The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) REPORT NO.: RES30721 RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF BD: REACHING OUT OF SCHOOL CHILDREN II APPROVED ON OCTOBER 2, 2012 TO PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF BANGLADESH EDUCATION SOUTH ASIA Regional Vice President: Annette Dixon Country Director: Qimiao Fan Senior Global Practice Director: Jaime Saavedra Chanduvi Practice Manager/Manager: Keiko Miwa Task Team Leader: Syed Rashed Al-Zayed The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS DPE Directorate of Primary Education EoP End of Project ERD Economic Relations Division GoB Government of Bangladesh IA Implementing Agency IDA International Development Association PDO Project Development Objective LC Learning Center MoPME Ministry of Primary and Mass Education PDO Project Development Objective ROSC Reaching Out-of-School Children SA Specialized Agency SDR Special Drawing Right TP Training Provider WB World Bank The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal. BASIC DATA Product Information Project ID Financing Instrument P131394 Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Current EA Category Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Approval Date Current Closing Date 02-Oct-2012 31-Dec-2017 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency People's Republic of Bangladesh Ministry of Primary and Mass Education (MoPME) Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The key project development objective is to improve equitable access, retention and completion in quality primary education for out-of-school children in selected under-served areas. OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO Summary Status of Financing Net Ln/Cr/Tf Approval Signing Effectiveness Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed IDA-51660 02-Oct-2012 10-Jan-2013 30-Jan-2013 31-Dec-2017 129.99 80.15 42.90 Policy Waiver(s) Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)? No The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. I. PROJECT STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING A. Project Status 1. Project Background B. The Reaching Out-of-School Children (ROSC) Project, launched in 2004, is a joint intervention of the Government of Bangladesh (GoB) financed by the World Bank (WB) that has played a key role in providing a second chance primary education to out–of- school children. Building upon the original ROSC Project (2004-2012), the ROSC II Project (2012-2017) is now catering to the needs of out-of-school children in the country through learning centers (LCs) in targeted rural upazilas (sub-districts) called Ananda Schools. The ROSC II Project is being implemented by the ROSC Unit (ROSCU) under the Directorate of Primary Education (DPE) to improve equitable access, retention and completion in quality primary education in selected under-served areas of Bangladesh. During the original implementation period from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2017, the original target of the ROSC II project was to support 720,000 out-of-school children in 21,700 learning centers from about 148 upazilas. 2. Implementation Status Despite facing severe setbacks in the first two years of implementation, the project has shown substantial implementation progress as evinced in the Mid-Term Review (see Aide-Memoire dated December 2015) and post midterm Implementation Support Missions (see Aide-Memoire dated June 2017 and October 2017). (a) Ananda School (Rural LCs) As of year 5 of implementation, ROSC II has supported 690,000 (out of target 720,000) out-of-school children in 20,400 LCs (end-of-project target is 21,700) across 148 upazilas. However, as of the original closing date of December 31, 2017, 234,000 students enrolled in the 2014 and 2015 cohorts will be unable to complete their learning cycle. (b) Urban Slum Children’s Education Program The project experienced smooth and timely implementation of the scaled-up pilot program across 10 city corporations (enrolment of 47,957 learners) while successfully deploying one Specialized Agency and 10 Implementing Agencies (IA). However, more than 40,000 students will remain in the ROSCII system who would not have completed their Primary Education Cycle. (c) Pre-vocational Skills Training Program This pilot scale-up has been launched smoothly across 30 upazilas (target 90 upazilas) with 8,237 trainees (end of project target is 25,000). Twelve Training Providers (TP) have been successfully deployed with the technical assistance from the Specialized Agency. Despite being a success, this scale-up is facing challenges to meet the target due to: (i) disruption of training activities following the tragic landslides in the hill tracts in August, 2017; (ii) rescheduled slots could not be launched following the unforeseen influx of Rohingya refugees in Cox’s bazar and adjacent areas; and (iii) disruptions due to nation-wide flooding made the graduation of registered trainees uncertain. 3. Results Framework The current Results Framework shows major progress. Almost all Project Development Objectives (PDO) indicators of ROSC II are on track to be achieved by the original closing date (despite setbacks faced due to severe implementation challenges in the first two years), but ending the project without ensuring the transition of the students currently enrolled who have not completed their learning cycle could substantially reduce the impact of these achievements. The first PDO indicator of ROSC II, the number of ever supported out-of-school children, currently stands at 690,000 (93% of the end-of-project target) with an additional 47,957 out-of-school children enrolled under scaled-up urban slums pilot and 25,000 trainees to be supported The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) under pre-vocational pilot interventions during the remainder of the project. The remaining PDO indicators are either on track to be achieved or have surpassed the end-of-project targets. The percentage of female students enrolled in LCs is 49%, and the percentage of students from disadvantaged groups is 87%. Average grade retention rate is 80%, while the completion rate for LC students is 92%. Two rounds of systematic student learning assessment have been completed. 4. Disbursement The project is lagging in terms of disbursement due to limited progress and disbursement during the first two years of implementation. As of October 30, 2017, the project has disbursed approximately 62% (USD 80.15 million) of total IDA allocation. It has been confirmed that a substantial amount of IDA funding will remain undisbursed if the project closes on December 31, 2017. No Audit report is overdue. C. Rationale for Restructuring the Project Following a formal request from the Economic Relations Division (ERD) through letter dated October 30, 2017, this restructuring proposes a one year no-cost project extension with the revised closing date of December 31, 2018, subject to no changes in the original modality of implementation. Rationale for the extension are: (a) ensure transition for the remaining 234,000 ROSC II students who will not be able to complete their learning cycle if the project ends on December 31, 2017; (b) capacity enhancement of the agencies under MoPME who will take over the ROSC II students after ROSC II project closes; (c) quick response to the upazilas that have been badly affected by the prolonged floods in 2017 with the aim of tracing dropouts; and (d) immediate response to the host community of Cox’s Bazar who were affected by the sudden, large influx of Rohingya population in Bangladesh through redirecting Pre-Vocation Education activities for the over aged out-of- school children of Cox’s Bazar. II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES A. Proposed Changes Considering the current situation, the proposed restructuring includes the following changes: (i) Extension of the project closing date by 12 months from December 31, 2017 to December 31, 2018 with no changes to the original implementation modality; (ii) Part 3 (a) (ii) will include MoPME and agencies under MoPME namely Directorate of Primary Education (DPE), Bangladesh Bureau of Non-formal Education and National Academy for Primary Education; (iii) Reallocations of funds among existing financing categories to operationalize the agreed upon activities. The table under section IV.A.2 of the Financing Agreement will be amended to read as follows: a. Category 1 to be decreased from 80,170,861.00 to 78,480,330.36 b. Category 3 to be increased from 4,020,000.00 to 6,274,391.49 c. Category 4 to be decreased from 768,640.79 to 204,779.94 d. Share of IDA contribution, component cost will remain unchanged. The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) There will be no change in the fund flow mechanism. Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal. III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Change in Results Framework ✔ Change in Components and Cost ✔ Change in Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Change in Implementing Agency ✔ Change in DDO Status ✔ Change in Project's Development Objectives ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Change in Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Change in Disbursement Estimates ✔ Change in Systematic Operations Risk-Rating Tool ✔ (SORT) Change in Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ Change of EA category ✔ Change in Legal Covenants ✔ Change in Institutional Arrangements ✔ Change in Financial Management ✔ Change in Procurement ✔ Change in Implementation Schedule ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ Change in Economic and Financial Analysis ✔ Change in Technical Analysis ✔ Change in Social Analysis ✔ The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) Change in Environmental Analysis ✔ IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_RESULTS_TABLE RESULTS FRAMEWORK Project Development Objective Indicators PDO_IND_TABLE Beneficiaries: Number of out-of-school children enrolled in LCs Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 141000.00 687556.00 690000.00 Revised Date 30-Jun-2013 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Number of student-years supported Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Supplement Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 226991.00 950541.00 1343068.00 Revised Percentage of female students enrolled in LC Unit of Measure: Percentage Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 50.00 49.00 50.00 Revised Date 31-Dec-2012 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Percentage of disadvantaged students Unit of Measure: Percentage Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 70.00 87.00 85.00 Revised Date 31-Dec-2012 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Average Grade retention rate The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) Unit of Measure: Percentage Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 60.00 80.00 75.00 Revised Date 31-Dec-2012 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Completion rate for LC students Unit of Measure: Percentage Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 73.00 91.85 78.00 Revised Date 31-Jul-2012 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2018 Completion of systematic student learning assessment Unit of Measure: Yes/No Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value No Yes Yes No Change Date 31-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2017 Intermediate Indicators IO_IND_TABLE Number of LCs supported Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 8400.00 20239.00 21700.00 Revised Date 31-Dec-2012 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Student attendance rate Unit of Measure: Percentage Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 75.00 85.00 85.00 Revised The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) Date 31-Dec-2012 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Number of students in urban slum pilots Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 0.00 47975.00 50000.00 Revised Date 31-Dec-2012 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Number of teachers trained under the project Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 0.00 19630.00 21700.00 Revised Date 31-Oct-2012 31-Aug-2017 31-Dec-2018 Number of skills training voucher utilized Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 0.00 9000.00 25000.00 Revised Date 31-Dec-2012 30-Nov-2017 31-Dec-2018 LC Report Card is disseminated on website and at LC level Unit of Measure: Yes/No Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value Yes Yes Yes Marked for Deletion Date 31-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2017 Number of LCs utilized SMS Monitoring Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 0.00 457.00 17000.00 Marked for Deletion Date 31-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2017 The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) Number of Impact Evaluation Studies Unit of Measure: Number Indicator Type: Custom Baseline Actual (Current) End Target Action Value 0.00 2.00 4.00 Revised Date 31-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2016 31-Dec-2018 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_COMPONENTS_TABLE COMPONENTS Current Current Proposed Proposed Cost Action Component Name Component Name Cost (US$M) (US$M) Increasing equitable access 76.93 No Change Increasing equitable access 76.93 Enhancing education quality 16.27 No Change Enhancing education quality 16.27 Improving project management Improving project 17.32 Revised 22.25 and capacity management and capacity Establishing effective M&E 6.43 No Change Establishing effective M&E 6.43 TOTAL 116.95 121.88 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_LOANCLOSING_TABLE LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Original Revised Proposed Proposed Deadline Ln/Cr/Tf Status Closing Closing(s) Closing for Withdrawal Applications IDA-51660 Effective 31-Dec-2017 31-Dec-2018 30-Apr-2019 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_REALLOCATION _TABLE REALLOCATION BETWEEN DISBURSEMENT CATEGORIES Financing % Current Allocation Actuals + Committed Proposed Allocation (Type Total) Current Proposed IDA-51660-001 | Currency: XDR iLap Category Sequence No: 1 Current Expenditure Category: Grants Educ allow Vouchers Tr The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) 80,170,861.00 51,067,915.28 78,480,330.36 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 2 Current Expenditure Category: CS Goods OC (until June 30, 2016) 1,231,359.21 1,231,359.21 1,231,359.21 45.00 45.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 3 Current Expenditure Category: CS (from July 1,2016) 4,020,000.00 2,672,240.99 6,274,391.49 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 4 Current Expenditure Category: Goods OC (from July 1, 2016) 768,640.79 15,361.49 204,779.94 45.00 45.00 Total 86,190,861.00 54,986,876.97 86,190,861.00 Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. The World Bank BD: Reaching Out of School Children II (P131394) Annex 1: Revised Withdrawal Schedule Percentage of Expenditures to Category Amount of the be Financed Financing (inclusive of Taxes) Allocated (1) Grants, Educational 78,480,330.36 (expressed in 100% Allowances, Vouchers SDR) and Training (2) Consultants' services, 1,213,359.00 45% goods and Operating Until June 30, 2016 Consultants ' services, (3) Costs 6,274,391.49 100% from July 1, 2016 until the Closing Date specified in Section IV.B.2. of Schedule 2 to the Financing Agreement. (4) Goods and Operating Costs 204779.94 45% from July 1, 2016 until the Closing Date specified in Section IV.B.2. of Schedule 2 to the Financing Cancelled as of March 15, 2015 9,139.00 A eement. TOTAL AMOUNT 86,200,000