The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Uzbekistan | Agriculture and Food Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2017 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 14-Jun-2021 | ISR47027 | Implementing Agencies: Republic of Uzbekistan, Agency for the Implementation of Projects in the Field of Agro Industry and Food Security (UzAIFSA Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 23-Jun-2017 Effectiveness Date: 11-Jan-2018 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 29-Sep-2021 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2022 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2022 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve livestock productivity and access to market in selected regions. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Public Investment Framework and Public Services:(Cost $9.00 M) Livestock Value Chain Modernization:(Cost $221.10 M) Project Coordination, Management and Monitoring and Evaluation:(Cost $6.40 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project is on track to achieving its objectives. End of project (EOP) targets have already been achieved for PDO level indicators, including productivity and value of agricultural products sold. The target for benefitary satisfaction is on track to be achieved. Implementation of activities planned under the various components and sub-components, including those financed by the EU Grant, whose implementation started relatively late, is progressing well and as planned. Disbursement continued to be satisfactory with overall disbursement standing at 90%, including 100% of IBRD, 94% of IDA and 88% of EU Grant, including commitments. The likelihood that the project will disburse fully before closing date of the project (June 30, 2022) is very high. Thus, progress towards achieving PDO and implementation progress (IP) are rated Satisfactory. 6/14/2021 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Substantial Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Low Low Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Low Low Low Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Low Low Low Other -- Low Low Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Improve livestock productivity and access to market in selected regions IN01001964 ►Productivity of selected dairy systems by direct beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2,623.00 5,178.00 5,178.00 3,000.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 IN01001965 ►Productivity of selected cattle production systems by direct beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2,110.00 3,534.00 3,534.00 4,500.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 The end target of this indicator is far from being achieved. It remains achievable, including through implementation of sub-loans that are yet to be financed from the subsidiary loan agreements but have Comments: already been signed with PFIs, sub-loans that will be financed from repaid loans and VCD sub-projects whose implementation is making good progress. The PIU is advised to monitor the progress, including making extra effort in data collection. 6/14/2021 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) IN01001966 ►Increase in total value of livestock products sold by beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 277.20 277.20 15.00 Date 25-Apr-2019 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 The end target for this indicator is significantly overachieved. Baseline values were set very conservatively during project design given the policy and development status at that time and considering both commercial farmers (agribusinesses) and smallholders (Dehkans) as primary beneficiaries. During Comments: implementation, however, commercial farms and agribusinesses, who were already commercial and market oriented, were the prominent users of the credit line investments and thereby contributed to the overachievement of the end target IN01001967 Dairy products/milk (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 142.30 142.30 15.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 IN01001968 Meat (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 412.00 412.00 15.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 IN01001969 ►Project beneficiaries satisfied with the process of engagement in project activities (policy, feedback, outreach, and GRM) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 76.00 76.00 90.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 Overall Comments PDO As per the M&E arrangements, the results framework (RF) is formally updated once a year based on beneficiaries’ survey that will be conducted. The next beneficiaries' survey is scheduled for June 2021 following which the RF will be updated.. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Livestock Value Chain Modernization IN01001971 6/14/2021 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) ►Sub-financings provided under credit line (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 508.00 512.00 400.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 01-Aug-2022 IN01001973 Including to women-beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 46.00 46.00 20.00 IN01001975 Sub-financings that include climate change mitigation measures (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 45.50 45.50 50.00 IN01001977 Sub-financings that include climate change adaptation measures (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 49.00 49.00 50.00 IN01001979 ►Change in aggregate portfolio lending to livestock sector by participating financial institutions (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 84.00 84.00 15.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 The nine PFIs who participated in the credit line component of the Project did not have experience in lending, particularly to livestock farmers prior to the project. They had been financing credits largely for cotton and wheat production hence a conservative end of project target was chosen during project Comments: preparation. The funds provided to them through the Project boosted their capital significantly thereby increasing their capacity to lend to livestock farmers. Currently, four out of five PFIs have fully disbursed the SLAs and thereby changing the aggregate portfolio of lending to livestock significantly. IN01001980 ►Productive partnerships created with Project's support (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 39.00 123.00 40.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 Comments: This activity is financed by the EU Grant and implementation of activities is progressing well and as planned. This is the first time in the history of the country where productive partnerships are being piloted hence a very conservative baseline target of 40 VCD sub-projects was identified during project preparation. However, the first call of proposals attracted 39 VCD sub-projects, which are currently under implementation benefiting 314 Dehkans (38% of which are women). The second call of proposals attracted 84 VCD sub-projects benefiting 826 Dehkans (70% women). Procurement of goods is under way 6/14/2021 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) for the 84 VCD sub-projects. The total number of members (Dehkans) benefiting from VCD sub-projects is 1,140 (out of which 50% are women). IN01001982 Including women-members of the groups (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 30.00 16.00 20.00 IN01001983 ►Clients who have adopted an improved agr. technology promoted by the project (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 1,140.00 5,000.00 Date 17-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 This indicator is measured by activities financed through the EU Grant the implementation of which is progressing well and as per the plan. The first 39 VCD sub-projects are under implementation whereas the second VCD sub-projects (84) are under procurement process. In the first and second call of Comments: proposals, it was possible to attract VCD sub-project from 134 farmer groups (productive partnerships) benefiting 1,140 Dehkans. IN01001985 Clients who have adopted climate change mitigation technologies (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 IN01001986 Clients who have adopted climate change adaptation technologies (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 IN01001984 ►Clients who adopted an improved agr. technology promoted by project – female (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 67.00 0.00 2,000.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 IN01001987 ►Farmers reached with agricultural assets or services (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 575.00 115.00 160.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 The previous number (575) was entered wrongly. Comments: IN01001988 6/14/2021 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) Farmers reached with agricultural assets or services - Female (Number, Corporate Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 575.00 115.00 160.00 Public Investment Framework and Public Services IN01001970 ►Livestock Sector Strategy including Investment Plan submitted for the Government's review (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 The Strategy was approved by the Cabinet of Ministers in December 2020. A resolution drafted to announce the official adoption of the Strategy is under currently under review by the PA. The resolution is Comments: expected to be issued in the first decade of June 2021. IN01001972 ►SCVLD Staff, farmers and agro-processors trained on policy and regulations in the country and region (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 14.00 14.00 200.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 A study tour planned to be undertaken as part of this has been suspended because of the COVID-19 Comments: pandemic. IN01001974 ►Methodology for AI&T developed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1.00 2.40 1.00 1.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 The “Methodology for AI&T The Methodology for AI&T has been field tested, refined, and finalized. A draft law is currently under review for consideration by the PA. The law is expected to be issued by end of September 2021. Two guidelines i.e. Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline and Guidelines Comments: for Import and Export of Animal and Animal Genetic Material have also been prepared. The guidelines are under review and by the SCVLD management and are expected to be approved by end of September 2021. IN01001976 ►Fodder crop production in target locations (Tones/year, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 131,469.00 131,469.00 14,000.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 6/14/2021 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) The end of project target for this indicator is conservatively set during design. This is because land under forage production was significantly lower during project design as most land was under cotton and Comments: wheat. IN01001978 ►Collaborative research/extension sub-projects under implementation/completed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 7.00 7.00 10.00 Date 01-Aug-2017 05-Nov-2020 31-May-2021 30-Jun-2022 This activity is financed by the EU Grant, which became effective only in April 2019. Activities the Comments: implementation of which helps monitor the achievement of this indicator are being implemented. IN01001981 Livestock research/extension projects that include climate change mitigation and adaptation technologies (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Overall Comments IR As per M&E arrangements, the results framework (RF) is formally updated once a year based on the beneficiaries’ survey that is due in June 2021. The mission was informed that the survey results and RF update will be available by the time of the next mission in fall 2021. The RF will be updated following the beneficiaries’ survey to be held in June 2021. The MTR looked into the end targets and suggested for the counterparts to request a restructuring. This has not been forthcoming and at this stage it is proposed to not pursue a restructuring given that the low end target applies to only a sub-set of indicators. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P153613 IBRD-87700 Effective USD 30.00 30.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 100% P153613 IDA-61100 Effective USD 120.00 120.00 0.00 112.67 7.33 94% P153613 TF-A9766 Effective USD 16.44 16.44 0.00 7.39 8.81 46% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P153613 IBRD-87700 Effective 23-Jun-2017 20-Sep-2017 11-Jan-2018 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 6/14/2021 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Livestock Sector Development Project (P153613) P153613 IDA-61100 Effective 23-Jun-2017 20-Sep-2017 11-Jan-2018 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 P153613 TF-A9766 Effective 13-Apr-2019 13-Apr-2019 13-Apr-2019 30-Jun-2022 30-Jun-2022 Cumulative Disbursements PBC Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % PBC ID PBC Type Description Coc PBC Amount Status Coc for PBC Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/14/2021 Page 8 of 8