Managing
Coal Mine
Closure
Achieving a Just Transition for All




November 2018
Managing
Coal Mine
Closure
Achieving a Just Transition for All




November 2018



This issues paper summarizes lessons-learned from more than two decades of World Bank assistance on
coal mine closure to governments, enterprises, workers and their communities. This in-house experience
was further enhanced by a review of other global experiences to produce a summary of key considerations
for planning and implementing coal mine closure programs. The World Bank continues to provide
assistance on coal mine closure that is underpinned by practical experience, leading-edge skills and
valuable lessons-learned – necessary for a just transition for all.
Table of Contents




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
Acknowledgments.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 7

Executive Summary .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 9

Introduction .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 13

         Objectives.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 13

         The Importance of a Just Transition for All. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 14

Drivers of Change: Their Relationship to Coal Mine Closure .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 19

Lessons Learned. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 27

         Pillar 1: Policies and strategy development.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 28

         Pillar 2: People and communities.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 34

         Pillar 3: Land and environmental remediation .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 44

Conclusion.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 49

Bibliography .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 51

End Notes.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 57




FIGURES

Figure 1: Drivers of changes. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 19

Figure 2: United Kingdom: coal production and employment 1960–2015. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 22

Figure 3: Russian Federation: coal production and employment 1990–2016. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 23

Figure 4: United States: coal production and employment 1960–2015. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 24

Figure 5: Pillars to managing coal mine closure .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 27

Figure 6: Stylized process of divesture of labor .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 36

Figure 7: Stylized summary of active labor market policies .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 41




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                5
                                                                  Abbreviations
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                  AZM	     Agentia Zonelor Miniere

                                                                  CEO	     Chief Executive Officer

                                                                  CDN	     Canadian dollars

                                                                  CGMC	    Central Group for Mine Closures

                                                                  FIDIC	   International Federation of Consulting Engineers

                                                                  GBP	     British pound sterling

                                                                  GHG	     greenhouse gas                                              Acknowledgments
                                                                  ha	hectares

                                                                  HSE	     health, environmental, and safety                           Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All was developed
                                                                                                                                       collaboratively across the World Bank led by the World Bank’s Energy and Ex-
                                                                  IAC	     Inter-Agency Commission
                                                                                                                                       tractives Global Practice, collaborating with the Social Protection and Jobs Global
                                                                  IAP	     Implementation Assistance Project                           Practice, and the Climate Change Group. The core team included Michael Stan-
                                                                  IAS	     Industrial Adjustment Services                              ley (Lead Mining Specialist, GEEDR), John Strongman (Consultant, GEEDR),
                                                                                                                                       Rachel Perks (Senior Mining Specialist, GEEX2) and Helen Ba Thanh Nguyen
                                                                  IEA	     International Energy Agency
                                                                                                                                       (Program Assistant, GEEDR) from the Energy and Extractives Global Practice,
                                                                  IGU	     International Gas Union                                     Wendy Cunningham (Lead Economist, GSP02) and Achim Schmillen (Senior
                                                                  IMCSC 	 Inter-Ministerial Coal Steering Committee                    Economist, GSP02) from Social Protection and Jobs Global Practice, and Michael
                                                                                                                                       McCormick (Public Sector Specialist, GCCRA) from Climate Change Group.
                                                                  IRENA	   International Renewable Energy Agency
                                                                                                                                       The team would like to thank Gary Stuggins (Consultant, GEEDR), David Fretwell
                                                                  LCOE	levelized-cost-of-energy
                                                                                                                                       (Consultant, GSP02), and Tom Witt (Analyst, GCCRA) for their valuable analyt-
                                                                  LNG	     Liquefied Natural Gas                                       ical support. Furthermore, the team appreciates the constructive feedback on
                                                                  MATS	    Mercury and Air Toxics Standards                            draft reports from Sanjay Srivastava (Program Leader, SACBN), Keith McLean
                                                                                                                                       (Lead Governance Specialist, GGO13), Kirsten Hund (Senior Mining Special-
                                                                  MCSER	 Mine Closure, Environmental and Socio-economic Regeneration
                                                                                                                                       ist, GEEX1), Hirut M’Cleod (Leadership Development Specialist, GG028), Da-
                                                                  MCSM	    Mine Closure and Social Mitigation                          vid Craig (Consultant, GTFMR), Rohit Khanna (Practice Manager, GEES), Todd
                                                                  NAD	     National Agency for Development                             Johnson (Lead Energy Specialist, GEE09), Reynold Duncan (Lead Energy Spe-
                                                                                                                                       cialist, GEE08), Dejan Ostojic (Lead Energy Specialist, GEE03), Xiaodong Wang
                                                                  PV	photovoltaic
                                                                                                                                       (Senior Energy Specialist, GEE02), Mamadou Barry (Senior Mining Specialist,
                                                                  SEED	    Social Enterprise and Economic Diversification              GEEX2), Jonathan Coony (GTCID), Leszek Kasek (GMF03), Siet Meijer (GCCFM)
                                                                  SECAL	   Sector Adjustment Loan                                      and Catherine Tovey (AFCS1).

                                                                  SOE	     state-owned enterprise                                      Lastly, the team is grateful for the guidance from James Close (Director, GCCDR), Ran-
                                                                                                                                       jit Lamech (Director, GEED2), Riccardo Puliti (Senior Director, GEEDR), John Roome
                                                                  TCF	     trillion cubic feet
                                                                                                                                       (Senior Director, GCCSD), and Christopher Sheldon (Practice Manager, GEEX2).
                6                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 7
                                                                       Executive Summary
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                 Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                  1	   Over the last half century, large-scale changes to coal1 industries across Europe,
                                                                       and more recently in the United States and China, have resulted in as many as 4
                                                                       million coal workers losing their jobs.  Drivers of these changes are found in mine
                                                                       mechanization, government policies and competition from other fuels in down-
                                                                       stream energy demand markets.  The impact of coal use on air and water pollution
                                                                       requires that these impacts are mitigated by using less polluting fuels. Shifts away
                                                                       from coal arise, as the cost of alternative fuels decreases and their availability in-
                                                                       creases. In different countries this shift has been caused by a variety of factors in-
                                                                       cluding increased use of nuclear power, increased availability of natural gas and,
                                                                       more recently, increased use of renewable energy. As commercial concerns impact
                                                                       coal use, the coal industry turns to the increased use of mechanization to remain
                                                                       competitive. The overall result has been closure of less efficient mines with consol-
                                                                       idation around more efficient, lower-cost, mechanized operations. The varying in-
                                                                       fluences these drivers of change may have on domestic policy responses to energy
                                                                       transition does not, however, deter from the inevitability of coal mine closure. In all
                                                                       mine closure case studies, job losses, and the subsequent socioeconomic impacts
                                                                       borne by families and communities in coal-dependent regions, are significant.

                                                                  2	   At present, economies in Asia, Eastern Europe, and Africa face these same
                                                                       drivers of change. Large job losses are already taking place in China, with oth-
                                                                       er large coal producing countries in Asia likely to follow. Lessons drawn from
                                                                       the experiences of the Russian Federation (Russia), Ukraine, Poland, and Ro-
                                                                       mania,2 complemented by data on impacts of coal industry adjustment in the
                                                                       United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United States, and China, show that job
                                                                       losses in the coal industry are indeed inevitable as the industry contracts. Those
                                                                       that bear most of the burden are coal miners, their families, and communities,
                                                                       particularly the mono-industry communities. However, these changes also im-
                                                                       pact owners and investors in the coal industry. Each of these stakeholders can
                                                                       exercise considerable sociopolitical and economic impact on closure processes.
                                                                       The challenge comes in balancing the diverse needs of all groups.

                                                                  3	   The narrow economic base of many coal mining regions requires careful mitiga-
                                                                       tion of coal mine closure impacts. Coal mining is often concentrated in regions far
                                                                       from major population and economic centers where alternative employment pros-
                                                                       pects may be found. As a result, “mono-industry” coal towns and regions face mul-
                                                                       tiplying and damaging impacts from mine closure. The loss of mining employment
                                                                       substantially reduces the flow of income through these local economies—affect-
                                                                       ing retail, food services, and other dependent sectors, as well as social services. In-
                8                                                                                                                                                                9
                                                                       deed, the loss of a local economy’s dominant economic engine exposes the fragility
                                                                       of many coal mining regions’ narrow economic base.  Unique characteristics of coal                       Table E.1: Lessons Learned on Managing Coal Mine Closure
                                                                       mining communities—such as geographic isolation, disparity of wages, and coal
                                                                       mining identity—pose challenges for recovery efforts. Decades later after a mine has      Pillar 1: Policies and strategy development
                                                                                                                                                                 Emphasizes that coal mine closure requires clear policy direction, large budget outlays, and
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                       shut down, many coal-dependent regions continue to lag socially and economically.
                                                                                                                                                                 significant stakeholder consultations
                                                                  4	   Therefore, mine closure is, in large part, about mitigating impacts on people
                                                                       and communities. In highlighting the central concern for people and commu-                Lesson 1: Managing the social and labor impacts from coal mine closures is best
                                                                       nities, mine closure approaches which adopt “Just Transition for All” principles
                                                                                                                                                 3               achieved when multiple agencies participate in the policy development.
                                                                       can achieve meaningful outcomes for mine-affected communities. In this report,            Lesson 2: Meeting the substantial budget needs for mine closure is a challenge
                                                                       a “Just Transition for All” for coal mine closure is underpinned by: (i) continuous
                                                                                                  4
                                                                                                                                                                 given the short-term, high costs required.
                                                                       dialogue and consultation with a wide variety of affected stakeholders to determine
                                                                                                                                                                 Lesson 3: Genuine stakeholder consultation starting at the planning stage and
                                                                       scope, scale, and timing of closure; (ii) adequate planning at the outset which is sus-
                                                                                                                                                                 continuing throughout the closure process can significantly reduce the possibility
                                                                       tained through dialogue and participatory monitoring during the various stages of         of social conflicts.
                                                                       closure and transition; (iii) provision of temporary income support to workers and
                                                                       their families that is complementary to other existing social protection programs;
                                                                       and (iv) deployment of active labor market policies that offer services, programs,        Pillar 2: People and communities
                                                                       and incentives to encourage and enable re-employment among laid-off workers.         5    Underlines the importance of a Just Transition for All to meet the needs of workers, families, and
                                                                                                                                                                 the wider community
                                                                  5	   Nine lessons learned on managing coal mine closure are proposed. They are
                                                                       organized around three pillars: 1) Policies and strategy development; 2) People           Lesson 4: A systematic process to mitigate social and labor impacts that starts
                                                                       and communities; and 3) Land and environmental remediation. The lessons are               before any labor layoffs occur can result in a more orderly, less stressful, and
                                                                       presented in Table E.1.                                                                   ultimately lower cost divestiture process.
                                                                  6	   Given the energy transition, planning and preparing for coal mine closure are             Lesson 5: Pre-layoff planning and assistance can prepare workers for impending layoffs.
                                                                       essential to lessen the shock to coal-dependent communities and facilitate new
                                                                                                                                                                 Lesson 6: Post-layoff assistance, including temporary income support, can help
                                                                       employment possibilities for redundant workers.  A sustained commitment will
                                                                                                                                                                 sustain laid-off workers in a way that results in them staying in the labor market.
                                                                       be required from several stakeholders—governments, international financial in-
                                                                                                                                                                 Lesson 7: Active labor market policies offer services, programs, and incentives
                                                                       stitutions, the private sector, and civil society—to ensure this is achieved. For-
                                                                                                                                                                 that can encourage and enable re-employment among laid-off workers.
                                                                       ward looking, governments can augment the findings from this report with coun-
                                                                       try- and region-specific diagnoses of the drivers to reform their respective coal
                                                                       sectors, address their social protection needs, and mitigate environmental risks.
                                                                                                                                                                 Pillar 3: Land and environmental remediation
                                                                       Collaboration is also necessary to implement the support programs for laid-off
                                                                                                                                                                 Advances the importance of financial planning for environmental remediation and land
                                                                       workers, their families, and their communities focused on helping them get back           reclamation, and summarizes a range of possible financial assurance mechanisms available
                                                                       into productive employment, with programs and initiatives that facilitate broad-
                                                                       based economic growth and job creation by the private sector. Strong analysis to          Lesson 8: Environmental reclamation is best addressed from the outset of mine planning.
                                                                       inform decision making, together with mobilization of public and private sector           Lesson 9: Financial assurance mechanisms can be an effective tool to guarantee
                                                                       financing, will be critical. Going even further, considerations regarding regional        funding availability.
                                                                       economic diversification and rejuvenation to foster job creation beyond coal min-
                                                                       ing are also of importance, but beyond the scope of this report. Calling on all those
                                                                       with expertise and resources will require leveraging existing, and putting in place
                                                                       new, platforms, partnerships, and ways of working that can catalyze action at the
       10                                                              scales commensurate to the needs of a Just Transition for All.                                                                                                                                              11
                                                                       Introduction
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                             Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                       OBJECTIVES
                                                                  7	   Over the last half century, large-scale changes to coal6 industries across Eu-
                                                                       rope, and more recently in the United States and China, have resulted in as
                                                                       many as 4 million coal workers losing their jobs.  The main drivers of these
                                                                       changes are mine mechanization, government policies and competition from
                                                                       other fuels in downstream energy demand markets. At present, economies in
                                                                       Asia, Eastern Europe, and Africa face these same drivers of change, with large
                                                                       job losses already taking place in China, and with other large coal producing
                                                                       countries in Asia likely to follow. Lessons drawn from the experiences of the
                                                                       Russian Federation (Russia), Ukraine, Poland, and Romania from 1994 to 2012,7
                                                                       complemented by data on impacts of coal industry adjustment in the United
                                                                       Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United States, and China, show that job losses
                                                                       not only take place as the industry contracts but even if production is increasing.
                                                                       The mitigation of social conflict and economic distress are of grave concern as
                                                                       globally the coal industry enters a new era of downsizing.

                                                                  8	   The objective of this report is to share with governments lessons learned re-
                                                                       garding coal mine closure. Indeed, the full set of coal mine closure issues is
                                                                       diverse with few positive case studies to date to draw on. The complexity of
                                                                       technical issues and vested interests along with the myriad of potential risks
                                                                       which may unfold will require combining time-tested and new approaches, and
                                                                       applying a broad array of skills. In this issues paper, we have sought to identify
                                                                       lessons from the past that can guide policy makers for more successful future
                                                                       mine closures. Nine lessons learned are presented for government consider-
                                                                       ation, drawn from three sets of literature. First, analysis from coal industry ad-
                                                                       justment and downsizing experiences in Russia, Ukraine, Poland, and Roma-
                                                                       nia from 1994 to 20128 where interventions ranged from preparatory diagnostic
                                                                       and technical studies to planning and financing of eventual closure programs.
                                                                       Second, observations and insights on impacts from coal industry adjustment
                                                                       in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United States, and China.9 Third,
                                                                       evidence-based interventions that have helped to mitigate potential negative
                                                                       social and labor impacts from mass job losses in other industries.

                                                                  9	   The report consists of three sections. First, the Drivers section discusses the
                                                                       three key drivers to coal mine closure and provides relevant examples on the
                                                                       interactions amongst specific drivers and their outcomes on coal closure pro-
                                                                       grams. Second, the Key Lessons section captures learning from past World Bank
         12                                                                                                                                                          13
                                                                      projects and global evidence from impact evaluations on social protection and                        11	 The narrow economic base of many coal mining regions requires careful miti-
                                                                      labor programs outside the coal sector. The third section provides the conclu-                           gation of coal mine closure impacts. Coal mining is often concentrated in regions
                                                                      sion of the report and underscores the importance of planning and prepared-                              far from major population and economic centers where alternative employment
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      ness starting now.                                                                                       prospects may be found. As a result, “mono-industry” coal towns and regions
                                                                                                                                                                               face multiplying and damaging impacts from mine closure. The loss of mining
                                                                      THE IMPORTANCE OF A JUST TRANSITION FOR ALL                                                              employment substantially reduces the flow of income through these local econo-
                                                                                                                                                                               mies, affecting retail, food services, and other dependent sectors, as well as social
                                                                  10	 Asia is likely to be most impacted by future coal mine closures, as global coal
                                                                                                                                                                               services. Indeed, the loss of a local economy’s dominant economic engine exposes
                                                                      production has pivoted from West to East. Consider that in 1960 the largest coal
                                                                                                                                                                               the fragility of many coal mining regions’ narrow economic base. Box 1 summa-
                                                                      producers in western Europe were the United Kingdom, the German Federal Re-
                                                                                                                                                                               rizes key characteristics of coal mining communities which pose challenges for
                                                                      public, and France, which collectively produced 394 million tons of coal, equiv-
                                                                                                                                                                               recovery efforts. Decades later after a mine has shut down, many coal-dependent
                                                                      alent to 20 percent of global coal production. By 2016 their collective production
                                                                                                                                                                               regions continue to lag socially and economically. Planning and preparing for coal
                                                                      had dropped to less than 10 million tons hard coal,10 a decrease by 97 percent over
                                                                                                                                                                               mine closure are essential to lessen the shock to coal-dependent communities
                                                                      the past five decades. In the United States, the production decrease has been more
                                                                                                                                                                               and facilitate new employment possibilities for redundant workers
                                                                      recent. As shown in Table 1, since 2000, production in the United States declined
                                                                      by 369 million tons, leading to a drop in its global market share from 21 percent                    12	 There is a political economy consideration around coal mine closure given the
                                                                      to 8 percent. In contrast, China more than doubled its production since 2000 and                         stature of coal miners. Coal workers have had a unique identity and high so-
                                                                      now accounts for 44 percent of total global coal production. India and Indonesia                         cial standing in many countries. Much of their work takes place in dangerous
                                                                      also experienced a major rise, and they now account for 10 percent and 6 percent                         underground conditions where mistakes can cost lives, and coal miners have
                                                                      of global production, respectively. In 2016, these three countries made up 60 per-                       previously expressed themselves strongly in the political economy around mine
                                                                      cent (about 4.4 billion tons) of total global production. As shown in Table 1, Rus-                      closure. For example, in the United Kingdom coal workers went on strike for a
                                                                      sia, South Africa, and Poland are also in the top ten for coal production globally. In                   year to oppose mine closures, and in Poland workers marched on the Parliament.
                                                                      fact, these countries (alongside China, Indonesia, India, and Australia) will most
                                                                      likely be impacted most acutely by future mine closures.

                                                                                  Table 1: World hard coal and lignite production (million tons), 2000–201611

                                                                  Country                    Production      Production      Global Share   Production    Global Share         TEXT BOX 1
                                                                                        Change 2000–16             2000        2000 (%)          2016           2016 (%)
                                                                                                                                                                               Typical characteristics of coal mining communities that influence the potential for
                                                                  China                           1,833            1,377            30%          3,210              44%
                                                                                                                                                                               regional recovery
                                                                  India                            372              336              7%           708               10%
                                                                  Indonesia                        380               79              2%           459                6%
                                                                                                                                                                               Narrow economic base of a coal-dependent region exposes the fragility of the
                                                                                                                                                                               economy, in terms of job creation potential.
                                                                  Australia                        202              307              7%           509                7%
                                                                  Russia                            97              242              5%           359                5%        Geographic isolation of most coal mines means that the loss of the main regional
                                                                  South Africa                      26              224              5%           250                3%        employer dramatically reduces overall re-employment potential.
                                                                  United States                   -369              972              21%          683                8%        Disparity of wages between coal mining and alternative professions is often cited as a
                                                                  Poland                           -32              163               3%           131               2%        stumbling block to re-employing former coal miners.
                                                                  Germany                          -28              205              4%            177               2%
                                                                                                                                                                               Coal mine identity centers on strength, determination, hard work, and risk. Shedding
                                                                  Others                            135             718              17%          802               12%
                                                                                                                                                                               this identity can be one of the biggest stumbling blocks to re-employment.
                                                                  Total                           2,636           4,623            100%          7,288             100%
                                                                                                                                                                               Indirect job losses from subsidiary businesses accentuates the social and labor
                                                                          Source: Enerdata 2017. Global Annual Statistical Yearbook 2017 available at bit.ly/2Jsynyx
                                                                                                                                                                               challenge; indirectly affected individuals may be more at risk if not considered as
                                                                                                                                                                               beneficiaries of temporary income support or active labor market policies.
        14                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      15
                                                                      Furthermore, coal miners can have a very strong identity with their communi-             re-employment among laid-off workers. 17 The Government of Alberta has an-
                                                                      ty—with successive generations of workers working in the coal mines, which               nounced a commitment to end coal fired power generation by 2030, supported
                                                                      can result in very close-knit communities so that redundant workers may be               by a commitment that includes an allocation of Canadian dollars (CDN) 45 mil-
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      reluctant to relocate their families to find work in other locations.                    lion to support a “just transition” for coal workers and their communities. It
                                                                                                                                                               is reported that the phasing out of coal fired power generation has gained the
                                                                  13	 While job losses from coal mining may be small in comparison to the total
                                                                                                                                                               support of organized labor.18
                                                                      labor force, a downsizing can result in a disproportionately high impact lo-
                                                                      cally. The coal industry numbers are usually small relative to the total popu-        16	 There are few if any instances of fully satisfactory economic rejuvenation
                                                                      lation. By way of example, in the United States, in 2017, direct coal mining jobs        outcomes in mono-industry coal mining towns. While economic diversifica-
                                                                      nationwide stood at 49,650 jobs with an additional 34,170 jobs in coal plant
                                                                                                         12
                                                                                                                                                               tion and rejuvenation is a topic shared across many industries, as discussed in
                                                                      operations. Together, these two segments of the coal industry represent only
                                                                                  13
                                                                                                                                                               Pillar 2 (below), for coal mine closure the loss of the main regional employer
                                                                      0.06 percent of the United States’ workforce. Or consider China where less than          dramatically reduces overall re-employment potential and exposes the fragil-
                                                                      3 million workers who are registered as coal miners are less than 0.4 percent of         ity of a narrow economic base. The compounding effect is significant and the
                                                                      the national workforce of 770 million. Yet due to the characteristics described in       rejuvenation of local economies in coal-dependent regions is a complex chal-
                                                                      Box 1, impacts from coal mine closure are significant with disruption of regional        lenge and can fail even if good intentions and sufficient funds are deployed. For
                                                                      and local economies inevitable.                                                          instance, the United Kingdom long targeted various forms of regional aid with
                                                                                                                                                               the intention to foster job creation at several of its main mining areas, including
                                                                  14	 The potential for economic and social shocks due to coal mine closure un-
                                                                                                                                                               through a program of coalfield site reclamation and redevelopment that dis-
                                                                      derscores the importance of strategic planning. In the coal sector, rarely have
                                                                                                                                                               bursed more than British pound sterling (GBP) 600 million between 1996 and
                                                                      closures been supported by successful social mitigation strategies. In fact, gov-
                                                                                                                                                               2007. In addition, British coal mining regions have been supported by the Euro-
                                                                      ernments have typically struggled to support the people who lost their jobs and
                                                                                                                                                               pean Union, both through disbursement of its “standard” structural funds and
                                                                      their families, and the distressed communities. Distress is particularly acute as
                                                                                                                                                               specific programs like the RECHAR program that deployed more than GBP 250
                                                                      closures also affect industries across the coal value chain, especially in busi-
                                                                                                                                                               million over 10 years. Still, decades after the major waves of mine closures in
                                                                      nesses providing goods and services to the coal economy. Layoffs can have dra-
                                                                                                                                                               the United Kingdom, labor market impacts can still be felt—especially where
                                                                      matic and long-lasting effects on the employment, earnings, and income pros-
                                                                                                                                                               difficulties are entrenched, such as South Wales. Therefore, mobility support
                                                                      pects of directly displaced workers and their families. Research from the United
                                                                                                                                                               for workers to relocate out of mono-industry coal mining towns may sometimes
                                                                      States and other countries shows that many of these workers may have long
                                                                                                                                                               represent the better option.19
                                                                      unemployment spells and that those who find work may suffer earnings reduc-
                                                                      tions of up to 30 percent over at least 15 to 20 years.14

                                                                  15	 Therefore, coal mine closure is, in large part, about mitigating impacts on
                                                                      people and communities. In highlighting the central concern for people and
                                                                      communities, mine closure approaches which adopt “Just Transition for All”15
                                                                      principles can achieve meaningful outcomes for mine-affected communities. In
                                                                      this report, a “Just Transition for All”16 for coal mine closure is underpinned by:
                                                                      (i) continuous dialogue and consultation with a wide variety of affected stake-
                                                                      holders to determine scope, scale, and timing of closure; (ii) adequate planning
                                                                      at the outset which is sustained through dialogue and participatory monitoring
                                                                      during the various stages of closure and transition; (iii) provision of temporary
                                                                      income support to workers and their families in complementarity to other ex-
                                                                      isting social protection programs; and (iv) deployment of active labor market
        16                                                            policies that offer services, programs, and incentives to encourage and enable                                                                                                           17
                                                                      Drivers of Change: Their Relationship to
                                                                      Coal Mine Closure
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                           Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                  17	 Closures create disruptions whose social and labor impacts, if anticipated,
                                                                      may be more effectively mitigated. In most of the countries reviewed for this
                                                                      report, closures create rapid disruption of the coal mining sector, catching gov-
                                                                      ernments, companies, coal workers, and communities unprepared to address
                                                                      the sudden shock. Based on these cases, it is observed that if a country has a
                                                                      large population of coal workers, especially in labor-intensive and inefficient
                                                                      mines, then labor divestitures in the coal industry will suddenly unleash vast
                                                                      numbers of people onto social protection services, straining and possibly over-
                                                                      whelming the system. Take for instance Russia, Ukraine, Poland, and Romania
                                                                      where employment losses were close to 2 million over a decade, declining from
                                                                      around 2.7 million workers in 1990 to less than 1 million in 2001.20 More recent-
                                                                      ly, coal industry employment in China has declined by over 2 million workers
                                                                      from over 5 million coal workers in 2013 to less than 3 million workers in 2018.21
                                                                      Through a good understanding of the drivers and their impacts, governments
                                                                      are in a better position to anticipate how closures may unfold. See Figure 1.




                                                                                               Energy market innovations




                                                                                                      Coal industry
                                                                                                       downsizing/
                                                                                                     closure and job
                                                                                                           loss



                                                                    Clean energy policies                                       Coal mine mechanisation


                                                                                                  Figure 1: Drivers of Change



       18                                                                                                                                                          19
                                                                  18	 The first driver of change is mine mechanization. Technical improvements in                 supply/use with decreased costs and increased availability of alternative fuels,
                                                                      coal extraction methods and technologies continue to be introduced in response              such as renewable energy and gas. From 2014–2015 global energy production
                                                                      to macroeconomic and business pressures. The effect is a consolidation of opera-            grew by 0.3 percent with non-OECD countries energy production growing by
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      tions by shifting production from less efficient and unmechanized mines to more             0.5 percent and OECD countries declining 0.3 percent25 much lower than 2 per-
                                                                      efficient mechanized operations. The end result is a net loss of jobs. Practically,         cent as was typical in the past.
                                                                      as seen in the United States and Russia over the past four decades, the coal in-
                                                                                                                                                              21	 Under this third driver, the commercial viability of coal-fired power plants,
                                                                      dustry first sheds the least efficient operations and then consolidates around the
                                                                                                                                                                  an important industrial anchor in the coal value chain, is being seriously chal-
                                                                      remaining technology intensive operations. Mechanization induces coal mines
                                                                                                                                                                  lenged. Since the early 2000s, the penetration of renewable energy and natural
                                                                      to shed labor, which helps create greater financial resilience by increasing pro-
                                                                                                                                                                  gas has continued market loss for coal, principally in the power sector. Natural
                                                                      ductivity. Even under the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) business-as-usu-
                                                                                                                                                                  gas prices are decreasing26 and natural gas trade is increasing27 driven by shale
                                                                      al forecast scenario, which predicts global coal production to remain relatively
                                                                                           22
                                                                                                                                                                  gas and associated gas from oil production from tight fields. Increased market
                                                                      constant at current levels to 2040, countries will face strong disruptions on the
                                                                                                                                                                  penetration of renewables within the power sector has been driven by decreases
                                                                      regional level as less efficient coal mines close under continued industry consol-
                                                                                                                                                                  in the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE), as estimated by Lazard, for utility
                                                                      idation. In the affected regions, this will lead to significant losses in coal sector
                                                                                                                                                                  scale solar photovoltaic (PV) (73 percent) and onshore wind power (25 percent)28
                                                                      employment. In this situation, job losses will be significant locally/regionally, but
                                                                                                                                                                  over the past decade. The shale gas experience in the United States has caused a
                                                                      may be less visible when viewed across the total labor pool nationally.
                                                                                                                                                                  large decrease in natural gas prices29, radically reducing the commercial viabili-
                                                                  19	 The second driver of change is clean energy policies. This includes local and               ty of coal-fired power.30 In 2011, onshore wind power became cheaper than coal,
                                                                      regional air pollution prevention programs, low carbon and clean energy de-                 followed by solar power in 2014. Both wind and solar power are estimated to cost
                                                                      velopment agendas, and worker and community safety initiatives. In gener-                   less than half that of coal-fired power plants.
                                                                      al, progressive government policy interventions in favor of alternative energy
                                                                                                                                                              22	 Drivers of change impart varying influences on both the pace of closure, and
                                                                      sources over the last fifty years have included: (i) policies to reduce rampant
                                                                                                                                                                  the magnitude of the impacts. While the data do not permit analysis that would
                                                                      air pollution—e.g., Western Europe in the 1960s and today in South and East
                                                                                                                                                                  disaggregate the decline of employment in the coal sector according to various
                                                                      Asia and Poland; and (ii) more recently policies and programs that address cli-
                                                                                                                                                                  drivers, there are some prevalent patterns. Coal mine mechanization has been
                                                                      mate change, including an energy transition favoring lower carbon/zero car-
                                                                                                                                                                  a long-standing persistent driver, the product of competitive market pressures
                                                                      bon energy resources, away from coal. The global movement to reduce green-
                                                                                                                                                                  from alternative fuels that have taken coal’s market share. This pressure re-
                                                                      house gas (GHG) emissions has moderated overall energy demand (especially
                                                                                                                                                                  sults in mechanization to improve operational efficiency and lessen cost, which
                                                                      coal) and shifted energy use to more flexible energy sources with lower or no
                                                                                                                                                                  in turn induces mines to shed jobs. While some state enterprises undergoing
                                                                      carbon emissions.
                                                                                                                                                                  mechanization retain excess labor to the point of financial strain and then shed
                                                                  20	 The third driver of change is the changing dynamics of the energy sector af-                jobs suddenly, generally, when mechanization is the driver job losses happen
                                                                      fecting coal consumption. This has two aspects. First is a slowing of demand                relatively gradually over the decades. In comparison, policy and energy market
                                                                      largely resulting from energy efficiency improvements. Unlike past decelera-                drivers have been more discrete events in time, having more immediate impact
                                                                      tions of energy demand that were driven by broad economic slowdowns, this                   when introduced. Moreover, policy and energy market drivers may be linked
                                                                      decrease has been driven by energy efficiency measures, enabling a decrease                 should a government introduce a policy driver to address air pollution, which in
                                                                      in global energy intensity23 by 2.8 percent in 2015 and 2.0 percent in 2016.                turn increases the cost of coal use relative to alternatives and thereby alters the
                                                                      Governments’ energy efficiency policies and regulations have supported this                 dynamics of energy markets.
                                                                      transition through standards, building codes, public financing, and tradable
                                                                      energy certificates. As a result, there has been a strong increase in the uptake
                                                                      of energy efficiency investments like LED lighting and energy efficient heating
                                                                      and cooling.24 Alongside demand, the second aspect is a broad shift in energy
   20                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            21
                                                                  23	 The United Kingdom, Russia, and the United States are countries that show                                           24	 In the late 1980s and early 1990s, Russia was driven to adjust its coal sector as
                                                                     strikingly different production outcomes from the drivers. Coal mining em-                                               part of wider macroeconomic reforms. As the economy contracted, coal demand
                                                                     ployment has declined substantially in all three countries. But production has                                           declined and the government initially tried to prop up its coal industry with very
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                     followed distinctly different pathways, as will be presented in Figures 2, 3, and                                        large subsidies to cover losses, rather than closing mines, undertaking orderly
                                                                     4. For the United Kingdom, the initial driver of change was clean energy poli-                                           layoffs, and reducing losses. However, the coal subsidies became unmanageable
                                                                     cies as government sought to abate severe air pollution as smog from coal use                                            and reached over 1 percent of GDP in the early 1990s. From 1990–1998, coal
                                                                     grew worse in major cities. Government then shifted to cleaner energy imports,                                           production declined by just over 40 percent and employment declined by near-
                                                                     as competitive pricing and availability of oil imports from the Middle East and                                          ly 60 percent (Figure 3). Russia privatized its coal industry from 1999–2001 as
                                                                     Africa, and later gas from the North Sea, increased alternative energy supplies.                                         part of an overall large-scale privatization policy. Industry with the lowest cost
                                                                     Figure 2 shows the subsequent decline in coal production and coal employment                                             mines could stabilize—largely through mechanization—and operate profitably.
                                                                     from 1960 to 2015. The least-efficient, most labor-intensive mines were closed                                           The overall impact was a substantial recovery in coal production since 2000:
                                                                     first, and in the 1960s employment fell by 52 percent compared with only a 26                                            with well over 350 million tons of production in 2016. Even as production in-
                                                                     percent decline in coal production. In 2016, United Kingdom, coal production                                             creased, the sector continued to shed labor.
                                                                     declined to just 4 million tons with approximately 1,000 employees. The United
                                                                     Kingdom is expected to phase out both coal production and coal-fired power
                                                                     generation over the next decade, and in 2018 began to report 24-hour periods
                                                                     without coal-fired power being dispatched.




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Figure 3: Russian Federation: coal production and employment 1990–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                              Source: Authors’ own compiled from World Bank Reports; Russian Federation, Ministry of Energy; Mineral Survey: Russia,
                                                                                                                                                                                                     United States Geological Survey (USGS), various years; and from mining.com – see bibliography for full details)




                                                                                  Figure 2: United Kingdom: coal production and employment 1960–2015
                                                                      Source: Authors’ own, based on data compiled from Coal Transition in the United Kingdom, Steve Fothergill (Paris:
                                                                                                             IDDRI and Climate Strategies, 2017).


     22                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    23
                                                                  25	 The United States has followed a third pathway as it responds to drivers of                                             26	 In each case, the scale of social distress was vastly different. The U.K. minimized
                                                                      change. The two main drivers of change in past decades (until about 2008) were,                                             social distress at the outset as miners took pensions or transferred to other oper-
                                                                      first, economic growth, which led to steady growth in power demand for coal, and                                            ating mines. But social conflict increased over time as more mines closed. Labor
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      second, mechanization (including strong growth in surface mining in the western                                             strikes were a defining feature of the period from the early 1970s until the mid-
                                                                      states), which led to greatly increased productivity and declining employment                                               1980s. Such social unrest culminated in the year-long national coal strike from
                                                                      since the 1980s (Figure 4), especially in Appalachia. Clean air mandates have led                                           1984–85, and widely publicized opposition to coal mine closure created broader
                                                                      to new emissions standards in the 1990s, which further disadvantaged higher                                                 solidarity with organized labor and youth movements, leading to a complex polit-
                                                                      sulfur eastern coal production as compared with lower sulphur western coal pro-                                             ical economy for successive British governments seeking to implement reforms.
                                                                      duction. Coal jobs also suffered a steep decline during this period. However, after                                         Russia experienced very severe initial distress as hundreds of thousands of min-
                                                                      several decades of steady growth coal production and consumption have dropped                                               ers left the industry in the early 1990s with large wage arrears and no severance
                                                                      sharply from 2006 to 2015 because of competition from shale gas and renewables.                                             packages or income support. Only as the crisis deepened did government design
                                                                      Coal’s share of power generation decreased from 40 percent to 33 percent, while                                             and implement a sector reform program which included allocating resources for
                                                                      gas-fired power generation increased from 22 percent to 34 percent, and electric-                                           a social protection response in the form of paying wage arrears and making sev-
                                                                      ity generated by renewables increased from 8 percent to 15 percent over this peri-                                          erance payments. In the United States social distress steadily built up since the
                                                                      od. Coal power plants also responded to stronger air pollution emissions controls,                                          1980s and has only been given strong attention during the past decade. Even so,
                                                                      including the need to meet the 2011 Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) for                                             there is considerable poverty in coal producing regions, especially Appalachia.
                                                                      power plants. While the coal industry shed more jobs during this period, the job
                                                                      losses were modest compared to the 1980–2000 period.




                                                                                    Figure 4: United States: coal production and employment 1960–2015
                                                                     Source: Authors’ own compiled from US Energy Information Agency sources and from Coal Transition in the United States,
                                                                                           Irem Kok, (IDDRI and Climate Strategies, 2017) (see bibliography for full details).
     24                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     25
                                                                      Lessons Learned
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                               Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                  27	 Nine lessons for managing coal mine closure are discussed. Lessons are orga-
                                                                      nized around three pillars: i) Policies and strategy development; ii) People and
                                                                      communities; and iii) Land and environmental remediation. Figure 5 summa-
                                                                      rizes these pillars.



                                                                        Pillars to Coal Mine Closure

                                                                        Policies and strategy development
                                                                        Includes the political, strategic, institutional, regulatory, fiscal/budget planning
                                                                        – setting in place the conditions, rules, and capacity needs and responsibilities to
                                                                        implement the coal sector downsizing. It also includes stakeholder engagement
                                                                        for workers, communities and companies, which is necessary to reduce
                                                                        opposition to industry downsizing, to the extent possible.  Encapsulates the
                                                                        coal sector and other segments of the energy industry – involving industry
                                                                        structure, reorganization and restructuring, possible privatization of state mining
                                                                        companies, consolidation, financial capacities (including pensions), and exit or
                                                                        bankruptcy; it also addresses energy system infrastructure development.



                                                                        People and Communities
                                                                        Incorporates income support instruments and labor market programs to
                                                                        address the needs of redundant workers; it also pertains to community support
                                                                        initiatives and new job creation programs (reflecting different levels of resilience
                                                                        to sector downsizing); and impacts on workers in related and dependent
                                                                        industries that may use or transport coal and provide goods and services to the
                                                                        coal mines and miners.



                                                                        Land and environmental Remediation
                                                                        Covers physical mine closure and environmental reclamation and rehabilitation
                                                                        (including the removal of mine equipment), transfer of useful assets to the local
                                                                        community, securing the stability of remaining dumps and impoundments, water
                                                                        management and surface stability at closed underground mines, monitoring and
                                                                        managing any post closure environmental and human health impacts, including
                                                                        any legacy issues. 


                                                                                              Figure 5: Pillars to managing coal mine closure
    26                                                                                                                                                               27
                                                                      PILLAR 1: POLICIES AND STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT                                              benefit from coordination across various decision-making bodies. A high-level
                                                                                                                                                               government body is important for decision-making processes and for clarify-
                                                                  28	 Large-scale coal mine closures require clear policy direction supported by a
                                                                                                                                                               ing roles and responsibilities across a diverse set of agencies at the national,
                                                                      long-term Just Transition for All program. Minimizing social distress is key
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                                                                                                               regional, and local levels. Reforms to individual country policies and laws could
                                                                      to achieving a successful coal mine closure. Success relies on several factors:
                                                                                                                                                               include: mine closure procedures and related health, environmental, and safe-
                                                                      strong government commitment, legal and regulatory review, genuine stake-
                                                                                                                                                               ty (HSE) standards; energy use;31 environmental mitigation; land reclamation;
                                                                      holder engagement, and adequate budgets for necessary social and labor inter-
                                                                                                                                                               economic revitalization; and social protection and labor transition programs.
                                                                      ventions and for coal mine closure and environmental reclamation. The liter-
                                                                                                                                                               Two good examples are the Inter-Agency Commission for Socio-Economic
                                                                      ature review for the countries that received World Bank loans concluded that
                                                                                                                                                               Problems of Coal-Producing Regions (IAC) in Russia and the Inter-Ministeri-
                                                                      the impacts of coal mine closure were more effectively and efficiently addressed
                                                                                                                                                               al Coal Steering Committee (IMCSC) in Poland. Each were instrumental in co-
                                                                      when countries adopted comprehensive reform programs. While each country
                                                                                                                                                               ordinating policy decision making and facilitating interministerial cooperation
                                                                      developed their closure programs at different stages of coal industry decline,
                                                                                                                                                               required for reform implementation. Apart from planning, coordination could
                                                                      lessons across the board demonstrate the utility in comprehensive policy plan-
                                                                                                                                                               extend to mobilizing various layers of government interventions during the ac-
                                                                      ning. By contrast, other major coal producing countries did not have coal in-
                                                                                                                                                               tual implementation phase. The literature reviewed suggests that any high-lev-
                                                                      dustry reform programs. Considerable conflict and miners’ strikes experiences
                                                                                                                                                               el body is best then supported by two key agencies: one for coal mine closure and
                                                                      in these other countries may be attributable, in part, to an ineffective dialogue
                                                                                                                                                               one for social protection and labor programs.
                                                                      with labor groups, for instance in the United Kingdom.
                                                                                                                                                            31	 Decision making spans different levels of government. As shown in Table 2
                                                                      Lesson 1: Managing the social and labor impacts from coal mine closures are              government assumes several roles and responsibilities within various minis-
                                                                      best achieved when multiple agencies participate in the policy development.              tries and between various levels of government when planning for coal mine
                                                                  29	 Government leadership is indispensable regardless of the coal industry’s op-             closure. Beyond policy making, roles include (i) a high-level decision-making
                                                                      erating model. Coal mine closures come at an enormous cost. How this cost                body, (ii) institutional leaders such as ministers, agency heads, and presidents
                                                                      is distributed will depend on the operating model: whether the coal sector is            of state-owned companies; and (iii) managers and professional staff of govern-
                                                                      state owned and operated or privately owned and operated. State-owned mod-               ment ministries and agencies and state-owned companies. Broadly speaking,
                                                                      els typically present greater difficulties to closure, given liabilities and social      commitment starts with the political leadership, and then is adopted and ex-
                                                                      obligations. Typically, these closures require government policy and budgetary           ecuted by the institutional leadership, managers, and professional staff. Coor-
                                                                      interventions; particularly as even in the absence of explicit guarantees, gov-          dination takes place largely at the institutional leadership level, which is where
                                                                      ernment will most likely bear the costs of physical closure alongside labor tran-        budgets are allocated and coordination between different ministries and agen-
                                                                      sition programs. Private sector closures may benefit from advanced budgetary             cies is established, overlaps are resolved, and gaps are filled. There may also be
                                                                      outlays to bear some of the immediate pre- and post-layoff interventions, such           a division of roles between national and subnational agencies, especially given
                                                                      as paying for statutory severance payments. In the United States, for instance,          a need for community-driven approaches to ensure that communities provide
                                                                      only 21 percent of coal miners belong to a union, with the remaining 79 per-             input on key decisions contributing to sound expectations at the local level.
                                                                      cent working primarily as independent contractors (United States Energy Infor-
                                                                      mation Administration, 2017). Private sector companies undertaking coal mine
                                                                      closures may also prepare financially for environmental remediation and land
                                                                      reclamation. Constant throughout, however, will be the role of government to
                                                                      set policy direction and provide immediately needed measures when necessary.

                                                                  30	 Coordination of policy development benefits from a high-level decision-mak-
                                                                      ing body. Regulatory reform affecting coal use and impacts on labor involves
                                                                      several sector agencies. Therefore, well-managed coal mine closures would
   28                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   29
                                                                  Phase 1: Policy and Programs Development                                                             32	 Setting up a specific mine closure agency can streamline the physical closure
                                                                                                                                                                           component. Physical mine closure and the subsequent land reclamation in-
                                                                  High Level Decision Making Body
                                                                                                                                                                           volves multiple ministries. Yet the control and allocation of restored coal mining
                                                                  Provides political commitment
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                                                                                                                           lands for new uses are likely the responsibility of local authorities. Furthermore,
                                                                  Initiates and approves program, including budget
                                                                                                                                                                           coal mines may be state owned. Therefore, depending on the scale of closures
                                                                  Establishes decision-making processes
                                                                                                                                                                           and complexity of crosscutting responsibilities, an agency may be best placed to
                                                                  Enacts any new legislation
                                                                                                                                                                           manage closure on behalf of several government stakeholders. Such a coal mine
                                                                  Engages with key stakeholders in the closure process
                                                                                                                                                                           closure agency would take control of and physically close mines, once produc-
                                                                  Approves state-owned enterprise (SOE) reforms, including decisions on repurposing ancillary assets
                                                                                                                                                                           tion has ceased. In the cases of Ukraine, Poland, and Romania, dedicated coal
                                                                  Institutional Leadership                                                                                 mine closure companies effectively managed the efficient physical closure of
                                                                  Develops program
                                                                                                                                                                           mines. Post-closure monitoring and maintenance may also best be undertak-
                                                                  Establishes new implementing institutions (if needed)                                                    en by one or more separate purpose-established institutions or companies; the
                                                                  Determines budget allocations between ministries and agencies.                                           United Kingdom Coal Authority is a good example in this regard. By contrast,
                                                                  Oversees drafting of laws                                                                                Russia did not have a mine closure agency, and eventual physical mine closure
                                                                  Approves regulations                                                                                     and environmental reclamation were less organized and effective.
                                                                  Engages with key stakeholders                                                                        33	 Concurrently, the institution with the biggest stake in the success of the labor
                                                                  Proposes SOE reform programs                                                                             divestiture process should lead the planning for the social and labor transition.
                                                                                                                                                                           As with physical mine closure, social and labor transitions engage multiple minis-
                                                                  Managers and Professional Staff in Institutions and SOEs
                                                                                                                                                                           tries. A suite of social and labor transition programs may be required: provision of
                                                                  Prepares regulations
                                                                                                                                                                           income support, social service delivery to the most vulnerable (women, children,
                                                                  Enforces laws and regulations
                                                                                                                                                                           elderly, etc.), active labor market policies for redundant workers, retraining, and
                                                                  Acts as key communication channel with stakeholders for program consultations
                                                                                                                                                                           even broader regional economic revitalization plans. Each type of intervention typ-
                                                                                                                                                                           ically falls under separate government departments and line ministries. Appoint-
                                                                  Phase 2: Implementation                                                                                  ing one institution to coordinate the stakeholder engagement and planning process
                                                                  High Level Decision Making Body                                                                          can maximize synergies and ensure consistent communication with the public and
                                                                                                                                                                           stakeholders potentially affected in the coal mining areas. Such an institution would
                                                                  Reviews implementation on a regular basis
                                                                                                                                                                           also work alongside nongovernmental organizations and coal mining companies in
                                                                  Approves any revisions to program and budget
                                                                  Reports to a high-level decision-making body
                                                                                                                                                                           their responses. In Romania, for instance, the National Agency for Development
                                                                                                                                                                           and Implementation of the Programs for Reconstruction of the Mining Regions
                                                                  Institutional Leadership                                                                                 (NAD)32 was established to oversee and implement the social and labor mitigation
                                                                  Directs specific implementation streams on physical closure and social protection and labor              and local development aspects of the coal sector reform programs.
                                                                  Engages regularly with stakeholders to assess progress
                                                                                                                                                                       34	 Regulations affecting labor divestiture in the coal sector significantly influ-
                                                                  Reviews any budgetary and program revisions made by professional staff
                                                                                                                                                                           ence success. Implementing labor divestiture can be affected by legal and fi-
                                                                  Managers and Professional Staff in Institutions and SOEs                                                 nancial restrictions, such as: national legislation, sector-specific tripartite col-
                                                                                                                                                                           lective agreements, and enterprise-specific agreements. All three types may
                                                                  Implements program
                                                                                                                                                                           need to be addressed in parallel or sequentially. With respect to implementing
                                                                  Enforces laws, regulations and HSE standards
                                                                                                                                                                           coal industry reform, it is important to identify key regulations that serve as ob-
                                                                  Manages physical closure and social and labor work plans
                                                                                                                                                                           stacles to the labor divestiture process, both in terms of the de jure rules and its
                                                                  Hosts regular stakeholder consultations to review progress
                                                                                                                                                                           de facto implementation. There are examples of labor regulations which can be
   30                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      31
                                                                   Table 2: Phases for managing coal mine closure: government roles and responsibilities
                                                                      formidable obstacles for labor divestiture, thus impeding reforms to the coal in-           jobs was estimated to be in the range of USD 450,000–600,000 per job (Gales
                                                                      dustry. For example, the complicated priority order for dismissals in the former            and Hölsgens, 2017). Additional budget needs included land-related costs, such
                                                                      Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia became an obstacle for implementing labor                    as physical closure, environmental remediation, post-closure monitoring, and
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      terminations in other sectors in the 1990s. Policy makers may need to explore               maintenance costs. There may also be other very substantial stranded assets
                                                                      options to change labor divestiture laws and regulations or create additional,              such as coal-fired power plants that are no longer economically and financially
                                                                      more flexible regulations, if they impede reforms to the coal industry.                     viable which fall into government ownership.

                                                                  35	 Efficient administration of income support programs and active labor market             38	 State-owned mining companies often retain labor to the point of crisis, forc-
                                                                      policies are critical to their success. The availability of, and interactions with,         ing government to absorb financial losses rather than close out mines rapid-
                                                                      existing social safety nets set the conditions for deploying supplemental social            ly. This can result in losses steadily building to a point where mines are abruptly
                                                                      protection and labor programs. At minimum the same amount and type of income                closed and the companies unexpectedly lay off large numbers of workers be-
                                                                      support should be offered to laid-off coal sector workers and workers losing their          cause the government will no longer continue providing large subsidies. When
                                                                      jobs because of mass redundancies in other sectors. In addition to that, delivery           this happens, the size of mine closures and social and labor costs will be higher
                                                                      systems—such as those related to outreach, intake, payments, contracting, mon-              and much more compressed in time than if reform had started earlier. Evidence
                                                                      itoring and evaluation, grievance redress, etc.,—should also be the same as those           from past programs in several countries shows that government may also be
                                                                      for existing income support measures; this will increase operational efficiencies,          forced to take over other liabilities of bankrupt private sector companies such as
                                                                      However, in some cases implementing agencies might in fact be different or dif-             pensions and private retirement plans, or physical closure liabilities.
                                                                      ferent types of income support may be provided in parallel, potentially with dif-
                                                                      ferent criteria due to the clientele (i.e., average training duration for coal sector       Lesson 3: Genuine stakeholder consultation starting at the planning stage
                                                                      workers may be longer if they need more reskilling than workers in other sectors).          and continuing throughout the mine closure process can significantly reduce
                                                                                                                                                                  the possibility of social conflicts.
                                                                      Lesson 2: Meeting the substantial budget needs for mine closure is a
                                                                                                                                                              39	 Avoidance of conflict and social unrest is a critical measure of success in coal
                                                                      challenge given the short-term, high costs required.
                                                                                                                                                                  mine closure programs. Stakeholder dialogue and citizen engagement provide
                                                                  36	 Coal mine closure requires enormous budget outlays, often in a relatively short             meaningful mechanisms for addressing concerns of the coal industry workers
                                                                      period of time. The biggest line item is usually the income support packages                and other members of coal mining communities at all societal levels. Formal
                                                                      put in place for coal sector workers (see Pillar 2). Other line items may include           engagement mechanisms provide the vehicle by which constituencies can com-
                                                                      expenses from regulatory reforms (including restructuring of state enterpris-               ment and contribute to closure and economic recovery planning. Therefore, it is
                                                                      es and their liabilities); social service delivery; active labor market programs;           indispensable to engage early in the planning process with potentially affected
                                                                      environmental remediation and land reclamation; and overall monitoring, co-                 stakeholders. Early in the planning phase, information campaigns can reduce
                                                                      ordination, and reporting functions for the government institutions involved.               misinformation circulating in potentially affected communities. Campaigns
                                                                      Where there are also social assets owned, budget support may potentially be                 cover topics such as: (i) the intent to plan social and labor support alongside
                                                                      needed for the asset transfer from coal companies or state-owned companies                  coal mine closure; (ii) the stakeholder engagement strategy; and (iii) the gen-
                                                                      toward local government or other parties. Budget coordination and allocations               eral nature of the planned assistance for displaced workers. Correct information
                                                                      are typically done by the Ministry of Finance or Ministry of Planning.                      is critical to avoiding social conflict and therefore should be handled by the en-
                                                                                                                                                                  tities designing and implementing the social and labor programs themselves.
                                                                  37	 Some case studies illustrate the magnitude of costs. Government budgets can
                                                                                                                                                                  Above all, care should be taken not to advertise services that cannot be deliv-
                                                                      run into the billions of United States dollars (USD) —with social and labor sup-
                                                                                                                                                                  ered, as this will add to, and not reduce, social tensions. A diverse stakeholder
                                                                      port costs being as much as three to four times physical mine closure costs. The
                                                                                                                                                                  group should be expected across: industry workers and their unions, managers
                                                                      Miners Social Packages, seen as very successful in Poland, cost over USD 2 billion
                                                                                                                                                                  of state-owned coal companies, nonprofit groups already providing services in
                                                                      for about 80,000 workers. Total costs in the Netherlands were nearly USD 6 bil-
                                                                                                                                                                  local coal mining areas, government agencies, churches, and other civil orga-
                                                                      lion (in 1980 terms) and the cost of facilitating the creation of 17,100 new lasting
    32                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      33
                                                                      nizing groups. In Central Appalachia, a regional planning approach has helped              base of mono-industry regions is difficult and costly. When mining areas are
                                                                      to channel efforts more coherently around future development priorities.                   already entrenched in intergenerational poverty, the challenge of economic re-
                                                                                                                                                                 vitalization is all the more difficult.
                                                                  40	 Russia, Poland, and Romania illustrated successful stakeholder engagement
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      processes during their coal sector reform programs. In Russia, the government          42	 Mitigating potential social and labor impacts from labor loss is best achieved
                                                                      engaged extensively with the trade unions and with the Association of Min-                 when the needs and preferences of different groups of workers are understood.
                                                                      ing Cities to explain the need for coal industry downsizing. In Poland, forceful           Some coal sector workers are close to retirement; some are in the middle of their
                                                                      miners’ protests accompanied the launch of the coal reform program. The gov-               working lives; and others are younger workers not yet entrenched in the coal in-
                                                                      ernment responded by establishing extensive dialogue channels with the trade               dustry. Those close to retirement might prefer to leave the workforce with retire-
                                                                      unions. This led eventually to the acceptance by the unions of the necessity of            ment packages and other social protection measures. The middle-age workers—
                                                                      reform programs, and helped facilitate their effective and successful implemen-            who often have debts, immovable assets, and family commitments with deep
                                                                      tation. The stakeholder engagement led to the design and delivery of adequate              roots in their community—are often unwilling to consider relocation to places
                                                                      income support measures known as “Miners Social Packages” which smoothed                   where more work opportunities may be available, even when mobility incentives
                                                                      the transition for mine workers and communities. In Romania, engagement                    are offered. The younger workers are generally more ready and willing to be re-
                                                                      with mine workers and community representatives not only contributed to the                skilled and take alternative employment—even if the wages are lower than in the
                                                                      acceptance of mine closures but also contributed greatly to the design of social           coal mining industry and if it means relocating. Differences also need to be rec-
                                                                      and labor support measures for workers, their families, and communities. In ad-            ognized not only for workers employed in coal mines but also for those who lose
                                                                      dition, community involvement through a “community capacity building” ac-                  their jobs in the other industries in the coal ecosystem—coal users, coal transport
                                                                      tivity included discussions on the repurposing of infrastructure and other assets          systems, goods and service suppliers, and coal industry social assets.
                                                                      which guided realistic expectations. These discussions had the added value of
                                                                      providing some limited direct employment opportunities as part of the mine’s               Lesson 4: A systematic process to mitigate social and labor impacts that
                                                                      decommissioning. By contrast, Ukraine and the United Kingdom lacked signif-                starts before any labor layoffs occur can result in a more orderly, less
                                                                      icant stakeholder engagement. In the case of Ukraine, reforms were blocked. In             stressful, and ultimately lower cost divestiture process.
                                                                      the case of the United Kingdom, reforms were achieved but there were protract-         43	 A three-stage approach (Figure 6) comprising pre-layoff planning, pre-lay-
                                                                      ed conflicts with unions and mine workers over a two-decade period.                        off assistance, and post-layoff assistance provides governments with a so-
                                                                                                                                                                 cial response framework for large-scale labor divestiture. The first step in the
                                                                      PILLAR 2: PEOPLE AND COMMUNITIES                                                           process of pre-layoff planning is to identify who will lose their jobs. Very often
                                                                  41	 A Just Transition for All seeks to meet the needs of people, their families, and           divestiture comprises the total closure of a coal mine or other plant, but there
                                                                      the community. The coal industry ecosystem is vast and includes not only coal              are also instances of partial closures. In the case of partial closure, the organi-
                                                                      mines but also (i) coal users, such as power plants, industrial companies, dis-            zation and utilization of labor must be defined to reach desired efficiency. Next,
                                                                      trict heating systems, and in less common cases, transport companies and res-              an analysis of the skills and competencies of the existing personnel must be
                                                                      idential users; (ii) transport systems carrying coal from mines to users (mostly           performed and, whenever possible, personnel meeting the new requirements
                                                                      railways); (iii) suppliers of goods and services to the coal mines; and (iv) in some       should be selected from the existing staff. To note is the possibility to retrain
                                                                      cases social assets that provided auxiliary social services that were owned and            some existing staff, and in some cases, new staff or managers with experience
                                                                      operated by coal mines. Therefore, coal mine closures can result in substantial            from more productive and competitive mines may even need to be hired. Any
                                                                      job loss in both the coal sector (mines and plants) and related industries. Fur-           surplus personnel need to be divested. Pre-layoff planning should also look be-
                                                                      thermore, economic spillovers from coal mine closure extend to declining retail            yond the coal mines to be closed and include an analysis of possible indirect job
                                                                      expenditures and employment in the service industry. Oftentimes, decades lat-              losses, which could have a wider geographic range. If coal mines operate social
                                                                      er coal-dependent communities still lag socially and economically far behind               assets and infrastructure, pre-layoff planning should also address how these
                                                                      other areas of the country. The main reason being that rebuilding the economic             assets and auxiliary social services will be sustained.
    34                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     35
                                                                                                                                                                 Lesson 5: Pre-layoff planning and assistance can prepare workers for
                                                                                                                                                                 impending layoffs.

                                                                                                                                                             46	 Affected workers need to be given sufficient periods of notice and be informed
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                                                                                                                 about lay-offs. This will help smooth the adjustment for affected coal workers,
                                                                                                                                                                 especially for large-scale layoffs where demand for services will be high. It is
                                                                                                                                                                 critical that workers are clearly informed of the options and services they may
                                                                                                                                                                 be provided upon being laid off well before the actual layoff occurs. The period
                                                                                                                                                                 between the decision to divest and the time workers are to be displaced is one of
                                                                                                                                                                 the most difficult for those affected. To ease tensions and anxieties, early, honest,
                                                                                                                                                                 and comprehensive information for affected workers as well as trade union rep-
                                                                                                                                                                 resentatives and other stakeholders is critical. In Poland, considerable pre-layoff
                                                                                                                                                                 planning and preparation took place with the trade unions. Generous retirement
                                                                                                                                                                 and other income support was put in place before the mines were closed. Most
                                                                                                                                                                 importantly, the government avoided making any promises it could not keep.

                                                                                                                                                             47	 Start delivering social service programs before beginning layoffs. Typical ser-
                                                                                           Figure 6: Stylized process of divesture of labor                      vices started before workers lose their jobs, would include: (i) establishing el-
                                                                                                                                                                 igibility for, and assessing interest in, temporary income support, active labor
                                                                  44	 Women may be potentially more impacted by closure programs. By way of illus-
                                                                                                                                                                 market programs, or retirement options (which might include early pension
                                                                      tration, impacts for women include not only direct job loss but also increased bur-
                                                                                                                                                                 eligibility); (ii) profiling and worker skill audits to provide each worker with a
                                                                      den of domestic responsibilities. When men lose their employment, intra-house-
                                                                                                                                                                 clear understanding of their skills development and assistance needs; and (iii)
                                                                      hold tensions and possibly gender-based violence may increase. Gender relations,
                                                                                                                                                                 providing initial jobs counseling and placement services. Box 2 describes a Ca-
                                                                      family, and community life may be disrupted through out-migration. For these
                                                                                                                                                                 nadian pre-layoff assistance service initiative, which effectively helped prevent
                                                                      reasons, engaging early on with not only men but also separately with women is
                                                                                                                                                                 displaced workers from falling into long-term unemployment. Providing these
                                                                      critical to understand and respond to the range of potential impacts closure may
                                                                                                                                                                 services should involve collaboration between workers, business, and local and
                                                                      induce. Due to diminished revenues, social services may be precariously under-
                                                                                                                                                                 regional public officials. The delivery of services works best on-site where the
                                                                      funded, with families and affected community members turning to other social
                                                                                                                                                                 layoffs will occur. However, off-site local services may also be needed to re-
                                                                      structures for help. For example, women’s nonprofit organizations in Silesia
                                                                                                                                                                 spond to indirect job losses. Rapid deployment is critical.
                                                                      played a significant role in supporting individuals, families, and communities to
                                                                      respond to the Polish coal sector downsizing and layoffs by providing help, coun-          Lesson 6: Post-lay off assistance, including temporary income support, can
                                                                      seling, and shelter for those in need and by addressing domestic violence, alcohol,        help sustain laid-off workers in a way that promotes continued participation
                                                                      and substance abuse issues, which increased due to the layoffs.                            in the labor market.
                                                                  45	 Gendered design in coal mine closure programs is important from the outset.            48	 Different instruments can be applied depending on the circumstance. The
                                                                      Women and men often have different jobs in the mining sector. For example, in Po-          precise design of income support instruments will significantly affect the cov-
                                                                      land’s coal reform program the majority of surface workers were women who were             erage and adequacy of financial support, and workers’ incentive to actively look
                                                                      initially excluded from receiving the Miners Social Package which was only avail-          for jobs. Four main instruments for temporary income support include: (i) sev-
                                                                      able to underground mine workers and coal washing plant workers, all of whom               erance or other forms of termination payments; (ii) unemployment insurance;
                                                                      were men. Eligibility criteria were adjusted to include surface workers, thus bring-       (iii) social assistance payments; and (iv) early retirement incentives.
                                                                      ing women into the labor divestiture process. The Polish experience also showed
                                                                                                                                                             49	 Termination payments can provide both quick-disbursing and longer-last-
                                                                      that women were more willing to consider other job options while many of the male
   36                                                                                                                                                            ing income support for newly laid-off workers. Termination payments can ei-                  37
                                                                      mine workers would not consider lower paying jobs in other sectors.
                                                                     Text Box 2                                                                                         scale jobs losses that lead to a longer-term unemployment period typical of labor
                                                                     Canada’s Industrial Adjustment Services                                                            displacement in the coal sector, some countries have used such systems to deliv-
                                                                     Canada’s Industrial Adjustment Services (IAS)—originally founded in 1963—and its                   er additional support in times of crisis. For example, in the United States an ex-
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                     successor organizations and initiatives consist of small units composed of specially               tended benefits feature is triggered in times of high unemployment. Canada ties
                                                                     trained staff who, on request, provide assistance to firms and communities facing large-           levels and durations of unemployment benefits to regional unemployment rates.
                                                                     scale labor redundancies. For instance, in the case of Canada’s province of New Bruns-             It should also be considered that while unemployment insurance systems can in
                                                                     wick, activities supported by its Department of Post-Secondary Education, Training and             principle offer extended income support to displaced workers, very long benefit
                                                                     Labor have recently included the setting up of a temporary service offering employees              periods can create job search disincentives. There is evidence that extended un-
                                                                     facing job loss with early retirement option information, labor market information, em-            employment benefit durations can account for a substantial share of the increase
                                                                     ployment program information, and employment action planning. Also supported by                    in long-term unemployment in the United States during the Great Recession of
                                                                     the New Brunswick’s Department of Post-Secondary Education, Training and Labor are                 2007 to 2009 (Farber and Valletta, 2015). Starting an unemployment insurance
                                                                     human resource management for workers not affected by a layoff and for companies or                system in the context of rapid transition is also not a viable option since the in-
                                                                     sectors facing change or expansion. Evidence indicates that IAS support can be effec-              surance fund needs to accumulate contributions before it can pay out benefits.
                                                                     tive and cost-effective in terms of shortening periods of unemployment. Critical success       51	 Social assistance payments can act as a social safety net for those who do not
                                                                     factors are that the IAS focuses limited resources on the most vulnerable workers to en-           qualify for, or have exhausted, regular unemployment benefits. In contrast to
                                                                     sure that public funds are used in the most efficient way, and that all local stakeholders         unemployment insurance benefits, social assistance payments are usually not
                                                                     are involved and work together to solve practical labor problems. IAS also demonstrates            funded through contributions by employers or employees but out of general gov-
                                                                     to the worst-affected workers that both the community and government care about the                ernment revenue and available not to specific groups of (laid-off) workers but to
                                                                     problems of adjustment.                                                                            the population at large, subject to specific eligibility requirements. Social assis-
                                                                                  Source: Authors based on Government of New Brunswick (2015) and Fretwell (2017)       tance payments are also usually means-tested, household-based, and at a lower
                                                                                                                                                                        level than unemployment benefits. The World Bank has supported many coun-
                                                                                                                                                                        tries in the design, piloting, and scale-up of social assistance systems (including
                                                                                                                                                                        as part of the coal industry reform and restructuring programs) and more recent-
                                                                                                                                                                        ly supported a growing number of “adaptive” social assistance programs specifi-
                                                                     ther take the form of regular severance payments that firms fund and pay out
                                                                                                                                                                        cally meant to be scaled up in response to economic or other shocks.
                                                                     upon separation, or countries can set up special funds to dispense payments to
                                                                     laid-off workers in the affected industry or region. These special funds can be                52	 Early retirement programs are sometimes used to incentivize older coal indus-
                                                                     financed in various ways, although inevitably there will be considerable govern-                   try workers to exit the sector. Early retirement programs have political value: they
                                                                     ment contributions. Under both regular severance plans and special adjustment                      help limit labor disputes and reduce damage to morale. They are also a solution for
                                                                     funds, benefits are usually disbursed either on a one-time basis or periodically                   some older laid-off workers who realistically have little chance to find re-employ-
                                                                     through an annuity-type arrangement. There are advantages and disadvantag-                         ment. At the same time, they put a high fiscal burden on the pension system and, if
                                                                     es with each disbursement arrangement. On the one hand, annuity payments                           not well targeted, may deprive the economy of productive human capital. Given the
                                                                     ensure that job losers will have continuous support. On the other hand, receipt                    potentially high cost of early retirement programs, it may be preferable to offer so-
                                                                     of the full payment at the beginning of unemployment may allow for more pro-                       cial assistance payments to laid-off workers until they reach the regular retirement
                                                                     ductive use by recipients or for migrating to a place with better job prospects.                   age, augmented by bonus payments for those who delay retirement.
                                                                     In the case of Poland and Romania, World Bank–funded coal sector adjustment                    53	 Future coal mine closure programs can learn from China’s experience with heavy
                                                                     programs supported severance programs to coal workers.                                             industries readjustment and privatization during the late 1990s and early 2000s.
                                                                  50	 If an unemployment insurance system exists, this provides a second line of                        This experience illustrates well the deployment of the different temporary income
                                                                     support for laid-off workers. While on their own, unemployment insurance sys-                      support instruments, and both success and certain limitations. In the case of China,
   38                                                                tems are often not well suited to provide income support in response to large-                     many workers were offered early retirement and left the labor force. Those of work-        39
                                                                                                                                                                        ing age were offered temporary income support and re-employment services to find
                                                                  new employment. And those who were unable to find new jobs were provided “three                            Lesson 7: Active labor market policies offer services, programs, and incentives
                                                                  guarantees” of extended temporary income support, unemployment insurance, and                              that can encourage and enable re-employment among laid-off workers.
                                                                  social assistance in the form of the urban “Dibao” program. While complete mitiga-
                                                                                                                                                                   54	 Active labor market policies have varying trade-offs. Policies usually include
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                  tion of the impacts of industries readjustment and privatization proved impossible,
                                                                                                                                                                             one or a combination of the following three types: (i) employment services such
                                                                  the country achieved some successes, and the episode served as an important cata-
                                                                                                                                                                             as labor exchanges, vocational counseling and mobility assistance; (ii) educa-
                                                                  lyst for the creation of a modern social protection system. See Box 3.
                                                                                                                                                                             tion and training like institutional training or on-the job training; and (iii) small
                                                                                                                                                                             business support services. There are certain trade-offs with respect to their typ-
                                                                                                                                                                             ical costs per beneficiary and expected impacts, as illustrated in Figure 7.


                                                                                                                                                                   Figure 7 – Stylized summary of active labor market policies

                                                                  Text Box 3                                                                                        Active labor market policy         Typical costs per beneficiary   Mean impact on probability of employment
                                                                  China’s “three guarantee lines” for unemployed workers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Short term    Medium term      Longer term
                                                                  Many Chinese workers were affected by labor redundancies in the late 1990s. Employ-               Employment services                $15–$30
                                                                  ment guarantees for employees of state-owned enterprises were removed, and the en-                Labor exchanges                    (for labor exchanges)
                                                                                                                                                                    Vocational counseling
                                                                  terprises laid off tens of millions of workers. According to official figures, about 28.2
                                                                                                                                                                    Mobility assistance
                                                                  million workers or more than 15 percent of the urban labor force were laid off between
                                                                  1998 and 2003. Empirical analyses of China’s mass labor redundancies during this pe-              Active labor market policy         Typical costs per beneficiary   Mean impact on probability of employment
                                                                  riod document that for redundant workers, rates of labor force withdrawal were high,                                                                                 Short term    Medium term      Longer term
                                                                  formal sector re-employment rates low, and earnings losses substantial.
                                                                                                                                                                    Education and training             $250–$1,000
                                                                  To mitigate the effects of labor redundancies affecting tens of millions of workers, the gov-     Institutional training             (for institutional training)
                                                                                                                                                                    On-the-job training                $700–$2,000
                                                                  ernment of China introduced an early retirement program for workers within five years of
                                                                                                                                                                    Comprehensive programs             (for comprehensive programs)
                                                                  the retirement age. It first piloted and then scaled up the “Xiagang” re-employment pro-
                                                                  gram. The Xiagang program involved significant provisioning of public funds. It further re-       Active labor market policy         Typical costs per               Mean impact on probability of employment
                                                                                                                                                                                                       beneficiary
                                                                  quired state-owned enterprises to provide temporary income support and re-employment                                                                                 Short term    Medium term      Longer term
                                                                  services for up to three years to workers who had been made redundant. Laid-off workers           Small business support and         $500–$3,000
                                                                  could receive temporary income support for up to three years through the Xiagang program.         subsidized employment              (for business support)

                                                                  Those who still lacked a job after three years could claim unemployment insurance benefits        Small business support             $300–2,400
                                                                                                                                                                    Wage subsidies                     (for subsidized employment)         (for community employment programs)
                                                                  for a maximum of two years. In addition, families with laid-off workers could apply for in-
                                                                                                                                                                    Community empoyment
                                                                  come support from the urban “Dibao” social assistance program if they met the applicable          programs
                                                                  eligibility criteria. Together, these programs were called the “three guarantee lines” to pro-
                                                                                                                                                                   Notes:
                                                                  vide basic income support for unemployed workers and their families.
                                                                                                                                                                     	            denotes an impact on a program beneficiary’s probability of employment of less than
                                                                  Research finds that the “three guarantee lines” including the Xiagang program achieved
                                                                                                                                                                                  0.05 standard deviations
                                                                  somewhat mixed success in terms of coverage, adequacy, and leakage of temporary in-
                                                                  come support and labor market impacts from its active labor market policies. Notwith-                  	        denotes an impact of 0.05 to 0.1 standard deviations
                                                                  standing these challenges, the “three guarantee lines” served as an important catalyst                        	 denotes an impact of at least 0.1 standard deviations, all according to the meta-
                                                                  for the creation of a modern social protection system in China.                                                 analysis by Card, Kluve and Weber (2015).
                                                                                          Source: Authors based on Schmillen (2017).
   40                                                                                                                                                              Source: Authors based on Betcherman et al. (2007) Card, Kluve, and Weber (2015), and Fretwell (2017).                     41
                                                                  55	 Employment services most effectively address situations when displaced
                                                                      workers have skills for which there is labor demand, but assistance is needed
                                                                      to access this demand. Employment services generally come in three forms: (i)
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      labor exchange services to support for job search; (ii) vocational counseling; and
                                                                      (iii) mobility assistance. Employment services might, for instance, involve the
                                                                      referral of electricians employed by the coal mine to employers outside of the       Text Box 4
                                                                      coal sector looking to hire electricians. Vocational counseling can be effective     Constraints to labor mobility
                                                                      as a self-standing service—e.g., assessing whether coal miners have aptitude
                                                                                                                                                           Low labor mobility limits people’s ability to use their productive capacity to access jobs by
                                                                      and interest in specific occupations in other sectors—or as a screening device to
                                                                                                                                                           moving to thriving regions. Of course, many issues may prevent individuals from moving
                                                                      control access to education and training programs.
                                                                                                                                                           to improve their job opportunities, including the monetary cost of moving. A program in
                                                                  56	 Mobility assistance can be particularly crucial when local labor markets are         Bangladesh provided minimal mobility payments to seasonal workers who successfully
                                                                      stagnant or dominated by a coal mine or plant in the process of being shut           migrated to locations with jobs during the off-season. Some populations may face other
                                                                      down. There are substantial difficulties in rejuvenating coal mining economies       or additional constraints, for example lack of information about job opportunities, lack of
                                                                      by finding new “engines of economic activity” to replace coal mining as the          relatives and friends in areas of potential migration, the desire not to lose support net-
                                                                      economic mainstay. Therefore, labor mobility and migration are often the most        works in one’s current area, or difficulties facing spouses and children in moving. At the
                                                                      effective ways forward for workers in “mono-industry” remote coal mining re-         same time, policies can play a role limiting labor mobility, either by increasing migration
                                                                      gions and communities with little connectivity to the rest of the economy where      costs or by failing to tackle the market failures that drive low labor mobility.
                                                                      jobs may be available. In such instances, mobility assistance in cash or in kind
                                                                                                                                                           Market failures that reduce labor mobility include high living costs in urban areas, un-
                                                                      can facilitate coal sector workers to move to regions with better employment
                                                                                                                                                           derdeveloped credit markets, and the lack of affordable (social) housing. In addition,
                                                                      opportunities. Mobility assistance is most effective when combined with com-
                                                                                                                                                           cumbersome population registration requirements in some countries (especially for-
                                                                      plementary interventions to address constraints preventing people from taking
                                                                                                                                                           merly centrally planned economies) deter people from moving from lagging regions to
                                                                      advantage of economic opportunities in high productivity regions, such as re-
                                                                                                                                                           leading ones. A survey in Ukraine shows that the population registration system is a key
                                                                      imbursement of transportation costs, moving and housing subsidies, informa-
                                                                                                                                                           barrier to internal mobility. In Kazakhstan, newcomers are required to submit a docu-
                                                                      tion about jobs in receiving locations, or counseling sessions. See Box 4.
                                                                                                                                                           ment proving that he/she has housing of no less than 15 square meters (sqm) for one
                                                                  57	 Education and training programs help displaced workers to succeed in the la-         person, as well as a rental agreement.
                                                                      bor market through re-skilling or retraining. In the case of coal mine closure,
                                                                                                                                                           The inadequate provision of education outside of urban centers can also be a barrier to
                                                                      education and training programs might, for instance, involve the retraining of
                                                                                                                                                           mobility. Those who grow up outside of urban centers often receive lower quality edu-
                                                                      operating engineers employed by the coal mine to operate and repair different
                                                                                                                                                           cation, which then constrains them in terms of meeting job market expectations. Edu-
                                                                      but related types of equipment used outside of the coal sector. Three general cat-
                                                                                                                                                           cational attainment also tends to be lower outside of urban centers, and those with less
                                                                      egories of education and training programs can be distinguished. First, institu-
                                                                                                                                                           education are often less willing to move to find jobs than those with more education.
                                                                      tional training by private and/or public agencies. Second, on-the-job training by
                                                                      the private sector. Third, comprehensive training programs that combine insti-       This suggests that at least for some populations mobility assistance may need to go be-
                                                                      tutional and on-the-job training. As a general principle, their design should be     yond “passive” support in the form of cash but include more “active” support, such as
                                                                      driven by demand rather than supply, and foster competition and efficiency in        transportation, moving and housing subsidies, or counseling sessions.
                                                                      program delivery. For example, in West Virginia, Social Enterprise and Economic              Source: Authors based on Bryan et al. (2014) and World Bank (forthcoming).
                                                                      Diversification (SEED) Partners are community-based, grassroots organizations
                                                                      committed to building social enterprises, and then employ former coal workers
                                                                      who enroll in a 33-6-3 model.33 Workers are offered a two-and-a-half-year con-
                                                                      tract consisting of 33 hours/week of paid work, accompanied by 6 credit hours of
    42                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         43
                                                                     higher education, and 3 hours of personal development mentorship. At the end of           land occupied by mining facilities, including any usable infrastructure, will al-
                                                                     their contract, workers have gained invaluable work experience, earned an Asso-           low for future use by communities. Indeed, restored land and infrastructure can
                                                                     ciate’s Degree, and gained clarity on life goals through mentoring.                       become an economic asset for communities in future regeneration initiatives.
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                                                                                                               Take for instance the Appalachian Wildlife Center, a conservation education and
                                                                  58	 Small business support services can be offered to help laid-off workers to
                                                                                                                                                               research facility located on 19 miles of reclaimed mine land in the tri-state areas
                                                                     start businesses that respond to local demand for goods or services. While
                                                                                                                                                               of southeastern Kentucky, northeastern Tennessee, and southwestern Virginia.
                                                                     small business services can be effective for a certain segment of the labor force,
                                                                                                                                                               It serves as an elk restoration and viewing center, creating jobs in a former min-
                                                                     they can also be relatively more expensive than other active labor market ser-
                                                                                                                                                               ing area through tourism and conservation.
                                                                     vices. Furthermore, they often attract a relatively limited number of displaced
                                                                     workers (only a minority of laid-off coal sector workers might be interested in
                                                                                                                                                               Lesson 8: Environmental reclamation is best addressed from the outset of
                                                                     starting their own business and at the same time be in the possession of the
                                                                                                                                                               mine planning.
                                                                     relevant aptitude and skills). The most common small business support services
                                                                     include: (i) technical assistance for start-ups; (ii) micro credits and grants; and   60	 Mine closure and land reclamation requirements should be imbedded in the
                                                                     (iii) small business incubators that provide small firms with an entrepreneurial          overall mine planning and permitting process from the outset. An overview of
                                                                     environment, professional networking and mentorship opportunities, and fi-                the regulatory procedures and requirements for mine closure and related finan-
                                                                     nancial and other resources all in one place. In Romania, the Social Development          cial assurance is provided in the April 2016 Report Comparative Study of Finan-
                                                                     Fund was established to provide a microcredit program to support new business             cial Mechanisms for Environmental and Social Sustainability of Mine Sites after
                                                                     development. It was administered by local nongovernmental organizations. This             Closure in Kazakhstan prepared under the World Bank’s Kazakhstan Joint Eco-
                                                                     program was pursued alongside more traditional re-skilling programs being                 nomic Research Program. For many coal mines this is a challenge, having been
                                                                     offered by the national employment agency. Notably, these programs will not               in production for decades, and mine closure plans and reclamation processes
                                                                     be successful in locations where there is no demand for goods or services, which          may be outdated or nonexistent. Where there is adequate lead time for plan-
                                                                     may be the case in a mono-industry town when the mine closes and there is no              ning mine closure, an updated environmental impact assessment is warranted.
                                                                     income base to purchase goods or services provided by new small businesses.               It should include considerations on water and air resource protection, land use,
                                                                                                                                                               water use, disturbance to the natural environment, discharge of waste and pol-
                                                                     PILLAR 3: LAND AND ENVIRONMENTAL REMEDIATION                                              lutants, and protection of natural habitats. In Romania, the design of the phys-
                                                                                                                                                               ical mine closure of each mine was prepared by mining technical institutes. The
                                                                  59	 Comprehensive mine closure projects seek to repurpose lands and ensure ad-
                                                                                                                                                               Romania MCSER loan supported the training of 650 technical staff in the Inter-
                                                                     equate physical mine closure. In effect, mine closure addresses both environ-
                                                                                                                                                               national Federation of Consulting Engineers (FIDIC) contracts and standards,
                                                                     mental and infrastructure risks. According to the World Coal Association, envi-
                                                                                                                                                               thereby creating a cadre of professionals fully capable of carrying forward mine
                                                                     ronmental reclamation should: (i) prevent negative impacts to soil, water, and
                                                                                                                                                               closure activities in the country.
                                                                     air resources in and near mined areas; (ii) restore the quality of soils to their
                                                                     pre-mining level; and (iii) maintain or improve landscape and functional qual-        61	 Successful physical closure requires modern mine closure regulations and pro-
                                                                     ity. An often-cited example of a best practice is the Coal-Mac Mining’s Phoenix           cedures, and competent institutions. These are necessary both for the initial phys-
                                                                     #2 in West Virginia. Backfill elevations were established to mimic the natural            ical closure and reclamation as well as for long-term monitoring and managing of
                                                                     terrain, avoiding soil compaction and enhancing prospects for future use. Soil            any potentially harmful legacy issues (such as protection of water quality in the
                                                                     quality was improved to enable reforestation, planting two types of trees that            surrounding area of a closed mine). The mine closure procedures should include
                                                                     would support wildlife, soil stability, and commercially valuable crop trees.             measures to restore the land occupied by mining facilities to a condition suitable for
                                                                     Mine closure also requires securing the workings, waste dumps, and impound-               future use. The procedural rules should ensure: (i) the safety of people during the
                                                                     ments, and removing any post-closure mine site safety risks. This is particular-          closure or conservation process; (ii) protection of civil works and infrastructures
                                                                     ly important to protect workers in underground mines that continue to oper-
                                                                     ate near to closed underground mines that contain water. Lastly, restoration of
    44                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      45
                                                                      from hazardous events such as landslides, floods, and subsidence of soil; (iii) com-       that temporary or early closure takes place. Penalties should be enforced against
                                                                      pliance with environmental requirements, including development of an Environ-              companies for noncompliance, and charges against responsible officers and di-
                                                                      ment Impact Assessment for closure and conservation stages; and (iv) compliance            rectors of companies should also be considered to increase compliance with en-
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                      with industrial safety requirements. In Romania, the government enacted 98 legal           vironmental laws and mine closure requirements.
                                                                      codicils specific to mining activities and mine closure, three laws, two emergency
                                                                                                                                                             64	 Ukraine, Poland, and Romania demonstrated good practice on physical mine
                                                                      government ordinances, and two government ordinances. A mine closure manual
                                                                                                                                                                 closure. Interventions included ensuring that modern mine closure regulations
                                                                      based on modern international practice was issued by ministerial order (2001) and
                                                                                                                                                                 and procedures were in place, adequate funding was available, and the necessary
                                                                      then formed the legal basis for the closure of all state-owned mines in Romania.
                                                                                                                                                                 capabilities were in place. For instance, as part of its mining industry reform strat-
                                                                      The manual was later updated with additional annexes on the closure of private
                                                                                                                                                                 egy the government of Romania prepared a time-bound program for the physical
                                                                      mines and annexes for consultation when social mitigation and consultation re-
                                                                                                                                                                 closure and environmental remediation of 174 mines where mining had stopped,
                                                                      quirements were incorporated in the legislative framework for mine closures.
                                                                                                                                                                 and Romania established the Central Group for Mine Closures (CGMC) which suc-
                                                                  62	 Mine closure companies may deliver more efficient closures and draw labor                  cessfully carried out the closure and environmental remediation of 31 mines. The
                                                                      and other resources from the closed coal mines. Poland employed two mine clo-              closures included non-coal (metallic ore) as well as coal and lignite mines. Some
                                                                      sure companies, SRK and BSRK, to carry out the physical work of closing 16 of              400 hectares (ha) of land were reclaimed and made available for new business and
                                                                      the countries coal mines between 1997 and 2002. SRK’s and BSRK’s responsibil-              other activities in the mining communities; 9 preparation plants were rehabili-
                                                                      ities covered all aspects of closure, remediation, and reclamation. The physical           tated, including several situated in the center of mining towns, thereby creating
                                                                      mine closure and environmental reclamation were comprehensive and includ-                  a healthy and safe environment for their inhabitants; and 8 tailing dams were re-
                                                                      ed a very broad range of activities: filling roadways and closing galleries with fly       claimed, significantly reducing the potential risk of dam failure with potentially
                                                                      ashes mixed with mine water; recovering some potentially reusable underground              catastrophic environmental and social impacts. Quarterly audits were undertaken
                                                                      equipment; undertaking ventilation and methane monitoring for safety purpos-               of the closure works which served as a tool for monitoring and evaluation and re-
                                                                      es; continuous dewatering, necessary to prevent water hazards to the neighbor-             sulted in the timely identification of potential issues.
                                                                      ing operating mines; control of saline water discharges to protect the local wa-
                                                                      ter systems; demolishing and clearing surface structures, buildings, plants, and           Lesson 9: Financial assurance mechanisms can be an effective tool to
                                                                      equipment, and where necessary, stabilization of any work dumps; filling shafts            guarantee funding availability.
                                                                      with different materials and capping them off with a cement cap; demolishing           65	 Insufficient funding is the biggest barrier to physical mine closure and land
                                                                      existing buildings that could not be reused; dismantling surface structures and            reclamation taking place in a satisfactory manner. From the outset, a mine
                                                                      equipment; stabilizing waste dumps; liquidating tailings ponds; and reclaiming             closure plan needs to be accompanied by a financial assurance mechanism. The
                                                                      land either for industrial use which required clean up and ground leveling or for          mechanism would secure the costs that the government would incur if it had
                                                                      recreational use which required cultivation. Wismut uranium mining company                 to implement a previously approved closure plan, in the event of default by the
                                                                      also provided a good example of best practices in which a corporate entity was             mine owner. The amount of financial assurance should be based on a site-specific
                                                                      established in 1991 to restore and clean up the former mining and milling areas.34         calculation to implement the closure plan as approved using a fair market value
                                                                  63	 The trend over the last 20 years has been to implement or strengthen the le-               estimate of closure costs. The methods and final estimate are typically subject
                                                                      gal requirements for mine closure planning. An initial closure plan should be              to government review and approval. The estimated closure costs could be signif-
                                                                      prepared as part of the feasibility work for a new mining operation and approved           icant, with immediate placement of a portion of the obligation providing some
                                                                      before a mining license is issued. The initial plan may be somewhat conceptual             guarantee to the government, while limiting the burden on the company.
                                                                      since mining has not yet started, but even so it should include an estimate of         66	 There are a range of possible financial assurance mechanisms. Cash and cash
                                                                      the full cost of closure. The closure plan and cost estimate should then be up-            equivalents are the most secure forms of financial assurance, but they can have
                                                                      dated on a regular basis thereafter. It is important to ensure the updated closure         a significant impact on the finances of a mining company. Other mechanisms,
                                                                      plans reflect the mining that takes place, and a plan should be ready in the event         which are widely used, include bank guarantees and letters of credit. Corporate
   46                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           47
                                                                     guarantees are strongly advised against. Ideally, the mine closure plan should be
                                                                     fully funded at the start of mining and progressively increased over time in line
                                                                                                                                                                      Conclusion
                                                                     with the revised costs estimates when the Mine Closure Plan is updated. However,
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                     this may not be practical, and instead the financial assurance may be progres-               68	 Lessons from past coal mine closure programs and the broader literature of-
                                                                     sively built up over time with funds paid in pro-rata and/or credit increased over               fer insights for future coal sector interventions. Over the last half century,
                                                                     a limited period. For example, in Chile, the initial portion is 20 percent of the obli-          large-scale changes to coal industries across Europe and, more recently in the
                                                                     gation. Annual increases in the financial assurance should be defined based on the               United States and China, have resulted in significant job losses with consider-
                                                                     current mine life, but the time required to put the total funding in place probably              able impacts to workers and communities across the coal value chain. The driv-
                                                                     should not exceed 15 years or half of the remaining mine life, whichever is less.                ers behind these sector adjustments persist today, making future closures likely
                                                                  67	 Many countries are now turning to financial assurances to provide security                      across Asia and Europe, and to a lesser extent Central Asia and Africa. The social
                                                                     should a mining operator be unable to meet its closure obligations due to in-                    risk posed by rapid coal mine closures, compounded by the variations in coal
                                                                     solvency and abandons the mine. Financial assurance has the added benefit of                     mine ownership, points to the important leadership role required of govern-
                                                                     improving closure plans and cost estimates. This can result in shifting the costs                ments to plan and prepare for this eventuality. Lessons point to the necessity
                                                                     of unexpected or premature mine closures away from the government to the                         for early stage planning, consistent dialogue with stakeholders, and methodical
                                                                     mine owner. Any cash or cash-equivalent payments and costs for financial as-                     sequencing of the provision of income support and active labor market policies.
                                                                     surance should be deductible for income tax purposes in the period that they                     Financing and technology solutions are promising avenues for environmental
                                                                     are made. There are many financial instruments available to fund for financial                   remediation and land reclamation, which are often overlooked areas. In fact, a
                                                                     assurance obligations with the most common summarized in Box 5.                                  window of opportunity exists to improve on past closure experiences and record
                                                                                                                                                                      new best practices for industry and society at large.

                                                                                                                                                                  69	 Efforts toward a Just Transition for All reside at the heart of future coal mine
                                                                                                                                                                      closures. As discussed over the course of this report, a successful mine closure
                                                                                                                                                                      program is one that minimizes social conflict by mitigating impacts on affected
                                                                                                                                                                      workers and communities. This is not an easy task. Whereas the immediate im-
                                                                     Text Box 5                                                                                       pacts of income loss and unemployment can at least to some extent be mitigat-
                                                                     Most common financial instruments                                                                ed through the multiple instruments discussed in Pillar 2, important questions
                                                                                                                                                                      remain regarding the desirability and feasibility of the long-term revitalization
                                                                     (i)	 Full payment in cash or cash equivalents (certified cheques, bank drafts, term
                                                                                                                                                                      of affected mono-industry towns. Mobility support for unemployed workers
                                                                          deposits, government issued bonds);
                                                                                                                                                                      and their families to move to areas with strong economies and new job pros-
                                                                     (ii)	 A bank guarantee;                                                                          pects may be the most effective way forward for those in communities having
                                                                     (iii)	 An irrevocable standby letter of credit;                                                  low connectivity to strong economic regions. Disappointingly, few studies have
                                                                                                                                                                      been undertaken to assess outcomes of efforts to reorient coal mining regions
                                                                     (iv)	 Contributions into an approved trust (with further details on the use and governance
                                                                                                                                                                      from decades ago. Evidently, a profound research gap exists to which future ef-
                                                                          rules set out in local laws and varying by local customs and requirements);
                                                                                                                                                                      forts can certainly contribute.
                                                                     (v)	 A surety bond or insurance policy to fund the closure costs in the event the
                                                                                                                                                                  70	 Large-scale action and learning partnerships can support future best practice.
                                                                          proponent does not;
                                                                                                                                                                      A sustained commitment will be required from several stakeholders—govern-
                                                                     (vi)	 Assignment of income flows (fixed rent instrument; Ore Sale Contract Cession;              ments, international financial institutions, the private sector, and civil society—
                                                                          Pledge on Export Returns; and                                                               to ensure this is achieved. Forward looking, governments can augment the find-
                                                                     (vii)	A corporate guarantee.                                                                     ings from this report with country- and region-specific diagnoses of the drivers
                                                                                                                                                                      to the reform of their respective coal sectors, their social protection needs, and
   48                                                                Source: Meredith Sassoon 2009, Financial Surety World Bank.                                                                                                                                49
                                                                  environmental risks. Collaboration is also necessary to implement the support
                                                                  programs for laid-off workers, their families, and their communities focused on
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Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




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Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                                                                                                                            pletion and Results Report (Report Number: ICR333). Washington, DC: World Bank.
                                                                  World Bank. May 16, 1996. Ukraine —Coal Pilot Project Loan. President’s Report (Report Number:
                                                                  P6815). Washington, DC: World Bank.                                                                       World Bank. July 17, 2007. Romania—Mine Closure and Social Mitigation Project Loan. Implementa-
                                                                                                                                                                            tion Completion and Results Report (Report Number: ICR495). Washington, DC: World Bank.
                                                                  World Bank. June 5, 1996. Russian Federation—Coal Sector Restructuring Implementation Assistance
                                                                  Project Loan. President’s Report (Report Number: P6865). Washington, DC: World Bank.                      World Bank. July 11, 2013. Romania—Mine Closure, Environmental and Socio-Economic Regenera-
                                                                                                                                                                            tion Project Loan. Implementation Completion and Results Report (Report Number: 2688). Washing-
                                                                  World Bank. June 5, 1996. Russian Federation—Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. President’s Report (Re-
                                                                                                                                                                            ton DC: World Bank.
                                                                  port Number: P6919). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. November 15, 1996. Ukraine—Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. President’s Report (Report
                                                                  Number: P6969). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. November 30, 1997. Russian Federation—Second Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. Presi-
                                                                  dent’s Report (Report Number: P7202). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. May 18, 1999. Poland—Hard Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. President’s Report (Report
                                                                  Number: P7301). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. August 6, 1999. Romania—Mine Closure and Social Mitigation Project Loan. Project Ap-
                                                                  praisal Document (Report Number: 19347). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. June 26, 2001. Poland—Second Hard Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. President’s Report
                                                                  (Report Number: P7464). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. March 10, 2004. Poland—Hard Coal Social Mitigation Project Loan. Project Appraisal
                                                                  Document. (Report Number: 28061). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. May 24, 2004. Poland—Hard Coal Mine Closure Project Loan. Project Appraisal Docu-
                                                                  ment. (Report Number: 29070). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. November 18, 2004. Romania—Mine Closure, Environmental and Socio-Economic
                                                                  Regeneration Project Loan. Project Appraisal Document. (Report Number: 30157). Washington, DC:
                                                                  World Bank


                                                                  Project Completion Reports
                                                                  World Bank. July 15, 1999. Russian Federation—First and Second Structural Adjustment Loans. Im-
                                                                  plementation Completion and Results Report (Report Number: 19572). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. June 22, 2001. Poland—Hard Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. Implementation Completion
                                                                  Report (Report Number: ICR22422). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. June 25, 2001. Ukraine—Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. Implementation Completion Re-
                                                                  port (Report Number: ICR 22236). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. June 21, 2002. Russian Federation—First and Second Coal Sector Adjustment Loans, and
                                                                  Coal Sector Restructuring Implementation Assistance Project. Implementation Completion and Results
                                                                  Report (Report Number: 24306). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. June 26, 2002. Poland—Second Hard Coal Sector Adjustment Loan. Implementation
                                                                  Completion Report (Report Number: ICR24314). Washington, DC: World Bank.

                                                                  World Bank. June 4, 2003. Russian Federation—Coal Sector Adjustment Loan and Second Coal Sector Adjust-
    54                                                            ment Loan. Project Performance Assessment Report. (Report Number: 26067). Washington, DC: World Bank.                                                                                                           55
                                                                       End Notes
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                    Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                  1	   Coal is used here as a proxy to cover hard coal (including anthracite) and lignite (including brown coal).

                                                                  2	   The World Bank made eleven loans from 1996–2004, to support coal mine closures, as follows:
                                                                       (i) Russian Federation Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL I); (ii) Russian Federation Coal Sector
                                                                       Restructuring Implementation Assistance Project (IAP); (iii) Russian Federation Coal Sector Ad-
                                                                       justment Loan (SECAL II); (iv) Ukraine Coal Pilot Project Loan; (v) Ukraine Coal Sector Adjustment
                                                                       Loan (SECAL); (vi) Poland Hard Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL I); (vii) Poland Hard Coal
                                                                       Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL II); (viii) Poland Hard Coal Social Mitigation Loan; (ix) Poland
                                                                       Hard Coal Mine Closure Loan; (x) Romania Mine Closure and Social Mitigation (MCSM) Loan; and
                                                                       (xi) Romania Mine Closure, Environmental and Socio-economic Regeneration (MCESR) Loan. See
                                                                       Bibliography for a list of documents.

                                                                  3	   The Just Transition for All concept builds on the International Trade Union Confederation’s (ITUC)
                                                                       concept of a “Just Transition.” The ITUC’s definition is ‘A just transition brings together workers,
                                                                       communities, employers, and government in social dialogue to drive the concrete plans, policies, and in-
                                                                       vestments needed for a fast and fair transformation. It focuses on jobs, livelihoods, and ensuring that no
                                                                       one is left behind as we race to reduce emissions, protect the climate, and advance social and economic
                                                                       justice’. The “Just Transition for All” complements this concept by also envisioning the reform
                                                                       of labor and social policy and institutions to ease the disruption faced by a wide range of people
                                                                       directly and indirectly affected by the transition toward clean energy, as well as to support them
                                                                       in their post-transition jobs and lives.

                                                                  4	   Global dialogues on meeting the Paris Climate Agreement’s targets have started to address the
                                                                       “Just Transition” for coal sector workers within the context of phasing down coal consumption
                                                                       and transforming energy systems. Institutions and organizations that advocate for reduced coal
                                                                       use have also turned their attention to facilitating a Just Transition from coal with initiatives that
                                                                       aim to facilitate workforce transitions, development of employment opportunities, and quality
                                                                       jobs in relation to the implementation of climate change mitigation policies.

                                                                  5	   The Just Transition for All concept builds on the International Trade Union Confederation’s (ITUC)
                                                                       concept of a “Just Transition.” The ITUC’s definition is ‘A just transition brings together workers,
                                                                       communities, employers, and government in social dialogue to drive the concrete plans, policies, and in-
                                                                       vestments needed for a fast and fair transformation. It focuses on jobs, livelihoods, and ensuring that no
                                                                       one is left behind as we race to reduce emissions, protect the climate, and advance social and economic
                                                                       justice’. The “Just Transition for All” complements this concept by also envisioning the reform
                                                                       of labor and social policy and institutions to ease the disruption faced by a wide range of people
                                                                       directly and indirectly affected by the transition toward clean energy, as well as to support them
                                                                       in their post-transition jobs and lives.

                                                                  6	   Coal is used here as a proxy to cover hard coal and lignite.

                                                                  7	   The eleven loans made by World Bank were as follows: (i) Russian Federation Coal Sector Adjust-
                                                                       ment Loan (SECAL I); (ii) Russian Federation Coal Sector Restructuring Implementation Assis-
                                                                       tance Project (IAP); (iii) Russian Federation Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL II); (iv) Ukraine
                                                                       Coal Pilot Project Loan; (v) Ukraine Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL); (vi) Poland Hard Coal
                                                                       Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL I); (vii) Poland Hard Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL II);
                                                                       (viii) Poland Hard Coal Social Mitigation Loan; (ix) Poland Hard Coal Mine Closure Loan; (x) Ro-
                                                                       mania Mine Closure and Social Mitigation (MCSM) Loan; and (xi) Romania Mine Closure, Envi-
   56                                                                                                                                                                                    57
                                                                        ronmental and Socio-economic Regeneration (MCESR) Loan.                                                            tainable Development (IISD), Manitoba, Canada. May 2018.

                                                                  8	    The World Bank made eleven loans for coal sector adjustment as follows: (i) Russian Federation               19	   Interview with Brandon Dennison, CEO of Coalfield Development Corporation, 25th April 2018
                                                                        Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL I); (ii) Russian Federation Coal Sector Restructuring Imple-                    noted that out-migration depends on social networks in destination areas, which can be very im-
Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a Just Transition for All
                                                                        mentation Assistance Project (IAP); (iii) Russian Federation Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL                    portant for providing a basis of security for the move to another location.
                                                                        II); (iv) Ukraine Coal Pilot Project Loan; (v) Ukraine Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL); (vi)
                                                                                                                                                                                     20	   These figures do not include job losses in the subsidiary businesses linked to the coal industry.
                                                                        Poland Hard Coal Sector Adjustment Loan (SECAL I); (vii) Poland Hard Coal Sector Adjustment
                                                                        Loan (SECAL II); (viii) Poland Hard Coal Social Mitigation Loan; (ix) Poland Hard Coal Mine Clo-             21	   Exact figures for coal mining employment in China varies by source.  The Annual Mining Report
                                                                        sure Loan; (x) Romania Mine Closure and Social Mitigation (MCSM) Loan; and (xi) Romania Mine                       2018 submitted by China to the Asia-Pacific Economic (APEC) 12th Mining Task Force Meeting,
                                                                        Closure, Environmental and Socio-economic Regeneration (MCESR) Loan.                                               Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea 21-22 August 2018, reported 2.5328 million employees in energy
                                                                                                                                                                                           minerals in 2017.w
                                                                  9	    The case studies presented in this report are taken largely from a companion draft EEX report
                                                                        “Coal Sector Adjustment: Case Studies of Coal Mine Closure in Different Regions of the World,”               22	   The New Policies scenario is IEA’s central scenario that is based on policies that are in place and
                                                                        World Bank, forthcoming.                                                                                           announced.

                                                                  10	   Germany remains a major producer of lignite and brown coal.                                                  23	   Energy intensity is the ratio of primary energy supply to gross domestic product. Thus, a decrease
                                                                                                                                                                                           in energy intensity implies that the economy is more energy efficient.
                                                                  11	   For this paper, “coal” includes anthracite and “lignite” includes brown coal. Unless otherwise
                                                                        noted, all units, including for the United States, are in metric tons, with one metric ton equal to          24	   Heat pumps and air conditioning units are roughly twice as efficient compared to those available 15
                                                                        1,000 kg and to 2,204.6 pounds.                                                                                    years ago.  Coupled with improved insulated buildings, energy efficiency has improved considerably.

                                                                  12	See: https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/naics4_212100.htm (Accessed 27th April 2018). These                        25	   Source: “World Energy Balances (2017 Edition),” the International Energy Agency (IEA).
                                                                        numbers include all facets of a coal mine company: executives, management, underground and                   26	   International Gas Union (IGU) estimates that global gas prices, at $3.35 per million British Ther-
                                                                        surface miners, engineers, health and safety, etc.                                                                 mal Units (MMBTU) were the lowest ever recorded in their surveys that started in 2005.
                                                                  13	See: https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes518013.htm (Accessed 27th April 2018).                                  27	   The IGU states that Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) trade has reached record levels for the last three
                                                                  14	   Indeed, laid-off mining workers likely earn higher wages with more benefits as compared to al-                     years in a row.
                                                                        ternative low-skilled jobs. This is likely due to several factors. First, miners are paid a “compen-         28	   Lazard 2017 LCOE Report available at https://www.lazard.com/perspective/levelized-cost-of-en-
                                                                        sating wage differential,” namely higher pay in order to compensate for the dangerous and phys-                    ergy-2017.
                                                                        ically strenuous labor required in coal mining. Second, years of strong unions will boost mining
                                                                                                                                                                                     29	   Shale gas production in the United States increased rapidly from 2 trillion cubic feet (TCF) in 2007
                                                                        wages more than in less organized low-skilled industries. Third, laid-off mining workers may
                                                                                                                                                                                           to 17 TCF in 2016.
                                                                        enjoy wage increases due to tenure, while the offered wage for a new worker in an alternative
                                                                        industry will not recognize tenure in the mining sector. Fourth, and more relevant for developed             30	   Coal-fired power in the United States was responsible for about half of all electricity production
                                                                        economies, is the scarcity of demand for low-skilled workers, which pushes down offered wages                      before shale gas became available.  In 2017 gas-fired power plants edged out coal-fired produc-
                                                                        in jobs that former miners may be suitable for.                                                                    tion for the first time.

                                                                  15	   Consider for instance the International Trade Union Confederation’s concept of a “Just Transi-               31	   Careful planning is needed to maintain reliable energy supply at low cost, without which support
                                                                        tion,”—‘A just transition brings together workers, communities, employers, and government in social                for the transition would be jeopardized. The United Kingdom undertook detailed planning during
                                                                        dialogue to drive the concrete plans, policies, and investments needed for a fast and fair transformation.         the 1980s to facilitate a transition to support increased use of low-cost natural gas from the North
                                                                        It focuses on jobs, livelihoods, and ensuring that no one is left behind as we race to reduce emissions,           Sea. This process included both the physical aspects of energy supply as well as the policies to
                                                                        protect the climate, and advance social and economic justice’.                                                     support unbundling and privatization. Germany introduced policies in 2004 to support increased
                                                                                                                                                                                           use of wind and solar power, using feed-in tariffs to help address environmental externalities
                                                                  16	   Global dialogues on meeting the Paris Climate Agreement’s targets have started to address the
                                                                                                                                                                                           initially, followed by auctions once the cost of renewable energy options had decreased. Lastly,
                                                                        “Just Transition” for coal sector workers within the context of phasing down coal consumption
                                                                                                                                                                                           the states of California and South Australia found that rapid deployment of solar and wind created
                                                                        and transforming energy systems. Institutions and organizations that advocate for reduced coal
                                                                                                                                                                                           problems for system reliability and introduced a market for energy storage that successfully ad-
                                                                        use have also turned their attention to facilitating a Just Transition from coal with initiatives that
                                                                                                                                                                                           dressed this issue.
                                                                        aim to facilitate workforce transitions, and develop employment opportunities and quality jobs in
                                                                        relation to the implementation of climate change mitigation policies.                                        32	   Later renamed “Agentia Zonelor Miniere”—(AZM).

                                                                  17	   This report recognizes that coal mine closure intersects with the broader issue of economic diver-           33	   For more information on Coalfield Development Corporation see: http://coalfield-development.
                                                                        sification and rejuvenation—a diverse research area beyond the narrower scope of this report on                    org/ (Accessed 27th April, 2018).
                                                                        short-to-medium issues on closure.
                                                                                                                                                                                     34	   For more information see: http://www.wismut.de/en/ (Accessed 10th June, 2018).
   58                                                             18	   Vriens, Lauren. 2018. “The End of Coal: Alberta’s coal phase-out.” International Institute for Sus-                                                                                                                          59
      Managing Coal Mine Closure
     Achieving a Just Transition for All




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