The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Implementation Status & Results Ethiopia ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) Public Disclosure Copy Operation Name: ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 6 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 21-Feb-2014 Country: Ethiopia Approval FY: 2011 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: AFRICA Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Key Dates Board Approval Date 30-Sep-2010 Original Closing Date 30-Sep-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date 03-Mar-2014 Last Archived ISR Date 10-Jun-2013 Effectiveness Date 16-Feb-2011 Revised Closing Date 30-Sep-2015 Actual Mid Term Review Date Project Development Objectives ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The PDO is to increase agricultural productivity and market access for key crop and livestock products in targeted woredas with increased participation of women and youth. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Program? Yes No Component(s) Component Name Component Cost 1.1 Institutional Strengthening and Development 36.70 1.2 Scaling Up Best Practices 28.20 1.3 Market and Agribusiness Development 50.80 2.1 Small-scale Agricultural Water Development and Management 80.30 2.2 Small-scale Market Infrastructure Development and Management 51.10 Public Disclosure Copy 3.1 AGP Management at the Federal, Regional, Zonal, and Woreda levels 11.40 3.2 Monitoring and Evaluation 6.70 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Implementation Status Overview The project is mid-way through the third full year of implementation, and therefore just beyond mid-point. Implementation progress is variable across components, activities and regions. The final progress report from the Ethiopia Fiscal Year 2005 (July 2012 to July 2013) showed an acceleration in disbursement in the final quarter with over half of the annual disbursement completed in the final three months. Overall disbursement for the year was 57 percent of the plan, which indicates over-ambitious planning and implementation Public Disclosure Copy bottlenecks. For the Ethiopian Fiscal Year 2006 (July 2013 - July 2014) greater attention has been provided to developing a realistic annual plan. This will be closely monitored with a mid-year review with any necessary and justified adjustments to be completed in February 2014. Due to delays in completing the mid-project performance and impact assessments, the formal Mid-Term Review (MTR) has been delayed until March 2014. The MTR will focus on understanding and addressing implementation bottlenecks, including at the local level where there remain concerns about the implementation of the agreed project procedures and local capacity constraints. The MTR will also focus on the utilization of project funds and agree on projections for future disbursements. it should be noted that much of the undisbursed funds are for small scale infrastructure, much of which is now at or beyond design phase and under contracting, which will likely increase the overall project disbursement rate. Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Ethiopia SSNPR Sidama Awraja Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Jarso Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Giyon Ethiopia SSNPR Guraghe Zone Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Arsi Kifle Hager Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Oromiya Kilil Ethiopia SSNPR Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People's Regional State Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Limmu Sakka Ethiopia Not Entered Decha Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Hidabu Abote Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Yaya Gulelena Debre Liban Public Disclosure Copy Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Dendi Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Ambo Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Becho Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Wonchi Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Ada'a Chukala Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Gimbichu Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Diga Leka Public Disclosure Copy Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Guduru Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Gechi Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Bedele Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Didessa Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Gomma Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Gera Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Sherka Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Munesa Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Adaba Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Dodola Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Kofele Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Sinanana Dinsho Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Gaserana Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Agarfa Ethiopia Oromia Regional State Walmara Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Alamata Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Raya Azebo Public Disclosure Copy Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Ofla Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Endamehoni Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Tsegede Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Wolqayt Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Kafta Humera Ethiopia Tigray Regional State Tahtay Adiyabo Ethiopia The State of Amhara Jabi Tehnan Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Ethiopia The State of Amhara Bahir Dar Zuria Ethiopia The State of Amhara Dejen Public Disclosure Copy Ethiopia The State of Amhara Enemay Ethiopia The State of Amhara Ankesha Ethiopia The State of Amhara Guangua Ethiopia The State of Amhara Dangila Ethiopia The State of Amhara Metemma Ethiopia The State of Amhara Qwara Ethiopia The State of Amhara Alefa Ethiopia The State of Amhara Dera Ethiopia The State of Amhara Efratana Gidim Ethiopia The State of Amhara Antsokiyana Gemza Ethiopia The State of Amhara Kewet Ethiopia The State of Amhara Termaber Ethiopia Not Entered Chena Ethiopia Not Entered Enemorina Eaner Ethiopia Not Entered Shebedino Ethiopia Not Entered Bule Ethiopia Not Entered Yem Public Disclosure Copy Ethiopia Not Entered Basketo Ethiopia Not Entered West Shewa Ethiopia Oromia Regional State East Shewa Zone Ethiopia Oromia Regional State East Wellega Zone Ethiopia The State of Amhara West Gojam Ethiopia The State of Amhara East Gojam Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Ethiopia The State of Amhara Awi Ethiopia The State of Amhara North Gonder Public Disclosure Copy Ethiopia SSNPR Siltie Zone Ethiopia Not Entered Dawuro Not Entered Not Entered Not Entered Ethiopia Not Entered Gedeo Results Project Development Objective Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Percentage increase in agricultural yield Percentage Value 9.93 11.50 (basket crops and livestock products). Date 30-Jun-2011 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments This result is from the Will be updated at MTR, baseline survey conducted on which has been postponed to June 2011 March 2014. Percentage increase in total real value of Number Value 578979.00 8731.00 marketed agricultural products (including Date 30-Jun-2011 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 livestock) per household (in ETB). Comments This result is from the Will be updated at MTR, baseline survey conducted on which has been postponed to June 2011 March 2014. Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Farmers satisfied with quality of extension Percentage Value 27.90 87.00 services provided. Date 30-Jun-2011 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Public Disclosure Copy Comments This result is from the Will be updated at MTR, baseline survey conducted on which has been postponed to June 2011 March 2014. Farm households who are members of Percentage Value 36.00 40.00 functional farmer organizations. Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments Will be updated at MTR, which has been postponed to March 2014. Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Farm households with innovative best practices Number Value 0.00 126.00 (in 1000). Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments Baseline is zero as this refers Will be updated at MTR, Public Disclosure Copy to investments that will be which has been postponed to conducted under the project. March 2014. Sub-projects fully operational and sustainably Number Value 0.00 50.00 managed 2 years after initial investment (in Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 1000). Comments Baseline is zero as this refers No survey was undertaken to investments that will be yet as it has been two years conducted under the project. since any sub-projects were completed. Sales value of key selected value chain Percentage Value commodities supported at the end-of-the-value- Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 chain. Comments Baseline not yet available as Will be updated at MTR, relates to specific which has been postponed to commodities not selected at March 2014. the time of the baseline. Farmers benefiting from the investments of Number Value 0.00 72.00 sub-component 2.1 (in 1000). Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments Baseline is zero as this refers Will be updated at MTR, to investments that will be which has been postponed to conducted under the project. March 2014. Infrastructure (for agricultural water) used 1 Percentage Value 0.00 80.00 year after the investment is completed. Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments Baseline is zero as this refers Water infrastructure will be to investments that will be completed in 2014 so conducted under the project. measurement will be done at end project in 2015. Area under irrigation (percent of cultivated Percentage Value 2.31 6.10 land) Public Disclosure Copy Date 30-Jun-2011 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments This result is from the Will be updated at MTR, baseline survey conducted on which has been postponed to June 2011 March 201 Increase in areas treated under sustainable Percentage Value 0.00 45.00 land management (in hectares). Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments Will be updated at MTR, which has been postponed to March 201 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Decrease in time for farmers to travel to Percentage Value 14.67 49.00 nearest market center. Date 30-Jun-2011 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments This result is from the Will be updated at MTR, Public Disclosure Copy baseline survey conducted on which has been postponed to June 2011 March 2014 Users satisfied with the quality of market Percentage Value 66.20 76.00 infrastructure (roads and markets). Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 Comments Will be updated at MTR, which has been postponed to March 2014 Market infrastructure (roads and markets) Percentage Value 0.00 80.00 sustainably managed one year after the Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 30-Sep-2015 investment is completed. Comments Will be updated at MTR, which has been postponed to March 2014 Data on Financial Performance (as of 16-Jan-2014) Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P113032 IDA-47830 Effective 30-Sep-2010 19-Oct-2010 16-Feb-2011 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015 P113032 IDA-H6000 Effective 30-Sep-2010 19-Oct-2010 16-Feb-2011 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015 P127507 TF-11306 Effective 15-Feb-2012 15-Feb-2012 15-Feb-2012 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015 P113032 TF-99729 Effective 12-Jul-2011 18-Jul-2011 18-Jul-2011 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015 Disbursements (in Millions) Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P113032 IDA-47830 Effective USD 108.40 108.40 0.00 41.10 69.69 38.00 P113032 IDA-H6000 Effective USD 41.60 41.60 0.00 33.97 8.45 82.00 Public Disclosure Copy P127507 TF-11306 Effective USD 33.70 50.00 0.00 27.10 22.90 54.00 P113032 TF-99729 Effective USD 33.70 33.70 0.00 15.48 18.22 46.00 Disbursement Graph Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Report No: ISR13584 Public Disclosure Copy Key Decisions Regarding Implementation Key decisions: Annual Workplan and Budget for Ethiopian Fiscal Year 2006 (July 2013 - July 2014) was approved; Mid-Term Review agreed for March 2014, which will also serve as the identification mission for the proposed second phase of the program; all contracting for small scale infrastructure (small scale irrigation and rural roads) to be contracted by August 2014. Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Projects P127507-Agricultural Growth Project - Additional Financing Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 8