Public Disclosure Copy

        The World Bank                                                                             Implementation Status & Results Report
        Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)


Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Ukraine | Health, Nutrition & Population Global Practice |
IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 26-Mar-2018 | ISR30011 |


Implementing Agencies: Government of Ukraine, Ministry of Health




Key Dates

  Key Project Dates

  Bank Approval Date:04-Mar-2015                                             Effectiveness Date:15-Jun-2015
  Planned Mid Term Review Date:30-Mar-2018                                   Actual Mid-Term Review Date:--
  Original Closing Date:30-Sep-2020                                          Revised Closing Date:30-Sep-2020




Project Development Objectives

 Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document)
 The proposed “Serving People, Improving Health” Project seeks to improve the quality of health services in selected Oblasts, with special focus on
 primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular diseases and cancer, and to enhance efficiency of the health caresystem.

 Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective?
 No

 PHRPDODEL



Components

Name
Improving Service delivery at the local level:(Cost $189.53 M)
Strengthen Ministry of Health Governance:(Cost $20.20 M)
Project Implementation support and monitoring and evaluation:(Cost $4.46 M)
Commission 0.25%:(Cost $0.54 M)



Overall Ratings
Name                                                                       Previous Rating                         Current Rating

Progress towards achievement of PDO                                         Moderately Satisfactory                Moderately Satisfactory
Overall Implementation Progress (IP)                                        Moderately Satisfactory                Moderately Satisfactory
Overall Risk Rating                                                         Substantial                            Substantial




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               The World Bank                                                                           Implementation Status & Results Report
               Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)



Implementation Status and Key Decisions

 The project remains as a priority for the health sector and overall health reform agenda. The Ministry of Health and Project Oblasts are committed to
 accelerating project implementation. Overall progress has been made over the last 6 months, and the available data show that the Project Development
 Objective (PDO) indicators are moving in the right direction. A Mid-term review has started on March 12, 2018 and aims at: (1) reviewing and agreeing
 on the necessary changes to improve performance of the Project and ensure achievement of the PDO at closing (September 30, 2020); and (2) better
 aligning the project with ongoing health sector reforms in Ukraine.




Risks

 Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool

 Risk Category                                                Rating at Approval               Previous Rating             Current Rating

 Political and Governance                                      --                              Substantial                Substantial
 Macroeconomic                                                 --                              High                       High
 Sector Strategies and Policies                                --                              Substantial                Substantial
 Technical Design of Project or Program                        --                              Moderate                   Moderate
 Institutional Capacity for Implementation and
 Sustainability
                                                               --                              Substantial                Substantial
 Fiduciary                                                     --                              Substantial                Substantial
 Environment and Social                                        --                              Moderate                   Moderate
 Stakeholders                                                  --                              Moderate                   Moderate
 Other                                                         --                              --                         --
 Overall                                                       --                              Substantial                Substantial


Results

 Project Development Objective Indicators
 PHINDPDOTBL




      PDO Indicator 1: Early detection of cervical and breast cancer as measured: a) Ratio of new in situ to new invasive cervical
     cancer (Number, Custom)

                                              Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

         Value                                0.79                         0.81                         0.58                      0.88

         Date                                 01-Jan-2014                  04-Mar-2016                  07-Mar-2018               31-Dec-2017


         Comments
         In 2017, the PDO indicator 1a was achieved by 66%. The following reasons explain the slow progress: 1) During 2015-2017, the total
         number of women with cervical cancer increased mainly from detection of patients with cancer in later stages, as many women have never
         been examined before; 2) Gynecological kits and cytological brushes for cervical cancer screening were delivered only in August 2017,



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               The World Bank                                                                            Implementation Status & Results Report
               Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)



         and screening centers were opened in July-September 2017.
         the PDO indicator 1b was achieved by 72%. The purchased mammography machines became operational in June-September 2017 with
         67740 mammograms performed in 2017, which is more than double of the 2016 figure, and 82% of the total number of screenings
         performed in the second half of the year. Of all screened, 19 women were diagnosed with D05 (Carcinoma in situ of breast).
         However, the reason for non-achievement of the PDO 1b indicator is that the detected breast pathologies with a suspicion of stage 1 cancer
         in 2017 were histologically confirmed, but treatment has not been initiated and therefore not reported in 2017. According to the statistical
         guidelines, these cases will be reported in 2018.




 PHINDPDOTBL




          b) Share of new breast cancer detected at stage I (Percentage, Custom Supplement)



                                                Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

         Value                                  21.80                          25.40                      21.50                       30.00




 PHINDPDOTBL




      PDO Indicator 2: High blood pressure under control as measured by the share of patients aged 40-60 achieving target level of
     blood pressure (measure is 140/90mmHg) (Percentage, Custom)

                                                Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

         Value                                  15.40                          16.50                      16.50                       19.00

         Date                                   01-Jan-2014                    04-Mar-2016                04-Mar-2016                 31-May-2020


         Comments
         The indicator is not updated due to absence of survey data to validate official statistics. Currently, the MoH has selected a company to
         supplement and verify the data by analyzing medical forms. The survey is scheduled to begin in April 2018




 PHINDPDOTBL




      PDO Indicator 3: Improved quality management (prevention, early diagnosis and treatment) of CVDs at primary and secondary
     care measured as: a) reduction of hypertension-related hospitalization (Number, Custom)

                                                Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

         Value                                  5.80                           --                         5.32                        4.80

         Date                                   01-Jan-2014                    --                         07-Mar-2018                 31-May-2020


         Comments


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               Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)



         PDO 3a: The indicator is on track, although slightly behind the target (5.20 cases of hospitalizations per 1,000 population). There is a
         positive dynamic towards achievement of the end target (the indicator value decreased by 11% from 5.95 in 2015 to 5.32 in 2017) due to
         improved quality of primary hypertension management. Additionally, the equipment for diagnostics and treatment of CVDs for the primary
         health care facilities and emergency care institutions were supplied only in 2017, and training activity is behind the schedule. It is expected
         that the indicator will continue improving after all components for its achievement (trainings, campaigns and materials) will be in place.
         PDO 3b: in 2017, the number of patients per 100,000 population, who received stenting for acute myocardial infarction with ST-segment
         elevation was 174 against the target value of 164. With completion of procurement and commissioning of additional angiographic
         equipment in the Rivne Oblast Clinical Hospital and Dnipropetrovsk Clinical Center for Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, the indicator will
         continue improving.




 PHINDPDOTBL




     b) number of patients who received stenting for acute myocardial infarction with ST segment elevation (Number, Custom
     Supplement)



                                                 Baseline                       Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)             End Target

         Value                                   93.60                          207.00                      174.40                       193.70




 PHINDPDOTBL




          PDO Indicator 4: Average in-patient length of stay in hospitals (Days, Custom)


                                                 Baseline                       Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)             End Target

         Value                                   11.70                          11.30                       11.00                        9.50

         Date                                    01-Jan-2014                    04-Mar-2016                 07-Mar-2018                  31-May-2020


         Comments
         The indicator is on track




 Overall Comments




 Intermediate Results Indicators




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                   The World Bank                                                                               Implementation Status & Results Report
                   Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)

 PHINDIRITBL




              Health personnel receiving training (number) (Number, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

               Value                                  0.00                           4,592.00                   5,805.00                     24,937.00

               Date                                   01-Jan-2015                    24-Jul-2017                07-Mar-2018                  31-May-2020


               Comments
               The indicator was achieved by 40%. The low level of achievement was mainly due to delays in training of medical personnel in the central
               components (in particular, pilot implementation of DRGs require a lot of additional trainings, which is expected to start in April-May 2018)




 PHINDIRITBL




              Health facilities constructed, renovated, and/or equipped (number) (Number, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

               Value                                  0.00                           --                         23.00                        260.00

               Date                                   01-Jan-2015                    --                         07-Mar-2018                  31-May-2020


               Comments
               Implementation of construction and reconstruction works has been one of the major bottlenecks of the projects. During 2017, the planned
               works were carried out only at 11 general and family medicine outpatient clinics in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and in Zakarpattia Oblast
               reconstruction of the Interventional Cardiology Department in Khust was performed. The main reason for non-achievement of the target
               value of the indicator was the fact that in August 2017 in Volyn, Dnipropetrovsk and Rivne Oblasts there were problems with documentation
               for registration of budget commitments under contracts for construction, reconstruction and rehabilitations of health care facilities with the
               State Treasury authorities, which delayed concluding contracts based on tender results and commencement of works.




 PHINDIRITBL




            7. % of primary health care facilities meeting the equipment norms for improved management of CVD (according to an explicit
           list) (Percentage, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

               Value                                  31.00                          35.00                      10.40                        55.00

               Date                                   01-Jan-2014                    30-Apr-2016                07-Mar-2018                  31-May-2020


               Comments
               The interim target for the indicator was achieved by 26%. Currently, only 206 outpatient clinics (10.4%) are matching the normative for
               necessary equipment for improved CVD management in the Project oblasts. The indicator is fully implemented only in Zaporizhzhia Oblast,
               where 166 outpatient clinics (58.9%) are equipped. In the other project Oblasts, the procurement of medical equipment for improved CVD



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                   Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)



               management is ongoing.




 PHINDIRITBL




              8. Number of cancer screening procedures performed: a) cervical cancer tests (Number, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                  709,184.00                     804,165.00                 784,341.00                  830,000.00

               Date                                   01-Jan-2014                    07-Feb-2017                07-Mar-2018                 31-May-2018


               Comments
               Indicator 8a: In 2017, the indicator was achieved by 94%. The gap is mainly explained by the delays in supplies of test kits and setting up
               screening centers: gynecological kits and cytological brushes were delivered in August 2017, and screening centers were opened in July-
               September 2017.
               Indicator 8b: The indicator was only achieved by 45%, as new mammography machines became operational in Lviv oblast only in
               September 2017. In the second half of 2017, 55664 mammograms were performed, which is 4 times more the number of mammograms
               performed in the first half of 2017. The number of cancer screening mammograms during the Project operation increased 2.7 times from
               25,299 in 2015 to 67,740 in 2017.




 PHINDIRITBL




              b) mammograms (Number, Custom Supplement)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                  20,893.00                      31,832.00                  67,740.00                   150,000.00




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                   The World Bank                                                                              Implementation Status & Results Report
                   Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)

 PHINDIRITBL




            9. Share of acute myocardial infarction with ST segment elevation diagnoses confirmed according to appropriate protocols in
           the previous 12 months (Percentage, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                  65.00                          --                         --                          78.00

               Date                                   01-Jan-2014                    11-Mar-2016                11-Mar-2016                 31-May-2020


               Comments
               The data to measure this indicator is not yet available. The survey to measure the baseline and progress to date will be launched in April
               2018




 PHINDIRITBL




            10. Share of primary care centers which have structured schools of health or similar initiatives working on educational group
           activities related to main NCDs’ risk factors (Percentage, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                  0.00                           --                         25.50                       50.00

               Date                                   01-Jan-2014                    --                         07-Mar-2018                 31-May-2020


               Comments
               In 2017, 558 Schools of Health (25.5% of the total number of outpatient clinics) operated in five Project oblasts. The indicator was achieved
               by 85%. In Vinnytsia, Poltava and Rivne oblasts, Draft Orders on Schools of Health at general and family outpatient clinics with
               corresponding methodological guidance are being prepared by Departments of Health.
               On December 15, 2017, an agreement was signed with WHO to support MoH in the development of appropriate policies and strategies
               aimed at improving the public health system, which includes the methodological support for the establishment of Schools of Health;
               accordingly, work in this direction will be intensified in 2018.




 PHINDIRITBL




              11. Critical e-Health standards approved by MoH (Yes/No, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                       Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                  N                              N                          N                           Y

               Date                                   01-Jan-2014                    17-Jul-2017                17-Jul-2017                 31-May-2017


               Comments
               The MoH has developed and submitted for approval several eHealth standards: ‘Health Care Facilities’, ‘Health Personnel’, ‘Medicines’,
               ‘Diagnoses’. The MoH has signed a contract in December 2017 with the firm which will develop standards and legislation for eHealth. The



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                   Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)



               work in this direction will be intensified in 2018.




 PHINDIRITBL




              12. Communication campaign designed and implemented at central level (Yes/No, Custom)

                                                         Baseline                   Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                     N                          --                         N                           Y

               Date                                      01-Jan-2014                --                         07-Sep-2017                 31-May-2020


               Comments
               The consultant for the communication support of reforms has been hired in March 2018. The activities under this cluster will be accelerated
               with the designated coordinator on board.




 PHINDIRITBL




              13. Availability of hospital beds (Number, Custom)

                                                         Baseline                   Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                     880.00                     --                         746.00                      650.00

               Date                                      01-Jan-2014                --                         24-Jul-2017                 31-May-2020


               Comments
               The indicator is on track




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                   Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)

 PHINDIRITBL




              14. Number of Oblasts that in any given year have implemented at least one productivity enhancing reform (Number, Custom)

                                                        Baseline                   Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

               Value                                    0.00                       --                         4.00                         8.00

               Date                                     01-Jan-2014                --                         07-Mar-2018                  31-May-2020


               Comments
               Four Project oblasts (Zaporizhzhia, Vinnytsia, Rivne and Lviv regions) submitted reform implementation reports. Upon review and
               verification of the report, achievement of the mid-term target will be confirmed.




 PHINDIRITBL




            15. Share of beneficiaries in participating oblasts reporting improvement in the access and quality of the targeted healthcare
           services (Percentage, Custom)

                                                        Baseline                   Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

               Value                                    0.00                       --                         --                           20.00

               Date                                     01-Jan-2014                30-Aug-2017                30-Aug-2017                  31-May-2020


               Comments
               Improvements in accessibility and quality of care were measured for the project oblasts and compared with non-project oblasts in the Health
               Index Survey 2017. The ToR for the project-specific beneficiary survey is being developed and agreed. It will define the representative
               sample-based survey of households on access to and quality of targeted services in the health care sector. According to the MoH report,
               the survey will be launched and completed in 2018 calendar year.




 Overall Comments




Data on Financial Performance

Disbursements (by loan)

Project                  Loan/Credit/TF     Status        Currency      Original   Revised     Cancelled     Disbursed      Undisbursed                 Disbursed

P144893                  IBRD-84750         Effective     USD            214.73     214.73           0.00          41.47          173.26                          19%




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           Serving People, Improving Health Project (P144893)


Key Dates (by loan)
 Project       Loan/Credit/TF     Status      Approval Date   Signing Date   Effectiveness Date   Orig. Closing Date   Rev. Closing Date

 P144893       IBRD-84750         Effective   04-Mar-2015     19-Mar-2015    15-Jun-2015          30-Sep-2020          30-Sep-2020



Cumulative Disbursements




 Restructuring History

  There has been no restructuring to date.




 Related Project(s)

 There are no related projects.




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