Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: PAD4020 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROJECT PAPER ON A PROPOSED ADDITIONAL CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 7.7 MILLION (US$10.5 MILLION EQUIVALENT) AND PROPOSED ADDITIONAL GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 7.7 MILLION (US$10.5 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC FOR THE CASA1000-COMMUNITY SUPPORT PROJECT (COVID-19 RESPONSE) July 10, 2020 Social Global Practice Europe and Central Asia Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. Official Use CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective May 31, 2020) Currency Unit = US$ SDR 0.729 = US$ 1 US$ 1.372 = SDR 1 FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 Official Use ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AA Aiyl Aimak (sub-district) M&E Monitoring and Evaluation AF Additional Financing MDTF Multi-Donor Trust Fund AO Aiyl Okmotu (sub-district MIS Management Information System administration) MoH Ministry of Health ARIS Community Development and NPV Net Present Value Investment Agency O&M Operations and Maintenance BAU Business-as-usual RPF Resettlement Policy Framework BFM Beneficiary Feedback Mechanism PDO Project Development Objective CASA1000 Central Asia South Asia Electricity POM Project Operations Manual Transmission and Trade Project SPM Subprojects Manual CASA1000-CSP CASA1000 Community Support Project SRWSSDP Sustainable Rural Water Supply and CDD Community Driven Development Sanitation Development Project CERC Contingent Emergency Response STEP Systematic Tracking of Exchanges in Component Procurement CESA Community Engagement and Social US$ US Dollar Accountability VIP Village Investment Project CLBP Community Livelihoods Business Partners VIP3 Third Village Investment Project CVIA Community Village Investment WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene Association CoI Corridor of Impact CSP Community Support Project EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework ESMP Environmental and Social Management Plan FAP First Aid Point FM Financial Management GoK Government of the Kyrgyz Republic GRS Grievance Redress System (WB) ICT Information Communication Technologies IDA International Development Association IFR Unaudited Interim Financial Report KfW German Bank for Reconstruction Km Kilometer L4Y-CSP Livelihoods for Youth Community Support Project LDS Local Development Strategy LSP Livelihoods Support Program Official Use Central Asia CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic TABLE OF CONTENTS I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING ................................................ 7 A. Country and Sector Context ..................................................................................................................7 B. Project Design and Progress..................................................................................................................8 C. Rationale for Additional Financing ......................................................................................................9 II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING ......................................................................... 11 A. Key Changes under the Additional Financing ..................................................................................11 B. Changes to Project Components and Activities ..............................................................................12 C. Changes to the Results Framework ...................................................................................................17 D. Changes to the Project Closing Date .................................................................................................18 E. Changes to the Implementation Arrangements ..............................................................................18 F. Alignment with Government and World Bank Strategies .............................................................18 III. KEY RISKS....................................................................................................................... 18 IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY..................................................................................................... 19 A. Economic and Financial........................................................................................................................19 B. Technical .................................................................................................................................................20 C. Financial Management.........................................................................................................................21 D. Procurement ..........................................................................................................................................21 E. Social (including Safeguards) ..............................................................................................................23 F. Environment (including Safeguards) .................................................................................................27 V. WORLD BANK GRIEVANCE REDRESS...................................................................................... 28 VI. SUMMARY TABLE OF CHANGES ........................................................................................ 29 VII. DETAILED CHANGES ........................................................................................................ 29 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) BASIC INFORMATION – PARENT (CASA1000 Community Support Project - Kyrgyz Republic - P163592) Country Product Line Team Leader(s) Central Asia IBRD/IDA Janelle Plummer Project ID Financing Instrument Resp CC Req CC Practice Area (Lead) P163592 Investment Project SCASO (9359) ECCCA (1608) Social Financing Implementing Agency: Community Development and Investment Agency ADD_FIN_TBL1 Is this a regionally tagged Country (ies) project? Yes Kyrgyz Republic Bank/IFC Collaboration No Expected Original Environmental Approval Date Closing Date Guarantee Current EA Category Assessment Category Expiration Date 10-Apr-2018 30-Jun-2023 Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Financing & Implementation Modalities Parent [ ] Multiphase Programmatic Approach [MPA] [ ] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Performance-Based Conditions (PBCs) [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a Non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) [ ] Hands-on, Enhanced Implementation Support (HEIS) Page 1 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) Development Objective(s) To engage communities in the development of social and economic infrastructure in order to enhance services, livelihoods and inclusion in target villages near the CASA1000 Transmission Line. Ratings (from Parent ISR) RATING_DRAFT_YES Implementation 20-Jul-2018 23-Jan-2019 25-Jul-2019 29-Jan-2020 Progress towards achievement of PDO S MS MS MS Overall Implementation S MS MS MS Progress (IP) Overall Safeguards Rating S S S S Overall Risk S S S S BASIC INFORMATION – ADDITIONAL FINANCING (CASA1000 Community Support Project COVID-19 Additional Financing - Kyrgyz Republic - P174285) ADDFIN_TABLE Urgent Need or Capacity Project ID Project Name Additional Financing Type Constraints P174285 CASA1000 Community Cost Overrun Yes Support Project COVID-19 Additional Financing - Kyrgyz Republic Financing instrument Product line Approval Date Investment Project IBRD/IDA 30-Jul-2020 Financing Projected Date of Full Bank/IFC Collaboration Disbursement 30-Apr-2025 No Is this a regionally tagged project? Country (ies) Page 2 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) Yes Kyrgyz Republic Financing & Implementation Modalities Child [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Performance-Based Conditions (PBCs) [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a Non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [✓] Responding to Natural or Man-made disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) [ ] Hands-on, Enhanced Implementation Support (HEIS) [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) Disbursement Summary (from Parent ISR) Net Source of Funds Total Disbursed Remaining Balance Disbursed Commitments IBRD % IDA 10.00 0.50 9.15 5.2 % Grants 1.00 1.00 0% PROJECT FINANCING DATA – ADDITIONAL FINANCING (CASA1000 Community Support Project COVID-19 Additional Financing - Kyrgyz Republic - P174285) PROJECT FINANCING DATA (US$, Millions) SUMMARY -NewFi n1 SUMMARY (Total Financing) Proposed Additional Total Proposed Current Financing Financing Financing Total Project Cost 11.00 21.00 32.00 Total Financing 11.00 21.00 32.00 of which IBRD/IDA 10.00 21.00 31.00 Financing Gap 0.00 0.00 0.00 Page 3 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) DETAILS - Additional Financing NewFinEnh1 World Bank Group Financing International Development Association (IDA) 21.00 IDA Credit 10.50 IDA Grant 10.50 IDA Resources (in US$, Millions) Credit Amount Grant Amount Guarantee Amount Total Amount Kyrgyz Republic 10.50 10.50 0.00 21.00 National PBA 3.50 3.50 0.00 7.00 Regional 7.00 7.00 0.00 14.00 Total 10.50 10.50 0.00 21.00 COMPLIANCE Policy Does the project depart from the CPF in content or in other significant respects? [ ] Yes [ ✔ ] No Does the project require any other Policy waiver(s)? [ ✔ ] Yes [ ] No Explanation This AF project received a waiver for the exceptional use of safeguards procedures with the COVID-19 specific risk considerations. Has the waiver(s) been endorsed or approved by Bank Management? Approved by Management [✔] Endorsed by Management for Board Approval [ ] No [ ] Explanation The waiver was approved on 26 June 2020 according to the procedures established for this purpose. Page 4 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) INSTITUTIONAL DATA Practice Area (Lead) Social Contributing Practice Areas Climate Change and Disaster Screening This operation has been screened for short and long-term climate change and disaster risks PROJECT TEAM Bank Staff Name Role Specialization Unit Team Leader (ADM Janelle Plummer SCASO Responsible) Audrey Sacks Team Leader SCASO Procurement Specialist (ADM Irina Goncharova EECRU Responsible) Financial Management Garik Sergeyan EECG1 Specialist (ADM Responsible) Environmental Specialist (ADM John Bryant Collier Environmental Safeguards SCAEN Responsible) Social Specialist (ADM Mohamed Ghani Razaak Social Safeguards SCASO Responsible) Aimonchok Tashieva Social Specialist Social Safeguards SAES3 Andrianirina Michel Eric Team Member WFACS Ranjeva Damira Temirbaeva Team Member SCASO German Stanislavovich Team Member Environmental Safeguards SCAEN Kust Ma Dessirie Kalinski Team Member Disbursement WFACS Michelle Paola Rebosio Team Member IEGEC Calderon Nazgul Albanova Team Member Financial Management EECG1 Page 5 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) Svetlana K. Sharipova Team Member Social Safeguards SCAUR Extended Team Name Title Organization Location Page 6 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING A. Country and Sector Context 1. The Kyrgyz Republic, a landlocked, mountainous country, is one of the poorest countries in the Europe and Central Asia region. The only parliamentary democracy in the Central Asia region, the Kyrgyz Republic shares borders with Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, China and Kazakhstan. Since gaining independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, the country has experienced considerable political turbulence, accompanied by economic and social fragility. In the south, the country’s territory and borders are intertwined, and include Tajik and Uzbek enclaves; throughout the Fergana Valley area, Kyrgyz, Tajik and Uzbek ethnic groups cultures and languages are living side by side, struggling with limited livelihood opportunities and deteriorating basic services. Winter energy shortages and year-round water scarcity exacerbate the development challenges in an area that is already fragile and has a history of conflict. 2. As a part of the effort by the Government of the Kyrgyz Republic (GoK) to improve access to services, and specifically to address the lack of reliable access to electricity for household and productive use, the Kyrgyz Republic joined the Central Asia South Asia Electricity Transmission and Trade Project (CASA1000), which aims to establish the commercial and institutional arrangements and the construction of transmission infrastructure to trade roughly 1,300 megawatts of electricity from the Kyrgyz Republic and Tajikistan to Afghanistan and Pakistan during the summer months when there is a surplus of electricity resources. The CASA1000 transmission line starts at Datka in Jalal-Abad in the south of the Kyrgyz Republic, traverses east to the Khujand converter station in Tajikistan, travels south into Afghanistan, before crossing into Pakistan near Peshawar. The project impacts thousands of communities and broader populations in these four countries. As this high-voltage CASA1000 transmission line will not directly provide electricity to the communities it passes, a multi-country Community Support Project (CSP) was included in the CASA1000 project design. 1 These CSPs 2 are planned for all four participating Central Asia and South Asia countries as benefit-sharing mechanisms for the people potentially affected by the development of an electricity trade and transmission line project.3 3. The Kyrgyz Republic portion of CASA1000 is a 450 km transmission line extending from Jalal-Abad oblast, through Osh oblast, to Batken oblast where it crosses the border with Tajikistan. The 3 km-wide “Corridor of Impact” (CoI) surrounding the transmission line follows the Kyrgyz-Uzbek and Kyrgyz-Tajik border in the Fergana Valley, and includes communities in 87 villages in 42 Aiyl Aimaks (AAs, subdistricts) through a narrow band of territory in Jalal-Abad, Osh and Batken Oblasts. Under the CASA1000 Community Support Project (CASA1000-CSP) in the Kyrgyz Republic, villages, many of which are economically and socially vulnerable, will be supported with improved electricity, improved social facilities (such as first aid points, kindergartens, village roads improvements), and with livelihoods facilities to support youth employment (such as greenhouses or workshops). This investment in community infrastructure under the CASA1000 overall initiative aims to address social risk, and build ownership in the transmission line, by benefitting communities in the corridor directly. The CASA1000-CSP in the Kyrgyz Republic was approved by the Board of Executive Directors in April 2018, with financing of IDA US$10.0 million 1 The regional CASA1000 included the CSP as Component C. 2 Afghanistan CASA1000 Community Support Project (P149410); Kyrgyz Republic CASA1000 Community Support Project (P163592); Pakistan CASA1000 Community Support Project (P151075); and Tajikistan CASA1000 Community Support Project (P165313) 3 In addition, the CSPs will help establish the channel through which CASA1000 will deliver a longer term benefits-sharing mechanism that has been agreed among the four governments, whereby a portion of project revenue from each unit of energy exported/imported during the commercial phase of CASA1000 will be allocated for community development Project Appraisal Document, Central Asia South Asia Electricity Transmission and Trade Project. (CASA1000), March 7, 2014, p. 48. Page 7 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) and US$1.0 million MDTF.4 Due to regional funding constraints at the time, regional IDA financing was limited to US$3.33 million (with US$6.67 national) and the areas targeted for support were limited to those villages within the Corridor of Impact. While this funding and targeting ensures that the people physically affected will directly benefit from the CASA1000-CSP, this target area is more limited than is necessary to address the socio-political risk in the south of the country. 4. The community-driven development (CDD) approach is relatively well established in the Kyrgyz Republic. The GoK has long recognized the need to address the lack of services, socioeconomic exclusion, and disempowerment of communities in rural villages through a series of investments that are responsive to differentiated local needs and opportunities across the country. For nearly a decade, the World Bank and KfW have supported a Village Investment Project (VIP) in three phases, with the dual objectives of empowering communities and making locally-relevant infrastructure investments. An institution for the delivery of CDD projects, the Community Development and Investment Agency (ARIS), was established in 2003 specifically to address this need to invest in rural communities, and has implemented community-based projects in approximately 455 AAs in rural and peri-urban areas, where almost 70 percent of poor households live.5 Since 2008, support to local self-governments has led to greater responsibility and accountability towards local populations, and local administrations (Aiyl Okmotus (AOs)) have been supported to work closely with communities on local development initiatives. 6 However, despite efforts to strengthen the AO role in village investment, fiscal transfers to AOs are extremely limited and the capacity for accountable and transparent decision making and financial management is still limited. B. Project Design and Progress 5. World Bank support for the development of social and economic infrastructure in villages near the CASA1000 transmission line, delivered through the CASA1000 Community Support Project, focuses on the enhancement of the services, livelihoods, and inclusion of the people living in 77 villages that lie within the CoI in Jalal-Abad, Osh, and Batken Oblasts. The project was approved by the World Bank Board of Executive Directors on April 10, 2018, in the amount of US$11.0 million (US$5.0 million equivalent IDA Credit 6219-KG, US$5.0 million equivalent IDA Grant D294 and US$1.0 million CASA1000 MDTF) and, after a delay in signing and ratification, became effective on February 3, 2020. 6. The Project Development Objective (PDO) of the CASA1000-CSP is to engage communities in the development of social and economic infrastructure in order to enhance services, livelihoods, and inclusion in target villages near the CASA1000 transmission line. 7. This Project Paper seeks approval from the Executive Directors to provide an IDA grant of US$10.5 million and an IDA credit of US$10.5 million equivalent as Additional Financing to the CASA1000 Community Support Project. The Additional Financing (AF) will expand the coverage of the project to all AAs in the oblasts of Jalal-Abad, Osh, and Batken to support: (i) social infrastructure and services with health-related and livelihoods- related outcomes (Subcomponent 1B); (ii) the reestablishment of livelihoods for the most vulnerable communities (Subcomponents 1C and 2C); (iii) the scale-up of community mobilization (Subcomponent 2A); and (iv) the 4 Central Asia South Asia Electricity Transmission CASA-1000) Community Support Project Multi-Donor Trust Fund (Grant No. TF0A6612). 5 National Statistics Office. 2018. Integrated Households Survey, Kyrgyz Republic. 6 Local Self-Government responsibilities include ensuring economic development through adopting development strategies, collecting local taxes, managing local budgets, managing municipal property, ensuring O&M of public facilities and infrastructure and planning and land use administration. Page 8 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) strengthening of project management and coordination as necessary for the effective implementation of the project. This Project Paper also seeks approval for restructuring the parent CASA1000-CSP operation as follows: (i) a slight modification to the PDO to reflect the expanded target area; (ii) revision to the Results Framework to increase targets; and (iii) the addition of a Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC). 8. Since the project became effective in February 2020, just prior to the outbreak of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, ARIS has fully staffed the national project team, completed the Project Operations Manual (POM), physically identified the villages to be included in the parent CoI project, and completed the implementation plan to align with the construction of the CASA1000 transmission line. Following the outbreak of COVID-19, a number of COVID-19-related activities have been launched to support the target population, including subgrants for personal protective equipment and support for Ministry of Health (MOH) communications materials. Since effectiveness, progress toward achievement of the PDO and overall implementation have been rated Satisfactory, with the following objectives and activities undertaken to date in the project components. • Component 1: Support for Community-led Investments in Social and Economic Infrastructure (parent project US$8.95 million). Through investments in small social and economic infrastructure, communities will have access to improved social and economic infrastructure for poverty reduction, enhanced livelihoods, and youth development. The project has not disbursed under Component 1. • Component 2: Support for Community Mobilization, Youth Engagement and Communications (parent project US$1.30 million). Component 2 supports the activities needed to ensure that the above investments are decided by communities, are responsive to the needs of all community members, and youth are actively engaged. Villages to be financed by the parent project have been selected and verified through field visits and GPS location. The community mobilization, youth engagement, capacity building, and communications currently envisaged under this component in the CoI are planned to be completed by the current project closing date. In April 2020, ARIS started the procurement of personal protective equipment as requested by the MOH to address the needs of the AAs in the target areas. • Component 3: Project Management, and Monitoring and Evaluation (parent project: US$0.75 million). Component 3 finances the incremental costs of ARIS for project management, including coordination and supervision of the implementation, managing the budget, project audits, a feedback system, and procurement. It funds a dedicated project management team (including experts in community mobilization, capacity building, engineering, project management, procurement, and FM) conducting activities according to the POM. The component also supports all monitoring and evaluation (M&E) for the project. To date, ARIS has included all project management, FM, and procurement procedures in the POM, and started project management activities as anticipated. C. Rationale for Additional Financing 9. The AF aims to expand the coverage area of the CASA1000-CSP project activities to support communities in all Aiyl Aimaks in the three southern oblasts through which the transmission line passes. The AF enables the CASA1000-CSP to expand within target oblasts, in a far weaker economic context than in 2018 when the parent project was approved, thereby addressing the increased social and political risks of the CASA1000 transmission line. To create more resilient and stable communities in this region, the AF will include: (i) support for livelihoods development; (ii) support for social infrastructure that improves access to local health care or enables vital investments that support livelihoods; and (iii) the associated technical assistance, capacity building, and project management. Page 9 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) 10. The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to undermine the livelihoods of the rural poor, especially in the south of the country. Real GDP growth in the Kyrgyz Republic is projected to fall from 4.5 percent to 0.5 percent in 2020. Poor households are expected to suffer from the impact of rising food prices, loss of labor income, and reduced remittances. In particular, the country’s pandemic-containment measures, which included lockdowns and limitations on wheat exports, are expected to significantly lower incomes: almost 8 in 10 of those in the bottom 20 percent (in terms of income) are employed in highly impacted sectors (agriculture, trade and construction). Early models of the poverty impact of the economic contraction (with varying assumptions for the rate of inflation, decrease in income in high and moderate risk sectors, loss of agricultural income, and drop in remittances) project that poverty could increase by 5.9-22.45 percentage points over the current rate of 22.4 percent, potentially pushing an additional 384,000 to 1.5 million people into poverty.7 Most of the rural poor in the Kyrgyz Republic are in the informal sector and thus outside formal social safety nets, increasing the importance of community- driven mechanisms as a means of delivering assistance, mitigating the economic impacts of the pandemic on the rural poor and ensuring that assistance is aligned with the priorities of rural communities. 11. It is anticipated that the economic downturn will disproportionately impact young people, women, and marginalized groups. Epidemics tend to magnify existing patterns of social and spatial disadvantage. Youth (12 percent of whom are not in employment, education or training) are likely to be hit hard by unemployment and the loss of livelihoods, with the risk of deepening patterns of apathy and exclusion, increased distrust in government, and amplified social risks and unrest. Women are likely to experience greater gaps in endowments, economic opportunity and agency as they take on more carer-roles; given the prevalence of unpaid work or work in the informal sector, they run a higher risk of being left out of social assistance programs. Asset ownership by women in the Kyrgyz Republic is also low (80 percent of land is registered in men’s names) limiting an avenue of resilience. Social disparities in the Kyrgyz Republic are thus likely to widen as a result of the crisis. 12. Remittances are a critical source of income, especially in the south of the country, but are projected to decline sharply due to the COVID-19 pandemic, hurting the rural poor in the target oblasts. The Kyrgyz Republic is the second most remittance-dependent country in the world: more than one-fifth of the population works in neighboring countries, mostly Russia and Kazakhstan, sending home remittances equivalent to 28 percent of GDP in 2019. Remittances are expected to drop significantly due to the economic downturn in Russia, which has seen oil prices drop sharply and has the world’s third highest coronavirus caseload. This fall in remittances is expected to deepen poverty and push migrant households into poverty: a simulation of the impact on poverty from a 30 percent drop in remittances forecasts that over 32,000 households could be pushed into poverty.8 13. The oblasts through which the CASA1000 transmission line passes, are likely to experience the most significant effects from the economic downturn. The simulation mentioned above highlights that the impact of remittances on poverty will be disproportionately felt in Jalal-Abad, Osh, and Batken oblasts, affecting about 28,000 households.9 This is likely to exacerbate the existing patterns of social inequity and vulnerability, as well as ongoing unemployment and underemployment in the CASA1000-CSP target oblasts. The parent project was designed to ensure fair and transparent methods for allocating resources. Community mobilization activities will engage multi‐ethnic communities and vulnerable community members (including youth, migrant returnees, women, and minority groups) in decision making, with attention paid to social cohesion in these areas with a propensity for conflict. However, the footprint of the Kyrgyz Republic parent project is limited to villages within 7 World Bank. April 16, 2020. Kyrgyz Republic COVID-19 Poverty and Vulnerability Impacts. Internal presentation. Poverty and Equity GP. 8 Ibid. 9 Ibid. Page 10 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) the CoI, a narrower band when compared with Tajikistan and Afghanistan, which extends the coverage more broadly to address the potential risks of the CASA1000 transmission line.10 14. The AF in Kyrgyz Republic is timely. The socio-political risks associated with the construction of the transmission line starting in 2020 are likely to coincide with the social and political risks created by COVID-19 in the three affected oblasts where there is substantial movement of people and goods, both within and across the intertwined borders and enclaves of Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. The AF will enable a broadening of the CASA1000 benefit sharing in these densely populated oblasts where the economic downturn will be experienced and any discontent would likely emerge. 15. Uniquely, the CASA1000-CSPs in the four CASA countries, together provide an opportunity for cross border coordination of the local-level COVID-19 response. The CASA Secretariat and MDTF donors have confirmed interest in delivering a visible COVID-19 response through the CASA1000-CSPs, and the response in the Kyrgyz Republic was shaped by learning from the adaptations being made in Afghanistan. In addition to the benefits the project will bring to youth engagement and community stability, the AF will also sharpen the focus on climate benefits and energy efficiency. Eighty percent of the facilities and infrastructure will be required to have climate co-benefits, climate change awareness building will be included in the community mobilization process, and climate change focal points will be appointed in each village. The project will share with the other CASA1000-CSPs its efforts to engage communities in climate change tracking. The overall design of the CASA1000-CSP AF strengthens the benefit sharing established for the CASA1000 project and extends the community-driven development approach envisaged throughout the oblasts where the transmission line is located. The AF will directly improve economic opportunities and enhance access to primary health care and hygiene in villages without services. It will also empower thousands of vulnerable women, youth, migrants, the elderly, and the disabled, to engage actively in project activities that help reestablish their livelihoods and make vital improvements in village infrastructure, within the higher risk context created by the COVID-19 pandemic. II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING A. Key Changes under the Additional Financing 16. The Project Development Objective will be revised to expand the target area of the project, but remains the same in all other respects. The PDO will be to engage communities in the development of social and economic infrastructure in order to enhance services, livelihoods, and inclusion in target oblasts near the CASA1000 Transmission Line. 17. The project coverage will be expanded. The target areas in Jalalabad, Osh and Batken Oblasts will increase from 42 AAs to approximately 187 AAs to cover all rural AAs in the oblasts in the south through which the CASA1000 transmission line passes. 18. Activities will be scaled up and focused on livelihoods development and health-related needs, specifically: • Subcomponent 1A (Support for Electricity Improvements) – no changes are anticipated. 10The Tajikistan CSP covers the border areas and includes a specific component focused on conflict areas, all essential to address socio- political risks. The Tajikistan CSP was approved with financing of US$16.0 million regional IDA and US$8.0 million national IDA. Page 11 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) • Subcomponent 1B (Support for Social Infrastructure and Services) will enable communities in the additional target areas to select priority social investments that enhance access to health care, or facilities that indirectly support livelihoods development. • Subcomponent 1C (Support for Livelihoods in selected AAs) will be significantly expanded to support the development of livelihoods for vulnerable women and men. • Subcomponents 2A (Community Mobilization) and Component 3 (Project Management and Monitoring and Evaluation) will be scaled-up to support Component 1 and 2 investments and will be adapted to the post-COVID-19 requirements for greater resilience of project implementation. • Subcomponent 2B (Communications) – no changes are anticipated. • Subcomponent 2C (Livelihoods Support Program). A subcomponent will be added to ensure that Subcomponent 1C investments in livelihoods are supported by the technical assistance needed to connect vulnerable groups to viable opportunities and to sustain their efforts. 19. The Results Framework will be revised to reflect the expansion in coverage, and to enhance the tracking of livelihoods-related investments. 20. The AF project closing date will be December 31, 2024. The closing date of the parent IDA credit and grant financing will remain as June 30, 2023. B. Changes to Project Components and Activities Component 1: Support for Community-led Investments in Social and Economic Infrastructure (Parent project US$8.95 million; AF US$16.50 million) 21. The AF will enable significant scaling-up of the investments under Component 1. An additional US$16.50 million will be allocated to this component to support an additional 145 AAs, approximately, with health-related and livelihoods-related investments in Osh, Jalalabad, and Batken Oblasts. Subgrant distribution to AAs for investments in Subcomponents 1B and 1C will follow the same principles and methodology as for the parent project, taking account of the AA population, poverty and remoteness and any specific exposure to shocks (such as natural hazards or COVID-19). Subgrants to each AA will average about US$100,000 to enable all rural AAs to benefit from Component 1 financing. Implementation of the AF will occur over three cycles (approximately 50 AAs will be supported in each cycle), with the AAs most affected by the COVID-19 crisis and the poorest AAs being supported earlier in the project. The project will provide technical assistance for and track the climate-co-benefits of every subproject, irrespective of size. 22. The overall Component 1 allocation to villages in the 42 AAs identified for support in the parent will not be changed, in order to maintain a concentration of support along the transmission line CoI. Subcomponent 1A: Support for electricity improvements within target villages. No changes are anticipated. Subcomponent 1B: Support for social infrastructure and services in target villages 23. Subcomponent 1B finances priority social infrastructure and services subprojects selected through the project’s participatory decision-making process (supported under Subcomponent 2A). Given post COVID-19 needs, it is anticipated that the subprojects selected in the additional 145 AAs, will support mostly health-related Page 12 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) outcomes such as FAPs, family medical centers, and/or water, sanitation, and hygiene- (WASH)-related needs.11 Communities may also prioritize subprojects that would underpin their efforts to reestablish livelihoods, such as childcare facilities that enable women to work, water supply needed for productive and household use, or to enhance their resilience to future shocks, including those caused by climate change. Village electricity improvements will also be eligible under Subcomponent 1B, if prioritized by communities, and required to ensure functionality of social subprojects.12 The budget for Subcomponent 1B will be combined with Subcomponent 1C to enable local flexibility and community decision making. It is anticipated that Subcomponent 1B investments will be small (less than US$40,000) although the number of AAs that would opt for these facilities will not be known until community mobilization, capacity building and prioritization is complete. To ensure that decision- making processes are including and benefitting women, the AF project will track the proportion of subprojects prioritized by women’s focus groups that are selected as the final priority for investment at each stage. To ensure climate co-benefits, the designs (and construction processes) for social infrastructure and facilities will meet the energy efficiency and climate-related requirements defined in the POM. As in the parent project, climate change focal points will build climate awareness of users of facilities, in addition to other functions set out in Subcomponent 2A. A climate co-benefit indicator will measure investments that support climate mitigation or adaptation (with a target of 80 percent for both the parent project and AF).13 A negative list, sustainability and coordination requirements will be detailed in the POM and Subprojects Manual (SPM). Subcomponent 1C: Support for livelihoods facilities in selected Aiyl Aimaks 24. To address the severe lack of economic opportunity and loss of livelihoods caused by the COVID-19 crisis and economic downturn, Subcomponent 1C will be expanded to enhance the development of productive livelihoods. It will support the reestablishment or establishment of value chains that are identified as economically viable by investing in the rehabilitation or construction of economic infrastructure/livelihoods facilities, linked to the program of support for livelihoods provided under Subcomponent 2C. This will enable vulnerable women and men, especially those affected by the COVID-19 or other emergencies, to establish/reestablish their livelihoods. 25. As planned under the parent project, Subcomponent 1C will thus expand support for the development of livelihoods-related facilities identified in Component 2. While the exact types of livelihoods subprojects will vary to suit local opportunities, value chains that might require investment in these small-scale facilities include: (i) agricultural production and processing, and supporting sectors such as transport services; 14 (ii) crafts and garment production; (iii) digital and new service sectors (including, for instance, recycling or other environmental enterprises); and (iv) new COVID-19-response products and services. It is thus likely that these livelihoods facilities would include refrigerated storage facilities, fruit and vegetable greenhouses and warehouses, small-scale manufacturing or fruit processing plants, machinery workshops, craft workshops, and multi-purpose work centers. The subcomponent is expected to finance at least one facility per AA. Given the likely subgrant distribution across 145 additional AAs, facilities are likely to cost from US$20,000 to US$130,000 (average US$50,000). It is anticipated that about 2,000 vulnerable people would have their livelihoods supported through the expansion or establishment of the businesses in the identified value chains. 11 In Jalal-Abad and Osh oblasts, WASH investments will be coordinated with the Sustainable Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Development Project (SRWSSDP), including to utilize informational materials and supplement SRWSSDP investments. 12 As for the parent project, any proposed electricity investments will be limited to village-level improvements (transformers, lines, poles). 13 The design of all subprojects (health facilities, kindergartens, road repairs) will either use standard designs approved for their resilience or will be provided with technical assistance for this purpose – i.e. all kindergartens, FAPs, and livelihoods facilities would be seismic proof, with energy-efficient heating, cladding, roofing, and windows/doors. 14 New irrigation canals will not be financed; rehabilitation of canals will be eligible for repairs that reduce losses and rectify other faults. Page 13 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) 26. The selection and prioritization of livelihoods facilities subprojects will follow similar procedures to those planned for the CASA1000-CSP and Livelihoods for Youth CSP (L4Y-CSP) projects, balancing the need for community decision-making with the information and advice provided by market experts. After the value chain analysis and action plans are completed, Community Livelihoods Business Partners (CLBPs), local businesswomen or men with legally-registered businesses with a track record, will apply to partner with communities and AOs to develop livelihoods subprojects that support viable value chains. CLBPs will be selected by the communities (through community-based organizations called Community Village Investment Associations (CVIAs)) (see paragraph 29) who will work together with value-chain experts. The CLBPs will be selected competitively based on a set of criteria, including: (i) a business plan linked to a locally-viable value chain; (ii) their own investment contribution (e.g. equipment, produce, materials); (iii) the number and timing of jobs in the facilities generated for local communities; (iv) the number of jobs generated for women; (v) the package of in-kind support offered to help vulnerable men and women to join the value chain in a self-employed status; and (vi) climate co-benefits. Under this arrangement, CLBPs will not receive subgrants. CLBPs will partner with CVIAs and AOs to plan, develop, and bring to operationalization, the livelihoods facilities that are funded and procured under the project. 27. To adhere to established CASA1000-CSP procedures, the procurement of subprojects and payments to contractors, suppliers and/or consultants will be carried out directly by ARIS, and on completion, facilities will be handed over by ARIS to the relevant CVIA or AO, and placed on the AO balance sheet. Under the terms of their lease, the CLBPs will pay rent to either CVIAs or AOs at the market value, or provide direct support to vulnerable men and women to produce products and services within the same value chain. Roles, responsibilities and obligations of these small-scale public-private partnerships, and the procurement and O&M procedures (including energy efficiency and other climate-related requirements) concerning the livelihoods facilities will be described in the POM and SPM. The livelihoods facilities subprojects will also receive technical assistance through the project to ensure climate change adaptation.15 Component 2: Support for Community Mobilization, Youth Engagement and Communications (Parent project US$1.30 million; AF US$3.00 million) Subcomponent 2A: Support for community mobilization, social accountability, and youth engagement 28. Community mobilization, social accountability and youth engagement activities financed under Subcomponent 2A will be expanded to the additional AAs to ensure that Component 1 investments in social and economic infrastructure are prioritized by communities and respond to the needs of all community members. In the AF, this subcomponent will also finance similar activities to those planned under the CASA1000-CSP and its associated grant,16 tailoring the mobilization, capacity building and youth engagement to the COVID-19 context and the focus on livelihoods development. The roles of youth as leaders of the CDD process and energy ambassadors, as included in the parent project, will be rolled-out under the AF to ensure that selected youth 17are appointed and trained to become community focal points for climate change (to conduct climate mitigation and adaptation awareness-raising campaigns, provide information on relevant technologies, and promote behavior change in the community). During the COVID-19 and other emergencies, these roles will be expanded (to support isolated people at risk, distribute personal protective equipment, and lead just-in-time feedback). To address 15 Technical assistance will be provided to ensure that investments in livelihoods facilities ensure appropriate climate co-benefits; no livelihoods facilities will use coal. The project will fund environmental expertise within ARIS to support this and the parent project on climate change. 16 The CASA1000 MDTF finances a US$1.0 million Community Engagement and Social Accountability (CESA) grant to enhance Component 2. 17 The POM describes the roles and responsibilities of village climate change ambassadors. This group will be mostly women drawn from the teaching cadre in schools and kindergartens in target villages. Page 14 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) vulnerabilities through this community-based response, emphasis will be placed on mobilization approaches that are inclusive of vulnerable groups (e.g. young women, marginalized young men, elderly and disabled). Vulnerability mapping and procedures to ensure inclusion of those not normally reached (outreach to women’s groups, mobile/SMS notifications, WhatsApp groups, and tailored activities in border and enclave areas) will be set out in the updated POM. 29. The primary community-level vehicle for this mobilization and decision-making will be Community Village Investment Associations (CVIAs) described above; 50 percent of CVIA membership are required to be women.18 Support for mobilizing and establishing 145 CVIAs will be included in this subcomponent, as will the support for community awareness building on livelihoods, COVID-19-related issues and needs, climate change adaptation and mitigation, and the capacity building of community representatives and groups. The formation, composition, registration and other procedures for the CVIAs will be finalized after Appraisal and be included in the SPM. 30. In response to COVID-19, the AF will broaden and deepen community mobilization and engagement in villages in the target areas. Subcomponent 2A activities will optimize the potential, and enhance the resilience of community engagement in relation to CASA1000 and in the COVID-19 context, strengthen monitoring systems and establish local to national linkages. The activities will establish a two-way information and community feedback mechanism that blends traditional media and scales up the use of civic technology. This will include: (i) up-to-date messaging on the project and official messaging on COVID-19 and other emergencies as needed; (ii) a reliable and accessible feedback mechanism for communities to communicate gaps in services and functions; (iii) a process for engaging directly in decision-making (e.g. on village priorities, construction start dates and isolation requirements); (iv) a mechanism for community monitoring (including those related to COVID-19 and project results); and (v) locally-relevant communications materials, traditional and social media (radio, TV, telephone social media campaigns), and distance learning materials to build the skills of facilitators. ARIS has already established an online platform (link) (see paragraph 61). Activities carried out under this subcomponent will ensure that all 187 target AAs are fully connected and actively using a more robust approach for outreach and feedback, that ARIS responds in a timely manner, and that adjustments are made to improve effectiveness and outreach to vulnerable groups. Subcomponent 2B: Communications No changes are anticipated. Subcomponent 2C: Livelihoods Support Program for target communities 31. To address the lack of access to economic opportunities, a new subcomponent will finance a Livelihoods Support Program (LSP) in the expanded target areas to help vulnerable community members establish or reestablish their livelihoods. Under the parent project, a livelihoods-related support program is provided, for the CoI AAs by the parallel Livelihoods for Youth (L4Y-CSP) project (P165286).19 Following the L4Y-CSP approach, this new sub-component of the AF project will respond to the local market/needs and value chain assessments requested by communities under Component 1. Qualified local economic research firms20 will work with target communities to identify opportunities, assess markets and capacities, and formulate value chain action plans. They will also build the capacity of communities and CVIAs to understand the potential of local livelihoods options 18 50 percent of CVIA members are required to be women. 19 Financed by a US$2.73 million grant from the Japan Social Development Fund. 20 Carried out by an experienced economic research firm, quantitative and qualitative analyses and primary data collation will include local market value chain and national value chain analyses to identify gaps that can be filled locally, as well as the analyses of community capacities and skills that could meet market demands. Page 15 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) and activities supported under the project. The assessments and value chain action plans will provide a framework for decision-making on the revitalization of existing and new enterprises, and investments in the markets, products and sectors required in a post COVID-19 environment.21 32. The subcomponent will also support the development of selected beneficiaries’ skills, including business and technical skills needed to implement business ideas (such as food processing, craft production, printing) and soft skills (such as planning, problem-solving and communications).22 This skills development will rely on hands- on coaching and mentoring for microenterprise incubation and development for at least 12 months. All training, mentoring and coaching will also be tailored to support women to become successful microentrepreneurs (such as women mentors as role models, curriculums developed for women, and logistics that recognize time constraints) and will include support for climate-awareness, including specifically supporting social enterprises that aim to reduce local carbon footprints (e.g. recycling enterprises, solar panel sales and repair) and managing risk. The training of livelihoods coaches will be a critical element of the LSP, which is locally-tailored to suit locally viable value chains. This integrated approach to livelihoods support will be based on best practice and experience in the Kyrgyz Republic. Procedures will be outlined in the revisions to the POM and SPM. The subcomponent will be implemented by ARIS (hiring private sector development experts with business skills) to ensure that beneficiaries are supported with the intensive coaching and mentoring needed. An estimated 4,000 microentrepreneurs would be supported in the target oblasts. 33. Eligible beneficiaries and beneficiary selection. The LSP will target vulnerable members of the community, defined as: (i) extremely poor; (ii) disabled; (iii) unemployed elderly of working age; (iv) unemployed women; (v) members of large households; (vi) single female-headed households; (vii) youth-at-risk; (viii) households susceptible to climate change risk. At least 50 percent of beneficiaries will be women. The project will support a transparent process of identifying and selecting beneficiaries in the poorest target villages, to join the LSP at the outset. This will include gender-sensitive vulnerable household mapping (including identifying those most affected by COVID-19), a call for proposals/expressions of interest and outreach to eligible beneficiaries, and assistance with applications. This LSP (and the associated investments in Subcomponent 1C) will be rolled out across the 145 participating AAs in three stages. Component 3: Project Management and M&E (Parent project US$0.75 million; AF US$1.50 million) 34. The AF will help strengthen project management and M&E under Component 3 to implement the expanded scope under Components 1 and 2. Accordingly, Component 3 will be increased by US$1.50 million. The ARIS project team will be strengthened by hiring additional consultants for the following functions: community mobilization, social accountability, livelihoods, engineers, environmental and social safeguards, environmental sustainability and climate change, and communications/IT. Livelihoods technical assistance is included in subcomponent 2C. The scale up of the project across the expanded target areas, will be supported by an enhanced management information system (MIS) that will track the indicators set out in the Results Framework and key outputs defined in the POM. MIS procedures, which will support ARIS capacity development in this area, will be set out in the POM. Capacity building of ARIS staff and other local stakeholders in climate change adaptation and mitigation, and the social dimensions of climate change, will be launched and applied to the parent project as well as this AF. Additional funds for operating costs will also be provided for project management and M&E with an 21 To ensure rapid response to the loss of livelihoods, these assessments will start as soon as possible and be financed as preparation for the community subgrants. 22 It will also help vulnerable women and men address personal challenges that affect their businesses (such as linking women to domestic violence support, or overcoming family constraints to entrepreneurship). Page 16 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) incremental allowance for the rapid response. Given its scope, the AF will coordinate closely with the Enhancing Resilience in the Kyrgyz Republic projects (P162635 and P172761) and Sustainable Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Development Project (SRWSSDP) (P154778) as well as the Third Village Investment Project (VIP3) (P146970). Component 4: Contingent Emergency Response Component (~US$0) 35. The AF will include a Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC), which in the event of an urgent need for assistance in response to an eligible crisis or emergency, will enable the GoK to reallocate project funds to response efforts. In light of the COVID-19 outbreak, this provisional zero component is designed as a mechanism that will allow for rapid access to project funds for a Kyrgyz Republic response and recovery to crisis. Activities would be targeted to mitigate and respond to the socioeconomic impacts of the crisis. To trigger this component, the government would need to declare an emergency or provide a statement of facts justifying the request for activation of the use of the emergency funding. If the Bank agrees with the determination of an eligible emergency and associated response needs, financing from other project components could be reallocated to cover eligible expenditures. The CERC would be implemented in accordance with the Bank’s Policy on Investment Project Financing, Projects in Situations of Urgent Need of Assistance or Capacity Constraints. A specific annex to the POM will apply to this component, detailing the FM, procurement, safeguards, eligible expenditures, and any other necessary implementation arrangements. C. Changes to the Results Framework 36. The Results Framework has been revised as follows: (a) PDO1, PDO2, PDO3, PDO4, IO2, IO4, IO6, and IO8 have been revised to extend the end date for all AF target areas. (b) PDO5 and PDO6 have been moved to the intermediate level (IO15 and IO14, respectively). IO14 has also been revised to improve measurability and enable gender disaggregation (percentage of beneficiaries in target communities who report that youth engagement activities were effective in supporting the community). (c) IO1, IO3, IO5 and IO7 have not changed, but will only apply in the CoI. (d) IO2 has been replaced to measure women’s voice and agency in communities (the percentage of subproject investments which were prioritized in women's groups). (e) IO4 has been revised to measure the percentage of target communities effectively completing the agreed community mobilization and social accountability processes. (f) IO8, a target has been added to measure climate adaptation and mitigation (previously TBC). (g) IO9 has been added to measure the number of women able to earn additional income as a result of project investments. (h) IO10 has been added to measure whether livelihoods facilities support the reestablishment of livelihoods (percentage of project beneficiaries reporting that village investments in livelihoods facilities supported the reestablishment of livelihoods. (i) IO11 has been added to measure whether social infrastructure supports post-COVID-19 needs (percentage of project beneficiaries reporting that investments in social infrastructure supported post COVID-19 needs). Page 17 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) (j) IO12 has been added to track the scale up of livelihoods capacity building in AF target areas (percentage of target AAs in which the Livelihoods Support Program is implemented). (k) IO13 has been added to measure ARIS’ progress in establishing a functioning MIS (percentage of agreed data/information uploaded in the management information system (MIS) according to the procedures). D. Changes to the Project Closing Date 37. The project closing date for the AF will be December 31, 2024. The closing date of the parent credit and grant financing, however, will remain as June 30, 2023. E. Changes to the Implementation Arrangements 38. The implementation arrangements remain the same as for the parent project.23 To ensure that the AF provides a rapid response, the ARIS team will be structured to deliver quickly in both the CoI and in COVID-19- affected areas. ARIS has prepared an organizational strategy that identifies blockages and puts in places staffing, systems and procedures that will enable quicker implementation. F. Alignment with Government and World Bank Strategies 39. The project is aligned with World Bank Group strategic priorities, particularly the mission to end extreme poverty and boost shared prosperity. The WBG remains committed to providing a fast and flexible response to the COVID-19 epidemic, utilizing all of its operational and policy instruments and working in close partnership with the GoK and other agencies. The WBG response to COVID-19 has aligned with GoK COVID-19 priorities, and includes emergency financing, policy advice, and technical assistance. This AF is one of a number that build on existing instruments to help address the health sector, livelihoods, and the broader development impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. The project is also aligned with the WBG’s Country Partnership Framework for 2019-22 for the Kyrgyz Republic,24 which includes a strong commitment to human capital development and building resilience, particularly among vulnerable women and men, and the development of livelihoods. In line with corporate mandates, the project prioritizes the engagement of citizens in implementation, meets gender targets for analysis, activities, and monitoring; and contributes to global and regional commitments to support and scale up climate action, and increase the climate-related share of development financing. III. KEY RISKS 40. The overall risk rating of the AF is assessed as Moderate after mitigation (compared with Substantial risk of the parent project at approval). The macroeconomic risk, while affected by COVID-19 and in particular a significant change in the level of remittances, is considered to have a Moderate risk on the project. Political and governance risks are Substantial due, not only to concerns regarding corruption in the public sector, but also given the project focus in the border areas. The project will tailor mobilization, dialogue and capacity building with communities and AOs in these areas, and step up communications to address conflict risk directly. When compared with the project risks at approval, there have been significant changes in the sector, institutional and technical risks since the parent project was approved in 2018. At that time, the implementing agency, ARIS, was 23 Component 2 activities in the CoI target areas in the parent project also rely on parallel grants to the Aga Khan Foundation from the CASA1000 MDTF and the Japan Social Development Fund. 24 Report No. 130399-KG, discussed by the Board on November 13, 2018. Page 18 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) emerging from significant management difficulties. The agency has stabilized in the intervening period and is working successfully on four Bank-financed projects. In addition, the levels of interdependence with national and regional energy authorities are lightened, and the project simplified, in the AF project. ARIS has a capable technical, environmental and safeguards team that has proactively developed a COVID-19 reporting and contingency plan and has developed strategies for enhancing livelihoods development and speed of implementation. Accordingly, the risk ratings for institutional capacity for implementation and sustainability risk, stakeholder and safeguards risk ratings are now Moderate. 41. The fiduciary risk is Substantial, as at approval. The residual FM risk is Moderate, as a significant proportion of the project funds will be utilized for subgrants to communities, mitigated through close monitoring by the World Bank of the subgrant implementation and community oversight, in particular, the eligibility and selection process of beneficiaries, and the flow of funds and controls over it, will be described in the SPM, the adoption of which, under terms and conditions acceptable to the Bank, is a disbursement condition for Component 1. Additionally, the internal audit function of ARIS will ensure reviews of the flow of funds and control over the subgrants; the project external auditor will conduct a transaction review of sample subgrants. Procurement-related risks concern systemic weaknesses in: (i) procurement capacity at the national and AO level; (ii) accountability of procurement decisions; (iii) potential risk of delays due to complex procurement processes; and (iv) procurement planning and contract management. Procurement risks are therefore Substantial and will be mitigated through close monitoring by the World Bank, ARIS oversight, external audits, as well as community oversight. The AF will expand the building of procurement capacity at the community level, training of project staff on Bank Procurement Regulations, and establishment of a contract monitoring mechanism. Other risks, including the uncertainties associated with the global environment in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic pose a Substantial risk, especially as the country remains vulnerable to external shocks affecting commodity prices and construction costs, and a second wave of COVID-19 could further disrupt implementation. The project has already started to develop more resilient procedures for community mobilization and capacity building, that can be employed should another emergency occur. IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY A. Economic and Financial 42. The economic analysis carried out for the parent project has been adjusted for the AF in order to focus on likely COVID-19-response investments, in particular FAPs, family medical centers and improved access to WASH, as well as the livelihoods investments. The economic analysis conducted suggests that each of the proposed initiatives is economically viable at a social discount rate of 8 percent over a 15-year expected lifetime.25 The overall economic internal rate of return (EIRR) has been calculated at 30.4 percent over a 15-year period.26 43. The main hypothesis is that investments in economic and livelihoods facilities will significantly improve the social and economic conditions of beneficiary households, and the focus on promoting access to economic opportunities (through microentrepreneurship), especially for unemployed youth and women, will result in improved economic outcomes. Timely investment in primary health care will help ensure the working population continues to work, and investments in enabling economic facilities will allow women to work or enable other forms of production (e.g. food production is possible with reliable water supply). Other expected results include a declining gender gap and enhanced inclusion of the poorest, exacerbated by limited economic opportunities 25 In accordance with World Bank guidelines on social discount rate. 26 The conclusion is conservative; larger economic returns in terms of indirect social benefits are not tangible or readily quantifiable. Page 19 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) and unequal socioeconomic conditions. The assessed interventions include the subgrants for social services and infrastructure described in Subcomponent 1B, and four viable livelihoods subproject types anticipated under Subcomponent 1C, each with a positive net present value (NPV) at an 8 percent discount rate and higher than cost of capital EIRR (Table 1). Table 1: EIRR Analysis of Selected Subprojects Livelihoods Investments Enabling First aid points facilities++ Agriculture Non-Agriculture Livelihoods (Subcomponent (Subcomponent sector facilities capital investments Support Program 1B) 1B) (Subcomponent 1C)+ (Subcomponent 1C)+ (Subcomponent 2C) Investment US$3,000,000 US$1,000,000 US$6,000,000 US$5,000,000 US$3,300,000 NPV* US$2,569,201 US$896,327 US$12,611,575 US$8,346,028 US$7,187,625 19.5% 20.0% 33.6% 28.9% 34.4% EIRR** 30.4% *NPV with 8 percent social discount rate over a 15-year period. **Kyrgyz Republic cost of capital is 19 percent (World Bank). + Agricultural and non-agricultural sector facilities include the facilities described in Subcomponent 1C, generating 4000 jobs. ++ Enabling facilities for livelihoods, might include investments in water, sanitation, kindergartens, access roads, for instance. B. Technical 44. The technical assessment carried out at appraisal of the parent project remains valid for the AF. The parent project has benefited from the lessons learned from the VIP3 project, particularly with regard to poverty and gender targeting. The AF will continue the design of key elements of the parent project, including the approach to youth-led community mobilization and social accountability processes to enhance inclusion and empower youth with voice and agency in their communities, 50 percent gender targeting through project gender action plans, and revised supervision procedures to ensure oversight of construction and functionality of facilities at completion. 45. To respond to the differing impacts of COVID-19 in the target oblasts, the project will enable communities to select from an open menu of local social investments, albeit with an emphasis on subprojects that improve the performance and responsiveness of village health care and focus on the development of locally-relevant livelihoods, especially for the vulnerable. As for the parent project, ARIS will carry out all technical designs for facilities, while liaising closely with relevant authorities to ensure that investments comply with applicable standards and specifications, addressing potential negative environmental/climate-related and social impacts and adequate O&M. Checks have been carried out on standard designs, to ensure they are appropriate for earthquake- prone areas, and the project will provide specialist technical assistance to communities to ensure climate-aware designs for new facilities and rehabilitation of existing facilities to limit the carbon footprint and reduce operational costs. Investments in all facilities within target AAs will be carried out by private contractors appointed through a competitive process and monitored by communities and qualified engineers. The project will ensure construction supervision is acceptable to the Bank. 46. Supplementing the community mobilization and youth engagement activities in the parent project, the design of the LSP is new in the AF, explicitly focused on the reestablishment of livelihoods affected by COVID-19 restrictions and the economic downturn. Under the parent project, support for livelihoods is provided by a parallel trust fund grant to another implementing agency. Under the AF, the activities are consolidated and focused on: Page 20 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) (i) speeding up support to address the impacts of COVID-19; (ii) supporting an interlinked set of livelihoods investments that will bring benefit to disadvantaged community members (a continuous livelihoods support program in parallel with investments in economically-viable value chains). C. Financial Management 47. ARIS will be responsible for implementation of the FM function of the AF, including budgeting, flow of funds, accounting, financial reporting, internal controls, and auditing. The FM assessment for the AF was conducted in accordance with the Financial Management Manual for World Bank Investment Project Financing Operations that became effective on March 1, 2010 and was revised on February 10, 2017. The FM assessment for the AF confirmed that there are overall adequate FM arrangements in place at ARIS for implementation of the AF. There will be no change in FM and disbursement arrangements for the AF; they will be the same as under the parent project, including the specific FM arrangements (such as funds flow and controls) over the subgrants under the Component 1 activities, for which ARIS will develop an SPM. Updating of the SPM, (to include the extended scope under the AF), adopted by ARIS, on terms and conditions acceptable to the Bank, will be a disbursement condition for Component 1. At the time of assessment, ARIS had already developed a draft SPM. 48. Project management-oriented Interim Unaudited Financial Reports (IFRs) will be used for monitoring and supervision of the AF. The existing formats of the IFRs for the parent project will be used. ARIS will produce consolidated IFRs for the parent project and the AF on a quarterly basis and submit them to the Bank not later than 45 days after the end of a calendar quarter end. The first set of IFRs will be submitted to the Bank after the end of the first full quarter following the initial disbursement. The audit reports for the Bank-funded projects currently being implemented by ARIS are received on time, with no overdue audit reports, have clean (unmodified) audit opinions, and have not identified any significant internal control or accountability issues that would have an impact on the implementation of this project. The audit arrangements for the AF will rely on the existing arrangements in place at ARIS for the parent project audit, as well as for the audits of ongoing projects implemented by ARIS. The audit of project financial statements (consolidated for the parent project and the AF) will be conducted: (i) by independent private auditors acceptable to the Bank, on terms of reference acceptable to the Bank; and (ii) according to the International Standards on Auditing issued by the International Auditing and Assurance Standards Board of the International Federation of Accountants. The project’s annual audited financial statements are to be submitted to the Bank within six months after the end of each audit period, and at the end of the project. ARIS will disclose the audited project financial statements within one month of their receipt from the auditors and acceptance by the Bank by posting the audit reports on the website of ARIS or other official sites of the Recipient. Following the Bank’s formal receipt of such reports from the Recipient, the Bank will make them publicly available according to World Bank Policy on Access to Information. 49. The AF designated accounts (DAs), in US$, will be opened and maintained at a commercial bank acceptable to the Bank. The statement of expenditure-based disbursement method will be applied for the AF. The following disbursement methods may be used under the project: reimbursement, advance, direct payment, and special commitment. The ceiling for each DA, as well as detailed instructions on withdrawal of project proceeds, will be provided in the Financial Management and Disbursement Letter. The overall FM residual risk rating of the project is assessed as Moderate, with Substantial inherent risk, and Moderate control risk. D. Procurement 50. A procurement capacity assessment was performed by the World Bank using the Procurement Risk Assessment and Management System. Based on the assessment and recognizing the existing procurement Page 21 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) capacity of ARIS and the risks associated with operations, the procurement risk is considered Substantial. The activities under the project will be subject to the World Bank’s New Procurement Framework. All procurement of contracts will follow the procedures specified in the World Bank’s Procurement Regulations for IPF Borrowers - Procurement in Investment Project Financing Goods, Works, Non-Consulting and Consulting Services dated July 2016, revised in November 2017 and August 2018 (Procurement Regulations). The project will also be subject to the World Bank’s Anti-Corruption Guidelines dated July 1, 2016. The procurement and contract management processes will be tracked through the Systematic Tracking of Exchanges in Procurement (STEP) system. As required by the Procurement Regulations, a Project Procurement Strategy for Development has been developed; based on this, a procurement plan has been prepared that sets out the selection methods to be followed by the Borrower during project implementation in the procurement of goods, works, and non-consulting and consulting services financed by the World Bank. 51. Use of National Procurement Procedures. In accordance with paragraph 5.3 of the Procurement Regulations, when approaching the national market (as specified in the procurement plan tables in STEP), procurement under World Bank-financed operations may be carried out in accordance with the “Single-Stage Bidding” method set forth in the Public Procurement Law of the Kyrgyz Republic dated April 3, 2015 No. 72, with amendments dated November 18, 2016 N 182, December 10, 2016 N 195, February 14, 2017 N 25, May 30, 2017 N 93, March 29, 2018 N 32, January 11, 2019 N 4, April 20, 2020 N 48 and June 26, 2019 N 76, provided that such arrangements continue to meet the requirements of paragraph 5.4 of the Procurement Regulations and the following conditions: • The request for bids/request for proposals document shall require that bidders/proposers submitting bids/proposals present a signed acceptance at the time of bidding, to be incorporated in any resulting contracts, confirming application of, and compliance with, Bank Anti-Corruption Guidelines, including without limitation the Bank’s right to sanction and the Bank’s inspection and audit rights. • Bidding documents, including contract forms, acceptable to the Bank shall be used. Bidding documents shall include provisions, as agreed with the Bank, intended to adequately mitigate against environmental, social, health, and safety risks and impacts. • The bidding process shall not be cancelled solely because the minimum bid price is larger than the amount allocated by the procuring entity for the procurement in question. • There shall be no preference applied during procurement of goods and works. • ARIS shall have an option to publish the procurement notice without disclosing a cost estimate. 52. When national procurement arrangements other than national open competitive procurement arrangements are applied by the Borrower, such arrangements shall be subject to paragraph 5.5 of the Procurement Regulations. Other national procurement arrangements, such as the “Simplified Method” (Request for Quotations) may be applied on the same conditions stated above for procuring limited quantities of readily available off-the-shelf goods or simple civil works of small value. In addition, not less than three quotations shall be requested to ensure competition. 53. Training and operating costs. The project will finance the operating costs of ARIS comprising mainly salaries and fees, office operations, and travel and subsistence expenses. ARIS personnel will be selected on the basis of experience, qualifications, and capability to carry out the assignment. The selection shall be carried out through the comparison of the relevant overall capacity of at least three qualified candidates among those who have expressed interest in the assignment. Detailed procedures will be outlined in the POM. ARIS will develop a Page 22 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) detailed training plan and prepare an annual operational budget for the Bank team’s review and clearance. Operating costs and training will be financed as per the annual budget approved by the Bank. 54. Recordkeeping. All records pertaining to the award of tenders, including bid notifications, the register pertaining to the sale and receipt of bids, bid opening minutes, bid evaluation reports, and all correspondence pertaining to the bid evaluation, communication with the Bank during the process, bid securities, and approval of invitation/evaluation of bids should be retained by the ARIS and uploaded in STEP. 55. Disclosure of procurement information. The following documents shall be disclosed: (i) the Procurement Plan and updates; (ii) the invitation for bids for goods and works for all contracts; (iii) the request for expression of interest for the selection/hiring of consulting services; and (iv) contract awards for goods, works, and non- consulting and consulting services. The following details must also be published on the United Nations Development Business and Bank’s external websites: (i) the invitation for bids for the procurement of goods and works following open international market approaches; (ii) the request for expression of interest for the selection of consulting services following open international market approaches; and (iii) contract award details of all procurement of goods and works and selection of consultants using open international market approaches. 56. Fiduciary oversight by the Bank and procurement supervision. The Bank shall prior review contracts as per prior review thresholds set out in the project Procurement Strategy for Development and the Procurement Plan. All contracts not covered under Bank prior review by the Bank shall be subject to post review during implementation support missions and/or special post review missions, including missions by consultants hired by the Bank. Semiannual missions are envisaged for procurement support and supervision of the project. 57. Advance procurement and retroactive financing. The Recipient has requested retroactive financing for this AF. To facilitate implementation of the project, all new procurement activities will be advanced as feasible in line with the agreed procurement plan. There will be a provision for retroactive financing up to an aggregate amount not exceeding SDR 400,000 (approximately US$548,800 equivalent). This will cover eligible expenditures procured in accordance with World Bank guidelines and implemented in accordance with other relevant operational policies for executing project activities incurred prior to the signing of the Financing Agreement. Retroactive financing will finance project expenditures incurred and payments made on or after July 1, 2020, for payments under Category 2 such as consulting services, trainings and operational costs (specifically for the value chains, consultancies and LSP under Components 2 and 3), to staff the team and launch activities in the first group of AAs. E. Social (including Safeguards) 58. Social safeguards. As a CDD project, the design of the community mobilization and social infrastructure investments is the same in the AF as the parent project. However, an LSP has been included that, in the parent project, was provided by a parallel trust fund. The design has been adapted in the AF to provide: rapid support in the aftermath of COVID-19. Under Subcomponent 1B, the project aims to support communities to select sub- and microprojects that improve the performance and responsiveness of primary health care and focus on the development of locally-relevant livelihoods, especially for the vulnerable. The design process will include the review of potential negative social impacts and the identification of adequate mitigation measures. Nevertheless, OP 4.12 (Involuntary Resettlement) will be triggered for the AF as for the parent project to ensure social due diligence. If additional land is required, AOs will be required to identify and allocate public land prior to these facilities being approved for small grants. Under Subcomponent 1C, as is the case in the parent project, the construction of economic infrastructure (e.g. apple processing plants, greenhouses, ICT centers) may result in situations where land is provided by entrepreneurs and it may be necessary to address potential social risks as per Page 23 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) the Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF) guidelines. In order to identify potential social impacts, a robust screening process will be put in place as part of the preparation and implementation of the infrastructure investments to identify any risks and impacts covered under OP 4.12. The infrastructure investments under Component 1 may lead to other impacts covered under OP 4.12 (i.e. impacts on assets and/or livelihoods), but these impacts are expected to be positive and will not be known until the investments are selected in each cycle. As for the parent project, social screening will be implemented in each community where construction is planned to verify social impacts before the subgrants are awarded. The RPF developed for the parent project will be adapted to help guide the preparation of site-specific resettlement action plans and abbreviated resettlement action plans during implementation, as necessary. ARIS will maintain the process and documentation requirements for social risk mitigation in the POM and ensure that the necessary capacity building is complete. Safeguards requirements will also be included in community, AO, and ARIS capacity building events. The small- scale construction of the community infrastructure will not require an outside or foreign labor force. All community-level work will be performed using locally available skilled and unskilled labor, and preference will be given to unemployed persons in the respective local communities. As far as COVID-19 impacts, all civil works contracts are required to follow World Health Organization and GoK guidelines in providing adequate occupational health and safety standards procedures. The POM will be updated with the labor management procedures to be followed under the civil works contracts. The AF focuses particularly on vulnerable and disadvantaged groups living in remote rural areas. The main emphasis of the AF is to provide support for access to basic health care and much needed livelihoods enhancement support for poor and marginalized households. The participatory planning and implementation strategy followed under the parent project will be continued and public and stakeholder consultation will include focus group meetings with poor and vulnerable women and men to ensure their needs and aspirations are included in the subprojects. ARIS introduced an institutional beneficiary feedback mechanism (BFM) in 2017, which includes an expanded grievance redress mechanism that includes all project activities, including safeguards. 27 The systems and requirements (including staffing) for the grievance redress chain of action—from uptake, sorting and processing, and acknowledgement and follow-up, to verification and action, M&E, and finally feedback—are embodied in this BFM. To encourage proactive beneficiary engagement, the BFM will be communicated at project orientation and on village notice boards, to direct and indirect project beneficiaries. As a part of the improved system, ARIS will conduct annual outreach and ensure that staff are fully trained, and that information is available in target communities. The CASA1000-CSP will utilize this system (written and telephone complaints channels), while ensuring all project-related information is disseminated and complaints and responses are disaggregated and reported. The use of the grievance redress mechanism for safeguards purposes will be elaborated in the RPF. 59. Currently, the CERC does not have specific interventions or funds allocated. The environment and social due diligence for this component will be carried out at the time the CERC is activated during project implementation. Social and environment requirements as per Bank policy requirements will be completed before commencement of any activity, and the safeguards instruments will be prepared to address risks, if any. 60. Citizen engagement. The project is predicated on the principle of participatory development, and the activities included in Component 2 engage community members in three stages of citizen engagement: (i) participatory assessment of needs; (ii) participatory planning and prioritizing of investments; and (iii) participatory monitoring of implementation. It will also support information generation (on project objectives, targets and performance) and awareness-building activities in each community will be linked to these engagement activities 27To improve accountability, independence, and responsiveness to citizens and Project Affected Persons, ARIS has developed an independent central mechanism managed at the institutional level that will accept and solicit feedback on all project issues. Page 24 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) to ensure communities are fully informed and to promote project transparency. 28 In this AF, the voice of vulnerable groups within the community, including the elderly, the disabled, and disadvantaged households will be addressed through a series of targeted outreach mechanisms that ensure they are an integral part of project decision making. These specific mechanisms will utilize vulnerability mapping, traditional mobilization (community-based organizations) and media (community radio, telephone). To enhance the impact in communities, the youth-led approach included in the parent project will be expanded with capacity building to develop the voice and agency of youth across the selected AAs (including as youth climate change ambassadors). Social accountability mechanisms, which include community scorecards and social audits in every community, will ensure innovations in community monitoring are embedded in ARIS and enable semiannual feedback for tracking results. 61. To improve the resilience of the citizen engagement framework of activities in the AF and the parent project, procedures developed under the CASA1000-CSP and the CESA grant will be adapted in the AF to: (i) blend traditional mechanisms and digital solutions; (ii) localize the implementation of activities; and (iii) strengthen the facilitation of each set of activities. Community mobilization processes, which enable community members to prioritize needs and investments, will be available through a mobile app as well as through face-to-face meetings, thus enabling quick adaptation in the event of any future social distancing and travel restrictions. This development of a more resilient system that will enable citizen engagement at a distance, will also include a blended approach to community scorecards and social audits (to provide feedback on the social and livelihood facilities, CVIAs, and LSP as well as real time feedback on COVID-19 impacts). The ARIS civic technology platform (link), disseminated through village social media (WhatsApp) groups and traditional materials, will ensure ongoing information sharing and feedback through village portals that collect and manage community feedback, linked to the MIS. It will thus include, inter alia, subproject prioritization and decision making, participatory monitoring and oversight, social impact assessment surveys, disclosure and consultation of safeguards instruments (the environmental and social management framework (ESMF) and environmental and social management plans (ESMPs)), and a climate dashboard to enhance accountability for the delivery of climate co-benefits. The project will include indicators that measure beneficiary feedback and the effectiveness of the citizen engagement processes. 62. Gender. The parent project Gender Action Plan will be expanded to include the AF target areas. The AF is designed to close three gender gaps: (i) voice and participation in community-level decision making; (ii) access to services; and (iii) livelihoods opportunities, as follows: i. Voice and agency. There are significant gender disparities in women’s political participation at the local level, and it is declining – 19 percent of local councilors were women in 2004, 29 and only 10 percent in 2020.30 One in five village councils in the Kyrgyz Republic has no women representative, and only five percent of the heads of AOs are women.31 Disparities in women’s voice and agency, as well as discrimination, impact their access to services. For example, when negotiating with private service providers, water users’ associations, pasture management associations, and land banks, women often end up in less favorable terms than men, with consequences for their irrigation water supply, equipment for farming and harvesting, and ability to lease 28 As a part of the post COVID-19 response, the project will coordinate and help amplify the information, communications, and outreach by the MOH and other public messaging, through the ARIS network of community-related support, and the ARIS online platform. 29 Olga Kovaleva. October 18, 2019. “Number of Women in Kyrgyz Local Councils is Falling.” Central Asian Bureau for Analytical Reporting. Accessed on May 26, 2020: https://cabar.asia/en/number-of-women-in-kyrgyz-local-councils-is-falling/ 30 Data collected by ARIS, May 2020. To help address this gap, the GoK legislated a 30 percent quota for elected women deputies in local councils in 2019. The amended Law on the Election of Deputies of Local Keneshes (Articles 46, 47, 52, 59 and 62 describe the 30 percent quota) was introduced in Parliament in December 2018 (http://kenesh.kg/ru/draftlaw/494692/show) and approved in August 2019. 31 Data collected by ARIS, May 2020. Page 25 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) larger plots of land.32 Under Component 2, activities will empower women as facilitators, focal points, and in awareness-building roles, building their capacity to join the civic space and bolster their representation in communities, including in the CVIAs, which will work with business partners. Fifty percent of all community- level project positions, such as youth focal points, village representatives to AA-level meetings, and CVIAs are reserved for women. All village-level meetings, trainings, and citizen engagement activities require at least 50 percent women attendance, with some role reserved exclusively for young women. As with the parent project, the AF will empower women by organizing separate village consultations for women, to provide them an opportunity to better articulate their needs and priorities. The AF will track the percentage of male and female beneficiaries who report that: (i) their role/voice in local decision making has been enhanced as a result of project support; and (ii) their engagement in decision making over village investments was effective. ii. Access to services. The AF activities to enhance the empowerment, voice, and agency of women are likely to result in the selection of services and infrastructure that promote women’s livelihoods, such as early childhood education (ECE) services. There are significant gaps in women’s access to ECE services, which impacts their ability to work outside the home; as of 2018, only 39 percent of all 3- to 5-year-olds were enrolled in ECE in the Kyrgyz Republic.33 The AF will track the percentage of subproject investments that were prioritized in women's groups (i.e. facility, service, or infrastructure subproject) (target: 50 percent). The project will also track the percentage of male and female beneficiaries in target communities who report: (i) that village/AA investments met their needs; and (ii) investments in social infrastructure supported post- COVID-19 needs. iii. Livelihoods opportunities. The project will address the high levels of unemployment among women34 through the LSP, and livelihoods facilities. The AF will require that 50 percent of LSP beneficiaries are women. The result will be tracked annually and procedures incorporated to revise processes as needed in each oblast. To increase the success of women’s microenterprises, under Subcomponent 2C, the project will provide targeted outreach and capacity building, including trainings with curriculums tailored for women, and coaching and mentoring by women to suit women’s needs. The project will include mechanisms in the Gender Action Plan to ensure that women select or benefit equally from the livelihoods facilities. Women will comprise 50 percent of the CVIAs that will partner with local businesswomen or men and AOs to develop livelihoods facilities. In addition, one of the selection criteria for livelihoods facilities will be the anticipated number of jobs it will create for women. 35 The project will track the percentage of female beneficiaries reporting that village investments in livelihoods facilities supported the reestablishment of livelihoods. 63. Conflict and inter-ethnic tensions. As for the parent project, the AF will operate near enclaves, and in communities that have a history of border disputes and inter-ethnic tensions. The rapid assessment carried out for the parent project will be updated to identify how COVID-19 has affected local-level conflict dynamics in the 32 United Nations Women. 2019. Beijing+25: National-level review on the implementation of the Beijing Declaration and Platform for Action. Bishkek: the Kyrgyz Republic 33 World Bank. 2020. Midterm Review of the Third Village Investment Project. Washington D.C.; World Bank. 2020. Seventh Implementation Support Mission Aide Memoire. Washington DC.: 34 There are significant gender gaps in unemployment and underemployment driven by cultural norms. As of 2019, among the population of those 15 years old and older, only 44.77% of women participated in the formal labor market, compared to 75.74% of men. 34 Women work predominately in lower-paid sectors, especially the services sector. For women ages 20–34 in formal employment, the norm is to leave work to carry out household duties and care for young children. 34 Only 18 percent of children under the age of 7 receive a preschool education. UN Women. 2019. Beijing+25: National Review on Implementation of the Beijing Declaration and Platform for Action. Bishkek: Kyrgyz Rep; and Asian Development Bank. 2019. Kyrgyz Republic Country Gender Assessment. Manila: Philippines. 35 The project will track the actual number of jobs the livelihoods facilities generate for women. Page 26 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) target communities near the enclaves and borders. While the assessment underscored a general level of stability, it also drew attention to stresses and risks that could be exacerbated by the downturn in the economy and restrictions on travel, namely: (i) social and ethnic cleavages; (ii) youth migration and unemployment, and lack of opportunity for young people; (iii) domestic disputes and gender-based violence; (iv) dwindling natural resources and pressures on the environment, land, and water, including competition and cross-border disputes over scarce resources; (v) perceived decreasing quality of key social services; and (vi) limited capacity of local institutions. In addition, some villagers expressed concerns regarding the nexus between the drug trade, radicalization, and the infiltration of extremist views among youth. The PDO focuses on inclusion in livelihoods enhancement and access to services, and the design of community mobilization efforts will help ensure project activities bring together multi-ethnic communities and engage youth in empowering community roles as defined in the parent project. F. Environment (including Safeguards) 64. The parent project triggered OP 4.01 and is rated environmental category “B” because of the potential limited environmental issues associated with the small-scale investments for local communities. Environmental risks and impacts associated with Component 1 activities remain in general the same for scale-up as for the parent project. These are largely construction related, including health and safety aspects of building users and workers, and storage and disposal of large construction debris generated from demolished existing buildings. The environmental category for the project therefore remains Category B, and the ESMF prepared for the parent project remains generally applicable to the scaled-up activities. At the same time, the economic downturn associated with COVID-19 is expected to increase the human impact on the environment and reduce the effectiveness of traditional safeguards instruments. The ESMF coverage has been expanded as per the expansion of the project coverage. A few sections related to the use of personal protective equipment, medical waste management, and additional measures to protect against the spread of infection spread have been added to the original ESMF. The scaled-up activities on fruit production and processing trigger OP 4.09 on Pest Management and require measures to prevent the use of harmful pesticides and chemicals while growing and processing fruit. The ESMF was updated in this respect and contains a chapter that describes the process of preparation of the IPM sections in relevant site-specific ESMPs. The parent project is already under implementation and ARIS is responsible for project implementation. Capable environmental and social safeguards specialists are included in the CASA1000-CSP and AF team, and a temporary medical waste management consultant will be hired if relevant. The POM, already approved by the World Bank, includes the necessary environmental due diligence protocols for safeguards implementation, which describe the requirements and provide a template for site-specific ESMPs that will be developed when the particular investment subprojects are known. They will not include any activities associated with using hard fuel (e.g. coal and wood) for heating, and this is also reflected in the updated ESMF and POM. The POM prepared under the parent project will also apply to the AF, and is being revised by ARIS in consideration of the AF. ARIS disclosed the ESMF on December 4, 2017 in accordance with World Bank requirements.36 The public hearings were organized on December 1, 2017. 65. ARIS has updated the current ESMF, will hold another round of public consultations in Bishkek and re- disclose the updated ESMF after Appraisal. 66. Climate co-benefits. To build back better, the AF has set an 80 percent target for infrastructure investments that support climate adaptation and mitigation (see breakdown Table 1). The design and construction of all facilities, and capacity building of project stakeholders will support climate co-benefits. In particular, (i) the refurbishment of existing buildings or new construction of, for instance, FAPs, kindergartens and heating 36 Disclosed safeguards documents at: http://www.aris.kg/ru/press_tsentr/novosti/1425_agentstvo_razvitiya. Page 27 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) refurbishment (under Component 1B) and livelihoods facilities (under Component 1C) will use approved or standard designs that are energy-efficient, climate-aware and seismic-proof. The project will ensure investments (design, specifications, materials) conform to requirements, that any construction is properly supervised (checks for seismic resilience already form part of standard approval processes), and oversight is carried out by an appointed, qualified environmental engineer to improve climate change knowledge and performance by the implementing agency, ARIS. To create clear climate change parameters, the AF will not allow the use of coal whatsoever in project investments. (ii) With regard to capacity building, under Component 2A, the AF will introduce climate change training for all ARIS staff and relevant local stakeholders, with specialist training for AOs, community mobilizers, business partners and CVIA members. (iii) Youth climate change ambassadors will be appointed in each participating village, (as designed under the parent project) to lead community-level training and awareness building activities on climate change mitigation and adaptation (e.g. on alternative technologies), with the aim of household and institutional behavior change (e.g. turn down the heat), as well as transparency and communication to increase the accountability of local self-governments, and ARIS, in climate-related results. (iv) Under Component 2C, technical assistance will be provided to help develop entrepreneurial interest and capacity to sustain environmental enterprises. (v) A climate change dashboard will be added to the ARIS online platform to track progress of the AF climate co-benefits. (vi) Carbon balance calculation tools will be applied for investments in agriculture to mitigate CO2 emission. 67. The parent project was screened for climate and disaster risks using the online screening tool at https://climatescreeningtools.worldbank.org. This screening applies to the AF. V. WORLD BANK GRIEVANCE REDRESS Communities and individuals who believe that they are adversely affected by a World Bank (WB) supported project may submit complaints to existing project-level grievance redress mechanisms or the WB’s Grievance Redress Service (GRS). The GRS ensures that complaints received are promptly reviewed in order to address project-related concerns. Project affected communities and individuals may submit their complaint to the WB’s independent Inspection Panel which determines whether harm occurred, or could occur, as a result of WB non- compliance with its policies and procedures. Complaints may be submitted at any time after concerns have been brought directly to the World Bank's attention, and Bank Management has been given an opportunity to respond. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank’s corporate Grievance Redress Service (GRS), please visit http://www.worldbank.org/en/projects-operations/products-and-services/grievance-redress- service. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank Inspection Panel, please visit www.inspectionpanel.org. Page 28 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) VI SUMMARY TABLE OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Project's Development Objectives ✔ Results Framework ✔ Components and Cost ✔ Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ EA category ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Institutional Arrangements ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ VII DETAILED CHANGE(S) PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE Current PDO To engage communities in the development of social and economic infrastructure in order to enhance services, livelihoods and inclusion in target villages near the CASA1000 Transmission Line. Proposed New PDO To engage communities in the development of social and economic infrastructure in order to enhance services, livelihoods and inclusion in target oblasts near the CASA1000 Transmission Line. Page 29 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) COMPONENTS Current Component Name Current Cost Action Proposed Component Proposed Cost (US$, (US$, millions) Name millions) Support for community-led 8.95 Revised Support for community- 23.95 investments in social and led investments in social economic infrastructure and economic infrastructure Support for community 1.30 Revised Support for community 6.10 mobilization, youth mobilization, youth engagement and engagement and communications communications Project management, and 0.75 Revised Project management, 1.95 monitoring and evaluation and monitoring and evaluation TOTAL 11.00 32.00 Expected Disbursements (in US$) DISBURSTBL Fiscal Year Annual Cumulative 2018 0.00 0.00 2019 0.00 0.00 2020 200,000.00 200,000.00 2021 7,000,000.00 7,200,000.00 2022 8,000,000.00 15,200,000.00 2023 8,000,000.00 23,200,000.00 2024 4,800,000.00 28,000,000.00 2025 3,000,000.00 31,000,000.00 2026 0.00 31,000,000.00 2027 0.00 31,000,000.00 SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL (SORT) Risk Category Latest ISR Rating Current Rating Political and Governance ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Page 30 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) Macroeconomic ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Environment and Social ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Stakeholders ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Moderate Other ⚫ Substantial Overall ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Moderate Safguard_Table COMPLIANCE Change in Safeguard Policies Triggered Yes Safeguard Policies Triggered Current Proposed Environmental Assessment OP/BP Yes Yes 4.01 Performance Standards for Private No No Sector Activities OP/BP 4.03 Natural Habitats OP/BP 4.04 No No Forests OP/BP 4.36 No No Pest Management OP 4.09 No Yes Physical Cultural Resources OP/BP No No 4.11 Indigenous Peoples OP/BP 4.10 No No Involuntary Resettlement OP/BP 4.12 Yes Yes Safety of Dams OP/BP 4.37 No No Page 31 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) Projects on International Waterways No No OP/BP 7.50 Projects in Disputed Areas OP/BP 7.60 No No LEGAL COVENANTS2 LEGAL COVENANTS – CASA1000 Community Support Project COVID-19 Additional Financing - Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) Sections and Description OPS_LEGAL_CONVENANT_CHILD_NODATA No information available Conditions Type Description Disbursement The Subprojects Manual has been updated by the Recipient and the Project Implementing Entity in a manner satisfactory to the Association as a condition of disbursement for Component 1. Type Description Effectiveness The Subsidiary Agreement has been updated and executed on behalf of the Recipient and the Project Implementing Entity. Page 32 of 46 Official Use The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) ANNEX A. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING Results Framework COUNTRY: Central Asia RESULT_NO_PDO CASA1000 Community Support Project COVID-19 Additional Financing - Kyrgyz Republic Project Development Objective(s) To engage communities in the development of social and economic infrastructure in order to enhance services, livelihoods and inclusion in target oblasts near the CASA1000 Transmission Line. Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ PD O Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target To engage communities in the development of social and economic infrastructure PDO2: Percentage of beneficiaries in target communities who report that their engagement in decision making over village 0.00 75.00 investments was effective (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised The date of the end target was revised to include the period of the Additional Financing. PDO6: Percentage of beneficiaries in target communities who report enhanced trust in community relations as a result of 0.00 70.00 project support (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Marked for Deletion To improve measurability and enable disaggregation. Page 33 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ PD O Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target to enhance services, livelihoods and inclusion in target oblasts (Action: This Objective has been Revised) PDO1: Percentage of beneficiaries in target communities who 0.00 75.00 report that project investments met their needs (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised The date of the end target was revised to include the period of the Additional Financing. PDO3: Percentage of young (women and men) beneficiaries who report that their role/voice in local decision making has been 0.00 75.00 enhanced as a result of project support (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised The date of the end target was revised to include the period of the Additional Financing. PDO4: Percentage of target communities with improved access to social infrastructure and/or livelihoods facilities as a result of 0.00 100.00 project support (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised The date of the end target was revised to include the period of the Additional Financing. PDO5: Percentage of beneficiaries in target communities who report that the CSP is an effective solution to the local impacts of 0.00 70.00 the CASA1000 transmission line (Percentage) Action: This indicator has been Marked for Deletion Page 34 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target Support for community-led investments in social and economic infrastructure IO1: Percentage of villages with improved electricity supply for household and/or productive purposes as a result of project 0.00 80.00 support (Percentage) IO11. Percentage of project beneficiaries reporting that investments in social infrastructure supported post-COVID-19 0.00 80% women / 80% men needs (Text) Action: This indicator is New IO10. Percentage of project beneficiaries reporting that village investments in livelihoods facilities supported the 0.00 80% women / 80% men reestablishment of livelihoods (Text) Action: This indicator is New IO8. Percentage of relevant subprojects that support climate 0.00 80.00 change adaptation or mitigation (Text) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised Target added. IO2. Percentage of subproject investments which were 0.00 50.00 prioritized in women's groups. (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised This indicator has been replaced with a measure of women's voice and agency. Page 35 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target IO9: Number of women able to earn additional income as a 0.00 2,000 result of project investments (Text) Action: This indicator is New IO15: Percentage of beneficiaries in target communities who report that the CSP is an effective solution to the local impacts of 0.00 70.00 the CASA1000 transmission line (Percentage) Action: This indicator is New Support for community mobilization, youth engagement and communications IO3. Percentage of target communities empowering young women and men to facilitate community mobilization 0.00 80.00 (Percentage) Action: This indicator has been Revised IO4: Percentage of target communities effectively completing the agreed community mobilization and social accountability process 0.00 80.00 (Percentage) Action: This indicator has been Revised IO6: Percentage of target communities selecting their highest 0.00 80.00 priority subproject (Percentage) Action: This indicator has been Revised IO5: Percentage of target AOs expanding the Local Development 0.00 80.00 Strategy with youth development and livelihood activities Page 36 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target (Percentage) IO12. Percentage of target AAs in which the Livelihoods Support 0.00 100.00 Program is implemented (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator is New This indicator only applies outside the Corridor of Impact IO14: Percentage of beneficiaries in target communities who report that youth engagement activities were effective in 0.00 70% men/ 70% women supporting the community. (Text) Action: This indicator is New Project management, and monitoring and evaluation IO7: Percentage of target communities demonstrating an 0.00 80.00 understanding of CSP objectives and parameters (Percentage) IO13. Percentage of agreed data and information uploaded in the 0.00 80.00 MIS according to procedures (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator is New Measures ARIS progress in establishing a functioning project MIS. IO Table SPACE Page 37 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: PDO Indicators Mapped Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection This measures quality of community engagement – for the whole of the community and for women and youth Planning Community (disaggregated).The and scorecards; denominator is the total Community scorecard PDO2: Percentage of beneficiaries in completion community number of respondents. and evaluation target communities who report that their stages of reporting; ARIS The numerator is the methodology as defined engagement in decision making over each cycle; baseline/midli number of beneficiaries in in the POM. village investments was effective evaluation ne/final target communities who frequency evaluation report that their engagement in decision making over village investments was effective (gender/age/location disaggregated). Baseline/mid/ PDO6: Percentage of beneficiaries in Annual, final target communities who report enhanced Evaluation evaluation ARIS trust in community relations as a result of frequency Community project support scorecards PDO1: Percentage of beneficiaries in This indicator measures Every cycle; Community Community scorecard ARIS target communities who report that whether the project's evaluation scorecards; and evaluation project investments met their needs investments addressed frequency social audits; methodology as defined Page 38 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) beneficiaries' needs. The community in the POM. denominator is the total reporting; number of respondents. baseline/midli The numerator is the ne/final number of beneficiaries evaluation who report that the investments met their needs. The indicator will be disaggregated by gender and location. This measures the empowerment and inclusion of youth in local decision-making, community mobilization and social accountability Community PDO3: Percentage of young (women and roles (gender Community scorecards Every cycle; scorecards; men) beneficiaries who report that their disaggregated). The and evaluation evaluation baseline/midli ARIS role/voice in local decision making has denominator is the total methodology as defined frequency ne/final been enhanced as a result of project number of youth in the POM. evaluation support respondents. The numerator is the number of youth respondents who report that their role/voice in local decision making has been enhanced as a result of project support. PDO4: Percentage of target communities This measures the Annual; Subproject The data will be collated ARIS with improved access to social percentage of target evaluation proposals; from subproject infrastructure and/or livelihoods facilities communities with better frequency project proposals, project Page 39 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) as a result of project support access to social progress progress reports, infrastructure and/or reports; and technical checklists livelihoods facilities technical completed by (location disaggregated) checklists; specialists/engineers. baseline/midli ne/final evaluation Baseline/mid/ PDO5: Percentage of beneficiaries in final Annual, target communities who report that the evaluation, Evaluation ARIS CSP is an effective solution to the local Community frequency impacts of the CASA1000 transmission scorecards line ME PDO Table SPACE Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: Intermediate Results Indicators Mapped Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection Project progress IO1: Percentage of villages with improved Annual, reports electricity supply for household and/or Evaluation ARIS Baseline/mid/ productive purposes as a result of project frequency final support evaluation IO11. Percentage of project beneficiaries This indicator is meant to Every Community Community ARIS reporting that investments in social track the implementation cycle; scorecards; scorecard methodology Page 40 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) infrastructure supported post-COVID-19 progress of subcomponent evaluation baseline/midli and evaluation criteria needs 1b. The denominator is the frequency ne/final defined in the POM. This total number of evaluation indicator will only be respondents and the collected in communities numerator is the that receive social percentage of respondents infrastructure who report that investments. investments in social infrastructure supported post-COVID-19 needs.The indicator will be gender- disaggregated. This indicator is meant to capture the impact of livelihoods investments on beneficiaries' economic recovery from COVID-19. The denominator is the Community Every This indicator will only IO10. Percentage of project beneficiaries total number of Scorecards; Ba cycle; be collected in AAs that reporting that village investments in respondents. The seline/midline ARIS Evaluation receive investments in livelihoods facilities supported the numerator is the total /final evaluati frequency livelihoods facilities. reestablishment of livelihoods number of respondents on who report that the investments in livelihoods facilities helped to restore their livelihoods. The indicator will be gender disagreggated. IO8. Percentage of relevant subprojects This measures the Every cycle Assessment Review of subproject ARIS that support climate change adaptation or contribution to enhanced reported in designs Page 41 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) mitigation resilience (e.g. of roads project infrastructure, approved progress designs), as well as climate reports change mitigation (e.g. through retrofitting measures or alternative energy sources). Excludes subprojects where this measure is not relevant. The date of the end target was revised to include the period of the Additional Financing. Data will be compiled by ARIS following This indicator measures the the approval effectiveness of the of each The indicator will be project's investments in infrastructure, calculated from data on promoting women's voice service or women’s priorities (by IO2. Percentage of subproject and agency. It will track Each cycle facility using sector or classification) ARIS investments which were prioritized in whether women's priorities village-level and the selected women's groups. are being selected for data (i.e., investments (by sector investment, and then minutes of or classification). actually being focus group constructed/implemented. discussions, list of proposals financed). Page 42 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) This indicator will measure Subproject pr This data will be collated the impact of investments Annual oposals; IO9: Number of women able to earn from subproject in social infrastructure starting in community ARIS additional income as a result of project proposals and including kindergartens Year 2 monitoring investments monitoring reports. and livelihoods facilities on reports women's livelihoods. This measures community support for the overall package of CASA1000 The data will be collated interventions Baseline/midli from the community (gender/age/location ne/final IO15: Percentage of beneficiaries in target Annual; scorecards. The disaggregated). The evaluation, communities who report that the CSP is evaluation methodology for the ARIS denominator is the total community an effective solution to the local impacts frequency community scorecards number of respondents. scorecards of the CASA1000 transmission line will be described in the The numerator is the POM. number who are satisfied or more than satisfied with the overall package of CASA1000 interventions. Project IO3. Percentage of target communities Evaluation progress ARIS empowering young women and men to frequency reports facilitate community mobilization Tracks whether Minutes of Collated IO4: Percentage of target communities communities are following community field reports/data from effectively completing the agreed Annual ARIS the defined community meetings/rep facilitators; review community mobilization and social mobilization and social orted in of minutes of accountability process accountability processes by project community meetings Page 43 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) location. progress and social audit reports meetings; and review of scorecard results. Minutes of The indicator will be FGD aligned constructed from a with project check of whether Measures whether project requests/repo community's processes are changed Every rted in project prioritization of after prioritization. The cycle; progress IO6: Percentage of target communities subprojects as recorded ARIS date of the end target was evaluation reports; selecting their highest priority subproject in the minutes of the revised to include the frequency community focus group period of the Additional reporting; bas discussions match the Financing. eline/midline/ actual subprojects final financed by the project. evaluation AA LDS documents IO5: Percentage of target AOs expanding reported the Local Development Strategy with Annual ARIS in project youth development and livelihood progress activities reports This indicator will track that the Livelihoods Annual IO12. Percentage of target AAs in which Field reports that are Support Program is starting in MIS ARIS the Livelihoods Support Program is uploaded into the MIS. implemented in target Aiyl Year 2 implemented AImaks in support of project investments in Page 44 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) facilities. This measures whether the project's investments in capacity building improve the community's confidence in youth participation in civic Community Community scorecard Every IO14: Percentage of beneficiaries in target engagement. The scorecards; and cycle; communities who report that youth denominator is the total baseline/midli baseline/midline/final ARIS evaluation engagement activities were effective in number of respondents. ne/final evaluation methodology frequency supporting the community. The numerator is the total evaluation as defined in the POM. number of respondents who report that youth engagement in the community is effective. The indicator will be gender disaggregated. Semi- Community annual reporting IO7: Percentage of target communities progress Baseline/mid/ ARIS demonstrating an understanding of CSP reporting final objectives and parameters Evaluation evaluation frequency This measures ARIS These figures will Annual IO13. Percentage of agreed data and progress in the be compiled based on starting in MIS ARIS information uploaded in the MIS development of a checks of the MIS Year 2 according to procedures comprehensive MIS that according to criteria has a publicly accessible defined by the POM. Page 45 of 46 The World Bank CASA1000 Community Support Project (COVID-19 Response) Additional Financing, Kyrgyz Republic (P174285) portal with agreed data (quantitative and qualitative) and citizen feedback. The MIS should improve transparency and management. ME IO Table SPACE Page 46 of 46