
           second time the utility had received funding to connect poor HIV victims, but she was still told
           to wait a month. Returning a month later, the utility told her to submit an application. On that
           same day Eleni filed her application. Three working days after her application was filed, Eleni
           got her own water connection. So grateful for getting a connection Eleni allowed her neighbors
           to collect water from her tap free of charge, though in the future she has not ruled out the
           possibility of selling water to her neighbors.

           W/ro Asamenech, motivated by Eleni’s story, went to get a supporting letter from the Keble
           and took her application to the utility and is now awaiting their response. A staff member at
           the utility who knows her well is trying to team her up with other poor neighbors who are also
           looking for water connections. Yet the chance of finding one seem to be low, since most
           households in the immediate vicinity have their own private connections.

           Source: Yemane and Defere n.d.




      Supply-side problems were concentrated in the urban areas of the Somali, Benishangul-
      Gumuz, and Gambella regions, though Oromia with its large number of emerging small towns
      also faced greater supply than demand-side barriers (see figure 5.10). Of the 184 urban
      primary sampling units (PSUs) in the DHS 2011 only five did not have any piped water at all.
      These were all in small towns in the emerging regions of Somali, Gambella, and Benishangul-
      Gumuz. In these small towns, even the wealthiest households were almost entirely reliant on
      water delivered by vendors and had no access to any form of piped water (figure 5.11). In a
      further 13 PSUs there was piped water but no household connections. These were scatted
      across the country, including in the cities of Addis Ababa, Dire Dawa, and Harari, representing
      towns or peri-urban areas in which the water supply entity or utility had not or was not able to
      connect households. A further 44 PSUs had fewer than 30 percent of households with piped
      water on premises. All these PSUs, totaling 62, with no or very limited access to piped water,
      might be considered to have a basic supply-side problem—one that makes it logistically
      difficult or impossible to connect households to the network (e.g., no utility to make
      connections, very limited water networks, insufficient water resources). Urban areas like
      these are home to about a quarter of urban Ethiopians, including around 1 million poorer
      households (below 40 percent of the wealth quintile [B40]), most (>95 percent) of which do
      not have piped water on premises.

      Demand-side barriers were more prevalent in cities and regional capitals. In the remaining two-
      thirds of PSUs (122), more than 30 percent of households had water to their premises but still
      had significant numbers of households not hooking up to the network. These might be


90	                                         Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
        Figure 5.10: Proportion of PSUs in Ethiopia with Supply- or Demand-Side Barrier to
        Hooking Up Households, 2011


                                                         100

                                                          90

                                                          80

                                                          70

                                                          60
      Percent




                                                          50

                                                          40

                                                          30

                                                          20

                                                          10

                                                          0
                                                                a


                                                                      ar



                                                                                  i


                                                                                        ay



                                                                                                    a


                                                                                                             ra


                                                                                                                     PR



                                                                                                                                 a


                                                                                                                                           la


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                                                                                                                                                   um
                                                                              ar




                                                                                                                                                                    rb
                                                                                                                    N


                                                                                                                             m
                                                           Ab




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                                                                                                                                                           So
                                                                                                                                     am
                                                                              H


                                                                                      Ti




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                                                                                                                            ro




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                                                                                             ire




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                                                          s




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                                                         di




                                                                                                                                            gu
                                                                                            D
                                                 Ad




                                                                                                                                          an
                                                                                                                                        sh
                                                                                                                                      ni
                                                                                                                                     Be
                                                                                                Barrier to hooking up households
                                                                                                         Demand            Supply


  Source: DHS 2011.
  Note: PSU = primary sampling unit; SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




        Figure 5.11: Coping Strategies in Areas of Small Towns in Ethiopia with No Piped
        Water, 2011

                                                         100
      Household head main source of drinking water (%)




                                                          90

                                                          80

                                                          70

                                                          60

                                                          50

                                                          40

                                                          30

                                                          20

                                                          10

                                                           0
                                                                    Poorest                Poorer                 Middle                  Richer                Richest
                                                                                             Enumeration Area without piped water
                                                                                   Protected wells and springs          Tanker or cart       Unimproved


  Source: DHS 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                                      91
          Figure 5.12: Share of Urban B40 and T60 Households Hooked Up to Available Urban
          Water Supply in Ethiopia, 2011


                     100

                      90

                      80

                      70

           Percent    60

                      50

                      40

                      30

                      20

                      10

                          0
                                uz


                                     ar



                                              i


                                                    ay



                                                              a



                                                                       i


                                                                                la


                                                                                      PR



                                                                                                    a


                                                                                                              a


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                                     Af




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                                                                   m
                              um




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                                          ar




                                                          m




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                                                                                               Ab
                                                                  So




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                                          H


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                                                         ro
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                                                                                                        ire
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                                                                                           s
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                     gu




                                                                                           di


                                                                                                     D
                                                                                          Ad
                     an
              sh
           ni
         Be




                                                                  T60      B40


      Source: DHS 2011.
      Note: B40 = bottom 40 percent of wealth index; SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region; T60 = top
      60 percent of wealth index.




      considered areas where there is a problem related to affordability or other socioeconomic
      barriers to connecting. Across these PSUs 82 percent of wealthier households were connected
      (top 60 percent of the wealth quintile [T60]) while only 44 percent of the poorer households
      (B40) were connected (see figure 5.12).

      Some of the greatest disparities in access are within the larger cities, including Addis Ababa,
      Dire Dawa, Bahir Dar in Amhara, and Awasa in the Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People
      Region. In these urban areas, home to three-quarters of urban Ethiopians, over 3 million poorer
      households do not have access to piped water on premises.

      Addressing inequality in urban areas therefore requires two quite different responses: (a)
      capital investment for towns facing supply barriers; and (b) incentives to hook up customers
      in cities with demand barriers. The first needs to target urban areas, mainly smaller towns,
      with supply-side barriers. These urban areas need capital investment to expand their
      production facilities and distribution networks so all residents can hook up to the service,
      including close to a million poorer households (B40). The second response is in mainly
      larger cities, which experience demand-side barriers. These urban areas already have
      extensive water supply networks, but 3 million poorer households (B40) are struggling to
      hook up to them. From both survey data and from case material the main barrier is the
      connection process, including the connection charge. Once connected affordability of water
      is not a major barrier. In these cities, municipalities and utilities need to be incentivized to
      connect poorer customers.




92	                                           Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Separating Service Affordability from Other Barriers to
  Hooking Up
  The HICES 2011 reports average actual expenditure on water in urban areas to be Br 168 per
  person per year (US$10), equating to an implied industry turnover of US$93 million a year.
  Expenditure rises across quintiles, particularly for privately vended water; the implied revenues
  to private vendors are higher than those for utility water piped to premises. This suggests that
  there is both a vibrant water market and opportunity for utilities to win back market share from
  private vendors (figure 5.13).

  The average tariff in Ethiopia was reported as Br 5 per cubic meter (US$0.29) in 2011. There
  are variations across the country, within the tariff structure of each utility, and between public
  and vended water (see figure 5.14). Where there are high operational costs, typically driven by
  the costs associated with pumping water, average tariffs are higher where gravity-fed average
  tariffs are lower. There is no mechanism of cross-subsidy across utilities. At the lower bands
  of the tariff structure, equivalent to consumption of 40 liters per person per day, tariffs are just
  below Br 1 per cubic meter (US$0.05) on average. For a household consuming at this level, the
  annual per capita spent is around Br 60 per year (approximately US$3.6).6,7

  Actual expenditure in urban areas by quintile indicates that even the poorest are paying more
  than Br 60 (approximately US$3.6) per person per year. Though it is not possible to estimate
  the volume of water being purchased, households with piped water on premises spent less per
  person than households that have to fetch water from a public source and much less than
  households that had to buy from vendors (figure 5.15). This holds true across all consumption
  quintiles and points to the actual ability, if not willingness, of poor households to pay for water.
  It also points to the obvious financial benefits of being connected to a utility, particularly given
  that households with piped water on premises are likely to use more water than those without.
  Extending utility water supply to all households could reduce the amount that poor, unconnected
  households pay for water.


      Figure 5.13: Total Expenditure per Year by Urban Households on Water, by Wealth
      Quintile and Source in Ethiopia, 2011
                      120



                      100



                       80
      Br (millions)




                       60



                       40



                       20



                        0
                            Poorest          Poorer            Middle            Richer              Richest
                                                           Wealth quintile
                                      Piped to premises   Public stand post   Private vended water


  Source: HICES 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                          93
           Figure 5.14: Annual Water Bill for Households Consuming 6 m3 of Water per Month in Ethiopia


                 6

                 5

                 4
           US$




                 3

                 2

                 1

                 0
                               Dessie
                              Merawi
                               Woldia
                                Arerti
                            Hawassa
                             Sendefa
                         Kombolcha
                                  Kuy
                               Modjo
                                 Meki
                              Sebeta
                              Debark
                          Alem Tena
                          Yirgachefe
                                Sawla
                             Muk Turi
                       Fenoteselam
                                  Haik
                                  Dilla
                     Negelle Borena
                              Adigrat
                                Areka
                                Axum
                       Addis Kidam
                         Debre Sina
                        Debre Tabor
                            Kemissie
                                  Tililli
                              Yejube
                      Debrebirihane
                              Bedele
                               Asella
                              Butajira
                           DDWSSA
                          Debrework
                              Gondar
                              Halaba
                               Holeta
                               HWSA
                               Mersa
                                 Batu
                           WTWSSE
                               Sululta
                              Burayu
                              Dukam
                       Shashemene
                             Bishoftu
                                Ambo
                         Arsi Negele
                             Alamata
                                 Burie
                             Lalibela
                              Woreta
                               Wukro
                                 Gore
                               Woliso
                           Metehara
                                Rama
                             Dangela
                                 Adet
                                Dejen
                      Addis Zemene
                       Debremarkos
                          Haramaya
                                Fiche
      Source: IBNET.
      Note: Source of water is through a household or shared yard tap.




                                             Figure 5.15: Annual Average per Capita Expenditure, by Water Source in Urban Areas
                                             in Ethiopia, 2011


                                                           1,200

                                                                                                                                                        991
                                                           1,000


                                                            800                                                                     731
                                           Br (millions)




                                                            600
                                                                                                                    500

                                                            400                                361
                                                                                                                                                  310
                                                                           217                                                200
                                                            200                                               142                            151
                                                                                       87 95             95                111
                                                                   62 76
                                                              0
                                                                   Poorest               Poorer           Middle             Richer              Richest
                                                                                                      Wealth quintile
                                                                                 Piped to premises   Public stand post    Private vended water


                                      Source: HICES 2011.




                                      These results reinforce the argument that it is the connection process, rather than affordability,
                                      that is the real barrier to equitable access. While there are no consolidated sources of
                                      connection charges, the qualitative work undertaken for this study in urban areas raises three
                                      barriers for those wanting to connect. First is a connection charge, usually around Br 500.
                                      Second is that utilities require people hooking up to pay the cost of connecting pipe work. Third
                                      are the nonfinancial transaction costs of connecting linked to the time and social capital that
                                      people have to put into getting a connection (see case study in box 5.1). With connection
                                      charges trumping affordability as a barrier to hooking up, greater attention should be paid to
                                      incentivize utilities to hook people up rather than the current focus on keeping tariffs low.


94	                                                                                Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Access Disparities by Service Quality Along Service Delivery
  and Results Chain
  The service delivery and results chain for urban water supply is examined to see what differential
  benefits accrue to the wealthier (T60) compared to poorer (B40) households (see figure 5.16).
  The section concludes by presenting what this means for the SDG baseline for the urban water
  supply subsector.

  Accessibility of water is the primary divider in urban areas, increasing both direct and indirect costs
  for poorer households. In urban areas two factors measure the differential access between
  wealthier (T60) and poorer households (B40). First is whether households have access to piped
  water on premises and, as a result, lower costs per cubic meter, discussed in the previous
  subsection. Second is the time they take to fetch water. In urban areas of Ethiopia both these
  factors show large differentials, but piped water on premises is the bigger divider with only a quarter
  of poorer households (B40) having piped water on premises compared to just under 90 percent for
  the households in the T60. Only 9 percent of wealthier urban households spent over 30 minutes
  fetching water compared to over 40 percent of poorer households. Most of the remaining burden
  of fetching water in urban areas therefore falls to women and girls from poorer households.8

  Availability and sufficiency of water are better for those who walk to the source. Availability is an
  important criterion for assessing drinking water service levels. This is the only factor in the
  service delivery chain in which there is an inversion of advantage: poorer households report that
  their primary source of water was not available for at least one full day in the past two weeks.
  However, this differential is largely because poorer households are much more likely to fetch
  their water from a source outside their compound. What it does signal is that piped water supply
  to premises suffers from frequent outages, highlighting the need to improve service levels.9

  IBNET10 data on continuity of supply, an upper bound for availability of water from utilities, are
  reported to be 18 hours out of 24. Utilities also report supplying an average of only 30 liters
  per capita per day. Neither of these indicators are strongly driven by town size.

  Quality of water at source was the second big divide in urban areas. By far the most common
  sources of water used by households across urban areas are piped water on premises


      Figure 5.16: Disparities Driven by Relative Wealth along Service Delivery and Results Chain in Ethiopia, 2016


                                Access to piped                                                Quality of
                               water on premises,                                           water at source,
                                      88%                                                    85% low risk                        Diarrhea in
                                                                                                                              children under 5,
                                                        Time to source,                                                              1%
                                                             91%
                                                           ≤ 30 min.                                           Treatment of                           Stunting in
               T60                                                                                                water,                          children under 5,
                                                                          Availability of                          16%                                   14%
                                                                             water,
                                                                              58%
                            The larger the disparity,
                               the further apart
                                                                          Availability of
                                                                             water,
                                                                              34%                              Treatment of                           Stunting in
                                                                                                                  water,                          children under 5,
               B40                                                                                                 16%                                   14%
                                                        Time to source,
                                                             59%                                                                 Diarrhea in
                                                           ≤ 30 min.                                                          children under 5,
                                                                                                                                     1%
                                Access to piped                                                Quality of
                               water on premises,                                           water at source,
                                      25%                                                   15–46% low risk



  Sources: Access to piped water on premises: DHS 2016; availability of water: ESS 2016; diarrhea and stunting: DHS 2016; quality of water: ESS 2016; time to
  source: DHS 2016; water treatment: DHS 2016.
  Note: B40 = bottom 40 percent of wealth quintile; T60 = top 60 percent of wealth quintile.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                                 95
          Figure 5.17: Water Quality in Addis Ababa,                                      Figure 5.18: Main Source of Household Drinking
          Secondary Towns, and Small Towns in Ethiopia,                                   Water in Urban Areas in Ethiopia, 2016
          2016

                                                                                                    70
                                                                                                           63
                    100
                                                                                                    60
                    90

                    80                                                                              50
                    70
                                                                                                    40
                     60




                                                                                          Percent
          Percent




                     50
                                                                                                    30
                     40

                     30                                                                             20
                                                                                                                      12          13                    11
                     20
                                                                                                    10
                     10
                                                                                                                                              1
                      0                                                                              0
                           Addis Ababa       Secondary towns       Small towns                           Piped to   Piped to   Public tap   Bottled   All other
                                                                                                         premises   neighbor    or kiosk     water    sources
                          E. coli <1   E. coli 1–10   E. coli 11–100   E. coli >100

                                                                                      Source: DHS 2016.
      Source: ESS 2016 (Water Quality Survey).
      Note: SDG = Sustainable Development Goal.




                                       (including to neighbor) and piped water at public taps (see figure 5.17). Together, these account
                                       for 89 percent of primary drinking water sources (figure 5.18) While water from both these
                                       source types was contaminated in at least half of cases surveyed, there were very large
                                       differentials across geography. Water quality in Addis Ababa (only 15 percent of source
                                       contaminated with E. coli) was much better than in other large urban areas (54 percent of
                                       sources contaminated), which in turn was far better than small towns (85 percent of sources
                                       contaminated) (see figure 5.19).

                                       Only by a small proportion of households treated water, even in urban areas. The DHS 2016
                                       reports that fewer than 12 percent of urban households treated water. While there is a
                                       differential between the proportion of wealthier (T60, 16 percent) and poorer households (B40,
                                       6 percent) treating water, the more significant point is that nearly one-third of households in the
                                       wealthiest quintile do so. The main forms of treatment in urban areas are boiling water (3 percent)
                                       and adding chlorine tablets (7 percent).


                                       Implications of Service Quality on the SDG Baseline
                                       The SDG baseline for safely managed urban drinking water is estimated to be 38 percent, and
                                       the baseline for a basic service of water supply in urban areas is estimated at 71 percent (see
                                       figure 5.20). Water quality and water availability will be primary challenges to improving access
                                       to safely managed water in urban areas. Addressing both will require significant investment in
                                       water treatment, reducing NRW, and increasing water production. This is especially the case for
                                       utilities that serve secondary cities and small towns.

                                       This section has also highlighted the challenge of ensuring equity in urban water supply. In
                                       urban areas there are large differences between the services experienced by wealthier
                                       versus poorer households. Without proactive and progressive realization of access to
                                       safely managed services for all, poorer households will continue to (a) be less likely to
                                       have piped water to premises; (b) spend more time fetching water; (c) receive a worse
                                       quality of water; and (d) therefore, suffer the consequences of higher prevalence of diarrhea
                                       and malnutrition.


96	                                                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure 5.19: E. Coli Risk Levels at Point of Collection by Urban Water Supply Type in
       Ethiopia, 2016


                100
                90
                80
                70
                60
      Percent




                50
                40
                30
                20
                10
                 0
                                                        p




                                                                                                      e
                                                                             n
                                                                  k
                        er


                                es




                                                                                                                          l
                                             k




                                                                                                                                      g
                                                                                        g




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                                                                                                                l


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                                                     ta


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                                                                          io
                                          os




                                                                                                                                  rin
                                                                                     rin
                      at




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                                                                                             eh
                                                                        ct
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                  w




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                             em




                                                                                   sp




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                                      er




                                                                                                                    du
                 ed




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                           pr




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                                     at




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                                                                                                                ed
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                       on




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                                                      ith




                                                                                                      te




                                                                                                                                   Su
                                                                                        w




                                                                                                                          te
                                                                                                               ct
                                  d




                                                                 at
                                           at




                                                                                                  ec
                                                                         ot
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                                                     tw
                              pe




                                                                                                                        ro
                                                                                                           te
                                                                                    be
                                                               w
                                          w
                      pe




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                                                                                                 ot




                                                                                                                     np
                                                                                                           ro
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                             Pi




                                                                                   Tu
                                         d
                  Pi




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                                                                                                          np
                                      pe



                                                 C




                                                                                                                    U
                                                                                                       U
                                     Pi




                                               E. Coli <1        E. Coli 1–10        E. Coli 11–100             E. Coli >100


  Source: ESS 2016 (Water Quality Survey).




       Figure 5.20: Estimates of Safely Managed Drinking Water in Urban Areas in
       Ethiopia, 2016—SDG Methodology


                                                                                                                                      SDG ladder
                100                                                           Elements of safely managed                                 2
                                                                                                                                         3

                                                                                                                                            23
                 80



                 60
                                                                                                                                            35
      Percent




                                96
                 40
                                                    73                   71


                 20                                                                              43
                                                                                                                     38                     38



                  0
                           Improved          Improved within        Improved             Improved                Improved    Safely managed
                                               30 minutes              on                 available                free of    drinking water
                                                roundtrip           premises            when needed            contamination     services

                              Surface water           Unimproved          Limted service              Basic serivce          Safety managed


  Source: ESS-WQT 2016.
  Note: SDG = Sustainable Development Goal.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                               97
      Kechene Transfer Station, Addis Ababa.
      © Chris Terry/World Bank




98	                                            Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Urban Sanitation Subsector Analysis

  National Status and Trends
  Between 2000 and 2005 there was a dramatic improvement in onsite sanitation coverage of
  urban areas, despite the lack of a clear strategy, but this has not been sustained over the last
  decade (see figure 5.21). As in rural areas, there was a significant reduction in open defecation,
  from 29.87 percent to 12.68 percent. However, unlike in rural areas, there was a significant
  uptake of improved latrines, from 1.88 percent in 2000 to 44.24 percent in 2005. But the lack
  of continuation of this positive trend is a strong indication that services have not been able to
  keep up with growing urbanization. In addition, while data are still limited, the number of public
  and communal latrines in urban areas fall far short of demand, leaving many low-income
  people without latrine services.

  Latrine coverage does not provide a complete picture of whether sanitation is being safely
  managed in urban areas. The lack of appropriate data hampers the analysis of the effectiveness
  of sanitation systems beyond simply household containment of fecal waste. However
  inadequate management of fecal waste across the service chain in densely populated areas
  is having an impact beyond just the household level, causing the pollution of urban rivers and
  water bodies (see figure 5.22).

  Government data show that in 2011, 55 percent of all latrines in urban areas were shared
  by more than two households (see figure 5.23). Interestingly, the percentage of shared
  latrines is very similar between those households using unimproved and improved
  latrines. The 2016 DHS estimates that 60 percent of households using improved latrines
  in urban areas are sharing, and more than half of these are sharing improved pit latrines
  (see figure 5.24).



       Figure 5.21: Urban Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2000–16


                100

                 90

                 80

                 70

                 60
      Percent




                 50

                 40

                 30

                 20

                 10

                 0
                             2000           2005                 2011                 2016
                                     Improved      Unimproved   Open defecation

  Source: DHS., 2000–2016.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  99
           Figure 5.22: Sanitation Service Chain in Ethiopia



                                                                                               Reuse and
             Containment         Emptying             Transport              Treatment
                                                                                                disposal




                                                                                                           Safe reuse and disposal of fecal wastes
                                              Unsafe discharge of faecal wastes
                           Sewerage   Septic tanks    Other improved     Unimproved      Open defecation


       Source: DHS.




          Figure 5.23: Share of Improved and Unimproved Private and Shared Latrines in
          Ethiopia, 2011




                                             45%

                                                                   55%




                                            Shared latrines   Private latrines


       Source: WMS 2011.




100	                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure 5.24: Urban Sanitation Coverage with Shared Latrines in Ethiopia, 2000–11


                100



                80



                60
      Percent




                40



                20



                 0
                            2000                       2005                           2011
                              Improved: private    Improved: shared     Unimproved: private
                              Unimproved: shared   Open defecation


  Source: WMS, 2000–2011.


  Shared latrines are more prevalent in larger towns and among tenant renting
  accommodation. A logit regression analysis was undertaken to examined variables that
  may be correlated with increasing or decreasing likelihood that households share toilet
  facilities (see appendix F for details). The results indicate that households were more
  likely to share toilet facilities in larger towns than in small towns. Households were
  significantly less likely to share toilet facilities when they owned rather than rented the
  house they lived in.

  Households in the highest urban consumption quintile were less likely than other households
  to share toilet facilities. However, for other consumption quintiles there was not a significant
  correlation with shared use of toilet facilities. The variables for education level, gender of
  household head, and even use of an improved toilet facility were not significantly correlated
  with shared use of toilet facilities. The results of this regression suggest that it would be worth
  investigating further the relations between tenure status of household and the sharing of toilet
  facilities.

  Households with greater numbers of household members were also less likely to share toilet
  facilities with other households. The squared function of household size was examined in a
  separate model but was not found to be significant. This last result requires further investigation
  to understand the relation between household size and sharing of toilet facilities.

  There is no clear policy regarding urban sanitation; however, the sector documents state
  that households are responsible for building and managing their own latrine facilities. As
  a result of this policy direction, public investment in containment has been very low with
  the exception of communal and public latrines and poor quality septic tanks to service
  condominium housing. The policy does not clarify how to support poor households to build
  latrines or connect to sanitation services along the service chain. There is also currently
  no policy directive to motivate or enforce land and property owners to provide adequate
  sanitation facilities to their tenants.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                   101
       Access Disparities by Geography and City Population
       Urban sanitation coverage varies between towns in different regions (see figure 5.25). To
       analyze regional variations in urban sanitation coverage, urban centers are clustered into four
       groups.11 Sanitation coverage in Addis Ababa is the highest among, and is the only city with a
       municipal sewerage system, even though this serves only 10 percent of the city’s population.
       The coverage in the chartered cities is similar to that of Addis, with over 70 percent of
       households having access to an improved latrine. Coverage in the towns and cities in the
       agrarian and emerging regions is notably lower, with considerable open defecation still taking
       place in urban centers in the emerging regions.

       Unsurprisingly, Addis Ababa represents the single largest urban challenge in Ethiopia, with
       9  percent of all unimproved latrines and 4 percent of all households that practice open
       defecation in urban areas (see figure 5.26). However, the sheer size of the urban population
       in the large regions and the relatively poor coverage mean that most households with
       unimproved latrines (69 percent) and that practice open defecation (61 percent) in urban
       areas are across these four large regions.

       When Addis Ababa is excluded, there is no significant difference in the sanitation coverage
       between towns with different population sizes (see figure 5.27). Open defecation remains
       highest in the secondary towns,12 which are expected to expand significantly in the coming
       years. This can be explained by the large new and transient population moving to these
       areas for job opportunities. As demonstrated by regression analysis, as towns get larger,
       households tend to increase the sharing of toilet facilities. Households living in Addis Abba
       and regional capitals are almost three times more likely to share toilet facilities than
       households in smaller towns.

       Despite relatively similar patterns of coverage, many factors will impact the strategies taken to
       address these challenges in coming years, including population density and growth, water
       supply, and capacity of institutions. Tools that could help towns address sanitation challenges
       include developing sanitation investment plans, and setting out institutional arrangements and
       management of service delivery models.



            Figure 5.25: Trends in Access to Urban Sanitation across Regional Groups in Ethiopia,
            2000 and 2016


                     100
                      90
                      80
                      70
                      60
           Percent




                      50
                      40
                      30
                      20
                      10
                       0
                           2000     2016        2000        2016     2000        2016     2000       2016
                            Addis Ababa          Chartered cities    Agrarian regions     Emerging regions
                                     Safely managed      Improved   Unimproved    Open defecation


       Source: DHS. 2000 & 2016.




102	                                       Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure 5.26: Share of Total Urban Population, People with Unimproved Latrines, and
       Practicing Open Defecation in Ethiopia, 2016



                                                                      Total urban
                                                                      population




                                                                               Unimproved
                                                                                 latrines




                                                    Open
                                                  defecation

                                  Addis Ababa          Chartered cities
                                  Large regions        Emerging regions


  Source: DHS 2016.




       Figure 5.27: Access to Sanitation in Urban Areas by City Population in Ethiopia, 2007


                60



                50



                40
      Percent




                30



                20



                10



                 0
                      Addis Ababa               100,000–350,000       50,000–100,000        < 50,000
                                            Improved sanitation     Unimproved sanitation
                                            Open defecation


  Source: Housing and Population Census 2007.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  103
       Access Disparities by Poverty
       Unlike in rural areas, where wealth does not appear to be a key factor in determining sanitation
       access levels, in urban areas wealth is a driver of sanitation access. Only 5 percent of the
       richest quintile practice open defecation in urban areas, compared to 45 percent of households
       in the poorest quintile. While the percentage of improved latrine is much greater in urban
       areas, most improved latrines are owned by the richest quintile (see figure 5.28).

       Wealth appears to have less impact on whether households have a shared or private latrine
       (see figure 5.29). Some variations are seen, such as only one in five households in the B40
       with improved latrines have a private latrine compared to half of households in the T60.
       However, the split of shared and private for all wealth groups with unimproved latrines is
       approximately half and half.



            Figure 5.28: Urban Sanitation Coverage by Poverty Quintile in Ethiopia, 2005 and 2016


                     100
                      90
                      80
                      70
                      60
           Percent




                      50
                      40
                      30
                      20
                      10
                       0
                           2005     2016   2005       2016      2005      2016      2005      2016     2005       2016
                             Poorest           Poorer               Middle             Richer                Richest
                                                                  Wealth quintile
                                       Safely managed        Improved    Unimproved        Open defecation


       Source: DHS 2005 and 2016.




            Figure 5.29: Share of Private Latrines by Wealth Quintile in Ethiopia, 2011


                     100

                     80

                     60
           Percent




                     40

                     20

                      0
                             Poorest           Poorer              Medium              Richer                Richest
                                                                Wealth quintile
                                                  Improved: private       Improved: shared
                                                  Unimproved: private     Unimproved: shared


       Source: WMS 2011.




104	                                       Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Access Disparities by Tenants Compared to Home Owners
  Nearly two-thirds of urban residents live in rented accommodation, with privately rented
  households constituting the largest and growing group, but there is an ongoing change to the
  structure of the housing and rental market in urban areas. Kebele housing is on the decline due
  to GoE’s ambitious condominium construction program, but it made up 24 percent of housing
  in Addis Ababa in 2007 and slightly below 20 percent, on average, across all cities in 2007.

  The construction of condominium houses aims to replace poor quality kebele housing with
  more robust housing stock, which in theory should benefit the poorest households. In the first
  phase of the Integrated Housing Development Program (IHDP), 244,436 units were completed,
  170,000 of which were in Addis Ababa, and during the current phase of the program, the
  government plans to build 50,000 units per year in Addis Ababa.

  However, the World Bank Urbanization Review (2016) finds that for the bottom third of
  households, IHDP condominiums are not affordable. As a result, poorer households use them
  to generate income by renting them to wealthier households, creating a new breed of relatively
  poor landlords. The removal of kebele housing in the center of Addis Ababa and other cities
  has forced an increasing number of poorer households to live on the peripheries. These
  households rent from private landlords and farmers in peri-urban areas, creating yet another
  new group of landlords.

  As demonstrated by the previous regression analysis, those living in rented accommodation
  are significantly more likely to have a shared latrine irrespective of whether it is improved or
  unimproved. This is even though the sanitation coverage patterns in urban areas looks very
  similar for both households that own and households that rent their properties (see figure 5.30).
  At the national level, of households that own their property and have access to an improved
  latrine, 71 percent have private latrines and 29 percent are shared. This is compared to
  23 percent private latrines and 77 percent shared latrines among households that rent their
  property and have an improved latrine. A similar pattern can be observed in house owners and
  tenant households with unimproved latrines.

  A World Bank study on urban sanitation across ten towns and cities finds that 16 percent of
  condominium residents surveyed were using dry pit latrines because their indoor flush toilets
  were not functioning. The problems were related to poor quality plumbing installations, badly



      Figure 5.30: Sanitation Coverage among Urban Households Owning or Renting Properties in Ethiopia, 2011


         a. Property ownership           b. Rental property             c. Property ownership           d. Rental property




              Improved    Unimproved   Open defecation                       Improved: private     Improved: shared
                                                                             Unimproved: private   Unimproved: shared
                                                                             Open defecation


  Source: WMS 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                        105
       constructed or undersized septic tanks, and low water pressure. Sanitation facilities do not
       appear to have been adequately planned and effectively implemented in Ethiopia’s new
       generation of housing infrastructure.

       Landlords and tenants are less inclined to invest in building a private latrine. For household
       renting from kebele councils, major renovations by tenants are not currently permitted. Tenants
       of private landlords also choose or are not incentivized to make repairs or upgrade household
       basic infrastructure for fear of increased rents. There is currently no regulation that forces
       landlord to rent houses with private sanitation facilities.


       Sanitation Solutions across the Service Chain
       While the problems of open defecation and unsafe containment remain significant in urban
       areas, policy makers in sanitation infrastructure and services in urban areas need to look
       beyond conventional on-site sanitation technologies to address the whole sanitation service
       chain (see figure 5.31). Fecal sludge13 is often accumulated in poorly built latrine pits, and then
       discharged directly into storm drains, open water bodies or the ground, or manually removed
       and dumped into the neighborhood or the wider environment.

       Ethiopia has limited large-scale sewerage and treatment infrastructure. The only sewerage
       networks are in Addis Ababa and manage across three catchments: Akakai, Kality, and Eastern.
       Reception facilities, such as Addis’s treatment plants in Kaliti and Kotebe, do not have adequate
       capacity to deal with the city’s volume of sludge. The World Bank has financed the expansion
       of the Kality sewerage system to add capacity of 90,000 cubic meters per day, once completed
       in late 2017. A further 15 decentralized WWTPs have recently been completed or are still under
       construction and will come online in 2018. These will provide a conveyance and treatment
       capacity of 60,500 cubic meters per day.

       Conventional sewers are not the solution in many urban centers due to their high cost, reliance
       on large volumes of water, and challenges of installation in densely populated and unplanned
       settlements. As a result, the GoE’s Integrated Urban Sanitation and Hygiene Strategy (2017)
       sets out a new vision for urban sanitation infrastructure and services, which emphasizes
       achieving safe wastewater management. The strategy combines the traditional approach of
       improving existing on-site and sewer-based solutions, with fecal sludge management services,
       investing in more decentralized WWTPs, and introducing wastewater reuse.

       To date there has been limited investment in these alternatives, resulting in a lack of
       appropriate desludging services, as well as limited infrastructure to facilitate treatment
       of wastewater. Only a limited number of municipalities have vacuum trucks to desludge
       latrines and septic tanks, while fleet management and operation is patchy, and mechanical
       failure is common. For example, AAWSA owns 104 vacuum trucks and regulates a fleet of
       58 private vacuum truck operators. Recent World Bank Group analysis (2016) finds only
       62 percent of AAWSA’s trucks were functional. More worryingly sludge is mostly released
       into the environment without adequate treatment due to the absence of reception
       facilities.



          Figure 5.31: Sanitation Service Chain




              Capture             Storage           Transportation        Treatment        Reuse/disposal




106	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 5.2: Accountability for Urban Sanitation Service Delivery in Addis Ababa

       In Addis Ababa, there is no formal accountability between citizens, AAWSA, and local
       administration because the board members are all government representatives. However,
       AAWSA established a customer forum, in which representatives of AAWSA branch offices
       and subcity offices and customers meet quarterly. The arrangement has provided some




       Water customers reception at Gulele Branch, AAWSA.
       © Chris Terry/World Bank



                                                                        box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                             107
       Box 5.2: Continued

       degree of accountability among the different groups, but it has still some limitations.
       The main limitation is that the forum cannot pass binding resolutions and can be interpreted
       differently by the groups. Another major limitation is that it focuses on service delivery
       routine issues and neglects broader strategic issues, such as on how to address poor
       families and land management issue.

       In the case of Addis Ababa, the separation of roles between the utility and the local
       administration is clearly delineated because of AAWSA branch offices’ accountability
       (responsible for operations and service delivery) to the AAWSA head office, and subcities’
       accountability to the municipality. The structure of Addis Ababa city, which is organized as a
       region, also forces division of roles in a clearer way than in smaller towns. The role of residents
       is reflected in their representatives on the city council.

       There is conflict of interest between the woredas (health stations), which want affordable
       solutions for public health, and AAWSA, which focuses on addressing large infrastructure
       projects (such as sewerage) and neglects pro-poor solutions. There is a perception from both
       sides that they are pushing challenging issues to the other party. The lack of the woredas’
       clear understanding of AAWSA policies leads to further misunderstanding.

       Accessing land is very challenging in Addis Ababa, and woredas are unwilling to change
       policies or administrative rules to address urban sanitation. In addition, AAWSA does not
       seem inclined to change its service delivery model to address the urban poor. If effective
       accountability mechanisms are not established, the utility will continue with its priority of
       infrastructure-driven approaches. Neglecting more diverse and pro-poor sanitation solution
       will lead to further marginalization of poor families.

       There is a need to improve the institutional framework for urban sanitation, create policy
       integration among the different actors, and create awareness on the need for policy reform.
       Further improvements in accountability can be achieved through the formalization of the
       customer forum. There is also a need to establish formal links between AAWSA branches and
       subcities with a proper framework to engage solution-targeted dialogue. Addis Ababa could
       develop a citywide forum, including municipalities, to harmonize interests and achieve
       sustainable solutions for all and create branch-level, customer-focused platforms.

       Financing plans should be designed to support pro-poor interventions and create incentives
       for increased accountability to poor customers. Better managed shared latrines, credit
       mechanism for building latrines, and incentives for landowners to build latrines will improve
       service delivery for poor households. The introduction of these strategies will require a
       combination of incentives to utilities and municipalities, and the establishment of performance
       targets and monitoring.

       Source: Yemane and Defere n.d.




108	                                    Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Sanitary suppliers, Merkato, Addis Ababa.
  © Chris Terry/World Bank




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	   109
                                      Most of networked sanitation services are not available or affordable to the poorest communities
                                      in urban areas. Utilities target households they perceive are able and willing to pay. Furthermore,
                                      existing technologies are unable to reach densely populated slum areas where poor households
                                      reside, and when they can pay, often the quality of the latrine means a risk that the desludging
                                      will damage the latrine. Hence, the AAWSA strategy for these groups has been to construct and
                                      outsource mobile and fixed public and communal latrines in low-income and public areas.
                                      These have the potential to create income and job opportunities for small enterprises.

                                      There is a need to shift to a new paradigm that addresses sanitation across whole cities. Such
                                      a shift would need to include systemic policy and institutional transformation, and create a
                                      framework that promotes a range of technologies and solutions. Cities and towns would need
                                      to develop investment strategies addressing challenges and growing demand across the
                                      sanitation service chain in different urban environments and for different wealth groups. Such
                                      an approach would also require responding to the lack of reliable water supply within cities. To
                                      set up such mechanisms along the service chain and provide the institutional system to carry
                                      it requires clearly defined and organized delivery mechanisms, as well as mobilization and
                                      allocation of adequate fiscal resources.


                                      Role for the Private Sector
                                      Despite a huge market opportunity, private sector participation in the delivery of sanitation
                                      products and services in urban areas is currently limited. Water utilities and local governments
                                      have not harnessed the potential of the private sector to improve the efficiency of sanitation
                                      service provision. This is in part because many key elements to create a conducive enabling
                                      environment for private sector participation are still not in place.

                                      The private sector, from large to micro-business, has opportunities across the sanitation service
                                      chain in urban areas (see figure 5.32). In relation to the containment, the private sector is
                                      producing and selling latrine pans, but these are mostly priced out of reach of the poorest
                                      section of society. This goes some way to explain why the richest quintiles have most of the
                                      improved latrines in urban areas. The private sector has yet to fully take on the challenge of
                                      innovating a lower cost latrine option for poor households to tap the growing need for on-site




           Figure 5.32: Opportunities for Private Sector Engagement across the Service Chain in Ethiopia


            Access to                               Emptying                            Treatment                       Disposal
              toilet                              and transport                                                         or reuse




                          Residential and                         Collect and deliver               Fecal sludge                   Organic
                          institutional toilets                   fecal sludge                      treatment                      matter




                          Retail stores and                                                         Biogas
                                                                  Call center                                                      Water
                          public toilets                                                            plant



       Source: CGIAR, IWMI, and World Bank.




110	                                                                    Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 5.3: Example Case of a Household in a Densely Populated and Inaccesible
       Area’s Attempt to Empty Latrine Facilities

       The case study documents the process of accessing a pit emptying service from AAWSA
       branch office. Girma Abebe and his family live in a compound with eight households that share
       a latrine in poor working condition. Due to the large number of users, the latrine fills quickly
       and needs emptying to remain functional. The road leading to the compound is narrow and
       difficult to access it with a conventional vacu-truck.

       AAWSA is responsible for the provision of fecal sludge management services including pit
       emptying. The Gulele Branch Office (under Woreda 3 Administration) is the service provider.
       There are also private vacuum truck operators, but their primary focus is businesses and
       conventional houses. The Health Station provides health services and hygiene promotion to




       Girma Abebe, Addis Ababa.
       © Chris Terry/World Bank

                                                                                 box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                      111
       Box 5.3: Continued




       Shared latrine, Addis Ababa.
       © Chris Terry/World Bank



       the residents. With one HEW supporting 500 households to access water supply and
       sanitation service, households can go directly to the branch office and apply for fecal sludge
       services, but it can take some time. The service is provided more quickly if the family has a
       letter from the health station stating the urgency of the situation. The household contacts
       HEW, HEW facilitates the paperwork in the health station, and the application is sent to the
       branch office. The household makes the payments and the branch will send vacuum trucks to
       empty the latrine.

                                                                               box continues next page




112	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 5.3: Continued

       The family applied through the correct channels to have their latrine emptied. They obtained a
       supporting letter from the health station and went to the branch office in 2015 and paid the
       charge for the service. However, the latrine was not emptied due to its inaccessibility. In 2016,
       the family reapplied for emptying and paid the fee again. After it was identified that AAWSA’s
       vacu-trucks could access the latrine to empty it, the issue was forwarded to the woreda.

       The woreda HEW and health office came to assess the situation and agreed to facilitate
       construction of a new latrine. They attempted to allocate land, which was initially was taught
       to be public land, but was found to be private, and they still look for viable solution. The
       likelihood of achieving a sustainable solution is very low. It requires introducing a new service
       delivery model, or encouraging other service providers to enter the market. It also depends on
       the woreda to give priority on its policy of land allocation to move from revenue-based approach
       toward service provision. That seems at present unlikely without high-level policy intervention.

       Source: Yemane and Defere n.d.




  sanitation solutions among low-income urban communities. Some plastic latrine pans are
  starting to emerge in the market, but their production and marketing has not been done to scale
  to date.

  Small and medium enterprises have opportunities in both managing public latrines and in
  providing services for emptying and transportation of domestic waste. Examples of private
  engagement in these areas include the private management of public latrines built by AAWSA.
  However, the long-term viability of these businesses will depend on consumer demand and
  willingness to pay, as well as the enterprises developing business models that might include
  provision of complementary products and services. Due to these businesses relying on the
  wider service chain, the availability and cost of complementary services in the service chain
  will also impact their long-term success.

  The private sector has the capacity to innovate to reduce costs and find solutions to service
  provision for the poorest households. Existing large trucks are not suitable for emptying pits
  and emptying and transporting fecal sludge from densely populated low-income areas. There
  is a need to introduce new technologies that would be better serve and provide viable business
  opportunities to this market segment. Currently the private sector is not prepared to take
  the  risk of investing in such research and development in an untested and infant market.
  Partnership between the public and private sectors on such research offer opportunities to
  develop solutions for low-income households.

  While the situation is improving, the public sector lacks the skills to engage with private sector
  in an effective manner. For the government to effectively facilitate these market opportunists,
  contract management skills need to be developed in municipalities and utilities, and the legal
  frameworks for engaging private partners have to be clarified and refined. For example, there
  is currently no policy for effective regulation of the removal and treatment of fecal sludge. While
  private vacuum trucks operate side by side with the utility’s trucks, investing in such a business
  is a risk for entrepreneurs if market regulation is unclear.

  Another major challenge is the difficulty of accessing seed money for startup activities for
  small operators. This issue is a serious constraint because small operators lack both


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                      113
           Figure 5.33: Urban Sanitation Coverage in Ethiopia, 2016—SDG Methodology


                                                                                                                                                    SDG ladder
                                           100
                                                                                                                                                        7
           Urban sanitation coverage (%)




                                            80
                                                                                                                                                       43

                                            60


                                            40
                                                                                                                                                       35
                                                     50
                                            20

                                                                        16              14                                                             16
                                                                                                          ?                              ?
                                             0                                                                                                          0
                                                 Population         Population      Population          Safely       Population        Safety       Population
                                                    using             using           using           disposed         using        transported       using
                                                 improved-           private         private          on-site or      piped to      and treated       safely
                                                    type            improved        improved           treated         sewer           off-site     managed
                                                  sanitation        sanitation       on-site           off-site                                     sanitation
                                                   facility                         sanitation                                                       services
                                                                                                 SDG methodology
                                                                       Safely managed    At least basic   Limited   Unimproved    Open defecation


       Source: World Bank calculation based on DHS 2016.
       Note: SDG = Sustainable Development Goal; ? = figure based on best estimate using existing data.




                                                               adequate private equity and the ability to mobilize external financial resources. While some
                                                               progress has been made in freeing up private capital through increasing liquidity and
                                                               introducing guarantees to reduce the risk to the bank, in many case the banks’ collateral
                                                               requirements, particularly cars and houses, are still too stringent. The most success to date
                                                               in mobilizing finance for new businesses has been through microfinance lenders lending to
                                                               new businesses organized by government agencies. However much more needs to be done if
                                                               private enterprises of different scales are going to make a meaningful contribution to sanitation
                                                               service provision in urban areas.


                                                               Implication of Achieving the SDGs Targets
                                                               The SDG targets and monitoring system reflects the progress required across the sanitation
                                                               service chain in urban areas. The status looks more encouraging compared to the rural SDG
                                                               assessment, however as discussed above the institutional and technological improvement
                                                               required to achieve safely managed sanitation access in urban areas are significantly more
                                                               complex (see figure 5.33). The SDG indicators in the urban context further highlights the
                                                               complexity of monitoring progress across the service chain.




114	                                                                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Notes
   1.	Unless otherwise stated, population figures in this report are taken from the Ethiopian
        Central Statistics Agency. The Sub-Saharan average is from the World Bank World
        Development Indicators (WDI). Urban population refers to people living in urban areas as
        defined by national statistical offices.
    2.	 Population between 100,000 and 350,000 people.
   3.	People fetching drinking water from plot or premises has risen from 1.2 million to
        10.7 million between 1995 and 2015. People fetching water from standpipes or neighbors
        has gone from 5.4 million to 7.1 million over the same period (WHO/UNICEF 2016).
    4.	 DHS 2011 reports that women (72 percent) and girls (15 percent) are primary fetchers of
        water in rural areas and in urban areas (women 69 percent and girls 8 percent) but over
        60 percent urban households have access to water in their yard compared to less than
        2 percent in rural areas. Female- and male-headed urban households have equal access
        to water on premises (about 57 percent).
    5.	 See IBNET’s website: https://www.ib-net.org/.
    6.	 At 2011 exchange rates.
    7.	 IBNET 2011 data for Ethiopia.
    8.	 Data for access and time to fetch water form DHS 2016.
    9.	 Data for availability from ESS 2016.
  10.	International Benchmarking Network for Water Supply and Sanitation Utilities.
  11.	Addis Ababa, the chartered cities of Dire Dawa and Harari, and urban centers in the large
        regions and the emerging regions.
  12.	Secondary towns are a distinct group with a population between 100,000 and 300,000
        people.
  13.	Fecal sludge is a highly variable mix of raw and partially digested feces and urine, along
        with different amounts of contaminated wastewater, and in some places solid waste and
        other materials.


  References
  Banerjee, S., Q. Wodon, A. Diallo, T. Pushak, H. Uddin, C. Tsimpo, and V. Foster. 2008. “Access,
     Affordability and Alternatives: Modern Infrastructure Services in Sub-Saharan Africa.”
     AICD Background Paper 2, Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic, World Bank,
     Washington, DC.

  WHO (World Health Organization)/UNICEF (United Nations Children’s Fund). 2016. “WHO/
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     Annual  Report.” WHO, Geneva. https://washdata.org/sites/default/files/documents​
     /­reports/2017-07/JMP-2016-annual-report.pdf.

  Wodon, D. A. 2007. Growth and Welfare Under Demographic Transitions and Economies of
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  World Bank. 2014. Ethiopia Public Expenditure Review. Washington, DC: World Bank.

  ———. 2015a. Ethiopia Poverty Assessment 2014. Washington, DC: World Bank.

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    Washington, DC: World Bank.

  ———. 2016. World Bank Urbanization Review 2016. Washington, DC: World Bank.

  Yemane Y., and E. Defere. n.d. “Learning Journeys Commissioned for the Ethiopia WASH
     Poverty Diagnostic.” World Bank, Washington, DC.



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                115
Shumba Bukeri, Mareko Woreda, SNNPR, cannot afford to pay for water from a community water point 200 yards from her house.
© Chris Terry/World Bank
  Chapter 6
  WASH, Nutrition, and Health
  Inadequate water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services can result in exposure to a
  wide range of pathogens and cause many health problems. The ingestion of contaminated
  water, food, or soil as a result of the unsafe management of human excreta, or poor personal
  and domestic hygiene, provide routes of transmission for numerous microorganisms that can
  cause diarrhea and other important infections. Despite the increase in access to WASH
  services in Ethiopia, the poor quality of services provided have constrained the potential of
  WASH services to contribute to improvements in health outcomes.

  The under-five mortality rate in Ethiopia has decreased by 72 percent since 1990, when it was
  205 deaths per 1,000 live births, to 59 deaths per 1,000 live births today (UNICEF/WHO/
  World Bank 2015). This large drop in under-five mortality is the result of both preventive and
  curative interventions. WASH interventions target preventing the spread and so burden of
  disease experienced by people.

  Dehydration from diarrhea is still ranked as the second leading cause of child mortality in
  Ethiopia and persists as a significant public health problem.1 The prevalence of diarrhea has
  halved from 24 percent to 12 percent from 2000 to 2016 (DHS 2000 and DHS 2016).
  Neglected tropical diseases (soil-transmitted helminth infection, schistosomiasis, and
  trachoma), for which inadequate WASH is a risk factor, also persist as public health problems
  in Ethiopia. Studies in Ethiopia have reported an association between using an unimproved
  water source and higher prevalence of childhood diarrhea, with children in households not
  using an improved water source around twice as likely to experience episodes of diarrhea
  (Godana and Mengistie 2013; Mekasha and Tesfahun 2003; Mihrete, Alemie, and Teferra
  2014). However, while there is some good evidence that water quality is associated with
  diarrhea, there are few studies assessing water availability (distance to source) as a risk factor.

  There is evidence in the wider literature that open defecation increases the odds of children
  under five having diarrhea. Children in households that practice open defecation were more
  than twice as likely to have diarrhea as children from households using a latrine. In addition,
  children from households that do not practice proper infant feces disposal have over twice the
  odds of having diarrhea; in one urban setting, the presence of feces in the compound increased
  the odds of children having diarrhea by nearly two times (Godana and Mengistie 2013;
  Mihrete, Alemie, and Teferra 2014). It has also been found that children under five were up to
  twice as likely to have diarrhea if their caregivers did not wash their hands at critical times
  (Eshete 2008).

  Malnutrition is an acute health risk and can also have long-term negative effects. Stunting
  is a powerful risk factor for disease and death and is associated with 53 percent of
  infectious disease related deaths in developing countries (Schaible and Kaufmann 2007).
  Malnutrition can also have long-lasting wider negative effects, including on poor mental
  development, impacting school achievement and future employment prospects. This risks
  long-term disadvantages for affected individuals and negative impact on wider growth and
  development goals.

  Undernutrition still presents a significant problem, despite good progress since 2000. Diarrhea
  and environmental enteropathy2 can lead to chronic problems with absorbing nutrients, leading
  to stunting, wasting, and being underweight (see figure 6.1). DHS 2016 data show that among
  under-five children, 38.4 percent, 23.6 percent, and 9.9 percent were stunted3, underweight, and
  wasted, respectively. However, similar to the 2011 data, the DHS 2016 data do not report a


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                   117
            Figure 6.1: Trends in Nutritional Status of Children under Age Five in
            Ethiopia, 2000–16


                                                 a. Child stunting in Ethiopia, 2016




                                                                                   38%
                                                                     of children under 5 are stunted




                                           b. Nutritional status of children in Ethiopia, 2000–16
                     60

                     50

                     40
           Percent




                     30

                     20

                     10

                      0
                            Stunting                 Wasting                 Underweight            Global hunger
                                                                                                    index scores
                                                        2000    2005     2011     2016

       Sources: DHS; IFPRI Global Hunger Index database 2016.



       substantial differential in stunting between B40 (43 percent) and T60 (37 percent) in rural areas.
       While other environmental factors, most notably sanitation, are known to influence stunting
       rates, the cumulative effect of factors clearly benefits wealthier more than poorer households.

       Regions of Ethiopia show significant variation in the distribution of child stunting and children
       being underweight, as shown in maps 6.1 and 6.2. There is a high prevalence of stunting and
       underweight children in areas of both high and low water supply and sanitation coverage. This
       is because there are many drivers for children being underweight and stunted, including
       maternal nutrition; food availability and nutritional value of food intake; overall health; and
       geographic and environmental factors such as access to water, sanitation, health, and
       education services.

       The negative impacts of poor WASH conditions and other external factors are, however,
       concentrated among certain groups, reflecting broader structural inequities relating to poverty
       and geography. Overall measures of exposure and susceptibility are positively associated.


118	                                        Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Map 6.1: Share of Children Stunted in Ethiopia, 2017


                                                   Eritrea
                                                                           Yemen
                                           Tigray                                   Percent
                      Sudan
                                                                                        No data
                                                                                        15–25
                                                                                        26–35
                                                             Afar     Djibouti
                                                                                        36–42
                                           Amhara                          GULF
                                                                                        43–49
                                                                                        50–62
                Benshangul Gumuz

                                                               Dire Dawa                          Somalia

                                            Addis Ababa          Harari

               Gambella
                                                     Oromia
                                                                                 Somali

                              SNNPR




                                  Kenya



  Source: Sohnesen et al. 2017.



      Map 6.2: Share of Children Underweight in Ethiopia, 2017


                                               Eritrea
                                                                           Yemen

                                           Tigray                                   Percent
                      Sudan                                                             No data
                                                                                        10–24
                                                                                        25–30
                                                             Afar     Djibouti
                                                                                        31–37
                                          Amhara                           GULF
                                                                                        38–46
                                                                                        47–65
                Benshangul Gumuz

                                                               Dire Dawa
                                           Addis Ababa           Harari                              Somalia


               Gambella
                                                     Oromia
                                                                           Somali

                              SNNPR




             Uganda           Kenya



  Source: Sohnesen et al. 2017.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                          119
            Figure 6.2: Exposure, Susceptibility, and Risk Indexes for Children under Five in
            Ethiopia, 2011


                                  a. Exposure index                   b. Susceptibility index                   c. Risk index
                         8

                         6




                                                                                                                                          National
                         4

                         2

                         0

                         8
           Index score




                         6




                                                                                                                                          Rural
                         4

                         2

                         0

                         8

                         6




                                                                                                                                          Urban
                         4

                         2

                         0
                              t

                                   er

                                            e

                                                  er


                                                           t



                                                                     t

                                                                         er

                                                                                  e

                                                                                        er


                                                                                                 t



                                                                                                          t

                                                                                                              er

                                                                                                                       e

                                                                                                                             er


                                                                                                                                      t
                             es




                                                       es



                                                                   es




                                                                                              es



                                                                                                      es




                                                                                                                                   es
                                            dl




                                                                                  dl




                                                                                                                       dl
                                   or



                                                 ch




                                                                         or



                                                                                       ch




                                                                                                              or



                                                                                                                            ch
                             or




                                                      ch




                                                                 or




                                                                                             ch




                                                                                                      or




                                                                                                                                  ch
                                        id




                                                                              id




                                                                                                                   id
                                  Po




                                                                      Po




                                                                                                           Po
                                             Ri




                                                                                   Ri




                                                                                                                        Ri
                                        M




                                                                Po




                                                                              M
                         Po




                                                                                                     Po




                                                                                                                   M
                                                      Ri




                                                                                            Ri




                                                                                                                                 Ri
                                                                         Wealth quintile


       Source: DHS 2011.




       That is, those with the worst WASH conditions are also more vulnerable due to inadequate
       health. Children with poor WASH conditions also suffer from poor access to health and nutrition.
       This is true in rural and urban communities. These correlations between exposure and
       susceptibility add to (and are likely caused by) the underlying difference in wealth and urban–
       rural inequalities (see figure 6.2). More details of this are provided in appendixes I and J.

       Regions of Ethiopia with the largest disparity in disease risk between the poorest (below
       20 percent of the wealth index [B20]) and wealthiest (top 20 percent of the wealth index [T20])
       quintiles are in Tigray and Addis Ababa. Areas with children at the highest risk index values are
       concentrated in the southeast and northeast of Ethiopia, with children from Afar being
       particularly vulnerable to disease. Panels a–c of map 6.3 show a finer scale spatial resolution
       map of the disease risk index value distribution across children under five in Ethiopia. Areas
       with the highest risk index values are concentrated in the southeast and northeast, while the
       children with the lowest risk index values are concentrated in the west in the overall map
       (panel a) and the top 60 percent (T60) of the wealth index population (panel c). For the below
       40 percent (B40) of the wealth index children population, there are larger areas of the higher
       risk index values (>7.25) in the north and south, and to a lesser extent in the center.




120	                                                       Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Map 6.3: Risk Index Values in Ethiopia for Populations of Children under Five, 2011



                               a. Overall                                                                       b. B40                                                                              C. B60




                              <6
                              6–7
                              7–8
                              8–9                                                                                                                                                                                   Kilometers
                              >9                                                                                                                                                               0        250       500


  Source: DHS 2011.
  Note: Maps are at 5 km2 resolution. B40 = below 40 percent of wealth index; T60 = above 60 percent of wealth index.




       Figure 6.3: Relationship between Community-Level Access to Water or Sanitation Services and Stunting in
       Ethiopia, 2011


                            a. Sanitation: Improved                               b. Sanitation: Other unimproved                          c. Sanitation: Open defecation                           d. Water: Access to improved water
                    5                                                    55                                                                                                                    50

                    4                                                    50                                                        5
                                                                                                                                                                                               45
                    3                                                    45

                    2                                                                                                                                                                          40
       Stunting=1




                                                            Stunting=1




                                                                                                                      Stunting=1




                                                                                                                                                                                  Stunting=1




                                                                         40                                                        4
                    1
                                                                         35                                                                                                                    35
                    0
                                                                         30                                                        3
                –1                                                                                                                                                                             30
                                                                         25
                –2
                                                                         20                                                        2                                                           25

                        0    0.25    0.50    0.75     1.0                     0        0.25    0.50    0.75     1.0                    0       0.25    0.50     0.75        1.0                     0      0.25     0.50   0.75     1.0
                            (Primary sampling unit)                                   (Primary sampling unit)                                 (Primary sampling unit)                                     (Primary sampling unit)



  Source: DHS 2011.




  Analysis shows water supply and sanitation coverage needs to reach an advanced level within
  a community before stunting starts to reduce (see figure 6.3). Until fewer than 25 percent of
  households within a community practice open defecation there is very limited impact on child
  stunting rates. However once over 75 percent of the community stop defecating in the open,
  significant improvements in stunting are observed. In the same way very little impact is seen
  on stunting until more than 50 percent of households have improved latrines.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                                                                                                     121
       Most concerning in the Ethiopian context, unimproved latrine coverage has very limited impact
       on stunting, with only marginal improvements shown in communities with high coverage of
       unimproved latrines. In addition, even high coverage of poor quality sanitation services has
       very limited impact on stunting, compared to improved latrines. Therefore, there needs to be a
       focus on ensuring households don’t build unimproved latrines and build improved latrines.

       Significant improvements in stunting are observed only when access to improved water supply
       reaches 70 percent, but prior to this point improved water access has a very limited impact on
       stunting. The poor water quality data presented in this report make this finding unsurprising,
       and reinforce the need to increase the quality of water for all households to realize the health
       benefits. The insufficient protection even “improved” water sources provide against malnutrition
       is aggravated by the extremely low level of point-of-use water treatment in the Ethiopia, which
       has clear protective effects.

       This analysis shows that increases in quality of services need to be combined with reductions
       in inequality of access to water supply and sanitation services within a community. Although
       Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets for universal “safely managed” WASH are
       extremely ambitious, this analysis demonstrates that both universality and higher service
       levels are outcomes that matter most for WASH interventions to contribute to wider human
       health and development goals.


       Notes
                                                                                                data​
       1.	 “Country Profile: Ethiopia,” accessed March 29, 2016,available from http://www.health​
           .org/print/4314.
       2.	 Environmental enteropathy, also known as tropical enteropathy or environmental enteric
           dysfunction (EED), is a condition or subclinical disorder believed to be due to frequent
           intestinal infections.
       3.	 Children whose height-for-age is less than two standard deviations below the median
           (−2  SD) of the reference population are considered short for their age or stunted,
           a condition reflecting the cumulative effect of chronic malnutrition.


       References
       Eshete, W. B. 2008. “A Stepwise Regression Analysis on Under-Five Diarrhoael Morbidity
          Prevalence in Nekemte Town, Western Ethiopia: Maternal Care Giving and Hygiene
          Behavioral Determinants.” East African Journal of Public Health 5 (3): 193–8.

       Godana, W., and B. Mengistie. 2013. “Determinants of Acute Diarrhoea among Children
          Under  Five Years of Age in Derashe District, Southern Ethiopia.” Rural Remote Health
          13 (3): 2329.

       Mekasha, A., and A. Tesfahun. 2003. “Determinants of Diarrhoeal Diseases: A Community
          Based Study in Urban South Western Ethiopia.” East African Medical Journal 80 (2):
          77–82.

       Mihrete, T. S., G. A. Alemie, and A. S. Teferra. 2014. “Determinants of Childhood Diarrhea
           among Under-Five Children in Benishangul Gumuz Regional State, North West Ethiopia.”
           BMC Pediatrics 14 (1): 1–9.

       Schaible, U. E., and S. H. E. Kaufmann. 2007. “Malnutrition and Infection: Complex
          Mechanisms and Global Impacts.” PLoS Medicine 4 (5): e115. doi:10.1371/journal​
                                                                                        .
          pmed.0040115.




122	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
               ., A. A. Ambel, P
  Sohnesen, T. P               . Fisker, C. Andrews, and Q. Khan. 2017. “Small Area Estimation
     of Child Undernutrition in Ethiopian Woredas.” PLoS ONE 12 (4): e0175445. doi:10.1371​
     /journal.pone.0175445.

  UNICEF, WHO (World Health Organization), World Bank, and UN DESA (United Nations
     Department of Economic and Social Affairs) Population Division. 2015. Levels and Trends
     in Child Mortality 2015. New York: UNICEF.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                            123
Mekonei Jare, 70 years old. Digna Koisha Humbo Kabele, Digana Fango Woreda, SNNPR.
© Chris Terry/World Bank
  Chapter 7
  Conclusions and
  Recommendations
  The Government of Ethiopia (GoE) has been successful at linking its decentralized generic
  service delivery machinery with the sector policy direction, plans, and capacity to rollout basic
  water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services at an industrial scale. This has been
  done with strong country leadership that directs both domestic public and overseas aid
  resources well where WASH services are basic and public access (nonrivalrous, nonexclusive
  goods). However, where WASH services have added value and a private dimension (rivalrous
  and exclusive goods), progress on implementing the policy direction, particularly on cost
  recovery, has been limited and the sector outcomes regressive, with wealthier households
  disproportionately capturing the benefits of public expenditure.

  The rollout of basic WASH services has been equitable across wealth groups albeit less
  equitable across livelihood types. Basic water services in rural areas include public water
  points (protected wells, springs, and boreholes). Basic sanitation and hygiene services have
  been achieved through knowledge disseminated through health extension workers (HEWs)
  across the country. Looking ahead, the challenge for basic WASH services is to improve the
  quality while achieving universality.

  Two priorities in rural water supply are improving water quality and reducing the time spent
  fetching water. First, to ensure that rural water services deliver their potential health benefits
  the microbiological quality of water needs to be addressed. This requires (a) improving
  implementation quality to ensure that protected supplies are well constructed (e.g., with crack-
  free masonry and grout seals); (b) site selection that minimizes sanitary risks (e.g., no latrines
  or other sources of pollution nearby); (c) sanitary conditions at water points (e.g., keeping
  animals away from water sources for domestic drinking water); (d) implementing regular water
  testing protocols; (e) instituting controlled chlorination of improved sources; and (f) hygiene
  education to encourage household management of safe water chains. Second, rural water
  supply needs to deliver on the economic promise of freeing up people’s time by bringing
  services closer to people’s homes. While 35 million rural people gained access to improved
  water, only half this number are able to fetch water within half an hour. As a result, women, who
  bear the brunt of the water-fetching burden, have not seen the full economic benefits from the
  transition to improved water. In addition, the poor quality of water delivered has not resulted in
  the expected health benefits.

  Functionality of schemes continues to be a problem stemming from weaknesses in upstream
  planning at regional level and financing of postconstruction support by woreda water desks.
  A  contributor to the lengthy water-fetching times is nonfunctional systems. In additional
  to mechanical breakdowns, recent droughts have exposed the vulnerability of water points to
  drying up. At the regional level, attention in the planning and design process is needed to
  better match types of water intervention with hydrological or hydrogeological conditions. At the
  woreda level, more operational budget is needed for water desks to backstop village and
  scheme water management committees. This includes checking whether cost recovery
  mechanisms are working and to facilitate the sourcing and fitting of spare parts when water
  committees need help in keeping systems running.

  The greatest challenges to achieving universality of basic services are in pastoralist and
  agropastoralist areas. Across Ethiopia, woredas dominated by agropastoralist and pastoralist


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  125
       livelihoods were just over half as likely to have access to improved water as agrarian woredas.
       Government programs targeted at the poorest areas, both from within the sector and broader
       poverty reduction programs (such as the Productive Safety Nets Program (PSNP) and the Food
       Security Program), have increased water access in food insecure agrarian areas. However, they
       have been less successful in areas dominated by pastoralists and agropastoralists. Reasons
       for this include (a) the community infrastructure funding under the PSNP public works component
       has been too small to address the complex hydrogeological conditions in agropastoralist and
       pastoralist areas; (b) both government and nongovernmental organization (NGO) water actors
       have struggled to find adequate ground water sources to drill for; (c) alternative storage
       technologies to collect rainwater run-off have been underdeployed (e.g., sand dams, underground
       dams, infiltration galleries); and (d) the standard regional planning process has not been as
       successful at engaging with agropastoralists and pastoralists as they have in agrarian areas.

       In 2009 the GoE set up the Ministry of Federal Affairs principally to close the service and
       capacity gap between large and emerging regions. As part of the recent rollout of the Millennium
       Development Goal (MDG) special purpose grant the regions of Afar and Somali drew on capacity
       in larger regions to set up drilling agencies. While this may be part of the solution, the same
       larger regions are having difficulty delivering services to pastoralists and agropastoralists in
       their own regions. This suggests that both the existing technologies and the service delivery
       interface in pastoralist and agropastoralist areas need revisiting for water supply and sanitation
       services. Addressing this gap, therefore, requires building further technical expertise in areas
       with difficult hydrogeology. It also means finding ways for the decentralized service delivery
       machinery to interface with pastoralist and agropastoralist communities, both to address their
       specific needs and ensure they are a vocal stakeholder in finding solutions.

       In view of the shift envisaged from point sources to piped schemes under the Growth and
       Transformation Plan (GTP) II, the affordability of rural water services and cost-sharing
       arrangements will need to be examined carefully. Evidence from national surveys and qualitative
       studies suggests that affordability of rural water from piped schemes, particularly motorized
       piped schemes, can be a real barrier for poorer households. The costs, which range from five
       to 25 times that of urban utility water, partly explain the skewed distribution of access to piped
       water in rural areas. As this shift is planned, careful attention needs to be given in the design
       stage to keep recurrent costs down and so not to jeopardize the equitable goals with which
       basic services have been rolled out in Ethiopia (see box 7.1).




            Box 7.1: Rural Water Supply Recommendations

            •	 Reduce microbiological contamination of rural water sources by (a) ensuring protected
                sources are well constructed, sited, and managed to avoid contamination; (b) implementing
                regular water testing protocols; (c) instituting controlled chlorination of improved sources;
                and (d) promoting household management of safe water chains.

            •	 Raise functionality rates of existing improved water sources to increase access rates and
                reduce the travel time for fetching water.

            •	 Improve siting of new water points to deliver time savings for fetching water, and, where
                possible, extend existing piped schemes to provide public stand posts (bearing in mind
                affordability).

            •	 Further research how time-to-source relates to topography and invest in planning and
                design skills to improve the matching of water supply technology with hydrological and
                hydrogeological conditions.

                                                                                     box continues next page




126	                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 7.1: Continued

       •	 Address remaining geographic inequities by building further technical expertise in areas
           with difficult hydrogeology, and develop planning methods that engage pastoralist and
           agropastoralist communities.

       •	 Specifically target woredas and kebeles with low levels of basic access across all regions.
       •	 Harness government mechanisms, such as technical and vocational education and
           training agencies (TVET) agencies and universities, to improve the availability of skilled
           staff for recruitment into the civil service.

       •	 Improve staff retention, especially at the woreda level, by ensuring staff members have
           operational budgets to carry out their roles in backstopping rural water supply.




  The two priorities for rural sanitation should be to improve the quality of latrines used across
  Ethiopia and effectively target those households that were not reached in Ethiopia’s last
  sanitation push. Without more universal coverage and a higher level of service provision, the
  positive health benefits expected from improved sanitation will not materialize.

  The health system needs to reinvigorate its efforts to address the next phase of sanitation and
  hygiene promotion in Ethiopia. Progress in rural sanitation has benefited from the systematic
  inclusion of sanitation promotion in the Health Extension Program (HEP); however, the slowing
  of progress in recent years shows a fatigue within the system. This is partly due to the lack of
  evolving communication messages within the HEP    , as existing messages become redundant or
  fail to influences new audiences. In addition, HEWs’ lack of knowledge on what constitutes
  improved latrines and the negative impact of poor quality latrines have made unimproved
  latrines an acceptable standard of progress for HEWs and the households they serve.

  Moving the millions of households in rural areas up the sanitation ladder is going to require a
  combination of demand- and supply-side approaches. Weak supply chains of sanitation
  products and services, as well as supporting financing options, have meant households have
  not had access to the technical or financial solutions required to move up the sanitation ladder.
  Prioritizing the engagement and development of the private sector to provide products and
  services will reduce the burden on the health system and create innovation and jobs in the
  sanitation sector.

  Analysis shows that when access to effective health care and education services are combined
  with improved WASH services, more positive health outcomes have been achieved. Reducing
  vulnerable children’s susceptibility to poor environmental condition and increasing access to
  basic health care can reduce stunting rates and the cycle of poverty in which poor families are
  locked.

  While the last phase of Ethiopia’s sanitation and hygiene promotion in rural areas has been
  delivered in a relatively equitable manner across wealth quintiles, there are a number of
  geographic inequities. These are driven primarily by livelihood types, with a clear systematic
  failure to effectively address sanitation coverage within pastoralist communities. While it is
  clear that pastoralist communities’ coverage lags behind those of other areas, in terms of the
  scale of the problem, significant efforts need to be placed in addressing the large numbers of
  people without access to improved sanitation in Oromia; Amhara; and the Southern Nations,
  Nationalities, and People Region (SNNPR).


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                   127
       Although poverty has not been a significant barrier to improving sanitation, as the GoE
       pushes for increasing the quality of latrines to higher service levels, poverty may increasingly
       become a barrier to access. Strategies need to be put in place to ensure the poorest
       households don’t fall behind as sanitation service levels increase and Ethiopia strives for
       universal coverage.

       Achieving the GoE and Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets will require strong and
       sustained leadership and champions at all levels. It has been proven that the greatest success
       in the reduction of open defecation has occurred when HEP has been complemented by strong
       political support and external engagement of development partners.




            Box 7.2: Rural Sanitation Recommendations

            •	 Health extension workers, and employees among the wider health delivery system, need
                to be reinvigorated with new communication strategies and tools to address the changing
                landscape of sanitation coverage.

            •	 Behavior change communication needs to look beyond the eradication of open defecation,
                and support households to improve the quality of their sanitation services and make
                linkages with wider health promotion, such as nutrition and early childhood initiatives.

            •	 Tailored demand creation tools and community engagement strategies need to be
                developed to target pastoralist communities.

            •	 Build on the supply-side activities to increase the role of private sector in service delivery,
                including (a) deepen new institutional partnerships to promote business development;
                (b) create a conducive market-based environment to support the establishment of
                businesses to provide sanitation products and service; (c) ensure sanitation business
                development is mainstream in wider job creation and cash for work programs; and
                (d) align supply-side initiatives with renewed demand creation strategies.

            •	 Review the financing approach for rural sanitation, including (a) working with financial
                institutions to develop financing products for households and small-scale businesses;
                (b)  consider innovation grants to drive down costs and stimulate mass production of
                affordable sanitation products; and (c) review the policy on hardware subsidies to explore
                targeted subsidies to the poorest households possibly through existing mechanisms,
                such as the Productive Safety Nets Program (PSNP).




       The challenge for value added WASH services is addressing equity while improving quality and
       sustainability. The rollout and uptake of value added services—the stepping stone toward
       safely managed services—over the past 20 years, mainly in urban areas, have resulted in an
       additional 10 million people gaining access to piped water on premises and 8 million people
       building improved latrines.

       In urban water supply, services with added value and a private dimension have had active
       uptake, with wealthier households disproportionately capturing piped water on premises. This
       has unintentionally resulted in disadvantaging poorer households, the majority of whom still
       fetch water from outside their compounds at public taps or purchase from private vendors.
       Poorer women, therefore, spend more time fetching water than wealthier women, and water
       quality consumed by poorer households is considerably worse than that consumed by wealthier
       households. This is borne out in the differential health and nutrition outcomes in urban areas:
       there are higher rates of diarrhea and stunting among children under five in poorer households.


128	                                    Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Differential access in urban areas has both supply and demand side barriers. Supply-side
  barriers, in which very limited network availability affects around 1 million poor households, are
  found predominantly in small towns across Ethiopia. Demand-side barriers, in which people
  have not connected to the networks that exist in their neighborhoods, are a feature of larger
  towns and cities and affect around 3 million poor households.

  Actual expenditure in urban areas, even by the poorest households, was greater than existing
  utility tariffs, equivalent to 40 liters per person per day. This holds true across all consumption
  quintiles and points to the actual ability, if not willingness, of the poor to pay for utility water.
  It also points to the obvious financial benefits of being connected to a utility—particularly as
  many households were paying more for water from public stand posts or private water vendors.
  Extending utility water supply to all households could reduce the amount that the unconnected
  poor pay for water.

  These findings reinforce the argument that it is the connection process, rather than affordability
  of services, that is the main barrier to equitable access. The qualitative work undertaken for
  this study in urban areas has identified three barriers for those wanting to connect. First is a
  connection charge, usually around Br 500. Second is that utilities require people hooking up
  to pay the cost of connecting pipe work. Third, there are nonfinancial transaction costs of
  connecting linked to the time and social capital that people have to put into getting a connection.
  With connection costs trumping affordability as a barrier to hooking up, greater attention should
  be paid to incentivize utilities to hook people up to utility services.

  Investment to address the supply-side constraints is needed especially for towns that have
  transitioned from being classified as rural to urban local governments (ULGs). As towns make
  this transition to becoming ULGs, they lose access to woreda block grants but have yet to build
  up own source revenue capacity for investment. The MDG special purpose grant for capital
  investment introduced in 2011 may be part of the solution, but it is too early to tell. However,
  the MDG grant is highly discretionary in nature, being multisector (for rural or urban areas), and
  so does not favor targeting this transitional demographic. Rather, a specific transitional
  infrastructure financing arrangement is needed to plug this gap for this fast growing segment
  of urban settlements (see box 7.3).




       Box 7.3: Urban Water Supply Recommendations

       •	 Address equity while improving quality and sustainability of utility supplies.
       •	 For newly graduated ULGs with supply-side problems, develop a rural–urban transition
            grant and improve the functioning and reach of the Water Resource Development Fund
            (WRDF) to help small towns invest in their water supply production, treatment, and
            distribution needs—bridging this “coming of age” problem.

       •	 For larger towns and cities with demand-side problems, incentivize utilities to develop flexible
            connection arrangements for poorer households to hook up to the utility supply, such as by
            (a) streamlining the application and connection request process; (b) allowing shared
            connections with flat tariff rates; and (c) amortizing connection charges within the tariff.

       •	 Give utility boards clear policy conditions that give them more flexibility in tariff setting to
            improve financial autonomy for inward investment and domestic borrowing, e.g. linking
            reductions in nonrevenue water (NRW) to tariff increases.


                                                                                    box continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                         129
            Box 7.3: Continued

            •	 Reduce microbiological contamination by (a) implementing regular water testing protocols;
                (b) instituting controlled chlorination of improved sources; and (c) promoting household
                management of safe water chains.

            •	 Improve urban water security through (a) medium- and long-term planning for water
                source sustainability; (b) ensuring utilities play an active role in wider water governance
                discussions; and (c) initiating integrated urban water management.




       Rapid and mostly unplanned urbanization continues to pose the major challenge to improving
       urban sanitation access in the coming years. The stagnation of progress in urban sanitation
       shows the current institutions, investment levels, and innovation are struggling to adapt to the
       new pressures being placed on urban areas. The weak institutional framework in Ethiopia has
       resulted in a lack of clear leadership in sanitation, since roles and responsibilities are still not
       clearly understood between government agencies. As a result, while other urban infrastructure
       and service development initiatives have received significant resources over the last 10 years,
       urban sanitation has not received the necessary level of funding.

       Adequate urban sanitation infrastructure and services still lags due to limited service provision
       across the sanitation service chain. Addressing this must be the highest priority in the coming
       year. Greater relative wealth and the increased availability of products and services in urban
       areas have resulted in higher access to sanitation compared to rural areas, and most
       significantly a higher proportion of improved latrines. While sanitation has provided privacy to
       the urban population, the poor management of fecal sludge across the service chain in highly
       populated areas continues to poses a significant environmental and health risk. The
       enforcement of government pollution laws has been weak and has not provided the incentive
       for individuals, businesses, or state actors to address this challenge.

       Wealth has a significant impact on service levels in urban areas, with most of those with
       access to improved latrines being in the top 60 percent (T60) of the wealth quintile of the
       urban population. Those with safely managed services remain solely in the richest quintile.
       Urban households in the bottom 40 percent (B40) have the highest rate of open defecation
       and lowest level of latrine access. In addition, there is a significantly higher percentage of
       shared facilities in urban areas, and a big driver of this relates to property ownership, with
       families living in rented accommodations much more likely to share latrines.

       While Addis Ababa provides the single largest challenge in addressing urban sanitation, the
       shift in urban demographics shows smaller towns are growing at faster rates than the largest
       urban centers and now represent a significant proportion of the urban population. Many of
       these urban centers have recently graduated from rural woreda status. If tackled quickly there
       is an opportunity to get ahead of the curve, but this will require significant investment in
       developing the institutional capabilities in these towns.

       As in rural areas, the private sector can reduce the burden on public systems and budgets. The
       current low sewerage coverage level, high cost and challenge of fitting sewers in fast expanding
       and unplanned cities means most transportation will be through vacuum trucks, which provides
       a great opportunity for the private sector to engage. However, there are opportunities across
       the sanitation service chain for the private sector to engage in. A critical part of the enabling
       environment in the urban sanitation sector will be clear and appropriate regulation to guide the
       parameters of engagement for new private entrant to the market (see box 7.4).


130	                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Box 7.4: Urban Sanitation Recommendations

       •	 Sanitation planning in urban areas should take a citywide approach to tackle the full
           service chain and ensure fecal sludge is safely captured, transported, and treated.

       •	 Increased clarity and understanding of institutional roles and responsibilities to manage
           urban sanitation services and implement existing pollution regulations are needed. The
           swift and effective implementation of the Integrated Urban Sanitation Strategy is critical
           to achieve this.

       •	 Public investment is needed in infrastructure to support fecal sludge management across
           the service chain, including in treatment plants and, where appropriate, in sewers.

       •	 New financing strategies need to be developed to improve services for the growing urban
           poor, including targeted subsidies to improve household infrastructure, facilitate sewer
           connections, and encourage the use of fecal sludge transportation services.

       •	 There needs to be alignment with new urban safety net initiative as a mechanism to both
           target the poorest household and stimulate new private sector initiatives.

       •	 Public investment needs to be better linked to enabling investments in the urban housing
           sector and the private sector to bring innovation and efficiency across the service chain.

       •	 Increased alignment with urban housing initiatives to tackle poor quality sanitation
           infrastructure in new and rented accommodation, including (a) a combination of incentive
           and regulation for landlords; (b) greater responsiveness of kebele administrations to
           support tenants to undertake home improvements; and (c) building regulation for new
           condominium housing to ensure sufficient standards of sanitation infrastructure and
           supporting services are provided.

       •	 The government needs to develop and implement a clearer regulatory framework to
           incentivize private operators to enter the market.

       •	 Invest in building institutional capacity to drive and deliver the GoE and SDG targets
           through citywide approaches and to facilitate services provision across the sanitation
           service chain.




  The analysis in this report has shown that the health burden of inadequate access to WASH
  services is disproportionately borne by poorer children and those in vulnerable geographic
  areas. Children in poor households are up to 2.7 times more likely to be underweight and
  five  times more likely to be severely underweight. The analysis suggests that overlapping
  vulnerabilities may substantially modify the impact of WASH investments. Children with poor
  WASH conditions also suffer from poor access to health and nutrition.

  Children in poor households have higher exposure and susceptibility than children in rich
  households, with the B40 having approximately 50 percent of the cumulative share of the
  susceptibility and risk. Children in poorer households are also more vulnerable to the risks
  posed by poor WASH due to low nutrition and access to key health interventions (oral rehydration
  treatment [ORT] and vitamin A).

  According to the sanitation and water improvement panels shown in map 7.1, children from
  Afar would experience the highest risk reduction in response to water or sanitation access
  improvements, but all regions would benefit from water or sanitation improvements. Children
  from Tigray and Gambella would also experience a reduction in risk, but less than the other
  regions, this is likely because children from these regions have lower risk index values.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                   131
           Map 7.1: Effect of Water Supply and Sanitation Access Improvement on WASH Risk Reduction in
           Ethiopia, 2011


                      a. Unimproved to improved                         b. Increased household access to most                          c. Improvement in sanitation
                            in water access                                      improved water source

                                    Tigray                                                      Tigray                                               Tigray

                                              Afar                                                       Afar                                                 Afar
            Benishangul-                                                Benishangul-                                          Benishangul-
                                 Amhara                                                     Amhara                                               Amhara
              Gumuz                                  Dire Dawa            Gumuz                                 Dire Dawa       Gumuz                                     Dire Dawa


                                                         Harari                                                     Harari                                                       Harari
                               Addis Ababa                                                Addis Ababa                                          Addis Ababa

                                          Oromia                                                     Oromia                                               Oromia
            Gambela                                   Somali            Gambela                                  Somali      Gambela                                       Somali
                           SNNPR                                                        SNNPR                                                SNNPR


                   < 1.25
                   1.25–2.24                                                                                                      < 2.00
                   2.25–3.24                                                                                                      2.00–2.99
                   3.25–4.24                                                                                                      3.00–3.99
                                                                           Kilometers
                   4.25–5.25                                                                                                      4.00–4.99                                              Kilometers
                                                         0        250   500
                   > 5.25                                                                                                         5.00–6.00                          0 125 250        500




       Source: DHS 2011.
       Note: WASH = water supply, sanitation, and hygiene.




                                               In Ethiopia, the national enteric burden associated with inadequate WASH is 11,135 disability-
                                               adjusted life years (DALYs) per 100,000 children per year, which is approximately 75 percent
                                               of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) enteric burden estimated for the country. The WASH-
                                               related enteric burden is lower within urban than in rural populations, but the disparities in both
                                               are equivalent. The burden for the poorest communities is 1.8 times as high as the burden for
                                               the richest in rural communities, and 5.4 times higher for the poorest households than the
                                               richest in urban communities (see box 7.5).



                                                     Box 7.5: Targeting WASH Investment for Health Benefits

                                                     •	 As the health benefits of improvement in water supply and sanitation are not seen until
                                                             coverage levels reach universality, more focus should be placed on ensuring communities
                                                             are fully served with improved services and that behavior change is sustained across the
                                                             whole communities.

                                                     •	 This analysis describes how WASH-related risk is distributed across wealth quintiles,
                                                             between rural and urban populations, and by location. A simple next step would be to
                                                             map existing World Bank programs in Ethiopia against these factors to assess to what
                                                             extent investments are reaching the populations that stand to gain the most.

                                                     •	 Geographic targeting of WASH investments to areas with higher concentrations of children
                                                             vulnerable due to poor nutrition and health access offers a simple compass for reaching
                                                             the most vulnerable that might facilitate cross-sectoral planning, delivery, and monitoring.

                                                     •	 Regional distributions of exposure, susceptibility, and risk index values in the B40
                                                             population indicate that every region has highly vulnerable children. This emphasizes the
                                                             importance of combining geographic and economic targeting of health investment.

                                                     •	 The government needs to implement pro-poor targeting in the sector coordinating with
                                                             social protection programs that focus on households with young children who are
                                                             economically vulnerable.




132	                                                                                        Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  In summary, improving and expanding both basic and safely managed WASH services calls for
  continuing GoE’s twin track development of its core country systems for decentralized service
  delivery and its sector policy direction that together have driven progress at scale over the past
  decade and more. On top of the challenges of delivering services under the MDG framework,
  GoE and its development partners now need to consider the additional rigor required in
  delivering on the SDGs. With the estimated SDG financing gap running into billions of dollars a
  year, much more than incremental improvements to past progress are needed. The reward for
  making this transition from MDGs to SDGs is the real prospect of delivering on the health and
  economic gains that have been elusive under the MDG framework.

  The transition to the SDGs needs to be done with two supporting factors in mind: (a) a massive
  upgrading of skills in the public and private sector, and (b) a full integration of WASH service
  delivery into the broader water governance agenda. Transitioning to the SDGs will require a very
  significant upgrading of skills in the public sector and much greater use of the economywide
  capacity. In the public sector greater effort is needed to ensure institutions have the right mix
  of skills, including in many new areas (such as water quality and private sector engagement)
  required to tackle the challenges achieving the SDG targets pose. In parallel to evolving the
  skill sets within public institutions, strong systems need to be put in place to ensure the
  effective transfer and institutionalization of knowledge. The reskilling and knowledge retention
  need to be combined with an increased recognition that the private sector has complementary
  skills to support the significant expansion and improvement in services. By effectively
  harnessing the skill and resources of the private sector, the GoE has the ability to reduce
  pressure on human resources in the public sector, as well as shift the burden away from the
  government’s fiscal budget.

  To date, WASH service delivery in Ethiopia has largely operated in a silo, disconnected from
  wider concerns about water availability and competing demands from other users. As plans to
  deliver the SDGs are drawn up, the higher service levels associated with safely managed
  services will begin to compete with other fast growing demands for water. With the GoE
  simultaneously promoting household irrigation based on self-supply, and the increase in large-
  scale commercial irrigation for horticulture competition for water at local and basin scales,
  trade-offs are inevitable. Ethiopia’s progression up the water service ladder, and its ability to
  sustain higher levels of service for rural and urban users, will depend increasingly on
  the ability of public institutions to manage water resources for a range of competing uses. The
  implication is that those working on WASH services will need to play a much more active role
  in wider planning and policy debates around water allocation and sustainability than they
  currently do. This will be a long-term process. Good water governance, including measures to
  protect the quality and quantity of water needed for drinking water services, will likely take
  decades to build.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  133
  Appendix A
  Poverty Calculations
  Different methods of wealth quintiles and consumption quintile analysis reveal different aspects
  of inequality in Ethiopia. Here we compare DHS and HICES methods.

    ••   Method 1: National population split into uneven urban and rural wealth quintiles
    ••   Method 2: Rural and urban population split into even wealth quintiles
    ••   Method 3: Rural and urban population split into even consumption quintiles

      Figure A.1: Access to Water by Wealth Quintile Analysis in Ethiopia, 2000 and 2011


                        a. Method 1: JMP—estimated trends                                   b. Drinking water trends by                       c. Drinking water trends by
                   of drinking water coverage by wealth quintile                                rural wealth quintile                            urban wealth quintile

                                               Rural          Urban                   100                                               100
                         Ethiopia
                                           1995    2012    1995    2012
                       Piped on premises     0       0      10      17
                                                                                      80                                                 80
               Poorest Other improved       18      45      56      73
                       Unimproved           82      55      34      10
                       Piped on premises     1       0      19      36                60                                                 60




                                                                                                                              Percent
                                                                            Percent




               Second Other improved        21      47      68      61
                       Unimproved           78      53      13       3
                                                                                      40                                                 40
                       Piped on premises     1       0      27      60
               Middle Other improved        18      55      66      39
                       Unimproved           81      45       7       1                20                                                 20
                       Piped on premises     1       0      57      73
               Fourth Other improved        23      56      42      26
                                                                                       0                                                  0
                       Unimproved           76      44       1       1
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                       Unimproved           68      35       0       1
                                                                                                      Unimproved        Other improved              Piped on premises

                                                                             Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest              Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest
                                             1,000s of people per WQ (2011): 12,688 12,688 12,688 12,688 12,688                 2,788 2,788 2,788 2,788 2,788
                      a. Method 2: HBS - estimated trends of                                b. Drinking water trends by                       c. Drinking water trends by
                    drinking water coverage by wealth quintile                                  rural wealth quintile                            urban wealth quintile
                           (based on national quintiles)
                                               Rural          Urban                   100                                               100
                         Ethiopia
                                           2000    2011    2000    2011
                       Piped on premises     0       0       0       1                80                                                 80
               Poorest Other improved        4      22       0      65
                       Unimproved           96      78      100     35
                       Piped on premises     0       0       0       0                60                                                 60
                                                                                                                              Percent
                                                                            Percent




               Second Other improved         8      38       0      88
                       Unimproved           92      62      100     12                                                                   40
                                                                                      40
                       Piped on premises     0       0       0       7
               Middle Other improved        12      46       3      71
                       Unimproved           88      54      97      22                20                                                 20
                       Piped on premises     0       0       0       6
                Fourth Other improved       21      56      50      68
                                                                                       0                                                  0
                       Unimproved           79      44      50      26
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               Richest Other improved       35      72      58      43
                       Unimproved           65      27      11       3                                Unimproved        Other improved              Piped on premises

                                                                             Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest              Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest
                                             1,000s of people per WQ (2011): 15,162 15,352 15,289 14,337 3,235                  321      139   153 1,115 12,211


  Sources: DHS 2000 and 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                                        135
           Figure A.2: Access to Water by Consumption Quintile Analysis in Ethiopia, 2000 and 2011


                           a. Method 3: JMP—estimated trends                                             b. Drinking water trends by                          c. Drinking water trends by
                      of drinking water coverage by wealth quintile                                      rural consumption quintile                           urban consumption quintile
                           (separate rural and urban quintiles)

                                                    Rural               Urban                     100                                                   100
                      Ethiopia
                                             2000       2011     2000       2011
                    Piped on premises          1             0   14             25                80                                                     80
            Poorest Other improved            15            37   71             65
                    Unimproved                84            63   15             11
                   Piped on premises           1             1   20             31                60                                                     60




                                                                                        Percent




                                                                                                                                              Percent
            Second Other improved             18            42   65             58
                   Unimproved                 82            58   15             11                40                                                     40
                      Piped on premises        0             1   28             38
             Middle   Other improved          19            38   65             54
                      Unimproved              81            61    7              8                20                                                     20
                      Piped on premises        0             1   34             43
             Fourth   Other improved          19            43   61             50
                                                                                                    0                                                     0
                      Unimproved              81            57    6              7




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                     Unimproved               79            56    6              4                                   Unimproved          Other improved             Piped on premises

                                                                                  Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest                         Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest
                                                 1000s of people per WQ (2011): 14,179 13,753 13,414 12,132 8,114                                552     981  1,311 2,617 6,587
                                          2011 annual consumption Br per quintile 1,891 2,970 3,857 5,062 9,837                                 1,891 2,970 3,857 5,062 9,837
                a. Method 2: HBS - estimated trends of drinking water                                    b. Drinking water trends by                          c. Drinking water trends by
               coverage by wealth quintile (based on national quintiles)                                 rural consumption quintile                           urban consumption quintile

                                                    Rural               Urban                     100                                                   100
                      Ethiopia
                                             2000       2011     2000       2011
                     Piped on premises         1             0    16            35                 80                                                    80
             Poorest Other improved           15            36    69            58
                     Unimproved               84            63    15             7
                    Piped on premises          1             0    27            42                 60                                                    60

                                                                                                                                              Percent
                                                                                        Percent




             Second Other improved            18            42    65            51
                    Unimproved                82            58     8             6                                                                       40
                                                                                                   40
                      Piped on premises        0             1    35            50
             Middle   Other improved          19            39    59            44
                      Unimproved              81            60     6             6                 20                                                    20
                      Piped on premises        0             1    46            58
             Fourth   Other improved          19            41    47            38
                                                                                                    0                                                     0
                      Unimproved              81            58     7             4
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                                              21            41    33            32
                     Unimproved               79            56     5             4                                Unimproved         Other improved                Piped on premises

                                                                                        Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest                   Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest
                                                    1000s of people per WQ (2011): 12,371 12,359 12,362 12,355 12,361                             2,367       2,368     2,368 2,366     2,366
                                          2011 annual consumption Br per quintile        1,796          2,806     3,588 4,545      7,374          3,125       4,883     6,516 8,934 18,493


       Source: WMS and HICES. 2000 and 2011.




136	                                                                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix B
  Linear Regression Model of
  Improved Water Supply in
  Rural Areas of Ethiopia
  Coverage of improved water (protected and piped water supply) was significantly higher in
  woredas dominated by agrarian cropping livelihoods than it was in woredas dominated by
  pastoralist livelihoods. Possible determinants of access to improved water were examined
  using multivariate analysis. All regions where agropastoralist and pastoralist livelihoods are
  practiced (Somali, Afar, Oromia, and Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region [SNNPR])
  were correlated with significantly lower access to improved water. The one exception was
  Gambella region, which has agropastoralist woredas but did not have improved water coverage
  that was significantly lower than other regions.

  The relative mean poverty headcount ratio of the woreda explains the largest share of the
  variation observed. However, independent of relative poverty, the woredas with cropping
  dominated livelihoods or those with easier hydrology or hydrogeology had significantly higher
  levels of access to improved water.

  Across Ethiopia, woredas targeted by the Productive Safety Nets Program (PSNP) reported
  significantly higher levels of access to improved water than woredas not targeted by PSNP.
  However, further analysis revealed that these differences were only significant across agrarian
  cropping woredas but not across agropastoralist or pastoralist woredas. Average annual rainfall
  and population density of woredas, though returning significant results, had only very small
  effects on improved access to water supply.


  Method and Data Sources
  To examine the possible determinants of improved access to water in Ethiopia the WASH
  Poverty Diagnostic (WPD) merged woreda level estimates from the following sources:

    ••   Housing and Population Census 2007: water supply and sanitation data

    ••   HICES 2011: woreda-level poverty headcount estimates from the small area estimation
         work done under the Ethiopia Poverty Assessment

    ••   Boost database: woreda-level spending data (capital and recurrent)

    ••   Livelihoods Integration Unit: livelihood types and zones, rainfall, population density

    ••   PSNP: woredas targeted by PSNP in 2010

    ••   Hydrological Index (HI): index of the technological difficulty (or ease) of exploiting water
         based on the variation in hydrological and hydrogeological factors across Ethiopia based
         on British Geological Survey (BGS) data developed in 2016




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                   137
       Woreda-level estimates were used rather than using household data directly since a number of
       the variables (HI, population density, livelihoods, and rainfall) were available only at woreda
       level (they are not part of household survey data).

       First, a t-test was done on mean improved water access between the two groups: (a) agrarian
       cropping areas (CR) and (b) agropastoralist and pastoralist areas (NCR) (figure B.1). Second,
       an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model was then built to explain the variation in the




            Figure B.1: Mean Improved Water Coverage Levels by Livelihood Type in Rural Areas
            in Ethiopia, 2007


            . ttest improved_water , by( group)

            Two-sample t test with equal variances

                  Group             Obs              Mean         Std. Err.           Std. Dev.          [95% Conf. Interval]

                     Cr             556         .388741           .0072733            .1715017           .3744545           .4030276
                    NCR             107        .2418692           .0152254            .1574929           .2116833            .272055

            combined                663        .3650377           .0068988            .1776354           .3514916           .3785838

                   diff                        .1468718             .017876                              .1117713           .1819724

                diff = mean(Cr) - mean(NCR)                                                                 t =                 8.2162
            Ho: diff = 0                                                                   degrees of freedom =                    661

                   Ha: diff < 0                               Ha: diff != 0                                    Ha: diff > 0
                Pr(T < t) = 1.0000                       Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.0000                             Pr(T > t) = 0.0000

            . ttest improved_water , by( group) unequal

            Two-sample t test with unequal variances


                  Group             Obs              Mean         Std. Err.           Std. Dev.          [95% Conf. Interval]

                     Cr             556         .388741           .0072733            .1715017           .3744545           .4030276
                    NCR             107        .2418692           .0152254            .1574929           .2116833            .272055

            combined                663        .3650377           .0068988            .1776354           .3514916           .3785838

                   diff                        .1468718           .0168735                               .1135457             .180198

                diff = mean(Cr) - mean(NCR)                                                       t =                          8.7043
            Ho: diff = 0                                         Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom =                         158.325

                   Ha: diff < 0                               Ha: diff != 0                                    Ha: diff > 0
                Pr(T < t) = 1.0000                       Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.0000                             Pr(T > t) = 0.0000

            .


       Source: World Bank data.
       Note: Top of figure shows simple t-test results for with equal variance, and bottom of figure shows results without equal variance.
       Cr = cropping-dominant woredas; NCR= agropastoralist- and pastoralist-dominant woredas.




138	                                            Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Figure B.2: Ordinary List Squared Regression Results for Possible Determinants of
      Improved Water in Rural Areas of Ethiopia


      . reg imp_wat poverty pop_den rain                  psnpdummy Livhod_dummy i.hydoindex_new i.region

               Source              SS                df           MS         Number of obs         =           659
                                                                             F(14, 644)            =         23.70
               Model        6.94928357               14    .496377398        Prob > F              =        0.0000
            Residual        13.4855645              644    .020940317        R-squared             =        0.3401
                                                                             Adj R-squared         =        0.3257
                Total         20.434848             658        .031056       Root MSE              =        .14471



               imp_wat             Coef.      Std. Err.            t      P>|t|         [95% Conf. Interval]

              poverty         -.1888641       .0444429         -4.25      0.000        -.2761346          -.1015936
              pop_den          .0002722       .0000675          4.03      0.000         .0001396           .0004048
                 rain         -.0001088       .0000288         -3.77      0.000        -.0001655          -.0000522
            psnpdummy          .0536959       .0147039          3.65      0.000         .0248226           .0825692
         Livhod_dummy          .1039398       .0297297          3.50      0.001          .045561           .1623186

      hydoindex_new
                 2             .0720592       .0211346          3.41      0.001         .0305581           .1135604
                 3             .0780186       .0258925          3.01      0.003         .0271747           .1288624

                region
                    2         -.2044332        .046704         -4.38      0.000        -.2961437          -.1127227
                    3         -.0984595       .0311878         -3.16      0.002        -.1597016          -.0372174
                    4         -.1979022       .0301896         -6.56      0.000        -.2571841          -.1386202
                    5         -.2155759       .0423232         -5.09      0.000         -.298684          -.1324678
                    6         -.1427942       .0440178         -3.24      0.001        -.2292299          -.0563585
                    7         -.1753249       .0323677         -5.42      0.000        -.2388839          -.1117659
                   12         -.0172276       .0523254         -0.33      0.742        -.1199766           .0855214

                 _cons         .4818979       .0497604          9.68      0.000         .3841858           .5796101



  Source: World Bank regression results using data from the 2007 census, GoE HICES 2011, and HCES 2011.




  dependent variable of access to improved water (not improved=0; improved=1) observed
  across rural Ethiopia (figure B.2). The following independent variables were included:

    ••    Poverty headcount (continuous variable as percentage)

    ••    Population density (continuous variable as people per square kilometer)

    ••    Rainfall (continuous variable long-term mean rainfall in millimeters per year from GoE
          Ethiopian Livelihoods Atlas)

    ••    Agrarian compared to agropastoralist and pastoralist (binary variable dummy:
          pastoralist=0; agrarian=1)

    ••    PSNP woreda (binary variable PSNP dummy: woredas not in PSNP=0; woredas in
          PSNP=1)




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                 139
         ••   Hydrological Index (three dummy variables: hard=0; medium=1; easy=2)

         ••   Regions (categorical variable using improved water coverage by region: Tigray=1; Afar=2;
              Amhara=3; Oromiya=4; Somali=5; Benishangul-Gumuz=6; SNNPR=7; Gmabella=12)

       Third, simple t-tests were done to check whether there was a significant difference in the mean
       access to improved water between woredas targeted by the PSNP and those not targeted. This
       was done separately for (a) woredas dominated by agropastoralist or pastoralist livelihoods
       and (b) woredas dominated by agrarian cropping livelihoods.


       Results
       The simple t-test to check whether there was a significant difference in the mean access to
       improved water between the cropping- and agropastoralist- and pastoralist-dominant woredas
       returned significant differences for both equal and unequal variance assumptions.

         ••   The OLS regression model results explain just over one-third of the variation in woreda
              level estimates for access to improved water.

         ••   Poverty headcount ratio at the woreda level has a strong effect on access to improved
              water. The higher the poverty headcount ratio the less likely households in the woreda
              are to have access to improved water supplies.

         ••   Agrarian woredas are significantly more likely to have access to improved water than
              agropastoralist and pastoralist woredas—by about 10 percentage points.

         ••   Woredas with medium or easy hydrology or hydrogeology are more likely to have
              improved water, but the difference between medium and easy hydrology or hydrogeology
              is small.

         ••   Average annual rainfall and population density of woredas, though significant, has only
              very small effect on access to improved water.

         ••   Access to improved water varies significantly across regions.

       While across Ethiopia, woredas targeted by the PSNP have better access to improved water
       than non-PSNP woredas, separate simple t-tests reveal that these differences are significant
       only across woredas dominated by agrarian cropping livelihoods. Across woredas dominated
       by agropastoralist and pastoralist livelihoods the PSNP is not associated with higher access to
       improved water supply (figures B.3 and B.4).




140	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
       Figure B.3: Mean Improved Water Coverage Levels in Agropastoralist and Pastoralist
       Areas with and without PSNP in Ethiopia, 2007


       . ttest imp_wat , by(noncrp_psnp_dmmy)

       Two-sample t test with equal variances

           Group               Obs              Mean         Std. Err.           Std. Dev.          [95% Conf. Interval]

                  0             32        .2139916           .0261187           .1477495            .1607222            .267261
                  1             75        .2540725           .0186517           .1615286            .2169082           .2912369

       combined                107        .2420857           .0152668            .1579207           .2118178           .2723536

             diff                       -.0400809            .0332739                             -.1060569              .025895

           diff = mean(0) - mean(1)                                                                   t =                -1.2046
       Ho: diff = 0                                                                  degrees of freedom =                    105

           Ha: diff < 0                                  Ha: diff != 0                                    Ha: diff > 0
        Pr(T < t) = 0.1155                          Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.2311                             Pr(T > t) = 0.8845

       . ttest imp_wat , by(noncrp_psnp_dmmy) unequa l

       Two-sample t test with unequal variances

           Group               Obs               Mean         Std. Err.          Std. Dev.          [95% Conf. Interval]

                  0             32        .2139916           .0261187            .1477495           .1607222            .267261
                  1             75        .2540725           .0186517            .1615286           .2169082           .2912369

       combined                107        .2420857           .0152668            .1579207           .2118178           .2723536

             diff                       -.0400809            .0320947                             -.1042027            .0240408

           diff = mean(0) - mean(1)                                                          t =                         -1.248 8
       Ho: diff = 0                                         Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom =                         63.735 7

           Ha: diff < 0                                  Ha: diff != 0                                    Ha: diff > 0
        Pr(T < t) = 0.1081                          Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.2163                             Pr(T > t) = 0.8919


  Source: Census, 2007.
  Note: Top of figure shows simple t-test results for with equal variance, and bottom of figure shows results without equal variance.
  Agropastoralist and pastoralist woredas: not targeted by PSNP=0; targeted by PSNP=1. PSNP = Productive Safety Nets Program.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                   141
            Figure B.4: Mean Improved Water Coverage Levels in Agrarian Cropping Areas with
            and without PSNP in Ethiopia, 2007


           . ttest imp_wat , by(crp__psnp_dmmy)


           Two-sample t test with equal variances


                Group               Obs              Mean         Std. Err.          Std. Dev.           [95% Conf. Interval]


                       0            330        .3402772           .0084816           .1540762            .3235922           .3569622
                       1            224        .4563948              .01124          .1682242            .4342446           .4785449


           combined                 554        .3872273           .0072087           .1696722            .3730675             .401387


                  diff                       -.1161176            .0138464                             -.1433157           -.0889194


                  diff = mean(0) - mean(1)                                                                           t =     -8.3861
           Ho: diff = 0                                                                   degrees of freedom =                      552


                  Ha: diff < 0                                   Ha: diff != 0                                   Ha: diff > 0
             Pr(T < t) = 0.0000                          Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.0000                             Pr(T > t) = 1.0000


            . ttest imp_wat , by(crp__psnp_dmmy) unequa l


            Two-sample t test with unequal variances


                Group               Obs              Mean         Std. Err.          Std. Dev.           [95% Conf. Interval ]


                       0            330        .3402772           .0084816            .1540762           .3235922           .356962 2
                       1            224        .4563948              .01124           .1682242           .4342446           .478544 9


            combined                554        .3872273           .0072087            .1696722           .3730675             .40138 7


                  diff                       -.1161176              .014081                            -.1437902            -.088445


                  diff = mean(0) - mean(1)                                                                           t =     -8.2464
            Ho: diff = 0                                         Satterthwaite's degrees of freedom =                         450.301


                  Ha: diff < 0                                   Ha: diff != 0                                   Ha: diff > 0
             Pr(T < t) = 0.0000                          Pr(|T| > |t|) = 0.0000                             Pr(T > t) = 1.0000


       Source: Census, 2007.
       Note: Top of figure shows simple t-test results for with equal variance, and bottom of figure shows results without equal variance.
       Agrarian cropping woredas: not targeted by PSNP=0; targeted by PSNP=1. PSNP = Productive Safety Nets Program.




142	                                            Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix C
  Hydrogeological Index
  The Hydrogeological Index (HI) is based on scores for five factors affecting the ease of groundwater
  development for rural water supply, and draws on existing rainfall, geology, water quality, and
  topographic data. The variables include the following:

    ••   Depth to water. Affects drilling costs, pumping costs, and technology options (e.g., hand
         pumps compared to motorized pumps).

    ••   Water quality. Determines whether water is safe to drink. We considered two “natural”
         contaminants: salt (salinity) and fluoride.

    ••   Borehole yield. The volume of water that can be abstracted from a borehole, which
         determines the number of people it can serve or the amount of water they can access.
         Since yield is a function of storage and permeability, yield also indicates resilience to
         climate variability and change.

    ••   Rainfall and recharge. The amount of rainwater that could potentially be converted into
         groundwater recharge, based on some fairly conservative assumptions about conversion.

    ••   Other factors. Include the presence of wetlands, steep slopes, and flood plains that
         might limit groundwater development potential.



   Table C.1: Relationship between HI Index and Recommended Development Approach
                                                                       Required exploration and development
   HI         Hydrogeological characteristics                             approaches and technologies
   0      Very deep (>250 m) strike depth (depth          ••   Drilling: deep drilling involving heavy-duty rigs in the cases
          to aquifer not necessarily depth to static           of deep water strike depth; steel casing and usually 10 ft.
          water level); or salinity, fluoride, or other        wells required; drilling compressor capacity up to 36 bar
          water quality indicators fail to satisfy             needed. Highest drilling cost.
          local WQ standards/WQ unacceptable              ••   Study (deep aquifers): integrated and thorough
          for the communities; limited recharge                hydrogeological survey, airborne geophysics, water
          may impose limit on groundwater                      quality survey, multiple test well drilling, geology, and
          availability; groundwater may not receive            stratigraphy survey.
          present-day recharge (fossil); aquifers         ••   Study (poor water quality): detailed integrated survey of
          with very low yield (unsuitable for any              shallow aquifers to identify targeted low salinity or low
          type of pump also included under this                fluoride areas in otherwise poor water quality zones.
          category).                                      ••   Capacity: beyond capacity of woredas and the regional
          Geology: sedimentary basins or alluvio-              government; may be beyond current national capacity.
          lacustine sediments with brackish water         ••   Technologies: water treatment technologies such as
          or highly dissected mountainous areas                defluoridation plants may be required to remove fluoride,
          with limited water storage.                          or reverse osmosis to remove salinity.
                                                          ••   Technologies: alternative water sourcing from surface waters
                                                               (e.g., dams) or multicommunity RPS schemes through
                                                               interworeda water transfer in cases of low yielding aquifers.
                                                                                                         table continues next page



Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                143
       Table C.1: Continued
                                                                          Required exploration and development
       HI        Hydrogeological characteristics                             approaches and technologies
       1     Low yielding deep aquifers                    ••    Drilling: heavy-duty drilling rigs with >20 bar compressors.
                                                                 Steel casing and 8 ft to 10 ft hole diameter required.
                                                           ••    Study: Integrated survey including geology and stratigraphy,
                                                                 surface geophysics, RS, and test drilling.
             Geology: sedimentary basins                   ••    Capacity: beyond capacity of woreda but within capacity
                                                                 of regional government with support from national federal
                                                                 enterprises.
                                                           ••    Technologies: low yields and deeper water levels preclude
                                                                 use of hand pumps. Solar pumps could be used. Yield too
                                                                 low for motorized pumps.
                                                           ••    Technologies: alternative water sources from surface waters
                                                                 (e.g., dams) or multicommunity RPS schemes through
                                                                 interworeda water transfer required; or installation of solar
                                                                 pumps in desperate communities. Hand-dug wells may
                                                                 produce sufficient water for RWS in some cases.
       2     Woreda with moderate water strike             ••    Drilling: light-duty trailer rigs with low capacity compressors
             depth (90–150 m), which can be                      (12–15 bar) in case of moderate water strike depth. Low
             accessed with light duty trailer rigs (with         yielding aquifers at that depth do not allow installation of
             compressor capacity of 12–15 bar),                  hand pumps or motorized pumps. Solar pumps may be
             but yield too low (0.1 to 0.5 lps) for              used in desperate situations. PVC casing may be used
             installation of motorized pump, or too              safely but steel casing should apply depending on the
             deep for hand pumps.                                nature of geological formation or water temperature.
             Woreda with moderate aquifer yield            ••    Drilling: heavy-duty drilling rigs with larger compressor
             (0.5 to 1.0 lps) but unfavorable depth              capacity (20 bar or above); trailer rigs generally not
             (150–250 m) for light duty track (trailer           applicable. Steel casing required.
             rigs?) and unfavorable for compressor         ••    Study: integrated survey: geology, geophysics, RS
             capacity mounted on trailer rigs                    applications, topography with lower requirement for test
             (12–15 barr). Also unfavorable for                  drilling and aquifer scale mapping to identify locally
             hand pumps. Solar pumps may be                      productive zones.
             appropriate.                                  ••    Capacity: regional government may have capacity to conduct
                                                                 study in these woredas.
             Geology: volcanic rocks (mainly tuffs,        ••    Technologies: hand pumps unsuitable in most cases; low
             volcanic ash and ignimbrites)                       yields do not allow motorized pumps; solar pumps may
                                                                 apply in cases of desperate water need.
                                                           ••    Technologies: alternative water sources could include
                                                                 spring development for multicommunity RPS in which high
                                                                 discharge springs from fractures; drilling multiple boreholes
                                                                 with low capacity and installing solar pumps; interworeda
                                                                 water transfer through RPS.
                                                                                                           table continues next page




144	                                                            Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
   Table C.1: Continued
                                                                    Required exploration and development
   HI         Hydrogeological characteristics                          approaches and technologies
   3     Woredas underlain by shallow but low          ••   Drilling: light-duty trailer rigs with compressor capacity of
         yielding aquifers (basement rocks                  12 bar can be used, PVC casing may be sufficient, 6-in
         in general). Aquifers may run dry in               drilling sufficient; drilling more than 120 m in such areas
         extended dry seasons; groundwater                  is a sunk cost since productive aquifers not expected
         occurs in specific fractured zones                 deeper than this level; change drilling site in case of drilling
         or in overburden regolith; locally                 difficulty but only consider if second site is high water
         higher yields may be encountered                   probability.
         but wildcat drilling could produce dry        ••   Study: heterogeneous nature of aquifers requires
         wells; heterogeneous nature of aquifer             integrated hydrogeology study including surface geophysics,
         means water may not be encountered                 remote sensing, topographic survey, and woreda-scale
         successfully in most cases regardless              hydrogeological mapping.
         of the shallow depth of the aquifer.          ••   Capacity: exists at regional level to conduct hydrogeological
         Geology: fractured basement rocks                  mapping; mapping may be required prior to drilling.
         with thin regolith.                           ••   Technologies: hand pumps [Indian Mark II or Afridev].
   4     A high yielding aquifer (>5 lps) but          ••   Drilling: light-duty rigs could be sufficient but local
         deep water strike depth may exceed                 heavy-duty rigs may be required; steel casing required;
         capacity of hand pumps. High yield                 10-in drilling may be required depending on yield and
         means motorized pumps can be used.                 pump installation; consider on-site solution in case of
         Geology: multilayered volcanic and                 drilling difficulty.
         sediments.                                    ••   Study: integrated study involving surface geophysics,
                                                            remote sensing, regional–woreda scale hydrogeological
                                                            mapping, water quality surveys, and pumping tests may be
                                                            required.
                                                       ••   Capacity: regional government capacity may be sufficient
                                                            but in some cases support from national institutions is
                                                            needed.
                                                       ••   Technologies: aquifers suitable for RPS; high cost of drilling
                                                            means multiple wells per woreda may be expensive so RPS
                                                            from productive wells may be more appropriate.
   6     Moderate yielding aquifer at shallow          ••   Drilling: light-duty trailer rigs with up to 12-bar compressor
         depth suitable for installation of                 capacity; PVC casing may be used in most cases, but steel
         hand pumps and deployment of truck                 casing may be needed at some sites. Consider on-site
         mounted trailer rigs.                              solution in case of drilling difficulty but selecting new site
         High yielding aquifer with relatively              possible if shallow.
         deep water strike depth. Depth may            ••   Study: topographic survey combined with surface
         not favor installation of hand pumps               geophysics at local level adjacent to the sites to be drilled
         but higher yield favors motorized                  may be sufficient; pumping test may be required in cases
         schemes for multicommunity                         of high yielding aquifers considered for motorized pump
         initiatives.                                       installation.
         Geology: fractured volcanic rocks             ••   Capacity: zonal level expertise may be sufficient.
         and fractured and weathered                   ••   Technology: hand pumps for shallower systems; motorized
         basement rocks                                     pumps for deeper aquifers.
                                                                                                      table continues next page




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                             145
       Table C.1: Continued
                                                                                        Required exploration and development
       HI            Hydrogeological characteristics                                       approaches and technologies
       8       High yielding aquifer at intermediate                     ••    Drilling: light duty trailer rigs, PVC or steel casing, motorized
               depth                                                           pumps, or hand pumps. Drill at alternative site in case of
                                                                               drilling difficulty.
               Geology: alluvial valleys; field with                     ••    Study: surface geophysics, topographic survey, and
               sediments                                                       integrated hydrogeological survey (geological mapping,
                                                                               water point inventory, and water quality survey).
                                                                         ••    Capacity: zonal- or woreda-level expertise.
                                                                         ••    Technology: motorized pumps and appropriate for RPS.
       9       High yielding shallow aquifer                             ••    Drilling: light-duty trailer rigs, PVC casing; drill another
                                                                               nearby site in case of drilling difficulty.
               Geology: fractured volcanic rocks in                      ••    Study: topographic survey or surface geophysics in case of
               high rainfall areas                                             complex topography.
                                                                         ••    Capacity: local woreda, zone.
                                                                         ••    Technology: hand pumps.
                                                                         ••    Technology: MUS for productive water use can be
                                                                               considered if motorized pumps installed; piped systems
                                                                               also suitable.
       12      Very high yielding aquifer at                             ••    Drilling: light-duty trailer rigs, PVC casing. Drill at alternative
               shallow depth                                                   site in case of drilling difficulty.
               Geology: quaternary basalts in                            ••    Study: topographic survey.
               the highlands                                             ••    Capacity: woreda-level experts and drillers can locate sites.
                                                                         ••    Technology: hand pumps.
                                                                         ••    Technology: MUS for productive water use can be
                                                                               considered; piped system also possible.
       Source: World Bank.
       Note: HI = Hydrological Index; MUS = Multi-Use System; WQ = water quality.




146	                                                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix D
  Water Quality
  The objective of undertaking this water quality survey was to generate new data to improve sector
  knowledge on the microbial and chemical water quality of water being used by households across
  Ethiopia. Data collection and analysis of water samples from both households and their sources
  will be a baseline to monitor the water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) component of
  Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) II and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

  The collection of the water quality data was linked to the third wave of the Ethiopia Socioeconomic
  Survey (ESS) carried out in 2015/16. ESS is an ongoing household panel survey, which means
  the same households are revisited over a period of several years. Each wave of data collection
  covers a 12-month period during which two visits are conducted to capture seasonal variations
  in productivity, particularly related to agriculture. Linking the water quality data collection to the
  ESS enabled analysis disaggregated by different socioeconomic groups, residence areas, and
  geographic locations. This appendix is a summary of the methods, results, and interpretation.
  Full details are reported in the ESS-WQT module (forthcoming).


  Methods
  Implemented by the Ethiopian Central Statistical Agency (CSA) in collaboration with the World
  Bank Living Standards Measurement Study–Integrated Surveys on Agriculture (LSMS-ISA),1
  ESS is aligned with the National Strategy for the Development of Statistics (NSDS) covering
  2009/10 to 2013/14, and the data are made publicly available.

  To ensure representation is at the same level as in ESS, the water quality testing component
  (ESS-WQT) was administered to all ESS households. The ESS consists of a probability-based
  sample of households representative of the population of all households in rural, small town,
  and (as of wave 2) urban areas of Ethiopia. The current sample size of roughly 5,200 households
  is also statistically representative at the region level for five regions (Addis Ababa; Amhara;
  Oromiya; Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region [SNNPR]; and Tigray) plus a sixth
  “region” that comprises all the other regions.

  In the ESS water quality testing (WQT) module, two samples were tested for E. coli: one at the
  point of collection, and one directly from a glass used for drinking. A total of 4,533 tests were
  conducted at points of collection, which resulted in 4,513 risk classifications (99.6 percent).

  The survey was conducted over one data collection period, May–July 2016, and as such does not
  address seasonality. Experts note that water quality can have important seasonal variations and
  conducting water quality tests during only the dry season could introduce systematic bias (WHO/
  UNICEF 2013). Because ESS is an ongoing panel survey, future waves of water quality testing
  could provide greater insights on water quality components, across years and during different
  seasons, than would normally be possible in a household survey. This would be an important step
  toward developing a more complete measure of sustainability, which is sorely lacking at present.

  The fieldwork was taken by 18 mobile teams, and each team comprised two testers, a data
  collector, and one supervisor and a four-wheel vehicle. The 25 statistical branch offices of the
  CSA participated in the survey undertaking, especially in deploying field staff members to their
  respective sites of assignment, and administering the financial and logistic aspect of the
  survey within the areas of their assignment. To accomplish the data collection operation, all
  the data collectors were supplied with the necessary survey equipment at the completion of


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                      147
       the training. To assure data quality, experts from WHO, UNICEF, MAWIE, and the World Bank had
       frequent field visits. It took 93 days to complete the water quality survey.

       A range of quality assurance and quality control measures were incorporated into the project
       at every stage including intensive training, enumerator exams, and field practice. The quality
       control measures included the following:

         ••   Blank tests. Two blank tests were assigned for each EA, particularly for the first four
              weeks. The water sample for this test was assumed that they are free from any bacteria.
              The intention of performing this test was to check the performance of the field workers
              and reminding them to adhering the proper procedure. One blank test was assigned to
              a randomly selected household in the household listing that the field workers were
              provided. A second blank test questionnaire for EA-level was added to the Survey Solution
              template. If water tester 1 was assigned to the selected household for blank test, then
              water tester 2 was expected to complete the EA level blank test. For the eight weeks, the
              field workers did one blank test per EA at household level.

         ••   Proportion of filtered water. The field workers were informed that the proportion of filtered
              water was expected to imply a given outcome of interest. For example, if water sample
              from the fetching point filtered less than 100 percent during the process, the possibility of
              high turbidity increases. This means, if the field workers enter a low level turbidity result
              for low proportion of filtered water, it indicates a possible wrong practice during the test.

         ••   Photo analysis. This analysis refers to counting the colonies on the 1 milliliters and
              100  milliliters water plates using photos, and analyzing consistency between the
              mentioned water plates. The field workers were requested to take pictures of each plate
              (1 milliliters and 100 milliliters) after the required incubation period for each bacteria
              test using the Survey Solution template. Every day, the number of colonies recorded in
              the data was rechecked by the field coordinators. This practice had been serving in two
              ways. First, it flagged the possibility of existing contamination during the test process,
              which could attribute to the inconsistency between the 1 milliliters and 100 milliliters
              water plates. Second, any discrepancy between the number of colonies in 1 milliliters
              and 100 milliliters, means that field workers made a mistake in recording results in the
              reverse order (the 100 milliliters for 1 milliliters and vice versa); consequently, the field
              workers communicated about the issues and requested to record correctly.

         ••   Test timing. The bacterial test conducted within an hour after the sample was collected.
              This procedure was managed through a daily base communication between the team
              leader and water testers.

         ••   Control sample for chemical lab test. This test was done in a central laboratory based in
              Addis Ababa. The institute, which conducted the chemical lab test, anonymously had
              been provided with control samples along the main source samples. The control samples
              have features of the standard measure for each chemical test. At the end of the lab test,
              the control sample results from the institute were checked against the original result.

         ••   Internal consistency checks. Intensive internal consistency had been done on and after
              data collection. Based on the data edit specifications, syntaxes were written for checking
              data consistencies. If the enumerator recorded wrong values, it flags error messages.
              The supervisor reviewed whether the uploaded data were error free and qualified the
              stated points. If some errors were recorded on the uploaded data, the supervisor
              rejected the data to the respective enumerator by writing comments about the errors.
              If the data were error-free, consequently approved by the supervisor.

       Testing approaches included microbiological, chemical, and physicochemical analysis. All
       household- and source-level samples were tested for E. coli and a subset (1 per EA) were also
       tested for enterococci at the household-level. For every water sample measured for E. coli or


148	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  enterococci, two CompactDry growth plates (Nissui, Japan) were used. One was inoculated
  with 1 milliliter of test water, while the other was used with a portable membrane filter (Millipore
  Microfil®), which contained all of the bacteria filtered from a 100 milliliter sample. The
  microbiological tests were incubated at 35°C for at least 24 hours using portable MX45 electric
  incubators (Lynd, U.K.). After incubation, the number of visible colonies (or colony-forming
  units, CFU) were counted. The 100 milliliter test result should therefore be expected to be
  approximately 100 times as high as the 1 milliliter test result. When teams found more than
  100 colonies on a growth plate the results were reported as “>100.”

  During analysis of microbiological data the results from the 1 milliliter sample and the 100 milliliter
  sample were combined to produce risk categories. In a minority of cases, test results from the two
  volumes were inconsistent and no risk category was assigned. For example, if the 1 milliliter test
  showed 10 colonies but the 100 milliliter test shows only five colonies.

  In addition to the microbiological tests, assessments for chlorine residual and turbidity were
  conducted onsite using photometric methods and samples were collected for subsequent analysis
  in a central laboratory in Addis Ababa. Chlorine residual was measured using DPD tablets according
  to the manufacturer’s instructions (Hach, USA). A 10 milliliter vial was first rinsed with water and
  then filled with 10 milliliter to which a tablet was added and then crushed. Intensity of the color
  change was used to assess the level of residual chlorine and the result (milligram per liter). The
  results are reported as either <0.2 milligrams per milliliter (low), 0.2–0.5 milligram per milliliter
  (moderate) or >0.5 milligram per milliliter (high). Turbidity was measured using a turbiditimeter
  (Lovibond, U.K.) with care taken to ensure that vials were cleaned thoroughly and free of marks
  such as fingerprints. Results were classified as <0.5 NTU (low), 0.5–1 NTU (moderate), >1 NTU
  (high). Chlorine residual and turbidity photometers were calibrated in advance of the fieldwork.

  For the laboratory testing, water samples were collected from each unique water source in
  a given cluster and a barcode was used to keep track of these samples. No household-
  level samples were collected as it was not anticipated that the values would change
  substantially from the source. These samples were stored in regional offices and then
  transferred to the central laboratory (Waterworks Enterprise, Addis Ababa) and all analyses
  were completed within six months of the fieldwork. Parameters tested in the laboratory
  were fluoride, hardness, electrical conductivity, and iron. Fluoride concentrations were
  assessed using the SPADNS method. Levels of fluoride exceeding the national standard
  and WHO guideline value of 1.5 milligram per liter were recorded as “high.” Given the
  importance of fluoride from a public health perspective, in addition to the water quality
  samples additional “blinded” tests were sent to the central laboratory to complement the
  internal quality control procedures.



  Results
  The most common source for collecting low-risk water was piped on premises (47.2 percent),
  while most of the very high risk water was collected from unimproved sources (63.3 percent)
  especially unprotected springs (34.5 percent) and surface water (22.5 percent).

  Table D.1 shows that 14 percent of the population collected water from low-risk supplies (with
  no detectable E. coli), while 36.6 percent collected water from very high-risk supplies. Water
  collected from improved sources was of better quality (20.2 percent low risk) than water
  collected from unimproved sources (2.2 percent low risk). Water quality was better in large
  towns (46.4 percent low risk) and worst in rural areas (8.4 percent low risk). Water quality was
  best in Addis Ababa region (84.8 percent low risk), and worst in Southern Nations, Nationalities
  and People Region (SNNPR) (7.1 percent low risk).

  Water quality was the highest in bottled water (53.4 percent low risk), but less than 1 percent of
  the population used this source of drinking water. Piped water on premises, used by 15 percent


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                       149
       Table D.1: E. Coli Risk Levels at Point of Collection by Water Supply Type, Location, and Region in Ethiopia, 2017
                                              Low risk:         Moderate        High risk:    Very high      E. coli at
                                              E. coli <        risk: E. coli      E. coli    risk: E. coli    source
                                                1 cfu/          1–10 cfu/      11–100 cfu/    >100 cfu/       (CFU/       Population
                                               100 mL            100 mL          100 mL        100 mL        100 mL)       (millions) Count
       Total                                      14               23.2           26.2          36.6           100          90.2     4,402
       Source of drinking water sample 
       Piped on premises                         41.5              33.6           16.3           8.6           100          13.7     1,004
       Piped water public tap/                   22.6              40.3           28.1           9.1           100          11.4      475
       standpipe
       Tube well/borehole                        14.9              33.2           20.8          31.1           100          12.6      554
       Protected dug well                         3.1              16.8           48.1           32            100           4.1      230
       Unprotected dug well                       0.6               4.8           18.9          75.7           100           2.8      217
       Protected spring                           7.5              26.2           42.1          24.3           100          13.4      477
       Unprotected spring                         2.5               7.1           28.7          61.6           100          18.2      641
       Rainwater collection                        1               13.6           33.3          52.1           100           0.8      36
       Piped water kiosk/retailer                 27               29.8           19.9          23.4           100           1.6      115
       Bottled water                             53.4              23.6           17.7           5.3           100           0.4      40
       Cart with small tank/drum                  3.5              69.4           6.2           20.9           100           1.2      46
       Surface water                              0.2               0.7            14            85            100            9       481
       Other                                     18.3               34            15.6          32.1           100            1       86
       Type of drinking water source 
       Unimproved                                 2.2               5.9           23.2          68.7           100           31      1,425
       Improved                                  20.2              32.2           27.7          19.9           100          59.2     2,977
       Location type                                                                                                                    
       Rural                                      8.4              22.2           27.8          41.6           100          72.7     3,019
       Urban (small town)                        14.1              28.7           29.6          27.7           100           4.8      345
       Urban (large town)                        46.4              26.8           15.4          11.4           100          12.6     1,038
       Urban (all)                               37.4              27.3           19.3          15.9           100          17.5     1,383
       Region                                                                                                                           
       Addis Ababa                               84.8              12.8            1             1.3           100           3.3      195
       Amhara                                    10.9              17.5           26.6           45            100          21.7      905
       Oromia                                    11.4              24.9           26.5          37.2           100          34.9      844
       SNNPR                                      7.2              30.6           30.1          32.1           100          19.3     1,025
       Tigray                                    23.8              19.4           25.7          31.2           100           5.4      542
       All other                                 14.7              18.7           24.2          42.4           100           5.6      891
       Source: ESS-WQT 2016.
       Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region.



                                     of the population (table D.1), had relatively good water quality, with 42.4 percent low risk, and
                                     9.8 percent very high risk. Water collected from kiosks or retailers was often of good quality
                                     (33.1 percent low risk). Very high-risk water was most commonly collected from unimproved sources
                                     (69.4 percent), especially surface water (85.8 percent) and unprotected dug wells (72.6 percent).

                                     It is well known that microbiological contamination tends to increase when water is stored in
                                     the household after collection. In some cases, particularly when the quality is poor at the


150	                                                                      Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  collection point, or when water is treated at the household level, there can be a decrease in
  fecal indicator bacteria between the source and household. Figure D.1 compares the E. coli risk
  levels at the collection point to the risk levels at the household level (in a glass of water
  provided for drinking). The cells on the diagonal, shaded yellow, represent households in which
  the risk class was the same at both testing points. This was the case for 50.1 percent of the
  population. In a few cases (10.4 percent, shaded green or dark green) E. coli levels decreased
  between collection and the household, but it was more common that E. coli levels would
  increase moderately (26 percent) or substantially (13.5 percent).

  Unimproved sources, which are more contaminated, were more likely to see a decrease in risk
  after collection than improved sources. This is especially true of surface water, which was the
  most highly contaminated source. Households that reported treating water at the household
  level were more likely to see a decrease in E. coli levels (18.1 percent) than households that
  did not report treatment (9.5 percent). However, only 5 percent of the population reported
  water treatment. Highlights of the chemical and physicochemical analysis include the following:

    ••                      Fluoride in drinking water at the point of collection: 3.8 percent of samples were above
                            the Ethiopian national standard for fluoride in drinking water (1.5 milligram per liter),
                            which is also the WHO Guideline Value.

    ••                      Iron in drinking water at the point of collection: 53.8 percent of samples were above the
                            Ethiopian national standard for iron in drinking water (0.3 milligram per liter). Of these
                            5.6 percent of samples were above 1 milligram per liter. There is no health-based WHO
                            Guideline Value for iron in drinking water.

    ••                      Hardness in drinking water at the point of collection: 11.2 percent of samples were above
                            the Ethiopian national standard for hardness in drinking water (300 milligram per liter) (as
                            CaCO3). There is no health-based WHO Guideline Value for hardness in drinking water.

  Electrical conductivity in drinking water at the point of collection: 6.4 percent of samples were
  above 800 micro-Siemens per centimeter. There is no Ethiopian national standard for
  electroconductivity in drinking water, nor is there a WHO Guideline Value for this parameter.


    Figure D.1: E. Coli Risk Levels at Collection Point and Household Level in Ethiopia, 2017



                                                                  E. coli at collection point
                                               <1                  1_10                11_100       >100           Total
                                    <1         3.7                  0.8                     0.5       0.2            5.3
     E. coli in the glass




                                  1_10         3.2                  4.1                     1.7       0.9            9.9

                                11_100         5.2                 12.3                   13.3        6.2            37

                                  >100         1.7                  6.5                   10.5        29            47.8

                                  Total       13.9                 23.8                   25.9      36.4            100


                                              1.7      Large decrease

                                              8.7      Slight decrease

                                             50.1      No change

                                               26      Slight increase

                                             13.5      Large increase




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                      151
                                     Availability and Sufficiency of Water
                                     Availability is an important criterion for assessing drinking water service levels.2 In the Ethiopia
                                     Socioeconomic Survey–Water Quality Testing Component (ESS-WQT 2016) water quality
                                     module, two questions were asked about availability and sufficiency of water:

                                        1.	 In the past two weeks, was the water from this source not available for at least one full day?

                                        2.	 Has there been any time in the last month when you did not have water in sufficient
                                            quantities?

                                     If the answer to the second question was yes, the respondent was asked the main reason that
                                     he/she did not have water in sufficient quantities.



       Table D.2: Availability and Sufficiency of Water, by Technology and Location, 2016
                                                        Available             Sum         Count    Sufficient         Sum             Count
       Total                                              77.5             1406620281     4407       75.4          1371148145         4413
       Source of drinking water sample
       Piped on premises                                    38             120728554      1004       48.1          153033817          1005
       Piped water public tap/standpipe                    66.1            145219167       477        71           156335517           479
       Tube well/borehole                                  92.8            240259843       554        85           220152732           554
       Protected dug well                                  93.4             69520699       230       83.2           61929773           230
       Unprotected dug well                                88.2             46454028       218       78.7           41747905           219
       Protected spring                                    95.8            247322852       474       94.6          244565055           475
       Unprotected spring                                  93.4            332661389       645        88           313337470           645
       Rainwater collection                                59.3              9637861        37       50.6            8237452            37
       Piped water kiosk/retailer                          25.3              9700015       113       35.9           13793835           114
       Bottled water                                       76.9             8500189        40        68.2           7537796            40
       Cart with small tank/drum                           17.5             3887253        46         7.1           1571749            46
       Surface water                                       94.5            161543236       484       82.3          140780241           484
       Other                                               57.6             11221447        86       41.9           8161055             86
       Improved water source
       Unimproved                                          92.2            551588773      1430       84.2          503735344          1431
       Improved                                            70.2            855067761      2978       71.2          867449054          2983
       Location type
       Rural                                               87.7            1211338396     3023       83.4          1152437165         3026
       Small town (urban)                                  58.2             61544290       345       52.6           55604246           345
       Large town (urban)                                  40.4             131608576     1038       49.2           160977715         1041
       Region
       Addis Ababa                                         34.3            25861173       195        55.1          41519866           195
       Amhara                                              81.4            408487400      911        74.1          371750586          911
       Oromia                                              77.1            504529347      836        77.1          505253405          839
       SNNPR                                               82.8            296386519      1024       80.3          288101852          1026
       Tigray                                              76.9             89904630       545       73.1           85417072           545
       All other                                           74.6             81451211       896       72.2           79105363           897
       Source: ESS-WQT 2016.
       Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.




152	                                                                        Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Safely Managed Water
  The four subindicators of improved, on premises, available (sufficient), and low E. coli risk can
  be combined to create the safely managed drinking water services indicator. This combination
  can be done at different scales (e.g., national, urban, or rural). If the four subindicators are
  combined at the household level, only 3.4 percent of households are considered to be
  accessing safely managed drinking water services.


   Table D.3: Safely Managed Drinking Water Services in Ethiopia, 2016
                                                                   On
                                                                premises     Sufficient                    Safely      Safely
                                                                   and         and        Quality and    managed      managed
                                             Improved           improved     improved      improved     (household)   (domain)
   Total                                        66                18.2         46.9          13.2           3.4         13.2
   Source of drinking water                                                                                               
   sample
   Piped on premises                             100                  100      42.3          41.5          21.4        41.5
   Piped water public tap/                       100                   0       73.5          22.6           0            0
   standpipe
   Tube well/borehole                            100                  1.3      84.7          14.9           0           1.3
   Protected dug well                            100                  9.3      84.7          3.1            0           3.1
   Protected spring                              100                   0       94.9          7.5            0            0
   Rainwater collection                          100                  88.3     65.5           1             0            1
   Piped water kiosk/retailer                    100                   0        34            27            0            0
   Bottled water                                 100                  100      76.2          53.4           44         53.4
   Cart with small tank/drum                     100                   0        7.7          3.5            0            0
   Location type                                                                                                          
   Rural                                        58.8                  4.7      48.2          7.4           0.1          4.7
   Urban (small town)                           89.3                  49.2     44.9           14           5.3          14
   Urban (large town)                           95.5                  77.6      41           46.4          21.7         41
   Urban (all)                                  93.8                  69.8     42.1          37.4          17.1        37.4
   Region                                                                                                                 
   Addis Ababa                                  99.7                  93.7     51.3          84.8          45.6        51.3
   Amhara                                       61.4                  14.7     45.4          10.6           2          10.6
   Oromia                                       66.1                  14.8     45.9          10.4          0.9         10.4
   SNNPR                                        66.4                  14.1     50.3          6.7           1.6          6.7
   Tigray                                       71.9                  22.8     53.7          23.8          7.1         22.8
   All other                                    56.1                  16.5     38.9          11.2          2.7         11.2
   Consumption quintiles                                                                                                  
   Poorest                                      56.1                  3.8      44.7          7.5           0.3          3.8
   Poor                                         67.9                  7.6      52.2          8.1           0.8          7.6
   Middle                                       66.8                  13.5     50.4          9.6           1.3          9.6
   Rich                                         64.1                  21.4     42.3          13.9          3.6         13.9
   Richest                                      80.7                  48.2     47.1          31.9          12.7        31.9
   Source: ESS-WQT 2016.
   Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities and People Region.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                            153
       However, because these subindicators in some cases will come from different data sources,
       and therefore cannot always be combined at the household level, the JMP will estimate the
       safely managed indicator by combining subindicators at the scale of the domain for which
       estimates are being made. In this case, the safely managed indicator will be taken to be the
       lowest of the four subindicator elements at that scale. For example, at the national scale in
       Ethiopia, E. coli risk is the subindicator with the lowest value (13.2 percent), so this would be
       taken as the estimate of safely managed drinking water services in Ethiopia from the ESS-WQT
       survey.

       Table D.3 shows the four subindicators, highlighting in red the subindicator that is the lowest
       among the four, and therefore determines the overall indicator of safely managed drinking
       water services. In most cases the quality subindicator is the limiting factor, but in rural areas
       and for some technologies on premises is the limiting factor. In large towns and in the Addis
       Ababa region, the availability subindicator is the lowest and drives the safely managed indicator.


       Notes
       1.	 The LSMS-ISA is a regional project funded by the Gates Foundation that supports seven
           countries in Sub-Saharan Africa to collect multitopic panel household level data with a
           special focus on improving agriculture statistics and the link between agriculture and other
           sectors in the economy. It aims to build capacity, share knowledge across countries, and
           improve survey methodologies and technology. The project in Ethiopia is implemented by
           the Central Statistical Agency.
       2.	 The human right to water specifies that water should be “available continuously and in a
           sufficient quantity to meet the requirements of drinking and personal hygiene, as well as
           of further personal and domestic uses, such as cooking and food preparation, dish and
           laundry washing and cleaning. Supply needs to be continuous enough to allow for the
           collection of sufficient amounts to satisfy all needs, without compromising the quality of
           water.”


       Reference
       WHO/UNICEF. 2013. Second Meeting of the WHO/UNICEF JMP Task Force on Monitoring
          Drinking-water Quality. Geneva: WHO. http://www.wssinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload​
          /­resources/2013​-Water-Quality-Task-Force-Report-Final.pdf.




154	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix E
  Logit Regression Model for
  Improved Water on Premises
  in Urban Areas of Ethiopia
  Piped water on premises is associated with economic benefits, especially time saved in
  collecting water from stand posts. However, access to piped water on premises is skewed
  toward wealthier consumption quintiles. Multivariate regression confirms this inequitable
  capture of piped water on premises by higher income households and examined other variables
  that may be correlated with this improved access.

  The regression results show that independent of household income levels, piped water on
  premises is siginificantly correlated with education level and the size of town. However,
  improved access is not correlated with gender of head of household or the tenure status of
  households.

  Households in Addis were three times more likely to have access to piped water on premises
  than medium or large towns. In turn, households in medium and large towns, other than Addis,
  were over twice as likely to have access to piped water on premises than small towns. This
  points to the need to channel more capital investment to smaller towns to help them catch up
  with larger towns. In addition, given that piped water supply on premises is principally provided
  by utilities and that these utilities benefit from both capital and recurrent subsidies, greater
  effort needs to be made to hook up poorer households regardless of town size.


  Method and Data Sources
  To examine the possible determinants of improved water supply on premises in urban areas of
  Ethiopia a logit regression model was estimated using data from the Ethiopia Socioeconomic
  Survey (ESS) 2015–16, a nationally representative survey of just under 5,000 households.
  The dependent variable was household access to piped water on premises (HH without=0;
  HH without=1).

  Piped water supply on premises includes piped water into the dwelling or in the yard or plot that
  the dwelling is in. It does not include any nonpiped water sources such as boreholes, wells, or
  springs. The regression includes the following independent variables:

    ••   Urban consumption quintiles (dummy variables for each quintile based on consumption
         quintiles built for urban areas)

    ••   Town strata (dummy variables for: small towns1 =0; medium and large size towns other
         than Addis Ababa=1; Addis Ababa=2)

    ••   Level of education (dummy variable: not completed primary=0; completed primary=1;
         secondary=2; tertiary=3)




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                 155
                                    ••    Gender of household head (dummy variable: female=0; male=1)

                                    ••    Tenure status of household (dummy variable: rents house=0; owns house=1)

                                    ••    Household size (continuous variable)


                                  Results
                                  Improved piped water on premesis was significatly correlated with (a) urban consumption
                                  quintiles; (b) education level; (c) town stratum; and (d) household size.

                                  Relative to the lowest urban consumption quintile the highest consumption quintile was five
                                  times more likely to have access to piped water on premesis (see figure E.1). The likelihood of
                                  accessing piped water on premises improves with increasing town size. Households in Addis
                                  were six times as likely to have access to piped water on premises than small towns.
                                  Households in medium and large towns, other than Addis, were over twice as likely to have
                                  access to piped water on premises than small towns.

                                  Access to improved water on premises is correlated with level of education. Though completion
                                  of primary education was not significantly correlated with improved access, the odds ratio was



           Figure E.1: Odds Ratio Results for Improved Water on Premises in Ethiopia, 2017


            . xi: logistic water_premis i.con_quturb i.towndummy i.educ i.sexhead hh_size i.hhownwer[pw=factor_pop] ,c
            > luster(psu)
            i.con_quturb      _Icon_qutur_1-5     (naturally coded; _Icon_qutur_1 omitted )
            i.towndummy       _Itowndummy_0-2     (naturally coded; _Itowndummy_0 omitted )
            i.educ            _Ieduc_0-3          (naturally coded; _Ieduc_0 omitted)
            i.sexhead         _Isexhead_0-1       (naturally coded; _Isexhead_0 omitted)
            i.hhownwer        _Ihhownwer_0-1      (naturally coded; _Ihhownwer_0 omitted )

            Logistic regression                                     Number of obs      =       1,62 3
                                                                    Wald chi2(12)      =      125.6 9
                                                                    Prob > chi2        =      0.0000
            Log pseudolikelihood =       -10686245                  Pseudo R2          =      0.180 2

                                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 143 clusters in psu)

                                               Robust
             water_premis    Odds Ratio       Std. Err.       z      P>|z|      [95% Conf. Interval ]

            _Icon_qutur_2      2.807555       .7263403      3.99     0.000      1.690887     4.66167 4
            _Icon_qutur_3      3.250561        1.06162      3.61     0.000      1.713797     6.16534 2
            _Icon_qutur_4      4.513481       1.642123      4.14     0.000      2.212189     9.20875 8
            _Icon_qutur_5      5.034557       1.925202      4.23     0.000       2.37938     10.6526 7
            _Itowndummy_1      2.234137       .6698225      2.68     0.007      1.241392     4.02078 4
            _Itowndummy_2      6.925044       2.279119      5.88     0.000      3.633134     13.1996 9
                 _Ieduc_1      1.193993       .2575607      0.82     0.411      .7823223      1.8222 9
                 _Ieduc_2      2.569214       .6336868      3.83     0.000      1.584363     4.16625 6
                 _Ieduc_3      2.952135       .8265819      3.87     0.000      1.705314     5.11055 5
              _Isexhead_1       .884194       .1701049     -0.64     0.522      .6064428     1.28915 5
                  hh_size      1.192363       .0715682      2.93     0.003      1.060029     1.34121 8
             _Ihhownwer_1      1.016193       .2227904      0.07     0.942      .6612387     1.56168 6
                    _cons      .0933795       .0387694     -5.71     0.000      .0413855     .210695 1



       Source: World Bank.




156	                                                               Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  above one. Households in which a member had completed secondary or tertiary education
  were two to three times more likely to have access to piped water on premises, as compared
  to the reference group of households in which no member had completed primary school.
  Neither the gender of head of household nor the tenure status of the household were
  associated with improved access to piped water on premises. Increasing household size was
  correlated with increased access to piped water on premises. Further analysis is requred to
  understand this relationship.


  Note
  1.	 CSA defines small towns based on population estimates from the 2007 Population
      Census; a  town with the population of less than 10,000 is a small town (Ethiopia
      Socioeconomic Survey Wave Three (2015/2016) Basic Information Document, 13).




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                           157
  Appendix F
  Logit Regression Model for
  Shared Sanitation in Urban
  Areas of Ethiopia
  This regression analysis examines variables that may be correlated with increasing or
  decreasing the likelihood that households share toilet facilities. The results indicate that
  households were more likely to share toilet facilities in larger towns than in small towns.
  Households were significantly less likely to share toilet facilities where they owned rather than
  rented the house they lived in.

  Households in the highest urban consumption quintile were less likely than other households
  to share toilet facilities. However, for other consumption quintiles there was not a significant
  correlation with shared use of toilet facilities. The variables for education level, gender of
  household head, and even use of an improved toilet facility were not significantly correlated
  with shared use of toilet facilities. As towns get larger, households tend to increase the sharing
  of toilet facilities. The results of this regression suggest that it would be worth investing further
  the relations between tenure status of household and the sharing of toilet facilities.


  Method and Data Sources
  To examine the possible determinants of shared use of toilet facilities in urban areas of
  Ethiopia a logit regression model was estimated using data from the Ethiopia Socioeconomic
  Survey (ESS) 2015–2016, a nationally representative survey of just under 5,000 households.
  The dependent variable was household sharing of toilet facilities (toilet facility not shared=0;
  shared=1).

  Households that reported resorting to open defecation were omitted from the observations
  since they had no shared facility. All other households were included whether they had a basic
  unimproved or an improved facility. The regression model included the following independent
  variables:

    ••   Urban consumption quintiles (dummy variables for each quintile based on consumption
         quintiles built for urban areas)

    ••   Town strata (dummy variables for: small towns=0; medium size towns=1; Addis Ababa=2)

    ••   Level of education (dummy variable: not completed primary=0; completed primary=1;
         secondary=2; tertiary=3)

    ••   Gender of household head (dummy variable: male=0; female=1)

    ••   Household size (continuous variable)

    ••   Type of toilet facility used (dummy variable: not improved=0; improved=1)

    ••   Tenure status of household (dummy variable: rents house=0; owns house=1)


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                     159
                                     Results
                                     The only variables that had a significant corelation with shared use of toilet facilities were
                                     (a) town stratum; (b) tenure status of household; (c) the highest consumption quintile; and
                                     (d) household size. Households living in regional capitals and Addis were almost three times
                                     more likely to share toilet facilities than households in smaller towns. People who owned the
                                     house they lived in were almost three times less likely to share toilet facilities with other
                                     households than people who rent the house they live.

                                     Households in the highest urban consumption quintile were less likely to share toilet facilities
                                     with other households, though for lower consumption quintiles no significant correlation was
                                     found. Households with greater numbers of household members were also less likely to
                                     share toilet facilities with other households. The squared function of household size was
                                     examined in a separate model but was not found to be significant. This last result requires
                                     further investigation to understand the relation between household size and sharing of
                                     toilet facilities.




           Figure F.1: Odds Ratio Results for Sharing of Toilet Facilities in Ethiopia


            . xi: logistic sharelatr i.con_quturb i.towndummy i.educ i.sexhead hh_size i.hhownwer i.imp_lat[pw=facto
            > r_pop], cluster(psu)
            i.con_quturb      _Icon_qutur_1-5    (naturally coded; _Icon_qutur_1 omitted )
            i.towndummy       _Itowndummy_0-2    (naturally coded; _Itowndummy_0 omitted )
            i.educ            _Ieduc_0-3         (naturally coded; _Ieduc_0 omitted )
            i.sexhead         _Isexhead_0-1      (naturally coded; _Isexhead_0 omitted)
            i.hhownwer        _Ihhownwer_0-1     (naturally coded; _Ihhownwer_0 omitted )
            i.imp_lat         _Iimp_lat_0-1      (naturally coded; _Iimp_lat_0 omitted)

            Logistic regression                                      Number of obs      =       1,50 9
                                                                     Wald chi2(13)      =      122.5 9
                                                                     Prob > chi2        =      0.0000
            Log pseudolikelihood =        -11132626                  Pseudo R2          =      0.135 0

                                                      (Std. Err. adjusted for 142 clusters in psu)

                                                Robust
                 sharelatr        Odds Ratio   Std. Err.        z     P>|z|      [95% Conf. Interval]

            _Icon_qutur_2            1.05111     .27208      0.19     0.847      .6328704      1.74575
            _Icon_qutur_3           .9732969   .2616244     -0.10     0.920      .5746989     1.648353
            _Icon_qutur_4           .9751355    .275745     -0.09     0.929      .5602288     1.697323
            _Icon_qutur_5           .5868164   .1629297     -1.92     0.055      .3405383     1.011203
            _Itowndummy_1           2.797032   .7642045      3.76     0.000      1.637315      4.77818
            _Itowndummy_2           2.742771   .9078314      3.05     0.002      1.433672      5.24722
                 _Ieduc_1           1.156627   .2494829      0.67     0.500      .7578622      1.76521
                 _Ieduc_2           1.240276   .2542981      1.05     0.294       .829838     1.853715
                 _Ieduc_3            1.34664   .3641433      1.10     0.271      .7926453     2.287831
              _Isexhead_1           .8724282   .1484826     -0.80     0.423      .6249709     1.217866
                  hh_size           .7830279   .0409694     -4.67     0.000      .7067094     .8675882
             _Ihhownwer_1           .3871289   .0639282     -5.75     0.000      .2800872     .5350791
              _Iimp_lat_1           .9463606    .205139     -0.25     0.799      .6187923     1.447333
                    _cons           2.679607   1.079112      2.45     0.014      1.216975     5.900119



       Source: World Bank data.




160	                                                                Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix G
  Supply- and Demand-Side
  Barriers Households Face in
  Hooking Up to Utilities
  Household survey samples are based on geographic clusters that at least for urban areas are
  physically small, amounting to no more than a few city blocks. It is therefore possible at least
  in urban areas to study the extent to which people lacking access to infrastructure live in
  clusters where infrastructure is available (indicated by the fact that some immediate neighbors
  are hooked up to the service). The resulting analysis gives us a sense of the degree to which
  low access to services is driven by supply-side issues (infrastructure networks not reaching the
  areas where people live) or by demand-side issues (people not connecting to available
  infrastructure networks).

  The basic concepts used to analyze this issue are defined in box G.1. The main novelty is that
  we decompose the traditional measure of household coverage into two components (as per
  Foster and Araujo 2004; Komives et al. 2006). The first, which we call access, gives the
  percentage of the population that lives in a cluster where at least one household has service
  coverage, indicating that the infrastructure is physically proximate and that there could be an
  opportunity to connect. The second, which we call hook up, gives the percentage of the
  population living in clusters where the service is available that actually make a connection, and
  hence take up that opportunity. Using these two concepts it is possible to estimate the
  percentage of the unserved population that constitutes a supply-side deficit (meaning that they
  are too far from the network to make a connection until further rollout takes place) compared
  to a demand-side deficit (meaning that something other than distance from the network is
  preventing them from taking up the service).

  The policy conclusions in each case are very different, and hence the interest in making this
  distinction. The solution to a supply-side deficit is to make further investments to rollout the
  geographic reach of infrastructure networks. The solution to a demand-side deficit is to make
  policy changes that help to address potential barriers to service take-up, such as high
  connection charges or illegal tenure.

  For various reasons, it could be questioned whether absolutely everyone in a geographic cluster
  with some coverage really has the opportunity to connect. First, although the geographic
  clusters are relatively small in urban areas, the distances may still be such as to prohibit
  connection. Second, even though the infrastructure is present, it may not have the carrying
  capacity required to service all residents in a particular geographic cluster without further
  investment and upgrade. Third, even if a household is physically close to a network with
  adequate carrying capacity, the household may choose not to connect simply because there is
  an acceptable alternative (such as a borehole) rather than due to any demand-side barriers
  with the service.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                 161
            Box G.1: Coverage, Access, and Hook-Up Rates: Relationships and Definitions

            Coverage rate = number of households using the service / total number of households
            Access rate = number of households living in communities or clusters where service is
            available / total number of households
            Hook-up rate = number of households using the service / number of households living in
            communities where service is available
            Coverage = access rate × hook-up rate
            Unserved population = 100 − coverage rate
            Pure demand-side gap = access rate − coverage rate
            Supply-side gap = unserved population − pure demand-side gap
            Pure supply-side gap = supply side gap × hook-up rate
            Mixed demand and supply side gap = supply side gap × (100 − hook-up rate)
            Proportion of deficit attributable to demand-side factors only = pure demand side gap /
            unserved population
            Proportion of deficit attributable to supply-side factors only = pure supply side gap / unserved
            population
            Proportion of deficit attributable to both demand and supply side factors only = mixed demand-
            and supply-side gap / unserved population




       Wodon et al. (2009) use a statistical approach to try and correct for these problems.
       They simulate the maximum connection rate obtainable in any primary sampling unit (PSU)
       based on that of the richest households in that PSU. If less than 100 percent of the richest
       households are connected, it suggests that something other than demand-side barriers is at
       work. Results for the demand-side deficit are presented both with and without this statistical
       adjustment. The methodology is less applicable to rural areas because the PSUs tend to be
       larger in size and population densities much lower.


       References
       Wodon, Quentin, Sudeshna Banerjee, Amadou Bassirou Diallo, and Vivien Foster. 2009. “Is
          Low Coverage of Modern Infrastructure Services in African Cities due to Lack of Demand
          or Lack of Supply?” Policy Research Working Paper 4881. World Bank, Washington, DC.

       Foster, Vivien, and Maria Caridad Araujo. 2004. “Does Infrastructure Reform Work for the Poor?
           A Case Study from Guatemala.” Policy Research Working Paper 3185. World Bank,
           Washington, DC. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/13877.

       Komives, Kristin, Jonathan Halpern, Vivien Foster, Quentin T. Wodon, and Roohi Abdullah. 2006.
          “The Distributional Incidence of Residential Water and Electricity Subsidies.” World Bank
          Policy Research Working Paper 3878. World Bank, Washington, DC.   https://ssrn​        .-com​
          /­abstract=936032.




162	                                    Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix H
  One WASH National Program:
  Institutional and Implementation
  Arrangements
  The WASH Implementation Framework (WIF) set out that planning, implementation, monitoring,
  and evaluation would be coordinated through establishment of water supply, sanitation, and
  hygiene (WASH coordination) structures at national, regional, zonal, woreda, and kebele levels.
  The coordination structure is guided by the steering committees and technical teams formed
  by the WASH sector ministries and corresponding regional sector bureaus, as illustrated in
  figure H.1. The four sector ministries have committed themselves to assign an appropriate
  official to the National WASH Technical Team (NWTT), to establish a project management unit
  (PMU) and to assign a WASH focal person to liaise between the PMU and the National WASH
  Coordination Office (NWCO) and to implement decisions of the ministries and the National
  WASH Steering Committee (NWSC). While there remains mandatory vertical communication
  within each WASH sector ministry and bureau, there also aims to be horizontal communication
  and linkage between different WASH sector ministries’ and bureaus’ PMUs, and between
  corresponding WASH coordination offices and PMUs based on signed memorandums of
  understanding (MoUs) between the sectors.

  Despite significant and encouraging activities of the NWSC, some of the constraints affecting
  the execution of the decisions according to the guidelines include (a) delay of budget release
  and “no objection” from donors; (b) delay of major procurements and long processes; (c) and
  lack of regular and frequent meetings to deliberate on emerging issues. The NWCO has a
  critical role in ensuring policies, strategy plans, and decisions of the NWSC and NWTT are
  effectively communicated at all levels. While some progress has been made in establishing
  and operationalizing the One WASH National Programme (OWNP) coordination structure as set
  out in the WIF, there are also significant gaps in that need to be strengthened to fully
  operationalize the proposed structures and fully implement their envisaged role.

  Regions have the authority and the responsibility to establish institutional arrangements at the
  regional and zonal levels that are best suited to their particular needs and circumstances.
  However, regional arrangements were expected to correspond with those at the federal level to
  ensure effective linkages. However, at regional authorities lack a uniform understanding of
  OWNP concepts on the different implementation modalities and guidelines among members of
  steering committees, technical teams, and PMUs. There are also mixed perceptions concerning
  the management and financing of the OWNP      , as well as the relationship between the OWNP and
  the Consolidated WASH Account (CWA). CWA-funded activities are typically referred to in the
  regions as OWNP activities. The OWNP covers all national WASH activities regardless of the
  source of finance, but there is a need for wider awareness raising to build a proper understanding
  for the CWA and OWNP    .

  It has taken a significant amount of time to establish regional WASH coordination offices
  (RWCOs), and many regions still don’t have fully functioning mechanisms. RWCOs have
  been slow to be established due to lack of clear understanding on the specific roles of the
  RWCO, limited guidance on the required number and professional mix of the staff, and
  sources of budget. Most of the regional steering committees have delegated the water




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                  163
           Figure H.1: Schematic of the OWNP Institutional and Implementation Arrangement



                                                             Nat. Water      Nat. MOFEC
            National WASH               National               PMU               PMU              National WASH
                steering                 WASH                                                      coordination
              committee              technical team          Nat. Health                               office
                                                                             Nat. Ed. PMU
                                                                PMU


                                                             Reg. Water      Reg. MOFEC
                                                                                PMU              Regional WASH
            Regional WASH                                      PMU
                                    Regional WASH                                                 coordination
               steering                                                                               office
                                     technical team          Reg. Health
              committee                                                     Reg. Ed. PMU
                                                                PMU



                                     Zonal WASH
                                   management team



                         Woreda WASH            Town/City WASH
                                                                             WASHCO             Woredas WASH
                       steering committee       steering committee
                                                                                               coordination office
                        (woreda cabinet)        (town/city cabinet)



       Note: MOFEC = Ministry of Finance and Economic Cooperation; OWNP = ONE WASH National Programme; PMU = project
       management unit; WASHCO = water supply, sanitation, and hygiene committee.




       sector PMUs to take the responsibilities of the program coordination, on top of their regular
       duties and responsibilities.

       The lack of regional OWNP strategic plans and absence of effective coordination and systems
       of accountability continue to be a hindrance to alignment. This is further compounded by the
       continuation of multiple (unaligned) steering and technical committees for each of WASH
       programs financed through different channels.

       With regard to linkages and harmonization of WASH activities, woreda- and kebele-level program
       planning and implementation is mainly concentrated on the rural water supply development
       with little attention for institutional WASH and harmonization of household and community
       WASH activities. While WASHCOs play major role in expansion of water supply and provision of
       quality services, health extension workers (HEWs) are active in expansion of household level
       sanitation and hygiene activities. However, the availability of water supply is not integrated with
       the promotion of sanitation and hygiene services. Therefore, in general, integration and
       harmonization at woreda and kebele levels is grossly inadequate.

       In towns, WIF structures have not been established with exception of PMUs in few World Bank–
       supported towns. The coordination structures do not exist and were a major factor for
       challenges in the implementation of urban sanitation projects.

       Furthermore, participation of the community and the private sectors (for repair and maintenance
       as well as spare parts) is lacking. Community participation in most regions, woredas, and
       schemes is limited to planning and collection of contribution for repair and maintenance in
       times of needs. Communities also participate in setting affordable user charges, bylaws to
       alienate free riders, and support to the vulnerable groups. However, general assemblies,
       general meetings and discussions with the WASHCOs to deliberate on problems, the financial
       status of the schemes, implementation efficiency, and management effectiveness are very
       limited in almost all schemes.


164	                                     Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix I
  Woreda-Level Financing
  Block grants received by woredas are allocated by the woreda councils between sectors based
  on the priorities of the woreda, consistent with federal and regional priorities. Allocation of
  limited public resources among key sectors mainly depend on the magnitude of the problem;
  cost of achieving the targets in each sector; and federal, regional, and woreda priorities. Water
  supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) is often not prioritized. Unlike policies toward roads,
  power, and education, WASH is not considered a productive investment that stimulates
  economic growth—which is a wrong approach. In addition, interventions in the water supply are
  dependent on the availability of water source, which is sometimes complex, costly, and beyond
  the capacity of local governments. Sanitation and hygiene activities, especially in rural areas,
  are mainly focused on education and behavioral change, which are not tangible compared to
  investment in physical assets.

  Despite this, WASH was among the priority sectors classified as pro-poor in the Government of
  Ethopia’s (GoE’s) economic and social development plans (Sustainable Development and
  Poverty Reduction [SDPRP], A Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development to End Poverty
  [PASDEP], and Growth and Transformation Plan [GTP]). As a result, the amount of public
  resource allocated for WASH has increased steadily over the last two decades. The findings of
  the World Bank’s public expenditure review on WASH revealed that between 2008/09 and
  2011/12 sector expenditure increased from 0.4 percent to 0.7 percent of GDP       . The sector
  share of total expenditure increased from 2 percent to 3.5 percent and has been stable at
  about US$2 per capita for the periods 2008/09 to 2011/12.

  Table I.1 reveals that per capita public expenditure (obtained from the BOOST data for 720
  woredas) is relatively higher in regions where access to improved water supply was lower in
  2007. Both the per capita expenditure and the change in access to improved water supply in
  2011 (NWI) compared to 2007 are higher in Benishangul, Gambella, Amhara, and Afar regions.
  However, the average size of the per capita expenditure is very small. When reviewing the per



   Table I.1: Average Per Capita Expenditure by Region in Ethiopia and Change in Access to Improved
   Water Supply
                                                  Average per capita        Access to          Access to
                                  Woredas         capital expenditure,    Improved water     Improved water
   Region                          (no.)               2010–12           supply, 2007 (%)   supply, 2011 (%)a   Change (%)
   Benishangul-Gumuz                   20                  33.49              15.9                59.7             43.8
   Gambella                            13                  79.66              30.5                64.7             34.2
   Amhara                            138                   11.47              24.9                51.6             26.7
   Oromia                            276                     8.70             24.2                49.8             25.5
   SNNPR                             145                     2.73             25.9                 42              16.1
   Afar                                30                  15.67              20.2                34.8             14.6
   Tigray                              45                    5.06             51.8                52.7              1
   Total                             720                     9.42             25.1                48.5             23.4
   Source: World Bank based on BOOST data.
   Note: SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region.
   a. Findings of the National WASH Inventory conducted in 2011.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                        165
       Table I.2: Ethiopian Woredas with Reported Capital Expenditure, 2010–12
                                                                 Capex only                Capex only                  Capex in
       Regions                           Capex (no.)              in 1 year                in 2 years                 all 3 years                  Total
       Afar                                       1                      8                        10                        11                       30
       Amhara                                   15                       8                        29                        86                     138
       Benishangul-Gumuz                          4                      6                         8                          2                      20
       Gambella                                 12                                                                            1                      13
       Oromia                                   30                       5                        30                      211                      276
       SNNPR                                    41                     38                         29                        37                     145
       Somali                                   52                       1                                                                           53
       Tigray                                   19                       8                        10                          8                      45
       Total                                  174                      74                       116                       356                      720
       Source: World Bank based on BOOST data.
       Note: CAPEX = capital expenditure; SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People Region. Empty cells represented data that was not available.




                                      capita figures it should be noted that there are significant variations in unit costs of providing
                                      the services depending on their specific situations, including remoteness, source of water,
                                      population density, availability and cost of labor, and construction materials. Reliability of
                                      data could also be a challenge since data are based on administrative reports rather than
                                      national surveys.

                                      As shown in table I.2, out of 720 woredas with expenditure information, 174 did not allocate
                                      any capital budget for the three years (2010–12), 74 allocated in one of the three years,
                                      116 in two of the three years, and 356 for all three years. However, the amount of the public
                                      expenditure allocated was very small, even in the 356 woredas that did consistently allocate
                                      budget during the period.

                                      Having no capital expenditure allocated to water supply and sanitation services at the woreda
                                      level does not mean that there was no investment on improving coverage in these woredas.
                                      While the provision of water supply and sanitation services is decentralized to the woreda
                                      level, in practice the task is still largely performed by regional and zonal offices. Currently,
                                      most schemes are constructed by zones or regions (except small schemes such as hand-dug
                                      wells and on spot springs), with their budget proclaimed at the regional level. There is no
                                      relationship  between per capita spending on water supply by the woredas and access to
                                      improved water supply.

                                      While the shortage of resources to cover the huge service gap is a major constraint in the
                                      sector, the efficient allocation of resources to ensure sustainability of the existing service is an
                                      area that also needs to be explored. The non-functionality rate in rural water supply schemes
                                      are as high as 25 percent, and nonrevenue water (NRW) in the urban water supply system is
                                      about 40 percent.1

                                      The findings of the public expenditure review on water supply has revealed that between
                                      2008/09 and 2011/12, only 55 percent of the total government budget was allocated to
                                      capital budget, while in the WASH sector this proportion is significantly higher (81 percent). The
                                      proportion of capital budget for the WASH sector is relatively lower (80 percent) at local than
                                      at the federal levels, where it is 89 percent.




166	                                                                         Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Note
  1.	 Recently conducted WASH Facility Survey covering 54 woredas and 50 towns in all the
      regions and Dire Dawa City Administration reveals that about 44.2 percent of the rural
      water supply schemes work for less than four hours per day, and 64.1 percent of rural
      water supply schemes failed at least once or more times in the last 12 months for an
      average of 51 days with frequency of four. The same survey indicates that about
      44.6 percent of households consume less than 10 liters per capita, and almost a quarter
      of the samples consume between 10–15 liters. The average consumption of households
      benefiting from schemes with a downtime of less than five days is 1.2 times higher than
      schemes with a downtime of more 20 days. The average downtime contributes to variation
      in supply and consumption levels. The average consumption of households benefiting from
      schemes with downtime of less than five days is 1.2 times higher than schemes with
      downtime of more 20 days.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                           167
  Appendix J
  WASH and Health: Defining
  Exposure Risk Factors and
  Model for Analysis
  To better understand the relationship between water supply, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH),
  nutrition, and health, this analysis has applied a WASH poverty risk model (WASH PRM)
  (figure J.1) to assess patterns of disease risk across economic and geographic subpopulations
  by combining rigorous estimates of the effects of exposure and susceptibility factors on
  disease with country-specific data on the distribution of these risk factors. The primary purpose
  of this model is to describe how diverse and interrelated risk factors may contribute to h	
  ow the national diarrheal disease burden is distributed between sub-population groups. The
  association or causality between WASH and these outcomes is not possible as the data is
  cross-sectional and prone to many biases, and is therefore not estimated.

  The PRM model combines key susceptibility factors and exposure factors that are most relevant
  to the health outcome of interest: diarrhea. The conceptual framework for the WASH PRM is
  explained in figure J.1; “exposure factors” section includes WASH-related elements that
  influence the risk of diarrheal disease. Relative risks are developed from the literature for
  levels of these WASH services. Relative risks for individual exposure risk factors are combined
  into a single exposure index. The “susceptibility factors” section of the conceptual framework
  addresses individual risk factors that have been identified through rigorous evaluations and
  meta-analyses. Quantitative risk estimates for each factor are combined into a single
  susceptibility index. As described in figure J.1, we consider water supply and sanitation as
  “exposure” factors, that is, as independent variables that influence our dependent outcomes
  of interest (diarrheal disease, diarrheal mortality, and stunting).



      Figure J.1: WASH Poverty Risk Model Conceptual Framework


                                                                                            Susceptibility factors


                                                                              Underweight       Vitamin A               ORT

                                                                   Water
                                         WASH/Exposure factors




                                                                    HH
             Geography                                           sanitation

                                                                                   Diarrhea                          Mortality

               Poverty                                           Sanitation
                                                                 coverage                        Stunting

                                                                 Hygiene                      Health outcomes




  Note: WASH/exposure factors in light blue are not included in the exposure index. HH = household; ORT = oral rehydration
  treatment; WASH = water supply, sanitation, and hygiene.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                            169
       Under the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) target for water supply and sanitation, access
       to these two services was classified as improved or unimproved, with progress on improved
       services contributing to progress in meeting the MDG target. This binary classification of water
       supply and sanitation masks a gradient of ascending service levels that bring differing levels
       of health and other benefits. More recently, the WASH sector has moved to a service ladder
       approach that better describes water supply and sanitation access as a continuum of ascending
       levels assumed to bring ascending benefits. The new Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) to
       “ensure access to water supply and sanitation for all” by 2030 goes beyond unimproved or
       improved designations to call for safely managed water supply and sanitation services.

       To describe the risk posed by inadequate water supply and sanitation access to different groups,
       it is important to consider multiple service level or exposure scenarios that distinguish between,
       for example, improved sanitation and a sewer connection, and allow for different relative risks
       of a given health outcome for each exposure level. Many systematic reviews pool different water,
       sanitation, and hygiene interventions to arrive at a single relative risk estimate for all interventions
       within a given category (water, sanitation, and hygiene), against a single counterfactual of no
       intervention, failing to account for differences in service level and the control.

       Two previous efforts to assign relative risk (RR) to various WASH exposure scenarios applied
       literature-based estimates to an ascending level of single and then multiple WASH services,
       but distinguished only between one or two levels of water supply and sanitation service. For
       the WASH PRM, we will adopt the exposure scenarios and accompanying RR estimates
       proposed in a recent burden of disease analysis led by the World Health Organization (WHO).
       These RRs are determined using a meta-analysis based on a systematic review of various
       WASH interventions corresponding to exposure scenarios, or service levels.

       We assign exposure scenarios based on the coverage of water supply and sanitation service
       levels using data from 2012 DHS (see figure J.1 for survey sites). We define service levels with
       a desire to align where possible with the World Bank Access Plus framework. We use three
       service levels for both water supply and sanitation that can be combined to describe exposure
       scenarios with varying degrees of diarrheal disease risk.


       Water
       We exclude point of use water treatment scenarios due to the challenges of estimating adequate
       compliance and the questionable reliability of the RR estimates (36). We use three exposure
       scenarios from the DHS to estimate water source coverage: (a) unimproved water; (b) off-plot or
       community-improved water source; and (c) on-plot improved (including piped) water source. Water
       sources were grouped into scenarios using DHS household-level data and JMP MDG water ladder
       definitions. Water source coverage was then estimated at the cluster (community) level using all
       households, then combined with the child-level data and used to calculate the exposure index.


       Sanitation
       We use all three exposure scenarios for sanitation proposed by Wolf et al. unimproved
       sanitation (including open defecation), improved no sewer (on-site), and sewer connection
       (reticulated, off-site). We define each scenario using the classification of toilet type and
       reported household sharing from DHS household-level data. Household sanitation access for
       each child was combined with child-level data to calculate the exposure index.

       We derived sanitation definitions that adhere to the JMP MDG sanitation ladder. Category A
       includes open defecation and unimproved; any shared improved toilet or latrine; and pour or
       flush toilets that flush to “somewhere else.” Category B includes unshared improved toilets or
       latrines and pour or flush toilets that flush to “don’t know where.” Category C includes unshared
       pour or flush toilets connected to a piped sewer.


170	                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
   Table J.1: Exposure Risk Model Parameters
   7.1 Input                                   Value                               Description                            Reference
   Water access relative risk                              2011 DHS Household File                                       2011 DHS ET
   A. Unimproved                                1.00       “Dug well: unprotected well,” “water from spring:             HV201
                                                           unprotected spring,” “tanker truck,” “cart with small
                                                           tank,” “surface water (river, dam, lake, pond, stream,
                                                           canal, irrigation channel),” “bottled water”
   B. Off-plot improved                         0.89       “Piped water to neighbor,” “public tap/standpipe,” “tube      HV201
                                                           well or borehole” “dug well: protected well,” “water from
                                                           spring: protected spring” and “rainwater”
   C. On-plot improved                          0.77       “Piped into dwelling” or “piped to yard/plot,” and “on        HV201,
                                                           premises” improved water source                               HV235
   Sanitation access relative risk                         2011 DHS Household File                                       2011 DHS ET
   A. No, unimproved and                        1.00       “flush or pour flush toilet: flush to somewhere else,” “pit   HV205
   shared                                                  latrine: without slab/open pit,” “bucket toilet,” “hanging
                                                           toilet/hanging latrine,” “no facility/bush/field”
   B. Improved and unshared                     0.84       “Flush or pour flush toilet: flush to septic tank/pit         HV205
   (excluding sewered house                                latrine,” “flush or pour flush: don’t know where,” “pit
   connection)                                             latrine: VIP/with slab,” “composting toilet”
   C. Sewered house                             0.31       “Flush or pour flush toilet flush to piped sewer system”      HV205,
   connection                                                                                                            HV225
   Note: Reference refers to a variable in the DHS table (e.g., HV201).




  Exposure Index
  We calculated scores for the exposure index individually for each child based on the
  combined relative risks of each water supply and sanitation access scenario (equation J.1;
  table J.2), and then these values are averaged by cluster using survey weights included in
  DHS datasets. The value for each child is based on the household’s access to water supply
  and sanitation facilities. After calculating the exposure index, we rescaled it, then adjusted
  it to the excess exposure risk due to inadequate WASH by subtracting 1.00 from the relative
  risk value.

  (J.1) Exposure index:

                                                ExpIndexi = SanRR·WatRR


  Other Exposure Risk Factors
  We present DHS data to characterize disparities in other hygiene factors related to diarrheal
  disease (table J.3). Our exposure index does not include these other exposure-related hygiene
  factors because while these are important for exposure, their contribution to exposure risk has
  not been characterized through rigorous studies. However, this does not undermine how
  important they are for limiting child exposure to diarrheal disease.

  Improved hand washing and safe water treatment are defined using household-level DHS
  data (table J.3). A household has improved hand washing facilities if it meets three criteria
  present in the household-level data in the DHS: (a) having a designated place for hand


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                  171
       Table J.2: Exposure Scenarios and Assigned Relative Risk from Literature Estimates
                                                                                                                            Combined
            Scenario                                         Water        Relative risk     Sanitation     Relative risk   relative risks
       1    No improved water access, no                        A              1.00             A             1.00             1.00
            improved sanitation access
       2    Improved off-plot water access,                    B               0.89             A             1.00             0.89
            no improved sanitation access
       3    No improved water access,                           A              1.00             B             0.84             0.84
            improved sanitation access
       4    Improved off-plot water access,                    B               0.89             B             0.84             0.75
            improved sanitation access
       5    Improved on premises, improved                     C               0.77             B             0.84             0.65
            sanitation access
       6    Improved on premises, sewered                      C               0.77             C             0.31             0.24
            sanitation
       Notes: Relative risk figures from Wolf et al., 24.




       Table J.3: Definitions of Other Exposure Risk Factors
       Input                                                         Description                                        Reference
       Hand washing                     2011 DHS Household File                                                  2011 DHS ET
       Improved                         Designated place for hand washing, water with soap, mud, or ash          HV230a-b, HV232a-b
                                        present
       Unimproved                       Absence of either place, water, or soap/ash/mud                          HV230a-b, HV232a-b
       Water treatment                  2011 DHS Household File                                                  2011 DHS ET
       Safe                             “Boil,” “bleach/chlorine,” “solar disinfectant,” “water filter”          HV237a-b, d-e
       Unsafe                           “Strain through cloth,” “let it stand,” “other,” “don’t know”            HV237c, f, x, z
       Child stool disposal             2011 DHS Child File                                                      2011 DHS ET
       Improved                         Safe disposal into improved toilet or latrine (category B or C)          V465 and V116
       Safe                             “Child used latrine/toilet” or “put/rinsed in latrine or toilet”         V465
       Unsafe                           “Put/rinsed into drain or ditch,” “thrown in garbage,” “buried,”         V465
                                        “left in the open,” “other”
       Population density               GPW 2015 population / sq. kilometer adjusted with UN World               GPW
                                        Population Prospects
       Population density               DHS cluster improved sanitation coverage (category B or C) and           HV205 and GPW
       without sanitation               GPW 2015 estimates




172	                                                                   Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  washing that is stocked with (b) water and (c) soap, mud, or ash. Improved or safe water
  treatment is defined by treating household water with an effective method for decontaminating
  drinking water. Safe or improved child stool disposal is defined using the child-level DHS
  data. Improved child stool disposal is when the respondent reports that the child either
  directly uses an improved toilet facility or child stool is rinsed or disposed of into an improved
  toilet facility (table J.3).

  Population density estimates from the Gridded Population of the World (GPW) (37) were
  used to assess the effects of community-level sanitation. These provide 1 square kilometer
  resolution estimates of population density. We use GPW estimates that have been adjusted
  using UN World Population Prospects. We overlaid DHS cluster locations on GPW population
  density raster maps and extracted density estimates for each cluster. We also calculated
  “population density without sanitation” as a proxy measure for the relative amount of
  human waste potentially being released into the environment. We used the product of
  improved sanitation coverage and population density as a measure of community-level
  contamination. To calculate this variable, we combined population density cluster estimates
  with cluster improved sanitation (categories B and C, table J.1) coverage to describe the
  co-distribution of individual child and community sanitation risk (table J.3).


  Defining Susceptibility Factors
  The model includes risk factors related to susceptibility of diarrheal disease and mortality. These
  include susceptibility-related micronutrients (vitamin A) to effective treatment (e.g., oral rehydration
  treatment [ORT]) and undernutrition assessed by child weight-for-age (WFA) (table J.4).

  Undernutrition. For undernutrition, we use relative risks (RRs) from Caulfield et al. (2003) in
  which they estimate the RR of cause-specific mortality (including diarrhea) for different
  levels of stunting (low height-for-age), wasting (low weight-for-height) and underweight (WFA).
  We estimate RRs based on WFA z-scores recorded for under-five children in the child-level



   Table J.4: Model Parameters for the Susceptibility Index


   Input                               Relative risk                                Description                        Reference
   Child underweight
   Normal                                    —               WFA z-score > −1 standard deviations (SD) from the mean     (38)
   Mild risk                               2.32              WFA z-score −1 to −2 SD from the mean                       (38)
   Moderate risk                           5.39              WFA z-score −2 to −3 SD from the mean                       (38)
   High risk                             12.50               WFA z-score < −3 SD from the mean                           (38)
   Oral rehydration treatment (ORT)
   Does not receive ORT                                                                                                  (39)
   Receives ORT                            0.07              Protective, reduces risk of mortality by 93%                (39)
   Vitamin A dose
   Received vitamin A                        —                                                                           (40)
   dose
   Diarrheal mortality                     0.72              Protective, reduces risk of mortality by 28%                (40)
   risk reduction from
   receiving ORT
   Note: ORT = oral rehydration therapy; WFA = weight-for-age.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                              173
       DHS data (table J.4). RRs are assigned to different levels of WFA based on standard
       deviations (SDs) below the global mean of the z-score distribution (−1 to −2 SD, −2 to −3 SD,
       and less than −3 SD) compared to normal (greater than −1 SD) Caulfield et al. For the
       diarrheal risk model, we use the estimates for low WFA on diarrheal mortality as a likely
       measure of long- and short-term undernutrition effects. We use reported RRs for each level
       to estimate a piece-wise linear risk function that provides a continuous estimate of excess
       risk as WFA z-scores decline.

       ORT. There is substantial evidence of the effect of ORT on the severity and duration of
       diarrhea. Based on 157 studies, Munos et al. (2010) estimates a 93 percent reduction in
       diarrhea mortality with ORT use (prepackaged or home remedy). We combine this estimate
       with an estimated probability of receiving ORT, calculated from child-level DHS data (table J.4).
       ORT data are available only for children who have had a diarrheal episode in the previous two
       weeks. However, if analyses were restricted to these observations, the coverage would be
       very sparse and likely bias or underestimate the occurrence of diarrhea. Rather than including
       whether a child received ORT for a recent diarrheal episode (during the last two weeks), we
       estimate the propensity for receiving ORT given household wealth quintile, maternal
       education, region, setting, and child’s age. Values for children without a recent episode are
       imputed using a logistic regression model built on data from children who did have an
       episode. Imputing values for all children results in a more widespread estimate of the
       likelihood of receiving ORT.

       Vitamin A. Imdad et al. (2011) examine the effect of vitamin A supplementation
       on diarrhea mortality, as well as outcomes related to pneumonia and measles. Based
       on 12 studies with data on diarrhea specific mortality, they estimate a pooled effect of
       ~30  percent reduction due to vitamin A supplementation (RR=0.70; CI: 0.58–0.86)
       among children 6–59 months of age (40). We incorporate this estimate in the
       susceptibility estimates using child-level DHS data on whether or not the child received
       a vitamin A dose.


       Susceptibility Index
       We calculate the scores for the susceptibility index individually for each child based on the
       combined relative risks of each of the three susceptibility factors (table J.5). The susceptibility
       index (SusIndexi) is designed to be proportional to the excess risk associated with all of the
       factors (J.1).

       (J.1)	   Susceptibility index:


                                      SSusIndexi =   ∏ ∑ RR
                                                      k
                                                                 j ,k   RiskFactori, j ,k
                                                          i, j



       Where RRj,k is the relative risk associated with the j th level of risk factor k. RiskFactori,j,k is the
       level of that risk factor for individual i. For vitamin A supplementation, there are only two levels
       (yes or no) and RiskFactori,j,k serves as a dummy variable. For the other risk factors, the levels
       are continuous. Susceptibility values are estimated for each child subpopulation using
       appropriate survey weights included in DHS datasets.


       Combined Risk Index
       Susceptibility (SusIndexi)and exposure risk (ExpIndexi) are combined into the overall risk index
       (RiskIndexi), which is simply the product of the two indexes (equation J.3). We calculated risk
       index scores individually for each child under five years of age and then aggregated into
       subpopulation estimates.


174	                                    Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
   Table J.5: Summary of Susceptibility Index Calculation
    7.2 Risk factor                Relative risk description                  Data source                    Calculation
   Underweight              Having a low WFA significantly           WFA is collected and          Relative risk for different
                            increases a child’s risk of dying        reported in the DHS.          categories are linearized to
                            from diarrheal disease. WFA is                                         create an individual value for
                            assessed on how far a child is                                         the child (from 1 to 12.5).
                            above or below the international
                            standard. The more standard
                            deviations below the average, the
                            greater the risk.
   Oral rehydration         Receiving timely rehydration can         DHS has information on        Based on the probability of
                            greatly reduce the mortality from        whether children receive      getting ORT and the relative
                            diarrheal disease (by 93%). The          ORT (PrORT) following         risk, ranging from 0.07 to 1.0.
                            relative risk of diarrheal mortality     diarrhea for some             1 - (PrORT x (1 - RR_ORT)).
                            for ORT is 0.07 (RR_ORT).                children. We estimate the
                                                                     probability of receiving
                                                                     ORT for all children using
                                                                     data from those that have
                                                                     it (adjusting for age, sex,
                                                                     wealth and region).
   Vitamin A                Receiving vitamin A                      DHS has information           Based on whether they
                            supplementation has been shown           on whether children           received vitamin A and its
                            to reduce the risk of diarrheal          have received vitamin A       protective effect. 1 - (vit_A x
                            mortality in children. The relative      supplementation (vit_A).      (1 - RR_vitA)).
                            risk is 0.72 (a 28% reduction)
                            (RR_vitA).
   Note: ORT = oral rehydration therapy; WFA = weight-for-age.




  (J.2)	    Risk index:

                                           RiskIndexi = ExpIndexi·SusIndexi


  Data Analyses
  Data on the distribution of diarrheal susceptibility and exposure risk factors come from
  available DHS surveys.1 Demographic and health surveys are implemented countrywide in
  middle- to low-income countries and survey a wide range of health and socioeconomic
  characteristics. Surveys are released with data on geographic locations, and include both
  household- and individual-level datasets. Households are selected using stratified sampling
  methods that require accounting for complex survey design.

  Density plots. These graphs show the distributions of variables of interest using probability
  densities. The area under each curve is equal to one, and represents the relative density of
  probability that a member of the wealth quintile has the corresponding value along the x-axis.

  Concentration curves. These graphs show the distributions of outcomes across a ranked
  cumulative fraction of the population—in this study, socioeconomic status. The x-axis shows
  the cumulative wealth fraction from the poorest percentiles on the left, to the entire population


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                175
       on right and shows the fraction of a given outcome (y-axis) associated with the population up
       to each cumulative wealth level. This is plotted against a 45-degree line of equity, in which the
       poorest 40 percent have 40 percent of outcomes, extending all the way up the wealth
       continuum. While they do not show actual coverage values for risk factors, they do highlight
       where disparities in risk factor coverage are most prominent.

       Scatterplot matrixes. The lower half of these figures show a series of pairwise x-y scatter
       plots showing the co-distribution of different WASH risk factors, population density, and
       indexes for both urban and rural children. The upper half shows two-dimensional contour
       plots of the pairwise co-distributions of variables and indexes from the WASH PRM. Many
       of the individual risk factors are categorical and therefore not easily represented. In these
       cases, scatters show the cluster-level proportions and means, rather than individual
       values.

       Poverty and economic status. Asset-based wealth and consumption metrics both reflect
       urban and rural poverty differently. The differences in both lifestyle and access to assets
       between urban and rural populations can be masked when wealth quintiles are calculated
       at a national level. Asset-based wealth metrics rely on individual goods (e.g., bicycles) or
       construction materials (e.g., thatch roofs), which have very different meaning and value in
       rural compared to urban settings. National quintiles can obscure the condition of the urban
       poor population, which is grouped into the third or fourth national quintiles. While their
       assets may group them into higher wealth quintiles, when compared to rural populations,
       they may not experience a higher standard of living equal to their higher ranking. Asset-
       based indexes (as are used in DHS to determine household wealth) result in rural
       households being grouped into the middle and lower national quintiles, while urban
       households are grouped into the middle and upper quintiles. Failing to account for urban
       and rural differences can obscure important underlying patterns between wealth and
       health. We computed national, urban, and rural wealth quintiles, and ranked urban and
       rural households separately by wealth quintiles. The categorization of quintiles for urban
       and rural populations is based on the distribution of the asset scores within the urban and
       rural populations, respectively, rather than the national distribution, thus they must not be
       interpreted as equivalent.

       Geospatial analyses. One of the key objectives of the WASH PRM is to show the geographic
       distribution and co-distribution of risk factors and impact. This includes mapping individual risk
       factors and cumulative measures (e.g., exposure, susceptibility, and risk indexes). Our maps
       identify regions that experience high levels of exposure, susceptibility, diarrheal risk, and other
       important outcomes. We show these outcomes at national and regional scales, and for
       different economic levels (bottom 40 percent [B40] and top 60 percent [T60]). Regional- and
       cluster-level average values are calculated using the appropriate DHS survey weights.

       We interpolated exposure, susceptibility, and risk indexes for the national-level maps, as well as
       for the B40 and T60. We calculated cluster-level averages of the three indexes. Using ARCGIS
       10.2.2, we utilized empirical Bayesian kriging to interpolate a high resolution (5 square kilometer)
       risk surface. Standard kriging approaches use a regression-type linear model to predict values
       at unmeasured locations on a surface using an average of values near the point in question.
       Empirical Bayesian kriging uses the underlying sample distribution to inform the model’s priors
       and covariance functions, whereas most other kriging measures assume underlying Gaussian
       distribution, which is often not the case in datasets. These high-resolution maps provide an
       initial rapid assessment of important trends in diarrheal disease-related factors.

       DALY burden of inadequate WASH. The WASH PRM estimates the distribution of child diarrhea
       and enteric infections due to inadequate WASH. The estimates also account for variability in
       child susceptibility through undernutrition or lack of medical care. These have been expressed
       as measures of the risk index. However, in this section these estimates are translated into the
       more commonly used measures of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), developed and used
       by the Global Burden of Disease project (GBD).


176	                                  Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  DALYs are a common health metric that combines both the years of life lost (YLL) due to a
  particular cause or risk factor as well as the years lived with disability. For diarrhea and enteric
  disease among children under five years of age, the vast majority (approximately 90 percent)
  of the DALY burden is due YLL due to premature mortality. A single DALY can be considered as
  one year of healthy life lost. As a summary measure that can be calculated across diverse
  causes or risk factors, including those that might cause death (such as road traffic accidents)
  or those that do not cause death but may cause chronic disability (e.g., back pain or trichiasis).
  As such, DALYs permit comparison between diverse health conditions and provide a useful
  summary statistic of disease burden for a given population.

  Here, we use DALYs to provide a summary estimate for the distribution of the enteric disease
  burden attributable to inadequate WASH by subpopulation groups. For this exercise, we use
  DALY estimates from the 2013 GBD, which are available online.

  Health burden causes are broken down in the GBD into different categories of communicable
  and noncommunicable diseases. Here we use the estimates for diarrheal disease (category
  A.2.1 from the GBD data portal website; and intestinal infectious diseases (category A.2.2
  from GBD data portal website). It is important to point out that this captures the burden of
  short-term morbidity and mortality, but does not account for any potential of enteric infections
  on undernutrition or long-term consequences.

  We start by translating the WASH PRM risk index into a DALY burden rate (DALYs per 100,000).
  The WASH risk index represents the relative excess risk associated with inadequate WASH, and
  the first step is to convert it into a measure of overall risk of diarrhea and enteric infections
  (and not just the excess due to poor WASH). This involves recalculating an overall exposure
  index that is not adjusted for the excess risk. This is done by using the original RR numbers
  from the literature and not subtracting 1 from the RR to create an excess RR. This has the
  effect of turning the exposure index (risk index) into a measure of the overall enteric disease
  risk, rather than just the portion attributable to inadequate WASH.

  The second step is to convert this revised enteric risk index into a DALY equivalent. We make
  the assumption that the relative distribution of the risk index is an appropriate estimate of the
  distribution of the DALY burden. Using the GBD estimate as our national burden envelope, we
  create a risk-burden multiplier using equation (J.4):

  (J.3)	   Risk-burden multiplier:

                                                   NatEnterDALY
                                        RBMult =
                                                    EntRiskIndi


  This establishes a ratio between risk index and DALY burden that maintains the national GBD
  burden estimate. We then use the multiplier to estimate an individual-level expected DALY
  burden for each child. These values can then the aggregated by geographic and economic
  subpopulations. See equations (J.5) and (J.6).

  (J.4)	   Total enteric DALY burden:

                                  EntDALYi = RBMult·EntRiskIndexi

  (J.6)	   Inadequate WASH-attributable enteric DALY burden:

                                 WASHDALYi = RBMult·WASHRiskIndi

  EntDALYi represents the burden for individual i from diarrheal and enteric infections based on
  the individual exposure and susceptibility variables. The sum of ENTDALYi over the population
  is the same as the GBD diarrheal and enteric infection burden. WASHDALYi represents the


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                    177
       portion of this burden associated with inadequate WASH service levels. As with the GBD
       burden, these individual estimates are rates expressed as DALYs per 100,000 children.

       These burden estimates for individual children are then aggregated to subpopulation levels
       (e.g., region, urban or rural residence, and wealth quintile) using survey statistics as above.
       The appropriately weighted means for the subpopulations represent the expected DALYs per
       100,000 children per year. For these measures, we focus on the distribution of the total enteric
       burden and burden associated with inadequate WASH.


       Note
       1.	 All statistical estimates presented and imputations were calculated and combined into
           the WASH PRM using complex survey design in STATA 14 (StatCorp LP    , College Station,
           TX). All data representations in plots were made in R statistical software using the
           ggplot2 package, authored by Hadley Wickham, and associated extensions (41). All maps
           were rendered in ArcGIS 10.22 (ESRI, Redlands, CA) using model outputs.


       References
       Caulfield, L. E., M. de Onis, M. Blössner, and R. E. Black. 2003. “Undernutrition as an Underlying
           Cause of Child Deaths Associated with Diarrhea, Pneumonia, Malaria, and Measles.”
           American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 80 (1): 193–8.

       Imdad, A., M. Y. Yakoob, C. Sudfeld, B. A. Haider, R. E. Black, and Z. A. Bhutta. 2011. “Impact
          of Vitamin A Supplementation on Infant and Childhood Mortality.” BMC Public Health
          11 (3): S20.

       Munos, M. K., C. L. F. Walker, and R. E. Black. 2010. “The Effect of Oral Rehydration Solution
          and Recommended Home Fluids on Diarrhoea Mortality.” International Journal of
          Epidemiology 39 (1): i75–i87.




178	                                 Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
  Appendix K
  WASH and Health: Distribution
  of Exposure and Susceptibility
  In urban and rural settings, exposure variables related to water supply, sanitation and hygiene
  (WASH) are strongly associated with economic status with a large disparity between the urban
  rich and poor. The richest households in Ethiopia have up to twice the access to improved
  water sources than the poorest, and are up to 20 percent more likely to report safe water
  treatment. The poorest 40 percent of households have an inequitable cumulative share
  (20 percent or less) of improved child stool disposal, improved sanitation, and safe water. In
  urban and rural settings, WASH-related exposure variables are strongly associated with
  economic status with a larger disparity between the urban rich and poor populations.

  Panels a–c of map K.1 show a scale spatial resolution map (at 5 square kilometers) of the
  exposure index value distribution across children under five nationally and by economic groups.
  Southern and central Ethiopia have the highest exposure indices across all three maps (>2.90).
  Central Ethiopia has the lowest exposure risk, which ranges from less than 2.70 among the
  T60 to between 2.70 and 2.90 among the poorest 40 percent of households. While panels a–c
  of map K.1 are based on the variables included in the exposure index, there are substantial
  disparities in other exposure-related variables not included in the index (e.g., hand washing,
  water treatment, and safe disposal of child fecal matter). Including these variables would result
  in greater disparities and heterogeneity.

  WASH exposure variables are associated with wealth and with each other. That is, poor
  households are more likely to have multiple WASH conditions that increase their exposures to
  enteric pathogens. Since poor households are often within poor communities, they are also
  more likely to be surrounded by poor sanitation conditions. For some risk factors, patterns
  differ greatly between urban and rural settings. In Ethiopia, higher proportions of urban
  households have access to improved water supply and sanitation than rural households; as a
  result, children in urban communities have a lower susceptibility than children from rural
  communities.

  Panels a–c of map K.2 are susceptibility index maps that have common features with the agro-
  ecological belts of Ethiopia. The country’s agro-ecological belts differ in rainfall, growing season,


       Map K.1: Exposure Index Values in Ethiopia for Populations of Children under
       Five, 2011


                 a. Overall                           b. B40                             c. T60

                                                                                                               Exposure index
                                                                                                                    < 2.70
                                                                                                                    2.70–2.80
                                                                                                                    2.80–2.90
                                                                                                                    2.90–3.00
                                                                                                                    > 3.00




  Source: DHS 2011.
  Note: Maps are at 5 km2 resolution. B40 = below 40 percent of wealth index; T60 = above 60 percent of wealth index.




Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                           179
            Map K.2: Susceptibility Index Values in Ethiopia for Populations of Children under
            Five, 2011


                       a. Overall                          b. B40                               c. T60

                                                                                                                      Susceptibility
                                                                                                                      index
                                                                                                                          < 1.3
                                                                                                                          1.30–1.80
                                                                                                                          1.80–2.30
                                                                                                                          2.30–2.80
                                                                                                                          2.80–3.30
                                                                                                                          > 3.30



       Source: DHS 2011.
       Note: Maps are at 5 km2 resolution. B40 = below 40 percent of wealth index; T60 = above 60 percent of wealth index.




       soils, and elevation. These factors may affect food availability, economic status, livelihood, and
       other factors. Areas with the highest child susceptibility index values are concentrated in
       the southeast and northeast, while the children with the lowest susceptibility index values are
       concentrated in the west in the overall map (panel a) and the T60 population (panel c). For the
       B40 children population, there are larger areas of the higher susceptibility index values (>2.30)
       in the north and south, and to a lesser extent in the center. In the T60 children, there is a large
       area with relatively higher (2.30–2.80) susceptibility index values in southeastern Ethiopia,
       and on the northeastern edge.

       Child susceptibility variables are associated with wealth and each other. That is, children in
       poor households are more likely to be underweight and have a lower probability of receiving
       ORT. In both urban and rural settings, children in poorer households are more vulnerable to the
       risks posed by poor WASH due to low nutrition and access to key health interventions (ORT and
       vitamin A). The urban rich have the lowest concentration of underweight children, in comparison
       to the urban poor and the rural rich and poor. Children in poor households are up to 2.7 times
       more likely to be underweight and five times more likely to be severely underweight. The B40
       has more than 45 percent of the cumulative share of being underweight in comparison to richer
       children. However, the upper wealth quintiles also have an inequitably higher share of
       underweight children.

       Children in the bottom 20 percent (B20) rural households are 1.3 times more likely to be
       underweight and 1.9 times more likely to be severely underweight than their B20 urban
       counterparts. Children in urban households have two to three times the probability of receiving
       ORT, as compared to rural children. There was not a large disparity in regards to preventative
       (vitamin A) services, but there was for curative (ORT treatment) services between urban and
       rural populations. Children in urban households have two to three times the probability of
       receiving ORT treatment, as compared to rural children.

       In general, susceptibility is negatively associated with wealth; the poorest and most vulnerable
       households are also more likely to live in communities with higher exposure risk, as set out in
       figure K.2, panels a–c. Children in poor households have higher exposure and susceptibility
       than children in rich households, with the B40 having approximately 50 percent of the
       cumulative share of the susceptibility and risk. Nationally, poorer children (B20 and B40) have
       approximately 1.5 to 3.6 times the risk than richer children (T20 and T40), and this pattern
       emerges at the community level. In general, children in rural populations have a higher risk
       than those in urban populations; poor rural children (B20 and B40) have 1.6 to 1.7 higher risk
       index values than poor (B20 and B40) urban children. The overall risk is concentrated among
       the riskiest children, even when setting is controlled for. There are likely other previously
       uncovered factors contributing to this pattern.


180	                                          Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
      Figure K.1: Distribution of Susceptibility Factors by Economic Level for Children under Five in Ethiopia, 2011


                         a. Mod. & sev. underweight   b. Severe underweight          c. Probability of ORT           d. Vitamin A coverage
                    60



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                                                                                                                                                  National
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          Percent




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          Percent




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  Source: DHS 2011.
  Note: Children who are >2 standard deviations less than the global mean weight-for-age (WFA) for their age are considered underweight. Children who
  are >3 standard deviations less than the average WFA are considered severely underweight. ORT = oral rehydration therapy.




  DALY Burden of Inadequate WASH in Ethiopia
  In Ethiopia, the national enteric burden associated with inadequate WASH is 11,135 DALYs /
  100,000 children per year, which is approximately 75 percent of the Global Burden of Disease
  (GBD) enteric burden estimated for the country. Panels a–c of figure K.2 show the calculated
  total enteric burden rate divided into the fraction associated with having inadequate WASH and
  burden rates unrelated to WASH by wealth quintile for national, rural, and urban populations of
  children under five. It is important to clarify aspects of what is meant by associated and unrelated
  to inadequate WASH. First, some enteric infections are not preventable with improved WASH.


Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity	                                                                                        181
              Figure K.2: WASH-Related DALY Enteric Burden for Children under Five in
              Ethiopia, 2011


                                                 a. National                    b. Rural                      c. Urban
                                      20,000




           DALYs / 100,000 children
                                      15,000


                                      10,000


                                       5,000


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                                               Wealth quintile              Wealth quintile                Wealth quintile
                                                     Total enteric burden   Inadequate WASH        Unrelated to WASH


       Source: DHS 2011.
       Note: DALY = disability-adjusted life year; WASH = water supply, sanitation, and hygiene.




       For example, almost all children under five experience rotavirus infection, but improvements in
       WASH do not prevent the infection. These are unrelated to inadequate WASH in that they would
       not be prevented with improvements. Second, the DALY burden associated with inadequate
       WASH here accounts for both the level exposure due to inadequate WASH and children
       susceptibility due to other factors. That is, the DALY burden associated with inadequate in a
       particular subpopulation reflects both exposure and susceptibility in that subpopulation. Child
       susceptibility (e.g., undernutrition and likelihood of ORT) affects both the WASH associated and
       the unrelated burden.

       The health burden of inadequate WASH is disproportionately borne by poorer children and
       those in vulnerable geographic areas. Nationally, the WASH enteric burden for the poorest
       quintile is about three times greater than the enteric burden for the richest quintile. WASH-
       related enteric burden is lower within urban than in rural populations, but the disparities in both
       are equivalent. Burden for the poorest rural communities is 1.8 as high as the burden for the
       richest, and in urban communities the burden is 5.4 times higher for the richest than the
       poorest. The highest burden associated with inadequate WASH among the poor households is
       due to a conjuncture of vulnerabilities. They are less likely to have good WASH services, and
       those who do not are also more likely to be undernourished and without access to care. Child
       health vulnerabilities magnify the effects of inadequate WASH among poor populations.

       It should be noted that this analysis, like the underlying GBD estimates, accounts for the
       impact of inadequate WASH on acute morbidity and mortality from enteric infections. It does
       not account for the effect these infections may have on undernutrition and its chronic sequelae.
       The findings in this report on the relative quality of WASH service in Ethiopia suggest that the
       estimates of disease burden are the lower bound and actual WASH-related disease burden is
       likely to be higher.




182	                                                       Maintaining the Momentum while Addressing Service Quality and Equity
W17027