Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient & Sustainable City Bus Services (P132418) Efficient & Sustainable City Bus Services (P132418) SOUTH ASIA | India | Transport Global Practice | Global Environment Project | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 12 | ARCHIVED on 17-Jun-2020 | ISR42080 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Urban Development, Department of Economic Affairs Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 09-Dec-2014 Effectiveness Date: 29-Aug-2016 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 28-Aug-2017 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 28-Aug-2017 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2018 Revised Closing Date: 30-Sep-2020 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project's Global Environment Objective (GEO) is to improve the efficiency and attractiveness of city bus transport and reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the demonstration cities. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: National Capacity Building for Urban Bus Sector:(Cost $2.93 M) Component 2A: City Demonstration Projects: Physical Improvements:(Cost $76.76 M) Component 2B: City Demonstration Projects : Technical Assistance and Capacity Building:(Cost $1.59 M) Project Management Cost:(Cost $0.88 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The progress on the project continues, with capacity building component technical assistance activities progressing, depot modernization subcomponent complete in all four cities and ITS / MIS implementation complete in Bhopal and Mira Bhayandar and ongoing in Chandigarh. Breakdown rates have shown improvement in Chandigarh and Mira Bhayandar, fuel efficiency and ridership improvements are becoming evident in all cities. 6/17/2020 Page 1 of 6 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient & Sustainable City Bus Services (P132418) mpaTable Multiphase Programmatic Approach (MPA) Status mpaTableBody Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Low Low Sector Strategies and Policies -- Moderate Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Low Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Moderate Moderate Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall -- Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Reduce GHG in Demo cities by improving efficiency and attractiveness of city bus transport. IN00851686 ►Reduction in GHG emissions in project cities over a period of 10 years as a result of adoption of modernisation initiatives from the Business as Usual (BAU) scenario (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,094,430.00 0.00 0.00 170,000.00 Date 09-Jul-2014 31-Jul-2019 29-Feb-2020 31-Dec-2019 Reduction estimates for project against baseline Business as Usual (BAU) scenario under development by MoHUA PMU for period of 10 years Comments: IN00851687 ►Rate of breakdowns to not exceed 5/10,000 kms (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Bhopal:4.2; Bhopal: 5.69; Bhopal: ; Chandigarh: Chandigarh:6.6; Chandigarh: 1.17; Jaipur: Value 0.71; Jaipur: 5.16; Mira All demo cities Jaipur:7.38; Mira 10.70; Mira Bhayandar: Bhayandar: 4.14 Bhayandar:7.5 0.61 6/17/2020 Page 2 of 6 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient & Sustainable City Bus Services (P132418) Date 09-Jul-2014 30-Sep-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 Breakdown rates for Chandigarh and Mira Bhayandar well within threshold but marginally exceeding in Jaipur owing to aging fleet. With proper usage of depot equipment, improvements are expected in all Comments: cities. Bhopal data for Feb 2020 not available, breakdown rate at 6 per 10,000km in Dec 2019 IN00851688 ►Improvement in bus fuel efficiency in demo cities by at least 12% relative to business as usual (Annual Average in overall fleet - Bhopal: 3.2; Chandigarh:3.4; Jaipur:2.76; Mira Bhayandar:2.8) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Bhopal - 3.2; Chandigarh Bhopal - 3.7; Chandigarh Bhopal - ; Chandigarh Value - 3.4; Jaipur - 2.76; Mira- - 3.65; Jaipur - 2.98; 4.04; Jaipur 3.17; 12% Bhayander - 2.8 Mira-Bhayander - 2.6 Mira-Bhayander 2.71 Date 09-Jul-2014 30-Sep-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 Bhopal KMPL Dec 2019 - 4.3 Estimated fuel efficiency improvement across four demo cities - 10%. Finetuning of BAU estimates Comments: ongoing. IN00851689 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Bhopal – 131,000; Bhopal – ; Chandigarh Chandigarh – 139,000; – 143,000; Jaipur – Value 100% 110% Jaipur – 159,000; Mira- 149,000; Mira- Bhayander – 35,000 Bhayander – 40,000 Date 31-Aug-2016 30-Nov-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 Bhopal Dec 2019 – 128,400 Estimated ridership improvement across four demo cities is 23% pre-COViD. Finetuning of BAU estimates ongoing. Comments: However, its important to note that with the pandemic impacts on public transport, trends suggest that ridership will remain at low levels and may take upto a year to normalise. As such, meeting the target might pose challenges. IN00851690 Female beneficiaries (Ridership) (Text, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Bhopal:39%; Chandigarh To be surveyed end of 3% increase relative to Value : 28%; Jaipur : 39%; Mira 0.00 project BAU Bhayandar : 43% IN00851691 ►Improvement in women's user satisfaction on a scale of 0-5, as compared to their current calculated index (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Bhopal:3.56; Bhopal - 3.93; Chandigarh: 3.51; Chandigarh - 3.59; Jaipur Value To be surveyed EoP Two cities Jaipur:3.07; Mira - 3.21; MIra-Bhayander - Bhayandar:2.42 3.56 Date 09-Jul-2014 15-Sep-2017 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 IN00851692 ►Improvement in Overall user satisfaction compared to their current calculated index (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Bhopal - 3.36 Bhopal - 3.68 Chandigarh - 3.59 Chandigarh - 3.63 Jaipur Value To be surveyed EoP At least in 2 cities. Jaipur - 3.44 - 3.22 Mira-Bhayander - Mira-Bhayander - 2.62 3.64 6/17/2020 Page 3 of 6 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient & Sustainable City Bus Services (P132418) Date 09-Jul-2014 15-Sep-2017 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components National Capacity Building for Urban Bus Sector IN00851693 ►Policy notes and recommendations developed for sustainable city bus transportation and deliberations at national and state level initiated. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target At least five workshops for One focus Group discussion and Value Under review One FGD held Discussion held deliberation held at national and state level. Date 09-Jul-2014 31-Jul-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 IN00851697 ►City bus operators trained in / exposed to best practices in low-carbon programs including improved fuel efficiency techniques (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 20.00 21.00 33.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 31-Jul-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 City Demonstration Projects - Physical Improvements IN00851694 ►Modern depot equipment installed in all project cities (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target In Bhopal, Chandigarh, Mira Bhayandar and Equipment installed Equipment installed Modern equipment not in Jaipur supply, installation Value and functioning in all and functioning in all place and commissioning cities. cities substantially complete and functioning. Date 09-Jul-2014 29-Nov-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 IN00851695 ►Increased use of ITS and MIS data and tools in operations planning and management (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target ITS/MIS systems live in Mira Bhayander and ITS/MIS system pilots Limited use of Bhopal. Under complete in 2 cities and ITS systems functional Value ITS/Manual systems for development in procurement complete in in all project cities. data reporting in place Chandigarh. Jaipur not 1 city. implementing ITS/MIS system. Date 09-Jul-2014 29-Nov-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 City Demonstration Projects - Technical Assistance & Capacity Building IN00851696 ►More efficient and user responsive bus service plans prepared and adopted in demo cities (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/17/2020 Page 4 of 6 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient & Sustainable City Bus Services (P132418) Service plans in place Scientifically prepared Service plans in place in Service plans partially in in Bhopal. Service service plans Value Bhopal. Service Plan place Plan study ongoing for developed and used in study ongoing for 2 cities. 2 cities. 2 demo cities Date 09-Jul-2014 30-Sep-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 IN00851698 ►Demo cities have institutional systems in place for monitoring and evaluation of bus fuel efficiency program (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Partially in place in Jaipur and Bhopal. In Partially in place in Jaipur Chandigarh separate and Bhopal. In team has been put in Institutional systems in Not in place; partially in Chandigarh separate place for managing the Value place and functioning Bhopal team has been put in fuel efficiency in at least 2 cities. place for managing the program. Mira fuel efficiency program Bhayander to commence fuel efficiency program. Date 09-Jul-2014 31-Jul-2019 29-Feb-2020 30-Sep-2020 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P132418 TF-18577 Effective USD 9.20 9.20 0.00 5.86 3.34 64% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P132418 TF-18577 Effective 31-May-2016 31-May-2016 29-Aug-2016 31-Dec-2018 30-Sep-2020 Cumulative Disbursements 6/17/2020 Page 5 of 6 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient & Sustainable City Bus Services (P132418) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 02-Nov-2018 ,Level 2 Approved on 28-Dec-2018 ,Level 2 Approved on 30-Sep-2019 ,Level 2 Approved on 24-Dec-2019 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/17/2020 Page 6 of 6