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           ISBN 5 7777 0238 4


   2004 .      World Development Report 2005. A Better
Investment Climate for Everyone  Oxford University Press   .   
ISBN 0 8213 5724 7 (  ), 0 8213 5682 8 (  ).

      � �,      .
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     .        ,     
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 ,      ,  : Copyright Clearance Center, Inc.,
222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA, . 978 750 8400,  978 750 4470, www.copyright.com.
     ,      ,      
,    : Office of the Publisher, World Bank, 1818 H Street N.W., Washington, DC 20433;  202 522
2422, e mail: pubrights@worldbank.org.

     :   .    --   
   �    2005�; � Linda Frischtel.



  




ISBN 5 7777 0238 4

� 2004 .     / 
The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank
1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433, USA
�     --  � �, 2005

    


           xiii
                      xv
                                 xvi

       1
      --      

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                                    12

                                       14


      I
    
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            57

vi        2005



        3                                          58
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              II
                                79

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                                                          82

                                                      86

                           90

                                                    94


        5                                      97
                                  97

                          109

                                           113


        6                              117
                       117

            :     

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        7                              140
                                                     141

                  

                 145

                                      155


              III
                
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        8                              163
                                             163

                             167

                                                          vii



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                                  246

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                 252

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                             256

                 267

viii         2005



1.                          2           2.12.          51
2.                                      2.13.  --    
         ?                        5                52
3.        :  ,                          2.14.     
               7                                   
4.                                                               54
        2005   15                       2.15.                               55
1.1.                                    2.16. � �  
           20                                    56
1.2.                                    3.1.    :
                      21                             59
1.3.     ,                              3.2.          60
              22                        3.3.       
1.4.                                           ?       66
       .                                3.4.      
         2003         25                                     67
1.5.                                    3.5.    :   
        :  ,                                  ?  68
          27                            3.6.      --
1.6.                      29                                   68
1.7.                                    3.7.  �  �:  
        ,                                            69
                  29                    3.8.    
1.8.      --                                                           70
       ,                                3.9.   ��  
      �� 30                                            72
1.9.           31                       3.10.    
1.10.                                              74
                                        3.11.    
         32                                           75
1.11.                                   3.12.                            76
                           33           3.13.   
1.12.                         35                 
2.1.                                                     76
         39                             4.1.   
2.2.                      40                                    82
2.3.       40                           4.2.      : 
2.4.                                              
                            41                     82
2.5.     G�camines                      4.3.      
                 43                                        83
2.6.     :                              4.4.                          84
        ?          43                   4.5.  20     
2.7.                            44                                      85
2.8.     :                              4.6.     
        ?          46                                     86
2.9.                                    4.7.      ;
         47                                                    87
2.10.                                   4.8.  ,                        92
                            48          4.9.      --  
2.11.                              49            ?                 93

                                                                                  ix


4.10.    :                                 6.12.      
        ?                      95                   139
5.1.   ,                                   7.1.    /  
                                   99               141
5.2.    :                                  7.2.    ��    
                                100                 
5.3.                                                  143
                       101                 7.3.    
5.4.                                                
                    103                             
5.5.      �  �?                       103                 144
5.6.                                       7.4.                       145
                                           7.5.                     146
                       105                 7.6.     
5.7.                         105                       150
5.8.                                       7.7.       
           108                                    ?                  152
5.9.     :                                 7.8.       
      ?   110                                       158
5.10.    ,                                 8.1.     
      ?    111                                     164
5.11.                                      8.2.   ��   
      ?    112                                     .
5.12.                                              ()              164
                        115                8.3.    
5.13.                                                 168
         116                               8.4.                     169
5.14. :                             116    8.5.   :    
6.1.     :                                            171
                  119                      8.6.                            171
6.2.                                       8.7.      
         :                                                            172
      ,                    122             8.8.                          173
6.3.                                       8.9.                    174
                  123                      8.10.     
6.4.                                                175
       ,                                   8.11.     
         124                                                  176
6.5.                                       8.12.  � �  
                         124                            176
6.6.                                       8.13.   
           128                                             176
6.7.                                       9.1.     :  
                                                   180
         130                               9.2.  :   
6.8.      ,                                      ?      181
                                     131   9.3.                             183
6.9.                                       9.4.    
                                 135                                           184
6.10.                                      9.5.     
                            136                                        185
6.11.                                      9.6.     
           138                                           187

x           2005


9.7.                                     10.1.     
                                                  
                 188                               197
9.8.                                     10.2. ,  :  
       ?         188                                                    198




1.1.   ,                                 8.1.       
                                                     172
        ( )                    22        8.2.     
2.1.        ,                                      (%)                     173
                          42             8.3.     175
3.1.    ?              69                8.4.      
3.2.   ,                                         177
        , --                             10.1.   
            74                                 ,     :
5.1.   ,                                          1999--2002 .
                                               ( .   2001 .)    195
                108




1.                                       13.      
         2                                        
2.                                                
             3                                                       14
3.       ,                               1.1.      
             3                                     
4.                                                21
            3                            1.2.      
5.     60 .                                                        23
                                         1.3.    
                     4                            
6.    ��                                          23
                           4             1.4.      
7.                                                  
            5                                       23
8.                                       1.5.     
           ��                       6                       24
9.    ,                                  1.6.      
        ( )                   8                   
10.                                      1.7.     -- 
       ,                                                 25
                         9               1.8.       
11.                                                
                                                                     26
                   11                    1.9.                             26
12.                                      1.10.    
                                                    
              12                                                28

                                                                              xi


1.11.                                  3.2.     
                      28                           64
1.12.    ,                             3.3.        
            30                                  64
1.13.      ,                           3.4.          
                    32                        ,   
1.14.                                           
                       33                              65
1.15.       --                         3.5.       
          34                                     1990  . 
1.16.                                               67
       ,                               3.6.     
          34                                  --                        69
1.17.                                  4.1.     ?                          83
                            35         4.2.       
1.18.                                            ,
      ,                                         
                                                         86
           36                          4.3.     ,   
2.1.                        43                                 89
2.2.                                   4.4      
                                                
            44                                      89
2.3.    ,                              4.5.     
              46                                                        91
2.4.                                   4.6.   --  
              47                                                  91
2.5.                                   4.7.                  96
      ��,                              5.1.       
                     48                         
2.6.                                                     98
        ,                              5.2.      
                         48                       
2.7.    --                                                 102
           ��                          5.3.       
          49                                   
2.8.      ,                                                     102
                                       5.4.     , 
          50                                  ,  ,
2.9.                                                      104
                                       5.5.     , 
         30%     50                                
2.10.  : ,                                                                107
        ,                              5.6.      
                           51                    
2.11.                                               109
       :                               5.7.   1990  .   
           53                                    ,
2.12.                                                               109
                                       5.8.    :  
               54                                            109
3.1.  ,    :                           5.9.      
       ,                         61                             111

xii          2005


5.10.                                             
                                                      140
       114                               7.2.       
5.11.                                                 
       ,                                                 142
       114                               7.3.                               143
5.12.    --                              7.4.      
       18   115                                   ,   
6.1.                                                
                                                                          148
                 117                     7.5.       
6.2                                               
                                  118          ,                          149
6.3    ,                                 7.6.       
                                                  1990  .             150
              120                        7.7.       ,
6.4                                                                        151
        (                                7.8.      
        )           127                              
6.5.                                            ,                      151
                                         7.9.     
                      129                                                153
6.6.                                     7.10.   
                                                    
            129                                    
6.7.                                                    154
                                         7.11.    ,   1990 .,
                              129                                      154
6.8.                                     7.12.  ,   
                                               ,     
                                                   ,
          130                                                  156
6.9.                                     8.1.      ,   
        --  ,                                       
                                133                   165
6.10.                                    8.2.                           174
                                         8.3.      
                               133                 
6.11.                                                 175
                                         8.4.     
                            134                   
6.12.                                                                 177
                                         9.1.     
                                                ()    
                   135                                 181
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        ,                                               182
       ,                                 9.3.   1990  .    
                            136                   186
6.14.                                    10.1. ,  ,
                           137                      
7.1.                                              
                                                         193




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xiv        2005


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8        2005


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       : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys        
        BEEPS II.                                   .

                                                            9

                  
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 � 
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                                         %
    
            : Investment Climate Surveys.
  ,    ,        .

10        2005


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                                                                            11

    
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                  : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.
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12        2005


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                                                        20.   
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                                                           . 
              .
         : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.           
                                                       ,    .  
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                              13

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14                2005


                              ,                              ;      
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 13                                                             13% , 
                                                                 ,
       
                                                                   ,
      
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                                                               26  .   
                                                                  
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                                                              .   , 
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:     (www.oecd.org)  World Bank (2004k)                       ,   

                                      15



  4       2005

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20        2005


                            
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                  ,                                                                 21

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22        2005


                                                                  
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                  ,                                                                                                 23


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                                            : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys. : World Bank Investment Climate
                                                                                     Surveys/BEEPS II.

24         2005


 1.5                                                                               .   
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: World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.                                        :        
                                                                                ,     

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                                : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys and        

                                WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal Firms.             , 

           ,                                                               25


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      �              ,                             
                                                   
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   ,  
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26              2005


 1.8                                          .    
                                              ,      
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                                               ,     
        8
                                               ,     
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     %        1980  .                         ,  ,   
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                                                  ,  
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                                                 . 
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                                               ,    

     0                                              
       1980                1990       2000    .      

:    92  .                                     ,    

: World Bank (2004k).                                           

                      ,                                                                                                      27



  1.5   
                           :  ,   
                                                                                   .    
                                               ?                                       
   ,    ,                                                                           ,      
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  .                                                 10  �  440 .                       
                                                 1980 .  4 475 .  2002 . (         ,  ,
   .                                             ),                                  
  1980  .                                         �  670                              
                                               .  1980 .  2 570 .  2002 .            ,   
     ,                                                                                 
                                                  (. .),                              
                                                  ,                                .   ,   
                                                                                   1990  .    
   .                                            ,   ,                                  
   1980  .  ,                                                                        . 
                                                                                    ,  
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   1990  .                                        ,                                .     
                                                                                   .     
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      18                                      75                                      
                                                                                      
                                                                                     
                                          )                                        .        
                                           
                                                                                      ,  
                                           .                                           
      12                                     50
    %                                                                               .  
                                            1
                                                                                        
                                                                                       1990  2000 .  
     ,                                                                                  
      
                                                                                      1990  2002  4%   (
                                             
       6                                      25                                         
                                             (
                                                                                       ).  
                                              
                                        ,                                          ,    , 

                                                                                    56%  1992 .  35%  2000 .

                                              
                                                                                   :           Ahluwalia   (2002); Chen  and
       0                                       0
         1990 1999 1981 2000 1990 2002            1981 2001 1981 2001 1992 2000    Ravallion (2004); De Long (2003); Che and

                                                                                   Wang (2001); Qian (2003); Rodrik and
                                                                                   Subramanian (2004); Young (2003); Young
      :    ()                                                                      (2000); Holmgren and others (2001); World
 ,      (      ).                                                                  Bank (2001d); and IMF and IDA (2003); World
           .                                                                       Bank (2004k); IMF (2004).




,   ,                                               .     
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     2000 .     ,                                       (. . 1.8). 
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 28                  2005


                                           13.                        ,      14�25% , 
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                                        ,   
                                                                         
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                                                                      .  ,   
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                                                                        ,  ,   

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 International Country Risk Guide                                       ,      , 
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                                      :      
                                                                          
                                        ; 1960�2000  62 
                                       .                               .

                                      :    Bosworth and                    

                                      Collins (2003).                     

              ,                                                                          29


  1.6  
                            ,                 ,    
     �                                            
       ,                                     .     
       .               ,                       ,    
                         .                       
                                             .
  .                    (  )                          
    �                  ,                     ,    ,
   .                  .                            
       �                                         
   ,                     ,                   .     
   .                                              
      ,               .                         
      .                                      ,    ,  
   ?                                             
   ,                  ,   ,                     
    .                    ,                    ,  
       ,                                          
                      ,   .                  . ,     
   � ,                                           ,
    ,                                               , 
   � �.   ,            .                         
                                                .
     .  �                .  
        ,                  
  ,    .                                     : Acemoglu (2001); Barro i Martin
  ,      ,              (                    (2003); Bosworth and Collins (2003); Easterly
                         )                   and Levine (2001); Hall and Jones (1999);
                      � �,                   Parente and Prescot (2000); Klenov and
   �                                         Rodrguez Clare (1997); Young (1995).


    . ,                      ,
 1960�2000 .              ,    
    (45�90%)                  
                         ,  
,                            
  (),    
 ,   ,                     1.7    
                                  
 (. . 1.11   1.6)18.               ,   
   , � �                           
   ,    
  �19.                                          ,    
  ,                                             ,  

 ,     ,                  ,                      . 
                          . ,  1960   1970  .   ,  
       
                                                  ,
,    
                                                    
  20.                                            ,  ,  
 ,     ,                     ,                       
                                                 .
  .                                                     

                           .                    ,   
                                                  , 
 ,  
                          ,                        
     , 
                              .                     .  
  ,  ,                                               
,    ,                                               
.                                                  , 
  .                          ,                        

                                                  
                           .                     .
. ,  
                               
    .
                                                : Castelar Pinheiro and others
                                                (2001) and Schor (forthcoming).
   ,  .   

30           2005


                                                     ,    
  1.8    �                                           
                                                    21.  
            ,                                            
             ��                                        200 
                                                       
    ��                        
                                                     .
                          
   1960  .            , , ,                          ��  

   ,                    .                             , 
                        288                             
                      ,                           .        
  .                    1986 .    156.              ,   
                        96                             
   . ,                ,    
                                                   ,   
                           
                         ,                             .

      ,                 ,                               ,   ,
                         53                              
                        ,                         .     ,   
      �                 88                              
     14 , ,            , 26                       ,    
  ,                     
                                                    :   
   .                      6 
                                                   20  1   30  1  22.   

  .                       ,                           ,   
                          324                            
   ,                  .  ,                               
                       200                            ,  
  .     ,              150   ,                      , 
   ,     ,               1992 .   
                                                       ,  
                         .   2003 .
   �                  ��     2                       . 

   ,                    �                               
  ,  ,                   .                        .     
                                                     40  60 ,  
   .                  : Kim (1997).                   ,   
                                                          
                                                   :      
                   .                              19  (  1961 .),  �  15  (
                                                    1965 .),      
                                                     (  1965 )23.
                 ,                                       
                                                     ,     
               1.12
                                                  ,     ,
                 ,
                                                       
                                                  .24   ,  
                    75                               ,  
                  %            
                                                   ,    , 
                   ,                                    , 

                                                      . 
                    50                                
                    
                                                       
                                                     
                                                      , 
               
                    25                                
                                                   .    
                                                         
                                                     ,  
                     0
                                                      
                                                      �
                                              
                                                           
                                                     . 
              :   27  
                                                   ,       
                  .
                                                     ,   
              : World Bank Investment Climate
              Surveys/BEEPS II.                       ,  

             ,                                                       31


   1.9  

      ,                       ,   
     .             ,              
                             .  ,  
      .                        , 
                  �             
   ,               .           .
                                   
  .                         ,   
   ,               ,         ,  
   .               ,           
                ,   .        ,   
    .                           
    �                             
     ,           .          .     
      .              ,           ,
       ,         ,               
    .                            
      ,           .         .    
   , �                        ,  
    �.          ,       ,     , 
           .       � �,          
    5%  20%      ,          .     
    .            .               
   �   .                        
                ,             .
  . ,    ,                           
                 (.  7).    ,     
   .                             
      ,           ,          .    , 
     .                           
      � ,         �    ,        
                    .           
  .                 ,       ,     
    �  ,        .              .
   (                            
  )                  .          
    . ,             ,   ,       
   ,  ,                          
                 .           �     
    .              ,        .  
     ,  ,  ,                   ( 
                            )  , 
  ,              . ,  ,         
   .                          ,   
   ,                ; ,      ,  , 
  .               ,             
                  .             
    .                       .
                    ,  
  ,   ,         .           : Bartelsman and others (2004); Klein
                  . ,       and Hadjichael (2003); Haltiwanger (2000);
   .                ,       Roberts and Tibout (1996); Schumpeterr
                , .         (1942); Cabellero and Hammour (2000);
  ,                         Boumol (2002).




                       . 
,  ,  ,                 � ,
                      ,  , 
 (.  1.7).          25.   
                         
                          
                   ,      
                         
                      26. 
,                     

32        2005


       1.13                                                                       
           ,                                                                     ()   5%  20%
                                                                                    29. 
                                                                              ,  ,  
                                                   
                           ,                                                   ,     
                                                                               20%   .
                                                 

                                                                                    
                                                                              ,     
                                                                                 ,    
                                                                                   
                                                                              30.     
                   
                                                                                  ,   
                                                                                   , 
                                                                              ,    ,   
            
                                                                               (. . 1.13).
                                                                                   

                                                                                     
                                                                              .    ,  
                        80   60  40    20      0    20      40     60    80         
      :                                                                           . 
       1988�2000 ,     ().                                                            
      : Bartelsman and others (2004) �    World Doing                             
      Business Project.                                                       ?  ,  ,  
                           ,                                                      ,
                           � �27.                                               ,    
                                                                                  � 
                             ,                                                   .   
                              (.  1.8).                                           
                          ,    ,                                                  31.
                               �                                                 ,
                                                                                  
                          (. . 1.12)   28.                                     ,   
                                                                                 . 
                                ,                                                 
                              (.  1.9).                                        .   
                                                                                ,   
                                                                              ,     
  1.10                                                                             
                                                                               ,    
                                                                               32.
                                                                               
  �  �,                        ,    ,                                          
    ,                                                                          
                               15%,       20%.
                                                                              ,   , 
                                       
                                                                                  
        ,                        , ,    
     ,                         ,    ,                                              

                                                                               ,  
  .   ,                                                                              
                               40%,                                              , ,
  ,   ,                           18%.                                            
                                   
                                                                                   
                                    
                                                                                 . � 
  ,                            :     
      .                        80%                                             �,  
   ,                           .                                              ,    ,   
    ,                              38%.                                         ,   
                                                                                  , 
  ,  40% ,   ,                                                                     ,
                               : Dollar, Hallward Driemeier, and
                                                                                  
   .                           Mengistae (2003b); Hallward Driemeier,
                                                                               (.  1.10). ,   
                               Xu, and Wallsten (2003); Dollar and others
                               (2004).                                            ,  
                                                                                 ,

                ,                                                                                               33

                                1.14
                                      
,         
                                               50
  .                                                                                       
                                                                    ( )
:     
                                               40
    80% 
                                    1981�2001
     
.                                            , 30
                                             

                                             
                                                     ( )
                                             1 20                     
                                                                    

 ,                                           
    .                                          10

     ,                                                     
                                                            
                                                0
                                                           
 ,     
                                                         
   2 .  ,   ,                                 �10
    ,                                            �2   0   2         4          6        8       10
    ,                                                    , 1981�2001
 1 .  .                        :    �  1992�2000 .;    , 
                                      .
                               : Chen and Ravallion (2004); World Bank (2004k).


   1.11       
                 
                              1990  . (. .).  ,                       ,   , 
       ,                      ,                                           
                                 45�,  ,                                3,9%,  
        .                       ,                                      ,   .   
     ,                        :                                        ,  
       ,                                                                 
        ,  �                                                             
      �                     ,                                       ,   ,   
                                                                        
      .                     .                                       ,      
                                                                    .
        ,                      ,                                            
       �                    . , ,                                      ,
   ,  ,                        ,                                      .   
    .                            �                                        
      ,                       ,                                     .  ,    
                            .                                       ,    
        ,                      ,                                      1993 .,  1997 . 59% 
                            ,    :                                       
         1980  .               ,                                         
                                 ,                                  ,  4%    
                                                                    .   62% ,   1993 . 

      8                        ;                                        ,
                              ,                                      1998 .    ,
              
                                                                     10%     
      6
                            .                                       .    1995  1998 . 60%
                                                                        
     4                          .                                    ,  9%   
                                                                     .      1991 
              
     2                      1,8%  ,      0,7%.                      2000 . 55%  

                            ,                                          ,  5%  

                                 ,                                    .
     0              
                             ,     
                                 ,   .                              : United Kingdom � DFID (2004);
     �2                                                             Pritchet (2003); Graham and Pettinato (2001);
      �4 �2  0  2  4  6  8    ,                                     Fields and Pfefferman (20030); and Lpez
           , %                 ,                                    (2003).

34        2005


 1.15                                                                  400
      �                                                          . (.  1.5)35.   
                                                                    
          
                                                                . ,    
                                                                  1980  2002     ,
                                                       
                                                                 66,8  70,7 ,    
         ,                                                       49  32  1 . .   
                                                                   
     
                                                                 54  63 ,    
                                                                40%,       
  ,                                                               .

                                                                       
                                                                   :   
                   
                                                                      
                                                                     
                                                                     

                                                                 . ,  
                                                                   ,   
                             0  10  20      30 40  50  60 70
                                              %                       
:  60 .     .                                                     .     
: Narayan and others (2000).                                         
                                 :                                  
                                                                ,       
                               ,   ,                                36.
                                                                       
                                  .                              ,   
                                                                    
                                                                  ,   ,

                               ,  ,    ,                             ,

                                                                      

                                                                37.      
                                33.                              ,      

                               ,                                  ,    

                                                                      (.

                              ,   90%                            1.11).       ,  
                               (. . 1.14)34.                    ,    , 

                                                                   ,   

                                                                  ;   , 

                                 ,                                     

                                 ,                              38.
                                                                        

                              1.16                               .    

                                                                      
                              ,                                 ,    
                                                                   �   
                                  5                              39.    
                                                                      
                                                                   
                                  4
                                                                ,    ,
                                                                ,     
                                 3                                  .    
                                                                 ,     
                                 2                                   
                                                                 .

                                 1                               
                                  0                                
                                   0      2     4    6   8      
                                           
                                                                 ,      
                             :  �  
                                                                   ,   
                                1960�2000 .
                                                                     ,  
                             : World Bank (2000k).

                 ,                                                                35

    
                        1.12   
.                                
     ,
    :                    1990  .              
                                              
  , , 
                         ,                    
,                        40%                 0,7 .
  ,                                             
                       ,                       
 .                        ,                . ,   ,
                         .                   

     . ,               ,                    ,
                            .                
      
                                         ,  
,    ,                 ,                  ,  
,     80%               .                ,  .  
   ,                                          
 40.                                         . 

� �,   60 .             ,                    

     60 ,                 .                 
                          ,                 ,  
     
                       ,                    .
                                             
 (. . 1.15).             .                ,  , 
     �                                       
                       ,                    ,   

      . ,  2003 .        .                  

                        95%                   
                                         .
90%    ,   
                          , 
  95%    ,  ,              80%  , ,           : Black (1999); Field (2002);
  41.                  ,   .             Grameen      Bank    website:...grameen
  ,                                      info.org; Kabeer (2003); Klasen (1999);
  (. . 1.16).                            Klase and Lamanna (2003); Maloney

                                         (2004); Narayan and others (2000); Rama

                        . ,              (2002); United Nations (2000); World Bank
                         ,               (2001g); and World Bank (2004f).
   . , , 
     ,
      1985  2000           
       2%  .              ,                    1.17
                                               
                        .                         
  :                                            

   20  . 1995 .  1      , �      
.  2002 .,                 . ,                     
 200 . .,    �         ,   
    42.                                              

                         ,                      
                         
 .                      ,                         
,                       
                                                  
   ,                  (.  7).
                                                  
                          
 43.                                           
                        .   3 
                                                 
     ,                . �   25 ,  1,5  � 
                       15 .     30               
  , �                      
     .                  2  .,    7  8                       0      25        50    75
                                                          
,                     .                                          %  
                       ,    ,
,                        ,    
                                                  : Schneider (2002).
  44.                  /45.

36        2005


 1.18                                               ,  ,   80%  
       ,                                                 
                                                   ,  , , 
                                                         
                                                         48.
                                                   ,   , , ,
                                                   ,   , ,  
                                                        
                                                       ,  
         
                                                          

                                                   ,    49.   
                                                       ,  
                                                     80%      
                                                    ,  ,   
                                                          
                                                   50.      
            
                                                        
                                                   ,       
           
                                                    .   10%   
                                                      ,  , 
                                                      5,8%   51.
          
                                                       
                  0       5     10     15    20
                                                   ,   .  
                       , 1960�2000 .
                                                       
: World Bank (2000k).                                  
                             .                       ,    ,
                                                    ,  
                                                           
                          �     ,                  .    �  
                              ,                     .    
                                                   ,     
                         (.  1.12)46.                  
                                                         .
                           (. . 1.17)47.            � ,    
                                                          
                                                       ,   
                          ,                               , 
                               .                            
                                                       ,   
                          (                            ,   
                         ),      (                         ,
                                                           
                          ).                            .  , ,
                         ,   ,                         ,   
                              �                         ,  
                         ,                                   , 
                             ,                         ,   
                            .  ,                        .     ,
                                                       ,   , 
                                                        ,  
                           , ,                          37�47 .  52.
                             (.  6).                � ,    
                                                            ,
                             .                              �
                                                          , 
                            ,                         ,                 ,
                           ,                                 
                            .                           (.  6).  , 
                                                      ,    
                         ,   ,                            
                         .                              28%  68% (  6.14).

         ,                          37

  � ,   
        ,            
        ,           
                    ?
   ,     ,            
                      ,    
       (.  6).    .      
  � ,                 
         ,          ,    
                      ?  
                      
    . ,            .     
                   , ,  
                   ,  
                      
   .                   , 
                      .   
     ,              ;  
      .                
                  ,   
         17%        .    
   ,                    .
     53.               3,  
                      
                      .  
                       
.                    
   ,                  .  
 .                   ,   , 
 ,                       
                  ,     ,
 ,                       ,
    ,               .   
    .               ,   
   ,                     
                    .    
                         
  ,               ,    ,  ,
                      , 
                         
 .  80%           ; ,    
                       .
      ,     
    54.          
 ,     
                  
   (. . 1.18).    ,     ,  
  ,                   
                      
                     .  
,                   �   , 
  .                    
                    .     
   (.  5).          ,         . 
,                 ,     
     ,            ,       .
 ,                     ,
                      
 55.               .  ,   
                         ,
                       
    .                  .

    
    



     ,                         
2                        ,
     ,                 
                      .
     �                 
       .                
      1.           ,  ,  
                      , 
       .            .  �   
                   ,   
         ,             .  
                         
                      ,    ,  
    ?                  .
      ?             ,     
                         
                     .     
                   ,     
                   ,    
      .             ,  ,  
    ,                ,     
      , :             , ,
      , ,    ;          :
      ;             �     .
                          
                        �    
     ,                   , 
    ,    .                .
                         , 
           ,             ,    
                         ,   
      ,                    
     .   ?            .  , 
     ,                     
                      ,     
      .                   
                      ,   
       ,                   
                          .
       .            �     .  
    ,                      
                         . 
    ,                     , 
    .                  ,   , 
                           
      .                ,   , 
       ,                   
       ,                 
    ,     .           .

                                  39

   �     
     .              2.1.  
        .                    
        
                       
                    ,  
                      , 
      .              , 
                     ,   

     ,      ,       , 

                      
                     (.  1). 
      ,    
                         
         .            
   �                  , ,
            .         , 
       ,              

      ,            ,   , 

                      ,   
                    . 
      .  
                      
                      , 
                    , 
       .               
                    .

                       

                        
                     
 �      
                   ,    
                     (. .) 
    �                   
  ,                     
,     (.           ,    

 2.1).              .  
                      
   
                        
    
                    .  
 .     ,               
, , .                 
                       
                     (, , 

                     ).  
                    ,  
   .
                     ,  
                        
 :                  .   

                       
                      
 ?                     
                     .
     
   (� 
�) ,   :             
�,    � �,        .  , 
  �1.              
    , ,               
                 .    
     ,               , �
                . .  ,      
                 (.  2.2),    
  ,  .             .   ,
 ,                  
,                     
 ,                . , 
                  ,    
   .                 ,
                     
    ,                  
                 .

40            2005


                                                                     ,   , 

  2.2                                                                 , 
                                                                        ,  

                                                                      .  
                                                                         
                    .                                               ,      
                                                                         
 .   3000 .  . .        
                                                                   .    
                        .
                                                                       , 
     .                     
  ,                                                                       
     ,              ,    .                                              .
 ,                                                                 ,     
   .                                                                     
                      ,                                            ,     
    .                  
                                                                      
                       .   
                                                                       
                       
    (218�202 .                                                     ,   ,  
  . .).             .                                                    
                       25%  1960 .  57%                             .   
    .                2001 .,                                           , 
  XVI�XVII .            2000 .                                     ,   .
                    1,4  .
                                                                          ,  
   (
                                                                    �    . 
                    : Micklethwait and Wooldridge
 )                  (2003); IMF (2004); Bates (2001); Bernstein          
 .                  (1996); Yergin and Stanislaw (2002); World         
                    Bank (1996b); McMillan (2002); The             .      
                    Economist (2003a); Chinoy (1998); World        ,     
 ,                  Bank (2004k); UNCTAD (2003i).                  ,   ,  
                                                                     ,   
                    ,                                                    
                    ,                                                    (.
                                                                    2.3).   
                    �                                                    
                      .                                                  
                                                                   ,      :   
                    . ,                                             �  � 
                                                                         2.


  2.3    

                                                                         . 
    .                         40%                                    ��  ��  
                                                                             
 .                      ,       �                                        
                          100�200%                                   .     
  ,                                                                   ,  
     .                     .                                           .
                          ,                                               
   ,                                                                  ,   
  ,  .                   ,                                              
    ,                        .                                          
     ,                                                                (.  9). , 
  ( )   ,                   , ,                                      20      
     .                  , ,   ,                                        � �
                                                                     (Equator Principles),   
                          /.  ,                                      ,   
   .                    ,                                              ,   
                           ,                                            
  . ,                    ,                                           .       
  ,                     ,   ,                                            
  ,                      "The Body Shop"                               .
                            
 :                        .                                          : Graham (2000); The Economist
 ,                            ,                                      (1999, 2002a); www.equatorprinciples.com.

                                                                                                                                    41

                                                , �     
                                                 , �   
                                                  , 
   .                                              ,    
                                               (.  5).
                                                      
                                                   
                                                  
 ,                                                   
.                                                 .   
    ,                                             ,   
                                                    
  ,                                           .     



  2.4        
                  ?
  ,                                                                                       ,  
  ,                                                                                          
      .                                   .                                              ,   
                                                 .                                        . , 
 :                                        ,                                                
   ;                                      ,     ,                                          
                                                                                          .
                                            ,.   �                                              �� 
  ;                                        �,                                           .   (��)  
    ;                                                                                      
 ,                                        50% ,   .                                         
  .                                                                                     .   ,    ��
                                          ,     �    .                                       
   :                                                                                        
      .                                       ,                                         ,    
                                                                                            
                                           .  ,                                         �    
 ,                                                                                           
 ;  ,                                       ,  .                                          (. .) ,  
   .                                      ,                                                 
                                           �                                             ��     
  ,   ,                                    ,  ,                                         ,      
                                               ;                                          .  
                                            ,                                               
                                            50%                                              
                                                                                             
   .                                          .                                          .
                                                                                               . 
  :                                          ,                                               
                                                                                            

   �� :                                                                                      
                                                                                        .     
                                               ��                                       .    
                                                                                            
                                                                                          ,  
                                                                                           . ,  
         
                                                                                             
                                                                                           

                                                                                          ,  
                                                                                          .    
                                                                                          ,  , 
                                                                                           .

                                                                                        : World Bank Investment Climate

                         0        10       20     30        40       50                 Surveys; WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal
                                                                                        Firms; Hallward Driemeier and Stone (2004);
                            ,   , %.
                                                                                        Halward Driemeier and Stewart (2004); Schnei
 :  ,                                                                                   der (2002); de Soto (2000).
 .
 : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys and WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal Firms.

42        2005


                                                                                            . ,
                                  .                                                          
                                 ,  ,                                                         
                                    ,                                                    .  ,  
                                  (  ),                                                 ,    
                                ,                                                         ,   
                                ,    . ,                                                ,      
                                  ,                                                         ( 
                                    2002 .   ,                                            )  . 
                                 ,     ,                                                  ,    
                                 2,5   ,                                                    (.  7).
                                  3.                                                           
                                                                                            
                                    ,                                                   .     
                                                                                             
                                   ,                                                      .  
                                  4.                                                      ,   
                                                                                             
                                            ,                                                 , 
                                                                                           .
                                                                                         �  ,  , 
                                     .                                                   ,    
                                                                                              
                                     ,                                                       , 
                                    ,                                                    5.
                                                                                             
                                   (.  2.4).                                            ,    
                                        ,                                                     , 
                                     ,                                                       
                                      .                                                  :
                                    ��  ��                                                �     ;
                                                                                          �   ;
                                                                                          �     
                                     (.                                                     ;
                                 6).  ,                                                   �    
                                                                                              
                                ,      .                                                     .
                                       
                                                                                         
 2.1
      ,    .                                                                              
                                                                                        ,    ,  
                                           ,                                             ,  : �   
                                                                                        �6.      
                                          , %                 , %
                                                                                           
  :                                          55,5                     3,9
                                                                                         ,  ,   
�� (  10 )                                   49,9                     4,4                 ,   
 (10�19)                                     56,7                     4,8                 .
 (20�49)                                     57,6                     4,0                 ,  , 

 (50�249)                                    58,5                     3,4                    

  (250  )                                    55,7                     3,0                    
                                                                                          ,   
 �� :                                        27,4                     8,6
                                                                                           . 
 ( 10 )                                      25,5                     8,5
                                                                                            � 
 (10  )                                      49,1                     9,3                ,     
                                             43,1                     2,8                     
                                             50,0                     5,2                 ,    
                                             51,0                     3,4                   .  

                                             59,1                     4,2               ,   

                                             68,8                     7,0                    
                                                                                              
                                             74,2                     3,2
                                                                                           .
: World Bank Investment Climate Surveys and WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal Firms.

                                                                                                       43


 2.1
                                     2.5   Gecamines                                        �
    3                                                     

                                                                      
                                                                    
    6                                 .                              �  
                                      "Union Minie�re                 
                         
                                    du Haut Katanga",  300  70 ,     
    5                                 1966 .                          
  %                                   "G�camines".                   
                         
                                                                  .     
    4                                ,                               .
                                     ,                           "G�camines"    
   ,                                ,    ,                           
    3                                 .                              
                                    70%    .                         .  
                                           ( �                      ,  

    2                               )                              240 . .  , 
                                      ,                               
                                    1960  .                         � 
                                    .                            �.
    1
                                       ,                                
                                                                   ,   
                                                                    ,   1974 .
    0                                   ,                            ,  
                                     1 800   ,                   .  1990 .   
                                       .                             ,  
:  ,                                                              .  1994 . 
 . ��                               ,   ,                           30,6 . .,  

     .                                  ,                         �  3 . .     .
                                                                   ,  
: World Bank Investment Surveys.
                                      .                             , . . 
                                         1970  .                   300 . .,   
                                      400 .  700 . .                3 . .;
                                      10 .  18 . .   ,             2 . .   
                                        700 .                      .
                                     900 . .   "G�camines"
 �                                    .                          : Wrong (2000).
    �    
    7.
                                     2.6  
,                                                     :   ?
     
                                                                      
 .                                  , ,                             
    ,                                                                
                                    ,                            .   
     
                                      .                              
 ,                                  ,                                
                                                                     
                                        .                          , ,  
                                                                     
.   �                                                            ,   
 �,                                  ,  .                         .
                                                                        
  ,                                                                  
.  ,                                .                             ,  
                                                                  ?   
      
                                    ,                               
    (. . 2.1)                         ,                           .    ,
     ,                                                               
                                    , . .                              
  (. . 2.1).                        � �.                              
      ,                                                          .  ,   ,
  .  ,                                                              
                                                                     
,                                   .                               
                                        .                           .  

   �                                                               
                                                                  ,   
      , ,                              ,                           ,  
     ,                                                              , 
                                       ,                             
                                                                     
.                                   .                            .
 ,                                       
                                                                 : Stijns (2000); Tornell and Lane
  :                                      .                       (1999); Levi (1988); Sacks and Warner
                                                                 (2001); Leite and Weidmann (1999); Ross

, , ,                                 ,                          (2001); Chaudhry (1997); Moore (1998).

44            2005


               2.2                                              8.  ,   
                                                                    , 
                                                                    .
                                                                       
                                                                   .  
               18                                                  �� 
               17                                                  , . . 
               16
                                                                     
               15                                               ,   (.  2.5).
               14                                                  ,  
               13                                                   ,  
               12                                                 ,     
               11                                                ,     
               10                                               .      
                 9                                                ,  
                 8                                              ,   ,  
                 7                                                 ,  
              
                 6                                                   
                 5                                                    ,
                 4                                                (.  2.6).
                 3                                                   
              ,  2                                                 : 

                  100 80 60 40 20         0   20 40 60 80 100   ,  ,  

                                                                     (
                                                                 ),   
                                                                   . 
              : 133                                             , � � , 
                  , 
                                                                 ,   . , 
                   .  
                                                                 ,     
                  , 
                ,   ,                                           ,   ,   
                ,                                                  .     
                   .                                            ,   ,  
                 �                                                 ,  
                  �                                                �9.
                : Kaufmann, Kraay, and Mastruzzi, 2003
                                                                      
                  
                                                                     .         
                .
              : World Bank (2004b); Kaufmann, Kraay, and            
              Mastruzzi (2003).                                  .   ,  
                                                                      
                                                                 ,   
   2.7                                                           .   
                                                                ,    ,   
   1974 .              ,                                            10.
                      1. .   ,                                     , 
    ,                 ,                                              
                       .   
  : ,                                                                 
   .                   ,  ,                                         (. . 2.2).
   ,                                                              ,    ,
   ,                                                                ,
     , �   .              
                                                                    
     .                 .
  ,                        .  1997 .                                
    ,  1994 .                                                       
                      ,                                            
                       .  1997�2002 . 
                                                                     
  ,                      
                                                                    
     ,                ( 10  73),                                    
                                                                (.  5).
                        �  2  1997 .
                                                                      �  
  .                    19  2002 .
    ,                                                               
    .                 : Open Society Institute (                .    
                      � �) (2002); Fombad                            
  828 , 141 .         (1999); Doing and Riby (1998).
                                                                      

                              45

.   ,     ,       , 
 .                    
               .  ,   
 �                ��   
,              ,    ,  
       .             
                  ,    
                 14.  � �
 ,                   
 11.            ,       
                    (   
               )    
                :     
  (.  2.7).           
                        
     ,         15.    ,   
   ,                
                  , 
                     
                   ,  
 .                ,    
                   
 12.  ,            
                 .    
 ,                   
   ,  . ,          
                ,   , 
                  ,  
,                .
    
    .  ,            � .  
,                     
               .       
  ,                 
                   .
13.  ,              
                   
                       
                .   
,                  
                  .  
 ,                 
.                 � ,   
                   
                    
                ,    
                ,    
,               .     
   .           ,      
  , ,             ,   
                   
                16.
  .                   
                   
                   
                   
                   .  ,
 .     :             
   � .          ,   ,
               . .     
  .                  
                   17.  

46         2005


  2.8   :   ?

  ,                                                                 ,   
    ,                                 . ,                               
       .                                  2002 .,  ,                 .  
                                      ,                               ,   
  ,                                   ,   240 .                        
     ,                               .,   ,                            . 
   .                                 ,   600 . .                     . ,  ,  
                                                                       , 
    .                                   ,                          ,   . 
     .                                                             ,     
                                        .                               
   ,                                                               ,      .
     ,                                  ?   
  .   ,                                �                           : Tullock (1983); Acemoglu, Johnson,
                                     ,                             and Robinson (2001); Hufbauer and Goodrick
   (   ),                             .                            (2003b).



                            ,                                      , 
                                                                 ,     
                             .                                        . 

 2.3                                                                
  ,                                                                  
                                                                   .  
                         
                                                                   , . .  
                        
                                                                    � �
                                                                   .  
                                                                      
                                                                      
                                                                   18.
                                                                    �   
                                                                    
                                                                   ,   
                                                                       
                                                                 .       
                                                                       
                                                                   ,   
                                                                    19. 
                                                                        
                                                                     . 
                                                                 , ,     , 
                                                                   ,    
   
                                                                   ,     ,
                                                                        , 
                                                                      
                                                                    (.  2.8). 
                                                                     
                                                                       
                                                                  ,    
                                                                 , , ,  
                                                                                                       20.
                                                                   ,   ,   
                                                                      
                                                                     
                 0                 10                 20    30
                                                                   21.
                       ,   
                                                                     ,
                    ��  �� , %
                                                                      
:                                                                     ,
,  ,    . ��   , 
                                                                                                       
 ,                                                                22.     
       .  
                                                                      ,
   ,      .
                                                                   ,     
: Desai (2004),   World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

                                                                                    47

                   2.4
.  ,                    
   1998 .               0
      23.
     
                      �10
,  ,                %
,      
 ,    (.              �20

. 2.3).     
,                                                        
                     ,�30                                 
    (. . 2.4)24.                                         
     ,                
                      �40
    
.     
:                     
                      �50                                
                                                         
                   
                                                         
      
                      �60
,                                                  

 .                                       
                                                  
                                        
    ,             :     ,     
                   .         ,
                   ,     . ��   , 
                   ,        
 ,    
                          .
  .       
                  : Desai (2004),   World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.
  :
  �                       
       .                (.  3).
         ,          �                 .
                         
    ,                    , 
        (             ,   
     3).                  
                          
     ,                    
     .                 (. . 2.5)26.  
          
        
    .   �           2.9  
    �,                                
      ,                                                 .  
                                                   , ,  ,
                                                     , 

                          .                            300 .
                                                   ,   �� 
     .   
                    , , ,                           .
        
                    ,                                  ,  
      25.                                              
  �   .             .  ,                             
                    ,                                
                    .                                ,  :

       ,                                              �   
                                                             
      .   
                     ,                                     , 
     ,   , 
                       . ,                                ;
      ,                                               �    
       ,             13 ,                                ;
        .            2/3                              �   
                    .                                   ;

                                                      �    
                                                       ,  .
        
                        
     (.  2.9).  
                    ,                              : Maxfield and Shneider (1997);
                       ,                           Recanatini and Ryterman (2001).
     ,  

48        2005


            2.5                                              2.6
                                                              
           ��,                                                , 
                                                               .

                                                                         2%
                                                              2%                        
               2.0                            
                                                               2%                       
                                                                 4%                     28%
                                             
                                                               10%

               1.5                              
                                             


                                                              
                                                             
            () 1.0                                              10%


                                                                19%
            ��
               0.5                                                                 
                                                                                   
                                                                                   23%

                                                            :  ,    
               0.0
                                                              ,   
                  �2         �1          0          1    2
                                                            ,   48 .
                                                            : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

           :   (��),                                                 
               �                                                   
             ,                                                    
            ,                                                       
           ,     WEF Executive                                    
           Opinion Surveys.                                         
            ( )                                                 27.   
              .
                                                                   
            : Kaufmann, Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2003).
                                                                                                
              
                                                                    
            : Banks (2001).   (�
           �)    .                                                 

           : Kaufmann (2003); Banks (2001).                      .


  2.10.                                                      
                                                            
                                                                   
                                                               ,   
                       
                                                               .   
                       
     .              .                                           , 

                   ,                                            ,  
   , . .               ,                                         
     ,             ,                                               
                   ,                                          .  
   , . . ,         .  ,                                           
                    ,    
                                                                  � 
  .                .  ,
  ,   ,   ,                                                      

     ,                 �                                      .
                      
  .                  �                                        
                     ,                                      
  , . .              .  
                                                                 
      .            ,   
                   ,                                             . 
                   ,                                              
                                                                ,   
                    .                                             ,  
    .                                                            
                   : Blanchard (1986); Caballero
                                                             ,      ,
   .               (1999); Dixit and Pindyck (1994).
                                                                

                                                                                                     49

  ,               2.7
                   �  
 .  �                �� 
 � ,  , 
                   ��                          
  ,  
                  

   ,  
   (. . 2.6).     

      
                  
     .
   ,              
   ,    
                  
   . 
                  
   ,    
  .                
     
                  
  . ,  
                     0              20              40            60               80
  .      
                        ,   
    , 
                            ��  �� , %
     
,  .             :    ,   11 ,   
                 �� .
                 : World Bank Investment Climate Survey and WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal Firms.
  ,     
    ,                , , ,
,                     
   28.           ,      
  ,                   . 
                    ,  
 ,                ,   
      
29.                2.11  
 ,                                     
      
,                  , . .                                 ,    

 (.  2.10).       ,                                        
                      ,                                    .
    , 
                                                                 
                  ,                                          
 .                ,                                      ,  , 
 , ,  ,           .                                         
                                                             

, . .              ,  ,                                      

                   ,                                      ,  
                   ,                                      .  
. ,   
                                                             
                     :                                    , ,  
 �                                                       ,    
    ,                                                     ,  
  1993 .   ,      ,  .                                       

    ,                .                                       

    2 . .30.      .  ,                                    .
                  ,     
      
                                                         : Covin and Slevin (1989);
  .  ,             ,                                     Etounga Manguelle (2000); Hart (2003);
                                                         Hofstede (1984); Iyidun and Rodrick
 ,  ,              ,                                     (2003); Lee and Peterson (2000); Lumpkin
                                                         and Dess (1996); McGrath, MacMillan, and

  .                 ��                                   Scheinberg (1992); Miller (1983), Miller and
                                                         Friesen (1982); Porter (2002); Reynolds
     
                  .                                      and others (2004); Wild (1997).
   , 

  50                 2005


                                   2.8                                         ,     , 
                                      ,                                           . ,
                                                                                   , . .  
                                                                                  ,   , 

                                     0,9                                            . 
                                                                                   �  �, 
                                   %                                                 
                                                                                 ,    
                                                                               .      "
                                    ,
                                     0,8                                       ,    

                                                                                  ,  
                                                                               ,     
                                                                                 .  
                                     
                                                                                   , . .  
                                     0,7                                          33.  
                                                                                 ,     
                                                                               ,    
                                                                                 , 
                                                                                .
                                     0,6
                                                                                 ,  , 
                                        �4        �2   0         2         4
                                                                                ,     
                                                   
                                                                                 . ,  

                                  :                                                  
                                    ,                                             ,  
                                        .                                        ,    .
                                                                                   , 
                                                                                    , 
                                     ,                                              . 
                                     ,                                             
                                       .                                            
                                       
                                                                                    
                                      . 
                                                                               .     
                                       
                                                                                    
   2.9                            ,     ,
                                                                                     
                                    ,   .
                                  : World Bank: World Business Environment       ,  

                                  Survey database.                                   
     30%                                                                       34.     
                                                                                      .
  40
                                     (. . 2.7).                                     

                                                                               ,      , 
                                    ,                                               
  30
                                  .                                             (. . 2.8).  , 
%                                     ,                                        ,    
 ,                                     ,                                            
  20
                                      . ,                                           30% (. . 2.9).

                                                                                   
                       
                                     31.                                          ,  
  10                   
                                       ,                                          
                                    �                                            35.
                       
                                       
   0                                  � ,                                          
           
                                    � �32.                                        
                                                                                   
  :  
                                  .                                                ,  
    ,  
                                       ,                                         , 
     
                                     ,                                           ,  
    . 
                                  .                                              (.  5).  , 

      ,                                                                                       
    80 ,                            ,                                             ,  
  ,    .                          ,  , ,     (.                                   (.  2.12),  
  : World Bank: World              2.11).                                          . 
  Business Environment Survey.                                                  ,   

                                                                              51


  2.12  

                                                                   ( C  ),  
    ,                .                                                 .
                          ��                                          
                                                                       
  .                    .                                              
                         �                                         .   
 ,                                                                      
   �  ,                 �                                            . 
   .                     (                                            ,
       .                                                             
                        ).                                           
 ,                      �                                             
    .                , . .                                        ,   
                                                                   (   B   A 
    ,                 ,                                           ).
                                                                          
                                                                   .   
      A'
                          ,                                            
      A                                                           , . .   
                        ,    (                                           
                        ) �                                          .
            B'                                                        
                        .                                             ( 
            B     C'
                                                                   ,  
                  C     ,                                          ,    B1,  
                                                                    B).  , 
  
  0                     .                                           , 
                                                                    ,  
                                                                       

                        .                                         (  B  A1)   
                         ,                                              
                                                                    .




 ,    .                  .  
                        ,     
                         ,     .
       
,                       2.10
 36.   ,                : ,  
 ,   ,                   , 
                          
      
                           10
     
     .
                            8   
                                
    
    .                     
                            6
,    
                          
                               
,  .                        4  

,      
       ,                  

                            2

  . , 
    , 
                            0
   ,  
                            1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
    1990  .
                       :    
  ,     
                           
     12 .
                           
     
                        .   ICRG � 
  ,                      .
                       : Henisz (2000); International Country Risk Guide.

52            2005


                                                              , 
                          ,                                  ,    
                           ,                                .
                       ,                                     �     
                        .                                           
                                                                   
                        .                                      .     
                                                                ,   
                         ,                                       ,   
                           .                                      
                           �                                       
                                                               ,     ,
                                                                   
                             .                                 39.   
                          ,                                         
                       ,                                         (. . 2.10).
                                                             �    
                        37.  ,                                     
                                                                 .  
                         1689 .                                   
                          ,                                       
                                                                  , . .   
                                                               ,      
                                                                  (.  6)40.
                         38.                                 �   
                                                                   
                                                               . ,     
                         .                                           
                                                               ,      
                                                                  
  2.13  �                                                        ,  
                                                                     

                              .                                    

                                                                 ( 5). 
   ,                                                               
                            ,     2002 .                          ,   
   .                          �                                  ( 4).
                            , �.   
                                                             �   ,
    1980  .,                   , 
                              2002 .                              

  1990  .    1990�2000 .                                         . 
                                                                   
    .  1993�2002 .           20 .                                
                                                               .     
    4%  ,                                                       ,   
                            .
                                                                   
      .                            
                                                                    
     ?                        
      1991�92 .             ,   .                              ,     
     ,                        ,                                  (.  9).
                               
    .                      ,                                    � 
                               ,                              . ,  
                              
                                                                
   ,                          ,
                                                                  
     ,                        
       .                    . ,                                   
                             � �                                 
  ,                            .                              .   
  ,                                                               
   ,                         2002 .,                           .  
     .                       .
                                                                  
      
                                                                 
  .                        : Holmgren and others (2002);
   .  1996 .               World Bank (2001d).              ,    
                                                             .  

                                                                  53

                        ( )
                       
   41 , ,                  
 ,                      
  ,                 44.    
                         
  (.  3).                  
                      .
   ,                      
                        
.    1990  .            
,                          XIX .  
   (.  2.13).             ,
  ,                      ,
  ,                    
 ,                   ,      
   . ,                45.  , 
  1910�1920 .           
   , . .            ,      ��
,                   ()  46.
    .                    � , 
     .                   
      ,              .     
                     ,    
  ,                  .  
 42.                ,     
                        
 �  �  �            47.     
 :                        �
                         
                        ,
                     .  
   43.              ,     ,
                        .  
     
    ,                2.11
  ,                       :
.                     
                          20
,                                                  
,      ,               %
       .                ,

                          10

                                                        
                         
  
                           0
                     ,                      
.                                               
                                                   
                                                      
   :                                               
                         �10                      

 ,   ,                                             
                              
,                     
                                                
 ,      
                                                   
    .                    �20
                                         
                                                   
 
                              �20      �10       0    10    20
 
                                   , %
     
                    :       , 
     
                      � �  ��    � 
  ,   
                          �.     1998�2002 .
   .   
                    : www.latinobarometro.org.

54        2005


         2.12
                
          .

          4                                                                                  100


                                                                                                   
                                                                                             80    


          3
                   ( )
                                                                                             60    

               ( )


                                                                                             40
          2                                                                                        
         
                                                                                                   
                                                                                             20

         


          1                                                                                  0     

                                                                      
            .                                                                        
                                                                            
         .                                
                                                                                  
                               .                                               
                                     

        :      :   � �  
             ?� (   ��, %);   � �
             ?� (1 �  ; 4 �  ).
        : The Pew Global Attitudes Project (2003); Inglehart and others (2000).




  2.14      
              

   ,                                                                 
               2002 .,                                              
            ,  ,                                                  "Petroleum Development and Pipeline",
            ,  ,                                                   
     .        ,                                                   ,  
              ,                                                    
                                                                      
                                                                      
                                                                  ,  
                                                                    .
    .          .                                                         
                                                                    
               .  2003 .                                          .  
                                                                     
                                                                   
                ,                                               ,   .
   .           .  ,                                                 
  � ,   �      ,                                                     
        200   ,                                                     
    (),        .                                                , ,    
   ,                                                              ,    
                                                                  .    
            .                                                     120 , 
                                                                    .
               
   .                                                                 : World Bank (2000b); World
                                                                Bank (2000e);   
  ,           .                                                  .

                                                                          55

                         ,     
 ,                        ,  
                         
.                       ,  
                       ,     
                       (.  2.14).
                          
                         
.  ,                         
   , ,                  , 
   .  ,                     
                         
                      .  
                         
                         
       ,             ,      
                         
,    48.                 ,
                    ,    .    
    ,                 ,   
   .                    :
   ,                 �  ,     
  ,                        
                         ,    
  , . .                  .
,  , ,               �    
  49.     ,               .
                     �    
 50 (. . 2.11).            , 
      
   , 
                      2.15 
                              
  ,                                ,   
 . ,                     ,         .   
85%     77%            ,               

98%                     1291 .         

                                       

   (. . 2.12)51.      .            ,   
                        ?          .  , 
                                        
,                                   ,    
  .                                  , , 
    ,   �            .  ,            ,  
�,   52,                ,           .

                                           
                                      
    
                                      
,                                      
                      .              ,  
                                    .    
    53.                ,             ,

                                     .    
                     ,                 
  ,   
                                   ,  �  
     
                      .  ,          ,   
.                                       
                                   .   
                      ,                
      54..                            

                       .               
                                      .
    
                     .   
    
                                   : Brueckner (2000); Treismann
    (.  2.2).          ,           (2000); Tanzi (1995); Weingast (1995).
 ,   

56             2005


                                                                    ,  
                          .                                         
                       �   ,                                      .
                                                                         �
                         .                                       ,    
                                                                 ,   55.    
                                                                      
                                                                        
                                                                      

                                                                    . 
                                                                      
                                                                   ,    
                                                                  .  ,  
                                                                       
                                                                      
                    .                                                
                                                                  .    
                      ,                                               ,  
                    ,   ,                                              
                      ,                                          ,     
                      .                                          . , ,  
                                                                    ,  
                                                                   ,     
                                                                     ,
  2.16 � �                                                            
                                                                       

                               1990  .                            . ,   
  ,  ,                                                             , 
                           ,                                       ,  
   ,                         , "Bhoomi".                             , 
                             
                                                                       
     ,                     ,  
                                                                    (.  5.2).
                            
    ,                    ,                                             

   .                     .                                                        
                           ,                                          
                                                                      .
   ,                     (RTC).                                        
   ,                        30 ;  , 
                                                                  ,      
  .                      ,   
                                                                     (.  2.15).
       2000 .              2 .  ( 43 .
    �                    ).     1000                                       
  �,                      (220 . )                                   
     .                    ��                                            
                         .                                        .    
                          .                                          
                            ,   
                                                                      
    � �                      
                                                                       ,
                         ,   
     (                   9 . � � �                                      
  ,   ).                  ,                                      .      
                            �  .                                    ,    
    12  .                 RTC                                       , 
     ,                      15  (0,32 .                          .       
                         ),     5�30
                                                                       
     1,2� 35 .           .    
                                                                   ,  , 
   . (700�2000 . )  300   .   
   . (175 . )                                                       ,  
     .                       .                                   . ,   
     ,                                                             ,  
                           50%                                      
  .                       .                                       1884 ,     1901 ,   
      
                                                                      1916 .   
                         : Tan (2004); Bhatnagar and
                                                                      
      450  .             Chawla (2004); Lobo and Balakrishnan
  (260 . ).              (2002).                                   �� ,   
                                                                  ,   

                                  57

                   ,   
   ,                  ,  
   ,                ,     
,   ,                 .   , , 
 .                        
                  ,     ,  
                  ,       
  .                  .
                         
 .  ,                  
,                      
 ,                  .    
                       
 .                 ,    
                        
     ,             .      
   .               ,   
                       
                     
.                      
    ,             .   ,   
    ,                
                       
  ,                ,     
                     57.  
 .                    
                      
 (.  3).              
                   .      
                       
                    .  
,                        
 ,   56.               
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  ,                   .  
                    ,   
 (.  2.16),           
    (.  5).         , 
                    ,   
                  ,  ,   
  ,                 , 
                      
 ,                  �  
                  ,   .
 .   
     
                      
 ,                ,     
,                     ,
                     , 
   .                 , 
     ,             ,     .
,                   ,    
.    ,              .   3 
    ,             ,     
                     .

   
    



        2,        �   . 
                        
                     ,     
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3                       
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                      , 
                         
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        1,          .    
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                      ,

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        .            ,    

                                                                    59

    ,                 ,  
   . ,               � �. , ,  ,
                         
                        
,  , �   �   ,      .    ,   
                           
                      �   
2.                    �     
                       ,  
                    ,    ,  ,
 ,                    4.   
3.  ,                   
                         ,
,                   ,  ,   ,
                    ,  . 
  ,                 ,    ,  
                     ,   
        .              .
   ,                 ,  ,    
                      ,  
 .                       
                    ,       
   ,                ,     
,                      ,    
 .                   .
                      , ,    
,                         
                        . ,
                     ,   
                         �
                         ,
    .                     
 ,                  .     
                        
  ()                    .   
 ,                      
                      ,   
 .                   ,   ,  
   ,                   ,  
    ,                    


   3.1.   :  

    20                            ,   
   ,                                  
  ,    8%  ,                    .   
                   ,           ,    
      .                          ,  
                                , , 
   �  60  17%  .  .            ,   
                   ,              
                               ,     14%
  ,               .            .    
                   ,              ,  
    ,                ,          ,   ,   
                                 (. . 1.2).  
  .                (),            ,   
                                  
                  .              ,   
  ,   ,               �             
                    �           .
     .            ,      
                               : Chen and Wang (2001); Qian (2003);
  .     ,         ,            Young (2000).

60           2005



  3.2  

    1991 .        ,                                 
  .                                              ,  
      1980  .    .                                 
                 ,                              .     
     ,           .                                  
                    .                            �      
                                                   , 
  .                .                               .
    1984 .                                        ,   
    ,                                              
    ,             ,                                  ,
                                                      
   .              .                             .    
                     .                              
   .                                                 .  
  60%.              .                               "Doing
  ,                                             Business",     
  ,               .                                 
 .                   9%   1981 .                10 .  , , 
    ,            15%  2000 .                          
                   2,9%  1970  .                ,  ,   
                  5,8%  1980  .  6,7%   1990 .     .
  .                     
     90  .                                      : Aghion and others (2003); Ahluwalia
   :                                            (2002); De Long (2003); Rodrick and Subramanian
 ,               .    :                         (2004); Vershney (1998); Panagariya (2003).




              (.  3.1)                         ,   
              �                              ,  ,   
               ()                                 ,  
                  �                           .  
               ,                             ,      
               .                                   
                                                  
                                                                                         6.
                                                  
              5.                                   
                                                    
              (.  3.2).                        .    
                1980  .  ,                       
               .                               .  
               ,                              ,     �  
               ,  ,                          ,    7.
                 
                  ,                           
               .                                
                  1991 .                       , 
                                                .    
              .  ,    ,                            
                                             ,    
                 .                            .     
                                             ?
                 ,                               ,   
                                                   ,  
               .                               ,      
                                                  , 
                                             ,       .
                ,                                
                  ,                             , 
                 .                             ,   
             ,                                    

                                                              61

                   3.1
.                 ,    :
                   ,   
 
                                 
    1,                            
     .                              1
                     
,    ,  
                     
    ;                                           
                                  0.5
   ,                
                    
  (. 3.1.)
     ,   
  ,   
  �   
      
   . �                                        

  �  
      
,                                  

 .                :   
                    0 ( )  1 ().
                        
                    .  
 .                     
                      . 
    :              ,   .

 (  )     ,       : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

      ,  ,
,                    ,  
  .                    , 
  (   ) ,             
,   .                
                   (.  2).    
                        
                     .   
. ,    "Doing           
Business" ,            ,
     200 ,             
       20,         ,        
 �  2 . ,          . ,    
                   ,    
 1000 ,                
  �  50 8.            . 
                   ��      
    .                   
                   (.  3.9).  , 
                    ,   
  ,                     
   ,               � �  � �
   ,                 .
 ,                      
 .                 ,  ,  , 
                        
   ,                .  
                  ,     
                       , �
 (.  4).                 
                   �     
,                  .
   .
                      .   
 ,  ,                 
     ,            ,     

62        2005


        ,                     
                               .
             �          �    , 
          , ,                .   
        ,                  ,    
                             
           (.  1).           ,  
            ,                  
                           .   
                                
          . ,                
                           ,    
                               .
         ��  .               
                              
                            ,    
           ,              ,       
              .             . 
          �                    
        .                 ,      
                              
         ; ,                 .
         ,   
                         �� .
           ,                
                           
        .                   
                            .
             .             :
              ,         �    .   
                             
          ,               ,   
                          ,   . ,   
          :                   
          � ,               ,   
            ��.                 
                ,         ,   .
                .       �    
              ,             . ,
              ,              ,  
               ,              .
                          ,    
               ,              
               .          (.  4).
                        �     . 
              :  ,          
                            �   �
                            , , ,
                ,           . 
                 .             
          �  ,               
             ,                
               .           ,  
                             , 
           ,  ,           ,    
           ,    ,        .    , 
                             
           . ,  ,            
                           .
                        �    
             ,           .   
                             

                                          63

        ,  ,                ,  
                        .    
    . ,                ,    
                        � �,   
                           (.  8).  
     1991  1996 .          ,  
      .                   .  
                            
     .                  .   ,  
  �      .                   
                       ,    
       ,                   
                       .
     .  ,                   
                              
      ,                .     
        (.  4).            ,   
                           , 
                           
     ,   ,              :
                        �     
       (.  6).             ;
  �    .                �    
                          ;
                        �    
    . ,                    ;
                        �    
       ,                   .
                              ?
     .  , 
                           
         �             .    
          �               , 
                              
    ,                   ,  
     .                   .  
                          ,    
                            
                         ( 1.17),    
.  ,                    11.   
       ,               .      
     , �                   , 
                            
                         .   ,
,     10.                 , 
   , , ,                  (. . 3.2).
   ,                       
  .                    ,   ,  
                            ,
                        ,    
;    ,  ,              ,    ,   
                             
 .                        ;  
 ,                        .
 . ,                    ,     
   ,                      , 
    .                        
                        ,     ,
                          ��. , 
                            
  ,                      
                          (. . 3.3)13.

64            2005


. 3.2                                                                                      ,    
                                                                                         ,     ,   
                                                                                              
                                      ,  50                                               , 
               , 1--4 
                                      , 50--199                                           14.   
         100   ,
                5                     ,  200 
                                                                                          ,   
                                                                                          ,    
                                                                                          ,  
                                                                                           
          75                                                                             (.  5).
       %                                                                                    
                                                                                            
                                                                                         ,    
        ,
          50                                                                              .
                                                                                        ,     
     
                                                                                        ,    ,    
                                                                                          15. ��  

     ,    25                                                                                  

                                                                                         ,   
                                                                                         ,   
                                                                                              
                                                                                             
           0
                                                                                         .   ,
                                                                                            , 
: World Bank Investment Climate Surveys; WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal Firms.         16.   
                                                                                            
                                        
                                                                                          , , 
                                    
                                                                                           , , 
                                ,   , 
                                                                                            
                                    
                                                                                        , ,   
                                ,                                                        (.  4)17;   
                                    
                                                                                           ,
                                .     
                                                                                            
                                       
                                                                                            (.  5),  
                                     ,
                                                                                            ,    
                                     �
                                                                                           (.  6). 
                                �.      
                                                                                            
                                    .  
                                                                                             
                                    
                                                                                             ,  
                                  ,    
                                                                                        ,     
                                      
                                                                                          (.  7).
                                 ,    . 
                                    ,  
                                                                                            
 3.3                                                                                    .  ,   
                                                                                         ,     
                                                                                          ,    

                 75       , 1--4                                                             
                         ,  5                                                                
                         
               %                                                                         .   
                                                                                               ,
                                                                                             
                ,50
                                                                                           .
                                                                                            
                                                                                            
                                                                                            ,  
                 25
                                                                                              
                 
                                                                                          18.  

                                                                                          ,   , 
                                                                                            
                  0                                                                        (.  4),  
                                                                                                     
: World Bank Investment Climate Surveys and WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal Firms.         

                                                                  65

 (.  5).          3.4
                       
 ,  ,               ,  
    19.             
                  

    50%             100
   ;  
      ,                    
      
,                    75
20.       
   20% ,          %        
                                       
  ,   
      ,            ,50
    21.                                  
                    
     
                                       
    
  .                  25
       , 
                                                       
  ,   , , 
                                                       

  ,                  0
   ,     22.                                     
                                                 
                                                

  .    
                 : Ayyagari, Beck, and Demirgu� Kunt (2003)
    
 ,                    , 
  .              ,  ,   ,
                     , �  
  ,  .              23, 
                  ,  
                    25.  
,      ,         ,      ,
    .                  
                     
   �� (.  6.6     .  ,   
  ).                 
                     
                   .
  .                     
                     
  ,  ,                
                  .    
    (.  6).           , 
                  ,   ,
                   ,   
 .                                                         25.
()                    
                        
                        
                  (.  6)26.
     (
 3.4).    ,           
                   .  
 , ,                   
    (.            27.    
 3.3).                
, ,                   
                      . 
                     
,  .                 . 

66            2005


  3.3        ?

                                         ,  ,                     ,
                                         ,                           
     ,                                       . ,              ,   
     .                                       ,                    .
                                                                   ,  
                                           ,                     
  ;       ,                                                       ,   
                                         ,  .   ,                 
   .                                                            .  
      .                                     (. .).               , 
      ,                                   , ,  ,                 
       ,                                   ,                        , 
                                         . ,  ,               , ,      
   . ,  ,                                                          
     ,                                                         ,    
  .                                                           ,  ,     
    , . .                                 . ,                  .    
     ,                                    , , ,                   
                                          , ,                    .   
      .  ,                                                        ,  
   1990  .    ( 100                       .                   ,   , �
  )                                        ,   ,              , ,    
       (54%),  (74%),                     .                     , � 
   (76%)  ,                                                       ,  
     .                                   ,                    ,    
                                                              ,      .
                                            
    .                                                         : Biggs, Ramachandran, and Shah
       ,                                 .                    (11998); Biggs (2003); Acs and Audretsh
    , ,                                   ,  ,                (1997); Biggs, Shah, and Srivastava (1995);
                                                              Batra and Tan (1995); Beck, Demirg�� Kunt,
      . ,                                                     and Levine (2003).


                                                                                        
                                                (< 20)    (20�40)          (50�249)     (250  )

    , %                                          0,9        1,4              1,5              1,4


     , %                                         6,7       13,6              20,4             24,9


    , %                                          27,2      41,6              56,7             63,4


  , %                                            5,7       10,1              21,0             34,0


   , %                                           12,6      20,9              39,6             56,8

   e mail    
                                                 36,0      46,9              55,4             58,9
   , % 

  : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.



                                12%    1970 .              . ,    ,
                              29%  2001 .,                    
                                   0,1  3%                ,      28. 
                              ( 3.5).                         
                                 ,                              
                                   .                          29.
                                                                   ? 
                                                              
                             .                                 :
                               (.  3.5)                       �                            
                                                               .  ,   
                             .                                    , 
                                                                 ,    
                                                                  (  
                             ,                                 ,  

                                                                                                   67


 3.4    
                    
                           ,                             ,    
  1,5   .                                                   
                            .                            .     
                                                             
                              .                             
 .                                                       .
                                                                 
                           .  (                               
.   ,                      ),    15                          
,                            15  ,                         .  
                                                              
 .                                                         (  )  
                            ,   .                        ,    .
                                                             
     .                       ,                                
                               500 ,                        
   ,                          ,                              
  .                                                       (.  9.5).
                           .     
                             .                           : Commonwealth Secretariat and
   . ,                         ,                         World Bank Joint Task Force on Small States
                            16   (                       (2004); Brautigam and Woolcock (2001);
                              ),                         Commonwealth Secretariat; Harsh (2002);
                           ,                             Fairbairn and DeLisle (1996).


                                        
 )30. ,                            36.
     ,
                                      
   ,                             
 ,    ,                       ,      
     31.                       , , 
�                                . 
   .                               
                                   , 
    .                             37. 
      
   ,                           3.5
     .                                  1990  .
    ,                          

      
                                40                                                                 5
    5% ,    
       6,5%32.                         :      
                                       :    
�                                      :    
                                                                                                   4
                                30     :    
  .                           %
                                                                                                     %
   ,  
                               ,
                                                                                                   3
                                                                                                      ,
  ,                                                                                                    
                                20
  33.    
                                                                                                       
      1990  1995 .,                                                                                2
                                                                                                       
   1970   1980  .,     1990                                                                            
   .     1977�1991 .            10
                                                                                                   1
  ,   , 
    34.  
                                 0                                                                 0
   (.  3.6).   10%                1970   1975     1980   1985        1990         1995    2000
      
                             :       .    ()
       3%35.
                                 .
     
                             : World Bank (2004b).

68         2005


  3.5    �    ?

                                             
                      ,                    �  
  .    ,                                 �.    
                      (                    (), ,  
     (. .              )                      
  �                    (  ),              ,     
 �).                     .                ,     
                      ,                    ,   
                       .                      
                                         ,     
    .                .                      ,   
                     ,  ,                    .
                     ,     ,               
                                             
  .                   .                  �  �.
       ,                    
 ,                     .                 : Aw, Chung, and Roberts (2002);
                                         Bernard and Jensen (1999); Clerides, Lach, and
 ,                   ,                   Tybout (1998); Hallward Driemeier, Iarossi, and
  ,                  ,                   Sokolov (2002); Kraay (1999); Liu, Tsou, and
  (. .  ��).          ��.                Hammitt (1999); Westphal (2002).



                                              �
                                       � ,    
                .                          .
                                           �� 
                                          (  , 
                 ,                         
                ,                      )    , 
                . ,                        
                 , ,                    ( ,   
                 � �                    ,   
                   � �38.               )39.
                                              
                    .                    , 
                     ,                      
                    ,                  (.  3.7).     
                 .                         


  3.6     �   
                         ,                 
   1980  .,            .                   ,  
                      ,                  100%,    . 
      60%               ,                 1992 .     
    .                   �                15%,      
   1990  .           �,                       
                        .                 .  
 .  1991 .                                   
   83%,   13%          .                     
    .  1998 .         ,                      
      30%,                               .  , 
  ,                   ,                    ,  
   ,   57%.            ,                    ,   
      ,                     .             40   
   1980   1990  .,                        , �    
 ,   ,                  ,                  Ace Designers,  
  ,                   2003 .                   
 .                    (11 ),     ,         .
  .  ,                   .
    10%                                  : Aghion and others (2003); De Long
                         .               (2003); Rodrik and Subramanian (2004); Sutton
   0,5%.   ,          1950     1990  .   (2002); Topalova (2003); World Bank (2004k).

                                                                                                        69


   3.7 �  �:    

                       .                                      ��
                                                          () ,    
                                                          ,   .    
       �                 74%.                                 .
                         1990  .                            ,  
                        ,                                     
      .                                                    , 
                      ,                                        
   15   70%          20 .  2002 .  ,                        : � �  
                 .      ,                                     .
   1995 . 59%        9%  ,  4  .
    , ,  ,   9%:                                          : Biers and Dhume (2000); The
   , .                �                                   Economist (2003c); The Economist (2001);
                                                          Head and Reis (1998); Gillespie and others
                      �                                   (1999); Kapur (2001); Li, Li and Zhang (1999);
    ,                                                     Rauch and Trindade (2002).


 ,      
                       3.6
 .    
                           �  
   ,
                                                                                             
 (.  5),                                                                                 

   (.  6).                 
     
                         , 
                                 
 (.  9).                /

                                   
                                    
      . 
                          , 
  �                              
 .   ,                           

   ,                          
    
                                  
                                  
.                                    

    ,                              
       
. �  �                                        0                   20                   40                60

                                                                      , %

                      :  � �      
   (.  1).            ,  ,  ,    

    ,                 : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

            ,    ,     3.1
   ,                    ?
    ,
                                                                                
   ,                                                                                        
                                                                               
   40.                                                                                          
                                                                               

                      ,      
                                                                                  0,35             0
                       
   41.                ,                                                           0,15             0
  ,  33%      
                      ,                                                           16,6           3,87
  49%      
,  ,    ,                                                                         1,58           0,41

                      ,   b                                                       0,74           0,13
  (. 3.6)42.
                                                                                  0,04           0,01
                      ,    b

 �               .    ,   b                                                       0,96           0,25
    
                      ,    b                                                      0,34           0,12
26%   ,     
 (  ) (. . 3.1).      ,   b                                                       0,28           0,22

   ,                   10 . .   . b
  ,  ,                : Lederman and Saenz (2003).

70        2005


                                         
  3.8                                   
             
                                        ,     
                                            
                    �                   ,       
                                          .    
                    .                      
  . ,                                        
                   ,    
                                            ,   
  ,               ,  
                                           .   
  .                    
                   ,  �                       
    ,              �                     ,     
                   .                        .
                                            , 
     .             �                          
                  �   
                                         .    
  ,               ()  . 
                                              
                      
                                         ,    45  
  ,                 .                        
   .                                    .
                                            
                  .                          , 
  ,     ,             
                                             
     �             ,    
    .     D                               .  

     ,              .                        ?
                                              
                                        ?

      
                                         
                                             
                                        ,       
      B   C                B       C      .   ,
        A
                                A           
                                            
          
        D                                 ,    
                                   
                                D         .  �
                                        �    
                                         ,  , 
  :    Lax and Sebenius (1986).            ( ),  
                                           , 
                                            
                 ,                       .
                 , 
                                            . 
                                             
                  43.                     ,    
                                        46.      
                                           
               (.  7)44.                    
                                            
                                        .     
                                           ,  
                    �                        1990  .,
                ,    (.                       
                3.8).                     1997�98 .47.   
                                         ,   
                                         ,  
               .                          2002 .  ,     
                                          ,   
               ,                         .     
               .                             

                                     71

.                      
                    .     
 .                     � , 
                        
    ,                 51. 
                          
48.                ,     
 ,  ,               52.  
 ,                       
  ,                     
 .                      , 
                      .  
        .              ,
      ,              2000 . ,  
                     2002 .   , 
,                      ,  
 .                     
    XIX  �         ().
    
.                     . , 
                       
                   ,      
,                   ,      
.  ,                 53.     
                       
 ,                       
 ,                  ,   
, ,  ,  1990  .          
                   .    
.                        
                      . , 
  .                 � �   
                        
 , ,                ,   �
. ,                 �    
   ,                    
                     54.
49,                      
     .               ,   � �  ,  
                        ,  , 
     .               .  
                        , 
                        
.                    ,  
                    ,  
   .                 ,  
,                     
                   .       .
   ,                  ,
   ,                   
                       
                         
   .                    
                   .      
    .               � �    
                     , 
                       
50;      .             �� 
                   .    
  .                     
                         
 ,                   .

72        2005


                                                 
                                                .  
                                                
                                                
                                               
                                            .     
                                              .  
               .                                
                ,    60                     ��,    
                 , ,                             
                                             ,  
                    55.                       .
                    ,                            
                                           ,    
                                                  
                   �                        .    �
                �                           ,    
                 .  ,                              .
                                                 
                ,                                
               ,    .                      (Buro de Credito)    
                                             ,   
                                                 
                                                 
                  ,                          .     
                                              
               (.  2).                         
                                                , 
                         ,                          
                ,   .                        56.
                   ,  
                   .                       
                                               
                                           ,   
  3.9  ��                                   ,    
                                             , 
                                              .  
                    , 
   ��  2002 .                                  ,   
      .            ,  ��                    ,     
                    .                            
    30              ,                      .     ,
     ,                                        ,   
    .              .   
                                                 
                      
                                            , ,  ,  
   ,                 ,  
   ,                ,                           .
  ,                .                            
   ,                                        ,   
  ,                                            
    �               .                          ,  
     �                 
                                                
  �.               ,   
                                           .
                   ,  
     .                                             
                                           .     
   � �,                                         
                                             ,  
                   .                             ,           , 
   ,                 
                                               .  
    .             �� �  
                                               
  ,                  .
                                               ,
  .                                            
                  : Herzberg (2004).          
                                              , 

                                   73

 ,                 58.   
  .                   
                  ,      
   ,                 , 
  ,                   59.
                      , 
       .                
                   ,  
                     , , 
                       
 .                 .
   ,                   
                     .  
                  ,     
57.               ,     
��                  ,   
  ,               ,    .
 (.  3.9).            
                     ,  ,
    �   ,             (
                  ),    ( 
.                   ).
    ,                ,  
                     ,   
 .    ,              , 
    , �                
                    .  
                       
 (.  7).          ,      
                     ,   
,                  .
    .

                    
                     �  
  ,               ,    .  
                       
    , ,               
      ,            ,    
      .           ,    
 ��                    
     ,                 .
                              ,
  ,                      
                       :
   (.  7).         �  ;
   ,               �  ;
 ,                 �     ;
  .                �     
                          
,                    .
  �   
    (.  4).        
     ,                
                  ,     
 .                  .   
 ,                 ,    
 ,                   , 
 .  ,                 
                      . 
    ,             ,      
                  ,   

74        2005


 3.2  ,    , --  

                                                        
                                                    
                                                            
                                                     
                                                         

     

 �                                      �    �   �
 �                                      �    �   �       �
 �   �                                  �    �   �       �  �
  

 �                                      �    �       �      �
 �                                      �    �       �   �
 �                                      �    �   �
 �                                      �    �

:   .

         ,                                   .      
         .                                   ,     
            � ,                                  , 
           �                                  ,    
             .                                    
                                             .      
          ,     ,                                (.  3.10).
             ( 3.2). 
                                              
            ,                                     
                                                  
                                                          
  3.10                                        ,     

                                              .   
                                                
              ,                                    
   ,           
                                              ,   ,
                
                                                 .
           .    
    .        .                                   
              ,                                   
            ,                                  , , 
   .                                         ,     .
                                                    
             .
                                                  
     .            
                                                ,    
              .  
                                               .
                                                 
  .         , ,                                   .  
    ,         .                                    
      ,                                             
     .     ,                     ,
                                              . ,  
              
                                                     
   ,          .  
                                             ,   
    :                                            
                                             .      
            , ,                                 60.
   ,       , ,                                     
            .
                                                
    .
                                                 
           : Coolidge, Grava, and Putnina
   .       (2004); www.yased.org.tr.          .   2000 . 
                                                

                                                     75

     ,
                  3.11  
  (.  3.11).                
                            
                                   
   ,                                
     .                              

    ,            1980  .             
                 ,                 .  
   
                   ,               
    
                                 ,    
  ,                                 �
                  ,                 
  ,               .                    
  (.  2).                        �.   ,  

                                    
                                     
  ��   
                     (             (  
. ,   
                    )             )   
                                    
 ,   ,                                
                     �              

                   .             .

.                  2000 .             
                  ,                �  

                      ,              ,
                                    
                     ,           �.  ,  ,
 ,                                 
 ,                                  ,  

   .              .                  .

     ,              ,    
                    ,            : Mallon (2004).
   , 
    
                 .    
 .                , 
                  ,   
                   
 .  ,           ()62.    1988 .  
                   ,
                     
                 ,   
                .      
 .                  , 
  ,                  
                .  2000 .     
   .               
                   
,   , ,         ().    
  ,                   
                      
                    
  :   �           . ,
 �   ,              
                 ,    
  61.                
                     (.  5).
. ,                 
                       
                ;     . , 
                       
 .              ,   
   ,                  
                  ,   
                     .

76        2005


                                             ,       
                                                .
                                                  
                                              �  ,  
             ,                                      
                                             .      
                                                 
          ,                                  ,    
              .                                   
                                               66. ,   
             ()                                  
                                                 �
         .                                   �67.
                                                  
           ,                                    .  
            .                                   
                                              ,  
                                               ,  
         .                                       
                                             ,   ,  
          .                                      
               60%                               
                                             .   
                                                 
         .                                       
           22  ,                             ,   ,   
                                                  
         ,    63.                            .   ,  
                                                
                                                ,   
           (),                                     
          2000 .   2003 .                     .  , ,   
         1500  64.                                 
                                                . ,  
          1998  2002 .  3 .  ,                   , 
           387   ,  1157                           , 
                                                 68.
          65.   ,                                   
                                                  �  
                                                 , 
  3.12                                           
                                                 ,   

                                               .  

              .                                   
      1993 .    2000 .                         ,      ,
                                                  
                  ,                             69.  , ,
    ,                                             
               .  
                                                 .
   .              
              ,                                        ,

   ,            ,                               ,   
                                              .   
   ,                                           , 
   , ,        , ,  ,                            , 
    .           .                               ,   
                 � 
                                                  
   ,          �,    
     ,          ,                                 

                                             70.
                60   14.                            
  ,  .                                           , 
              : Diop (2003); www.apix.sn.           
                                                  

                                             77

 .                 
   .            ,      . 
                    
                    
,                  ,    ,
,      ,              
  ,                � 
.                  �  
  ,                ,
                      .
  .                    
                     
                 .     
 ,                  
 .                  
                 (.  5).
                     ,  
 ,                    
                  , 
                     
.                    .   
                    ,
   ,                   
     .              .
  ,  ,              
                      
 .              ,    . 
                     
                  .    
 ,    .          ,    
                ,       
    
                  3.13  
   (.                         
 5).   �                     
  �                         
     
                   1990  .       1998 .  
   .                            ,  

,                                

   ,              .                 
                                ,  
    , , 
                   ,               
      
                   .           .
  ()                               
  .   ,              200           
   90%                           ,   

                   .           .    

 71.              ��              , 
                                 1999 .,  
,     
                                   
   ,                              . 
                  ,                 
 (.  5).            1996 .      ,   2000 .,
                                  

  ,                ,               

                               ;    
                   ,  ,         ,   
  (.  3.13).
                  .  1997 .        
                               .  2003 .     
                  1000   115 .     
                  350              
     .                           .

                    , 

 ,                             :   

78        2005


        ,                     
         .             .      
                           
         �        �    .   
                           
                        .   , 
          .                  
                            
          ,            ,    ,
          .              ,     
        ,                   
        ,               .   
         .             ,    , 
          ,              , 
                            
        ,               .
           .                  
                        ,     
                          
          I  ,          .
           ,            �  II    
         ,                         
                           �    (.
           , ,             4);    
            .              (.  5); 
          1 ,               (.  6);  
                              (.  7).   
         ,                    
          ,                   
             . ,             .
          ,             �   III   
         ,                ,     , ,
        .  2                 (.  8)
         ,                    
                           (.  9).    
         :                   , 
                               
        ,                 ,  
             .            .
                        �  IV   
                           ,   
                              
        :    ,                
          ,               .

 


       ,       
      ,   ,   
     ,      .     
             
II     .

       4 �    �  ,   
          .

       5 �    �   
                .

       6 �    � ,   
               
      .

       7 �      �     
                
        .


        
         



             ,                   
           .                      
           � ,                ,     � 
    4    � ,                 ,   ��,   
        ,     ,              �   ,    
           .                   .  
        ,                      ,   
           50 ,                 , 
                            ,      , 
           .   ,                ,  
                                (.  4.2).
                                ,  
         2,2%                  .  
        .                   ,   , , ,
         15% ,       .         , ,   
                            ,  ,    
                             ,  �
                /3 . 1 1      ( 14�40%),  ,    
                            3.      
         .                       8%  
               15  ,          ,     4. 
           .   ,            ,    
          ,                   ,  
                                   
        .                        
           .                  ,    
         ,                      5.
                              ,    ,
           2.               ,     ,
             �                .   ,  
          ,                      
          .                        
                             6.    , 
         ,    ,                  
                                 
           .                 ,   
                                
                                .
                              , 
          (.  2).                ,   
            ,                ,    
                                
            (.  4.1).        �   
                            �7.
                                    
        ;                    ,    
                                
           ,                      
        ,    .              :

82        2005


  4.1     

                      ,                                         �   3000%  ;
                         ,                                    ,    �  100%  .
  ,                                                           2001 .     
                     .     ,                                    15%,   
   .                 ,  .                                       38%.   
     ,                                                          . 
                        .                                     ,  , 
   .                   , ,                                    ,    
                        1980  .,                                 
   .                                                         .       
   .                 ,    ,  1980  .                           1990  .,     
                          �                                   ,   
                      �.                                      �      
    .                                                            
     ,                                                          
   ,                                                            
                       1970  .                               .
                         1980 .  
  .                   .                                      : World Bank (2003h); Easterly
  ,    .                  .                                  (2001); Hnatkovska and Loayza (2004); Desai
                      1980  .                                and Mitra (2004); Caballero, Engel, and Micco
                         10 000%  ;                          (2004).



               �                                          
                 ;                                           
               �     
                  ;                                         
               �   ;                                           
               �                                                
                 .                                        , ,  , , 
                                                          ,    , 

  4.2                                                           

  :                                                       ,   ,   
                                                           ,    .   
                                                                 
                                                                
                    .
                                                          .   
     ,                
                                                            , ,     
       ,            30  .
  ,                                                             43% 
  .                                                       81%    
   ,              ,                                        8.   
                    :                                       ,   
       �                                                       
  �.             ,                                         14%  9,   25% �   (
     ,             . .    
                                                          )10   ()   58% �   (
                     
   .              ,                                       )11.     
                   .                                           
  .                  ,                                      (.  4.3).
  ,                 
                                                            
    1970  .        ,   
                                                               
      1982 .         
                                                          .   ,   
                     
  .              .                                            , 
    ,                                                           ,
    ,                                                           
    .            42%    1978  1984 .                         14�25% ,   ,   
                                                             ,    
   ,                   .                                    12.  
     .
                                                           ,  
                     :           McMillan  (2002), Lin
    ,            (1992); World Bank (2003m)               ,      
                                                          ,   7,5%    

                                                                                  83

,    
    ,  ,                4.3  
                                         
13.     ,                               
   
   ,                                           
                       , ,                 .
 ,   ,     
                         ,                       
,       13%14.          �  �.                 
                         ,                     .
                        ,                      
,      ,                 ,                       

                            ?                   

.  �                                        �     
                          �                   , 
,   
                       �.                       .
                       ,  ,   ,                  
  .                     , ,                ,     
                        . :                    ,
   .                    .                     

 ,                        ,                 ,     

   ,                                       .
                         .                    ,   
,       
                                            ,  
,      .                 ,                    
                        .                     .  
 ,  , , ,                ,                     
                                           53    

 ,  ,                                      ,     

.                      .                       
                                                 
       
                                             .
   50%   5  ,             
,     ,                 .                  : Deininger and others (2003);
  15.                                      Samuel and Pender (2002); Pender  .
    .                  ,    .              (2001); Mwangi, Ongugo, and Njuguna

   ,                                       (2000);  Gissurarson    (2000); Newell,

  ,                        ,               Sanchirico, and Kerr (2002).

       
 ,                      
      .                    , , 
  � ,                     
  (. . 4.1), � ,     . ,  ,   
,   ,                 ,      
                     ,     ,   .
   .                     , 
                        , ,  ,
  , 
                      4.1
                        ?
 .   
       ,                   100

   .   ,                                  
                         %                
   ,  
                      
      20                    75

 ,  ,    ,            ,
                          ,
    16.                 
                       
                            50
                       
                       
 ,     ,                   
                        
 ,     .                    25

    
                           
                        
                       
    (.  4.4).                0
                                           
     
   .                 : De Soto (2000).

84        2005


  4.4   

                   ,  ,              , ,   
                    .                  ,   
     .                   ,               
                                          
  ,                                  .   ,    
   .                                 ,  80%  
    ,              .                 ,    
   ,                                     1990  .  
       XVIII .       .               .
                     �                     ,   
   .               2002�,   ,            
     ,                               ,   
                   ,                      
   .                                 .    
                     ,                 (,   , 
     ,             ,    .            )  , 
                                         
  ,    ,                                   
    .                 ,                 ,  
      ,                                . 
                                         
     ,              ,                .       
      ,              .                ,     
      ,                .              ,    
       4.3.        ,                    . ,   
                                       ,  
                    23     ,               
  .                ,                    ,   
                    ,                     
  ,                 ,                .   
    ,  ,            � ,   ,          ,      
                     , �             ,    
  .                  .               , ,  
                                       ,  
  ,   .              .                .   
   :                      ,              
                   ,                     
                   ,                   (.  4.10).
     .              ,   ,
                                     : Demsetz (1967); Libecap (1994);
  ,      .           ,               Putnam, Leonardi, and Nanetti (1993); Ostrom
                     ,  ,            (2000); Binswanger, Deininger, and Feder
  ,   ?                              (1995); Transition (2003); Hoff and Stiglitz
      � ,           .                (2004).



                    ,               .    
                   17.              ,    ,
                                     ,
                    ,                    , 
                 ,  21%;    17%     ,  .  
                   .                    ,
                  .                      ,
                   40%,                
               ,    ,   67%18.     19.     
                                        
                 (                       
                   ),                  .
                 �     
                    .                 
                ,                    . 
                 ,                    
                   ,                     
                                    ,    
                ��                   (.  2.16). ,

                                                                 85

     
  .                           4.5 20   
   , ,                                 
                                       
,   ,  
                              1982 .              
     
                               20             ,    
  ,      
                                                 
 .                                                
,  �  ;  ,                    .                   .
   .                         ?                    

,                                             ,     

 ,                                               
                                                 .
    
                             .                     
   9,90 .  
                                                  
 24,40 .    1 354 .  20.        8,5           ,    
   ,                           .               .
   ,                         ,                   , 

  ,  ,                       ,                   

                                4,5   1984 .  ,    
                               18    2001 .    .
     
                             ,                      
.                            , ,                  
   ,                          : ,                  
     ,                           ,             .
.                                                , 

                              ,  ,              ,   

   ,                         ,                  , �  
                                              ,    
    (.  4.5).
                               .              .
                                   
                              .               : Burns (2004).
     .
,    
 ,                             ,  
                              
     .                        ,   
 ,                              
                             24.    
                             ,  
.                             ,  
                               
,                           25.  
 ,                              
21.                              
                               .
    
 .                              
                            .       
                              , 
 .                           ,   
  ,                           .  
,                          ,    
   ,                       ,      
   .                              
 ,     ,                         
                            (.  4.6).
   .   
                            
                              
22.                              
 ,    ,                    , ,    
   ,                            
                           ,      
  23.  ,                    .       ,

86             2005


                                                                         .    
 C 4.6                                                                         
                                                                            ,  
                                                                         .    
    1984 .                   ,   
     ,                       ,                                               ,

                                                                              .
  180                           .                                              
  ,                           , ,                                        ,    
    ,                                                                          .
    .                          ,                                              
                             ,  ,   ,  
                                                                           ,   ,
                             ,  .
   .                                                                        .

                                                                                
                                                                           ,    
                                                                             .   
   ,                         .                                              
                                                                               
     .                          18%   1990  .
                                                                          ,     
    1987 . ,                     ,
                                100                                          

  ,                           .                                             27.    
                                ,                                              
   .                                                                     ,        
                               ,                                           2,5 .  , ,   
   ,   ,                                                                        
                                 .                                        28.   
  ,                             
      .                                                                        

                             ,                                             ,  ,  2000 . 
    .                        .  ,                                              
   ,                            ,                                        ,      (. . 4.2).
   ,                            ,                                             ,  
  10%    1983  1986 .,          
                                                                          ,   
     ,                          .
                                                                          � ,  ,  
  ,       
     ,                       : Domberger and Sherr (1989);                     

   . ,                       Baker (1996); Philipsen (2003); European       . 
                             Commission (2004b).                            
                                                                              
                                                                          ,  
 4.2                          .                                               
                                                                               (.  4.7).
                          ,      
 ,
                                                                          
  ,
                           ,     
                                                                           
                               
                         .                                               
         16                  .                                                
                                2000 .                                      ,  
                          2003 .                                            ,    
       %                 200 .  ,                                        .     
         12                                                                  
      
                           2003 . 12 .                                         
        ,                 ,    ,                                         .       
                           26.                                              .     
         
                            "Doing Business", ,                              
          8

                            ,                                                   
                                274                                           
                            1000   .                                     .  ,    
          4                                                                 . 
         
                              
                                                                            , 

                          ,                                                   
                          (.  6).                                        ,    ,    
          0              ,    ,                                              

: World Bank (2002b).                                                         .

                                                                     87


  4.7     :
            
               ,  ,         ,    �
                ,              ,  
 ,   ,            ,           . 
 ,  IV   . .                  ,  
                 .         ,     ,
   ,                          .
     ,           .              ,   
  ,               ,           
    .                        ,   
   ,                           
  ,             ,  ,           . 
   ,                       ,    
 .             .                2001 .,  
 ,                             
    ,                        .   
                ,    ,       ,   
  11%                         
 8%    7%                        
 .              .              ,  
        .                     .
                   ,           ,    
                    ,       , 
 ,               ,            ,    
 ,                          .      XIX 
 .               .          ,     
                            .   
    .           ,              
  ,                ,          , 
 ,                 .            
                  ,          ,  
                              
    .           ,             .  
               ,               
 .   XIX ,      .             
   ,   ,                       
   ,                       ,     
                  ,          ,    
    .                ,         
       ,         .          ,   
                                 
      ,           ,         .
                    
   ,            .          : Braga, Fink, and Sepulveda (2000);
  .               ,        Maskus (2002); Arora, Ceccagnoli, and Cohen
  ,            ,           (2003); Nathan Associates Inc. (2003); Hoff
   ,                       (2003); Luthria and Maskus (2004).


   ,                    
  .                  .  
      ,               ,     
 ,   ,              .   
 ,  .                  
                   .   
                      
                         
                  ,     
    .               . ,   
                    , ,    
                   ,     .
                      
                   ,   
     29.           ,    
                     .  �
     ,            �,   

88        2005


                        ,     
                         ,
          ,                
            30.        .  ,   
                        ,   
                      ,      
         31.               
         ,              37.
        .  , , ,             
                           
         ,   ,         .   
          .32           ,  ,  
                            
                      ,      
                      38. ,   , 
                      ,      
          ,                   
        , .           .    ,  
                        ,    
          ,                39.
                         �  ,    
        33.                ,       
                            ,      
          ,   .                 40.
           , ,           �  , , , 
             .             , , , , , 
                           , ,    ,
             ,                    
                                 
                            ,       
        34.   ,              41.
                         � , , , , 
                            ,    , 
          .                   
                                  
         ,                  .
                         �     � 
             .              �,  
                           , ,   , 
           .                  ,  
                             , ,    
              ,             ,    
           .                  .
           ,             �  , , , , 
             .             ',    ,   
                              ,    
                               
         ,                     ,  ,  
                            .42
           .  
              ,          �  � 
           .          ,       
        ,     ,        (. . 4.3).     
               35.                        
          ,    ,        ,   
           .   ,            . 
                         "Doing Business" 
        ,             ,   2003 . ,   
           ,           ,    
        ,   ,         50   , 600     
          36.         1500   .  ,   
            ,         ,      

                                                                                89

  ,               4.3
  43.               ,       

    .               

 �    2004�,         
,     ,
                    
    ,    
  ,                  
      
                     

   .                 
     .
                    

                     
    . 
                     

    ,               
 .     
                          0       20         40       60        80      100

,                                            

 44.              :       .

                  : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

                         ,
  45.                   
                   .    
                     ,    
                     ,   
    ,               .  , ,  
   .                   ,  
                       ,
  85%    ,              . 
   .                      
                    ,     
  .                      
  ,   1999 .,          .
      2/3 ,             , 
    ,              ,    ,
     (. . 4.4).       
                      .   
 ,                      
   ,               46.     
       
                  4.4
  .                    
                  
   ,                  800
,                                                                       1999
,    ,               
                      600
  .                 

    ,               

   ,                  400
     ,   
                    
 ,      
                                                                        2001
 ,  ,                 200
,  .                 
                     
   , ,                  0
,  ',                                               
  .                                                               

  ,                                                    
.     ,           : Supreme Court of Repblica Bolivariana de Venezuela.

90        2005


          ,    ,               2000 .  182 
            ,               ,   
          .                     49.
          ,                  ,      
              ,  ,              
             .                ,  
                                 
                            .      
         ,                     ,      
        .      ,            .     
         ,                   ,   ,   
         ,                         .
        .                    ,      
            ,                ,   
                               ,  
             .                  . 
                               ,   
         ,    �                  
           .                    
                              .    
          ,                    
            ,               ,      
               .                  
          ,                      . , 
          ,                    ,    
           .                   
          ,                    ,   
          , ,   ,                ,    
             ,                  50.
            ,                    
            ,                    
         ,   ,              ,   ,    , 
          47.                 ,    
                              ,   ,
             .                   
                               . 
                                 
            .                 ,   
                                51.   
           ,                 ,   
            .                    
                                
        ,   ,                   
            .                  
        ,      ,              . , 
                              ,  
           ,                      
         .                     ,   
                               
                            .    
          .                      9.
              
                             
                            ,     
         48.   ,                  
           ,                 .  
        ,                           
                  ,          ,    , 
        .                       ,  
        ,                    ,     
        ,  2001 .  371 ,    , ,    ,
           3,2   .              

                                                                  91

.                     4.5
  ,                     
      .                
   ,   2000 ., 
  ,                   
  ,    
                       
    
 .                        
     
                      
 ;    , 
 ,   10%               
   (. . 4.5).
     ,                      

  , ,                            0    10        20          30
                                    , 
   .                                , %  
 50% ,   , 
                     :   1999�2000 
     
                     : London~o and Guerrero (2000).
 .         
   25%                 9%       
 (. . 4.6).             20�50   . 
       .             ,   , ,  
  �  �                   6%  .
,  37%                         
                     ,    , 
   ,   � 50%,    �     ,  �
70%.                   �.   
,   , � 80% �            .  
                      . � 
.                    �,      
                        ,   
.                         ,  
.  45%                   ,   �
    ,  20%           �53.       "Doing
     .               Business",   , 
    2002 .,          ,    
,      ,                 ,  
                     , ,   , 
    52.                ,      
  ,  ,                 .   
  ,                   ,    
                     , �     .
2001 .,    .          4.6
                      �  
  , 9%                   
  ,  22% ,                     60
  ,   ,   .
                                     
                             %
                                      
    .  
10                      
                              ,
.                              40
  .  ,                     
   ,                                    
,      
                                     
.                                     
                               20    

 ,   . ,                ,      
                                     
, ,                                   

  ,   116  400           ,     
 ,    665 000              
  ( 11 000  ).                  0
                     : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

92        2005


                                                               
                 �                                        .   , 
                                                               ,  
                                             .               , 
                ,                                           .  
                .                                             
                                                          .     
             ,    ,                                           
                                                               
             ,   . ,                                         , 
                                                              . 
              ,                                                 
             ,      ,  ,                                  ,      
              ,                                           ,      �   
                (.  4.8)54.                               �.     
                                                               :  
               ,   .                                          
             ,                                            ,      
                                                           ,   .
             ,      
                 .                                          
                                                               
                                                              ,  
                                                            .    
               ,                                          ,     
                                                          ,      

  4.8 ,                                                   ,  ?   

                                                          ?   
                                                                 
  ,                                                         ?
                ,  ,                                           ,  
                   .                                          ,
  , ,                                                       ,   . 
                    
                                                                
      .           . 
                                                           ,     
  ,                 
    , ,         ,  ,                                           
                 ,                                          .    
                  .                                            ,   
     30�45%.        ,  ,                                   .   
   ,                                                       ,   
                .     
                                                          ,  ,    
      50%           
                                                           ,  , ,  
   .                 
       ,         ,                                          .   
                  ,                                       ,     
  .                                                           ,  
     ,            .                                          ,  
  ,               ,                                             
    ,               
                                                               .
    .             .  
                                                               ,  1990  . 
                   ,
  ,                                                           
     ,            ,                                          
      .            ,                                      (.  4.9).     
         ,         .                                        ,    ,  
                ,                                                
                 ,   
                                                            :
  ,                 
                                                            �     
                ,     
  ,  ,            ,                                             ,    
   .             ,                                                
                 .                                            ,    
                                                                   ,
   .            : Bourguignon (2000); Demom                       ;
   ,  ,         bynes and �zler (2002); Wilson (1991).
                                                            �     

                                                                              93

                        .    
       ;                ,     
  �                         
    ,                   ,      
                        57.  , 
      55.                , ,    , 
                           , 
                          6�7 .    
                            58.
    .                      
                               
    .                      ,  
                               
,  10%,                       ,   
.   ,                         
,                         59.   
     ,                   ,    
                              
.     ,                      
     ,                   60.  
                          �   
   ,                       ,  
                            
   56.                       
                        , �     
                             
                          61.
                              
                              

   4.9.     �
                 ?
    1990  .           ,   ,               ? 
                                     
   .                                 
    68%,    �  53%,   ,              . ,
    �  61%.              ,            , 
                        .            ��   
    ,                   .             
      ,                             .    
      .                                 
                                  ,     
    ,                                  ,
                         . �         
                      �                 
      1994  1996 .     .              .
                                       ,    
  :                                    
   ,                                     
   ,                     ,            
   ,      ,                        ,     
      .                .              
     .                    .       ,      
  ,                                 .    
      ,   ,             ,            � 
     ,                              ,  
      ,                             , 
  ,  ,                  .               
      .                                �
                        ,               
                         .        ,     �� 
      400                          .
      .                ,  
      ,                ,          : Bratton and Andrews (1999); Lifsher
                       .          (2001); Fundacio�n Paz Ciudadana (2001, 2002);
    .                      .      Webb Vidal (2001); Bratton and Andrews (2004).

94        2005


            .             ,       
                               . 
         ,                      
                              
                          ,     
        62.                 �� 65.
                                 
                            ,    
                                
                           ,      
                               
         .                    .
           ,                  
          .                  .   
                                  

                           ,   ,  
                           � �,  
                               
              ,               
                           66.  
            .              ,    ,
          2, ,                 �
           .                     
        ,   ,                ,  
         ,     63.        ,      67.
                                
                                  68.   
        64.                   
           ,                  � �
                           � �,  
           ,                 (. . 4.7).
          .                    
            ,               ,     
            ,                 
          ,                     
            . ,             .   
        ,                    �   
                              
          ,               .       
        .                    ,   
                           ,   , 
        ,    ,                 ,
                             .
            ,                   
          .                 ,   
                              .69  
            ,                  ,
           .                    
                              2%    
        ,       1917 .    .     
                                
          ,                   ,  
           .                     
                          ,      .
          ,                    
           ,                ,    
            (.  4.10).         
                          .      
         ,     ��             
        ��.                  ,    
                           ,    
                             .

                                               95


  4.10    :
             ?
         ,                  ,     . 
     ,           .             
      ?                         
     ,   ,      ,            .  
                .             ,  
    ,           ,  ,        ,    2000 .  
        ?         XIX .,      
     ,                      .   
              .   ,             1997 .  
  ,                              2003 .
   �             ,                
   ,                              
  .            ,             .     
                               , , 
                .             ,   
  ,                         ,  2000 .,  ,  
     .                        ,  , 
                 ,            .   
              . ,               
                  ,           
     .          ,           ,      
                                 ,
                ,                
    .                       .   ,  
               ,                
  ,    �         ,            , 
  ,                .          ��  
                 ,              
     .           ,              . 
              .                
     .                           
               ,                 .
      ,           ,
                ,           : Pound (1959).



                      
                ,    .

   ,                    
                   ,   ,  
      �               ,
                     :
  ,               .   
.                    .
                      
                  , 
  .                (.  9).
    ,               ,
                     
.               ,    .   
                     
  ,              ,    ,
  ,   .              ,  
                     .
   . ,                
  �                  
�,    , ,          ,    
,   .           ,     
                 .  ,   
 : ��  ,         ,    ,
��  , ��          , 
 70.            , , ,    
 , ,            ,     

96        2005


         4.7                        
                                 .   

                25               ,    .
                                      
                                      
                20                 ,  
          
                                     ,
                                      .
          .            
                15                    
           2003                     ,   
                                     .71
                      
                10                      

                                ,      

                                ,   ,  
                 5               .     9, 
                                   
                
                                  .  
                 0                 , 
                                      ,
        :    
                                   ,   
                 
          , ,  ,                       

        ,   ,                    .
          .     
        ,  , ,                    
                                 
                                  
         .                       ,   
            .                        
        : Euromoney website.    ,      
                                    .
          ,                         2,  �
         .                       �      
          ,                      ,    
                                 ,  
           (.  9).                 
                                    .  
            ,                       
           . ,                        
                                  �   
        ,                       ,     
            ,                        .
              .
           1980  .  
        ,                           
        ,     1990  .           ,      
                                      
            .                       ,
           1993 .                   .  
                                    
           ,                          
         � �. , , ,                 (.  2).
        ,    ,                        
          ,                        ,   
             ,                        
                                .      
            .                       
                                    
                                     
                                  .  
                                ,    
                                   ,  
              ,                     5.

    
     



                      ,     
                      .
      �   ,    , �        
5   ,     
               


                      .    
     .                 ,  
                          
    ,                    . 
    ,  e                
      .                ,     ,
      ,                 , 
      ,                   .
                           . 
      . ,                  
       ,   ,             
       ,              .   ,   
                         , 
    ,    , ,                
                     ,      
     .                    
                     .    
                         
                          .  
      .              ,     
       ,              .    
                         
        .                
     ?                (.  6),   (.  7),  
    ,    ,           ,    
                       (.  8)   
     .                   (.  9).
         
    ,                
    .      
                      
    ,                    
                          .  
     .                 ,    
                     ,     
                      ,   
        ,            ,     
        .               ,    
                      .     
    ,                      
           .          ,        
                       .   
                        ,  
    ,                      
         ��                , 
     ,                 ,   

98        2005


 5.1                                                          (
                                  �                        )    
                                                           ( ). 
                                                           �   
                 66      ()                               : ,  
                          63
                                 ()                         ,    
                                       56                 ,    .
                   30                                          
                            27          27  ()               ,  , 
                                              43              ,
     
                                                                
                                                18        .  , 
                                                     
                                                              
                                                            .   
                     11      12
                                         10               ,    
                                                  7          
                                                             
                                                              
                                                           ;    
                                                              
                                                            ,  
                                                            1.
                                      
                                                         �           
:    World Bank Doing Business Project.                     ,   
: World Bank (2004b).                                           

                                                                . , 

                             ,                                 

                           (. . 5.1).                           

                                                           ,     .

                           ?                                    

                                                             .  

                             ,                                

                              .                                 

                              ,                                

                                                            (,   

                           ,                               ), ,    

                             ,                                

                              .                            (       
                                                           ),     

                                                            .

                                                         �  ,   (
                                                              )
                                                               
                                                           ,     
                                                            , ,  ,  
                                                                
                                                               .
                            �      �                           
                                                                
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                                                             ,  
                            ,                               .  
                                                                
                             .                                   , 
                                                               
                               .                            (,    
                                                             ).  
                             .                                 
                            : ,                               
                              .                            ,    
                             �  ,                              ��
                                                               ,   

                                                                               99


  5.1  , 
          
                .                        . 
     ,                                     
    ;             ,                        
                     �                  ,  
 ,                                       
  .              �  ,                    , 
                 .  , ,                 .
    .                               �   
                                       ,  
                                         .
    .           ,                         
 ,    �                                  
  ,               .                   ,  � 
     �                                �      
   ,                                   .   
    .                .                  ,  
  ,              �                      
 , ,               ,                  ,    
                    (,                   
 .                ,                       
      ,            ),                      
                                       �     
                                      .    
  . ,  ,              �                  
  ,                (  ),                  
        ,             (.  6).             
   .             �                     ,   
     ,                                  
 ,                 ,                  .  , 
      ,                                  �  
      .                                   
   ,  ,            .  ,                �     
  .  ,             ,   ,                 ,   
 ,                                      .
                      
                    ,           : Clarke and Xu (2004); Djankov and
 .  ,               .           Murrell (2002); Hettige and others (1995); Lovel
     ,                          and McKechnie (2000); Megginson and Netter
                                (2001); Shirley and Walsh (2002); Wheeler
     ,                          (2001); World Bank (1995).



   �                      
       .                 ,  
                     .     
                      ,   
  ,                     .  , 
   (.  5.1).             
                        
  .                  ,     
,                    .
,                   �    . 
 .                        
 ,   ,                     (.
                       2).  ,    
.                         , 
                         . 
                            
.     :                 ,  
 �    .                   
                       ,  ,  
                      ,  
     .                   
                       .

100        2005


                �          .           ,    
                     ,                     
                                            
                                       3. ,    
                   .   ,               ,    
                                         ,  
                     ,    .                
                                ,      .  ,   
                      ,                    
                      ,                ,   
                      ,                    .
                                      ,    
                  ,   ,                  1854 .,    
                        .                  .  
                                         1981 .,  
                 �                       . 
            �.     2,                  ,     
            ,                           (. .  
            ,                          )     
             .  ,                     ,      4.  
              ,                            
                                        . ,   
            .                         ,    
                                      ,  1884 .
            ,                               
                                       ,    , 
               .                        5.   
                                          
                                        
             .                         ,  
                                       ,  
             ,                         ,    ,
                                         ,  
            2.                          ,    
                                      .       

  5.2.   :   
            
                       1965 .              
                    ,                    . , 
                    .                     ,  
 ,   ,  ,                                   , 
   ,                  ��                    ,
   ,                   ,                      
  (.  6).                               ,      
                    ,                     .  1995 . 
 .                    .                    
                    ,                       
                         1962  1971 .         
 ,                                         
                     ,                  .      
 ,  ��  ��.                                 
                     .      1970 .      ,   
   ,  ,                                    
                    .   ,                    
                     ,    1974 .           . 
    ()                .                    
 .                                         
                                        ,     
  ,    1890  .,                          
                      1985 .            .
 ,                    .   ,  
                                        : Spiller and Sampson (1996); Phillips
  .                   (),               (1993); Jamaica Office of Utility Regulation Act.

                                                                       101

                      
  ,                 ,  
    6.             .
                      
, ,               . :
 ,                �     
,                     ;
 .    ,           �    , 
                     ;
                  �     
 ,                   .
  . ,  
    
                  
    
 ,                 
                 
.                      
                  ,    , 
 (.  5.2).              
                    ,  
                  ,  


  5.3    
             
      1990     ,                
                             ,   
  ,             ,             .
  ,             , �        ,    
  � �         ,              �  
   . ,        .              �     
  ,                         ��,   � �.
 ,                 
              () ,  ,        
  ,               ,         
     .        ,              
    ,                         
               . ,          ,  
 , ,  ,                     . 
                ()           
     ,                        
    . ,        ,           ,   ,   
     ,                        
  ,            .          .  ,   
  .  , ,                     
                              
  .                       .
 .                               �
                          �     ,
   �                          
                  .            
                                
                            , 
              ,  . ,        .  
               ,    �        
   ,           ,              
    ,          , �        ,      
      ,                       
              .           (.  9).
 .                
   ,           , ,        : Copeland and Taylor (2004);
 ,            ,           Wheeler (2001); Becker and Henderson (2000);
                  �    �  Dowell, Hart and Yeung (2000); Frankel (2003);
  ,              .        Greenstone (2002); Jaffe and others (1995);
    . ,                   Keller  and   Levinson    (2002);   Klein   and
                          Hadjimichael (2003); List and others (2003).

  102            2005


                  5.2                                                                       ,    
                                                                                            .      
                                                                                                

                          160                                                  80          ,  ,
                                      ,                                                       
                                        ( )                                                   . 
                                             ,                                            ,     
                                                                                            ,   
                          120               ( )                                60
                                                                                           .
                        
                                                                                                 ,

                                                                                              

                                                                                               
                           80                                                  40    
                                                                                           .  
                                                                                            ,   
                        %                                                                  , , ,   
                         ,
                                                                                                 , 
                           40                                                  20           7.   

                                                                                          . ,  ,   
                                                                                               
                                                                                               
                            0                                                  0              2,6  8.
                                                                                             ,  
                                                                
                                                                                            � � 
                                                                
                                                                                              
                 :       %                                                                ,     
                    ()      
                                                                                            . ,   
                  ,    Doing Business.
                                                                                           ,      
                 : World Bank (2004b).
                                                                                                  
                                                                                             200   9.   
                                                                                          ,        
                                      .                                                        (. . 5.2).
                                         ,                                                      
                                      ,      ,                                                ,   
                                                                                               
                                     (.  5.3). ,  ,                                        .     

   5.3                                                                                           
                                                                                           ,  0,4%   ,
                                                                                                  
                                                                                             0,01%10.   
                                               
                             (20�50 .)       (250 .  )                                         
             (1�10 .)                                                                     ,   ()  
  20                                                                          20
                                                                                            ,  
                                                       ,
                                                                                               .  
                                                       
%                                                     , %                                        

  15                                                                          15                 
 ,                                                                                             
                                                                                              11.
                                                     
                                                                                               : 
  10                                                                          10
                                                                                               
                                                                                            ,    

                                                                                          ,    �    

   5                                                                          5            �   (. . 5.3).
                                                                                               
                                                                                            ,   
                                                                                                
   0                                                                          0
                                                                                          .    ,
                                       
                     (10�20 .)       (50�250 .)                                                
     (1�10 .)                                                                             ,       (. . 5.3).
                                                                                              
                                                                                            ,     
  :     , , , , 
  , , , , , .                                                                                 12. , 

  : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys and WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal firms.         

                                                                          103


 5.4     
          
                 (, ,                   
                                       2   30 .
.              ).                      
                  6  12            75%.     
  .              700 � 1400 .           
                                      (  
                 .                   ,    
      2000 .     2 ,                 ), 
                                        , 
               15 ,                   
                   350                .
.              .                            
   ,               .               ,  ,  
,  ,            1999 .                 .
                6 .  ,   2000 .         
    .             14 .,   2001     ,     40 
                2002 .  21 .         .   
 ,   10                               
    20                                25%   10% 
   .            ,                   ,     
 ,     ,         ,                  .
                   .
 .                                 :  � Mallon (2004);  �
                                   Sander (2004).



 5.5  � �  �  �?
    �                              ,   ,   
   �             ,                  .   
                 .                    1990  .  .
:    ,         ,                           
   ,            ,                     , 
                                   ,      
 ,                                 ,    
                .                       
 ..                                .     
   �            ,                      
�,               .                   ,   
                                    ,    
,                                      
    .           ,                        
       ,           .                .  
                                   ,     
  , ,             �                  ,   
   ,           �,                      
  .             :    14               .
  .                ,                    � �   
                   .                    
                                      
 .  ,   ,        ,                 . ,    �
                   .               �       
 ,  � �           � �                  
                  1987 .               , 
,                ,                    
. ,                                   ,  45  
                     .               3 .
,    .            
                  ,                : Bannock Consulting (2001); Brimble
 � �                               (2002); Miralle (2002); Sader (2003).


   ,                 .   
                         
   .              ,      
       ,              
                         

104           2005


                                 .   ,                     
                                   ,                       ,  
                                                        ,    
                                 ,   ,                 .     
                                                         ,     .
                                .                           
                                                        ,    
                                                            30%  
                                    .  ,                  (.  2).
                                   .   ()  
                                ,                           .
                                ,                      ,        
                                   20%13.                  ,  
                                     (.  5.4).              .
                                                             
                                                           ,  
                                .                         
                                 ,                          ,  
                                     ,                     
                                    (.  2.15),            .  
                                  � � (.  5.5).            
                                                       ,    
                                 ,                     .     �   
                                                           
                                 � �  �14.                  
                                    ()                 , ,   ,  
                                    ,                  .     ,
                                 .                          
                                 Doing Business ,        .   
                                     � �                ,   
                                �,                          
                                  28  15.                   
                                                        .      
                                                            ,  
                                                           
                                   ,                     .
                                 ,    ,                        
                                                           
                                 .                          ,   
                                   ,                       
                                                       .  ,     
 5.4
   ,   ,                                                   

,                                                        ,   

     100                                                , , ,  
                                                              
   %
                                                        .

      75                                                    
                                                          
                                                       .    , 
    ,
                                                           
      50
                                                  
                                                       ,     
                                                   
                                                       ;    
                                                  
                                                              
 ,    25                                                 .
                                                         ,    ,
     
                                                       ,    

       0                                                   
                                                         .  
                                                           ,  
:          50
 ,   50   .                                             ,  , 

: World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.                (. . 5.4).  

                                                             105

       
 ,  .             5.6   
                          
 �  ,                      
                              
 .                 .           
                    �           
    (.  5.6),     ,            

    ,              �        (.  6).  

  ,                            
                    ,         ,
,      
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. ,     ,          .          
,                              
                               
  .                           

                  ,  ,     .     

                  .            
                              
,      
                   .            
                      .     .
    .                         
                                
                               .  

,                            

   .                           
                  .           
      
                            ,    
                             
                             
  ,               ,    .   . ,   
.                 ,  ,         

                             , 
                  ,   �      
    
                  �          �   
     
                     �      ,   ,
  ;               ,           ,  
                  ,         (.  5.2).
     
  .   
                 
                 
                    
 (.  5.7)              .

  5.7   

   ,                      ,    
              .            ,   ,  ,
     ,                        
                              . 
                (            
 .  ,                       
              ),              , 
 ,             .              
   ,                      ,    
  .                       .    
              ,              ,
                 ()           
                             . 
  ,  .. �       ,            
  �.              .       ,  
    �                        
      ,          ,          . , 
    ,                         
                         .    
   , �         .          .
                    
    ,                    : Waelde and Ndi (1996); Tropin (2003).

106        2005


                            ,     
           �    �          ,  ,   
         ,                      .
            ,                    
                             . 
                                 
          .                  .
                                
              .                , 
         ,   ��                 
          ,                        
            ,                 (.  8.5).   
         ,                    
          ,   ,            ,   
           7%,   90%            
         16.               ,  ,   
                            ,   .  
           17.  ,               
         ,   ,                  
                             ,  
         ,  , ,   18.              20.
           ,                     
                           ,  ,  , , 
         ,  ,                   
          .    ,              (   
         ,   ,                  
           ,    50%        )21    
            ,  ,             22.
            (.  1).             
                                
           .  ,                 
               ,            ,    
                              
           .               .  ,   
                                
           ,                   
                                          
                             ,     
              .                 (.
                            6).    
                               ,    
         .                     
                                 
          .                    .  2004 . 
                              5  
             ,               12,5  ,   
           ,                   23.   
         .                       , 
                                
             .                  
          , ,                  .
          , �      
              , � ,              .
                               , 
             (0,6%            .  
         )                       
              20%19.        .    
                                
                           ,     
             .                 
                            ,     
          ,                ,      

                                                                                107

.  ,                          
    ,                       .
    ,                    � ,                            
    ,                          
     ,                      ,    
 24.  ,                       
                            .
    , 
                              
    20%                           .                 
 (.  1).                      
                       ,   
                          
 ,   .                      
                          
  .                       (.  3). 
   Doing Business,        , 65% 
,      5              43      
 ��     (),                  
 10   ,   .             ,   28% 
,                          28.
    .                    ,  
       (,                   
,   )                   ,    ,
  1%   ,                  
    76%.                29.
    ,                         
 ,                         
 (                    ,      .
  ).                       
                         ,   
    ,                   ,     
 ,   25.                30.    , 
                      ,      
    .                  5.5
                         ,      
    .                      
       
 ,                       6                                               20
                                   
    ,
                        
                               

     .                  
                                                                            
     ,                                                                   15
    
                         4                                                  
( .. )26.   ,                                                               
                        
    ,                                                                       
  27:
                                                                         10
  �                     
     ,                                                                      
     .                   2
                                                                            
                                                                         5  
    ,  , 
       ,                
       .                                                                    

  �   
        ,                0                                               0
                                                                  
                                                                 
    ;  ,                                                         
        ,
          ;          :           
                       ;        
        
                       .
       ,
                     : World Economic Forum (2002); Nicholson (2003).

108        2005


  5.8      

                                           (. .)                                  �
                                               ?                             � .  
  ,  ,                                                                       ,    
                                           . ,                                  
        .                                    2000 .                              
                                              ,                                  
    .                                                                         ,    
    .                                        .                                 
     ,                                       ,                                 .  
                                                                              ,    
  ,                                        .   ,                              ,    
     , �                                       ,                                ,   
  ,  ,                                                                           ,  
                                              ,                                  .
                                                                                    ?  
   .                                           .                                 
   �                                            ,                                
     , �                                                                      .    
                                              ,                                   
    ,                                       ,                                ,   
                                                                                  
  .                                       ;      ,                              
   �                                                                         .   ,  
    .                                                                             
     ,                                    .  ,                                 .
                                              
    .                                         1998�1999 .                    : CUTS Center for Competition (2003);
                                                                             Economic and Social Research Foundation
   ,                                        ,                                (2002).


           

                                                                                                           

                                             (1999)   (1996 2000) (1996�2000)    (1999)    (1996�2000)   (1998�2000)

  ,                                           206         30          166          273          6            50

                                               0          22          16           236          1            22

                                              206         8           149           37          6            28

                                              9,0         1,3         33           7,4          0,9         24,8



                                                                         ,       
 5.1
                                                                            .   
 ,     
                                                                           ,    
                                                                             

                               ,                                             ,   ,  
                                                                              
                                                                           (. . 5.5).    
                                                                         ?      
                                                                           �   . 
                         18                56               82           , ,   , 
                         40                90              100             (,  
                         12                35               71              /   ),  

                         11                56               83             ,   
                                                                            , ,  
 
                         14                62               86            ,  , 
                                                                            (.  5.8).
  
                         33                67               83
 
                                                                          
                         14                29               71
                                                                           
                         50                50               50
                                                                         
:  ,   ,                                                                      

,   18   .                                                               .      
: World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.                                      

                                                                                               109

                        5.6
 ,                            
   ,                     
    
                                                                                     
.      ,                                                                                   
     ,
                              
    
     ,                     
    ,    
  ,                        
 .     3,
                                

   
 ,                                

   .                              

                                       
 ,   ,  , 
  � �                            
  .
                              
                                 

                                  

                                  
   ,   
 , �     .                                           0%             10%       20%          30%      40%

                       :   1999�2000 .
                       : World Bank (2004k); Ebrill and others (2001).
    .   
 ,                     .     
,    .                    ,    
                       .
    
   .                      .   
                            
                            
                         .  
   .                        ,
    �   .                     
     ,                  ,    
    .                      ,  
 , , ,   
                        5.7
 �                      1990  .       
   .                        
  .  
      1797 .31,
                                   
        
     1909 .  
    1913 .32                                

 ()    � 
    1948 .,                          

     1970�1980  .33
    ,                              

  , ,   , 
 .                         
 ,   
                                                                                 1993�1994
                              
                                                                                 2000�2001
 (. . 5.1).     
  ,                                                       0.0   0.5   1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5   3.0 3.5 4.0
                                                                             , %
  ,  
                       :    81 ,     
  .                      .
   ,                   : IMF (2003); OECD (2002d); Dobrinsky (2002).

110        2005


  5.9    :  ?
       ,            ,                 
                                   ,   
     � �                          (. . 5.7).  ,  
   .               .             ,    
                                     
     ,           ,                 �  
     .             .                 
                                    .
     ,            .                     
      ,               ,          ,  ,    
  ,   ,             ,            :
    .                (..             �     
                     ,                  ,   
       ,            ),                  .  
   ?                                       
                   .                   ,     
  , ,                  (,                ;  
   , , ,         ,  )                     
                 ,                         
   ,               ,                   .     
  .  25 ,           .                       
                     ,                 .     
                                       ,     
   (                                       
        ,         .  ,                 ,   .
    ),           ,   ,               �   
  ,                                     ,   
                 ,    .                  ,  
    3,3%.            , ,                .  
    .              ,                   ,  ,  
                 ,    ,                   
    � �                                  ,  
  ?                ;                    ,  , 
                                          .
   ,             .      ,               ,    
                                          
   .               .                     
                                        .  
    ,                                     
                                         ,  
  ,    ,         ?                         ,
     .                                   , 
                                       ,   ,  
                  , ,  � �,             (.  8).
                  1990  .,    
    (             ,              : Baldwin and Krugman (2004);
       )            .            Brennan and Buchanan (1980); De Mooij and
     ,                           Ederveen (2001); Devereux, Griffith, and Klemm
  ,              ,               (2002); Glaezer, Johnson, and Shleifer (2001);
                 .               Gordon and Hines (2002); Haufler (2001); Hines
   .                             (1999); Mitra and Stern (2003); Oates (2001);
   ,              ,              Rodrik (1997); Tiebout (1956); Wilson (1999);
                     ,           Wunder (2001a).


                  34.           ,    
               ,                  36.
             ,                          
                ,              ,   
                                    
             35.                (. . 5.6).   ,
                                   
                  �              ,   ,
                 �                   
                  .             (. . 5.7).  
             ,  70%           1990  .    
                                   

                                                                                                                              111

  ,    
 ,                                                 5.10   , 
    37.                                                               ?
    ,                                                                                        
   �                                              ,                                     ,   

�                                                    . ,                                �    
                                                                                        �,     
   (.  5.9).
                                                 ,                                          . 
     ,     ,                                     ,                                            
    .                                             .                                       ,   
,                                                                                       ,    

                                                 (   ,                                      
                                                   ),                                     ,   .  
 (.  5.10),   
                                                    .                                        
    .                                             ,   ,                                 ,   
,                                                   ,                                        
                                                   .                                       

,     ,                                                                                 ,   , 
                                                      .                                   ,   
                                                                                        ,  .
,                                                   . 
   ,                                                                                    : Fuchs, Krueger, and Poterba

                                                     ,                                  (1998); Mulligan (2002); Rosen (1995).

 .  ,   
                                                  ).   
 ,                                                   
 .                                               .  ,    
,                                                     
                                                   ,   
                                                ,    (. . 5.8)38.
 .    
  ,                                                .  
                                                      
    ,   .                                         ,   
                                                 .   ,    ,
    � �                                          ,   ,  50%
 .                                               ,    
                                                       
                                                 ( 5.9).  
                                                     �  
 (e    ��                                       ,     
                                                     .
 5.8
  :                                                 .   
                                                      

   10                                            5.9
                                  
                                                    
                                                 
 %
    8
                                                    

  ,                                                 
    6
                                                   
   
                                                    
    4
                                                   
   

                                                      
    2
                                                 

                                                             0       20        40       60      80
    0
          2�5     6�25  26�75 76�200  200                                      %
                                                :  ,   
                       
                                                   ��  
: Gauthier and Reinikka (2000); Gauthier and       .
Gersovitz (1997).                               : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

112            2005


                             .  ,           ;     
                                               
                              (   ),           
                                ,          .    
                                .         ,  ,   
                                               ,

  5.11                      ,    ,            ,
                                               

                                          .      

                                .               
                                           ,     
                                  39.         
   ?                          ,              .
                               
    
                              ,   
                                               

 ,                             .   ,      .  �� 
                                                
    ,                       ,    .  ��     (.  3).    
                                ,         ,    
  .                          .  , ,          41. 
    ,
                                                  
    
                                ,         ,     

                               ,           .     �
    ,                        , ,          �     
      .                                     ,   
                                              42.
                                .               
 ,   
                                               � 
   ,                          
                                          �.     , 

                                              ,
                                           ,   
  .                                            
      2002 .                                     
  .  (),                                   (.  5.11).    
    
                            ,  , ,           , 
   
  ,                           ,              , 

                                           ,   
                            ,    ,  ,        .
 .                              .
 ,                               �  ,          . 
                                 ,             
  . 
                                                
    
   ,                                      .  ,  , 

                              . ,          ��    ,
                             2004 .           ��  
 100  500 .                               ,    ,
                               .               .  
                                             ,  
  ,  
                                (              
     
  ,                             ),           .  ,  

    .                                                     
                                 .        43.  ,   
                                            . 
                               .               
    
                                ,               
   732 . .,
                              ,           . ,   ,  
     
                                             ,   

 17,1 . .                       .              
                                          .    
 :         The Economist         .              
 (2002b).                     ,              
                             ,              .

                                 113

                   ,  
.                     
                     53.  
    ,             �    
    .             (,  ,
    1980  .         
     ,           ),    � �, 
  15 44.               
    ,             .    
 .                  
 ,                  , 
 ,              ,    
                  ,    
 45.                 
   46.             (.  2).
                    ,    
  47.             , , 
,               , .   85%  
,  ,  ,          ,    
 ,                SUNAT  ,   
      ,          ,    
                  54.    
  48.            �    :  ,
 1995 .         ,    
                     55.
 , ,    
  ,                  
  ,   49.          .  
                     
   50.            56. 
                      
  .                ,    
                    
 (,             57. , , ,  
), ,              ,  , 
     ,             ,    
    .            ,   
                      
                    57. 
  .                  
                ,   
  ,                  
    ,              59.  
                    
.                ,   
     ,          ,    
                  60.
.  ,     
  ,             
                 
    51.
                 
                      
.                ,   ,
    .                
   ,               ,  ,
                     
        .         ,  .
                     
52.                 
                 , ,  
                 ,   

114          2005


 5.10                                                                      ,  
                                                                           .
   
                                                                           
      ,                                                                   
      ,                                                                   1995 .    60  
250    ,                                                          80      ,    
                                                                           ,  
                                                                             
200                                                                       (. . 5.10).
                                                                  60          
                                                                              

150                                                                         .    
                                                                          ,    
                                                                  40      ,    
100                                                                            

                                                                             
                                                                             
                                                                  20
                                                                            . 
 50
                                                                               
                                                                          (.  8).
                                                                              , 
  0                                                               0
                                                                                
    1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
                                                                             ,
: UNCTAD (2003)                                                             �
                                                                         �, � ,     
 5.11
                                                                          .  ,  
      ,
                                                                             
    
                                                                            , 
                                                                          ,    
                                                                         61.    
                                                                              
                                                                               
         
                                                                         ,   , 
                                                                         ,     
                                                                             ( 5.11).
                                                                             
                                                                             , 
                                                                               
                                                                          �� ,  
                                                                         ,     
                  
                                                                           .
                                                                                

                                                                            
                                               
                                                                            
                                                
                                                                          ,     
                                                                          ,     
                                                                         (.  5.12).

                          0      0.2    0.4     0.6     0.8    1.0
                                                                          
                                       
                   (      )                                                
: Golub (2003)                                                                 
                                                                             ,  
                              ()   .                                      ,    
                                 ,                                        ,     
                                                                            .
                                 
                              .                                             .  
                                ,   ,                                         
                                                                           (13%)62.  ,   
                                                                              
                              (.  3).     ,                                 10%,   

                                                                                                        115


    5.12     

                        ,                                   ,   
     ,                   .                                     20 
                      ,                                        
     ,                ,                                          
                     ��  ,                                  .   
    .    ,                  .                              ,       
                      ,                                     , � ,   1992 . 
   ,                     .                                     .
   ,                                                              
       ()            .                                          
       .             ,    ,                                .   ,
                                                                
                      .                                     ,   
   .  �               ,                                         
    �   .                                                   .   
   ,                     ��                                ,     
      ,              ,                                        . 
                                                                �   
                          .                                ,      
    .                                                      , �   
     ,                  ,                                   ,   
     ,                                                        .  
              ?        (..                                 ,     
                       ).                                   ,   ,  
                                                              ,  
    .                    .                                  ,     
                         .                                    .
                        , 
    .                                                      : Schumukler (2003); World Bank
                                                           (2002d); Ariyoshi and others (2000); de Ferranti
    ( 1997 ),          .                                   and others (2000); Edwards (1999); Kaminsky,
        �                                                  Reinhard, and Ve�gh (2003); Montiel and
   �                    .   1991 .                         Reinhard (1999); World Bank (2001f).


   5%,   2015 .               
  100  .                   .   
,                           � 
                           , � 
,      
  (.  10).              5.12
                          �  2  18 
                                                                             
.     ,
                        
,    , �
     ,  
                         
      
, �     
                         
 .  ,  
    
                         
 ,   
  �  �;  ,  
                         
   ,   
 .   ,  
                        
        2 .
       
                        
     
18 ,    16  ( 5.12). 
                         
      
    : ,
                         
      
 �     ,                   0              5              10             15              20
;       ,                                               
    64.                : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

116          2005


                                                   .
  5.13                                                20%
                                               ,    
                                                , ,   
                     
                                                       

      .           .                              .     
                                                    , 
                   ,                           , ,   ,  ,
                 ,                                 . 
    .           ,                               10% ,   
                   .
                                                , ,      
    ,              14%
    radeNet.                                       ,   

                     11%                            100 .
      ,           .                                 
                                                 .  
                     ,                             
  ,              18%                               (. 
  .                .                            5.13)65.   
                      
  ,             ,                                 

                  ,                                  
    .            ,                              ,  .  
                                                 ,    
   ,           .                                    
                                               66.     
                  
                                                    
                  
  ,              ,                                   

    �� .                                          ,  
      1989 .    ,                                     
  ,            ,                                  67. 
     2�4           .                                
   ,           ,   
                                                   ,
     3�35  .        �
                                                     (.  5.14).
     ,         �,    24  
                 ,  
      20�35%.    .                                                   
                                                    
  ,   ,        : De Wulf (2004); World Bank
                                                .    
               (1998b).
                                                    
                                                  .    6.


  5.14 :    

  1995 .               �                              ( 2001 .
     .                       20                     ). 
                           ;                        
    .                  �                          .  2002 . 
                            ,                     ,   
   .                     ,                         ,   
    ,                    ,                         ,     
 ,   ,                      ;                    ,    
     .                 �                         .
 ,                           ;                            
 .   .                 �    ;                    .  ,     
   ,                   �   .                        � �.
                                                  1999 .     
                                                     2003 .,    
    .               ()                            2005 .     
    1995 .            �                               
                  �,   1996 .                    ,   , 
  .                 .                                ,
 :                                                  ,    2003 .
   �                ,                                
                                                  .
    ,               ( ) 
     ;             1996�2000 .                   : Mwangi (2003).

                                 
                                  


                                  ,   ,                           �  ,    
         6                            ,                          .    
                                                                   .   
                                        .                             
                                                                  , , 
                                                                       
                                                                  ,  
                                  .  ,                               
                                                                 .     
                                                                  ,  
                                                                       1.
                                  �    ,                            
                                   .                              ,   
                                     ,                               
                                                                  ,    
                                    ,                             .   
                                                                     
                                    .                                  
                                                                      
                                     (. . 6.1).                  2.        
                                        ,                              .
                                  ,  ,                                 ,
                                 ,                                   . 
                                  .    �                           ,  ,
                                  ,                                    

 6.1                                                                  
                                                                  ,       
                                                                     
                                                                 ,     
                                                                   .   
                                                                     
                                                                       
     
                                                                     ,
                                                                   ,   
                                                                 ,   ,     
                                                                   .   
                                                                     
                      
                                                                 ,      
                                                                      
                                                                   .


                                                  
                                                                  
                                              
                                                                     

                                    0     10 20 30 40 50 60 70    ,    
                                                                    ,  
                                                , %
:     ,   ,                                                      . ,    

  ,       � ,                                                    ,     
    ��  ��                                                          
     .                                                            .   
: World Bank International Climate Surveys.

118        2005


 6.2                                                                                          
                                                                                          9. 
                                                                                             
                                      
                                                                                         . , 
 1%                                      5%
                                                                                           ,   
       13%
 5%                                                        5%                            ,     ,
                                       5%                                                   .   
                                                                                             
                                                                                          ,  
       11%                                                                                    
             70%                                                                            .  
                                                  
                                                                       52%
                                                    22%                                  , ,  
                                                                                              
                                                                                         ,    ,     
                                                                                             ,  
                                                                                           ,    
                                        4%                                                    
                                                                                        .    
:     , , , ,
                                                                                         ,     ,
, ,   .      
10 .,  �   50   .                                                                           

: World Bank International Climate Surveys, WDR Surveys of Micro and Informal Firms.         ,   
                                                                                               
                                                                                           , 
                                   ,                                                     .  , , 
                                 ,                                                          
                                     ,                                                      .  
                                 ,      (.                                                  ,
                                 . 6.2).                                                     
                                      ,                                                   ,   
                                     .                                                  ,    
                                                                                            .
                                    ,                                                          
                                    �                                                       
                                 ,                                                        ,    
                                  .                                                      .   
                                    .                                                    ,    , �   
                                                                                           .  
                                                                                           ,    
                                   3.                                                    ,    .
                                                                                              
                                                                                         ,      
                                      4.                                                  ,    .
                                                                                              
                                    ,  ,                                                     
                                        .                                                  , 
                                                                                         .    
                                                                                           ,   
                                                                                          : , 
                                  5.                                                        , 
                                  ,                                                         , 
                                 ,                                                           .
                                                                                             
                                  6.                                                        . 
                                                                                            
                                 :                                                         
                                                                                            .   
                                    4%    3%7.                                                      .
                                 ,                                                           1990  .  
                                                                                          ,   
                                 8.                                                           
                                                                                            
                                                                                         .     1980  .

                                                           119

    ,  
                  6.1   
      ,               :   
                      
    , 
     10.            ,             

                  ,           
                              
 (.  6.1).   
                    ,         
                     .     .   
     ,                        1876 .  
,       .           ,     :  
                  ,  ,       .  
                              
                             ,  
                    ,         

                 ,            
                           .   , 
                 .        ,     
                              
                   ,      ,     

                 ,            .
                                 
    :
                 .           
   
                    (),      
 ,                             
                           . 
                    .      , ��, 
                              1  

                   ,         
                               
().   ,    
                           .  ,
  , ,  ,
                 ,  ,          
                           ,  
                    ,        ,   
.                 . ,     .    
                  ,            

    ,                ,        
                          .    , 
      
                          ,   , 
       
                  �           
.                ,         ( ) 
  .                 .         
                              
  ,  .                       .

                   
                          : Rajan and Zingales (2003) and
      
                   .      Haber, Razo, and Maurer (2003).
   ,  
   
,     .             
                ,    
,                .  
  .                 ,
  ,                  
 ,  , .               
,                     
                     
,                  ,   
 ,   ,           ,    
                 13.      
   11.            ,  
                      
  ,    ,            (. . 6.3).
     
                    
                .    
 12.              ()  

120        2005

 6.3
 ,                                                                     80%  
                                                                   15.   
                                                                    , 
               100
             %                                                          
                90                                                     
                                                                   .
              , 80
                                                                         
                                       2003
                70                                                     
                                   1995
          ,                                                         .  18 , 
                60
                                 1985                                 , , 
                50                                                 50%     

                                                                    16.      
                40                                                    
           
                                                                  . ,   57% , 
                30
                                                                     
                20                                                 ,    
                                                                    ,   6%
                10
                                                                        75% 
                 0                                                .   
                                                                        
                                                              
                                                                       
                                                                  . ,     1983  1992 .
                                                         
                                                                  ��    
:  � �     , ,                                                     23  . 17.
 ; �   � � , , , , ,
,    ; �    � �
                                                                     .  
, , ,   , , ,
                                                                      
,  , , , , ,   ,   ;
                                                                      , 
�    � � , , , ,   .
 � �    , , , , ,                                                      , 

, , ,   .                                                              
:   2003 .   : Clark, Cull, and Shirley (2003);   1985 . �        , ,   ,
 : La Porta, Lo�pez de Silanes, and Schleifer (2002).                   
                                                                     .   
                                     ,                            ,      
                                     ,                                
                                    ,                             ,      
                                     .                               18.
                                                                                  
                                                                    ,     
                                                                   . ,  1980  .    
                                                                      , 
                                    14.    ,                          ,  
                                                                      .  
                                                                    ,  ,  
                                    ,                               ,     
                                     .                               .  
                                      ,                              ,  
                                    , ,   ,                          (   
                                       .                          ),   ,   �
                                                                       
                                       ,                            .
                                     ,    ,                          ,    
                                         .                            , �
                                                                     ,  
                                     . , ,                             
                                                                  .  ,     
                                                                    ,   
                                         ,                        ,       , 
                                                                        
                                       :                          .    
                                                                       
                                       .  1998 .                   ,    

                                  121

    .  ,         �   
    ,             
   .             �  
  ,              �   , 
                   
.    ,           �     
 ,   ,            
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  .               .
   
     ,             
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     ,         ,   , 
        19
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                 ,    
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              ,    .   
 .                
                   
  ,            .    
  ,               . 
.    ,           , 
20.    ,        ,    
               ,    
 .            ,    
                  ,
   .  ,          . , ,
 ,                
                   
 ,             1995  2003 .   
 .               .
   
                  .   
 .                
                    
               ,     
,     ,             
    21.              
                24. , 
,    ,          �    
       ,         ,  
                , 
 ,              �   
,                 . 
     ,             
   . ,             
 ,             ,   
                   25.
   ,                  
      22.       ()   
                   .  
,                   1980 
  23.          1990  .     ,
                    
               . ,  
                  
                  
,    :          26. , 

122          2005


                                                          .   
  6.2                                                   500   15 
                                                       .
             :  ,                                           ,  

                                                          
                                                          .   
  ,                  ,                               ,     
  ,                   ,                                     .  
  ,                 .                                      
     , ,  ,             ,
                                                       ,  ,   
                       
   ,                                                        

   ,                .                                      
    .                                                  29.
                                                             
                                                     ,    
                    ,                                    . 
                       .
                                                     , ,    
  ,                                       
                                                          , 

                                                      35%    (  
  .  ,  ,                                             )30.   
   ,                  .                                    
      ,                                                . , 
                     ,                                    
                    .    
                                                      ��,   
     .                ()
                                                        .     

     ,               .                                   
                                                     ,    
    .                  ,                             31.     
       ,                                                   
                    ,                                      
  ,                   
                                                         
    �                   
                                                         32. , 

    ,                ,                               ,   
     .                .                                  
    1998�1999 .                                            
  2003 .   31,6     : Hess and Klapper (2003) and        (.  6.3).
  .                 World Bank (2004j).                      
                                                         ? 
                  ,                                        
                   ,                                 ,    ,
                      (.  6.2).                          
                                                      .  , , 
                     ,                                       5%,
                                                            1%33.  
                      .                                   
                   ,                                    ,    
                                                       ,   
                                                       . , ,  
                    27.                                   
                     ,                                 ,     34. 
                                                          
                  :                                        
                      28.                                
                                                     ,  ,    ,
                                                             
                   . , ��                               35.   
                                                           
                     ,                                  ,    
                                                         36.
                   .    
                      ,                                   , 
                     ,                                .    

                                                                      123


 6.3     
           
               3,5  .,            
  ,             280 .            
                                   
   �              ,             .  1992 . ��, 
                                 ()  
     �                         ,  
  ,    .         .              �� �    
                                 ,  
 ,                ,            .   
    5�20%         .                  14,3 .
.   ,                           70 . .      
,   .                          ,    1998 . ��
                 ,                
 ,               .               .
                                        
.                               ,   
               ,                    
,                ,                
  �� (           ,               ,   
),              .                 ,
 ,  ,                               
                                 . ,   
,                                  , 
                 ,                .  
   .           ,      ,             
                .                  
,    ,              1983 .        , , 
                  ��           ,      , 
,    ,                            ,  
 ,             ,    .              
                1986 .             �     
                                     
   ()           .              .
   .                   
                   
                               : Ghatak and Guinnane (1999);
 .  2002 .        ,            Morduch (1997); Morduch, Littlefield, and
  1 .                          Hashemi (2003); Hubka and Zaide (2004);
   30  ,       .  ,            CGAP (1997); Klapper and Kraus (2002);
                 ,             www.mixmarket.org.



                        
 ,                   39. 
                       
,                     ,     
     ,             ,    . ,
                     37 , ,   
   37.                 
                    25   75  ,  
                      87  40.
                        , � ,
 .                 ,  , 
,                       
    ,              , �    
    .                  ,  
 ,                 ,     
    38.             .     
                         
,                    ,       
  ( ),              ,   
                       
 (.  4).  ,           ,  
                    �  ,   

124            2005


                                                       ,       
  6.4                                                  ,    42. 
                                                            
              ,                                            ,   
                                                            
                                                         . , , �
                     .                                 �  , 
                                                           
                         
                                                        ,      
    ,  ,             .   
                                                         ,  
                        366 
    .  ,                                                  ,  
                         .                              43.   , 
      ,                                                     
                                                       ,     
     .               ,                                  ,  ,
   ,                     
                                                                                                
                     .
                                                       (.  6.4).
                            
    ()              ,                                       
                                                         ,  
  (                   ,                                       
                      ,                                ,    
    ()).                                                     
            ,           .                                44. 
   1999 .,           ,   
                                                          
   .  ,             ,      
                    ,                                       
    ,                                                  ,     ,
     .                                                      , 
                       .                                  45.  
                                                            
                    : Fleisig (1998) and Stoica and
                                                       ,      
                    Stoica (2002).
                                                                                                
                                                       .   
                                                       ,  , 
                   41. ,                               ,      
                  , ,   ,                                 (    , 
                                                            
                 ,  25% ,                               ),    


  6.5     
               
                                                           
                        ,                                  
     .                  ()    ,                            (GAAP),   
                           ,                                ).
                                                                
  .                       ,                              ,     
 ,                         .                                  
 () ,   ,                    2001 . BOVESPA (            .    
                        .  )                                () 
                         � Novo Mercado, �               ,       
 (,   �                                                   ,  
                         Neuer Markt.                      �   
 �   �                                                   ,     
 �  � �).                                                     
                                                         ,     
                          . Novo                           . 
                        Mercado                            Novo Mercado   
  ,                                                       .
 .                           
                         ,                               : McKinsey & Company (2002); Dyer
  ,                     .    25%                         (2001a, 2001b); Weiss (2002); BOVESPA Web
 ,    2                     ,                            site; Novo Mercado regulations 10.303; and de
  ( 2  . ).                �                             Carvalho (2003).

                                     125

                      
,                   
,                 ,   
46.                 .  
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,                     
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,                      
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                .   , 
.               ,     
                  ,  
,     ,              
,     ,               
                  50.
   .                  ,  
   (            ,    ,
                 ,    
   )            .  ,  ,   
                      
    ,             ,  
                    
 (.  6.5)47.    51.     , 
    ,               , 
   ,                
    ,                ,  
                       
.                   25%52.    ,  
  ,               ,  
                     16%,  
   48.          ,    
                ,    40%,   ,
,    ,                 
                ,     
  ,             67%53.
  ,    ,               
                    
    ,           .      
    49.               
    ,                
,  ,               ,   
  ,                  
                .   
                    ,   
  , ,                ,
    .                ,
                     
    ,           ,  ,    
,  �                  . 
    .           ,    
                ,    , 
                     
                ,    
 (.  9).             
                .  ,  
                    (
   .            ,    ), 

126        2005


            ,               
           (            56. ,  
         ) 54. ,      ,     
                      ,     
           ,               
                         57.  
            ��          ,   , 
          .            ,    
                          
            .         . ,   
                          
                            
             .        ,     
                            
          ,               
           ,  ,          58.
           ,            ,    
             .        ,             
                         ,   
             ,           59.  
             .            
                        , 
           .           �   , 
                         . 
                        ,    , 
             ,            
                      (   ) 
           .              60.    
                          (  
          ,    ,       )   
                          2%  
                      .    1998 .   
             .             
                            
         ,                 , 
                          
             .           . 
               �      ,   ,    
                         ,  
                        ,    
           � ,          ,    
           .             61.   
                          :         
         ,                 
                          1997 . �   
            , ,          
         ,  .         62.
                           
           .            ,    ,
                        ,  
             ,        ,     
         ��  ,        ,    
                            
           55.        63.     
                          
                        , ,   
             .            ( 
           ,   ,      ,     
          ,           ).    ,   
                          , 
                            
          ,             , ,  

                                                                 127

 ,  ,                    ,    
 ,    .                   
                     ,    .     
                           
    ,                 68.
    64. 
                        ,  
                       .   
     439   50              
 65. ,  ,             ,     
 ,   ,                .    
      ,                ,      
     .               ,        
                     . ,  
                          ��
             66.     ,     
                          
                      .     
67.                      
                     ,    
:                    ,     
                     ,     

                         
                     .     , 
                           
,                     ,  
 ,                       , 
                        ,  
,                          , 
.   ,                    .
 .                         
                      ,   
    ,                    
     .                � ,   
  ,                  .       
    ,                ,      
         
                      6.4
   ,     
                        
  (. . 6.1).          (     )
      
                            30
 �                      %
,     
                       
                                   

 ,   (. . 6.4).          ,         
       
                       
,  ,                        20   
                          
    ,                  
                          
   .                            
                       
   ,                   
                       
      :
, ,                  ,      10

.   ,                  
                      

 ,    
                       
                          ��
      .                      0
                                                     
                                                         
 
                     :     
                        20 .,  �  20  49,
   , ,                �  50  249    �  
                        250 .
,       ,            : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.

128           2005


                    .                                              ,    
               ,                                                    .
               ,                                                       
                ,                                                   ,  ,
                 .                                                     
                                                                  :  ,   
               ,    ,                                                   
                 ,                                                     ,   
                                                                   ,    
                                                                   ,    
                  .   ,                                            .   
                 ,  ,                                                  
                                                                  ,  ,    
  6.6                                                                  
                                                                        
                                                                  ,    
                                                                      .69
                   .
                                                                       
                         
  ,                      1970  .                                      

  .                                                                ,     , , 
                                                                  ,     . 
    ,                                                                   
                   .                                              ,     
                                                                     .  
                      ,  
                                                                     ,  
    ,                  
                                                                      

                      .                                           .       ,
                                                                        ,
   ,                                                                      
     .                .                                             .   
                     ,   
                                                                   �     
                      
                                                                     . 
   ,               ,   
                                                                    , ,   80%

                   .                                                   , 
                                                                     70.  , 
    .                ,                                                
   2002 .          ,   :                                               
   ,                  
                                                                      
      ,            ,   
                                                                   ,    
      200             
  300  .   �   ,    4  .  .                                            
                    ,                                                  
  .                 ,                                                .   
                      ,                                                , 
   ,                     ,                                        ,   , 
     :                  
                                                                      
     ,                .
                                                                         
  ,                         
  ,   .               ,                                           ,    (.  6.6).
          ,          ,                                               ,   
    , ,                                                             
                                                                     ,  
                                                                       
   .                 , 
                                                                  .     
                       
                                                                      
                      
   ,                   .                                              
                      ,                                               
  ,                   ,                                           .        
                     .                                                   
      (                                                                
  ).               : Agarval, Alexander, and Tanan
                                                                       .
  ,                baum (2003); Dubash and Rajan (2001);
                                                                         
                   India � Ministry of Finance (2003); and Lal
     ,             (2004).                                             , 
                                                                      

                                                                                               129

                    6.5
                           
                    
(. . 6.5).
                      100
      
                                                

   ,                   80

     
 .                  %  60                  
 ,    ,  
     
                       40
                     ,
                                                          
 ,     
                       20

. ,   ,  ,                                      
   ,                    0
                         1990 1992 1994 1996   1998    2000    2002

  ,                :  ,   ,     ,   128
                     1990 .   151   2002 .      
,                      ,    ( ).
 .     ,           : World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure Project Database.

                    6.6
                        
,     (. . 6.6).      
                        40
                                           
     
.                       30          
  ,    
                      .
                       
    :                   20

   
                       
   (. . 6.7)71.
                                       
       ,                10

    , 
  ,    
                                           
    ,                    0
                         1990 1992  1994 1996   1998    2000 2002
   ,   
                   :           
 ,      
                                .
.     
                   : World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure Project Database.
   , 
    ,
                    6.7
   .                     
  ,                        
     ,  
                      1,000                                           400
 .                                                                                
  .72                                

   ,                    750                                           200
     
,                                                                 
 . ,                   500                                              0

,                                                                 
  ,   ,                                                           
                        250                                          �200
   
    
                                                                  
.                         0                                          �400
  ,    ,                   3      5     7      9        11                    �4       �2    0   2
    (.                                                                          
 6.7).     
                   :   2001 .        
    
                   , ,        
  ,                 ,     .      
 ,                 (       ).
 .                 : International Country Risk Guide. International Telecommunication Union.

 130        2005


   6.7   
             

                                   ,   
                   ,              ,   ,  
    �    ,        .                  
     .                           ,    
       ,          ��,              ,  
                                     
                    ,             . (  
   .  ( )                           
                   .               ,   ,    
      ,                          .)    , 
     ,                               (  
                                 ,   ).
   .                                
                                    .
                  �               , ,   
                �,               ,    
                     .           ,   .
     ,                                   
      .                              
   ,              100 .              ,  
                   ,               � 
                  ,              �      
   ,                .             .    
   ,    ,           ,                :  
                    ,               �   , 
                                   .    
     .                             ,    
       ��,         .              ,     
                                     
      .                          ,     .
    ,           ,   
      ,                          : PPIAF and World Bank (2002); Burr
                .  ,             (2000); and Cohen (2001).



                                        
                                  (. . 6.8).
                ,                     
                 .                   
               ,                  1990      
                                ,     
              ,                     ,  
                                   ,  
  6.8         (.  4).             .  
                                    
                                ,     
            ,    ,                  ,   
   
            ,                     .    
   
             (.  5.2)73.             
                  ,                  
                                 .  ,  ,
       ,                          ,     
       
            .     ,                   

              ,   ,                74.  2002 .  

                                      ,  
                                     
             (.  2).  ,            .
,                           ,       
             ,                        
   ,
             .                      
            ,                         

            ,  ,  ,              .    ,

                                                               131


 6.8     ,
         

                            � 
                           �   ,  
           .  .            
,                             
    .                      20 :   
          ,                  .   
,                              
 ,        ,               ,  .
 ,         .               ,    
                             
.           ,            ��   
          ,   ,              
 ,                            .
           .   ,   
   .                        
            ,               
                             
  ,         �            .    ,   
,          .                 
                              
 . ,                     ,    
   �         �               
,  �        �             .    
                             
,     ,   . ,  ,               
                         .     
   ,      ,                ,  
                           ,  
   .                         
                           ,   
 ,                           
    ,                    ,   .
            , , 20 ,
           ,             : Easterly and Serv�n (2003); Irwin
    .        .           (2004); and Tanzi and Davoodi (1997).



               . , 
             ,   
  ,             
              ,   
 .               
 ,          .
   ,             
             ,   
                
   ,        ,      .
,   ,              
                 
              (.  6.8).  
.              ,   
             ,      
             ,     75.
                  
   .               :
    ,            
               . 
 .          ,       
   ,         ,      
.  ,   ,        (. 
             5.1).      

132        2005


           ,                  ,  
             ,                
             ,                    
                             .
          .  ,                 
           ,               ,     , 
             ,                 
             ,                .  
                               
         .                ,    
          ,                     
            ,                  
                               
            .                .   
                              
                            ,    
         ,    ,             , 
            ,              .
             ,                   
         ,      ,         ,    , , : 
                             
                          ,    
         , ,    ,         ;      
                           ,      
               .               ;
                               
                              
         .                      
         , ,    ,           . ,
                           ,   
                           ��,   
          ,   ,           ,     
         .     ,           ,    
                                
         ,  ,                  
                           .      
           ,                ,    
          ,                     
         .                 ,    
                            ,       
          ,     �              
          ,    �          .     
             .            ,   ,  
                             ,
                            ,    .
         ,   ,              ,   
             ,             ,  
                .            ,     
              ,               
            ,              ,    
         . ,                  ,
                               
              ,               .
                
                          : 
                           
           ?                 
                                  
          � � �,          ,       
          ,                    . 
                               , 
           (.  6.8),            

                                                                                         133

                                                  ,  ,      
    .                                                 
                                                 .   20   
  . �                                                 
 �  , ,                                           7%  .       
   ,                                                   
   ,                                                  
                                                      81.   
,     76.                                         ,  
                                                ,     . 
  20                                                 
  ,    77.                                         
    10%                                              
      ,                                            .   
,                                                    
   1,5%78.                                       ,     
    ,                                                
  ,                                               (. . 6.10  6.11)82.
  ,                                                 �    
.                                                    
  0,17 ,                                         �    (.  6.9),
  9 .,                                             
                                                     
 ,                                                 
                                                .      
 .79                                            ,       
     ,                                               
                                                 ,      .
  (. . 6.9).                                         
    ,                                             ,    
  ,     
 ,                                               6.10
 20%  ,                                             
    80.                                             
                                                

 6.9                                                  
                                                        
  �  ,
   

     300
               
                                                                                6.7


     200                                                        5.2
   ,           
               
               
                            
                                                                      5.4
     100
                                                     4.6
                                    
                                    
    
       0
                       
                      

:     
      
                                                                                     
    2002�2003 .  
                                                                                     
   ,    
                                                                                
 40   .                                                                         
                                                                   
 .
: International Communication Union and World   :   1996�2001 .
Bank Investment Climate Surveys.                : Qiang, Pitt, and Ayers (2004).

134        2005


 6.11                                                                   84.   
                                                                          (.  6.10).  
                                                                           , 
                                                              
                   8                                                       
                                                                 '
                                                                           ,    
                   7                                                      85. 
                                                                             
                   6
                                                                              

                   5                                                       
                                                                      ,       
                                                                 
                   4                                                      
                  
                                                                          .
                   3
                                                                          ,  ,   
                                                                       ,   
                   2
                                                                      ,   
                                                                           
                   1
                                                                         (  
                   0                                                    ).     
                     �6 �5 �4 �3 �2 �1        0   1    2  3 4 5 6           
                                                                         ,  
                                                                       .  
:                                                                         
       .                                                                    
 ,         1  ,                                                       ;      
      .                                                                     
   1998 .;   ,   
                                                                       .     
  1998 ..
                                                                         
: International Communication Union and World Bank staff.
                                                                             , 
                                      ,                               ,   , ,
                                                                         ,   
                                 .                                       86.
                                                                           
                                                                        ,    
                                 .  2002 .                                  
                                                                       . ,    , 
                                                                           
                                  ,                                     ( ,  
                                                                      )   , 
                                (. . 6.12).                              
                                                                           
                                :                                     87.  , ,   
                                 ,                                     �  �, 
                                                                        , ,  
                                                                         
                                                                        ,    
                                 :                                        88.   
                                    .                                     
                                                                        10%     
                                                                      ,  ,  
                                ,                                            1,5%89.
                                                                              ,  
                                                                        ,  
                                   83.                                  ,
                                ,       ,                               
                                     .                                ,     
                                                                          . 
                                   ,                                       
                                    (. . 6.13),                          
                                   ,                                   1980  .,     
                                   .                                    ,  
                                                                       ,      
                                  ,    5%                                90.   ,

                                                                              135

 6.12
              
 




                         

                         

                        

                         



: World Bank staff;      .

                            
 ,                     .       
  .                    .     
                          , 
                          
  ,                        , 


  6.9       
                      
                                  .    
                          ,        ,     
  ,                     .             ,  
                                   ,    
   .  ,                              
                                  .     
      ,                                
    ,                    ,         ,    
                         ,           
 .                      ,         .    
                         (          ,    
  ,                      6.7).        
                                      90%. 
                             ,        
     ,                   ,         ,     41% ,
                       .                
 . ,  ,                  ,         ,   74% ,   
                                      ,  
   .                     ,            . 
      ,                   ,          
     .                   ,             
                        . ,       ,   .
 ,                       
 ,                                : Cannock (2001); Harris (2002);
 ,                                Tomkins (2001); Wellenius (1997a); and Jadresic

136            2005

 6.13
         ,                                                                ,    
   ,                                                                  ,     , �  ,  
                                                                         91. 
                  100
                                                                          
                                                                         ,  
                                                                         , 
                   80                                                       
                                                       
                                                                            
                %
                                                                      ,      
                   60                                                 .     
                                                                            

                                                                         ,    
              
                 ,40                                                     ,    
                                 
                                                                        ,  ,    
                       
              ,                                                          ,   
                  20                                                   ,   .  
                         
                                                                      ,     

                                                                      ,    �  
                           
                    0                                                    ,   
                     0            90          180       270     360        

                                                                            
                                                                       ,   
:     ,       
                                                                         .   
 ,      ,  
                                                                          
.       1999  2003 .
: World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.                                  .
                                                                          ,    , 
                                                                       (   
                                                                           
                                 .    ,                               )    .
                                                                      ,       
                                                                       ,   
                                 ,                                        , ,  
                                  .  ,                                ,   ,  
                                                                             
                                  (.  6.8).                            92.      
                                                                      37%,   �  17%    1986

  6.10                                                                 1996 .    
                                                                         ,  
                                                                        ,   
                                                                        93.    
                                                                          
    ,                                      
                                           ,                               

    ()                                    .                                
                                                                       94.  ,  
   .                                      , ,                               
      ,                                  ,  0,30 .                    ,       
   1998 ., 93%                          1 ,                              , 
   ,                                      .   
                                                                         .
                                             
   .                                      , 
      ,                                                               : 
   88                                                                  
   .  ,  ,                               . ,                              
   ,                                    ,    � 
                                                                           
     ,                                   ,   
                                                                             ,   
                                        NEPA,      
     .                                        .                         .     

                                         ,                                 
                                                                      ,     
    .                                      24%                              
                                          ,                               95.   
                                          14%,   � 17%.
                                                                        ,  
     
                                                                         ,  
   . ,  ,                               : Adenikinju (2003).
                                                                      (. . 6.14), ,    

                                                                137

   . ,             6.14
                      
     20  ,  ,        
  96.      
                   120
     10%, , 
,      
 20%97.     ,      100

    98.
      ,             80
  ,    
 ,                 
                    60
,    ,                                
    .              
             ,      40

  ,  40%                                  

   ,                20
  60%.                       
                     0
 ,                   1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
  , ,  
                  :      
 ,      
                   100    1930 .
     
                  : Buss (2003).
, ,    , 
                        12%102.   
99.                       
  ,               ,   
                      
 ,                  ,  
,                        103.
     (,  ,               
                     , 
),                  �     ,  
 (  )               ,    
   75  100.            
                  . ,  ,    
   , ,              ,  ,  
    .                 ,  
      ,                  
    :             ,      
   ,               .   
                  ,    
 .                     , ,
   ,               ,  ,   
  , ,                .
,                       
                   ,    ,  
   ,     ,              
                   104.
 (.  5).                
                        ,
  :                        
 .  80%             (.  6.11).   
                      
 .101  ,           (  )   
                   ,   
  ,                      
                  105. ,  ,  
 .                    
       25          ,     
 76   (              : ,  
                         
 )                  ,   ,    

138          2005


                                                     
  6.11                                            (.  6.12).     ,
                                                       
                                                         
                             
                      .   12                         .

  ,                                                    10% 
  .                  ,                                  
                      .                           ,  ,   
                                                         
   1990  .           1994 .                         2%110. ,    
                       1996 .  , 
                                                   ; ,   
    ��,                
                      .                               1950   1960  ., ,

    .                                               , 
                                                       
                        .                           111.     
                    ,     1989 .                   ,    
    1990 .              .                             
     ,                     
                                                        
                        
                     ,                            .      

   .                  (                              ,  
    ,                                                 
                                                     ,
  ,                  )   ,                            ,   ,
   ,                                               ,    
  ,   ,                 
                                                      .
   60 .               ,  
   :                                                    

   ��,              .                              ,   
  ,                                                     
                    ,                              (),    
   ,                 .                             , ,   , 
                      , 
                                                       .   
   ,                     
                                                   ,   
                         
                                                   ,     

   6 750  �                                        � 112.      
      .              11   1996 .                       , 
                    3   2002 .                         
                                                  ,    .  
                    : Navarrete (2004) and Ray
                                                       
   .                (2004).
                                                        
                                                  .     
                                                      ,   
                  106.                                 
                                                      
                                                       ,  
                 107.                             ,      
              ,                                       ,   
                10 ,                                .   
                   ,                               ,  ,    
                                                       
               ,                                   .     
                  ,                                   
                 108.                                  
                                                   ,    
               72 .  33 .,                         , ,       
                   900   4850 ,                     .
                    109.                               , 
                                                         
                  .                                   ,   ,
                                                       
                  ,                                 .    
                                                       
                                                        

                                                                    139

,   
.                 6.12    
   ,                       
    
                   (              
                  � �),     ,    ,  
  .                             .
,  ,               ,           
                               16  30%.

,     ,             ,                

  ,                           ,   
                   ,          ,   
  .
                                 
                            .    
                 .            ,    
    .                            
    ,                        ,     

                                

,     .                      .   
                 .              
   ,   
                             29%  68%.
                                 �   .
                  .  ,         
,                  ,           
   . ,           ,  .          

  ,   ,                     ,  , 

                                 
                 .   ,       ,   
        
                    ,             
    �                         , 
 .  ,              ,             
                                  
113.              .           .     

,  ,                           
                       ,      .
  ,   
                                 
     
                                
.                   .           
 ,                           ,   
   ,              ,           .
   ,                  

.                .          : World Bank (1996a); Fan,
                            Hazell, and Thorat (1999); Fan, Zhang, and
     
                   .        Rao (2004); Fan, Zhang, and Zhang (2002).
    .
  ,   
     
  ,                
                     
    .               
                   ,   
                 ,   ,  
                           
      .             . 
                      ,  
                     
   ,              ,    
,                    
  .             .     
  ,                  
   ,                
  ,  25%            
 5%,              .    
    10%.            7.

     
      



                                                  , 
     �                                              .  
      .   �                                            
                                                 ,      .
7   ,                                                 
    .   �                                           .
    ;                                                         
                                                     
      1.                                            
                                                ,       
      �� ,                                           . 
      2.                                         ,   20%    
                                                     
                                                      
       2  .,                                         (.
        .                                       .7.1,  ).
        ,                                             
                                                  ,     
                                                     (. . 7.1,
     7.1
                                                 ).   
        
                                                    

                                                    �� 
                                                .      
                                                  ,  , 
                                                 ,   , 
                                                  �� ,     .
        
                                                   ,   
                                                   
                                                        
         
                                                    
      
                                                  .  ,
                                                    
       
                                                  ,   
                                                   ,    

                                                      
                                                  .   
        
                                                      

                                                 �     20% �  
                                                 10�20%  .
                                                      
                                                   ,
        
                                                    
                                                 ,    :
                                                  �    
    :  , ,  
                                                      ,  
         ,
                                                       
         
                                                    .   
         
                                                        
      .
    : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.         . 

                                                                                141

       , 
       ,        7.1.   / 
    .                   
       
                 /                   , 
        .                           1% .
               .                      /   
                  ,                 ,  ,
                                      

    ,           ,                     

                   .              .    
                   ,  ,              
   ,    
                                      
     .                                . 
 �                ,                 
     .         .                  ;    
                 /:                  

               40  .                , 

     ,         ,    2,5               
                   15 .  2003 .   .
         
                80%                   /    
    ,   ��     /  75%              ,    
   .                                   
        .            .             .
               ,   90%   

     ,                            : Sachs (2003); McArthur and

                  /.              Sachs (2001); UNAIDS (2003); Bloom and
                  ,               others (2003); United Nations Economic
       
                                  Commission for Africa (2000); Bell, Devarajan,
    .                             and Gersbach (2003).
 �     
        
   .          .    ,  
               /,    
               ,    
       .           
      ,          , 
         .       (.  7.1).
                   ,
                  
              :    
    ,            , 
              ,      
                 .   
      .         :     
                   
                 
   �� ,       ,     
      .          .
                ,    
                ,  

                �    2004�,
                   .    
                 
              ,     
    ,           ,   
 ,            ,     
                   
.  ,            ,    
                  .
    , 
               
 .              
                   
.              ,    
                 ,   

142        2005


 7.2                                                           
                                                            , ,  
                                                              .
                                           1980 2000           
                                                                
                                                          ,      
                                                          .     
                                                              ,    
       
                                                                .
                                                               ,
      
                                                               
      
                                                           , 
                                                              6.
                                                                 ,  
       
                                                               
                                                           .   
                                                               
                                                             
                       0       20    40    60        80
                                                                
                              , %
                                                          .      
:     25   ,                                               ;     
,      .                                                   7.
: Barro and Lee (2001).
                                                                        
                                 .                            .   
                                  .                            
                             2000 .                          ,   
                             40%     25                   ,     
                             .                              .  
                                                               
                             ,                               .     
                             ,                                 
                                                            ,    
                                (. . 7.2).                 ,    
                                                             , 
                                                            ,    
                                                             ,    
                            .                              .
                                                              ,
                              ,                              ,  
                                                              
                               ,                          8.        
                                                            .  
                             .                                
                                 ,                             
                               : �                             
                             ?�3. ,                          
                             ,                            (.  7.2).  ,  ,
                                                              
                            ,      .                      ,     
                                 ,                          9.   
                            ,                                    ,
                             . ,                               , 
                                ,                              
                              ,                             10.
                            ,                                  
                            4.                                 
                            :                              (. . 7.1).    
                                                          ,    
                            5. ,                          .    , 
                                                             , , 
                                ,                           ,   

                                                                                       143

   , ,
                     7.2.   ��
 �  �  � �                              
.                                     
    (. . 7.2).                         
    
  ,                  1996 .  ,  ,                           1948 .,     
   .                , , ,                                 ,   

                      ,                                     

                                                         .   
                    ,                                         
.    �   
                    ��  300  .                            ,   
    ,                 ��,                                  ,
  ,                  ,                                        .
  .                  :                                      
    .                 ;                                     1988 .,   1996 . 

                     ,                                         

                      (                                  .     
                                                            ��   
    
                    );   ).                                   
 ,                                                           
   .                                                         
                                                           .
    .                   

                    .                                    : World Bank (2003); Spar (1998).

    , 
    
   ,   ,         7.3
                    
    
.                                                   , 
                                                        ,
   . 
                                                          
,                                                           
                        30                           80
                                                            
     
                                                            100 
    .                                              
   , 
                                                            20�100
  ,   ,           ,                                  60
                                                            
                        20                         
    ,                                                       
   , 
                                                            20 
                                                     40
,  .
                   
                                                   
                        10
                   ,
                                                     20
      2004 .          
                    
                                                   ,
                                                    
.    
                                                    
      ,                  0                            0
   .                                                  

                 : �� � ,       
.                       .  �
                 �    ,     

                 ��  � �       .

   .                   13 300   33  ,  �
                    12 099   29  .
    
                 : World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.
     ,   
       .              
                      .
                      � , 
 .                    (  )11  
                    . , 
 ,                     
 .                 ,  
                      �  

144          2005


              �                                                   
              12.                                             .  ,  
                                                                 
                                                             ,     
             .                                               ,     
                                                             ,    
                                                                   
                                                              .     
                .  ,                                             (
                                                               )   
             ,                                                 ( ).
                .    20                                           
                                                              ,   
                                                              ,   
  7.3.                                                           
                                                                 
                                                              (, , , )13.

                                                                  
                                                             .     
                                                               ,    
                .                                                 
                                                                .  , 
                                                             ,  2002 .  70%  
  ,                
                                                                   
 ,   .            
                                                              .  
               ,     .
                                                                  
 PROBECAT       (SENAI)                                      ,     ,   
    ,                                                             
 ,                                                              ,  , 
 (                1%                                           '14.   
 )  �   �       . SENAI 
                                                                 
 ,                 
                                                                 . 
   .            , 
 ,                .                                              
  ,                                                             ,  
 ,                                                             ,  
  .            1%                                                  
     ,          ;                                                 
     ,            
                                                              .  , 
    .         ,     
                                                                   
              .   
    ,         , . .  1979 .,                                  . ,    
   .          ,  ,  .                                           
                                                                15.
              ,  
 .  ��                                                              . 
 , ,           ,  , 
                                                                  
               ,    
                                                                  
 ;               .
                                                                   
 ,              ,                                             .     
    .                                                            
                 ,                                              2002 . 28  ..  
                                                             1990       
    ,           .  
                                                             35�54         
   .                
                                                               16.   
 ,   ,           , 
 ,                                                                , 
                 .                                            ,    
                                                                 
               : Middleton, Ziderman, and                        .    
              Adams (1993); Calderon Madrid and Belem              
  ,           (2001); Betcherman, Olivas, and Dar (2003);
                                                                   .   
  .  ,        Aedo, and Nu�nez (2001); de Ferranti and
                            ~

              others (2003).                                       
                                                                 

                                                                                 145

 ,                        
                       .  ,
     .                    
                        .    
                         . 
.    ,                ,   �� ,
   ,                  ,    
 (.  7.3).              ,     
                        .   
                        
                            .
                          

                      �    
                         . ,    
                       , 
                         
                         ,    
 ��.                     
   ,                       
                         (. . 2). 
  .                  ,      
                     ,     
  �                       
 �                       17, 
   .                        
                        ,  
                        
                      ,    ( 5).
                            
.                       ,   
   ,                       
                           
 ,                     ,   
                        .  
                       ,   
   .                       
      �                  
                       (. . 7.1).    
    (.  7.4) �          ,   


  7.4.   

  ,                  .                                                 ,
  ,                                    
    ()                               . , 
                      .              ,  
     ,            ,                      .
   :                 ,                  
    ,                                1990  .    
   ,              ,                   ,  
                     .                 28%.  
    ,                                  ,  
                    .                  .  
  .                     5                 
      ,           17  .               ,  ,  
   ,               ,                ,      
    .                                ,    (
                   . ,              ),    
                   ,                  �   
                   �                 .
   .              .     
                       ,            : ILO (2003b); Burra (1995); Edmonds
                                    (2004); Krueger (1996); Brown (2000); ECD
                     ,              (2000a); Martin and Maskus (2001); Miles (2002).

146           2005


                        ,                                                  
                                                                           , 
                            .                                              . 
                                                                          
                                                                            �   
                         ,                                                ,  
                          � ,                                         ,    
                         .                                                18.   
                          ,                                               
                           ��, . .                                          
                          .                                              
                              ,                                        .      
                           ,                                               
                        ,                                                  ,  
                        ,                                                  
                           .                                                
                            ,                                              .
                             ,                                             
                                                                            ,
                         �                                                :
                         ,                                             �      
                                                                         ,     
                                                                           ;
  7.5.                                                                 �    
                                                                           
    ,                                                                     ;
                           .                                           �     
 .                             
                                                                              
                           ,    
                                                                            

    ,                        .                                             .
                                   
  .                              �                                     
                           � ,                                         
     ,                        
                                                                          
 , ,                           
                                                                        ,   
                            .    
                                                                          

                              ,                                       .     ,
  .                                                                     ,    
 ,                                                                         
    ,                       .                                              
 (21�28%)   (10�24%),           
                                                                      .    
 ,   ,                      .     
                                                                          ()  
    (2�4%).                  , 
      ,  ,                    ;                                           
                                                                      ,     
   ,                                                                        
 ,    .                     .                                          ,  
                                                                      ,      
                                
                                                                      ,    ,
 ,                         .
                                                                          .
                                   
   .                        ,  
                                                                                
                                                                            
                           .                                           .    
 .                             ,                                       ( ) 
                                
                                                                          
   ,                           
                                                                         ,  
   .                         .
                                                                        19.  
                           : Aidt and Tzannatos (2002);                   
   ,                       Harrison and Leamer (1997); Maloney and     ,     
 .                         Ribeiro (2001); Urizar and Lee (2003);         
                           Menezes Filho and others (2002),           .   , 
                           (1997a); Ratnam (1999).
                                                                         

                                        147

                         
   .                     ,   
                           
      ,                     .
, ��                 �  .   
   .                       � ,  
    ,                  ,    , �
                          
                            
                           
(.  7.5).              ,    
     ,                   .   ,
    ,                        
                        ,  , 
    .                    ,  
                             
  ��                      22.    
                          
  .20                        1992 .,
                          
                           ,
                        ,   
,                       (   
.   ,                   )  
                          
                       .    
                        ,   
     21.                    
                       ,    
     .                     23.
   
  ,                     
     .               .    
                       () � 
                        
 ,                      .
 ,                      
 .                     .  
                         
  �  .               ,    
                       ,  
                        ,  
                      (. . , 
     (,  ,            ),
      ).              . ,    , 
       ,   ,             
                   ,    
                        
      ,                ,    
    ,                   �� .
      ,                  
    .                   
                        
                          
    .    ,         ,   ,   
    ,              .      
                   ,     :
    ,                �     ,  
           ,           ,   (  
                           50% 
    .                    )    
         1990  .          

148         2005


 7.4
        ,     
        

                                                     
                                                       
                                                       
         4                                   40
                                           %                  



         3                                   30

                                            ,
                                        
                                                             

         2                                   20
                                                            
                                                         
        
                                        ,                
         1                                   10           

                                                             
                                                         
                                                   
         0                                             
                                              0 
          4    6        8         10     :     0    25    50    75    100

                                                    
              (  )                                    , %

:         � /.    1980 2000 .     
          ().     �     
 26�40 ,   30      .
:  : Rama & Artecona (2002).  :        .

                                                               
                         24.                                 ,  
                       �                                  
                                                        27.     ,
                                (.                           
                         .7.4)25.                          ,    
                         ,                                  
                          ,                              ,    
                           .                             ;   
                            �� ,                              
                                                        ,      28.
                          .                                 ,   
                       �                                  ,  
                                                           
                            .                               
                                                          .     
                             ,                              
                                                              
                                                             (
                         .                              )    . 
                          ,                             ,    
                          ,                                1990  .   .
                         ,                                   
                         (. . 7.4).     � ,             ,  ,   
                                                              29.
                          2/3 ,  ( 
                         40%    );                      ,  
                          (25%)26.                        
                                                         
                                                        
                     .                                       
                   ,                                     ,   
                   ,                                         
                    ,                                       .    
                    ,                                     ,   
                   .                                        ,   
                        ,                                   . 

                                                                                 149

                           7.5
                                 
                            ,     
       
  .                                   
     �
                                        
    ,   
                                           
     .                             
      
                              
  ,      
                                          
   �� ,  
,  ,                                          

  .                                          
                                         
    
.                              :  

 ,                                                     0.0    0.2    0.4    0.6    0.8
                                                              
                                                                  
     .
 ,                        :       .
                          : Pierre & Scarpetta (2004).        
 ,                        Doing Business.
.   
                                 
  ,                            , 
                               ,
 (. . 7.5)30.   ,          . ,   
    ,                       ,
                                
 ,                              , 
                           .   , 
    :                          
 �  .  , ,                    . ,  
   , ,  , ,                    50% 
       48                    32,  
    .                           
     40  ,                   .    
      35                    ,     
   .                           
       ,                         
      .                   ,       
    , ,  (),              .    ,    
                                
    ,                     ,     
    .  , ,                 .    
   , ,                       .
                              ,     
     .                        
   ,                        . ,   
                             ,  
       (, ,                    
   ,   ).                 ,  ,    
 �   .                      (.  7.6).
       
                            
     � 30    ,              
   33 �    39 �   31, �     
                           
       30 .                .
                               
                               
   .                           �  

150           2005


                                                                                      . 
  7.6.                                                                                  
                                                                                         
                                                                                      ,  
                                     
                                    .                                                   

  ,                                   ,                                              .  
  ,                                    ,                                                  
   ,                                                                               ,     
   ;                                                                                 .
                                     ,                                               ,     , 
                                      . 
                                                                                       
                                       
    .                                   ,                                             .  

                                   ,                                                ,    
   ,                               ,                                                 ,    
                                                                                    ,    
                                                                                         
     ,                                 .                                               .
                                       , 
                                                                                       
    .                                  
                                    ,                                                   

                                      ,                                                 
  ,                                    ,                                            .  ,   
   ,                                    ( 9).                                        ,   
     .                                                                                   5%
     ,                                .                                             20%,      
   :                                      
                                                                                     40% (. . 7.6).   
  ,                                    
  ,    .                           ,     .                                            (  30  50%) 

       �                                                                               , 
                                                                                        
  ,                                                                                    . (.
                                                                                   . 7.7)33.    
                                    .
                                                                                   ,  , 
  ( 8) �   ,  
                                                                                      ,  
                                   : OECD (2000a); Krumm and
   ,  ,                            Kharas (2003); Basu (1999); Maskus (1997);          , 

     .  73 ,                       Brown, Deardorff, and Stern (2003); World             
     ,                             Bank and IFC (2003); ECD (2001);                      .
    6                              Raworth (2004).                                       ,
                                                                                        
                                                                                      ��
 7.6                                                                                ,     
         1990  .                                                                    .
       20                                                                8
   
                                                                                        . 
                                                   
                                                                                   ,   ,  
                     
                                                                                        
   %                                                                     6           (. . 7.8).   
    ,                    
                                                                             %     ,       
     
                                                                              ,         
                                                                                     34.  
       10                                                                4
                                                                                        
                                                                                    35.    
                                                                                    . ,  

                                                                         2              
                                                                                       �
                                                                                   � ,      
                                                                                   ,   ,   
     /  0                                                                0               
                                                                                    .  
                                                                 
                                                                                           
                                                  
                                                                                          
                    .
                                                                                         
:   ,       
.         20 .,                                                                    .     

    1990  ..                                                                           2�3   

: Bartelsman and others (2004).

                                                                          151

  ,             7.7
     25�30          ,    
.
                                                   
  .                                                 

     
                                                   
                                                  

      
                . 
. ,    
    ,                   
      ,  
                    
,      ,  
                    

                    
,   .  ,  
                      
  , 
                     
     36.
                      
      1999 . 
                       

     ;                  
     
                     
    . 
  2    ( 6%         
 )   ,  
                          �15  �10      �5     0    5    10    15

.                                      , %

 ,             :    ,   
  37.           20 ..
               : Bartelsman and others (2004).
    .   
                7.8
                      
                    ,    
.       
  ,  
     ,                   

                        ( )

                                                            
                                                           
   ,                                                        
     .                                                     
     
                                                           
    
                                                          
     
                                                           
  (.  7.7).                                               
     
     , 
                   
  ,     
   .
                       
                      
  �      
      . 
                           
        
      
                             
    ,                  
    ,   
        
                                  0.0      0.1  0.2  0.3   0.4   0.5  0.6
    .   
                                             
      ,   
                                              
        
               :       .
                      
      
               : Pierre & Scarpetta (2004)       Doing
   . ,    
               Business.

152        2005


  7.7.       
                   ?
                                               �   73                                           ,   
     .                                                                                          ,     
                                                , ,   ,                                           
  ,    .                                         ,                                                .  
                                                ,                                              ,   ,
   �                                              .                                                  
                                              ,   70%                                          ,    ,
   �    ,                                        (                                                .
     ,                                        ,   )                                                 
     .  ,                                     ,                                                 ;    ,
                                              .  15% ,                                              
                                                                                               . ,   
  .  :  ,                                                                                       ,  ,   ,
    , ,                                       .                                                , ,   
  .                                                                                               
  ,       .                                                                                    . ,   ,
                                                 .                                                 
   �                                           , ,                                             .


                     

                                                                                                 
                                                                              



                 "" 



                   
                     
                    


                   
                    
                    


                   
                      
                                                                        ,           ,            
                                                                      

                                                                                    



  :      8 .   64  .      
  ,  ,    .   � c   20 ;  �  20 
  100;  �  100.
  : Pierre & Scarpetta (2004); Bertoa, Boeri, Cazes (2000); Batra, Kaufmann, and Stone (2002).


                                     ,   ,                                                            
                                                                                                ,    ,
                                                           ,                                       
                                                                                                 .  
                                                                                                19      
                                                                                                   ,    
                                     20%.38                                                          
                                                                                                     
                                       ,                                                             ( 
                                                                                                ;    
                                        ,                                                              
                                        .                                                       ).     
                                   �                    .                                          (), 
                                                                                                   ,   ,  
                                        .                                                        39.

                                                           153

   �                  ,  
     .                 
                     ,    
     ,                  . 
      40. ,             
                      ( 
     ,     �        )   
                         �
                   �  (. . 7.10). , 
      �              , 
                          
    ,                �     
     ,              �� .
     ,     
    .                    
     ,                 .
        ,              
       ,               
      ,             .     
                       ,
      .                , 
    ,                  
    ,     41.        .    
                       
                    1990  .,   
   .                    (
                      ).
                         
 ,                     , 
     .               (. . 7.11)   
                       .  
                       
 .   ,                 
                       .
     .                  , 
        
 (. .7.9)42.       7.9
       ,                   
    ,   
      
                      60
  ,  
                     
  ,    
  43.                 50

  ( 12               

 )    (6%            
)                     40
  ,   
50%                  

 .
      ,               30

 ,  
                     
 ,                     0
.   �                   0.5     1.0    1.5    2.0     2.5
   �  1990                       
    
     1990 ,       :    �  2000 .,   �

                   1995�2000 .      

     �� 44.        ,       
                     .
 ,   , 
                  :      World Development Indicators   
       
                    Doing Business.

154        2005


 7.10
           
  

                                                                               

             16                                                        16                       

                    

             12                                                        12
         %                                                         %
          ,                                                         ,
              8                                                         8                   


                                                                     
              4                                                         4
                         

                                                                              
              0                                                         0
               1990   1992     1994     1996     1998    2000            1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001



             16                                                        16                      
                                                                                                                              
                                                                                
                                                                                                                              
             12                                                        12                                                     ,
           %                                                         %                                                        
            ,                                                         ,
              8                                                         8
                     

                                                                               
              4                                                         4


              0                                                         0

               1993  1994   1995    1996   1997    1998  2000            1994     1995       1996     1997       1998     1999

: Bartelsman and others (2004)  Brown and Earl (2004).

                                 1980  .                                                       ,  
                                   ( )                                                        
                                1,8                                                       .     1990  . 
                                                                                               
                                45.                                                           .
                                                                                                  
                                                                                               
                                                                                          ;    
                               46.  ,                                                                           ,                  
                                ,  ,                                                          . , 

                                7.11                                                          , 

                                  ,                                                       ,  ,    
                                1990 .,                                                                                       ,    
                                                                                             ,  
                                   16
                                                                                             .  1991 . 
                                                                                              ,
                                                                                             
                                   14
                                                                                           .    
                                                                                             ,  
                                 % 12                                                          
                                  ,                                                       . ,     
                                                                                             

                                   10                                                          .47
                                   
                                                                                                   
                                                                                             

                                    8                                                         
                                                        
                                                                                           .     
                                                                                                
                                    0                                                             
                                    1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996             .   
                                                                                            ,    
                               : Bartelsman and others (2004)

                                                 155

  ,   
                   
                   
,                
   48.              , 
                     , 
                    ,
                 ,     
    ( 3). ,       .  ,  
                   ,    
    ,                  
                   , 
 49.                 . 
     ��             �   
                       
  ,                .
      .           ,   
 ,                ,    
                  .   
                   ,   
 ,                     ,
 50.                  
                 ,      

                     .   
                      ,
                       
    ,                 
  ,                     
,                     .
                      ,
  ,    .             � 
                       
    ,               51.   
                     
    .             7.12
 �� ;             ,    ,   
   ,                   ,   
      
 .                100

   ,                                       
                   90
  ;    
                                          
 ,                 80
                                         
     .             70

                                         
                   60
 .                
                  
                   50
   ,              
                   40
                  
                  
                   30
  ,     
  (. . 7.12).      20
   
                   10

 :
                    0
 �      
                                               
    ;                                           
 �                      ()         
   
                 :     :   
 �     
                 ,   ,     , 
     �� .
                        .
                 : Vodopivec (2004)

156        2005


           .                 
          �      ,         54. 
              ,              
           .                :
                          �          .
                                
          ,                    .  
          .                     
                            , ,   
         .      ,              � 
                               ,   
           .  1990  .           
            ,               ,     
                             ,     
                             .  
          �  ,                   
         .                    ,   
                                 
          ,   52.             . 
                                
          ,                     
            ,                  55.
                          �     
          ,                 .   
              .                , 
                                
              ,                
            ,                  . 
           ,                   
         ,                       
          53.                 .    
                                  
                            ,     
         ,                    ( )  
            .               ,     .
             ,                   
                               
            .                    
                                 
                              .
                          �   . 
                               
                                

                              �   

          ,                  ,    

            ,                   

            ,                    .

          .                    

                                

          �                       

          .                   ,  

            ,                .  

                                 

           .                    

                                

             ,                56.

              ,           �    

             ,              .   

                              ,  

         .                      

           ,                     

           ,   ,              ,   

                                   157

  , ,             ,  
    .              ,   
     ,                
               ,     61.
   ,                   
    ,              ,    
                    
   .           .     
               ,    
                    ;
   .                ,  
               .   
,                    
,                ,  
                   
 .             62.
   .  ,               
  ,                
  ,                 
   57.           .  
,                  
                  1990 ,     
 ,                   2002 . (.
  ,             7.8).
   25%    
   50%              
58.  ,          .    
    ,          ,      
                   
, ,                
                  63.
.  ,  ,          ,    
                   
,                 1990 .  
,   �               
 �.  ,         ,    
                   64.  
,                , 
   59.  ,      ,      
                 ,   
                 .  ,
      60.             
                   ,
                      
                    
                 65.  
                  ,  
   .               
                   ,   
                  , 
  .                
                 . ,  
                 ,    
                   ,   
 .    ,          �� 66.
                     
� �. ,          ,   
                    
 ,              �     � 
 ,  ,                
 .               .   1990  .   
,                    

158          2005


  7.8.         

     1990 .                           , 
                        (,                .
     ;              ,  ,                   
                                      ,    
                                         ,   
    ,                ,  ,               . 
                      ).                 
    (                                    ,   
        ).            ,              .     
                                      ,   
                     .                 ,  , 
   .                                    
                                        (,  
     ,              ,    .           ,    ,  
    (                  2002 .        ).    :  
     ) .              ,                   .
   ,                                     ,
     ,              .  ,               .   
    ,   .                              
                    ,                    
                                         .
  ,    ,                . 
                      �              : Vodopivec (2004); Kugler (2002);
   .                 ,               Acevedo and Eskenazi (2003).


                  ,               ,   , ,
                ,   ,                  12% 
                 . ,                  1/3  , 
                   ,               69.
                                         
                                      
                .                       
                  ,                   
                 ,                , ,   
                                  ,       
                 .  ,              70.  
               ,                        � 
                (  ) ,              ,  
                                        
                  .                   
                                       .
                                       
                ��                     
                ,                  .   
               ,                      , 
                �� ,                  
                                  :   ,
               .                       .
                  ,  
                  .                      
                   ,                .    
                  ,                    
                   ,               �    �,   
                ,                      
                67.                   .  
                ,                      
                .                  �    �, 
                                   ,     
                  .  ,                 
                   ,                ().   
                  2  41%               �
                 1 8%    68.             

                                                          159

 ��   .            . 
                   
    ,            , , , , 
                      
                   
,  ,                75. 
   .             ,    
                ,      
                    ,   
    71.         76.    ,
                 ,   
                      
                    ,  
    .           .      
                   .  
,                    
,                 ,   ,
 ,                .
 .    
                        
 .                   
                 .   
  �              �      
   .               .  
                  ,  
  ,                 
    .           ,       
,                ,     
,                   
,                (   ), 
  .  ,           , , 
,                     
    ,           .  ,    
                 ,     
                  .
73.                      
                    
 ,              ,     
  .                 .
                                     �Oportunidades� (
                �Progresa�)  1999 .  2,3  .  
1990  .          (Bolsa Escola, PETI)   (PATH) 
                    
   ,                  
  74.           .     
                     
                 ()    (
  (               ).      
 )   .              
 ,              ,       .
1980  .,                 ,
  .                  
   .            ,      
                   (
                  )    
 .                .  
                ,     
    �               ,  
     �              77. 
  .                Oportunidades  
                       2%  
   10                   8%,  

160        2005


                           ,     
          �   20%.  ,      ,    ,   
           Bolsa Escola      ,    
         ,     ,  5,6%        �� 
         0,4%78.    ,      , ,  ,   
           ,                 .    , 
                                
         .                      ,
         ,    ,                 
                           .
                                   II 
         .                      
                             .   III 
                              �  
                            � ,    
              ,                 
            .               .

  
   ?


              
               
                
      ,    .    
III     ,          
       .

        8 �   �    , 
        ,    ,   
       .

        9 �     � ,    
            ,  ,   
         .


   
   



                                
     ,     II,               : 
                              
8    .                        ,  
     ,                     ,   
                             ,    
    ,   � ,                ,   
                               . 
                             
     .     3,              �    
                          .     
                          � �,     
    ,                     . ,    
      .                        . 
        ,                        ,
                              
      ,                       
      .                    ,  , 
                             ,    
                            .
        ,                       
        ,                    ,   
                              
     ? .                  .      , 
                              
     .   14  15 .         ,    : 
                            ��,      
      .                   ,    ,
                              
                               
     ��                   .
    ,    
                            
    .  ,     
      250%.  60  70  .     
                                 
                                  
      ,                   ,    
                           ,     
      ,                         
      .                        
          ,                 .  
                              . 
       .                       
                             
    :                     ,  ,   ,
    ,    ,                   .   
       ,                     
        .                  .

164        2005


                                 ,                                        ,    
                                                                            
                              .                                        .     
                           :   ,                                           
                             ,                                           ,    
                             ,                                               
                             .                                              .
                                                                                      
                            ,                                              
                                                                          , ,
                                                                         ,  
                                                                           .
                              .                                              
                           3, ,   ()                                        
                              ��                                        .     
                                                                          : , 
                                                                        ,   
  8.1                                                                  ,     
                                                                           ,

     ,                                                                  ,     
                                  � ,                                  ,    . 
  ,    .                         .                                          
       .                                                                   , 
                                                                            . ,
                                    , 
                                                                            ,
    ,                            ,  ,   
    ��  1979 .                    .                                     ,  ,  ,   

                                    2003 .                              .
                                 350 . .,                                  
   ��.                           .                                            
  ��                             135 . ,                                ,     
      .                          .                                      7.  
     (  ��)                        ,  
                                                                         ,     
   ,   ��,                        . 
    .                            ,  ,                                     �  

  , ,  5,  130 ,                                                          , 
     ,                             �                                    ,   
   ��,                                                                   ,   ,  
       .                          ,                                     ��  ��  
                                                                          (.  8.1)8.
      ,                          ,    
                                                                         ,  
      1 .,                           
     ,  ,                         .                                     ,    
    2003 . 3,6 . .                                                      (.  8.2).
       .                          : Easterly (2001); Rhee (1990);          ,   
    10                           English, Jaffee and Okello (2004).        , 
                                                                            . ,  
                                                                             
  8.2  ��                                                               ,      

                  .                                                          

                 ()                                                        9. , 
                                                                          , 

   (Socie�te�Textile de Kaloack)  1980  .,                               ,    
      1980 .                      1989 .,                                   
  ,                                                                    , ,    
                                 20%   .                                10.
                                                                            ,
       ,                               
                                                                            ,  
  , ,                               
                                                                        ,  
                                   .  1990 .  
     .                               ,                                  .  ,
      25  .                         .                                    , 
      ,                              ,                                      
   ,  28% �                          .                                     ,   
     .                                                                     
    ,                            : Golub and Mbaye (2002).
                                                                         ,    

                                                             165

11.     .        8.1
  ,                 ,     
                  
,   ,            160
                                        ,
                                        

.     ,                                   

    ,            120                   , 
                                       
    .                                    
1962 .,   ,      
,                 80
   
  (. . 8.1).
    ,            
                  40
  ,    
 ,    .  
    
                   0
  .                  1962 1980  2000       1962 1980 2000
      ,                                    
      ,                
    ,           :        
   .            (  wits.worldbank.org).
,      
, ,    ,             
                .
  .                 ,  
                ,      
                . ,     
                ,       
  ,                   
                 .  ,       
                  ,  
 .                   .
     
  ,              
    ,              
   ,   .             
 ,              ,       ,
   ,                 . 
. .,     .           
   ,            . ,   
   ,             ��      
   .               (.  7.2) 13. 
                ,   , , ,
                  ,  ,  
.                    
                  ,  
  .                ,    
 ( ,              ,   , 
  )             ,      
     ,             14.
  ,               ,   
    .               . 
    �           ,    
                    
 ,               ,    
                  . 
   ,                 ��
,     �          ,    
     .           .     
,   ,             , 
    12.          ,     �
                     

166        2005


         15.    ,                   
           ,                        
          � �,                   ,      
            16.                 ,     .
                               �  .  
             ,                      
                                   
          ,                      ,   , 
           �                        .  
          ,  .  (.  8.9).             
                                 .   
                                     
          . ,                          
          ,                      ,     
         ,  ,                     ,   
         ,     .                 .
              
         ,                       ,   
             .                  ,   
         ,                    . ,   
                              ,  
                                  
          .                    ,   
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                                .   

              ,              ,     ,  

                              ,   

         . ,                 ?    

                                  

         .                         :

          , ,    , 
                               1.     .  

                                ,   

             .                ,     

          ,                  ,      . 

                                  ( 

           ,                    ) 17. ,

           ,                      

             .               ,    

                                  

             ,                   .

               ,
          ,                    2.    

         .   , ,             ,     .  

            ,                ,    , 

            .                      

                             .     

         ?     :             , , ,  

           �  .                 .   

                , ,               

               ,                 ,

               .  ,             ,    

                                  

               ,                  .

             ,  ,    
                .              3.   

           �                  .    

                  .          .    

              ,                  

                               .  

              ,                   

                             167

.            .    ,
    ,             ,  
                   
  .             ,  ,  
  ,              
                .  , 
   ,             
                ()    
. ,               
                21.
     
   ,          6.   .  ,
 ,     ,         ,
                 , 
      .           
               .  
  4.  .             
                  
             .     
 ,                
 . ,         .    () 
   ,               , 
                  22.
   .              
    ,           , 
 ,               
,                
  ,              
  .             23.   
  ,   ,          
             ,    
,             �     ( 
18.          ,   ).
     
     19. 
    .           
                 ,
   ,             
                 
 ,                , 
 20.               
 ,             .   
,               3,  :
 .            �    
                  
  5.  .       �     
     ,          
 ,   .        �   
                
 ,            �     
 . ,            
                ?
 ,    
 �    .        
 ,            
    ,             
,    ,            
               (.  3).   
.   ,              
    �            5.   
.   ,             
                ,   

168        2005


                .                                 . 
                                                 
               �                                  
               ,                                    
                ,                               
                                               (.  6).   
                                                
             .                                 ,   
              .                                  
                                                
                  .                               
                                             ,     
                                             ,     
                                                (.  6.3).
            ,                          .
                                                   
                                              .    
             ,    ,                          ,    
             .   ()                               
                                              ,   .   
             550 .                              ,     
                ,                                 ,
                .                                  
                ,                             .    
                                               .    
            ,                                   
                                             ,  
              24.                            ()     
             ()                              ,     
             ,                                   .  
                                                ,  
             (.  8.3).                             25.


  8.3                                          
                                              
                                                  
     1994 .        ,                               
               ,    
                                               ,    
                .   
                                                 . 
               ,   ,  
   .               ,                              
                                               .  
  ,  ,  .                                         
  , �  �                                          
                 .                            ,      
     ,             
                                             (.  3).
   .              
                  . 
                                                  
     ,         ,                              .   
               (                                  
  . ,          )  .                                
                                               ,  
                .   
                                                  
  ,               
                                                  .
                   .
    ,                                            
                                                  
               , ,                             ,   
                   .                               
   .                                             ,  26.
                   
                   .
  ,                                               .  

   .           : Lund and Skinner (2004).         , 
                                                    

                                                             169

 (.  6).    
                  8.4    
     
                                     
  (.  8.4).  
                                  2001 .
                                      
 27.               .                 
    28.               ,          : 2%   
                                   57%  ; 75%

 ��                 ,                

  ,                               6%.  , ,
                   ( 38%          ,   
   ,   .
                        2002 .).      
     50%,          ,                . 
    29.              ,               
                      ,          ,     
    :                            ,   , 

    ,             .                  

  ,                ,                  
                                   .
  .    
                     
                  ,              : Klapper and Zaidi (2004).
,       
  . ,
 ,   ,             .    
                      
 30.                   
                ,       
                 35.    
 ,               ,   
                      .
.    
                 
     31.          
                     
                      
 ,              .      
 32.              ,   
                   ,   
                (.  3), ,   ,   
  .                 
                      ,
      33.          ,  .
                     
      .            
                     .  
   ,                 ,
                 ,  
 .                , 
     :          ,    
                   .  
 ,                 ,  
   ,              .
      .
                     . 
34.             ,    
                   ,  
 ,               ,  
 .                    
,                  ,    
 .                   (.  6).
                   ,  
   .                
                     
                 .     

170        2005


             .              , 
          ,   .             
                              
            .           ,    
                             
          36.            48.
                           ,  , 
            37.          ,     
             ,            ,   
               ,             
          ,  ,          .     
                               26 
           38.           ,    
                           
           ,            49.  ,  
         ,              ,      
         ,                  . 
            39.              
                        ,        
                        ,  ,   
         . ,              .   , ,
           ,                
                            
         .       ,             50.
         , ,    
             .              .
                             
           ,                  
                             
                .        .    
                           .    
         ,                  
         ,                  .  
         ,                     
          .                ,    
             .           ,     
                          ,   
         ,               (.  8.5).
           ,    
            ,            
            40.          
                         ,     
              41,            
                           (.  3).  
               42.           
                            
             .          ,       
           ,            .
           ,   
                              . 
         43.                 
                              
           1990         ,    
                             
            44.         ,     
            500           .  
         ,                   
           45.            .   
                              
         ,     46,         �   
                          ,   1980 . 
          47.  ,          (.  8.6).

                                                                                            171

      () 
                            8.5  :
.   2002 .    3000                           
  116 ,    
                              1967 .,                ,  
43 . ,                                            ,  , 
(. . 8.1)51.                    (                   ,
     ,                                               
 . ,                        200 . .).              ,  

,                                47                 

  ,                                              ,   .

      52.                    ,  675                    , 
                             2004 .                 ,  
                             ,                      . 
,                                                   
                                ,  ,              ,   
(.  8.7) 53.                   ,                    .

                                                 ,   1997 ., 

   ,                         ,                   ,    550  
                                .                  , 
                    
                                                    ,  
    ,                                            90   
,                                                 .   
.  ,   ,                    .     ,                81% 
                                                    

 ,                           .  ,                   83% . 

 .                                                    
                                                 .   2003 .  
,     
                            ,                      165 .
  ,    ,                         
   ,                         ,                   : Morris and others (2001); Hussain
                                .                (1997); Gupta (1999); India Ministry of Small
  .                                              Scale Industries (2003); Harsh (2003); Katrak

,      ,                      ,  ,               (1999); World Bank (2003c); Deccan Herald
                                                 (2003).
      
     
,                            , 
     .                       
                           .  
    .                    ,    
                         ,     


   8.6     

    1980 .                                         
    :                                              
   (,   )                ,                     ,   
     (), ,                                    ,      
   ,   ()               .                        , , ,
   ().                       23,4  .            .  1990 .   
      ,               1980 .  672   1993        ,    
                       .                          .
     ,                  35%  1980�1995 .,           1992 .,    
   .                         .                    
                                                  
   .                   ,                          
                      , ,    .                    
    .    ,                  75%                    
                      .                       .    , 
    ,                                           ,   
                      ,   1990  .             85%    . 
    .                  ,                       ,   � 
                                              �,     
     .                .                            , 
                                                   .
   ()   (),           .  1984 . 14  
                                              : OECD (2003b); Chen (2002);  Ge
       .              .   1980  .             (1999).

172          2005


 8.1                                                              .   
                                                                  ,     
                                                                      
                                1975  1986  1995  1997  2002
                                                                    
                                25     47    73    93   116        ,    
                                79    176   500   845   3000     ,   
 ( .)                            ...   ...   ...  22,5  43          ,
                                 ...   ...   ...   18   30          55.

 ,                              0,8   1,9    ...  4,5   13
                                                                      
: ... �                                                          .   1990  . 
: ILO (2003a)                                                     100   
                                                                   ,   
                                                                 56.  
                         () (.  8.8).                           45   ,   85% 
                                                                     
                            ,                                        
                        ,   ,                                   57.    
                           54.                                     (. . 8.2).  
                                                                      
                                                                 20%     58.
                        ,                                            ,
                         .                                       ,  0,7% 59.  
                                                                ,    
                           .                                     1997 .,   420 . .   
                                                                 60.      
                                                                 ,   
                        ,    .                                  ,    
                                                                  .
                         ,                                          ,   ,    
                         ,  ,                                    ?  .   
                                                                     
                            ,                                    ,    
                            .                                    .  
                           (, ,                                        
                         ,   ),                                 ,    , 


  8.7     
                  
     ,                               . ,  ,                         1990  .,    
      .                                .                              40  
                                                                       80 . . 
        .                                                          .
                                      ,                                  .  1993 .
   � ,                                                              12    
                                    .                                 ,  4  
                                                                     . 
   ,                                      .                           
  .                                   ,                            .  2002 .  55  720 
      .                                 ,                               , 
                                      ,                              61   . 
  5,9%     1991�2001 .,   2002 .    ,                              ?  , 
      73%                                                             , 
  .                                     .                            , 
  80 .  90 . .                                                       
  ,                                   �                            ,   
  ,                                                                 .
  .    1980�2002 .                      ,  
     5,5%,                                                         :   � Subramanian and
                                         ,                         Roy (2003); Moran (2002); Rodrik (1999); World
    .                                                              Bank (2004k);   
                                    .                               � Schrank (2001); Consejo Nacional de
   ? ,                              ,    1980 �                    Zonas Francas de Exportacio�n (2002).

                                                                             173


  8.8    
  ,                                      .    
      ,                                   
                      ,              (),     
                     .                     
 .                  ,                     
                  .                  ,   
    ,            ,                      
    .            ()                   .
      1947 .    ,                           
     16         .     ,                ,   2001 ., 
      ().                                
                                        
   ,             ,                       .
     1995 .,                                
   ,             .                       
     ,              .                 . ,  
                                        
   :             ,                          
  .               ()                  1000 .
                   .
 ,               ,                   : World Bank (2004d); Hoekman, Mattoo,
                  " "                and English (2002); Hoekman, Michalopoulos,
 ,    .          .                   and Winters (2003); GATT.



      
                   8.2
 ,    ,  
                        
                  , %
  ,  
   .   ,                                                                

  ,                 
                                                  47          30          46
  , ,             ( )
 ,                   :
  , 
                                                  19          0           28
    ,  
                                                  7           8           11
     (.  1).
                    
                                                  21          22           7
                  ( )
        
    .             : Chalk (2001).

      
                       ,
 ,                    ? 
  .                     
                  .        
                         
                    ,    
 .   ,            64. ,    
 ,   ,               ,   
   61.             (. . 8.2).    
                      , 
.  191 ,             ;  
    ,                , 
,   18%              .  
  9%               ,     
                       
     62.           ,      
 75   � 500�,          .  
  ��,             ,      
 63. ,                .
                        
 ,                       
                    65.  , 
.                     

174           2005


                8.2                                             ,   
                                                               ,    
                                                                 .
                                                                     
                  200                                         .     , 
                         ( )
                                                                  
                                                               ,  ,  
                      
                                                   2,000         , ,   
                  150                                            ,   
                      ( )                                %          
                                                               ,     
                
                                                                .   

                  100                                     ,       ,  
                                                              .     
                                                           
                                                   1,000          
                                                                ,      
                .                                             ,     
                  50                                     
                                                               .    
                 .                                                 66.
                                                                     
                                                                   ,
                   0                               0               
                                                               .   , 
                      7          VW     3                        
                      (1980  .) (1987) (1995�1996)
                                                              ( ,   

               : %                                            ),  ,    

                .                                               ,   

               : McKinsey Global Institute (2003)               .    
                                                                    
                  ,                                            ,     
                  ,   ,                                       ,    
                                                               ,    (.  8.10).
               ,      
                                                                   
               (.  8.9).                                      .     
               ,                                                    
                                                               ().    ,
               :                                                , 160    
                   ,                                          250  ,   , 
                  .                                             67.    
                                                               ,  68:
  8.9                                                            �  .   
                                                                       
                                                                   .
    ,                .
                                                                 �  .  
                             
                                                                        
   .                      
                                                                        
  ,                    .                                           .
    .                                                            �  .  
                       .   ,                                           
                                                                       
                         
                                                                   ,     
   � �               .   18 
                                                                     .  
     300 . .            
                                                                        "
   1990  .,              80 .                                      " (.  5).
    ,                                                            �  .   
  ,                                                                  
     5000              ,                                             ,  
    .                     .
                                                                     
        ,
                                                                      
    2003 .            : O'Malley (2004)  Uchitelle
                     (2003).                                      ,    
                                                                   .

                                                                                       175


  8.10      

                        ,                   ,  
                                                
 ,                        ,                    , 
                        ,                  50 . .   1990  
                      ,                         
                          .                    , 
  .                                              54 .
                                            340 . .   .
                      .   20                     ,   
 ,                        �                    
  ,                   �, ,   ,  1993 .     ,     
      .                 ,  .               .        
                                              
 ,                     153 . .  250         .    
     ,                                        .
                         ��,   
     ,                  ,                  : Yusuf (2003); Scott and Storper
                        224 . .            (2003); Charlton (2003); Christiansen, Oman,
 .                      ,                  and Charlton (2003);  Peters and Fisher (2004).



 �                            .                        8.3
     .                                                  
                          ,                             
       .                                                
                                                       

       .                    .  , 
                                                            40
 �  .  ,                    ,  
                                                                      
                                                                      
     ,                        
                                                                       
    .                        71.                            30
     ,                                                   %             
                             
       .                                                  ,

    ,                    .                                  20
      ,                       
        (. . 8.3) 69.    (.  5),      
                                                           
                             .  , 
    ,                       ,                               10
                                                                       
      .                   ,                                            
   ,                          
                          (.  8.11).  
                                                             0
   0,25%.                     
   ,                         ,                        : Morisset and Andrews

                                                      Johnson (2003).

 .                       72.    
                           ,   
  ,                        (.  8.9).
 ,     
70.                       8.3
, ,                        
   ,    
                                                                           
 (. . 8.3).                                                
                                                                             
                                                           (, 1999)
                                          ( .)                                 (.)
      .
                          (EDB)            45,0               3,2               14,06
  ,  
                          (IDA 1999)       41,0               3,7               11,16
   ,  
                           (CINDE)         11,0               3,5               3,14
     
    . ,                   (MEDIA 1996)     3,1                1,2               2,58

,                          (IPC)           8,8                8,4               1,05

                          (MIDA)           15,0               22,7              0,66

,                       : Velde (2001)

176            2005


                                                                     ,   
  8.11                                                                
                                                                   ,     
                                                                     .    
                                                                     , , 
   1985 .                 ,                                          .   
                                                                   ,   
  .                                                               ,       
                       .                                              
                         100 .  180 . .
                                                                     . 
    25%                       
   35%  ,                                                               

       50%  60%        .    ,                                     ,    .
                                                                        
  .                        .                                          
                                                                   .   
                        �  �,                                        
     .                 .  , 
                                                                     .  ,
                        ,  ,  
      , ��               ,  ��                                        

  (58%)  � � (18%).     � �,                                         10 .  
                                                                       ��
                        ,                                          ,    
     74%                  .                                           
  ��   61%  �              ,                                          . 
  � �,                    
                                                                     ��   
    .                     
    ,                   .                                              73.

    ,                       21 .                                          
    20 .               .  1985  252 . .  1989 .                    ,      
  .                      9,6 . .  2001 .                           .   ,  ,
     ,                                                             ��  , 
    �  �               : Moran (1998); OECD International               
                       Trade by Commodity Statistics Database.
                                                                   ,     
                                                                       
                                                                   ��74.
                                                                      
                      .                                                
                                                                       


  8.12  � �    

                           , 30                                     200   83  .
                           ? 11                                         83%,
                            .                                         36%,  
    .                                                                33%.   
                                                                     . 
                                                                        
    .                                                                ,  
                            ()                                      ,  2001 . , 
   ()                      ,                                       , 5,49 .  5,12 . .
                               ,                                         
                             ,                                        .  
     .                       ,                                     ,      
                             .                                     ,     
                             � ��                                  ,    
   ,                                                                   
      .                                                            .  ,   
  1986�1994 .   32          .   1985�1992 .                         ,   
     180                                                              .
  .                                                                    , 
  ,     .                  ( 438  811 .                               ,   
                           )     �                                 .
                           ( 980 .  1,46 .  
   17%,                    ).     
     14%.                                                          : Battat, Franck, and Shen (1996);
   1999 .     670           9  19%.                                UNCTAD (2001b); Ireland IDA (2002).

                                                                                    177

   .                8.4
                         
            
 ,                                                                         
                   
 .                                   , %                    , %               , %

, ,    ()                                100                      100          
(.  8.12)75.                             100                      100          

                                         100                     18�20        10�25

                                                            3  
                                         100                                   
                                                              
    
  ,                                      100                      25           

   (.  3).                                                  ,   
                    ()                   100                                  10�25
                                                               

,  .                                                        ,   
                                         200                                   
  ,                                                            

   . 
                   :    100%       .
     
                   : Mani (2001a); de Ferranti and others (2003).
 ,    
  .                    ,  
      ,             ,    
  ,                 78.
  .                     
    ,                ,    
                          
,                   (. . 8.4).   
                    ,      
  ,                  .     
.   ,                 ,  
                        �
.  ,               �. ,    ,
,     ,                  ,
,  ,                    
   ,                79.   
    ,                    
   ,                   , 
                      ( ) 
.     ,               ()80.
    
     .                                                
                   .     
      
,                   8.4
   .                    
                         
 .    
                                                  
  ,                 (1997)                                        
       
    (. . 8.4).       (1995)
  ,   
 .                   (1997)
   ,    
  .    
                     (1997)
      
 ,    ,    
                    (1997)
     
76.     
 80%   ,              (1999)

   ,  
                               0          5         10         15     20   25
     20%
77.   ,                                 , %

    ,  ,           : OECD (2003f).

178        2005


                                                    82.  
  8.13                                              
                                                 , 
                                                ,   , 
                                                  .    
            .                                    ,  ,
    .       ,                                       83. , 
                                                    
     ()         
                                                ,     ()  
            ,     
            .                                    ( ),    

   .          .                                  .   
               ,                                  84.
                                                     
     .          ,                                   
                                                    
              .
                                                .      
    .  
            : UNCTAD (2003c); de Ferranti            

            and others (2003); Mani (2001b).        
                                                 85.


             
                                                ,     
         ,  ,                                      ,  
              .                                      .
           (.  8.13).                            , ,     
            ,                                        
                                                   ,     
            .                                        
            ,                                    ,      .
              .                                 ,   , 
                                                    ,   
          ,    ,                                ,      
                                                    .
         81.                                       ,    
                                                      
                                                 ,   
         .   ,                                       
             ()   �                               .      
         �  ,                                       9.

         
         



    9                          
         ,    II ,        500    .
        ,  ,                  
         ,                    �  
        .                   , , 
           ,              ,    ,  
          ,  .             , , , 
                              .
             ?                  ,
           ,                   
                            .  
        ,                 (      
         , , ,             )     
        ,  ,               , ,  
                              
           (.  5). ,          .
          ,                   
                          ,   
         (.  3).          ,     
                          ;      
         ( ,                  .
          )               ,    
                              ,
         .                      
         :                  ,   
           �                  
                 ,        ,     ,
                ;               .
           �                   
              ,                   
               ;          ,    
           �   ��,         ,   
                          .    
               .               :
                             �     
                                  

                                   
                                   
                                .   
            .                    
         XII .                 ,  
             .1  20  .        .   
                                ,   
                                  
          2.                   .
                             �     
                                   
          .                      
         2200  , 200              ,

180        2005


            , ,                ,    
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                                                                                   181


  9.2 :    ?

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  ,                     
 .                                            : Dolzer and Stevens (1995);World
                      .  ,                    Bank (2003b); Hallward Driemeier (2003);
                    ,  ,                      UNCTAD (2003e); UNCTAD (1998).



                          
   ,   ,              .   
                           
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  .        24                .
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                                                                 187

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      ,              , ,  ,              Warner (2000).

                             189

                  
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 � http://econ.worldbank. org/wdr/wdr2005/  ,  ,  ,  
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202       2005


        ,  ,    ,     ,    
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                                                                                    20. Barro and Sala i Martin (2003); Bosworth and Collins (2003); Easterly
    1.        .                                                                 and Levine (2001); Hall and Jones (1999); Klenow and Rodrguez Clare
  1.2  . 1  2   � �                                                             (1997);  Young (1995).
 .                                                                                  21. Solow (1957); Jones (2002); and Barro and Sala i Martin. (2003). 
    2. .  1.5.                                                                         ,  
    3. Johnson, McMillan, and Woodruff (2002b).                                        
    4. Hall and Jones (1999); Parente and Prescott (2000); Easterly and Levine    (),      
(2001);  Bosworth and Collins (2003).                                              , . . ,    
    5. Schumpeter (1942).                                                        . . Hall and Jones (1999)  Acemoglu and Jonson (2003).
    6. . . 1.13.                                                                    22. Jovanovic (1995).
    7. OECD (2002b); Carlson and Payne (2003).                                      23. Parente and Prescott (2000).
    8. Dollar, Hallward Driemeier, and Mengistae (2003a).                           24. Hall and Jones (1999) and Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2001).
    9. Minot and Goletti (2000)  Winters, McCulloch, and McKay (2004).              25. Hicks (1935).
    10. Hoekman, Kee, and Olarreaga (2001).                                         26. Baumol (2002).
    11. .  6.12.                                                                    27. Schumpeter (1942).
    12. Field (2002).                                                               28.       Carlin and others (2001)
    13. . . 1.18.                                                                        .
    14. World Bank (2004b).                                                     . : Bastos and Nasir (2003).
    15. . . 1.4.                                                                    29. Haltiwanger (2000)  Bartelsman, Scarpetta, and Schivardi (2003).
    16. . . 2.1.                                                                    30. Scarpetta and Bartelsman (2003).
    17. World Economic Forum (2004).                                                31.     
    18. Londoo and Guerrero (2000).                                             .
    19.  5.13.                                                                      32. Desai and Mitra (2004) and Caballero, Engel, and Micco (2004).
    20. Bartelsman and others (2004).                                               33. World Bank (2002d).
    21. World Bank (2004d).                                                         34. Kraay (2003).
    22. Migliorisi and Galmarini (2004).                                            35.        , 
                                                                                        
 I                                                                                ,    . ,  , 
    1. Chermak (1992).                                                             ,  , 
    2. Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2002); Levine (1997); Kaufmann,             ,      
Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2003); La Porta and others (1999); Glaeser and Shleifer    . .: Chen and Ravallion (2004); Ravallion (2003a);
(2002);  Glaeser and others (2004).                                              Deaton (2002).
    3. Acemoglu and Johnson (2003); Rodrik, Subramanian, and Trebbi                 36. Bourguignon (2004).
(2002);  Knack and Keefer (1995a).                                                  37. Dollar and Kraay (2002).
    4. Burgess and Venables (2003).                                                 38. Bourguignon (2004).
    5. Pritchett (2004).                                                            39. World Bank (2003m); Midlarsky (1999);  Fearon and Laitin (2003).
    6. World Bank (2004b).                                                          40. Fields and Pfeffermann (2003).
    7. Erb, Harvey, and Viskanta (2000).                                            41. OECD (2002b); Carlson and Payne (2003);  India National Sample
    8.     World Business Environment Survey.                                   Survey Organisation.
    9. World Bank (2004b).                                                          42. World Bank (2004i).
    10. Malthus (1798).                                                             43. Dollar, Hallward Driemeier, and Mengistae (2003a)  Hallward
    11. Maddison (1995).                                                        Driemeier, Iarossi, and Sokoloff (2002).
    12. De Long (2000).                                                             44. Lanjouw and Stern (1998).
   ,                                                                                45. United Nations (2002b).
1900  .      ,                                                                      46. ILO (2002b).
  50% ,      1900 .,                                                                47. Schneider (2002); Chen, Jhabvala, and Lund (2002);
         .                                                                          Charmes (2000);Mead and Liedholm (1998); Jhabvala, Sudarshan, and
    13. Pritchett (1997).                                                       Unni (2004);  ILO (2002b).
    14. Pritchett (2002) and Hausmann and Rodrik (2003).                            48. Minot and Goletti (2000).
    15. Easterly (2001); Aghion and Durlauf (2004);  Hausmann, Pritchett,           49. Winters,McCulloch, and McKay (2004).
and Rodrik (2004).                                                                  50.      ,   
    16. Tanzi and Davoodi (1998).                                                     (� �).
    17. Sala i Martin and Vila Artadi (2002)  Easterly, Devarajan, and Pack     .: Dougherty (2004) and Tranberg Hansen (2000).
(2001).                                                                             51. Hoekman, Kee, and Olarreaga (2001).   
    18. Bosworth and Collins (2003).                                               ,     
    19. Krugman (1997).                                                               ,  ',

204                  2005


, ,   . .: Roberts and Tybout (1996); Harrison                                 ,        
(1994);  Levinsohn (1993).                                                     .
    52. ESMAP (2002).                                                            35. Hnatkovska and Loayza (2004)  Ramey and Ramey (1995).
    53. Field (2002).                                                            36. Svensson (1998); Paunovic (2000);  Rodrik (1991).
    54. Palmade (2004).                                                          37. North (1993).
   .   5.                                                                        38. North and Weingast (1989).
                                                                                 39. ., , Henisz (2000); Stasavage (2002);  Falaschetti (2003).
 2                                                                               44.        .:
    1.   1953 .                                                              Fukuyama (2001); Coleman (1998);  Putnam, Leonardi, and Nanetti (1993).
 ,  (  � �)                                                                      45. ,        
 : �[]      : ,                                                                       .
   ,    " ",  �.                                                                     
    2. Litvin (2003).                                                        ,  ,     
    3. Hufbauer and Goodrich (2003a)  Hufbauer and Goodrich (2003b).         .       ,
    4. Rajan and Zingales (2003)    ,                                            , �   .
 .                                                                           .: Banfield (1958); Piore and Sabel (1984);  Fukuyama (1995).
    5. Stigler (1971) and Peltzman (1976).                                       46. Olivier de Sardan (1999).
    6. Sutton (1976).                                                            47. Alesina and others (2003b).
    7. World Bank (1997).                                                        48. Henisz and Zelner (forthcoming)  Kubler (2001).
    8. Murphy, Shleifer, and Vishny (1993).                                      49. Kay (2003).
    9. Klitgaard (2000).                                                         50.       .: Center for Policy
    10. Reinikka and Svensson (1999)  Transparency International             Studies (2003);  The Economist (2003b).
Bangladesh (2002).                                                               51. The Pew Global Attitudes Project (2003).
    11. Adser`, Boix, and Payne (2003).                                          52. Muller (2002).
    12. Klitgaard (1998).                                                        53. ,     
    13. Van Rijckeghem and Weder (2001).                                          1860     
    14. Laffont and Tirole (1991).                                             � �   � �,
    15. Hellman and others (1999).                                           .: Micklethwait and Wooldridge (2003).
    16. Wintrobe (1998).                                                         54. Micklethwait and Wooldridge (2003).
    17. Robinson and Verdier (2002); Robinson (1998); Herbst (2000); and         55. Stiglitz (1989).
Bates (1981).                                                                    56. OECD (2003g).
    18.      .: Barzel                                                           57. Stiglitz (1999b).
(2002);   .: De Soto (2000);     .:
Golden (1997);   .: Rajan and Zingales (2003);                                3
 .; World Bank (2003p).                                                          1. Maloney (2004).
    19.       �                                                                  2. Johnson,McMillan, and Woodruff (2002b).
�,                                                                               3. Reid and Gatrell (2003).
      ,                                                                          4. Rodrik and Subramanian (2004).
  . .: Keefer (2002).                                                            5. Cao, Qian, and Weingast (1999).
    20. ., .: Morris and Shepsle (1990)  Keefer and Khemany (2003).              6. Saavedra (2003). . : Blanchard and Giavazzi (2003); Bineswaree
    21. Khemani (2004)  Desai and Olofsg�rd (2003).                         and Freund (2004);  Klapper, Laeven, and Rajan (2003).
    22. Faccio (2003).                                                           7. World Economic Forum (2004).
    23. Fisman (2001).                                                           8. World Bank (2004b).
    24. Hellman and Kaufmann (2003).                                             9. World Bank (2002c) and Commonwealth Secretariat (2003).
    25.                                                                          10. Blanchard and Giavazzi (2003).
   .: Kaufman (2002).                                                            11. ILO (2002b).
                                                                                 12. Chen, Jhabvala, and Lund (2002).
   .: World Bank (2000c).                                                        13. .   1.12.
    26. Keefer (2002)  Keefer (2003).                                            14. Galal (2004).
    27.Mukherjee (2002)  World Bank (2000a).                                     15. Hallward Driemeier and Stone (2004).
    28. Dixit and Pindyck (1994).                                                16. Mitullah (2004); Lund and Skinner (2004);  Chen, Jhabvala, and Lund
   ,                                                                        (2002).
,    ,                                                                           17. Field (2002);  Bannock and others (2004).
        .                                                                        18. Stern, Dethier, and Rogers (2004).
     .                                                                           19. Lanjouw and Stern (1998).
,    ,                                                                           20. Reardon and others (1998).
     .                                                                           21. Lanjouw and Shariff (1999).
                                                                                 22. Foster and Rosenzweig (2004).
   ,     .                                                                       23. World Bank (2004k); and Chandra and Rajaratnam (2004).
.: Serven (1997)  Caballero (1991).                                              24.    : EBRR (1999)  Batra,
    29. Pattillo (1998) and Darku (2001).                                   Kaufman, and Stone (2002).
    30. Smith (1997a).                                                           25. Christianson (2004).
    31. Gaston and Wei (2002).                                                   26.      ,    
    32. Keynes (1936).                                                            ; .: McMillan and
    33. Thaler (1993); Thaler (2000); Rabin (1998); Kagel and Roth (1995);  Woodruff (2002).
Camerer, Loewenstein, and Rabin (2003);  Kahneman and Tversky (2000).            27. Baldwin (2003)     
    34.   Henisz and Delios (2003)                                                 .
,     49 ;                                                                       28. Aitken, Hanson, and Harrison (1997).

                                                                                                                                                  205

    29.        :                                                                12. Feder and others (1988).
Tybout (2003)  Keller (2001).                                                   13. Do and Iyer (2003).
    30. Hoekman, Kee, and Olarreaga (2001); Roberts and Tybout (1996);          14.       
Harrison (1994);  Levinsohn (1993).                                         : Baharoglu (2002).
    31.   .: Hufbauer and Goodrich (2003b).                                     15. Feder and others (1988).
    32. Bayoumi, Coe, and Helpman (1999)  de Ferranti and others (2003).        16. Field (2002).
    33. Tybout (2003).                                                          17. World Bank (2003n).
    34. Fernandes (2003)  ; Muendler (2002)  ;                                  18. Macours (2003).
 Pavcnik (2003)  .     , Aghion                                                 19. World Bank (2003n).
and others (2003)   .                                                           20. Adlington (2002).
    35. Fernandes (2003).                                                       21. Deininger (2002).
    36. Aghion and others (2003).                                               22. International Institute for Environment and Development (2001).
    37. Hu and Jefferson (2002); Aitken and Harrison (1999);  Djankov and       23. Siamwalla (1993)  Stanfield and others (1990).
Murrell (2002).                                                                 24. United Nations�Habitat (2003)  Baharoglu (2002).
    38. Blalock and Gertler (2003); Smarzynska (2002);  Kugler (2001).          25. Yahya (2002)  Botswana�Ministry of Lands (2002).
    39. G�rg and Strobl (2001)  Blomstrm and Kokko (1998).                      26. Fleisig and De la Pea (2003).
    40.                                                                         27. IFC and CIDA (2001).
    .                                                                           28. World Bank (2002b).
     44  ,    ;                                                                 29. Greif (1989)  Fafchamps (2004).
                                                                                30. Klein (1992).
166%,      �  1%. .: Basant and Fikkert (1996).                                 31. World Bank (2003a)  Jappelli and Pagano (1999).
    41. Coe and Helpman (1995)  Coe,Helpman, and Hoffmaister (1997).            32. Jappelli and Pagano (1999).
    42.                                                                         33. Fafchamps (2004).
  . ., ., Crespo, Martin, and Velasquez (2002).                                 34. Milgrom, North, and Weingast (1990).
    43. Lederman and Maloney (2003).                                            35. Mnookin and Kornhauser (1979).
    44. UNCTAD (2003c)  de Ferranti and others (2003).                          36. Galanter and Krishnan (2003).
    45. Fernandez and Rodrik (1991).                                            37. Williamson (1996).
    46. Krueger (2000); Tommasi (2002);  Hausmann, Pritchett, and Rodrik        38. Cristini and Moya (2001)  Castelar Pinheiro and Cabral (2001).
(2004).                                                                         39. Laevan and Woodruff (2003).
    47. Woo Cumings (2001).                                                     40. Castelar Pinheiro (1998); Sereno, de Dios, and Capuano (2001);
    48. Parente and Prescott (2000).                                        Herrero and Henderson (2001).
    49. Berglof and Roland (2000).                                              41. Johnson, McMillan, and Woodruff (2002a)  Broadman and others (2004).
    50. Cao, Qian, and Weingast (1999)  Yeung (2003).                           42. Bigsten and others (2000) and Fafchamps and Minten (2001).
    51. North and Weingast (1989).                                              43. Djankov and others (2003b).
    52. Boix (2003).                                                            44. Djankov and others (2003b).
    53. Kingdon (1995).                                                         45.World Bank (2003f).
    54. Consumers International (www.consumersinternational.org)  Trans         46.Messick (1999)  Burki and Perry (1998).
parency International (www.transparency.org).                                   47. Chengappa (1999).
    55. Cabanero Verzosa and Mitchell (2003).                                   48.   .: Kahkonen and others (2001).   .:
    56. Georgian Opinion Research Business International (GORBI) (2002)    Fleisig and De la Pea (2003).
    57. Yufei and others (2004).                                                49. Inter American Development Bank (2002).
    58. Smith (1997a).                                                          50. Ahmadi (1999).
    59. Sidak and Baumol (1995)  Hempling, Rose, and Burns (2004).              51. UNCTAD (2003a). .   9.
    60. Kostrzeva (2003).                                                       52. World Bank (2003d).
    61.Wedel (2002).                                                            53. Volkov (2002).
    62. OECD (1999a).                                                           54. Polinsky and Shavell (2000).
    63. Argy and Johnson (2003).                                                55. Stone and Ward (2000).
    64. OECD (1999b) and OECD (2002c).                                          56. Schrf (2001).
    65. OECD (2000b) and OECD (2002c).                                          57. Greenwood and others (1998)  Waller and Sanfacon (2000).
    66. Kirkpatrick and Parker (2003) and Lee (2002).                           58. McDonald (1994).
    67. Stanchev (2003).                                                        59. Sherman and others (1998).
    68. Regobeth and Ahortor (2003).                                            60. Villadeces and others (2000)  Mockus (2002).
    69. Stanchev (2003).                                                        61. Buvinic and Morrison (2000).
    70. Zeruolis (2003) and Vilpisauskas (2003).                                62. Frye and Zhuravskaya (2000).
    71. Environmental Resources Management (2004).                              63. Rossiter (1961).
                                                                                64. Mattei (2000)  Shavell (2004).
 4                                                                              65. Chifor (2002).
    1. Murdoch and Sandler (2002).                                              66. Vernon (1971).
    2. World Bank (2003m).                                                      67. Wells Jr. and Gleason (1995).
    3. Johnson,McMillan, and Woodruff (2002b).                                  68. West (2001).
    4. Besley (1995)  World Bank (2003f).                                       69.  ,     
    5. Erb, Harvey, and Viskanta (2000).                                    , .: Smith (1997a).
    6. Torstensson (1994)  Knack and Keefer (1995b).                            70. Van der Walt (1999).
    7. Keefer (2004).                                                           71. Stephenson (2003).
    8. World Bank (2003n).
    9. Jimenez (1984).                                                       5
    10. Lanjouw and Levy (2002).                                                1. Coase (1960)  Pigou (1932).
    11. Friedman, Jimenez, and Mayo (1988).                                     2. Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2001).

206                 2005


    3. Pistor and others (2003).                                                 40. Elstrodt, Lenero, and Urdapilleta (2002).
    4. Pistor and others (2003).                                                 41. Djankov and others (2002).
    5. Pistor (2000).                                                            42. Ebrill and others (2001) ,   10%  
    6. Berkowitz, Pistor, and Richard (2003).                                  90%   , ,    .
    7. Alesina and others (2003a)  Nicoletti and Scarpetta (2003).               43. Das Gupta, Engelschalk, and Mayville (1999).
    8.    ,   : Alesina                                                          44. Taliercio Jr. (2003b).
and others (2003a).                                                              45. Bird and Engelschalk (2003)    .
    9. World Bank (2003a).                                                       46.       
    10.  �      ,                                                               ,    , 
  ,  ,                                                                           .     .:
                                                                             www.worldbank.org/publicsector/tax/autonomy.html.
    .    �                                                                       47. Bird (2003).
 �  .                                                                            48. Taliercio Jr. (2003b).
    11.World Bank (2003g).                                                       49. Taliercio Jr. (2003b).
    12. Schneider (2002).                                                        50. Taliercio Jr. (2001).
    13. Flores and Mikhnew (2004).                                               51. Taliercio Jr. (2001); Taliercio Jr. (2003a);  Taliercio Jr. (2003b).
    14. OECD (2003a).                                                            52. . Das Gupta, Engelschalk, and Mayville (1999) and Bird (2003).
    15. World Bank (2004b).                                                      53. Das Gupta, Engelschalk, and Mayville (1999).
    16. Winston (1993)  OECD (1997b).                                            54. Taliercio Jr. (2003b).
    17. Guash and Hahn (1999)  Guash and Spiller (1999)                          55. Fjeldstad (2002)  World Bank (2004e).
   .                                                                             56. Gill (2003)  Engelschalk, Melhem, and Weist (2000).
    18. Fernandes (2003)  ; Muendler (2002)  ;                                   57. Bird and Engelschalk (2003).
Pavcnik (2003)  ;  Aghion and Burgess (2003)  .                                  58. Bird (2003); Engelschalk, Melhem, and Weist (2000);  Bird and
    19. Bartelsman and others (2004).   � , ,                                Engelschalk (2003).
, , , , ,   .                                                                    59. Gill (2003).
 10%  ,     20% �  ,                                                             60. Bird (2003).
 .                                                                               61. APEC Committee on Trade and Investment (2003).
    20. Akiyama and others (2003).                                               62.World Bank (2004d), Table 2.9.
    21. Akiyama and others (2003).                                               63. World Bank (2004d), Table 1.9.     
    22. ., ., McMillan, Rodrik, and Welch (2002).                            114  . ( .  1997 .)  265 ,    
    23. Lawson and Meyenn (2000)   .                                             .
    "Grameen Telecom" (www.grameen info.org/grameen/ gtele                       64. Dollar, Hallward Driemeier, and Mengistae (2003a).
com/) Grameen Telecom's Web site (www.grameen info.org/grameen/ gtele            65. Engelschalk, Mehlem, and Weist (2000)   
com/)     2004 .                                                                    .
    24. La Porta and Lpez de Silanes (2001).                                     66. De Wulf (2003).
    25. World Bank (2004d).                                                      67. De Wulf and Finateu (2002).
    26. Evenett (2004).
    27.     : UNCTAD (2003d).                                                  6
    28. .: www.internationalcompetitionnetwork.org,         "Advocacy  and       1. Rajan and Zingales (2003).
Competition Policy" ICN Conference, Naples, Italy, 2002.                         2. Harris (2003); World Bank (1994b);World Bank (2004j);  World Bank
    29. Khemani (2002) and Kovacic (1997).                                   (2003p).
    30. Kee and Hoekman (2003).                                                  3. King and Levine (1993); Levine, Loayza, and Beck (2000); Beck, Levine,
    31. The Economist (2002c).                                               and Loayza (2000); Bandiera and others (2000);  Demirg Kunt and
    32.        1862 .                                                        Maksimovic (1998).
  . .: www.irs.ustreas.gov/.                                                     4. Caprio and Honohan (2003).
    33. Ebrill and others (2001).                                                5. Li, Squire, and Zou (1998).
    34. Lewis (2004).                                                            6. Rajan and Zingales (2003).
    35.      .:                                                                  7. Easterly, Islam, and Stiglitz (2000).
Diamond and Mirlees (1971); Stiglitz and Dasgupta (1971); Ebrill and others      8. Dehejia and Gatti (2002).
(20011); Sandmo (1976)  Slemrod (1990).                                          9. Stiglitz and Rothschild (1976) and Stiglitz and Weiss (1981).
                                                                                 10. Rajan and Zingales (2003).
.: Tanzi and Zee (2001).                                                         11. Barth, Caprio Jr., and Levine (2001); Clarke and Cull (2002); La Porta,
    36.  2000/2001 .      14%                                                Lpez de Silanes, and Shleifer (2002);  Sapienza (2004).
      , 12% �                                                                    12. Beck, Cull, and Afeikhena (2003); Beck, Crivelli,  Summerhill (2003);
     9% �      .                                                             and Omran (2003).
      , , 41%, 42%                                                               13. Berger and others (forthcoming); Demirg Kunt and Maksimovic
 37%.      ,                                                                 (forthcoming);  Berger, Hasan, and Klapper (2004).
, 18%, 14%  8%.                                                                  14. Schreiner and Yaron (2001).
   60  ,                                                                         15. Townsend and Yaron (2001).
 .  : IMF (2003), OECD (2002d)                                                   16. Harvey (1991)  World Bank (2001f).
 Dobrinsky (2002).                                                               17. World Bank (1994a).
    37. Mitra and Stern (2003)                                                   18. Vittas and Je Cho (1995).
    .                                                                            19. Klapper and Zaidi (2004)  World Bank (1989).
    39.                                                                          20. Caprio and Demirg Kunt (1998)  World Bank (1989).
   1990   2000�2001 .    ,                                                       21. ,    15%   ,
                                                                                 ; .: Njoku and Obasi (1991).
 .     IMF (2003), OECD                                                          22. Management Systems International (1996)  Magno and Meyer (1988).
(2002d)  Dobrinsky (2002).                                                       23. Graham Bannock and Partners Ltd (1997).

                                                                                                                                                          207

    24. Black and Strahan (2002); Cetorelli and Strahan (2002); Beck,           (1996); Smith (1997b); Spiller and Savedoff (1999)  Willig (1999). 
Demirg� Kunt, and Levine (2003); Cetorelli (2003);  Berger, Hasan, and            ,     
Klapper (2004).                                                                  ,    ,    
    25. Demirg� Kunt, Laeven, and Levine (2003).                                   � �,  
    26. Berger and others (forthcoming).                                              .
    27. Barth, Caprio Jr., and Levine (2004)  Demirg� Kunt, Laeven, and             70. See Wodon, Ajwad, and Siaens (2003). . : Clarke and Wallsten
Levine (2003), .                                                                (2003); Estache, Foster, and Wodon (2002);  World Bank (1994b).
    28. Unite and Sullivan (2003).                                                  71.     
    29. Clarke and others (2003); Clarke and others (forthcoming);  Escude         .: Bergara, Henisz, and Spiller (1998); Henisz
and others (2001).                                                              (2002); Henisz and Zelner (2001); Weder and Schiffer (2000)  Zhank, Parker,
    30. Faulkender and Petersen (2003).                                         and Kirkpatrick (2002).
    31. Carmichael and Pomerleano (2002).                                           72.      
    32. Impavido (2001) and Impavido, Musalem, and Tressel (2003).                  .: Lamech and Saeed (2003).
    33. Ekmekcioglu (2003).                                                         73. Phillips (1993); Smith (1997a);  Smith (1997b).
    34. Shah (1997) and Srinivas,Whitehouse, and Yermo (2000).                      74.    .: http://rru.worldbank.org/
    35. Impavido (2001).                                                        contracts/.
    36. Deepthi and others (2003).                                                  75. ., , Klein and Hadjimichael (2003).
    37. Black, Jang, and Kim (2003); Johnson and others (2000); La Porta and        76. Dollar, Hallward Driemeier, and Mengistae (2003a). , 
others (1997); La Porta and others (1998);  Stiglitz (1999a).                      ,     
    38. Shleifer and Wolfenzohn (2002).                                              .
    39. Demirg�� Kunt and Maksimovic (1998); Demirg�� Kunt and                      77. Rller and Waverman (2001).
Maksimovic (1999); Giannetti (2003); Claessens and Laeven (2003); Allayanis,        78. Caldern and Servn (2003).
Brown, and Klapper (2003);  Esty and Megginson (2003).                              79.  International Telecommunication Union   
    40. Bae and Goyal (2003).                                                   SIMA  2001 .
    41. ,                                                                           81. Rossotto and others (2003)    Telegeography
  2002 .   12,6%    35%                                                          International Telecommunication Union.
  141%   ( IMF�IFS).                                                                82. Wallsten (2001); Wallsten (2003); Bortolotti and others (2002); Boylaud
    42. Berkowitz and White (2002).                                             and Nicoletti (2001); Galal and others (1994); Ramamurti (1996); Ros (1999);
    43. Pistor, Raiser, and Gelfer (2000).                                      Wellenius (1997b); Winston (1993);  Fink,Mattoo, and Rathindran (2002).
    44. Claessens and Laeven (2003).                                                83. Komives,Whittington, and Wu (2003)  Clarke and Wallsten (2003).
    45. Durnev and Kim (2003); Gompers and Metrick (2001); Joh (2003);              84. World Bank Investment Climate Surveys.
Klapper and Love (forthcoming);  La Porta and others (1998).                        85. World Bank Investment Climate Surveys  Batra, Kaufmann,
    46. McKinsey & Company (2002)  Aggarwal, Klapper, and Wysocki (2003).           and Stone (2002).
    47. Levitt (1998); Frost, Gordon, and Hayes (2002); Hail and Luez (2003);       86. World Energy Council (2001).
 Lee and Ng (2002).                                                                 87. Reinikka and Svensson (2002).
    48. Rajan and Zingales (2003).                                                  88. Dollar, Hallward Driemeier, and Mengistae (2003a).
    49. Glaeser, Johnson, and Shleifer (2001).                                      89. Calder�n and Serv�n (2003).
    50. Miller (2003).                                                              90. Hunt and Shuttleworth (1996).
    51. Galindo and Miller (2001) and Love and Mylenko (2003).                      91. ., ., Besant Jones and Tenenbaum (2001).
    52. World Bank (2003a).                                                         92. Pollitt (2003); Newbery and Pollitt (1997); and Galal and others (1994).
    53.     ,                                                                       93. World Bank (2004j). . : Spiller  : Gilbert and Kahn (1996).
  50%                                                                               94. Zhang, Parker, and Kirkpatrick (2002).
,     ,    27%                                                                      95. Lim�o and Venables (2001).
,    ,    ,                                                                         96. Clark, Dollar, and Micco (2002).
,     28% ,   ,                                                                     97. Lim�o and Venables (2001).
  , � 40%. .: Love and Mylenko (2003).                                              98. Radelet and Sachs (1998).
    54. Barron and Staten (2003); Bailey, Chun, and Wong (2003); Padilla and        99. Lim�o and Venables (2001).     
Pagano (2000);  Castelar Pinheiro and Moura (2003).                              ,      ,    
    55. Chami, Khan, and Sharma (2003).                                            ,      
    56. Barth, Caprio Jr., and Levine (2004)  Beck, Demirg�� Kunt, and            25%   .
Levine (2003).                                                                      100. Lim�o and Venables (2001).
    57. Stigler and Becker (1977); Stigler (1975);  Rajan and Zingales (2003).      101.World Bank (2004j).
    58. Stigler (1971).                                                             102. Clark, Dollar, and Micco (2002).
    59. Barth, Caprio Jr., and Levine (2001) and Barth, Caprio Jr., and Levine      103. Inter American Development Bank (2001).
(2004).                                                                             104. ., Estache and Carbajo (1996)  Gaviria (1998).
    60.Martinez Peria and Schmukler (2001).                                         105. Estache and Carbajo (1996); Trujillo and Serebrisky (2003);  Gaviria
    61. Calomiris and Powell (2001).                                            (1998).
    62. Saunders and Wilson (2002).                                                 106.  World Bank and PPIAF (2003)   
    63. Caprio and Honohan (2003).                                              .
    64. Stiglitz and Yusuf (2001).                                                  107. Galal and others (1994).
    65. Caprio and Honohan (2003).                                                  108. Gaviria (1998).
    66. Levy Yeyati,Martinez Peria, and Schmukler (2004).                           109. Trujillo and Serebrisky (2003).
    67. Beck, Demirg�� Kunt, and Levine (2003).                                     110. Caldero�n and Serve�n (2003).
    68. ., , Tanzi and Davoodi (1997); Tanzi and Davoodi (1998);                    111. Fernald (1999).
and Devarajan, Swaroop, and Zou (1996).                                             112. G�mez-Ib��ez and Meyer (1993)  www.worldbank.
    69.                                                                             org/html/fpd/transport/roads_ss.htm.
 .: G�mez-Ib��ez (2003); G�mez-Ib��ez and Meyer                                     113. Tanzi and Davoodi (1997) and Tanzi and Davoodi (1998).
(1993); Klein and Roger (1994); Levy and Spiller (1994); Levy and Spiller           114. Liautaud (2001).

208                  2005

 7                                                                               31.    39      
    1. ILO (2004).                                                           ,  20   .
    2. Schneider (2002). . : ILO (2002a).                                        32. Heckman and Pags (2004) ,     
    3. Pritchett (2001); Easterly (2001);  Topel (1999).                        52%  90% ,     
    4.     ,                                                                 . Mondino and Montoya (2004)     MacIcaac
,                                                                            and Rama (1997)       ,  
 7�10%. . Psacharapoulos and Patrinos (2002).                                         , 
    5.  ,   ,                                                                    .
,                                                                                33.        ,
 ,     ,                                                                        ,   
                                                                                   ,     ,
       . . Bassanini and                                                        . .: Alogoskoufis and others
Scarpetta (2002)  De La Fuente and Domnech (2002).                           (1995).
    6. Rosenzweig (1995)    ,                                                    34. Heckman and Pag�s (2004),   
    ,     .                                                                   ,      
    7. Pritchett (2001)  Pissarides (2000).                                  , ,      , 
    8. Acemoglu and Shimer (1999).  , .: Abowd and others                    , ,     .
(2001)  Nestoriak (2004).                                                        35.       
    9. Bresnahan, Brynjolfsson, and Hitt (2002).                                : )   
    10.Van de Walle (2003).                                                   ; )  ; )    
    11. Nicholls (1998).                                                           )  
    12.World Bank (2003e).                                                   .      
    13. IFC (2001); World Bank (2002a); World Bank (2003e);  El Khawas,      : ) �� ,     
DePietro Jurand, and Holm Nielsen (1998).                                      ,  )   
    14. Tooley (1999).                                                         . .: Djankov and others (2003a)  World
    15. IFC (2001).                                                          Bank (2003a).
    16.    .                                                                     36. World Bank (2003j).
    17.                                                                          37. World Bank (2002a).
                                                                                 38.    ,   
     (                                                                               
 ),                                                                               . .,  ,
  .                                                                          Nicoletti and others (2001)       
    18. Bourguignon and Goh (2003); de Ferranti and others (2000); Gill,      ,   Scarpetta and others (2002)  Scarpetta and
Maloney, and Sanchez Paramo (2002); Devarajan, Dollar, and Holmgren          Tressel (2004)      
(2001); Rodrik (1997); Freeman (1994); Matusz and Tarr (1999); Rama (2003);      .
 World Bank (2002d).                                                             39.        . Gorg
    19.    .  : Aidt and Tzannatos (2002);                                   (2002)  Dewit, Gorg and Montagna (2003)
Brown (2000)  Boeri, Brugiavini, and Calmfors (2001).                            40. . Nicoletti and others (2001)  , Nicoletti and others
    20. Aidt and Tzannatos (2002)  Forteza and Rama (2002).                  (2001)   ,   Scarpetta and others (2002)  
    21. Calmfors (1993).                                                     ,       . Christianson
    22. Haltiwanger, Scarpetta, and Vodopivec (2003).                        (2004) ,      
    23. Eslava and others (2003).                                                    
    24.                                                                       .
       0,15                                                                      41.     1998 .    
: .: Maloney and N��ez (2004).   .: Alatas and                                      
Cameron (2003).                                                              60% .      
    25.                                                                      ,        , .
  �� ,                                                                        : World Bank (2003j).
.                                                                                42. .: Pag�s and Montenegro (1999)  Montenegro and Pag�s (2004)
    26.                                                                        . Djankov and others (2003a) ,  
       1:1                                                                     1     (   0,76
     .                                                                        2,40)         
    27.         80%                                                          6,7       
    ,                                                                         13,8  .
   . .: World Bank                                                               43. Addison and Teixeria (2001) and Nickell and Layard (1999).
(2001b).                                                                         44. Cavalcanti (2003) and Mondino and Montoya (2004).
    28.        �                                                                 45. Besley and Burgess (2004).
�      .: Maloney and N��ez                                                      46.   . Kugler and Pica (2003).
(2004)  World Bank (2004g).                                                      47. Pierre and Scarpetta (2004).   ,  90%
    29. . Feliciano (1998)  ,  Gill, Montenegro, and Dmeland                       , 
(2002)     ,                                                                    : .: Chandra and others (2001). . 
  .                                                                          : Saavedra and Torero (2004)    World Bank (2004) �  
    30.   ,   . 7.5, �                                                       .
                                                                                 48. Dolado, Garca Serrano, and Jimeno (2001); Blanchard and Landier
,  ,  ,    ,                                                                 (2001);  Hopenhayn (2004).
  ,                                                                              49. Ag�nor (1996) ,     
 .     .: Djankov and others                                                       
(2003a)  World Bank (2003a).                                                     .

                                                                                                                                                   209

   50. Goldberg and Pavcnik (2003) for Colombia, and Aghion and others           74. Habbad and Adato (2001),    101 
(2003) for India.                                                                     (),
   51. Winter Ebmer (2001).                                                        
   52. Kikeri (1998).                                                             , 
   53. Winter Ebmer (2001)  Kikeri (1998).                                       .
   54. . Holzmann and Jorgensen (2001)  World Bank (2001c). .                    75. Rawlings, Sherburne Benz, and Van Domelen (2003).
 World Commission on the Social Dimension of Globalization (2004).               76.     ,    
   55. de Ferranti and others (2000)  ,                                      ,   71%    55%  .
        1990  .                                                                  77. Rawlings and Rubio (2002).
    ,                                                                            78. Sedlacek, Ilahi, and Gustafsson Wright (2000)  Bourguignon, Ferreira,
        7% .                                                                 and Leite (2002).
   56. Bigsten and others (2003) ,    
                                                                               8
      ,                                                                          1. Chang (2002).
                                                                                 2. Taylor (1996).
 .                                                                               3.   ,     
   57. Acemoglu and Shimer (1999) ,                                           .      
                                                                                     :
                                                                             Noland and Pack (2003); Pack (2000)  Smith (2000).  
   .                                                                           Lall (2003); Lall (2000)  Amsden and Chu (2003). Wong
   58.                                                                       and Ng (2001)    . . : Hernandez (2004).
  ( ) , , ,                                                                      4.   ��  , 
     ,                                                                              
,      .                                                                         .     
.: Dercon (1996).   , (                                                             
                                                                               ,     
),                                                                                  
  (  ), ,                                                                       , .: Lall (2000);   
,                                                                              .: Chang (1999);   ��  
, .: Rosenzweig and Rinswanger (1993).                                         .: Amsden and Chu (2003).
   59. ., .: Ravallion (2003b)  World Bank (2002d).                              5. Lipsey and Lancaster (1956).
   60. Klasen and Woolard (2001) ,                                               6. Reid and Gatrell (2003);Wolman (1988); and Kokko (2002).
                                                                                 7. Hausmann and Rodrik (2003).
                                                                                 8.   ,      :
( ,  ,    ,                                                                  Hausmann and Rodrik (2003);   �  World Bank (1993); 
  ),      .                                                                   �  English, Jaffe, and Okello (2004).
   61. de Ferranti and others (2000) ,                                           9. Noland and Pack (2003).
       ,                                                                         10.   WTO (2003)      
  ,    ,                                                                           ;  ,
  ,                                                                                 
                                                                                    .
   .                                                                             11. ., .: World Bank (2004d); Noland and Pack (2003); Mody
   62.      ,                                                                (1999); Wong and Ng (2001)  Lall (2000).
  ,                                                                              12. Irwin (2004).
  . : Vodopivec (2004).                                                          13. Rodr�guez Clare (2001).
                                                                                 14. Greenstone and Moretti (2003).
   . : MacIsaac and Rama (2001).                                                 15. Reid and Gatrell (2003)    
   63. Gruber (1997) ,                                                        ,      
         22%.                                                                   ,      
   64.       1990  .  /3 ,                              2                    ,    322,5  .   1997 .  
       ,                                                                        4,9 .   ,  2001 .  
 , .: Vodopivec (2004).                                                      ,      3,6 . .  ,
   65.Martin and Grubb (2001).                                                      
   66.Mazza (1999).                                                             .
   67.World Bank (1995b).                                                        16. Thaler (1993).
   68. Tabor (2002).                                                             17.       
   69. Cox, Jimenez, and Jordan (1994) ,   ,                                    (1997�2002 .) : ) 
  ,       25% ,                                                                      
  ,    .                                                                     ,   , 
   70.  ,                                                                        .; )    
   10%    ,                                                                          ; ) 
      1984 . �  3%; .: Morduch (1999a).                                        ,  
   71. Ravallion (2003b), Ravallion and Datt (1995); Subbarao (1997); Teklu   ; )   � 
and Asefa (1999); Jalan and Ravallion (2003);  Chirwa, Zgovu, and Mvula      �   .; )   
(2002).                                                                        ; )     
   72. Gaiha (2000).                                                         ; )      , 
   73. . Subbarao, Ahmed, and Teklu (1995)    World Bank                          . . :
(2002d)   .                                                                  Mani (2001b).

210                  2005


    18. Cardenas, Ocampo, and Thorp (2003) ,                                       60. UNCTAD (2002b).
                                                                                   61. Wells and others (2001)  Bergsman (1999).
    ,                                                                              62. MIGA (2002).
     .                                                                             63. Wunder (2001b).
    19. Jones and Sakong (1980).                                                   64.    1984 . ,  
    20. Shah (1995a).                                                          , ,     ,    
    21. OECD (2003).       ,                                                       ,  70%. . :
, ,   .                                                                        Halvorsen (1995).
    22. UNCTAD (2002)  Noland and Pack (2003).                                     65. Zee, Stotsky, and Ley (2002)  Shah (1995a).
    23. OECD (2003e).                                                              66. Wells and others (2001).
    24. Chen and others (2004).                                                    67. UNCTAD (2002b).
    25. ILO (2002b).                                                               68. Morisset (2003a).
    26. PPIAF and World Bank (2002).                                               69. Morisset and Andrews Johnson (2003).
    27.World Bank (2003i).                                                         70. Morisset and Andrews Johnson (2003).   
    28. Charitonenko and Campion (2003)  Yaron, Benjamin, and Piprek            ,      
(1997).                                                                         �  ,   
    29.Morduch (1999b).                                                        , ,    .
    30. Adams (1988).                                                              71. UNCTAD (2003b).
    31. Yaron, Benjamin, and Piprek (1997).                                        72. Pursell (2001)  UNCTAD (2003b).
    32.World Bank (2003i).                                                         73. Moran (2001).
    33. Anderson and Feder (2003).                                                 74. Moran (2001).
    34. Alex, Zijp, and Byerlee (2002)  Anderson and Feder (2003).                 75. Battat, Frank, and Shen (1996).
    35. Glaeser (2001).                                                            76. Zee, Stotsky, and Ley (2002).
    36. Batra and Mahmood (2003).                                                  77. Hall and Van Reenen (1999).
    37. Klein and Hadjimichael (2003).                                             78.  , ,    Shah and Baffes
    38. Nugent and Yhee (2002).                                                (1995)  Shah (1995b)     . 
    39. Johnson, McMillan, and Woodruff (2002a).                                Hall and Van Reenen (1999)     
    40. Hallberg (2000) and Batra and Mahmood (2003).                             ,     . 
    41. Hallberg and Konishi (2003).                                                   , 
    42. Batra and Mahmood (2003).                                                     1981 .   
    43. Scott and Storper (2003).                                                     
    44.  : Porter (1998)     .                                                  .
     �                                                                             79. OECD (2003f).
 ,    ,                                                                            80. Kim (1997)  Yusuf (2003).   ,   
     ,                                                                              
 �. .: Porter (2003).                                                             .   
    45. Slvell, Lindqvist, and Ketels (2003).                                   ;     
    46. World Bank (2003b).                                                            
    47. , Altenburg and Meyer Stamer (1999)                                     ,       .
   : �  ,                                                                      .: Trajtenberg (2002).
                                                                                   82. Wallsten (2004) ,      1998 . 
  ,                                                                             135  .  ,      
�.                                                                                  .    
    48. Altenburg and Meyer Stamer (1999).                                         ,      
    49. The Mitchell Group Inc. (2003).                                          . .: de Ferranti and others (2003).
    50. The Mitchell Group Inc. (2003).                                            83. Feser (2002).
    51.     ,                                                                      84. Yusuf (2003).
  ,                                                                                85. de Ferranti and others (2003).
  maquiladoras ( ,    
   ,    ).                                                                      9
    52. Madani (1999)    18                                                        1. Braithwaite and Drahos (2000) and Dollinger (1970).
,                                                                                  2. ,  1928 .    
 .                                                                            ,      . ,    
,      �  .                                                                        , 
                                                                                .  ,  �   
 .                                                                               ,    ...   
                                                                              ,       
   .                                                                          ,       �.
     .                                                                             3. Putnam (1988); Ederington (2001); Staiger and Tabellini (1999);
    53. Subramanian and Roy (2003).                                            Conconi and Perroni (2003).
    54. Jenkins and Kuo (2000); Panagariya (2000); Radelet (1999);  Harrold,       4. Dixit and Nalebuff (1991);  Persson and Tabellini (2000).
Jayawickrama, and Bhattasali (1996).                                               5.         
    55. English and De Wulf (2002).                                                  
    56. UNCTAD (1996); Christiansen, Oman, and Charlton (2003);  Easson           (ROSC)    
(2001).                                                                            
    57. UNCTAD (2000c).                                                         .
    58. Morisset (2003b).                                                          6. Shihata (1986)      Jecker,
    59. Fletcher (2002).                                                              

                                                                                                                                            211

                                                                             5%,    � 5%  
 1861�1862 .                                                                 1%.   ,  
    7. ,   ,                                                               ,   ,      
 1958                                                                         . . World Bank (2004d).
                                                                             7. Hoekman (2000).
 .     .:                                                                    8.        
Paulsson (1996).                                                               (2004)    
    8.    .: Shihata (1986).    .                                          ,      
    www.worldbank.org/icsid/     "ICSID                                    ().      , 
Review � Foreign Investment Law Journal",                                    ��   
Johns Hopkins University Press.                                            ,  .     
    9. ICSID (2003).                                                         ()      
    10.                                                                        (  
,   ,                                                                      ,    ). 
.    : UNCTAD (2003)  Hallward Driemeier                                        .: Migliorisi and
(2003).  ,     , .                                                        Galmarini (2004).
www.worldbank.org/icsid/cases/awards.htm.                                    9. World Bank (1998a).
    11. Weingast (1995).                                                     10. World Bank (2004a).
    : Stephan (1999).                                                        11. ,    (,   ),
      . White (1996).                                                        ,    
    12. Putnam (1988); . : Maggi and Rodrguez Clare (1998).                �  ; .  : Zongo and others (2000). 
    13.      1919 .                                                       ,     ,  
                                                                          ,      : 
   (www.iccwbo.org).                                                        ,     
    14.  �                                                                   ;     .; www.mca.gov.
 ;     1966 .,                                                               12.   ,    
                                                                          ,    .: Brook and Smith (2001).
 .                                                                           13.  /3      
                                                                                        1

  ,     ,                                                                       ,   
    ,                                                                      ,      .
       ,                                                                           
    (www.uncitral.org).                                                     ,    
    15.Hoekman and others (2004); Schiff and Winters (2003);  Bhagwati    .
(2002).                                                                      14.     
    16.                                                                     ,   1996  1999 .  40%  
        1972 .                                                                , /3 �                                         1

    17. Siebert (2003).                                                        /4 �                                  1

    18.World Bank (2003b); WTO (2003); and Clarke and Evenett (2003b).          . .: World
    19. Hoekman and Mavroidis (2002) and Clarke and Evenett (2003a).      Bank (2001a).
    20.                                                                      15. Devarajan, Dollar, and Holmgren (2001) and World Bank (1998a).
  .     ,                                                                    16. McMillan, Rodrik, and Welch (2002).
       ; .:                                                                  17. World Bank (2003k) and Wolfensohn (1998).
Mendoza and Tesar (2003).                                                    18. IDA and IMF (2003)  World Bank (2003l).      
    21. ,                                                                      ,   PSPR; c.:
     ,                                                                    World Bank (2004h).
   ,   ,                                                                     20.        
   ,   ,                                                                        2001 .   
  ,   . .: Tendler (2002).                                                        
    22. OECD (2003d) and OECD and WTO (2003).                                ; . OECD DAC (2001).   ,
                                                                             ,     
 10                                                                        .    
    1.World Bank (2003b).                                                    . . European Commission (2004a)  United Kingdom                DFID
    2.                                                                    (2001).
 ; . ,    2003 .                                                             21. Batra and Mahmood (2003).
                                                                             22.        
                                                                           : �     ,
                                                                           ,     [  ]
(2004).                                                                     ,        
    3. United Nations (2002b).                                                   
    4.World Bank (2004d); UNCTAD (2000a);  UNCTAD and WTO (2000).             .   ,    
    5. IMF estimations from OECD PSE (Producer Support Estimate); OECD         ;     
(2002a);  OECD DAC (2003).                                                ,       
    6. ,       (                                                              �  ,  
   1997 .),                                                                   �. . Schulpen and Gibbon (2002).
�  � (GTAP).     ,                                                           23.  ,  �    
      ,                                                                      XXI .� (PARIS21); (.: www.paris21.org).
         .                                                                   24. United Nations (2002a).
      10%                                                                    25. World Bank (2004c).






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248         2005


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          2002     170    6.7    48.3    19.5    63.5   6.0    4.4    31.0   2.6    6.5    12.9
          2002     170    48.5   54.5    47.5    84.5   4.6    32.9   50.6   21.2   11.8   1.4
          2003     557     ..    44.8    35.2    75.0   8.6     ..    27.3    ..    11.0   12.2
          2002     171    32.0   51.6    13.5    35.7   4.8    8.2    44.1   3.6    9.4    14.1
          2002    1,001   45.4   21.4    57.9    97.8   2.8     ..    83.0   39.4   23.5   2.3
          2002     250    59.0   77.6    17.9    62.0   3.4    11.2   48.1   12.3   21.6   3.8
          2002     250    59.5   62.3    25.4    75.9   4.2    17.9   50.6   18.8   34.4   2.7
a         2001     671     ..     ..      ..     40.5    ..     ..     ..     ..     ..     ..
          2002     182    40.5   47.0    34.8    62.6   3.0    22.6   38.0   18.7   13.7   1.7
          2003    1,642   75.9   66.0    67.2    51.0    ..    32.8   39.6   52.2   22.7   2.8

   a      2002     96      ..     ..      ..      ..     ..     ..     ..    2.3     ..     ..
          2002     250    21.1   42.7    8.8     60.4   2.4    4.5    40.3   4.9    33.6   1.1
          2003     455    66.4   89.5    80.9    57.6   7.4    36.7   71.3   80.4   42.2   4.8
          2003     450    47.0   65.9    62.8    50.0   6.0    21.8   56.1   60.9   3.3    3.1
          2002     174    44.3   73.4    35.1    81.5   4.4    11.2   59.0   19.0   27.6   7.0
          2003     207    57.0   70.1    46.4    49.5   3.8    38.6   36.0   48.8   79.7   4.4

   b      2003    1,827   20.9   64.1    37.4     ..     ..     ..    29.4   15.6    ..     ..
          2004     713    48.2   56.0    41.5    50.9   4.6    24.7   40.8   22.0   15.6   3.1
          2002     250    18.5   52.7    14.2    69.2   3.8    4.0    48.5   8.4    29.2   3.5
          2003     503    40.1   44.4    55.9    82.3   6.0    31.4   61.0   41.7   20.1   7.0
          2003     284    51.5   451.5   73.8    75.5   5.5     ..    51.3   69.8   31.0   4.1
          2002/3   275    34.7   67.0    31.4    82.4   4.6    15.7   66.3   18.5   27.3   8.2
          2002/3  3,948   32.9   33.7    27.3    55.0   2.6     ..    17.5   20.0   10.4   2.6
          2002     176    27.4   71.4    11.7    62.6   2.3    3.2    49.1   6.4    33.0   2.7
          2002     200    33.5   61.9    15.6    52.0   1.9    12.0   59.5   16.2   38.0   2.8
,         2002     170    37.3   42.3    31.2    68.7   1.5    27.1   50.6   20.4   14.1   6.7
          2003     902    22.4    ..     14.5     ..     ..     ..    19.1   11.4   19.1   3.0

    a     2001     859     ..     ..      ..      ..     ..     ..     ..     ..     ..     ..
          2002/3   277    57.0   79.0    40.2    77.6   3.0    19.8   72.1   26.5   17.3   3.9

    a     2001     232     ..    55.1     ..      ..     ..     ..     ..    36.3    ..     ..
          2003     452    58.2   66.4    65.7    45.5   7.0    33.3   60.4   39.2   2.7    7.0
          2002     965    40.1   64.8    40.4    59.0   3.6     ..    62.6   21.5   8.8    2.5
a         2002     583    71.1   78.7    59.6     ..     ..     ..    34.7   51.6   21.8   10.2
          2002/3   608    59.1   68.0    27.6    52.4   3.1    27.0   46.2   24.9   31.6   2.8
          2002     506    31.5   75.1    13.7    78.0   2.3    9.5    65.3   12.4   36.4   2.9
          2002     255    43.3   54.5    34.9    73.3   4.7    20.9   45.8   19.8   24.7   3.8
          2004     262    31.3   42.5    39.9    45.2   1.8    13.3   40.5   15.4   47.0   2.1
          2002     250    47.8   42.9    16.3    61.6   4.0    13.8   28.6   8.9    22.4   4.6
          2002     170    44.6   55.1    44.65   68.1   2.6    25.3   53.9   15.4   42.9   1.8
          2002     188    11.8   47.8    6.1     36.2   5.4    8.0    45.6   3.3    19.7   2.8
          2002/3   283    24.4   56.3    21.0    76.7   3.7    9.1    48.2   3.0    20.1   4.2
          2003     276    31.5   58.6    51.1    42.9   2.9    20.0   55.1   25.5   25.7   3.2
          2002     514    53.8   40.6    23.7    71.8   0.6    11.9   33.1   12.9   5.8    2.7
          2003     300    27.6   40.0    38.2    39.0   4.9     ..    30.1   26.8    ..     ..
          2002/3   360    27.2   42.3    8.7     57.7   2.6    7.6    25.4   7.0    6.7    10.4
          2002     463    46.9   67.5    27.8    70.2   4.4    15.3   49.0   19.6   27.9   4.7
          2003     719    29.5   49.1    35.2    50.6   4.0     ..    33.8   26.5   27.1   4.2
          2002     187    35.9   51.4    22.5    48.7   2.6    27.6   33.3   8.5    13.4   2.1
          2002     268    20.2   56.0    12.5    55.5   2.9    11.1   47.1   14.3   33.6   3.1
          2003     453    60.7   68.0    49.2    58.9   5.4    34.1   70.8   27.8   36.4   3.5

    a     2002     78     31.5    ..     2.7     64.1   3.8     ..     ..    1.3     ..     ..
          2002     170    12.0   45.1    5.4     48.8   1.1    4.8    28.6   6.5    35.9   0.5

     a    2002     427    39.3    ..     39.0     ..     ..     ..     ..    9.5    11.5   7.1

                                                                                                      249


 1.    (  �  �  ) � 


                                                                                                  

                                         . 

                                         
                                                   .                          ,
                                          ,                                                         
                                  .                                           .              .
                                           .                                                        ., 
                                                   .            ,                             
                                                         .,            .,                           
                                                   .            .                     .,      
                                                           %             %                          .,
                                  , %             ,             , %                  %       ., %
                     , %   , %                                                                        %
                                                                              , %
                                         (% . .

                                          .)

                     18,8   17,5   10,1     7,3     2,6   12,3    4,9   20,2    ..      ..     4,5    1,3
                     37,1   25,0   22,9     13,6    2,4   20,1    7,8   57,1    ..      ..    13,2    7,3
                     44,8   36,2   27,4      ..    21,6   51,3   27,1   11,5   58,9    8,9    25,5   12,9
                     35,5   37,7   9,0      7,4     3,7   25,9   11,1   15,8    ..      ..     6,0    1,8
                     35,8   50,7   22,5     4,6    11,5   45,7   48,8   73,2   58,5    5,2    19,8   10,8
                     47,0   44,2   25,8     11,0    2,4   30,1    8,3    2,8    ..      ..     8,4    9,3
                     33,1   13,0   15,1     8,5     4,2   40,3    9,0    8,0    ..      ..    10,2    7,8
                      ..     ..     ..       ..     9,3    ..     ..     ..     ..      ..     ..     ..
                     26,9   26,0   11,9     11,7    3,6   27,9   23,2    5,6    ..      ..     5,7    9,1
                     84,5   66,1   29,8     9,4    13,8   71,7   51,6   20,3   40,1    3,8    39,6   56,9
                      ..     ..     ..       ..     3,1    ..     50     5,6    ..      ..     ..     ..
                     30,2   13,7    3,3     8,7     4,3   20,2   18,5    1,2    ..      ..    12,5    7,3
                     56,5   34,8   15,6     17,4    9,4   38,7   43,5   26,6   60,7    3,7    31,4   16,7
                     35,6   23,2   21,1     14,2    5,1   26,4   46,9   36,4   58,0    5,2    26,4   14,2
                     30,5   47,1    9,9     14,7    3,2   14,2   19,6   22,4    ..      ..     8,6    4,0
                     57,5   27,5   10,1     14,1    4,8   67,7   29,6   39,6   63,8    6,6    35,7   16,9
                     27,9   26,4   13,4     15,3    6,7   19,2    51    28,9   69,2    11,6   12,5   16,7
                     29,5   23,0   20,5     14,6    5,8   23,0   16,7   22,3   33,0    6,1    18,9   25,9
                     18,6   20,7   11,7     14,6    5,     9,9    7,9   12,7   38,6    5,2     6,6    5,9
                     13,8   14,3    9,0     14,6    5,3   14,0   13,3    3,6    ..      ..     6,3    0,8
                     68,2   50,9   15,2     13,8    8,9   58,3   59,3   48,1   58,5    14,9   27,6   22,5
                     32,5   35,1   11,6     13,2    3,3   27,7    9,3    4,7   46,1    3,2     7,7    4,5
                     36,8   26,7   21,3     19,0    7,9   22,3   52,0   29,7   05,0    5,0    30,7   20,7
                     27,3   27,6    9,2     10,7    1,2    7,6   23,2    4,0    ..      ..    15,5    4,1
                     36,5   19,8    8,1     10,0    2,4    7,0   21,1    4,5    ..      ..     7,5    8,5
,                    21,0   15,1   17,4     13,5    5,0   16,6   11,1    5,4    ..     __      3,7    4,6
                     21,7   13,3   10,9     10,2    3,6   17,8   57,3   14,8   40,6    5,2    25,0   14,5
                      ..     ..     ..       ..     2,7    ..    34,2    ..     ..      ..     ..     ..
                     54,9   47,6   24,6     7,1     2,1   39,6   26,4    5,4   15,5    0,8    11,0    5,2
                      ..     ..     ..       ..    17,8    ..    11,1   97,4    ..      ..     ..     ..
                     34,7   18,1   10,6     17,3    5,8   57,6   42,0   34,7   59,5    7,1    17,0    6,9
                     45,6   46,1   14,5     10,6   17,2   40,1   11,2   39,2   81,3    6,7    12,8   15,0
                      ..     ..     ..       ..     7,9   55,8   43,6   11,1   30,5    6,3    12,5    ..
                     64,7   41,0   13,5     12,3    3,1   42,6   31,5    5,8   18,5    0,7    12,2   25,2
                     24,6   31,8   14,6     14,1    6,9   17,0    8,8    4,6    ..      ..     9,9    3,3
                     51,6   33,2   23,2     10,7    1,4   32,3   25,5    9,5    ..      ..    10,8    8,1
                     50,8   48,2    7,5     13,8    6,5   60,0   23,2   30,7   49,4    9,6    18,5   16,3
                     35,3   29,3    7,8     15,1    5,5   28,3   11,3    6,2    ..      ..    11,9    6,9
                     31,7   19,8   17,9     9,5     2,2   30,1   41,2    3,0    ..      ..     9,7    7,4
                     11,2    5,9    3,2     7,7     3,1   11,2   23,8    0,5    ..      ..     4,3    2,7
                     26,2   21,8   14,2     8,3     9,6   20,1    2,0   17,1   63,6    5,7     2,4    2,3
                     73,4   55,7   27,4     16,2   17,5   53,0   13,3   58,9    ..      ..    25,0   12,1
                     38,1   33,1    5,8     8,0     3,7   23,2   11,3   17,3    ..      ..    12,8    8,7
                     48,3   36,1   10,1     5,0     6,    52,8   14,1   44,5   41,7    13,1   30,8   10,8
                     19,9   22,7    7,7     12,1    6,0   20,6    2,3    4,8   19,0    5,6     4,9    1,7
                     39,6   34,9   18,2     15,4    5,8   29,1    6,5    5,9    ..      ..    13,0    5,8
                     30,4   25,1   13,5     11,0    2,8   18,2   16,8   33,4   41,6    9,6    11,9   24,7
                     27,8    7,7    9,2     9,0     3,8   21,6   33,3    1,1    ..      ..     8,7    5,4
                     25,6   19,8   10,2     5,5     4,4   23,1   32,2    5,3    ..      ..     9,1    3,5
                     38,1   28,5   13,0     17,7   16,4   42,2   54,6   28,3   46,4    5,7    22.3   14,1
                     31,1   16,2    2,7     5,9     9,1   53,7   26,3   38,2   41,0    12,8   41,0    5,2
                     16,7    4,5   11,2     6,2     1,6    8,4   46,0   10,1    ..      ..    23,8    4,2
                     73,6   60,3    8,3     5,7    13,5   40,2   26,3   42,5   65,6    7,7    17,9    4,6


     ,        ,   .
      ,         .    
  .
 ,         �� ,  11  � , , , ,
, , , , ,   .       .    .: Hallward Driemeier
and Stone (2004).
�..� �  .
  2002 .    ;       ,        
  .
b 895       2000 .

250       2005


 2.    (    )

                                             Doing Business

                                                                                                .
                                                                                                 
          
                                             .  .                                                
                                                                               .                  
                                                                
                                                                        CRG     WEF  WEF  WEF
                                                                
         I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   2003    2003/4   2003/4   2003/4

            2        2       157      11        7        5        1      10      5,4      5,6      5,1
           29        9       374      20       32        3        1      12      5,1       4       5,1
           123      14       267      25       61        7       2,7      9       ..       ..       ..
           47       11       390      39       47        7        4       8       ..       ..       ..
           26       14       407      49       52       16       3,5      8      3,5      3,6      2,7
           146      14      1011      47       335       8       4,7     8,5     2,4      2,5      2,8
           32       15       520      33       44        5       2,8      5      4,4       2       2,8
           25       10       195      24       18        4       1,9      8       ..       ..       ..
           35        8       365      29        ..       ..       4      5,25    4,8       3       2,9
           79       16       250      28       231       7       5,8     5,5      ..       ..       ..
           34        4       112      27       132       2       0,9     11,5    5,6      3,9      3,8
           32        8       570      49       50        3       3,1              ..       ..       ..
           32       11       440      34       19        9       3,3     11,5    4,6      2,7       3
           59       15       591      47       92        7       1,8     9,5     3,8       3        3
.  .       54       12       330      36       331       7       3,3              ..       ..       ..
           108      11       154      26       69        4       2,2     11,5    4,1      5,1      3,8
           152      17       566      25       42       14       10      7,5     5,2      3,6      2,1
           135      13       458      41       107       8        4       9       ..       ..       ..
           43       11       512      51       94        5        4       ..      ..       ..       ..
           62       11       275      20       44        4        ..      ..      ..       ..       ..
            6       288      14       21        2        1       12       6       5       4,3       ..
y          52        6       365      21       79        4        2      12      4,9      3,9      2,3
,          116      13       445      41       34        8        4      5,5     3,8      2,1      3,3
           56       11       404      37       78        5       5,5     7,5     4,9      4,3      2,8
           203      12       368      35       195       5       5,7      5       4       2,7      1,5
            ..       ..       ..       ..       ..      8,5      4,2     4,7     3,4       ..       ..
           85       12       200      23       382       7       1,9      7      4,3      4,3       3
           39       15      1459      37       55        5        4      11      4,1       2       2,7
           49       13       306      44       104       6       3,8     6,5      ..       ..       ..
           45        9       184      26       41        4       1,2     12      5,5      4,5      4,8
           62       13       545      36       36        7       3,7      8      3,4      2,9      3,5
           38       15       151      14       23       12        2      11      5,1      3,6       3
           25        9       375      18       39        8       3,2      ..      ..       ..       ..
.           4        4       83       15       42        6       3,4     11,5    5,5      5,2       5
. .        78       10       580      29       107       7       3,5     8,5     4,5      3,4      3,3
,. .       43       13       410      55       193       7       4,2     6,5     4,4      3,4      3,6
           35        6       274      16       70        6       2,7      6      4,1      4,5      2,8
           96       10       350      33       30        4       2,2     2,5     3,6      2,6      3,5
l          34        5       585      27       144       7        4       9      5,6      4,2       5
           89       11       425      40       67        6       10       8      5,6      4,1      2,5
           151      12       570      34       33        6        6      4,5      4       3,6      3,6
           36       11       342      43       22        8       4,3     9,5     5,2      4,4      3,4
, . .      48        9       545      23       36        9       4,5      6       ..       ..       ..
           24        4       217      16       38        5       0,4     12      5,2      4,2      3,8
            ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..     11      5,3      5,3      4,3
           108       7       169      23       20        4        1      12      5,5      4,2      3,9
           13        9      1390      18       27        8       1,2     12      5,3      3,9      2,6
, .        63       12       360      37       21        6        3       8       ..       ..       ..
           94       11       401      31       56        7        ..      ..      ..       ..       ..
           25        9       400      41       52        8       3,3     7,5      ..       ..       ..
           37       12       585      58       93        5       3,2     6,5     4,1      4,4      2,8
            3        2       346      17       20        6       0,8     12      5,5      4,5      4,1
           47       12       360      25       39        7       4,5      9      5,2      3,6      2,8
 ..        21        8       492      46       15        7       3,5      ..      ..       ..       ..
           41       12       241      25       32        3       2,4     7,5     5,3      4,2      3,3
  ()       11        5       211      16       56        3       1,1     11,5    5,6      5,4      5,2
           198       9       443      53       135       9        5       ..      ..       ..       ..
           43       14       363      37       23        7        3      9,25    4,6       4       2,8
, . .      155      13       909      51       106       8       5,2      6       ..       ..       ..
, .        67        8       560      47       103       6        3      8,5      ..       ..       ..
, .        22       12       75       29       11        7       1,5     9,5     5,3      4,4      3,8
           77       11       550      34       21        6       3,5     8,5     4,7      3,9      3,7
  '        58       11       525      25       340       7       2,2      6       ..       ..       ..
           35       13       390      52       75        8       4,2     11       ..       ..       ..
           18        7       189      23       62       10       1,1     11       5       4,1      3,6
           92        9       285      49       101       6       2,6      ..      ..       ..       ..
           46        6       721      39       25        8        4       9       ..       ..       ..
           26        8       154      17        3        3       1,2     11      5,1      3,8       3
            ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..     12      4,4      5,3      5,1
            ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..      ..     4,9      4,5      4,4
           82       11       410      28       49        4        8       ..      ..       ..       ..
           44       13       280      29        ..       ..       ..      8      4,2      3,5      1,9
,          48       13       509      27       74        6       3,7      ..     4,3      3,8      3,7
           35       10       277      16       118       6       2,6      8      4,2       4       2,9
           30        9       300      31       143       4       2,3     8,5     5,3       5       3,9
           42       13       340      28       44        5       3,6     7,5     3,8      3,5      2,5
            ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..     11,5     5       4,8      5,5
           11        5       240      17       82        3       1,8      9      4,4      4,2      2,5
           58        8       421      37       74        5       1,8     11,5    4,9      3,7      2,5
           153      14       580      38       33        7        5      8,5     3,2      3,4      2,1
           30       10       280      37       81        5       2,8     6,5      ..       ..       ..
           20        8       314      26       10        4        4       8       ..       ..       ..
            ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..      4       ..       ..       ..
           85       10       270      31       28        9       1,0     10      4,4      4,2       3
           21        7       350      28        ..       ..       5       ..      ..       ..       ..
           27       11       330      33       49        5        5      7,5      ..       ..       ..
           44       10       730      23       274      21       1,5     3,5     4,7      3,5      2,9
           11        7       48       22        5        4       1,7     12      5,6      4,8      5,1
           45        9       155      18       65        7       2,2      6      3,2      2,9      2,9
           12        2       50       19        2        2        2      11,5    5,7      5,2      4,9

                                                                                                         251


 2.    (    ) � 

                                                 Doing Business

                                                                                                    .
                                                                                                     
              
                                                 .  .                                         
                                                                                   .                   
                                                                    
                                                                            CRG     WEF  WEF  WEF
                                                                    
             I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   I 2004   2003    2003/4   2003/4   2003/4

               23        4       87       14        1        1       0,9     11,5    5,1      3,8      3,9
               54       12       614      53        9        3       5,1     11,5     ..       ..       ..
               34        9       455      41       16        4        7      11,5     ..       ..       ..
               24       11       395      46       49        5       2,8     4,5      5       3,5      2,8
               19        7       355      45       44        7        2      9,5     4,5      2,8      3,4
               56        8       295      22       72        4       2,8      8       ..       ..       ..
               74       17       285      46       48        7       3,9     8,5     4,1      2,2      3,3
               98       10       441      35       31        5       3,1     7,5     4,6      2,9      2,2
               31       10      1000      41       204       7       1,4     11      4,8      2,9      2,8
               78       11       320      24       83        5       2,5     12       5       3,7      2,8
                7        7       270      43        ..       ..      3,8      ..      ..       ..       ..
               36        9       330      29       37        6       1,5      9       4       2,5      2,3
               21        9       395      29       354       5        ..      ..      ..       ..      __
               28        5       335      43       170       8       4,6     8,5     3,6      2,6      2,8
               115      12       275      41       52        5        4       6       5        4       3,3
               64       12       360      44        4        4       2,8     11       ..       ..       ..
               57        9       485      36       114       6        3       8      4,3      3,9      2,6
               51       11      1028      36       186       6       2,6      8      4,1      4,1      2,8
                8        7       69       23        9        3       0,8     12      5,4      6,2      5,8
  .            47       12       672      48       23        4       4,1     6,5      ..       ..       ..
               52        9       565      27       22        5       4,7     12      4,7      3,4      2,2
               61       10      1003      25       391       6       3,6     10      4,9      4,2      3,4
                5        5       250      17       12        4        3      12      5,9      4,9      5,2
               26        9       305      58       58        8       2,5     6.5      ..       ..       ..
                ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..      ..      ..       ..       ..
               33        8       390      26        2        2       2,6     8,5     5,3      4,3      4,1
               35       13       242      21       61       12        3      7,5     4,7      4,1      2,6
               53       13       535      37       212       6        3      7,5      ..       ..       ..
                ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..     11,5    4,8      3,9      4,3
a              14        9       27       14       57        5       1,3      8      4,5      5,1      3,4
                ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..      ..      ..       ..       ..
                9        8       330      22        9        8       2,9     7,5     4,7      3,4      2,2
               36       17       209      15       48        8       2,1     8,5     4,4      3,9      2,7
               35        9       368      35       97       12        4       ..      ..       ..       ..
               34       15       269      28       93        9       2,6      6      4,1      2,2      2,7
               45       11       620      39       66        8       2,1     10,5    4,3      3,3      3,9
               50       11       380      25       33        8       5,6     10       5       3,7      2,5
                3       240      27       14        3       0.9      12      5,4     5,5      4,3       ..
                8        7       75       21       193      10       1,9     12      5,4      4,4      4,2
.              49       12       415      22       956       5       3,1      9      4,6      3,1      2,8
               14       10       660      45       69        3       4,8      ..      ..       ..       ..
               75       19       526      52       44        6       10       ..     3,6      2,5      2,3
. .            40       10       300      22       122       4       9,2     12      5,1      3,5      3,2
               28       10       305      28       31        6       5,6     11      5,6      4,5      3,3
               16        3       208      23        2        1        2      12      5,5      5,2      4,1
               20        6       170      22       16        4       4,6     11,5    5,1      5,3      4,7
               50        8       440      17       63        8       2,2     8,5     4,7      3,7      3,4
.              92       14       388      41       21       12       4,3      6      3,5      2,5      2,9
                ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..       ..      ..      ..       ..       ..
               72        6       150      25       65        4        3      10      5,3      4,2      2,7
               32        7       420      30       56       15       2,4      7      3,6       3       2,2
               38        9       277      26       20        6        2      10,5    5,3      4,3      2,9
               31        7       202      18       54        5       1,1     9,5     4,9      3,5       4
               31       11       60       16       14        6       0,5     12      5,5      3,9      4,5
              50,8      9,9     388,3    31,2     81,4      6,2      3,2     8,8     4,7      3,9      3,4
              65,8     10,8     416,0    34,5     99,6      6,8      3,9     6,8     4,2      3,6      2,7
              50,0     10,6     422,1    32,6     80,4      6,5      3,4     8,7     4,6      3,5      3,1
     
              50,0     11,3     424,9    33,1     66,4      7,0      3,4     7,8     4,5      3,4      3,0
  

     
              49,9      9,5     417,2    31,8     104,2     5,6      3,3     10.0    4,8      3,7      3,3
  

    
              57,5     10,7     419,2    33,5     89,3      6,6      3,6     7,9     4,4      3,6      3,0

   
              72,9      9,9     373,8    31,0     59,4      5,2      4,2     7,2     5,0      4,2      3,4
    

              41,7      9,9     389,0    30,2     120,3     6,7      3,3     9,2     4,6      3,3      2,8
   
              73,5     12,0     471,7    35,1     56,8      6,9      3,6     8,1     4,4      3,1      3,1
    
     .
              39,3     10,2     412,6    37,3     48,3      6,7      3,7     8,1     4,4      4,1      3,1
  
              46,8      9,3     375,0    30,0     55,8      5,8      4,8     6,6     5,0      3,6      2,9
              63,2     11,2     434,2    35,2     434,2     6,9      3,6     7,2     4,2      3,8      2,9
              27,2      7,0     280,2    23,2     49,9      4,7      2,0     11,4    5,4      4,7      4,4



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           8,1     0,3       97     215   26 720    239   29 610      0,6      79      5         ..       60,8
          8,2      1,1       95       7      810     28    3 380     10,5      65     96         ..       29,0
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          13,5     2,8       11      10      740    26d   1 890d      1,4      47    260         ..       6,4
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          9,9     �0,2       48      16    1 590     59    6 010      6,1      68     20       100       59,2
         10,3      0,3      342     267   25 820    299   28 930      1,0      79      6         ..     102,2
           6,7     2,7       61       3      440      7    1 110      2,9      53    151        40        1,6
          7,8     �0,8       71      17    2 130     60    7 610      4,9      72     16        99       42,3
          9,0      2,4        8       8      890     22    2 450     �0,8      64     71       87c       11,1
          4,1     �0,6       82       6    1 540     26    6 320      3,0      74     18        95       19,3
           1,7     2,3        3       6    3 430     14    7 960      4,0      38    110        79         3,9
        176,6      1,4       21     479    2 710  1 322    7 480     �1,4      69     37       86c       307,5
         12,1      2,4       44       4      300    14d   1 180d      4,1      43    207         ..       1,0
          7,2      2,1      281       1      100     4d     620d     �2,9      42    208        50        0,2
         59,3      0,2      246   1 680   28 350  1 639   27 650      2,1      77      7         ..     567,8
         10,1     �0,2      110      64    6 330    139   13 780      0,7      72      9        99       54,2
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          20,4     2,2       90       7      320    45d   2 190d      2,5      55     97        74         5,9
         12,3      2,6      114      23    1 910    50d   4 060d     �0,5      65     49        70         9,9
           7,9     2,4       32       3      430     17    2 100      0,0      46    165         ..       1,3
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          7,0      2,8       62       7      970    18d   2 580d     �0,5      66     42       80c        4,8
         10,7      0,4       83     147   13 720    213   19 920      4,2      78      5        97       89,6
          5,1     �0,5       74       4      830    13d   2 540d      9,4      73     29         ..        6,2
          5,4      0,4      127     182   33 750    168   31 213      0,2      77      4         ..      44,6

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          10,4     2,2       14       4      380      9      850      3,5      37    182        80         1,8
          13,1     1,9       34       6      480     28    2 180     �6,7      39    123        90        14,8
           6,7     2,8      324     105   16 020    128   19 200     �0,8      79      6        95       63,1
       1 064,4     1,7      358     568      530 3 068d   2 880d      6,4      63     90       61c     1 070,9
        214,5      1,4     1068     173      810    689    3 210      2,8      67     43        88      269,6
          5,3      4,0       60      10    1 850     23    4 290      0,5      72     33        91        15,6
,  . 66,4          1,5       41     133    2 000    477    7 190      4,4      69     41       77e       310,3
          3,9      0,9       57     106   26 960    120   30 450      1,1      77      6         ..      42,2
         41,1      0,4       82     698   16 990    905   22 020      1,9      78      6        98      282,9
          57,6     0,1      196   1 243   21 560  1 543   26 760      0,4      78      6        99      428,2
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          14,9    �0,7        6      27    1 780     92    6 170      8,7      62     99        99       121,3
          13,4     2,9       76       4      310    28d   2 060d      5,8      54    138        69        0,5
         16,1      2,5       35      10      640     32    1 980      0,5      48    166        68 e      6,5
         31,6      1,0        3     757   23 930    941   29 740      0,9      79      7         ..     435,9
          31,9     2,4       56      13      390     33    1 020     �0,7      46    122        84        9,4
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          44,4     1,8       43      80    1 810   290d   6 520d      2,0      72     23        92        58,5
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           2,4     0,9      134      38   16 340    42d  17 870d     �3,3      77     10        83       47,9
          2,3     �1,1       37       9    4 070     24   10 130      8,1      70     21       100c       6,0
           1,8     1,0       59       1      590     6d   3 120d     20,9      38    132       81e
           4,5     1,6      440      18    4 040     22    4 840      1,4      71     32         ..       15,2
           3,5    �0,5       53      16    4 490     38   11 090      7,0      73      9       100c      11,9
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           2,7     2,2        3       1      430     5d   2 010d      2,9      51    183        41        3,1
         16,9      2,9       29       5      290     13      800      6,5      55    135         ..       2,3
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         11,0      2,0      117       2      170      7      600      3,8      38    182        62        0,8
         24,8      2,4       75      94    3 780    222    8 940      3,2      73      8       89c       144,4
          11,7     2,5       10       3      290     11      960      3,5      41    222       19c        0,6
          30,1     1,7       67      40    1 320   119d   3 950d      3,8      68     43        51        36,5
         102,3     1,6       54     637    6 230    915    8 950     �0,1      74     29       91c       424,0
          18,8     2,2       24       4      210  2102    1 070d      5,0      41    205        46        1,2
           4,2    �0,2      129       2      590      7    1 750      6,5      67     32        99        6,6
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         49,4      1,5       75       ..       h      ..       ..       ..     57    108        85        9,1
           2,0     2,8        2       4    1 870     13    6 620     �6,7      42     67        83        1 8
          24,7     2,4      172       6      240     35    1 420      0,7      60     83        44         3,4
          11,8     3,3        9       2      200    10d     820d      1,0      46    264        17        1,2

.        .   ,   .

                                                                                                               259


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           5,5     2,8        45       4      730      13d   2 400d     �0,2      69      41        77e         3,7
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           4,6     0,6        15     198   43 350      170   37 300     �0,2      79        4         ..       49,9
         148,4     2,4       193      69      470      306    2 060      3,3      64     101          ..      104,8
           3,0     1,7        40      13    4 250      19d   6 310d      2,3      75      25        92          6,3
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           5,6     2,4        14       6    1 100      27d   4 740d     �0,3      71      30        92e         3,7
          27,1     1,8        21      58    2 150      138    5 090      2,4      70      39        85e        29,5
          38,2     0,0       125     201    5 270      437   11 450      4,9      74        9         ..      301,3
          10,2     0,2    11241      124   12 130      183   17 980     �0,9      76        6       93         59,8

         143,4    �0,3         8     375    2 610    1 279    8 920      7,8      66      21       100      1 435,1
           8,3     1,3       334       2      220      11d   1 290d      2,1      40     203        69          0,6
         22,2     �0,3        96      51    2 310      159    7 140      5,6      70      21        97c        86,3
           6,5     1,9       315      14    2 200      32d   4 890d      1,8      70      39        80          6,7
         22,5      2,7       10      187    8 530     281d  12 850d     �1,8      73      28        78        374,3
         10,0      2,4        52       6      550      17d   1 660d      6,0      52     138        39          4,2
           8,1        "       79     16i    1 910i       ..       ..     5,5      73      19          ..       39,5
           4,3     2,6     6 967      90   21 230      103   24 180     �1,0      78        4       93c        59,0

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           5,4     0,1       110      26    4 920       72   13 420      4,8      73        9      100c        35,4
           2,0    �0,1        98      23   11 830       38   19 240      3,5      76        5      100         14,6
         291,0     1,2        32  10 946   37 610   10 914   37 500      2,0      77        8         ..    5 601,5
�          5,3     2,2        75       1      150        3      530      4,5      37     284          ..        0,6
           6,3     1,3        45       1      190        7    1 040      7,8      67     116        99c         4,0
         62,0      0,8       121     136    2 190      462    7 450      6,1      69      28        93c       198,6
          35,9     2,6        41     10j      290j      22      610      3,5      43     165        77          4,3
           4,9     2,6        89       1      310       7d   1 500d      0,9      50     140        60          1,8
           9,9     1,5        64      22    2 240       68    6 840      4,4      73      26        73         18,4
           4,9     2,2       10        5    1 120       28    5 840     15,3      65      86          ..       34,6
         70,7      1,8        92     197    2 790      473    6 690      4,2      70      41        87c       221,6
          25,3     2,9       128       6      240      36d   1 440d      0,8      43     141        69          1,5
         25,6      1,7        62      11      420       44    1 720      3,0      67      65        99        118,6
         48,4     �0,5        83      47      970      262    5 410     10,2      68      20       100        342,8
           3,4     0,7        19      13    3 790       27    7 980      1,9      75      15        98          5,4
         81,5      2,2      273       88    1 080      379    4 640      2,5      70      37        93c        77,5
           5,2     0,3        17     141   27 020      141   27 100      1,7      78        5         ..       53,4
          59,7     0,4       109  1 523g  24 770g    1 640   27 460     �0,3      79        6         ..      362,4
           4,5    �0,5        80       2    5 350       48   10 710      4,0      74        8       98c        19,6
           3,9     2,1         6       1      260       4d   1 080d     �8,8      42     180        49e         0,3
           8,6     3,0         7       2      250        9    1 100      4,3      48     200        46          0,1
         10,2     �0,1      132       69    6 740      160   15 650      2,9      75        5         ..      118,8
          15,8     1,4        21      69    4 390      155    9 810      2,0      76      12        96c        59,5
           7,3     0,7       186     293   39 880      235   32 030     �1,2      80        6         ..       39,1
           9,0     0,3        22     258   28 840      238   26 620      1,2      80        3         ..       46,9
         19,2      1,3       297      18      930       72    3 730      4,3      74      19        92         10,2
          13,0     1,8        47      23    1 790       45    3 440      0,9      70      29        91c        25,5
           4,4     2,6        43       1      190       5d   1 110d      2,8      51      80          ..        0,6
           1,4    �1,2        32       7    4 960       17   12 480      5,3      71      12       100c        16,0
          68,6     2,3        69       6       90      49d     710d     �5,7      42     171        42          5,6
          45,3     1,9        37     126    2 780     465d  10 270d     �2,0      46      65        86        327,3
           2,6     0,8       244       7    3 790       10    3 790      1,1      76      20        88         10,8
         127,2     0,2       349   4 390   34 510    3 641   28 620      2,7      82        5         ..    1 184,5
     6 271,7 s    1,4w     48 w  34 491 t 5 500 w  51 314 t 8 180 t1   1,4 w     67 w    81 w      79 w   22 994,5 t
  
       2 310,3     2,0        76   1 038      450    5 052    2 190      4,9      58     126        61      2 066,7
  
       2 990,1     1,1        43   5 732    1 920   17 933    6 000      3,9      70      38        90      9 129,1
       2 655,2     1,1        47   3 934    1 480   14 617    5 510      4,5      69      40        90      7 116,3
         334,9     1,3        26   1 788    5 340   3261 7    9 900      1 7      73      22        91      2 012,0
  
   5 300,3         1,5        53   6 762    1 280   22 894    4 320      3,8      65      88        78     11 196,2
 
 
       1 854,5     1,2       117   2 011    1 080    8 675    4 680      6,8      69      42        90      3 752,3

        472,7      0,1       20    1 217    2 570    3 579    7 570      6,0      69      37        97      3 162,6
 
   534,2           1,6       27    1 741    3 260    3 780    7 080     �0,1      71      34        89      1 357,4
 
        311,6      2,1        28     689    2 250    1 743    5 700      1,2      69      54        69      1 227,2
      1 424,7      1,8       298     726      510    3 795    2 660      5,7      63      95        59      1 220,3
  
         702,6     2,5        30     347      490    1 243    1 770      1,3      46     174        65        478,8
  
         971,4     0,7        31  27 732   28 550   28 603   29 450      1,4      78        7         ..   11 804,3

a.         �  �. b.   , . 
 .         . d.    ;    
      . e.       . f.  
        (Ruoen and Kai, 1995). g.           
    , ,   . h.       (765 .  ). i.  
 . j.     .

260       2005


 2.    


                                                                                                        
                                                                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                                      .        .        .
                                                                                                    ,
                                              .                         
                     ,                                                                                   %
                                                                          
                        %                                      2 .      
                                              1 .                ,       
                                               ,       1 .       %      2 .               .               
       .                              .         %      , %               , %     .                 20%     20%


                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1994e,f  35,2     5,9    41,3
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1997e,f  30,0     8,1    38,5
         2001     ..      ..   49,6    2001a    3,7    <1,0      9,1      3,5    2001 c,d  36,5     7,4    44,5
          2002 29,6       ..   25,4    2002a   <2,0    <0,5      11,8     2,0     2002c,d  28,2     9,1    37,4
          1998 16,6     7,3    12,2     1995a  <2,0    <0,5      15,1     3,8     1995c,d  35,3     7,0    42,6
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..        ..     ..      ..      ..
          1998    ..   29,9       ..   2001a    3,3      0,5     14,3     4,7     2001e,f  52,2     3,1    56,4
       1998�99 44,8    60,4    53,7    1998a   12,8      3,3     49,0     17,3    1998c,d  37,9     6,7    45,1
          2000 53,0    36,6    49,8     2000a  36,0      8,1     82,8     36,3   2000 c,d  31,8     9,0    41,3
          2000    ..      ..   41,9     2000a  <2,0    <0,5      <2,0     0,1    2000 c,d  30,4     8,4    39,1
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1996e,f  25,0     8,3    37,3
          1995    ..      ..   33,0        ..     ..       ..       ..       ..        ..     ..      ..      ..
          2001    ..      ..   12,8     2001a   4,7      1,4     16,2     5,7     2001e,f  31,9     6,7    38,9
          1999 81,7       ..   62,7    1999a   14,4      5,4     34,3     14,9   1999 c,d  44,7     4,0    49,1

       2001�02 19,9    13,8    19,5        ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   2001c,d  26,2     9,5    35,8
                  ..      ..      ..    1993a  23,5      7,7     50,1     22,8    1993c,d  63,0     2,2    70,3
          1990 32,6    13,1    17,4     2001a   8,2      2,1     22,4     8,8     1998e,f  59,1     2,0    64,4
�        1998  51,0    16,5    45,3    1998a   44,9    14,4      81,0     40,6    1998c,d  48,2     4,5    60,7
          1990 36,0    43,0       ..   1998a   58,4    24,9      89,2     51,3    1998c,d  33,3     5,1    48,0
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1999e,f  36,0     6,1    44,0
          1997    ..      ..   17,3    1998a   <2,0    <0,5      7,3      1,7     1999c,d  24,4     7,7    37,5
,         1989    ..      ..   31,3     1998a  15,0      6,9     32,0     15,2    1998e,f  49,1     3,0    53,4
          1993 57,2    25,9    50,9     1998a  17,7      3,3     63,7     22,9    1998c,d  36,1     8,0    44,5
          1995 66,0       ..   65,0        ..     ..       ..       ..       ..        ..     ..      ..      ..
          1998 49,9    18,6    39,5     1999a  44,8    17,3      78,5     40,8    1999c,d  30,0     5,6    46,6
          2000 74,5    27,1    56,2     2000a  16,0      4,6     37,4     16,0    2000e,f  48,3     2,6    64,1
          1994    ..      ..   40,0        ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1994c,d  40,3     6,4    47,2
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   2000e,f  28,3     8,5    36,9
          1993 51,0    57,0    53,0     1998a  23,8    11,6      44,4     23,1    1999e,f  55,0     2,7    58,9
                  ..      ..      ..                                              1998e,f  35,4     7,1    43,6
          1997  9,9    12,1    11,1     2001a   2,7      0,9     15,7     4,6    2001 c,d  36,9     6,4    43,6
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1997e,f  24,7     8,3    35,8
 .        1998 42,1    20,5    28,6     1998a  <2,0    <0,5      <2,0    <0,5     1998e,f  47,4     5,1    53,3
,
  .    1999�00 23,3    22,5    16,7    2000a    3,1    <0,5      43,9     11,3    1999c,d  34,4     8,6    43,6
          1998 83,1    56,0    72,9     1998a  63,7    32,7      87,4     55,4    1998c,d  52,6     3,3    56,6
       1995�96 48,0     7,9    34,9  1990�91a  36,0      9,6     64,2     29,4    1995c,d  56,8     4,6    55,7
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1997e,f  35,5     6,9    44,3
       1999�00 30,2    24,7    28,6  1999�00a  34,7      8,2     79,9     35,3 1999�00c,d  32,5     8,9    41,6
          1999    ..      ..   27,1    2002a    7,5      0,9     52,4     15,7    2002c,d  34,3     8,4    43,3
          1997    ..      ..   11,7    1997a   <2,0    <0,5      7,4      1,4    1997 c,d  36,4     7,6    44,4
,  .              ..      ..      ..   1998a   <2,0    <0,5      7,3      1,5     1998c,d  43,0     5,1    49,9
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1996e,f  35,9     7,1    43,3
                          ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1990e,f  32,5     7,5    40,3
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   2000e,f  36,0     6,5    42,0
, .       1998 45,0    30,8    41,8    1998a   15,7      4,5     45,2     15,0    1998c,d  33,4     7,4    41,2
          1996 39,0    30,0    34,6     2001a  <2,0    <0,5      8,5      1,4     2001c,d  31,3     8,2    39,6
          1997 40,1    21,1    36,1     1997a  34,1      9,7     77,7     34,5    1997c,d  40,4     6,9    47,6
          2001 49,9    22,1    40,2     2001a  17,1      4,1     50,6     19,3    2001c,d  44,6     5,6    50,9
                  ..      ..      ..                                              1998e,f  33,1     7,0    40,4
          1997 53,0    49,0    52,0     1997a  23,0      6,0     58,6     24,1    1997c,d  44,5     5,6    51,2
 .        1999 69,7    49,0    64,1     2001a  <2,0    <0,5      27,2     5,9     2001c,d  29,0     9,1    38,3
          1998  4,6    <2,0     4,6     2001a  16,6      3,9     46,7     18,4    2001c,d  44,7     4,7    50,0
 ()               ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..   1996e,f  43,4     5,3    50,7
          1999 79,0    55,0    64,0     1999a   8,2      2,2     22,6     8,8     1999e,f  57,6     2,7    61,8
, . .             ..      ..      ..       ..    ..       ..       ..       ..         ..    ..      ..       ..
, .               ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..        ..     ..      ..      ..
, .               ..      ..      ..   1998a   <2,0    <0,5      <2,0    <0,5     1998e,f  31,6     7,9    37,5
�         1992 25,5    19,2    22,0     2000a   2,0      0,7     9,5      3,0     2000e,f  46,5     4,2    51,5
�'                ..      ..      ..   1998a   15,5      3,8     50,4     18,9    1998c,d  45,2     5,5    51,1
                  ..      ..      ..       ..     ..       ..       ..       ..        ..     ..      ..
                  ..      ..      ..    1998a  <2,0    <0,5      8,3      2,0     1998e,f  32,4     7,6    40,3
                  ..      ..      ..    1995a  36,4    19,0      56,1     33,1   1995 c,d  63,2     1,5    66,5
                  ..      ..      ..                                                          ..      ..      ..
                  ..      ..      ..    2000a  <2,0    <0,5      13,7     4,2     2000c,d  31,9     7,9    40,0
       1997�98 41,0    26,9    38,6  1997�98a  26,3      6,3     73,2     29,6    1997c,d  37,0     7,6    45,0
          2000 61,2    25,4    46,3     2000a  25,9      7,6     63,1     26,8    2000c,d  39,0     6,2    45,7
          1999 76,7    52,1    71,3    1999a   49,1    18,3      83,3     44,0    2001c,d  47,5     4,9    53,5
                  ..      ..      ..   1998a   <2,0    <0,5      4,0      0,6     1998c,d  28,2     8,4    36,7
       1997�98 66,5    54,9    65,3  1997�98a  41,7    14,8      76,1     38,3    1997c,d  50,3     4,9    56,1
          1989    ..      ..   15,5     1997a  <2,0    <0,5      9,3      2,0     1997e,f  49,2     4,4    54,3
          1998 75,9    30,1    63,8     1994a  72,8    37,4      90,6     60,5    1994c,d  50,5     4,6    56,2

.        .   ,   .

                                                                                                             261


 2.     ()


                                                                                                         
                                                                                                         
                                                                                                         
                                                       .       .         .
                                                                                                     ,
                                              .                          
                    ,                                                                                     %
                                                                           
                       %                                        2 .      
                                              1 .                ,        
                                               ,       1 .        %      2 .               .               
      .                              .          %      , %                , %    .                  20%     20%


      1998�99 27,2    12,0    19,0     1999a   <2,0    <0,5       14,3     3,1 1998�99c,d   39,5     6,5    46,6
         1988            ..   10,1     2000a    9,9      3,7      26,3    10,9     2000e,f  54,6     3,1    59,1
      1996�97 71,3    62,0    69,4     1996a   37,9    12,0       78,4    36,8 1996�97c,d   39,6     6,5    46,5
         1997 26,7       ..   23,3     2001a   22,0      5,8      63,7    25,1    2001c,d   36,2     7,1    43,7
         1995 33,1    38,5    36,3     1995a   13,9      3,1      50,0    17,5    1998c,d   44,0     5,6    51,2
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..        ..      ..      ..      ..
                 ..      ..      ..    1993a   34,9    14,0       55,8    30,4     1993e,f  70,7     1,4    78,7
      1995�96 44,0    23,0    42,0     1995a   37,7      9,7      82,5    37,5 1995�96c,d   36,7     7,6    44,8
      1989�93 66,0    52,0    63,0     1995a   61,4    33,9       85,3    54,8    1995c,d   50,5     2,6    53,3
      1992�93 36,4    30,4    34,1     1997a   70,2    34,9       90,8    59,0 1996�97c,d   50,6     4,4    55,7
                 ..      ..      ..                                  ..      ..   1994e,f   32,6     7,3    40,1
         1998 68,5    30,5    47,9     2001a   45,1    16,7       79,9    41,2     2001e,f  55,1     3,6    59,7
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   1997e,f   36,2     6,4    43,8
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   2000e,f   25,8     9,6    37,2
      1998�99 35,9    24,2    32,6     1998a   13,4      2,4      65,6    22,0 1998�99c,d   33,0     8,8    42,3
         1997 64,9    15,3    37,3     2000a    7,2      2,3      17,6     7,4     2000e,f  56,4     2,4    60,3
 �      1996  41,3    16,1    37,5         ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   1996c,d   50,9     4,5    56,5
         1991 28,5    19,7    21,8     1999a   14,9      6,8      30,3    14,7     1999e,f  56,8     2,2    60,2
         1997 64,7    40,4    49,0     2000a   18,1      9,1      37,7    18,5     2000e,f  49,8     2,9    53,2
         1993    ..      ..   23,8     1999a   <2,0    <0,5      <2,0     <0,5    1999c,d   31,6     7,3    42,5
                 ..      ..      ..    1994a   <2,0    <0,5      <0,5     <0,5    1997e,f   38,5     5,8    45,9
        1994     ..      ..   30,9     2000a    6,1      1,2      23,8     8,0    2000c,d   45,6     4,9    51,3
         1993            ..   51,2  1983�85a   35,7      7,7      84,6    36,7 1983�85c,d   28,9     9,7    39,1
         1994 27,9    20,4    21,5     2000a    2,1      0,6      20,5     5,2    2000c,d   30,3     8,2    38,4
         1992 55,7    43,1    48,3     2000a   31,1    14,1       58,0    29,7     2000e,f  53,2     2,9    57,1
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..        ..      ..      ..      ..
         1992 40,4       ..   33,4     1995a   26,3      7,0      67,8    28,2    1995c,d   41,3     6,4    48,2
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..        ..      ..      ..      ..
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   1998e,f   42,5     5,0    49,0
  .              ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..        ..      ..      ..      ..
                 ..      ..      ..    1996a   <2,0    <0,5        2,4     0,7     1996e,f  25,8     8,8    34,8
                 ..      ..      ..    1998a   <2,0    <0,5      <2,0     <0,5  1998�99e,f  28,4     9,1    35,7
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..                      2000e,f  40,8     5,4    45,8
�       1989  76,0    53,0    68,0     1989a   57,0    39,5       74,5    51,8    1989c,d   62,9     1,1    63,4
                 ..      ..      ..    1998a   10,3      2,6      50,8    16,3    1998c,d   34,7     8,0    40,0
         1992 15,5    10,2    13,1     2000a   <2,0    <0,5       32,5     9,0    2000c,d   43,2     6,1    50,0
      2000�01 38,7       ..   35,7     1993a   19,9      4,8      59,7    23,0    1993c,d   38,2     6,8    45,5
      1987�89    ..      ..   32,3         ..     ..       ..        ..      ..        ..      ..      ..      ..
         1995 13,9     3,6     7,6     2000a   <2,0    <0,5        6,6     1,3    2000c,d   39,8     6,0    47,3
                 ..      ..      ..    1998a   12,1      2,6      44,0    15,4    1998c,d   40,8     6,1    47,5
                 ..      ..      ..    2000a   <2,0    <0,5       10,3     2,5    2000c,d   40,0     6,1    46,7
         1997    ..      ..   44,0         ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   1999c,d   43,0     5,9    49,7
         2000 30,5    22,5    27,5     2000a   21,8      5,4      77,5    28,9    2000c,d   26,8     9,2    36,3
         1995    ..      ..   31,7     1999a    2,9      0,6      45,7    16,3    1999c,d   29,0     8,8    37,8
                 ..      ..      ..    2000a   <2,0    <0,5        3,9     0,8     2000e,f  44,6     4,8    50,1
         1997 50,7    21,5    36,8     2000a   14,6      2,7      46,4    17,2    2000c,d   46,1     5,4    52,3
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   2000e,f   26,9     9,6    36,7
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   1995e,f   32,7     7,2    40,2
                 ..      ..      ..    2000a   <2,0    <0,5      <2,0     <0,5    2001c,d   29,0     8,3    39,6
                 ..      ..      ..    1993a   66,6    38,1       84,0    58,4    1993c,d   61,3     2,0    65,0
      1995�96 67,0    63,0    64,0         ..     ..       ..        ..      ..        ..      ..      ..      ..
 .               ..      ..      ..    1996a   <2,0    <0,5      <2,0     <0,5    1996e,f   25,4    10,3    35,9
         1998    ..      ..   17,0     2000a   <2,0    <0,5        9,6     2,5     2000''   57,1     3,3    62,2
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..   1992e,f   33,1     6,9    40,3
                         ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..    2000e,f  25,0     9,1    36,6
�     1995�96 27,0    15,0    25,0  1995�962    6,6      1,0      45,4    13,5    1995c,d   34,4     8,0    42,8
         1994 47,0    25,0    35,0     1998a   17,7      7,1      40,8    17,7    1998c,d   43,7     3,3    58,0
      1993�94    ..      ..   53,0         ..     ..       ..        ..      ..        ..      ..      ..      ..
         1995 14,7     6,8     8,9     1998a   <2,0    <0,5        5,2     0,8     2000e,f  37,2     6,1    44,0
      1999�00 45,0    37,0    44,2  1999�00a   26,3      5,7      80,7    31,8    2000c,d   30,0     9,1    39,4
                         ..      ..    1995a    7,1      1,1      23,8     8,6    1995c,d   59,3     2,0    66,5
         2000 25,1       ..   18,7     2000a   <2,0    <0,5       13,3     2,7    2000c,d   37,9     6,7    46,0
                 ..      ..      ..        ..     ..       ..        ..      ..    1993e,f  24,9    10,6    35,7


a.   . b.   ,        . d.      .
e.       . f.      .

262       2005


 3.  


         
                               .                  . ,                                              
                                                                                            
                                                   %                                                 ,
                                                                                                   
                             . . ,                                                                 
                 , %          . 1995 .                ,                   ,         ,        ,     ,
         .                                                       %         %        %   %             %
          2003    1990�2003 1988�90 2000�2002 2003   2003   2003   2003      2003     2003   2003  1990�2003

         518 382     3,8    24 500   36 327     4     26    71      60        18       24     �3      1,9
         251 456     2,1    15 593   33 828     2     32    66      58        19       22      1      1,7
          7 124      2,4         ..   1 029    16     54    29      60        10       52    �23     65,6
           6 124     4,6     1 137    1 868    25     19    56      93         8       23    �24     26,9
          65 993     2,4     1 781    1 919    11     65    24      45         8       32     14     14,7
          13 189     3,2       218      137     9     65    27      63        ..a      32      5    518,4
        129 735      2,3     7 282   10 317    11     35    54      63        11       15    11       4,9
           2 797     1,5         ..   2 827    24     38    38      85        10       20    �15    119,9
          51 897     4,9       244      318    22     27    52      77         5       23     �6      3,8
          17 493     0,6         ..   3 038    10     37    53      60        21       22     �3    252,3
         302 217     2,1    30 479   57 462     1     27    72      55        21       19      4      1,8
           3 499     5,0       397      621    36     14    50      80        13       19    �12      7,0
          19 859    �0,2     3 409    8 282    12     27    61      69        17       21     �8     75,1
           8 024     3,5       681      754    15     33    52      77        15       11     �3      7,1
           6 963    17,8         ..   7 634    17     35    49      88        25       19    �32      3,5
           7 388     4,7       777      575     2     48    50      28        32       25     14      9,0
         492 338     2,6     2 982    4 899     6     21    73      58        20       20      2    118,9
�          4 182     4,2       148      185    31     19    50      83        13       19    �15      4,7
             669    �1,5       176     1,51    49     19    32      93         8       10    �10     12,8
       1 794 858     2,6    29 138   32 918     1     26    73      66        20       16     �2      2,8
          82 805     2,4     5 133    5 625     4     31    65      67        11       24     �2     16,4
,         84 793     0,5     4 449    5 399     3     43    54      70         6       12     12     39,5
          39 157     7,5       192      256    23     39    38      66         6       32     �4     11,6
           2 745    �0,8         ..       ..   27     16    57     103        ..a      21    �24     19,4
           7 659     4,3       542      571    35     25    40      83        11       19    �14     26,4
          24 730     3,8     1 932    2 115    22     19    58      90         5       17    �12      9,3
           3 626     4,2       228      286    25     36    39      83         6       14     �4      5,2
       2 400 655     1,5    16 783   33 686     1     30    69      59        19       18      4      1,6
           6 978     3,0       856    1 037    13     31    56      74        14       29    �17     16,2
         173 045     2,7    10 578   13 860     7     22    70      67        16       23     �6      7,5
           3 937    �3,2         ..       ..   21     23    56      81        10       21    �12    185,8
         212 404     2 4    29 551   63 131     3     27    71      48        26       20      6      2,0

 .        15 915     5,7     2 061    3 281    11     32    57      80         7       22     �9      9,1
,
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           4 299     1,4       188      194    19     30    51      84        11       16    �11     41,8
           8 304     1,1       292      355    17     24    59      72        17        8      2     32,3
         103 689     4,3         ..       ..    ..     ..    ..     60        31       16     �7      8,2
         598 966     5,8       342      401    23     26    52      65        13       24     �2      6,8
         208 311     3,5       674      748    17     44    40      69         9       16      6     15,3
           9 860     4,6     1 810    1 145     2     26    72      80        23       23    �26      2,5
,
         136 833     4,0     2 613    3 737    11     37    53      64        10       30     �3     24,6
         148 553     7,6         ..       ..    3     42    54      47        15       24     15      3,8
         836 100     2,8    12 860   22 412     3     30    66      58        18       26     �2      3,8
       1 465 895     1,6    13 990   27 064     3     29    69      60        19       20      1      3,4
,         10 831     5,8       329      412    15     40    45      74        14       17     �5     18,6
          29 749    �0,6         ..   1 753     8     39    53      59        13       26      2    120,2
           4 299     6,6         ..     422    36     28    36      80         6       22     �8      3,4
          12 449     2,7       837    1 213    45     19    37      71        12       17     �1      4,4
         834 390     3,2    29 425   43 064     ..     ..    ..     56        19       20      5      1,5
          13 842     1,8       265      213    17     19    64      70        19       16     �5     12,2
          1 737     �1,5         ..   1 861    39     23    38      68        19       18    �4      191
       1 409 852     9,5       227      338    15     53    32      44        13       42      1      4,9
  ()     158 596     3,7         ..       ..    0     12    88      57        11       23      9      1,8
          77 559     2,3     3 889    3 619    14     31    55      71        14       16     �2     17,8
 ,         5 600    �3,9       250      212    58     19    23      92         4        7     �3    617,0
           3 510     1,8       486      469     6     61    33      35        18       23     24      7,9
         605 331     5,5         ..  13 747     3     35    62      55        13       29      3      4,8
�         17 482     4,8     3 721    5 270     8     29    63      69        15       18     �2     14,9
�'        13 734     2,4       779    1 046    28     21    52      63        12       10     16      7,3
          35 369     2,9         ..       ..    ..     ..    ..     56        26        9      9      2,6
           9 671    �0,1         ..   2 773     5     24    71      62        18       31    �10     31,5
           1 135     3,4       591      575    16     42    42      85        33       34    �52      9,5
          19 000     4,6         ..  29 874    12     20    68      96        13       17    �26     12,2
          18 213     0,0         ..   3 431     7     34    59      64        20       21     �6     45,8
           2 036     6,3       462      621    51     23    26       ..        ..      22            28,6
          1 128      4,4       382      447    19     30    51      82        18       41    �41      5,6
           5 459     2,1       160      155    29     15    55      82        10       16     �8     16,0
,         4 705      0,1         ..   4 243    12     30    57      85        12       22    �18     48,8
           1 731     3,1        77      124    38     15    48      85        20        8    �13     30,9
         103 161     5,9     5 678    6 912     9     49    42      46        14       22    18       3,4
           4 326     4,9       251      274    36     27    37      79        10       22    �11      6,0
          44 491     2,7     1 823    1 513    18     30    52      64        20       23     �6      2,3
         626 080     3,0     1 579    1 913     4     26    70      69        13       20     �2     16,5
           4 320     7,0       126      136    23     34    43      59        11       45    �15     24,8
           1 964    �5,9         ..     971    23     25    53      95        18       22    �34     78,9
           1 188     1,7      1 44    1 444    28     15    57      63        19       31    �13     40,5
               ..      ..        ..       ..    ..     ..    ..      ..        ..      15      ..    24,6
           4 658     3,7     1 055    1 545    10     31    59      58        28       24    �10     10,3
           5 835     4,6       188      203    40     21    39      79        10       26    �14      6,9

.        .   ,   .

                                                                                                        263


 3.   ()


         
                              .                  . ,                                                
                                                                                             
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                 , %         . 1995 .                 ,                    ,         ,        ,     ,
         .                                                        %         %        %   %             %
         2003    1990�2003 1988�90 2000�2002 2003    2003   2003    2003      2003     2003   2003  1990�2003

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         50 202    2,7        509      729    37     29     34       57        26      22      �5    23,1
        511 556    2,7     34 647   59 476     3     26     71       50        24      20       5     2,4
          4 100    4,3      1 255    1 618    18     25     57       78        16      31     �25    28,3
         76 256    3,2     20 966   28 740     ..      ..     ..     60        19      20       2     1,6
        221 579    3,4     21 358   37 073     2     38     60       43        20      20      17     3,2
         68 815    3,6        544      719    23     23     53       73        12      15       0     8,6
         12 916    4,1      2 192    2 967     6     14     81       70         7      26      �3     3,0
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          3 395    2,8        695      823    26     39     35        ..        ..       ..     ..    7,6
          5 814    1,7      3 261    3 318    21     27     52       81         8      25     �15    11,2
         61 011    3,9       1 39    1 863     8     29     64       72        10      19      �1    18,1
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        149 454    2,6      5 391    7 567     4     30     66       61        21      28     �10     4,8

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          1 637    2,3        220      254    42     22     36       85        14       20    �19    10,6
         60 358    0,2      2 340    3 588    12     36     52       76         9      21      �5    78,1
         14 396    4,0      1 619    1 678     9     32     59       88        11      17     �16     5,7
        188 479    2,1      7 348   15 796     5    551     44       37        26      20      18     1,7
          6 496    4,0        352      354    17     21     62       75        14      20      �9     3,8
   19 176          0,5          ..       ..    ..      ..     ..     86        19      18     �23    52,9
         91 342    6,3     27 156   42 920     0     35     65       41        12      13      33     0,6

         21 517    4,3      2 056    2 636    23     29     48       66        11      24       0     6,6
         31 868    2,5          ..       ..    4     30     67       55        21      25      �1     9,3
         26 284    4,0          ..  37 671     3    336     61       53        22      25       0     9,6
     10 881 609    3,2     27 975   53 907     2     23     75       70        16      18      �4     2,0
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        143 163    3,7        768      863     9     41     50       62         9      23       6     3,4
b         9 872    3,7        174      187    43     17     40       77        15      18     �10    17,4
          1 759    2,1        458      503    41     22     37       83         9      22     �14     5,9
         24 282    4,6      2 228    3 115    13     30     58       64        15      25      �4     3,9
          6 010    0,8          ..     690    25     44     30       55        13      33       0   226,6
        237 972    3,1      1 848    1 848    13     22     65       67        14       23     �3    68,7
          6 198    6,8        285      346    33     22     45       76        15       23    �14     8,8
          9 949    1,2          ..   1 449    35     22     43       57        19       17      7   162,4
         49 537   �5,3          ..   1 576    14     40     46       60        16       19      5   155,0
         11 182    1,5      6 832    8 177     9     27     64       73        12      11       3    23,9
         80 574    3,5      1 354    1 458    14     32     53       72        11      19      �2     7,7
        161 549    2,9     23 140   42 306     3     33     64       51        22      20       8     2,0
      1 747 973    1,9     30 635   59 243     3     25     72       55        24      19       2     1,5
         28 322    1,7          ..   9 741     8     29     62       61        21      27      �9    53,0
          1 198    1,8        383      502    61     25     14       75        13       18     �6     3,9
          2 648    3,0        171      211    38     17     46       81         7       45    �33     6,7
  85 438           1,4          ..   6 382     4     40     57       53        21      28      �2     9,2
         72 416    5,6      4 854    6 226     9     34     57       63        11      22       3     7,0
        309 465    1,0          ..       ..    ..      ..     ..     61        14      21       4     1,1
        300 795    2,3     30 186   40 368     2     28     70       49        28      176      6     1,8
�        18 514    4,7        677      725    20     26     54       76         9      23      �7     9,0
         26 913    1,9      4 726    3 310     9     29     62       70        12      22      �4     3,9
            734    4,0          ..      68    15     24     61      104        34      22     �60    10,3
          8 383    1,5          ..   3 650     5     30     65       62        18      32     �12    35,5
          6 638    4,3          ..     154    42     11     47       79        19      21     �19     5,4
        159 886    2,3      3 428    4 072     4     31     65       67        14      15       4     9,0
          7 817    0,7      1 232    1 487     5     29     66       74        18      27     �19    18,6
      4 326 444    1,3     25 293   33 077     1     31     68       56        17      26       1    �0,5
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      4 146 612    3,4        522      716    12     40     48       58        13      27       2       ..
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      2 050 713    7,2          ..       ..   14     49     38       52        12      33       3
  
      1 394 511    0,2               2 376     9     31     60       61        16      21       2
 
 
      1 733 889    2,7      2 770    3 591     7     25     68       62        16      19      11
 
   676 986         3,2      1 917    2 340    11     41     48       54        18      23       5
        755 772    5,5        343      412    23     25     52       68        12      23      �2
  
        417 336    2,7        382      360    14     29     57       68        16      18      41
  
     29 270 317    2,5          ..       ..    2     27     71       63        18      19       0

a.          , . .        .
b.       .

264       2005


 4. ,   


                                                                                                 
                                                                                                
                                                                                                ,
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                         ,         %                                                             
                                                  ,                   a,                        
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        .  .                             .        .         .                  . %              %  
        2003     2003     2002    2002    2003     2002      2002      2002      2002    2002     2002

         70 358  88 618    29      16    �30 675        ..  16 364       ..          ..     ..    93,9
         96 187  97 678    82      15     �2 392        ..     886       ..          ..     ..   124,3
          2 592   2 626     6       8    �2 021     1 313    1 392      43       1 398     21      8,5
            450   1 879    86       1      �408       136      135     101       1 312     20     43,6
         25 300  12 850     2       4               1 023    1 065      12      22 800     42     29,1
          9 075   4 175     ..      ..    �1 431    1 420    1 312      32      10 134    120      5,5
         29 349  13 813    31       7      9 559      681      785       0     132 314     66     62,4
            678   1 269    61       2      �186       108      111      96       1 149     34      7,3
          6 820   9 660    92       0        739      132       47       7      17 037     22     40,2
          9 964  11 505    64       4      �505      227       247       4        908      7      17,5
       267 179b 250 399b   79b     11      9 392        ..  73 635b      ..          ..     ..   115,4
            425     765     6       0      �153        41       41      34       1 843    36c      5,8
          7 439  10 742    61             �1 648      808      600      48     10 462      79     23,7
          1 560   1 575    17       7      �347      601       677      77       4 867    23c     62,3
          1 440   4 645     ..      ..   �2 096      299       293     143       2 515     34     35,8
          2 480   2 085    91       0          ..      35       37      22         480      8    �29,5
l        73 084  50 665    54      19     �7 696    9 861   16 566       2    227 932      48     63,6
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             38     155     1       2        �39       �2        0      24       1 204    110     32,1
        303 890 388 282    79      31    �26 713            29 179       ..          ..     ..   145,3
         42 697  47 747    86      25     �2 644      221       54      46      34 958     64     53,8
,        23 650   9 306    13       3     7 423    �1 639      690       2     32 563      33     15,0
         19 660  24 020     ..      ..     �604       759    1 400      16      13 349     35     44,8
            330   1 200     ..      ..         ..       6        6      19       1 248     23     37,3
          1 945   3 225    16       3      �106        27       50      33       7 338    73c     31,9
          2 395   6 150    35       7     �1 193       61      110      21       4 676     21     15,7
            824     764    28       0        �41        0        0      32       3 401     47     12,5
        748 375 493 712    86      17     53 513        ..  35 547       ..          ..     ..   144,7
          1 332   3 276    26       2      �266       100      143      64       5 395     50     34,1
         13 040  45 379    52      10    �10 405        ..      53                          ..   109,5
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,  .      5 750  13 280    35       1        622      437      647      19      30 750     28    109,9
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          1 225   2 835    38       3                 �3        26      15       4 066      ..    58,7
         31 577  36 430    93      20      �174         ..   1 649     115           ..     ..    93,6
         54 740  69 743    75       5      4 656    4 944    3 030       1    104 429      17     58,5
         60 650  32 390    54      16      6 085   �6 966   �1 513       6    132 208      89     59,4
          3 000   5 579    68       3      �619       �31       56     103       8 094     83     89,6
,  .     33 360  27 580     9       3          ..    816        37       2       9 154      7     45,3
         92 695  52 789    88      41    �2 990         ..  24 697       ..          ..     ..   110,6
        151 876 200 088    78       7    �23 676            36 727       ..          ..     ..   129,6
        290 231 289 017    88       9    �21 942        ..  14 699       ..          ..     ..    99,6
 .        4 355   2 892     ..      ..       340      114      114      31       5 290     40     �0,5
         12 900   8 327    19      10        �69    4 431    2 583      13      17 538     80     13,0
          1 623   1 724     ..      ..       �64       54       54      37       2 907     68      6,0
          1 885   1 970     7       1          ..      38       86      40       8 502    57c     15,7
        272 054 245 618    63      14     18 630        ..  20 501                   ..     ..    92,6
          2 395   3 735    24      10      �530        39       50      13       6 031     40     43,2
 .          582     717    33       6       �32      �54         5      37       1 797     93     11,4
        438 370 412 840    90      23     35 422   47 107   49 308       1     168 255     14    166,4
  ()   224 040d 207 168    95d     17     17 414        ..   9 682       1           ..     ..   144,5
         13 010  13 744    38       7     �1 417      947    2 023      10     33 853      46     36,7
, . .     1 260   1 489     ..      ..         ..      32       32      16       8 726    171      0,2
, .       2 645   1 110     ..      ..       �62      331      331     115       5 152    228     11,4
, .     194 325 178 784    92      32      6 092        ..   1 972      �2           ..     ..   101,9
          6 112   7 621    63      37      �946       602      662       1       4 834     33     36,9
 '        6 059   3 750    21       3        767      117      230      65      11 816     91     20,7
         21 550  11 165     ..      ..     4 192        ..       7       2           ..     ..   105,8
          2 896   5 248    59       4      �956      496       382      37       6 690    85      39,6
            427     914     ..      ..     �119        73       81      43         637     45     10,7
          1 458   7 035    69       3     �3 587    4 803      257     103      17 077    102    185,7
          7 252   9 870    58       5     �1 214      760      712      42       6 199     49     18,0
            371     508     ..      ..       �82       25       25      50       2 664     85     12,3
            369     471     ..      ..         ..      16       12     135       2 309    56c     �8,2
            626     843     ..      ..     �270         8        8      23       4 518    33c     18,4
,         1 336   2 206    70       1      �177       113       77     136       1 619     37     15,9
            460     720     0       3      �174         6        6      35       2 912    51c     21,6
        100 726  81 067    79      58      7 190    4 807    3 203       4      48 557     57    154,2
            985   1 010     ..      ..     �310       102      102      42       2 803    47c     16,5
          8 701  14 158    66      11        413       15      428      21      18 601    51c     84,5
        165 334 178 990    84      21     �9 150 14 62211   14 622       1    10 26114     26     38,0
            730   1 305     8       3      �657       381      406     112       4 609    27c     13,4
            791   1 403    31       4        �92       77      111      33       1 349     78     29,1
            516     787    36       0      �105        78       78      85       1 037     69     17,1
          2 802   2 515     ..      ..     �309        69      129       2       6 556      ..    16,5
          1 155   1 590    52       1        130        ..       ..     68           ..     ..    �8,2
            650   1 730    67       0      �165         9       10      15       2 953     31     38,0
            350     510     3       8          ..      0         8      26       1 797    26c     29,1
         20 255  10 890     0       0          ..     639    1 281       2     30 476      82     17,1
        293 437 261 135    74      28    16 467         ..  28 534       ..          ..     ..    84,5
            590   1 865    19       5      �888       206      174      97       6 485     77     13,4
         16 505  18 559    28      10    �3 530         ..     823       ..          ..     ..    35,1

.        .   ,   .

                                                                                                            265


 4. ,    ()


                                                                                                       
                                                                                                      
                                                                                                      ,
                                    ,                                                                 
                                                                                         
                            ,          %                                                               
                                                      ,                    a,                 
                           %                                                                          
                                    .         2003             , .                            ,       ,
       .  .                                  .         .         .                   . %              %  
        2003        2003     2002     2002    2003     2002       2002      2002       2002    1999     2002
         68 130     39 895     22     22     28 643         ..      502        ..          ..     ..    49,0
         11 901     13 034     85       1      3 597      379       823      15       33 672     45     43,2
            905      2 980     12       1      �408       180        57      12        8 298     84    160,4
 �        2 146      1 193      2     19         286      �46        50      38        2 485     82    118,2
          1 289      2 079    15        3       376        34       �22      10        2 967    42      93,0
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         52 285     66 887     82       3     6 178     5 075     4 131      30       69 521    37      26,5
         31 172     44 821    86        7    �7 549               1 790        ..          ..     ..    54,0
  135 162           74 496    22      13     35 905     8 011     3 009        9     147 541    50      43,5
             60        240      3       1      �192         3         3      44        1 435    40c     90,7
         17 618     24 003     81       3     �1 525    3 173     1 144      31       14 683     37     25,9
          3 136      5 763     58       6      �384     1 419       208      36        5 828     46     28,8
         88 500     34 089     10       0     11 889        ..        ..       1           ..     ..    23,9
          1 330      2 270     51       4                  94        93      45        3 918    53c     60,5
          2 522      7 140      ..      ..   �1 750       507       475     237e     12 688f    102     35,8
       144 134d    127 898    85d     60      18 704              6 097        2           ..     ..   149,9
  ,5 980             4 835      7       1      1 440      224       225        5      21 504    117     13,2
         22 035     22 318     85       3          ..   5 460     4 012      35       13 013     61     26,7
         12 738     13 812     90       5        15               1 865      87            ..     ..    11,3
        724 006 1 305 648      81     32    �541 834             39 633        ..          ..     ..    70,1
�            91        320              ..         ..       5         5      68        1 448   103c     22,6
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