The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Nicaragua | Transport Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2017 | Seq No: 9 | ARCHIVED on 23-Dec-2020 | ISR45162 | Implementing Agencies: Republic of Nicaragua, Ministerio de Transporte e Infraestructura (Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure), Road Maintenance Fund (FOMAV) Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 06-Mar-2017 Effectiveness Date: 17-May-2017 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 27-Dec-2019 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 11-Nov-2019 Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2022 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2022 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objectives of the Project are to: (a) improve safe and sustainable access to markets and services in targeted rural and urban areas of the Recipient; and (b) in the event of an Eligible Emergency, provide immediate and effective response to said Eligible Emergency. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Road Infrastructure Improvement:(Cost $120.11 M) Component 2: Road Safety:(Cost $8.10 M) Component 3: Institutional Strengthening and Implementation Support:(Cost $3.37 M) Component 4: Immediate Response Mechanism Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The total amount of the original project is US$96.9 million, with US$78.51 million disbursed. An Additional Financing in the amount of US$35 million was approved in March 2018 and became effective in June of that same year, with disbursement to date of US$7.97 million. Urban Roads Improvements. Civil works for the urban access roads finance under the original credit are near completion. Specifically, works in La Garita-Tipitapa road section concluded in February 2020, with the works closing report expected to be received shortly by the Bank. As of the end of March 2020, works in Ciudad Sandino – Mateare road section counted with a 92% and a 97% of physical and financial progress respectively. To conclude the pending works, amendments were issued to both works and supervision contracts. Rural Roads (Adoquines Roads) Rehabilitation. Works on three of the five sections under the parent project have been completed (Granada - Malacatoya Phase II, Morgan Point - Long Bay - Queen Hill in Corn Island, Cárdenas-Colón Phase II). By the end of March, the remaining two 12/23/2020 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) sections (Macuelizo - Santa María Phase I, La Libertad-San Pedro de Lóvago) were in final stage of execution, with a few pending miscellaneous tasks to be carried out. As works have been concluding, supervision firms have developed road maintenance strategies and plans, which have been assessed by the Road Maintenance Fund (FOMAV[KS2] ) and have thereafter begun being implemented through microenterprises/cooperatives. Works under the additional financing have commenced and are progressing satisfactorily. Works on The Granada – Malacatoya Phase III section began on February 2020 with an expected 12-month duration. As of March, works counted with a 1.92% physical progress. Works on the Macuelizo – Santa María Phase II section initiated in March 2020 with an expected 18-month duration. As of the end of March, the works counted with a 0.48% physical progress. Works on the Cárdenas – Colón Phase III section started in February 2020, with an expected 12-month duration. By the end of March, the works counted with a 0.48% physical progress. For this last section, the supervision is being carried out by the same firm responsible for the supervision of Phase II, financed under the parent project. Hence, the client prepared an addendum to the supervision contract to extend its duration until the end of Phase III. Road Assets Maintenance. The periodic maintenance works on the San Lorenzo-Muhan road section are completed. The results-based maintenance works on 200.81 km of adoquines road sections were contracted in June 2018 and are ongoing. This program continues to prove successful, as the average service index has reached 94% compared to the 85% required. Building Resilience to Climate Change in the Road Sector. The engineering designs to address the planned 7 vulnerable points to climate change impacts have been finalized, and MTI is developing the required documents to launch the procurement process. An 8th highly vulnerable point has been identified and will be procured separately, as technical studies need to be prepared, hence an amendment for the design and supervision consultant’s contract is being prepared. Road Safety. The technical studies to address accident black spots has been finalized. Procurement process for the works is expected to be launched in May. Following the agreement made during the Midterm Review to reallocate the funds earmarked for the National Council for Road Safety and Education’s institutional strengthening, it was decided that these funds be used to complement the road safety works required for the Ciudad Sandino-Mateare road section. Institutional Strengthening. Several of the activities included in MTI’s Institutional Strengthening Plan are in procurement stage or under implementation. It is worthy of noting the following activities that have been finalized: (i) baseline for the Project’s Impact Evaluation; and (ii) the beneficiary satisfaction survey to promote citizen engagement. It is worthy of noting that during the April virtual mission, MTI informed the Bank team that it was in the process of preparing a new version / proposal of its institutional strengthening plan, considering movement restrictions and possible realignments of priorities due to the COVID-19 Pandemic. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Low Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social High Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Moderate Substantial Substantial 12/23/2020 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Improve safe and sustainable access to markets and services in targeted rural and urban areas IN00942774 ►Total travel time to access markets and services in targeted urban and rural Project areas (% reduction) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 17.30 17.30 33.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942775 Total travel time to access markets and services in targeted rural Project areas during rainy season (% reduction) (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 24.20 24.20 44.00 IN00942776 ►Share of rural population with access to an all-season road (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 35.63 37.90 37.90 39.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 During the MTR, since rural population is difficult to define, it was agreed that this indicator will be revised as "Percentage of population that has access to a paved road" to count in the total population, regardless of rural or non-rural. Accordingly, the sub-indicator will also be revised as "Number of population that has access to a paved road". For this reason, the baseline and the target was revised accordingly. Comments: The current value of the indicator "Number of population that has access to a paved road" is lower than the previous value, because the methodology to measure was refined/updated during the MTR. The previous number had been overestimated. IN00942777 Number of rural people with access to an all-season road (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 951,778.00 1,026,977.00 1,026,977.00 1,100,188.00 IN00942778 ►Road traffic fatalities on selected non-rural road sections (% reduction) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 The monitor frequency of this indicator is annually from 3rd year of the proposed Project, currently not yet Comments: due. 12/23/2020 Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) IN00942779 ►Adoption of measures as recommended by the FOMAV Sustainability Study and as agreed with the WB (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 01-Jun-2017 11-Nov-2019 11-Nov-2019 30-Jun-2022 The monitor frequency of this indicator is annually from 3rd year of the proposed Project, currently not yet due. It was understood from the MTR mission that the government of Nicaragua is no longer pursuing the adoption of measures as recommended by the FOMAV Sustainability Study and that this indicator as drafted will not be met. However, it had also been agreed during the MTR mission that while this indicator may accurately reflect the aspirations of the both the Bank team and the client for adoption of long-term Comments: measures at the time of project appraisal, as worded it does not adequately reflect the "sustainable" aspect of the access to markets and services in targeted rural and urban areas referred to in the PDO. Consequently, the team is proposing two new indicators to be tracked through the end of the project that are believed to better demonstrate this attainment. IN00942780 ►Creation of a maintenance program for the roads intervened under the project, through maintenance contracts for service levels, for a period of at least 4 years. (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 18-Apr-2018 29-Nov-2019 29-Nov-2019 30-Jun-2021 New indicator proposed to be tracked and targeted in order to better demonstrate sustainability of access to markets and services in targeted rural and urban areas, in this case, referring to provision of Comments: maintenance services for intervened roads for a reasonable period beyond the life of the project. IN00942781 ►Level of Service maintained on roads intervened by the project through closing (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 14-Apr-2017 29-Nov-2019 29-Nov-2019 30-Jun-2021 Measurement of the "sustainability" portion of the PDO. Ensuring that the required levels of service are sustained throughout the project’s life-cycle, by the use of current practices led by FOMAV, such as Comments: microenterprises and cooperatives, for which a minimum of 85% average service index is required. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Road Infrastructure Improvement IN00942782 ►Roads constructed, Rural (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 46.20 46.20 87.27 12/23/2020 Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942786 ►Roads rehabilitated, Non-rural (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 57.87 57.87 49.81 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942789 ►Rural roads paved with adoquines under performance-based routine maintenance (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 200.81 200.81 200.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942791 ►Short-term employment through participation in rural road construction works, disaggregated by gender (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,653.00 1,653.00 850.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 The percentage of women's participation in rural road construction works decreased a bit due to increased Comments: hire of total employment and lower participation of women. IN00942793 Share of women employed in short-term MCA rural road construction works (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 29.95 29.95 30.00 IN00942794 ►Medium and long-term employment through participation in cooperatives for performance-based maintenance, disaggregated by gender (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 114.00 114.00 50.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 For the indicator of "Share of women employed in long-term cooperatives for performance-based maintenance", we have discussed this with the client, the reason was that due to increased total employment of the maintenance and low interest of women participate in the longer-term jobs, the current value of the indicator was poorly presented. Per Bank’s request, FOMAV (the maintenance agency) Comments: conducted a survey to assess the gender composition in these communities and why women have low interest in participating. Based on the conclusions of the survey, it was agreed that the target value of the sub-indicator will be decreased. IN00942795 Share of women employed in long-term cooperatives for performance-based maintenance. (Percentage, Custom Supplement) 12/23/2020 Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 14.00 14.00 30.00 IN00942796 ►Direct Project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 466,661.00 466,661.00 484,028.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942797 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 51.00 51.00 51.00 IN00942798 ►Number of vulnerable spots on the road network with implemented countermeasures for climate resilience (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 The sub-component is currently ongoing. Comments: IN00942799 ►Carbon emissions avoided annually (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,149.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 This indicator is proposed to be deleted as discussed during the mission in Apr.2020. This decision was made based on the lack of reliable and robust data available, as well as the difficulty to measure the Comments: attribution from the project. IN00942800 ►Percentage of population in Project areas who can access the nearest city of 30,000 population within 60 minutes (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 92.00 92.60 92.60 94.00 Date 30-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 With Macuelizo - Santa Maria Phase I finished, the indicator is updated. Comments: IN00942801 ►Percentage of population in Project areas who can access to nearest major hospital within 30 minutes (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/23/2020 Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) Value 66.00 66.00 66.00 69.00 Date 30-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2020 All the road sections with access to urban area (where the major hospitals are) are under construction, Comments: therefore the accessibility to the nearest hospital has not been changed yet. Component 2: Road Safety IN00942783 ►Accident black spots removed on most vulnerable sections of the road network (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942787 ►Net change in road related fatalities along intervened rural roads (Component 1.2) per year (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 31-Jan-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 As the project will upgrade rural roads with improved pavement, increased speed will be an inevitable result. Thus, the project included implementation of road safety measurement to avoid more accidents Comments: happening due to the upgrade of the roads. The target was set in a conservative way to not increase the number of accidents compare to the situation without the project. Component 3: Institutional Strengthening and Implementation Support IN00942784 ►Number of road safety professionals members of CONASEV trained (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 This indicator will be changed since the establishment of CONASEV did not materialized. Comments: IN00942788 ►Number of MTI and FOMAV staff receiving training under the capacity building initiatives (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942790 12/23/2020 Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) Number of MTI and FOMAV staff trained, which are female (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 IN00942792 ►Share of project beneficiaries surveyed and satisfied (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 79.01 79.01 75.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 The beneficiary report completed in late 2019 completed the survey the provided the numbers of this Comments: indicator. Component 4: Immediate Response Mechanism IN00942785 ►Time taken to disburse funds requested by the Government for an eligible emergency (Weeks, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Date 01-Jun-2017 22-May-2020 22-May-2020 30-Jun-2022 Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P160359 IDA-59630 Effective USD 46.80 46.80 0.00 31.21 15.59 67% P160359 IDA-59640 Effective USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 49.80 0.20 100% P160359 IDA-62010 Effective USD 35.00 35.00 0.00 15.16 19.84 43% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P160359 IDA-59630 Effective 06-Mar-2017 10-Mar-2017 17-May-2017 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 12/23/2020 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project (P160359) P160359 IDA-59640 Effective 06-Mar-2017 10-Mar-2017 17-May-2017 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 P160359 IDA-62010 Effective 15-Mar-2018 02-Apr-2018 29-Jun-2018 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) P165467-Rural and Urban Access Improvement Project Additional Financing 12/23/2020 Page 9 of 9