The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) REPORT NO.: RES34145 RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF ALAT AND KARAKUL WATER SUPPLY PROJECT APPROVED ON DECEMBER 13, 2012 TO REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN WATER EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA Regional Vice President: Cyril E Muller Country Director: Lilia Burunciuc Senior Global Practice Director: Jennifer Sara Practice Manager/Manager: David Michaud Task Team Leader: David Malcolm Lord, Bakyt Arystanov The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS IDA International Development Association IP Implementation Progress PCU Project Coordination Unit PDO Project Development Objective PMFM Practice Manager, Financial Management SECO Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs WFAFO World Bank Group Finance and Accounting, Financial Operations The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) BASIC DATA Product Information Project ID Financing Instrument P118197 Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Current EA Category Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Approval Date Current Closing Date 13-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2019 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency BUKHARA REGIONAL PRODUCTION ENTERPRISE Republic of Uzbekistan SUVOKOVA Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The project development objective (PDO) is to improve the coverage, quality and efficiency of public water supply service in the two districts of Alat and Karakul in the Bukhara region. The objective will be achieved through the rehabilitation and expansion of water production, transmission and distribution infrastructure in urban and rural areas. OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO Summary Status of Financing Net Ln/Cr/Tf Approval Signing Effectiveness Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed IDA-51890 13-Dec-2012 18-Jul-2013 13-Feb-2014 30-Jun-2019 82.00 32.56 41.54 Policy Waiver(s) Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)? No The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) I. PROJECT STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING 1. The project was approved by the Board on December 13, 2012 with an IDA commitments of US$82 million equivalent supporting four components: (A) Improvement of Water Supply Infrastructure; (B) Institutional Strengthening and Capacity Building; (C) Studies for Future Investments; and (D) Project Management. The project became effective in February 2014, fourteen months after approval, delayed due in part to lengthy internal Government procedures required for signing and fulfilling effectiveness conditions. 2. The first Level 2 project restructuring was approved in November 2017 and included an extension of the closing date by 18 months, until June 30, 2019, and reallocation between disbursement categories. Since restructuring, further changes in procurement regulations coupled with persistent Government co-financing delays have had negative effects on overall project progress. 3. The IP rating is currently Moderately Unsatisfactory. Around 85% of the project IDA financing is committed with eight out of nine large civil works packages contracted and in progress. Total disbursements are at around US$32.2 million (or 43 percent of total IDA credits). The undisbursed balance remains high, at around US$42.0 million or 57 percent of the total proceeds. This reflects the large number of civil works contracts to be completed before the current closing date of June 30, 2019. The current total physical progress of civil works is estimated at around 40 percent. Out of nine signed civil works contracts, two contracts are nearing completion, two contracts are progressing well, and four contracts are still at an early stage. Two packages are facing challenges: (i) AK/W/01 for rehabilitation of water treatment plant Dvoinik, which has seen limited progress due in part to delays in payment of Government counterpart financing, and (ii) AK/W/08R for construction of distribution network in southern part of Karakul district, which has experienced prolonged delays in procurement, although contract award is now scheduled for November 2018. 4. Key institutional strengthening activities under Component B, which provide support to the State Unitary Enterprise of Bukhara Region (Suvokova) are progressing well. An Operational and Performance Improvement Action Plan (OPIAP) is under implementation. Key activities include capacity building and training for the utility staff in operational and commercial areas including monitoring information systems and communications. SECO's co-financing for technical assistance to provide further institutional support to Bukhara Suvokova, which will commence in early 2019, will help to further improve sustainability of investments and more generally the quality of services across the region. 5. Component C, which supports the preparation of feasibility studies for the development of wastewater management solutions in the project area, has been completed. The Sanitation Investment Proposal was prepared and presented to the stakeholders in late February 2018 and finalized on April 11, 2018. 6. Progress towards achievement of PDO is currently rated Moderately Unsatisfactory. While indicators related to the quality and efficiency of service delivery are on track to be substantially achieved, it is projected that the target value for coverage is unlikely to achieved by the current project closing date, due to above mentioned implementation delays. The project was designed to reach 232,000 people in Alat and Karakul districts who will directly benefit from water supply investments, as reflected in revised/original PDO indicators below and Annex 1, PAD. 7. The responsible agency has overdue entity audit reports for 2017 due to delayed procurement and implementation of auditing services. However, audited project financial statements were submitted to the Bank on October 10, 2018. The Government authorities were notified of this issue and potential remedial actions in the Bank’s Management Letter dated September 7, 2018. Following this, a time bound action plan for completing the auditing activities was prepared, jointly by the implementing entities and the auditor, and submitted to the Bank. The auditing activities are in progress and as per the action plan schedule, the audited entity financial statements for the year ending The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) December 31, 2017 are to be submitted before the end of December 2018. PMFM and WFAFO manager clearance has been obtained to proceed with restructuring notwithstanding overdue audits. II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES 8. This restructuring package is part of broader portfolio improvement plan covering on-going water sector projects in Uzbekistan, which has proposed a combination of cancellations, extensions and changes in disbursement percentages under projects in order to improve implementation progress. The proposed action plan will help to address the situation of three on-going water and sanitation projects that were heavily impacted by frequent changes in procurement regulations, institutions and authorizing environment since 2017, and is expected to bring the overall portfolio to satisfactory status. 9. The proposed restructuring includes an extension of the closing date by 12 months, until June 30, 2020, or a cumulative extension since the original project of 30 months. Additionally, the Government has requested to increase the percentage of remaining expenditures to 100 percent from the IDA resources to resolve co-financing issue in project implementation, to which the Bank has agreed. These adjustments will allow full utilization of IDA funds, free-up budgetary resources for redeployment to other priority programs within the sector and enable sufficient time to complete on-going works. The increase in financing percentage is proposed to be effective from the date of the Government's request, i.e., September 10, 2018. 10. The requested adjustment will be complemented by a course of other actions agreed with the Government required for remedy of the situation. These actions include enhanced supervision and contract management to ensure timeliness for completion of on-going civil works, a remedial action plans for financial and safeguards management, strengthening the PCU capacity, commitment to contract all remaining activities under the project prior to December 31, 2018 and other measures discussed and communicated during the mission in June 2018. 11. Given the proposed changes and commitment of the Government to implement remedial actions, the task team believes the PDO is likely to be substantially achieved by the proposed project closing date. III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Results Framework ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Disbursement Estimates ✔ Implementation Schedule ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ DDO Status ✔ Project's Development Objectives ✔ Components and Cost ✔ The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) Cancellations Proposed ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Overall Risk Rating ✔ Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ EA category ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Institutional Arrangements ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ Economic and Financial Analysis ✔ Technical Analysis ✔ Social Analysis ✔ Environmental Analysis ✔ IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_LOANCLOSING_TABLE LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Original Revised Proposed Proposed Deadline Ln/Cr/Tf Status Closing Closing(s) Closing for Withdrawal Applications IDA-51890 Effective 31-Dec-2017 30-Jun-2019 30-Jun-2020 30-Oct-2020 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_REALLOCATION _TABLE REALLOCATION BETWEEN DISBURSEMENT CATEGORIES Financing % Current Allocation Actuals + Committed Proposed Allocation (Type Total) Current Proposed IDA-51890-001 | Currency: XDR iLap Category Sequence No: 1 Current Expenditure Category: WORKS 42,290,000.00 16,347,508.46 42,290,000.00 69.20 100.00 The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) iLap Category Sequence No: 2 Current Expenditure Category: GOODS 3,210,000.00 394,311.42 3,210,000.00 69.20 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 3 Current Expenditure Category: CS incl AUD, TR, IOC 7,700,000.00 4,559,179.43 7,700,000.00 100.00 100.00 Total 53,200,000.00 21,300,999.31 53,200,000.00 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_DISBURSEMENT_TABLE DISBURSEMENT ESTIMATES Change in Disbursement Estimates Yes Year Current Proposed 2013 917,826.00 0.00 2014 4,547,310.00 120,000.00 2015 7,299,312.00 630,000.00 2016 11,462,042.00 4,335,387.61 2017 16,676,914.00 11,862,050.72 2018 17,296,424.00 11,947,271.00 2019 16,667,976.00 20,957,529.82 2020 7,132,196.00 24,000,000.00 . The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) . Results framework COUNTRY: Uzbekistan Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project Project Development Objectives(s) The project development objective (PDO) is to improve the coverage, quality and efficiency of public water supply service in the two districts of Alat and Karakul in the Bukhara region. The objective will be achieved through the rehabilitation and expansion of water production, transmission and distribution infrastructure in urban and rural areas. Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Improved coverage of public water supply service in the districts of Alat and Karakul (Action: This Objective is New) Direct project 40,456.00 40,456.00 40,456.00 59,500.00 125,600.00 125,600.00 125,600.00 125,600.00 232,000.00 beneficiaries (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Female beneficiaries 50.68 50.68 50.68 50.65 50.68 50.70 50.70 50.70 50.70 (Percentage) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been changed to reflect project extension. Revised Improved quality of public water supply service in the districts of Alat and Karakul (Action: This Objective is New) Percentage of regulatory water 53.00 98.00 samples meeting The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 potable quality standards (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been revised to reflect project extension. has been Revised Percentage of regulatory water samples meeting 53.00 53.00 53.00 53.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 potable quality standards in Alat District (Percentage) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been revised to reflect project extension. Revised Percentage of regulatory water samples meeting potable quality 57.00 57.00 57.00 57.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 standards for Karakul District (Percentage) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been revised to reflect project extension. Revised Improved efficiency of public water supply service in the districts of Alat and Karakul (Action: This Objective is New) Bill collection ratio 46.00 80.00 (Percentage) The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Bill Collection Ratio - 46.00 60.00 65.00 70.00 75.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 Alat (Percentage) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been changed to reflect project extension. Revised Bill Collection Ratio - Karakul 58.00 60.00 65.00 70.00 75.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 85.00 (Percentage) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been changed to reflect project extension. Revised Reliability of water 4.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 supply service (Hours) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised PDO Table SPACE The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Component A: Improvement of Water Supply Infrastructure (Action: This Component is New) New piped household water connections that are resulting from the 0.00 0.00 0.00 3,500.00 15,700.00 35,400.00 35,400.00 35,400.00 35,400.00 project intervention (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Piped household water connections that are benefiting from 0.00 0.00 0.00 3,700.00 7,400.00 7,400.00 7,400.00 7,400.00 7,400.00 rehabilitation works undertaken by the project (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Number of connections with operating water 0.00 0.00 0.00 11,000.00 23,200.00 42,900.00 42,900.00 42,900.00 42,900.00 meters (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Number of breakage 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 per km of water The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 transmission mains (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Number of breakage per km of water 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.20 0.80 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 distribution networks (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Component B: Institutional Strengthening and Capacity Building (Action: This Component is New) BVK Cash Working 1.57 0.90 Ratio (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised BVK Cash Working Ratio - Alat 0.90 1.00 1.00 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 (Number) The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been changed to reflect project extension. Revised BVK Cash Working Ratio - Karakul 1.18 1.00 1.00 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 (Number) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been changed to reflect project extension. Revised Percent of households for whom water is a 85.00 20.00 priority problem (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Percent of households for whom water is a 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 50.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 priority problem - Alat (Percentage) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been changed to reflect project extension. Revised Percent of households for 85.00 85.00 85.00 185.00 50.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 whom water is a The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 priority problem - Karakul (Percentage) Action: This Rationale: indicator has been End date has been changed to reflect project closing date. Revised Number of water utilities that the project 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 is supporting (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Number of BVK staff recruited, and trained for Alat and Karakul 0.00 1.00 water supply service needs (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised Non revenue water 51.00 40.00 35.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project closing date. has been Revised The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 BVK Participation in IBNET for water and 0.00 1.00 sanitation utilities (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End date has been changed to reflect project extension. has been Revised IO Table SPACE The World Bank Alat and Karakul Water Supply Project (P118197)