The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) AFRICA | Nigeria | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2016 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 25-Jun-2020 | ISR42385 | Implementing Agencies: Federal Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Humanitarian Affairs, Disaster Management and Social Development Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 07-Jun-2016 Effectiveness Date: 03-Oct-2017 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 14-Sep-2020 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2022 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2022 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective (PDO) is to provide access to targeted transfers to poor and vulnerable households under an expanded national social safety nets system. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Establishing a National Social Safety Nets System:(Cost $180.00 M) Implementing a Targeted Cash Transfer:(Cost $1653.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Overall project implementation progress: Overall, the project is making good progress towards the Project Development Objective (PDO) and is achieving the targets set for outcome and output level indicators. Specifically, implementation progress is picking up under both components and most sub-components of the project. Response to COVID-19: NASSP is considered is to provide a good platform for delivery of COVID-19 response because of its existing structures and systems. In this regard, a discussion is underway to explore options to further scale up the program. National Social Registry (NSR): There has been a substantial increase in the number of Poor and Vulnerable Households (PVHHs) captured in the NSR, 3.3 million households (over 15 million individuals) in 35 States and FCT. Cash Transfer: Enrollments of Cash Transfer beneficiaries are being carried out in 33 states across the country. 1.2 million PVHHs have been enrolled into the cash transfer program and included in the National Registry of Beneficiary (NBR) with about 94 percent of household caregivers being female and 53 percent of beneficiaries in the bottom two quintiles. 677,916 households across 24 states received their transfers for the 6/25/2020 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) January/February 2020 cycle while 748,684 households received transfers for the March/April 2020 cycle. It is expected that the on-going enrollments will increase the number of PVHHs enrolled in the cash transfer program to about 2 million households (10 million individuals). Savings groups mobilization: To date there are 22,065 savings groups and 9,716 cooperatives formed with a total of 345,610 beneficiaries. The accumulated savings of these groups is N1,058,578,425 and the amount of loans given out is N437,155,275. The groups have invested a total of N521,741,600 in micro-enterprises. Grievance redress mechanism (GRM): To date the existing GRM has received 12,890 grievances and resolved 10,361 (80.3 percent). Progress has been made in the development of a NASSP-wide GRM which encompasses both NASSCO and NCTO. A revised manual for a NASSP-wide GRM has been finalized. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Moderate Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary High High Substantial Environment and Social Low Low Low Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Provide access to targeted transfers to poor and vulnerable households IN00860251 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,171,978.00 5,831,186.00 5,000,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860252 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) 6/25/2020 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 49.70 50.00 50.00 IN00860253 ►Percentage of transfer recipients that are female (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 92.80 85.00 85.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860254 ►Percentage of beneficiaries that are in the bottom two poverty quintiles (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 52.00 53.00 80.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860255 ►Number of households included in National Social Registry (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 35.00 1,349.00 3,198,992.00 4,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860256 ►Number of states benefiting from targeted cash transfers (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 20.00 32.00 24.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Establishing a National Social Safety Nets System IN00860257 ►Number of states that have signed MoUs with federal level (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 37.00 37.00 24.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860259 6/25/2020 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) ►Number of states with Social Registry (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 8.00 32.00 35.00 24.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860261 ►Number of other social protection or social sector programs utilizing the National Social Registry (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2.00 4.00 5.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860263 ►Percentage of individuals registered in National Social Registry with a valid national ID number from NIMC (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.60 0.12 20.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860265 ►Percentage of complaints satisfactorily addressed within three months of initial complaint being recorded (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 71.00 47.00 90.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860268 ►Percentage of beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries that report they are aware of project objectives and entitlements (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 96.00 75.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 This information is taken from the NASSP Third Party Monitoring Report. The gender disaggregated Comments: information will be updated when Beneficiary Satisfaction survey will be completed. IN00860269 Percentage of male beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries that report they are aware of project objectives and entitlements (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860270 6/25/2020 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) Percentage of female beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries that report they are aware of project objectives and entitlements (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860271 ►Number of LGAs that have completed the targeting process (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 60.00 21.00 49.00 350.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860272 ►Percentage of beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries reporting that targeting process is fair (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 90.50 90.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 Data is not yet available at the date of this ISR. This will will be updated when the beneficiary survey in Comments: progress is completed. IN00860273 Percentage of males reporting that the targeting process is fair (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860274 Percentage of females reporting the targeting process is fair (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860275 ►Percentage of beneficiaries that report they are satisfied with the targeted cash transfers (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 59.00 80.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 NASSP Third Party Monitoring report for the Quarter January - March 2020. But data not yet available by Comments: gender. This will be updated when beneficiary satisfaction survey will be completed 6/25/2020 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) IN00860276 Percentage of male beneficiaries that report they are satisfied with the targeted cash transfers (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860277 Percentage of female beneficiaries that report they are satisfied with the targeted cash transfers (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860278 ►Annual Results and Resources Scorecard implemented and made public by independent third party (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 The survey is in progress. Comments: IN00860279 ►Number of states that have developed livelihoods strategy based on pilots (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 This activity has not yet started at the date of this ISR. The livelihoods pilot will run from September 2019 Comments: to 2022. Implementing a Targeted Cash Transfer IN00860258 ►Percentage of payments delivered to beneficiaries within one month of the due date (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 75.00 96.00 90.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860260 ►Percentage of targeted households receiving transfers electronically (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 6/25/2020 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 85.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860262 ►Percentage of households who receive top-up transfers (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 63.00 4.00 80.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860264 ►Percentage of households receiving top-up transfers for which monitoring information on co-responsibilities is available (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 85.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 IN00860266 ►Quarterly reports are generated by NCTO using a MIS system (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 MIS is still under development Comments: IN00860267 ►Number of state CTUs that generate quarterly reports using a MIS system (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Date 01-Jul-2016 30-Aug-2019 30-Apr-2020 31-Dec-2021 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P151488 IDA-58310 Effective USD 500.00 500.00 0.00 188.81 297.67 39% 6/25/2020 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report National Social Safety Nets Project (P151488) Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P151488 IDA-58310 Effective 07-Jun-2016 27-Jan-2017 03-Oct-2017 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 27-Apr-2020 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/25/2020 Page 8 of 8