A Little Reminder Can
                  Go A Long Way
        A behaviorally informed                                                       The first treatment group received a standard bill notification
                                                                                      message from COMPESA, while the other treatment groups
      SMS experiment minimized                                                        received messages informed by a previous behavioral diag-
                                                                                      nostic that had uncovered insights about some of the beliefs
        commercial water losses                                                       held by clients about water supply or bill payment. The SMS
       in the Recife Metropolitan                                                     reminders were sent for three months, from November 2019
                                                                                      to January 2020. Clients received the exact same message in
     Region of Brazil, by increasing                                                  each month, except for those in the seasonal group by design
                                                                                      (Table 1).
      on-time payment rates and                                                       TABLE 1: Treatment groups and messages in SMS experiment
            total amount paid                                                         to promote water bill payment in Recife, 2019-20.


                                                                                            GROUP                  MESSAGE                        DESCRIPTION

                                                                                                                                           No bill notification message,
                                                                                            Control                No message
Water scarcity remains common in Brazil, especially                                                                                        equivalent to a pure control.
in the Recife Metropolitan Region (RMR) in the State
                                                                                                               “…your invoice due
of Pernambuco. The RMR is subject to particularly                                                               on xx/xx/xxxx of
                                                                                           Standard                                         Standard bill notification
high levels of non-revenue water—which occur when                                                                 property xxxxx
                                                                                          notification                                      message from COMPESA.
high volumes of water produced do not generate                                                                   is now available
revenue for the supplier. While some losses may be                                                                 for payment.”
due to structural and operational inefficiencies such                                                                                        Hard work by COMPESA
as leaky pipes, clients also play a key role by default-                                                                                   is highlighted to counteract
                                                                                                                “…we are working
ing on their water payments or installing bypasses to                                     Reciprocity          hard to bring water
                                                                                                                                            client’s justification of late
consume water free of charge. This has a significant                                                                                         payments as a response
                                                                                                                 to your family….”
                                                                                                                                               to receiving what they
and detrimental impact for COMPESA, the Pernam-                                                                                                 view as poor service.
buco State Water Supply and Sanitation Company.
                                                                                                                                             Clients are reminded of
COMPESA, as well as the World Bank’s Water Global Prac-                                                                                        what could happen if
                                                                                                                “...avoid having
                                                                                                                                              they fail to pay, as the
tice and Mind, Behavior, and Development (eMBeD) teams,                                   Deterrence           your name sent to
                                                                                                                                               consequences of not
with financing from the United Kingdom Prosperity Fund,                                                         credit bureau...”
                                                                                                                                            paying are rarely perceived
partnered on a behavioral diagnostic and pilot experiment to                                                                                   as credible by them.
reduce non-revenue water losses through behavior change.
                                                                                                               “…the majority of
This project provides evidence that a short-term, low-cost
                                                                                                               people in Greater             Beliefs are corrected, as
intervention—sending behaviorally informed SMS —has                                       Descriptive        Recife pay COMPESA               most clients incorrectly
potential to increase on-time bill payment rates resulting in                               norm               on time. Don’t be            believe that the majority of
an increase in the utility’s revenues.                                                                        part of the minority          people do not pay their bill.
                                                                                                                that don’t pay…”

                                                                                                                Nov 19: “…enjoy

The Project                                                                                                   your 13th salary and
                                                                                                               catch up payments
                                                                                                               with COMPESA…”
                                                                                                                 Dec 19: “…Merry
                                                                                                                 Christmas and a               Seasonal events, such
A sub-set of almost 211,000 residential clients were ran-                                                        Happy New Year                 as the new year, are
domly assigned to one of five treatment groups or a control                                Seasonal
                                                                                                                 for you and your                used to promote a
group. Clients in treatment groups received an SMS remin-                                                       family. Start 2020              change in behavior.
der before their due date1 with one of five different mes-                                                          debt free...”
sages encouraging them to pay their water bill. The control                                                    Jan 20: “…we loved
group did not receive a reminder.                                                                             to serve you in 2019.
                                                                                                              We are here to make
                                                                                                               2020 even better…”
1. In each treatment group, clients were randomly assigned to receiving the
SMS reminder either one or three days before due date. Despite these timing
difference, results have shown that timing of the SMS reminder had no statistically   Note: All SMS started with “COMPESA informs: Mr(s). FIRST NAME”, and all
significant effects on the outcomes.                                                  behaviorally informed SMS ended with “Please pay your bill due xx(day) /xx(month).”
The Results


      PAID




Behaviorally informed SMS increased on-time payment               The most effective messages were the reciprocity and
rates. Clients that received a behaviorally informed SMS          deterrence SMS. Both had statistically significant and
were more likely to pay their water bills on time than            positive results on the on-time payment rate and total
clients that did not receive a message. Namely, for every         amount paid. For example, for every 1,000 clients that
1,000 clients that received the behaviorally informed SMS,        received the reciprocity and deterrence SMS, 11 and 6.5
the benefit of these SMS ranged from 6 to 11 additional           additional clients, respectively, paid on-time compared
clients paying on-time compared to those that did not             to those that did not receive an SMS. Furthermore, when
receive an SMS. While COMPESA’s standard notification             comparing effects of behaviorally informed messages
reminder increased on-time payment rates, this effect is not      against the standard COMPESA SMS, only the reciprocity
statistically significant, though the other messages were. This   message led to a statistically significant increase on on-time
may be because clients are used to receiving the standard         payment rates.
message (habituation effect).




                                                                  The intervention has potential to generate significant
Behaviorally informed SMS increased total amount paid.            dividends at a low cost. When extrapolating the on-time
Both the deterrence and reciprocity SMS had an effect on          payment rate findings of the best-performing reciprocity
total amount paid. Taking the reciprocity SMS as an example,      message to the larger population of clients in the RMR who
the intervention led to an average increase of R$1.7 per          default on their water bills, an estimated additional 6,400
bill paid at an average cost of four centavos (R$0.04) per        households per month would pay their bills on time should
message. This is equivalent to a return on investment of 41.      these results persist.
While both the seasonal and descriptive norm messages
increased the total amount paid, this effect was not
statistically significant.
Policy Implications

In a context where water availability is scarce, minimizing non-    The results are also important as studies indicate that clients
revenue water is a key policy priority. Since, historically, only   increase their willingness to pay when companies demonstrate
slightly more than half of residential clients pay their water      a genuine effort to improve product or service quality. Thus,
bills by the due date, COMPESA’s ability to properly operate        there could be additional positive dividends, as COMPESA’s
and maintain its infrastructure is hampered.                        role in this pilot signals a commitment to improving their
                                                                    internal processes.
COMPESA’s pioneer initiative to use behaviorally informed
interventions in Brazil shows the promising impact of          Given the promising results obtained for the reciprocity
using SMS to remind and                                                                      SMS, piloting slightly different
encourage clients to pay                    COMPESA’s pioneer initiative to use              framings of this message could
their water bills on time. It                                                                lead to additional positive gains
demonstrates the potential
                                     behaviorally informed interventions in Brazil           over the short-term at very
for increasing payments in             shows the promising impact of using SMS               little cost as well as contribute
a cost-effective and simple             messages to promote water bill payment.              to solidify the integration of
manner and by leveraging                                                                     this methodological approach
existing processes. Future                                                                   into operations. Together,
analysis and experimentation are necessary, as not all SMS     COMPESA and the World Bank plan to trial additional
reminders were received or necessarily read. It will also be   behavioral interventions – SMS and beyond – that can
important to assess if the results persist over time and which reduce non-revenue water and be sustainably integrated into
type of clients were more affected by the SMS.                 COMPESA’s operating model.




       About eMBeD
       The Mind, Behavior, and Development Unit (eMBeD), the World Bank’s behavioral
       science team in the Poverty and Equity Global Practice, works closely with project
       teams, governments, and other partners to diagnose, design, and evaluate behaviorally
       informed interventions. By collaborating with a worldwide network of scientists and
       practitioners, the eMBeD team provides answers to important economic and social
       questions, and contributes to the global effort to eliminate poverty and enhance equity.
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Last Update: April 30, 2021.