The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) AFRICA | Kenya | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | Requesting Unit: AFCE2 | Responsible Unit: GPV01 IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results | FY 2016 | Team Leader(s): Utz Johann Pape, Johan A. Mistiaen Seq No: 5 | ARCHIVED on 01-Sep-2018 | ISR33742 | Created by: Utz Johann Pape on 10-Aug-2018 | Modified by: Utz Johann Pape on 28-Aug-2018 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) To support the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Kenyan Statistics Program-for-Results supports the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. The Program, funded with SDR 35.6 million (approximately US$ 50 million) by the World Bank, was approved September 10, 2015 and became effective February 10, 2016. Since the last implementation status review in December 2017, the Program disbursed approximately US$ 4.5 million against the Disbursement-Linked-Results 1.2 (Census of Establishments was conducted and the report is produced), 4.2 (Data Quality Assessment Framework has been compiled and published for two macro-economic datasets) and 6.2 (Micro and Small Enterprise survey micro-data has been made available on-line). The Program's progress is satisfactory with a current disbursement rate of 45 percent. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P149718 IDA-57170 Effective USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 22.59 27.66 45% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P149718 IDA-57170 Effective 10-Sep-2015 02-Oct-2015 10-Feb-2016 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2020 Program Action Plan 9/1/2018 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Before Appraisal, the KNBS will apoint a Program Coordinator in the Office of the Director General to help facilitate, Action Description manage and monitor the implementation of the Program Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 30-Apr-2015 Completed Comments A focal point will be appointed in the National Treasury to help ensure adequate Program budget provisions, to serve Action Description as a liaison person for stakeholders, and to help address cross-cutting issues related to Program implementation Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 31-Mar-2016 Completed Comments To strengthen M&E practices, the KNBS will design and utilize a standardized templates that will be used across Action Description Directorates for Program monitoring purposes on the results framework, the DLIs and the PAPs Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly Completed Comments To provide coordination oversight for the Program the GoK shall establish, within 3 months after the effectiveness Action Description date, a Program Steering Committee (PSC) comprising PS Planning, PS National Treasury and DG KNBS that will meet semi-annually Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 10-May-2016 Completed Comments Provide adequate storage space with restricted access to procurement records to ensure records are maintained in a Action Description safe and secure environment Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 01-Jun-2016 In Progress The KNBS will move to a new building in late 2018 in which adequate storage space is already designated for Comments restricted access to procurement records. 9/1/2018 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) All E-waste will be disposed via an approved recycling facility. Awareness and sensitization training for all managerial Action Description and director level KNBS staff on E-waste management practices will be conducted. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 01-Jun-2016 In Progress Comments All eWaste was disposed and the sensitization training was held. Pending is only the certificate for the eWaste. Within 6 months following the procurement audit by PPOA (to take place during the operation’s lifespan), KNBS will Action Description prepare an action plan documenting compliance with PPOA review findings Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 30-Jun-2020 Not Yet Due Comments Action Description Procurement planning integrated and aligned to the budgeting process Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly In Progress Comments Prepare Contracts Management Plan/Manual (CMP) outlining clear responsibilities, procedures and guidelines for Action Description contracts management; and integrate contract management and monitoring with FMIS Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 01-Jun-2016 In Progress Comments Planning and Budgeting: Align the KNBS annual budgeting process to the MTEF to ensure adequate funds for the Action Description program Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly In Progress Comments Action Description Treasury Management and Funds Flow: Improve adequacy and timeliness of exchequer releases Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status 9/1/2018 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Client Yes SemiAnnual In Progress Comments The KNBS will establish a technical working group which will meet quarterly with development partner to facilitate Action Description effective coordination of TA activities Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Quarterly In Progress Comments For the purposes of the Program, the KNBS will enhance its OAG engagement letter to include an Information Action Description Systems audit Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 29-Apr-2016 In Progress Comments Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Moderate Moderate Environment and Social -- Low Low Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results 9/1/2018 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Inform policy-makers IN00630177 ►Inform development strategies, policies and poverty reduction programs of the Government of Kenya (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target KIHBS 2015/16 data Outdated poverty statistics used to update proxy- and household survey means cash transfer data (2005/06) being used All three intermediate Value -- targeting formulas used to infrom poverty reduction targets achieved by the National Safety targeting and resource Net Program-for- allocations Results Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Generate better data IN00630178 ►Produce regular poverty monitoring data and statistics (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is slightly (2 months) off-track. The Kenya Integrated Household Budget Survey KIHBS 2015/16 Updated benchmark Poverty statistics are was conducted and (2015/16) poverty outdated (2005/06) and reports on poverty and measures produced and there is insufficient labor statistics have been All five intermediate Value disseminated; the capacity to monitor produced but these are targets achieved Continuous Household poverty at least once currently still undergoing Survey is under every 3 years peer review before being preparation. made publically available on-line in Q1 of FY18 (instead of by June 2017 as planned). Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments IN00630179 ►Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is slightly (2 months) off-track. The Business register first intermediate target upgraded and updated. Insufficient capacity to (Foreign Investment New CPI weights were meet SDDS criteria in all Survey (FIS) conducted All five intermediate Value derived, but 12-months real and external sector and report produced and targets achieved data collection of prices data categories available on-line) was is expected to finish in been achieved, but the summer 2019. updating of the business register is 2 months 9/1/2018 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) behind schedule (due to a delay in the collection and processing of the establishment census). This will be achieved and back on track in Q1 of FY18. Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Generate more accessible data IN00630180 ►Improve access to official survey microdata (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Kenya Integrated Progress is on track and Microdata files not Household Budget both the June 2016 and All five intermediate Value available on-line and not Survey (KIHBS June 2017 targets were targets achieved freely obtainable 2015/16) microdata achieved. available on-line. Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Strengthen the capacity of the KNBS IN00630201 ►Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 -- 57.80 69.00 Date 19-Aug-2015 -- 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Data gaps filled and capacity strengthened through the implementation of integrated survey programs IN00630197 ►Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The first intermediate target was achieved (Micro and small Establishment Census National Accounts source enterprises (MSE) survey conducted, report All four intermediate Value data incomplete and partly conducted, report produced and available targets achieved outdated produced and available on-line. on-line) and the second intermediate target will be achieved (with a 2 9/1/2018 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) month delay) in Q1 of FY18. Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 28-Jun-2019 Comments IN00630198 ►Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (SCI) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 56.00 57.80 69.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Quality of key official statistical products and processes improved IN00630199 ►Compile the IMF data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Compilation of the first DQAF completed and DQAF not compiled for compilation of the second DQAF compiled and DQAF compiled and Value any of the seven macro- DQAF was peer published for 3 macro- published for 5 macro- economic datasets reviewed and is currently economic datasets. economic datasets being finalized for publication. Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments IN00630200 ►Proportion of Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) requirements met or partially met (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 72.00 72.00 72.00 100.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 06-Jun-2016 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Dissemination practices strengthened and access to data improved IN00630206 ►Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Publish an ARC Develop and publish Progress is on track and covering 6 data an ARC covering 10 the intermediate target categories of the data categories of the Value ARC not used set for June 2017 was Special Data Special Data achieved. Dissemination Standard Dissemination (SDDS). Standard (SDDS) 9/1/2018 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Management systems strengthened IN00630207 ►Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and record management systems (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The first target was partially achieved: The CRA was conducted and the recently released EACC report on the Design and status of implementation operationalize a FMIS for compliance indicates with multi-dimensional that about 25 percent of chart of accounts and the actions have been capability to generate CRA conducted and fully achieved, 40 percent key reports. Both of the 2 endorsed action plan are partially achieved, Value Establishing an ISO intermediate targets prepared by KNBS and and 35 percent are not 15489 certified Record achieved fully implemented yet achieved. Management (RM) system depends on The second target was KNBS moving into new fully achieved: an FMIS building, scheduled for with multi-dimensional late 2018. chart of accounts and capability to generate key reports was designed and operationalized. Date 31-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2017 Comments Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI DLI 1: Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Intermediate Outcome, 14.00, 50%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLR 1.1 was achieved, National Accounts source DLRs 1.1 and 1.2 Value verified and disbursed -- data incomplete and partl achieved. again Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI DLI 2: Implement an integrated program of household surveys to fill key poverty, labor and socio-economic data gaps (Outcome, 16.00, 53%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 9/1/2018 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) DLRs 2.0 and 2.1 were DLRs 2.0 and 2.1 Labor force, poverty and Value achieved, verified and achieved. DLR 2.2 under -- other key socio-economic disbu verification. Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI DLI 3: Produce better real and external sector economic data (Outcome, 7.00, 36%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLR 3.0 and DLR 3.1 DLRs 3.0 and 3.1 Insufficient capacity to meet Value were achieved, verified achieved. DLR 3.2 under -- SDDS criteria in all and di verification. Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI DLI 4: Compile the IMF Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Intermediate Outcome, 3.00, 33%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DQAF compiled and DLR 4.1 was achieved, DQAF not compiled for any DLRs 4.1 and 4.2 published for 5 Value verified and disbursed of the seven macro-econo achieved macro-economic again datasets Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI DLI 5: Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Intermediate Outcome, 4.50, 44%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 Publish an ARC covering 10 data ARC not used and DLR 5.0, DLR 5.1 and DLRs 5.0, 5.1 and 5.2 categories of the Value Economic Surveys not DLR 5.2 were achieved, achieved Special Data digitized an verifi Dissemination Standard (SDDS) Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI DLI 6: Improve access to official survey microdata (Outcome, 3.50, 57%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLR 6.0 and DLR 6.1 DLRs 6.1 and 6.2 KCHS 2018 Microdata files not available Value were achieved, verified achieved. DLR 6.3 under microdata available on-line and not free and di verification. on-line 9/1/2018 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Date 30-Jun-2014 28-Jun-2017 10-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI DLI 7: Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and records management systems (Intermediate Outcome, 2.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLR 7.0 was verified to DLR 7.1 under Value No CRA conducted. -- be partially (25 percent) verification. Date 30-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 28-Jun-2017 -- Comments 9/1/2018 Page 10 of 10