The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) AFRICA WEST | Nigeria | Education Global Practice | Requesting Unit: AWCW2 | Responsible Unit: HAWE3 IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2017 | Team Leader(s): Thanh Thi Mai, Aisha Garba Mohammed, Ikechukwu John Azubike Nweje Seq No: 6 | ARCHIVED on 06-Jan-2021 | ISR41847 | Created by: Thanh Thi Mai on 18-May-2020 | Modified by: Thanh Thi Mai on 21-Dec-2020 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) To increase equitable access for out-of-school children and improve literacy in focus states, and strengthen accountability for results, in basic education in Nigeria. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions BESDA activities have accelerated since July 2019 when BESDA funds reached focus states as during the previous two years (after World Bank Board Approval) most resources were spent on the set up of the program’s administrative, human resource and financial systems. DLI Progress as of June 30, 2020 Disbursement-Linked Result Area Progress as of June 30, 2020 Indicators The number of OOS reduced by 924,590 of which 633,772 are girls and 1. Reduction of Out of 290,818 are boys between NEDS2015 and NEDS2020 1 School Children in 17 states 1,404,757 OOS are currently enrolled in 23,011 non-formal basic education centers supported by BESDA 21,247 primary schools 1. Number of schools adopting intensive 1,792,883 students literacy program in 17 states 2 40,275 teachers 1. Improved literacy 11 out of 17 states registered improved literacy rates (above 2%) between rates in 17 focus NEDS2015 and NEDS2020 states 1. Annual School 147,000 primary and junior secondary school data for 2017/18 school year Census collected 3 1. State Basic Education Strategic 37 states prepared 2017-19 plans Plans 1/6/2021 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) At the government's request, BESDA will be restructured to: (i) make interventions for out of school children more specific to the different types of OOS; (ii) support the government in mitigating the impacts of COVID19 pandemic; and (iii) update the result framework and targets based on the latest data on school attendance and literacy from the NEDS2020. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P160430 IDA-60950 Effective USD 578.00 578.00 0.00 97.07 483.37 17% P160430 IDA-60960 Effective USD 33.00 33.00 0.00 11.86 21.98 35% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P160430 IDA-60950 Effective 20-Jun-2017 29-Sep-2017 22-Jan-2018 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2022 P160430 IDA-60960 Effective 20-Jun-2017 29-Sep-2017 22-Jan-2018 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2022 DLI Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % for DLI ID DLI Type Description Coc DLI Amount Status Coc DLI Loan: IDA60950-001 Reduced no. out sch Partially 1 Regular XDR 249,100,000.00 21,740,012.56 8.7 % children Achieved Sch Adopting Pri 1-2 Partially 2 Regular XDR 87,500,000.00 11,594,643.88 13 % intensive Lit. prog Achieved 3 Regular Improve Literacy Rates XDR 43,800,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Total States Imp and pub. 4 Regular XDR 15,300,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Annual Sch Cen Total States Compl. Basic 5 Regular XDR 25,900,000.00 Not Achieved 0.00 Ed Plan Program Action Plan Action Description Computerize UBEC's accounting system Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 30-Jun-2020 In Progress Completion Measurement Software purchased and deployed. Comments UBEC is in the process of procuring the accounting software. 1/6/2021 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) UBEC will assign at least one internal auditor to conduct ex-post systemic and risk-based audits of the Program and Action Description report quarterly to the UBEC Executive Secretary and the Federal Ministry of Education Permanent Secretary Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 30-Jun-2020 Completed Completion Measurement Internal Auditor assigned. Comments UBEC is finalizing the internal auditor's assignment. Action Description Progressively clear backlog of UBEC's unaudited financial statements Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Continuous Completed Completion Measurement UBEC financial statement audits completed Comments Audit up to 2018 completed Action Description Mainstream open contracting across Universal Basic Education Commission (UBEC) interventions Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Continuous In Progress Completion Measurement Open Contract deployed. Bureau of Public Procurement (BPP) has deployed the Open Contract Development Standard with UBEC and BPP Comments has issued a guidance note to all ministries, departments, and agencies (MDAs) including UBEC. Apply service standards for submission of Withdrawal Applications and timely transfer of states' share of financing Action Description proceeds to states through Government processes for results achieved by the states under the disbursement-linked indicators Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Continuous In Progress Completion Measurement Timely transfers of DLIs funds to states. Comments All states received their advance and prior result funds. Action Description Conduct post-procurement review of State Universal Basic Education Boards (SUBEBs) on a rotational basis Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Yearly Completed 1/6/2021 Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) Completion Measurement Post-review conducted. Comments UBEC conducted post-review in December 2019 Action Description Operationalize fraud and corruption/complaints redress mechanism Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 22-Jan-2019 In Progress Completion Measurement Fraud and corruption/complaints redress mechanism established. Comments Prepare and mainstream environmental and social guidelines based on national and state laws and regulations as Action Description well as good international practice on land acquisition, grievance redress mechanisms, and measures for environmental and social management Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Recurrent Continuous Not Yet Due Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Conduct Universal Basic Education program evaluation through independent consultancy Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 31-Dec-2020 Not Yet Due Completion Measurement UBE program evaluated. Comments Fraud and corruption/complaints redress mechanism included in the Operational Manual and disseminated to states. Action Description Conduct annual monitoring of progress on environmental and social issues Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social Client Recurrent Yearly Completed Systems Completion Measurement Safeguards monitoring conducted. Comments To be conducted once the environmental and social safeguards consultants are hired by UBEC. Establish a communication plan for stakeholder engagement and comply with requirements on proactive information Action Description disclosure from the Freedom of Information Act 1/6/2021 Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Recurrent Yearly In Progress Completion Measurement Communication plan established and implemented. Comments Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance High High Substantial Macroeconomic High High Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary High High High Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial RiskComments Comments The Political and Governance and Macroeconomic risks are rated as Substantial after mitigation measures made at the country level. The social risk is Substantial as BESDA is covering a very large number of children who were not in school and now enrolled in non-formal centers. Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Increase equitable access for out-of-school children in focus states IN00845235 ►Reduced number of out-of-school children in focus states, by gender (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 924,590.00 3,800,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 1/6/2021 Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) Comments Improve literacy in focus states IN00845301 ►Improved literacy rates in focus states, by state (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 11.00 17.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2021 31-Oct-2022 Comments Strengthen accountability for results in basic education in Nigeria IN00845302 ►Publicly disclosed Universal Basic Education program strategic plan reflecting annual progress reports and program evaluation findings (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2021 31-Oct-2022 UBEC 2018 annual report completed, reviewed and publicly disclosed. Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Increase equitable access for out-of-school children in focus states IN00845303 ►Average pupil/latrine ratio, by state and urban/rural (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 440.00 141.00 141.00 0.00 Date 30-Jun-2016 24-Dec-2019 24-Dec-2019 31-Oct-2022 Comments IN00845305 ►Average pupil/class ratio, by state and urban/rural (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 32.80 44.00 44.00 32.10 Date 30-Jun-2016 24-Dec-2019 24-Dec-2019 31-Oct-2022 Comments Improve literacy in focus states IN00845304 1/6/2021 Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) ►Schools adopting primary 1-3 intensive literacy programs in focus states (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 18,990.00 21,247.00 20,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 11-Dec-2019 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 Comments IN00845306 ►Students benefiting from direct interventions to enhance learning (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,618,478.00 1,792,883.00 3,600,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 11-Dec-2019 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 Comments IN00845307 ►Teachers recruited or trained (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 40,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 12-Dec-2018 31-Oct-2022 Comments IN00845312 Number of teachers trained (Number, Corporate Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 28,255.00 40,275.00 40,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 11-Dec-2019 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 Strengthen accountability for results in basic education in Nigeria IN00845308 ►System of national learning assessment developed and implemented (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 31-Dec-2015 11-Dec-2019 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 Comments IN00845309 ►Total states implementing and publishing the Annual School Census (ASC), verified by school-based management committees (SBMCs) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 1/6/2021 Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) Value 0.00 0.00 37.00 37.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 11-Dec-2019 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 Several states conducted analogue data collection of the annual school census but the data has not been submitted to FME for consolidation. Borno state has initiated digital data collection and this good practice Comments has been shared with the remaining states, IN00845310 ►Total states completing state basic education plan and progress report on Universal Basic Education program implementation, approved by Universal Basic Education Commission (UBEC) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 37.00 37.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 All states have prepared the state education sector plans. UBEC will need to review and approve these Comments plans. IN00845311 ►Publicly disclosed Universal Basic Education program annual progress report (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 31-Dec-2015 11-Dec-2019 31-Aug-2020 31-Oct-2022 Comments IN00845313 ►Universal Basic Education program evaluation and report completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 12-Dec-2018 31-Oct-2022 Comments Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 Reduced number of out-of-school children in focus states, by gender (Outcome, 341,500,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4 Value 0.00 0.00 924,590.00 3,800,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2020 -- The number of OOS reduced by 924,590 of which 633,772 are girls and 290,818 are boys between Comments NEDS2015 and NEDS2020 ►DLI 2 Schools adopting primary 1-3 intensive literacy programs in focus states (Output, 120,000,000.00, 0%) 1/6/2021 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Better Education Service Delivery for All (P160430) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4 Value 0.00 0.00 21,247.00 20,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2020 -- Comments ►DLI 3 Improved literacy rates in focus states, by state (Outcome, 60,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4 Value 0.00 0.00 11.00 4.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2020 -- 11 out of 17 states registered improved literacy rates (above 2%) between NEDS2015 and NEDS2020 Comments ►DLI 4 Total states implementing and publishing the Annual School Census (ASC), verified by school-based management committees (SBMCs) (Intermediate Outcome, 21,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4 Value 0.00 0.00 147,000.00 37.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2020 -- 147,000 primary and junior secondary school data collected in 2018 Comments ►DLI 5 Total states completing state basic education plan and progress report on Universal Basic Education program implementation, approved by Universal Basic Education Commission (UBEC) (Intermediate Outcome, 35,500,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 4 Value 0.00 0.00 37.00 37.00 Date 31-Dec-2015 12-Dec-2018 31-Aug-2020 -- 37 states prepared 2017-19 plans Comments 1/6/2021 Page 9 of 9