Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Mexico | Energy and Mining Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2011 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 18-Feb-2015 | ISR15582 | Implementing Agencies: Key Dates Key Project Dates Board Approval date:23-Nov-2010 Effectiveness Date:09-Nov-2011 Planned Mid Term Review Date:25-Mar-2013 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:09-Apr-2013 Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2014 Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2014 Project Development Objectives Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objectives are to promote Mexico’s efficient use of energy and to mitigate climate change by increasing theuse of energy-efficient technologies at the residential level. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No MX GEF Efficient lighting and appliances (P120654) Global Environmental Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project’s Global Environmental Objectives are to support efforts to mitigate climate change by expanding the use of energy-efficient equipment and services. The Project will promote the development of a sustainable market for energy efficiency equipment amongthe large and fast growing energy end-use sectors for lighting, refrigeration and air conditioning. Has the Global Environmental Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Name Component1: Replacement of Incandescent Bulbs (IBs) with Compact Fluorescent Lamps (CFLs) in the Low- to Medium-Income Residential S ector:(Cost $41.60 M) Component 2: Incentives to Encourage the Replacement of Old and Inefficient Appliances in the Residential Sector:(Cost $208.40 M) 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 1 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) Component 3: Technical Assistance and Institutional Strengthening:(Cost $2.11 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  --  Low Implementation Status and Key Decisions IBRD and CTF financed activities have been completed. Implementation of technical assistance activities financed by GEF is progressing, with most activities expected to be completed by the closing date (June 2015). 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 2 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  --  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  --  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  --  Low Technical Design of Project or Program  --  --  Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  --  Moderate Fiduciary  --  --  Low 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 3 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) Environment and Social  --  --  Low Stakeholders  --  --  Low Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  --  Low Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Accumulated amount of GWh saved (Gigawatt-hour (GWh), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 5735.51 9242.31 10000.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 Overall Comments Lower than expected electricity savings are due to lower savings from the replacement of equipment (fridges and ACs) which was unexpected behavior and outside of the control of the project. Current calculations are based on the methodology from April 2014, which has been agreed upon by the Bank and the GoM and takes into account more realistic savings to be expected from fridges and ACs, based on the savings observed according to data from CFE. Global Environmental Objective Indicators PHINDGEOTBL  Accumulated associated Carbon Dioxide Emission Reductions (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3320829.11 5153685.10 5140000.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 Overall Comments Calculations are based upon the agreed methodology from April 2014. Cumulative emissions are higher than expected, despite lower electricity savings, due to the fact that emissions reductions from refrigerants were not included in the original estimates. Excluding such emissions reductions would bring total emission reductions to 4,665,102 t/Co2 Intermediate Results Indicators 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 4 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) PHINDIRITBL  Number of IBs replaced with CFLs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 45800000.00 45800000.00 45000000.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 30-Sep-2012 30-Sep-2012 30-Jun-2014 Comments Because the number of IBs replaced under the program was higher than expected, energy savings for this indicator were higher than expected PHINDIRITBL  GWh saved (Gigawatt-hour (GWh), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3616.12 6993.83 6400.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 Comments Because number of IBs replaced under the program was higher than expected, energy savings were higher than expected. PHINDIRITBL  Carbon Dioxide Emission Reductions (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1783434.01 3531901.02 3289000.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 Comments Because electricity savings resulting form higher number of IBs replaced were larger than expected, emissions reductions were higher than expected. 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) PHINDIRITBL  Number of appliances replaced (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1884129.00 1884129.00 1700000.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 31-Jan-2013 30-Jan-2014 30-Jun-2014 Comments Number of equipment replaced was higher than expected. PHINDIRITBL  GWh saved from appliance replacement (Gigawatt-hour (GWh), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2119.39 2248.48 3600.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 Comments Electricity savings from replacement of equipment has been lower than expected. In the PAD, the savings per refrigerator were optimistically estimated at 885 kWh / year, whereas savings per AC were estimated as 480 kWh / year. However, according to the agreed methodology (validated by FIDE) savings are estimated to be 292 kWh / year per refrigerator and 920 kWh / year per AC. Given that 90 % of the appliances replaced are refrigerators, the accumulated savings for appliances replaced was lower than expected. PHINDIRITBL  Carbon Dioxide Emission Reductions from appliance replacement (Gigawatt-hour (GWh), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1537395.10 1621886.10 1851000.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 Comments Because electricity savings from replacement of equipment has been lower than expected, emissions reductions were lower than expected. However, reduction of refrigerant gases resulting from replacement of fridges - which were not quantified in the original estimates - compensated some of the shortfall in emissions reductions. 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) PHINDIRITBL  Number of Studies Completed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 09-May-2014 09-May-2014 -- Comments Implementation of TA activities is progressing. More than eight studies are being implemented; as a result, this indicator target should be met at the end of the project closing date. PHINDIRITBL  Number of Staff trained (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 312.00 312.00 20.00 Date 01-Jan-2010 30-Nov-2011 30-Nov-2011 30-Jun-2014 Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P106424 IBRD-79960 Closed USD 250.63 250.63 0.00 250.63 0.00 100% P120654 TF-98062 Closed USD 250.63 50.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 100% P120654 TF-98465 Effective USD 250.63 7.12 0.00 5.25 1.86 74% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P106424 IBRD-79960 Closed 23-Nov-2010 08-Dec-2010 09-Nov-2011 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 P120654 TF-98062 Closed 23-Nov-2010 08-Dec-2010 15-Nov-2011 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 P120654 TF-98465 Effective 08-Dec-2010 08-Dec-2010 02-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 7 of 8 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Efficient lighting and appliances (P106424) Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level Approved on 24-Aug-2011 ,Level Approved on 26-Jul-2012 ,Level 2 Approved on 16-May-2014 ,Level 2 Approved on 24-Jun-2014 Related Project(s) P117771-Mexico CFL replacement program ,P120654-MX GEF Efficient lighting and appliances 2/18/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 8