The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) AFRICA | Africa | Water Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 20-Aug-2018 | ISR33733 | Implementing Agencies: Zambezi River Authority, Ministry of Finance Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 09-Dec-2014 Effectiveness Date: 20-Aug-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 10-Sep-2019 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: -- Original Closing Date: 28-Feb-2025 Revised Closing Date: 28-Feb-2025 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to assist in improving the safety and reliability of the Kariba Dam. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Institutional and Project Management:(Cost $70.30 M) Component 2: Plunge Pool Reshaping:(Cost $99.30 M) Component 3: Spillway Refurbishment:(Cost $124.60 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project is rated as moderately satisfactorily because of progress on the main spillway contract. A fuller assessment of project progress will be made during September after which this ISR will be updated. 8/20/2018 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Low Low Sector Strategies and Policies -- Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program -- High High Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Moderate Moderate Environment and Social -- Substantial Substantial Stakeholders -- Substantial Substantial Other -- -- -- Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Number of people benefitting in the project area through risk reduction and avoided disaster IN00629738 ►Number of people benefitting in the project area through risk reduction and avoided disaster (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Dam break analysis Dam break analysis 3,000,000 people no 3,000,000 at risk from under implementation under implementation Value longer at risk from failure and informing detailed and informing detailed failure assessment assessment Date 27-Feb-2015 10-Nov-2017 10-Nov-2017 28-Feb-2025 IN00629682 ►Number of people benefitting in the project area through risk reduction and avoided disaster (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Dam break analysis Dam break analysis 3,000,000 people no 3,000,000 at risk from under implementation under implementation Value longer at risk from failure and informing detailed and informing detailed failure assessment. assessment. Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Jun-2017 16-Jun-2017 28-Feb-2025 Successful completion of the rehabilitation works will improve the safety and remove the threat of risks to Comments: downstream populations 8/20/2018 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Emergency Preparedness Plan adopted and operationalized IN00629739 ►Emergency Preparedness Plan adopted and operationalized (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 27-Feb-2015 17-Nov-2017 17-Nov-2017 28-Feb-2025 IN00629683 ►Emergency Preparedness Plan adopted and operationalized (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Jun-2017 16-Jun-2017 28-Feb-2025 Measures overall outcome in securing safety of Kariba Dam through restoration of operational curve Comments: governed by EPP Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Institutional and Project Management IN00629734 ►Emergency Preparedness Plan Updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target First revision prepared in First revision prepared Existing EPP limits anticipation of the in anticipation of the Updated EPP adopted Value operations due to dam commencement of the commencement of the and operationalized safety concerns plunge pool works plunge pool works Date 27-Feb-2015 17-Nov-2017 17-Nov-2017 28-Feb-2025 IN00629684 ►Emergency Preparedness Plan Updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Reviewed by TS&S Reviewed by TS&S Existing EPP limits Consultants in Consultants in Updated EPP adopted Value operations due to dam preparation for preparation for and operationalized safety concerns commencement of commencement of plunge pool works plunge pool works Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Jun-2017 16-Jun-2017 27-Feb-2025 Comments: Monitors progress in updating information for improvements to the EPP IN00629735 ►Dam Break Analysis Completed and Integrated into the EPP (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Flood inundation and Limited information Dam break analysis Dam break analysis Value risk maps integrated available underway and to be underway and to be into EPP 8/20/2018 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) incorporated into the incorporated into the EPP EPP Date 27-Feb-2015 17-Nov-2017 17-Nov-2017 28-Feb-2025 IN00629685 ►Dam Break Analysis Completed and Integrated into the EPP (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Flood inundation and Limited information Value Ongoing Ongoing risk maps integrated available into EPP Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Jun-2017 16-Jun-2017 27-Feb-2025 Comments: Monitors progress in updating information for improvements to the EPP Component 2: Plunge Pool Reshaping IN00629733 ►Plunge Pool: Volume Excavated (Cubic Meter(m3), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 300,000.00 Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Jun-2017 16-Jun-2017 27-Feb-2020 Comments: Measures improved safety through physical interventions and stability of plunge pool. IN00629736 ►Plunge Pool: Volume Excavated (Cubic Meter(m3), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 300,000.00 Date 27-Feb-2015 17-Nov-2017 17-Nov-2017 28-Feb-2025 Component 3: Spillway Refurbishment IN00629737 ►Spillway: Gates Refurbished (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Pre-qualification Pre-qualification underway. Bidding underway. Bidding Value 0 gates refurbished 6 gates refurbished documents prepared and documents prepared being finalized. and being finalized. Date 27-Feb-2015 17-Nov-2017 17-Nov-2017 28-Feb-2025 IN00629732 ►Spillway: Gates Refurbished (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The Pre-Qualification The Pre-Qualification has has been completed Value 0 gates refurbished been completed and 6 gates refurbished and submitted to the submitted to the bank for bank for review along 8/20/2018 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) review along with the with the draft bidding draft bidding documents. documents. Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Jun-2017 16-Jun-2017 27-Feb-2025 Comments: Measures improved reliability through improved operations via refurbishment of the spillway IN00629731 ►Spillway: Rule Curve (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The rule curve is being The rule curve is being reviewed and revised reviewed and revised as Rule curve reduced by as part of the ongoing Rule curve restored to Value part of the ongoing 3.5m process of the full supply level process of the preparation for the preparation for the works. works. Date 27-Feb-2015 16-Jun-2017 16-Jun-2017 27-Feb-2025 Measures impact of improved safety of the plunge pool and reliability of the spillway through restoration of Comments: full operational capacity reflected in the operating rule IN00629740 ►Spillway: Rule Curve (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The rule curve will be The rule curve will be reviewed and revised reviewed and revised as as part of the ongoing part of the ongoing process of the process of the preparation for the preparation for the works. works. The TS&S Rule curve reduced by The TS&S Consultant Consultant has Rule curve restored to Value 3.5m has completed the initial completed the initial full supply level review associated with review associated with the plunge pool and the the plunge pool and design review report is the design review being prepared for the report is being spillway refurbishment. prepared for the spillway refurbishment. Date 27-Feb-2015 17-Nov-2017 17-Nov-2017 28-Feb-2025 Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P146515 IDA-55630 Effective USD 75.00 75.00 0.00 2.15 69.56 3% P146515 TF-19029 Effective USD 20.00 20.00 0.00 2.18 17.82 11% Key Dates (by loan) 8/20/2018 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P146515 IDA-55630 Effective 09-Dec-2014 20-Feb-2015 20-Aug-2015 28-Feb-2025 28-Feb-2025 P146515 TF-19029 Effective 09-Dec-2014 20-Feb-2015 20-Aug-2015 30-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2019 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 8/20/2018 Page 6 of 6