Contents Abbreviations ......................................................................................................................................... iv Executive Summary................................................................................................................................. 5 1. Background and Process ................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. 2. The Changing Landscape and Role of the Ministry of Commerce ............................................... 11 2.1. Political Landscape ................................................................................................................ 15 2.2. Economic Landscape ............................................................................................................. 16 3. From State Trading to Policy Making: Evolution of the MOC ...................................................... 20 4. Strengthening Capacity and Policy Functions .............................................................................. 26 4.1. Strengthening Policy Formulation, Planning and Communication Functions ...................... 27 4.2. Strengthening the Minister’s Office...................................................................................... 30 4.3. Optimizing Capacity Development Efforts ............................................................................ 34 4.4. Strengthening Leadership and Managing Change.……………………………………………………………42 4.5. Optimizing Resources and Support from Development Partners ........................................ 42 4.6. Realigning Functions of Departments ................................................................................... 43 4.7. References ............................................................................................................................ 52 5. Implementation and the Way Forward ........................................................................................ 53 Annex 1: List of Persons Met ................................................................................................................ 58 Annex 2: Proposed Terms of Reference............................................................................................... 60 Annex 3: Example of Ministry and Department Performance Indicators ............................................ 62 Annex 4: Comparison Chart with ASEAN Countries, Australia, UK and US .......................................... 65 Figures Figure 1. Export Diversification Index ................................................................................................... 16 Figure 2. Drivers of Export Growth Between 2010 and 2015 (percent) ............................................... 16 Figure 3. Import Values Through Normal and Land Border Channels (and 12-month moving average) .............................................................................................................................................................. 17 Figure 4. Export Value Through Normal and Land Border Channels (and 12-month moving average) .............................................................................................................................................................. 17 Figure 5. Hospitality and Retail: Contribution to Nonfarm Income (percent) ...................................... 18 Figure 6. Street-Related Services: Contribution to Nonfarm Income (percent) ................................... 18 Figure 7. Preferred Methods of Communications by Stakeholders ..................................................... 19 Figure 8. Constraints Faced by Microenterprises in Myanmar............................................................. 21 Figure 9. Evolution of the Ministry of Commerce................................................................................. 21 Figure 10. Evolution of Departments Within the Ministry of Commerce since 1998 .......................... 23 Figure 11. Current Organogram of the Ministry of Commerce and Staff Allocation............................ 24 Figure 12. Budget Allocations Across Departments of the Ministry of Commerce in FY 2017/18 ....... 25 Figure 13. MOC Functions ..................................................................................................................... 27 Figure 14. Stakeholder Perception on Factors Affecting Slow Progress of Policy Reforms .................. 28 Figure 15. Stakeholders Perception on Weaknesses of MOC ............................................................... 29 Figure 16. Current Structure of Minister's Office of the Ministry of Commerce .................................. 31 Figure 17. Factors Affecting Time Management................................................................................... 31 Figure 18. Sectoral Areas Needing MOC’s Focus .................................................................................. 32 Figure 19. Proposed Structure of the Minister’s Office in the MOC..................................................... 33 Figure 20. Opinion on Taking Early Retirement or Resignation ............................................................ 34 ii Figure 21. Reasons for Thinking of Early Retirement or Resignation ................................................... 35 Figure 22. Factors Determining Job Satisfaction .................................................................................. 35 Figure 23. Herzberg’s Distinction Between “Satisfiers” and “Hygiene Factors” ................................... 36 Figure 24. Staff Perception on MOC as an Employer ............................................................................ 36 Figure 25. Undergraduate Background of Gazetted Staff .................................................................... 37 Figure 26. Preferred New Subjects to Study ......................................................................................... 37 Figure 27. Familiarity with and Use of Information Technology Programs .......................................... 37 Figure 28. Perceptions on Improvements to Bring to MOC................................................................. 38 Figure 29. Age Profile of MOC............................................................................................................... 38 Figure 30. Sources of Learning for Skill Development .......................................................................... 39 Figure 31. Ethnic Diversity Across Different Positions .......................................................................... 41 Figure 32. Gender Diversity Across Different Positions ........................................................................ 41 Figure 33. Proposed Structure for International Relations and Aid for Trade Unit .............................. 43 Figure 34. Number of MOC Staff in Border Posts and Number of Licenses Issued per Month in FY 2016/17 ................................................................................................................................................. 46 Tables Table 1. Factors Influencing the Tasks of the Ministry of Commerce .................................................. 15 Table 2. Major Functions of Each Department ..................................................................................... 24 Table 3. Comparison of Management of Providers .............................................................................. 32 Table 4. Proposed Restructuring of DOT into Department for Foreign Trade ..................................... 44 Table 5. Typical Attributes of a Trade Promotion Agency in Neighboring Countries ........................... 48 Table 6. Recommendations for Divisions Under the Department of Consumer Affairs....................... 51 Table 7. Planning and Implementing Reform Options: A Snapshot ..................................................... 54 Boxes Box 1. Stakeholder Feedback on MOC Policy Notifications .................................................................. 28 Box 2 USAID Program for Capacity Building at Ministry of Trade of Indonesia.................................... 39 Box 3. Trade Promotion Efforts and the Agency of Singapore ............................................................. 50 iii Abbreviations A4T Aid for Trade ASEAN Association of Southeast Asia Nations DG Director General DOCA Department of Consumer Affairs DOT Department of Trade FY Fiscal Year GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (German International Development Organization) HR Human Resources IBT Informal Border Trade ICT information and Communications Technology IT Information and Technology MOC Ministry of Commerce MOT Ministry of Trade MPLCS Myanmar Poverty and Living Conditions Survey MyanTrade Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization PSD Private Sector Development RCEP Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership SEZ Special Economic Zone SME Small and Medium Enterprise TFA Trade Facilitation Agreement UCSB Union Civil Service Board WTO World Trade Organization iv Acknowledgment This report was written by Sjamsu Rahardja and Zubair K. Bhatti of the World Bank. The team expresses appreciation for guidance and support from H.E. U Than Myint and H.E U Aung Htoo, Minister and Deputy Union Minister of Commerce. The team also wishes to acknowledge support from staff and Director Generals from Department of Trade Promotion, Department of Trade, Department of Consumer Affairs, and the Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Commerce. The team thanks Prof. Mari Pangestu of CSIS for providing background note for the report. Aka Kyaw Min Maw, Lwin Aung and Tony Dickinson provided excellent research assistances. A team from Thura Swiss made significant contributions to staff survey data collection. The team benefited from discussions with representatives from Myanmar private sector. The team also received valuable feedback from Morten Larsen. Australia Aid and UK-Aid provided generous support for the preparation of this report. 5 Executive Summary 1. Myanmar’s Ministry of Commerce (MOC) continues its evolution from a state trading agency to a ministry responsible for trade-related policy. Initially called the Ministry of Commerce, Supplies, and Transportation, its name and identity have undergone several changes. When Myanmar effectively became a closed economy during the “Burmese Way to Socialism,” the Ministry was authorized to conduct commercial trading and imposed strict control over international trade. Even after the economy was opened up in 1988, the then Ministry of Trade continued its involvement with trading strategic commodities and controlled inland cross-border trade. Since 2011, the Myanmar government has tasked MOC with promoting trade through the private sector, coordinating trade- related policies, opening export markets, and promoting rights for consumers and a level playing field for producers. However, remnants of active control over trade remain while capacity to execute new functions, such as policy formulation, coordination, and monitoring, is still underdeveloped. The Ministry retains a large border presence and has a sizable number of staff under the Department of Consumer Affairs in Nay Pyi Taw and in states and regions. 2. Socioeconomic transitions are putting pressure on MOC to change. The critical factors behind MOC’s evolution during the foreseeable future are Myanmar’s political and economic transitions, the rising expectations of citizens and businesses, the introduction of technology, staff capacity, and a change in role required to meet new regulatory challenges. The Ministry is expected to coordinate policies that address the low quality of export products, unlock opportunities for trade in industries that create jobs, and promote domestic commerce through retailing, wholesaling, and franchising. Promoting trade and job creation through the private sector are arguably the areas in which MOC faces the greatest expectations to deliver its mandate. 3. In recent years, MOC has taken steps to become a modern commerce ministry. It reduced the number of import licenses, introduced an electronic mechanism to issue trade licenses, set up the Trade Information Portal, and undertook the Trade Policy Review and the Diagnostic Trade Study for Myanmar. The Ministry also stepped up trade diplomacy with the Association of South East Asia Nations (ASEAN) and active engagement with the World Trade Organization (WTO). The Ministry is leading coordination to improve Myanmar’s ranking in the World Bank’s Doing Business Indicators and acts as a focal point for the Private Sector Development Committee. The government has also asked MOC to coordinate development of special economic zones (SEZs) in Myanmar. 4. This review finds key gaps in organizational setup and practices that affect the capability of MOC to deliver tasks. Although the tasks and responsibilities carried out by MOC are similar to other ministries of trade and commerce in the East Asia and Pacific Region, the Ministry is not yet supported by proper organizational and functional structures. There is an overreliance on the Department of Trade (DOT) to deliver outputs, while trade negotiation and promotion functions in other departments are underdeveloped. With MOC’s reduced involvement in trade, DOT is filling in the vacuum by developing policies, delivering training, and supporting the minister in negotiating market access with neighboring countries. The capacity of the divisions under the Minister’s Office to carry out strategic planning, monitor results, and analyze new policies is limited. MOC lacks key, centralized cross- support functions in human resources (HR), legal services, and information and technology—and instead, each department has its own services. The MOC isn’t set up to appoint and assign tasks to commercial attaches abroad. 5. This review identifies four sets of recommendations, each with suggested interventions, around the following goals: 6 • strengthen the Minister’s Office, which includes strengthening planning and policy formulation and cross-support function; • step up efforts to develop staff capacity; • optimize resources and support from development partners; and • align functions under existing departments: reorganizing the Department of Trade, setting up a Trade Negotiation Department to strengthen trade promotion and reorganizing the domestic trade function. 6. Recommendation Set 1: Strengthening the Minister’s Office is fundamental to drive reform within MOC and promote sound policies. The Ministry has defined its vision and mission, developed important sector strategies. However, shortcomings in the Minister’s Office hamper the achievement of MOC’s strategic objectives. Firstly, the permanent secretary has no direct role in the Minister’s Office. None of the functional divisions under the minister report to the permanent secretary, who is supposed drive and sustain implementation of MOC’s work program. Secondly, given that promoting private sector development (PSD) is a high priority, MOC needs to strengthen its support to ensure proper follow-up. Thirdly, important functions like HR, internal audit, planning, statistics, information technology, and legal services are distributed across the ministry, which contributes to the dispersal of scarce skills and weak coordination. The limited provision of support functions by the Minister’s office contrasts sharply with most other ministries of commerce and trade in the countries of East Asia and Pacific Region. 7. The following interventions are proposed to help overcome these shortcomings and strengthen the Minister’s Office to improve coordination and implementation of strategic initiatives. a. Empower the Permanent Secretary to coordinate and ensure collaboration across Departments on planning tasks, defining strategic objectives, monitoring results, and ensuring policy coherence. To do so, bring planning and statistics under the permanent secretary. This function may also include access to external advisors to help MOC deal with additional tasks (e.g., the PSD and SEZ committees). The permanent secretary may also lead the delivery of shared and support functions. b. Improve planning and policy formulation. Strategic direction from the minister, deputy minister, and permanent secretary is needed to ensure the alignment of each department’s activities with MOC’s vision and mission, and more importantly, with the economic policies of the government. The lack of strategic planning in MOC manifests as a results framework and milestones of deliverables that are unclear. MOC also may consider separating the policy formulation role from implementation, to avoid policies being driven by the potentially narrow and conflicting interests of departments and crowding out the space and time for systematic policy analysis. c. Centralize, partially or fully, administrative and supporting functions: HR, information and communications technology, internal audit, legal services, planning, and statistics. Most of these functions are provided separately within each department, with limited cross-support. Centralizing the provision of these functions, partially or fully, under the Office of the Permanent Secretary or minister, would help strengthen strategic direction setting, improve coordination, concentrate scarce capacity, and improve information sharing within the Ministry. For example, an HR unit under the Minister’s Office could manage recruitment, career planning, and rotation across departments as well as discipline, promotion, and other HR issues for gazetted staff. d. Strengthen the Secretariat for the Trade and Business Promotion Task Force and the PSD Committee. This task force was established by the Government and has a key coordinating 7 function across the trade sector. It may be provided with a full-time secretariat (possibly headed by a retired civil servant) and have strong links and networks with the private sector. The secretariat may report directly to the permanent secretary. e. Upgrade International Cooperation function under the Minister’s Office: This is to help MOC to coordinate activities of development partners and supervise implementation of grant-funded program to support government strategic objectives (e.g., Myanmar Sustainable Development Plan). a. A stronger communication function is needed for MOC to disseminate policies and reform direction. With the rising popularity of social media, MOC may want to revisit its strategy for media outreach and appoint a dedicated media team. Creating a dedicated website would be the first step in this strategy. 8. Recommendations Set 2: Strengthen organizational and staff capacity to meet new policy requirements. The political and economic context of Myanmar is undergoing a rapid transition requiring new ways of working together (organizational capacity) and new skills (staff capacity). More than half of MOC staff are above 50 years of age and will likely enter retirement in 10 years or less. A staff survey suggests building the capacity of junior and mid-level employees may be an immediate and long-term priority for MOC. It is important to attract the best and the brightest. While the ministry cannot improve the pay and compensation package of its staff, which is determined by central civil service policies, it can improve the working environment, career prospects, and other nonfinancial aspects of employment to help improve morale and attract high-caliber staff. The following interventions may be considered: a. Create interdepartmental task groups drawn from MOC staff to review specific tasks and resolve problems. One form of incentive for skills improvement is to create a demand for skilled staff. MOC could also establish a task group consisting of staff from different departments to undertake certain tasks relevant for director generals (DGs) or the policy unit of the Minister’s Office. b. Facilitate staff rotation across departments. Prescribed rotations within a career planning framework can help to improve coordination and information flow across departments. It would also provide stretch challenges for staff, provide a break from the routine of one department, and help identify and groom staff with high potential. c. Increase the ratio of gazetted staff relative to nongazetted staff from one to four to one to three. The increasing demand for regulatory and policy work, and the increased use of IT, means that higher levels of skills and education are required, and these are only found among gazetted staff. Such an adjustment would also help reduce costs over the long term. d. Increase linkages with the private sector, academic institutions, and civil society to improve policy capacity. The demand for high-level analytical and policy development skills cannot be met entirely from within the ministry. It would be important for the ministry to develop linkages with the private sector, academic institutions, and civil society to improve policy capacity. e. Review and strengthen the training function based on a MOC’s new skills requirements. Specific skills such as trade negotiations and trade analysis are relevant. The supply of training may be demand-driven, and opportunities for support from the private sector and development partners may be explored as well as tailor-made cooperation with foreign universities and think tanks. An option to explore is establishing degree programs on a considerable scale similar to, for example, support from the U.S. Agency for International Development to Indonesia. The responsibility for developing a training plan could be anchored in a new human resources division (see chapter 4). 8 f. Invest in ICT systems. Careful investments in ICT capacity, processes and systems can drive change, save money, and improve services. g. Strengthen inclusiveness by increasing the share of females in senior leadership positions and by setting up programs to increase the intake of non-Bamar groups into gazetted positions. h. Implement collective leadership by instituting regular and thorough conversations about change at all levels of the organization. i. Implement performance management by establishing key performance indicators for the organization which cascade down to all levels of leadership and are followed up in the form of annual results agreements to be regularly reviewed during the year. 9. Recommendation Set 3: MOC may establish a plan for using development assistance that includes a needs assessment of the type of support wanted and the establishment of an Aid for Trade Unit to help guide the process. Over the last five years, Myanmar has received assistance from multilateral and bilateral development partners. Division for International Cooperation within the Minister’s Office can be a “gate keeper” for coordinating development assistance and a key liaison unit for development cooperation, ensuring that all donor support is clearly aligned with the MOC’s strategic plans 10. The Ministry may also want to consider having the management of Aid for Trade (AfT) Unit under the Minister’s office. This can help MOC monitor programs supported by development partners. It will also ensure that AfT resources be used optimally to support strategic development objectives, such as Myanmar Sustainable Development Plan. The Ministry may want to consider the experiences of neighboring countries with workable Aid for Trade Units, such as the Ministry of Trade and Industry of the Lao People’s Democratic Republic. 11. Recommendation Set 4: Conduct organizational reform to align the ministry’s structure to serve new policy requirements. Given the core significance of MOC’s international trade negotiation and promotion functions, the following interventions could be considered: a. Reorganize the Department of Trade by refocusing core functions on facilitating trade, industry, and policy analyses. The department can develop capacity to support trade negotiation and to monitor developments in policies and trends in global trade. It could also support MOC in preparing dumping investigations and formulating the margin of dumping. b. Withdraw MOC’s presence from inland border posts. MOC already offers online license processing for import licenses and will soon introduce a negative list for export licenses. Modern practices also suggest that functions related to inspections, cargo clearance, and the movement of people may be done by Customs, Immigration, and Quarantine. This step, which may be implemented in phases, would also allow MOC to free up resources for other activities. c. Establish a Department for Trade Cooperation and Negotiation. Given the intensity of coordinating the implementation of, and participation in, international negotiation forums, MOC may consider establishing a specialist department. The Ministry already has responsibility for coordinating implementation of Myanmar’s commitments under the WTO, making reasonable to bring the role of coordinator of ASEAN and Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership negotiations within MOC’s remit. Technical discussions, however, could still be done by technical ministries. For example, the Directorate of Investment and Company Administration or Ministry of Planning and Finance could lead bilateral investment negotiations. 9 d. Transform the Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization (MyanTrade) into the country’s trade promotion agency (TPA). MyanTrade has limited budget and staff capacity to carry out its international trade promotion activities. It may have the capacity to communicate with commercial attaches in Myanmar’s embassies and to contribute to trade negotiations. Like other TPAs, MyanTrade may be able to use fiscal resources to promote exports in the most cost-effective way. e. Strengthen capacity and clarify functions for the Department of Consumer Affairs (DOCA). The department is well positioned to take on MOC’s responsibility to promote consumer rights and mediate consumer-seller disputes. On product standards, DOCA may play a role in setting up policies with low transaction costs for businesses to follow. DOCA’s role in promoting domestic trade also needs to be clarified. Implementing the Recommendations 12. This functional review of the Ministry of Commerce presents a wide range of recommendations for reform of the structure and capacity of the ministry. Some suggestions, such as restructuring the Minister’s Office and strengthening the role of the permanent secretary, may need the sanction of the union cabinet. Suggestions for additional budget for MyanTrade may need discussions with the Ministry of Planning and Finance. Recalibration of the ratio of gazetted officers relative to nongazetted staff at the ministry level can be done through workforce attrition. Other ideas such as the rotation of officers can be implemented within the ministry through an internal decision- making process. 13. While the exact financial implications of each intervention have not been detailed, the review aims to be broadly budget neutral. Suggestions like creation of a new trade unit and policy, planning and communication units, and more capacity development activities would need more funds, but these additions are balanced by the suggestions that many support functions can be rationalized and consolidated under the Minister’s Office. Also, the abolition of border posts will save funds that can be reallocated to prioritized, strategic functions. 14. Implementing organizational change is never easy and needs sustained, inventive efforts . Old habits, legacy processes, weak capacity and pockets of vested are likely, as is often the case in any developing country, likely to challenge implementation of the recommendations. This change management strategy could draw on a range of tools such as problem-driven workshops, knowledge exchanges, communications and stakeholder alignment, incentives rewarding performance, adaptive leadership and implementation coaching. 10 11 1. In February 2017, the Minister of Commerce, H.E. Dr. Than Myint, requested a functional review of the Ministry of Commerce (MOC) by the World Bank Group). The request was triggered by a need to review the Ministry’s structure given new challenges, including those posed by trade services, special economic zones (SEZ), the entry into force of the Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and issues framed by the recently formed Private Sector Development (PSD) Committee. (See Annex 1 for the terms of reference.) 2. The World Bank Group team agreed to provide an inception report as a work in progress in September 2017 and to present findings by December 2017. The inception report was shared with the ministry on September 26, 2017. 3. The review process includes the following activities conducted by the World Bank team in partnership with the MOC: (i) data gathered to date; (ii) a series of meetings in April and May 2017 between the World Bank team and the minister, deputy minister, permanent secretary, and directors general as well as Professor Mari Pangestu, a former minister of trade in the Indonesian government; (iii) several meetings in April, May, and August between the World Bank team and staff of the Ministry of Commerce; (iv) a desk review comparing the functions of similar ministries in other ASEAN countries as well as in Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States; and (v) implementation of a MOC staff survey of the gazetted officials in MOC (henceforth the “the staff survey”) and a stakeholder survey. 4. Two surveys—one of gazetted officers and another of the ministry’s stakeholders—were conducted to further identify perceptions of the ministry’s performance and its strengths and weaknesses by officials and clients. Survey instrument for the survey of gazetted officers was formulated through meetings with both middle management and senior management of the Ministry of Commerce. Two officials from each department were assigned as focal persons to coordinate with the review team for fact finding, data collection, and consultation. Consultations with senior management—the union minister, permanent secretary, and DGs of each department—were conducted in 2017 on May 17 and 18. 5. The World Bank Group contracted Thura Swiss, a consulting firm, to implement the two surveys. Before the actual survey of gazetted officers was implemented, a pilot survey was conducted at the Trade Training Institute in Yangon on July 4, 2017. Both Computer-Assisted Personal Interviews and Paper-Assisted Personal Interviews were used for data collection. The final data was obtained on September 12, 2017. A total of 435 samples were received (from 494 gazetted staff surveyed), giving a response rate of 88 percent. 6. Survey instruments for the ministry’s stakeholder survey were formulated through several meetings with leaders from the private sector. The review team interviewed three private companies and organizations in July 2017. The survey itself was also implemented by Thura Swiss and included a range of organizations from domestic companies in various sectors (such as agribusiness, garment manufacturing, and food processing) to international chambers of commerce working in Myanmar. After commencing the survey on August 21, 2017, the firm surveyed 70 companies and organizations from Yangon, Mandalay, and Pathein. 7. The review is divided into five chapters. The first chapter provides background and review process. The second chapter describes the country context and key drivers of change. Chapter 3 outlines the evolution of the ministry since independence in 1948, given that the legacy functions and personnel still heavily influence the character and capacities of the ministry. The current organogram, budget, and personnel strength are provided. Chapter 4 discusses findings that support 12 recommendations to strengthen capacity building and policy development functions. Chapter 5 outlines the five sets of recommendations. Two of the recommendation sets address general civil service issues—the design of the Office of the Permanent Secretary, for example—that are not specific to the Ministry of Commerce but are integral to reform. The other three sets of recommendations are about commerce-related issues. 13 14 8. Myanmar’s transition, globalization and new technologies provide the backdrop for the new requirements facing the Ministry of Commerce. Myanmar’s political and economic transitions, the rising expectations of citizens and businesses, management matters, more sophisticated and increased trade relationships, the introduction of technology, and the capacity of staff to meet new regulatory challenges are critical factors behind MOC’s evolution. 2.1. Political Landscape 9. Democratization is expected to increase demands for public accountability and responsiveness in policy making from all government agencies, including MOC. The incumbent elected government is under pressure to deliver promised economic reforms that lead to jobs and the economic (as well as social) betterment of Myanmar’s people. Myanmar also needs to overcome the legacy of conflict and economic sanctions that has contributed to flourishing informal trade, particularly along border areas. Other factors are the withdrawal of the military from day-to-day policy making in most areas of the economy, the need for more sophisticated policy analysis, and required investment for the development of the “civilian” civil service. filled 10. It is in the times of political and economic transition that narrow interest groups are most active in shaping the new policies, rules, and regulations in favor of their own interests. Rent seeking is generally defined as the manipulation of the social and political environment in which economic activities occur to obtain an economic rent from an asset without generating additional value from that asset. While the transition from a state-dominated to a market-oriented economy is intended to reduce rent-seeking opportunities by subjecting a wider range of economic activities to market competition, the process of transition itself offers significant opportunities to manipulate the social and political environment which could have the opposite effect. For instance, certain commercial groups might manage to negotiate special terms and privileges. Table 1. Factors Influencing the Tasks of the Ministry of Commerce Political and Geopolitical • Greater political participation and demand for accountability and responsiveness in policy making • Pressure to deliver promised economic reforms • Managing an increasing international commercial relationship • Increasing the number of commercial interest groups motivated to shape the regulatory framework for trade and commerce, based on particular industry needs Economics • Greater role of the private sector in driving commerce and job creation • Limited export diversification beyond "traditional" products of natural resources and low-quality goods • Uncertainty in the global trade environment and backlash against globalization in developed countries Demographic, Culture, and Social • Young population • Tension in border and post-conflict areas • Greater awareness on the need to promote inclusivity in development • Capacity of staff Technology • Greater use of internet and mobile applications • Popularity of social media in capturing real-time issues 15 2.2. Economic Landscape 11. Promoting trade and job creation through the private sector are arguably two areas where MOC faces the greatest expectation to deliver. MOC is expected to coordinate policies that address the low quality of Myanmar’s export products and to unlock opportunities for trade in job-friendly activities, such as agri-business and light manufacturing which are still constrained by inadequate access to reliable power and problems in trade facilitation. With a growing internal market, MOC is also expected to promote domestic commerce through retailing, wholesaling, and franchising. Despite greater trade and investment opportunities, Myanmar’s exports remain highly concentrated in a handful of sectors and products—gas (41 percent), minerals including gemstones (11 percent), and agriculture (25 percent)—which have a limited impact on creating quality jobs. Myanmar’s exports, despite some diversification since its reintegration with the global economy, are much more concentrated compared with other countries in the East Asia and Pacific Region. 12. The removal of sanctions by Western countries and the ongoing negotiation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) among ASEAN countries (and six partners) can help Myanmar gain wider market access and rebalance its trade relationship. Myanmar can expand and diversify export markets to reduce dependence on certain export markets, such as China for rice and fruit, India for pulses, and Thailand for rubber and maize. Despite official quotas, China absorbs 70 percent of Myanmar’s rice exports. Removal of sanctions opens new markets for Myanmar as shown by an increase in “extensive margin” or expansion from new markets. However, sustained export growth is typically determined by “intensive margin” or expansion of the same exports to the same markets over time (Besedes and Prusa 2011). Trade agreements can assist Myanmar in seizing this opportunity, and MOC may take the lead in negotiating access to markets. Figure 1. Export Diversification Index Figure 2. Drivers of Export Growth Between 2010 and 2015 (percent) 0.35 100.0 0.30 80.0 0.25 0.20 60.0 0.15 40.0 0.10 20.0 0.05 0.00 - 2007 2010 2013 2016 Intensive Existing Existing New margin products, markets, products, Bangladesh Cambodia new new new markets products markets Myanmar Vietnam Myanmar Vietnam Cambodia Source: UNComtrade 13. Land borders with five countries—Bangladesh, China, India, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, and Thailand—provide enormous potential to facilitate trade and investment. Border trade also provides local communities with opportunities to improve their livelihoods. This is particularly important as trade through land borders has increased, while trade through normal channels (air and ocean routes) has been relatively stable. Given this trend, and Myanmar’s geographical location, land border trade can be instrumental in attracting investment and creating jobs. 16 Figure 3. Import Values Through Normal and Figure 4. Export Value Through Normal and Land Border Channels (and 12-month moving Land Border Channels (and 12-month average) moving average) 2,000 Million $ 1,600 Million $ 1,800 1,400 1,600 1,200 1,400 Normal channel 1,200 1,000 1,000 Normal channel 800 800 600 600 Land border channel 400 400 200 200 Land border channel 0 0 Jul-13 Jul-13 Jun-16 May-14 Jun-16 Apr-12 Dec-13 May-14 Apr-12 Aug-15 Dec-13 Aug-15 Oct-14 Sep-12 Feb-13 Mar-15 Jan-16 Sep-12 Feb-13 Mar-15 Jan-16 Oct-14 Source: MOC data 14. There is fierce pressure for the Myanmar government to manage the large informal border trade. This is a critical, complex issue. Local trade in border areas is typically carried out without proper documentation, and in some cases, involves traders affiliated with ethnic armed groups. In Myanmar, the presence of a flourishing informal border trade (IBT) cannot be separated from the period of sanctions imposed by Western economies and from the legacy of ongoing armed conflicts in border areas which encourage an underground economy (Aung 2011). IBT thrives around Myanmar’s borders with the lack of economic opportunities and formal credit mechanisms in rural areas (Aung 2011). 15. The inability of authorities to document small trade by local communities, and the rapid growth in consumption across Myanmar, may contribute to wider illegal trade . Undocumented goods are distributed and consumed beyond border areas. In many cases, products supplied through IBT have no clear expiration date and have a high risk of being counterfeit. Interviews suggest that investors in the manufacturing of consumer and food goods in Myanmar are concerned about unfair competition from goods distributed through IBT. 16. The retail supply chain is likely to be the most important commerce activity in the domestic supply chain. Data from the Myanmar Poverty and Living Conditions Survey (MPLCS) suggest that hospitality and retailing contributes to 45 percent of nonfarm income among rural households and 39 percent of urban households (Figure 5). The contribution of income from hospitality (cafes, hotels) and retailing activities to nonfarm income tends to be higher among households in the higher-income quintile, both in rural and urban areas. The higher concentration of hospitality and retailing activities in higher-income groups may be driven by resource availability, as these activities need working capital, entrepreneurial skills, and population concentration. 17 Figure 5. Hospitality and Retail: Figure 6. Street-Related Services: Contribution Contribution to Nonfarm Income (percent) to Nonfarm Income (percent) 60.0 45.0 40.0 50.0 35.0 40.0 30.0 25.0 30.0 20.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Rural Consumption Quintiles Rural Consumption Quintiles Urban Consumption Quintiles Urban Consumption Quintiles Source: Myanmar Poverty and Living Conditions Survey (2017) 17. Street-related activities, including street retail vendors, contribute more to the income of low-income households. About 40 percent of nonfarm income of the lowest income groups in rural areas comes from street-related services. Casual observations in Yangon suggest many informal street vendors, which are microenterprises, are operating outside the confined spaces of retail markets. As modern retailing continues to develop and incomes increase, finding ways to strengthen the capacity and competitiveness of small (street) retailers can be important for the livelihoods of poor households. 18. Citizens’ expectations of faster, better and fairer service delivery from government agencies are also increasing. This trend is due to the exposure to an ever-improving quality of services from the private sector, often enabled by the adoption of technology, especially in the telecoms and banking sectors. Government agencies must keep pace or risk mounting dissatisfaction and criticism on mass and social media. In fact, the private sector would like to see an active role of MOC in using technology for obtaining information and communicating with the ministry. The website and social media of the ministry are the top two channels that MOC’s stakeholders prefer to use to communicate with the ministry (Figure 7). Indeed, use of technology in communication has been growing in Myanmar. According to Digital in 2018 in Southeast Asia, the growth rates for Myanmar’s internet users, active social media users, and active mobile social users were 97 percent, 84 percent, and 106 percent, respectively, compared to 2016,1 although from a low starting point compared to its ASEAN peers. 1 Data are from Digital in 2018 in Southeast Asia Part 2—South-East, published on January 29, 2018 by We Are Social and Hootsuite. https://www.slideshare.net/wearesocial/digital-in-2018-in-southeast-asia-part-2- southeast-86866464. 18 Figure 7. Preferred Methods of Communications by Stakeholders Ministry of Commerce’s website 60% Social media (e.g., blogs, Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, 44% Flickr) Ministry of Commerce’s publications and other written 40% materials Ministry of Commerce’s seminars, workshops, conferences 39% Direct contact with Ministry of Commerce (i.e., face-to- 39% face meetings, discussions) Other 4% Source: Survey of MOC’s Stakeholders (2017) 19. The use of “disruptive technology” (such as e-commerce) by small and microenterprises in Myanmar is a likely scenario in the foreseeable future. As in other developing countries, microenterprises in Myanmar face challenges in finding markets. Most of these enterprises rely on traditional ways of doing businesses. They wait for customers to come to their shops and rely on informal references from family or business associates. MPLCS data suggest that aside from access to finance, difficulties in finding markets is the second most serious constraint faced by microenterprises. E-commerce platforms offer options for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) that allow them to market and send their goods directly to customers. Figure 8. Constraints Faced by Microenterprises in Myanmar Lack of available skilled workers Inadequate building space Customers buy on credit but they don't pay back Irregular supply of raw materials Fluctuation of commondity prices Difficulty finding market Lack of capital No problem 0 10 20 30 40 50 Source: Myanmar Poverty and Living Conditions Survey (2017) 19 20 20. The Ministry of Commerce has gone through significant role changes over the last 70 years from managing trade to issuing import and export licenses. During the early years after independence, the Department of Commerce and Supplies, set up in 1945, was restructured as the Ministry of Commerce, Supplies, and Transportation. It was renamed as the Ministry of Commerce from 1951 to 1954 and renamed again as the Ministry of Trade Development from 1954 to 1965. 21. During the “Burmese Way to Socialism” from the 1960s to the 1980s, the Ministry became the only agency conducting trade, as Myanmar evolved into a closed economy. In 1965, the Ministry was renamed the Ministry of Trade, comprising 22 trade corporations, 11 regional trade offices, 283 subregional offices, and 1,982 public shops. In 1967, the number of trade corporations was reduced from 22 to 11, each with its own network of enterprises, sub-enterprises, shops, factories, and offices. Even after the economy gradually opened in 1988, the Ministry of Trade continued to trade strategic commodities. See Figure for its historical evolution. Figure 9. Evolution of the Ministry of Commerce 22. Since 2011, the Myanmar government has tasked MOC to establish a regulatory framework to ensure coordination of trade policies, create and maintain a level playing field for the private sector, and provide adequate protection for consumers and domestic producers. MOC promoted the adoption of the 2015 Competition Law and is preparing to implement regulations and establish a Competition Agency. MOC also introduced a Consumer Protection Law that sets out the mandate of the Department of Consumer Affairs. At parliament’s request, MOC is also preparing legislation regarding trade remedies, including antidumping legislation. Recently, MOC drafted a new Framework Trade Law, which is intended to replace the 1947 Export-Import Law. It is expected to provide a legal basis from which to coordinate trade-related policies, ensure compliance with Myanmar’s commitments (to WTO or ASEAN), and better define MOC’s mandate. The new law may be a law of 21 principles rather than a law of control and regulation. Its policy principles may inform the organizational structure of MOC. 23. MOC faces challenging demands, both from the Myanmar government and stakeholders. The 12- point Economic Policy of the Union of Myanmar aims for inclusive, people-centered development.2 The national vision aims for national reconciliation, balanced development of natural resources, and the spread of benefits across states and regions. The following components pertain to the MOC3: • Role of SMEs as generators of employment and growth • Digital and e-government strategy • Creation of economic enterprises that create jobs • Comprehensive, balanced development of agriculture and industrial sectors to ensure "rounded development,” food security, and increased exports • Enabling of private sector growth in line with the market economy system • Policies to increase foreign investment and strengthen property rights and rule of law • Strong competitiveness in regional and global markets, identifying the changing and developing business environment in ASEAN and beyond 24. Recognizing these challenges, the MOC has taken the crucial step of defining its vision and mission and has developed important sector strategies. In November 2016, the senior management of MOC outlined a vision for “Developing the National Economy Through Trade.”4 This was further translated into the following mission statements and underpinned by strategic principles. Mission statements: • To increase trade volume • To encourage private sector development in conformity with a market-oriented economic system • To expand market shares of Myanmar products in the world market in collaboration with international organizations • To facilitate trade activities • To protect consumer rights and safety of products Three strategic principles: • Trade activities should be aimed at the interest of the State and the people • Trade activities should not be a burden to the people • Trade activities should be aimed at structuring a long-term viable trading system rather than gaining short-term profit 25. At the same time, MOC has also finalized a Medium-Term Program for Aid for Trade, consisting of proposed cross-sector projects to promote trade in Myanmar.5 2 See “Economic Policy of the Union of Myanmar,” July 28, 2016. http://themimu.info/sites/themimu.info/files/documents/Statement_Economic_Policy_Aug2016.pdf 3 See “Economic Policy of the Union of Myanmar,” July 28, 2016. 4 Supported by the German Agency for International Cooperation (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit). 5 Establishment of the Medium-Term Program in 2017 is a direct follow-up from the Diagnostic Trade Integration Study and is supported by the World Bank Group in partnership with Australia Aid, the Enhanced Integrated Framework, and UK Aid. 22 26. In addition to its core functions of promoting external trade and domestic commerce, MOC is tasked with taking a significant role in the SEZ Management Committee, PSD Committee, the Jobs Sector Working Group, and the Competition Commission. 27. The recent restructuring of the MOC still leaves many support functions to the Department of Trade (DOT) and policy-making functions to each relevant department. In 2013, the Department of Commerce and Consumer Affairs handled all trade-related operational matters, such as handling both overseas and border trade issues (see Figure ). The responsibilities of the Directorate of Trade were focused mainly on trade policy formulation and on giving support functions to the whole ministry, such as information and communications technology (ICT). Since the DOT was set up in 2015, it has continued to provide support functions to the Minister’s Office, such as implementing the Diagnostic Trade Integration Study and preparing Aid for Trade, and has worked on trade policy formulation. Figure 10. Evolution of Departments Within the Ministry of Commerce since 1998 28. The Ministry has three core departments according to notification no. (24/2016). The Minister’s Office oversees policy formulation and supports the general business areas of MOC. Figure presents the current organizational structure of MOC and its staff allocation. The Ministry can employ 770 gazetted staff and 4,341 nongazetted staff. But the so-called two-thirds policy allows only two- thirds of the officially sanctioned posts to be filled— 513 gazetted staff and 2,894 nongazetted staff.6 6 The Ministry of Planning and Finance has implementing this cost-cutting policy across most ministries for several years. 23 Figure 11. Current Organogram of the Ministry of Commerce and Staff Allocation Ministry of Commerce Gazetted staff Nongazetted staff 770 4341 Minister s Office Gazetted staff Nongazetted staff 50 115 Myanmar Trade Promotion Department of Trade Department of Consumer Affairs Organization Gazetted staff Nongazetted staff Gazetted staff Nongazetted staff Gazetted staff Nongazetted staff 298 1598 298 2402 124 226 Source: Ministry of Commerce 29. Staff from other departments are attached to the Minister’s Office of MOC to cope with shortage of staff. The formal setup of the office has been standardized across all ministries with little flexibility. Mainly because of its legacy role as a trading corporation, the Department of Consumer Affairs (DOCA) has the most employees through its state and regional stations and offices and district stations and offices across Myanmar. Table 2. Major Functions of Each Department Department Major Functions Minister’s Office • To oversee the whole ministry in terms of general operational matters such as administration, finance, information technology, and human resources • To formulate and develop trade and related polices Department of • To manage export and import licenses Trade • To engage in trade negotiation matters • To perform policy analysis • To manage border posts and trade zones • To formulate and implement trade policy and regulations Department of • To promote and raise awareness of product safety for consumer Consumer Affairs protection • To resolve consumer complaints for both goods and services • To formulate and implement consumer protection policy and regulations Myanmar Trade • To promote Myanmar products in international markets Promotion • To promote investment and trade Organization • To formulate and implement export promotion policy and strategy Source: Notification no. (24/2016) 30. DOT is allocated more budget than the other departments (see 31. 24 32. Figure ) and performs diverse functions from managing border posts to engaging in trade negotiations. It generates higher revenue than the other departments as it collects fees such as trade license processing fees. The Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization (MyanTrade) has a relatively small budget allocation. A combination of lower staff numbers, lower budget allocation, and the general challenge of capacity of staff is likely to impede MyanTrade in implementing its export promoting functions, such as developing trade centers domestically and arranging trade fairs and exhibitions internationally. Figure 12. Budget Allocations Across Departments of the Ministry of Commerce in FY 2017/18 Panel A. Revenue Panel B. Expenditure Minister's Minister's Office Myanmar Trade Office 3% Promotion Organization 5% Department of 12% Consumer Affairs 21% Department of Departm Department of Trade ent of Consumer Affairs 76% Trade 39% 44% Source: Ministry of Commerce Note: Figures use budget estimates 25 26 33. The vision and mission statements issued in 2016 define objectives and activities for MOC; however, the structure and the capacity of staff are not adequately aligned to achieve objectives. While recognizing that building capacity—improving schools and universities, fostering think tanks and academia, and recruiting quality talent into government—is a relatively long-term process and outside the immediate control of the ministry, it can take steps to increase its ability to deliver on its mandate. These include reorganizing the delivery of many functions, increasing emphasis on some functions, and shedding some outdated roles. Figure 13. MOC Functions 4.1. Strengthening Policy Formulation, Planning and Communication Functions The shift from state trading to policy making requires much stronger emphasis on policy formulation, planning, and communication functions to create an enabling environment for businesses. 34. Internal and external stakeholders look for strategic directions in MOC’s activities. Interviews with staff and external clients suggest that the minister, deputy minister, and permanent secretary need to establish a strategic direction to ensure consistency of a department’s activities with MOC’s vision and mission, and importantly, with the economic policy of the government. Strengthening the Minister’s Office can help MOC ensure policy coherence. While involvement of departmental teams in formulating policies may help effectiveness in implementation, the Minister’s Office may directly lead or oversee consultations and the formulation of proposed new policies, so they align with the government’s economic reform objectives. Recent experiences suggest mixed reactions from stakeholders about MOC notifications (see Box 1) and raise questions about the ability of MOC to maintain coherence in policy reform. 27 Box 1. Stakeholder Feedback on MOC Policy Notifications The private sector has applauded MOC’s initiative to establish a negative list for import licenses. A survey commissioned by the World Bank Group suggests that the introduction of a negative list, which also reduced the coverage of products requiring a license, saved the private sector around $4 million in FY 2015/16. The private sector also praised MOC’s initiative to reduce the duplication of import price checks, which is normally part of the customs valuation process. However, stakeholders raise concerns that the recent notification on rechecking import invoices is inconsistent with internationally recognized practices for customs valuation. 35. Lack of clarity in policy strategy is seen as a major problem according to stakeholders. They also associate problems in MOC policies with lack of coordination with other government departments (Figure ). Moreover, the lack of communication and disclosure about the MOC’s work and program is perceived as an important weakness ( 36. 37. Figure ). Figure 14. Stakeholder Perception on Factors Affecting Slow Progress of Policy Reforms Lack of clarity in overall economic policy and strategy 46% Lack of coordination within Union government 44% Lack of or inadequate levels of capacity to design or 34% formulate policy Ongoing conflict and instability 23% Political pressures and obstacles 21% Lack of or inadequate levels of capacity to implement 20% policy Poor coordination within departments in the Ministry of 19% Commerce Inadequate funding 17% There is not an adequate feedback from citizen or civil 14% society The Ministry of Commerce works too slowly 7% The Ministry of Commerce does not do adequate follow 7% through or follow-up Other 6% Source: Survey of MOC’s Stakeholders (2017) 28 Figure 15. Stakeholders Perception on Weaknesses of MOC Not enough public disclosure of its work 46% MOC processes are too slow (e.g., too bureaucratic) 37% Not providing enough support to civil society organizations 34% in helping achieve development results in Myanmar MOC processes are too complex 30% Not collaborating enough with stakeholders outside 26% Government The credibility of its knowledge or data 20% Activities are not aligned with country priorities 16% Inadequate number of MOC staff members located in the 11% country Inadequate quality of MOC staff 11% Too influenced by developed countries 11% Staff are difficult to access 3% Source: Survey of MOC’s Stakeholders (2017) 38. This review recommends MOC consider the following actions to strengthen policy formulation, planning, and communication functions: • Gradually separate the role of policy formulation from implementation, for instance through the establishment of a Policy Unit in the Minister’s Office. Clarity, coordination, and capacity are seen at three topic policy reform challenges by the MOC stakeholder (Figure ). Setting up a dedicated unit will help provide the strategic focus. It will also help avoid policies driven by the narrow and potentially conflicting interests of departments. It would also ensure that implementation does not crowd out the space and opportunity for policy reflection. Therefore, MOC may need to set up a Policy Unit or Policy Coordination Unit, with access to policy analysis support (from within MOC or outsourced, for an appropriate level of input to think tanks, academic institutions, or consultancies), communication support, and legal support. • Set up a Planning Unit in the Minister’s Office to help the minister, deputy minister, and permanent secretary translate the government’s development aspirations and MOC’s vision statement into a medium-term development program, which would be implemented by the respective directorates. Second, a Planning Unit will help introduce and monitor performance indicators across departments. Using government economic policy and MOC’s strategic mission, Annex 3 provides a relevant example to guide this important exercise. The new requirements for a steering role in policy and planning requires some centralization of functions in the Minister’s Office, although the MOC may be careful not to establish new divisions or units for every new functional task. • Strengthen the role of strategic communication with stakeholders. MOC could do more to communicate its role in trade and PSD (including reforms carried out by other government 29 agencies under the coordination of the Trade and Business Promotion Task Force). In the era of social media, MOC cannot rely on traditional media releases for coverage in printed news or television interviews. • • Figure shows that the most critical issue in the mind of stakeholders is adequate communication and disclosure of the ministry’s work. A capable communication unit with dedicated media officers is needed to highlight achievements and issues being addressed. The ministry may update its website and social media regularly and be prepared to respond to stakeholder concerns through such channels. This unit could consist of an individual senior communication specialist with resources to hire part-time communication consultants. 4.2. Strengthening the Minister’s Office Regrouping and strengthening the Minister’s Office is a key priority for MOC, so it can undertake its work effectively in an increasingly demanding environment 39. The permanent secretary position was introduced across government in 2015 to coordinate policy formulation and support functions. To serve these purposes the position was attached to the Minister’s Office. In practice, the role of the permanent secretary, considered as first among equal DGs, has not played that role and this position. None of the functional divisions under the minister appear to report to the permanent secretary, who may have a critical role in driving and sustaining the implementation of MOC’s work program. 40. Under the current structure, each department is still largely responsible for policy formulation as well as implementation, while the role of the Minister’s Office in policy formulation is still limited. The current structure of the Minister’s Office also does not adequately drive achievement of MOC’s strategic objectives (Figure ). Findings from the gazetted staff and stakeholder surveys suggest that coordination, cooperation between departments, and planning and implementation are key challenges. Lack of coordination is cited as one of the top factors affecting 41. time management of gazetted staff ( 42. Figure ). Stakeholders perceive that coordinating and implementing trade policies is cited as one of the top areas for MOC’s focus (Figure ). One viable option to address this challenge is to strengthen the Office of the Permanent Secretary. In addition, support for MOC cross-sector engagement, such as through the secretariat for the PSD Committee, are only provided by departments where DGs are taking up these additional tasks. Providing a clear role for the Minister’s Office in institutionalizing the agenda and ensuring coordination will be a more effective way forward. 30 Figure 16. Current Structure of Minister's Office of the Ministry of Commerce Minister Deputy Minister Permanent Secretary Deputy Permanent Secretary Minister’s Office Administration, Audit and Office of the Policy and Local, Human Finance Permanent Rules International Resources Division Secretary Relations, and Communication supporting units for the Minister and Permanent Secretary Figure 17. Factors Affecting Time Management Staff lacks adequate skills 86% Lack of coordination 39% Too many meetings 28% Office requires more staff 25% Attitude of senior officers 24% Excessive paperwork and reports 22% Lack of office resources, computers, and infrastructure 19% Heavy workload 17% Lack of clarity in procedures 17% No electricity 6% Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 31 Figure 18. Sectoral Areas Needing MOC’s Focus Promoting exports in international markets 56% Coordinating and implementing trade policies 53% Protecting consumers (from bad or unsafe products, fraud 44% in retailing) Capacity building of local exporters 39% Domestic trade promotion 33% Coordinating trade negotiation with bilateral, regional, and 23% multilateral partners Research and analysis 13% Online processing of trade licenses and publication of 13% trade-related regulations Management of licenses at the borders 9% Source: Survey of MOC’s Stakeholders (2017) 43. The limited provision of support functions managed by the Minister’s Office is in contrast with most of other ministries of commerce or trade in the East Asia and Pacific Region. For example, in the Malaysian Ministry of Trade and Industry, all support functions by division report to the secretary general (equivalent to a permanent secretary in Myanmar). In the Indonesian Ministry of Trade, the secretary general leads divisions giving support services to other departments. Table 3. Comparison of Management of Providers Management of Providers Support Functions Myanmar MOC Malaysia MITI Indonesia MOT Secretary Internal audit Minister’s Office general Minister HR (staff rotation, hiring, release) Minister’s Office and DGs SG SG Training academy or institute DOT SG SG ICT DOT SG SG Legal bureau n/a SG SG Strategic planning n/a SG SG Donor coordination n/a SG SG Note: DGs = director generals; DOT = Department of Trade; HR = human resources; ICT = information and communications technology; MITI = Ministry of Trade and Industry; MOC = Ministry of Commerce; MOT = Ministry of Trade; n/a = not applicable; SG = secretary general. 44. Against this backdrop, the review recommends the Minister’s Office consider the following: • Empower the permanent secretary to ensure closer collaboration in planning tasks, defining strategic objectives, and ensuring policy coherence with the day-to-day work of the minister and deputy minister. This could be done by bringing planning and statistics under the permanent secretary. This unit may have access to external advisors to help MOC in dealing with emerging tasks (e.g., the PSD and SEZ committees). The permanent secretary may also 32 need to be supported by a head of office or a staff equivalent to deputy director general to help day-to-day management. • Centralize key management, administrative, and supporting functions in the Minister’s Office. These include Human resources (HR), ICT, internal audit, legal services, planning, and statistics. Most of these functions are offered by departments, with limited cross-support and synergy. Centralizing the provision of these functions, partially or fully, under the Minister’s Office or the Office of the Permanent Secretary would help strengthen strategic direction setting, improve coordination, concentrate scarce capacity, and improve sharing of information within the ministry. For example, a Human Resources Division under the Minister’s Office could manage recruitment, career planning, rotation across departments, discipline, promotion, and other HR issues for gazetted (or deputy director level and above) staff. The management of nongazetted staff (or remaining gazetted officers) can stay with the DGs.7 • Set up an International Relations Unit that would serve as a gatekeeper for engagement with development partners and manage the Aid for Trade program to support government and MOC strategic objectives (see Recommendation 5 for more discussion on Aid for Trade). Figure 19. Proposed Structure of the Minister’s Office in the MOC 1. Minister 2. Deputy Minister 1. Permanent Secretary 2. Deputy Permanent Secretary Planning and Policy and Rules Administration Statistics International Relations and Aid for Trade Human Finance and Information and Resources and Legal and internal audit Technology Training Communication Minister’s Office 7 See also Myanmar Pay, Compensation, and Human Resource Management Review, jointly undertaken by the government and the World Bank. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/167501522309579124/pdf/124697-WP-P162323-PUBLIC-Pay- review.pdf. 33 4.3. Optimizing Capacity Development Efforts Facilitating the rotation of high-potential staff, improving the ratio of gazetted staff, strengthening training tailored to new competency requirements, and building linkages with academia and think tanks can help develop the capacity of the department. 4.3.1. Improving Motivation for Better Performance 45. Disappointment over lack of recognition, low pay, and lack of merit-based promotion are cited as main reasons for considering early retirement (see Figure ). Around 40 percent of gazetted staff have been thinking of taking early retirement from MOC (see Figure). If desire to retire early or resign is a proxy for job dissatisfaction, significant proportion of staff can be considered being dissatisfied or unhappy. However, the ministry cannot improve the pay and compensation package of its staff. They are decided by central civil service policies. It can, nevertheless, improve its work environment, career prospects, and other nonfinancial aspects to help improve morale and attract high-quality staff. Factors like recognition and challenge at work could be more important to drive higher satisfaction. According to the staff survey, the major determinants for job satisfaction are fair treatment of subordinates by superiors, adequate pay and compensation, regular feedback and recognition of effort, and opportunity to utilize and develop their skills (see Figure ). Figure 20. Opinion on Taking Early Retirement or Resignation 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Dept. of Dept. of Trade Minister's Myantrade Total Consumer Office Affairs Yes No Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 34 Figure 21. Reasons for Thinking of Early Retirement or Resignation Others 39% 39% 22% Disappointed about lack of recognition 23% 46% 30% Low pay package 23% 45% 32% Inconvenient or unimportant postings that are not 21% 45% 34% based on merit Better opportunities outside government 16% 47% 37% To undertake social work 11% 60% 29% Frustration at being unable to contribute to society 8% 45% 47% To get away from political interference and 7% 30% 63% harassment To join politics 1%11% Very Important Important Not Important Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 46. It is useful to distinguish between human resource factors that cause satisfaction and dissatisfaction, respectively, when deriving policy implications from the survey. In Herzberg’s ideal type two-factor model (see Figure ), the key idea is that hygiene factors will not motivate, but if they are not there, they can lower motivation. The satisfiers on the other hand are key sources of job motivation. For instance, salary might over time come to be viewed as entitlements and lose the ability to motivate. So, it may not be a long-term solution to simply improve salary across the board for all public servants. Yet, if salary is perceived to be low, it will cause dissatisfaction and poor performance. Figure 22. Factors Determining Job Satisfaction Fair treatment of superiors to subordinates 61% 39% Adequate pay and compensation 57% 41% 2% Regular feedback and recognition of effort 48% 50% 2% Opportunity to utilize and develop one’s skills 43% 56% 1% Congenial work environment 41% 56% 3% Appropriate level of authority or autonomy 35% 57% 8% Challenging opportunities at work 26% 66% 8% Chance to make a useful contribution 21% 74% 4% Very Important Important Not Important Source: Survey of MOC Gazetted Staff (2017) 35 Figure 23. Herzberg’s Distinction Between Figure 24. Staff Perception on MOC as an “Satisfiers” and “Hygiene Factors” Employer I don't have Much experienc better e with 8% other employer Worse s 1% 16% Better 36% Same 39% Source: Herzberg (1968) Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 47. The strain of dissatisfaction may be due to larger civil service issues since a significant share of the staff perceives the ministry positively as an employer compared to other government entities— 8 percent of the staff viewed the ministry as a much better employer and 36 percent as a better employer. Only a small share of the staff (with only 1 percent) viewed the ministry as the worst employee (Error! Reference source not found.). 4.3.2. Improving Capacity to Meet New Requirements 48. Even though MOC is staffed with well-educated gazetted staff, only a small fraction of them holds undergraduate degrees in relevant subjects such as business, economics, and related studies (Figure ). Having officials with sound knowledge in economics, business, and other relevant subjects or at least the basics of critical thinking, analytical, and communication skills, either gained from solid undergraduate education and through strong ongoing specialized training, is important for the ministry to meet its increasing role in trade and PSD. 49. To address the new skills requirement and the shortage of staff with relevant education, the training function could be strengthened. The survey of MOC’s gazetted staff reveals that business and marketing is the most preferred subject to study, followed by information technology, in line with the ministry’s need (Figure 25). Hence, capacity building for staff in these subjects may be considered. These subjects are important for staff to develop their capacity given the increasing demand for the ministry to play a role in trade facilitation and promotion, modernization of licensing applications, and other special initiatives such as private sector development and special economic zones. To ensure that the training is needs based, it may be linked closely to organizational development needs and informed by MOC’s strategy, specifically a competency development plan. Training is just one among many instruments to improve capacity. Specifically, the inputs to implement the competency plan can be sourced from various inputs, such as job rotation, coaching on the job, and learning from outside experts. 36 Figure 25. Undergraduate Background of Figure 26. Preferred New Subjects to Study Gazetted Staff Agri. Science and Business or Tech., 1% Business and Marketing 80% Economics, 14% None, 4% Engineering or Information Technology 36% Computer Sci., 9% Others, 54% Economics and Public Policy 20% English, 7% International Law 16% Law, 6% Military Competition Policy 10% Academy, 5% Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 50. Even though the majority of staff use Figure 27: Familiarity with and Use of computer programs to perform their day-to- Information Technology Programs day work, a fraction of staff does not use any computer program (Figure 27). In addition, a Use of any computer 89% program? considerable share of staff does not use Use MS office last month? 72% fundamental information technology (IT) applications such as email and Microsoft Office Own computer workstation 71% at workplace? applications on a day-to-day basis. That could Use email last month? 55% indicate that IT capacity in the ministry is still low because fundamental office applications are Use other computer 14% program last month? not widely used. Along with lower use of Microsoft Excel, other analytical tools (for Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) instance, statistical packages) are not widely used in the ministry yet, which could suggest a need to improve the quantitative analytical skills of officers using suitable tools. 51. The staff emphasize the importance technology use and skills capacity as priorities that can bring improvement in MOC (Error! Reference source not found.). Although training programs have been provided during the past year, staff still feel they lack adequate skills to perform their duties, indicating the ineffectiveness of the training programs. The survey reveals that IT and language skills are essential for staff to fulfill their responsibilities. Skills training may be provided. 52. Developing the capacity of junior and mid-level staff may be one of the MOC’s medium- term priorities. More than half of MOC staff are already above 50 years of age, with a large gap in the number of mid-career staff (35-50 years old) and junior staff (under 35) (Error! Reference source not found.). Staff that are close to retirement age appear to be concentrated in DOCA and MyanTrade. Thus, it is essential for MOC to have a training plan for junior and mid-level staff to better prepare them for emerging tasks and to groom the next cadre of directors, deputy DGs, and DGs. The age profile of MOC reveals that the ministry needs a plan to develop the capacity of its younger staff, but 37 it also indicates a need to recruit junior (or younger) staff. Half of the gazetted staff are getting closer to the retirement age. Such large impending attrition is also an opportunity to change the skill profile of the ministry. A more comprehensive HR analysis that maps the functions, job descriptions, and competency profile would ensure a systematic approach, rather than just conducting general training of staff. Figure 28. Perceptions on Improvements to Bring to MOC Strategic leaders 76% 21% 4% Technology and access to data 76% 20% 4% Training and staff skills development 74% 22% 4% Stronger analytical work 68% 28% 4% Better salaries 66% 28% 6% Reorganization or reassignment of tasks 64% 33% 2% Delegation of powers or more autonomy 64% 30% 6% Work process and flow changes 62% 33% 4% More investment funds 58% 33% 8% More operation funds 57% 35% 7% More staff 40% 46% 14% Different type of staff 34% 55% 10% Agree Neutral Disagree Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) Figure 29. Age Profile of MOC 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Dept. of Dept. of Trade Minister's Office Myantrade Total Consumer Affairs Under 35 and Below Between 35 and 50 Above 50 Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 53. Learning on the job is cited as the most important source of learning source by the staff, followed by self-study, learning from outside experts, training programs, and learning from the internet. Understanding staff perceptions on different learning sources is also useful in strengthening capacity. (Error! Reference source not found.). Even though all the learning sources are considered important for skills development, training programs and learning from the internet are considered less important than other sources. This finding indicates that training programs may not be that 38 effective, and staff may not be quite comfortable utilizing available sources on the internet for learning. Figure 30. Sources of Learning for Skill Development Learning on the job 49% 51% Self-development or self-study 47% 52% 1% Mentoring by seniors 37% 62% 1% Learning from outside experts 25% 70% 5% Training programs 24% 74% 3% Internet 20% 73% 7% Very Important Important Not Important Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 54. The Ministry needs to prepare a capacity development plan, based on a competency profile, for its staff as most of them do not have relevant backgrounds to perform the functions of a modern commerce ministry. While it is important for the Ministry to take into account staff preferences for new subjects to study, an important driver may be the capacity demands of the ministry’s growing and changing responsibilities to create an enabling and conducive environment for businesses. In addition, the ministry may consider using up-to-date IT programs, along with building IT capacity of the staff, as a significant share of staff still does not use basic IT tools to do office work. 55. In addition to general skills, the trade specific skills also need special focus. These include international trade law, corporate law, business marketing etc. The need can be reviewed further after a more organized training need analysis based on the strategic priorities of the ministry and emerging needs. 56. Extensive investment in ICTs is also needed. The report has not reviewed the current or proposed IT systems in detail but clearly the systematic use of ICT is very limited. Coupled with careful capacity building and business process reform, investment in IT systems, can drive change, make some significant savings and improve services. 57. The Trade Training Institute in Yangon is aimed at lower-level officials from the private and the public sectors. It is not equipped, with staff or by its mandate, to train mid-level or senior managers. The Union Civil Service Board also does not provide this level of training given its mandate of developing cross-departmental managerial skills. The sporadic national or international courses offered by development partners are important, but are not systematic enough for broad skills development of officers. An option to explore is establishing degree programs on a considerable scale similar to, for example, support from the U.S. Agency for International Development to Indonesia. Box 2. USAID Program for Capacity Building at the Ministry of Trade of Indonesia After political transition, the Ministry of Trade of Indonesia was separated from Ministry of Industry and has a primary mandate to promote Indonesia’s trade interests and protect consumers’ safety. Strengthening capacity of staff to formulate policies and engage in complex environment was the immediate objective of Indonesia’s Ministry of Trade. The USAID capacity building program for Indonesia’s Ministry of Trade (MOT) partnered with University of Indonesia to introduce a one-year 39 Master degree on International Trade Law and Policy. The curriculum was designed jointly by USAID, MOT, and the University. Candidates from MOT were selected through interviews and given a full tuition scholarship to undertake the study. 58. Linkages with universities and think tanks will also help improve specialized training at lower cost. Ideally, local think tanks and universities may organize these trainings to lower cost and also to provide the private sector the opportunities to use these facilities. ideally run by local think tanks or private universities. Regular discussions and lectures by outside experts is another way to expose staff to new ideas. The possibility of leveraging the training facilities of other ministries, such as the proposed Public Financial Management Academy of the Ministry of Planning and Finance, may be explored till the time that more organized systems are not developed to deliver specialized trade related training. The responsibility for developing a training plan could be anchored in a new human resources division. 4.3.3. Providing Stretch Assignments 59. MOC could also form a task group consisting of staff from different departments to undertake certain tasks relevant for DGs or the Policy Unit of the Minister’s Office. Giving staff incentives to upgrade their skills is important. Another form of incentive and opportunity for skills improvement is by creating demand for skilled staff. A good example in MOC is the current formation of the Drafting Team for the Trade Law which consists of staff from various departments. This practice can facilitate the inclusion of expertise and views from different departments. This is also an example of learning on the job (or learning by doing), highlighted as the most important learning source for skill development among gazetted staff as shown. New arrangements may be needed to allow staff to work outside the direct command of their department DG. 4.3.4. Enhancing Information Flow Within the Ministry 60. The limited cohesion and information flow across departments in MOC can act as a limiting factor for large-scale reforms in the future. As in other government ministries and public bureaucracies, work tends to be organized by silos. It is typically formed within certain departments or directorates and often stays inside self-contained units within a ministry. Officers working in one department or directorate tend to stay and work within their confined space and mandate. Given that in Myanmar all gazetted staff (with minor exceptions) are recruited, rotated, and promoted within one department, the “silo” mentality can be exacerbated. Under these conditions, it is not easy to introduce change and reforms, or to have coordination and coherence, since there are few horizontal connections and social networks between different divisions. 61. This silo mentality can be unlocked by facilitating staff rotation across departments. Prescribed rotations within a career planning framework can help improve coordination and information flow across departments. They would also provide stretch challenges for staff and a break from the routine of one department, and help identify and groom high potential staff. 62. The Human Resources Division of the Minister’s Office could lead staff rotation across departments as a part of professional development and career promotion. The options for staff rotation would be to: • Facilitate two one-year rotations for young staff officers to work in different departments before they settle for six years; 40 • Require one or two three-year rotations to another department as a precondition for promotion to Director; or • Facilitate the circulation of the same or higher-level positions in other departments for mid-managers (assistant director or director). 4.3.5. Rationalizing Nongazetted Staffing 63. Traditionally, each gazetted officer has been supported by a team of nongazetted staff for filing, paperwork, and miscellaneous functions. The ratio of gazetted to nongazetted staff stands at one to five. However, two factors indicate this ratio may, over the course of future recruitments, be changed to one to three. The growing use of IT is decreasing the need for filing and paperwork, and therefore the need for support staff. The increasing demand for regulatory and policy work and the increasing use of IT, require higher level of skills and education, which can only be found among gazetted staff. 4.3.6. Creating Linkages 64. The MOC may develop linkages with the private sector, academic institutions, and civil society to improve policy capacity. The demand for high-level analytics and policy development and analysis cannot entirely be filled within the Ministry. At a minimum, more data sharing by the Ministry with local partners—for example, the production yields data collected nationally by the Consumer Affairs Department—can help improve analysis and diffusion of information. 4.3.7. Improving Diversity 65. Improving diversity in terms of ethnicity and gender to promote inclusiveness in the workplace could expand the pool of talent available. The gazetted staff survey reveals that the ministry is dominated by the Bamar ethnic group with 89 percent (Figure and 31), whereas the Bamar ethnic population accounts for 68 percent of the nation. This pattern could partly explain the lower share of non-Bamar ethnic groups being employed as gazetted staff. The Ministry is more diverse in terms of gender as 45 percent of gazetted staff are female and 55 percent male. However, women tend to concentrate in the lower gazetted ranks since director and above are mostly males. 66. Several avenues for supporting women and minorities can be used. Many countries – India for lower caste groups, Pakistan for provinces, Malaysia for Malays - stipulate time-barred recruitment quotas to implement affirmative action programs for historically disadvantaged groups. If direct quotas are not possible because of the potential clash with some interpretation of the constitution guaranteeing equality irrespective of race, gender and other factors, women and minorities can be fast tracked by the Ministry by providing more training, career and leadership opportunities to develop a pipeline of talent. 41 Figure 31. Ethnic Diversity Across Different Figure 32. Gender Diversity Across Different Positions Positions Senior Management 83% 17% Senior Management 17% 83% Director 88% 12% Director 23% 77% Deputy Director 88% 11% Deputy Director 41% 59% Assistant Director 92% 7% Staff Officer 87% 14% Assistant Director 44% 56% Staff Officer 52% 48% Bamar Non-Bamar Female Male Source: Survey of MOC’s Gazetted Staff (2017) 4.4. Strengthening Leadership and Managing Change 67. Collective leadership is central to drive change. This functional review necessarily focuses on the organizational of departments and functions and suggests several reforms, including strengthening the office of the permanent secretary. It is important to note however that the minister or the PS alone cannot drive fundamental change. Collective leadership approach involving all management is likely to have more impact may have more impact than relying mostly on the PS to drive the reform. 68. Gradual introduction of modern performance management systems in the ministry will also help drive change. Adapted to the context, these could be phased in a manner to avoid any disruption in the functioning of the ministry and can be. Results agreements between the minister and the DGs and between the DGs and the division heads with clear performance indicators, linked with the overall goals of the Ministry, could help improve performance of the entire Ministry. The KPIs could be linked with simple professional and psychological incentives such as national or international. 4.5. Optimizing Resources and Support from Development Partners To ensure the coherence of support from development partners for the government’s strategy and coordinate implementation, MOC may establish an International Relations Unit under the Minister’s Office to manage (i) relationships with development partners, and (ii) implementation of Aid for Trade projects. 69. During the last five years several development partners have provided assistance to MOC. These include a number of multilateral and bilateral development partners, such as the WTO, World Bank Group, Asian Development Bank, European Union, Australia, Japan, South Korea, United Kingdom and United States. 70. Setting up an Aid for Trade Unit can help MOC coordinate and monitor implementation and mobilize more resources from development partners. Existing funding from the WTO can be used to further develop projects. Continuing to keep Aid for Trade under the WTO Division of DOT may be challenging as the division’s capacity is concentrated on liaising with the WTO and not on project implementation. Therefore, having a dedicated unit will improve coordination, monitoring, and reporting of implementation projects, particularly those that are implemented by MOC and other government departments. In the absence of a clear national Aid for Trade agenda, it will be challenging 42 for MOC to ensure the synergy between a development partner’s support program and the strategic objectives of MOC and the government. 71. An International Relations and Aid for Trade division led by a director may serve two key functions. It can act as a “gate keeper” for coordinating donor support for MOC, to ensure that proposed support is aligned with MOC strategic priorities and the policies of the government. The division can also manage the implementation of an Aid for Trade program which requires capacity in project management, procurement, and communicating results. The division can be led by a director, includes international and national advisors, and long-term consultants specializing in different issues (e.g., Aid for Trade, trade policy, procurement, and contracts) and funded from the WTO-led Aid for Trade (A4T) multilateral initiative. 72. Ministry of Commerce can build on the experience of other least developed countries in maximizing the benefit of A4T to their economies. Both Cambodia and Lao PDR have experience in implementing multi-sector A4T program for almost two decades. Both countries also have been major recipients of A4T support. Below is a structure for MOC to consider for guiding the implementation of A4T-funded projects in Myanmar. Figure 33. Proposed Structure for International Relations and Aid for Trade Unit Permanent Secretary Deputy Permanent Secretary Director International Relations and Aid for Trade Advisors (national Deputy Director and international) Finance and Procurement Technical Units Administration Officers Finance officers Analysts Support staff Communication Funded with support from the Aid for Trade multilateral initiative. 4.6. Realigning Functions of Departments 73. MOC has a similar role to the ministries of commerce and trade in ASEAN countries, particularly on trade negotiation and promotion. A snapshot of typical tasks of ministries in selected countries can help indicate functions the MOC needs to develop (see Annex 4). Similar to the Indonesian Ministry of Trade, Myanmar’s MOC also issues trade licenses and is not tasked to develop 43 industrial policies. Promoting consumer protection and overseeing domestic trade are also within the mandates of the Indonesian Ministry of Trade and Malaysian Ministry of Industry and Trade. 4.6.1 Reorganizing the Department for Trade into a Department for Foreign Trade 74. The Department of Trade has been the central plank of MOC in developing and promoting trade in Myanmar. DOT administered trade licenses and conducted border trade operations during Myanmar’s socialist period. It has also been present in border areas to encourage and manage cross- border trade. Since 2011, DOT introduced automation in processing trade licenses and a trade portal, and has been proactive in supporting Myanmar’s engagement with WTO and neighboring countries. Accordingly, DOT has invested in capacity and knowledge to implement policies to facilitate and encourage cross-border trade. 75. Several of DOT’s functions and proposed expansions need to be reviewed against results effectiveness. For example, a training center can serve staff from other departments and provide the training needs for MOC HR strategy and planning. Aid for Trade has an operational function to support MOC in implementing its priorities. In this context, the senior management of MOC may want to review activities of DOT (and other departments) based on the following considerations: • Assessing the span of control of the DG and deputy DGs. DOT has 13 divisions with at least three different work areas—export-import, e-licensing, and border trade; bilateral, regional, and multilateral trade relations; and competition policy. Adding another division or function can overstretch management in monitoring and implementing MOC program and priorities. They can also create “competing goals” that drain energy and undermine the focus of DOT managers. • Combining and rationalizing divisions. There is a case for DOT and other departments to combine certain divisions to reduce the number of directors and to increase effectiveness. Within DOT, the Accounting, Finance, and Planning Divisions can be merged into an Administrative and Planning Division. • Centralizing support functions under the permanent secretary. Several functions, such as audit, ICT, a training center, and Aid for Trade, are support functions for all departments that may be coordinated and managed under Office of the Permanent Secretary. This also applies to other departments in MOC because centralizing the management of support functions can help increase efficiency. Table 4. Proposed Restructuring of DOT into Department for Foreign Trade Divisions of the Remarks Recommendations Department of Trade (DOT) Finance Managing finance issues of DOT Merge these three divisions into an Accounting Managing accounting reports Administrative and Planning Division; Planning and Statistics Managing planning of activities transfer the statistics function to the and data collection Trade Policy Division Internal Audit Performing audit for DOT Unless there is a strong case, this activities and budgetary use function may be under the Office of the Permanent Secretary Information Technology Supporting demand for ICT in Merge to form a Trade Facilitation and DOT Documents Processing Unit with a strong Export and Import Main role is issuing trade capacity in ICT, involvement in WTO TFA licenses implementation, and liaisons with other departments (e.g., customs, quarantine) Trade Policy Responsible for analysis and Consider turning this into a Trade Policy monitoring policies Analysis Division; the capacity of this division may be strengthened with the 44 possibility of forming a “core-of- excellences” staff who cover industry topics (including services) and SPS/TBT to policy analysis for inputs to policies and trade negotiations WTO and International Tasks generally follow WTO Options are (i) transfer these functions to Organizations agenda a new Department for Trade Regional Economic MOC may expect more demand Negotiation; (ii) keep them under DOT to Cooperation for negotiation from these support negotiations led by the Office of Bilateral Trade Relation divisions the Permanent Secretary Border Post Coordination Manage staff in border posts Consider phasing out presence in border and Supervision and trade zones for inspection post as Myanmar moves to a customs, and issuance of licenses immigration, and quarantine system for border management; consider turning this division into a support trade zone (local economic zone) and MOC in developing SEZs Competition Division Supports MOC in implementing Explore the possibility of co-shared the competition law functions with Consumer Affairs and Domestic Trade Trade Education (Training) Provides courses for the private Turn this into a Trade Institute under the sector on export and import Office of the Permanent Secretary to procedures provide a capacity building program for all MOC staff Trade Defense and Not yet available Consider establishing this function, Antidumping perhaps can start under Trade Policy Division until it has a clear work plan 76. Refocusing functions of DOT around its core competence can increase effectiveness of MOC. DOT already has operational experience in handling trade licenses. It also has experience in conducting and implementing policies to promote trade facilitation. This functional review recommends that DOT focus its tasks on the following core areas: • Processing trade permits and licenses for traders. DOT has strong capacity in handling export and import processes through an electronic platform. It may also continue managing the Trade Portal to help traders in getting official information for requirements for exporting and importing. With this capacity, DOT may be the focal department of MOC to participate in a national single window for trade facilitation. • Support MOC in formulating and advocating reforms in trade facilitation. DOT has experience and familiarity with WTO and ASEAN agendas for trade facilitation, e.g., WTO, TFA, and ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement (ATIGA). In coordination with Customs and other departments, DOC can continue to support MOC in formulating and advocating policy reforms in trade facilitation, including international e-commerce. DOT may also be the focal department to support MOC in coordinating implementation of the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement and other commitments of WTO and ATIGA. MOC may reconsider refocusing DOT tasks away from the documentary issuance of licenses at border posts. Instead, DOT can help develop policies, in coordination with Customs, to encourage trade through formal channel. • Support MOC in industry and policy analyses. DOT can establish a "core-of-excellences” staff— a group of three or four staff led by assistant directors or directors, to specialize in industry topics, such as agriculture, fisheries, light manufacturing and selected services (retail and 45 business). Outputs from the core-of-excellences staff can inform policy formulation in MOC and contribute to negotiating position and trade promotion strategy. • Coordinate preparation for investigation and formulation of a dumping margin. With experiences and familiarity of WTO rules and global trading systems, DOT may coordinate the development of materials to support the future Antidumping Commission, including the proposed dumping margin that Customs needs to collect (or refund if an investigation finds no evidence of dumping). • Support MOC in promoting and developing SEZs. MOC may want to consider tasking DOT to provide core support for MOC involvement in promoting SEZ. DOT is already engaged in developing and managing trade zones and is likely to have certain capacity to undertake this task. 77. The MOC also may want to set up a plan and timeline to withdraw from handling licenses and coordinating inspections at inland border posts. MOC already offers online processing for trade licenses, connected to the Customs Automatic Declaration System. Modern border management practices also suggest that stronger cooperation is needed among agencies involved in inspections, cargo clearance, and facilitation of the movement of people, which are tasks currently done by Customs, Immigration, and Quarantine. Furthermore, the ASEAN Agreement on Customs, signed in 2012, suggests customs agencies would be the focal point for coordinating trade facilitation at border checkpoints (see article 47 (1) of the agreement). 78. MOC's role in trade facilitation could be refocused on policy advocacy and on promoting transparency through its Trade Portal, while moving away from the transactional issuance of licenses at the border. Significantly reducing the presence of MOC staff at border posts could also improve the operational efficiency of MOC. In FY 2016/17, MOC had 157 staff at border posts, 40 of whom were gazetted staff. Muse is the busiest post, with 50 staff handling 57 percent of all import and export licenses issued at land border posts. On average though, staff in Muse issued about nine licenses per month, or less than one license per day (Figure ). Eliminating or significantly reducing the presence at border posts would allow MOC to free up some resources to meet the new demands of its role (e.g., promotion, negotiation). Figure 34. Number of MOC Staff in Border Posts and Number of Licenses Issued per Month in FY 2016/17 60 10 9 50 8 No. of License 7 No. of staff 40 6 30 5 4 20 3 10 2 1 0 0 Border Posts No. of staff in border post License issued/month (right axis) Source: MOC data 46 79. The MOC may also want to reconsider the role of DOT in competition policy and the Myanmar Competition Commission. Most of the countries in the region have independent competition commissions led by independent commissioners. However, competition issues are mainly "behind the border" which falls beyond the regular function of DOT. Malaysia, for example, has competition policy under Domestic Trade. Indonesia has an independent commission, and the Ministry of Trade is not involved in the Competition Commission. Given the limited internal capacity of MOC in competition policy and to reduce the risk of conflict of interest, it may be necessary to limit the role of MOC in selecting commissioners by setting up a selection committee of government officials and professionals. 4.6.2. Strengthening Functions for Cooperation and Trade Negotiations 80. The responsibilities for trade negotiations are spread across several Myanmar government agencies. MOC is leading engagement and negotiations for issues discussed under the WTO while the Ministry of Planning and Finance handles negotiations under the ASEAN agenda for regional integration. In services, the Ministry of Transport and Communication represents Myanmar in ASEAN services negotiations. This separation of the mandate can create difficulties in coordinating a common position, ensuring consistency in approach, and increasing effectiveness in international economic diplomacy. This situation also can cause difficulty in coordinating follow-up in the implementation of commitments. 81. In view of Myanmar’s increasing trade integration and as a party to several trade agreements, there is a strong rationale to strengthen its negotiation capability. Myanmar is a party to ASEAN negotiation initiatives, including the agreements on trade in goods, comprehensive investment, services, customs, and facilitation of goods in transit. At the same time, ASEAN Plus Six countries are also concluding a mega-regional agreement. Myanmar is also party to the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation. To support negotiations and engagement in various forums, MOC needs the capacity to consolidate inputs from different departments. It may develop the capacity to coordinate inputs from other government agencies and departments as well as consultations with stakeholders. Also, MOC may need to communicate the key outcome of each negotiation round to other senior government officials so information can cascade down to their staff. 82. MOC will be the right ministry to house a “National Secretariat” for participating in trade negotiations. Activities may be performed in cooperation with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. A full- time secretariat plays an important role for coordinating preparation across ministries before negotiations, which often entails a technical and legal study, consultations with stakeholders, a mapping request-offer, and communication of the results of each negotiation round. Although MOC senior staff may not lead negotiation or the delegation, MOC can host a secretariat to provide a support function for trade negotiation. 83. To strengthen cooperation and trade negotiation functions, MOC can consider the following options: • Form a Strategic Division led by a director under the permanent secretary to lead coordination and preparation for new trade negotiations. The negotiations can be led by a former ambassador or senior government officials with the support from this division. This approach is similar with 47 the practices of Malaysia's Ministry of Trade and Industry. This approach assumes that the division can obtain seamless cooperation from various departments and has the capacity to coordinate inputs from other stakeholders on issues in trade in goods and services. It also assumes DOT or the Department of Trade Promotion has the capacity to participate in regular forums (e.g., bilateral, ASEAN, and WTO). • Establish a Department for Trade Cooperation and Negotiation led by a DG. Having a dedicated department can provide MOC stronger capacity to coordinate trade negotiations activities. Having a DG leading this department can also help MOC in coordinating inputs and gaining cooperation from other government agencies. The staff of this department can also develop capacity on different negotiation topics, such as services trade, ICT, and goods; however, this option may incur higher costs associated with administration and overhead. This approach is used by the Thai Ministry of Commerce and the Indonesian Ministry of Trade. 4.6.3. Revamping the Trade Promotion Function 84. Myanmar’s integration into global and regional trade markets necessitates a more proactive trade promotion. Trade promotion is usually done through a trade promotion agency (TPA). A study involving 103 TPAs around the world suggests that, on average, they make a positive impact on export development (Lederman et al. 2010). The main justification for government support through a TPA is the market’s failure to address information asymmetry. Individual firms are less willing to invest in marketing and gathering contact and market information if such efforts can be easily replicated by competitors. Therefore, a market mechanism is likely to deliver too little information for exporters, particularly those who would like to export a new product or to a new market. Challenges and risks associated with exporting to a new market can also be too high for individual firms to take. Thus, many governments also support trade promotion through export insurance. 85. The design of a TPA matters for export performance. Typically, there are four types of TPA: (i) part of a ministry’s unit; (ii) a semi-autonomous institution reporting to the government; (iii) a public-private entity; and (iv) a private entity. With a large part of the TPA’s operational budget coming from the government, a global study suggests a strong correlation between having a board with members from the private sector and a TPA’s performance (Lederman et al. 2009). In other words, accountability, responsibility, and flexibility in hiring competent people have a positive influence on the effectiveness of using public funds to promote trade. Table 5. Typical Attributes of a Trade Promotion Agency in Neighboring Countries Country Name Setup Core Features Other Relevant Statutory Bodies or Program Indonesia Department Department under 1. Organizes buyers- • National Creative for National the Ministry of suppliers matching, Agency (semi- Export Trade, led by a supports participation autonomous agency Development director general of exporters in key reporting to the foreign trade fairs, president) gathers market • Investment information Coordination Board 2. Coordinates activities • Exim Bank and Export of commercial attaché Guarantee Agency 48 offices and trade centers abroad 3. National export branding Malaysia Malaysia Established as a • Similar to 1, 2, and 3 • Pemudah, a public- External Trade public corporation • Offers grants and a private entity for Development external to the range of services to an promoting investment Corporation, Ministry of Trade individual exporter reforms known as and Industry, led by • Has the capability to • MIDA, investment MATRADE a chief executive borrow funds board officer reporting to • SME-Corp, semi- a board consisting autonomous under the of government and Ministry of Trade and private sector Industry representatives • Malaysia Exim Bank Philippines Center for Department under • Similar to 1 and 3 • Board of Investment International Ministry of Trade • Organizes creative • Philippines Exim Bank Trade and Industry, led by events (e.g., fashion • Entrepreneurship Exposition and a director general designs) program, e.g., One Mission Town One Village Thailand Department of Department under • Similar to 1, 2, and 3 • Thai Board of International Ministry of Trade, Investment Trade led by a director • Thai Exim Bank Promotion general • Entrepreneurship program, e.g., One Tambon One Product Vietnam Vietrade Department under • Similar with 1, 2, and 3 • Department of Vietnam Ministry of • Entrepreneurship Investment and Trade and Industry, development program Planning led by a director • Exim Bank general 86. Strengthening the trade promotion function of MOC is critical to respond to growing demand from stakeholders. The stakeholders’ survey suggests this function is important and needed by Myanmar’s private sector. Given MOC’s mandate, trade promotion involves MyanTrade and DOCA. To ensure synergy, MOC may want to consider the following demarcation of activities: • The DOCA will promote domestic commerce through policies in retailing, consumer protection for e-commerce, and franchising. In cooperation with MyanTrade, DOCA will work with selected associations of producers to organize thematic trade fairs for domestic consumers (e.g., handicrafts or traditional clothes). • MyanTrade will promote Myanmar products to foreign markets and support DOCA in domestic trade promotion. This include managing international trade fairs; developing and implementing a matching grant scheme for potential exporters to join the international value chain; and managing relationship with trade attaches and counselors. 87. The MOC needs a transition plan to turn MyanTrade into the trade promotion agency of Myanmar. Box 3 presents the TPA of Singapore and its services to promote exports. However, MyanTrade cannot be expected to function as TPA providing services to exporters. MyanTrade would need a plan (capacity building, resources) to gradually perform promotion functions. It is also important to realize that many TPAs in other countries rely on professionals to perform export marketing (e.g., trade fairs for Indonesia and the Philippines) or to have TPA established as a statutory body (e.g., MATRADE in Malaysia) that can hire professionals to provide services to exporters. 49 Regardless of the various options for the structure and form, a well-functioning TPA will generally need to have the following elements: • Responsiveness and professionalism. TPA interacts with private companies and may deliver value in its services. Therefore, TPA needs the ability to hire professionals from the market and deploy experienced staff. • Accountability and transparency in use of public funds. TPA needs to be transparent and accountable in how it uses public funds to support the private sector. If the TPA is able collect a fee for services, it may also be transparent on how fees are managed and spent. • Discipline in monitoring and willingness to evaluate intervention and program. To be successful TPA would need to track results from interventions (e.g., new exports, job creation). It also may evaluate how the intervention is creating impact for recipients compared to non-recipients. Box 3. Trade Promotion Efforts and the Agency of Singapore Over the past 30 years, Singapore’s trade promotion efforts have been led by International Enterprise (IE) Singapore, a statutory government agency under the Ministry of Trade and Industry. Apart from spearheading initiatives aimed at supporting the internationalization of Singapore companies, IE Singapore’s mandate also includes attracting global commodities traders to establish their global or Asian home bases in Singapore and connecting businesses with relevant Singapore-based companies for their business expansion. IE Singapore has a network of offices spanning many developed and emerging markets around the globe. In 2016, IE Singapore helped 34,000 firms, up from 28,000 in 2014. The agency's total headcount, which includes its 39 overseas centers in major business capitals, has remained fairly constant at about 500 staff. IE staff have the opportunity to embark on three- to four- year overseas rotations, during which their responsibilities include nurturing the organization’s network of contacts in the private sector and counterpart government agencies, as well as identifying business opportunities and providing market insights and consultancy services to Singapore companies. IE Singapore originated from a reorganization of what used to be called the Singapore Trade Development Board (TDB). The TDB was formed in 1983 to develop Singapore as an international trading hub, promoting the nation's goods and services. This rebranding coincided with an acknowledgment that Singapore had to move beyond its investment-led and electronics-dominated export base and diversify sources of growth. TDB was renamed International Enterprise Singapore on April 12, 2002 to mark a strategic shift in activities, which was to focus less on export promotion and more on helping Singaporean businesses start and develop their business overseas. Presently, IE Singapore offers services to help Singapore-based enterprises, including SMEs, export, develop business capabilities, find overseas markets, and enter new markets. The organization’s support for trade promotion can be categorized in three key ways, namely, by expanding a company’s network of contacts, by building competencies, and by providing capital support. IE Singapore's global presence and extensive network of key business and government contacts offer companies the necessary connections to venture overseas. Enterprises can take part in business missions, networking sessions, and trade fairs to find overseas partners. To support private sector efforts to improve competencies, IE Singapore offers a wide range of assistance programs and resources to help build competencies in alliance formation, branding, design, export, intellectual property, and the workforce. Companies can also build market knowledge through support from IE Singapore. They can also obtain personalized in- depth advice from consultants in its advisory centers. Lastly, IE Singapore offers a range of financial tools, grants, and tax incentives to help enterprises gain access to capital, develop their financial management capabilities, and defray developmental costs of expanding overseas. 88. The MOC may be authorized to appoint trade counselors and set up trade offices abroad, in consultation with relevant ministries. Ideally, trade counselors may have a senior profile and report 50 to the permanent secretary or minister. Because of an important role in promoting Myanmar's interest, the positions may be filled by qualified persons who perform the following functions: (i) gathering market intelligence for the Myanmar government and private sector; (ii) lobbying for Myanmar market access interests and attracting investments; and (iii) supporting the broader economic interests of Myanmar abroad. 89. Appointment of trade counselors, however, may be coordinated with Ministry of Foreign Affairs to ensure smooth working relationships and to preserve unity of Myanmar’s mission abroad. Trade counselors have the authority to set up offices and be provided with budget for recruiting local staff and consultants to support their work. MyanTrade may have a division to support trade counselors in setting up their work abroad and administering their reporting to MOC. 4.6.4. Defining the Scope of Domestic Trade Work Under DOCA 90. The Department of Consumer Affairs is a new unit tasked with promoting consumer interests and domestic trade. It was established after Myanmar passed the 2014 Consumer Protection Law with its main function being to raise public awareness of product safety. It helps solve consumer complaints and disputes between the consumer and the producer, seller, or manufacturer around both products and services, and inspects products in the market. As required by law, DOCA has a Central Committee for Consumer Protection and a Dispute Arbitration Board chaired by the Minister. Similar committees can also be established at the state and regional levels (chaired by regional ministers and consumer affairs officers from states). MOC has proposed amending the Consumer Protection Law to include the role and responsibilities of DOCA. Recently MOC has tasked the DOCA to promote domestic trade in Myanmar. 91. The MOC may review the role of DOCA in consumer safety inspections to minimize the risk of rent seeking. Currently, DOCA performs inspections at the district office level and plans to expand the coverage to the township level. While inspection is a common approach to ensure compliance, there is a risk of misuse in authority which can be costly for the private sector. Therefore, the issue is not the inspection function itself, but how it is designed to work to support regulatory compliance in a cost-effective way. Table 6. Recommendations for Divisions Under the Department of Consumer Affairs Division or Offices Recommendations Administration Division These two divisions can be merged into an Administrative and Planning Accounting Division Division with a focus on coordinating and monitoring activities. DOCA may want to consider combining this division with the Research Division for Consumer Affairs and Domestic Trade, which would allow the division to provide policy analysis on domestic trade policy and Policy and Statistics Division consumer protection policy issues. General information and communications technology (ICT) support may be centralized under the Minister’s Office or the Office of the Permanent Information, Technology, and Secretary. But the use of specific ICT tools for inspection, data collection, Quality Control Division and quality control can be provided by this division. Consumer Affairs Division Strengthen capacity. Product Safety Division Strengthen capacity. These offices are more for operations at the ground level. Greater State, regional, and district cooperation is needed between this division and other main divisions of offices the department. 51 92. DOCA may apply a risk-based approach to inspection. This means that DOCA may avoid inspecting all businesses to ensure compliance. This approach would be ineffective, create a burden on the private sector, and possibly discourage compliance. Developing inspection protocols based on risk will be critical. Moreover, Myanmar does not yet have a National Quality Infrastructure for advising MOC and consumers on product safety standards. To avoid conflicts of interest, MOC may not introduce standards without deciding how they may be enforced. 93. MOC needs to assume a more proactive approach about dialogue on standards, and DOCA can be the focal point. Product standards are normally set by an independent institution under the umbrella of a National Quality Infrastructure. Currently the responsibility for developing standards in Myanmar is still with the Department of Science and Technology of the Ministry of Education. It is important for MOC to engage in this subject to ensure compatibility of proposed standards and technical regulations with relevant WTO agreements. 94. DOCA needs to carefully consider the scope and limitations of price stabilization. Through DOCA, MOC monitors and collects price data of key products, and if needed, may intervene to stabilize prices. The existing mechanism for MOC to stabilize prices is the revolving fund that can be used to buy rice during overproduction or deploy emergency supplies if a severe natural disaster occurs. Under the latter condition, MOC can also introduce temporary export restrictions on certain products. A discussion is taking place on how DOCA can respond to a sudden increase in the prices of basic commodities that is not caused by natural disaster. However, pursuing price stabilization without clear analysis can be distortive and lead to dangerous precedence of costly public-price stabilization. 95. MOC needs to further clarify and develop the domestic trade function of DOCA. There is not yet a clear work plan for DOCA on domestic trade. However, interviews suggest that DOCA is contemplating various options, including working on a value chain of certain products sold for domestic market and promoting retailing and franchising in Myanmar. But domestic trade covers a wider range of topics for strategic decision making by MOC, such as: • Promoting domestic products. DOCA may identify policies where MOC can influence the competitiveness of domestic products and incentive schemes that will persuade entrepreneurs to increase their product quality. The former may include policy measures to improve the business environment. The latter may include incentive measures to support entrepreneurs in achieving quality "Made in Myanmar" products and services. • Trademarks and geographical indicators. These forms of property rights can promote trade and awareness of Myanmar products. A law on intellectual property rights is being prepared for submission to parliament; however, Myanmar is yet to set up implementation arrangement to make the law supportive for businesses. 4.7. References Aung, Winston Set. 2011. “Informal Trade and Underground Economy in Myanmar.” IRASEC Occasional Paper No. 04, Observatory Series, Research Institute on Contemporary Southeast Asia, Bangkok, Thailand. Besedes, Tibor, and Thomas J. Prusa. 2011. “The Role of Extensive and Intensive Margins and Export Growth.” Journal of Development Economics 96 (2): 371–379. Herzberg, Frederick. 1968. "One More Time: How Do You Motivate Employees?" Harvard Business Review 46 (1): 53–62. 52 Lederman, Daniel, Marcelo Olarreaga, and Lucy Payton. 2009. “Export Promotion Agencies Revisited.” Policy Research Working Paper No. 5125, World Bank, Washington, DC. ———. 2010. “Export Promotion Agencies : Do They Work?” Journal of Development Economics 91: 257–265. 53 54 96. This functional review of the Ministry of Commerce presents a wide range of recommendations for reform of the structure and capacity of the ministry. Some suggestions, such as restructuring the Minister’s Office and strengthening the role of the permanent secretary, may need the sanction of the union cabinet. Suggestions for additional budget for MyanTrade may need discussions with the Ministry of Planning and Finance. Recalibration of the ratio of gazetted officers relative to nongazetted staff at the ministry level can be done through workforce attrition. Other ideas such as the rotation of officers can be implemented within the ministry through an internal decision- making process. 97. Implementing organizational change is never easy and needs sustained, inventive efforts. Old habits, legacy processes, weak capacity and pockets of vested are likely, as is often the case in any developing country, likely to challenge implementation of the recommendations. This change management strategy could draw on a range of tools such as problem-driven workshops, knowledge exchanges, communications and stakeholder alignment, incentives rewarding performance, adaptive leadership and implementation coaching. 98. Gradual introduction of modern performance management systems in the ministry will also help. Adapted to the context, it could be phased in a manner to avoid any disruption in the functioning of the ministry and can be. Results agreements between the minister and the DGs and between the DGs and the division heads with clear performance indicators, linked with the overall goals of the ministry, could help improve performance of the entire ministry. The KPIs could be linked with simple professional and psychological incentives such as national or international trainings, honorable mentions, internal visibility etc (see Annex 3 for an example of KPI). 99. Table 7 presents a snapshot of reform options including suggested timelines and administrative considerations. Table 7. Planning and Implementing Reform Options: A Snapshot Proposed Responsibilities and Reform Options Possible timeline Operational Steps Recommendation Set 1: Strengthening the Minister’s Office is fundamental to drive reform within MOC and promote sound policies. Empower the permanent secretary to ensure Minister and cabinet decision with closer coordination and collaboration in permanent secretary responsible relation to planning tasks, defining strategic for operational aspects. objectives, and ensuring policy coherence with 6 months the day-to-day work of the minister and deputy minister. Improve planning and policy formulation. Minister decision with vice Strategic direction from the minister, deputy minister and permanent secretary minister, and permanent secretary is needed to overseeing implementation. ensure the alignment of each department’s activities with the vision and mission of the 6 months Ministry of Commerce (MOC), and more importantly, with the economic policies of the government. Centralize key organizational functions: Permanent secretary oversees the information and communications technology process. In one month’s time, the (ICT), human resources (HR), internal audit, 12 months permanent secretary’s staff legal services, planning, and statistics in the prepares a process action plan for Minister’s Office. integrating these functions within 55 the Minister’s Office and implementation completed in 10 months for all functions. Strengthen the Secretariat for the Trade and Development of a draft work plan Business Promotion Task Force and the Private and draft descriptions of the Sector Development Committee. This task force secretariat’s functions. Permanent has a key coordinating function across the secretary to guide the process and trade sector and may have a full-time 6 months minister to provide final approval secretariat and strong links and networks with of work plan and terms of the private sector. This secretariat may also reference. report directly to the permanent secretary. Establish an International Relations and Aid Permanent secretary oversees for Trade Unit. This unit will be responsible for development of organizational coordinating implementation of programs on terms of reference for the division. trade supported by development partners Staff (DPs), including support for liaising with sector 6 months recruitment in consultation with coordination groups and the Donor Assistance the Union Civil Service Board Coordination Unit. (UCSB) and MOC senior management. Minister approves new structure. Strengthen the communications function with Development of action plan by the particular emphasis on dissemination of policies Minister’s Office in close and reform direction through development of a consultation with other MOC communications action plan. 12 months departments. Recruitment of relevant staff. A dedicated website would be the first step in this strategy. Recommendation Set 2: Strengthening organizational and staff capacity to meet new policy requirements. Create interdepartmental task groups drawn Coordinated through the from MOC staff to solve specific tasks and Minister’s Office and the Office of problems. This is a project-oriented approach. the Permanent Secretary but The format may include a clear description of technical work driven by relevant the objective of the ad-hoc working group, policy departments and divisions. Ad-hoc as required department, or division leading the group, time frame with clear milestones including a specific deadline for work completion, and resources needed. Important to keep the number of task groups at a limited level. Facilitate staff rotation across departments. HR Division—when and if Prescribed rotations within a career planning established—in the Minister’s Staff to rotate every framework. Office to develop and manage 2-4 years scheme for staff rotation across departments. Increase the ratio of gazetted staff relative to HR Division—when and if nongazetted staff from one to four to one to 5-year period but established—in the Minister’s three. Adjustment to happen over a 5-year starting as soon as Office to assume responsibility, in period facilitated by natural workforce attrition. possible close cooperation with UCSB. Increase linkages with the private sector, Coordinated by Minister’s Office academic institutions, and civil society to with involvement of relevant improve policy capacity. The demand for high- departments and divisions. level analytical and policy development skills 1 year cannot be met entirely from within the ministry. Regular sessions with stakeholders to discuss policy issues and constraints, e.g., 56 through national and regional private sector forums. Review and strengthen the training function A competency framework and a based on MOC’s new skills requirements. The training plan to be developed by a supply of training may be demand-driven. cross-ministerial working group, 6 months referring to the vice minister. If an HR Division is established, it would assume key responsibility. Strengthen inclusiveness by increasing the HR Division—if and when share of females in senior leadership positions established—in close cooperation and by setting up programs to increase the Could be initiated as with UCSB. In the meantime, the intake of non-Bamar groups into gazetted soon as possible Minister’s Office will lead the positions. process. Invest in ICT systems. Careful investments in ICT Detailed analysis of IT needs to be capacity, processes and systems can drive 3-24 months conducted followed by change, save money, and improve services. investments in capacity building. Develop and implement a change management This is an ongoing process. The plan. This plan could draw on a range of tools revamped PS office to lead this such as collective leadership, problem-driven ongoing process. workshops, knowledge exchanges, 6-24 months communications and stakeholder alignment, performance management, adaptive leadership and implementation coaching. Recommendation Set 3: MOC may establish a plan for the use of development assistance, among other things developing a needs assessment of support required. Establishing an Aid for Trade Unit will help to guide this process. MOC may establish a plan for using development assistance that includes a needs assessment of the type of support wanted and the establishment of an Aid for Trade Unit to help guide this process. Alignment of DP support to MOC’s strategic Draft functional description of needs and policies and coordination of DP new Aid for Trade Unit developed support to avoid overlap will be essential tools by the International Cooperation for strengthening policy and institutional Department and approved by the capacity. Establishing an Aid for Trade Unit to 12 months minister (3 months). Aid for Trade help oversee, administer, and monitor this Unit to develop needs assessment process will be instrumental to achieve this and plan for DP assistance (3 objective. months). Recommendation Set 4: Conduct organizational reform to align the ministry’s structure to serve new policy requirements. Reorganize Department of Trade (DOT) by DOT to prepare draft proposal for refocusing core functions on facilitating trade, 12 months Minister’s approval. industry, and policy analyses. Withdraw MOC’s presence from inland border Office of the Minister—in close posts. Online licenses for import is already consultation with DOT—to Implemented in available, and a negative list for export licenses prepare draft action plan for phases is being prepared. withdrawing MOC from inland border posts. Establish a Department for Trade Cooperation Draft a functional description of and Negotiation. Given the intensity of the task mandate and responsibilities, of coordinating the implementation of (and including staffing and budget, participation in) international negotiation 6-12 months developed by the Minister’s forums, MOC may consider establishing a Office. Minister of Commerce to specialist department in this area. approve draft. 57 Transform Myanmar Trade Promotion MyanTrade prepares a draft Organization into a trade promotion agency proposal, including staffing and (TPA). MyanTrade has limited budget and staff budget, for minister’s approval (3 capacity to carry out its international trade months). TPA is established (3 promotion activities. It may also have the months). capacity to communicate with commercial 12 months in attaches in Myanmar embassies and contribute sequences to trade negotiations. Like other TPAs, MyanTrade may have the capacity to use fiscal resources to promote exports in the most cost- effective way. Strengthen capacity and clarify functions for Develop regulations and Department of Consumer Affairs (DOCA). The guidelines—including possible department is well positioned to take on MOC’s staffing and budget implications— responsibility to promote consumer rights and for DOCA to assume new role. mediate consumer-seller disputes. On product 12 months DOCA to prepare draft for standards, DOCA may play a role in setting up minister’s approval. policies with low transaction costs for business to follow. DOCA’s role in promoting domestic trade needs to be clarified. 100. While the exact financial implications of each intervention have not been detailed, the review aims to be broadly budget neutral. Suggestions like creation of a new trade unit and policy, planning and communication units, and more capacity development activities would need more funds, but these additions are balanced by the suggestions that many support functions can be rationalized and consolidated under the Minister’s Office. Also, the abolition of border posts will save funds that can be reallocated to prioritized, strategic functions. 101. Mindful of the sensitivities around job losses, the report does not recommend related intervention. The suggested reforms can be sequenced with staff attrition and re-allocation over the medium term. 102. It is suggested that after due deliberation within the ministry, an inter-ministerial committee of the ministry, Union Civil Service Board, and the Ministry of Planning and Finance is formed to review recommendations that are general in nature, and if implemented, can also inform the structural design of other ministries. The recommendations of this committee can thus suitably inform the Cabinet of Myanmar when its approval is sought. 103. Other committees at the DG level, and at state and regional levels, could be formed to discuss the review’s finding and the recommendations. This approach will help communicate findings and recommendations to all tiers of the ministry. 104. Not all suggestions will be endorsed by the ministry or implemented. It is hoped the suggestions chosen for implementation should, put together, aim for budget neutrality and position the ministry as a forward looking, high-capacity organization over the next 10 years that will enable the realization of the national vision of economic development. It is also hoped that the general civil service reforms implemented in the ministry become examples for other ministries to follow. 58 Annex 1: List of Persons Met H.E. U Than Myint Union Minister Minister’s Office H.E. U Aung Htoo Deputy Minister Minister’s Office U Toe Aung Myint Permanent Secretary Minister’s Office U Soe Win Deputy Permanent Secretary Minister's Office U Yan Naing Htun Director General Department of Trade U Aung Soe Director General Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization U Hla Maw Oo Director General Department of Consumer Affairs U Minn Minn Deputy Director General Department of Trade U Myint Lwin Deputy Director General Department of Consumer Affairs U Aung Maung Deputy Director General Department of Consumer Affairs Daw Mu Tar Ka Paw Deputy Director General Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization U Min Zaw Assistant Secretary Minister’s Office Daw Kay Khine Oo Assistant Secretary Minister’s Office Daw Khin Thet Htar Assistant Secretary Minister’s Office U Myint Soe Assistant Secretary Minister’s Office U Khin Maung Lwin Assistant Secretary Minister’s office U Win Lwin Director Department of Trade U Aung Min Thyke Director Department of Trade U Aung Thwin Oo Director Department of Consumer Affairs U Ko Ko Lay Director Department of Trade U Myint Wai Director Department of Consumer Affairs U Myo Thu Director Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization Daw Khin Myo Yee Director Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization U Than Myint Oo Director Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization U Ye Htut Naing Acting Director Department of Consumer Affairs Daw Thanda Khin Deputy Director Minister’s Office U Sein Win Deputy Director Department of Trade U Yan Shin Deputy Director Department of Trade U Lwin Myo Zaw Deputy Director Department of Trade U Kyaw San Deputy Director Department of Trade Daw Tin San Yee Deputy Director Department of Trade Daw Win Min Phyo Deputy Director Department of Trade In-Charge of Curriculum U Thein Myint Wai Trade Training Institute Development Daw Thin Nu Khine Deputy Director Trade Training Institute Daw Thida Win Htay Deputy Director Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization U Nay Aye Lwin Deputy Director Department of Consumer Affairs U Han Win Kyaw Deputy Director Department of Consumer Affairs Daw Nilar Thein Deputy Director Department of Consumer Affairs Daw Yee Yee Win Deputy Director Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization Daw Nge Nge Lwin Deputy Director Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization Daw Sandar Tun Assistant Director Trade Training Institute U Ye Lin Htet Assistant Director Department of Consumer Affairs 59 U Zayyar Swe Assistant Director Department of Consumer Affairs U Aung Nay Tun Assistant Director Myanmar Trade Promotion Organization 60 Annex 2: Proposed Terms of Reference Objectives: The functional review of Ministry of Commerce (MOC) aims to identify whether the functions, structures, and capacities in the ministry are aligned with its mandate, the changes in the internal and external trade environment, and the strategic objective of the Union Government. The review will: • Appraise and benchmark the structure and mandate of MOC against commerce/trade ministries across major ASEAN countries (e.g., Cambodia, Indonesia, Thailand) which divested the industry portfolio to other agencies (e.g., to Ministry of Industry); • Assess the division of the policy making and implementation function within the ministry; • Assess whether the regulatory regime, staffing, and skills are appropriate for the ministry to meet its objectives; • Assess practice and results of the ministry related to performance management, business processes, training systems, budgeting, beneficiary engagement, gender focus and service delivery performance. • Provide specific reform options with an implementation plan. Scope: While the MOC performs a range of functions, the core focus of the review will be on the management and promotion of external and internal trade and the related departments and organizations. In particular, the review will cover: • Role in implementation: facilitating trade, issuance of export/import licenses, representing Myanmar in international and regional trade negotiation (e.g., WTO, ASEAN); • Role as regulator to promote external and internal trade: policies in domestic commerce (wholesale/retail), policies in external trade (export/import licenses) ; • Tasks given by the Union Government to lead special initiatives, such as Special Economic Zones, and key role in promoting private sector development (PSD Committee, Doing Business); • Business processes within the ministry The organizations related to competition and consumer protection, for example, will be reviewed only to the extent they impact the promotion of internal and external trade. The report will not focus on internal management of the state-owned enterprises (SOEs) attached with the ministry. Given the role of MOC to promote internal and external trade, the review will be based on the market-led development and private sector promotion principles. It will not focus on cross-public sector issues (such as civil service salary structure) which are outside the direct purview of the ministry. Methodology: The review will use both qualitative and quantitative methods. Existing data (trade statistics, service delivery, performance, budget etc.) will be collected and analyzed. Laws and regulations governing the MOC mandate and its structure will be reviewed. Extensive interviews with stakeholders, other government agencies, employees, the private sector and especially various business associations, will be conducted. A detailed survey of gazette employees will be conducted to take accurate stock of skills, incentives and management practices within the ministry. Draft chapters will be shared with the government for feedback. Proposed draft chapters/notes for feedback: 61 • Benchmarking mandate and structure of MOC with commerce/trade ministries in Cambodia, Indonesia, Thailand • Budget and service delivery performance • Stock take of skills, incentives and management practices • Organizational structure for external and internal trade and special initiatives Formation of Working Committee: The Ministry is requested to form a working committee to provide guidance and oversight and to ensure that the required information is available for analysis. Core team: Sjamsu Rahardja and Zubair Bhatti. 62 Annex 3: Example of Ministry and Department Performance Indicators 1. Level 1: Linking economic vision and strategy to the Union Government with MOC strategic mission. Ideally this exercise should be managed directly by the Office of President in coordination with members of Cabinet. 2016 Economic Policy Statement of MOC Strategic Mission (from document received by the Union Government WB team) • Increase FDI and export 1. Increase trade volume • Promote SMEs as driver of job 2. Encourage private sector development in a market creation system • Taking advantage of 3. Support trade facilitation opportunities in global and 4. Protect consumer rights and ensure product regional markets safety 2. Level 2: Planning Unit of Minister’s Office can organize a senior management retreat (Minister, Deputy Minister, Permanent Secretary, and DGs) to identify key programs and output that MOC should be focusing on delivering between 2016 and 2019, which is the effective period of government. Below is an illustration of how mission #1 could be translated into a program. Mission #1. Increase trade volume Measurable outcome indicators Program (for example only) Increase in exported non-empty 1. Reduce paperwork for exporting and importing containers through Yangon and 2. Increase effectiveness of participation in trade Thilawa by average __% per-year and fairs border post by average __% per-year 3. Launch “Myanmar” branding for export Increase in value of transactions at 4. Promote domestic trade trade fairs by __ __ number of new export products and __ number of new export markets __number of transactions in modern retail outlets in Myanmar 63 3. Level 3: Below is an example of how the Planning Unit can translate mission statement of MOC into program that each Department can implement and be monitored. Mission #1: Increase trade volume Reduce paperwork for exporting and importing Activities Coordinator Outputs Completed Support from by development partners Improve performance of Dept. of Trade ➢ Review and … Trade Portal redesign Trade-Portal … ➢ Establish “Help Desk” for Trade portal and train __ staff officers to respond to questions from traders Increase effectiveness of Policy Unit, ➢ Complete draft … negative list for trade Minister’s and conduct licenses Office consultations with government stakeholders and private sector Dept. of Trade ➢ Reduce number … of documents for … applying negative list ➢ Conduct __ … workshops with government departments ➢ Conduct __ workshops for private sector Increase effectiveness in participation in trade fairs Strengthen network of Permanent ➢ Appointment of … trade attaches Secretary new trade attaches Dept. of Trade ➢ Training for trade … Promotion attaches Introduce new Dept. of Trade ➢ promotion materials Promotion … .. ➢ 4. Level 4: Performance indicator: Planning Unit then reach agreement with departments on key performance indicators which Minister’s Office will monitor and use to evaluate success. Improve performance of Trade Portal Department Outputs Key performance indicators responsible 2019 target 2019 actual Dept. of Trade Review and redesign __ number of active __ number of active Trade Portal users users Documents required for Documents required for obtaining licenses __ obtaining licenses __ Establish “Help Desk” for None __ of calls by traders Trade portal and train __ staff officers to respond 64 to questions from traders Policy Unit, Minister’s Increase effectiveness of Number of policy brief Number of policy Office negative list for trade submitted to the submitted to the licenses Minister: None Minister __ Dept. of Trade Reduce number of ___ ____ documents for applying negative list 65 Annex 4: Comparison Chart with ASEAN Countries, Australia, UK and US Country Ministry Industry Internation Domesti Trade Consumer Competition Company National Invest- Trade National Special Name al Trade c Trade Promotion Affairs Policy Registration Statistics ment Negotiati Standards Economic Body on Body Zones (SEZs) Australia Department No. Yes No. No. No. No. No. No. No. Yes No. There are no of Foreign (Departm (Departm (Australian (Australian (Australian (Australian (Australian (Austrade - (Standards SEZs in Affairs and ent of ent of Trade Competition Competition Securities & Bureau of the Australia, Australia Trade Industry, Industry, Commission and and Investments Statistics) Australian non- (attempt to Innovatio Innovatio - Austrade) Consumer Consumer Commission) Trade government, establish a n and n and Commission) Commission) Commission) not-for-profit Darwin Trade Science) Science) Standards Development organization) Zone failed) United Department No. (Dept. Yes No. (Dept. Yes. No. No. No. No. (UK Yes Yes No. No (Enterprise Kingdom for for for (Competition (Competition (Companies Statistics (Regulatory zones International Business, Business, and Markets and Markets House - an Authority, Delivery, part governed by Trade Energy Energy Authority - a Authority - a executive an of Dept. for Department and and non- non- agency independent Business for Business, Industrial Industrial ministerial ministerial sponsored by statutory Energy and Energy & Strategy) Strategy) Gov’t Gov’t Dept. for body) Industrial Industrial department) department) Business, Strategy) Strategy, in Energy and conjunction Industrial with Strategy) Department for Communities and Local Government, and Homes and Communities Agency) 66 United Department Yes. Yes. Yes. No. (United No. (Federal No. (Federal No. (US Yes. No. (Office No. (United Yes. (National No. (Enterprise States of (Internati (Internationa (Internati States Trade Trade Trade Securities and (Economics of States Institute of zones set up Commerce onal l Trade onal Representati Commission) Commission) Exchange & Statistics Investment Trade Standards by state Trade Administrati Trade ve Commission) Administrati Affairs, US Representa and governments) Administr on) Administr nominated on) Department tive Technology) ation) ation) by the of State) nominated President. by the Heads the President, Trade heads the Promotion Trade Authority Promotion which Authority advises which Congress on advises trade Congress agreements on trade and trade agreement promotion) s and trade promotion) Brunei Ministry of No. Yes Yes Yes No. No. No. (Registrty No. No. (Brunei Yes No. No. (Brunei Foreign (Ministry (Consumer (Consumer of Companies (Department Investment (Construction Investment Affairs and of Energy Affairs Affairs and Business of Statistics Agency, Planning and Agency, Trade and Division of Division of Names under under the Ministry of Research Ministry of Industry) the the the Ministry Department Finance) Unit, Ministry Finance) Department Department of Finance) of Economic of of Economic of Economic Planning and Development Planning and Planning and Developmen ) Development, Development, t) Prime Prime Minster’s Minster’s Office) Office). Competition law enacted 2015. Cambodia Ministry of No. Yes Yes Yes Yes. Draft Yes. Draft Yes. MOC No. No. (Council Yes No. (Institute No. (Council Commerce (Ministry consumer competition online portal. (National for the of Standards for the of protection law nearing Institute of Developmen of Cambodia, Development Industry law nearing completion. Statistics t of Ministry of of Cambodia, and completion. under the Cambodia, Industry and chaired by PM, chaired by Handicraft) incorporating 67 Handicraft Ministry of PM, the Cambodia ) Planning) incorporatin Investment g the Board and the Cambodia Cambodia Investment Special Board and Economic the Zone Cambodia Development Special Board) Economic Zone Developmen t Board) Indonesia Ministry of No. Yes. Yes. Yes No. (National No. (Komisi Yes. No. No. Yes No. (National No. (National Trade (Ministry Directorate (Directora Consumer Pengawas (Company (Indonesia Standardisati Council for of General of te General Protection Persaingan Directory) Central Investment on Agency of Special Industry) Foreign of Agency BBKN) Usaha) Statistical Coordinating Indonesia) Economic Trade. Domestic Agency - Board) - Zone, chaired Directorate Trade) Badan Pusat BKPM by the General of Statistik Coordinating International Minister for Trade Economic Cooperation Affairs) Lao PDR Ministry of Yes. Yes Yes. Yes. (Trade Yes. Yes. Yes. (Lao No. Yes No. No. Industry and (Industrial (Domestic and Product (Consumer Competition (Enterprise Statistics (Investment (Department (Investment Commerce Promotio Trade Promotion protection law enacted Registry Bureau) Promotion of Promotion n and Departme Department) law enacted July 2015. Office, Department Standardizati Department of Managem nt) 2010) Provide for a Department of the on and the Ministry of ent Lao of Investment Ministry of Metrology, Planning and Division) Competition Promotion for Planning and Ministry of Investment) Commission. General Investment) Science and Businesses) Technology) Malaysia Ministry of Yes Yes No. Yes. No. (Ministry No. (Malaysia No. No. No. Yes No. Standards No. (Iskandar International (Ministry (Malaysia of Domestic Competition Companies (Department (Malaysian Malaysia, Regional Trade and of External Trade, Co- Commission Commission of Statistics Investment Ministry of Development Industry Domestic Trade operatives established of Malaysia - Malaysia - a Developmen Science, Authority is a Trade, Co- Developmen and 2012) SSM under statutory t Authority, Technology statutory body operatives t Consumerism the Ministry Government Government and co-chaired by and Corporation ) of Domestic agency statutory Innovation the Prime Trade, Co- under the body) Minister and 68 Consumer - operatives Prime the Chief ism) MATRADE) and Minister’s Minister of Consumerism Office) Johor) Philippine Department Yes Yes Yes Yes. (Bureau Yes. No. Yes No. Yes. (The Yes Yes. (Bureau Yes. s of Trade and of Domestic (Consumer (Philippine (Philippine Philippine of Product (Philippine Industry Trade Protection Competition Statistics Board of Standards, Economic Promotion) Group) Commission - Authority - a Investments Department Zone an statutory (BOI), an of Trade and Authority, an independent Government attached Industry) agency quasi-judicial body agency of attached to body) established Department the in 2013) of Trade and Department of Industry) Trade and Industry) Singapore Ministry of Yes Yes Yes No. Yes. Yes No. No. No. Yes Yes. Singapore has Trade and (Internation Scrutinized by (Accounting Department Singapore (Standards established Industry al Enterprise a non-profit and of Statistics Economic Department SEZs in India Singapore) NGO, The Corporate Singapore Developmen of SPRING and Indonesia, Consumers Regulatory t Board Singapore, an developed by Association of Authority) agency under consortia on Singapore the Ministry Singaporean (CASE) of Trade and Countries. Industry) Driven by the Ministry of Trade and Industry) Thailand Ministry of No Yes Yes Yes. No. (Office of No. (Office of Yes. No. (Board of Yes No. (Thai No. (Industrial Commerce (Ministry (Department the Consumer Trade (Department (National Investment Industrial Estate of of Protection Competition of Business Statistical of Thailand), Standards Authority of Industry) International Board under Commission). Registration) Office under under the Institute, Thailand, an Trade the Office of Thailand was the Office of Prime Ministry of agency under Promotion) the Prime the first the Prime Minister’s Industry) the Ministry of Minister) ASEAN nation Minister) Office) Industry) to enact a trade competition law on the initiative of the Ministry 69 of Commerce in 1991. Vietnam Ministry of Yes Yes Yes. Hm Yes. Yes. (Vietnam No. (Ministry No. (General No. (Foreign Yes No. No. (Ministry Industry and (Domestic (Vietnam Competition of Planning Statistics Investment (Directorate of Planning Trade Market Trade Authority) and Office of Agency, for Standards, and Departme Promotion Investment) Vietnam, Ministry of Meteorology Investment) nt) Agency - under the Planning and and Quality, VIETRADE) - Ministry of Finance) Ministry f Separate Planning and Science and Government Investment) Technology) agency, but chaired by the Minister of Industry and Trade) Myanmar Ministry of No. Yes Unclear Yes Yes. Yes. No. No. (Central No. No. No. (National Yes. Recently Commerce (Ministry mandate (Department (Department (Department (Directorate Statistical (Myanmar (Ministry of Standards transferred of (Ministry of Trade of Consumer of Trade) of Investment Organisation Investment Commerce and Quality from Ministry Industry) of Promotion - Affairs) and Company under the Commission, leads on Department, of Planning Industry MYANTRADE Administratio Ministry of under the WTO, and Research and and Finance. responsibl ) n under the Planning and aegis of the recently Innovation e for SME Ministry of Finance) Ministry of took over Division of developm Planning and Planning and Trade in the Ministry ent. Finance) Finance) Services of Education) from the Ministry of Transport and Communic ations. Ministry of Planning and Finance leads on ASEAN and RCEP) 70