Debt Transparency
in Developing Economies
   Debt Transparency
in Developing Economies
© 2021 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank
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Contents   Foreword
           Acknowledgments
                                                                              i
                                                                            iii
           Acronyms                                                         iv
           Executive Summary                                                 1




  01
           Chapter 1: Debt Transparency: A Framework                         9
           1.1	Motivation                                                   10
           1.2	 What is Debt Transparency?                                  14
           1.3	 Debt Transparency: Incentives and Disincentives             16
           1.4	 Current Efforts to Improve Debt Transparency                19
           1.5	Conclusions                                                  21
           References                                                       22




 02
           Chapter 2: Transparency in Debt Reporting                        24
           2.1	 Debt Statistics: Direct Data Disclosure                     26
           2.2	 Debt Statistics: Indirect Debt Data Disclosure              34
           2.3	 Financial Reporting                                         42
           2.4	Conclusions                                                  46
           References                                                       50




 03
           Chapter 3: Transparency of Debt Operations                       53
           3.1	 Domestic Debt                                               55
           3.2	 External Debt to Private Creditors                          61
           3.3 Resource-Backed Loans                                        66
           3.4 Central Bank Repos and Swap Operations                       73
           References                                                       80




 04
           Chapter 4: The Role of Public Debt Management Legal
           Frameworks in Transparency                                       83
           4.1 	The Authority to Borrow                                     85
           4.2 	Debt Management Responsibilities                            88
           4.3	 Public Debt Definitions and Limits                          90
           4.4	 Disclosure Requirements                                     92
           4.5	 Audit Requirements                                          95
           4.6	 Stipulation of the Consequences of Noncompliance with the
                PDMLF                                                       96
        4.7	 Public Availability of the PDMLF                                  97
        4.8	 Extending the PDMLF’s Scope to the Entire Public Sector
             Borrowing                                                         99
        4.9	Conclusions                                                       100
        References	                                                           102


        Annex I: Drivers of Public Debt Disclosure: Estimation Strategy
        and Results                                                           103
        Annex II: WB and IMF Main Public Debt Databases                       107
        Annex III: Debt Restructuring and Transparency: Estimation
        Strategy and Results                                                  110
        Annex IV: Systems, Institutional Arrangements, and Resources for
        Accrual Accounting                                                    115
        Annex V: Proposal for an International Loan Repository                119



Boxes   Box 2.1 Debt Restructuring: A Missed Opportunity for Transparency?
        Box 2.2 Impact of Including SOEs Debt in Public Debt Coverage
                                                                               32
                                                                               38
        Box 2.3 LIC-DSA Ex-Post Debt Revisions                                 40
        Box 2.4 Status of Sovereign Financial Reporting                        43
        Box 2.5 Total Government Liabilities: IPSAS vs. Direct Reporting       45
        Box 3.1 Benefits of Loan Contract Standardization                      62
        Box 3.2 Reducing the Information Asymmetry: The Role of Credit
        Rating Agencies                                                        63
        Box 3.3 RBLs, Collateral, Collateral-Like Features, and Contractual
        Covenants                                                              71
        Box 3.4 Over-Collateralized REPO in Egypt (2016) and Ecuador (2018)    75
        Box 3.5 Current Use of FXSLs                                           77
        Box 4.1 Public Debt Definitions in Selected Countries                  91
        Box 4.2 Legal Consequences of Noncompliance in Selected Countries      97
                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




           Greater debt transparency is a vital step in the development process. It facilitates
           new, high quality investment, reduced corruption and provides accountability.
           The public debt of many low-income economies remains difficult to pin down.
Foreword   Debt is sometimes incompletely reported in official statistics or hidden through
           confidentiality clauses.

           Our new Debt Transparency in Developing Economies report marks the first
           comprehensive assessment of debt transparency in low-income countries. It presents
           a sobering picture. Global debt surveillance today depends on a patchwork of
           databases with different standards and definitions. The analysis shows that publicly
           available tallies of debt stocks in low-income countries can vary by as much as
           30 percent of a country’s GDP because of divergent definitions and standards in
           local and international databases. The report also reveals that 40 percent of low-
           income countries have not published any data about their sovereign debt for more
           than two years.

           The report outlines a new way forward for national policymakers, debt-management
           offices, and international financial institutions. The need for reform is urgent in
           the wake of COVID-19. Declining revenues and wider public-sector deficits have
           increased the risk that unreported liabilities will emerge and make it difficult for
           these countries to service or restructure their debt. Today, 44 percent of low-income
           countries face a high risk of debt distress and 12 percent are already experiencing
           it. Countries that cannot access international bond markets increasingly rely on off-
           budget transactions, opaque collateralized debt instruments, and non-market-based
           domestic issuances—or they run arrears that go unreported.

           The report documents that between 2004 and 2018, resource-backed loans—which
           use future revenue streams as collateral—represented nearly 10 percent of total
           new borrowing in Sub-Saharan Africa. Among developing economies, more than
           15 countries have outstanding collateralized debt, yet none has disclosed the details
           of collateral used to secure the borrowing.

           Moreover, low-income countries are starting to use central-bank repurchases
           and foreign-currency swaps to support external borrowing rather than as tools of
           monetary policy. These operations do not show up in government debt statistics,
           and the databases of international financial institutions do not capture them either.
           There is also a proliferation of debt being taken on by state-owned enterprises,
           SPVs, joint ventures, and other private sector entities that often carry various
           forms of government guarantee, including through future revenue streams, further
           complicating the understanding of the actual size of public debt and other fiscal
           space implications.




                                       i
        Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Even more uncertainty stems from the opacity of domestic debt markets in low-
income countries. The report finds that just 41 percent of these governments use
market-based auctions as the main channel to issue domestic debt. Moreover, even
those that do use auctions, divulge at best spotty information to investors.

The good news is that these problems can be fixed. The study lays out a detailed
list of recommendations, ranked in order of urgency. Prominent among them:
publishing public and publicly guaranteed debt statistics annually, encouraging
coordinated data collection and reporting, and instituting integrated debt recording
and management systems that align with international standards.

The report also calls for creating sound national legal frameworks for public debt
management to specify debt-management objectives, clarify who has authority to
borrow, and spell out the full cycle of authorization. In addition, the new rules would
require public debt reporting to adhere to international standards and delineate a list
of permitted instruments, transactions, or sources of funding.

The solutions detailed in the report flesh out the five key recommendations that
I outlined in the early days of the COVID-19 crisis. First, publish loan terms
and payment schedules. Second, fully disclose public and publicly traded debt,
the liabilities of state-owned enterprises, and other debt-like instruments. Third,
liberate borrowers from excessive confidentiality clauses so they can carry out more
transparent debt reporting. Fourth, promote more prudent use of collateral and liens
in sovereign borrowing. Fifth, insist that borrowers and lenders do not violate the
legal requirements of other creditors, such as negative pledge clauses.

These are not easy fixes, but the experiences described in the report show that
they are possible. It is also clear, however, that individual countries acting alone
cannot bring about changes of this scale. Progress—and the ability to prevent debt
crises—depends on international cooperation to promote more effective global
surveillance systems. International financial institutions, including the World Bank,
have a crucial role to play—along with private creditors, credit-rating agencies, and
other stakeholders.

Debt Transparency in Developing Economies should end any complacency about
addressing debt transparency challenges in low-income countries. The time to act
is now.

David Malpass
President
World Bank Group




                            ii
         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Acknowledgments
The report was led by Diego Rivetti (Senior Debt Specialist, Macroeconomics,
Trade & Investments - MTI) under the guidance of Doerte Doemeland (Practice
Manager, MTI) and Marcello Estevão (Global Director, MTI), in collaboration
with staffs from the World Bank’s Governance Global Practice (GOV), Finance,
Competitiveness & Innovation (FCI), and the Legal Vice-Presidency (LEG).

The authorship of the chapters is as follows:

Chapter 1 was written by Sebastian Essl (Economist, MTI) and Diego Rivetti.

Chapter 2 was written by Diego Rivetti with inputs from James A. Brumby (Senior
Advisor, GOV), Sebastian Michael Essl and Vasileios Tsiropoulos (Economists,
MTI), Juan Carlos Serrano-Machorro and Bonnie Ann Sirois (Senior Financial
Sector Specialists, GOV), Paul Mason and Mike Seiferling (consultants).

Chapter 3 was written by:

•	   Section 3.1: Zsolt Bango (Senior Financial Sector Specialist, FCI)

•	 Section 3.2: Andre Proite, Leandro Secunho and Diego Rivetti (Senior Debt
   Specialists, MTI)

•	 Section 3.3: James Cust (Senior Economist, Africa Region), Susan Maslen
   (Senior Counsel, LEG), Diego Rivetti, Jyhjong Hwang and David Mihalyi
   (consultants)

•	   Section 3.4: Steen Byskov (Senior Financial Officer, Treasury) and
     Diego Rivetti.

Chapter 4 was written by Cigdem Aslan (Lead Debt Specialist, EFI), Susan Maslen,
Ximena Talero (Lead Counsel, LEG) and Bilge Yalcin Bastimur (consultant).

Many colleagues, inside and outside the World Bank Group, provided useful
suggestions at various stages: Luca Bandiera, Rodrigo Cabral, Marie-Helene
Cadoret, Anna Corcuera, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Sebastian Eckardt, J. Clifford
Frazier, Veronica Frisancho, Anna Gelpern, Susan Maslen, Paulo Moreira Marques,
Ugo Panizza, Balint Parragi, Gabor Piski, Rita Ramalho, Joe Rebello, Mellany
Pintado Vasquez, Evis Rucaj, Karlis Smits, Daniel Villar, and Albert Zeufack.

All finalized papers, data, and tools have been posted on the World Bank website
and are available at https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/debt




                            iii
                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




           ABP                  Annual Borrowing Plan
           BOP                  Balance of Payments

Acronyms   CF                   Common Framework
           CG                   Central Government
           CRA                  Credit Rating Agency
           CSD                  Central Security Depository
           DeMPA                Debt Management Performance Assessment
           DLP                  Debt Limits Policy
           DM                   Debt Management
           DMO                  Debt Management Office
           DMRS                 Debt Management and Recording System
           DPF                  Development Policy Financing
           DPO                  Development Policy Operation
           DRF                  Debt Reduction Facility
           DSA                  Debt Sustainability Analysis
           DSF                  Debt Sustainability Framework
           FXSL                 Foreign Currency Swap Line
           GDP                  Gross Domestic Product
           GFS                  Government Finance Statistics
           DSSI                 Debt Service Suspension Initiative
           HIPC                 Heavily Indebted Poor Country
           ICMA                 International Capital Market Association
           ICSD                 International Central Security Depository
           IDA                  International Development Association
           IDS                  International Debt Statistics
           IFI                  International Financial Institution
           IFMIS                Integrated Financial Management System
           IMF                  International Monetary Fund
           IFRS                 International Financial Reporting Standards
           IIP                  International Investment Position
           INTOSAI              International Organization of Supreme Audit Institutions
           IPSAS                International Public Sector Accounting Standards
           FED                  US Federal Reserve
           GRID                 Green, Resilient and Inclusive Development



                                      iv
        Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




LIC                  Low-Income Country
LICDs                Low Income Developing Countries
LIC DSA              Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for LICs
LMA                  Loan Market Association
LSTA                 Loan Syndications and Trading Association
MDB                  Multilateral Development Bank
MTDS                 Medium-Term Debt Strategy
NFPS                 Non-financial Public Sector
OECD                 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
NPC                  Negative Pledge Clause
NRGI                 National Resource Governance Institute
PBOC                 People’s Bank of China
PDMLF                Public Debt Management Legal Framework
PEFA                 Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability
PFM                  Public Financial Management
PFRAM                Public-Private Partnerships Fiscal Risk Assessment Model
PPG                  Public and Publicly Guaranteed
PPP                  Public-Private Partnership
PSDS                 Public Sector Debt Statistics
RBL                  Resource-Backed Loan
SDFP                 Sustainable Development Finance Policy
SDG                  Sustainable Development Goals
SDR                  Special Drawing Right
SFA                  Stock-Flow Adjustment
SOE                  State-Owned Enterprise
SPV                  Special Purpose Vehicle
TA                   Technical Assistance
UCOA                 Unified Charts of Accounts
WBG                  World Bank Group




                            v
                        Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




            Analyzing public debt in low-income developing countries is like solving a
            puzzle with many missing pieces. Forty percent of LIDCs have not published any
Executive   sovereign debt data in the last two years. Public debt data disclosed in different
            publications show discrepancies of up to 30 percent of GDP across sources, and
Summary     relative to the records of relevant authorities. Over 15 LIDCs have outstanding
            collateralized debt but no details of the collateralization are provided in official
            statistics.1 Restructuring of bilateral and commercial debt is often handled privately.
            All these problems have different origins and implications. Yet, they all amount to
            a lack of transparency.

            The international community has become acutely aware of the importance of
            debt transparency after recent cases of “hidden debt.” The “Tuna Bond” case
            in Mozambique highlighted the dangers of inadequate debt transparency. In 2016
            two large previously unreported loans totaling US$1.15 billion—equal to about
            9 percent of the country’s GDP—were revealed.2 As a result, donor support was
            frozen, the economy plunged, and the government was forced to make deep cuts
            in public spending. The biggest losers were poor Mozambiquans. Nontransparent
            public debt can quickly alter the lives of millions of ordinary citizens.

            This report is the first comprehensive assessment of debt transparency in
            LIDCs. It presents a complete picture of the current challenges and the pending
            policy agenda for all stakeholders. It draws upon new databases and surveys to
            take stock of key gaps in debt reporting, borrowing practices and legal frameworks,
            offering a detailed and timely view on the current state of debt transparency in
            LIDCs. It also synthesizes recent studies and policy discussions on debt transparency
            and offers practical policy recommendations required to further improve debt
            transparency in LIDCs.

            The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the central role of debt transparency
            in better assessing debt sustainability, addressing vulnerabilities, and
            facilitating debt restructuring. The crisis has increased the balance sheet of the
            public sector and exacerbated the likelihood of contingent liabilities materializing.
            According to the WB/IMF Low Income Country Debt Sustainability Assessment
            (LIC-DSA), 44 percent of LIDCs are at high risk of external debt distress and 12
            percent of them are already in debt distress. Inadequate transparency could delay
            debt restructurings and curb the ability of low-income countries to overcome the
            pandemic and generate a green, resilient, and inclusive recovery.



            1.	 In this report, LIDCs are broadly defined as countries eligible for support from the International Development
                Association (IDA): http://ida.worldbank.org/about/borrowing-countries.
            2.	 The loans were part of a larger financing operation organized by two state-owned enterprises (SOEs) under guarantee of
                the central government. The revelation led to large upward revisions to Mozambique’s official debt figures. Subsequent
                investigation showed that the guarantees were not subject to scrutiny by the Ministry of Finance before being approved,
                nor were they subject to oversight by the Parliament.


                                             1
                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




            Greater public debt transparency is essential for macroeconomic stability and
            sustainable development. To meet the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
            by 2030, LIDCs will need to invest at least 4.5 percent of national GDP each year
            on infrastructure alone (WB, 2019). With growing current account and budget
            deficits following the global economic slowdown, initial WB estimates indicate that
            external financing needs in LIDCs will reach USD$429 billion between 2023 and
            2025. Most of these financing needs will have to be met through new borrowing. To
            ensure that this financing contributes effectively to development outcomes and does
            not undermine long-term debt sustainability, debt transparency must be improved.
            This could contribute to mitigating the severity of “boom-bust” cycles and help
            avoid setbacks in poverty reduction and other development objectives (Reinhart,
            Pazarbasioglu, 2021).

            This report aims to inform the full range of stakeholders in sound and
            transparent debt management. This includes not only public debt-management
            practitioners but also national policymakers, private sector creditors, and the public
            at large. It provides countries with tools to better identify their main challenges and
            offers concrete policy advice that can help them improve their debt management
            practices. It also recommends ways for international organizations to better calibrate
            their policy actions and contribute to the standardization of debt disclosure practices.




Who         Debt transparency benefits three categories of stakeholders:


Benefits?   1.	 Authorities in borrowing countries: It enables them to make informed
                decisions about future borrowing with an accurate understanding of the cost
                and risk of the existing debt portfolio.

            2.	 Creditors: It helps them fully understand borrowers’ debt-sustainability
                challenges, accurately price debt instruments and estimate comparability of
                treatment in the event of debt restructuring.

            3.	 Citizens and civil society: Debt transparency assists them in holding
                governments accountable for the debt they take on, thereby facilitating better
                governance, increasing accountability, and helping to counter corruption.

            All play an important role in promoting transparency. Debt transparency is
            mainly the responsibility of authorities in borrowing countries. However, creditors
            can promote transparent financing practices and provide detailed information
            about their lending portfolio to their own constituencies, possibly filling in gaps
            in borrower’s statistics. IFIs can promote reforms in national legal and operational
            frameworks and encourage the harmonization of debt reporting and operations
            standards. Finally, citizens can actively engage with their national institutions
            and political.




                                        2
                        Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




               Although the report focuses on LIDCs, some of its key findings can be applied
               to all sovereign borrowers. LIDCs face the greatest transparency challenges, given
               the (i) more limited availability of debt data beyond direct central government debt,
               (ii) higher share of non-marketable debt in their portfolios, (iii) weaker capacity and
               institutions, and (iv) higher political instability that creates additional opportunities for
               opaque borrowing.

KEY FINDINGS   Despite progress in recent years, public disclosure of debt data by LIDCs’ authorities
               (“direct reporting”) is still limited, particularly in fragile countries. Forty percent of
               LIDCs have never published any debt data or have not updated their data in the last two
               years. When available, debt statistics tend to cover only central government loans and
               securities, omitting other public sector components and debt instruments.

               Existing statistical standards for public debt are proving to be very ambitious
               for LIDCs. Debt management offices (DMOs) or offices in charge of producing debt
               statistics in LIDCs typically do not have the legal mandate, the incentives, or the capacity
               to collect data or report them beyond the central government level and standard debt
               instruments (e.g., loans and securities). As a result, instrument and sectoral coverage
               in public debt statistics fall short in adhering to international standards and differ
               significantly by country. According to our estimates, adding the state-owned enterprises’
               (SOEs’) debt portfolio alone would increase the median of public debt by more than
               seven percent of national GDP.

               Any gaps in borrower statistics can be only partially covered by creditor data or
               by IFIs’ “indirect reporting”. Information disclosed by creditors is scant and depends
               on the disclosure policies of each lending institution. IFI databases extend the coverage,
               but only to the extent that data are collected and shared by the borrowing country. Even
               when comprehensive data exist, they may not be comparable because of different debt
               standards and definitions. In fact, the two internationally recognized standards for
               statistical and accounting reporting (GFS and IPSAS) are adopted on a voluntary basis,
               and the level of compliance with them depends on national preference, capacity, and
               legislation. In addition, deviations from international standards are not disclosed. Debt
               restructuring offers a unique opportunity to reconcile, update, and improve debtor and
               creditor records—but it has been a missed opportunity so far.

               The existing reporting ecosystem, depicted in Figure 2.6, is not entirely conducive
               to transparency. Multiple direct and indirect sources of public debt data co-exist.
               Uncoordinated data requests by IFIs and other external agents overburden often short-
               staffed DMOs. Differences in debt definitions and recording errors lead to discrepancies
               of up to 30 percent of national GDP across sources with the same expected coverage.

               Contingent liabilities are sizeable in LIDCs, but data thereon are not easily
               accessible. In 30 percent of LIDCs, statistics on guarantees are not disclosed. Among
               LIDCs with available data, the median stock of guarantees is 3.1 percent of GDP.
               Similarly, estimates of contingent liabilities from public private partnerships (PPP) are
               available in official debt/fiscal documents in less than 10 percent of the cases. PPPs have
               the potential to increase debt by a median of 2 percent of GDP. Finally, expenditure
               arrears, typically converted to debt through securitization, are hard to quantify in the
               absence of well performing accounting systems. Recent evidence suggests that they


                                            3
                           Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                  accounted for an average of 3 percent of GDP in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2018 (IMF,
                  2018), and the COVID-19 crisis has further increased their stock by an additional
                  2 percent (WB, 2020).

                  Central bank repos and foreign-currency swaps are increasingly being used
                  to facilitate external borrowing, rather than to implement monetary policy or
                  manage liquidity. This has the potential to generate “debt surprises” because central
                  bank accounts are not consolidated with government accounts. The presence of repos
                  and swaps is not clearly identifiable in central bank balance sheets, and it is not captured
                  in current IFI databases.

                  Domestic debt markets in LIDCs tend to be opaque. Only 41 percent of LIDCs use
                  market-based auctions as the main issuance mechanism for domestic debt. Among
                  those that do issue via auction, only half properly communicate with investors ex-ante
                  by publishing a borrowing plan, and ex-post by disclosing the auction results on the
                  same day.

                  Non-tradable external debt is a source of possibly opaque operations. Bilateral and
                  syndicated loans are more prone to misreporting or non-disclosure than are Eurobonds
                  because loans are not traded in official markets and are more likely to include
                  confidentiality clauses. In addition, information about their restructuring or re-profiling
                  does not enter the public domain in a timely manner.

                  Resource-backed loans (RBLs) pose distinct transparency challenges. Between
                  2004 and 2018, RBLs made up at least 8 percent of total new borrowing in Sub-Saharan
                  Africa, between 10 percent and 30 percent of the median country’s total external public
                  debt stock in the year following their signature. No country using these instruments
                  reports collateralization details. The existence of these loans is often omitted in debt
                  statistics because: (i) they are not systematically recognized and classified as debt by
                  the borrower; (ii) they are often contracted by SOEs or special purpose vehicles (SPVs)
                  which are off-budget and/or beyond the data collection mandate of the DMOs; or (iii)
                  international databases do not require countries to report collateralization features.

POLICY            A sound public debt management legal framework (PDMLF) is needed for
RECOMMENDATIONS   promoting greater debt transparency. This report identifies eight key properties
                  of a national PDMLF that make it conducive to transparency. A sound PDMLF
                  (i) clarifies the borrowing authority, the delegation of power, and the debt authorization
                  cycle; (ii) outlines debt management roles and responsibilities; (iii) defines public debt
                  according to international standards, sets debt management objectives, and provides
                  a list of permitted instruments, transactions, or sources of funding; (iv) regulates debt
                  data disclosure statistics to ensure comprehensiveness, timeliness and full accessibility;
                  (v) includes public debt audit requirements; (vi) stipulates the consequence of
                  non-compliance; (vii) is publicly available: and (viii) extends its scope to the entire
                  public sector.




                                               4
                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                        The other key enabler of transparency is the presence of a sound institutional and
                        operational framework. Many debt offices in LIDCs are now structured according to
                        the international sound practices of back, middle, and front office. However, results from
                        the World Bank’s Debt Management Performance Assessment (DeMPA) suggest that
                        less than 50 percent of LIDCs meet the minimum requirements in terms of staff capacity
                        (IMF-WB, 2020d). Improvements in IT systems for debt recording and management
                        could also help enhance transparency.

                        However, debt transparency cannot be addressed by individual countries by
                        themselves. It requires broad international consensus and better global debt surveillance
                        systems. IFIs, creditors, and other stakeholders, like credit rating agencies, have a key
                        role to play in fostering debt transparency.

                        Because of the current risks to low-income countries, improvements in debt
                        transparency have to be accelerated. The debt transparency agenda has become
                        urgent given the larger number of countries facing a high risk of debt distress or going
                        through debt restructuring processes. This report makes several key recommendations
                        and organizes them by their overall level of priority (high, medium, low). For borrowing
                        countries, the relevance of each recommendation and the timing of their implementation
                        will depend on their starting conditions.


           Topic                    Policy Recommendations                          Agent            Priority

                        Publish core public and publicly guaranteed
                        (PPG) debt statistics at general government
                                                                                                       High
                        level on an annual basis, including information
                        on individual debt instruments contracted.

                        Expand the coverage and improve timeliness
                        of PPG debt reports in the categories identified in                          Medium
                        the World Bank’s reporting heatmap.

                        Publish regular estimation of the exposure to
Transparency in Debt    contingent liabilities (including those stemming
                                                                                 Borrowers           Medium
Reporting (Chapter 2)   from PPPs) and domestic arrears, in debt
                        statistical reports and fiscal risk statements.

                        Accelerate transition to IPSAS as the normative
                        accrual accounting framework for financial                                   Medium
                        reporting.

                        Publish information on final bondholders by
                        category of investor, based on data provided
                                                                                                       Low
                        by local and international central security
                        depositories (CSDs).




                                                     5
                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Topic               Policy Recommendations                       Agent         Priority

        Limit and define the scope of confidentiality
        clauses and refrain from those that require                             High
        secrecy.                                               Borrowers,
                                                                creditors
        Fully disclose debt data reconciled in the context
                                                                               Medium
        of debt restructuring.

        Publish granular information on the lending
        portfolio (at loan level, possibly including terms)     Creditors      Medium
        on a single website, with annual updates.

        In indirect reporting databases, specify the
        country-specific instrument and sectoral
                                                                                High
        coverage (as opposed to their expected one) and
        explain deviations from direct statistics.

        Foster coordinated data collection processes
        and explore potential for streamlining and                              High
        consolidating existing IFI debt databases.

        Support the development and implementation
        of modern and integrated debt recording and
        management systems (DRMS), with definitions
                                                                                High
        and calculation methods aligned with international
        standards, and capable of easily recording all debt
        instruments.
                                                                  IFIs,
                                                              other external
        Explore the feasibility of developing an
                                                                 agents        Medium
        international loan repository system.

        Provide a regular assessment of borrowing
        countries’ adherence to international statistical                      Medium
        and accounting standards.

        In comprehensive debt restructurings, such
        as the G20 Common Framework, disclose
        key methodological information (e.g., on
                                                                               Medium
        comparability of treatment) ex ante and publish
        detailed reporting about their enforcement
        ex post.

        Promote alignment of debt statistical and
                                                                                Low
        financial reporting standards.




                                     6
                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




           Topic                     Policy Recommendations                        Agent         Priority

                         Explicitly disclose the source of debt data used
                         for credit ratings and the rationale for downward                        Low
                         adjustment as a result of data transparency.

                         Adopt market-based issuing mechanisms for
                         domestic debt and develop clear, transparent
                                                                                                  High
                         rules in the categories identified in the WB’s
                         domestic debt securities heatmap.
                                                                                 Borrowers

                         Develop and adopt strict analytical and monitoring
                         processes for approval and implementation of                             High
                         resource-backed loans.
Transparency in Debt
Operations (Chapter 3)
                         Minimize deviations from standard commercial
                         loan templates and include provisions to require        Borrowers,
                                                                                                 Medium
                         any secondary market transaction of the loan to          creditors
                         be communicated to the borrower.

                         Strengthen disclosure requirements on Central
                         Bank repos/swaps. Collect information on their        Borrowers, IFIs   Medium
                         use in international databases.

                         Define clear rules, procedures, and processes
                         on the authority to contract debt or issue
                         guarantees in the PDMLF. Introduce “enhanced
                                                                                                  High
                         authorization” for heavily structured transactions
                         (e.g., collateralized debt), and new debt
                         instruments.

                         Outline the roles and responsibilities of the unit
                         in charge of executing debt operations.                                  High

Public Debt Management
                         Provide a definition of public debt in line with
Legal Frameworks                                                                 Borrowers
                         international standards; announce the country’s
(Chapter 4)
                         debt-management objectives and provide a list                            High
                         of permitted debt instruments, transactions or
                         sources of funding.

                         Require the publication of comprehensive and
                         timely debt statistics and disclosure of a core set                      High
                         of transaction-level debt information.

                         Require regular audits (external and internal) of
                                                                                                 Medium
                         DM activities and publish audit reports.




                                                      7
                Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Topic              Policy Recommendations                        Agent           Priority

        Stipulate the consequences of not complying
                                                                                 Medium
        with the PDMLF rules under domestic law.

        Publish the PDMLF rules and regulations in a
        single location, ideally in a unified document to                        Medium
        increase their coherency and accessibility.

        Extend the PDMLF’s scope to the entire public
                                                                                 Medium
        sector borrowing.




        The rest of this report is organized as follows:

        Chapter 1 introduces a framework that defines debt transparency and lays out its main
        determinants. It also discusses the current efforts of the international community to
        promote the transparency agenda.

        Chapter 2 describes the debt reporting ecosystem in which two recording frameworks
        (financial and statistical) and multiple data sources coexist. The chapter also offers
        a number of recommendations to make the reporting process more effective,
        comprehensive, and coherent.

        Chapter 3 focuses on specific debt operations and instruments that may give rise
        to transparency concerns and discusses policy reforms that can serve to mitigate
        those concerns.

        Chapter 4 presents the key elements of a PDMLF that are conducive to debt transparency
        and offers clear guidance to authorities on how to strengthen their PDMLF.




                                    8
Debt Transparency:
      A Framework
                                       Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




1.1 MOTIVATION                Public debt levels in LIDCs have deteriorated in the last decade. Between 2010 and
                              2020, median public debt in IDA countries increased from 35 to 50 percent of GDP (see
                              Figure 1.1a). In half of the countries that obtained debt relief from the Heavily Indebted
                              Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative, the interest-to-revenue ratio on external debt currently
                              exceeds pre-HIPC levels, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa (WB-IMF, 2020a). In
                              addition to the fall in commodity prices over 2011-14 causing volatile primary deficits, a
                              key driver has been the rise of real interest-growth differentials; this is in direct contrast
                              to advanced economies where interest-growth differentials have been steadily declining
                              as a result of accommodative monetary policy (WB-IMF, 2020a). This means that the
                              share of IDA countries classified by the IMF/World Bank Debt Sustainability Analysis
                              for Low-Income Countries (LIC-DSA) as under or at high risk of debt distress more
                              than doubled between 2013 and 2021, from 24 to 56 countries.

                              The COVID-19 pandemic further deteriorated the debt situation in most LIDCs.
                              Declining revenues and the rapid expansion of government balance sheets have
                              challenged debt-service capacity, particularly in the world’s poorest and most vulnerable
                              countries, which have limited fiscal and monetary policy instruments. Overall external
                              public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) debt-service-to-revenue ratios for IDA countries
                              increased from 8.2 percent to an estimated 11.8 percent between 2017 and 2019 (WB-
                              IMF, 2021). The most recent LIC-DSA data from June 2021 show that 44 percent of
                              LIDCs are at high risk of external debt distress and 12 percent of them are already
                              in debt distress (see Figure 1.1b). Furthermore, safety margins have eroded in many
                              countries at moderate risk of external debt distress.



Figure 1.1                                             Figure 1.1a: Public Debt in IDA Countries
Public Debt Vulnerabilities
in LIDCs                                                                  (Percent of GDP)
                              80

                              70

                              60

                              50

                              40

                              30

                              20

                              10
                                      2010     2011      2012     2013      2014   2015      2016     2017   2018    2019     2020e


                                             Median                   Mean                25th percentile           75th percentile


                              Source: World Economic Outlook October 2020.




                                                          10
                                                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                                                 Figure 1.1b: Risk of External Debt Distress


                                                                                          (Percent of countries with LIC DSA)
                                                      100

                                                                            24
                                                       80
                                                                                                      51                        54                        56

                                                       60
                                                                            45

                                                       40
                                                                                                      31
                                                                                                                                32                        32
                                                       20
                                                                            31
                                                                                                      18                        13                        12
                                                         0
                                                                          2013                       2019                      2020                      2021


                                                                                            Low              Moderate            High

                                                     Source: Joint Bank-Fund LIC DSF database, June 2021.



                                                     The creditor landscape has changed significantly over the last 20 years. Until the
                                                     late 1990s, LIDCs borrowed primarily from official Paris Club creditors and IFIs on
                                                     concessional standardized terms. The relative share of total debt of these creditors
                                                     has decreased over time, giving up space to other bilateral creditors (mostly China)
                                                     and commercial debt. Non-Paris Club creditors now account for more than twice the
                                                     outstanding external debt as Paris Club creditors3. Over the last decade, the share
                                                     of external debt to private creditors more than tripled in LIDCs, increasingly taking
                                                     the form of Eurobonds as opposed to syndicated loans (see Figure 1.2). As a result,
                                                     commercial banks are no longer the only holders of commercial debt; the expanding
                                                     universe of creditors now includes, hedge/credit funds, investment management firms
                                                     and commodity trading companies. Domestic debt has also been on the rise in LIDCs.
                                                     Between 2011 and 2019, the median domestic debt-to-GDP ratio in IDA countries
                                                     almost doubled from 7 percent to 13 percent of GDP (WB-IMF, 2021). The structure of
                                                     debt is expected to continue to shift, leading to further increases in interest costs and to
                                                     higher risk. In the absence of significant increases in ODA and based on current trends,4
                                                     the share of concessional debt to total public external debt is expected to fall from the
                                                     current level of 39 percent to 30 percent by 2030. (WB-IMF, 2020a).




3. Source: WB’s IDS.
4 . Assuming constant share of ODA (in percent of donor countries’ GDP), and the current DSA assumption of average annual growth of external debt of 8 percent.


                                                                                     11
                                         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 1.2                                                             (share of total, 2010-19)
Composition of PPG External   100%
Debt in LIDCs                  90%

                               80%

                               70%

                               60%

                               50%

                               40%

                               30%

                               20%

                               10%

                                 0%
                                         2010      2011      2012       2013         2014   2015     2016   2017     2018    2019


                                           Multilateral           Bilateral Non PC          Bilateral PC     Bonds          Commercial


                              Source: International Debt Statistics.



                              The range of lending instruments and borrowers within the public sector has also
                              expanded. LIDCs are increasingly relying on off-budget borrowing using state-owned
                              enterprises (SOEs) and special purpose vehicles (SPVs). The range of instruments
                              includes resource-backed loans as well as other forms of collateralized debt and PPPs
                              whose future obligations governments often find hard to anticipate.

                              The higher diversification of creditor and borrower base and the use of innovative
                              and complex debt instruments create important challenges for transparency. Legal
                              frameworks, and debt reporting and management practices in LIDCs are still based on a
                              model of sovereign lending centered around standard concessional borrowing from the
                              central government. As discussed in the report, the increased sophistication of public
                              debt portfolios has not been accompanied in all LIDCs by a corresponding upgrade in
                              capacity, institutions, or legal and operational frameworks for debt management.

                              Increasing levels of debt as a result of the pandemic have further highlighted the
                              urgency for transparency. In past crises, it became apparent that borrowed funds had
                              been diverted to purposes that did not raise export proceeds, productivity, or potential
                              output (Kose et al., 2020). Any deterioration in debt-service capacities tends to increase
                              incentives for governments to move debt off-budget or to take advantage of the lack
                              of internationally enforceable standards for accounting and statistics to disguise debt
                              and avoid possible repercussions from higher disclosure (i.e., higher cost of borrowing,
                              possible downgrades). The last column in Table 1.1 shows the very limited availability
                              of debt data in LIDCs beyond central government level.




                                                            12
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Table 1.1
Data Availability: General Government and Non-Financial Public Corporation Debt (end-2019)

                                                                                  All                       AEs                        EMs                       LIDCs

                                                                                                             Number of countries

      General Government                                                         107                         35                          45                         27

      Non-Financial Public Corporations                                           81                         29                          34                         18

                                                                                                           Percent of membership

      General Government                                                         56.6                       100                        52.9                        39.1

      Non-Financial Public Corporations                                          42.9                       82.9                         40                        26.1

Source: WB-IMF, 2020a.



                                                        Collateralization by public sector borrowers also tends to be higher in times of stress
                                                        (WB, IMF, 2020c). Collateralization takes different forms and has appeared in bilateral
                                                        official lending as well as commercial lending (WB, IMF, 2020a) as means to maintain
                                                        access to commercial funding or to reduce the cost of borrowing. Collateralization may
                                                        be beneficial from a financial standpoint, as it may provide access to finance not otherwise
                                                        available or allow the borrower to obtain more favorable pricing. However, experience
                                                        from countries that entered into such contracts following the commodity price shock
                                                        in 2014-15 (e.g., Chad and Republic of Congo) shows that those collateralized debt
                                                        contracts were non-transparent and likely exacerbated debt vulnerabilities.

                                                        Finally, debt transparency is crucial for ongoing and future debt restructuring
                                                        workouts. Three countries (Chad, Ethiopia, Zambia) have already requested the
                                                        G20 Common Framework for debt restructuring and others may receive some form
                                                        of bilateral or comprehensive debt restructuring in coming months. Debt restructuring
                                                        negotiations can be protracted when creditors raise doubts about the size and composition
                                                        of the debtor’s debt portfolio or find it difficult to assess the level of debt relief needed
                                                        to restore debt sustainability. Creditors also seek to avoid subsidizing other creditors
                                                        whose debt has not been fully disclosed.5 This problem is even more acute when
                                                        restructuring is carried out in private negotiations with single creditors rather than in
                                                        a coordinated manner.6 Moreover, in the absence of accurate and comprehensive data,
                                                        debt restructuring is delayed by the need of undertaking time-consuming reconciliations
                                                        between debtor and creditor records.




5.	    In Zambia, a group of bondholders representing around 40% of total outstanding Eurobonds held out from accepting a request from the government for a suspension of
       coupon payments on the grounds that the debt owed to some bilateral lenders was not fully disclosed. Zambia defaulted in November 2020.
6.	    In the of Republic of Congo, for instance, the restructuring that began in early 2018 remains incomplete. After a year-long negotiation, the authorities restructured the debt
       owed to a non-Paris Club creditor, but they have continued to be in discussions with three commercial commodity traders to restructure their debt. An agreement with one
       of the traders was reached in 2020, but no official report detailing its terms has been published.


                                                                                         13
                            Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                   Countries will need debt financing for a recovery based on a green, resilient, and
                   inclusive development (GRID). The COVID-19 pandemic has eroded fiscal space
                   and the macro-economic environment remains highly uncertain; recovery from the
                   pandemic will require significant investment. In this context, improvements to debt
                   transparency are needed to help ensure that borrowing and lending decisions are not
                   subject to asymmetric information, and that debt is contracted at the lowest possible
                   costs—subject to an acceptable level of risk.

1.2 WHAT IS DEBT   Debt transparency covers the availability of debt data and borrowing processes
TRANSPARENCY?      that are legitimate, rule-based, and traceable. Borrowers and creditors need detailed
                   information on the outstanding stock of public debt, including terms and conditions, to
                   make informed borrowing and lending decisions; citizens also need this information to
                   hold their governments accountable. However, this is only part of debt transparency as
                   reporting needs to be complemented by borrowing processes and practices that ensure
                   that new debt is contracted responsibly and in line with sound legal and operational
                   frameworks to minimize enforcement uncertainty.

                   As depicted in Figure 1.3, debt transparency in this report is therefore defined by
                   the following two interrelated dimensions:

                   •	   Transparent debt reporting: Debt reports should comprise comprehensive,
                        timely, and consistent debt data at public sector level. To facilitate cross-country
                        comparability and comprehensive debt analyses, public sector debt statistics (PSDS)
                        should be compiled and reported based on internationally accepted statistical
                        definitions and concepts (WB-IMF, 2020d)

                   •	   Transparent borrowing operations: Transparency around borrowing practices is
                        needed to ensure that debt is contracted legitimately, shielded from undue political
                        interference, and grounded on a sound analysis of the legal implications and financial
                        cost and risks of the different borrowing alternatives.

                   A country’s performance in these two dimensions depends on two enabling factors:

                   •	   A sound public debt management legal framework (PDMLF) and adherence to
                        it. Public debt reporting and borrowing operations must be based on a comprehensive
                        set of legal requirements. As detailed in Chapter 4, a PDMLF promotes debt
                        transparency when it: (i) clearly specifies the authority to borrow and the debt
                        authorization cycle; (ii) clarifies the institutional arrangements of debt management;
                        (iii) discloses national debt policies; (iv) adopts reporting standards in support of
                        debt transparency; (v) introduces audit requirements; (vi) regulates consequences of
                        non-compliant debt; (vii) is publicly accessible; and (viii) extends its scope to the
                        entire public sector.




                                               14
                                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                     •	            An effective DM institutional and operational framework. Transparency of debt
                                                                   data and borrowing operations also depends on organizational structures that ensure
                                                                   segregation of duties, avoid conflicts of interest and are well-equipped with skilled
                                                                   staff and robust and integrated IT systems for debt recording and management.7

                                                     External stakeholders can also play a key role in fostering debt transparency in
                                                     LIDCs.

                                                     •	            IFIs promote reforms in national legal and operational frameworks and
                                                                   encourage the harmonization of debt reporting and operations standards. IFIs
                                                                   have developed standards and guidelines to promote accurate debt reporting (e.g.,
                                                                   Public Sector Debt Statistics: Guide for Compilers and Users)8 and sound practice
                                                                   with respect to debt management (e.g., WB’s DeMPA) that promote transparency.
                                                                   However, international standards are currently not enforceable and therefore
                                                                   implemented unevenly.

                                                     •	            Creditors’ data disclosure practices and lending policies are also key drivers of
                                                                   debt transparency. In addition to providing information about their lending portfolio
                                                                   to their own constituencies, creditors can fill the gaps in borrowers’ statistics, and
                                                                   facilitate transparent and legally sound debt operations. Acknowledging this role,
                                                                   the G20 Operational Guidelines for Sustainable Financing encourages sovereign
                                                                   creditors to publish loan-by-loan information on new debt, including all terms of the
                                                                   new debt (on a single website with regular updates); to refrain from confidentiality
                                                                   clauses; and to use publicly available legal documentation templates.


Figure 1.3
                                                                                                      International Standards and Guidelines
Debt Transparency Framework

                                                                                                                                                   National PDM
                                                                                                       National PDM                                 Institutional
                                                                                                      Legal Framework                             and Operational
                                                                                                                                                    Framework
                                                       Creditors’ Reporting and
                                                          Lending Practices




                                                                                                   Debt Reporting:                            Debt Operations:
                                                                                                Comprehensive, Accurate,                    Legitimate, Rule-Based
                                                                                                 and Timely Debt Data                     and Traceable Debt Process



                                                                                                                              Debt Transparency


                                                     Source: Authors’ elaboration.


7.	   The existence of an effective institutional and operation framework constitutes a pre-condition of any sound debt management activity. The World Bank’s Debt Management
      Performance Assessment (DeMPA) and the performance indicator 13 of the Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) methodology capture the elements
      considered essential for achieving this goal. The performance of LIDCs against these international benchmarks is regularly assessed.
8.	   The Public Sector Debt Statistics: Guide for Compilers and Users, 2013 (PSDS Guide) provides the international statistical standard for compiling and reporting PSDS. The
      PSDS Guide is fully harmonized with the standards set out in the System of National Accounts of 2008 (2008SNA) and the IMF’s Government Finance Statistics Manual
      of 2014 (GFS, 2014).


                                                                                                     15
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       The definition of debt transparency used in this report does not capture how the
                                                       proceeds of debt financing are used. The sound selection and implementation of
                                                       debt-financed projects and the coherent and effective use of proceeds will help create
                                                       successful development outcomes, but the related analysis is outside the scope of
                                                       the current report. The analysis of the use of proceeds is more closely linked to the
                                                       transparency of the budget process, which has become increasingly important as LIDCs
                                                       shift their borrowing focus to commercial debt for general budget purposes.9

1.3 DEBT TRANSPARENCY:                                 Governments, acting in the interest of the public, should treat debt transparency
INCENTIVES AND                                         as an objective in itself, irrespective of financial implications. Similar to budget
DISINCENTIVES                                          transparency, public debt is a matter of public interest and citizens should be able
                                                       to obtain information on public borrowing and hold policymakers accountable for
                                                       their decisions.

                                                       Enhancing debt transparency also reduces the uncertainty premium on public
                                                       borrowing. Empirical studies found that increased accountability in debt-management
                                                       practices results in higher credit ratings (Arbatli and Escolano, 2012) and stronger
                                                       investor appetite (Gelos and Wei, 2005), which may ultimately reduce the cost of external
                                                       borrowing (Choi and Hashimoto, 2017 and Kubota and Zeufack, 2020). A recent WB
                                                       study on “hidden debt” in South Asia concluded that transparency reduces the likelihood
                                                       of shocks from contingent liabilities, by aligning policy maker incentives with fiscal
                                                       responsibility (Melecky, 2021). These findings are consistent with other empirical
                                                       work that finds a negative correlation between transparency and the “stock-flow
                                                       adjustments” in a cross-country analysis (Weber, 2012).10 However, without a credible
                                                       debt transparency commitment mechanism, markets cannot fully identify countries
                                                       with enhanced transparency, which may reduce the financial benefits for transparent
                                                       borrowers. IFIs and credit rating agencies have a role to play in this (see Box 3.2).

                                                       A lack of debt transparency can lead to debt mis-pricing and subsequent sudden
                                                       price corrections. Investigating a liquid bond market like the EU’s, Bernoth and
                                                       Wolff (2008) show that creative accounting increases risk premia.11 In Mozambique,
                                                       the disclosure of previously unknown external loans led to a sharp widening of bond
                                                       spreads (see Figure 1.4a). In Zambia, reporting lags and uncertainty around public debt
                                                       coverage led to speculation about the true level of indebtedness and a sharp increase in
                                                       bond yields (see Figure 1.4b).




9.	 A number of international initiatives are in place to foster more open and inclusive budgeting processes (see, for instance: www.internationalbudget.org).
10.	 The Stock-flow adjustment (SFA) is the year-on-year change in debt after accounting for the fiscal deficit. It may represent the largest driver of public debt spikes (Campos,
     Jaimovich, & Panizza, 2006). SFA can stem from below-the-line acquisition of liabilities (and assets); changes to the valuation of the existing debt stock; or statistical
     discrepancies. SFAs can be considered blind spots in public debt dynamics as they cannot be properly modelled or forecasted (Jaramillo, Mulas-Granados, & Kimani, 2016,
     and Jaramillo, Mulas-Granados, & Jalles, 2017).
11.	 “Creative accounting” is defined by the authors as fiscal and debt window-dressing or shifting expenditures off the budget.


                                                                                        16
                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 1.4                                                           Figure 1.4a: Mozambique EMBI Spread
Lack of Transparency:
Market Reactions                                                                              (basis points, 2015-16)
                        2,400

                        2,100                -	Mozambique authorities
                                               announced “tuna bond”
                        1,800                  restructuring; investors lost
                                               confidence over its “misuse”
                        1,500

                        1,200

                          900

                          600                                                                 -	Just as “tuna bond”                                        -	Mozambique
                                                                                                exchange drew to an                                          authorities published
                          300                                                                   end, two large “hidden                                       DSA showing public
                                                                                                loans” were revealed                                         debt in distress
                            0
                                 01/2015
                                 02/2015
                                 03/2015
                                 04/2015
                                 05/2015
                                 06/2015
                                 07/2015
                                 08/2015
                                 09/2015
                                 10/2015
                                 11/2015
                                 12/2015
                                 01/2016
                                 02/2016
                                 03/2016
                                 04/2016
                                 05/2016
                                 06/2016
                                 07/2016
                                 08/2016
                                 09/2016
                                 10/2016
                                 11/2016
                                 12/2016
                        Source: WB-IMF, 2018.


                                                                          Figure 1.4b: Zambia EMBI Spread


                                                                                               (basis points, 2018)
                          550
                                     -	The Finance Minister was
                                       demoted
                                     -	IMF issued statement
                          500
                                       to call off program
                                       discussions (due to debt-
                                       related concerns)
                          450



                          400
                                                   -	Africa Confidential
                                                     published article raising
                                                     concerns that Zambia is                                                               -	Mozambique published its annual
                          350                                                                                                                economic report
                                                     pulling a Mozambique
                                                                                                                                           -	BAML published investor report
                                                                                                                                             clarifying issue on “hidden debt”
                          300
                                 1/01/2018

                                             1/08/2018

                                                         1/15/2018

                                                                      1/22/2018

                                                                                  1/29/2018

                                                                                               2/05/2018

                                                                                                           2/12/2018

                                                                                                                       2/19/2018

                                                                                                                                   2/26/2018

                                                                                                                                               3/05/2018

                                                                                                                                                           3/12/2018

                                                                                                                                                                       3/19/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                   3/26/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                               4/02/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                           4/09/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/16/2018




                        Source: WB-IMF, 2018.




                                                                      17
                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                           Despite these advantages, borrowers and creditors may have incentives to keep
                                           the existence, or terms, of some transactions confidential. While there may be also
                                           occasional legitimate reasons for keeping part of the agreements confidential (see
                                           Chapter 4.4), Table 1.2 outlines other kind of incentives for lenders and borrowers to
                                           avoid higher levels of transparency or even to actively hide debt.


Table 1.2
Lack of Debt Transparency: Possible Incentives for Borrowers and Lenders

                                Borrower                                                           Lender

     To avoid a higher cost of debt in the short term by                      To acquire the favor of the borrower to facilitate
     hiding (i) the true extent of indebtedness or (ii) the                   the lending operation or promote broader business/
     collateral granted to selected creditors                                 politically strategic objectives

     To circumvent policies that may impact borrowing cost                    To avoid disclosing financial or legal terms
     or availability (e.g., fiscal rules, borrowing limits, or                to competitors
     negative pledge clauses)

     To avoid public scrutiny or to maintain confidentiality around politically sensitive issues, such as security investments
     or access to natural resources

     To obtain personal gains, particularly in environments with limited checks and balances

Source: Authors’ elaboration.



                                           However, lack of transparency is not necessarily the consequence of deliberate
                                           actions by borrowers and lenders. Recent episodes of “hidden debt” have linked
                                           debt transparency with intentional efforts to conceal debt exerted by the creditor, the
                                           borrower, or both. While this is undoubtedly part of the problem, our analysis shows
                                           that debt transparency is also a story of “missing debt portfolios”. In several cases, entire
                                           sectors or instruments are mis- or under-reported as a result of weak domestic legal and
                                           operational frameworks. Inadequate debt reporting may result from a narrow public
                                           debt definition at national level, in the absence of enforceable international reporting
                                           standards; or it may also come about as a result of the lack of capacity, legal mandate,
                                           or organizational procedures to collect, process, and disclose data related to certain
                                           debt operations.

                                           It is challenging to empirically disentangle unintentional from intentional lack
                                           of transparency. A desire to maintain discretion in borrowing decisions may affect
                                           the level of investment in debt management institutions and legislation. For example,
                                           authorities may prefer to limit the mandate of the DMO, thus hampering its ability to
                                           become a key debt management decision-maker. In this case, weaknesses in capacity
                                           area direct consequence of a deliberate lack of commitment to debt transparency. This
                                           causality loop limits the extent to which either intention or capacity can be isolated as
                                           the cause of non-transparency.




                                                                       18
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       Restructuring episodes offer unique opportunities to foster debt transparency.
                                                       Restructuring episodes temporarily relax some of the main constraints of debt
                                                       transparency, i.e., capacity and willingness to report. On the one hand, the ad-hoc
                                                       assistance provided to borrowing countries by IFIs, creditors and financial/legal advisors
                                                       temporarily solves capacity limitations. On the other hand, the high stakes attached
                                                       to the restructuring process increase the borrower’s reputational risk in the event that
                                                       hidden debt is discovered, increasing the likelihood of truthful reporting. However, as
                                                       discussed in Chapter 2, the opportunity for more complete disclosure and information
                                                       sharing has not been yet fully leveraged.

1.4 CURRENT EFFORTS                                    Debt transparency has moved to the forefront of International Financial Institutions’
TO IMPROVE DEBT                                        (IFI) agenda, particularly the World Bank. Under the Addis Ababa Action Agenda
TRANSPARENCY                                           for Financing for Development to meet the Sustainable Development Goals, debt
                                                       transparency is a key commitment of the international community.12 Acknowledging
                                                       its importance for sustainable development, the World Bank Group has been working
                                                       on five key principles for achieving full debt transparency, as communicated by its
                                                       President in June 2020.13 The five principles are the following: (i) spell out loan contract
                                                       terms and payment schedules; (ii) full disclosure of the stock of public and publicly
                                                       guaranteed debt, SOE liabilities, and debt-like instruments; (iii) enable borrowers
                                                       to seek relief from excessive confidentiality clauses so they can proceed with more
                                                       transparent data reporting; (iv) promote effective and prudent use of collateral and liens
                                                       in sovereign borrowing; and (v) insist that borrowers and lenders avoid violations of
                                                       legal requirements of other creditors, such as negative pledge clauses.

                                                       Debt transparency has become a cornerstone of the World Bank’s public debt
                                                       program and is a cross-cutting theme within the institution. It has been integrated
                                                       into World Bank policies and operations and is supported by scaled-up technical
                                                       assistance. Enhancing debt transparency is a key pillar of the Multi-Pronged Approach
                                                       (MPA) to reducing debt vulnerabilities, approved by the WB board in 2018 (updated in
                                                       2020);14 the new Sustainable Development Finance Policy (SDFP) also provides new
                                                       incentives for IDA countries to improve debt transparency.15 The revised Low-Income
                                                       Country Debt Sustainability Framework (LIC DSF) has been successfully rolled out,
                                                       contributing to increased debt coverage in more than 15 LIDCs. Regular publications
                                                       support monitoring public debt vulnerabilities in developing countries;16 tools to assess
                                                       the transparency of public debt reporting and domestic borrowing in LIDCs are being
                                                       developed and published.17




12.	 “We recall the need to strengthen information sharing and transparency to make sure that debt sustainability assessments are based on comprehensive, objective and
     reliable data. We will work towards a global consensus on guidelines for debtor and creditor responsibilities in borrowing by and lending to sovereigns, building on existing
     initiatives”.
13.	 https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/june-19-2020-debt-and-investment-transparency-better-outcomes.
14.	 https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/351311607717096586/update-on-the-joint-world-bank-imf-multipronged-approach-
      to-address-debt-vulnerabilities.
15.	 https://ida.worldbank.org/debt/sustainable-development-finance-policy.
16.	 https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/695971579921244762/the-evolution-of-public-debt-vulnerabilities-in-lower-income-
      economies.
17.	 https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/debt/brief/debt-transparency-report; https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/making-domestic-borrowing-transparent.


                                                                                        19
                                                      Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                            The World Bank also supports creditor initiatives to enhance sustainable financing
                                            practices. In 2017, the G20 endorsed the Operational Guidelines for Sustainable
                                            Financing, which aim to enhance sustainable financing by official bilateral lenders,
                                            ensuring debt sustainability and improved creditor coordination. In 2019, the guidelines
                                            were translated into a set of financing principles structured around five main objectives,
                                            including improved information sharing and debt transparency. To this end, the World
                                            Bank, with the IMF, has published a diagnostic tool allowing creditors to self-assess
                                            their financing practices.18

                                            World Bank support of debt transparency is aligned with ongoing initiatives led
                                            by other IFIs. The OECD Recommendations on Sustainable Lending Practices and
                                            Officially Supported Export Credits were adopted by the Council at Ministerial level in
                                            2018.19 Directed at bilateral providers of export credits, the recommendations recognize
                                            that export credits should be allocated sustainably and should create a positive net
                                            economic return for the borrower. A specific recommendation is that the decision to
                                            provide export credit should follow the most recently available LIC DSF, be in line
                                            with IMF and World Bank debt limit policies and enhance debt transparency through
                                            annual data sharing with the IMF and World Bank, via the OECD Secretariat, on all
                                            transactions to lower-income countries. In 2019, the Institute of International Finance
                                            (IIF) published the Voluntary Principles for Debt Sustainability for private sector
                                            lenders.20 These principles aim to facilitate the disclosure of private sector foreign-
                                            currency lending to public sector entities and recommend disclosure of the amount and
                                            terms of private lending within 120 days of the first financial flow, including reference
                                            to any collateralization. This initiative was followed-up by the OECD through the
                                            development of a commercial debt data repository and reporting platform.21

                                            Debt transparency is also at the core of the G20 Debt Service Suspension Initiative
                                            (DSSI) and Common Framework (CF). For eligible countries that requested it, the
                                            DSSI is enacting a temporary suspension of debt service to bilateral official creditors;
                                            the CF facilitates comprehensive debt restructuring including burden sharing across
                                            creditors. Both initiatives rely on participating countries’ commitment to full disclosure
                                            of all public sector financial commitments. The World Bank has been publishing
                                            updated PPG external data from the International Debt Statistics database (IDS) online,
                                            including a previously unavailable breakdown by creditor.22 Data on the potential debt-
                                            service-suspension amounts from the DSSI are also published.23




18.	  https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/debt-toolkit/resources#5.
19. 	 http://www.oecd.org/officialdocuments/publicdisplaydocumentpdf/?cote=tad/ecg(2018)4&doclanguage=en.
20. 	 https://www.iif.com/Publications/ID/3387/PageID/3387/Voluntary-Principles-For-Debt-Transparency.
21.	  https://www.oecd.org/finance/OECD-Debt-Transparency-Initiative.htm#:~:text=29%2F03%2F2021%20%2D%20The,poorest%20and%20most%20vulnerable%20
      countries.
22.	 https://datatopics.worldbank.org/debt/ids/TDSS.
23. 	 https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/debt/brief/covid-19-debt-service-suspension-initiative.


                                                                         20
                          Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




1.5 CONCLUSIONS   In the last decade, the deterioration of public debt levels in LIDCs has been paired
                  with a changing creditor landscape and a greater range of lending instruments that
                  place transparency at the forefront of the policy agenda. The COVID-19 pandemic
                  has eroded the fiscal space while rendering the macro-economic environment highly
                  uncertain. The road to recovery demands significant investments in the face of global
                  financial distress. Fostering debt transparency can help countries undertake better
                  borrowing choices and make efficient, effective use of the resources.

                  Debt transparency entails availability of debt data and legitimate, rule-based and
                  traceable debt processes. A country’s performance in these two dimensions depends on
                  two factors: a sound public debt management legal framework (and adherence to it) and
                  an effective DM institutional and operational framework. External stakeholders like IFIs
                  and creditors can also play a role in fostering debt transparency in LIDCs.

                  Enhancing debt transparency creates long-term material benefits. Yet, governments
                  may face operational challenges to transparency or have incentives to keep transactions
                  confidential. Enhancing debt transparency has therefore become a cornerstone of the
                  World Bank’s public debt program and has been established as a cross-cutting theme
                  within the institution. The World Bank has developed a comprehensive debt transparency
                  agenda to deal with the multilayered nature of the issue while remaining aligned with
                  ongoing initiatives led by other IFIs.




                                             21
                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




REFERENCES   Asonuma, T., & C. Trebesch. 2016. Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Preemptive or Post-
             Default. Journal of the European Economic Association 14, 175–214.

             Association for Financial Markets in Europe (2019/2020), 2020, “European Primary
             Dealers Handbook”

             Beers, D., Jones, E. and Walsh, J. (2020) BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database:
             Methodology, Assumptions and Sources 2020. Bank of England Research Paper, June
             2020. Bank of England, London.

             Baduel, Benedicte & R. T Price. 2012. “Evolution of Debt Sustainability Analysis in
             Low-Income Countries; Some Aggregate Evidence,” IMF Working Papers 2012/167,
             International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

             Beers, D., E. Jones and J. Walsh. 2020. BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s
             new in 2020? Bank of England Research Paper, June 2020. Bank of England, London.

             Beers, D., E. Jones and J. Walsh. 2020. Special Topic: When sovereigns default, how big
             a share of government debt is involved? Bank of England Research Paper, June 2020.

             Bernoth, K., and G. B. Wolff. 2008. “Fool the Markets? Creative Accounting, Fiscal
             Transparency and Sovereign Risk Premia.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy 55
             (4): 465–87.

             Campos, C. F.S., D. Jaimovich & U. Panizza. 2006. “The unexplained part of public
             debt,” Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 228-243.

             Choi, S., Hashimoto, Y. 2017. “The Effects of Data Transparency Policy Reforms on
             Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads” Working Paper No. 17/74. International
             Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

             Escolano J., Arbatli, E., 2012. “Fiscal Transparency, Fiscal Performance and Credit
             Ratings”. Working Paper No. 12/156. International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

             Gelos, G., Wei, S. 2005. “Transparency and International Portfolio Holdings”.
             J. Finance, 2005, vol. 60/6.

             Horn, Sebastian & C. M. Reinhart & C. Trebesch. 2019. “China’s Overseas Lending,”
             NBER Working Papers 26050, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

             Jaramillo, Laura & Carlos Mulas-Granados & Elijah Kimani. 2016. “The Blind Side
             of Public Debt Spikes,” IMF Working Papers 2016/202, International Monetary Fund.
             Washington, D.C.

             Jaramillo, Laura & C. Mulas-Granados & J. Tovar Jalles. 2017. “Debt spikes, blind
             spots, and financial stress,” International Journal of Finance & Economics, Vol. 22/4.
             255-437.




                                        22
        Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Kubota, M., and M. Zeufack. 2020. “Assessing the Returns on Investments in Data
Openness and Transparency”. Policy Research Working Paper No. 18; World Bank.
Washington, D.C.

Kose, M., P. Nagle, F. Ohnsorge, N. Sugawara. 2021. Global Waves of Debt: Causes and
Consequences. World Bank. Washington, D.C.

Melecky, Martin. 2021. “Hidden Debt: Solutions to Avert the Next Financial Crisis in
South Asia”. South Asia Development Matters. World Bank. Washington, D.C.

United Nations. 2015. “Addis Ababa Action Agenda of the Third International
Conference on Financing for Development, outcome document (General Assembly
resolution 69/313, annex)”. August 17, 2015. https://www.un.org/en/development/desa/
population/migration/generalassembly/docs/globalcompact/A_RES_69_313.pdf.

Weber, A. 2012. “Stock-Flow Adjustments and Fiscal Transparency: A Cross-
Country Comparison.” IMF Working Paper 12/39, International Monetary Fund,
Washington, D.C.

World Bank (2009). Debt Management Performance Assessment. World Bank.
Washington, D.C.

World Bank and International Monetary Fund. 2021. “World Bank Group and
International Monetary Fund Support for Debt Relief Under the Common Framework
and Beyond,” Washington, DC.

World Bank and International Monetary Fund. 2020a. “The Evolution of Public Debt
Vulnerabilities in Lower Income Countries”. Washington, DC.

World Bank and International Monetary Fund. 2020b. “Update on the Joint IMF-WB
Multipronged approach to address debt vulnerabilities “, Washington, DC.

World Bank and International Monetary Fund. 2020c. “Collateralized Transactions: Key
Considerations for Public Lenders and Borrowers”. Washington, D.C.

World Bank and International Monetary Fund. 2020d. “Public Sector Debt Definitions
and Reporting in Low Income Countries”. Washington, D.C.

World Bank and International Monetary Fund. 2018. “G20 Notes on Strengthening
Public Debt Transparency”. Washington, D.C.




                           23
Transparency in
 Debt Reporting
         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




The publication of accurate, comprehensive and timely debt data is the basis of
the concept of public debt transparency. Public debt constitutes the largest financial
portfolio in most LIDCs, and governments owe it to their citizens and creditors to provide
regular current data. Lack of full disclosure may have important financial consequences
and may diminish trust in governments, as discussed in Section 1.3. In light of this, one
might expect to find essential information about government debt operations publicly
accessible to citizens and other stakeholders in standard form.

Yet, public debt information in LIDCs is often absent or partial. Close to 40 percent
of LIDCs have never published debt data on their websites or have not updated their data
in the last two years. When available, statistics tend to cover only central government
loans and securities, often omitting other public sector entities, as well as non-standard
debt instrument and contingent liabilities. As a result of the different instrument and
sectoral coverage levels, debt data are not easy to compare across time and countries.
In addition, lack of visibility around exact public debt stock may affect the quality of
debt sustainability analysis and limit the implementation of swift and fairly designed
debt restructuring. Finally, government capacity to make sound borrowing decisions is
limited when comprehensive debt data are not available.

At its core, the production of debt data is governed by two frameworks: financial
and statistical reporting. Although these frameworks share the same underlying data
and overlap in terms of coverage, they serve different purposes. Public sector government
finance statistics are used to analyze fiscal policy options, determine their impact on the
economy, and compare outcomes nationally and internationally. Financial statements are
used to evaluate financial performance and position, hold management accountable, and
inform decision-making (GFS, 2014). Both are meant to inform external stakeholders,
but the two frameworks present differences in key methodological principles.

Public debt statistics are disseminated in two forms: direct or indirect reporting.
Direct reporting takes place when debt data are directly made public by national
authorities in dedicated bulletins or monetary/macroeconomic publications. National
authorities also make data available to external agents like the World Bank, the
IMF, rating agencies, etc., for their review, compilation, and disclosure in their own
publications or websites. This is indirect reporting (Figure 2.1).




                            25
                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 2.1: Debt Reporting
Frameworks and Dissemination                                                                                           Debt Data
Channels


                                                                                Statistical Reporting                                            Financial Reporting




                                                                    Direct                                  Indirect


                                                      Source: Authors’ elaboration.



                                                      The existence of multiple data disclosure frameworks is justified by the respective
                                                      objectives and audiences but complicates the interpretation of debt figures.
                                                      Different definitions and standards across different frameworks and dissemination
                                                      channels result in diverging debt records across reporting sources. Dipplesman (2015)
                                                      shows that the public debt-to-GDP ratios of a country at any given time could range
                                                      from 40 to over 100 percent depending on the definition of “public debt”. It is therefore
                                                      critical to understand these methodological differences to identify the impacts of sub-
                                                      reporting or misreporting in debt data.

                                                      This chapter measures the extent of transparency in statistical and accounting
                                                      reporting and studies its determinants. It is structured as follows: Section 2.1 portrays
                                                      current debt statistics practices in LIDCs and describes factors that may foster or
                                                      impede these practices. Section 2.2 focuses on indirect reporting and presents possible
                                                      sources of discrepancies with direct sources. Section 2.3 identifies the key differences
                                                      between statistical and financial debt reporting. Section 2.4 concludes and provides
                                                      policy recommendations on how to make the reporting ecosystem more comprehensive,
                                                      consistent and reliable.

2.1 DEBT STATISTICS:                                  Public debt data are produced and disseminated by borrowing countries with
DIRECT DATA DISCLOSURE                                diverse objectives and final users in mind. Format, timing, and content of the
                                                      information depend on the final audience (policymakers, investors, IFIs, general public)
                                                      as well as on the final objectives (marketing, information, internal governance, and
                                                      compliance with national or international rules).

                                                      Debt reports are expected to cover the entire public sector to meet the highest
                                                      standard of transparency (Figure 2.2).24 According to international standards, public
                                                      debt reports should provide a comprehensive and detailed overview of the stock of
                                                      public sector debt, including data on guarantees and other explicit contingent liabilities,
                                                      and (when relevant) collateral provided. In terms of debt instruments, the following six
                                                      instruments should be included: special drawing rights (SDRs);25 currency and deposits;
                                                      debt securities; loans; insurance, pension, and standardized guarantee schemes (IPSGS);
                                                      and other accounts payable (IMF. WB, 2020).


24.	 As outlined in the Public Sector Debt Statistics: Guide for Compilers and Users, 2013 (PSDS Guide) which provides the international statistical standard for compiling and
     reporting public sector debt. The PSDS Guide is fully harmonized with the standards set out in the System of National Accounts of 2008 (2008SNA) and the Government
     Finance Statistics Manual of 2001 and 2014 (GFS) http://tffs.org/pdf/method/2013/psds2013.pdf.
25.	 SDR refer to SDR allocations, not WB/IMF loans denominated in SDR, which should be classified as loans.


                                                                                      26
                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 2.2
Public Sector Coverage                                                                          Public Sector



                                                                   General                                                        Public
                                                                  Government                                                   Corporations


                                                               Central Government                        Public Nonfinancial                        Public Financial
                                                                                                            Corporations                             Corporations


                                                                State Government
                                                                                                                                                     Central Bank



                                                               Local Government                                                                 Public Deposit-Taking
                                                                                                                                               Corporations Except the
                                                                                                                                                    Central Bank


                                                                                                                                                Other Public Financial
                                                                                                                                                    Corporations

                                                      Source: PSDS Guide 2013.



                                                      The statistical targets for both instrument and sectoral coverage are proving to
                                                      be very ambitious for LIDCs. The DMOs or the office in charge of producing debt
                                                      statistics in LIDCs typically do not have the legal mandate, the incentives, or the
                                                      capacity to collect data or report them beyond a certain level (e.g., central government)
                                                      or standard debt instruments (e.g., loans and securities). As a result, instrument and
                                                      sectoral coverage in public debt statistics differ significantly by country, as documented
                                                      in the literature (Dippelsman et al, 2012; Gelpern, 2018 and Seiferling, 2020).

                                                      In addition to completeness, accessibility and timeliness are key dimensions of
                                                      transparent debt statistics. Debt data should be easy to access and should be published
                                                      with a limited time lag. To benchmark and track a country’s level of direct disclosure of
                                                      debt statistics along these three dimensions (completeness, accessibility and timeliness),
                                                      the World Bank recently launched a tool (the debt reporting “heatmap”) based on
                                                      analysis of information available on national authorities’ websites.26 Additional heatmap
                                                      indicators cover the publication of key debt management documents and the reporting
                                                      on risks from contingent liabilities.27 Each indicator is evaluated using a scale divided
                                                      into four categories, which ranks reporting standards from low (red) to high (green),
                                                      according to the criteria presented in Figure 2.3.28




26.	 The heatmap and the methodology can be found at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/debt/brief/debt-transparency-report.
27.	 This dimension assesses the disclosure of debt statistics “memorandum items”, including account payables, central governments guarantees and other contingent liabilities.
28.	 Selection of indicators and relative thresholds is based on guidelines contained in recognized debt management “best practices” documents, such as the WB’s DeMPA.


                                                                                      27
                                                              Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 2.3
Methodology Underpinning the Debt Reporting Heatmap

                                                                    1. Public Debt Reporting

      Data Accessibility                                                 Completeness                                                         Timeliness

                                                                                                     Information on
                                      Instrument Coverage           Sectoral Coverage                                           Periodicity         Time Lag
                                                                                                       New Loans

   No publicly available                   N.A. or                      N.A. or                           N.A.                     N.A.                N.A.
   reporting or incomplete/           incomplete coverage         incomplete budgetary
   outdated debt reports                                              central (CG)

   Multiple websites                   Limited coverage:            Limited coverage:            Limited Information:            > 1 year          > = 6 months
                                      external or domestic            complete CG                   lender’s name               (e.g. every
                                           debt only                                                or purposes of              two years)
                                                                                                  borrowing, amount

   Single website &                     Partial coverage:            Partial coverage:            Partial information:         Annual basis         > 3 months
   multiple docs                      external and domestic          complete general               lender’s name,
                                          (if applicable)           government (CG)               amount, purpose but
                                                                    or complete public             no financial terms
                                                                       corporations

   Single document                        Full coverage:               Full coverage                Full information:             < 1 year         < = 3 months
                                      external and domestic           (CG and public                 lender’s name,            (e.g. quarterly
                                         and guarantees                corporations)                amount, purpose                update)
                                          (if applicable)                                          and financial terms



                                                                                                                            3. Other Debt Statistics/
                                       2. Public Debt Management
                                                                                                                           Contingent Liabilities (CLs)

        Debt Management Strategy (DMS)                           Annual Borrowing Plan (ABP)                                   N.A./No Information

                No DMS published                               No ABP published or a partial plan                     No reporting or insufficient reporting
                                                                   with a delay > 3 months                                      of existing CLs

                Yes, but no targets                           Partial: only for domestic or external                     Limited reporting: guaranteed debt
                                                              debt) with a delay < 3 months or full                        by beneficiary (if applicable)
                                                                coverage with delay > 3 months

           Yes, with target for total debt                       Full coverage within 3 months                        Partial reporting: audited/recognized
                                                                                                                      fiscal arrears and collateralized debt
                                                                                                                                  (if applicable)

           Yes, with target for domestic                         Full coverage before the fiscal/                          Comprehensive reporting:
                 & external debt                                       calendar year starts                           publication of a framework covering
                                                                                                                                  existing CLs

Source: Author’s elaboration.




                                                                                 28
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                        The heatmap reveals great variability in public debt data disclosure among the 76
                                                        LIDCs included in the analysis. The key take-aways of the analysis of the heatmap
                                                        results are:

                                                        •	    Public debt data are not systematically published or updated, particularly in
                                                              Sub-Saharan Africa and small states. Both the 2019 and 2020 assessments show
                                                              that close to 40 percent of LIDCs did not reach minimum data disclosure standards
                                                              as defined by the methodology, either because they have never published any debt
                                                              data, or because their debt data are more than two years old.

                                                        •	    In available publications, standard debt instruments (loans and securities) are
                                                              typically covered. Of the 46 LIDCs that publish regular debt data, 60 percent cover
                                                              loans, guarantees and securities (which can be regarded as an adequate level of
                                                              instrumental coverage for LIDCs)29. In 40 percent of LIDCs, at least one of these
                                                              instruments is missing (Figure 2.4).

                                                        •	    Extending sectoral coverage remains a challenge. Only 18 percent of the
                                                              countries publish debt statistics where coverage aligns with what is expected based
                                                              on their legal framework and borrowing practices (Figure 2.4). In most cases,
                                                              statistics focus on central government direct debt only, and omit subnational debt
                                                              (required to reach general government level) and/or SOE debt.

                                                        •	    Total stock of central government guarantees is usually reported, but
                                                              beneficiaries are rarely mentioned. In 70 percent of the countries with guarantees,
                                                              the total stock of the guaranteed portfolio is reported. The median guaranteed debt
                                                              in LIDCs is estimated at 5.1 percent of national GDP,30 with a significant dispersion
                                                              of up to 23 percent. When total stock is reported, the beneficiary of the guarantee is
                                                              mentioned in less than 20 percent of the cases.

                                                        •	    Public private partnerships (PPPs) represent the other main category of
                                                              explicit contingent liability that is under-reported.31 PPPs are used by over two
                                                              thirds of LIDCs. However, less than 10 percent of LIDCs quantify the total direct
                                                              and contingent exposure for the government in public debt or fiscal risk documents
                                                              as published by Ministries of Finance (MOF) or Central Banks (CBs).32 The
                                                              exposure to PPP-risk in LIDCs is estimated at an average of 2 percent of national
                                                              2020 GDP,33 but in 15 percent (8 LIDCs) this would exceed 5 percent of GDP.




29.	 Based on DeMPA methodology (2021).
30. 	 Based on the latest LIC-DSA available.
31. 	 Explicit liabilities are specific government obligations defined by law or contract. Implicit liabilities represent an expected burden for the government not in the legal sense
      but based on public expectations or political pressures.
32.	 The Public-Private Partnerships Fiscal Risk Assessment Model (PFRAM), jointly developed by the IMF and the World Bank Group (WBG), can guide countries in assessing
      fiscal implications of PPPs.
33.	 As per LIC DSF Guidance Note, the contingent liability component of a PPP is estimated as 35 percent of the country’s PPP capital stock (proxying for the
      present value of direct and potential future fiscal costs from PPP distress and/or cancellations). The capital stock is drawn from the World Bank Database on PPPs:
      https://ppi.worldbank.org/.



                                                                                          29
                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                      •	    Expenditure arrears are typically excluded from domestic debt statistics. With
                                                            very few exceptions (e.g., Nigeria federal government), expenditure arrears are not
                                                            included in the debt stocks.34 This reflects one of the key differences between the
                                                            cash-based frameworks largely applied in LIDCs and accrual-based ones. A 2019
                                                            IMF report showed that at least 70 percent of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa had
                                                            domestic expenditure arrears in 2018 amounting to an average of about 3 percent of
                                                            GDP, with arrears to private suppliers accounting for the largest share (IMF, 2019).
                                                            A subsequent report by the World Bank showed that arrears are expected to increase
                                                            by more than 2 percent on average as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic
                                                            (Utz et al, 2020).

                                                      •	    There is ample room for improvement when publishing key debt-management
                                                            documents. Medium-term Debt Strategies (MTDS) and Annual Borrowing Plans
                                                            (ABP) should guide future borrowing and provide key references to investors and
                                                            stakeholders. Forty five percent of IDA countries (34) publish a debt-management
                                                            strategy; however, the MTDS is translated into a comprehensive ABP only in 9
                                                            countries (Figure 2.5).


Figure 2.4                                                                                                    (% over total)
Coverage of Public Debt Reports
                                                      100%
in LIDCs

                                                       80%



                                                       60%



                                                       40%



                                                       20%



                                                           0%
                                                                                   Instrument Coverage                                Sectoral Coverage


                                                                                                 No data            Limited            Adequate

                                                      Source: Author’s elaboration




34.	 Expenditure arrears are financial obligations incurred by any level of the public sector for which payments have not been made by the due date.


                                                                                      30
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 2.5                                                                                                       (% over total)
Publication of Debt
                                                       100%
Management Documents
in LIDCs
                                                         80%



                                                         60%



                                                         40%



                                                         20%



                                                          0%
                                                                                             Strategy                                            ABP


                                                                                        No           Partial (only external or domestic debt)               Yes

                                                       Source: Author’s elaboration.



                                                       An analysis of the heatmap data shows that debt data disclosure is lower in fragile
                                                       countries, due to the lack of solid legal and operational frameworks (Annex 1).
                                                       The existence of specific legal requirements for disclosure (see section 4.4), increased
                                                       capacity at DMOs and the usage of standard debt recording, and management systems
                                                       (DRMS) significantly contribute to improving the level of debt disclosure in direct
                                                       reporting. Our analysis also shows that availability of ratings and Eurobond issuances
                                                       are highly correlated to levels of transparency in LIDCs, as a result of their own data
                                                       requirements and the investor relations practices that they encourage.

                                                       Introducing integrated and universal DRMS has a huge potential for increasing
                                                       transparency. Our analysis shows that LIDCs benefit from standardized DRMS,
                                                       despite the limitations of the existing options (e.g., inability to register complex debt
                                                       instruments,35 limited integration with other PFM systems).36 Very few LIDCs have in-
                                                       house expertise to develop and maintain a DRMS and this solution may not be cost
                                                       effective. Instead, well designed, standardized and integrated DRMS would limit
                                                       operational risk by simplifying debt recording, which is still a mostly manual task. In
                                                       fact, the use of different references for key parameters (e.g., exchange rates, dates of loan
                                                       repayment or disbursements, etc.), inconsistent computational formula and inaccurate
                                                       data entries currently result in the need for frequent reconciliation between creditors
                                                       and debtors, through letters, emails or even country visits. This practice, common to all
                                                       LIDCs, is very costly and time-consuming and it can significantly delay and complicate
                                                       restructuring negotiations (Box 2.1).



35.	 “It is a challenge for system providers to stay abreast of financial innovation and keep products and services relevant against increasingly sophisticated debt portfolios and
     transactions (i.e., securities, liability management transactions, etc.)” (WB, IMF, 2018).
36.	 Current DRMSs are mostly stand-alone software, which may limit the data quality control, as incorrect data entry has no impact in the public financial operations. On the
     contrary, if data registered in the DRMSs were to be used at different levels in integrated systems (for instance, to mobilize budget lines or generate payments), DMOs would
     have a significant incentive to maintain accurate and comprehensive data.


                                                                                        31
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Box 2.1
Debt Restructuring: A Missed Opportunity for Transparency?

Successful debt restructuring strongly depends on full disclosure of public debt records. Without accurate and comprehensive
information, restructuring agreements may fail to put debt-distressed countries on a sustainable macroeconomic trajectory. Full
transparency in debt restructuring is also a key condition for ensuring a common understanding of the debt relief requested
from the different creditors, thus facilitating effective negotiations and earlier resolutions. Despite this, reporting inadequacies
continue to be identified in the context of debt restructuring (Bon and Cheng, 2020; Minsat and Dossia 2020; Horn, Reinhart,
and Trebesch 2020; Cheng et al 2016; Cruces et al 2013). These inadequacies have led to high-level calls for improved debt
disclosure in the context of G20 Common Framework.

Debt restructuring offers an opportunity to reconcile, update, and improve debtor and creditor records. Ideally, the first
step in a restructuring process involves a data-reconciliation exercise between the debtor and its different creditors. Given the
heterogeneity of reporting practices and the increasingly diverse pool of creditors, data-reconciliation processes have been
lengthy and resource-intensive. This complexity means that financial advisors and IMF/World Bank staff are often involved in
coordinating the data exchange and reconciliation.37

Under these conditions, debt transparency is expected to improve after a restructuring episode. Borrowers may have a
positive incentive to fully disclose their debt portfolio to make the case for higher debt relief. In addition, the reconciliation
process and the conditionality that is often attached to restructuring should produce more comprehensive and accurate debt
records.

Our analysis, however, (see Annex 3) indicates that restructuring episodes have limited impact on debt transparency.
Figure B2.1.1 shows that countries that undergo debt restructuring do not improve their level of reporting to international debt
databases. The effect of restructuring episodes on indirect debt disclosure is statistically insignificant in both Paris Club- and
non-Paris Club-led restructuring.

Figure B2.1.1: Debt Restructuring and Transparency Estimated Marginal Effects

                                              BoE - BoC                                                        Bon and Cheng
                Paris Club 1                                                                                                                                Paris Club 1

              Paris Club 2+                                                                                                                                 Paris Club 2+

          Non Paris Club* 1                                                                                                                                 Non Paris Club* 1

          Non Paris Club* 2                                                                                                                                 Non Paris Club* 2

                  DeMPA 1                                                                                                                                   DeMPA 1

                  DeMPA 2                                                                                                                                   DeMPA 2

               IMF Program                                                                                                                                  IMF Program

  Current Account (%GDP)                                                                                                                                    Current Account (%GDP)

        GDP per Capita (In)                                                                                                                                 GDP per Capita (In)

               Inflation (In)                                                                                                                               Inflation (In)

        State Fragility Index                                                                                                                               State Fragility Index
                                -3.5
                                  -3
                                -2.5
                                  -2
                                -1.5
                                  -1
                                 -.5
                                   0
                                  .5
                                   1
                                 1.5
                                   2
                                 2.5
                                   3
                                 3.5
                                   4
                                 4.5




                                                                                                 -3.5
                                                                                                   -3
                                                                                                 -2.5
                                                                                                   -2
                                                                                                 -1.5
                                                                                                   -1
                                                                                                  -.5
                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                   .5
                                                                                                    1
                                                                                                  1.5
                                                                                                    2
                                                                                                  2.5
                                                                                                    3
                                                                                                  3.5
                                                                                                    4
                                                                                                  4.5




sample size = 1,656; countries=97; R2 (within) 0.32                  sample size = 1,498; countries=88; R2 (within) 0.30
Source: Author’s elaboration.


37.	   Under the HIPC Initiative, staffs of the IMF and the World Bank conduct a loan-by-loan debt reconciliation exercise jointly with the national DMOs. In all 37 HIPC-eligible
       countries that have reached the Decision Point under the HIPC Initiative, at least 80 percent of the debt stock has been reconciled. The reconciliation of the debt database is
       also conducted prior to the Completion Point, when countries receive full debt relief. The debt records resulting from the reconciliation process are used in the Paris Club
       framework agreement and bilateral agreements.


                                                                                          32
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




These findings may be explained by the following reasons:

(i)	 Restructuring deals seldom require accurate and comprehensive recording of new terms, nor do they request the
     expansion of the instrument/sectoral coverage. The Paris Club website recognizes that “each organization compiling
     and publishing debt figures may have slightly different ways to categorize and to measure debt” and discussions about
     the comprehensiveness of debt data are not featured in the more detailed Paris Club agreements.38 In the case of non-Paris
     club creditors, little is known about their restructuring process including the extent to which comprehensive disclosure is
     emphasized in restructuring agreements.

(ii)	 Recording of post-restructuring debt transactions can be complex. As discussed, capacity constraints create significant
      barriers to expanding the coverage of debt statistics. Restructuring episodes create additional burdens for DMOs as they
      need to analyze and negotiate proposals and reflect any changes in debt contracts as a result of the restructuring agreement.39
      Improvements to reporting standards are therefore expected to take some time to materialize.

(iii)	Incentives to extend the debt coverage could diminish in the immediate aftermath of a restructuring episode. Unless
      improvements in data coverage is established ex-ante as eligibility criteria for creditors to engage in restructuring, recipient
      governments have no immediate benefit for improving it ex-post. In fact, this will likely result in the reporting of larger debt
      burdens which may be interpreted as a breach of the debt reduction plan negotiated by creditors and stakeholders.




                                                      Any gaps in borrowers’ statistics can only be partially filled by creditors’ statistics.
                                                      The IMF and the World Bank publish comprehensive and timely data on their
                                                      financing.40 41 The Asian Development Bank, the African Development Bank, and the
                                                      Inter-American Development Bank also have solid reporting standards as confirmed by
                                                      their rankings in the Aid Transparency Index.42 The level of transparency of the other
                                                      multilateral creditors is mixed and largely depends on the degree of accountability
                                                      imposed by their internal policies and procedures.43 As for bilateral creditors, only some
                                                      Paris-Club members disclose information on their lending operations via their website
                                                      or publications.44 Their records therefore tend to be used for validation purposes only,
                                                      particularly in the case of debt restructuring. The availability of private creditor data
                                                      tends to depend on whether or not debt is tradable. With few exceptions, key information
                                                      about tradable debt is available on main trading platforms (see Chapter 4.5 for details).
                                                      Information disclosed by private investors on non-tradable debt is scant and ultimately
                                                      depends on internal corporate policies as well as applicable laws and regulations.

38.	 See: https://clubdeparis.org/en/communications/page/classification.
39.	 In principle, there is not much difference between recording changes to existing debt records that are a result of restructuring agreements and recording regular debt
     transactions. However, recording complexities specific to the restructuring process include: (i) translating debt reduction extended on present value terms into nominal
     values for debt stock and service; (ii) capturing debt service deferral resulting from activation of deceleration clauses; (iii) accounting for complex debt-grant offset
     mechanisms (e.g., France C2D or IMF Catastrophic Containment Trust); and (iv) keeping track of the multiple ways that individual creditors restructure their claims (e.g.
     in the case of Paris Club, the time between conclusion of an Agreed Minute and completion of all bilateral agreements may take at least 12 months, and in the meantime
     debtors undertake parallel accounting to reflect the PC’s decision). Important differences may also arise in debtor/creditor records, notably when debt is forgiven; debtors
     will write-off the whole amount when the agreement is concluded, whereas creditors may record it sequentially as the forgiven debt service payments fall due.
40.	 www.imf.org/en/Data/IMF-Finances.
41.	 The World Bank Policy on Access to Information is available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/access-to-information.
42.	Source: https://www.publishwhatyoufund.org/the-index/2020/. Assessments under this index also cover the publication of loan terms.
43.	 In a 2018 survey of 25 MDBs, 16 had policies on public communication or disclosure (Engen and Prizzon, 2018).
44.	 According to the IMF/WB G20 Operational Guidelines for Sustainable Financing – Survey Results and Policy Recommendation, “Most countries provide information on
     their lending on the web, but it is not being done in a way that consolidates lending by all agencies, and for some, there is room to improve on the comprehensiveness of
     the data being reported”. In particular, only one third of the G20 countries that responded to the survey report lending terms in line with OECD requirements. Progress was
     achieved by the Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of the G7 in July 2021 by committing their respective countries to “publish our own creditor portfolios on
     a loan-by-loan basis for future direct lending by the end of 2021”.


                                                                                       33
                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




2.2 DEBT STATISTICS:                                  Direct reporting aims to provide citizens and stakeholders with comprehensive
INDIRECT DEBT DATA                                    and timely data. In principle, indirect reporting shares the same goal but, over time,
DISCLOSURE                                            this channel has also dealt with concerns about misreporting and comparability of data
                                                      published by national sources (Monnet, Truong-Loi, 2020). IFIs and rating agencies
                                                      have thus become key in the process of integrating and standardizing records, filling the
                                                      gaps in direct reporting channels and even replacing them in some cases.

                                                      LIDCs may report debt data to four main statistical databases hosted by the IMF
                                                      and the World Bank, which are closely aligned with international definitions:
                                                      Quarterly Public Sector Debt Statistics (QPSDS), Quarterly External Debt Statistics
                                                      (QEDS), Government Finance Statistics (GFS, annual), and the Debtor Reporting
                                                      System (DRS). Each of these databases was created for a different purpose, and so their
                                                      debt coverage and definitions differ (World Bank, IMF, 2020c). The DRS provides the
                                                      most granular data breakdown, and the broadest coverage for external debt. It is also the
                                                      only compulsory data disclosure exercise; the others are voluntary. In fact, countries that
                                                      have borrowed at least once from the World Bank are required to meet certain reporting
                                                      obligations, including the completion of DRS standardized templates on their external
                                                      public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) debt on a quarterly and annual basis. These
                                                      data are then reviewed by World Bank staff45 and published in the International Debt
                                                      Statistics (IDS) reports.46 Other IFIs or regional institutions maintain databases with
                                                      narrower geographical or instrument coverage (e.g., the African Development Bank’s
                                                      Bond Market Database or the forthcoming OECD database on external commercial
                                                      debt). Additional databases that rely on one, or multiple, indirect sources add to the
                                                      complexity of this environment.47 The list of the main indirect reporting databases with
                                                      their respective features is presented in Annex II.

                                                      In parallel to this structured data collection, indirect reporting may also occur on an
                                                      ad hoc basis. On top of the direct and indirect standardized channels, additional requests
                                                      for updated debt data typically come from IFIs (e.g., for the purpose of IMF Article
                                                      IV missions or IMF/World Bank lending operations)48 or other key stakeholders (e.g.,
                                                      rating agencies). Official lenders (bilateral and multilateral) also feed into international
                                                      databases, such as the OECD’s Creditor Reporting System. The resulting reporting eco-
                                                      system is portrayed in Figure 2.6.




45.	 In the case of the World Bank International Debt Statistics, “data accuracy and comprehensiveness is ensured by validation with other sources such as market data, creditor
     data, other external statistics such as BOP/IIP, QEDS —including data used in debt analytical exercises led by the World Bank and IMF, such as the medium-term debt
     strategy (MTDS) or DSA—and rigorous follow-up with government authorities” (IMF/WB, 2020a).
46.	 In June 2020, the WB published detailed external debt stock and service data for 68 IDA eligible countries in the IDS database, including a previously unavailable
     breakdown by creditor. http://datatopics.worldbank.org/debt/ids/.
47.	 For example, WB World Development Indicators (WDI) access its debt data from the IMF Government Finance Statistics Yearbook (GFSY).
48.	 The IMF Articles of Agreement establish an obligation for every IMF member to provide a minimum set of data to the Fund for its activities, as set forth in Article
     VIII, Section 5 (supplemented in 2004 by a decision by the IMF Executive Board). This is a narrow set of debt data: stocks of gross national external debt, and central
     government-guaranteed debt including currency and maturity composition and, if possible, the extent to which debt is held by residents or nonresidents. In addition, and
     while not as a legal obligation under the IMF Articles of Agreement but as a condition for the provision of financing under IMF-supported programs, the IMF can request
     debt information beyond the above-mentioned minimum set of data requirements if it determines that such information is of critical importance for achieving the goals, or
     monitoring the implementation, of the member’s program (and can decide not to lend if such critical information is not forthcoming).


                                                                                       34
                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 2.6
Direct and Indirect Data Reporting of Government Debt

         Regional/
                                                                           WB
       International
       Organizations                                                                                                     Indirect
       (e.g., OECD)                                                                                                     Reporting
                                                                                                       Private data
                                                                                                                        Following
                                                                           IMF                          platforms
                                                                                                                       beneficiaries’
                                                                                                    (e.g., Bloomberg
                                                                                                                        definitions
     Multi & Bilateral                                                                                                 and standards
                                  Debtor
        Creditors                                                   Other IFIs,
                                                                   Credit Rating
                                                                     Agencies
                                                                                                                          Direct
                                                                                                                        Reporting
        Creditors’                                                  Debtors’                                            Following
     Official Statistics                                        Official Statistics                                     compliers’
                                                                                                                        definitions
                                                                                                                       and standards
                                 Data disclosure                  Additional data              Data reconciliation


Source: Rivetti 2021.



                                     The main sources of direct and indirect reporting in LIDCs are debt records from
                                     the national DMOs; however, final debt data differ significantly. Discrepancies
                                     across public debt data, available via direct and indirect debt reporting can be significant.
                                     Figure 2.7 portrays the differences in 2019 total debt stocks between the WB/IMF’s LIC-
                                     DSA and authorities’ websites, as a percentage of each country’s GDP. The LIC-DSA
                                     increases the debt stock that is reported in official statistics by an average of 5 percent of
                                     GDP. However, the degree of dispersion fluctuates between -15 and 30 percent.


Figure 2.7                             30.0
Indirect-Direct Reporting Debt         25.0
Stock Gap (in percent of 2019          20.0
national GDP)
                                       15.0

                                       10.0

                                        5.0

                                           -

                                      (5.0)

                                     (10.0)

                                     (15.0)

                                     Source: Rivetti 2021.




                                                                      35
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       This degree of mismatch can be explained by the following:

                                                       •	    Sectoral and instrument coverage: Indirect reporting contributes to the expansion
                                                             of coverage beyond what is officially published. In particular, external agents may
                                                             include debt instruments or sectors that do not fall under the national definition of
                                                             public debt (see Chapter 4) or are not covered in direct sources, thus increasing
                                                             a country’s debt coverage. These factors highlight the potential for higher direct
                                                             disclosure levels by tapping into existing data sources within the country, and a more
                                                             effective standardization of reporting requirements by external agents. In Box 2.2 we
                                                             study the hypothetical impact of the inclusion of SOEs debt.

                                                       •	    Use of different debt definitions and valuation methods: In the absence of
                                                             unified and universal guidelines for reporting debt statistics, several divergences
                                                             emerge across countries and reporting sources. For example, the Public Sector Debt
                                                             Statistics: Guide for Compilers and Users (PSDS, 2011) requests countries to report
                                                             all debt at nominal value,49 while securities should be reported at market value. Ten
                                                             years after the PSDS publication, however, all LIDCs still report their debt at face
                                                             value only.50

                                                       	     Similarly, while external debt should be defined by the creditor’s residency -
                                                             according to PSDS and External Debt Statistics guide (EDS, 2013), as well as Balance
                                                             of Payments (BoP) / International Investment Position (IIP)–direct reports rely on
                                                             the more accessible currency definition. This practice also reflects debt managers’
                                                             preference for a criterion that facilitates the analysis of the debt and budget exposure
                                                             to foreign exchange volatility. Indirect agents are able to comply with the residency
                                                             definition only in specific cases when information is available, as acknowledged in
                                                             the LIC DSA Guidance Note.51 In fact, debt denominated in foreign currency is still
                                                             used as a proxy for external debt in 43 percent of the 2019 DSAs.

                                                       	     Finally, ambiguity over the classification of certain debt may have severe implications
                                                             in the case of debt restructuring. As shown by recent discussions around the DSSI and
                                                             G20 Common Framework, the classification of certain claims on SOEs, debt held by
                                                             state-owned banks or development banks has been interpreted differently by some
                                                             creditors and debtors. In addition to leading to inconsistent treatment in statistics, the
                                                             lack of adherence to international definitions for official/commercial debt by some
                                                             creditors can create uncertainty around the perimeter of debt to be covered in any
                                                             restructuring, it can also create uncertainly around the terms of treatment, affecting
                                                             prospects for reaching swift agreement (IMF, 2020).




49.	 Nominal and face value definitions tend to be used interchangeably. However, face value is “the amount to be repaid at maturity”, while nominal value is the “amount
     that debtor owes to the creditor at any moment in time. Conceptually, the nominal value of a debt instrument can be calculated by discounting future interest and principal
     payments at the existing contractual interest rate on the instrument” (PSDS, 2011).
50.	 LIDCs may not have liquid issuances to price their debt, particularly domestic debt, and most LIDCs use debt recording systems that define debt at face value in their
     software and do not allow computation of market value” (WB/IMF, 2020). The computation therefore has to be done manually for each loan, which is a time-consuming
     exercise that requires sound financial skills. Moreover, DMOs may have clear incentives to produce debt statistics at face value, since most domestic law and fiscal rules,
     and the LIC-DSA, require this evaluation method.
51.	 “Because of difficulties in record-keeping (e.g., as a result of secondary market trading and data limitations in LICs), and where non-resident participation in domestic debt
     market is not significant, debt denominated in foreign currency can be used as a proxy for external debt”. (WB/IMF, 2018).


                                                                                        36
                                                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                     •	    Recording errors: Data collected in over 20 WB-led missions on Medium-Term
                                                           Debt Strategy (MTDS)52 in LIDCs between 2010 and 2020 reveal severe recording
                                                           mistakes in debt databases in more than 30 percent of cases. The assessment of
                                                           the quality of DRS data conducted by the WB on an annual basis confirms these
                                                           findings: of 74 LIDCs, 15 (20%) do not submit comprehensive reporting templates
                                                           for DRS or, if submitted, the quality is not considered satisfactory. Among those
                                                           who provide a complete template, 28% have at least one type of recording mistake
                                                           (Table 2.1).


Table 2.1
Assessment of the 2020 Reports by IDA Countries to DRS

                                     No/Partial/
                                    Unsatisfactory                                                            Complete Reporting
                                     Reporting

      Number of                             20%                                                           80%
      countries (%)                                                              of which 28% affected by one or more of the errors below

                                                                             stocks/flows                  missing information                   transactions not
      Error types
                                                                           inconsistencies                on new commitments                         reported

      Frequency (%)                                                                15%                                17%                                17%

Source: WB Development Data Group.
Note: Author’s elaboration.



                                                     •	    “Hidden debt”: external agents may be able to identify debt instruments not disclosed
                                                           in official statistics (“hidden debt”). However, this rarely happens as non-disclosed
                                                           debt instruments can be identified only when granular information is provided by
                                                           the creditor, which is seldom the case. Otherwise, given the existing voluntary-based
                                                           data disclosure framework, any uncovering of “hidden debt” can only be triggered
                                                           by stronger parallel engagements at governance level, through audits or an analysis
                                                           of project funding that may allow some form of cross-validation.




52.	 Prior to any MTDS mission, a data validation exercise is conducted to verify that (i) financial terms for each debt instrument are present and (ii) debt stock-flows are
     consistent. Inconsistencies are regarded as “severe” if the error is higher than 1% of the total debt outstanding.


                                                                                     37
                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Box 2.2
Impact of Including SOEs Debt in Public Debt Coverage

As discussed in Chapter 1.1, sectoral coverage of public debt statistics includes, at best, general government, both in
LIDCs and advanced economies.53 The use of this debt measure derives from the principle of “the predominantly tax-financed
nature of government, compared to the market revenues of government-owned corporations (Abbas et al, 2020). Although not
included in debt figures, SOE debt data make up part of the reporting on SOEs made available by the majority of advanced
economies (OECD, 2018).54

By contrast, data on SOE debt are seldom centralized or disclosed in LIDCs. As described in Chapter 2, in most LIDCs,
SOEs are subject to weak reporting requirements both in terms of direct and indirect reporting. Many LIDC financial statements
are not systematically available or audited, furthermore, their debt position is rarely collected and centralized by the MOF; the
information may also not be disclosed to the unit in charge of producing debt statistics, unless the debt is on-lent to the SOEs
or guaranteed by the central government. These factors represent a challenge for indirect reporting that are expected to cover
the entire public sector. The solution found in the LIC-DSA, is to introduce a contingent liability stress test based on a standard
default value of 2 percent of GDP in countries where SOE debt is not fully captured under the debt coverage.55

Given the rapid evolution of SOE debt portfolios, the World Bank launched a data collection initiative to better estimate
the size and composition of SOEs’ debt in LIDCs and to strengthen the debt coverage in LIC DSAs.56 Preliminary results
on a first sample of 15 countries57 for which data are deemed comprehensive (i.e., including on-lent, guaranteed and non-
guaranteed) show the following:

•	    The median SOE debt levels (domestic and external) amounts to 7.3 percent of GDP, with a broad distribution across
      countries (ranging from 0.4 percent to 18.1 percent). Nearly 90 percent of total outstanding SOE debt is external. On-lent
      activity is the dominant financing source (49 percent of the total).

•	    More than 80 percent of the debt was contracted by SOEs operating in the transportation, and the energy and
      extractives sectors (41 percent and 40 percent of total debt, respectively). SOEs in the transportation and energy &
      extractives sector receive mostly on-lent and non-guaranteed funds (90 percent and 75 percent of the debt to that sector,
      respectively) while the industry, trade & service sector tends to be financed mostly via guaranteed debt by the central
      government (80 percent of the debt).

•	    The creditor groups that provide the largest financing support to SOEs are financial institutions and export credit
      agencies (about 33 percent, and 30 percent of total debt respectively). In the current sample, 94 percent of export agency
      financing is provided by Chinese institutions. International organizations provide 18 percent of total financing to SOEs, and
      this is via on-lending in 88 percent of the cases.

•	    In our sample, China is the largest country-counterpart, representing 41 percent of total SOE financing, distributed
      across export agencies, official creditor roles, corporations and private banks, and financial institutions.



53.	 See the Maastricht definition of debt, which is the general consolidated gross debt in line with the 2010 European Systems of Account.
54.	 The SOE survey conducted by OECD includes the 35 OECD member countries as well as selected emerging economies. Around half of the 57 countries surveyed make
     available online some form of aggregate reporting on state-owned enterprises. In cases where no report is produced, 7 countries in the sample provide online inventories of
     SOE’s, in most cases with links either to entities consolidated financial statements, or to entities’ websites where annual reports are generally available.
55.	 According to an IMF survey (2016), the median SOE external liability is equal to 2 percent of the GDP.
56.	 Significant efforts are on-going to ensure a larger sectoral coverage in LIC-DSA Since the roll-out of the revised LIC-DSA (2019), sectoral debt data coverage has been
     broadened in more than 15 countries
57.	 The data submission covers 165 SOEs and 481 individual loans in the following countries: Benin, Bhutan, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Comoros, Côte d’Ivoire,
     Ethiopia, The Gambia, Honduras, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, Senegal, Togo, Tuvalu. A methodological caveat is that single data points reflect different base years
     (ranging from 2018 to 2021), as SOEs fiscal statements are not systematically available on annual basis.


                                                                                       38
                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




•	   On-lent loans offer the most advantageous financial conditions. 100 percent of the loans bear a maturity greater than 10
     years and 48 percent have an interest rate not exceeding 2 percent.

•	   Non-guaranteed debt represents 34 percent of total SOE debt. The majority of which is provided by private financial
     institutions, export agencies, and private corporations (40 percent, 30 percent and 25 percent of total non-guaranteed debt,
     respectively). China remains a key stakeholder providing 35 percent of total non-guaranteed debt. Although financial
     conditions are less advantageous than those of on-lending, average terms remain concessional with 23 percent of the debt
     having a maturity greater than 10 years and 21 percent bearing an interest rate not exceeding 2 percent.



Figure B2.2.1: SOEs’ Debt by Category

                     50%


                     40%


                     30%                    49%

                     20%                                                                          34%


                     10%                                                    17%


                      0%
                                        On-Lent                     Non Guaranteed              Guaranteed

                    Source: Authors’ elaboration.




Figure B2.2.2: Sectoral Distribution of SOEs’ Debt


                             Energy and
                             Extractives                                                           Information and
                                                                                                   Communications
                                                                                                    Technologies




                                                                                                   Water, Sanitation &
                                                                                                   Waste Management

                                                                                                    Industry, Trade
                                                                                                      & Services

                           Transportation                                                        Agriculture, Fishing,
                                                                                                     & Forestry

                                                                                                 Other

                    Source: Authors’ elaboration.




                                                                       39
                                                Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                       The same factors above discussed (different debt coverage, definitions, recording
                                       errors and “hidden debt”) explain existing differences in the debt figures across
                                       indirect sources, as well as those across different vintages of the same database.
                                       Box 2.3 shows how they have been triggering significant revisions of debt data in
                                       LIC DSAs.




Box 2.3
LIC-DSA Ex-Post Debt Revisions

Non-comprehensive and inconsistent public debt data manifest across different databases, and also across different
vintages of the same data source. Comparing different vintages of nominal public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) external
or total public debt series for countries applying the LIC DSF reveals substantial differences in historical actuals for several
of them. Forecast errors are well documented, including in LIC DSF data, but differences across vintages are less extensively
discussed and documented.

Revisions of historical debt data may occur for several reasons. Nominal debt data revisions, particularly for the most
recent year, may arise because of statistical errors and revisions or updated exchange rates. Revisions can also be the result of
increased coverage of government sectors or instruments (see examples below for Madagascar and Senegal).

Figure B2.3.1: Madagascar’s Public Debt across Different DSA Vintages


                                                         (billions of MGA)

     25,000


     20,000


     15.000


     10,000


      5,000
                                                                           CB and SOE liabilities
                                                                        included in debt coverage
         0
                2010       2011      2012      2013        2014          2015         2016          2017     2018   2019   2020


                                   2020 DSA              2018 DSA Actuals                    2018 DSA Projected




                                                                   40
                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure B2.3.2: Senegal’s Public Debt across Different DSA Vintages


                                                             (billions of CFA)

     12,000


     10,000
                                                 SOE debt and extrabudgetary
                                               funds includedin debt coverage
      8,000


      6,000


      4,000


      2,000


          0
                 2010      2011      2012        2013         2014          2015         2016        2017       2018   2019   2020


                                    2020 DSA                2017 DSA Actuals                    2017 DSA Projected


Discrepancies in historical debt data (between the most recent and older DSA vintages) that are linked to an expansion of
their debt coverage are identifiable under the LIC DSF. In Madagascar and Senegal, the inclusion of additional components
of the public sector in the debt coverage resulted in significant upward revisions of PPG external and total public debt. Senegal’s
2020 DSA expanded debt coverage to include para-public entities and SOEs, compared with the debt coverage of the 2017
DSA (and previous vintages) that was limited to the central government. As a result, the end-2017 debt stock increased by 28.5
percent or 14.2 percentage points of GDP, with PPG external debt increasing by 3.0 percent of 2020 GDP.58 For Mozambique,
the 2020 DSA expanded the debt coverage to include SOEs’ domestic debt and central bank external liabilities. This coincided
with a yearly average increase of USD 460 million over the period 2007 to 2017, or 2.2 percent of 2020 GDP.

Large debt revisions can also result from “hidden debt”, as in the case of Mozambique. In 2016, previously undisclosed
external loans in the amount of more than USD 1.15 billion, or roughly 7 percent of 2020 GDP were discovered. These loans
were contracted by SOEs during 2013/2014. They were included in LIC DSAs after 2016, explaining the gap in historical
actuals of PPG external debt.




                                                                      41
                                                                      Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure B2.3.3: Mozambique’s Public Debt across Different DSA Vintages


                                                                                (billions of USD)
       16

       14

       12

       10

         8

         6

         4
                                                                                                                       Additional loans of three SOEs
                                                                                                                        included in debt coverage
         2

         0
                   2007       2008       2009        2010       2011       2012        2013       2014       2015        2016       2017       2018        2019       2020


                                                   2020 DSA                     2015 DSA Actuals                       2015 DSA Projected




2.3 FINANCIAL REPORTING                                  Accurate financial reporting can strengthen debt transparency efforts. Including
                                                         the output of financial reporting can augment the picture of public debt and broader
                                                         public finances than just public debt statistics taken on their own.

                                                         Financial reporting standards generally refer to the standards captured by the
                                                         International Public Sector Accounting Standards (IPSAS). Many IPSAS are based
                                                         on International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and aim to improve the quality of
                                                         general-purpose financial reporting by public sector entities,59 leading to better informed
                                                         assessments of resource allocation decisions made by governments. Despite not being
                                                         mandated by an international regulator,60 IPSAS are increasingly applied by national and
                                                         subnational governments, as well as intergovernmental organizations and institutions.
                                                         However, the standards used at country level are often home-grown, or only influenced
                                                         by IPSAS (Box 2.4) and their use in LIDCs is still very limited. By 2019, only 3 LIDCs
                                                         (Côte d’Ivoire, Nigeria, and Tanzania) had directly adopted accrual basis IPSAS and an
                                                         additional 23 IDA-eligible countries had adopted cash-basis IPSAS or are transitioning
                                                         to accrual basis with varying degrees of implementation.




58.	 The increase in percentage points of GDP is estimated using GDP values of 2020 DSA to correct for the GDP rebasing that occurred between 2017 and 2020.
59.	 General purpose financial statements, prepared on an accrual basis, can provide a primary source of information to assess whether government has met its commitments to
      its multitude of stakeholders. While some specific aspects of their design and implementation are left to local preferences, the minimum requirements should include the
      following three core statements: (i) a statement of financial position, recognizing assets and liabilities and disclosing matters of material impact; (ii) a statement of operating
      performance showing how the financial position changed through the year in terms of revenues / expenses and gains / losses; and (iii) a statement of cash flows, showing
      inflows and outflows and changes in cash stocks organized by cashflows from operating performance, from investing, and from financing transactions.
60. 	 IPSAS are issued by the IPSAS Board, an independent standard-setting body created under the auspices of IFAC (International Federation of Accountants).


                                                                                           42
                                                                       Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Box 2.4
Status of Sovereign Financial Reporting

About two-thirds of all countries intend to publish their accounts on an accrual basis by the end of 2023.61 As of 2019,
52 percent of jurisdictions have adopted some or all IPSAS, including 15 percent of LIDCs.62 Many jurisdictions have adopted
a gradual approach to accrual-based IPSAS due to national political and economic realities, as well as capacity constraints
of skills and resources. Other countries do not adopt IPSAS directly, and instead adopt national standards based on IPSAS to
varying degrees.

Country practice shows three different strategies for adopting IPSAS in public sector generally accepted accounting
principles (PS GAAP), as follows:

1.	 Direct adoption: Countries move to replace their own national public sector accounting standards with IPSAS through
    legislative reference.

2.	 Modified adoption: Countries adopt (all or some) IPSAS standards through replication or reference, adjusting for any
    specific jurisdictional features. This could be achieved by revising legislation or issuing national public sector accounting
    standards which are equivalent to IPSAS.

3.	 Local standards informed by IPSAS: Countries modify their own PS GAAP using IPSAS for guidance, resulting in
    national PS GAAP that are consistent with only selected parts of selected IPSAS. This could be achieved by revising
    legislation or by issuing national public sector accounting standards derived from IPSAS.

Many countries are developing the underlying systems and institutional arrangements necessary to support the
transition to accrual accounting. Accrual accounting records the economic substance of transactions and events when they
occur rather than when cash is exchanged, and therefore recognizes liabilities based on the nature of the obligation. As they
prepare for the transition to accrual basis IPSAS, LIDCs are transitioning to Cash Basis IPSAS as a first step. Efforts are being
made to modernize charts of accounts, which are often rudimentary and do not contain coding structures to capture funding
source, projects, activities, and programs. Investments are being made in technology to help develop the current fragmented,
suboptimal systems to provide reliable data for compiling government financial statistics (GFS) and financial reporting.
Accrual information and disclosures are being progressively included in government financial statements to supplement cash
basis information. For countries currently struggling with timely and accurate cash basis accounting, the transition to accrual
accounting will take considerable time and effort.




                                                         Differences between IPSAS and debt statistical principles and rules can have a
                                                         significant impact on the level of debt reported under the two frameworks. As in
                                                         the case of the deviations among debt statistics shown in section 2.2, the differences
                                                         between financial reporting and the statistics approach on public debt depends on key
                                                         methodological criteria such as: (i) sectoral coverage; (ii) instrument coverage, (iii)
                                                         valuation; (iv) asset/liability approach.




61.	 https://www.ifac.org/system/files/uploads/IFAC/IFAC-CIPFA-Public-Sector-Index-2018-Status.pdf.
62.	 https://www.ifac.org/system/files/publications/files/IFAC-International-standards-2019-global-status-report.pdf.


                                                                                            43
                                                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                     (i)	 Sectoral coverage and consolidation

                                                     Under IPSAS, consolidated financial statements are prepared for “whole of
                                                     government” based on the concept of control. Control is defined as an entity’s ability
                                                     to influence the nature and number of benefits through its power over another entity,
                                                     and the ability to exert influence over the returns through power over the investee. The
                                                     concept of control brings more arrangements directly onto the balance sheet for recording
                                                     and reporting purposes. For instance, while independence of technical judgment is
                                                     accorded to many state bodies under law, this independence does not typically apply to
                                                     the way resources are used, and the activities in which they can engage. If these bodies
                                                     were to cease functioning, the state would have a residual claim on the assets devoted
                                                     to their purpose and any assets may incur the residual liabilities on closure. As a result,
                                                     the consolidation criteria may not align with the general government sector, which is
                                                     the basis of GFS, and often results in a broader scope of consolidation. For example,
                                                     GFS consolidation does not include entities engaged in market activities such as SOEs.
                                                     Conversely, local governments may not be consolidated under IPSAS if they are not
                                                     controlled by central government.

                                                     (ii)	 Instrument coverage

                                                     Rather than defining specific categories of debt, IPSAS provide a definition of
                                                     liabilities, based on principles and standards determining the conditions under
                                                     which liabilities arise. These standards apply to all financial liabilities, including any
                                                     assets that have been pledged as collateral; coverage is also extended to debt-creating
                                                     arrangements such as those that are the result of PPPs, pension obligations, central
                                                     bank swap lines, deposits, and long-term trade credits. As highlighted in Chapter 3,
                                                     lack of information on some of these of transactions is a significant hindrance to debt
                                                     transparency. Expenditure arrears are also covered, contrary to debt statistics that
                                                     typically only cover arrears on debt payments. The rationale is that an overdue bill owed
                                                     by government to a private sector supplier or an overdue salary to a public official are
                                                     de facto forms of enforced borrowing by government from that supplier or worker. As
                                                     a result, measuring and capturing fiscal arrears in debt reports is key to transparency,
                                                     especially in LIDCs where these can be substantial, as shown in Section 1.3. Contingent
                                                     liabilities are disclosed in the notes of the balance sheet under IPSAS. Professional
                                                     judgement and estimates are required to determine the likelihood that contingent
                                                     liabilities may materialize, as well as to determine amounts. Unquantifiable amounts are
                                                     disclosed unless likelihood is deemed to be remote.63

                                                     (iii)	Valuation method

                                                     IPSAS recognizes debt based on fair value. While IPSAS recognizes debt based on
                                                     fair value, as shown in Section 2.2, statistical reporting frameworks recognize debt
                                                     at nominal value (market value is only on securities). This difference is particularly
                                                     critical for concessional loans: under IPSAS loans are recognized at fair value (e.g.,
                                                     present value of future cash flows discounted at market rates), while the difference
                                                     between the face value and fair value is accounted for as a gain or a loss; the loan is
                                                     subsequently measured at amortized cost using the effective interest method, which


63.	 GFS capture financial guarantees as explicit contingent liabilities and disclose these as a memorandum account at face value (GFS Manual 2014, para 7.255).


                                                                                     44
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                        calculates the effective interest for each period based on contractual cash flows.64 This
                                                        approach leads to adjustments to the liability/asset and the balance sheet of the debtor/
                                                        creditor,65 depending on the difference between contractual interest rates and market
                                                        interest rates. In the case of a restructuring, the debt would be treated as repaid and a
                                                        new loan recognized if the changes significant.66 If the changes are not significant, the
                                                        carrying amount would be adjusted to reflect the new terms.




Box 2.5
Total Government Liabilities: IPSAS vs. Direct Reporting

As a result of significant methodological differences, total liabilities reported under IPSAS are not directly comparable with
GFS or other statistical debt figures. The discrepancy–driven by account payable, provisions and other liabilities not recognized
as debt under GFS is sizeable as shown by the following examples:

United Kingdom: according to IPSAS, as of 2019 there are GBP 2.5 trillion net liabilities per Whole of Government Accounts
(WGA), while according to GFS public sector net debt amounts to GBP 1.8 trillion.

Ecuador.67 As of 2019, IPSAS reflects liabilities for an amount of US$73.3 billion while debt statistics figures show
US$51.7 billion.

Philippines.68 As of 2018 IPSAS reflects PHP 8 billion total liabilities while GFS shows PHP 6.8 billion of general government
gross debt.

Tanzania: As of 2016, according to IPSAS there are TSh. 61 trillion total liabilities, including 41 trillion of short and long-term
borrowings, however, GFS presents TSh. 37.6 trillion of total national debt.




                                                        (iv)	 Asset/liability approach

                                                        Under accrual-basis IPSAS, all assets and liabilities of consolidated entities are
                                                        recognized in the government balance sheet, and transactions between members
                                                        of the same economic entity are eliminated. Ideally, a government balance sheet
                                                        will provide a comprehensive view of all accumulated assets and liabilities that the
                                                        government controls. Active balance sheet management enables countries to better plan
                                                        revenues, consider risks, and improve the information base for fiscal policymaking.




64.	 The carrying amount of the loan is increased as interest is charged and decreased as payments are made. Interest is calculated based on the carrying amount of the loan and
      the effective interest rate. The effective interest rate is the rate that exactly discounts estimated future cash payments through the expected life of the loan to the amortized
      cost of the loan.
65. 	 In the wake of its sovereign debt crisis, for instance, the face value of Greece’s debt was reported at 180% of GDP under PSDS. However, due to the concessionary terms
      of the bailout (low interest rates and long-term maturities) the debt was estimated to be 68% of GDP under IPSAS. On the counterparty’s side, the receivable on the books
      of Germany was also recorded at nominal value and was not discounted to reflect the concessional arrangements.
66. 	 Terms are substantially different if the discounted present value of the cash flows under the new terms discounted using the original effective interest rate, is at least 10
      percent different from the discounted present value of the remaining cash flows of the original financial liability.
67.	 Ecuador is gradually transitioning to IPSAS.
68. 	 The Philippines reports its annual financial statements largely consistent with accrual-based IPSAS. Its 2018 Annual Financial Report reported general government gross
      debt of 38.9% of GDP.


                                                                                          45
                           Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




2.4 CONCLUSIONS   GFS and IPSAS have generally come to be recognized as normative architecture
                  for financial and statistical reporting, yet compliance is uneven. In line with the debt
                  transparency framework described in Chapter 1, the production of accurate, timely, and
                  comprehensive debt statistics and the adoption of sound accrual standards are subject to
                  the same challenges:

                  •	   Lack of adoption of non-enforceable international regulations. GFS and
                       IPSAS are voluntary, and countries adopt them to varying degrees based on
                       national preference, capacity, or national legislation. In particular, very few
                       LIDCs adopt international debt reporting standards and definitions or IPSAS
                       rules. In addition, the specific deviations from international standards and their
                       effects are seldom disclosed, which ultimately affects transparency and limits
                       cross-country comparability.

                  •	   Lack of operational pre-requisites. The production of debt statistics and
                       implementation of IPSAS requires several prerequisites, including supportive
                       institutional and legal frameworks, adequate technological capacity and information
                       systems, and sufficient staff capacity (see Annex 3 for a detailed discussion of the
                       enabling factors for accrual accounting). These preconditions are not easily met
                       in LIDCs and the situation is aggravated by the low priority given to reporting in
                       public financial management (PFM) reforms in resource-constrained environments.

                  Against this backdrop, this report calls for the following policy actions:

                  (I)	 Align international reporting standards and foster their adoption

                  Efforts to expand sound debt reporting through direct and indirect statistical reporting
                  and through financial reporting should be accelerated to strengthen debt transparency.
                  As shown in this chapter, idiosyncratic differences across the different standards are
                  difficult to overcome. The long-term goal should be a gradual alignment of the debt
                  statistical and financial standards along common international standards, monitored and
                  enforced by an international organization. In the meantime, there are intermediate and
                  easily achievable steps that can be pursued:

                  •	   Strengthen countries’ direct reporting. Public and direct access to debt statistics
                       is a key accountability mechanism that is still absent in over 30 percent of LIDCs.
                       Comprehensive and accessible direct databases would also improve efficiency
                       in data exchanges with external agents, reducing the burden for DMOs to meet
                       uncoordinated data requests from external agents.

                  •	   Improve clarity and consistency in indirect reporting standards. External
                       agents responsible for indirect reporting should clarify the methodological criteria
                       supporting any deviation from direct sources and explicitly mention the level of
                       sectoral and instrument coverage of their analysis.

                  •	   Make progress towards compliance with international financial reporting
                       standards. With the support of development partners, LIDCs are encouraged to
                       implement accrual financial reporting based on IPSAS, which have evolved as the
                       normative international framework.


                                              46
                                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       •	     Document progress toward compliance with financial reporting standards. This
                                                              can be achieved by disclosing all material deviations from IPSAS and the impact
                                                              of the deviation in the financial statements, to be attested by external auditors, or
                                                              by relying on internationally recognized formal assessment on a periodic basis.69
                                                              Establishing strong governance arrangements over the assessment framework and
                                                              engaging international stakeholders, such as the IPSASB, would ensure robustness
                                                              of the framework and consistency in its application.

                                                       More ambitious is the creation of an agency within an existing IFI tasked with producing
                                                       “soft law” (i.e., non-binding guidelines and opinions) on fiscal and debt statistics, as
                                                       well as liaising with national authorities to periodically monitor and report on countries’
                                                       adherence to international standards. A reference, in that sense, is Eurostat that has
                                                       played a key role in supervising the quality and harmonizing statistics at EU level.70

                                                       (ii)	 Promote the design and implementation of modern and integrated IT systems
                                                             allowing systematic data cross-validation.

                                                       As shown in 2.3, the debt recording process is still a largely manual exercise in
                                                       which weak understanding of financial and legal terms and human errors may trigger
                                                       significant operational risk. This typically becomes evident during debt restructuring
                                                       when data reconciliation between debtor and creditor is needed. An integral solution to
                                                       these issues could be the creation of a repository for public debt data. Annex 4 proposes
                                                       a concrete strategy to develop and implement an international loan repository (ILR), the
                                                       goal of which is to provide a platform to reconcile debt records between creditors and
                                                       debtors, thus improving the accuracy of debt records and limiting operational risk. The
                                                       ILR would also enable the creation of a central database, which can be used for public
                                                       reporting purposes.71 The ILR can also pave the way to the creation of a unique DMRS
                                                       thereby ensuring that all participating countries benefit from the latest technological
                                                       advances and standardizing debt reporting. One of the key features of a new generation
                                                       of DMRS should be the capacity to allow for a smooth transition to accrual accounting to
                                                       ensure a reciprocal information flow between the DMO and accrual accounting systems.
                                                       This would ensure full consistency between debt data used for statistical purposes and
                                                       budget preparation.




69.	 An IPSAS gap analysis is typically the initial step in the IPSAS adoption process. Several developments partners, including the World Bank, and consulting firms can
      conduct this analysis.
70. 	 Eurostat is a Directorate-General of the European Commission.
71.	 A similar approach has been proposed by civil society (Eurodad and others, April 2019) and formalized by a G20 working note (Ayadi, Avgouleas, 2020). However, the
      proposal in Annex V differs from the approach mentioned in several ways: (i) participation in the ILR is entirely voluntary, although its use can be incentivized by official
      lenders; (ii) the scope of the ILR is limited to loans, as bonds tend to be more transparent (e.g., bond terms are disclosed through the prospectus and commercial platforms);
      (iii) the ILR is not replacing existing well-established platforms for issuing or trading debt instruments; (iv) ILR is not tracking the use of funds; (v) ILR is fed by the
      respective DRMS of creditors and debtors to facilitate reconciliation between the two sources.


                                                                                         47
                                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       (iii)	Develop capacity at the debtor level

                                                       Improving debt reporting is a long-term commitment that typically progresses through a
                                                       phased approach over several years. Technical capacity for debt recording and reporting,
                                                       as well as accrual accounting, should be built through appropriate prioritization of PFM
                                                       reforms. Countries should target recruitment and retention of staff with the relevant
                                                       financial and accounting skills.

                                                       (iv)	 Promote data disclosure at the creditor level

                                                       The G20’s Operational Guidelines on Sustainable Financing emphasize the need for
                                                       official bilateral creditors to share debt information (guideline 2). The IMF-World Bank
                                                       Diagnostic Tool on the implementation of the G20 guidelines identifies as a strong
                                                       practice for transparency to publish loan-by-loan information by debtors, including
                                                       terms, on a single website, with regular updates. In addition, strong practice requires
                                                       creditors to use publicly available templates for their financing and to refrain from
                                                       confidentiality clauses.

                                                       (v)	 Make debt restructuring processes more transparent and conducive to debt
                                                            data disclosure

                                                       Transparency is one of the tenets of the IIF’s Principles for Stable Capital Flows and
                                                       Fair Debt Restructuring72, which lay out a voluntary code of conduct for borrowers
                                                       and lenders in sovereign debt restructuring. In its principles, IIF defines transparency
                                                       as a disclosure obligation of the borrower towards its relevant creditors.73 The G20’s
                                                       Operational Guidelines on Sustainable Financing (guideline 2.3) expand this definition,
                                                       requiring creditors to engage in debt data reconciliation and to disclose information
                                                       about their participation in debt restructurings in a timely manner. This report shows that
                                                       restructuring episodes, as conducted until now, do not lead to significant improvements in
                                                       the availability of debt data. However, they have the potential to facilitate greater levels
                                                       of transparency if these processes incorporate the enhancement of debt data disclosure
                                                       as an explicit objective. As discussed in Chapter 1, restructuring episodes temporarily
                                                       relax both capacity and willingness to report, both of which are considered to be the
                                                       main constraints of debt transparency. Based on the above, this report recommends
                                                       the following:

                                                       •	     Creditors and IFIs should consider making the reporting of comprehensive
                                                              and complete public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) debt-stock of the public
                                                              sector a prerequisite for granting debt relief. Extending the instrument and
                                                              sector coverage of debt reporting is seldom achievable after restructuring has
                                                              taken place. Conversely, countries would have strong incentives to produce timely,
                                                              comprehensive, and accurate data if the debt relief process explicitly depended
                                                              on it.




72.	https://www.iif.com/Advocacy_old/Policy-Issues/Principles-for-Stable-Capital-Flows-and-Fair-Debt-Restructuring
73.	 “In the context of a restructuring, the debtor should disclose to all affected creditors maturity and interest rate structures of all external financial sovereign obligations,
     including the proposed treatment of such obligations; and the central aspects, including assumptions, of its economic policies and programs”.


                                                                                         48
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       •	    Clear pre-restructuring debt reconciliation guidelines and post-restructuring
                                                             reporting rules should be applied. Irrespective of the restructuring channel, a
                                                             set of procedures guiding debt reconciliation would be extremely useful especially
                                                             for countries with low capacity. Similarly, clarity on the exact reporting treatment
                                                             of the restructured instruments is needed. This could be facilitated by a recording
                                                             framework involving creditor/debtor continuous validation, such as the one
                                                             suggested in the international loan repository described in Annex 2.

                                                       •	    Greater incentives should be established to encourage creditors and debtors
                                                             to publish information on their participation in debt restructuring, as well as
                                                             details, including amounts and changes in terms.74 This is not currently standard
                                                             practice, especially for bilateral restructuring episodes.

                                                       •	    Transparency around the restructuring process itself should also promoted.
                                                             This goal needs to be balanced against legitimate needs for confidentiality during
                                                             the negotiation phase, where disclosure of the terms under consideration may
                                                             compromise the constructive participation of creditors.75 Comprehensive debt
                                                             restructuring initiatives like the G20 Common Framework could benefit from
                                                             disclosing key methodologies ex ante (such as on comparability of treatment)76 and
                                                             publishing reasoned decisions ex post. This would marginally diminish the forum’s
                                                             capacity to deal with diverse debtor and creditor country circumstances in a flexible
                                                             way. However, it would assure constituents that the outcomes of a workout are not
                                                             arbitrary and facilitate outside monitoring (UNCTAD, 2015).




74.	 In the context of the HIPC initiative, well established debt reconciliation processes and the disclosure of HIPC documents with detailed public debt information helped
     enhance debt transparency, providing important lessons for the implementation of the G20 Common Framework.
75.	 For this purpose, the borrower and lenders typically agree on a non-disclosure agreement (NDAs) and ensure confidentiality of the material non-public information.
76.	 Comparability of treatment (CoT) is critical for fair burden sharing in the context of the Paris Club-led restructuring, including the Common Framework ones. In Paris
     Club restructurings, CoT is evaluated ex-post on the basis of the assessment of one or more of the following three parameters: (i) changes in nominal debt service; (ii) debt
     reduction in net present value terms; and (iii) extension of the duration of the treated claims. The lack of a methodology to determine CoT implies some degree of judgement
     and may result in uneven treatment of some creditors or borrowers.


                                                                                        49
                      Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




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                           52
Transparency of
Debt Operations
         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Debt reporting is the end-result of a multi-step operational process, and these steps
tend to differ across debt instruments. While some forms of borrowing (such as funds
from multilateral institutions) meet the highest standards in terms of procedures and
overall reporting requirements, others are more prone to opaque borrowing processes.
Moreover, given the same debt instrument, different procedures to acquire debt can
lead to different transparency outcomes. For instance, when reporting domestic debt in
national statistics it is impossible to know whether it comes from an open, market-based
auction, or if it is the result of an agreement with a commercial bank against the payment
of fees that are not disclosed in the cost of the instrument.

These idiosyncratic differences add an additional level of complexity to the reporting
challenges described in the previous chapter and deserve additional scrutiny. This
is particularly important given the evolving borrowing landscape outlined in Chapter 1,
as LIDCs begin to move away from traditional concessional financing sources.

This chapter sheds light on the transparency challenges related to selected
borrowing operations. Section 3.1 explores transparency in domestic debt issuances;
Section 3.2 focuses on external commercial instruments (tradable and non-tradable) and
discusses the role played by international rating agencies in promoting transparency;
Section 3.3 investigates the characteristics of resource-backed lending; Section 3.4
examines public debt-related Central Bank operations. As in the previous chapters, the
focus of the analysis is on LIDCs.




                            54
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




3.1. DOMESTIC DEBT77                                    Deep and efficient domestic government debt markets help provide resilience to
                                                        shocks in times of financial turbulence and convey multiple economic benefits.
                                                        Recent financial crises, including the financial markets turmoil caused by the COVID-19
                                                        pandemic, have shown that the efficient development of domestic bond markets can
                                                        increase financial resilience by mitigating rollover and currency risks, which are often a
                                                        source of financial distress (World Bank-IMF, 2021).

                                                        Transparency of domestic borrowing supports efficient market functioning.
                                                        Transparent domestic borrowing increases investor confidence, thus reducing market
                                                        uncertainty and creating positive expectations about the consistency of future policy
                                                        decisions. (Wheeler, 2004). This can eventually lead to the reduction of the cost of
                                                        funding over time. Moreover, transparent primary and secondary markets facilitate
                                                        better price discovery, provide a level playing field for market participants, and play a
                                                        critical role for market development.

                                                        Yet, despite the increasing importance of domestic debt78 and the clear benefits of
                                                        transparency, important transparency gaps remain in LIDCs. Transparency gaps
                                                        include lack of market-based issuance procedures, irregular publication of issuance
                                                        plans or auction calendars, and frequent cancellation of auctions. These practices may
                                                        discourage investors from entering the local market. In addition, a lack of transparency
                                                        around the issuance processes (auctions, private placements, etc.) reduces confidence
                                                        and negatively impacts market development.

                                                        The World Bank has recently launched a tool to track the transparency of domestic
                                                        government securities issuances in LIDCs.79 80 The methodology is consistent with the
                                                        relevant indicators of the WB/IMF Guidance Note for Developing Government Local
                                                        Currency Bond Markets.81 The heatmap tracks five indicators presented in the WB/IMF
                                                        note that are the most critical to ensure transparent domestic borrowing, namely: (i) use
                                                        of market-based mechanisms to borrow from the domestic market; (ii) predictability
                                                        of the government securities issuances; (iii) adherence to the issuance calendar; (iv)
                                                        publication of the results of the borrowing transactions; and (iv) disclosure of secondary
                                                        market operations. A country’s performance in each indicator is evaluated under a four-
                                                        category scale. It ranks standards from low (red) to high (green), according to the criteria
                                                        presented in Figure 3.1.82




77.	 Given the focus on operational and legal features of the related debt operations, in this chapter, domestic debt instruments are defined as those issued/contracted domestically,
     under the jurisdiction of a national court.
78.	 Between 2011 and 2019, the median domestic debt-to-GDP ratio in IDA countries almost doubled from 7 percent to 13 percent of GDP (WB-IMF, 2021).
79.	 Non-marketable securities issued for dedicated retail programs are also excluded from the assessment.
80.	 It should be noted that, in line with the findings of Chapter 1, the assessment of domestic debt practices is complicated by suboptimal reporting standards. Annual reports and
     statistical bulletins should be reliable sources for assessing the composition of the debt as well as implementation of the annual borrowing plan and the domestic issuance
     calendar. However, annual reports sometimes include only aggregate data for the domestic debt without clear separation of the marketable and non-marketable instruments.
     Moreover, it is often difficult to find information on the issuance mechanism of specific instruments.
81.	https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documentseports/documentdetail/790921615526044752/guidance-note-for-developing-government-local-currency-bond-
     markets.
82.	 An additional category is also introduced for countries that do not issue government securities in their domestic market. Indicators for these countries are not assessed and
     presented in grey.


                                                                                          55
                                                           Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 3.1
Methodology Underpinning the Domestic Debt Securities Heatmap

                                                                     Domestic Market

      Use of market based                                                                                                          Secondary market
                                                     Dissemination of issuance calendars and results
     issuance mechanisms                                                                                                              information
     Share of domestic debt          Publication of the            Implementation of the                 Publication of the
                                                                                                                                 Post-trade transparency
     issued through auction          issuance calendar               issuance calendar                    auction results
          No issuance of               No issuance of                   No issuance of                      No issuance of            No issuance of
      government securities        government securities            government securities               government securities     government securities
     in the domestic market       in the domestic market           in the domestic market              in the domestic market    in the domestic market

     N.A. (no auctions or             N.A. (no publicly           N.A. (no information or          N.A. (no auctions or no         N.A. (no post-trade
   no information available)       available information          no auctions or more than         auction result published)     information available)
                                     or issuance calenda           20% of the announced
                                 at least for the next month        auctions cancelled)
                                      is not published)

     At least 20 percent of          A monthly issuance           Less than 20% but 10%          Auction result including the      Daily information is
    domestic debt is placed        calendar (with auction         or more of the auctions        key parameters is published      not published, however
       through auctions         dates and instrument type)               cancelled                 but not on the same day      less frequent (e.g. weekly
                                   is published before the                                                                       or monthly) publications
                                beginning of the respective                                                                            are available
                                     month and offering
                                  amounts for each type of
                                 instruments are published
                                at least one day prior to the
                                        auction date.

     At least 50 percent of         A quarterly issuance           Less than 50% but 5%          Auction result including the    Information published
    domestic debt is placed        calendar (with auction          or more of the auctions       key parameters is published        on the next day
       through auctions         dates and instrument type)                cancelled               on the same day but more
                                   is published before the                                         than one hour after the
                                beginning of the respective                                          auction cut-off time
                                     quarter and offering
                                  amounts for each type of
                                 instruments are published
                                at least one day prior to the
                                         auction date

     At least 80 percent of     Yellow score is fulfilled and       Less than 5% of the          Auction result including the    Information published
    domestic debt is placed      a yearly issuance calendar         auctions cancelled           key parameters is published      at the end of the day
       through auctions            (with auction dates and                                        within one hour after the
                                  indicative total issuance                                          auction cut-off time
                                amounts) is also published


Source: Authors’ elaboration.




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                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 3.2
Domestic Debt Securities Heatmap: Summary from the 2020 Assessment (percent of LIDCs)

                                                                              Domestic Market

       Use of market based                                                                                                                        Secondary market
                                                            Dissemination of issuance calendars and results
      issuance mechanisms                                                                                                                            information
     Share of domestic debt                Publication of the              Implementation of the                 Publication of the
                                                                                                                                                Post-trade transparency
     issued through auction                issuance calendar                 issuance calendar                    auction results
                20%                                20%                               20%                                20%                                20%


                31%                                41%                               33%                                20%                                58%


                 8%                                5%                                 3%                                24%                                 8%


                 9%                                16%                                5%                                36%                                 4%


                32%                                18%                               39%                                 0%                                10%

Source: Authors’ elaboration.



                                                      The key take-aways of the analysis of the heatmap results are the following:

                                                      •	     The use of market-based issuance mechanisms is not a common practice in
                                                             LIDCs. Fifteen of the 76 LIDCs have not developed a framework for local currency
                                                             government securities and only 41 percent of LIDCs issue at least 50 percent of their
                                                             domestic securities through auctions, which is the issuance mechanism that ensures
                                                             the highest level of transparency and price discovery.83 On the other hand, twenty-
                                                             four countries (32 percent) met the highest standard and used the auction method for
                                                             at least 80 percent of their domestic borrowing.

                                                      •	     The publication of the auction calendar is a weak point in LIDCs’ domestic
                                                             borrowing. Primary markets would, in normal times, publish and adhere to at
                                                             least a monthly issuance calendar, including details on tenors and indicative and/
                                                             or aggregate issuance volumes. Contrary to those “good practices” 32 countries (52
                                                             percent of the countries that issue securities) do not publish an issuance calendar, or
                                                             the published calendar does not meet the minimum standards.84 Only 14 countries
                                                             (22 percent) meet the highest standard by publishing a quarterly calendar and
                                                             disclosing the auction dates with the indicative gross issuance for the entire year.
                                                             Underperformance under this indicator is problematic, as predictability in the timing
                                                             of issuance in primary markets reduces uncertainty for investors and allows them to
                                                             plan their investments over a longer time horizon.


83.	 Issuance by syndication are also considered market-based issuance mechanisms and are typically used for new maturities or a new type of instruments. However, in
     LIDCs syndications are often accompanied by a lower level of price disclosure and transparency of regulations. Furthermore, domestic syndications have limitations and
     drawbacks, which need to be considered carefully. (See more in World Bank Domestic Syndication Background Note). To reflect the possible role of syndications in the
     domestic borrowing plan, the highest threshold for the first indicator (i.e., the number of securities to be issued with auctions) has been reduced to 80 percent. The other
     domestic debt sources are banking loans, issuances on a tap basis or private placements. Contrary to auctions, they do not facilitate price discovery.
84.	 Several countries publish an auction calendar for the entire year, typically including the auction date and type of instrument (bond or treasury bill). Some countries even
     specify the instruments by ISIN code or tenor. However, in the absence of indicative aggregate issuance amounts, all these countries fail to meet the minimum standards.
     An indicative gross issuance for the entire year is a key piece of information for investors to be able to assess the expected supply and adjust their demand and investment
     strategy accordingly.


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                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                      •	    Once the issuance calendar is published, countries must adhere to it. Unjustified
                                                            auction cancellations or rejections of bids are detrimental to the transparent primary
                                                            market operation and may adversely impact investor participation. In an encouraging
                                                            sign, 30 countries (49 percent) canceled less than 5 percent of the auctions in the
                                                            first half of 2020, and most did not cancel a single auction. However, one-third of
                                                            countries did not manage to meet the minimum standards.

                                                      •	    No LIDC publishes the auction result within one hour after the cut-off time,
                                                            with a minimum level of information.85 More than one-third of the countries
                                                            manage to put out the publication at least on the same day; although they often do not
                                                            meet the minimum standard given the lack of granular information. Some countries
                                                            follow the practice of first informing auction bidders or primary dealers and make
                                                            dissemination publicly available later. These countries do not meet the minimum
                                                            standard, as the publication must ensure equal access to information to all investors.

                                                      •	    The transparency of secondary markets also has significant room for
                                                            improvement. Availability of pre-and post-trade information86 is still insufficient.
                                                            Less than a quarter of LIDCs managed to demonstrate a minimum level of
                                                            transparency in the secondary market by publishing average price and/or yield
                                                            and aggregated volume.87 This outcome should be viewed in context as secondary
                                                            markets tend to be very illiquid in LIDCs and countries may not have strong
                                                            incentives to disclose details of single operations especially when their pricing is not
                                                            aligned with the primary market pricing.

                                                      •	    Regional centralized frameworks tend to improve the transparency of domestic
                                                            securities issuance. The Eastern Caribbean Securities Exchange (RGSM), the
                                                            Bank of Central African States (CEMAC), and UMOA-Titres (WAEMU) run very
                                                            informative and transparent websites. Issuance calendars and auction results are
                                                            published for each member country in a timely manner. Different statistics, public
                                                            debt bulletins, and countries’ annual reports are published. These practices facilitate
                                                            assessment of the implementation of the issuance calendar and overall help advance
                                                            the level of transparency.




85.	 A minimum level of information includes data on total bid and accepted volume; cut-off price; and minimum, average, and maximum prices (yields) of accepted bids.
86.	 Pre-trade transparency refers to information about prices and volumes quoted by market participants (typically by primary dealers and/ or market makers), related to trades
     can be executed in case of firm prices. Post-trade transparency refers to information about the prices and volumes of trades that have already taken place.
87.	 Four of the eight countries with a green score belong to the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (Regional Government Securities Market; RGSM), where the
     secondary market trading of the government securities takes place on the Eastern Caribbean Securities Exchange (ECSE), and individual trades are published on the
     same day; consequently, this is assigned a green score. However, secondary market trades are still very infrequent, and there are often weeks without a single trade in
     government securities.


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                           Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




RECOMMENDATIONS   Transparency in domestic borrowing enhances domestic market development and
AND CONCLUSIONS   supports smooth implementation of the debt management strategy. Transparency and
                  predictability of the borrowing requirements and the issuance are crucial preconditions
                  for the institutional investors to engage in the government bond market and for
                  attracting non-resident investors (Velandia and Secunho, 2021). The debt-management
                  strategy, the annual borrowing plan, and the auction calendar, combined with timely
                  and detailed announcements of individual transactions (auctions), are standard tools to
                  foster transparency (DeMPA,2021). Based on the findings of this report, the following
                  policy actions are recommended to improve transparency in domestic debt issuances:

                  •	   Market-based issuing mechanisms should be regarded as the default option for
                       a transparent primary market. To ensure that instruments are priced in line with
                       the fundamentals and the market conditions, the government issuer must be a price
                       taker on the primary market rather than a price maker. Market-based pricing through
                       competitive auctions is the basis for extending maturities of debt, establishing
                       a reliable yield curve and developing the secondary market. If non-market based
                       domestic instruments are contracted, a full disclosure of their all-in cost should
                       be ensured.

                  •	   Auction rules should be transparent, clear, and consistently applied. It is vital
                       that the rules and procedures for tenders are available to all eligible investors. The
                       eligibility criteria to participate directly or indirectly in the auctions, the bidding
                       rules, the applied auction method, the availability of non-competitive bidding, the
                       allocation method for competitive and non-competitive bids, the treatment of the
                       possible outliers (off-market bids), and whether and under what conditions, and how,
                       the auction size can be changed are all necessary pieces of information for investors
                       to be able to formulate the best investment and auction strategy.

                  •	   Publication of the annual borrowing plan with volumes indicated for the
                       domestic borrowing through marketable instruments is good practice and
                       promotes transparency. The annual borrowing plan should include and disclose
                       the gross and net annual borrowing need for the government, broken down between
                       local and foreign currency instruments. Within the local currency instruments, an
                       indication of the volume of gross and net domestic marketable borrowing can help
                       investors to plan their investments for the fiscal-or calendar year.

                  •	   The announcement of the auction dates and instruments at the beginning of
                       the year, and the rule-based sequence of auctions enhance the transparency
                       of the issuances. Many countries publish the auction dates for treasury bills and
                       government bonds one year in advance, prior to the beginning of the calendar year.
                       Additional considerations can further strengthen the transparent domestic market
                       operation, such as: i) assigning a specific auction day to the treasury bill and
                       government bond auctions each week; and/or ii) designating a specific week in the
                       month for the auction of particular instruments.




                                              59
                                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       •	     An issuance plan that is made publicly available in advance, at least on a
                                                              monthly basis, further strengthens transparency. The ultimate goal is to publish
                                                              full details, including the offered amount prior to the auction, so that investors can
                                                              formulate their bidding strategy accordingly. The plan can be refined to include at
                                                              least: (i) the auction dates; (ii) the type of instruments (fixed, floating or index-linked,
                                                              and tenor); and (iii) the indicative gross issuance aggregated at the level of treasury
                                                              bills and government bonds, to be fine-tuned as the date of the auctions get close.

                                                       •	     Predictable implementation of the issuance calendar is crucial for strengthening
                                                              investor confidence. Frequent, unpredictable, and/or unreasonable cancellations
                                                              may deter investors in the long run since it can demonstrate that the issuer does not
                                                              accept the market price. Frequent and unjustified partial rejections of bids should
                                                              also be discouraged as they undermine price discovery. In the event of canceled
                                                              auctions or reduced issuance, clear communication is key: DMOs should clearly
                                                              explain the motivation/reasons behind the cancellation or partial rejections of the
                                                              otherwise competitive bids to dispel any doubts that may arise in such circumstances.

                                                       •	     Full and equal access to the auction results is another critical element of efficient
                                                              primary market operation. The issuer should disclose, as soon as possible after the
                                                              cut-off time,88 a sufficiently wide range of information on the auction that enables
                                                              investors to assess the real demand and efficiency of the price discovery on the
                                                              auction. The minimum content should include the aggregate volume of the bids,
                                                              the accepted amount, the cut-off, and the average price and yield. The number of
                                                              bids submitted and accepted can reveal additional information on the concentration
                                                              of the auction. Moreover, the issuer should establish policies that ensure that the
                                                              auction results are disclosed at the same time on each publication platform (for
                                                              example, primary market auction system, vendor platforms, issuer and/or central
                                                              bank website, etc.). The practice of informing primary dealers or auction participants
                                                              first and the rest of the market later does not support the desired creation of a level
                                                              playing field for investors.

                                                       •	     In the absence of well-established reporting regimes,89 particularly in less
                                                              developed markets, national authorities should consider taking the leading role
                                                              in collecting, aggregating, and publishing post-trade data. An electronic registry
                                                              and central security depository (CSD) can easily extract information on transaction
                                                              activity. This information can be published daily either by the CSD or the authorities
                                                              (Central Bank or DMO). Regular publication of trading volumes, values, and rates
                                                              helps investors to assess the constantly changing underlying demand for government
                                                              securities and also helps to understand yield curve response to market conditions.




88.	 For example, according to the AFME European Primary Dealers Handbook (2019/2020), most European Union DMOs publish the auction results within a few minutes of
     the cut-off time, but not later than 30 minutes.
89.	 Post-trade transparency regimes have developed significantly across the world since the global financial crisis. Strict regulations have been developed across jurisdictions to
     promote the transparency of the secondary market. The International Capital Market Association (ICMA) has been collecting and publishing pre- and post-trade reporting
     obligations across multiple jurisdictions from Europe, the Americas and Asia-Pacific. The ICMA Bond Market Transparency Directory provides a consolidated view to
     compare the regulatory rules and sound practice guidance on bond trade reporting transparency regimes.


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                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




3.2 EXTERNAL DEBT                                       External bonds and loans differ in terms of data disclosure requirements. As
TO PRIVATE CREDITORS90                                  discussed in Chapter 1, Eurobonds have surpassed loans in the composition of LIDCs’
                                                        external portfolios (Figure 1.2). Bonds tend to be more transparent than loans because
                                                        of stricter disclosure requirements from regulatory bodies, and continuous trading on
                                                        international platforms. However, there are several factors that affect the level of
                                                        disclosure of bonds, including the regulation governing the registration and distribution
                                                        of the security;91 and the relevant law determining the type of information to be provided
                                                        in the prospectus.92 Common challenges to transparency in connection with bonds
                                                        include the non-availability of the legal documentation that underlies their issuance (e.g.
                                                        trust deeds/ indentures, agency agreements) and the limited availability of prospectuses
                                                        except via subscription to proprietary/commercial databases.

                                                        Commercial loans contracted with private creditors, typically financial institutions,
                                                        are more prone to misreporting or nondisclosure. Most loans are typically based on
                                                        standard-form documents prepared by the Loan Market Association (LMA) and the Loan
                                                        Syndications and Trading Association (LSTA), frequently following London/ New York
                                                        jurisdictions/ governing laws. The debtor nondisclosure obligations observed in these
                                                        model forms are narrowly drawn, usually limited to price-sensitive information. The
                                                        LMA and LSTA templates impose more robust non-disclosure obligations on lenders, as
                                                        they may obtain confidential business information in the course of their credit assessment
                                                        of the borrower before issuing a loan. (Gelpern et al., 2021). Yet, ad-hoc confidentiality
                                                        clauses may prevent disclosure of a loan (in direct and/or indirect reporting sources) or
                                                        the publication of its terms. As a result, the risk of partial reporting or even non-disclosure
                                                        is higher in external loans than Eurobonds, whose main financial features are confirmed
                                                        in real time by the main trading platforms. A higher standardization of loan contracts can
                                                        help reduce this gap (see box 3.1).




90.	 Given the focus on operational and legal features of the related debt operations, in this chapter, external debt is defined as debt issued/contracted in foreign countries, under
     the jurisdiction of a foreign court. ‘Eurobond’ is applied to all international commercial financing through bond issuances.
91.	 Among Eurobonds, those issued outside the US market (regulation S) do not require the full US-SEC disclosure criteria; securities under Rule 144A follow a stricter set of
     disclosure criteria but trading in these instruments is limited to qualified US institutional investors.
92.	 For instance, Eurobonds sold to investors in Europe are subject to the EU Prospectus Directive. The Prospectus Directive requires the inclusion of (i) a “Summary” section;
     (ii) risk factors; and (iii) other standard information about the issuer, including information about their history and current affairs, government and politics, economy
     (including, GDP, balance of payments, external sector, monetary policy, fiscal position and debt). In addition to format, the EU Directive regulates the dissemination of such
     prospectuses (Van der Wansem et al, 2019).


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                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Box 3.1
Benefits of Loan Contract Standardization

Governments may benefit from standardizing critically important provisions or key elements of their contracts. Greater
standardization facilitates the signature of contracts that are legally sound and consistent with the PDMLF. Contract standardization
is particularly important for countries with low institutional capacity, as it helps reduce the legal and operational risks stemming
from possible contradictions or inconsistencies. Moreover, if not carefully prepared, negotiated, and implemented, bespoke
terms and conditions in any transaction may prove overly burdensome for the borrower to actually implement, and may also
cause inadvertent violation of the borrower’s obligations to other lenders as specified in other/existing debt contracts.

Although not currently common practice among LIDCs, requirements about standardization of terms in PDMLF may
help promote transparency. For example, Ghana’s PFM Law of 2016 (Article 56) and Nigeria’s Debt Management Office Act
(Article 27) call for approval by Parliament of such standard terms and conditions. Standardization may include adaptations for
contractual provisions related to standard covenants, such as: confidentiality, events of defaults, dispute resolution mechanisms,
waivers of sovereign immunity, choice of law, governing law, and provisions related to debt standstills and moratoria or the
restructuring of contract terms (Gelpern et al., 2017).

Standardization is also beneficial during the loan negotiation phase. Provided that the proposed standardization is not
rigid or unrealistic (in light of the relevant debt instrument, jurisdiction, commercial context or market), it can help finalize
negotiations in a timely manner. In some countries, the use of a standard loan template could facilitate the approval process at
the national level. For instance, in Nigeria and Ghana, an external loan or guarantee transaction is exempt from further approval
by the National Assembly if the debt agreement conforms with the terms and conditions approved by the National Assembly.
Guidance for staff that help negotiate for borrowers is also useful as it can elaborate on important elements of specific standard
clauses for the borrower and thereby help inform negotiation strategies.




                                                      The different level of disclosure between Eurobonds and loans has a significant
                                                      impact in the case of debt restructuring. Unlike Eurobonds, information about the
                                                      restructuring of bilateral and syndicated loans are not necessarily disclosed and may
                                                      only enter the public domain months later when the new terms are reflected in direct/
                                                      indirect reports. This underscores the importance of involving private creditors in the
                                                      recently launched OECD data collection initiative or in the project for an international
                                                      loan repository described in Annex 2.

                                                      While these initiatives may facilitate the availability of financial terms, the
                                                      identification of final creditors remains a challenge. In the case of bonds, DMOs often
                                                      are not in possession of this information, particulary on external issuances,93 as they may
                                                      not have access to central securities depositories’ (CSDs’) data on bondholder identities.
                                                      Therefore, DMOs tend to rely on aggregated information provided by the banks that
                                                      arrange the deals. Bloomberg has some information on “current” bondholders based on
                                                      surveys with large investment banks and global custodians, but the coverage for LIDCs
                                                      is limited. The lack of visibility on the final creditor is not a prerogative of bonds, since



93.	 The identification of final creditors is less of problem for domestically-issued securities, as domestic markets tend to be more “captive”, national banks and pension funds
     typically adopt a “buy and hold approach”, and with limited secondary markets transactions, that can be tracked by Central Banks or local CSDs.


                                                                                       62
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                      there is also a secondary market for loans, which is less regulated and transparent than the
                                                      market for securities. In fact, depending on the terms and governing law, a loan creditor
                                                      may decide to transfer its exposure to other investors without being under any obligation
                                                      to amend the original agreement or inform the borrower about the transaction.

                                                      Having detailed and timely understanding of the final creditors is important for
                                                      implementing debt strategies and critical for debt restructuring. The lack of visibility
                                                      on the secondary market with respect to creditor base composition may limit the analysis
                                                      of refinancing risk as well as the opportunity for liability management transactions.
                                                      The absence of these data is far more detrimental in the case of restructuring, as
                                                      countries need to launch a call for data to reach out to final investors, which delays the
                                                      negotiation process.

                                                      However, the publication of detailed statistics on the composition of the investor base
                                                      for tradable debt is not common practice in LIDCs. A general breakdown by investor
                                                      category is presented in some more mature markets. This lack of granular information
                                                      may respond to legal, operational or strategic reasons. Firstly, this information can be
                                                      protected by local privacy regulations, legislation or by an arrangement with the CSD that
                                                      would keep real-time data of the current holder, but would only share data by investor type.
                                                      Secondly, investors may need to be pulled together to facilitate cross-border transactions,
                                                      possibly reducing borrowing cost. This is the case for the International Central Security
                                                      Depository (ICSD) (e.g. Euroclear and Clearstream), that serves as an important avenue
                                                      for sovereign issuers to attract non-resident investors in LIDCs (Velandia and Secunho,
                                                      2021). The bridge between local and international CSDs that enables non-resident
                                                      investors to trade local bonds without opening a domestic account is underpinned by
                                                      the recognition of so-called “omnibus” accounts. Using “ominibus accounts”, foreign
                                                      investors hold their securities in the name of the ICSD and neither the issuer nor the the
                                                      local CSD have access to information related to the final holder.




Box 3.2
Reducing the Information Asymmetry: The Role of Credit Rating Agencies

A prerequisite of international debt issuance or loan is typically a credit rating from a credit-rating agency (CRAs). The
CRAs’ goal is to produce an independent and objective assessment of the creditworthiness of a debt issuer using methodologies
to ensure cross-country comparability. For that, they need to collect and process a considerable amount of macro and fiscal data,
including on debt stock, composition, and debt service. Debt statistics are requested from the borrower in specific templates,
typically at the general government level. Gaps or missing information are usually filled in by referring to indirect reporting
from the IMF/World Bank or other international source. Indirect data sources play a central role, especially if the rating is
“unsolicited” (i.e., assigned without being requested by the issuer).

The general public may perceive this data analysis by CRAs as involving a certain degree of due diligence on the
country’s data quality and comprehensiveness. CRAs need a sufficiently updated and comprehensive set of data to provide
an informed assessment and may withdraw the rating in the absence of data.94 However, assessing the completeness or quality




94.	 For instance, Fitch withdrew its rating to Benin in 2012 and to Suriname in 2020 as insufficient public information was available to assign “unsolicited” ratings.


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                                                                  Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




of the data directly received (or obtained through indirect sources) is beyond their mandate. As a result, rating agencies use
relevant data collected, without providing details on the statistical collection and compilation methods whose heterogeneity, as
described in Chapter 2 of the report, may affect their quality and ultimately compromise country cross-comparability.

Transparency - defined as the availability of data - is factored in by CRAs. The methodology applied by the three main
CRAs (S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s) contains clear criteria regarding the impact of sovereign data transparency on the rating
assessment. S&P’s sovereign rating methodology, for instance, uses five assessments to determine its indicative rating.95 Of
these, the level of sovereign data transparency directly impacts the institutional assessment, which evaluates the quality and
consistency of all data used by the agency. S&P may also apply adjustment factors related to the transparency of statistics, these
factors are important for the economic96 and external assessment.97 (Figure B3.2.1).

Figure B3.2.1
Key Areas Affected by Transparency in S&P`s Sovereign Rating Methodology

      Institutional                        Economic                             External                             Fiscal                            Monetary
       Assessment                          Assessment                          Assessment                          Assessment                          Assessment




           Primary                             Primary                             Primary                             Primary                             Primary
           Factors                             Factors                             Factors                             Factors                             Factors


              +                                   +                                   +                                   +                                   +

       Adjustment                          Adjustment                          Adjustment                          Adjustment                          Adjustment
        Factors                             Factors                             Factors                             Factors                             Factors


                                                             Assessments with factors directly related to transparency

Source: S&P Sovereign Rating Methodology.


It is possible to estimate the potential impact on the indicative rating from material data revisions and the suppression of data
and information flows. For instance, ceteris paribus, a country rated BBB- (lowest level of investment grade level) would be
downgraded to BB+ in the case of “material gaps in sovereign data or reporting delays”98 affecting its institutional assessment.
Similarly, Fitch’s and Moody’s methodologies also take the level of transparency into account, with explicit reference to
debt data:




94.	 For instance, Fitch withdrew its rating to Benin in 2012 and to Suriname in 2020 as insufficient public information was available to assign “unsolicited” ratings.
95.	 The indicative rating comes from the combination of five key assessments: institutional, economic, external, monetary, and fiscal. After this indicative rating, the agency
     may also apply supplemental adjustment factors which could impact the final rating.
96.	 The primary indicator for economic assessment is GDP per capita in USD (for further details, see S&P`s Sovereign Rating Methodology).
97.	 Primary indicators for external assessment comprise the status of the country’s currency in international transactions, and its external liquidity and position, including
     external debt.
98.	 In this hypothetical case, the country does not score more than 5 on each key assessment (in S&P`s methodology each assessment has a six-point numerical scale from 1
     (strongest) to 6 (weakest)) and does not score less than 2 on each key assessment.


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                                                                Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




	        “Additionally, in the event of data limitations that are potentially material to the rating outcome, Fitch will consider
making an adjustment in the qualitative overlay (QO) within the relevant analytical pillar; e.g., if there is a lack of information
on external assets and liabilities, a negative notching adjustment could be made to the External Finances section of the QO. If
Fitch believes that this lack of information is so significant as to render any analysis insufficiently robust to support a rating or
rating action, Fitch will not assign a rating, or will withdraw an existing rating.”99

	        “While accounting standards can be complex and evolve over time, leading to ex-post revisions of fiscal performance
and debt levels, a track record of frequent and large revisions in past budget accounts would typically weigh negatively on our
assessment of a sovereign’s fiscal effectiveness.”100

Rating agencies have made progress in the level of transparency of their methodology.101 Since 2019 S&P has published
more details on adjustment factor assessments (usually more qualitative) in the sovereign reports, showing the main drivers
behind those adjustments; Fitch has made an interactive sovereign rating model available (in an Excel file) in which it is possible
to observe the exact weights and inputs considered for each country;102 Moody’s published a new version of its sovereign rating
methodology increasing the transparency of its adjustment factors.




RECOMMENDATIONS                                      The use of a standardized key clauses in loan agreements should be promoted. Using
AND CONCLUSIONS                                      standardized provisions helps ensure adherence to the PDMLF and reduce the borrower’s
                                                     exposure to legal and operational risks. Moreover, it can promote transparency to the
                                                     extent that it excludes confidentiality clauses that require secrecy and unreasonable
                                                     confidentiality clauses, as described in section 4.4.

                                                     Provisions should be included in loan agreements to require secondary market
                                                     transactions (e.g., participations, assignments, transfers) of loans or interests in
                                                     loans to be communicated to the borrower. Since loan trading does not take place
                                                     in organized markets, the borrowers should be informed about the transactions, as their
                                                     size and pricing may affect the primary market and should be taken into account in
                                                     strategy formulation.

                                                     Updated, reliable information about government debt holders should be available
                                                     to the DMO. Local and international CSDs can collect and disclose updated information
                                                     about final debt holders based on their operational and fiduciary role. However, full
                                                     disclosure at the final holders’ level may entail operational and legal constraints for the
                                                     borrower, thus making disclosure by category (e.g., banks, mutual funds, pension funds,
                                                     retail investors, non-resident) a more achievable and balanced objective.




99.	    Fitch’s Sovereign Rating Methodology.
100	    Moody’s’ Sovereign Rating Methodology.
101.	   Addis Ababa Action Agenda of the Third International Conference on Financing for Development, outcome document (General Assembly resolution 69/313, annex).
102.	   The interactive sovereign rating model for each country is available on the Fitch Ratings-Issuer Portal.


                                                                                    65
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                        In international commercial debt, CRAs play a key role in reducing the information
                                                        asymmetry between sovereign issuers and their investors; however, they could
                                                        contribute more to transparency than they currently do. There is room for further
                                                        improvement in the granularity of information on the rationale for CRA’s downward
                                                        adjustment as a result of data transparency. A revision of CRAs’ methodology ensuring
                                                        a more detailed and systematic disclosure of the specific events that trigger adjustments
                                                        would add clarity to the process and allow final users to appreciate possible “red flags” in
                                                        their own approach to debt data transparency. CRA assessments could also benefit from an
                                                        explicit disclosure of the source of debt data (i.e., direct/indirect). This would demonstrate
                                                        full alignment with the debt definitions and coverage used in their methodologies and
                                                        would indirectly promote stronger disclosure practice at the country level.

3.3 RESOURCE-BACKED                                     Developing countries often face difficulties accessing large-scale financing to meet
LOANS                                                   their development needs. Major constraints include the lack of a sufficiently deep
                                                        domestic market and limited or costly access to international capital markets. In response
                                                        to this challenge, a resource-linked financing model, referred to herein as resource-
                                                        backed loans (RBLs),103 has become fairly popular. RBLs provide new opportunities
                                                        for countries to access finance in exchange for, or collateralized by,104 future streams of
                                                        income from the underlying commodities.

                                                        RBLs can be beneficial to LIDCs under certain circumstances, including if there
                                                        is full transparency of contractual terms (WB-IMF, 2020). Collateralized borrowing
                                                        practices along the lines of RBLs go back at least a century,105 and became widely used
                                                        across resource-rich developing countries during the commodity boom (NRGI, 2020).
                                                        The COVID-19 pandemic has generated considerable focus on these types of transactions
                                                        because they pose unique challenges for debt sustainability. First, they are tied to volatile
                                                        commodity prices. Second, they tend to be embedded in legally and financially complex
                                                        deals. Third, they are often omitted in existing direct/indirect reporting sources, thus
                                                        becoming part of the “hidden debt”.

                                                        The collateral arrangements in RBLs can be grouped into four categories:

                                                        (i)	 Resource sales receivables are the most common collateral arrangements. These
                                                             arrangements require relevant parties to agree upon specific amounts of natural
                                                             resources (barrels per day, tons, etc.) to be sold to a designated buyer(s). The amount
                                                             that the designated buyer is obligated to pay for the resources is paid to the benefit of
                                                             the lender, either directly or into a deposit account owned by the borrower but over
                                                             which the lender has rights to deduct funds in the event of a loan repayment failure.




103.	 As used in this report, RBLs refer to loans provided to a government or state-owned enterprise (SOE) where: (i) the repayment is either made directly in natural resources
      (i.e., in kind) or from a natural-resource-related future income stream; (ii) the repayment is guaranteed by a natural-resource-related income stream; or (iii) a natural resource
      asset serves as collateral.
104.	 As used in this section of the report, a debt instrument is “collateralized” when the creditor has rights over an asset or revenue stream whereby if the borrower defaults on its
      payment obligations the creditor can rely on the asset or revenue stream for debt repayment. In a legal sense, collateralization entails a borrower granting liens over specific
      existing assets or future receivables to a lender as security against repayment of the loan.
105.	 E.g., Peru’s guano-backed borrowing in mid-19th century (Vizcarra, 2009).


                                                                                           66
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                        (ii)	 Resource sales pre-payments (SPP) are advances made in respect of purchases
                                                              of resources, most commonly used by commodities traders who want to purchase
                                                              natural resources.

                                                        (iii)	 Resource development access ties the expected returns from granting mineral
                                                               development rights to an investor to the repayment of a loan. They are sometimes
                                                               labeled “resource-for- infrastructure” deals or “barter deals.”

                                                        (iv)	 Direct resource collateral involves collateralizing undeveloped resources still in
                                                              the ground, usually mineral or oil deposits.

                                                        It is not easy to find information on RBLs. Based on publicly available information
                                                        and focusing on Sub-Saharan Africa, Cust, Hwang, Mihalyi and Rivetti (2021) identified
                                                        30 RBLs signed between 2004 and 2018 in 11 African countries, mostly commodity-
                                                        exporters.106 The analysis considers only loans for which the proceeds are used for
                                                        purposes external to the revenue stream that is used for repayment or as collateral.107
                                                        To compile the database, the following sources have been used: the Johns Hopkins
                                                        SAIS China-Africa Research Initiative’s (CARI) dataset on Chinese lending to Africa;108
                                                        government sources,109 including non-debt-related official documents and SOEs’ financial
                                                        statements.110 The identified loans account for USD 46.5 billion committed, including
                                                        loans only partially disbursed. The primary sources of RBLs are foreign state policy
                                                        banks/development banks and private trading companies.

                                                        RBLs are heavily concentrated in a few countries where they represent a substantial
                                                        share of the relevant countries’ borrowings. The total new external debt contracted by
                                                        Sub-Saharan African countries over the 2004-2018 period is USD 600 billion (source:
                                                        WB’s IDS) of which USD 450 billion was disbursed. As a result, based on the information
                                                        presented in the sample, RBLs represent approximately 8 percent of total new borrowing
                                                        in Sub-Saharan Africa and between 10 percent and 30 percent of the median country’s
                                                        total external public debt stock in the year following the RBLs’ signature. Figure 3.3
                                                        shows the size of RBL-committed amounts relative to the total external PPG debt
                                                        disbursements, further confirming that when countries decide to take on RBLs, they
                                                        typically do it in large volumes.




106.	 Based on WB-IM definitions, 3 fuel exporters: Angola, Chad, the Republic of Congo; 6 non-fuel exporters: DRC, Guinea, Niger, South Sudan, Sudan, and Zimbabwe; and
       2 diversified exporters: Ghana and São Tomé and Príncipe.
107. 	 In the typology of IMF-WB (2020a), these are labelled as “unrelated collateral” transactions. These types of loans may be considered substitutes to regular government
       borrowing.
108.	http://www.sais-cari.org/data.
109.	 For instance, DRC debt reports contain details of the collateralized loans. South Sudan and Republic of Congo report intermittently on their debt outstanding with
       commodities traders.
110.	 While significant effort has been spent on ensuring the accuracy of the data, an important caveat to this analysis is that it relies on mixed direct/indirect sources that may not
       follow the same definitions and valuation methods as discussed in Chapter 1).


                                                                                           67
                                       Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 3.3                                         Angola                                                 Chad
New Disbursements of
                            15,000M$                                                  1,500M$
External PPG Debt vs. RBL
Committed Amounts
                            10,000M$                                                  1,000M$



                            5,000M$                                                       500M$



                                0M$                                                        0M$
                                            2000 2005 2010 2015 2020                                2000 2005 2010 2015 2020


                                   Congo, Democratic Republic                                        Congo, Republic

                            3,000M$                                                   2,500M$

                                                                                      2,000M$
                            2,000M$
                                                                                      1,500M$

                                                                                      1,000M$
                            1,000M$
                                                                                          500M$

                                0M$                                                        0M$
                                            2000 2005 2010 2015 2020                                2000 2005 2010 2015 2020


                                                   Ghana                                                 Guinea

                            3,000M$                                                       750M$



                            2,000M$                                                       500M$



                            1,000M$                                                       250M$



                                0M$                                                        0M$

                                            2000 2005 2010 2015 2020                                2000 2005 2010 2015 2020


                                                    Niger                                          Sao Tome & Principe

                            1,000M$                                                       40M$


                              750M$                                                       30M$


                              500M$                                                       20M$


                              250M$                                                       10M$


                                0M$                                                        0M$

                                            2000 2005 2010 2015 2020                                2000 2005 2010 2015 2020


                                                               Public debt disbursement           RBL agreement


                                                          68
                                                                Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                                             Sudan                                                    Zimbabwe

                                                     3,000M$                                                        600M$



                                                     2,000M$                                                        400M$



                                                     1,000M$                                                        200M$



                                                          0M$                                                         0M$
                                                                     2000 2005 2010 2015 2020                                    2000 2005 2010 2015 2020


                                                                                        Public debt disbursement              RBL agreement

                                                    Source: Cust, Hwang, Mihalyi and Rivetti 2021.



                                                    Given the magnitudes observed, having access to the terms of RBLs is critical to
                                                    monitoring debt sustainability. This is evident in the recent restructuring process in
                                                    Angola, Chad, and the Republic of Congo, where the renegotiation of RBLs has been a
                                                    key stumbling block.

                                                    RBLs are distinctively opaque for five main reasons:

                                                    •	    They tend to include stringent confidentiality clauses, which may be due to the political
                                                          sensitivity of pledging natural resources or permitting certain ownership transfers; or
                                                          a desire of the parties to conceal or play down the nature of collateralization.

                                                    •	    RBLS are not systematically recognized and classified as debt by the debtor country
                                                          (instrument coverage, see Chapter 2). In many cases, RBLs are treated more as
                                                          advance payments to a supplier.

                                                    •	    Countries relying on such borrowing methods tend to have weaker debt reporting
                                                          practices. Seven out of ten RBL borrowing countries perform below the median of
                                                          IDA countries on the WB Debt Reporting Heat Map (Cust, Hwang, Mihalyi and
                                                          Rivetti, 2021).

                                                    •	    RBLs are often contracted by SOE or SPV (sectoral coverage) which may not publish
                                                          audited financial statements and do not necessarily provide data to the DMOs, which
                                                          are the main sources of debt statistics in LIDCs (see Chapter 3). As a result, RBLs
                                                          are often omitted in debt statistics.111

                                                    •	    Finally, existing public debt data collection by IMF/WB does not currently request
                                                          countries to report on collateralization features.




111.	 Only 15 of the 30 loans analyzed by Cust, Hwang, Mihalyi and Rivetti (2021) could be identified on the World Bank’s Debtor Reporting System (DRS).


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         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




The lack of transparency on RBLs has a number of implications

•	 First, these deals are often highly complex, and their approval requires
   specialized knowledge to estimate the all-in-cost and legal risks that they entail.
   In fact, collateralized deals often consist of different related agreements, and may
   involve additional costs such as export credit premia, remuneration of financial
   intermediaries, legal fees, and non-monetary “costs”, such as lender step-in rights,
   and other lender controls over the management and disposal of the secured asset
   (WB-IMF, 2020). Even without considering these additional fees, the analysis of
   RBLs shows that collateralization does not always bring down the cost compared to
   uncollateralized lending. Although a few RBLs extended by bilateral lenders have
   relatively low rates, most RBLs reviewed in the sample come with rates above the
   median of other financing sources with comparable features (e.g., maturity, lender
   category, currency). This may be because RBLs are often contracted in scenarios
   where the borrower has limited market access or limited funding sources. That
   makes transparency around RBLs even more critical for debt sustainability. From
   a legal perspective, borrowers need to consider whether the structure or terms of
   an RBL would cause non-compliance with contractual undertakings already given
   in favor of other lenders by the sovereign or SOE borrower (Box 3.3), as well as
   domestic legal constraints on resource ownership.

•	   Second, given the complexity of these transactions, there is a significant risk of
     poor negotiation outcomes, given the asymmetry in capacity between borrowers
     and lenders, their different bargaining power as well as the limited competition
     among providers of such loans (few lenders offer them). This risk is higher when the
     outcome is subject to limited public awareness and there is therefore little scrutiny
     and accountability by the borrowing government.

•	   Third, RBLs may use structures that are not fully reflected in standard national debt
     and confer undisclosed seniority or payment advantages to some lenders. This may
     undermine the soundness of lending allocations based on debt sustainability analysis,
     can cause mistrust among creditors and complicate the finalization of arrangements
     in sovereign debt restructurings.




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                                                                      Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Box 3.3
RBLs, Collateral, Collateral-Like Features, and Contractual Covenants

The key aim of a negative pledge provision is to prevent subordination of a lender by precluding or limiting the ability of
the borrower to grant collateral in favor of other lenders—unless the borrower secures the lender in question, provides
equivalent security or otherwise obtains its consent. Negative-pledge undertakings are used in loans made by a wide range
of lenders, including multilateral development banks, private or commercial lenders, and state-owned policy banks. They are
also usually included in the terms and conditions of sovereign bonds.

Why is a negative-pledge clause important to a lender? When specific borrower assets are secured in favor of specific
lenders, it leaves fewer borrower assets from which unsecured lenders can be repaid in the event of a default. Some negative-
pledge clauses have an expanded scope in that they apply not only to transactions involving the creation of legal security or a
lien which is legally enforceable, but also to transactions with collateral arrangements that offer lenders commercial security
even if they do not amount to true, legally enforceable security in an insolvency or default scenario. Such transactions may be
considered to have an equivalent (economic) effect to legal security, albeit not the same legal effect or remedies. Under these
arrangements, contractual rights and transaction structuring techniques are used to give the relevant lenders advantages vis-à-
vis other lenders, despite technically falling short of legal security. These contractual features are often referred to as “quasi-
collateral”, “quasi security,” or “collateral-like features”.

Given the possible variety in scope of negative-pledge undertakings,112 the question of whether a particular transaction
violates a negative-pledge undertaking will depend on the language used in the negative pledge clause as well as the
structure of the transaction and the language of the legal documentation. Prior to entering into an RBL, a borrower
needs to consider whether the proposed transaction would put it in breach of any negative-pledge undertakings (or other
contractual covenants) given to other lenders. In addition, even where an RBL structure does not violate any of the borrower’s
existing contractual undertakings, sovereign and SOE borrowers in RBLs should consider the extent to which a collateralized
transaction structure effectively ties up the borrower’s assets - for example if resource sale proceeds are directed and held in
specific accounts where the borrower’s ability to withdraw funds is subject to contractual limitations tied to the loan. These
limitations may significantly counterbalance the attraction of any lower interest rate offered in connection with a collateralized
loan. In some cases (such as borrowings by SOEs), loan contracts also include “permitted lien” provisions through which the
lender explicitly permits the borrower to enter into certain collateralized transactions. Transaction types are usually listed and
specifically described with clear parameters.

 A lender who permits certain types of liens or secured transactions upfront, may stipulate maximum monetary values
of a permitted loan; may limit permitted liens to loans with a specific purpose; or specify other limitations that require
the borrower to obtain the lender’s consent or to equally and ratably secure such a lender. The lender’s motivation for
permitting, upfront, the borrower to give such liens or security in favor of other lenders over the life of the loan will vary, but
may include: (i) recognizing that such liens are usual in the borrower’s business context or sector; (ii) recognizing that such
liens are likely to be given in connection with specific investment types that enhance the borrower’s overall business and value;
and (iii) a desire by the parties to limit the amount of time and transaction costs expended over the life of a loan in obtaining the
lender’s consent. In some instances, the number and scope of permitted liens or transaction types is so extensive that it could
be argued that the extensive number of carve-outs impairs the purpose of the permitted lien (and negative pledge) language in
the first place.




112.	 The breadth of a negative-pledge and undertaking initiatives more than just the definitions of concepts such as “lien” or “security”. Exceptions are often contemplated
      within the negative-pledge clause itself. In the case of the WB’s NPCs, the following exceptions apply: (i) the giving of liens or security by the borrower in connection with
      debt that has a maturity of 12 months or less; and (ii) transactions that entail a lien or security created on property at the time of purchase of such property, where the lien is
      created solely to secure payment of the purchase price or to secure the repayment of debt incurred for the purpose of purchasing the property. In addition, depending on the
      context of the debt in question, a lender may limit the scope of the negative pledge and undertaking to external debt incurred by the borrower.


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                                                Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Compliance with a negative-pledge clause and permitted lien provisions is the borrower’s responsibility. The limitations
of these clauses, although often viewed as a burden, can potentially function as an ally to assist sovereign and SOE borrowers by
giving them a focus in seeking to minimize any legal security or quasi-security proposed by lenders. It is not the responsibility
of lenders to monitor or check compliance by a borrower with the lender’s negative pledge and permitted lien provisions.
However, if information about a sovereign’s or SOE’s borrowing activities is available, a lender may decide to conduct their
own review - although possibly facing the same disclosure or confidentiality challenges described in Chapter 2.




RECOMMENDATIONS                        Public debt operations that leverage natural resources as credit enhancement may
AND CONCLUSIONS                        represent an opportunity to gain better financial terms and pricing, or to gain
                                       access to finance that would not otherwise be available. However, the net benefit
                                       of such operations depends on a country’s debt sustainability, the use of proceeds, the
                                       soundness of their legal and financial terms, and compliance with applicable negative
                                       pledge clauses (NPCs). On the downside, these contractual arrangements inhibit the
                                       ability of a sovereign or SOE borrower to freely direct their own cashflows, potentially
                                       impairing the borrower’s ability to respond to economic shocks and commodity price
                                       volatility. The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed some Sub-Saharan African countries
                                       to these risks, as they face narrow fiscal space and reduced control over scarce resources
                                       tied up in highly structured loan arrangements.

                                       Full transparency is key for beneficial outcome from RBLs. Collateralized transactions
                                       need to be properly disclosed to ensure a timely and accurate assessment of their impact
                                       on debt sustainability, thus allowing borrowers and creditors to correctly assess risks and
                                       borrow (lend) sustainably. A full disclosure of RBLs’ terms would also limit the prospect
                                       of corruption or poorly negotiated deals (e.g., the effective “privatization” of assets on
                                       highly advantageous terms to the lender).

                                       Strengthening disclosure requirements is important since RBLs tend to be large,
                                       highly complex and contracted in scenarios where the borrower has limited
                                       funding sources. The borrower needs to provide a minimum level of information such
                                       as: memorandum items in national debt statistics, including asset, amount, and type
                                       of security. In parallel, IFIs can capture collateralization features in indirect reporting
                                       databases (see section 2.2) and can promote specific financial and legal technical
                                       assistance to better equip and empower borrowers in negotiations with lenders.

                                       Relative to standard loans, RBLs also require stricter analytical processes in the
                                       approval phase to promote better development outcomes. This includes the following
                                       steps: (i) a careful assessment of how sustainability might be impacted; (ii) a check that
                                       the proposed terms and conditions account fairly for the value of the security given; (iii)
                                       a check that the legal and technical dimensions of the proposed structure are fully taken
                                       into account; and (iv) careful assessment of how granting collateral might impact other
                                       financing, in the context of the country’s debt management strategy (WB-IMF, 2020).




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                                                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




3.4 CENTRAL BANK REPOS                               In most countries, the central bank is not consolidated with government accounts
AND SWAP OPERATIONS                                  for public sector reporting. As described in Chapter 2, the CB is beyond the sectoral
                                                     coverage of LIDC’s public debt statistics, its asset and liabilities are typically only
                                                     reported in its balance sheet without consolidation with other sectors. In national debt
                                                     definitions, the exclusion of CB debt also reflects the principle of separating debt
                                                     instruments contracted for fiscal use from those contracted for monetary purposes. For
                                                     this reason, securities issued by the CB in its role of fiscal agent of the government are
                                                     included in the debt stock, while those issued solely for monetary or liquidity purposes
                                                     are excluded. This is also the criterion followed by the LIC-DSA.113

                                                     However, establishing the exact purpose of a CB instrument (fiscal vs. monetary),
                                                     is not always straightforward. This difference is evident when countries use different
                                                     policy instruments for fiscal and monetary purposes or, in the case that the same
                                                     instruments are used (e.g., T-bills), the respective amounts are clearly separated in the
                                                     reporting and accounting (DeMPA, 2021). Some key monetary policy instruments - such
                                                     as Repurchase Agreement (“repos”), Foreign Currency Deposits or Swap Lines (FXSLs)
                                                     - have the potential to generate external borrowing and have been used to this end by
                                                     some CBs in emerging markets and LIDCs. As such, they represent material risk for the
                                                     government and warrant a risk-based inclusion in DSA.

                                                     The non-conventional use of CB instruments raises transparency concerns. Repos,
                                                     FX Deposits and FXSLs are key features of international financial architecture. They are
                                                     important tools for CBs to ensure financial stability by controlling market liquidity and
                                                     bolstering reserves. Their use has grown significantly following the 2008 global financial
                                                     crisis, the COVID-19 crisis has further underscored their importance. However, their
                                                     presence is not always clearly identified in the CB’s balance sheet, but rather lumped in
                                                     the broad category of international reserve and FX liability. They are also not captured by
                                                     existing debt databases, as they are considered to be short-term instruments114 or assumed
                                                     to be for monetary/liquidity purposes. As a result, repos and FXSLs may generate “debt
                                                     surprises”115 and deserve further analysis.




113.	 “Central bank debt issuance or foreign exchange swaps for the purposes of monetary policy or reserves management are excluded from external public debt”. (WB, 2018).
114.	 In the case of WB DRS, central bank deposits and FXSLs are understood to be short-term and, therefore outside the reporting parameters.
115.	 In 2020, for instance, the Reserve Bank of Malawi, could not reverse a FXSL open position with a local bank and had to convert it into a medium-term forex facility of
      US$450 million (6 percent of the GDP).


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                                          Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                Central Bank Repos for External Borrowing

                                A repurchase agreement (“repo”) is the sale of securities to a counterpart in exchange
                                for cash, under the agreement to repurchase the same or similar securities at an agreed
                                price in the future. Repos are widely used in money markets including: (i) interbank
                                lending, (ii) central bank open market operations with domestic commercial banks, and
                                (iii) securities dealers to finance their inventories. Starting from the mid-90s, repos have
                                been increasingly used in LIDCs as they are a safer, more flexible, and often cheaper
                                source of funding than unsecured borrowing for market makers (WB-IMF, 2021). The
                                “price differential” between the price at the start of the transaction and the price at the end
                                of the transaction reflects the interest rate, whilst the “haircut” is the difference between
                                the market value of the securities and the amount of cash lent against their transfer. The
                                haircut depends on a number of variables such as maturity, quality, scarcity value, and
                                price volatility of the underlying collateral; terms of the repo; and creditworthiness of
                                the counterpart (Figure 3.4).


Figure 3.4                                                                   Trade Initiation
Example of a Standard Central
Bank Repo Transaction
                                                                              Securities (101)


                                           Central                                                       Commercial
                                            Bank                                                           Bank


                                                                                 Cash (100)




                                                                           Trade Termination



                                                                              Securities (101)


                                           Central                                                       Commercial
                                            Bank                                                           Bank

                                                                                 Cash (100)
                                                                                 + interest



                                Source: Authors’ elaboration.




                                                             74
                                                Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                       The economic nature of a repo is that of a collateralized loan. The market arrangements
                                       for repos, including the payments of margin, the ability to substitute securities, and the
                                       retention of market risk by the security provider, support the view that repos should
                                       be classified as loans, with the security remaining on the balance sheet of the security
                                       provider. However, from a legal perspective, a repo is a true sale/purchase of assets for a
                                       purchase price, with an agreement to re-purchase at a price differential; this is different
                                       to a loan that bears interest. As a result of this, the “legal owner” of the securities (i.e., the
                                       security receiver) in repos may differ from the “economic owner” for statistical purposes
                                       (i.e., the security provider). In the absence of adequate disclosure of the collateralization
                                       details, this difference may generate severe information asymmetries, particularly when
                                       the repo is overcollateralized and the securities used are not marketable.

                                       Overcollateralization of repos that utilize the seller’s own securities can lower the
                                       cost of borrowing by providing credit protection in case of default. Box 3.4 shows
                                       examples of repos that, in contrast to normal repos (which use third party typically
                                       high-grade securities), utilized the countries’ own sovereign bonds as collateral for
                                       their borrowing with large haircuts. These repos—signed when the borrowers were
                                       experiencing difficult financial conditions—gave creditors the right to claim, in the case
                                       of default, a larger amount than was lent (i.e., paid as the initial purchase price), thus de
                                       facto diluting the rights of other creditors. Such transactions would only be cost-effective
                                       if the potential impact of the collateral in the case of a default (e.g., external securities
                                       increasing in value) is not observed by other investors. Otherwise, theoretically, their
                                       inclusion in the reported debt portfolio should trigger an increase in the cost of future
                                       un-collateralized debt.




Box 3.4
Over-Collateralized REPOs in Egypt (2016) and Ecuador (2018)

In 2016, Egypt’s central bank entered into a one-year repo to increase its foreign reserves. As Egypt did not hold the
Eurobonds to secure the transactions, the Egyptian Ministry of Finance issued non-marketable bonds to collateralize the repo.
USD 4 billion bonds were transferred directly to the CB and therefore not included in the external debt stock. These bonds were
used to back a USD 2 billion loan from HSBC (haircut: 50 percent). The over-collateralization and cash-margining managed to
reduce the cost of borrowing, relative to Egypt’s likely cost of borrowing attainable through a Eurobond issuance. The operation
was replicated in 2018, when the CB of Egypt agreed to enter into a new repo with a consortium of international banks for a total
amount of USD 3.8 billion and a final maturity of 4.5 years and an average life of 3 years. The repo was extended in November
2020 by 1.5 years.

A similar operation was conducted by the Government of Ecuador in 2018. Ecuador also over-collateralized a series of
four-year repos with Goldman Sachs and Credit Suisse by using ad hoc- issued bonds to cover funding gaps during difficult
financial conditions. The amount of bonds pledged was USD 2.4 billion against USD 1 billion received (haircut: 58.3 percent).
Although the repo interest rates were 30 percent below Eurobond market rates at the time, Ecuador saw the true costs of repo
increasing due to margin calls linked to the mark-to-market collateral. In May 2020 Ecuador agreed to repay the full repo, which
was no longer included in the subsequent restructuring.




                                                                   75
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                      Foreign Currency Swap Lines (FXSLs)

                                                      FXSLs provide foreign exchange (FX) liquidity to the receiving CBs. CB Foreign
                                                      Swap Lines (FXSLs) are bilateral arrangements between two CBs to exchange a certain
                                                      amount of their currencies at the spot exchange rate, with the commitment to unwind
                                                      the operation at a future date, at an agreed exchange rate (normally, the spot rate of the
                                                      date of the original transaction).116 They are typically set up to enable a CB to supply its
                                                      domestic banking sector with liquidity in currencies other than the domestic one (i.e.,
                                                      the CB would lend the foreign currency on to institutions in its jurisdictions, on its own
                                                      terms and at its own risk) or as a way to temporarily increase international reserves.
                                                      Figure 3.5 summarizes how FXSLs typically work.


Figure 3.5                                                                                  Credit limit, often time bound, and
How CB FXSLs Work                                                                              amount based on credit risk
                                                           Central Bank A                                                                            Central Bank B



                                                      Drawing on the FXSL

                                                                                            CB A currency provided to CB B
                                                           Central Bank A                                                                            Central Bank B
                                                                                              CB B simultaneously deposits
                                                                                             an equivalent amount in its own
                                                                                                currency in favor of CB A


                                                      Repayment

                                                                                              CB A currency repaid to CB A
                                                           Central Bank A                                                                            Central Bank B
                                                                                                  Deposits are liquidated.
                                                                                              The exchange rate is the same
                                                                                              as when the funds were drawn.
                                                                                                 CB B also pays interest.



                                                      Source: Authors’ elaboration




116.	 Depending on the contract, interest may be paid by one CB to the other. Also, margin calls may be required to account for exchange rate fluctuations, amounts in respect of
      which are to be credited to the partner’s deposit account if certain thresholds are crossed or at certain frequency.


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                                                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                     The receiving CBs are typically selected based on high credit quality and close
                                                     trade relationships. The providing CB is exposed to credit risk should the receiving
                                                     CB not honor its agreement to sell the FX at the agreed exchange rate. Therefore, the
                                                     CB offering the FXSL will consider both the credit quality of the receiving CB and
                                                     the potential spill-over to the domestic economic activity of not offering the FXSL.
                                                     However, as in the case of bilateral lending, political reasons may be more pertinent
                                                     (Box 3.5)




Box 3.5
Current Use of FXSLs

The use of FXSL has grown to be an important part of the global financial safety net in the past two decades. Perks et al.
(2021) document three bilateral FXSLs in 2000 growing to 25 in 2010 after the global financial crisis and to 91 in 2020 after
the onset of COVID-19 pandemic. The swap line limit amounts in the same period grew from US$6 billion in 2000 to US$500
billion in 2010 and US$1.9 trillion in 2020.117

The role of FXSLs is key when funding markets in one currency deteriorate and it becomes difficult or expensive for
banks outside that currency area to fund their FX assets. During the 2008 financial crisis, for example, funding markets
dried up because of an extreme aversion to risk. Under these circumstances, it became difficult for euro area banks to obtain
USD to fund their USD-denominated assets. To prevent disruptions, such as banks having to sell assets abruptly and thus
provoking extreme price movements, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) set up
a FXSL, allowing the ECB to provide USD to banks located in the euro area. Similarly, in the immediate aftermath of the
COVID-19 crisis, an international dollar shortage led to a deviation from covered interest rate parity among major currencies,
which materialized as a cross-currency basis spread.118 The Fed provided USD funding to other major CBs to help relieve the
USD funding pressure.119

Six major CBs have mutual standing FXSL arrangements although only few FXSLs have been activated, they are
usually only valid for a limited amount of time.120 The US Federal Reserve (US Fed), the European CB (ECB), the Bank of
Japan, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, and the Swiss National Bank each have FXSL arrangements with each other.
The currencies of these CBs account for the large majority of international finance and trade settlement.

Given the role of the USD in international trade and finance, the Fed has been the most important provider of FXSLs.
USD liquidity swaps from the Federal Reserve Bank have maturities ranging from overnight to three months. The US Fed
publishes daily outstanding volumes of outstanding amounts by counterparty thus providing transparency on its transactions. In
response to the COVID-19 pandemic, additional lines were established, and the outstanding amount reached almost USD450
billion, this has since declined to just over half a billion.

The other main player in FXSL - both in terms of notional limits and number of beneficiaries – is the People’s Bank of
China (PBoC). PBoC’s FXSL involve several emerging markets121 and tend to have much longer maturities.




117.	 Some FXSLs do not have limits. In those cases, the amounts are estimated based on past usage – see Perks et al (2021).
118.	 The cross-currency basis is the interest rate difference between borrowing one currency and borrowing in another currency and swapping it to the first currency. If the
      covered interest rate parity holds, this spread is 0.
119.	 See for example Bahaj and Reis (2018).
120.	 For instance, in March 2019 amid Brexit uncertainty, the BoE activated its Euro swap line with the ECB.
121.	 E.g., Argentina, Belarus, Mongolia, Nigeria, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Suriname, and Ukraine


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                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       FXSL withdrawals add to gross international reserves and external debt. The
                                                       establishment of the FXSL itself does not impact the balance sheet of the receiving
                                                       CB until funds are withdrawn. Once funds are drawn under the FXSL, the FX leg adds
                                                       to international reserves. However, because CBs are obligated to return the FX upon
                                                       maturity, it has an equivalent reserve-related liability and thus net international reserves
                                                       are unaffected. The deposit in local currency is an external liability of the CB and adds
                                                       to its external debt. Undrawn amounts should be reported under contingent foreign
                                                       exchange resources.

                                                       A recent use of some FXSL appears to be motivated by covering a country’s funding
                                                       needs rather than for liquidity reasons.122 When FXSL are systematically rolled over,
                                                       the difference with long-term debt becomes less straightforward. Therefore, given the
                                                       size and the potential impact of these operations on a country’s debt sustainability, full
                                                       transparency around their use and conditions is key.

                                                       Yet, accurate data on FXSLs’ LIDCs are not readily available. The borrower’s use of
                                                       FXSLs is reflected in the CB’s balance sheet at face value, but its market value, which
                                                       will fluctuate depending on the spot exchange rate, interest rates, and time to maturity
                                                       at the moment of valuation, is not reported.123 Similarly, the lender’s leg of FXSLs is
                                                       not usually reported or marked to market (PBoC, for instance, announces the FXSLs
                                                       and their established limits but does not provide information on usage).124 Moreover,
                                                       the external debt leg of the FXSLs is not systematically captured through indirect debt
                                                       reporting (e.g., main IMF/WB debt databases).

                                                       The FXSLs’ accounting treatment may create incentives for creditors to favor these
                                                       instruments as opposed to standard bilateral loans. While keeping the same political
                                                       and financial return of a loan, CB’s liabilities under FXSL are typically excluded from
                                                       the standard restructuring perimeter in the case of comprehensive restructuring.125 This
                                                       feature, together with the collateralization via local-currency CB deposit, may represent
                                                       significant incentives for bilateral lenders to prefer this form of official assistance over
                                                       more regular forms of lending.




122.	 Pakistan drew about USD 600 equivalent in May 2013 after a dip in reserves and pressure on its currency. Argentina drew about USD 2.7 billion equivalent in 2015 after
      losing access to international capital markets. Mongolia drew about USD 1.7 billion equivalent in 2015 while facing balance of payments pressures. Russia reportedly drew
      on its line in 2015 and 2016, and Ukraine did so in 2016.
123.	 Two options are possible: (i) Since the liability deposit account in domestic currency is fully indexed to a foreign currency, a valuation adjustment account linked to the
      former should be created and its carrying balance periodically adjusted to reflect the total amount of domestic currency needed to buy the foreign currency to be delivered,
      including any interest payment, or (ii) creation of a financial derivative, namely a forward contract (IMF, 2017).
124.	 McDowell (2019) used press releases and media reports to estimate the total size of the PBOC’s FXSL limits at almost USD500 million equivalent.
125.	 Various considerations may prompt a member to exclude the FXSL from restructuring, such as: a central government may not be able to seek a restructuring of CB liabilities
      under domestic law, including CB independence provisions; Including FXSLs in debt restructuring could impact CB’s credibility, potentially impairing its capacity to
      implement monetary and prudential policies; FXSLs help address financing gaps access and support macroeconomic stability in the face of shocks.


                                                                                        78
                           Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




RECOMMENDATIONS   Stronger focus should be placed in the statistical treatment of repos and swaps.
AND CONCLUSIONS   Collateralization features and financial derivatives are excluded from the standard debt
                  presentation tables in LIDCs, despite the significant risks they pose. Given the level
                  of discretion in how they are accounted for and reported in LIDCs, specific guidance
                  is needed to ensure that they are fully reflected in debt statistics so that their use does
                  affect other stakeholders. In parallel, data should be collected though indirect reporting
                  database to facilitate DSAs and other analytical exercises.

                  The non-standard use of CB repos and swaps demands heightened governance and
                  transparency. The more complex the operation, the wider the borrower/lender capacity
                  gap becomes. Therefore, specific TA and adequate risk management systems are needed
                  to ensure that the borrowing countries appreciate the implications of these operations.
                  As discussed in Chapter 2, this would also require an upgrade of the existing systems
                  that should facilitate the approval and monitoring of these instruments by allowing a
                  real-time pricing of financial collateral or derivatives.




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                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




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             Bahaj, Saleem and Reis, Ricardo (2018), “CB Swap Lines”, June 2018.

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             Heller, P. and Mihalyi, D. 2019. “Massive and Misunderstood: Data-Driven Insights
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IMF. 2020. Review of the Debt Sustainability Framework for Market Access Countries.
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IMF/WB. 2020. “Collateralized Transactions: Key Considerations for Public Lenders
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International Monetary Fund. 2017. “Recording of CB Swap Arrangements in
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McDowell, Daniel. 2019, “The (Ineffective) Statecraft of China’s Bilateral Swap
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Mihalyi, David, Aisha Adam and Jyhjong Hwang. 2020. “Resource-Backed Loans:
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Perks, M. and Yudong Rao, Jongsoon Shin, and Kiichi Tokouka. 2021. “Evolution of
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Working Paper No. 5736




                           82
 The Role of Public
Debt Management
Legal Frameworks
  in Transparency
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       As discussed in Chapter 1, a key enabler of debt transparency is the presence
                                                       of a conducive public debt management legal framework (PDMLF). A PDMLF
                                                       will encompass a range of legislation and regulations126 to govern a country’s public
                                                       debt management. A PDMLF can directly enhance transparency by establishing clear
                                                       debt authorization provisions and requiring the disclosure of public debt information,
                                                       regulating its content and frequency, and making it easily accessible to all stakeholders.

                                                       An easily accessible and coherent PDMLF will enable public scrutiny of DM
                                                       operations and enhance accountability. Publicly available DM laws and regulations
                                                       allow interested parties to understand the decision-making process, the institutions and
                                                       the rules that govern the debt-management operations of a country. A coherent framework
                                                       of legislation and guidance documents will help eliminate gaps that could lead to legal
                                                       uncertainty. Transparency and scrutiny of compliance with debt management operations
                                                       with applicable laws can increase accountability of government officials and reduce the
                                                       possible differences between de jure and de facto implementation.

                                                       LIDCs have heterogeneous PDMLFs. Our analysis shows that LIDCs tend to have
                                                       fairly clear and traceable provisions that identify who is authorized to borrow and
                                                       manage the public debt portfolio. The legal frameworks, however, vary significantly
                                                       in areas such as the debt disclosure and audit requirements, approval of non-standard
                                                       instruments (e.g., involving collateral or collateral-like structures) or the consequences
                                                       of noncompliance.




126.	 The term legislation will be used for primary legislation, the term regulation for the secondary legislation, and guidelines for lower-level operational guidelines. Primary
      legislation refers to the constitution, laws and decrees enacted by a legislature such as Parliament or Congress (for example, public debt management law, public financial
      management law, budget law). Secondary legislation refers to regulations referenced in the primary legislation that provide details for the implementation of a procedure
      and to regulations that are published by the government, a minister, or the DMO (for example, bylaws, communiques, directives, resolutions). Guidelines refer to documents
      prepared by a unit of the Ministry of Finance to further describe the internal steps for the implementation of the legislation and regulation.


                                                                                        84
                                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       This chapter highlights the essential elements of a transparent PDMLF and provides
                                                       an overview of PDMLFs in LIDCs. Given the difficulties of collecting country-specific
                                                       data on legislation and regulations pertaining to public sector entities, most findings and
                                                       recommendations refer to central-government borrowing. However, the evolving public
                                                       borrowing landscape described in Chapter 1 means that a robust PDMLF would need
                                                       to contain rules and procedures to regulate the monitoring and reporting of borrowing
                                                       beyond central government. Lessons are drawn for the debt-related operations of the
                                                       entire public sector (such as subnational governments or state-owned enterprises). The
                                                       findings are mostly supported by the results of the 2020 World Bank PDMLF Survey
                                                       (the “survey”) conducted with IDA countries.127 A literature review and analysis of
                                                       other select countries’ practices were also carried out.

                                                       The chapter is organized into sections around the key features that promote debt
                                                       transparency in a PDMLF: (a) authority128 to borrow and the debt authorization
                                                       cycle; (b) debt management institutional arrangements; (c) debt management limits; (d)
                                                       disclosure requirements; (e) audit requirements; (f) the consequences of noncompliance
                                                       with the PDMLF; (g) public availability of the PDMLF; and (h) relevant rules and
                                                       regulations for overall public sector monitoring and oversight.



4.1 THE AUTHORITY                                      Clarity in determining and delegating the borrowing authority is a key enabler
TO BORROW                                              of debt transparency. A PDMLF lists all the rules and procedures related to incurring
                                                       debt and issuing guarantees in a clear manner, free of any ambiguity, thus reducing
                                                       the likelihood for the debt to become invalid or legally contestable. This is important
                                                       for the following reasons: (i) at the borrower level, the PDMLF sets out a check list of
                                                       rules and procedures government officials should follow when deciding, preparing, and
                                                       signing debt contracts; (ii) at the lender level, it provides information for appropriate
                                                       risk assessment through proper due diligence, and monitors compliance of government
                                                       borrowing operations with applicable laws; and (iii) for the general public and civil
                                                       society, as well as CG supervisory agencies, it enables oversight of public accounts and
                                                       debt, and strengthens accountability of government officials.

                                                       Clear debt authorization provisions in the PDMLF help base transactions on legally
                                                       valid and enforceable contracts. If the legality of a public debt transaction is contested
                                                       based on lack of authority, the courts decide which party should carry the burden of such
                                                       a noncompliant transaction. This generally involves determining whether the lender was
                                                       aware of the lack of authority for the transaction and whether it “acted in good faith”.
                                                       Therefore, if the PDMLF provides clarity and certainty for lenders, it will be easier
                                                       for them to verify compliance with relevant legislation, thus lowering the risk of debt
                                                       becoming contestable due to lack of authority.




127. The survey was conducted by the World Bank from March to December 2020. Representatives of debt management offices in countries classified as borrowers from the
      International Development Association (IDA) were invited to voluntarily complete an online survey (Annex I). Thirty-nine countries replied.
128.	 In theory, the authorization cycle refers to all stages of a debt or guarantee operation as well as the debt management strategy that is underpinning those debt and guarantee
      transactions. However, this section will focus on the former, which encompasses the delegation of power by the legislature and the execution of debt and guarantee
      transactions. The stages of a debt operation include planning, origination, negotiation, signing, closing, recording, settlement, and servicing of the debts. The words
      operation and transaction are used interchangeably to refer to individual debt or guarantee contracts.


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                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       Our analysis shows that countries usually define roles and responsibilities of the
                                                       legislative and executive body according to the type of debt instrument and the
                                                       desired level of scrutiny. For a riskier debt instrument, or for increased scrutiny, the
                                                       national legislation usually keeps the authority to borrow at the legislative level; it
                                                       may also require additional authorization for certain instruments (see 4.1 for country
                                                       examples), like external commercial debt and guarantees. Some countries keep the
                                                       borrowing authority at the legislative level within specific debt ceilings.129 The legislation
                                                       also usually grants the authority to borrow directly to the relevant executive official (e.g.,
                                                       the council of ministers or the minister of finance) for frequently issued instruments
                                                       such as market-based domestic bonds that have standard terms and conditions (see
                                                       Figure 4.1).130


Figure 4.1
Examples of Common Authorization Cycles (*)

Market-Based Borrowings Authorization Cycle


                               Law delegates authority to issue
                               securities and describes general                                             Delegate the authority to
                                    terms and conditions                                                   issue individual securities



                                                                             Council of Ministers/                                                  Debt Management
    Parliament/Congress/                                                       Prime Minister/                                                       Office/Treasury/
     National Assembly                                                       Minister of Finance                                                    Ministry of Finance
                                                                                                              Approval of issuance


External Loan Authorization Cycle


                                    Law delegates authority                                             Delegate authority to borrow
                                    to borrow and enter into                                            and enter into individual loan
                                        loan agreements                                                          agreements



                                                                             Council of Ministers/                                                  Debt Management
    Parliament/Congress/
                                                                               Prime Minister/                                                       Office/Treasury/
     National Assembly
                                                                             Minister of Finance                                                    Ministry of Finance
                                         Submission for                                                   Submission for signing or
                                       approval/ratification                                                     approval

Source: Authors’ elaboration.
(*): Market-based funding corresponds to issuing of domestic and international securities.



129.	 The Argentinian law on sustainable public debt, approved in 2021, introduces a limit for foreign-currency–denominated public securities and securities that are governed by
      foreign law or subject to foreign jurisdiction. The limit is determined for each fiscal year under the Budget Law. For any debt that exceeds the limit, Argentina’s Congress
      must grant authorization to issue.
130.	 See dimension PI-13.2: Approval of Debt and Guarantees, World Bank’s Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability Framework for Assessing Public Financial
      Management (PEFA 2019). DPI 1 Legal Framework, Debt Management Performance Assessment (DeMPA) tool, 2021, https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/debt-
      toolkit/DeMPA.



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                                                       Source: International Debt Statistics
                                                            Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Table 4.1
Enhanced Reviews Required by Law for Different Transactions in Selected Countries

     Transaction/                                                                                                        Derivatives/Market
   Type of Enhanced                       External Loan                                 Guarantee                       Transactions/Liability
        Review                                                                                                         Management Operations

  Approval of                         Brazil (Federal Senate                     Brazil (Federal Senate              Ghana (derivatives, approval
  legislature                              approval) a                                approval) a                         of Parliament) i

                                    Kosovo (ratification by                  Jamaica (prior approval of
                                 National Assembly per loan) b               House of Representatives) e

                                     Bosnia and Herzegovina                 North Macedonia (law to be
                                    (a Parliamentary decision               enacted for each guarantee in
                                            per loan) c                     favor of an external lender) f

                                  Nigeria (signed by Minister                    Honduras (approval) g
                                 as mandated by Parliamentary
                                         resolution) d                          Nigeria (external loans
                                                                               require prior approval of
                                                                               terms and conditions by
                                                                                 National Assembly) d

  Approval of higher             Kosovo (prior mandate before                      North Macedonia                     Honduras (conversion,
  executive organ                        each loan) b                          (government decision for             consolidation or renegotiation,
  (Government/                                                                   guarantees in favor of               prior recommendation of
  Council of                       Bosnia and Herzegovina                         domestic lenders) f                Public Credit Commission) g
  Ministers/President)              (approval by Council of
                                    Ministers for each loan,                  Turkey (President approval             The Gambia (derivative and
                                 based on the specific decision                for build-operate-transfer           swap transactions are approved
                                      of the Parliament) c                         [BOT] projects) h                       by the Cabinet) j

                                   Honduras (certain external                Honduras (prior approval by
                                    loans are approved by                         the President) g
                                         President) g

Source: World Bank staff.
a.	 Article 32 of the Brazilian Fiscal Responsibility Law, 2001.
b.	 Article 11 of Kosovo’s Law on Public Debt 2010, Law Nr. 03/L-175.
c.	 Article 27 of Law on Debt, Borrowing, and Guarantees in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina.
d.	 Article 19 of Nigeria’s Debt Management Office (Establishment Act).
e.	 Article 17 of Jamaica’s Public Debt Management Act of 2012, No. 339.
f.	 Article 22 of North Macedonia’s Public Debt Law.
g.	 for external loans Article 73, for guarantees Article 78, for conversion, consolidation or renegotiation Article 67 of Honduras’s Organic Law of the
    Budget of 2004.
h.	 Article 7 of Turkey’s Law on Regulating Public Finance and Debt Management and Law, No. 4749.
i.	 Article 64 of Ghana’s Public Finance Management Act of 2016.
j.	 Article 43 of The Gambia’s Public Finance Act of 2014.



                                                 Parliamentary approval, ratification, or any other enhanced authorization can
                                                 aid transparency by promoting checks and balances within government. This will
                                                 require greater consultation among relevant government agencies and a review of the
                                                 whole transaction to ensure that it is PDMLF-compliant. It also gives the legislature an
                                                 opportunity to scrutinize the operation to ensure that any terms and conditions of the
                                                 transactions correspond to the originally approved parameters.

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                                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       Enhanced authorization is particularly useful for non-standard or novel debt
                                                       instruments. This applies to instruments involving collateral or collateral-like structures
                                                       (see Chapter 3.4). Enhanced authorization for such transactions helps deter unintended
                                                       or surprise allocations of national assets in favor of specific lenders and also supports
                                                       any commitments made under existing debt to treat creditors equally. At a minimum,
                                                       the legislative branch should be informed and should clearly identify the body with the
                                                       authority to provide collateral and approve the transaction.131

                                                       While enhanced authorization processes provide added scrutiny, flexibility is
                                                       important for avoiding delays and limiting time-sensitive debt management
                                                       operations. Debt managers need to be able to respond to changes in market conditions
                                                       and a good balance between accountability and flexibility within the authorization cycle
                                                       is important (Awadzi, 2015). Legislation that clearly spells out executive authority,
                                                       such as allowing certain types of transactions up to a certain ceiling, or with predefined
                                                       terms and conditions, might provide the executive with discretion to to proceed without
                                                       unnecessary delays. Ghana and Nigeria provide such flexibility in their legislation by
                                                       not seeking further approval from Parliament for contracts that are compliant with
                                                       preapproved terms and conditions. In Kenya, the terms and conditions of derivatives are
                                                       pre-approved by the National Assembly up to a certain ceiling determined in the budget
                                                       policy statement132 so that the Cabinet Secretary does not need to request additional
                                                       approval. In Honduras, public debt may be renegotiated, converted, or consolidated
                                                       with the prior recommendation of the “Public Credit Commission”, and the National
                                                       Congress must be informed about the operation.

4.2 DEBT MANAGEMENT                                    Transparency of debt operations is promoted by clear legislation and regulations
RESPONSIBILITIES                                       that define the roles and responsibilities of the unit in charge of executing debt
                                                       operations. Typically, the highest level executive official with the delegated authority
                                                       to sign debt contracts is tasked, through the PDMLF, with assigning the management of
                                                       public debt to the debt management office (DMO) for operational efficiency and technical
                                                       proficiency. Ideally, a single entity should be assigned sovereign debt-management
                                                       functions (DPI 1, DeMPA 2021); when multiple institutions, or entities within the
                                                       same institution are in charge of debt-management activities, proper coordination
                                                       mechanisms are essential and should be clearly set out in the legal framework (IMF/
                                                       World Bank, 2014).

                                                       To promote transparency, countries should enable verification of actual authority
                                                       in individual transactions. Debt-management legislation usually grants the authority
                                                       to borrow to an office or position (such as Minister of Finance, Cabinet Secretary, or
                                                       Permanent Secretary). For operational simplicity, the office-bearer with such authority
                                                       may have to assign additional relevant officials the actual authority to sign and process




131.	 In Rwanda, the Minister of Finance has the authority to provide collateral on behalf of the government, and local administrations with financial and legal autonomy are also
      authorized to pledge collateral for their debt (Organic Law on State Finances and Property of Rwanda No. 12/2013, Article 50). Bosnia and Herzegovina legislation lists the
      types of collateral that may be provided to lenders (Law on Debt, Borrowing, and Guarantees in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Article 6). In Kosovo, the law
      explicitly permits the granting of collateral for some state debt but prohibits the pledge of assets that are essential for delivery of public service (Kosovo’s Law on Public
      Debt 2010, Law Nr. 03/L-175, Article 10).
132.	 Article 56 of Kenya’s Public Finance Management Act, 2012.


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                                                        debt operations through a power of attorney or other form of delegation. Since no staff
                                                        is permanently assigned to the same unit or position, the lenders should verify the actual
                                                        authority of the signatory to conduct a specific debt management activity at the time of
                                                        transaction. To promote transparency in borrowing operations, guidelines for issuing
                                                        and verifying the power of attorney should be published. Furthermore, the institution
                                                        with the authority to borrow should make the most recent power of attorney, or other
                                                        legal document such as the conditions precedent evidencing the delegation, available
                                                        upon lenders’ request during the negotiations or before closing a transaction. Publishing
                                                        standardized templates of the legal documentation to be used to verify the delegation of
                                                        authority would facilitate transactions both for debt management officials and lenders.

                                                        Some LIDCs describe the processes for the delegation of authority in their
                                                        regulations and operating guidelines to avoid transactions being considered
                                                        unauthorized and becoming contestable in the courts. In the Gambia,133 the legislation
                                                        mandates that a power of attorney by the minister, or similar legal documentation, is
                                                        required for the delegation of authority from the Minister of Finance to the Permanent
                                                        Secretary in charge of transaction execution. Furthermore, the Permanent Secretary
                                                        may delegate its functions to other DMO officials by way of a similar documentation.
                                                        Similarly, in Kosovo, government consent is required before the Minister of Finance can
                                                        delegate authority to a government official to sign an external debt contract. However,
                                                        in Ghana, the Public Financial Management (PFM) law expressly prohibits the Minister
                                                        of Finance from delegating their authority to borrow. Nigeria and Rwanda have detailed
                                                        lower-level guidelines on borrowing procedures that describe all steps for signing a debt
                                                        contract. In Nigeria134 and Cabo Verde,135 the regulations also describe the procedures
                                                        required to establish negotiation teams and the role of legal departments.

                                                        Within the DM roles and responsibilities, lawyers tasked with providing a legal
                                                        opinion play a critical role in transparency. The legal opinion constitutes an early-
                                                        detection system vis-a-vis a borrowing transaction, as it helps verify the overall
                                                        legality,136 validity, and enforceability of the transaction under local and other applicable
                                                        laws. When entering into a transaction, lenders typically request such legal opinions as
                                                        part of the conditions precedent (CP) documents.137 LIDCs very often involve lawyers
                                                        when issuing external bonds. According to the survey, 82 percent of LIDCs are required
                                                        to provide legal opinions to their lenders in new borrowing or guarantee transactions.
                                                        All of the respondent LIDCs confirmed that they had received legal assistance during
                                                        loan contracting and bond issuances (either in-house legal counsel or external legal
                                                        advisers or law firms) (See 4.2).




133.	 Article 60 of The Gambia’s Public Finance Act of 2014.
134.	 Article 33 of Nigeria’s Debt Management Office (Establishment Act).
135.	 Article 12 of Cabo Verde’s Lei Dívida Pública No. 43/IX/2018.
136.	 In Cabo Verde, the Attorney General has to issue a legal opinion to certify the legality of public debt issuance (“Lei Dívida Pública No. 43/IX/2018”, Article 11). In Nigeria,
      the Attorney General has a chair in the supervisory board of the debt management office (Nigeria’s Debt Management Office (Establishment Act, Article 5). In Zimbabwe,
      the Attorney General’s written prior opinion on the legal aspects of a debt contract is required (Article 13, Public Debt Management Act of 4/2015). According to the survey,
      in the Republic of Djibouti, the Supreme Court is the body providing the legal opinion. In other countries, the Ministry of Justice (Cambodia, The Gambia, and Madagascar)
      or the Treasury Counsel (Rwanda) has this role.
137.	 The CP documents include the legal evidence for all necessary conditions for creating the debt or guarantee, such as the internal and official government documents
      evidencing the authority to borrow, the actual authority of the government officials to negotiate and finalize the transaction, the power of attorney, and the cabinet or
      parliamentary approval or ratification.


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Figure 4.2
                                                              Bond issuance                     44.8%                        20.7%                   27.6%           6.9%
Involvement of Lawyers
in Bond Issuance, Loan
Contracting, and Compliance                                Loan negotiation
                                                                                                      57.0%                          13.0%              30.0%


                                                       Loan contract advice
                                                               and drafting                     53.1%                         15.6%           6.3%           25.0%



                                                            Compliance and
                                                                                               41.2%                         23.5%            5.9%           29.4%
                                                           regulatory advice


                                                                                     In-house lawyers (lawyers within DMO and lawyers within institution)

                                                                                     In-house lawyers and external counsels

                                                                                     External counsels

                                                                                     Lawyers from other institutions

                                                    Source: PDMLF Survey.



4.3 PUBLIC DEBT                                     DM practices can be limited in the PDMF to ensure transparent and accountable
DEFINITIONS AND LIMITS                              decision making. It is sound practice for national legislations to: (a) provide a definition
                                                    of public debt in line with international standards (see chapter 2); (b) announce the
                                                    country’s debt-management objectives; and (c) provide a list of permitted debt
                                                    instruments, transactions or sources of funding (e.g., domestic and external markets,
                                                    type of lender).138

                                                    National or regional definitions of public debt in LIDCs often deviate from
                                                    international standards. As shown in box 4.1, LIDC public debt definitions are very
                                                    heterogeneous, both in terms of instruments and borrowing sectors. As discussed in
                                                    Section 3.4, RBLs are the typical example of instruments that fall through the cracks
                                                    in national debt definitions. A narrow definition of public debt in national legislation
                                                    contributes to “debt surprises” and ultimately underestimates the government’s debt
                                                    burden in national statistics. It may also undermine efforts to standardize coverage of
                                                    public debt statistics in indirect sources (see Chapter 2.2), as debt statistics compilers
                                                    may not have the mandate to collect debt-related information beyond what constitutes
                                                    debt according to national legislation.




138	 For example, Ghana, The Gambia, Kosovo, Kyrgyz Republic, Vietnam, and Zimbabwe all include these factors in their primary legislation.


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Box 4.1
Public Debt Definitions in Selected Countries

Countries make a strong commitment to enhance transparency and accountability when their legal framework specifies
what constitutes public debt. Among survey respondents, 69 percent of countries define debt in their legal framework. The
following examples show that countries often define debt as “all financial liabilities created as a result of borrowing.” They also
often list the types of instruments (for example, loans, bonds, and guarantees) and specify if the sectoral coverage is limited to
central government or if it extends to local authorities or public enterprises.

Ghana, PDM Act of 2016: “Government debt” means a financial claim on the government that requires payment by the
government of the principal sum or the principal and interest to a creditor.

Sierra Leone, PDM Act 2010: “Public debt” includes all financial liabilities created as a result of borrowing by the
government, local councils, and public enterprises, and includes outstanding liabilities that have been securitized by issuing
government securities.

Kosovo, Law on Public Debt 2010: “Debt: any financial obligation to repay or otherwise pay money created by a Financing
Contract or by notes of treasury, a bond, overdraft or other security issued as consideration for the disbursement of funds, as
well as the obligation to repay principal, interest, discount, and any fees, commissions or penalties of any nature.”(continued):
“State Debt: Debt incurred on behalf of the Central Governmental Institutions that the Republic of Kosovo is obligated to pay,
but shall not include any obligation of certain other governmental entities, including but not limited to Municipalities, public
enterprises, or the Central Bank of Kosovo.”

Rwanda, Organic Law on State Finances and Property 2013: “Public debt: any State monetary liability or treasury bill
issued by Central Government or decentralized entity or any other debt the State may take on.”

Kyrgyz Republic, Law on the state and non-state debt of the Kyrgyz Republic, 2001: “Public debt: the total amount of
disbursed and outstanding internal and external public debt of the Kyrgyz Republic on a specific date under a loan agreement
or other debt obligations of the state.” (continued): “Debt obligation: all types of obligations under securities, loan agreements,
agreements and other obligations in paper form and/or electronic records establishing the fact of borrowing certain funds or
purchasing goods and/or services with an obligation to reimburse the corresponding amount or the contractually agreed value
of goods and/or services in whole or in part.”

Vietnam, Law on PDM, 2009: “Debt” means a loan to be repaid, including the principal, interests, charges, and other related
expenses at a point of time, which arises from the borrowing by a borrower that is permitted to take loans under the law of
Vietnam” (continued): “Government debt” means a debt arising from a domestic or foreign loan which is signed or issued in
the name of the state or the government or a loan signed or issued by or under the authorization of the Ministry of Finance
under law. Government debts do not include debts issued by the State Bank of Vietnam to implement monetary policies in
each period.”

Zimbabwe, PDM Act, 2015: “Public debt” comprises domestic and external (a) government debt, lending, and guarantees;
(b) local authority debt, lending, and guarantees; and (c) public entity debt, lending, and guarantees; and it includes the debt of
any other entity as the Minister may specify by notice in the Gazette.

Jamaica, PDM Law, 2013: “Public debt” means all financial liabilities created as a result of borrowing or guarantees by
government and includes government securities.




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The most important consequence of the differences in the way countries define debt would be in relation to reporting. The
detailed definitions, which address sectoral coverage and list types of eligible debt instruments, eliminate ambiguities in
identifying the authority to borrow and the scope of debt to be reported.




                                      By setting overall debt management objectives and providing a list of permitted
                                      instruments, transactions or funding sources, the PDMLF adds an accountability
                                      dimension to DM operation assessments. Most PDMLFs in LIDCs include at least
                                      one of these (see Figure 4.3), and almost two-thirds include debt management objectives
                                      in a PDMLF, for example: (i) to meet the government’s borrowing requirements; (ii)
                                      to minimize the medium- to long-term expected cost, while keeping risks in the debt
                                      portfolio at acceptable levels; and (iii) to promote the development of the domestic debt
                                      market (WB, 2013). Many more LIDCs spell out permitted purposes of borrowing in
                                      their legislation (for example, to finance the annual budget deficit, to use for investment
                                      projects, or to build international reserves). It is sound practice to clarify that operations
                                      not specifically listed in the law should be separately authorized by the legislature.


Figure 4.3                               Sources of borrowing
                                                                                              79.5%                              20.5%
National Debt and Guarantee-              and debt instruments
Related Policies Included in the
Legal Framework                        Clear debt management
                                                                                      64.1%                   2.6%         33.3%
                                                    objectives

                                            Purposes for which
                                           the government can
                                                                                      56.4%                5.1%          38.5%
                                      grant a loan guarantee or
                                                 on-lend a loan

                                        Purposes for which the
                                                                                              76.9%                      7.7%     15.4%
                                       government can borrow

                                                                                              Yes     No          N.A.

                                      Source: PDMLF Survey.



4.4 DISCLOSURE                        Legal requirements to publicly disclose debt-related information in a comprehensive
REQUIREMENTS                          and timely manner directly enhance transparency. As discussed in Chapter 2, debt
                                      data are disclosed in different formats depending on the final audience (e.g., authorities,
                                      investors, general public) and objectives, and it is good practice to publicly disclose debt
                                      statistics at least annually (preferably quarterly or semiannually). At a minimum, public
                                      debt statistics must include information on public debt stocks (by creditor, instrument,
                                      currency, interest rate); debt flows (by maturity); cost and risk measures of the debt
                                      portfolio and stock of guaranteed debt (WB, 2021). Additionally, legislation that further
                                      promotes transparency and accountability requires publication of debt management
                                      strategies and annual borrowing plans (ABP), as well as reporting of debt management
                                      activities to the legislature or within the executive branch.




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                                                  Most LIDCs have reporting requirements in their PDMLF. According to the
                                                  survey, 79 percent of LIDCs have legal requirements to publish “debt statistics” and 77
                                                  percent are required to publish “debt management strategies.” Publication of an ABP,
                                                  is required in only 46 percent countries, and there are requirements to publish a “debt
                                                  sustainability analysis” in 56 percent of countries (see figure 4.4). Most countries (72
                                                  percent) require reports on debt management activities to the legislature. For many
                                                  countries it is mandatory to report the performance of debt management operations on
                                                  a yearly basis,139 while reporting on contingent liabilities is required in only 36 percent
                                                  of the countries.


Figure 4.4                                        Reporting to Parliament
                                                    on debt management                                    71.8%                              5.1%       23.1%
Disclosure Requirements
                                                                activities
in the Legal Framework
                                                            Reporting on
                                                     contingent liabilities/             35.9%                10.3%                      53.8%
                                                               fiscal risks

                                                             Publication of                                 79.5%                                   5.1% 15.4%
                                                             debt statistics


                                                      Publication of debt                                   76.9%                               5.1%     17.9%
                                                     management strategy


                                                     Publication of annual                     46.2%                  5.1%                   48.7%
                                                           borrowing plan


                                                        Publication of debt
                                                                                                    56.4%                      5.1%             38.5%
                                                     sustainability analysis


                                                                                                             Yes         No           N.A.

                                                  Source: PDMLF Survey.



                                                  In addition to aggregated statistics, a PDMLF requiring public disclosure of
                                                  granular information related to individual debt transactions signals a country’s
                                                  commitment to debt transparency. Public availability of information related to
                                                  individual debt transactions (e.g., size, financial terms, etc.) encourages public scrutiny
                                                  of the borrower’s performance in promoting and protecting the country’s financial
                                                  interests, it also facilitates more in-depth debt analysis by existing and potential lenders
                                                  and other stakeholders.




139.	 E.g., Ghana, India, Kosovo, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Madagascar, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nepal, and Zimbabwe.


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                                                        Secrecy and unreasonable confidentiality clauses limit the ability to disclose
                                                        transaction-level information to other stakeholders. The use of confidentiality
                                                        clauses that require parties to maintain secrecy in debt transaction details is problematic
                                                        as they deprive the public of the opportunity to scrutinize debt terms, and they leave
                                                        other lenders and stakeholders in the dark with respect to the true nature and scope of the
                                                        borrower’s debt portfolio (Gelpern et. al. 2021). In contrast to secrecy, confidentiality
                                                        per se is not necessarily unreasonable.140

                                                        A PDMLF that requires adequate public disclosure and accessibility of transaction-
                                                        level information can influence confidentiality practices in individual debt
                                                        transactions. Legislation in the borrowing country that requires public disclosure of an
                                                        adequate amount of debt transaction information helps the borrower avoid entering into
                                                        secrecy provisions and reduces the chance of entering into unreasonable confidentiality
                                                        requirements. 33 percent of countries in the survey acknowledged the existence of
                                                        confidentiality clauses in more that 10 percent of their contracts. Survey responses
                                                        revealed that in most cases, confidentiality clauses refer to keeping financial terms of
                                                        the operation confidential, but they may also preclude disclosure of the total amount of
                                                        the loan, the lender’s name, or the purpose of borrowing.

                                                        Some countries have adopted a requirement to disclose entire debt contracts.
                                                        For example, the assembly in Barbados, Kosovo, Kyrgyz Republic, Philippines and
                                                        Sierra Leone publish the ratification law and entire external debt contracts in the official
                                                        gazette as required by their respective primary legislation. In those cases, the relevant
                                                        rules of the PDMLF need to include a way to address and comply with confidentiality
                                                        obligations, and the treatment of commercially or market-sensitive information (for
                                                        example, through redaction or delayed publication). In addition, the applicable legal
                                                        framework would need to account for scenarios where the statutory rules of a relevant
                                                        jurisdiction limit public disclosure of certain information or specify modalities for
                                                        compliant disclosure (e.g., the lender’s country or of the country whose laws govern the
                                                        debt contract). Recognizing and catering to these kinds of considerations may increase
                                                        the workload of government officials and expose the process to operational risks.

                                                        Adequate public disclosure ultimately aims at a degree of disclosure of public debt
                                                        transaction information that is meaningful, and sufficiently granular to facilitate
                                                        stakeholder awareness, scrutiny of government actions and public accountability.
                                                        What might this look like in practice? The following information about public debt
                                                        transactions should be made publicly available and could be mandated at the appropriate
                                                        legislation level, regulations or procedural rules: (a) core terms and conditions of the
                                                        relevant transaction (including financial and legal conditions); (b) identification of main
                                                        legal documents that make up the transaction; (c) a summary of the transaction structure/
                                                        design; (d) the nature of any collateral or quasi-collateral granted in connection with
                                                        the transaction; and (e) the nature of any amendments, supplemental agreements or




140.	 Possible drivers for keeping certain information confidential include where the information is proprietary or technical (e.g., financial calculations or formulae), price-
      sensitive or commercially sensitive (e.g., fee information); where non-disclosure (or actual disclosure) is required or where non-disclosure is time-limited by securities
      laws, market abuse or insider dealing rules (e.g., interest rate-related information), or privacy and freedom of information-related rules. Such rules may be binding for either
      or both the lender or the borrower, depending on the context, and rules may vary depending on whether the debt instrument is a loan or a bond etc. and on which relevant
      governing law and jurisdiction is involved. Other possible drivers related to relevant information pertain to matters of national security or national strategic interests (e.g.,
      a debt transaction for the sale of military or intelligence equipment).


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                                                     side letters entered into in connection with the transaction throughout its life. At the
                                                     transaction level, the relevant parties need to agree to such public disclosure (within the
                                                     debt contract itself).

                                                     The precise nature of what constitutes “adequate public disclosure” would vary by
                                                     transaction and by country, depending on the relevant legal frameworks. Statutory/
                                                     legislative requirements, which may be outside the PDMLF itself, may influence the
                                                     ability of parties to publicly disclose and share transaction-level information; and may
                                                     specify non-disclosure for a certain period of time. For example, relevant limitations
                                                     or modalities for a sovereign borrower’s public disclosure of debt transaction-related
                                                     information may be affected by domestic laws related to freedom of information,
                                                     national security, or privacy rules. There may also be public policy considerations where
                                                     the interests of disclosure are weighed against strategic or other national interests. In
                                                     addition, where a debt transaction is governed by the laws of a jurisdiction other than
                                                     the borrower’s, there may be governing jurisdiction laws that limit public disclosure or
                                                     regulate the timing of public disclosure. Examples include antitrust laws, insider dealing
                                                     and market abuse rules.

4.5 AUDIT REQUIREMENTS                               Public debt accountability and transparency is strengthened by introducing regular
                                                     external and internal audits of government DM activities. A PDMLF should promote
                                                     frequent and comprehensive financial audits, compliance audits, and performance audits
                                                     (i.e., of the effectiveness and efficiency of government debt-management operations,
                                                     including the internal control system). It should also promote publication of the external
                                                     audit reports within six months of completion (DeMPA, 2021).141 Among the countries
                                                     surveyed, more than half require external auditing,142 while the rest impose internal
                                                     audits. Internal auditing is generally the responsibility of internal audit units, such as the
                                                     general inspectorate of finance or a department of internal audit within the Ministry of
                                                     Finance. In most countries, external audits are undertaken by the Court of Accounts or
                                                     national audit authorities. In some countries (Afghanistan and Bhutan), this task is also
                                                     the responsibility of executive branches, such as the Treasury or the Ministry of Finance.
                                                     According to the survey, the legal framework of 39 percent of LIDCs requires external
                                                     and internal audits.




141.	 External audit practice should be consistent with international standards, such as those set by the International Organization of Supreme Audit Institutions (INTOSAI).
142.	 “External audit” refers to auditing conducted by auditors outside the organization of the DMO/Treasury/Ministry of Finance. Such an external audit could be conducted by
      the central government’s audit department or Court of Accounts, National Audit Office, or Chamber of Accounts.


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                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure 4.5
Audit Requirements in the
Legal Framework                                              43.6%
                                                                                              35.9%


                                                                                              2.6%
                                                             2.6%




                                                             53.8%                            61.5%




                                                         Internal Audit                   External Audit


                                                                            Yes   No   N.A.

                            Source: PDMLF Survey.



4.6. STIPULATION OF         The PDMLF can increase its enforceability by stipulating the consequences of
THE CONSEQUENCES OF         not complying with its rules. Robust legislation that promotes understanding of the
NONCOMPLIANCE WITH          compliance mechanisms functions as an incentive to the parties to lessen the likelihood
THE PDMLF                   of engaging in collusive or fraudulent transactions. In that respect, the PDMLF would
                            also need to specify how non-compliant debt will be treated and indicate any legal or
                            administrative consequences for government officials who generate non-compliant
                            debt. This would enhance debt transparency by reducing the scope for hidden debt, or
                            otherwise contestable debt. As in other PDMLF dimensions assessed in this chapter,
                            LIDCs show considerable heterogeneity in rules on this topic. Box 4.2 presents a few
                            country examples.




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Box 4.2
Legal Consequences of Noncompliance in Selected Countries

Many LIDCs specify the consequences of conducting non PDMLF-compliant transactions in their legislation. The most
common consequences consider any debts contracted in violation of law as invalid or void. Among countries surveyed, 44
percent say that the contracted debt would be considered void if there is a violation of law. Most PDMLFs impose civil and/or
criminal sanctions on government officials who take part in invalid debt transactions (49 percent of the countries in the survey).

In Brazil (Brazil’s Fiscal Responsibility Act, Article 33), Côte d’Ivoire (Organic Law 2014-337, Article 76), Honduras (Organic
Law of Budget, Article 70), Kosovo (Public Financial Management and Accountability Law, Article 49.4), and South Africa
(Public Finance Management Act 1999, section 68), debt laws specify that operations in breach of legislation would be
considered null and void. In Brazil any noncompliant operation would need to be canceled, and disbursed amounts refunded,
excluding interest and other financial charges

As per Zimbabwe’s Public Debt Law (Article 24), the government is not bound by a debt contract or the guarantee, indemnity,
security, or other transaction that is not in compliance with the law. However, if the lender obtained a written legal opinion
from the attorney general before the financial close of the transaction, this legal opinion would prevail for determination of
compliance.

Suriname’s law (Law on the Government Debt, Articles 4 and 12) invalidates any debt that is in excess of the debt ceiling and
prohibits any payment of debt or guaranteed obligation exceeding the limit. In addition, lenders and the government, as the
parties to a transaction, are required to provide each other with all data, statements, or documents to conclude a contract. The
law determines that providing incomplete or incorrect data, statements, or documents nullifies the government’s obligations
under the agreement in question.

In The Gambia, the Public Finance Act (Article 45/2) dictates that if lenders are involved in corruption practices with government
officials, the government is not obliged to service the debt.




4.7. PUBLIC AVAILABILITY                A single piece of legislation entirely devoted to public debt management (or a specific
OF THE PDMLF                            section within broader public finance legislation) contributes to transparency by
                                        providing easy access to the rules governing borrowing operations. Fragmented legal
                                        frameworks can make it difficult to identify applicable rules and procedures for a debt
                                        transaction (i.e., when two ministries have the authority to borrow under separate laws).
                                        Several countries have dedicated public debt management laws, while others have a
                                        dedicated chapter in their PFM laws (see Table 4.3 for examples). Even though it might
                                        be hard to achieve such consolidated legislation under some legal systems, countries
                                        should seize the opportunity to reform their PDMLF to reduce such fragmentation.




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Table 4.2
Examples of PDMLFs Accessible on the Web

           Central Finance Institution/DMO Website                                                     Third-Party Website (*)

                              Kenya a                                                                     Jamaical l

                              Honduras b                                                                  Indonesia m

                              Rwanda c                                                                    Peru n

                              Kosovo d                                                                    Lao PDR o

                              The Gambia e                                                                Vietnam p

                              Chad f

                              Nepal g

                              Nigeria h

                              Bhutan i

                              Maldives j

                              South Africa k

Source: Authors’ elaboration.
* 	 National digital government service platforms, legislation, or regulation portals:
a	https://www.treasury.go.ke/publications/bills-acts-agreements.html
b.	 https://www.sefin.gob.hn/normativa/
c.	 http://www.minecofin.gov.rw/index.php?id=135
d.	 https://mf.rks-gov.net/page.aspx?id=2,43
e.	https://www.mofea.gm/constitution
f.	 https://finances.gouv.td/index.php/publications/lois-des-finances?start=20
g.	 https://mof.gov.np/en/document/?c=83&t=&y=
h.	https://www.dmo.gov.ng/publications/other-publications
i.	https://www.mof.gov.bt/publications/acts-policy/
j.	 https://www.finance.gov.mv/public-finance/legislation
k.	http://www.treasury.gov.za/legislation/default.aspx
l.	 Jamaica’s debt management legislation is found both in the Ministry of Finance website (partially) and also the Ministry of Justice’s website.
    https://moj.gov.jm/search/site/debtpercent20management; https://mof.gov.jm/documents/documents-publications/legislations.html
m.	https://www.kemenkeu.go.id/en/publications/regulation-updates/
n.	https://www.gob.pe/
o.	laoservicesportal.gov.la
p.	 http://vbpl.vn/TW/Pages/vbpqen-toanvan.aspx?ItemID=10471&Keyword=publicpercent20debt

                                                A single piece of legislation entirely devoted to public debt management, (or a
                                                specific section within broader public finance legislation) contribute to transparency
                                                by providing access to the relevant DM documents. Fragmented legal frameworks,
                                                however, make it difficult to identify applicable rules and procedures for a specific
                                                transaction. Several countries have dedicated public debt management laws, while
                                                others have a dedicated chapter in their PFM laws (see Table 4.3 for examples).



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Table 4.3
Examples of PDMLF Architecture

                      Dedicated PDM Law a                                                          Chapter in PFM Law b

                         Jamaica                                                                     Afghanistan

                         Kosovo                                                                      Bhutan

                         Mauritius                                                                   The Gambia

                         Sierra Leone                                                                Ghana

                         Vietnam                                                                     Guyana

                         Zimbabwe                                                                    Honduras

                                                                                                     Kenya c

Source: Authors’ elaboration.
a.	 Jamaica’s PDM Act of 2012, Kosovo Law on Public Debt, Mauritius’s Public Debt Management Act of 2009 (amended through 2012), 2010, Sierra
    Leone’s PDM Act of 2011, Vietnam Law on PDM of 2009, Zimbabwe’s PDM Act of 2015.
b	 Afghanistan’s Public Finance & Expenditure Management Law of 1983, Bhutan’s Public Finance Act of 2007, The Gambia’s Public Finance Act of
    2014, Ghana’s Public Financial Management Act of 2016, Guyana’s Fiscal Management and Accountability Act of 2003, Honduras’s Organic Law of the
    Budget, 2004, Kenya’s Public Finance Management Act of 2012.
c.	 Kenya Public Finance Management Act of 2012; at the time of this report Kenya had an outstanding Public Debt Authority Management Bill of 2020,
    expected to become a dedicated PDM law once enacted.



4.8. EXTENDING THE                           A comprehensive PDMLF helps promote debt transparency beyond the central-
PDMLF’S SCOPE TO                             government level, to include other public sector debt. Countries that have policies
THE ENTIRE PUBLIC                            to monitor and oversee public sector debt-related obligations (i.e., including SOEs and
SECTOR BORROWING                             sub-nationals) in their legislation are contributing strongly to enhanced transparency.
                                             This can be done by: (a) requesting central government authorization at the onset of a
                                             debt transaction; (b) requesting central government approval for the relevant entity’s
                                             borrowing limit, debt management strategy, or annual borrowing plan; and (c) providing
                                             detailed reporting to the central government on its debt portfolio.

                                             Many LIDCs have provisions in their legal framework regarding non-financial
                                             Public Sector (NFPS) borrowing. More than half the countries in the survey require
                                             central government authorization for external and domestic borrowing operations by
                                             public sector entities. A few countries (Chad, Republic of Congo, Côte D’Ivoire, The
                                             Gambia, Mauritania, Niger, and Yemen) impose central government approval for the
                                             debt management strategy and public entity debt limits (see Table 4.4).




                                                                          99
                                                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Table 4.4
Rules and Regulations of NFPS Borrowing and Reporting by Surveyed Countries

                                 Local Authorities                                                    Yes%                       No%                      N.A.%

    Approval of domestic loans / bonds by the CG                                                         54                        15                        31

    Approval of external loans / bonds by the CG                                                         49                        21                        30

    Reporting requirements to central government                                                         59                        10                        31

    Debt limit                                                                                           36                        33                        31

                                  Public Entities                                                     Yes%                       No%                      N.A.%

    Approval of domestic loans / bonds by the CG                                                         54                        10                        36

    Approval of external loans / bonds by the CG                                                         56                         8                        36

    Reporting requirements to CG                                                                         56                         8                        36

    Debt limit                                                                                           26                        38                        36

Source: PDMLF Survey.



                                                     The central government’s responsibilities regarding monitoring and oversight of
                                                     all public sector borrowing operations should be described in the PDMLF. For
                                                     example, the legislation can specify if and when the central government can regulate the
                                                     authority of the NFPS to borrow (for example, the central government may regulate an
                                                     NFPS entity’s ability to borrow above a certain limit or only for external debt). It can
                                                     also introduce special oversight arrangements for the financial transactions of the NFPS
                                                     entities that include collateral or collateral-like characteristics; or structures that generate
                                                     finance for the borrower but that would not, in a technical legal sense, necessarily be
                                                     characterized as debt. There could also be provisions about the reporting obligations of
                                                     the NFPS entities to the central government as well as applicable public disclosure and
                                                     information-sharing requirements.


4.9. CONCLUSIONS                                     Given different government types, organizational structures, and legal systems,
                                                     there is not a one-size-fits-all approach for developing and implementing a PDMLF
                                                     conducive to debt transparency. Table 4.5 summarizes the key recommendations that
                                                     can guide PDMLF reform in LIDCs.143




143.	 These recommendations indicate key components that can be included in the legal framework of a country either in primary legislation or secondary regulations.


                                                                                     100
                                                 Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Table 4.5
PDMLF: Summary of Recommendations

  I. Clearly Identify the Authority to Borrow

  •	   Describe: i) the authority to borrow and issue guarantees and its limits; ii) the authorization cycle.

  •	   Design enhanced authorization and scrutiny mechanisms for non-standard or new debt instruments

  II. Clarify the DM Responsibilities

  •	   Identify institutions, and their roles and responsibilities in public debt-management operations.

  •	   Enable verification of actual authority in individual transactions.

  •	   Ensure that rules and procedures include lawyers’ legal opinions in debt-management operations.

  III. Define Public Debt and Set the DM Limits

  •	   Disclose a country’s debt policies, including: definition of public debt, debt management objectives and strategies,
       purposes of borrowing, financial instruments and sources of funding that can be used; also include whether collateral
       and/or collateral-like features are permitted.

  IV. Adopt Public Disclosure and Reporting Requirements that Promote Transparency

  •	   Provide clear rules for comprehensive and timely debt data and information disclosure and reporting standards, bearing
       in mind that these rules may shape types of confidentiality arrangements that the government enters into.

  •	   Provide adequate and timely public disclosure of information about individual debt transactions.

  V. Introduce Auditing Requirements

  •	   Introduce requirements for performing and publishing financial, compliance and performance audits.

  VI. Regulate Consequences of Noncompliant Debt

  •	   Regulate legal consequences for debt that does not comply with national laws.

  VII. Provide Accessibility to PDMLF Itself

  •	   Ensure that the debt management rules and procedures can be clearly identified and traced.

  •	   Ensure accessibility of the PDMLF documents on the relevant government websites.

  VIII. Extend the Scope of the PDMLF to the Entire Public Sector

  •	   Regulate the authority of the non-financial public sector to borrow.

  •	   Regulate the monitoring and oversight of the nonfinancial public sector borrowing.




                                                                    101
                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




REFERENCES   Awadzi, Elsie Addo. 2015. “Designing Legal Frameworks for Public DM.” IMF
             Working Paper, WP/15/147.

             Buchheit, Lee C., Gulati, Mitu. 2010. “Responsible Sovereign Lending and Borrowing.”
             UNCTAD Discussion Papers 198. UNCTAD/OSG/DP/2010/2.

             Gelpern, Anna, Sebastian Horn, Scott Morris, Brad Parks, and Christoph Trebesch. 2021.
             How China Lends: A Rare Look into 100 Debt Contracts with Foreign Governments.
             Peterson Institute for International Economics, Kiel Institute for the World Economy,
             Center for Global Development, and AidData at William & Mary.

             Gelpern, Anna, Gulati Mitu, and J. Zettelmeyer. 2017. “If Boilerplate Could Talk: The
             Work of Standard Terms in Sovereign Bond Contracts.” SRRN Duke Law School Public
             Law & Legal Theory Series 2017-45.

             IMF. 2014. “Revised Guidelines for Public DM.” IMF Policy Paper, IMF, Washington,
             DC. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Policy-Papers/Issues/2016/12/31/Revised-
             Guidelines-for-Public-Debt-Management-PP4855

             IMF. 2018. “G-20 Note: Strengthening Public Debt Transparency –The Role of the IMF
             and the World Bank” Washington, DC.

             IMF. 2020. “Public Sector Debt Definitions and Reporting in Low-Income
             Developing Countries”,

             IMF. 2003. Assessing Public Sector Borrowing Collateralized on Future Flow
             Receivables. IMF. Washington, D.C.

             IMF. 2002. Development of Standards for Security Interests, available at https://www.
             imf.org/external/np/leg/sem/2002/cdmfl/eng/pdb.pdf.

             Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, OECD (2016),
             Sovereign Borrowing Outlook. https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/governance/oecd-
             sovereign-borrowing-outlook-2016_sov_b_outlk-2016-en

             PEFA (Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability). 2019. Framework for
             Assessing Public Financial Management. https://www.pefa.org/sites/pefa/files/news/
             files/PEFA-Framework_English.pdf

             Proite, Andre. 2020. Recording, Monitoring and Reporting Public Debt- Organizing a
             Back Office, A Guidance Note, World Bank Discussion Papers, No: 18. World Bank.
             Washington, D.C.

             UNCTAD (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development). 2012. Principles
             on Promoting Responsible Sovereign Lending and Borrowing. UNCTAD. Geneva.

             World Bank Group. 2015. “Debt Management Performance Assessment (DeMPA)
             Methodology.” World Bank, Washington, D.C.



                                        102
                Annex I
 Drivers of Public Debt
Disclosure: Estimation
 Strategy and Results
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       Drawing on the data of the WB debt reporting heatmap, Rivetti (2021) explores the
                                                       correlation between the degree of public debt disclosure and its key driving factors.
                                                       A data disclosure index is obtained as a simple average of the heatmap’s sub-components
                                                       that measure instrument and sectorial coverage of debt statistics, availability of financial
                                                       terms on new loans, and publication of DMS and ABP. The index is standardized to have
                                                       mean zero and variance 1 in the sample of IDA countries to facilitate the interpretation
                                                       of the results. Relying on cross sectional data of 74 IDA countries, the role that different
                                                       factors play on debt transparency is estimated by the following equation:

                                                                                             Yij = α + βXij + γZij + δj + ϵij

                                                       where Yij denotes the transparency level for country i in sub-region j.144

                                                       The matrix Xij includes the set of key determinants such as:

                                                       •	    Type of debt recording and management system (DRMS). Debt Management
                                                             Offices (DMOs) in LIDCs uses either off-the shelf recording systems, developed by
                                                             the Commonwealth Secretariat (CS-DRMS/Meridian) or UNCTAD (DMFAS), or
                                                             idiosyncratic systems (mostly Excel-based).

                                                       •	    Portfolio Composition: presence of collateralized debt or Eurobonds in the public
                                                             debt portfolio.

                                                       •	    External scrutiny: availability of a rating from one of three major rating agencies
                                                             (Fitch, Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s).

                                                       •	    Debt management capacity, proxied by the share of college graduates among DMO
                                                             staff (source: WB 2020 survey).

                                                       •	    DM Legal framework: presence of legal requirements to produce debt statistics,
                                                             strategy and/or annual borrowing plan (source: WB 2020 survey).

                                                       The matrix adds a set of controls. They include categorical variables that capture the
                                                       country’s income level, debt sustainability risk as rated by WB/IMF’s LIC-DSA (low,
                                                       moderate, high, or in debt distress), status of fragile and conflict-afflicted country as
                                                       defined by the WB,145 and participation in the Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC)
                                                       initiative. Even though country fixed effects to address endogeneity could not be added,
                                                       sub regional fixed effects () have been included to partially deal with this issue.146




144.	 Regional patterns are relevant since debt disclosure requirements could be enforced by regional institutions (e.g., Central Bank of West African States or Eastern Caribbean
      Central Bank).
145.	 https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/fragilityconflictviolence/brief/harmonized-list-of-fragile-situations
146.	 Subregions are defined as follows: Central America and Caribbean (8), Eastern Europe and Central Asia (4), East Asia and Pacific (18), South Asia (6); Sub-Saharan Africa
      non-CEMAC (23); Sub-Saharan Africa CEMAC (4), West Africa non-WAEMU (9); West-Africa WAEMU (7).


                                                                                       104
                                                          Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




The results from estimating the linear model in equation are the following:


                                                                                                                         I                   II
   Debt Recording Systems

   COMSEC                                                                                                           0.694**              0.590**
                                                                                                                    (0.272)              (0.270)
   DMFAS                                                                                                             0.475*               0.389
                                                                                                                    (0.266)              (0.261)

   Portfolio Composition

   Has Eurobond                                                                                                     0.491**               0.337
                                                                                                                    (0.245)              (0.243)
   Has collateralized debt                                                                                           -0.164               -0.006
                                                                                                                    (0.281)              (0.285)

   External Scrutiny

   Has rating                                                                                                       0.510**              0.504**
                                                                                                                    (0.229)              (0.227)

   Capacity

   Percentage of staff with college degree                                                                          0.012**              0.009*
                                                                                                                    (0.006)              (0.005)

   Legal Requirements

   Index (statistical bulletin, ABP, and Strategy)                                                                                       0.747**
                                                                                                                                         (0.336)

   Debt Recording Systems

   Lower middle income                                                                                                -0.220              -0.182
                                                                                                                     (0.253)             (0.249)
   Upper middle income                                                                                                0.332               0.390
                                                                                                                     (0.435)             (0.428)
   High DSA risk                                                                                                   -0.751***            -0.758***
                                                                                                                     (0.227)             (0.226)
   Fragile state                                                                                                    -0.522**            -0.567***
                                                                                                                     (0.211)             (0.207)
   HIPC                                                                                                               0.180               0.425
                                                                                                                     (0.294)             (0.305)

   N. of Obs.                                                                                                           74                  74
   R-squared                                                                                                           0.63                0.65

Note: Syria and Yemen are excluded from the analysis since they are currently facing armed conflicts. Standard errors in parentheses, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05,
*** p<0.01. Column 2 in Table 1 adds an index that captures the presence of laws requiring the publication of debt statistics and key DM documents




                                                                             105
         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




The model shows that the use of standard DRMS, the availability of ratings and
qualified DMO’s staff significantly contribute to improve debt transparency.
Relative to no standardized systems, off-the-shelf DRMS (CS-DRMS/Meridian and
DMFAS) facilitate production of debt statistics, with a greater contribution registered
for the former. The results also show that the issuance of Eurobonds and the availability
of ratings increase transparency, while countries with collateralized debt tend to be less
transparent. Skills of DMO staff are key to improving transparency: a 10 percentage-
point increase in the share of college graduates in the DMO staff increases transparency
by 0.12SD. The effects of other controls are shown at the bottom. On the one hand, higher
income levels seem to be positively correlated with transparency, but these effects are not
statistically significant. On the other hand, debt transparency is a challenge primarily for
fragile and highly indebted countries. Finally, past multi-country debt relief initiatives
(e.g. HIPC) may have played a supporting role in debt transparency, but the estimated
coefficient is quite noisy to be statistically significant. This may be due to the practice
of privileging “indirect” reporting (e.g., to Paris Club, IMF/WB) over direct disclosure.




                            106
        Annex II
    WB and IMF
Main Public Debt
     Databases
                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




The results from estimating the linear model in equation are the following:


     Database       Coverage           ISD           JEDH             QEDS              QSPD             GFS             IFS            GDD


 Administered by                    World Bank    World Bank       World Bank        World Bank          IMF             IMF             IMF

                      Number
                                      ~123           ~200              ~123               ~83            ~80             ~40            ~190
 Country             reporting
 coverage
                     Country       Low & middle
                                                  All countries    All countries     All countries   All countries   All countries   All countries
                     groups           income

                                                                     Country           Country         Country         Country
 Source                                 1/             2/                                                                                 3/
                                                                    authorities       authorities     authorities     authorities

                                                                                                                      Monthly/
 Frequency                            Annual       Quarterly         Quarterly         Quarterly       Annual                          Annual
                                                                                                                      Quarterly

 Year earliest
                                      1951           1990                                1995                                           1950s
 data available

 Validation
                                     Medium                          Medium            Medium           High             Low            High
 process

                    Budgetary
                     Central
                   Government

                     Central

                    General
                   Government

                   Nonfinancial
 Institutional
                   Government
 sector coverage
                    Financial
                     Public
                   Corporations


                   Public Sector

                                                                                                      EBG, SSF,
                      Other            PPG            PPG              PPG
                                                                                                       SG, LG

                     Dom/Ext           Ext            Ext               Ext            Dom/Ext        Dom/Ext         Dom/Ext         Dom/Ext

                    Securities
 Instrument
 coverage             Loans

                                                                                     SDR, C&D,                                       SDR, C&D,
                      Other
                                                                                     IPSGS, OAP                                      IPSGS, OAP

                     Original
                     maturity

 Analytical         Remaining
 coverage            maturity

                    Currency of
                   denomination




                                                                      108
                                                       Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




      Database         Coverage           ISD            JEDH             QEDS              QSPD        GFS             IFS            GDD

                      Residency of
                        creditor

                      Counterparty
                         sector

Source: WB-IMF. 2018,
EBG = Extrabudgetary units, SSF = social security funds, SG = Senate Governments, LG = Local Governments, PPG = Public and Publicly Guaranteed, SDR
= Special Drawing Rights, C&D = Cash & Deposits, IPSGS = Insurance, pension, and standardized guarantee, schemes, OAP = Other Accounts Payable.
1/ Country aurhorities (long term debt), BIS and country authorities (Short term debt), IMF Treasurers Department, staff estimates.
2/ QEDS, BIS, IMF, OECD, and World Bank.
3/ Country authorities, international institutions, and academic researchers.




                                                                          109
                Annex III
  Debt Restructuring and
Transparency: Estimation
    Strategy and Results
                                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       This section seeks to assess whether debt transparency across different types
                                                       of creditors improved during debt restructuring episodes. Given (i) the need for
                                                       accurate debt reconciliation, (ii) the incentives to fully disclose the debt portfolio
                                                       to make the case for higher debt relief and (iii) debt management conditionality
                                                       often attached to restructuring, debt transparency is expected to improve after a
                                                       restructuring episode.

                                                       The analysis aims to test this hypothesis using an index that captures levels of
                                                       reporting for the 2005-2018 period. This index measures transparency as the reporting
                                                       of data to high profile databases whose quality has been validated in accordance with the
                                                       IMF Public Sector Debt Statistics Guide (PSDSG) definitions. As a result, two voluntary
                                                       and detailed public databases are considered: the IMF Government Finance Statistics
                                                       Yearbook (GFSY) and the IMF/World Bank Quarterly External Debt Statistics database
                                                       (QEDS). Both of these databases are built on internationally agreed methodological
                                                       foundations (PSDSG), are consistent with the reporting requirements set out in the
                                                       General Data Dissemination System (GDDS) and Special Data Dissemination Standard
                                                       (SDDS) frameworks and provide detailed breakdowns of debt portfolios.

                                                       No official database currently exists on debt restructuring, but several academic
                                                       and institutional efforts have been undertaken to build comprehensive statistics on
                                                       them. Restructuring episodes have been measured in a variety of ways, but the two most
                                                       comprehensive databases are the joint Bank of Canada -Bank of England (2020)147 on
                                                       debt default and the dataset of Bon and Cheng (2020).148 For the purpose of the analysis
                                                       below, the focus is on i) debt restructuring episodes and ii) cumulative restructuring
                                                       volume (in billions of USD).




147.	 The Bank of England/Bank of Canada Sovereign Default Database contains the most detailed breakdown of sovereign defaults covering a long time period (1960-2020)
      and a wide range of countries. The methodology and data builds on past research from Beers and Chambers 2006, Suter 1992, Cruces and Trebesch 2011, Tudela et al 2011,
      Papaioannou and Trebesch 2012, Tweedie et al 2012, Paris Club, IMF, IDA, the World Bank, national sources and other private creditors. The database considers a default
      to occur when debt service is not paid on the due date or within a specified grace period, when payments are not made within the time frame specified under a guarantee or,
      absent an outright payment default, in circumstances where creditors incur material economic losses on the sovereign debt they hold.
148.	 The Bon and Cheng database is a cumulative exercise covering a total of 140 restructuring episodes across 64 countries over the 2000-2019 period. The database builds on
      past work from, Development Reimagined, Dreher et al (2017), Bluhm et al (2018), Hurley et al, (2018), Kratz et al, (2019), Debtwire , Factiva , the John Hopkins China-
      Africa Loan Database , Paris Club, Cheng et al (2018), Cruces and Trebesch (2013) and Asonuma and Trebesch (2016). The definition of a restructuring episode is more
      narrowly focused on the traditional Paris Club definition of official restructuring which is generally consistent with IMF PSDSG. This leads to significantly fewer cases than
      what was recorded in the BOE-BOC database.


                                                                                        111
                                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                        Consistent with past research, this analysis examines the effects of restructuring
                                                        episodes with different creditors, distinguishing those that coordinate their efforts
                                                        through the Paris Club from the others. For both databases (Bank of England/Bank
                                                        of Canada and Bon/Cheng), two categories of restructuring episodes are considered
                                                        (Paris Club, non-Paris Club), while controlling for other factors that may limit a debtor
                                                        government’s ability to make progress on achieving higher levels of debt transparency.
                                                        For example, a country that is experiencing a large economic downturn, hyperinflation,
                                                        balance of payment problems, or conflict149 would not be likely to prioritize
                                                        recommendations regarding the comprehensive disclosure of its debt obligations or
                                                        improvements in debt governance. Finally, controls for external interventions that may
                                                        influence government’s macroeconomic performance and accountability (Cheng et al
                                                        2018) are also added.

                                                        Given the multiple restructuring episodes (in number and volume) over a
                                                        relatively short period (2005-2018), a straightforward fixed effects specification is
                                                        adopted.150 There is an advantage of our simple fixed effects approach in that it captures
                                                        within-country changes in debt transparency and allows for a direct comparison of
                                                        our dependent variables before and after restructuring episodes (controlling for other
                                                        factors). As in Bon and Cheng (2020), robust standard errors are used to correct for
                                                        heteroskedasticity, autocorrelation, and error correlation across panels (Driscoll and
                                                        Kraay 1998) to estimate the following equation:

                                                                                     3      cn cn          3       pc pc          3       priv   priv       2      dm
                                                         dtit = αi + λt + ∑(q=1) βqrfqit + ∑(p=1) βprfpit + ∑(v=1) βv rfit + ∑(d=1) βd DeMPAdit
                                                                            + ωIMFit + τgdpcapit + ρcabit+ γinflit + δsfiit

                                                        Where:
                                                        dtit = debt transparency index in country i at time t
                                                           x
                                                        rfqit = debt restructuring by episode and volume (cumulative) for creditor x in country
                                                        i at time t
                                                                      x
                                                        [Note: rfqit = 1 for all years after a qth restructuring episode with creditor x and
                                                        0 otherwise]
                                                        gdpcapit = GDP per capita in country i at time t
                                                        inflit = inflation rate (CPI) in country i at time t
                                                        sfiit = state fragility index score in country i at time t
                                                        IMFit = 1 when country i is involved in an IMF program for year t
                                                        DeMPAdit = 1 for all years following an assessment in country i
                                                        And, βqcn, βp
                                                                    pc
                                                                      , βvpriv    , ω, τ, ρ, γ, δ are unknown parameters to be estimated.151
                                                                             , βddm




149.	 Conflict data was sourced from the Center for Systemic Peace State Fragility Index. The index is built on eight underlying factors that contribute to a country’s fragility (see
      Marshall and Elzinga-Marshall 2017).
150.	 Past statistical specifications for debt restructuring episodes have had sufficiently long time series to take advantage of treatment events (for example, Brady bonds) under
      a difference in difference approach (Reinhart and Trebesch 2016). Using a shorter time series, Cheng et al (2018) and Bon and Cheng (2020) use a local projection method
      to provide joint inference for impulse response coefficients.
151.	 As was the case with previous statistical specifications of debt restructuring episodes, there is a potential endogeneity, or reverse causality, problem (Bon and Cheng 2020;
      Horn, Reinhart and Trebesch 2020). While it is possible that the discovery of new debt may push a debtor country into restructuring, it is unlikely, especially in the context of
      multiple restructuring episodes. As argued in Reinhart and Trebesch (2016), Cheng et al (2016) and Bon and Gong (2020) reverse causality is even less likely in the context
      of group restructuring which qualify recipient countries based on being members of a specific group.


                                                                                          112
                                                                    Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                       Building recent contributions to measuring fiscal and debt transparency (Murara et al
                                                       2015; IMF 2020a), an index of external debt transparency is constructed based on eight
                                                       categories that are important for comprehensive debt reporting. The scoring scheme
                                                       for each of these is depicted below in Table A1. This article uses the IMF classification
                                                       of instrument coverage which range from narrow instrument coverage (D1) to broad
                                                       coverage (D4).152


Table A3.1
External Debt Transparency Scoring Scheme

                                                                                                                      Integrated            Financing             Stock of
                   Coverage*        Instrument           Currency          Counterparty            Maturity
    Indicator                                                                                                         Stocks and              Terms              Financial
                      (cv)             (inst)             (cur)               (cpt)                 (mat)
                                                                                                                      Flows (sf)               (ft)              Assets (fa)

                   No data= 0       No data = 0       No breakdown         No breakdown         No breakdown        Stocks only = 0       Principal and         No data = 0
                    BG = 1           D1 = 1                =0                   =0                   =0                                    interest = 0
                    CG = 2           D2 = 2                                                                        Stocks,                                     Total stock= 1
    Scoring         GG = 3           D3 = 3              Domestic/           External by            ST/LT     transactions and              Principal
                    PS = 4           D4 = 4             foreign = 1           sector = 1        breakdown = 1     OEF = 1                  and interest
                                                                                                                                          disaggregated
                                                                                                                                               =1

* BG = budgetary central government, CG = central government, GG = general government, PS = public sector



                                                       Using this framework, a feasible measure of debt transparency can be computed as an
                                                       additive index of the product of coverage and each of the remaining six components of
                                                       the scoring scheme:153

                                                            dtit = cvit (instit) + cvit (curit) + cvit (matit) + cvit (sfit) + cvit (ftit) + cvit (fait)
                                                                                                  + cvit (cptit)

                                                       Sectoral coverage is used multiplicatively because, i) coverage can vary by component,
                                                       and, ii) higher degrees of coverage will increase transparency across the entire realm of
                                                       debt statistics.




152.	 D1 = debt securities + loans; D2 = D1 + currency and deposits + SDRs; D3 = D2 + other accounts payable; D4 = D3 + insurance, pension and standardized
      guarantee schemes.
153.	 This indicator leaves out two dimensions discussed in the report: valuation method and contingent liabilities. Valuation methods tend to vary across and within databases,
      often with no clear distinction other than metadata. Contingent liabilities are not included as they are not reported in any of the existing databases in a systematic way. In
      some cases, countries report information on explicit guarantees, but these fall into a variety of definitions and degrees of coverage, which make them systematically not
      comparable across countries.


                                                                                        113
                                               Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Table A3.2
Debt Transparency and Restructuring (Episodes and Volume)

                                                                     Episodes                          Volume

                                                       BoC/BoE                   Bon/Gong    BoC/BoE            Bon/Gong


   PC first restructure                                  -0.01                      0.47
                                                         (0.61)                    (0.55)
   PC second restructure                                 -0.64                     -0.36
                                                         (0.40)                    (0.56)
   PC second restructure                                 -0.46                     -0.25
                                                         (0.32)                    (0.40)
   CN second restructure                                 -0.59                     -0.57
                                                         (0.67)                    (0.58)
   PC restructure volume (US Bn)                                                            -0.05***             -0.09
                                                                                              (0.01)             (0.06)
   CN restructure volume (US Bn)                                                               0.03             -0.21***
                                                                                              (0.04)             (0.07)
   IMF Program                                            0.03                                -0.13              -0.09
                                                         (0.34)                               (0.32)             (0.32)
   DeMPA1                                              1.61***                    1.13**     1.37***             1.06**
                                                         (0.45)                    (0.52)     (0.44)             (0.48)
   DeMPA2                                                 0.51                      0.29       0.40               0.25
                                                         (0.59)                    (0.63)     (0.55)             (0.58)
   GDP pc (ln)                                            3.70                   3.66***     3.69***              3.69
                                                         (0.32)                    (0.39)     (0.27)             (-.34)
   Current account                                       -0.70                     -1.33      -0.37              -1.38
                                                         (1.36)                    (1.26)     (1.51)             (1.33)
   Inflation (ln)                                         0.15                      0.10       0.14               0.07
                                                         (0.11)                    (0.13)     (0.13)             (0.11)
   SFI                                                  -0.18**                   -0.17*     -0.16**             -0.16*
                                                         (0.08)                    (0.08)     (0.08)             (0.08)
   Country fixed effects                                    Y                         Y         Y                  Y
   Countries                                               97                        88         97                 88
   Obs                                                    1656                     1498       1656                1498
   R2                                                     0.32                      0.30       0.33               0.31
*** - p<0.01; ** - p<0.05; * - p<.01

                                       The model indicates that restructuring episodes do not have a statistically significant
                                       effect on indirect debt disclosure. Countries that undertake debt restructuring do not
                                       improve their level of reporting to international debt databases. There does not appear
                                       to be any impact from IMF programs. In turn, one of the strongest predictors of debt
                                       transparency is GDP per capita, which is assumed to be a proxy for the level of capacity
                                       after controlling for country fixed effects.

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             Annex IV
Systems, Institutional
   Arrangements and
Resources for Accrual
          Accounting
                                                             Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                  Several enabling systems and institutional arrangements should be in place to reap the
                                                  benefits of accrual accounting in debt reporting. These include:

                                                  •	   Legal framework: In the absence of internationally mandated standards, the legal
                                                       framework should clearly identify whether IPSAS is adopted as a basis for national
                                                       standards, whether directly, indirectly or otherwise, in order to promote transparency,
                                                       accountability and comparability of financial information. Any national standard
                                                       setting arrangements should support objectivity, independence, and integrity in
                                                       government financial reporting. Having an interested party involved in standard
                                                       setting may cause conflicts of interest.

                                                  •	   Unified Chart of Accounts (UCOA): A UCOA allows for seamless preparation of
                                                       both statistical reports and whole of government financial statements. Many of these
                                                       accounts are the same in both frameworks. Differences arise, however, in response
                                                       to the reporting differences between these two frameworks described earlier. These
                                                       differences should be properly captured in the UCOA and countries should be
                                                       pragmatic about how differences between the frameworks are met.154

                                                  •	   Adequate technological capacity and information systems: An Integrated
                                                       Financial Management Information System (IFMIS) supports the execution and
                                                       management of public sector financial operations by enabling the electronic capture,
                                                       recording, categorization, consolidation and reporting of transactional level financial
                                                       data based on the UCOA and pre-defined standardized reporting formats. Access,
                                                       process-related and administrative controls are typically programmed into the IFMIS
                                                       to provide a level of security, data integrity and processing uniformity, enhancing
                                                       credibility of government financial information, preventing data redundancy and
                                                       thereby providing reliable accrual basis accounting data. Figure A.1 below denotes
                                                       typical IFMIS architecture.




154.	 Optimizing the Unified Chart of Accounts Design, PEMPAL Treasury COP Public Sector Accounting Working Group, October 2020


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                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




  Figure A4.1
  Integrated IFMIS Architecture: An Example

                                   Core Modules                                                                   Non-Core Modules
   IFMIS Modules




                        Cash
                                           AR                Reporting                   Analytics               Asset               PIM             Budgeting
                     Management


                                                                                           Dash                   Fleet           Employee
                        GL                 AP               Commitment                                                                                Payroll
                                                                                          Boards               Management          Loans



                                                               Middleware/Big Data/Data Warehouse
Intergration/Other




                       E-GP                     Debt                                           Tax                  Customs
     Systems




                                                                                                                                                     HRMIS
                                  Others                      AMIS                                   Non-Tax                        Bank


                                                                         PFM Systems Landscape
   Databases




                                                                                     Legend:
                                                                                     - AR: Accounts receivable           - PIM: Public Investment Management
                                                                                     - AP: Accounts Payable              - AMIS: Audit Management System
                                                                                     - GL: General Ledger                - E-GP: Electronic Government Procurements



  Source: Authors’ elaboration.



                                                       •	     Reciprocal information flow between the DMO and the accrual accounting
                                                              system: Processes should exist for sharing information captured through the accrual
                                                              accounting system and debt information captured by the DMO. For example, the
                                                              DRMS should be integrated within the broader IFMIS. Additionally, the DMO
                                                              maintains critical information on the inventory of all financial instruments, as well as
                                                              details of these arrangements; this is needed to inform accrual accounting frameworks
                                                              and related financial statement disclosures. Conversely, the accounting system
                                                              captures information on payments arrears, lease arrangements, cash overdrafts and
                                                              other debt-like instruments which may not be captured through the DRMS.




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                                                       Source: International Debt Statistics
         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




•	   Inventory and control of financial instruments: A complete and reliable inventory
     and valuation of all financial instruments, as well as details of these arrangements,
     should be maintained to ensure that all related commitments, contingencies, and
     other relevant information are properly recorded in the financial statements and
     qualitative information is properly disclosed. In many countries, central coordination
     of the inventory for debt instruments is led by the Debt Management Office (DMO).

•	 Internal controls and procedures to assist identification and management
   of ‘other contingent liabilities’: Processes for identifying and reporting ‘other
   contingent liabilities’ should be in place. “Other contingent liabilities” may include
   potential legal claims against government, guarantees provided, or any other
   form of implicit or explicit potential claim which are not automatically captured
   by government accounting systems. The information should be aggregated by
   nature and include information on estimated amount, probability and any possible
   reimbursement.

•	   Internal controls to match spending with resources available: A standard form of
     internal control is a commitment control system, which limits spending commitments
     to budget authority either through computerized or, in some countries, through
     manual systems. The use of such a system can mitigate some of the pressures that
     may otherwise lead to payment arrears.

•	   Clearly defined accounting policies, instructions (procedures) and competencies:
     Policies should be clearly defined at the central level to promote consistency of
     application among individual reporting units included in the consolidated financial
     statements. Likewise, clear and detailed accounting Procedures for both statistical
     and accounting frameworks can provide step by step guidance to enable operational
     level finance and accounting staff throughout government to process transactions in
     a consistent manner based on the accounting standards and policies in effect.

•	   Adequate human resources and technical knowledge: Expertise is required in
     order to lead the reform process and oversee implementation. This core expertise
     should include strong technical knowledge of IPSAS, an understanding of the
     interrelationship between accounting and financial reporting with other PFM
     processes, and knowledge of the IFMIS or other information technology systems
     supporting the accounting processes. Capacity for establishing the market value
     of financial instruments may also need to be developed, as well as capacity for
     developing actuarial estimates of the expected cost of providing post-employment
     and other long-term benefits.

•	   Adequate external audit capacity: Government financial statements are typically
     subject to external audit in accordance with national laws. External auditors, generally
     the Supreme Audit Institution (SAI) of the country, should possess the requisite
     expertise to complete an audit of IPSAS based financial statements, including the
     underlying systems, procedures, and controls governing the accounting process.




                            118
          Annex V
    Proposal for an
International Loan
        Repository
                                                                   Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




                                                      An International Loan Repository (ILR) could strengthen and coordinate existing
                                                      data collection initiatives. The goal of the ILR is to provide a modern platform to
                                                      reconcile debt records between creditors and debtors, thus improving the accuracy of
                                                      debt records and limiting operational risk. The ILR would also enable the creation of a
                                                      central database, which can be used for public reporting purposes.

                                                      Participation to the ILR would be voluntary. However, it is expected that the data
                                                      reconciliation services, and reporting facilities provided by the ILR will act as a strong
                                                      incentive for DMOs to participate. Furthermore, incentives could be introduced in
                                                      MDB’s operations or creditor/debtor country legislation to spearhead its use and increase
                                                      its relevance. While targeting official debt in a first step, the ILR can be broadened to
                                                      include private external debt.

                                                      Terms of existing and new public loan agreements would be registered by creditors
                                                      or debtors participating in the initiative. Any subsequent loan transaction would be
                                                      linked to an existing agreement and, once cleared by the debtor and creditor, stored in
                                                      the ILR.155 The data will be encrypted to ensure data ownership and confidentiality.
                                                      Disclosure clauses, and other relevant legal arrangements, would allow for debt reporting
                                                      (e.g., WBs DRS) using the centralized ILR database (Figure A.2).




155.	 The use of block chain technology can be envisaged to include the full history of previous transactions and loan data.


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                                                     Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




Figure A5.1
ILR’s Automatic Reconciliation and Centralization of Loan Data




                                                               Loan agreement



                                Payments                            Clearing                                 Payments




                                                   1. Loan agreement data
     Debtor                                        2. Loan disbursement transaction data
                                                                                                                         Creditor Country or
   Government                                                                                                           Multilateral Institution
Acknowledges receipt of                                  3. Interest payments data                                Transmits data on
1. Loan agreement data                                   4. Principal payments data                               1. Loan agreement data
2. Disbursements data                                                                                             2. Disbursements data
Transmits data on                                                                                                 Acknowledges receipt of
3. Interest payments                                                                                              1. Interest payments
4. Principal payments                       DRS reporting                             Statistics on demand        2. Principal payments




       International Debt Statistics publication
       Reconcilliation with QEDS and QPSDS data


                                                   World Bank

Source: Authors’ elaboration.




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         Debt Transparency in Developing Economies




The proposed ILR’s main benefits are the following:

•	   Provide a secure platform for data exchanges on loan transactions between creditors
     and debtors, replacing existing risk-prone and ineffective channels.

•	   Ensure validation between creditor and debtor of all loan transactions.

•	   Automate data recording in DRMS and thereby reduce data inconsistencies.

•	   Ensure transparent data on loan financing conditions, with the possibility to introduce
     variables currently not covered by existing reporting templates (e.g., collateralization,
     quasi-collateralization/collateral-like features, jurisdiction, legislation).

•	   Allow for real-time dissemination of statistics, and complement existing indirect
     reporting channels (e.g., WB’s DRS).

•	   Promote the use of standardized debt definitions for statistics and debt reporting.

•	   Assist creditors and debtors to move to digital end-to-end processing of
     loan transactions.




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