Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: PAD5010 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROJECT PAPER ON A PROPOSED ADDITIONAL GRANT AND RESTRUCTURING IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 7.5 MILLION FROM CRISIS RESPONSE WINDOW (US$10 MILLION EQUIVALENT) AND A TRUST FUND GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF US$4.53 MILLION FROM THE PAPUA NEW GUINEA AND PACIFIC ISLANDS UMBRELLA FACILITY TO THE KINGDOM OF TONGA FOR THE TONGA SAFE AND RESILIENT SCHOOLS PROJECT June 2, 2022 Urban, Resilience And Land Global Practice East Asia And Pacific Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS Exchange Rate Effective April 30, 2022 Currency Unit = Pa’anga (TOP) TOP 2.3 = US$ 1 US$ 1.3443 = SDR 1 FISCAL YEAR January 1 - December 31 Regional Vice President: Manuela V. Ferro Country Director: Stephen N. Ndegwa Regional Director: Benoit Bosquet Practice Manager: Ming Zhang Simone Lillian Esler, Andrew James Hurley, Task Team Leaders: Janssen Nunes Teixeira ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS CERC Contingent Emergency Response Component CESMP Construction Environmental and Social Management Plan CRW Crisis Response Window CSU Central Services Unit DA Designated Account ESCOP Environmental and Social Code of Practice ESCP Environmental and Social Commitment Plan ESF Environment and Social Framework ESIA Environment and Social Impact Assessment ESMP Environmental and Social Management Plan FM Financial Management GDP Gross Domestic Product GoT Government of Tonga GRID Green, Resilient, and Inclusive Development IRR Internal Rate of Return MET Ministry of Education and Training MOF Ministry of Finance PDO Project Development Objective PMU Project Management Unit PPIUF Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands Umbrella Facility PREP Pacific Resilience Program WASH Water and Sanitation Hygiene TABLE OF CONTENTS I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING ........................................ 7 II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING ...................................................................... 9 III. KEY RISKS ..................................................................................................................... 12 IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY .................................................................................................. 12 V. WORLD BANK GRIEVANCE REDRESS .............................................................................. 17 VI SUMMARY TABLE OF CHANGES ..................................................................................... 18 VII DETAILED CHANGE(S) .................................................................................................... 18 VIII. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING ................................................................... 26 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) BASIC INFORMATION – PARENT (Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project - P174434) Country Product Line Team Leader(s) Tonga IBRD/IDA Simone Lillian Esler Project ID Financing Instrument Resp CC Req CC Practice Area (Lead) P174434 Investment Project SEAU1 (9349) EACNF (6680) Urban, Resilience and Land Financing Implementing Agency: Ministry of Education and Training ADD_FIN_TBL1 Is this a regionally tagged project? No Bank/IFC Collaboration No Expected Approval Date Closing Date Guarantee Environmental and Social Risk Classification Expiration Date 10-Dec-2021 30-Sep-2027 Moderate Financing & Implementation Modalities Parent [ ] Multiphase Programmatic Approach [MPA] [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Performance-Based Conditions (PBCs) [✓] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a Non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) [ ] Hands-on Expanded Implementation Support (HEIS) Development Objective(s) Page 1 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) i) to enhance the safety and resilience of selected education facilities; and (ii) to improve the quality of data-driven education management, curricula and assessments in the selected educational programs. Ratings (from Parent ISR) RATING_DRAFT_NO Latest ISR 14-Mar-2022 Progress towards achievement of PDO S Overall Implementation Progress (IP) S Overall ESS Performance S Overall Risk M Financial Management S Project Management S Procurement S Monitoring and Evaluation S BASIC INFORMATION – ADDITIONAL FINANCING (Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project - P178849) ADDFIN_TABLE Urgent Need or Capacity Project ID Project Name Additional Financing Type Constraints P178849 Additional Financing to the Scale Up No Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project Financing instrument Product line Approval Date Investment Project IBRD/IDA 24-Jun-2022 Financing Projected Date of Full Bank/IFC Collaboration Disbursement 30-Sep-2027 No Is this a regionally tagged project? No Page 2 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Financing & Implementation Modalities Child [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Performance-Based Conditions (PBCs) [✓] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a Non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [✓] Responding to Natural or Man-made disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) [ ] Hands-on Expanded Implementation Support (HEIS) [ ] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) Disbursement Summary (from Parent ISR) Net Source of Funds Total Disbursed Remaining Balance Disbursed Commitments IBRD % IDA 15.00 1.33 13.21 9.1 % Grants % PROJECT FINANCING DATA – ADDITIONAL FINANCING (Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project - P178849) PROJECT FINANCING DATA (US$, Millions) SUMMARY -NewFi n1 SUMMARY (Total Financing) Proposed Additional Total Proposed Current Financing Financing Financing Total Project Cost 15.00 14.53 29.53 Total Financing 15.00 14.53 29.53 of which IBRD/IDA 15.00 10.00 25.00 Financing Gap 0.00 0.00 0.00 DETAILS - Additional Financing NewFinEnh1 Page 3 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) World Bank Group Financing International Development Association (IDA) 10.00 IDA Grant 10.00 Non-World Bank Group Financing Trust Funds 4.53 Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands Umbrella Facility MDTF 4.53 IDA Resources (in US$, Millions) Credit Amount Grant Amount Guarantee Amount Total Amount Tonga 0.00 10.00 0.00 10.00 Crisis Response Window 0.00 10.00 0.00 10.00 (CRW) Total 0.00 10.00 0.00 10.00 COMPLIANCE Policy Does the project depart from the CPF in content or in other significant respects? [ ] Yes [ ✔ ] No Does the project require any other Policy waiver(s)? [ ] Yes [ ✔ ] No Page 4 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) ESStandards Environmental and Social Standards Relevance Given its Context at the Time of Appraisal E & S Standards Relevance Assessment and Management of Environmental and Social Risks and Impacts Relevant Stakeholder Engagement and Information Disclosure Relevant Labor and Working Conditions Relevant Resource Efficiency and Pollution Prevention and Management Relevant Community Health and Safety Relevant Land Acquisition, Restrictions on Land Use and Involuntary Resettlement Relevant Biodiversity Conservation and Sustainable Management of Living Natural Relevant Resources Indigenous Peoples/Sub-Saharan African Historically Underserved Traditional Not Currently Relevant Local Communities Cultural Heritage Not Currently Relevant Financial Intermediaries Not Currently Relevant ESStandardsNote NOTE: For further information regarding the World Bank’s due diligence assessment of the Project’s potential environmental and social risks and impacts, please refer to the Project’s Appraisal Environmental and Social Review Summary (ESRS). INSTITUTIONAL DATA Practice Area (Lead) Urban, Resilience and Land Contributing Practice Areas Education Climate Change and Disaster Screening This operation has been screened for short and long-term climate change and disaster risks Page 5 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) PROJECT TEAM Bank Staff Name Role Specialization Unit Team Leader (ADM Simone Lillian Esler Disaster Risk Management SEAU1 Responsible) Andrew James Hurley Team Leader Disaster Risk Management SEAU1 Janssen Edelweiss Nunes Team Leader Education HEAED Fernandes Teixeira Cristiano Costa e Silva Procurement Specialist (ADM Procurement EEAR2 Nunes Responsible) Financial Management Ha Thuy Tran Financial Management EEAG2 Specialist (ADM Responsible) Environmental Specialist (ADM Bonnie Frances Cavanough Environmental Safeguards SEAE1 Responsible) Georgina Elizabeth Team Member DRM SEAU1 McArthur Michelle Marie Dooley Social Specialist Social Safeguards SEAS1 Miguel Payawal Ferido Team Member ACS Support EACNF Minghe Zheng Team Member Disbursement WFACS Nicholas Gerard Williams Procurement Team EACNF Zoe Kolovou Team Member Legal LEGAS Extended Team Name Title Organization Location Page 6 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING 1. This Project Paper seeks the approval of the Executive Directors to provide an Additional Financing (AF) on standard grant terms to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849, TSRSP, the Parent Project) in the amount of SDR 7.5 million (equivalent to US$10 million) from the International Development Association (IDA) Crisis Response Window (CRW), and US$4.53 million from the Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands Umbrella Facility (PPIUF). The proposed Additional Financing (AF) will support the Government of Tonga (GoT) in responding to the impact of the Hunga-Tonga-Hunga-Ha’apai (HT-HH) volcanic eruption and tsunami of January 15, 2022, and scale up investments to build resilience to climate and disaster hazards of school infrastructure in Tonga. 2. The project will also require a Level II restructuring to: (i) revise the targets of the Results Framework indicators for Component 1 to measure the enhanced development impact of the AF; and (ii) revise the Financing Agreement to enable the relocation of schools and facilities impacted by the HT-HH disaster from high hazard exposure levels to safer locations with reduced exposure to hazards, as under the Parent Project, investment eligibility criteria stipulates there are no plans for relocating the facilities outside of the existing site boundaries. However, the GoT has requested that the AF supports financing for two schools that were significantly impacted by the HT-HH disaster, that will be relocated to areas of less risk, and likely incorporated into existing school sites. Therefore, this restructuring will modify the Financing Agreement and project description to allow for such relocations, with the applicable eligibility criteria to be documented in the Project Operations Manual. The eligibility criteria will include, among others, that for any schools which are relocated, their students must have adequate residential proximity to relocated or other suitable facilities, or there must be an adequate provision of transport to ensure affected pupils have reliable access to relocated or other suitable schools at all times. 3. Background. Tonga consists of 169 islands in the South Pacific with a total population of around 104,000. In recent years, Tonga has been hard-hit by several economic and natural shocks, which have eroded its fiscal buffers and capacity to respond to further shocks. Tropical Cyclone Gita struck Tonga on February 12, 2018 as a Category 4 Tropical Cyclone, and caused equivalent to around 38 percent of Tonga’s gross domestic product (GDP). Tropical Cyclone Harold struck on April 9, 2020, resulting in significant damages and losses totaling at least 12 percent of GDP. More recently, the January 15, 2022 HT-HH volcanic eruption and subsequent ashfall and tsunami waves had a devastating impact on the country. The tsunami caused widespread damage to buildings, schools, roads, power and water supply networks, tourism infrastructure, and agricultural crops, livestock, and fisheries resulting in post-disaster recovery and reconstruction needs that significantly exceed the capacity of the GoT to respond. 4. The HT-HH disaster is estimated to have caused physical damages and economic losses of at least US$182 million (36.4 percent of GDP). Post-disaster recovery and reconstruction needs significantly exceed the capacity of the GoT to respond, with the GoT’s preliminary Recovery and Resilience Building Plan estimating that public sector needs are likely to be at least US$165.7 million (33.1 percent of GDP) from FY22-FY25. The GoT has elected to draw on a range of financing streams to respond to the disaster, including the full drawdown of US$8 million in Catastrophe Draw Down Option financing, and has requested US$35 million from the CRW, to be delivered via Additional Financing for two ongoing Page 7 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Investment Project Financing operations (including the TSRSP and the Pacific Resilience Project - PREP) and Supplemental Financing for a Development Policy Operation. Though there is a Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) in the Parent Project, the government elected not to trigger this instrument, due to the availability of other instruments which would not result in modification or reprioritization of the development objective and planned activities of the newly approved Parent Project. The GoT is also utilizing over US$21 million in domestic resources, and has accessed over US$24 million in support from other development partners. To help close the remaining unmet public financing gap, the GoT has requested a US$10 million disbursement from the International Monetary Fund’s Rapid Credit Facility, with further support from other development partners (particularly the Asian Development Bank, Australia, New Zealand, and the European Union) expected to cover around US$44 million of the unmet financing needs in FY23-FY25. 5. Parent Project Status. The Parent Project, TSRSP, financed by an IDA Grant (D927-TO) of SDR10.60 million (US$15 million equivalent) was approved on December 9, 2021, and was declared effective on March 8, 2022. The Project Development Objectives (PDOs) are to: (i) enhance the safety and resilience of selected education facilities; and (ii) improve the quality of data-driven education management, curricula and assessments in the selected educational programs. The TSRSP has four components: (i) Improving Safety and Resilience of Education Facilities; (ii) Establishment of an Education Management Information System (“EMIS”) and improved quality of curricula and assessments; (iii) Contingent Emergency Response; and (iv) Project Management. The Ministry of Education and Training (MET) is responsible for the overall implementation of the project, and is the implementing agency for Components 1, 2 and 4. The Ministry of Finance (MoF) is the implementing agency responsible for Component 3. 6. Early implementation activities have been negatively impacted by the HT-HH eruptions and tsunami, and Tonga’s first COVID 19 outbreak. Despite these challenges, the Project Management Unit (PMU) has completed the recruitments of the Project Manager, Project Engineer, Environmental and Social Officer, Procurement Officer and the Finance Officer. Key progress under Component 1 includes preparation of the Design and Supervision terms of reference, with bidding for this critical consultancy imminent. For Component 2, bidding documents for the procurement of the EMIS and Terms of reference for the curriculum and assessment consultants are well advanced. Dated legal Covenants that were due to be completed within one month of effectiveness are on track to be delivered with a brief delay, due to the impacts of the disaster event and government’s associated diverted resources as they have responded to the immediate recovery needs. Though no results have been seen (nor were expected to be seen) thus far due to the early stage of implementation, it is envisaged that targets will be met as agreed. US$1.33 million (9.1 percent) of the Parent Project funds have been disbursed. All Project ratings are currently Satisfactory. 7. Rationale of Additional Financing. The impact of HT-HH eruption and tsunami, as well as Tropical Cyclone Gita in 2018, have highlighted the vulnerability of school infrastructure in Tonga and the need to improve the resilience of the building stock in Tonga to avoid similar impacts to education facilities in the future. Twelve schools have been damaged or destroyed by the HT-HH disaster (particularly due to the tsunami). All these schools are located on Tongatapu and Ha’apai and their damages range from minor Page 8 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) to total destruction. The GoT has requested support to repair or rebuild up to 12 of these school facilities under the proposed AF. 8. The proposed AF will support the scale up of Component 1 activities of the Parent Project to enhance its development impact through: (i) the climate and disaster resilient recovery of school facilities impacted by the HT-HH eruption and tsunami; and (ii) resilient investments in the broader education infrastructure portfolio to reduce disaster and climate vulnerabilities from future hazards and more frequent adverse weather events. 9. Higher Level Objectives to which the Project Contributes. The proposed AF is aligned with the GoTs Strategic Development Framework (TSDFII) and associated policies and plans for more inclusive and sustainable: (i) infrastructure resilient to climate change and extreme events; and (ii) human development with gender equality. The proposed AF is also aligned with the World Bank Group’s framework for supporting green, resilient, and inclusive development (GRID) in IDA and IBRD countries, and supports the three pillars of GRID: (i) Green Development, through sustainable infrastructure investments in education facilities; (ii) Resilient Development, through support for risk identification, reduction and residual management of risk, along with supporting vulnerable groups (children); and (iii) Inclusive Development, through the boosting of human capital through gender and accessibility sensitive investments in water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH). The proposed AF is consistent with the World Bank Group’s Pacific Islands Regional Partnership Framework (FY17-FY23)1 covering nine Pacific Island countries: Kiribati, the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI), Federated States of Micronesia (FSM), Republic of Nauru, Republic of Palau, Independent State of Samoa, Kingdom of Tonga, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu. It is in line with Focus Area 3 of the Regional Partnership Framework: Protecting incomes and livelihoods, through its contribution to the achievement of Objective 3.1: Strengthened resilience to natural disasters and climate change. The project also aims to ensure strong liaison with other development partners, thus avoiding duplication of ongoing efforts and collaborating where possible. II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING 10. The AF will scale up Component 1: Improving Safety and Resilience of Education Facilities activities. This will require a corresponding scale up of Component 4: Project Management of the Parent Project. The PDO will be amended to reflect the objectives of the Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC). No changes are required to the results chain or indicator descriptions. The targets of the Results Framework indicators for Component 1 will be revised upwards to measure the increased development impact as a result of the AF. 11. Project Development Objective: The PDO will be revised to include the CERC related objective as follows: (i) to enhance the safety and resilience of selected education facilities; (ii) to improve the quality of data-driven education management, curricula and assessments in the selected educational programs; and (iii) in case of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency, respond promptly and effectively to it. 1“World Bank Group. 2017. Regional Partnership Framework: For Kiribati, Republic of Nauru, Republic of The Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Republic of Palau, Independent State of Samoa, Kingdom of Tonga, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu, FY17- FY21. Report Number 100997-EAP. Page 9 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) 12. Component 1. Improving Safety and Resilience of Education Facilities. The AF will support activities under both subcomponents of the Parent Project. 13. Under the AF, Sub-Component 1.1: Resilient Infrastructure Investments will finance: a. The carrying out of a program of civil works to repair, retrofit and or reconstruct Approved Education Facilities2 damaged or destroyed by the January 15, 2022, tsunami; and (ii) for the operations of the Approved Education Facilities including through, inter alia, the purchase and distribution of teaching and learning materials, equipment and furniture. b. The carrying out of a program of civil works to: (i) construct new Approved Education Facilities; (ii) retrofit and strengthen existing Approved Education Facilities; and (iii) undertake minor repair and maintenance works. c. The carrying out, inter alia, of detailed building-level structural condition assessments, geotechnical and other site investigations, feasibility design studies, investment planning, detailed engineering designs (incorporating multi-hazard resilience measures as appropriate to site-specific exposures), construction supervision and quality assurance, and monitoring of the contractors’ environmental and social management plans. 14. Under the AF, Sub-component 1.2: Strengthening Education Infrastructure Planning and Maintenance will finance a scale up of technical assistance and support to implement the Operation and Maintenance program and improved asset management practices in an increased number of schools. 15. Under the AF, Component 4: Project Management will finance the additional Project Management costs associated with the scale up of activities under Component 1. 16. Results Framework. Table 1 set summarizes the indicators which will be amended, to reflect the increased financing allocated to Component 1. Table 1: Revisions to Project Indicators Indicator Indicator Original Revised Rationale for Change Type Target Target Targeted education facilities constructed or PDO 30 60 Additional financing allows strengthened to improved performance for more schools to be levels to one or more natural hazards reached. (including climate related impacts) (Number) Direct beneficiaries with increased safety PDO 3,000 6,000 Additional financing allows from new and strengthened education for more beneficiaries to be facilities (Number, disaggregated by gender) reached. 2“Approved Education Facilities” means Education Facilities selected, prioritized, and approved for the purposes of Sub- component 1.1 of the Project either in accordance with the Project Operations Manual or as agreed with IDA, if such approval is requested prior to the adoption of the Project Operations Manual. As with the Parent Project, these facilities may include both government or non-government schools. Page 10 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Detailed engineering designs incorporating Intermediate 30 60 Additional financing allows relevant hazard resilience measures are for more schools to be developed (Number) reached, necessitating more designs to be developed. 17. Implementation Arrangements. Since the approval of the parent project, the GoT has advised that the Project Steering Committee (PSC) will now be chaired by MET, rather than MOF. The arrangements for the PSC will be set out in the Project Operations Manual. 18. Financing. Section VII: Detailed Changes indicates the current and revised component costs as a result of the proposed AF which are further broken down below in Table 2. The AF will result in the increase in the costs of Component 1 and Component 4 from US$9 million to US$22.56 million and US$1.5 million to US$2.5 million respectively. Table 2: Project Costs and Financing by Component TSRSP Original TSRSP Additional Finance (US$M) TSRSP Total Component No. Financing (US$M) CRW PPIUF AF Total (US$M) 1 9 9.0 4.53 13.53 22.53 1.1 8.8 8.7 4.53 13.23 22.03 1.2 0.2 0.3 - 0.3 0.5 2 4.5 - - - 4.5 3 0 - - - 0 4 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 Totals 15 10 4.53 14.53 29.53 19. Closing Date. The closing date will remain unchanged, on September 30, 2027 20. Climate Change. The Additional Financing will further reduce the vulnerability of school infrastructure from the impact of increased climate change-induced frequent adverse weather events (including changes in precipitation, increased flooding, more intense storm events and tropical cyclones). It will contribute to climate resilience and adaptation through the construction and retrofitting of more resilient education facilities. It will also provide support to GoT for climate and disaster resilient investment planning, improved maintenance, and management of education infrastructure to help better withstand future climate change exacerbated weather events. The scale up will also contribute to climate mitigation through the use, where feasible, of contextually appropriate renewable energy sources, passive cooling options, and energy efficiency for the construction and retrofitting of selected education facilities. 21. Gender. In line with the Parent Project design, the Additional Financing will respond to the specific gender needs of beneficiaries under Component 1 by targeting gaps in gender, inclusive of WASH facilities. 22. Climate Co-Benefits. The Parent Project has been screened for short-and-long term climate and disaster risks, and was assessed for its contribution to climate change adaptation and mitigation. The scale up of Page 11 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Component 1 investments under the AF will further reduce disaster and climate vulnerabilities from more frequent adverse weather events and contribute to climate resilience through adaptation and mitigation. Additional climate co-benefits will therefore be generated under the AF. 23. Citizen Engagement. The activities, mechanisms for citizen engagement and beneficiary feedback indicators related to Citizen engagement under the Parent Project remain unchanged and will continue to apply under the AF. III. KEY RISKS 24. As shown in Section VII: Detailed Changes, the overall risk to achieving the PDO will remain Moderate and the ratings of each risk category in the Parent Project’s Systematic Operations Risk Rating Tool table will remain unchanged. Institutional capacity for implementation and sustainability, fiduciary, and “Other” risks (including COVID-19) continue to be rated Substantial due to ongoing international border closures in Tonga and across the Pacific Region. The added risk factors since approval of the parent project are the recent COVID-19 outbreak in Tonga, interruptions to global and regional supply chains and the evolving risk of further price escalation due to the war in Ukraine. Mitigation measures proposed include strengthening of the Project Management Unit, support from the Central Services Unit established under the Ministry of Finance, and utilization of local contractors for works contracts, where feasible. The remaining risk ratings are unchanged from the parent project. The details of the risks and the corresponding risk management measures described in the PAD of the Parent Project continue to apply. IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY A. Economic and Financial Analysis 25. The development impact of the AF can broadly be classified according to the first dividend of the World Bank’s Triple Dividend of Resilience Framework, namely avoided losses and saving lives. Additionally, it will support the improved operation, maintenance and investment planning for education facilities, thereby strengthening the sustainability of project investments. 26. The proposed AF will extend the total number of educational facilities meeting standards of safety and resilience to climatic disasters. As strengthened educational facilities last longer, and the number of beneficiaries rise, the monetized value of benefits is expected to significantly rise and outpace projected maintenance costs in the future.3 In addition, potential building damage is likely to be reduced in the future and the beneficiaries of these school facilities are also likely to bear lower threats to their health and life. Furthermore, more schools are expected to be safer and more resilient, implying lower disruption to schooling for a larger number of students. 27. The updated cost-benefit analysis for Component 1-related interventions forecasts a positive Net Present Value (NPV) of US$7.46 million, with an associated Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Benefit-to-Cost Ratio of 11.6 percent, and 1.5, respectively. A sensitivity analysis scenario with a 10-percent increase in the 3Estimates made on a 25 and 50-year time horizon with a 6 percent discount rate, suggest that expected benefits exceed costs of interventions (in present value). Page 12 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Project’s costs and a 10-percent decrease in the Project’s forecasted benefits (i.e., pessimistic scenario) stemming from climatic risks (earthquake, flood, etc.) which could be higher than those estimated under the base scenario, and other unforeseen or unquantified negative externalities associated with the proposed AF Project. As shown in Table 3, the proposed AF Project is economically sound and justifiable under both the base and pessimistic case scenarios. Table 3. Economic and Financial Analysis of Component 1 Investments (AF and Original budgets) Budget with AF Original Budget Total (Over 25 Years) Base Case Scenario Pessimistic Base Case Scenario Pessimistic Scenario Scenario IRR (percent) 11.6 8.7 10.5 6.4 Discounted cost US$ 14.82 million US$ 16.30 million US$ 5.45 million US$ 5.99 million (present value of costs) Present value of US$ 22.28 million US$ 20.05 million US$ 7.59 million US$ 6.19 million incremental benefits Net Present Value US$ 7.46 million US$ 3.75 million US$ 2.14 million US$ 0.2 million Benefit/cost ratio 1.5 1.23 1.39 1.03 Source: World Bank estimations based on HIES 2015, Disbursement estimates and vulnerability estimates B. Technical 28. As per the Parent Project, the nine standard classroom and six cubicle WASH designs developed under PREP will generally be used for new construction supported under the AF to minimize risks associated with design, supervision, and construction of new buildings. These designs have been updated to: (i) consider the local climate; (ii) provide improved ventilation and natural lighting; (iii) provide flexible and improved learning environments; and (iv) enhanced seismic and cyclone resilient standards to reduce disaster and climate vulnerabilities from more frequent adverse weather events and contribute to climate resilience and adaptation. Sub-component 1.2 of the Parent Project will contribute to creating the enabling environment for safer and more resilient schools in Tonga by empowering MET and the school community to undertake maintenance work through enhanced systems, tools (guidelines/physical tools) and capacity building. The AF will enable more schools and community members to be reached by the maintenance pilot which will further strengthen the sustainability of the project investments. C. Financial Management 29. A financial management (FM) assessment of the Parent Project had identified the principal FM risk to be the risk of errors and misuse of funds due to the extensive use of spreadsheets to record and report project transactions, as well as the limited FM experience of MET. To mitigate the FM risks, the PMU has engaged a finance officer and will update the FM instructions in the Project Operations Manual to provide step-by-step instructions for project FM functions. The MOF Central Services Unit (CSU) will provide close support and training to the Finance Officer, particularly during the early stages of the project. An accounting software package (approved by MoF) is expected to be used for all project reporting and reconciliations, and to reduce the use of spreadsheets. MET, PMU, CSU, and MoF will meet regularly to Page 13 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) identify opportunities to integrate the project FM arrangements in the existing GoT systems and processes, such for budgeting, contract management, asset management, and reporting. The current Designated Account (DA) already opened in Fiji dollars in HFC Bank under the original financing of the project will be converted from a ‘segregated’ DA into a ‘pooled’ one for receipts of IDA funds from both the original financing and AF only. Such change in classification of DA type has no impact on the project and is only for IDA’s disbursement purposes. However, a revised Authorized Signatory Letter covering both original financing and AF will be required. 30. Project Disbursement and Fund Flow arrangement. There is no change in the Project Fund Flow and Disbursement arrangement for the proposed AF. Following MOF requirement, the AF funds will flow to a Project DA in local currency opened in National Reserve Bank of Tonga (NRBT) and then to Project Operating Accounts opened in local currency at commercial bank acceptable to the association. The Current DA which was already opened in TOP in NBRT for original grant will be converted from a ‘segregated’ DA into a ‘pooled’ one for receipts of IDA funds from both the original financing and AF, and the PPIUF4 trust fund from the AF only. Such change in the classification of DA type has no impact on the project and is only for IDA’s disbursement purposes. The ceiling of the pooled DA will be determined and documented in the Disbursement Letter. The Project funds will be disbursed against eligible expenditures as set out in the legal agreements. The following four disbursement methods are all available for the proposed AF Project: (i) advance; (ii) reimbursement; (iii) direct payment; and (iv) special commitment. Supporting documents required for Bank disbursement under different disbursement methods will be documented in the Disbursement Letter issued by the World Bank, based on Statements of Expenditures, Lists of Payments, and records evidencing eligible expenditures. The disbursement deadline for the proposed AF will be four (04) months after the Project AF closing date. IDA funds for this additional financing will finance 100 percent of goods, works, non-consulting services and consulting services, Training and Workshops and Operating Costs for Components 1 and 4 of the Project, inclusive of tax. PPIUF Grant for this additional financing will finance 100 percent of goods, works, non-consulting services, and consulting services, Training and Workshops and Operating Costs for Component 1 of the Project, inclusive of tax. The Project is jointly financed by IDA Grant and the PPIUF grant, given the earlier closing date of the PPIUF grant, to the extent practical, priority needs to be given to disburse the proceeds from the PPIUF grant, funds from IDA Grant D9270-TO shall be exhausted first before funds from this IDA grant E065-TO utilized. D. Procurement 31. As per the Parent Project, Procurement under the proposed AF will follow the procedures specified in the World Bank Procurement Regulations for IPF Borrowers (November 2020). MET’s PMU will oversee all procurement implementation related to the AF. MET has prepared a Project Procurement Strategy for Development (PPSD) and the Procurement Plan (PP). The project’s largest investments will be in the construction and retrofitting of school buildings. Tonga’s construction industry has structural limitations, while foreign contractors are unlikely to be interested due to the high mobilization costs. To mitigate the associated risks, the PMU will take a proactive approach to promote business opportunities and ensure 4 The Project will be co-financed by a recipient executed grant from the Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands Umbrella Facility (PPIUF) in the amount of US$4.53 million (PPIUF Grant No. TF0B8671). The full amount of co-financing has been signed. The first tranche of US$3.2 million has been received and reflected in the PPIUF Grant Agreement. The remaining tranche is scheduled to be received in August 2022 and will be reflected in the PPIUF Grant Agreement through issuing of an amendment. Page 14 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) that the civil works’ program is commensurable with the local contractors’ capacity. The PMU’s capacity will be augmented by: (i) the employment of an Engineering Firm to design (including to prepare procurement documents) and supervise civil works activities; and (ii) MOF’s CSU providing hands -on implementation support. The procurement plan contains 20 different procurement activities estimated at US$11.3 million and procurement of civil works represent the largest procurement category, with two different activities amounting to US$6.6 million. The scope of civil works activities is yet to be defined as the detailed assessment to be undertaken by an Engineering Firm will delineate the number of buildings per school site. E. Legal Operational Policies . Triggered? Projects on International Waterways OP 7.50 No Projects in Disputed Areas OP 7.60 No . F. Environmental and Social 32. The environmental and social risks for both the Parent Project and the Additional Financing are assessed to be moderate. Environmental and social risk management will be the responsibility of the PMU, supported by the CSU E&S Team. Risks and impacts are not likely to be significant, large or complex and are expected to be predictable and temporary. Risks are expected to be site specific with low probability of serious adverse effects to human health or the environment and easily mitigated in a predictable manner. 33. The project investments will include capacity building and TA activities as well as physical works. Small- scale civil works will be undertaken including renovation and construction of classrooms, WASH facilities, teachers’ housing, and other facilities (such as halls, dormitories, laboratories, libraries, administration) and the construction of ramps and pathways to improve the accessibility of school. An Environmental and Social Management Plan (ESMP) was prepared to assess environmental and social risks for these works. The ESMP was disclosed on the World Bank’s website on March 31, 2022. The CSU Safeguards Team will work with the PMU Project Manager and PMU Environmental and Social officer to ensure that project activities are screened and scoped according to the requirements of the ESMP and Environmental and Social Commitment Plan (ESCP), which was updated for the AF and re-disclosed in country and on the World Bank’s website on May 4, 2022. 34. Key risks include: i. Occupational health and safety risks; ii. Soil and water risk due to improper management of erosion and sediment controls; iii. Risk associated with the management of hazardous materials; iv. Resource efficiency risks associated with sourcing of materials; v. Risk to air quality via construction dust; vi. Noise impacts; and vii. Construction waste management Page 15 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) 35. The negative environmental impacts directly associated with construction activities will be minor and can be readily mitigated via the implementation of mitigation measures outlined in the ESMP. Once specific sites for works have been selected a site assessment checklist will be completed to assess site specific impacts for the works. This site assessment checklist will also determine the need for contractors to prepare a site-specific construction environmental and social management plan (CESMP) or environmental and social code of practice (ESCOP) based on the works to be completed at each site and the environmental and social risks identified. The CESMP or ESCOP will be prepared by the contractor and will consolidate mitigation measures for the sites based on the specific works and construction methodology. Operational risks associated with the school facilities include management of operational waste and potential fire safety risk. 36. Downstream environmental impacts of Technical Assistance activities have also been considered and the environmental risk for these activities is considered to be low. The school community-based operation and maintenance capacity building program will require management of occupational and community health and safety risk, waste management and hazardous materials management. These risks are expected to be readily mitigated through the implementation of an ESCOP for the program which will be developed in accordance with Environmental Health and Safety guidelines and good international industry practice (GIIP). 37. The overall social impact of the project is expected be positive with improved access to education, improved education systems and teaching standards, more resilient public sector buildings with potential emergency/ evacuation centers and gender informed WASH facilities included in the outcomes. 38. The key social risks and impacts associated with the project are expected to include: i. Community health and safety due to interactions with construction workers and construction equipment; ii. Exposure of workers and building occupants (including school aged children) to potentially hazardous materials (such as disturbed asbestos) and dangerous activities (such as machinery) before and during demolition and or construction/rehabilitation activities; iii. Child safety and impact to the school community due to the proximity of workers to school children and school staff; iv. Impacts of construction impacts such as noise, dust or vibration impacts to the school community and students due to the proximity of the buildings to construction works are to take place; v. Minor impacts to community or livelihoods due to restricted or temporarily reduced access to sites and regular travel routes; vi. Risks to vulnerable groups (poor, disabled, elderly, isolated or ethnic groups) and gender-based violence as a result of construction activities and the movement of people; vii. Gender Based Violence (GBV), Sexual Exploitation and Abuse and Sexual Harassment risks during construction; viii. The risk of COVID-19 to workers and the school community if community transmission becomes apparent; ix. Potential impacts to land, or access to land, during construction and operation of works as a result of set down areas; and Page 16 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) x. Failure to provide adequate information and involvement in decision-making about the impacts of the activities on students and families. 39. These impacts are considered temporary and minor and will be subject to standard accepted mitigation measures to be implemented by the contractor. No major disruption to education services is expected, with a staged construction program considering exam periods and students having only minor in-situ relocation if at all. 40. The project’s management of social risks will be guided by the ESMP, which provides a high level environmental and social impact assessment for the types of activities to be completed by the project, provides mitigation measures relevant to these risks and includes a site specific environmental and social site assessment template which must be completed during the design for each site. This approach was also used on the PREP Tonga project and will allow for continuity in the risk management process between projects and provide the opportunity to build on existing mechanisms and implement lessons learned. 41. Labor Management Procedures for PMU and contracted workers have been prepared to ensure proper working conditions and management of worker relationships, Occupational Health and Safety management, and to prevent sexual exploitation and abuse and sexual harassment. A Project COVID Safety Protocol would also be developed during project preparation to address COVID-19 Safety risk. 42. In addition, a project’s Stakeholder Engagement Plan has been prepared to ensure widespread engagement with communities and its more vulnerable groups including the elderly, people with underlying medical conditions, people with disabilities, and indigenous peoples, among others) - to disseminate information related to the project. The SEP was disclosed on the World Bank’s website on May 4, 2022. V. WORLD BANK GRIEVANCE REDRESS 43. Communities and individuals who believe that they are adversely affected by a World Bank supported project may submit complaints to existing project-level grievance redress mechanisms or the World Bank’s Grievance Redress Service. The Grievance Redress Service ensures that complaints received are promptly reviewed in order to address project-related concerns. Project affected communities and individuals may submit their complaint to the World Bank’s independent Inspection Panel which determines whether harm occurred, or could occur, as a result of World Bank non-compliance with its policies and procedures. Complaints may be submitted at any time after concerns have been brought directly to the World Bank's attention, and Bank Management has been given an opportunity to respond. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank’s corporate Grievance Redress Service, please visit http://www.worldbank.org/en/projects-operations/products-and-services/grievance-redress-service. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank Inspection Panel, please visit www.inspectionpanel.org Page 17 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) VI SUMMARY TABLE OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Project's Development Objectives ✔ Results Framework ✔ Components and Cost ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Implementation Schedule ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ VII DETAILED CHANGE(S) PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE Current PDO i) to enhance the safety and resilience of selected education facilities; and (ii) to improve the quality of data-driven education management, curricula and assessments in the selected educational programs. Proposed New PDO To: (i) enhance the safety and resilience of selected education facilities; (ii) improve the quality of data-driven education management, curricula and assessments in the selected educational programs; and (iii) in case of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency, respond promptly and effectively to it. Page 18 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) COMPONENTS Current Component Name Current Cost Action Proposed Component Proposed Cost (US$, (US$, millions) Name millions) Component 1: Improving 9,000,000.00 Revised Component 1: 22,530,000.00 Safety and Resilience of Improving Safety and Education Facilities Resilience of Education Facilities Component 2: 4,500,000.00 No Change Component 2: 4,500,000.00 Establishment of EMIS and Establishment of EMIS improved quality of and improved quality of curricula and assessments curricula and assessments Component 3: Contingent 0.00 No Change Component 3: 0.00 Emergency Response Contingent Emergency Component Response Component Component 4: Project 1,500,000.00 Revised Component 4: Project 2,500,000.00 Management Management TOTAL 15,000,000.00 29,530,000.00 DISBURSEMENT ARRANGEMENTS Change in Disbursement Arrangements Yes Expected Disbursements (in US$) DISBURSTBL Fiscal Year Annual Cumulative 2022 128,840.00 128,840.00 2023 632,290.00 761,130.00 2024 4,845,140.00 5,606,270.00 2025 9,440,790.00 15,047,060.00 2026 9,514,760.00 24,561,820.00 2027 4,603,240.00 29,165,060.00 2028 364,940.00 29,530,000.00 Page 19 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL (SORT) Risk Category Latest ISR Rating Current Rating Political and Governance ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Macroeconomic ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Environment and Social ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Stakeholders ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Other ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Overall ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate LEGAL COVENANTS1 LEGAL COVENANTS – Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P174434) Loan/Credit/TF LEGAL TBL1 Description Status Action IDA-D9270 Without limitation to the foregoing, the Not yet due No Change Recipient shall no later than one (1) month after the Effective Date, and thereafter throughout the Project implementation period, maintain and make available staff from MET, each with skills, qualifications, and experience satisfactory to the Association, for the purposes of implementing Part 2 of the Project in accordance with the provisions of this Agreement and the Project Operations Manual. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall, no later than one (1) Not yet due Revised month after the Effective Date, establish and thereafter maintain, throughout the entire period of implementation of the Project, the Project Steering Committee with terms of reference, composition and resources satisfactory to the Association, which shall be responsible for providing strategic oversight and Page 20 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) coordination for Project implementation in accordance with the provisions of this Agreement and the Project Operations Manual. To this end, the Project Steering Committee shall be chaired by the Minister for Finance, and shall be comprised of, inter alia, at least one (1) representative of each of the Ministry of Education and Training, the Ministry of Infrastructure, the Ministry of Meteorology, Energy, Information, Disaster Management, Environment, Communications and Climate Change, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, and the Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources. Proposed The Recipient shall, no later than one (1) Complied with month after the Effective Date, establish and thereafter maintain, the Project Steering Committee, with at least one (1) representative of each of the Ministry of Education and Training and the Ministry of Finance, and the remaining composition to be satisfactory to the Association. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall, no later than one (1) Not yet due Revised month after the Effective Date, establish and thereafter maintain, throughout the entire period of implementation of the Project, the Technical Working Group with terms of reference, composition and resources satisfactory to the Association, which shall be responsible for providing technical and strategic advice and guidance to the Project Management Unit established under Section 1.A.6 of Schedule 1 to this Agreement for Project implementation in accordance with the provisions of this Agreement and the Project Operations Manual. To this end, the Technical Working Group shall be chaired by one (1) representative of the Ministry of Education and Training, and shall be comprised of, inter alia, at least one (1) representative with technical expertise Page 21 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) relevant to the implementation of the Project from each of the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Infrastructure, the Ministry of Meteorology, Energy, Information, Disaster Management, Environment, Communications and Climate Change, the Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources, and the Ministry of Internal Affairs. Proposed The Recipient shall, no later than one (1) Complied with month after the Effective Date, establish and thereafter maintain, throughout the entire period of implementation of the Project, the Technical Working Group with terms of reference, composition and resources satisfactory to the Association, which shall be responsible for providing technical and strategic advice and guidance to the Project Management Unit IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall, no later than one (1) Complied with No Change month after the Effective Date, establish and thereafter maintain, throughout the entire period of implementation of the Project, a Project Management Unit (“PMU”) within the Ministry of Education and Training, with terms of reference, composition and resources satisfactory to the Association, which shall be responsible for carrying out day- to-day management and implementation of the Project. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall, no later than one (1) Not yet due Revised month after the Effective Date, recruit, and thereafter maintain, within the PMU, throughout the entire period of implementation of the Project, at least the following specialists: (i) a Project manager; (ii) a finance officer; (ii) a procurement officer; (iii) an environmental and social officer; and (iv) an engineer, each with terms of reference, qualifications and experience satisfactory to the Association. To this end, the PMU staff shall be responsible Page 22 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) for, inter alia, carrying out fiduciary aspects of Project management and implementation, financial management, procurement, contract management, environmental and social risk management, monitoring and evaluation, and citizen engagement and communications activities, in accordance with the provisions of this Agreement and the Project Operations Manual. Proposed The Recipient shall, no later than one (1) Complied with month after the Effective Date, recruit, and thereafter maintain, within the PMU, throughout the entire period of implementation of the Project, a Project manager with terms of reference, qualifications and experience satisfactory to the Association. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall prepare and adopt, Not yet due No Change by no later than one (1) month after the Effective Date, a manual, in form and substance acceptable to the Association, setting forth the arrangements and procedures for implementation of the Project. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall prepare and furnish Not yet due No Change to the Association, at least one (1) month before the date of the Mid-Term Review, a report, in scope and detail satisfactory to the Association and integrating the results of the monitoring and evaluation activities performed pursuant to Section II.2 of this Schedule 2 and the General Conditions, on the progress achieved in the carrying out of the Project during the period preceding the date of such report and setting out the measures recommended to ensure the efficient carrying out of the Project and the achievement of the objectives thereof. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall prepare and furnish Complied with Revised to the Association, by not later than February 1 of each year during the Page 23 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) implementation of the Project (or such later interval or date as the Association may agree), for the Association’s review and no-objection, an Annual Work Plan and Budget, which shall, inter alia: (a) list all eligible Project activities and Eligible Expenditures proposed to be included in the Project in the Recipient’s following fiscal year; (b) provide a budget for their financing (with a financial plan specifying all sources of financing including the Financing and any other resources provided by the Recipient); and (c) describe the environmental and social safeguards measures taken or planned to be taken in accordance with the provisions of Section I.D of this Schedule 2. Proposed The Recipient shall prepare and furnish Complied with to the Association, by not later than February 1 of each year during the implementation of the Project (or such later interval or date as the Association may agree), for the Association’s review and no-objection, an Annual Work Plan and Budget. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall furnish to the Not yet due No Change Association each Project Report not later than one (1) month after the end of each calendar semester, covering the calendar semester. Except as may otherwise be explicitly required or permitted under this Agreement or as may be explicitly requested by the Association, in sharing any information, report or document related to the activities described in Schedule 1 of this Agreement, the Recipient shall ensure that such information, report or document does not include Personal Data. IDA-D9270 The Recipient shall carry out, jointly with Not yet due No Change the Association, not later than three (3) years after the Effective Date, or such other period as may be agreed with the Page 24 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Association, a mid-term review of the Project (“Mid-Term Review”) to assess the status of Project implementation, as measured against the Project indicators acceptable to the Association, and compliance with the legal covenants included or referred to in this Agreement. LEGAL COVENANTS2 LEGAL COVENANTS – Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Sections and Description OPS_LEGAL_CONVENANT_CHILD_NODATA No information available Conditions Type Financing source Description Effectiveness Trust Funds The Grant Agreement has been executed and delivered and all conditions precedent to its effectiveness (other than the effectiveness of this Agreement) have been fulfilled. Type Financing source Description Effectiveness IBRD/IDA The Amendment Letter has been executed and delivered and all conditions precedent to its effectiveness (other than the effectiveness of this Agreement) have been fulfilled. Page 25 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) VIII. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING Results Framework COUNTRY: Tonga RESULT_NO_PDO Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project Project Development Objective(s) To: (i) enhance the safety and resilience of selected education facilities; (ii) improve the quality of data-driven education management, curricula and assessments in the selected educational programs; and (iii) in case of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency, respond promptly and effectively to it. Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ PD O Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 Targeted education facilities constructed to improved performance levels (Action: This Objective has been Revised) Targeted education facilities constructed or strengthened to improved performance levels to one 0.00 0.00 4.00 18.00 35.00 60.00 60.00 or more natural hazards (including climate related impacts) (Number) Action: This indicator has been Revised Direct beneficiaries with increased safety from new and strengthened education facilities (Action: This Objective has been Revised) Direct beneficiaries with increased safety from new 0.00 0.00 400.00 1,800.00 3,500.00 6,000.00 6,000.00 and strengthened education facilities Page 26 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ PD O Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 (disaggregated by gender) (Number) Action: This indicator has been Revised Enhance data-driven sector management and decision making Primary and Secondary schools using the new EMIS with up-to-date data in the system according to 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 established guidelines. (Percentage) Quality of curricula and assessments for selected subjects and class levels is improved. Teachers delivering revised curricula and assessments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 (Percentage) PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 Component 1 - Improving Safety and Resilience of Education Facilities (Action: This Component has been Revised) Detailed engineering designs incorporating relevant hazard resilience 0.00 0.00 6.00 20.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 measures are developed (Number) Page 27 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 Action: This indicator has been Revised Pilot school maintenance plans developed and implemented for selected No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes schools (Yes/No) Strategic School Infrastructure Management No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes and Development Plan developed (Yes/No) Action: This indicator has been Revised School Infrastructure Maintenance Manuals are delivered and adopted by No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes MET (Yes/No) WASH facilities delivered under the project include gender and disability 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 accommodating design (Percentage) Beneficiaries are satisfied with the quality of new or 0.00 0.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 upgraded education facilities (Percentage) Action: This indicator has been Revised Component 2 - Establishment of EMIS and improved quality of curricula and assessments A comprehensive EMIS is established, and staff are No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes trained. (Yes/No) Page 28 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 Curricula for the selected subjects and class levels are No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes revised. (Yes/No) Syllabus, teachers guides, pupils’ books are developed, printed, and 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 distributed for school years 1-6. (Number) Primary schools recorded sex-disaggregated results from classroom assessment and large-scale assessments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 80.00 90.00 (Standardized Test of Achievement of Tonga) in EMIS. (Percentage) Teachers are trained to implement revised 0.00 0.00 0.00 250.00 500.00 750.00 750.00 curriculum and assessments (Number) Teachers with knowledge of gender-sensitive pedagogy, including identifying and referring Gender Based 0.00 0.00 0.00 175.00 350.00 750.00 525.00 Violence (GBV) and Violence Against Children (VAC) (Number) Students benefiting from direct interventions to 0.00 0.00 0.00 5,500.00 11,000.00 17,000.00 17,000.00 enhance learning (CRI, Number) Students benefiting from direct interventions to 0.00 0.00 0.00 2,600.00 5,200.00 7,800.00 7,800.00 enhance learning - Page 29 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 Female (CRI, Number) Communities, parents and students are informed about the revision of No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes curricula and assessments (Yes/No) Component 3 - Contingent Emergency Response Component Immediate response mechanism established and ready to provide access to financial resources in case No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes of an eligible climate- related crisis or emergency (Yes/No) IO Table SPACE Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: PDO Indicators Mapped Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection This indicator measures the combined number of new Targeted education facilities constructed buildings constructed and or strengthened to improved the number of Six monthly Six monthly Site inspection MET/PMU performance levels to one or more strengthened/retrofitted report natural hazards (including climate related buildings under sub- impacts) component 1.1. Education Facilities is defined as certain building types Page 30 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) including but not limited to classrooms, water sanitation and hygiene facilities, teachers’ housing and other facilities that are essential to school function (such as halls, dormitories, laboratories, libraries, and administration buildings). These facilities may be in place at early child education centers, primary schools, middle schools, secondary schools, and technical and vocational education and training facilities located in Tonga. Delivery or results against this indicator will enhance the safety and resilience of selected education facilities This indicator measures the number of total school children who attend the Site inspection and Direct beneficiaries with increased safety prioritized schools who Six monthly Six monthly review of school MET/PMU from new and strengthened education receive new or reports enrollement records facilities (disaggregated by gender) retrofitted/strengthened education facilities under sub-component 1.1. Education Facilities is Page 31 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) defined as certain building types including but not limited to classrooms, water sanitation and hygiene facilities, teachers’ housing and other facilities that are essential to school function (such as halls, dormitories, laboratories, libraries, and administration buildings). These facilities may be in place at early child education centers, primary schools, middle schools, secondary schools, and technical and vocational education and training facilities located in Tonga. Delivery or results against this indicator will measure the number of beneficiaries with increased safety from new and strengthened education facilities Data collection for this indicator will include a Primary and Secondary schools using the requirement for primary new EMIS with up-to-date data in the Annual MET/PMU MET/PMU and secondary schools system according to established prepare a short report guidelines. on how to use the EMIS data to improve their Page 32 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) performance. MET/PMU will conduct a sample- based check to see if primary and secondary schools have prepared a short report on how to use the EMIS data to improve their performance. Data will be collected for measuring the teaching of the revised curicula as follows: Delivery of the revised curricula will be measured through formal classroom observations, follow up interviews, self-report Teachers delivering revised curricula and Annual Annual report inventory and focus MET/PMU assessments group interviews conducted at waypoints throughout the project. This will be sample based for teachers who teach Years 1-6 core subjects. delivery of the revised assessments will be measured through observation and survey Page 33 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) to monitor the percentage of schools implementing an assessment plan, and carrying out competency based formative and summative assessments. ME PDO Table SPACE Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: Intermediate Results Indicators Mapped Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection This indicator measures the number of detailed engineering designs that Detailed engineering designs Six monthly are developed under Six monthly Review of deliverables MET PMU incorporating relevant hazard resilience reports component 1.1, measures are developed incorporating relevant standards and hazard resilience measures Review of Six monthly Pilot school maintenance plans developed Six monthly deliverables/trainings MET PMU reports and implemented for selected schools delivered etc This indicator measures that a Strategic School Strategic School Infrastructure Six monthly Infrastructure and Six monthly Review of deliverables MET PMU Management and Development Plan report Development Plan has developed been delivered under Component 1 Page 34 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) School Infrastructure Maintenance Six monthly Review of deliverables, Six monthly MET PMU Manuals are delivered and adopted by report survey MET Design firm outputs WASH facilities delivered under the Six monthly Six monthly reviewed and reflected MET/PMU project include gender and disability reports in six monthly report accommodating design This is a Citizen Engagement indicator which measures the satisfaction of Principals or Head Teachers at Project Six Six monthly Beneficiaries are satisfied with the quality Surveys MET/PMU Schools supported under Monthly reports of new or upgraded education facilities Component 1.1 that the delivered facilities meet their expectations. Target is 70% satisfaction of those surveyed Six monthly Deliverable of EMIS and A comprehensive EMIS is established, and Six monthly MET PMU report trainings staff are trained. Six monthly Curricula for the selected subjects and Six monthly Deliverables MET PMU report class levels are revised. Review of deliverables Syllabus, teachers guides, pupils’ books Six monthly Six monthly and proof of distribution PMU MET are developed, printed, and distributed report to schools. for school years 1-6. Primary schools recorded sex- disaggregated results from classroom Six monthly EMIS EMIS MET PMU assessment and large-scale assessments (Standardized Test of Achievement of Page 35 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Tonga) in EMIS. Six monthly Teachers are trained to implement Six monthly surveys/trainings MET PMU report revised curriculum and assessments Teachers with knowledge of gender- Six monthly sensitive pedagogy, including identifying Six monthy surveys/trainings MET PMU report and referring Gender Based Violence (GBV) and Violence Against Children (VAC) This indicator will measure the number of MET records on student students who numbers and those who Students benefiting from direct Six monthly receive have received books will MET PMU interventions to enhance learning revised be included in six- textbooks, monthly reporting based on MET Records MET records on student This indicator will numbers and measure the number of those who Students benefiting from direct female students who Six monthly have received MET PMU interventions to enhance learning - receive revised books will be Female textbooks, based on included in MET Records six-monthly reporting Communities, parents and students are Reporting in MET/PMU to monitor Annually MET PMU informed about the revision of curricula Six monthly and collect information and assessments reports on information sharing Page 36 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) initiatives and activities delivered under the project. Immediate response mechanism Six monthly established and ready to provide access Six monthly Review of deliverable MET PMU reports to financial resources in case of an eligible climate-related crisis or emergency ME IO Table SPACE Page 37 of 38 The World Bank Additional Financing to the Tonga Safe and Resilient Schools Project (P178849) Page 38 of 38