Madhya Pradesh
Poverty, Growth & Inequality
Madhya Pradesh is the 5th most populous state in India and home to 73 million people. Poverty
in Madhya Pradesh was similar to the national average in 1994, but since then poverty reduction
has lagged the rest of the country. Consumption inequality has increased marginally during this
period. The state today has high levels of poverty, especially in the eastern and southern districts,
and is home to 24 million poor. Growth is lower than in other states, and is driven mainly by
industry and services.



Poverty in Madhya Pradesh is among the highest in the country
     Population below poverty line, 2012 (%)
50


       40
40
            37   37
                       35   34
                                 33   32   32
30                                              29


                                                     22   22
                                                               21    20
20                                                                        19
                                                                               17   17
                                                                                         15   15
                                                                                                   12   12
                                                                                                             11    11   11   10
10                                                                                                                                  9   9   8    8   8
                                                                                                                                                         5


 0
       CG JH MN AR BH OD AS MP UP AI MZ KA WB NL MH GJ TR RJ MG TN UK HR JK DL AP SK                                                        PJ   KL HP GA

     Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.



Eastern and southern districts of Madhya Pradesh have very high poverty
              District level poverty, 2012

                                                                                                                  ★ Bhopal
                                                                                                                    Patna

                                                                                                                  Population below the poverty line,
                                                                                                                  2012 (%)

                                                                                                                        4-15
                                                                                                                        0.6-5.2
                                                                                                                        15-25
                                                                                                                        5.3-13.2
                                                                                                                        25-38
                                                                                                                        13.3-17.2
                                                                                                        N               38-49
                                                                                                                        17.3-22.6
                                                                                                                        49-77
                                                                                                                        22.7-62.8
                                                                                                         N




 1      May 20, 2016
Madhya Pradesh
Poverty, Growth & Inequality

Poverty reduction in Madhya Pradesh has lagged the rest of the country
     Population below poverty line, (%)
70


60


50


40


30


20


10


0
      MN JH BH OD AR AS CG KA MH UP AI TN AP MP WB RJ                               GJ MG HR HP UK TR SK KL JK   PJ   GA NL DL MZ


                                                              ● 1994   ● 2005       ● 2012
     Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.




Poverty in Madhya Pradesh increased during 1994-2005, but has declined steadily since then
                                          Population below poverty line, (%)
                                     70


                                     60
                                                                               54
                                                     49
                                     50      Rural
                                             Total                             49
                                                     45
                                     40
                                                                                                    36

                                            Urban                              35
                                     30
                                                     32                                             32


                                     20
                                                                                                    21

                                     10


                                      0
                                                   1994                    2005                    2012



 2      May 20, 2016
Madhya Pradesh
Poverty, Growth & Inequality
                                                                                                                               0       10        20         30        40         50             60     70       80

                                                                                                                         -1                                      AS                           High poverty,
                                                                                                                                                                                             declining slowly
                                                                      Annual decline in poverty rate, 2005 - 2012 (%)
Growth in Madhya Pradesh
                    -3   has lagged other states
                                            JH                                                                                                                                      CG

                                                          12                                                                                                          UP
                                                                                                                         -5                                  UK

                                                          11                                                                                                                    MP
                                                                                                                                                              KA                         BH
                                                (%) (%)




                                                                                                                         -7
                                                          10                                 Improving                                                           WB             Leading                                                                       All India
                                                                                                                                                                                      OD
                                           - 2012
                                         - 2012




                                                                                                                         -9                                  GJ
                                                          9                                                                                                                                                                                          Data for 19 large states and All India.
                                                                                                                                                                           TN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Low Income States are highlighted in orange.
                                    2005




                                                                                                                                                       HR
                              rate, 2005




                                                          8                                                              -11                                     AP MH                GJ
                                                                                                                                                                 RJ                            MH
                            rate,




                                                                                                                                                 KL                                  KL           HR
                                                          7                                                                                       PJ                                  HP                                                             Interpreting the graph
                                                                                                                         -13
                                                                                                                        BH                       RJ         TN
                       growth




                                                                                                                                           OD                      KA
                     growth




                                                          6                                                                             MP  CGHP




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Improvement from 2005 to 2012
                                                                                                                                                             UK                          PJ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Improving                Leading
                                                                                                                         -15       Low poverty,
                                                                                                                                                        WB                                                                                               Low income,            High income,
                Annual




                                                          5                                                                         UP
                                                                                                                                   declining fast        AP
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         high growth            high growth
              Annual




                                                                                                                                                 JH
                                                          4                                                   -17
                                                                                                            Lagging                                                        Weakening
                                                                                                                                            AS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Lagging             Weakening
                                                          3                                                                                                                                                                                              Low income,            High income,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          low growth             low growth

                                                          2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Standard of living, 2005
                                                               0   5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000

                                                                                    Real
                                                                                 Real    GSDP
                                                                                      GSDP       per capita,
                                                                                           per capita,         (2005
                                                                                                       (2005 Rupees)                                                  Rupees)
                                                                                                                                                                           All India




Madhya Pradesh’s growth is driven by industry and services
     Annual growth rate, (%)                                                                                                                                                                  Components of GSDP growth rate, (%)
15 15                                                                                                                                                                       15 15


                                                                                                                                                                            12 12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4.7

10 10
                                                                                                                                                                                9        9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4.1                                                             5.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5.5
                                                                                                                                                                                6        6                                                                                                     4.2
 5    5                                                                                                                                                                                                  2.1          4.5                                    3.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                 4.2                                                                                  2.1            1.6
                                                                                                                                                                                3        3               1.3                                                                                         3.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                         1.9                                                             2.2          2.1      2.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1.7
0                                                                                                                                                                               0                0.3                  0.7                                                                      0.1
      0                                                                                                                                                                                  0
      2005  2006
         2005     2007
               2006     2008
                     2007     2009
                           2008     2010
                                 2009     2011
                                       2010     2012
                                             2011  2012                                                                                                                                         -1.4                                                        -0.4

                                                                                                                                                                            -5 -5
           ■ Madhya Pradesh GSDP                                                                                                    ■ All India GDP                                 20052006
                                                                                                                                                                                 2005      20062007
                                                                                                                                                                                                  20072008
                                                                                                                                                                                                         20082009      20102011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                20092010      20112012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2012


                                                                                                                                                                                                       ■ Services                                        ■ Industry                ■ Agriculture




3         May 20, 2016
Madhya Pradesh
Poverty, Growth & Inequality

Poverty reduction in Madhya Pradesh slower than in other states
                                                                            Poverty rate, 2005
                                                                            0          10           20          30         40     50         60        70   80

                                                                      -1                                             AS                  High poverty,
                                                                (%)




                                                                                                                                        declining slowly
                                                          2012(%)




                                                                      -3
                                                  2005 --2012




                                                                                                                                JH CG

                                                                                                                           UP
                                            rate,2005




                                                                      -5
                                                                                                                                 MP
                                          rate,




                                                                                                                    KA                  BH
                                                                      -7
                                                                                                                     WB                                                All India
                                 in poverty




                                                                                                                                         OD
                             in poverty




                                                                      -9                                         GJ                                               Data for 19 large states and All India.
                                                                                                                                                                  Low Income States are highlighted in orange.
                                                                                                          HR
                         decline




                                                                      -11                                                 MH
                                                                                                                     RJ
                    decline




                                                                                                    KL
                 Annual




                                                                                                     PJ
                                                                      -13                                       TN

                                                                                                      HP
             Annual




                                                                                                                    UK
                                                                      -15        Low poverty,
                                                                                 declining fast                AP

                                                                      -17




Madhya Pradesh is among the Low Income States where a disproportionate share of India’s poor live
                                                                            bubble size: number of poor (millions)
                                                                      25


                                                                                                                                                  UP
                                                 (%) (%)




                                                                      20
                                               2012
                                            2012
                                        poor,




                                                                                                               BH                                                                 Data for 19 large states and All India.
                                      poor,




                                                                      15                                                                                                          Low Income States are highlighted in yellow.
                               India’s
                           in India’s




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Interpreting the graph
                                                                                                                                                                         What % of India’s poor lives in this state?
                     share in




                                                                      10                            MP
                   share




                                                                                                                      MH                                                                                                 Share of poor > share                      io
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      n
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  at
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             of population                     pul
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             po
               State




                                                                                          OD                                                                                                                                                            of
             State




                                                                                                    KA         WB                                                                                                                                   e
                                                                                  JH                                                                                                                                                              ar
                                                                       5                                                                                                                                                                        sh
                                                                                CG                    RJ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                =
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         po
                                                                                     AS        GJ          AP                                                                                                                         of
                                                                                                    TN                                                                                                                          ar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  e        Share of poor < share
                                                                                  HR                                                                                                                                          Sh               of population
                                                                                       KL
                                                                                 UK PJ
                                                                       0
                                                                            HP                                                                                                                                         What % of India’s population lives in this state?
                                                                            0                  5                 10              15               20         25

                                                                                          State share
                                                                                             State     in
                                                                                                   share inIndia’s   population,
                                                                                                            India’s population,    2012
                                                                                                                                     (%) (%)
                                                                                                                                2012

4   May 20, 2016
Madhya Pradesh
Poverty, Growth & Inequality

Consumption inequality has increased marginally in Madhya Pradesh, mainly in urban areas
                                                   Gini coefficient
                                            0.4
                                                                                                                    0.37 0.37


                                                                     0.31
                                                             0.30                                            0.30
                                            0.3       0.28
                                                                                  0.27           0.27
                                                                                         0.25


                                            0.2




                                             0.1




                                            0.0
                                                             Total                       Rural                   Urban

                                                                 ■ 1994           ■ 2005                ■ 2012



Madhya Pradesh’s consumption inequality is higher than other Low Income states but below
the national average
      Gini coefficient, 2012
0.4




0.3




0.2




0.1
        KL DL KA MH AR TN AI HR WB MP CG UP                                 PJ   HP GA UK AP GJ MZ OD JK JH RJ AS TR NL BH SK MG MN


      Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.


 5      May 20, 2016