The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Guinea Bissau: Safety Nets and Basic Services Project (P163901) Guinea Bissau: Safety Nets and Basic Services Project (P163901) AFRICA WEST | Guinea-Bissau | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2018 | Seq No: 5 | ARCHIVED on 26-Jan-2021 | ISR44844 | Implementing Agencies: Project Coordination Unit (PCU), Republic of Guinea-Bissau Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 18-May-2018 Effectiveness Date: 23-Jul-2018 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 30-Oct-2020 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 12-Jan-2021 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2022 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2022 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to provide poor communities and households with greater access to basic service infrastructure and social safety nets. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Community-based micro-projects:(Cost $4.00 M) Component 2: Cash transfer program:(Cost $7.50 M) Component 3: Safety net development:(Cost $2.50 M) Component 4: Project management:(Cost $1.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project includes three main activities: construction and rehabilitation of small-scale infrastructures, cash transfers and development of a safety net. Its overall implementation is Satisfactory. The implementation of the small-scale infrastructures (component 1) is already completed (micro- project were identified during the implementation of the former Community-Driven Development Project). Cash transfer activities and accompanying measures (component 2) and safety net development including impact evaluation (component 3) continue to be Satisfactory. Political instability makes it challenging to mobilize the authorities towards the development of a social protection strategy. The disbursement rate (59%) is above forecast while some additional funds are already committed for future cash transfers. Project implementation is doing well: (i) 88,700 individuals have benefited from the Project (well above the end-of-project objective of 60,000 individuals) of whom about half are women, (ii) 6,500 individuals have benefited from cash transfers (the end-of-project objective is to reach 50,000 beneficiaries), (iii) 31,300 individuals have been provided access to improved water source (exceeding the end-of-project objective of 15,000), (iv) 1/26/2021 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Guinea Bissau: Safety Nets and Basic Services Project (P163901) 30,000 individuals have been provided access to an all-season road (above the end-of-project objective of 7,000). Also, preliminary evidence suggests that there has been an improvement in stunting in children below 2 years of age in households who benefited from the cash transfer program. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Low Stakeholders Low Low Low Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes 1. provide households with greater acess to social safety nets IN00933401 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 47,454.00 88,710.00 60,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 IN00933403 of which female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 52.00 52.00 50.00 IN00933404 1/26/2021 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Guinea Bissau: Safety Nets and Basic Services Project (P163901) ►Beneficiaries of social safety net programs (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 20,225.00 26,474.00 50,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 IN00933405 Beneficiaries of social safety net programs - Female (Number, Corporate Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,359.00 13,502.00 25,000.00 IN00933406 ►Improvement in stunting in children <2 years in households benefitting from the cash transfer program (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 31.20 31.20 10.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 In Bissau, the stunting rate at baseline (Dec. 2017) was 15.7%: stunting was 12.0% in the control group and 21.4% in the treatment group. At the intermediate line (Jan. 2020), stunting was 20.3% in the control group and 24.8% in the treatment group. A difference in difference indicates an improvement by 4.9% Comments: [(21.4%-12.0%)-(24.8%-20.3%)]=4.9%. The indicator is: 4.9%/15.7%=31.2%. 2. provide poor communities with greater access to basic service infrastructure IN00933390 ►People provided with access to improved water sources (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,267.00 37,292.00 15,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 30-Sep-2019 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 IN00933402 ►People with access to an all-season road rehabilitated by the Project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,529.00 30,240.00 7,000.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 30-Sep-2019 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 2: Cash transfer program IN00933408 1/26/2021 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Guinea Bissau: Safety Nets and Basic Services Project (P163901) ►Total amount of cash transferred to households (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 810,736.00 1,585,524.00 6,650,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 IN00933411 ►Cash transfer payments received within 10 days of scheduled date (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 96.00 98.00 80.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 Component 4: Project management IN00933409 ►Operating ratio (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 11.40 12.00 15.00 Date 30-Jun-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 The operating ratio has decreased mainly driven by: (i) a decrease in the staffing cost of the PIU, and Comments: (ii) an increase in disbursements for cash transfers. Component 1: Community-based micro-projects IN00933407 ►Percentage of individuals participating in their community development plan on average (Voice and Accountability) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 As COVID hampered data collection, the percentage is provisional and subject to revision. Comments: IN00933410 ►Percentage of women participating in their community development plan on average (Voice and Accountability) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 As COVID hampered data collection, the percentage is provisional and subject to revision. Comments: 1/26/2021 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Guinea Bissau: Safety Nets and Basic Services Project (P163901) IN00933412 ►Percentage of individuals satisfied with the participation process (Voice and Accountability) (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 As COVID hampered data collection, the percentage for March 31, 2020 is an estimate which will be Comments: subject to revision. IN00933413 ►Community-based micro-projects completed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 87.00 164.00 40.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 IN00933414 ►Improvement in school enrollment in children 6-14 in households benefiting from the cash transfer program (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Date 31-Mar-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 This data is not available yet. It will become available once the impact evaluation is completed. In Bissau, 1.5pp difference of enrollment rate observed between beneficiaries and control group at Comments: baseline (May 2017). It remained unchanged at intermediate line (May 2019). IN00933415 ►Community-based micro-projects functional and properly maintained two years after completion (percentage of micro-projects completed) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 30-Jun-2018 31-Mar-2020 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2022 This data is not available yet as no micro-project has been completed less than 2 years ago. Comments: Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed 1/26/2021 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Guinea Bissau: Safety Nets and Basic Services Project (P163901) P163901 IDA-D3170 Effective USD 15.00 15.00 0.00 9.02 5.92 60% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P163901 IDA-D3170 Effective 18-May-2018 03-Jul-2018 23-Jul-2018 31-Dec-2022 31-Dec-2022 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 1/26/2021 Page 6 of 6