Connecting Africa
   Through Broadband
           A strategy for doubling
         connectivity by 2021 and
reaching universal access by 2030


                      Running footer   1
Connecting Africa
Through Broadband
A strategy for doubling
connectivity by 2021
and reaching universal
access by 2030


Broadband Commission
Working Group on Broadband for All:
A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa

October 2019
Table of Contents


Foreword.............................................................................................................................................. 8

Acknowledgements......................................................................................................................... 12

Executive Summary......................................................................................................................... 14

Abbreviations.....................................................................................................................................22

1.	Introduction................................................................................................................................24

2.	 Snapshot of Africa’s Digital Infrastructure............................................................................34

3.	 Mission, Vision, and Principles for Digital Transformation in Africa................................46

4.	 Investment Requirements for 2021 and 2030 Digital Infrastructure Targets...............56

5.	 Policy and Regulatory Frameworks to Enable Digital Transformation...........................68

6.	 Digital Skills and Local Content Development....................................................................78

7.	 Targeted Approach for Device Affordability.........................................................................84

8.	 Roadmap and Action Plan to Achieve Universal, Affordable, and Good Quality
    Broadband Access Across Africa............................................................................................92

9.	 Financing Mechanisms for the Digital Infrastructure Moonshot for Africa.................108

10.	Monitoring Progress towards Broadband for All.............................................................. 112

Appendixes.......................................................................................................................... ............116
Figures
Figure 0.1. 	 The World Bank’s Digital Economy for Africa (DE4A) Framework................... 15
Figure 0.2. 	 Investment Needed to Achieve Universal Access to Broadband
              Connectivity by 2030................................................................................................ 16
Figure 0.3. 	 Relative Size of Investment Needed by Country for Universal Access by
              2030.............................................................................................................................. 17
Figure 0.4. 	 MFD Indicative Distribution of Cost Sharing........................................................ 18
Figure 0.5. 	 Roadmap for Universal Access to Affordable and Good Quality
              Broadband...................................................................................................................20
Figure 2.1. 	 Broadband Penetration in African Countries by Technology, 2010-2018..... 35
Figure 2.2. 	 Broadband Infrastructure Value Chains................................................................36
Figure 2.3. 	 Proportion of Population with Access to Electricity, 2017................................43
Figure 4.1.	 Mobile Penetration in Africa by Country, 2018....................................................60
Figure 4.2. 4G Mobile Broadband Penetration in Africa by Country, 2018......................... 61
Figure 4.3. 	 Investment Needed to Double Broadband Penetration in Africa
              by 2021.........................................................................................................................63
Figure 4.4. 	 Relative Size of Investment Needed by Country to Double Broadband
              Connectivity by 2021.................................................................................................64
Figure 4.5. 	 Investment Needed to Achieve Universal Access to Broadband
              Connectivity................................................................................................................65
Figure 4.6. 	 Relative Size of Investment Needed by Country for Universal Access
              by 2030.........................................................................................................................66
Figure 4.7. 	 Expected Broadband Penetration Growth (2018, 2021, 2030)........................ 67
Figure 4.8. 	 Investment Needed to Achieve Universal Access to Connectivity by
              Region........................................................................................................................... 67
Figure 7.1. 	 Affordability of Entry-Level Device in Low- and Middle-Income
              Countries by Region..................................................................................................86
Figure 8.1. 	 Roadmap for Universal Access to Affordable and Good Quality
              Broadband...................................................................................................................94
Figure 8.2. 	 Ghana Investment Fund for Electronic Communications -
              Smart Community Architecture............................................................................100
Figure 9.1. 	 MFD Indicative Distribution of Cost Sharing.......................................................111
Figure A.1. 	 Estimating Requirements for the 2021 Target: Model Structure
              (Indicative)..................................................................................................................120
Figure A.2. 	Estimating Requirements for the 2030 Target: Model Structure
              (Indicative).................................................................................................................. 121


Tables
Table 1.1.	         Examples of Digital Infrastructure Initiatives and Programs............................30
Boxes
Box 1.1. 	 The African Union’s Digital Transformation Strategy for Africa .......................26
Box 1.2. 	 The World Bank’s Digital Economy for Africa (DE4A) Framework................... 27
Box 1.3. 	 European Union-African Union Digital Economy Task Force (EU-AU DETF)..29
Box 2.1.	  ITU Interactive Transmission Map........................................................................... 37
Box 2.2. 	 African Undersea and Terrestrial Fiber Optic Cables..........................................39
Box 2.3. 	 GSMA Mobile Coverage Map................................................................................... 41
Box 2.4. 	 Sustainable Development Goal on Energy (SDG7) and the World Bank
           Group............................................................................................................................43
Box 3.1. 	 Mobilizing Finance for Development (MFD).........................................................48
Box 3.2. 	 GSR19 Best Practice Guidelines to Fast-Forward Digital Connectivity
           for All.............................................................................................................................49
Box 3.3. 	 Principles for Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the
           Telecom Sector........................................................................................................... 51
Box 3.4. 	 The World Bank ’s Core Principles for Digital Infrastructure............................ 53
Box 3.5.	  Five Principles for the Digital Transformation Strategy for Africa....................54
Box 3.6. 	 Mission, Vision, and Values for ITU’s Strategic Plan 2020-2023...................... 55
Box 4.1. 	 A Multistakeholder Process......................................................................................58
Box 5.1. 	 Digital Public Platforms............................................................................................. 76
Box 5.2. 	 The Impact of Taxation on Affordability................................................................ 77
Box 6.1. 	 Addressing Digital Skills and Local Content.........................................................80
Box 6.2. 	 Closing the Digital Skills Gap for Nigerian Women and Girls........................... 81
Box 6.3. 	 Technology Bootcamp Empowers Young Tanzanian Women.........................82
Box 7.1. 	 KaiOS: Affordable Smart-Feature Phones.............................................................88
Box 8.1.	  Facebook’s Shared Backhaul Projects...................................................................96
Box 8.2. 	 Reverse Subsidy Auctions as a Mechanism for Widening Rural Access.........98
Box 8.3. 	 Huawei: Innovative Infrastructure Solution to Expand Access to Rural
           Areas............................................................................................................................102
Box 8.4. 	 Microsoft’s Airband Initiative..................................................................................102
Box 8.5.	  Nokia’s Smart City Playbook..................................................................................103
Box 8.6.	 Innovative Business Models for Expanding Fiber-Optic Networks and
           Closing the Access Gaps........................................................................................105
Box 8.7.	  Intelsat’s Partnership with UNHCR to Bring Internet Access to
           Refugees.....................................................................................................................106
Box B.1. 	 ITU’s Smart Village Platform................................................................................... 123
Box B.2. 	 The Digital Transformation Platform and Broadband Investment Program
           in the Maghreb Region............................................................................................ 123
Box B.3. 	 Developing a Public-Private Partnership for International Fiber Optic
           Connectivity – São Tomé and Príncipe............................................................... 124
Box B.4. 	 OneWeb – Strategy to Connect Remote, Rural Villages and Roadways.....126
Box B.5. 	 KT’s Copper Wire-Based Gigabit Internet Technology Solution....................128
Box B.6. 	 Talia’s Quika Brings HTS Ka Band Services to Remote Locations..................129
Box B.7. 	 The Smart Africa Broadband Strategy Document.............................................129
Box B.8.	 GSMA’s Mobile Internet Skills Training Toolkit.................................................... 131
Box B.9.	 KT’s GiGA Island Initiative....................................................................................... 132
Box B.10.	 ISTIC’s Double Hundred Universities Cooperation Project ............................ 133
Box B.11.	 WomEng South Africa with One Million STEM Girls Project...........................134
Box B.12.	 Shared-Value Partnership for Equitable Access to Digital Literacy in Kenya.. 135
    Foreword

    HIS EXCELLENCY PAUL KAGAME,                                          THE HONORABLE CARLOS SLIM HELÚ,
    President, Rwanda Co-Chair,                                          President, Carlos Slim Foundation Co-Chair,
    United Nations Broadband Commission for                              United Nations Broadband Commission for
    Sustainable Development                                              Sustainable Development




    Dear friends,

    Since my appointment as UN Broadband Commissioner in September 2018, the World
    Bank Group (WBG) has actively engaged with the Working Group Commissioners and
    Focal Points, African Union, governments, the private sector, and the donor community
    to promote an ambitious vision to harness digital technology and innovation to
    transform the African continent’s economies, societies, and governments. This is
    urgent. Africa is the key to reaching our goals of ending extreme poverty by 2030 and
    boosting shared prosperity. Our latest Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2018 report found
    that in 2015, the most recent year with robust data, global extreme poverty reached 10
    percent – the lowest level in recorded history. But the report also showed that extreme
    poverty is becoming more concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa because of the region’s
    slower rates of growth, problems caused by conflict and weak institutions, income
    inequality and a lack of success in channeling growth into poverty reduction.1 Sub-
    Saharan Africa now accounts for most of the world’s poor, and— unlike most of the
    rest of the world—the total number of extremely poor people in Sub-Saharan Africa is
    increasing – from 278 million in 1990 to 413 million in 2015. In 2015, the continent was
    home to 27 of the world’s 28 poorest countries, all with poverty rates above 30 percent,
    and the region had more extremely poor people than the rest of the world combined.
    Whereas the average poverty rate for other regions was below 13 percent as of 2015, it
    stood at about 41 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa. The working-age population in Africa
    is expected to increase by some 450 million people between 2015 and 2035. If current
    trends continue, less than one quarter will find stable jobs. Over 300 million people will
    be unemployed.

    The digital agenda fosters economic growth and creation of jobs. Accelerating
    broadband connectivity so that every individual, business, and government in Africa
    is digitally enabled is a once in a generation chance to disrupt the growth trajectory
    and open up new opportunities for economic and social development. According to
    econometric studies prepared by the International Telecommunication Union (ITU),
    expanding mobile broadband penetration by 10 percent in Africa would yield an
    increase of 2.5 percent in GDP per capita. In addition, it suggests that a 10 per cent


    1.	   1. The World Bank. Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2018: Piecing Together the Poverty Puzzle. Despite faster growth in some
          Sub-Saharan African economies, such as Burkina Faso and Rwanda, the region has also struggled to improve shared prosperity.
          The bottom 40 in the dozen Sub-Saharan African countries saw their consumption (or income) rise by an average of 1.8
          percent per year in 2010–15 (slightly below the global average of 1.9 percent per year). Furthermore, the consumption (or
          income) level of the bottom 40 shrank in a third of those 12 countries.




8    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
drop in mobile broadband prices will boost adoption of mobile broadband technology
by more than 3.1 per cent.2 Broadband connectivity also creates new jobs through
many avenues – directly through the demand for labor from technology-based
companies and indirectly through demand from the wider ecosystem that support
technology-based enterprises. And innovation has always created jobs in new sectors
that did not exist before (for example, jobs in innovation hubs and jobs in professions
that require access to data). Universal, affordable and good quality broadband
underpins the digital economy and its rapidly expanding businesses, creating millions of
jobs in these new sectors. The global impact of an increase in internet penetration on
employment have been analyzed by the ITU, Deloitte as well as other institutions and
academic institutions. Expanding internet growth to a much higher level (75 percent
penetration) could lead to a nine percent increase of job creation compared with what
might have existed with current levels of penetration.

We must ensure that the promise of digital transformation leaves no one behind.
Digitization is expanding access to basic needs and services. Several of the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDG), such as universal identification, efficient government
services, and financial inclusion and job creation require the intensive use of
information and communication technologies (ICT). Digital ID projects in Côte d’Ivoire
and Guinea kickstarted the West Africa regional identification program with more
than $300 million from the West Africa Unique Identification for Regional Integration
and Inclusion (WURI) program. A new generation of projects is helping transform
selected sectors through e-health, e-agriculture, digital transport, and more, promoting
effective, transparent, tech-enabled public service delivery, evidence-based policy
and public management, harnessing the data revolution. Underlying these goals is
SDG target 9c: to significantly increase access to ICTs and strive to provide universal
and affordable access to the internet in least developed countries (LDCs) by 2020. To
achieve this, we must take a global approach to digital transformation, and at the same
time step up our commitment to connect the 49 percent of the population in the
region that are still excluded from ICT services and are most at risk of being left behind.
Significant progress has been made and much more can be done toward making
services more affordable and increasing adoption.

We call for a coalition to rally around the African Union for an ambitious digital
transformation agenda. I am very pleased that the World Bank is a member of the
UN Broadband Commission, and is working closely with the African Union, regional
economic communities and African governments to support a new level of ambition
for digital transformation. Under the digital economy for Africa initiative (DE4A), which
has sometimes been called a “digital moonshot for Africa,” the WBG is supporting the
African Union Digital Transformation Strategy. Prepared under the leadership of the
African Union Commission (AUC), the Digital Transformation Strategy for Africa sets
out a bold vision to ensure that every African individual, business, and government is
digitally enabled by 2030. The goal is to drive the digital transformation of Africa and
ensure its full participation in the global digital economy.

For dynamic, inclusive, and safe digital economies to emerge, African countries will



2.	 ITU, Economic contribution of broadband, digitization and ICT regulation: Econometric modelling for Africa, https://www.itu.
    int/dms_pub/itu-d/opb/pref/D-PREF-EF.BDT_AFR-2019-PDF-E.pdf).




                                                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa       9
     need to follow a holistic approach to building a dynamic digital economy on top of
     strong analog foundations of good governance, enabling regulations, accountable
     institutions, and relevant skills. Based on global experience and learning, World Bank
     and IFC have launched a joint development framework to support continued efforts
     towards inclusive and sustainable digital economies. This comprehensive agenda
     focuses on strengthening the five foundations needed for the digital economy to
     function. In this regard, the digital economy will further require broadband networks
     to be universally available, affordable, of good quality and accessible alongside
     data centers/cloud services (Digital Infrastructure Pillar); digital platforms that allow
     governments, firms, and individuals to access a wide range of products and services
     and conduct secure online transactions, underpinned by unique, authenticated digital
     identification for an inclusive digital economy (Digital Platforms pillar); the ability for
     people, businesses, and governments to pay, transact, and manage their financial
     wellbeing—all digitally—and for people and businesses to access affordable/tailored
     digital financial services including credit, insurance, deposit, and pensions (Digital
     Financial Services Pillar). When new or existing businesses are able to transact online,
     secure digital data on markets and consumers, and expand through digitized value
     chains and e-commerce, then digital economies energize growth, offer innovative
     products and solutions, and create new forms of work (Digital Entrepreneurship
     Pillar). Finally, ensuring the widespread availability of digital skills allows individuals and
     business to harness the opportunities and guard against the risks of the digital economy
     (Digital Skills Pillar). These five pillars are critical foundations of the digital economy.

     In addition to the five foundational pillars, there are several crosscutting elements that
     are also key to achieve a vibrant, inclusive and safe digital transformation. The digital
     economy can provide a new growth model to create economic growth, jobs, new
     products and services, poverty reduction, and enhance the region’s competitiveness.
     A digital economy brings digital transformation to the traditional, or “analog,” sectors
     of an economy, such as healthcare, education, agriculture, trade and banking, among
     others. However, it can also bring risks and vulnerabilities which are being exploited
     by cybercriminals. Misinformation, harassment of vulnerable groups, and closing the
     gap between connected and unconnected are real challenges for policy makers.
     Therefore, governments must be able to maximize benefits, while actively minimizing
     the risks of the digital economy, and this will require an appropriate regulatory and
     policy environment. In relation to cybersecurity and data protection, relevant legislation
     and cybersecurity measures have to be addressed to ensure a safe digital economy.
     Competition is also an essential component to ensure an efficient digital transformation
     strategy - governments should encourage healthy competition, increase productivity,
     and achieve scale. Furthermore, women are a critical component of any digital
     transformation in Africa. However, restrictive gender norms exist in different regions,
     as is the case in Sub-Saharan Africa, that limit women’s access to and usage of digital
     technologies, further excluding them from opportunity.3 In order to address this, a
     rigorous research approach must be carried out to inform policy, implementation
     strategy and evaluation metrics, ensuring that African women form a key part of the
     digital economy.

     The digital revolution is well underway in Africa and offers a leapfrogging opportunity
     in many foundational areas of the digital economy to leverage global and regional
     initiatives. A digital transformation promises to be a positive multiplier for other
     socioeconomic trends, bringing them to scale to achieve a deeper and faster
     transformation. Rising mobile phone penetration, improving broadband connectivity
     and accelerating internet speeds, and the widespread adoption of mobile money

     3.	 Gender norms differ greatly between regions, countries and even subregions, however, gender gaps in mobile ownership and
         mobile internet use are often wider where mobile penetration is lower, as is the case in Sub-Saharan African.




10    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
across Africa are all changing the way the continent communicates, collaborates,
and transacts. In turn, this will unleash new opportunities for people, businesses, and
governments in a virtuous circle.

In particular, there are significant opportunities to be gained for the region in the
agriculture sector, where the target for 2030 is for every African farmer, agribusiness,
and ministry of agriculture to be digitally enabled. E-agriculture will be critical to
promote efficiency and sustainable production, where land and soil information could
be readily available in public databases and irrigation systems could be monitored
digitally, to optimize water use. Many other sectors of the economy will also benefit.
As an example, universal access to affordable high-speed broadband communications
technology will assist health systems to provide higher quality and more patient-
focused care, especially in rural and remote areas, by giving health workers access to
tools that allow them to do more and draw on resources previously only available in
major urban centers.

I applaud the efforts of the African continent to take this agenda to the next level,
with the support of Heads of States. I also count on all of us, the friends of digital
transformation, to work together in a coordinated manner. It will be critical that we
work closely with the African Union Commission (AUC), with regional economic
communities, and governments, with development partners, and with representatives
of the private sector to create a single coordination platform to support the efforts the
continent is making. You can count on the World Bank Group’s full participation in this
effort. You can also count on our full commitment to the digital transformation agenda
in Africa, leveraging all our instruments, our knowledge, and our convening power.

In this Working Group report under the Broadband Commission’s auspices, we
propose a roadmap and action plan for universal, affordable and good quality
broadband connectivity in Africa, combining investment needs, sector reforms, and
demand stimulation required to advance to a single digital market on the continent.
Underpinning the successful implementation of the roadmap is the World Bank Group’s
Mobilizing Finance for Development (MFD) approach to systematically leverage
all sources of finance, expertise, and solutions to support developing countries’
sustainable growth. In this roadmap and action plan. I am calling for a global coalition
to achieve Africa’s digital transformation so that by 2030 every individual, business, and
government in Africa is digitally enabled and ready to thrive in the digital economy. The
roadmap may be found in chapter 8.

The present report has been created collaboratively, over several meetings, drawing
on contributions and insights from the participants of the Broadband Commission
for Sustainable Development’s Working Group on Broadband for All: A Digital
Infrastructure Moonshot for Africa. I would like to give special thanks to the members
of the Working Group and other active participants who agreed to share so much of
their time, wisdom, and experiences. You will find a description of the multistakeholder
consultation process in appendix C and a list of those members of the Working Group
under the Acknowledgments section of the report.



KRISTALINA GEORGIEVA
Chief Executive Officer, The World Bank
IBRD/IDA, Washington, D.C.
Commissioner, United Nations Broadband Commission for Sustainable Development
Chair, Working Group on Broadband for All: A Digital Infrastructure Moonshot for Africa




                                                             A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   11
     Acknowledgements

     The present report has been created collaboratively, drawing on contributions
     and insights from the participants of the Broadband Commission for Sustainable
     Development’s Working Group on Broadband for All: A Digital Infrastructure Moonshot
     for Africa. The Working Group was chaired by Ms. Kristalina Georgieva, CEO of the
     World Bank. The World Bank has coordinated the production of the document under
     the guidance of Mr. Makhtar Diop, Vice President of the Infrastructure Practice Group.
     The report benefitted from the leadership of Boutheina Guermazi, Director of the
     Digital Development Global Practice (GP) and general supervision of Michel Rogy,
     Practice Manager of Digital Development for Africa and the Middle East of the World
     Bank. The World Bank core team comprised of Doyle Gallegos, Lucine Munkyung Park,
     Ane Morales Elorriaga, Roku Fukui, Tim Kelly, Je Myung Ryu, and Natalija Gelvanovska.
     The report benefitted from the peer review of Carlo Maria Rossotto, Xavier Stephane
     Decoster, Ariana Batori and Anna Polomska, and technical reviews from Deborah L.
     Wetzel,and Sajitha Bashir.

     The Alliance for Affordable Internet (A4AI) provided overall advice, analysis, and drafting
     support, with special acknowledgement to Sonia Jorge (Executive Director), Maiko
     Nakagaki, Dhanaraj Thakur, David Townsend, Eleanor Sarpong, and Guy Zibi (Xalam
     Analytics). We benefitted from valuable inputs from the members of the UN Broadband
     Commission’s Working Group on Broadband for All: A Digital Infrastructure Moonshot
     for Africa as well as the members of the World Bank Consultation Group on the Digital
     Infrastructure for Africa and the Middle East. The process of completing the report
     was facilitated by Anna Polomska of the Broadband Commission Secretariat at the
     International Telecommunication Union (ITU). Support for processing of the report and
     its media outreach was received from Anne Senges and ITU staff.

     The work was partially funded by contributions from the World Bank’s Digital
     Development Partnership (DDP) Multi-Donor Trust Fund and its members. The support
     is gratefully acknowledged.

     The Broadband Commissioners, the Commissioners’ Focal Points, and, in particular, the
     members of the Working Group provided invaluable contributions:

     •	 Adam Lane, Huawei
     •	 Adrian Lovett, Web Foundation
     •	 Amir Dossal, Global Partnerships                 •	 Carlos Manuel Jarque Uribe,
        Forum                                                  America Movil
     •	 Andrew Rugege, ITU                               •	 Cheikh Bedda, African Union
                                                               Commission (AUC)
     •	 Anna Polomska, ITU
     •	 Annette M. Purves, Intelsat                      •	 Chris Exelby, GSMA
     •	 Arnaud Senn, European Commission                 •	 Christopher Hemmerlein, Facebook
     •	 Belinda Exelby, GSMA                             •	 Claire Scharwatt, GSMA
     •	 Bocar Ba, SAMENA                                 •	 Dato’ Ir. Lee Yee Cheong,
                                                               ISTIC Malaysia
        Telecommunication Council
     •	 Brahim Ghribi, Nokia                             •	 David Geary, Digicel
     •	 Byungki Oh, Korea Telecom (KT)                   •	 Desire Karyabwite, ITU


12   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
•	 Donna Murphy, Inmarsat                    •	 Mats Granryd, GSMA
•	 Doreen Bogdan Martin, ITU                 •	 Mehdi Khouili, AUC
•	 Esperanza Magpantay, ITU                  •	 Minerva Novero-Belec, UNDP
•	 Estelle Schnitzler, EUTELSAT IGO          •	 Miniva Chibuye, UN-OHRLLS
•	 Fargani Tambeayuk, Facebook               •	 Mophethe Moletsane, MTN
•	 Fekitamoeloa Katoa ‘Utoikamanu, UN-       •	 Oumar Diallo, UN-OHRLLS
   OHRLLS
                                             •	 Nancy Sundberg, ITU
•	 Genaro Cruz, GSMA                         •	 Patrick Masambu, International
•	 Ilbum Chun, KT                               Telecommunications Satellite
                                                Organization (ITSO)
•	 Imme Philbeck, SAMENA
   Telecommunication Council                 •	 Piotr Dmochowski-Lipski, EUTELSAT
                                                IGO
•	 Istvan Bozsoki, ITU
•	 James Howe, ITC                           •	 Rajeev Suri, Nokia
•	 Jessie Kim, KT                            •	 Renata Brazil David, ITSO
•	 Jo Hironaka, UNESCO ISTIC                 •	 Rob Shuter, MTN
•	 Jose Manuel Toscano, Intelsat             •	 Robert Pepper, Facebook
•	 Kalvin Bahia, GSMA                        •	 Rupert Pearce, Inmarsat
•	 Lacina Koné, Smart Africa                 •	 Sofie Maddens, ITU
•	 Lars Erik Forsberg, European              •	 Sonia Jorge, A4AI/Web Foundation
   Commission                                •	 Speranza Ndege, Kenyatta University
•	 Lauren Dawes, GSMA                        •	 Steve Spengler, Intelsat
•	 Maciej Piotrowski, Office of Electronic   •	 Sungwon Min, KT
   Communications (UKE)
                                             •	 Teboho Malie, MTN
•	 Mara Bubberman, European                  •	 Thor Vertmann, European
   Commission
                                                Commission
•	 Marcelo D’Agostino,                       •	 Tinyiko Ngobeni, Dpt of Telecoms and
   University of Milan
                                                Postal Services in South Africa
•	 Marcin Cichy, UKE                         •	 Trudy Cooke, Inmarsat
•	 Marco Franzosi, Novartis Foundation       •	 Wojciech Berezowski, UKE
•	 Martin Schaaper, ITU                      •	 Youlia Lozanova, ITU




                             More information about the
                        Working Group on Broadband for All:
             A Digital Infrastructure Moonshot for Africa is available at:
   https://www.broadbandcommission.org/workinggroups/Pages/WG2-2018.aspx



                                                      A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   13
     Executive Summary

     Digital technologies and the digital                               The African Union Commission
     economy will have a transformative                                 (AUC) set up a taskforce and led a
     impact on development. Today’s                                     multistakeholder process to develop the
     economy is being driven by digital                                 Digital Transformation Strategy for Africa,
     transformation across all sectors and                              a vision to harness digital technologies
     digital technology is increasingly at the                          and innovation to transform Africa’s
     center of people’s daily lives. Indeed,                            economies, societies, and governments
     several Sustainable Development                                    to generate new economic growth,
     Goals (SDGs) require information and                               job creation, and poverty reduction.
     communication technologies (ICTs) as                               As a complement to AUC’s vision, the
     an enabler, notably to achieve universal                           World Bank Group (WBG) has also
     identification, more efficient delivery of                         initiated a regional program, the Digital
     government services, financial inclusion,                          Economy for Africa (DE4A) initiative,
     and job creation. Furthermore, digital                             with five corresponding foundational
     transformation will impact key sectors of                          pillars – digital infrastructure, digital
     the economy, such as health, agriculture,                          financial services, digital platforms, digital
     education and trade, among others,                                 entrepreneurship, and digital skills (see
     and will support the needs of people,                              figure 0.1) – with the objective to digitally
     governments, and the private sector                                enable every African individual, business,
     resulting in an essential tool for people’s                        and government by 2030, while targeting
     access to rights and services as well as                           intermediate priority results by 2021.
     better governance. Underlying these
     goals is SDG Target 9.c: to significantly                          While these initiatives set clear goals
     increase access to information and                                 and address important issues toward
     communications technology and strive to                            universal affordable and good quality
     provide universal and affordable access to                         broadband access, there has been
     the internet in least developed countries                          less discussion about the investment
     (LDCs) by 2020. While some progress has                            required and financing needs to meet
     been made in this regard, there is a danger                        the targets, modalities for financing the
     that in Africa, where many of the LDCs are                         agenda, and how to operationalize the
     located, this target will be missed, both in                       framework and principles. To this end the
     terms of access and affordability. Home to                         Working Group on Broadband for All:
     some 1.2 billion inhabitants, the continent                        A Digital Moonshot Infrastructure for
     will need to act quickly and boldly, or risk                       Africa was formed as a multistakeholder
     being left behind as the rise of digital                           consultation group to engage key ICT
     technologies and the digital economy                               industry partners, estimate the investment
     offers a once in a generation chance to                            needs, and prepare a roadmap to help
     take advantage of digital transformation                           countries and development actors
     to accelerate the achievements of the                              coordinate, accelerate and prioritize
     SDGs.                                                              their efforts to help reach the SDGs by
                                                                        improving digital infrastructure in Africa.
     Achieving universal affordable and good                            This report summarizes the findings and
     quality broadband access across the                                recommendations from the Working
     whole of Africa requires a sustained and                           Group.
     committed effort from all stakeholders.




     4.	 The AU process is codified in AU rules for consultations ahead of approval by Heads of States.




14    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Figure 0.1. The World Bank’s Digital Economy for Africa (DE4A) Framework
Principles

                                 Taking an ecosystem approach that looks at supply and demand
 Comprehensive                   and defies a narrow silo approach in defining the requisite
                                 elements and foundations for digital economy


                                 Aiming at a very different scale of ambition
 Transformative
                                 beyond incremental ‘islands’ of success


                                 Creating equal access to opportunities and dealing with risks of
 Inclusive
                                 exclusion


                                 Promoting homegrown digital content and solutions while
 Homegrown                       embracing what is good and relevant from outside the
                                 continent


                                 Ensuring collaboration and coordination among countries,
 Collaborative
                                 among sectors, and among public and private players



Digital Economy Foundations

   Applications likely to develop once the
   foundation elements are in place:
   •	 GOVTECH applications
                                                                              USAGE
   •	 E-COMMERCE
   •	 OPEN BANKING: non-banks offer tailored services
   •	 DATA LOCKERS to access selected services

                                                                          DIGITAL
    DIGITAL SKILLS
    AND LITERACY




                                                                          ENTREPRENEURSHIP
                     PLATFORMS




                                                                     DIGITAL FINANCIAL
                     DIGITAL




                                                                     SERVICES

                                                                 DIGITAL
                                                                 INFRASTRUCTURE

   Cross cutting areas:
   •	 Strong regulatory frameworks to foster competition and MFD agenda
   •	 Manage risks: data privacy, cyber security
   •	 Opportunity to empower women and apply to FCV




                                                                 A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   15
     Investment Requirements for 2021 and
     2030 Digital Infrastructure Targets
     The World Bank has developed two goals                             Nearly 1.1 billion new unique users
     to ensure the initiative is fully realized and                     must be connected to achieve
     the strategy stays on track: a short-term                          universal, affordable, and good quality
     progress milestone to be achieved by                               broadband internet access by 2030,
     2021 – to double broadband connectivity                            and an estimated additional $100
     penetration in Africa by 2021 from 2016                            billion would be needed to reach this
     penetration levels, and a long-term target                         goal over the next decade (see figure
     to be achieved by 2030 – to achieve                                0.2). This is unquestionably a significant
     universal affordable and good quality                              infrastructure undertaking, requiring
     broadband access in Africa by 2030.                                the deployment of nearly 250,000 new
                                                                        4G base stations and at least 250,000
     Using a variety of data sources, including                         kilometers of fiber across the region. It
     consultations with key ICT industry                                also requires rolling out satellites, Wi-Fi
     stakeholders, the following key findings                           based solutions, and other innovations
     were concluded.                                                    to reach an estimated population of
                                                                        nearly 100 million that live in remote
     To double broadband connectivity by                                rural areas that are currently out of reach
     2021, nearly 220 million new people                                of traditional cellular mobile networks.
     must come online and an estimated                                  Another required investment is building
     $9 billion in investment is required.                              the user skills and local content
     Doubling broadband penetration also                                foundations to ensure that the deployed
     implies a significant uptake of penetration                        infrastructure is used adequately, in a
     in areas already covered by broadband                              manner that would support its long-
     networks, through legal and policy                                 term viability. Investment in developing
     reforms aimed at increasing accessibility,                         and implementing adequate policy
     awareness, affordability, relevance, safety,                       and regulation frameworks will also be
     and security as well as the level of digital                       required to create market conditions
     skills through capacity building programs.                         that foster technology deployment, the
     Specific attention should be devoted to                            development of a broader technology
     countries showing low penetration level,                           ecosystem, and overall broadband
     of which many are in a fragile situation5.                         service affordability.


     Figure 0.2. Investment Needed to Achieve Universal Access to Broadband
     Connectivity by 2030
         $100                                                                ICT Skills & Content
                                                                             ~$18.0bn
           $80
                                                                             Policy & Regulation Costs
           $60                                                               ~$2.4bn

           $40                                                               Network Operation & Maintenance
                                                                             ~$53bn
           $20
                                                                             Infrastructure CapEx
                                                                             ~$29.5bn
             $0

     5.	 https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/fragilityconflictviolence/brief/harmonized-list-of-fragile-situations




16    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Figure 0.3. Relative Size of Investment Needed by Country for Universal
Access by 2030




                                                                  NIGER                    ALGERIA                    MOROCCO




                                                UGANDA




                                                                  MOZAMBIQUE           GHANA             BURKINA FASO     CAMEROON




                  ETHIOPIA           EGYPT
                                                SOUTH AFRICA
                                                                                               ZAMBIA         SOUTH SUDAN       ZIMBABWE

                                                                                CHAD
                                                                  IVORY COAST



                                                                                                            BURUNDI     BENIN     TUNISIA
                                     TANZANIA
                                                                                               RWANDA
                                                                                                            SIERRA
                                                                                                            LEONE
                                                SUDAN
                                                                                SENEGAL
                                                                  MADAGASCAR

                                                                                               SOMALIA

                                                                                                            TOGO



 NIGERIA          CONGO, DEM. REP.   KENYA      ANGOLA            MALAWI        MALI           GUINEA       LIBYA


No single actor acting alone will be able       All participating organizations must
to meet the 2030 target and carry the           collaborate to ensure that their resources
burden of a $100 billion investment             are used in the most effective way.
funding requirement. Mobilizing Finance         Partnership among the financing partners
for Development (MFD) is the World              as well as other implementing partners
Bank Group’s approach to systematically         is more likely to result in effective
leverage all sources of finance, expertise,     investments, and ultimately, greater
and solutions to support developing             impact. Table 0.4 below provides an
countries’ sustainable growth. Focus of         indicative distribution of cost sharing
efforts are centered in three main areas:       between the public and the private for
(i) strengthening investment capacityand        infrastructure capital expenditure(CapEx)
policy frameworks at national and               and network operations and maintenance
subnational levels; (ii) enhancing private      (O&M). Another significant aspect of
sector involvement and prioritizing             the MFD approach demonstrates that
commercial sources of financing; and (iii)      public investment participants (e.g. MDBs,
enhancing the catalytic role of Multilateral    bilaterals and other development aid
Development Banks (MDBs). By scaling            agencies) will channel investments in
up private-finance mobilization, it aims        areas that the private sector sees as non-
to support countries’ development goals         commercially viable.
in ways that complement and reinforce
public resources.

                                                               A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa                               17
     Figure 0.4. MFD Indicative Distribution of Cost Sharing

         Urban Population      Rural Population                         Remote Rural                   1.2
       New Users 550 million New Users 550 million                   New Users 100 million             BILLION
                (46%)                      (46%)                               (8%)                    NEW USERS


                     Funding Requirements                            Funding Requirements              $83
                     $63 billion (75%)                               $20 billion (25%)                 US$
                                                                                                       BILLION


                             PRIVATE                                          PUBLIC

                      Infrastructure CapEx                            Infrastructure CapEx             $30
                    $28 billion (93%)                                  $2 billion (7%)                 US$
                                                                                                       BILLION

                         Network O&M                                      Network O&M                  $53
                    $35 billion (66%)                                $18 billion (34%)                 US$
                                                                                                       BILLION


     Note: New users in remote rural area are estimated at ~100m (~15%-20% of the rural population).
     This represents the low-density areas out of reach of traditional mobile networks.


     Policy and Regulatory                                     implement and enforce legal and
                                                               policy mandates, and govern overall
     Frameworks to Enable                                      broadband/ICT sector performance.

     Digital Transformation                                •	 Public Funding, Investment: Direct
                                                               public funding of broadband projects
     Public policies and government practices                  through various vehicles, including
     can influence the development and                         government subsidies and public
     impact of universal, affordable and good                  financing through public-private
     quality broadband connectivity in different               partnerships (PPP) arrangements.
     ways. While the best policy option for any
     given country will depend on its unique               •	 Programs, Initiatives: Government
     context, certain core principles and                      sponsored or supported programs
     established good practices have proven                    to promote broadband awareness,
     effective in accelerating broadband                       adoption, and use, including education
     growth and adoption across different                      and training.
     countries. The following are key features
     of broadband policy options:                          •	 Government Adoption, Procurement:
                                                               The role of government as a user
     •	 National ICT Policies and Digital                      of broadband in its operations at all
         Strategies: The basic foundation                      levels, including network connectivity,
         for establishment and promotion of                    procurement of equipment and
         broadband, including national digital                 services, and aggregation of
         strategies (holistic approaches to                    government demand and adoption
         digital development and planning)                     across agencies.
         and policy principles, directives and
         targets for sector-specific national ICT           •	 Taxation, Fiscal Policy: Tax, tariffs,
         strategy as well as general principles                fees, and other fiscal policies that
         for competition policy.                               affect costs and incentives for
                                                               broadband service and equipment
     •	 Laws, Legislation, and Regulation:                     suppliers, investors, entrepreneurs,
         Regulatory agencies, instruments,                     and customers.
         rules, decisions, and oversight, which


18   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Each of the above forms of policy
intervention can influence one or
                                                                  Device Affordability
more aspects of the overall broadband                             Affordability remains one of the main
ecosystem. Furthermore, governments                               challenges in addressing the global
should design coordinated national                                digital divide. The relatively high costs of
broadband strategies for digital                                  getting online also include the costs of
transformation that cover technological                           purchasing a mobile device. Sub-Saharan
advancements and increased demands                                Africa faces the greatest challenge in
to leapfrog towards more integrated                               terms of the affordability of an entry-
information systems and services.                                 level mobile device. The combination of
                                                                  expensive entry-level mobile data plans
                                                                  and entry-level devices keep the majority
                                                                  of people in the region offline.
Digital Skills and Local
Content Development                                               As such, to achieve universal, affordable
                                                                  and good quality broadband access on the
Bringing over a billion new users online                          continent, improving device affordability
on the continent requires the global                              must be a priority. To lower device costs,
community to invest in digital skills and                         public and private stakeholders should
local content development – in particular,                        explore the following strategies:
in local language – as part of the effort to
increase connectivity and prepare people                          •	 Increase device affordability and
as active digital citizens. Given that most                            adoption through targeted public
of the population still offline are from                               policies and market measures:
marginalized groups, including women,                                  governments should explore programs
the poor, and rural communities, there is                              that subsidize mobile devices, such
a need to invest in developing basic digital                           as through its universal service and
skills and support a local digital ecosystem                           access funds (USAF). Governments
to increase relevant local content and                                 should also work with the private
knowledge that support development                                     sector and financial institutions
opportunities, including for women                                     to facilitate access to finance and
and girls.                                                             payment plans for mobile devices, as
                                                                       well as assess the impact of taxation
Investment must come from all                                          on devices. Governments should
stakeholders to prioritize the necessary                               also work with the private sector
policies and programs to develop digitally                             and financial institutions to facilitate
ready populations, for example, national                               access to finance and payment plans
governments sponsoring ICT educational                                 for mobile devices, as well as assess
development programs for worker                                        the impact of taxation on devices.
retraining, multilateral development                                   Continent-wide adoption of the ITA is
organizations investing in education                                   critical to achieve this.6
programs for vocational schools, civil
society organizations implementing                                •	 Support business models offering
digital skills education initiatives, and                              low-cost devices on the market:
the private sector investing in local                                  governments can support policies that
content development. Digital skills and                                promote local innovation and research
content development programs should                                    and development for internet-enabled
incorporate public- and private-led                                    devices such as handsets, as well as
interventions, as well as those targeted at                            prioritize support through government
women and girls, and rural communities.                                investment agencies for ventures
                                                                       (between local and foreign firms or
                                                                       PPPs) that seek to offer low-cost
                                                                       devices to the market.
6.	 20 years of the Information and Technology Agreement. Boosting trade, innovation and digital connectivity. https://www.wto.
    org/english/res_e/publications_e/ita20years2017_e.htm




                                                                             A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa       19
     •	 Engage with the private sector                         examine the challenges posed by,
        and other partners to lower                            and effects of, royalty stacking in the
        manufacturing and distribution                         smartphone industry since royalties
        costs for devices: The private sector,                 largely contribute to the high price
        government, and academia should                        of devices.



     Roadmap and Action Plan
     The main features of the broadband development roadmap by 2030 for any country
     include the following sequence of key objectives.

     Figure 0.5. Roadmap for Universal Access to Affordable and Good Quality
     Broadband




                             Ensure that the commercial broadband market is open and
                        1    structurally prepared for competitive private investment.

                             Reduce non-economic costs and
                        2    risks of market entry and investment.

                             Provide public/donor funding support for larger, high-
                        3    cost infrastructure investments to reduce risk and
                             increase commercial viability.

                             Expand the market through government procurement
                        4    and implementation of broadband based digital services,
                             networks, and facilities.

                             Provide direct funding support for extending affordable
                             broadband access to commercially challenging rural and
                        5    remote areas, to women, and low-income users under a
                             Mobilizing Finance for Development approach.

                             Increase ICT market commercial attractiveness through
                        6    demand stimulation and affordability initiatives.

                             Promote long-term sustainability by ensuring that
                        7    appropriate technical skills to operate and maintain digital
                             infrastructure are increasingly available on the continent.




     In establishing its own policy, funding,            the relevant objectives. Specific short-
     and project priorities, each government             and long-term action plans for each of
     should review the extent to which it has            the objectives are explained thoroughly
     addressed each of these elements, and               in chapter 8.
     what its next actions should be to achieve


20   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Financing and
Conclusion
With an overall estimate of $109 billion
needed to achieve the universal access to
affordable and good quality broadband,
drawing private investment in broadband
infrastructure will be key, together with
other funding sources. In this regard,
countries should enable the MFD
approach by opening up the markets
to attract new participants, innovative
business models and technologies,
drawing much needed investment capital.

Stakeholders must also undertake
investments for systemic changes needed
to reach the 2030 goal, including in basic
digital skills to use broadband, policy
and regulatory reform, device financing
mechanisms as well as in appropriate
technical skills to operate and maintain
digital infrastructure.

No single actor acting alone will be
able to meet the 2030 target and help
achieve the SDGs. All stakeholders
must come together and collaborate
to realize universally affordable access
to the internet for all Africans. This
includes: the African Union and regional
economic communities; African
governments and respective public
investment agencies; sector regulators;
multilateral development banks and
regional development banks; the United
Nations and other development agencies;
the private sector (both national and
foreign); and civil society groups and
nongovernmental organizations.




                                             A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   21
     Abbreviations


      A4AI            Alliance for Affordable Internet
      ADI             Affordability Driver Index
      APC             Association of Progressive Communications
      ARPU            Average revenue per user
      AU              African Union
      AUC             African Union Commission
      BTS             Base transceiver station
      CapEx           Capital expenditure
      CIPESA          Collaboration on International ICT Policy in East and Southern Africa
      DE4A            Digital Economy for Africa
      EDGE            Enhanced Data rates for GSM Evolution
      EU              European Union
      FCV             Fragility, Conflict and Violence
      GB              Gigabyte
      GDP             Gross domestic product
      GPRS            General Packet Radio Service
      GSMA            GSM Association
      IBRD            International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
      ICTs            Information and communication technologies
      IDA             International Development Association
      IFC             International Finance Corporation
      ISP             Internet service provider
      ITA             Information and Technology Agreement
      ITU             International Telecommunication Union




22   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
LDCs       Least developed countries
Mbps       Megabits per second
MDB        Multilateral development bank
MFD        Mobilizing Finance for Development
MIGA       Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency
OECD       Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
OpEx       Operational expenditure
OS         Operating system
PPP        Public-private partnership
QoS        Quality of service
SDGs       Sustainable Development Goals
SSA        Sub-Saharan Africa
UNESCO     United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization
UNHCR      United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
USAF       Universal Service and Access Fund
USAID      United States Agency for International Development
VAT        Value added tax
WBG        World Bank Group
WEF        World Economic Forum
3G         Third-generation mobile telecommunications technology
4G         Fourth-generation mobile telecommunications technology
5G         Fifth-generation mobile telecommunications technology

         All dollar amounts are U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated




                                                 A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   23
1
                       Introduction




    24   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
The transformative impacts of digital                           While significant progress has been made
technologies and the digital economy on                         in this regard, there is a danger that in
development has been widely agreed.                             Africa, where many of the LDCs are
Today’s economies are being driven by                           located, this target will be missed, in terms
digital transformation across all sectors                       of both access and affordability. In Africa,
and digital technology is increasingly at                       mobile cellular subscriber penetration
the center of people’s daily lives. As such,                    is only 76 percent, households with
technology is redefining how economic                           internet access at home 22 percent,
activities occur across countries, paving                       individuals using the internet 24.4 percent
the way towards digital economies, at                           – as opposed to 107 percent, 57.8
national, regional, and global levels.                          percent, and 51.2 percent, respectively,
Therefore, a well-functioning digital                           globally.7 Moreover, according to the
economy can help achieve faster                                 State of Broadband 2018 report, African
economic growth, offer innovative                               countries on average spend about 1.1
products and services, create jobs and                          percent of GDP on investment in digital
export revenue, and achieve greater                             transformation (including internet
international competitiveness.                                  infrastructure and networks), while
                                                                developed countries spend 3.2 percent
In this regard, the 2030 Agenda for                             of GDP. This means that, not only have
Sustainable Development highlights                              some countries and regions already
the significance of ICTs in the                                 accelerated ahead, but also the gap in
achievement of SDGs and recognizes                              internet availability between developed
that, “The spread of information and                            and developing countries may effectively
communication technology and global                             grow larger every year. Nevertheless,
interconnectedness has great potential                          Africa cannot afford to think small nor
to accelerate human progress, to                                act slowly. Home to some 1.2 billion
bridge the digital divide and to develop                        inhabitants, the continent will need to
knowledge societies.” All three pillars of                      act quickly and boldly, or risk being left
sustainable development – economic                              behind as the rise of digital technologies
development, social inclusion, and                              and the digital economy offers a once
environmental protection – need ICTs                            in a generation chance to disrupt this
as catalysts and several SDG targets                            trajectory.
require the intensive use of ICTs, notably
in achieving universal identification,                          Recognizing the significance of the
more efficient delivery of government                           continent’s leadership to prioritize
services, financial inclusion, and job                          and accelerate digital transformation,
creation. Underlying these goals is target                      several continent-wide initiatives have
9.c, to “significantly increase access                          been initiated to support the digital
to information and communications                               transformation of the continent.
technology and strive to provide                                The African Union Commission
universal and affordable access to the                          (AUC) set up a taskforce and led a
internet in the least developed countries                       multistakeholder process to develop
(LDCs) by 2020.”                                                the Digital Transformation Strategy for
                                                                Africa which sets out a vision to harness




7. 	 ITU. https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Documents/statistics/2018/ITU_Key_2005-2018_ICT_data_with%20LDCs_
     rev27Nov2018.xls




                                                                         A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   25
     digital technologies and innovation to               (see box 1.2). In addition, the European
     transform Africa’s economies, societies,             Union-African Union Digital Economy
     and governments to generate new                      Task Force (EU-AU DETF) was formed to
     economic growth, job creation, and                   guide the EU and AU when prioritizing
     poverty reduction (see box 1.1). The World           actions for cooperation towards African
     Bank Group (WBG) has also initiated a                digital transformation and provides
     regional program, the Digital Economy                recommendations around four pillars (see
     for Africa (DE4A) initiative, in support of          box 1.3): access to affordable broadband
     the AUC’s vision with five corresponding             connectivity and digital infrastructure;
     foundational pillars – digital infrastructure,       digital skills; digital entrepreneurship;
     digital financial services, digital platforms,       e-services (fintech, e-government,
     digital entrepreneurship, and digital skills         e-commerce, and e-health).




         Box 1.1. The African Union’s Digital
         Transformation Strategy for Africa
         The African Union (AU) is taking the digital transformation agenda seriously at
         the highest level. The African Union Commission (AUC), under the auspices
         of Commissioner Dr. Amani Abou-Zeid, who is also a Commissioner for the
         Broadband Commission for Sustainable Development, is preparing a Digital
         Transformation Strategy for Africa. The strategy document brings together
         various pillars of the digital economy, including digital infrastructure, enabling
         environment, policy and regulation, digital platforms, digital financial services,
         digital skills, human capacity, digital innovation and entrepreneurship, as well
         as initiatives in key vertical sectors such as government, education, health,
         agriculture, industry, trade, and financial services. The strategy, which
         includes a roadmap and action plan for implementation, is expected to be
         adopted by the AU at its summit in 2020.

         Once adopted, the Digital Transformation Strategy for Africa will be implemented
         at national, subregional, regional, and global levels, with key institutions
         playing specific and complementary roles in the institutional framework for
         implementation. While AUC will provide a coordination mechanism to facilitate
         the implementation of the strategy at the regional level, to provide strategic
         guidance, to seek support from development partners and to ensure coherence
         with the operationalization of the Africa Vision 2030, each member state will
         operationalize the strategy by establishing national strategies and programs
         to promote the digital economy. Regional economic communities (RECs),
         which make up the building blocks of the African Union, will be called upon to
         establish subregional strategies and programs to promote the digital economy.
         International organizations (IOs) and development partners (DPs), including
         the World Bank Group, the African Development Bank, the International
         Telecommunication Union (ITU), the European Union and other regional
         development banks and financial institutions, would support this process by
         providing technical and financial resources to implement this strategy. This also
         requires all African Union member states to mobilize financial and technical
         resources to support the effective implementation of this strategy.




26   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Box 1.2. The World Bank’s Digital Economy
for Africa (DE4A) Framework
Principles
                                    Taking an ecosystem approach that looks at supply and
Comprehensive                       demand and defies a narrow silo approach in defining the
                                    requisite elements and foundations for digital economy

                                    Aiming at a very different scale of ambition
Transformative
                                    beyond incremental ‘islands’ of success

                                    Creating equal access to opportunities and dealing with
Inclusive
                                    risks of exclusion


                                    Promoting homegrown digital content and solutions while
Homegrown                           embracing what is good and relevant from outside the
                                    continent


                                    Ensuring collaboration and coordination among countries,
Collaborative
                                    among sectors, and among public and private players




DIGITAL ECONOMY FOUNDATIONS

  Applications likely to develop once the foundation
  elements are in place:
  •	      GOVTECH applications                                               USAGE
  •	      E-COMMERCE
  •	      OPEN BANKING: non-banks offer tailored services
  •	      DATA LOCKERS to access selected services

                                                                         DIGITAL
       DIGITAL SKILLS
       AND LITERACY




                                                                         ENTREPRENEURSHIP
                        PLATFORMS




                                                                     DIGITAL FINANCIAL
                        DIGITAL




                                                                     SERVICES

                                                                 DIGITAL
                                                                 INFRASTRUCTURE

  Cross cutting areas:
  •	 Strong regulatory frameworks to foster competition and MFD agenda
  •	 Manage risks: data privacy, cyber security
  •	 Opportunity to empower women and apply to FCV




                                                                  A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   27
            The Digital Economy for Africa (DE4A) iniative is an integrated regional
            program, aligned with the five corporate priorities, that also engages external
            partnerships. The objective is to digitally enable every African individual,
            business, and government by 2030, while targeting intermediate priority results
            by 2021. The DE4A initiative supports the operationalization of the initiative
            of the AU to create a momentum for digital transformation in Africa, drawing
            in commitments from member states, development partners, and other
            stakeholders to the high-level objectives and encouraging leadership at the
            national and subregional levels to champion the agenda.

            For dynamic, inclusive, and safe digital economies to emerge, African
            countries will need to follow a holistic approach to building a dynamic
            digital economy on top of strong analog foundations of good governance,
            enabling regulations, accountable institutions, and relevant skills. Based
            on the experiences of successful digital economies, the five foundations
            identified as critical and priorities for the DE4A initiative are: 1. Digital
            Infrastructure (broadband networks, data centers); 2. Digital Platforms (digital
            ID systems and trust services, govtech, private sector platforms, for example,
            e-commerce); 3. Digital Financial Services (including digital payments); 4.
            Digital Entrepreneurship (digital startups, and existing firms harnessing digital
            technologies); and 5. Digital Skills. The five foundations of the digital economy
            would need to be supported by a flexible legal and regulatory framework that
            fosters competition, protects individuals and data, promotes inclusion, and
            mitigates risks.

            The digital transformation of Africa would foster economic growth and reduce
            poverty. It has the potential to create more jobs, encourage entrepreneurship
            among the youth, increase farmers’ productivity, bring more women into
            the labor force, and create markets. Reaching the Digital Economy for Africa
            Initiative targets would raise growth per capita by 1.5 percentage points per
            year and reduce the poverty headcount by 0.7 percentage points per year.
            The potential growth benefits and poverty reduction effects are larger in Sub-
            Saharan Africa, and especially among fragile countries. When complemented
            with appropriate human capital investments, these effects could more than
            double.8




     8. 	   https://www.worldbank.org/en/region/afr/publication/taking-the-pulse-of-africas-economy




28    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Box 1.3. European Union-African Union
Digital Economy Task Force (EU-AU DETF)
The African and European Unions decided in December 2018 to establish
a Digital Economy Task Force, engaging a number of African and European
representatives of the public, private, and international sectors. The European
Commission set out its ambitions for a comprehensive and innovative
partnership between Africa and the EU, and a renewed determination to boost
investment for job creation with a stronger role for the private sector.

The goal of the task force is to draw policy recommendations and propose
concrete actions to address the principal barriers faced by the African
continent as it seeks to further develop the digital economy and society.
Over the past six months, the EU-AU Task Force has worked in developing a
shared vision and a set of common agreed principles, and its efforts resulted
in the final report presented at the Digital Assembly 2019 in Bucharest. The
report sets out a number of policy recommendations focused on four main
goals, namely:

1.	 Accelerating universal access to affordable broadband, requiring
    developing the right financial instruments, regulatory environment,
    business models, and synergies through properly designed partnerships;

2.	 Guaranteeing essential skills for all to enable citizens to thrive in the
    digital age, understood in a wide and comprehensive way across lifelong
    education pathways that needs to be addressed by all public or private
    institutions;

3.	 Improving the business environment and facilitating access to finance
    and business support services to boost digitally enabled entrepreneurship
    and partnerships between African and European industry;

4.	 Accelerating the adoption of e-services and the further development of
    the digital economy for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.

The DETF report will guide the EU and AU to prioritize actions for cooperation.
It will continue to serve as a platform of partnership for the private sector,
donors, international organizations, financial institutions, and civil society
based on a shared understanding of how an already fast evolving African digital
transformation can achieve crossborder integration and bring benefits to
all citizens.




                                                 A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   29
     Amongst the proposed priorities                                   with less proactive investment have
     for digital transformation, digital                               seen less stellar results.9 Therefore, a
     infrastructure is a critical foundational                         number of regional and international
     element that provides the way for                                 organizations, and private and public
     people, businesses, and governments                               sector ICT stakeholders are presenting
     to get online, and link with local and                            and advocating initiatives, strategies, and
     global digital services – thus connecting                         programs around expanding access to
     them to the wider digital economy. The                            broadband infrastructure and services,
     2018 Global Connectivity Index (GCI)                              and set overlapping and mutually
     also witnessed greater GDP returns                                reinforcing targets. Some examples of
     among countries with concentrated                                 such initiatives and targets are shown in
     adoption of ICT infrastructure. Countries                         table 1.1.


     Table 1.1. Examples of Digital Infrastructure Initiatives and Programs

                         UN Sustainable
                                                     Broadband Commission for Sustainable
      Initiative         Development
                                                     Development’s 2025 Targets
                         Goal Target 9.c
                         Adopted in 2015             Adopted in 2018
      Adopted
                         (New York)                  (Davos)

                                                     BY 2025:

                                                     1.	 All countries should have a funded national
                                                         broadband plan or strategy or include broadband
                                                         in their universal access and service (UAS)
                                                         definition
                         Significantly               2.	 Entry-level broadband services should be made
                         increase                        affordable in developing countries at less than
                         access to                       2% of monthly Gross National Income (GNI) per
                         information and                 capita
                         communications
                                                     3.	 Broadband internet user penetration should
                         technology
                                                         reach: a) 75% worldwide b) 65% in developing
      Goals/             and strive to
                                                         countries c) 35% in Least Developed Countries
      Targets            provide universal
                         and affordable              4.	 60% of youth and adults should have achieved
                         access to the                   at least a minimum level of proficiency in
                         internet in least               sustainable digital skills
                         developed                   5.	 40% of the world’s population should be using
                         countries by                    digital financial services
                         2020
                                                     6.	 Overcome unconnectedness of micro-, small-
                                                         and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) by 50%,
                                                         by sector
                                                     7.	 Gender equality should be achieved across all
                                                         targets




     9.	 Huawei. 2018. Tap into New Growth with Intelligent Connectivity: Mapping your Transformation into a Digital Economy with
         GCI 2018. http://huawei-dialog.de/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Huawei-Global-Connectivity-Index-2018-EN.pdf.




30    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Initiative   ITU’s Connect 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development


             Initially adopted in 2014 (Busan); revised in 2018 (Dubai) (Resolution
Adopted
             200)

             BY 2023:

             Goal 1: Growth – Enable and foster access to and increased use of
             telecommunications/ICTs:
             •	 Worldwide, 65% of households should have access to the internet
             •	 Worldwide, 70% of individuals should be using the internet
             •	 Worldwide, telecommunications/ICTs should be 25% more
Goals/          affordable (baseline year 2017)
Targets
             •	 All countries adopt a digital agenda/strategy
             •	 Worldwide, 50% increase in the number of broadband subscriptions
             •	 40% of countries to have more than half of broadband subscription
                more than 10 Mbps
             •	 40 per cent of the population interact with government services
                online

             Goal 2: Inclusiveness – Bridge the digital divide and provide
             broadband for all:
             •	 In the developing world, 60% of households should have access to
                the internet
             •	 In the least developed countries (LDCs), 30% of households should
                have access to the internet
             •	 In the developing world, 60% of individuals should be using the
                internet
             •	 In the least developed countries (LDCs), 30% of individuals should
                be using the internet
Goals/
Targets
             •	 The affordability gap between developed and developing countries
                should be reduced by 25% (baseline year 2017)
             •	 Broadband services should cost no more than 3% of average
                monthly income in developing countries
             •	 Worldwide, 96% of the rural population should be covered by
                broadband services
             •	 Gender equality among internet users should be reached
             •	 Enabling environments ensuring accessible telecommunications/
                ICTs for persons with disabilities should be established in all
                countries




                                                     A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   31
       Initiative       ITU’s Connect 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development


                        Goal 3:	Sustainability – Manage challenges resulting from
                        telecommunication/ICT development:
                        •	 Improve cybersecurity preparedness of countries, with key
                            capabilities, presence of strategy, national computer incident/
                            emergency response teams and legislation
                        •	 Increase the global e-waste recycling rate to 30%
                        •	 The percentage of countries with an e-waste legislation raised to
                             50%
                        •	 Greenhouse gas emissions generated by the telecommunication/
                             ICT sector to be decreased per device by 30% (baseline year 2015)
       Goals/           •	 All countries to have a National Emergency Telecommunication
       Targets               Plan as a part of their national and local disaster risk reduction
                             strategies


                        Goal 4: Innovation and partnership – Lead, improve and adapt to the
                        changing telecommunication/ICT environment:
                        •	 All countries to have policies/strategies fostering
                           telecommunication/ICT-centric innovation
                        •	 Increased effective partnerships with stakeholders and cooperation
                             with other organization and entities in the telecommunication/ICT
                             environment



                        World Economic Forum                   Digital Infrastructure Pillar of AU’s Digital
       Initiative       (WEF)’s Internet for All               Transformation Strategy for Africa and
                        Initiative10                           WBG’s Digital Economy for Africa

       Adopted          2016                                   2019

                        Bring internet access
                                                               Achieving universal, affordable, and good
                        to the next 3-4 billion
       Goals/                                                  quality broadband connectivity by 2030
                        people and ensure the
       Targets                                                 (interim milestone of doubling broadband
                        creation of local content
                                                               connectivity by 2021 – baseline year 2016)
                        and infrastructure




     10.	 http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_internet_for_All_4_pager.pdf




32    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
While these initiatives set clear goals and
address important issues toward universal
broadband access, notably in Africa,
there has been less discussion about the
investment required and financing needs to
meet the targets, modalities for financing
the agenda, and how to operationalize the
framework and principles. In this regard,
the World Bank has led the UN Broadband
Commission Working Group on Broadband
for All: A Digital Infrastructure Moonshot
for Africa to engage key ICT industry
partners, estimate the investment needs,
and prepare a roadmap to help countries
and development actors accelerate
and prioritize their efforts to increasing
connectivity and reaching full coverage in
Africa. As such, the Working Group aims to
propose a new catalyst for the moonshot
approach – rather than an incremental
approach – to connect the unconnected,
accelerating and scaling exceptional and
coordinated efforts to achieve a seemingly
impossible goal.




                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   33
2
                       Snapshot
                       of Africa’s
                       Digital
                       Infrastructure




    34   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
In broad terms, digital infrastructure                                lowest penetration of fixed broadband
comprises connectivity (for example,                                  worldwide. Subscription charges in
high-speed broadband networks and                                     Africa are still higher than that in middle-
internet exchange points),11 the Internet                             income countries. Monthly subscriptions
of Things (IoT) (for example, mobile                                  in Sub-Saharan Africa are more than
devices, computers, sensors, voice-                                   twice as costly as those in North Africa.
activated devices, geospatial instruments,
machine-to-machine communications,                                    Today, mobile broadband, that is, the
vehicle-to-vehicle communications),                                   use of high-speed internet via mobile
and data repositories (for example, data                              or smart device, is the principal way by
centers and clouds).12 For the digital                                which people accross Africa access the
economy, high-speed broadband                                         internet (see figure 2.1). Nevertheless,
connectivity to access the internet is a                              despite the major advances in mobile
critical foundation.13                                                connectivity and internet access, Africa’s
                                                                      mobile broadband penetration rate
Fixed broadband, that is, dedicated,                                  (about 25 percent) is still the lowest
physical links of high-speed internet,                                worldwide. While coverage and quality
connected to homes, offices, and                                      of mobile networks used for the internet
governments, has had very limited                                     varies extensively amongst countries,
reach in Africa (see figure 2.1). Although                            substantial gaps also remain between
fixed broadband penetration has                                       urban and rural access within countries.
continuously increased in recent years                                In terms of affordability, the African
in urban areas largely because of a sharp                             region has the highest price relative to
drop in subscription charges, mainly in                               income for mobile broadband services.14
Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa still has the

Figure 2.1. Broadband Penetration in African Countries by Technology,
2010-2018 15
                     35
                     30
 Subscribers per
 100 inhabitants




                     25
                     20
                     15
                     10
                      5
                      0
                           2010    2011      2012        2013        2014         2015        2016         2017        2018
                   Active Mobile                Fixed                            Satellite                          Terrestrial
                   Broadband                    Broadband                        Broadband                          Broadband
Source: ITU.
11.	 Connectivity includes mobile and fixed access networks, metro and backhaul networks, national backbone networks, and
     international connections.
12.	 Service enabling infrastructure include private or independent data centers, and, increasingly, Infrastructure-as-a-Service and
     Software-as-a-Service cloud platforms.
13.	 Cesar Calderon, Kambou, Gerard, Korman, Vijdan, Kubota, Megumi, Cantu Canales, Catalina. 2019. “An Analysis of Issues
     Shaping Africa’s Economic Future.” Africa’s Pulse, No. 19, April. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/31499.
14.	 A4AI. https://a4ai.org/new-mobile-broadband-pricing-data-2018; ITU. https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/
     ICTprices/default.aspx
15.	 Fixed-broadband subscriptions refers to fixed subscriptions to high-speed access to the public internet (a TCP/IP
	    connection), at downstream speeds equal to, or greater than, 256 kbit/s. This includes cable modem, DSL, fibreto-the-home/
     building, other fixed (wired)-broadband subscriptions, satellite broadband and terrestrial fixed wireless broadband.




                                                                                 A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa        35
     Figure 2.2. Broadband Infrastructure Value Chains
          Africa’s Invisible Mile
      4
          Policy and regulatory
          reform, cybersecurity
          and nonvisible areas all
          require development

          Africa’s
          First Mile
      1
          •	
           Most
           countries
           are now
           connected
          •	
           Abundance
           of cable
           connectivity
           in North
           Africa
                                 Africa’s                           Africa’s
                                 Middle Mile                        Last Mile
                             2                                3
                                 •	
                                  Fiber backbone                    •	
                                                                     Mobile internet is available in urban
                                  is an unfinished                   areas
                                  agenda for both                   •	
                                                                     Dedicated / fixed internet for
                                  SSA and North                      schools and offices is mostly NOT
                                  Africa                             available
                                                                    •	
                                                                     Internet in rural areasis mostly NOT
                                                                     available
                                                                    •	
                                                                     FTTH more advanced in North
                                                                     Africa and a long way to go for SSA


          1                       2                          3                       4
       FIRST MILE                MIDDLE MILE                LAST MILE               INVISIBLE MILE
       WHERE THE                 WHERE THE INTERNET         WHERE THE               HIDDEN ELEMENTS THAT
       INTERNET ENTERS A         PASSES THROUGH             INTERNET REACHES        ARE VITAL TO ENSURING
       COUNTRY                   THAT COUNTRY               THE END USER            THE INTEGRITY OF THE
       International             National backbone          Local access network,   VALUE CHAIN
       internet access,          and intercity network,     including local         Nonvisible network
       including submarine       including fiber            loop, central affice,   components include
       cables, landing           backbone, microwave,       exchanges, wireless     the spectrum, network
       stations, satellite       internet exchange          masts.                  databases, cybersecurity,
       dishes, crossborder       points (IXPs), local                               etc, but can also include
       microwave, etc.           hosting of content, etc.                           potential bottlenecks, like
                                                                                    international frontiers.

     Source: World Bank, 2016.


     The broadband network value chain, to                    need to be built incrementally. Equally
     develop universal, affordable and good                   important are supporting infrastructure
     quality broadband internet, comprises                    (for example, data centers and a reliable
     four broad segments: first mile, middle                  electricity supply) and devices that are
     mile, last mile, and invisible mile (see                 used to access the internet.
     figure 2.2). All parts of the value chain


36   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
The first mile is where the internet enters                         landing. The rapid expansion of the
a country. The network components are                               submarine cable network circumventing
international internet access and include                           the continent in the past decade has
submarine cables, landing stations,                                 increased Africa’s international submarine
satellite dishes, crossborder microwave,                            fiber capacity nearly tenfold since 2010,16
domain name registration, and so on.                                crossing the 100 Tbps mark in 2018, with
                                                                    new direct connections established with
Countries in Africa need to be connected                            Asia and the Americas.
to undersea cables or via crossborder
terrestrial links (particularly for landlocked                      Although the first mile has improved
countries). Many countries in Africa have                           thanks to the regional submarine
access to submarine cable systems,                                  network infrastructure, it could be
either directly through local landing                               further improved if policies focused on
points or through terrestrial connections,                          liberalizing the market for satellite dishes,
particularly for smaller and landlocked                             having wholesale providers instead
countries (see box 2.1 and box 2.2). In                             of mobile operators own submarine
September 2018 only three countries                                 cables (as there may be an incentive
were not connected by fiber to submarine                            for operators not to provide submarine
cables: the Central African Republic,                               connectivity to competitors in their
Eritrea, and South Sudan. Every seaboard                            markets), and promoting competition
country except Eritrea and Guinea-                                  over the international gateway and cable
Bissau had at least one submarine cable                             landing stations.


      Box 2.1. ITU Interactive Transmission Map




      The Interactive Transmission Maps are a cutting-edge ICT-data mapping
      platform to take stock of national backbone connectivity (optical fibers,
      microwaves and satellite Earth stations) as well as of other key metrics of the
      ICT sector. The map is validated by network operators and administrations
      through the ITU Regional Offices and recorded in the Validation Framework.
      Underlying the map is a database, containing records of each individual link.

      The following indicators are either compiled or calculated from this database: i)
      Transmission network length (route kilometers); ii) Node locations; iii) Equipment
      type of terrestrial transmission network; iv) Network capacity (bit rate); v) Number
      of optical fibers within the cable; vi) Operational status of the transmission
      network indicator; vii-a) Percentage of population within reach of transmission
      networks; vii-b) Percentage of area within reach of transmission networks.

Source: https://www.itu.int/itu-d/tnd-map-public/
16. 	 Xalam Analytics. 2017. The Future of African Bandwidth Markets, May. https://xalamanalytics.com/product/the-future-of-
      african-bandwidth-markets/




                                                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   37
     The middle mile is where the internet                                the largest metros – only in Sub-Saharan
     passes through a country. The network                                African markets.18
     components are the national backbone
     and intercity networks, including the fiber                          Satellite transmission remains extremely
     optic cables or copper wires, microwave,                             important for Africa, with satellite
     satellite links, internet exchange points                            bandwidth covering every square
     (IXPs), local hosting of content, and so                             kilometer of Africa and providing
     on.                                                                  connectivity beyond the reach of
                                                                          terrestrial transmission networks. Africa
     Once connected to high-speed internet                                Mobile Networks (AMN) plans to use
     at the border, countries in Africa require                           capacity from geostationary (GEO)
     fiber backbones to carry internet                                    satellites to build and operate 5,000
     traffic from the border to urban and                                 mobile network base stations to serve
     rural centers throughout the country                                 rural communities in Sub-Saharan Africa
     and backhaul or metro networks to                                    that currently lack service.
     extend further. Africa’s terrestrial fiber
     infrastructure has witnessed significant                             Currently, 42 percent of countries
     transformation. According to Hamilton                                in Africa lack IXPs. According to the
     Research, African countries have                                     Africa IXP Association (Af-IX), there are
     rolled out over 1,389,000 kilometers                                 about 44 active IXPs located across
     of terrestrial fiber links, of which about                           32 countries in Africa. This means that
     936,000 kilometers were operational in                               most of their domestic internet traffic
     2018.17 According to Xalam Analytics, at                             is exchanged through points outside
     least another 230,000 kilometers of fiber                            their respective country, usually through
     are needed to reach planned target of                                satellite or submarine fiber across
     universal access by 2030, with another                               multiple international hubs to reach their
     25,000 kilometers to moderately densify                              destination.19


     18.	 Xalam Analytics. 2018. Please refer to appendix A.
     19.	 Internet Society. https://www.internetsociety.org/issues/ixps/facebook-ixp-partnership/




38    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
     Box 2.2. African Undersea and Terrestrial
     Fiber Optic Cables




            Terrestrial Fibre Status                Undersea Fibre Optic Cables
             Live                                    60GBPS            5TBPS
             Under Construction



     AfTerFibre or African Terrestrial Fibre is a map of African terrestrial (and now
     undersea) fiber optic infrastructure initiatives. It was developed with some
     initial support from Google and is now hosted and supported by the Network
     Startup Resource Center. AfTerFibre is an open data initiative with data sources
     available for public download.

     Maps for AfTerFibre are typically sourced as raster images, sometimes from
     the corporate websites of operators, sometimes from studies or reports
     on regional infrastructure development, and sometimes through personal
     contacts. Maps that are not already available on the web are uploaded to a
     Flickr website. The raster images are then digitally traced and converted into
     GIS format and uploaded to the CartoDB, a cloud-based GIS platform.


Source: https://afterfibre.nsrc.org/




                                                       A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   39
     The last mile is where the internet                                  the most acute in Africa: 3G network
     reaches the end-user. Once high-                                     coverage reached about 71 percent and
     speed internet arrives at a population                               4G coverage about 40 percent in 2018.
     center, via the first and middle miles,                              Further expansion is expected in the
     telecommunications operators provide                                 coming years (see box 2.3). According
     internet services (such as mobile or                                 to the ITU, the number of broadband
     fixed internet services) to people,                                  connections in Africa crossed the 400
     businesses, and governments. The                                     million mark in 2018, nearly twenty
     network components are the local                                     times 2010 levels, boosted by a broad
     access network, including the local loop,                            expansion in 3G, 4G, and last mile fiber
     which has historically been comprised                                network coverage.
     of copper cables but now fiber is
     increasingly used in urban areas, central                            Several transformative technologies,
     office exchanges, and cellular wireless                              such as the Internet of Things (IoT)
     masts as well as satellite. There are also                           and artificial intelligence, depend on
     new developments, for example, last mile                             connectivity. As Africa cannot afford to
     fiber could potentially be replaced with                             miss the next technological wave, there
     5G fixed wireless access (FWA), and other                            is a need to connect the unconnected
     innovative solutions (such as drones or                              in rural Africa and ensure that rural areas
     balloons).                                                           will benefit from digitalization efforts
                                                                          particularly in agriculture, health, and
     In Africa, because of gaps in the first                              education. In this regard, the “traditional”
     and middle miles, telecommunications                                 broadband plans must evolve towards
     operators have historically relied                                   fully fledged digitalization plans that
     upon satellite links to provide internet                             consider all sectors of the economy and
     services. With undersea internet cables                              government that can benefit from digital
     being built for the first mile in Africa,                            transformation strategies.
     and fiber backbones slowly emerging
     for the middle mile, Africa’s last mile                              Moreover, Africa is witnessing one
     connectivity also continues to expand                                of the highest rates of rural-urban
     as operators roll out mobile and fixed                               migration at the present time. Africa’s
     broadband infrastructure. According to                               urban population is expected to triple by
     Hamilton Research, in June 2018, 54.2                                2050.20 Managing the urban transition
     percent of the population in Sub-Saharan                             will therefore be key for economic
     Africa lived within a 25-kilometer                                   growth and the wellbeing of Africa’s
     range of an operational fiber optic                                  urban and rural populations. Connecting
     network node, which marks a significant                              cities in Africa and making them smarter,
     expansion of the reach of the internet                               safer, and more sustainable requires
     beyond urban centers to thousands of                                 attention. Today, Smart City projects and
     towns in the interior.                                               initiatives in Africa remain fragmented,
                                                                          representing one or more standalone
     Despite the recent rapid expansion of                                applications based on specific needs,
     network coverage around the world,                                   resources, and priorities making them
     mainly driven by the upgrading of 2G                                 hard to integrate with other applications
     networks to 3G or 4G and network                                     as part of a common framework.
     sharing, the mobile coverage gap is




     20. 	UNECA. 2017. Economic Report on Africa 2017. Urbanization and Industrialization for Africa’s Transformation.
          https://uneca.org/publications/economic-report-africa-2017.




40    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
    Box 2.3. GSMA Mobile Coverage Map




    GSMA’s Mobile Coverage Maps platform is a tool that is intended to help
    operators and others estimate the precise location and size of uncovered
    populations. These maps allow users to:

    •	 Gain an accurate and complete picture of the mobile coverage in a given
        country by each generation of mobile technology (2G, 3G, and 4G)

    •	 Estimate the population living in uncovered or underserved settlements
        with a very high level of granularity (for example, small cities, villages or
        farms)

    •	 Search for uncovered settlements based on population size

    Data are directly collected from mobile operators and overlaid with the High
    Resolution Settlement Layer, a dataset developed by Facebook Connectivity
    Lab and the Center for International Earth Science Information Network
    (CIESIN) at Columbia University. This data estimates human population
    distribution at a hyperlocal level, based on census data and high-resolution
    satellite imagery. This data has been enriched by adding socioeconomic
    indicators and key buildings such as schools, hospitals, and medical centers.

    The platform currently hosts eight maps: Ghana, Côte d’Ivoire, Liberia, Nigeria,
    Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, with further countries to be added.


Source: https://www.mobilecoveragemaps.com/




                                                        A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   41
     The invisible mile consists of the hidden
     elements that are vital to ensuring
                                                                      Supporting
     the integrity of the value chain. This                           Infrastructure
     includes the network components
     that are not visible, including the radio                        Access to reliable electricity is also a
     spectrum, network databases (for                                 major constraint to the expansion of
     example, for numbering), cybersecurity,                          digital infrastructure in Africa. Electricity
     and so on, but can also include                                  is needed for a range of activities, from
     potential bottlenecks such as market                             recharging devices to powering mobile
     concentration, multilayered taxation of                          base stations. Overall, the household
     activities, lack of access to rights-of-                         electrification rate in Sub-Saharan Africa
     way, and inefficient regulations including                       is the lowest in the world, averaging
     transborder regulatory issues. While                             44 percent of the population in 2017
     mobile technology has a leading role                             – compared with 87 percent in North
     in extending broadband access and the                            Africa and worldwide (see figure 2.3).21
     significance of satellite services in African                    There are also huge gaps in electricity
     continent, the availability of frequency                         access between rural and urban
     spectrum is limited in most of the African                       households in the region. Access rates
     countries. Africa has amongst the lowest                         among urban households are about
     allocation of spectrum to the mobile                             79 percent, compared with 23 percent
     network operators (MNOs).                                        among rural households in Sub-Saharan
                                                                      Africa. Even in grid-connected areas,
                                                                      electricity service quality is often low,
                                                                      with frequent and sometimes long-
                                                                      lasting outages, planned and unplanned.
                                                                      In addition, the cost of electricity is a
                                                                      major challenge in some countries,
                                                                      adding to the cost of broadband access.
                                                                      Meanwhile, increasing investment in
                                                                      rural electricity mini-grids, off-grid solar,
                                                                      and recent technological development
                                                                      has started to offer more cost-effective
                                                                      solutions other than grid extension to
                                                                      remote and rural areas.

                                                                      While the Sustainable Development
                                                                      Goals (SDGs) include a target to
                                                                      ensure access to affordable, reliable,
                                                                      sustainable, and modern energy for all
                                                                      (SDG 7), notable initiatives to support the
                                                                      electrification in Africa include: the World
                                                                      Bank’s Energy portfolio and the African
                                                                      Development Bank (AfDB)’s Sustainable
                                                                      Energy Fund for Africa program
                                                                      (see box 2.4).




     21.	 IEA, IRENA, UNSD, WB, WHO. 2019. Tracking SDG 7: The Energy Progress Report 2019. Washington, DC: World Bank.
          https://trackingsdg7.esmap.org/data/files/download-documents/2019-Tracking%20SDG7-Full%20Report.pdf




42    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Figure 2.3. Proportion of Population with Access to Electricity, 2017




                                 0%    25%   50%   75%    100%

Source: IEA https://www.iea.org/sdg/




    Box 2.4. Sustainable Development Goal on
    Energy (SDG7) and the World Bank Group
    Sustainable Development Goal 7 calls for achieving universal access to reliable,
    affordable, and modern energy services. This goal has also been one of the
    guiding principles for the World Bank’s energy lending. Correspondingly, the
    World Bank has been scaling up its financing for electricity access, committing
    over $1 billion a year (FY18 and FY19) of financing to directly expand access
    through grid expansion, mini-grids or off-grid solutions, not counting
    additional funding for upstream generation, transmission, and distribution
    investments. Recognizing the new opportunities created by technology
    advances, about half of the financing commitments are targeting decentralized
    renewable energy solutions, such as mini-grids and standalone solar home
    systems, leveraging also private sector investments into these technologies.

    The vast majority (over 90 percent) of these energy access investments are
    targeting Sub-Saharan Africa. In order to assist governments to accelerate
    progress towards the universal electricity access, the World Bank is also
    supporting governments in improved planning, using geospatial least-
    cost electrification tools. For this purpose, the Energy Sector Management
    Assistance Program (ESMAP) is launching a new geospatial electrification tool:
    the Global Electrification Platform (GEP), which will support policy makers,
    development partners and private sector in better planning and targeting
    of electrification investments, allowing least-cost integration of grid, mini-
    grids, and off-grid technologies, based on geospatial data and multiple
    policy scenarios.




                                                     A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   43
     Africa’s content hosting infrastructure
     is also becoming more robust, thanks
     to the buildout of dozens of dedicated
     data center facilities across the region.
     Africa’s data center colocation space has
     nearly doubled in size since 2014.22 Data
     centers also consume vast amounts of
     electricity to power computer equipment
     and keep them cool. In 2011, Google
     reported that it used 260 megawatts
     of electric power for its data centers,23
     which is greater than the 2014 installed
     capacity in 19 Sub-Saharan African
     countries.24 Moreover, data centers
     require high levels of reliability to ensure
     a seamless, nonstop flow of data. Owing
     to the region’s challenging environment
     for reliable and inexpensive electricity,
     most businesses host their data outside
     the region. This results in a large volume
     of data transmitted to overseas data
     centers, requiring significant amounts
     of international bandwidth. Along with
     connectivity and storage costs, it takes
     a longer time to access overseas data
     centers, raising the issue of latency.
     Security also is an issue, as increasing
     amounts of government, business, and
     personal information are transmitted
     abroad, with uncertain data protection.25




     22. 	 Xalam Analytics. 2018. The African Data Center
           Colocation Boom.
     23.	 Glanz, James. 2011. “Google Details, and Defends, Its
           Use of Electricity.” The New York Times, 8 September.
           http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/09/technology/
           google-details-and-defends-its-use-of-electricity.html
     24. 	 Trimble, Christopher Philip, Kojima, Masami, Perez
           Arroyo, Ines, and Mohammadzadeh, Farah. 2016.
           Financial Viability of Electricity Sectors in Sub-Saharan
           Africa: Quasi-Fiscal Deficits and Hidden Costs. Policy
           Research Working Paper 7788. Washington, DC: World
           Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/
           en/182071470748085038/Financial-viability-of-
           electricity-sectors-in-Sub-Saharan-Africa-quasi-fiscal-
           deficits-and-hidden-costs
     25. 	 Blimpo, Moussa P., and Malcolm Cosgrove-Davies.
           2019. Electricity Access in Sub-Saharan Africa: Uptake,
           Reliability, and Complementary Factors for Economic
           Impact. Africa Development Forum. Washington, DC:
           World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/
           handle/10986/31333




44    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   45
3
                       Mission, Vision,
                       and Principles
                       for Digital
                       Transformation
                       in Africa




    46   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
The vision and objectives of the              Successful achievement of these mission
Broadband for All: A Digital Infrastructure   and visions is highly dependent on the
Moonshot for Africa Working Group             following elements that cover both
are fully aligned with other related          supply and demand sides for boosting
initiatives, programs, policies, and          broadband infrastructure:
funding mechanisms, such as the
Broadband Commission’s Target 2025,           •	 Increased level of investment:
AU’s Digital Transformation Strategy              significant investment is required
for Africa Initiative, and the World Bank         throughout the broadband
Group’s Digital Economy for Africa                infrastructure value chain, in
(DE4A) initiative. The Working Group is           particular in local access network
tasked with defining connectivity gaps,           infrastructure in rural and remote
investment requirements, and defining             areas. Any financing gap to meet
a roadmap and action plan in support of           the goals will be bridged through
achieving broadband for all in the African        the mobilization of public as well as
continent, which will help reach the UN           private capital – mainly through the
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)              Mobilizing Finance for Development
through digital transformation.                   (MFD) approach (see box 3.1);

In this regard, to make a meaningful          •	 Enabling policy and regulatory
contribution to the broader digital               framework: Government policies
transformation agenda, the Working                and practices should promote
Group’s vision of digital connectivity is         investment and effective competition
that it should be:                                to drive down prices and ramp up
                                                  usage, regulators should adopt
•	 Universal: existing coverage gaps              open and participatory processes
    by fixed and mobile broadband                 to reach decisions that take into
    networks should be addressed                  account the interests of all involved
    to ensure that broadband service              stakeholders. It is also crucial that
    is available for every individual,            the regulatory framework must also
    business, and government on                   evolve compliant with advances in
    the continent;                                technology (see box 3.2).

•	 Affordable: the price of broadband         •	 Digital skills for the digital citizen:
    service should be sufficiently low            All citizens must have basic digital
    so that it may be provided as a               skills that prepare them as active
    basic service.                                digital citizens who understand the
                                                  value of the internet and how to use
•	 Good quality: the quality of                   it, as well as produce local content.
    broadband is often measured by
    median upload and download speeds         •	 Device affordability: A set of policy
    (Mbps) and latency. The definition of         and market measures needs to
    broadband access should go beyond             be implemented to increase the
    getting people online and ensure              affordability of internet-enabled
    minimum service levels – in order             handsets to provide a reliable
    to reap the benefits of broadband             means to get online.
    connections on innovation
    and productivity.




                                                     A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   47
         Box 3.1. Mobilizing Finance for Development
         (MFD)
         Mobilizing Finance for Development (MFD) is the World Bank Group’s approach
         to systematically leverage all sources of finance, expertise, and solutions to
         support developing countries’ sustainable growth. The Principles of MDB’s
         Strategy for Crowding-in Private Sector Finance for Growth and Sustainable
         Development (the Hamburg Principles) provide a common framework for
         multilateral development banks (MDBs) to increase levels of private investment
         in support of development. Based on their experience to date in working with
         the private sector, the MDBs agreed to focus their efforts on three main areas:

         •	 Strengthening investment capacity and policy frameworks at national
             and subnational levels;

         •	 Enhancing private sector involvement and prioritizing commercial
             sources of financing; and

         •	 Enhancing the catalytic role of MDBs themselves.

         In scaling up private-finance mobilization, the aim is to support countries’
         development goals, in ways that complement and reinforce public resources.
         Given the demand-driven nature of the MDBs’ work, client countries are
         ultimately responsible for engaging the MDBs in catalyzing private investment
         – each MDB will therefore tailor its approach to the specific opportunities in its
         member countries as well as its own remit and structure, within the framework
         established by the Hamburg Principles.

         The WBG institutions – IBRD, IDA, IFC, and MIGA – work in concert to
         promote private investments that are economically viable and cost effective,
         fiscally and commercially sustainable, balanced from a risk-reward perspective,
         and transparent. Through this holistic approach, the WBG supports improving
         the enabling environment, developing regulatory conditions, building capacity,
         putting in place standards, financing a first mover or innovator, and
         reducing risks.



     Source: http://www.worldbank.org/en/about/partners/maximizing-finance-for-development#1




48   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Box 3.2. GSR19 Best Practice Guidelines to
Fast-Forward Digital Connectivity for All
If we are set to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in our
societies by 2030, we need to be open to new regulatory tools and solutions
and act now.

Digital connectivity can provide the canvas for achieving SDGs across the
board and the transformative impact of digitalization will underpin progress on
various development paths. The opportunities are within reach; however, they
cannot be taken for granted.

1.	 Core design principles for collaborative regulation
Policy design principles are at hand for regulators to help develop an
understanding of new technology paradigms and guide them towards
appropriate regulation. Led by these principles, regulators can fine tune their
regulatory response, ensuring optimal impact on the market.

We therefore identified seven design principles to respond to new technology
paradigms and business models stemming from collaborative regulation:

i.	 To achieve digital transformation, policy and regulation should be more
    holistic. Cross-sectoral collaboration along with revisited regulatory
    approaches such as coregulation and self-regulation, can lead to new
    forms of collaborative regulation based on common goals such as social
    and economic good, and innovation.

ii.	 Policy and regulation should be consultation and collaboration based.
     In the same way digital cuts across economic sectors, markets and
     geographies, regulatory decision making should include the expectations,
     ideas and expertise of all market stakeholders, market players, academia,
     civil society, consumer associations, data scientists, end-users, and relevant
     government agencies from different sectors.

iii.	 Policy and regulation should be evidence-based: Evidence matters for
      creating a sound understanding of the issues at stake and identifying the
      options going forward, as well as their impact. Appropriate authoritative
      benchmarks and metrics can guide regulators in rule-making and
      enforcement, enhancing the quality of regulatory decisions.

iv.	 Policy and regulation should be outcome-based: Regulators need to
     address the most pressing issues, for example market barriers and enabling
     synergies. The rationale for any regulatory response to new technologies
     should be grounded in the impact on consumers, societies, market players
     and investment flows as well as on national development as a whole.

v.	 Policy and regulation should be incentive-based: Collaborative regulation
    is driven by leadership, incentive and reward. Regulators should keep a
    wide array of investment incentives at hand to provide impetus for markets
    to innovate and transform while maximizing benefits to consumers.




                                                   A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   49
           vi.	 Policy and regulation should be adaptive, balanced, and fit for purpose:
                Regulation-making is about flexibility – continually improving, refining, and
                adjusting regulatory practices. The balance in regulatory treatment of new
                services is more delicate than ever. A close, continuous link to markets and
                consumers is important to get digital on the right glide path to achieving
                social and economic goals.

           vii.	 Policy and regulation should focus on building trust and engagement:
                 Collaborative regulation provides the space for cocreating win-win
                 propositions, working towards regulatory objectives while increasing the
                 engagement of industry. Trust becomes the foundation of the regulatory
                 process, underpinning the growth of digital.

     Source: www.itu.int/bestpractices

     Note: Since 2000, the Global Symposium for Regulators (GSR) brings together heads of national telecom/
     ICT regulatory authorities from around the world and serves as the global annual venue for regulators to
     share their views and experiences on the most pressing regulatory issues they have identified. GSR also fos-
     ters a dynamic global industry regulators dialogue, between regulators, policy makers, industry leaders, and
     other key ICT stakeholders. GSR’s Global Dialogue provides a neutral platform for ITU-D Sector Members to
     share their views on major issues facing the ICT sector. GSR concludes with the adoption by regulators of a
     set of regulatory best practice guidelines.




     Meanwhile, the following guiding                                     •	 Safe and Secure: Safe and secure
     principles should underpin the planning,                                  digital environment encompasses
     funding, design, construction and                                         data protection provisions and
     operation of the digital infrastructure                                   security of critical information
     under this initiative:                                                    infrastructure. These principles
                                                                               ensure increased confidence in,
     •	 Inclusive: Targeted approaches are                                     and use of, the internet while
          needed to address the increasing                                     facilitating the success and stability of
          gender and digital divide to                                         broadband networks.
          ensure the social and economic
          empowerment of disadvantaged                                    •	 Resilient and Sustainable:
          groups and people with specific                                      Infrastructure resilience is the
          needs including rural communities,                                   ability of infrastructure systems to
          differently abled persons, young                                     function and meet users’ needs
          people and children, and women                                       during and after a natural hazard.
          and girls.                                                           Making them more resilient is critical
                                                                               not only to avoid costly repairs but
                                                                               also to minimize the wide-ranging
                                                                               consequences of natural disasters
                                                                               for the livelihoods and wellbeing of
                                                                               people (see box 3.3).26




     26.	 Hallegatte, Stéphane, Jun Erik Maruyama Rentschler, and Julie Rozenberg. 2019. Lifelines: The Resilient Infrastructure
          Opportunity (French). Sustainable Infrastructure. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.
          http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/821871561014920854/Lifelines-The-Resilient-Infrastructure-Opportunity.




50    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Box 3.3. Principles for Natural Disasters and
Climate Change in the Telecom Sector
The distributed and largely private ownership of telecommunications
infrastructure and its cross-sectoral dependencies make it challenging to
implement nationwide turnkey efforts at building infrastructure resilience.
However, a collaborative approach between stakeholders within ICT and
across sectors can contribute towards shared resilience at lower cost and help
reconcile the need for investment in resilience and in expansion of networks,
while improving affordability.

Some general principles that can support building resilience of
telecommunications infrastructure against climate and geophysical events
through coordinated action between the public and private sectors are:

•	 Include telecommunications infrastructure as critical national
   infrastructure: Recognizing the importance of domestic and international
   connectivity to the economy, governments may choose to categorize
   these infrastructures as critical, and include them in national climate
   risk assessments. This would also enable necessary legal and regulatory
   reforms to facilitate increased resilience and disaster readiness of digital
   infrastructure, and provide a platform for engagement with the private
   sector, as owners of the infrastructure, on the subject.

•	 Encourage development, acceptance, and adherence to standards:
   The data center industry has grown globally by building trust through
   international standards, for all aspects of design, construction, operation,
   and demise of facilities. Such an approach to climate resilience of
   connectivity infrastructure can enable greater coordinated improvements
   in resilience.

•	 Identify and rectify points of failure through redundancy or rapid
   restoration: The private sector should periodically assess impact of acute
   and long-term climate and geophysical events across the value chain.
   Owners of nodes such as data centers, landing stations and IXPs may find
   it prudent to invest in redundancy while owners of last mile infrastructure
   may find restoration and replacement to be more viable investments.
   Similarly, the public sector can perform similar aggregated assessments at
   national and subnational levels to identify and rectify vulnerabilities.

•	 Include resilience in new investment and upgrade decisions: Leverage the
   relatively shorter lifecycles and rapid rate of technological obsolescence
   to include climate resilience in all elements of network design and, in turn,
   in investment decisions. This also applies to the enabling environment to
   support improved resilience through iterative reforms that facilitate rapid
   rollout of cost-saving and resilience-enhancing measures.




                                                 A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   51
         •	 Leverage cross-sector dependencies: Digital infrastructure is dependent
             on energy to operate, and data centers have the added requirement
             for water. Additionally, these utilities and transport are increasingly
             dependent on telecommunications for their routine operations. These
             interdependencies provide opportunities for shared investment in
             resilience, backup and restoration efforts. The public sector can play a
             critical role in coordinating these efforts as the only common point of
             contact between the various stakeholders.

         •	 Mobilize financing for increased investment in resilience: While digital
             connectivity increasingly becomes a utility infrastructure, it does not benefit
             from the public support other traditional infrastructures have received
             over the years. However, there are opportunities for mobilizing public and
             private sector capital in strengthening the resilience of national digital
             infrastructure, as demonstrated in the past by the sector through successful
             implementation of universal service and access funds. Facilitating private-
             sector investment in, and contribution to, the resilience and protection
             of infrastructure assets is a key role the public sector and international
             organizations can play.




52   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
The initiative is also guided by core                  Infrastructure (see box 3.4), five principles
principles for other related initiatives               for the AU’s Digital Transformation
and programs on digital transformation                 Strategy for Africa (see box 3.5), and the
and digital infrastructure, including the              ITU’s Strategic Plan for 2020-2023 (see
World Bank Core Principles for Digital                 box 3.6).




    Box 3.4. The World Bank’s Core Principles
    for Digital Infrastructure
    •	 Enabling a procompetitive, human-centric ICT policy and regulatory
         framework: to eliminate barriers to entry, introduce competition in the
         ICT sector, reduce overall industry costs and prices, with a focus on
         expanding connectivity for all, including for the poor, marginalized, and
         rural populations.

    •	 Building strong institutional capacity: to build independent regulatory
         institutions that enforce regulations in a transparent, participatory
         regulatory process.

    •	 Enabling investment climate: to create policy and regulations on foreign
         investment and national fiscal policy in telecommunications and the ICT
         sector in general, that facilitate and incentivize capital expansion.

    •	 Supporting policy and regulatory approaches for broadband deployment
         and converged services: to adapt necessary legal and regulatory
         frameworks to make them better suited to support broadband access and
         services; to adhere to open access principles; to secure a safe internet; to
         seek only the level of regulation necessary to promote the rapid growth of
         new services and applications and to minimize barriers to entry.

    •	 Addressing access gaps by going beyond the market: to utilize public
         funding, development aid, or government initiatives to bring affordable
         broadband to underserved areas and population groups, where the private
         sector will not reach because of the lack of market incentives.

    •	 Supporting gender-responsive policy and regulatory approaches to
         affordable broadband deployment and services: to contribute to the
         elimination of the digital gender gap.

    •	 Achieve digital inclusion by supporting digitally inclusive policies,
         strategies and targeted approaches to address the increasing gender
         and digital divide: to ensure the social and economic empowerment of
         disadvantaged groups and persons with specific needs including rural
         communities, differently abled persons, youth and children and women
         and girls.


Source: Boutheina, Guermazi and David Satola. 2005. “Creating the ‘Right’ Enabling Environment for ICT.”
In E-development: From Excitement to Effectiveness, edited by Robert Schware, 23-46. Washington, DC:
World Bank Group. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/7274/341470EDevelop-
ment.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y




                                                               A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   53
         Box 3.5. Five Principles for the Digital
         Transformation Strategy for Africa
         The African Union and the World Bank’s DE4A initiative agreed on the following
         five principles of the digital economy that are key to implementing the five
         main foundations of the strategy:

         •	 Comprehensive: taking an ecosystem approach that looks at supply
             and demand and defies a narrow silo approach in defining the required
             elements and foundations for the digital economy.

         •	 Transformative: aiming at a very different scale of ambition, beyond
             incremental “islands” of success.

         •	 Inclusive: ensuring that the digital economy creates equal access to
             opportunities and dealing with the risks of exclusion.

         •	 Homegrown: basing expansion of the digital economy on Africa’s
             realities and unleashing the African spirit of enterprise to produce more
             homegrown digital content and solutions, while embracing what is good
             and relevant from outside the continent.

         •	 Collaborative: dealing with the digital economy requires a flexible mindset,
             requiring different types of collaboration among countries, sectors, and
             public and private players, as well as facilitation, retooling, and encouraging
             risk taking.




54   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Box 3.6. Mission, Vision, and Values
for ITU’s Strategic Plan 2020-2023
Vision: An information society, empowered by the interconnected world,
where telecommunications/information and communication technologies
enable and accelerate social, economic and environmentally sustainable
growth and development for everyone.

Mission: To promote, facilitate, and foster affordable and universal access
to telecommunication/information and communication technology
networks, services and applications and their use for social, economic and
environmentally sustainable growth and development.

Value: ITU recognizes that achieving its mission requires that it build and
maintain trust among its membership and inspire the confidence of the public
at-large. This applies to both what the Union does and how it is done. The
Union is committed to continuously building and safeguarding that trust by
ensuring that its actions are guided by the following values:

•	 Efficiency: Focusing on the purposes of the Union, making decisions on
   the basis of appropriate studies, evidence, and experience, taking effective
   action and monitoring outputs, avoiding internal ITU duplication.

•	 Transparency and accountability: By enhancing transparency and
   accountability processes for better decisions, actions, results and
   management of resources, ITU communicates and demonstrates progress
   towards the achievement of its goals.

•	 Openness: Being aware of and responsive to the needs of all its membership,
   as well as the activities and expectations of intergovernmental organizations,
   the private sector, civil society, the technical community, and academia.

•	 Universality and neutrality: As a United Nations specialized agency, ITU
   reaches, covers, and represents all parts of the world. Within the remit of
   the Basic Instruments of the Union, its operations and activities reflect the
   express will of its membership preferably by consensus. The Union also
   recognizes the overarching pre-eminence of human rights, including the
   right to freedom of opinion and expression, which includes the freedom
   to seek, receive and impart information and ideas through any media
   and regardless of frontiers, and the right to not be subjected to arbitrary
   interference in privacy.

•	 People-centered, service-oriented and results-based: Being people-
   centered, ITU is focused on people in order to deliver results that matter
   to each and every individual. Being service-oriented, ITU is committed
   to further delivering high-quality services and maximizing satisfaction of
   beneficiaries and stakeholders. Being results-based, ITU aims for tangible
   results and to maximize the impact of its work.




                                                   A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   55
4
                       Investment
                       Requirements
                       for 2021 and
                       2030 Digital
                       Infrastructure
                       Targets




    56   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Achieving universal, affordable, and                                percent increase in mobile broadband
good quality access to broadband                                    penetration is likely to lead to a 2.5
connectivity in Africa would be a                                   percent increase in GDP.29 However,
significant undertaking considering                                 there is limited quantitative analysis
that the continent still has so far to go                           available for estimating precisely how
to achieve universal coverage for basic                             much total investment will be required
services, such as electricity, clean water,                         to realize this objective in the specific
housing, education, healthcare, and so                              context of Africa. For the purposes of
on. Nevertheless, broadband access can                              this assessment, and through a process
provide a foundation and indeed support                             of consultation with stakeholders, this
efforts for achieving universal coverage                            report seeks to provide such quantitative
in other areas, such as in healthcare                               support to inform government policies
coverage and service provision.27 The                               and private sector strategies.30
economic impact of broadband access,
moreover, is notable. ITU’s 2018 study                              The process for developing the
on the economic impact of broadband                                 investment requirements for the
penetration noted that, in middle income                            broadband networks’ component of
countries, an increase of ten percent in                            the DE4A initiative is outlined below,
mobile broadband penetration yields an                              with the key assumptions underpinning
increase of 1.8 percent in GDP, and for                             these estimates and the findings of this
low income countries, an increase of ten                            analysis. In addition, appendix A provides
percent in mobile broadband penetration                             a detailed review of definitions and
yields an increase of two percent in                                methodology used to develop
GDP.28 In Sub-Saharan Africa, a ten                                 these estimates.




27.	 See Deloitte. 2014. Value of Connectivity Economic and Social Benefits of Expanding Internet Access.
28.	 ITU. 2018. The Economic Contribution of Broadband, Digitalization and ICT Regulation.
     https://www.itu.int/pub/D-PREF-EF.BDR-2018
29.	 ITU. 2019. Economic Contribution of Broadband, Digitization and ICT Regulation: Econometric Modelling for Africa.
     https: www.itu.int/dms_pub/itu-d/opb/pref/D-PREF-EF.BDT_AFR-2019-PDF-E.pdf
30.	 See the following reports for early analysis on this topic: https://www.un.org/esa/ffd/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Financing-
     for-ICT-Infrastructure_ITU_IATF-Issue-Brief.pdf; and http://www.eu-africa-infrastructure-tf.net/attachments/library/aicd-
     background-paper-3-ict-invst-summary-en.pdf




                                                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa        57
         Box 4.1. A Multistakeholder Process
         The World Bank, with support from the Alliance for Affordable Internet
         (A4AI), has prepared a baseline assessment of current broadband
         connectivity in Africa and what would be required to achieve the 2021
         milestone and the 2030 target. The analysis used a variety of data sources,
         principally from the World Bank Group (WBG), the United Nations (UN), the
         International Telecommunication Union (ITU), the Global System for Mobile
         communications Association (GSMA), the A4AI, the World Economic Forum
         (WEF), and Xalam Analytics.

         To verify the quantitative analysis, the WB and A4AI convened several
         multistakeholder consultation groups – notably with the Commissioners from
         the Broadband Commission’s Working Group on Broadband for All, multiple
         stakeholders in the ecosystem, including WBG development partners – to
         engage key ICT industry partners and identify possible ways of increasing
         connectivity and reaching full coverage in Africa. This diverse group included
         representatives from over 35 private companies, international organizations,
         and civil society groups from around the globe (see appendix C for the full list
         of representatives and more information about the consultation process).




     Key Assumptions
     The assumptions for the investment estimates are anchored in several definitions that
     were consulted upon.


         2021 Milestone versus 2030 Target for the DE4A Initiative

         To ensure that its Digital Transformation Initiative is fully realized and to ensure
         the strategy is on track, the World Bank has developed two goals:
         •	 a short-term progress milestone to be achieved by 2021 – to double
             broadband connectivity penetration in Africa by 2021 from 2016
             penetration levels

         •	 a long-term target to be achieved by 2030 – to achieve universal,
             affordable and good quality broadband access in Africa by 2030




58   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
For the 2021 milestone to double                                 1.	 Good quality broadband internet
broadband connectivity in Africa by                                  is defined as an average download
2021 from 2016 penetration levels, the                               speed of at least 10 Mbps and is
assumptions are:                                                     technology neutral (that is, data
                                                                     may be transmitted via cable,
1.	 Broadband internet is defined                                    fiber, satellite, radio, or other
    (during this period) as an average                               technologies).
    download speed of 3 Mbps and
    is technology neutral (that is,                              2.	 Universal coverage is defined as
    data can be transmitted via cable,                               90 percent penetration of the
    fiber, satellite, radio, or other                                population of 10 years of age and
    technologies).                                                   older. The estimated level of the
                                                                     penetration rate is primarily based
2.	 Doubling broadband penetration                                   on GSMA Intelligence data, as it is
    is defined as doubling, between                                  the most accurate source of mobile
    year-end 2016 and year-end 2021,                                 broadband infrastructure data
    the levels of broadband penetration                              available. The target age is set at 10
    among the population of 10 years                                 years and older in recognition of
    of age and older. 2016 is selected                               data protection and privacy laws
    as the baseline year for this analysis                           of various countries that seek to
    to ensure alignment with the World                               protect children when accessing
    Bank’s World Development Report                                  the internet. The 90 percent
    2016 and to consider the lead time                               penetration target is used to define
    to plan and roll out broadband                                   universality to take account of that
    networks. The estimated level of the                             segment of the population which
    penetration is provided by GSMA                                  chooses not to use personal ICTs,
    Intelligence data and adjusted by SIM                            those who are prevented from
    ownership ratio to determine unique                              doing so (for example, prisoners)
    subscribers. The target is set at 10                             and those who use shared facilities,
    years of age and older, in recognition                           for instance, within a family, from
    of data protection and privacy laws of                           a school or university, or from a
    various countries that seek to protect                           community center.
    children when accessing the internet.
                                                                 3.	 Affordable access is defined in terms
Doubling broadband penetration in Africa                             of the Broadband Commission for
by 2021 is a milestone towards the 2030                              Sustainable Development’s target
target, to achieve universal affordable                              of entry-level mobile broadband
and good quality broadband access in                                 data costing two percent or less of
Africa by 2030. For this 2030 target, the                            average monthly income.31
key assumptions are:
                                                                 4.	 Connecting the last 15-20
                                                                     percent of the population in
                                                                     rural and remote areas, depending
                                                                     on the population density level,
                                                                     requires innovative business models
                                                                     and alternative technologies,
                                                                     such as satellite and Wi-Fi based
                                                                     technical solutions.




31.	 Broadband Commission for Sustainable Development. 2018. 2025 Targets: Connecting the Other Half.
     https://www.broadbandcommission.org/Documents/publications/wef2018.pdf




                                                                           A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   59
      Figure 4.1. Mobile Broadband Penetration in Africa by Country, 2018
                                                                           TUNISIA
                                                                            60%
                                             MOROCCO
                                               47%

                                                         ALGERIA                     LIBYA                  ARAB. REP. OF
                          WESTERN                         88%                        83%                       EGYPT
                          SAHARA                                                                                38%
      CABO
      VERDE                   MAURITANIA
       79%                      45%               MALI
                                                  40%              NIGER
                                                                    8%                                          SUDAN              ERITREA
                SENEGAL                                                                CHAD                      35%                 17%
                  37%                                                                   11%
     THE GAMBIA                          BURKINA FASO                                                                               DJIBOUTI
        53%     GUINEA-             GUINEA   26%                                                                                      17%
                BISSAU               16%            BENIN
                                                     18%    NIGERIA
                 25%                COTE                     29%                                                          ETHIOPIA
                     SIERRA       D’IVOIRE GHANA
                                             30%
                                                                               CENTRAL AFRICAN SOUTH SUDAN                  16%
                     LEONE          30%                                           REPUBLIC               5%
                      38% LIBERIA                TOGO EQUATORIAL CAMEROON           14%
                            15%                  25% GUINEA           17%                                                            SOMALIA
                                                          3%                                                UGANDA                     13%
                                                                                                              14%      KENYA
                                              SÃO TOMÉ AND          GABON REP. OF               RWANDA                  35%
                                                 PRÍNCIPE            65% CONGO
                                                                           13%
                                                                                                   11%
                                                   73%                                DEM. REP. OF
                                                                                        CONGO           BURUNDI
                                                                                          14%             14%                                SEYCHELLES
                                                                                                                 TANZANIA                       65%
                                                                                                                   13%
                                                                                                                                   COMOROS
                                                                                                                                      0%
              Broadband Penetration                                          ANGOLA
                                                                               42%                            MALAWI
                  in Africa, 2018                                                            ZAMBIA             13%
                   Less than 25%                                                              13%
                                                                                                                                                        MAURITIUS
                   25% to 49%                                                                        ZIMBABWE MOZAMBIQUE             MADAGASCAR           65%
                                                                                                        52%           23%                13%
                   50% to 74%                                              NAMIBIA
                                                                             83%        BOTSWANA
                   75% and above                                                            68%
                                                                                                                              ESWATINI
                                                                                                                                41%
                                                                                                                        LESOTHO
                                                                                             SOUTH AFRICA                 46%
                                                                                                 53%


      •	 Regional average: 31% (2018 estimate)
      •	 Estimates based on GSMA, UN, Xalam Analytics data.
      •	 Penetration based on unique users and
         target population aged 10 and above.
      •	 Broadband is defined as average download speeds of 256 Kbps
         or greater while the target download speeds by 2021 is 3 Mbps.


      * Disclaimer: Figures may differ from the actual level of penetration and information available on other sources.
      Note the key assumptions underpinning the 2021 target for details.


                                                         This map was produced by the cartography unit of the World Bank Group. The
                                    IBRD 44575           boundaries, colors, denominations and any other information show on this map
                                    JULY 2019            do not imply, on the part of the World Bank Group. any judgment on the legal
                                                         status of any territory, or any endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.




60     Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
 Figure 4.2. 4G Mobile Broadband Penetration in Africa by Country, 2018
                                                                        TUNISIA
                                                                         27%
                                       MOROCCO
                                         23%

                                                   ALGERIA                         LIBYA                   ARAB. REP. OF
                    WESTERN                         33%                             11%                       EGYPT
                    SAHARA                                                                                     22%
 CABO
 VERDE                  MAURITANIA
  0%                       0%               MALI
                                            6%                  NIGER
                                                                 0%                  CHAD
                                                                                                               SUDAN                ERITREA DJIBOUTI
          SENEGAL                                                                                               8%                    0%       0%
            3%                                                                        2%
                                          BURKINA FASO
THE GAMBIA                                    0%
    3%     GUINEA-            GUINEA
           BISSAU               0%                   BENIN
                                                             NIGERIA
             0%                      COTE GHANA 4%             4%                                                       ETHIOPIA
                      SIERRA       D’IVOIRE 4%                                  CENTRAL AFRICAN SOUTH SUDAN                1%
                      LEONE           11%                                          REPUBLIC            0%
                        6% LIBERIA                TOGO EQUATORIAL CAMEROON            3%
                             3%                    2% GUINEA           5%                                                        SOMALIA
                                                           0%                                              UGANDA                  5%
                                                                                                             9%      KENYA
                                               SÃO TOMÉ AND          GABON REP. OF               RWANDA
                                                                                                                      8%
                                                  PRÍNCIPE            59% CONGO
                                                                            13%
                                                                                                    1%
                                                    0%                                 DEM. REP. OF
                                                                                         CONGO         BURUNDI
                                                                                           0%            2%                              SEYCHELLES
                                                                                                               TANZANIA                     40%
                                                                                                                  6%
                                                                                                                                           COMOROS
         Broadband Penetration                                                                                                               0%
                                                                                   ANGOLA                                  MALAWI
             in Africa, 2018                                                        13%                                      2%
                                                                                                    ZAMBIA                                   MADAGASCAR
                Less than 5%                                                                          3%                                         5%
                5% to 14%                                                                                                    MOZAMBIQUE                   MAURITIUS
                                                                                                             ZIMBABWE                                       30%
                                                                                                                7%               0%
                15% to 29%                                                        NAMIBIA
                                                                                   35%          BOTSWANA
                30% and above                                                                     30%
                                                                                                                             ESWATINI
                                                                                                                               5%
                                                                                                                       LESOTHO
                                                                                            SOUTH AFRICA                 10%
                                                                                                32%


 •	 Regional average: 9% (2018 estimate)
 •	 Estimates based on GSMA, UN, Xalam Analytics data.
 •	 Penetration based on unique users and
    target population aged 10 and above.
 •	 Broadband defined as average download speeds of
    10 Mbps or greater.


 * Disclaimer: Figures may differ from the actual level of penetration and information available on other sources.
 Note the key assumptions underpinning the 2030 target for details.


                                                   This map was produced by the cartography unit of the World Bank Group. The
                              IBRD 44576           boundaries, colors, denominations and any other information show on this map
                              JULY 2019            do not imply, on the part of the World Bank Group. any judgment on the legal
                                                   status of any territory, or any endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.




                                                                                                      A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa              61
     Key Findings
     Investment Requirements to Achieve the 2021 Milestone
     In order to double broadband                                         2018, countries in SSA would need to
     connectivity by 2021, the baseline                                   add about 70 million new broadband-
     broadband penetration of the target                                  connected users by 2021, that is, about
     population in Africa would have to                                   70 percent of the overall regional target.
     increase from about 18 percent in 2016
     to about 36 percent by 2021. This would                              It is estimated that about $9 billion in
     mean bringing about 220 million new                                  investment would be required to double
     people online.                                                       broadband connectivity penetration in
                                                                          Africa by 2021 (see figure 4.3).33
     Considerable progress has already been                               Access network infrastructure (using
     made towards this target. It is estimated                            mobile infrastructure as a proxy) capital
     that about 120 million new users were                                expenditure (CapEx) would account for
     connected between 2016 and 2018,                                     about half of the required investment.
     bringing broadband user penetration in                               Including recurring network maintenance
     the region to about 31 percent in 2018.                              costs, some 75 percent of the required
     However, growth rates are slowing. To                                investment is directly tied to the need
     achieve the proposed 2021 target, a                                  to roll out and maintain broadband
     further 100 million new broadband users                              networks in areas not currently served
     must be connected across the continent.                              by a mobile broadband signal, and to
     Furthermore, there are still a significant                           support the additional connected user
     number of countries in Africa below the                              base and related traffic.
     20 percent penetration target, with many
     in a fragile situation32, that will be at risk                       Doubling broadband penetration
     of lagging further behind in the context                             also implies a significant uptake of
     of accelerating digitization across the                              penetration in areas already covered
     continent: there were 31 countries below                             by broadband networks, through legal
     the 20 percent broadband penetration                                 and policy reforms aiming at increasing
     mark in 2016, and 22 countries in 2018.                              accessibility, awareness, affordability,
                                                                          relevance, safety and security as well
     The country distribution of investment                               as the level of digital skills through
     requirements to achieve the 2021                                     capacity building programs. In this
     milestone is a function of several                                   regard, countries should adopt the
     factors, including (though not limited                               MFD approach by promoting market
     to): current penetration levels, market                              competition and leveraging all sources
     size, literacy, income, expected costs,                              of finance, expertise, and solutions
     perceived investment risks and existing                              with the aim of removing entry barriers,
     levels of broadband network coverage.                                demonopolizing industry segments and
     It is estimated that the 49 countries in                             increasing competition while building
     Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) account for                                 institutions for long-term sustainability to
     about 83 percent of the region’s target                              enable private investment and eliminate
     population. However, on average, about                               existing constraints. About 20 percent
     a third of the SSA population remains out                            of the required investment is tied to the
     of reach of mobile broadband networks                                need to build the user skills and local
     (compared to about two percent in                                    content foundations to ensure that the
     North Africa). With average broadband                                deployed infrastructure is effectively
     penetration of about 26 percent in                                   used. A further five percent would need




     32.	 https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/fragilityconflictviolence/brief/harmonized-list-of-fragile-situations
     33.	 This figure excludes investments made between 2016 and 2018.




62    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
to be allocated to building adequate                              investment requirements to double
policy and regulation frameworks.                                 broadband connectivity penetration by
Research has shown that investments in                            2021 from 2016 levels (see figure 4.4).
policy and regulatory frameworks reform                           With the foundational infrastructure
has been extremely limited and urgently                           largely in place in North Africa,
need to be increased to ensure required                           requirements primarily concern the
technical support and capacity building.34                        need to increase broadband network
                                                                  density, enhance digital skills, and build
At the subregional level, SSA accounts                            the market conditions for broad-based
for about 73 percent of estimated                                 access.


Figure 4.3. Investment Needed to Double Broadband Penetration
in Africa by 2021

               ~$9BN IS NEEDED TO DOUBLE BROADBAND ON CONNECTIVITY
                        PENETRATION BY 2021 (FROM 2016 LEVELS)

  $10.0
                         ICT Skills                                                             •	~$9bn will be needed to double broadband
                                                                    Total Requirements



                         & Content                                                                connectivity levels in Africa by 2021, from
                                                                                                  2016 levels;
   $9.0                  ~$1.7bn                                                                •	Countries will need to add ~100m
                                                                                                  connected broadband users to achieve the
                                                                                                  proposed targets;
   $8.0                                                                                         •	We estimate that achieving this target
                         Policy &                                                                 would require the rollout of ~65k to 70k
                                                                                                  3G and 4G BTS across the region
                         Regulation Costs
    $7.0
                         ~$0.5bn                                                                •	Doubling broadband connectivity over
                                                                                                  the next three years is predominantly an
                                                                                                  infrastructure challenge; we estimate that
   $6.0                                                                                           mobile infrastructure CapEx would account
                                                                                                  for slightly more than half of required
                         Network Operation                                                        investment costs.
   $5.0                  & Maintenance                                                          •	Including recurring network repair and
                                                                    Key Drivers of Investment




                         ~$2.0bn                                                                  maintenance costs, ~75% of required
                                                                                                  investments are directly tied to the need
   $4.0                                                                                           to roll out and maintain broadband
                                                                                                  networks to support the additional
                                                                                                  connected user base and related traffic;
                         CapEx for Network                                                      •	Around 20% of required investments are
   $3.0                  Backhaul                                                                 tied to the need to build the user skills
                                                                                                  and local content foundation to ensure
                         ~$0.5bn                                                                  that the deployed infrastructure is used
   $2.0                                                                                           adequately, in a manner that would support
                                                                                                  its long-term viability;
                                                                                                •	We estimate that around 5% of
                         Mobile                                                                   required investments would need to be
    $1.0                                                                                          allocated to building adequate policy
                         Infrastructure CapEx                                                     and regulation frameworks, to increase
                         ~$4.5bn                                                                  competition, drive down pricing, or
   $0.0                                                                                           improve affordability.


Source: Xalam Analytics estimates.
Note: Mobile infrastructure is used as a proxy for access network infrastructure.




34.	A4AI: https://a4ai.org/closing-the-investment-gap-the-critical-role-of-development-banks-to-advance-digital-inclusion/




                                                                                                  A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   63
     Figure 4.4. Relative Size of Investment Needed by Country to Double
     Broadband Connectivity by 2021




                                                                                        KENYA                            SOMALIA                 UGANDA


                                                               SUDAN

                                                                                                   MADAGASCAR       ANGOLA              SOUTH SUDAN    ZIMBABWE


      EGYPT                             MOROCCO                                         NIGER
                                                                                                                REP. CONGO MAURITANIA CHAD                TOGO

                                                                                                   MOZAMBIQUE
                                                               CONGO, DEM. REP.                                 SIERRA
                                                                                                                LEONE          ZAMBIA         GUINEA      ERITREA
                                                                                        TUNISIA
                                                                                                                                                LESOTHO NAMIBIA
                                                                                                   MALAWI                              BENIN
                                                                                                                LIBYA         TANZANIA CENTRAL         SENE
                                                                                                                                       AFRICAN GABON GAL BOT..
                                                                                                                                       REPUBLIC
      SOUTH AFRICA                      GHANA                                           ETHIOPIA                CAMEROON BURUNDI
                                                               NIGERIA                             RWANDA                        LIBERIA


     Investment Requirements to Achieve the 2030 Target
     Achieving universal, affordable and good                                     in the period 2019-2030 would be
     quality access to broadband connectivity                                     almost $80 billion.36 This investment
     is a considerable challenge. Using the                                       amount also includes costs to roll out
     10 Mbps download speed definition for                                        the next generation networks such as
     broadband, nearly 830 million people                                         5G and to enhance QoS, that is, not all
     were still unconnected to high-speed                                         the $80 billion CapEx is being planned to
     broadband networks in Africa as of 2018.                                     be dedicated to extend the broadband
     To achieve universal and affordable                                          access. It would also require rolling out
     access to good quality broadband,                                            innovative satellite, Wi-Fi based solutions,
     African countries will need to connect                                       or other innovative solutions to reach
     nearly 1.1 billion new unique users by                                       an estimated population of nearly 100
     2030. It is estimated that additional                                        million that live in remote rural areas that
     investments of about $100 billion would                                      are currently out of reach of traditional
     be needed to reach this goal over the                                        cellular mobile networks.
     next decade, or close to $9 billion a year
     (see figure 4.5).                                                            Therefore, infrastructure investment
                                                                                  requirements are substantial. It is
     Connecting 1.1 billion new users by                                          estimated that nearly 80 percent of
     2030 is unquestionably a significant                                         all required investments are directly
     infrastructure undertaking. It would                                         related to the need to roll out and
     require the deployment of nearly                                             maintain broadband networks to
     250,000 new 4G base stations and at                                          support the additional connected base
     least 250,000 kilometers of fiber across                                     and associated traffic. Further, within
     the region. Between 2019-2025, mobile                                        this amount, at least 15- 20 percent of
     operators in Africa are expected to invest                                   infrastructure investment is associated
     approximately $45 billion in network                                         with the cost of connecting users in
     CapEx.35 If similar levels were maintained                                   remote rural locations.
     to 2030, then total network investment

     35.	 Source: GSMA Intelligence. Annual CapEx is based on exchange rates as of Q1 2019 to avoid exchange rate fluctuations and
          forecasting. Total mobile operator CapEx in Africa in 2019-2025 is estimated to be about $70 billion. In order to estimate the
          proportion of this that is spent on networks, a network proportion of 65 percent is assumed.
     36.	 This investment does not include spectrum acquisition and renewal costs, which in many countries can be significant.




64    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
In addition, the analysis points to the                                      recurring network operation and
considerable weight of recurring costs                                       maintenance or operational expenditure
on overall investment requirements.                                          (OpEx), underscoring the importance
More than half of the projected                                              of developing viable standalone or
cumulative infrastructure costs to                                           subsidized economic models.
achieve universal access relate to


Figure 4.5. Investment Needed to Achieve Universal Access to Broadband
Connectivity


                   ~$100BN IS NEEDED TO ACHIEVE UNIVERSAL ACCESS
                       TO BROADBAND CONNECTIVITY IN AFRICA


$100.0
                                                                      •	Around $100bn will be needed to achieve
                     ICT Skills                                         universal access to broadband connectivity in
                     & Content                                          Africa by 2030
                     ~$18.0bn                                         •	The challenge is considerable. Countries will
                                          Total Requirements




                                                                        need to add around 1bn new connected users
                                                                        to 4G and other high-speed networks to achieve
                                                                        the proposed targets
 $80.0
                                                                      •	We estimate that achieving this target would
                                                                        require the rollout of around 250k 4G BTS across
                                                                        the region, depending on the nature of available
                                                                        spectrum
                     Policy &
                                                                      •	Achieving the proposed network reach also
                     Regulation                                         implies the rollout of around 250,000 kilometers
                     Costs                                              of terrestrial fiber infrastructure, and potentially
 $60.0               ~$2.4bn                                            more depending on the favored backhaul
                                                                        technology mix



                                                                      •	Achieving universal access to broadband in
                                                                        Africa is, for the most part, an infrastructure
                                                                        investment challenge. Around 30% of total
                     Network                                            requirements would have to be allocated to
 $40.0                                                                  CapEx build out for broadband last mile and
                                          Key Drivers of Investment




                     Operation &
                                                                        transmission networks capable of reaching and
                     Maintenance                                        serving at least 90% of the target population
                     ~$53bn                                           •	Including the recurring cost of operating and
                                                                        maintaining such networks (another ~50%
                                                                        of total), ~80% of required investments are
                                                                        directly tied to the need to roll out and maintain
                                                                        broadband networks to support the additional
  $20.0                                                                 connected user base and related traffic
                                                                      •	Around 17% of required investments are tied
                                                                        to the need to build the user skills and local
                     Infrastructure                                     content foundation to ensure that the deployed
                     CapEx                                              infrastructure is used adequately, in a manner
                     ~$29.5bn                                           that would support its long-term viability, with
                                                                        the remaining 2%-3% allocated to regulation and
                                                                        policy framework building
   $0.0

Source: Xalam Analytics estimates.
Note: Operation and maintenance costs are assessed on a cumulative basis over a 12-year period (2018-30).




                                                                                      A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   65
     Figure 4.6. Relative Size of Investment Needed by Country for Universal
     Access by 2030




                                                                        NIGER                      ALGERIA                    MOROCCO




                                                         UGANDA




                                                                        MOZAMBIQUE             GHANA             BURKINA FASO     CAMEROON




                        ETHIOPIA          EGYPT
                                                         SOUTH AFRICA
                                                                                                       ZAMBIA         SOUTH SUDAN        ZIMBABWE
                                                                                        CHAD
                                                                        CÔTE D’IVOIRE



                                                                                                                    BURUNDI     BENIN       TUNISIA
                                          TANZANIA
                                                                                                       RWANDA

                                                         SUDAN                                                      SIERRA
                                                                                                                    LEONE
                                                                                        SENEGAL
                                                                        MADAGASCAR

                                                                                                       SOMALIA
                                                                                                                                        LIBERIA
                                                                                                                    TOGO



     NIGERIA           CONGO, DEM. REP.   KENYA          ANGOLA         MALAWI          MALI           GUINEA       LIBYA



     Connecting the unconnected is about                   The investment challenge appears
     more than just infrastructure. About                  especially difficult in Sub-Saharan Africa.
     20 percent of required investment                     SSA accounts for nearly 90 percent of
     concerns the need to build the user                   estimated investment requirements to
     skills and local content foundations to               achieve universal access to broadband in
     ensure that the deployed infrastructure               the region (see figure 4.6). With average
     is used adequately, in a manner that                  broadband penetration of about seven
     would support its long-term viability.                percent in 2018 (based on 10 Mbps
     Another two to four percent of                        speeds), countries in SSA would need to
     investment will have to be allocated to               add about 900 million new broadband-
     building adequate policy and regulation               connected users by 2030, more than
     frameworks to create market conditions                85 percent of the overall regional
     that foster technology deployment, the                target (see figure 4.7). While there
     development of a broader technology                   has been more significant progress in
     ecosystem, and overall broadband                      North Africa, substantial efforts are also
     service affordability. A framework for the            needed to continue to improve access
     development of adequate sector policy                 to connectivity and connect 130 million
     and building digital skills is discussed              new users. 4G networks only cover about
     in more detail in chapters 5 and                      60 percent of the population in North
     6, respectively.                                      Africa, leaving ample room for growth.


66   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Figure 4.7. Expected Broadband Penetration Growth (2018, 2021, 2030)


                              1,200
  BROADBAND USERS - MILLION




                              1,000

                               800

                               600

                               400

                               200

                                 0
                                      SSA                            NORTH AFRICA
                                                              2018                 2021               2030
Source: Xalam Analytics estimates.
Note: 2018 and 2030 based on 10 Mbps and faster; 2021 based on 3 Mbps and faster.


Five countries (Nigeria, the Democratic               The requirements are also significant
Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania,                beyond this group of countries. About 10
and the Arab Republic of Egypt), three                markets in the region have an estimated
of which are LDCs, account for about                  cumulative investment requirement of
46 percent of all the region’s projected              about $2 billion; another dozen have
requirements (see figure 4.6). These                  broadband investment requirements
markets have large populations and                    of $1 billion or more, underscoring the
4G penetration levels which, while                    broad-based nature of the need for
improving, are still relatively low. Taken            additional investment.
collectively, they will have an inordinate
impact on the probability of achieving
the presumptive targets.

Figure 4.8. Investment Needed to Achieve Universal Access to Connectivity
by Region


                              $100

                               $80
  US$ BILLION




                               $60

                               $40

                               $20

                                $0

                                                      North Africa                    Sub-Saharan Africa
Source: Xalam Analytics estimates.



                                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   67
5
                       Policy and
                       Regulatory
                       Frameworks to
                       Enable Digital
                       Transformation




    68   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Government policies and practices can        This chapter presents an
significantly influence the development      analytical framework and priority
and impact of universal, affordable, and     recommendations for evaluation and
good quality broadband connectivity          review, to guide the adoption of public
in a variety of ways. The optimal mix of     policies in support of broadband
policies for any given country will vary     infrastructure development objectives
depending upon a range of economic,          under the Mobilizing Finance for
demographic, geographic, political, and      Development approach. It highlights the
other factors.                               range of policy approaches that may be
                                             considered, and the various aspects of
Nevertheless, there are certain core         the infrastructure-supply components
principles and established good practices    of the broadband ecosystem that can
that have proven effective in accelerating   be influenced by such policies. It then
broadband growth and adoption across         presents a high-level matrix of key
many different countries, regions, and       priority options for governments to
economies. To support the development        incorporate in their national broadband
and implementation of policy and             strategies and matrixes of ICT sector
regulatory core principles and good          reforms. This framework informs the
practices, the previous section of           sequence of steps and actions to be
this strategy identifies the estimated       identified in the strategy roadmap.
costs associated with those needs and
integrates these actions in the roadmap
to achieve the 2030 target. These costs
are estimated as a fixed percentage          Public Policy Options
of the infrastructure costs for each
country. These targets can only be           The array of public policy measures
achieved if proinvestment policies are       that can be employed generally fall into
put in place that reduce the costs and       several distinct categories, although
uncertainty around spectrum allocation       there may be considerable synergy
and assignments, remove obstacles to         across broadband policy initiatives.
network deployment, and promote best         The following briefly summarizes
practices on tax policy.                     the key features of the main types of
                                             policy options:
Public policy, legal, and regulatory
frameworks need to be up-to-date,            •	 National ICT Policies and Digital
flexible, incentive-based and market            Strategies: The basic foundation
driven to support digital transformation        for establishment and promotion of
across all sectors and across the               broadband, including national digital
continent’s regions. In this respect,           strategies (holistic approaches to
policy makers and regulators need to            digital development and planning)
keep pace with advances in technology,          and policy principles, directives
address new regulatory challenges, and          and targets for sector-specific
create the foundation upon which digital        national ICT strategy as well as
transformation can achieve its                  general principles for competition
full potential.                                 policy aiming to increase levels of
                                                competition in the market.




                                                   A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   69
     •	 Laws, Legislation, Regulation:
          Regulatory agencies, instruments,
                                                                         Broadband Ecosystem
          rules, decisions, and oversight, which                         Components
          implement and enforce legal and
          policy mandates, and govern overall                            Each of the above forms of policy
          broadband/ICT sector performance.                              intervention can influence one or
                                                                         more aspects of the overall broadband
     •	 Public Funding, Investment: Direct                               ecosystem. As with all ecosystems, the
          public funding of broadband projects                           various elements of the broadband
          through various vehicles, including                            ecosystem are interdependent and
          government subsidies and public                                mutually reinforcing. Ideally, governments
          financing through public-private                               should, therefore, design coordinated
          partnership (PPP) arrangements. Note                           national broadband strategies which
          that public funding refers to funding                          will simultaneously influence multiple
          managed by the government/public                               aspects of the ecosystem at the same
          sector but largely provided by MDBs                            time, generating ripple effects which can
          and other donors.                                              become self-sustaining.

     •	 Programs, Initiatives: Government-                               In general terms, there are four major
          sponsored or supported programs                                interrelated components of the
          to promote broadband awareness,                                broadband ecosystem: supply; demand;
          adoption, and use, including                                   economic impacts; and social impacts.
          education and training.                                        Each of these, in turn, comprises a
                                                                         wide range of elements which can
     •	 Government Adoption,                                             be subject to stimulation, expansion,
          Procurement: The role of                                       investment, and strengthening through
          government as a user of broadband                              policy initiatives – or conversely, which
          in its operations at all levels, including                     can be inhibited through suppression,
          network connectivity, procurement                              neglect, or misguided policies. While
          of equipment and services, and                                 the primary focus of this analysis is on
          aggregation of government demand                               the supply of digital infrastructure, it is
          and adoption across agencies.                                  important to recognize that each of the
                                                                         other ecosystem components plays an
     •	 Taxation, Fiscal Policy: Tax, tariffs,                           important, mutually reinforcing role in
          fees, and other fiscal policies that                           enabling and promoting infrastructure
          affect costs and incentives for                                investment.
          broadband service and equipment
          suppliers, investors, entrepreneurs,                           The following summary highlights
          and customers. An adoption of the                              some of the key elements of each
          Information Technology Agreement                               aspect of the broadband ecosystem
          (ITA) for tariff elimination has also                          which can be most influenced by
          been proved to be effective in bring                           various policy, regulatory, and other
          down the costs of digital devices.37                           government strategies:

                                                                         Supply:

                                                                         Telecommunications and related ICT
                                                                         infrastructure, networks, services, and
                                                                         facilities, together with related hardware
                                                                         and software, which deliver broadband
                                                                         connectivity and capabilities to end-
                                                                         users. These include:
     37.	 See Information Technology Agreement — an explanation. https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/inftec_e/itaintro_e.htm
          The ITA has had a positive impact on trade and the economy but not all participants have benefited from trade opening in the
          same way. The costs associated with tariff elimination and market opening must be counterbalanced.




70    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
•	 Backbone networks: High capacity            An additional consideration for the
   long-haul transmission networks,            supply side is the need to facilitate
   typically fiber optic, microwave,           the entry of new and innovative
   and/or satellite components, linking        technological backhaul to last mile
   national and international centers to       solutions. Thus, policies should be
   local distribution networks.                technology-neutral and should also
                                               be flexible enough to accommodate
•	 Telecommunications distribution             new ways of providing backhaul (for
   and service networks: All electronic        example, low Earth orbit satellites), or
   and transmission components that            last mile solutions (for example, TV white
   make up digital telecommunications          spaces). This can include policies and
   transmission networks and services,         regulatory frameworks that are subject
   from antennae and processing                to periodic review.
   facilities to back-office systems, and
   also including the investments in           Demand:
   labor necessary to install and operate
   such systems.                               End-user demand for and use of
                                               broadband services and applications, and
•	 Supporting and passive                      the factors which determine willingness
   infrastructure: Nontechnical                and ability to pay for such capabilities:
   components of ICT infrastructure
   necessary to support and access             •	 Relevance of services for consumers
   communications transmissions,                   and awareness by consumers of
   including roads, electrical power, as           the opportunities and benefits of
   well as poles and towers.                       advanced ICTs.

•	 Local access connectivity: Last-mile        •	 Accessibility of services and products
   wireless and wireline network access            is key to ensure that all users,
   connections which connect end-users             regardless of circumstances, are able
   to the national broadband network.              to benefit fully from ICTs.

•	 Data centers, internet exchange             •	 Affordability of services, devices, and
   points (IXPs): Large-scale data                 applications for different classes of
   storage and exchange facilities that            users relative to incomes and needs.
   improve data security and efficiency.
                                               •	 Digital content and applications
•	 Devices, equipment: Computers,                  that are understandable (for
   tablets, smartphones, servers, and all          example, in native languages), of
   related and peripheral hardware that            relevance, interest, and value to
   connect to and utilize broadband                various user groups within the
   networks, including the rapidly                 population, including women, people
   growing range of machinery that                 with disabilities, entrepreneurs,
   constitutes the Internet of Things (IoT).       smallholder farmers, and so on.

•	 Software: The full range of operating       •	 Digital literacy and skills: Citizens’
   systems, end-user programs,                     ability to trust, utilize, understand and
   personal computer and mobile                    take full advantage of the capabilities
   applications, as well as content and            of advanced ICTs in their lives, jobs,
   services purchased and utilized                 and homes.
   across the ICT universe.




                                                      A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   71
     Economic Impacts:                                               •	 Broadband in health care:
                                                                          Telemedicine, e-health programs,
     Use and adoption of broadband-                                       streamlined and efficient electronic
     enabled ICT services in various forms                                patient records and monitoring
     of economic activity, which drives                                   systems, health education, and
     investment, revenues, cost savings,                                  awareness programs.
     and overall economic growth, hence
     justifying government intervention.                             •	 E-government services: Improved
                                                                          efficiency, access to information,
     •	 Entrepreneurial opportunities, which                              and citizen engagement via online
          support the creation of new business                            government services.
          models, including e-commerce and
          online marketing.                                          •	 Social media, entertainment:
                                                                          Improvements in quality of life,
     •	 E-finance, m-finance: Use of ICTs to                              cultural experience, family and
          drive financial inclusion by providing                          community integration via digital
          access to banking and digital financial                         communications and applications.
          services, such as mobile money, to
          expand payment, insurance, savings,                        •	 Political engagement, free
          and credit options to all citizens.                             expression: Enhanced democratic
                                                                          participation, awareness,
     •	 Broadband in productive sectors                                   accountability owing to expanded
          such as agriculture and other                                   information sources, involvement.
          industries: Deployment of advanced
          broadband ICT tools and applications                       •	 Environmental impacts, protection:
          to promote more efficient operations                            Use of ICT-based tools, monitoring,
          in the agriculture sector as well as                            alternative resources, information,
          other key national industries.                                  and innovations to improve
                                                                          environmental conditions and
     •	 Employment, training: Use of ICTs to                              awareness.
          support worker training, especially in
          technology-related skills, to improve
          employment prospects.
                                                                     Broadband Digital
     Social Impacts:                                                 Infrastructure
     Social benefits arising from adoption                           Policy Options
     and use of broadband on a society-wide
     basis, which improve citizens’ quality of                       Using the above framework of public
     life, and drive both market demand and                          policy options in the context of the
     political support for broadband policies.38                     various ecosystem components, a matrix
                                                                     can be developed which classifies the
     •	 Broadband in education:                                      range of options to promote needed
          Enhancement of education through                           investment in digital infrastructure, to
          distance-learning, ICT tools, teacher                      be aligned with other parallel policy
          training, digital curriculum, and so on.                   initiatives and principles at the national




     38.	 For relevant examples, see, http://connectaschool.org/?q=node/496; http://www.elearning-africa.com/pdf/report/
          postreport_eLA2009.pdf; http://projects.worldbank.org/P131290/e-health-project?lang=en ; http://www.infodev.org/
          articles/egovernment-handbook-developing-countries ; https://www.researchgate.net/publication/312120096_ICT_and_
          Environmental_Sustainability_A_Global_Perspective




72    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
and regional levels. Note that many             principles which define the country’s
policies may be designed to influence           approach to ICT sector development,
multiple factors at the same time.              including a commitment to market-
The topics below offer a list of the            oriented, competitive principles to
most significant potential options to           encourage robust investment.
encourage and/or mandate various
forms of infrastructure investment and       •	 Legal foundations of all
development opportunities. These are            regulatory and other key policy
presented as a menu of options by               institutions and mandates: specific
category within each group, but are not         authorizations and parameters for the
an exhaustive list of all options.              responsibilities of the (independent)
                                                regulator and other offices, to
This approach requires a holistic               ensure that they have the ability and
understanding of digital development,           resources to oversee effective market
one where the ICT sector provides the           investment, development, and
foundation to advance each sector               competition.
of the economy. For this reason,
the government must embrace and              •	 Legal mandates for access to
be committed to multistakeholder                rights of way, with limitations on
collaboration during the policy                 local control, fees: requirements
formulation and decision-making                 that restrict the extent to which
steps in the process. This will ensure          local authorities may impose
full support from stakeholders towards          unreasonable, excessive, or
digital development.                            inconsistent costs or restrictions on
                                                the build out of infrastructure.
National ICT policy and digital
strategies which sets broad                  •	 Licensing, market entry: Regulatory
                                                practices to promote open
•	 National ICT policy and digital              competitive market entry on a
   strategies which sets broad                  nondiscriminatory basis, including
   ICT development targets, roles,              unified licenses, licenses to new
   responsibilities for infrastructure and      alternative operators, and reasonable
   service expansion, while supporting          licensing fees.
   improved access to information
   about the sector including the use        •	 Spectrum: Spectrum allocation
   of open data where feasible: such            policies which favor competitive
   a policy framework should provide            access to frequencies, dynamic
   guidelines for all other policy              spectrum allocation, refarming, and
   initiatives, while defining the broad        availability for innovative services,
   sector goals and linkage with other          reasonable spectrum fees, ensuring
   national development objectives and          maximized efficiency of spectrum
   policies.                                    usage.

•	 Building trust in the digital             •	 Infrastructure sharing, open
   ecosystem, with protections against          access: Rules supporting shared
   online harms such as hate speech,            access to passive and active
   misuse of data, and interference in          network infrastructure, including
                                                wholesale and supporting network
   democratic processes.
                                                infrastructure providers (for example,
                                                tower companies, wholesale fiber
 Laws, Legislation, Regulation:                 optic operators), equitable cost
                                                sharing, as well as access to excess
•	 Legislative framework mandating              capacity on alternative fiber optic
   open markets, private competition,
                                                networks (alongside energy grids,
   investment: General legislative
                                                railways, and so on).


                                                   A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   73
     •	 Competition regulation: Regulatory                •	 Local community networks:
        principles and practices to promote                    Community-based
        fair and equitable competition among                   telecommunications operators,
        all service providers regardless of                    such as cooperatives or publicly or
        physical location, including cost-                     cofunded local access services.
        oriented interconnection charges,
        prevention and enforcement of unfair              •	 Public funding, construction of
        competitive practices, regulation of                   supporting infrastructure: Funding
        market dominance.                                      programs and partnerships to build
                                                               out electrical power grids (including
     •	 Consumer protection and quality                        clean energy initiatives), roads,
        of service: regulatory principles and                  land, and buildings required to
        practices to ensure that consumer                      support or enable ICT infrastructure
        digital rights are protected (including                investments.
        privacy, security and personal data) and
        minimum quality of service standards               Programs, Initiatives:
        are upheld (to guarantee broadband
        access as defined in this strategy).              •	 Public digital access center
                                                               programs: Facilities which provide
     •	 Open data practices in sector                          free or low-price use of computers,
        regulation: where possible to                          broadband connections, e-services,
        support infrastructure mapping,                        and digital skills training available in
        spectrum allocations, and better                       centralized public locations.
        network planning.
                                                          •	 Public Wi-Fi access networks:
     Public Funding, Investment:                               Transmitters/routers installed
                                                               in public locations to provide
     •	 Public-private partnerships:                           broadband wireless signals covering
        Contractual arrangements for                           wide areas, typically arranged in
        government and private investors                       partnership with private internet
        to cofund targeted infrastructure                      service providers (ISP) under contract
        projects, such as international or                     with the government, which allow for
        national backbone, data centers, and                   low-cost connection to broadband
        other large investments.                               services, especially for those
                                                               unable to afford full mobile or fixed
     •	 Universal service and access                           broadband subscriptions.
        fund: Sector and donor financed
        mechanisms, implemented by a                      •	 Public access digital facilities and
        government agency to channel                           services at post offices, libraries,
        subsidy funding toward economically                    government offices: Computers,
        challenging, rural areas and support                   internet connections, kiosks, and
        affordable services to expand                          e-government service portals
        beyond the commercial market’s                         installed at facilities which citizens
        limits. Such funding mechanisms                        frequently visit.
        are critical and it is important to
        support these agencies to increase                •	 Government initiatives to reduce
        their transparency and effectiveness                   administrative burdens: Streamline
        through a consultation process with                    and harmonize administrative
        all sector players and impact.                         procedures and approvals (for
                                                               example, a coordinating agency to
                                                               address all permits and authorizations
                                                               required at the different levels
                                                               of government).




74   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Government Adoption,
Procurement:

•	 E-government network:
     Procurements of
     telecommunications network
     infrastructure and service,
     establishing broadband connectivity
     at government offices, including
     wide area networks and extensions
     to town and village centers, which
     can also serve as “anchor tenants”
     that can support costs of commercial
     operators’ overall network
     infrastructure deployment.

•	 Government services portals and
     applications: Contracts to engage
     experts to design, host, and operate
     government online services and
     information, utilizing broadband
     connectivity (see box 5.1 for an
     overview of digital public platforms).

•	 Government procurement of ICT
     equipment and software: Bulk
     purchases of computers, tablets,
     servers, operating systems, data
     storage capacity, and other various
     IT resources for internal government
     purposes across the public sector,
     expanding the market for such
     technology suppliers.

•	 Employ open contracting (that is,
     making public contracts available
     in an open data format). Providing
     this kind of open data can improve
     competition in the bidding process,
     allow greater transparency in
     the allocation of subsidies, and,
     perhaps most importantly, make the
     allocation of funds more efficient and
     cost effective.39




39.	 Alliance for Affordable internet (A4AI). 2018. 2017
     Affordability Report. A4AI.
     https://a4ai.org/affordability-report/report/2017/




                                                           A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   75
          Box 5.1. Digital Public Platforms
          Digital public platforms – which may be provided by the government or
          through hybrid models in partnership with the private sector – serve as a
          layer on which multiple public and private sector organizations can build new
          or better services and solutions. These platforms include three foundational
          components. First, digital ID systems and trust services facilitate secure
          transactions between people, institutions, and devices. Second, interoperability
          layers and shared services facilitate data exchange and leverage common
          resources across disparate hardware devices, communication networks, cloud
          providers, operating systems, applications, and interfaces. Finally, applications
          for core government functions, digital service delivery and civic technology
          (CivicTech) provide the technology and interfaces through which governments
          deliver core functions and services and engage with the public. Together, these
          core components create an integrated public platform that enables end-to-
          end digital processes and transactions that are presence-less and paper-less.
          Government agencies can then leverage this platform to transform front-end
          service delivery and back-end processes to improve convenience for users,
          reduce costs, increase efficiency, and support the social contract by making
          governments more transparent, responsive, and accountable.


     Source: African Union. 2019. The Digital Transformation Strategy for Africa (draft), June.



     Taxation, Fiscal Policy:

     •	 Adoption of the ITA to reduce the                      •	 Reasonable fees and taxes on
         fiscal burden on the sector.                               ICT service providers, including
                                                                    spectrum fees, income, and value
     •	 Reduced import tariffs on all forms                         added taxes, to balance the goal
         of ICT network-related equipment                           of government revenue with the
         and materials needed to build                              objective of stimulating growth of the
         out infrastructure, especially for                         digital economy.
         high-cost components, including
         consumer devices, that must be                        •	 Tax systems should be simple and
         obtained from foreign suppliers.                           certain. Governments should seek
                                                                    to limit unpredictable tax and fee
     •	 Reduced or eliminated fees for                              changes, and streamline their levies
         network operator access to rights-                         of taxes and fees (see box 5.2).
         of-way, especially including uniform
         and reasonable charges (and                           •	 Tax systems should be forward
         streamlined procedures) from local                         looking, and designed for the digital
         government authorities.                                    era. The application of taxes should
                                                                    not discriminate against locally based
                                                                    service providers.




76   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
    Box 5.2. The Impact of Taxation on
    Affordability
    In order to close the digital gap and achieve universal access for everyone
    on the continent, the issue of taxation must be dealt with in a holistic,
    dispassionate, evidence-based manner. A holistic approach is particularly
    important and necessary in attaining the UN Sustainable Development Goal 5
    on gender equality and Goal 9c on ICTs and universal internet access, both key
    to the discussion around taxation.

    A4AI’s latest mobile broadband pricing data shows that Africans face the
    highest cost to connect to the internet – just 1 GB of mobile data costs the
    average user in Africa nearly nine percent of their average monthly income.
    The reasons for this include a slowdown of policy improvements in access
    and infrastructure. While governments must of course raise revenue to deliver
    public services, any interventions in the ICT sector should be designed to
    support economic growth and social inclusion.

    A4AI’s recent research findings have shown that:

    •	 An assessment of the impact of social media tax can prove beneficial for
         governments prior to tax implementation. These holistic assessments can
         demonstrate that taxes may in fact decrease internet use and have negative
         spillover effects on the economy as a whole.

    •	 Governments must pay particular attention to the impact taxes
         have on women and other groups who are excluded from digital
         spaces. The ability of people to pay the taxes depends largely on their
         sociodemographic status. The taxes are therefore likely to deepen digital
         inequality between the rich and the poor. In addition, one of the main
         barriers keeping many women offline is skills. The taxes are likely to exclude
         those who could most benefit from the ease of use of select services,
         widening the digital divide between those with and without digital skills.

    To prevent the digital divide from growing starker, telecommunications industry
    leaders and stakeholders, including regulators, entrepreneurs, investors, and
    civil society, must consider the impact of these taxes on the lowest income
    earners, especially women, who are particularly affected. By focusing on a
    multistakeholder and consultative approach to tackle this issue, policy makers,
    industry, and civil society can collectively help in shaping regulation for a future
    of improved connectivity rates and increased innovation.


Source: A4AI, https://a4ai.org/why-we-need-a-new-approach-towards-taxation-of-data-and-ict-services-
in-africa/




                                                            A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   77
6
                       Digital
                       Skills and
                       Local Content
                       Development




    78   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
To reap the benefits of a fully digitalized                            content and knowledge that support
society, people must become digitally                                  development opportunities, including for
literate, and the content online must                                  women and girls. Closing the coverage
be relevant for all. In the 2018 GSMA                                  gap on the continent by 2030 means
Intelligence Consumer Survey that                                      that millions of citizens will access the
included selected African countries,40                                 internet for the first time. In this context,
a lack of literacy and digital skills was                              it will be critical to help people living in
identified as one of the most important                                newly covered areas to understand the
barriers preventing consumers from                                     value of the internet and how to use it,
using the mobile internet.41 As such,                                  as well as to build their digital resilience.
digital infrastructure investment ought                                Investing in promoting basic digital skills
to be complemented by investments                                      will also be particularly important to
in developing digital citizens equipped                                ensure citizens democratically participate
with digital skills that prepare them as                               in their countries by equipping them
workers, producers, creators, innovators,                              with the necessary skills to access
as well as in producing the local content                              already existing or newly developing
to support such needs. Note that this                                  e-government platforms and services.
section refers to digital skills education                             Moreover, to reach the 36 percent
necessary for basic digital literacy                                   illiterate population on the continent,
and content creation and does not                                      voice-based solutions and applications
include advanced education in the ICT                                  should also be built as part of local
sector (that is, education necessary for                               content development.
someone to become a network engineer,
for example42).                                                        To reach the 2030 goal, in aggregate,
                                                                       investment of $18 billion is needed
To bring nearly a billion new users                                    in basic digital skills and content
online from the continent, the global                                  development.43 Improving the ability
community must also invest in digital                                  of people to use internet-based
skills and local content development – in                              technologies to access information
particular, in local language – as part of                             and increased training opportunities,
the effort to increase connectivity and                                and produce content, are some of
prepare people as active and informed                                  the important elements of the DE4A
digital citizens. Given that most of                                   initiative. Investment must come from
the population still offline are from                                  all stakeholders – private companies,
marginalized groups, including women,                                  governments, civil society, and
the poor, and rural communities, there                                 international donors – to prioritize
is a need to invest in developing basic                                necessary policies and programs to
digital skills and supporting a local digital                          develop digitally ready populations,
ecosystem to increase relevant local                                   for example, national governments




40.	   The seven countries were Algeria, Cote d’Ivoire, Kenya, Nigeria, Mozambique, Tanzania, and South Africa.
41.	   GSMA. 2019. The State of Mobile Internet Connectivity.
42.	   A strategy for advanced digital education is included in the Digital Skills pillar of the DE4A Initiative.
43.	   The estimated investment is based on basic training needed per new internet user ($15), along with an estimated local content
       cost per user ($2). Basic digital literacy training was defined as short one-on-one or group training sessions in which new
       users are provided the skills necessary to navigate the internet and to use commonly available local applications. See: World
       Economic Forum. 2017. Internet for All: An Investment Framework for Digital Adoption. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/
       White_Paper_internet_for_All_Investment_Framework_Digital_Adoption_2017.pdf; and http://www3.weforum.org/docs/
       IFA_models_for_year.xlsx




                                                                                 A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa        79
     sponsoring ICT educational                                          and rural communities (see box 6.2 and
     development programs for worker                                     box 6.3). Indeed, the DE4A initiative
     retraining, multilateral development                                has its own pillars on digital skills and
     organizations investing in education                                digital entrepreneurship, which will
     programs for vocational schools, civil                              complement the suggested strategy in
     society organization implementing                                   this document for broadband networks
     digital skills education initiatives, and                           infrastructure. Proactive engagement
     the private sector investing in local                               of UNESCO affiliated international
     content development (see box 6.1).                                  nongovernmental professional
     Digital skills and content development                              organizations in science, engineering
     programs should incorporate public-                                 and technology should be utilized to the
     and private-led interventions, as well                              full.44
     as those targeted at women and girls




           Box 6.1. Addressing Digital Skills and Local
           Content
           Based on WEF’s Internet for All investment model for digital adoption, two
           barriers must be addressed to increase the number of internet users: digital
           skills and local content. WEF recommends the following to overcome these
           barriers:

           1.	 To increase internet users, basic digital literacy must be improved by
               facilitating formal and informal training programs targeting at least one
               person per family.

           2.	 To increase local content, supporting the digital content ecosystem is
               key. Studies show that tech hubs in emerging markets have an impact on
               fostering local ICT companies.


     Source: World Economic Forum. 2017. Internet for All: An Investment Framework for Digital Adoption.
     http://www3.weforum.org/docs/White_Paper_internet_for_All_Investment_Framework_Digital_Adop-
     tion_2017.pdf; and http://www3.weforum.org/docs/IFA_models_for_year.xlsx; Sambuli, N. and J. P.
     Whitt. 2017. Technology Innovation Hubs and Policy Engagement: Making All Voices Count. Research
     Report. Brighton: Institute of Development Studies, https://opendocs.ids.ac.uk/opendocs/bitstream/
     handle/123456789/12860/RReport_TechHub_Online.pdf




     44.	 For example, the World Federation of Engineering Organizations (WFEO) with 30 million professional engineers worldwide,
          the InterAcademy Partnership of some 130-national academies of science, engineering, and medicine, and the International
          Science Council of international scientific unions and scientists in natural and social sciences are committed to helping
          humankind achieve the SDGs through science, engineering, and technology.




80    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
     Box 6.2. Closing the Digital Skills
     Gap for Nigerian Women and Girls
     Girls and women in Nigeria are 40 percent less likely to have access to the
     internet than men, and support from the government and private sector is
     critical in closing this gap. Driven by Nigeria’s National Broadband Plan (2013-
     2018), which envisioned a highly connected society and views access to
     broadband as a key factor in facilitating socioeconomic development for the
     country and its people, the Ministry of Communications led the Growing Girls
     and Women in Nigeria program. The initiative supported projects that bridged
     the gender gap in digital access and empowerment, such as:

     •	 Smart Woman Nigeria was an online network of women in Nigeria who
         received important information about topics such as health, education,
         and agriculture via their mobile phones. This initiative enabled rural and
         less privileged women to access information to help them meet their
         socioeconomic needs (for example, information about health, education,
         agriculture, and so on).

     •	 Digital Girls ICT focused on developing ICT interest and skills among
         secondary school girls through their participation in digital clubs that
         included exposure to cutting-edge training in ICT skills. Though women
         represent more than 50 percent of Nigeria’s population, they occupy fewer
         than 20 percent of ICT jobs in the country. Digital Girls Clubs encouraged
         young girls to embrace ICT in order to bridge the existing digital divide
         between men and women.

     •	 Nigeria Federal Ministry of Communication and Huawei’s 1000 Girls
         leveraged a PPP with an ICT company to train 1,000 girls in practical ICT
         skills and knowledge to increase employability.


Source: Paradigm Initiative, https://paradigmhq.org/offline-and-silent-new-report-shines-light-onto-re-
ality-of-womens-internet-use-in-nigeria-womensrightsonline/; Federal Ministry of Communications,
http://www.commtech.gov.ng/Doc/The%20Nigerian%20National%20Broadband%20Plan%20
2013_19May2013%20FINAL.pdf; Alliance for Affordable internet (A4AI), 2015-16 Affordability Report,
https://a4ai.org/affordability-report/report/2015/




                                                                A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   81
          Box 6.3. Technology Bootcamp Empowers
          Young Tanzanian Women
          To address the gender digital divide and ensure that women are provided an
          opportunity to develop as successful entrepreneurs, the African Technology
          Foundation conducted a series of technology bootcamps for women at the
          University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Implemented in partnership with the
          College of Information and Communication Technologies (CoICT) at the
          University of Dar es Salaam, Buni Divas, and Help to Help, the bootcamp was
          designed to achieve the following:

          •	 Give female students studying at higher education institutes in Tanzania
               computer skills training and an introduction to online learning tools to
               meet the needs of universities as well as future employers.

          •	 Train young Tanzanian women to become technology ambassadors,
               who can teach basic computer skills to fellow students, as well as in their
               home and business communities, with a focus on expanding into rural
               communities.

          •	 Encourage employers in Tanzania to increase their hiring quota for skilled
               women, and to design roles based on realistic workplace challenges.

          Bootcamp participants were trained and then tested on their basic computing
          skills. They were introduced to various elements of basic computing,
          including word processing, presentation technologies, coding, and software
          development, and a number of women were invited to develop and present
          their ideas for potential new business startups.


     Source: Alliance for Affordable Internet (A4AI), 2015-16 Affordability Report, https://a4ai.org/affordability-re-
     port/report/2015/; African Technology Foundation, http://www.thea25n.com/; College of Information and
     Communication Technologies (CoICT), http://www.coict.udsm.ac.tz/; Buni Diva; and Help to Help.




82   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   83
7
                       Targeted
                       Approach
                       for Device
                       Affordability




    84   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Affordability remains one of the main                               models and policy initiatives, and how
challenges in addressing the global                                 interventions that lower costs can be
digital divide. Respondents to national                             balanced with maintaining equity in the
surveys typically report the high cost                              user experience.
of internet access (for example, mobile
data plans) as one of the main barriers
to getting online.45 In Africa, on average,
1 GB of mobile data costs eight percent                             Affordability of Devices
of monthly income, well above the “1 for
2” affordability threshold, where 1 GB of                           Device affordability across the world
mobile data should cost no more than                                mirrors mobile broadband affordability,
two percent of the average income.46                                where those in higher income countries
                                                                    are better off on average. The region that
The relatively high costs of getting online                         faces the greatest challenge in terms of
also include the costs of purchasing a                              the affordability of an entry-level mobile
mobile device. As highlighted before,                               device (that is, the cheapest device
mobile is the most common form of                                   available that supports at least basic
broadband connectivity in Africa. In                                internet applications such as browsing
2018, the median cost of an entry-level                             and social media) is Sub-Saharan Africa
internet-enabled device in Africa was                               (see figure 7.1). The combination of
40 percent of monthly income,47 and                                 expensive entry-level mobile data
the mean average was 62 percent of                                  plans and entry-level devices keep the
monthly income. For the poorest 20                                  majority of people in the region offline.
percent of the population, the average                              For example, in an A4AI analysis using
cost of a device in Sub-Saharan Africa                              mobile broadband prices from 60 low-
was 375 percent of monthly income in                                and middle-income countries, when
2018. Furthermore, the affordability of                             the price of a hypothetical, low-cost
devices has not significantly improved                              smartphone ($48) was added to that of
in most African countries between                                   a 500 MB broadband plan, in almost all
2016 and 2018.48 Thus, although there                               countries the number of people that
is justifiably a significant focus on the                           could afford both a broadband plan and
relatively high cost of mobile data plans,                          a low-cost smartphone fell on average
device costs are equally important.                                 by 20 percent.49
This chapter explores the extent to which
device costs are part of the affordability                          An additional concern is the mobile
challenge, how device costs can be                                  gender gap (that is, the extent to which
reduced through innovative business                                 a woman is less likely to use the mobile




45.	 World Wide Web Foundation. 2015. Women’s Rights Online: Access into Empowerment. Washington, DC: World Wide Web
     Foundation. https://webfoundation.org/research/womens-rights-online-2015/; After Access. 2018. “The Inside internet Story
     of Africa, Asia, and Latin America,” http://afteraccess.net/wp-content/uploads/After-Access-Website-layout-r1.pdf ; https://
     webfoundation.org/research/womens-rights-online-2015/ ; https://webfoundation.org/research/womens-rights-online-2015/
46.	 A4AI. 2019. “New Mobile Broadband Pricing Data Shows Uneven Progress on Affordability,” 20 March, https://a4ai.org/new-
     mobile-broadband-pricing-data-reveals-stalling-progress-on-affordability/
47.	 GSMA Intelligence analysis of pricing data provided by Tarifica. GDP per capita data is sourced from the IMF.
48.	GSMA.2019. The State of Mobile Internet Connectivity.
49. A4AI. 2015-16 Affordability Report. https://a4ai.org/affordability-report/report/2015/.A4AI, 2015-16 Affordability Report.




                                                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa        85
     internet compared to a man). In Sub-                             higher when overall penetration rates
     Saharan Africa, this gap is estimated to                         are low.52 However, as more expensive
     be 41 percent – only South Asia as a                             smartphones enter the market, we may
     region has a higher gender gap in mobile                         continue to observe a persisting gender
     internet use.50 In Africa, affordability is                      gap in mobile phone ownership and
     the highest barrier to mobile ownership.51                       mobile internet use, driven in part by the
     Note that the gender gap has also                                underlying gender wage gap in almost
     evolved over time as it is typically                             all countries.53




     Figure 7.1. Affordability of Entry-Level Device in Low- and Middle-Income
     Countries by Region


                                                                                                                    375%




                                                                                                269%




                  89%                                                        96%
                                       88%                81%
                                                                                         64%                 64%

          24%                  33%                                   22%
                                                  16%

             EAST              EUROPE              LATIN            MIDDLE EAST             SOUTH               SUB-
             ASIA                 &               AMERICA            & NORTH                 ASIA             SAHARAN
              &                CENTRAL          & CARIBBEAN           AFRICA                                   AFRICA
            PACIFIC              ASIA


               Price as % of                    Price as % of monthly GDP, lower                   High-income
               monthly GDP                      income quintile                                    avarage

     Source: GSMA. 2019. Connected Society. The State of Mobile Internet Connectivity.
     Note: Score based on normalized price of an entry level internet enabled mobile device (higher score means
     more affordable devices).




     50.	 GSMA. 2019. Connected Women: The Mobile Gender Gap Report 2019. London: GSMA. https://www.gsma.com/
          mobilefordevelopment/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/GSMA-Connected-Women-The-Mobile-Gender-Gap-Report-2019.pdf
     51.	 GSMA. 2019. Connected Women: The Mobile Gender Gap Report 2019. London: GSMA. https://www.gsma.com/
          mobilefordevelopment/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/GSMA-Connected-Women-The-Mobile-Gender-Gap-Report-2019.pdf
     52.	 Gillwald, Alison, and Onkokame Mothobi. 2019. After Access 2018: A Demand-Side View of Mobile Internet From 10 African
          Countries. Cape Town: Research ICT Africa. https://researchictafrica.net/wp/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/2019_After-
          Access_Africa-Comparative-report.pdf
     53.	 WEF. 2018. The Global Gender Gap 2018. Geneva: World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/reports/the-global-
          gender-gap-report-2018




86    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
The challenge for any major initiative                                similar form and look to a feature phone
that seeks to double broadband access                                 but include hardware and operating
in a short timeframe, particularly one                                systems that can support broadband
that relies on mobile internet use as is                              internet access and use similar to
the case in Sub-Saharan Africa, must                                  smartphones. Crucially they are much
also consider ways to improve device                                  cheaper than smartphones, and their
affordability. The following section                                  manufacturers argue that they can
reviews several existing initiatives that                             provide an important bridge to the future
aim to achieve this.                                                  adoption of smartphones and internet
                                                                      services.

                                                                      One of the potential limitations of a
New Business Models                                                   smart-feature phone is that the globally
to Lower Device Costs                                                 and nationally dominant Android
                                                                      operating system (OS) is designed for,
While smartphones remain expensive,                                   and works best on, a smartphone.
feature phones or dumbphones (that                                    Thus, Android’s dominant operating
is, mobile devices that primarily provide                             system means there are few viable
voice and SMS services but with only                                  alternatives for smart-feature phones.
limited features of a smartphone such                                 In 2015 Mozilla and Orange partnered
as smaller displays, less processing                                  to offer a $40 phone56 (with included
power, and often only General Packet                                  data and voice minutes) running on
Radio Service (GPRS)/Enhanced                                         Firefox OS in 11 African countries, but
Data rates for GSM Evolution (EDGE)                                   this venture only lasted a year as it faced
connectivity) are much more affordable.                               several challenges including difficulty in
When considering prices of entry-level                                competing with Android.
internet-enabled handsets in U.S. dollars,
the median price in low- and middle-                                  Some companies working on producing
income countries since 2016 has been                                  low-cost devices (including smart-
just over $45; in Africa, it has been                                 feature phones) include UNISOC
slightly less at $35-40.54 Indeed, sales                              (part of Tsinghua Unigroup), Huawei,
of these devices are growing globally                                 SICO from Egypt, and KaiOS (see box
and are driven by the demand for more                                 7.1).57 Interviews in May 2019 with
affordable devices.55 The challenge,                                  representatives from such firms noted
of course, is that feature phones by                                  that the key price point for a mobile
definition do not support the same                                    device that will be affordable for those
broadband connectivity experience as a                                currently offline is about $15-20.
smartphone.                                                           However, this implies a low profit margin
                                                                      for the manufacturer. Strong partnerships
To address both the affordability                                     between the device manufacturer and
challenge and the need for a better user                              mobile network operator are therefore
experience, some device manufacturers                                 needed to ensure viability, such as KaiOS’
and their partners have developed smart-                              current engagement with MTN in Nigeria.
feature phones. These devices have a




54.	 GSMA. 2019. The State of Mobile Internet Connectivity. This price range is consistent with previous research; see, for example,
     GSMA. 2017. Accelerating affordable smartphone ownership in emerging markets.
55.	 Counterpoint. 2019. “SmartFeature Phone A $28 Billion Opportunity in Next Three Years.” 18 February.
     https://www.counterpointresearch.com/smart-feature-phone-28-billion-opportunity-next-three-years/
56.	 Shankland, Stephen. 2015. “Firefox OS comes to Africa with Orange’s $40 package deal.” 1 March.
     https://www.cnet.com/news/firefox-os-comes-to-africa-with-oranges-40-package-deal/
57.	See https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/telecom/telecom-news/working-with-indian-telcos-to-bring-more-
     affordable-phones-unisoc/articleshow/64663860.cms; https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-egypt-economy-sico/egypts-first-
     smartphone-maker-sees-market-share-rising-by-2020-idUKKBN1JS20E




                                                                                A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa         87
          Box 7.1. KaiOS: Affordable
          Smart-Feature Phones
          A new low-cost phone was introduced in India in 2017: the Jio Phone, which
          costs about $23 to produce compared to the typical entry-level smartphone at
          the time, which cost almost twice as much to produce at $55. The Jio Phone
          was based on a novel and alternative OS to Android that is optimized for smart-
          features phones: KaiOS.

          KaiOS enabled mobile operator Jio to offer content and other over-the-top
          services through its native app store and on its 4G network. Such services were
          key in bolstering the business case for a smart-feature phone. While the typical
          quarterly average revenue per user (ARPU) for 2G feature phones was $0.45,
          the quarterly ARPU for Jio Phone users was $2. To maximize the opportunity
          for data services, Jio subsidized the cost of the device on its launch and priced
          it at $20. Thus, Jio’s business model was to overcome the device affordability
          challenges through a more affordable 4G alternative to smartphones, with a
          focus on mobile data services to consumers. More recently, KaiOS partnered
          with MTN Group and Orange to offer similar $20 phones in Nigeria, Rwanda,
          and other places in Africa.

          One concern, however, is the potential for vertical integration by a dominant
          mobile network operator which could potentially offer exclusive content
          services on its network only. In the case of India, Jio controls almost 50
          percent of the mobile broadband market in India.

     Source: Counterpoint; Shira Ovide. 2019. “The Next Big Phones Could Bring a Bil-
     lion People Online.” 7 June. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-06-07/
     the-next-big-phones-could-bring-a-billion-people-online;
     A4AI. 2016. The Impacts of Emerging Mobile Data Services in Developing Countries.
     https://1e8q3q16vyc81g8l3h3md6q5f5e-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Mea-
     suringImpactsOfMobileDataServices_ResearchBrief3.pdf;
     GSMA Intelligence, Q1 2019 data, https://www.gsmaintelligence.com/data/


     Another way of addressing the                                    The availability of transparent, easy to
     affordability barrier for devices is the                         understand, and low-credit payment
     availability of payment plans. While                             plans could therefore represent a
     in the majority of high-income post-                             significant opportunity to enable the
     paid markets consumers have the                                  unconnected to acquire an internet-
     opportunity to purchase a device in                              enabled device. There are an increasing
     monthly instalments, this option is                              number of examples of such offers,
     often not available to potential mobile                          including Safaricom’s Maisha Ni Digital
     internet users in Africa, meaning that                           Campaign in Kenya.58
     they face a significant one-off purchase.




     58.	See http://biasharaleo.co.ke/index.php/2019/04/23/third-edition-of-safaricoms-maisha-ni-digital-campaign-launched/




88    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Public Policy Impacts                                               almost $400 million was estimated to be
                                                                    unspent), lacked transparency, and also
on Mobile Device Costs                                              had little if any focus on women.61 One of
                                                                    the challenges of any targeted approach
The high cost of devices as a barrier                               using public funds (including those that
to internet use is also recognized by                               focus on women) is its political feasibility.
governments. However, there are few, if                             Where this is a concern, government can
any, examples of government programs                                instead target broader groups such as
that focus on subsidizing mobile devices                            rural farmers who are also more likely to
on the continent. That said, we can still                           be women.
draw on experiences elsewhere. For
example, in 2016 Colombia launched                                  In addition to implementing targeted
the Internet Móvil Social para la Gente59                           approaches, governments should also
program to increase ICT access and                                  assess existing policies, particularly
use in the country, particularly among                              with regard to taxation. In many African
low-income communities. This program                                countries, devices are subject to value
was part of an overall package of                                   added tax (VAT) as well as luxury taxes,
welfare services targeted at people with                            customs duties, or excise taxes on the
low incomes. In addition to offering                                value of the device.62 The combined
reduced prices for mobile data, eligible                            effect of such taxes can be significant
participants could also purchase a                                  in terms of the impact on economic
smartphone at a subsidized price. This                              productivity and achieving universal
approach can also be applied to other                               access. One study on the ICT taxation
devices including computers and laptops,                            regime in Mozambique found that
as is the case in Costa Rica.60                                     reducing custom duties on mobile
                                                                    devices (as well as other devices and
In these examples, the resources to                                 equipment) could increase GDP by
support these programs came from                                    about $443 million over four years.63
universal service and access funds                                  This economic growth would result
(USAFs); in most countries, however,                                from the expected increased uptake in
these funds are typically underutilized.                            mobile phone and ICT use. While there
More efficient and targeted use of these                            are few examples of governments rolling
USAFs could, therefore, help improve                                back taxation, one change from Kenya is
device affordability, especially among                              instructive. In 2009, the government of
those least likely to use the internet. In                          Kenya decided to remove the imposition
the case of Africa this would include                               of VAT on mobile handsets, which was
women. Unfortunately, a recent study                                correlated with an estimated increase
showed that USAFs on the continent                                  in the mobile penetration rate from 50
dispersed funds inefficiently (indeed                               percent to 70 percent.64




59.	 Colombia Ministry of Information Technology and Communications. 2018. “Internet móvil para los colombianos más
     necesitados,” 1 September. https://www.mintic.gov.co/portal/604/w3-article-16860.html
60.	 Sutel. 2016. Rendición de cuentas y transparencia. https://sutel.go.cr/sites/default/files/informes_fonatel/fonatel_informe_
     anual_de_transparencia_y_rendicion_de_cuentas_fonatel_2016.pdf
61.	 A4AI. 2018. 2018 Affordability Report. https://a4ai.org/affordability-report/report/2018/
62.	 GSMA. 2019. Rethinking Mobile Taxation to Improve Connectivity. London: GSMA. https://www.gsmaintelligence.com/
     research/?file=8f36cd1c58c0d619d9f165261a57f4a9&download
63.	 A4AI. 2015. Driving Economic Growth in Mozambique: Recommendation for Strategic Taxation for Telecommunications. https:
     //1e8q3q16vyc81g8l3h3md6q5f5e-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/A4AI-Mozambique-Rationale-for-
     Customs-Duty-Reduction_Full-Analysis_English_FINAL.pdf
64.	 Deloitte and GSMA. 2011. Mobile Telephony and Taxation in Kenya. https://www.gsma.com/publicpolicy/wp-content/
     uploads/2012/03/mobiletelephoneandtaxationinkenya.pdf




                                                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa        89
     Policy                                                                 emphasize short-term revenues at
                                                                            the expense of medium- to long-
     Recommendations:                                                       term economic impacts through
                                                                            increased penetration of broadband.
     Supporting Public and                                                  Adoption of the ITA is critical to
                                                                            achieve this.66
     Private Initiatives to
     Lower Device Costs                                               •	 Daily, weekly, or monthly installment
                                                                            plans, can significantly improve the
                                                                            affordability of mobile broadband
     Any policy strategy that seeks to double                               capable devices. This can be
     broadband penetration in Africa must                                   accomplished through targeted
     appreciate the important role of device                                interventions to catalyze financing
     costs in meeting these goals. The                                      capital, promote financial inclusion,
     following should be part of such                                       and remove restrictions on
     a strategy:                                                            technologies that promote handset
                                                                            financing such as SIM locking, mobile
     Increase device affordability                                          device management, and mobile
     and adoption through                                                   money.
     targeted public policies:
                                                                      Support business models offering
     •	 Research can point to regions and                             low-cost devices on the market:
          populations less likely to use the
          mobile internet. In the case of Africa,                     •	 One threshold to establish from the
          this will more likely include women                               outset is the minimum key features
          relative to other regions in the world,                           of devices that will enable people to
          as noted above. Broadband policies,                               use the internet meaningfully. This
          including those aimed at improving                                can include minimum requirements
          device affordability, should be gender                            on mobile technology (for example,
          responsive and address the unique                                 3G or 4G), ability to use basic internet
          barriers to internet access and use                               applications, and so on. Establishing
          faced by women.65                                                 this minimum will give governments,
                                                                            device manufacturers, and mobile
     •	 One approach can be to better use                                   network operators a clear guide on
          existing USAFs to subsidize device                                what kinds of devices can help meet
          costs for underserved groups such as                              the government’s access goals.
          women as part of initiatives aimed at
          improving last-mile access solutions.                       •	 Governments can provide a
          This can be done in partnership with                              range of incentives to support the
          mobile network operators and other                                provision of such devices including
          ISPs, including community networks.                               exempting specified devices (those
                                                                            meeting the government’s minimum
     •	 Given the potentially significant                                   features) from duties, and excise
          impacts that disproportionate                                     and other taxes. Other options
          taxation on devices can have on                                   include prioritizing support through
          affordability, it is important that                               government investment agencies for
          governments work to identify and                                  ventures (between local and foreign
          implement a balanced taxation                                     firms or PPPs) that seek to offer low-
          regime for ICTs, and devices in                                   cost devices to the market.
          particular – one that does not

     65.	 A4AI and World Wide Web Foundation. 2018. React with Gender Responsive ICT Policy: The Key to Connecting the Next 4
          Billion. https://webfoundation.org/research/react-with-gender-responsive-ict-policy/
     66.	 20 years of the Information and Technology Agreement. Boosting trade, innovation and digital connectivity.
          https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/publications_e/ita20years2017_e.htm




90    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
•	 It will also be important to consider                           Engage with the private
     the competitive effects of low-                               sector and other partners
     cost devices such as smart-feature                            to lower manufacturing
     phones on the market. This should
                                                                   costs for devices:
     be done both in terms of potential
     vertical integration by a dominant
                                                                   •	 The private sector, government, and
     operator offering exclusive content
                                                                        academia should also examine the
     and also within the open source (OS)
                                                                        challenges posed by, and effects of,
     space (including the app store). In the
                                                                        royalty stacking in the smartphone
     case of the latter, as Android does
                                                                        industry.68 Observers suggest that up
     not operate in the smart-feature
                                                                        to 31 percent of the cost of a $400
     phone space, the emergence of a
                                                                        smartphone can be attributed to
     dominant OS could ultimately lead to
                                                                        patent royalties.69 Indeed, in some
     similar monopoly-related issues that
                                                                        cases, the cost associated with
     Android has created for smartphones.
                                                                        patent royalties for a smartphone
                                                                        represents more than the cost of the
•	 Support policies that promote
                                                                        phone’s physical components. This
     local innovation and research and
                                                                        matter requires closer examination
     development for internet-enabled
                                                                        so that the royalty payments would
     devices such as handsets. The long-
                                                                        not discourage potential new market
     term impact of such policies and
                                                                        entrants to invest, innovate, and
     programs could be greater focus
                                                                        compete in the smartphone industry.
     on African products while reducing
                                                                        This is particularly relevant for low-
     Africa’s dependency on external
                                                                        cost devices which, as noted above,
     innovation. A recent example of a
                                                                        have much smaller profit margins for
     smartphone produced in Africa is
                                                                        manufacturers and their partners.
     the Maraphone,67 which although
     not yet affordable (the cheapest
     smartphone is currently advertised
     at $125) points to the potential for
     locally produced devices.




67.	See https://maraphones.com/
68.	A4AI. 2015-16 Affordability Report. https://a4ai.org/affordability-report/report/2015/
69.	 Armstrong, Ann, Joseph J. Mueller, and Timothy D. Syrett. 2014. The Smartphone Royalty Stack: Surveying Royalty Demands
     for the Components Within Modern Smartphones. 29 May. Boston: WilmerHale.
     https://www.wilmerhale.com/en/insights/publications/the-smartphone-royalty-stack




                                                                            A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa     91
8
                       Roadmap and
                       Action Plan
                       to Achieve
                       Universal,
                       Affordable,
                       and Good
                       Quality
                       Broadband
                       Across Africa



    92   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
The strategy and requirements to achieve                           •	 Ensure that the commercial
broad digital infrastructure growth in                                  broadband market is open and
any country will vary depending upon                                    structurally prepared for competitive
a wide range of market conditions and                                   private investment.
other factors. In general, each country
is likely to already be on a path toward                           •	 Reduce noneconomic costs and risks
universal broadband access with some                                    of market entry and investment.
key milestones already accomplished
and others still to be reached. At a high                          •	 Provide public/donor funding support
level, the main features of the broadband                               for larger, high-cost infrastructure
development roadmap70 by 2030 (see                                      investments to reduce risk and
figure 8.1), for any country or market,                                 increase commercial viability.
include the following sequence of key
objectives71 and are fully aligned with                            •	 Expand the market through
the principles presented in chapter 3                                   government procurement and
of this report.                                                         implementation of broadband-
                                                                        based digital services, networks, and
                                                                        facilities.

                                                                   •	 Provide direct funding support for
                                                                        extending affordable broadband
                                                                        access to commercially challenging
                                                                        rural and remote areas, to women,
                                                                        and low-income users under a
                                                                        Mobilizing Finance for Development
                                                                        approach

                                                                   •	 Increase ICT market commercial
                                                                        attractiveness through demand
                                                                        stimulation and affordability
                                                                        initiatives.

                                                                   •	 Promote long-term sustainability by
                                                                        ensuring that appropriate technical
                                                                        skills to operate and maintain digital
                                                                        infrastructure are increasingly
                                                                        available on the continent.




70.	 Note that this Roadmap and Action Plan exist within the framework of the DE4A Initiative and form an integral part of this
     larger effort.
71.	 These are aligned with those suggested, for example, in Gelvanovska, Natalija, Michel Rogy, and Carlo Maria Rossotto. 2014.
     Broadband Networks in the Middle East and North Africa: Accelerating High-Speed Internet Access. Directions in Development.
     Washington, DC: World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/16680




                                                                             A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa        93
     Figure 8.1. Roadmap for Universal Access
     to Affordable and Good Quality Broadband



                              Ensure that the commercial broadband market is open and
                         1    structurally prepared for competitive private investment



                              Reduce non-economic costs and
                         2    risks of market entry and investment


                              Provide public/donor funding support for larger, high-
                         3    cost infrastructure investments to reduce risk and
                              increase commercial viability


                              Expand the market through government procurement
                         4    and implementation of broadband based digital services,
                              networks, and facilities

                              Provide direct funding support for extending affordable
                              broadband access to commercially challenging rural and
                         5    remote areas, to women, and low-income users under a
                              Mobilizing Finance for Development approach


                              Increase ICT market commercial attractiveness through
                         6    demand stimulation and affordability initiatives


                              Promote long-term sustainability by ensuring that
                         7    appropriate technical skills to operate and maintain digital
                              infrastructure are increasingly available on the continent




     In establishing its own policy, funding,             broadband ICT sector growth potential.
     and project priorities, each government              It also identifies key responsible parties
     (and funding partner) should review the              for each objective.
     extent to which it has addressed each
     of these elements, and what next steps               The list of responsible parties is not
     need to be followed to achieve the                   exhaustive, but rather indicative of
     relevant objectives.                                 the key stakeholders who would
                                                          take a certain level of ownership and
     The discussion below highlights key                  responsibility toward the objectives.
     aspects of each objective and identifies             The efforts will require multistakeholder
     both immediate/short-term actions and                engagement to develop, implement, and
     medium- to longer-term actions that                  operationalize a roadmap of strategies
     countries should review and consider                 and translate policy commitment into
     undertaking or enhancing to maximize                 effective action.


94   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Objective 1: Ensure                           Medium/Long-Term Actions:

that the commercial                           •	 Adopt uniform, cost-oriented network
                                                 interconnection charges and rules.
broadband ICT
                                              •	 Adopt procompetition regulatory
market is open and                               practices, which ensure equitable
structurally prepared                            treatment of all market participants
                                                 regardless of physical location
for competitive                                  and enforce restrictions on
                                                 anticompetitive behavior, especially
private investment                               by dominant service providers.

The most effective and desirable source       •	 Develop a harmonized legal, policy
of investments in digital broadband              and regulatory framework for
networks infrastructure will come from           cybersecurity, data protection and
private investors acting on business             privacy that is aligned with regional
opportunities in a country’s ICT market.         and international conventions
To attract such investors under a                including action plans and projected
Mobilizing Finance for Development               budgets. Support the African Union’s
approach, the policy framework must              efforts for the ratification of the
enable and encourage competitive                 “Malabo Convention” on cybersecurity
market entry, by minimizing institutional        and data protection through regional
and regulatory barriers, and ensuring            initiatives in collaboration with existing
that opportunities to build successful,          regional organizations and operational
competitive network operations are               bodies to enable member states to
equitable and transparent at all levels          share information, experiences and
of the value chain and both at the retail        resources.
and wholesale level. Effective policies
and enforcement minimizing risks of           •	 Establish reasonable licensing and
cybercrime and data insecurity should            spectrum fees.
also be in place (sometimes referred to as
second generation ICT laws).                  Responsible Parties:

Immediate/Short-Term Actions:                 •	 Governments, including policy
                                                 makers, sector regulators, data
•	 Adopt open wholesale and retail               protection authorities, cybersecurity
   telecommunications market entry               authorities.
   policies, especially competitive and
   unified licensing regimes, and liberal,    •	 African regional economic
   dynamic spectrum policies. Such               communities (REC) and African Union
   policies should also accommodate              (AU) Commission.
   community and nonprofit focused
   network operators who offer services       •	 Partners investing in policy and
   in underserved areas.                         regulatory reform, such as the
                                                 multilateral development banks
•	 Support infrastructure sharing and            (MDBs).
   initiatives for major active and passive
   broadband network components,
   to permit more cost-effective and
   commercially viable investments.

•	 Streamline licensing procedures,
   requirements.



                                                    A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   95
         Box 8.1. Facebook’s Shared Backhaul Projects
         A lack of reliable backhaul infrastructure can frustrate efforts to provide
         broadband services in Africa. Backhaul investments can allow mobile operators
         to expand capacity, reduce network costs, and improve performance.
         Facebook’s Shared Backhaul projects provide connectivity between towers,
         points of presence (POPs), and core switches and enable multiple service
         providers to benefit from the resulting infrastructure driving down the cost of
         bandwidth for each provider. For example:

         •	   Facebook worked with Airtel Uganda and BSC to complete a 770
              kilometer fiber network in northwest Uganda, which will help make mobile
              broadband available to more than three million people.

         •	   In South Africa, VAST and Facebook connected the underserved
              communities of Diepsloot and Katlehong to Wi-Fi hotspots backhauled by
              100 kilometers of fiber.

         •	   In Nigeria, Facebook and MainOne built 900 kilometers of fiber across the
              metropolitan areas of Abeokuta, Ogun and Benin City, Edo; and additional
              backhaul through rural Ogun.


     Source: https://connectivity.fb.com/network-investments/


     Objective 2: Reduce                                   existing broadband infrastructure, and
                                                           mandate the incumbent to make local
     noneconomic costs                                     access lines available to competitors at
                                                           wholesale prices. Therefore, it is essential
     and risks of market                                   for the government to create an enabling
                                                           environment for its businesses by
     entry and investment                                  embracing competition and preventing
                                                           incumbent firms from acquiring
     The costs and risks facing prospective                monopoly power. Addressing these issues
     investors can be directly influenced by               may involve political challenges, and may
     a range of noneconomic factors (that                  require tradeoffs between short-term
     is, factors not fundamentally driven by               government revenue and longer-term
     the economic conditions of the market),               market growth benefits.
     which are typically within the control
     of governments. Actions which reduce                  Immediate/Short-Term Actions:
     such costs and risks can have a direct and
     significant impact on investors’ perception           •	 Ensure that license and spectrum
     of the attractiveness of the broadband                     fees for new entrants and existing
     ICT market and willingness to commit                       telecommunications operators
     their own capital to expand infrastructure.                are reasonable; reduce fees where
     Policies that ensure market competition                    possible and avoid spectrum/license
     should be implemented. In this regard,                     auctions that artificially drive up entry
     government intervention should be                          costs. Also, assess the feasibility of
     engineered to increase competition and                     unlicensed spectrum use particular
     promote the entrance of wholesale,                         for innovative technologies that
     open access service providers that can                     target underserved communities.
     commercialize or operate new and



96   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
•	 Establish and enforce reasonable, low-     major backhaul networks, such as national
   cost access to rights-of-way, including    and international fiber optic backbones,
   streamlined and simplified procedures      which represent an essential prerequisite
   and regulations to avoid undue             for delivering broadband services. Similar
   restrictions by local authorities.         forms of supporting infrastructure projects
                                              can also directly reduce costs and risks
Medium/Long-Term Actions:                     for investors who might otherwise have
                                              to finance such components. Once such
•	 Review and reduce taxes and import         basic infrastructure is in place, the costs to
   tariffs on telecommunications              the market of constructing and operating
   equipment and services, especially         related network components will be
   unnecessarily high tariffs on essential    reduced, improving competitive entry
   (foreign-sourced) equipment needed         opportunities at the level of local access
   to build and operate telecommunica-        and distribution, for example.
   tions network infrastructure.
                                              Immediate/Short-Term Actions:
Responsible Parties:
                                              •	 Develop PPP policies and frameworks
•	 Governments, including policy makers,          to enable the implementation of major
   sector regulators, local governments.          national and international backhaul
                                                  networks (see box 8.1).
•	 Regulators, competition agencies
                                              •	 Develop public/donor investment
•	 Partners investing in policy and               projects for key elements of
   regulatory reform, such as the MDBs,           supporting infrastructure: electrical
   development aid agencies.                      power, roads, and so on. These
                                                  might be included as part of
•	 African regional economic                      telecommunications backhaul
   communities (REC) and African Union            infrastructure PPP projects, or as
   (AU) Commission.                               standalone initiatives.

•	 Partners involved with, and affected       Medium/Long-Term Actions:
   by, the required policy reforms.
                                              •	 Establish PPPs for other major digital
                                                  components such as data warehouses
Objective 3: Provide                              and internet exchange points (IXPs)
public/donor blended                              to reduce costs of major broadband
                                                  service supply.
funding support
                                              Responsible Parties:
for larger, high-
cost infrastructure                           •	 Governments, especially finance
                                                  ministries, communications sector
investments to reduce                             policy makers.

risk and increase                             •	 Regulators, competition agencies
commercial viability                          •	 African Regional Economic
                                                  Communities (REC) and African Union
In general, the greatest challenge in             (AU) Commission.
attracting private market investment in
ICT infrastructure involves the buildout of   •	 Partners investing in PPP arrangements,
network components which require large,           such as the MDBs, private sector,
long-term capital commitments with                development aid agencies.
uncertain payback horizons. These include


                                                      A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   97
         Box 8.2. Reverse Subsidy Auctions as a
         Mechanism for Widening Rural Access
         Under the Regional Communications Infrastructure Program (RCIP) in
         Tanzania, which closed in 2017, some 2.5 million people were provided with
         rural connectivity for the first time.a Commercial mobile operators competed
         in a reverse subsidy auction (that is, the CapEx grant was awarded to the
         operator bidding for the lowest level of subsidy). In total, some $30 million in
         International Development Association (IDA) funding leveraged around $70
         million in private sector investment with four companies taking part (that is, the
         average CapEx subsidy from IDA was 30 percent). It is proposed to develop a
         similar scheme in rural Niger, in cooperation with the local mobile operators,
         but with a focus on extending 3G/4G coverage rather than just 2G coverage
         that was the focus in Tanzania.

         This methodology for promoting rural coverage has a number of advantages:

         •	 It is private sector led, and maximizes finance for development;

         •	 It is a transparent process in which subsidies are awarded to the operator
             requesting the lowest level of subsidy, which is presumably the most
             efficient because it has the lowest cost structure in a given area;

         •	 Risks are shared between the public and private sectors, and funds from
             IDA can be used alongside national funds from the USAF;

         •	 The methodology is sufficiently flexible to allow, for instance, mobile
             operators to compete for subsidy against specialized tower companies, or
             even to allow local communities to self-provide coverage.

         In addition to the lessons learned from the IDA-funded RCIP project in rural
         Tanzania, GSMA, an industry association and a member of the World Bank-led
         Digital Development Partnership (DDP), conducted a trial project in a further
         six villages in rural Tanzania using national roaming that generated promising
         results. Under national roaming, the operator that installs the tower benefits
         from a year of exclusivity, but thereafter undertakes to offer connectivity to
         all other operators, without roaming charges, allowing them to compete
         for customers. Results suggest that the benefits this brings, for instance, for
         increased mobile money usage, means that the required level of CapEx subsidy
         is reduced.b


     Note: a. See RCIP-3 ICR, http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/414221531333372143/pdf/
     ICR00004013-07062018.pdf; b. See https://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/wp-content/
     uploads/2018/02/GSMA_Tanzania_Jan.pdf




98   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Objective 4: Expand                                               Immediate/Short-Term Actions:

the market through                                                •	 Develop a national government ICT
                                                                       framework, with clear plans and
government                                                             projected budgets, in collaboration
procurement and                                                        with government agencies and ICT
                                                                       industry providers, for design and
implementation of                                                      implementation of e-government
                                                                       networks and services, to signal to
broadband ICT-based                                                    the market that such demand will be
                                                                       forthcoming.
e-services, networks,
and facilities                                                    •	 Develop parallel plans to support the
                                                                       use of similar government services by
Governments under an e-government                                      population segments that are not yet
approach can strongly promote the                                      online.
market for investment in ICT networks
and services through their leading                                •	 Consider reverse subsidy auctions
role as customers and users of these                                   (see Box 8.2) to develop relevant
services, which can benefit citizens in                                digital services, networks and
both urban and rural areas in multiple                                 facilities for the private sector.
ways. For instance, the Broadband
Commission addressed the important                                Medium/Long-Term Actions:
question of digitalization through the
launch of the Digitalization Scorecard                            •	 Roll out coordinated e-government
report.72 Digitalization goes hand in hand                             (including e-education, e-health,
with e-government implementations                                      and so on) networks, facilities, and
and the scorecard report looked at                                     services through contracts with
which policies and regulations can help                                private operators.
advance digitalization across various
sectors of the economy because of their                           Responsible Parties:
high socioeconomic impact: agriculture,
education, healthcare, government,                                •	 Governments, especially finance
and transportation.                                                    ministries, communications sector
                                                                       policy makers.
Through public procurement of
e-government networks, contracts,                                 •	 Partners investing in the sector,
and services – which extend broadband                                  especially private sector and other
connectivity to public buildings, schools,                             supporting investors/funders.
health facilities, and so on, beyond
major city centers – these government
purchases pay directly for much of the
required infrastructure while providing
anchor tenant revenue assurance to
private telecommunications operators,
which can utilize the same infrastructure
to deliver affordable service to
public customers.




72.	 Broadband Commission for Sustainable Development. 2017. Working Group on the Digitalization Scorecard: Which Policies
     and Regulations Can Help Advance Digitalization. https://broadbandcommission.org/Documents/publications/WG-
     Digitalization-Score-Card-Report2017.pdf




                                                                            A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   99
      Objective 5: Provide                                   based broadband services will not be
                                                             commercially viable on their own in
      direct funding                                         the near or medium term. Ensuring
                                                             that these regions and citizens are able
      support for extending                                  to benefit from broadband ICTs is a
                                                             critical component of overall sector
      affordable broadband                                   development objectives. Universal
      access to commercially                                 service programs and funding should
                                                             not be treated as a “last resort” for such
      challenging rural                                      groups, even where commercial growth
                                                             might eventually emerge, as this would
      and remote areas,                                      only consign them to long delays and
      to women, and low-                                     exclusion from digital development
                                                             opportunities. Proactive funding and
      income users                                           support projects should be coordinated
                                                             with other infrastructure initiatives
      It is likely that in most countries there              to ensure that affordable access to
      will be significant geographic areas                   broadband expands for the least
      and population segments, perhaps                       advantaged citizens at the same time as
      15-20 percent, for which market-                       the commercial market grows.



      Figure 8.2. Ghana Investment Fund for Electronic Communications -
      Smart Community Architecture

                                                     Local Content




                                                                                               Police
                                                                                               Station
      Community                                                                 FIBRE (overhead)


                                                   e
                                            tR ang
                                     ot spo
                                 Fi H
      School              m   Wi-
                      20K

                                              BASE STATION                                            Farmer
      Chief’s
      Palace
                                                                                                     Health
                                                                                                     Centre
                FIBRE
             (underground)
                                                                         Digital
                                District                                Financial
                               Assembly           Community               Kiosk
                                                  Information
                                                     Centre

      Source: GIFEC. 2018. Closing the Digital Gap Using Universal Service Funds – Key Lessons from Ghana.



100   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Immediate/Short-Term Actions:                •	 Thoroughly monitor and evaluate
                                                the impact of USAF funds against set
•	 Establish and/or support universal           objectives.
   service and access fund (USAF)
   mechanisms based on innovative            •	 Pay increased attention to urban
   operating models and technology              centers because of the high rural-
   solutions, to channel funding                urban migration rate in Africa.
   resources toward noneconomic areas           Providing reliable connectivity to
   and programs, including regulatory           cities will contribute to making them
   framework, industry contributions,           smarter, safer, and more sustainable
   and implementation procedures.               (see box 8.5 for the Smart City
                                                Playbook report).
Medium/Long-Term Actions:
                                             Responsible Parties:
•	 Employ USAF funds and procedures
   or pay and play mechanismsto              •	 Governments, especially policy
   support construction and operation           makers, sector regulators, USAF.
   of rural broadband distribution and
   access networks that are based            •	 Partners investing in policy and
   on supporting communities with a             regulatory reform, such as MDBs,
   multitude of services (see figure 8.2        development aid agencies, and
   for the example of Ghana’s GIFEC             others supporting USAF to become
   Smart Community Architecture).               effective mechanisms for investment
                                                in rural and remote areas.
•	 Develop, fund, and implement public
   ICT access facilities and programs,       •	 Private sector, including satellite
   including telecenters and public Wi-Fi,      operators and small, medium and/
   in both rural and urban areas, to offer      or alternative providers, such as
   low-cost public service for those least      community networks, rural operators,
   able to afford commercial broadband          among others.
   (see box 8.3 and box 8.4 for examples
   of this type of action in practice).


                                                    A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   101
          Box 8.3. Huawei: Innovative Infrastructure
          Solution to Expand Access to Rural Areas
          Huawei’s RuralStar solution enables rural networks to provide cost-effective
          mobile broadband services as well as traditional voice services in remote areas.
          Specifically, the solution provides lightweight coverage for 2G voice, SMS,
          and mobile money services, and 3G broadband data services. In over eight
          countries, including in Kenya, Ghana, and Nigeria, Huawei has partnered with
          local operators to roll out RuralStar networks to expand mobile internet access.

          In Ghana, in partnership with MTN Ghana, the RuralStar solution was deployed
          in over 300 sites to expand rural mobile internet coverage. RuralStar proved
          to be cost-effective (with less need for upfront investment and expenditure
          on electricity networks) and increased return on investment in low-density
          population areas, and expanded network coverage in rural and remote areas
          where it was deemed unprofitable. Similarly, in Kenya, Huawei has partnered
          with Safaricom to bring RuralStar to a rural town in Kenya, and their endeavor
          has produced notable impacts, such as improved healthcare, increased access
          to finance, better security, and improved education.

      Source: https://www.gsma.com/futurenetworks/wiki/ruralstar-huawei-safaricom-case-study/;
      https://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Huawei_RuralStar_MTN_
      Ghana_Rural_Innovation_Connectivity_Case_Study_Nov18.pdf



          Box 8.4. Microsoft’s Airband Initiative
          Microsoft’s Airband Initiative partners with equipment makers, and local
          internet and energy access providers to deploy technologies and business
          models that help more people affordably get online. These projects align with
          national level strategies and provide not only internet access, but digital skills
          training, telemedicine services and small business empowerment. In Africa, the
          Airband Initiative has led two notable projects:

          •	 Mawingu (Kenya): Mawingu Networks is providing affordable internet in rural
              Kenya, by using low-cost wireless technologies, and solar power. Utilizing
              technologies such as Wi-Fi and various fixed microwave technologies,
              Mawingu is delivering internet access for as little as $4 per month and has a
              five-year projected population coverage of 3.6 million people.

          •	 Brightwave (South Africa): In partnership with the Universal Service
              and Access Agency of South Africa (USAASA), Brightwave is providing
              broadband to over 600 schools and clinics in the rural Eastern Cape
              municipalities of King Sabata Dalindyebo and Mhlontlo Local. Using a
              hybrid network solution, combining fiber and various fixed microwave
              technologies, Brightwave is extending its network to connect previously
              unserved rural areas and covers over 200,000 people, with eventual
              coverage projected to be over 400,000.

      Source: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/airband; https://news.microsoft.com/features/empow-
      ering-kenya-and-the-world-with-high-speed-low-cost-internet/; http://download.microsoft.com/
      download/6/C/9/6C955541-5053-4A1C-BF0E-22F3BA34CE0F/Microsoft_Airband_Brightwave_Casestudy.pdf



102   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
     Box 8.5. Nokia’s Smart City Playbook
     The Smart City Playbook, a strategy report that documents best practice for
     smart cities, provides concrete guidance to city leaders on successful strategies
     used by other municipalities to make their cities smarter, safer, and more
     sustainable. Commissioned by Nokia and developed by Machina Research,
     the playbook was developed through primary research into the strategies and
     progress of 22 cities around the world.

     While the study found significant differences between cities, even amongst
     those following the same route, it also concluded that there are several
     particular practices used by successful smart cities that would appear to be of
     universal benefit, including:

     •	 Successful cities have established open and transparent rules for the use of
         data (on which all smart cities are dependent) by government departments
         and third parties, whether shared freely or monetized to cover data
         management costs.

     •	 Many cities that are advanced in their smart city journeys have committed
         to making both ICT and IoT infrastructure accessible to users both inside
         and outside of government, and have avoided the creation of silos between
         government departments.

     •	 Governments (and their third-party partners) that have worked to actively
         engage residents in smart city initiatives have been particularly effective,
         most notably those where the benefits are highly visible such as smart
         lighting and smart parking.

     •	 Smart city infrastructure needs to be scalable and sharable, so it can grow
         and evolve to meet future needs.



Source: Machina Research Strategy Report. The Smart City Playbook: Smart, Safe, Sustainable.
https://pages.nokia.com/T003V0-what-are-cities-doing-to-be-smart.html




Objective 6: Increase                                  policies which address demand-side
                                                       constraints, as discussed in previous
ICT market commercial                                  sections. Such programs on affordable
                                                       devices, digital skills development, and
attractiveness                                         relevant content and applications will
                                                       help stimulate demand across all user
through demand                                         groups, improving the commercial
stimulation and                                        viability of private infrastructure
                                                       investments. In this regard, public-private
affordability initiatives                              partnerships in support of building digital
                                                       skills and offering affordable digital
Market growth and affordable access                    devices can be considered to stimulate
will also be enhanced by programs and                  demand-side factors.



                                                                A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   103
                                                        Immediate/Short-Term Actions:

                                                        •	 Adopt frameworks, plans, targets for
                                                            demand stimulation programs, with
                                                            special attention on women and girls,
                                                            the poor, marginalized, and rural
                                                            populations.

                                                        •	 Commence digital skills and content
                                                            initiatives, to increase attractiveness and
                                                            value of broadband access, and hence
                                                            willingness to pay.

                                                        Medium/Long-Term Actions:

                                                        •	 Establish affordable digital devices
                                                            programs through subsidies, payment
                                                            plans, and device financing to improve
                                                            affordability for all, especially for low-
                                                            income users.

                                                        •	 Promote innovative business models
                                                            and new technologies (see box 8.6 and
                                                            box 8.7).

                                                        Responsible Parties:

                                                        •	 Governments, especially ministries of
                                                            education, science and technology,
                                                            labor, gender, and youth.

                                                        •	 Partners investing in digital skills and
                                                            content development, such as the
                                                            MDBs, development aid agencies,
                                                            private sector, public and academic
                                                            institutions.

                                                        •	 Private sector, including satellite
                                                            operators, device manufacturers, and
                                                            small, medium and/or alternative
                                                            providers, such as community networks,
                                                            rural operators, among others.




104   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
    Box 8.6. Innovative Business Models for
    Expanding Fiber-Optic Networks and
    Closing the Access Gaps
    A study by the World Bank shows how new technologies and business
    models can help developing countries expand high-speed internet access.
    By reviewing 70 internet-related infrastructure projects and innovative last-
    mile solutions from across the world, spanning all segments of the broadband
    value-chain, the report examines creative approaches to closing the global
    digital divide and ensuring everyone can reap the social and economic benefits
    of digital development – including poor or isolated communities where
    traditional strategies may not be economically viable. These case studies
    provide a framework to analyze their applicability based on key attributes, and
    measures that contribute to their relative success. With wireless technology
    leading the way in connecting individuals, the report also analyzes key trends
    related to spectrum policy and planning.

    Meanwhile, the report finds that most successful broadband initiatives have
    been driven by the private sector. Public agencies play a crucial role by
    implementing effective sector regulation, addressing potential market failures,
    and creating the conditions for an open, competitive broadband sector.
    Increased competition for broadband services, including where appropriate
    the infrastructure itself, has led to significant improvements in the coverage
    and affordability of high-speed internet. Recent technological progress and
    innovations highlighted in the report include, among others, broadband
    deployment using low-cost satellites, small cell solutions, as well as drones,
    balloons, and other nonpermanent structures.


Source: Gallegos, Doyle, Junko Narimatsu, Oana Ariana Batori, Janet Hernandez, Daniel
Leza, Ivan Skenderoski, and Erik Whitlock. 2018. Innovative Business Models for Expand-
ing Fiber-Optic Networks and Closing the Access Gaps. Washington, DC: World
Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/674601544534500678/
Innovative-Business-Models-for-Expanding-Fiber-Optic-Networks-and-Closing-the-Access-Gaps




                                                           A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   105
          Box 8.7. Intelsat’s Partnership with UNHCR
          to Bring Internet Access to Refugees
          Globally there are nearly 25.4 million refugees, over half of whom are under
          the age of 18. At the end of 2016, Africa hosted 5,531,693 refugees. The lack
          of digital connectivity increases the vulnerability of people who were forced
          to flee by depriving them of opportunities for communication, information,
          education, financial transactions, self/community/social development, and
          work. This makes it difficult for refugees to restore independence, to rebuild
          productive lives as well as to maintain family links and other social relations.
          Access to the internet is one of the tools which provide equal opportunities for
          development, empowerment, and protection.

          AMPAIN CAMP, GHANA
          In 2016, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and
          Intelsat jointly developed an internet access pilot program for the Ampain
          refugee camp in Ghana. The ICT center at Ampain provides refugees with
          computers to access online courses. To date, 280 online courses were
          completed by 220 camp inhabitants. The service is now being packaged as
          a low-maintenance, solar-powered, satellite-connected Wi-Fi service which
          provides quality internet access to refugee camps in remote locations.

          THE SOLUTION
          Using Intelsat’s Ku-band service, the program delivers quality internet access
          using small dish antennas (±1-meter diameter), which are light and easy to install.
          The Wi-Fi service provides coverage and internet access for users in and around
          the ICT center in Ampain refugee camp, and are also expanded to cover larger
          areas of the camp. Where the electricity supply is insufficient or absent, a solar
          power platform is installed to provide power to the satellite and Wi-Fi equipment.



      Objective 7: Promote                                markets develop – and retain – growing
                                                          pools of skilled technical workers. Often,
      long-term sustainability                            outside investors will bring in their own
                                                          (foreign) labor force to build out networks
      by ensuring that                                    and infrastructure, and even to manage
                                                          and operate services, without always
      appropriate technical                               transferring these skills and responsibilities
      skills to operate                                   to the domestic population. Such
                                                          practices risk inhibiting the viability and
      and maintain digital                                growth of the digital ecosystem, shutting
                                                          out many potential avenues of high-
      infrastructure are                                  paying, high-skilled employment, and/or
      increasingly available                              creating undue dependence on foreign
                                                          labor. Policies which encourage, and even
      on the continent                                    mandate, the training and employment
                                                          of technical workers from within the host
      For digital infrastructure, services, and           country can provide strong assurances
      related industry operations to become               of sustainable growth and transformation
      truly sustainable in the medium- to                 toward a robust digital economy.
      long-term, it is vital that African labor



106   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Immediate/Short-Term Actions:

•	 Conduct a comprehensive review
    and study of the scope of technical
    skills, needs, training options, and
    employment, and develop plans
    to expand education and training
    opportunities and incentives
    (including requirements for gender
    equality).

Medium/Long-Term Actions:

•	 Invest in advanced technical
    training programs at universities and
    specialized institutes (including via
    industry partnerships) to expand the
    potential pool of skilled workers in
    the ICT sector.

•	 Incorporate domestic labor
    requirements, including training
    elements as needed, in PPP
    projects to build and operate digital
    infrastructure, taking account of the
    expected size and skills of the labor
    force.

•	 Develop plans to create incentives for
    skilled technical workers to remain
    within the country, and to serve in
    nonurban and remote locations,
    including tax and financial incentives
    and bonuses.

Responsible Parties:

•	 Governments, especially ministries
    of labor, education, science and
    technology, gender, and youth.

•	 Partners investing in digital skills
    development and training, such as
    the MDBs, development aid agencies,
    private sector, public and academic
    institutions.

•	 Private sector investors, particularly
    international firms contracting to
    build and operate major digital
    infrastructure projects incorporating
    significant skilled work forces, under
    licenses or partnerships with the
    government.



                                             A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   107
9
                        Financing
                        Mechanisms
                        for the Digital
                        Infrastructure
                        Moonshot
                        for Africa




    108   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
To ensure that this ambitious initiative         connections, services, needed skills,
achieves its goals and targets, it is of         and content. Therefore, governments
the utmost importance that all funding           must take an increasing role as
and investment partners come together            investors in public ICT infrastructure
and collaborate to put in place the most         and ensure that such infrastructure is
efficient investment plans and financing         in place to support the advancement
mechanisms to support the level of               of their national development
investment required to achieve universal         agendas. Government resources
access to affordable and good quality            come in many ways, from universal
broadband in Africa.                             access and service funds (USAFs)
                                                 available to invest in the sector (often
With an overall estimate of $109 billion in      administered in coordination with the
investments needed to achieve the 2030           sector regulator), to other national
target of universal access to affordable         sources of infrastructure investment
and good quality broadband, including            and support. Governments should
the milestone for doubling connectivity          review the sources of USAF funds
by 2021, it is important that each partner       and develop innovative models
plays a role in mobilizing necessary             to ensure the contribution base is
resources and focuses their efforts on           broadened to encompass all those
contributing to this ambitious target.           who derive economic benefit from
                                                 the investment. It is critical that
•	 African Union (AU) and regional               governments not only invest their
   economic communities (REC).                   resources effectively but also that
   It is critical that such a massive            they support the development and
   initiative be endorsed at continental         establishment of enabling policy and
   level by the AU, taking on the                regulatory environments that will
   role of coordinating efforts and              incentivize and promote investments
   ensure that such efforts are aligned          and market growth. Increased
   with, for example, its upcoming               coordination between governments
   Digital Transformation Strategy. In           on this agenda, for example in
   collaboration with AU, RECs such              context of the Smart Africa Initiative
   as ECOWAS, SADC, COMESA, and                  or within regional economic
   EAC, are also central to various              communities, should be fostered to
   transformation programs of the                achieve bigger harmonized markets.
   continent. They facilitate accelerated
   planning, design, development,             •	 Sector regulators. Regulators have a
   operation and management of                   key role to play in both establishing
   regional broadband infrastructure             a level playing field in the market,
   and other crossborder initiatives for         but also in the implementation of
   the subregion. RECs also play a key           key policies and regulation aiming
   role in coordinating donor support            at achieving universal, affordable,
   and aligning programs with regional           and good quality broadband. It is
   priorities.                                   critical that sector regulators invest
                                                 in the needed skills and tools and
•	 African governments and respective            develop their policy and regulatory
   public investment agencies.                   frameworks for digital markets, with
   Governments have the ultimate                 the support of ITU, MDBs, and other
   responsibility to ensure that their           relevant organizations.
   citizens have access to affordable
   and good quality broadband


                                                    A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   109
      •	 Multilateral development banks                                    •	 United Nations and other
           (MDBs) and regional development                                       development agencies, including
           banks (RDB) and other donors. MDBs                                    the ITU. As a leading United Nations
           should increase their commitment                                      agency for ICT, the ITU has a key role
           to ICT infrastructure and projects in                                 in coordinating technical, economic
           general and to Africa specifically.73                                 and regulatory matters relating to
                                                                                 ensuring universal, affordable, and
           »» The World Bank Group will                                          good quality broadband connectivity.
              mobilize and make available a                                      The ITU also finances national,
              number of financing mechanisms,                                    regional, and global ICT development
              notably through the International                                  projects through its ICT Development
              Development Association (IDA)                                      Fund (ICT-DF).75
              under a Mobilizing Finance for
              Development approach, to facilitate                          •	 Private sector (national and foreign).
              and expedite the distribution and                                  Network operators and service
              allocation of a share of the $25                                   providers are expected to play a
              billion earmarked for all dimensions                               critical role as key investors in the
              of the DE4A Initiative to support the                              ICT sector through continued and
              implementation of the Roadmap                                      increased levels of commitment to
              and Action Plan recommended to                                     expand network coverage beyond
              achieve the 2030 target of universal                               urban population centers. Achieving
              access to affordable and good                                      commercially sustainable investment
              quality broadband, including the                                   would require innovations to lower
              milestone for doubling connectivity                                the CapEx and OpEx of cell sites and
              by 2021.                                                           infrastructure overall and enhanced
                                                                                 demands for mobile services and
           »» EU-Africa Infrastructure Trust Fund                                corresponding market growth. Digital
              (EU-AITF) of EIB also has dedicated                                services are increasingly provided
              fund programs for developing Africa                                by non-network operators and as
              ICT infrastructure.74                                              the infrastructure gap is caused by a
                                                                                 funding gap, innovations to finance
           »» Other MDBs such as the African                                     models may of necessity require
              Development Bank, the Islamic                                      obtaining contributions from non-
              Development Bank, the European                                     network operators on a direct or
              Investment Bank, and many others,                                  indirect basis.
              are invited to join forces with
              bilateral development partners and                           •	 NGOs are another critical player in
              with the World Bank to coordinate                                  the DE4A Initiative and should play a
              their investment plans and ensure                                  key role as implementing partners, in
              that together they are making                                      particular in supporting digital skills
              investment decisions that will                                     building, and content development.
              support this strategy and roadmap.




      73.	 According to the Alliance for Affordable internet, “…despite increasing recognition of the importance of digital access to the
           realisation of the Sustainable Development Goals, MDBs are investing just 1% of their total commitments in ICT projects.” A4AI
           and World Wide Web Foundation. 2018. Closing the Investment Gap: How Multilateral Development Banks Can Contribute
           to Digital Inclusion. https://1e8q3q16vyc81g8l3h3md6q5f5e-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/MDB-
           Investments-in-the-ICT-Sector.pdf
      74.	 https://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/regions/africa/eu-africa-infrastructure-trust-fund-eu-aitf_en
      75.	 https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Projects/Pages/ICT-DF.aspx?Status=&Theme=&Region=&Country=&ICTDF=1&Keyword=




110    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
All participating organizations must                    (CapEx) and network operations
collaborate to ensure that their resources              and maintenance (O&M). Another
are used in the most effective way.                     significant aspect of the MFD approach
Partnership among the financing                         demonstrates that public investment
partners, as well as other implementing                 participants (e.g. MDBs, bilaterals and
partners, is more likely to result in                   other development aid agencies) will
effective investments, and ultimately,                  channel investments in areas that the
greater impact. Figure 9.1 below provides               private sector sees as non-commercially
an indicative distribution of cost sharing              viable.
between the public and the private
for infrastructure capital expenditure


Figure 9.1. MFD Indicative Distribution of Cost Sharing

     Urban Population            Rural Population                     Remote Rural
        New Users                  New Users                           New Users                      1.2
        550 million                550 million                         100 million                    BILLION
                                                                                                      NEW
           (46%)                      (46%)                                (8%)                       USERS




                Funding Requirements                            Funding Requirements                  $83
                $63 billion (75%)                               $20 billion (25%)                     US$
                                                                                                      BILLION




                        PRIVATE                                           PUBLIC


                 Infrastructure CapEx                             Infrastructure CapEx                $30
               $28 billion (93%)                                  $2 billion (7%)                     US$
                                                                                                      BILLION




                     Network O&M                                     Network O&M                      $53
                $35 billion (66%)                               $18 billion (34%)                     US$
                                                                                                      BILLION



Note: New users in remote rural area are estimated at ~100m (~15%-20% of the rural population). This rep-
resents the low-density areas out of reach of traditional mobile networks.




                                                                A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   111
10
                     Monitoring
                     Progress
                     towards
                     Broadband
                     for All




 112   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Given the magnitude of this initiative,                              •	 Affordability of broadband services:
it is critical that all partners involved                                  Monthly cost of 1 GB per month of
support the ongoing efforts to monitor                                     mobile data, as a percentage of gross
progress towards the 2030 goal. It is                                      national income (GNI) per capita.
therefore proposed that a monitoring
framework be set up to help Africa track                             •	 Quality of service (QoS): Upload
the progress and achievement of targets                                    and download speeds, a minimum
outlined in the Roadmap and Action Plan                                    amount of data, and device type.76
in chapter 8 of this report.
                                                                     •	 Infrastructure location and
A new, crowdsourced monitoring                                             availability: Data on exact points and
platform could serve as a repository for                                   lines – or on an approximate spatial
all projects (public and private initiatives)                              level – representing nodes and
taking place to help measure the targets                                   routes of the infrastructural network
against the total investments made under                                   (first mile, middle mile, and last
the auspices of the DE4A initiative.                                       mile). The ITU, the GSMA and some
                                                                           independent stakeholders have
In addition to a database of infrastructure                                developed mapping projects that
investments, several metrics should be                                     are a reference to this indicator (see
monitored to measure the progress                                          boxes 2.1-2.3).77
of the overall initiative. The suggested
metrics for monitoring progress are:                                 In addition, it is important that progress
                                                                     be measured across all areas of the road
•	 Broadband coverage: Percentage                                    map to achieve digital transformation
     of the population living within zones                           by 2030, such as policy and regulatory
     with at least 3G and 4G mobile                                  frameworks, digital skills and content,
     network coverage, respectively.                                 and device affordability. For this purpose,
     Visualizing such information as well                            we propose the following approach:
     as service areas on maps has proven
     to be effective in improving the                                •	 Policy and regulatory frameworks:
     efficiency of the investments and                                     A measure of progress towards
     accelerating broadband connectivity                                   agreed best practice policy and
     in some parts of the world.                                           regulatory frameworks, such as
                                                                           ITU’s ICT Regulatory Tracker and the
•	 Broadband penetration: Percentage                                       Affordability Drivers Index (ADI).78
     of population that have access
     to affordable and good quality
     broadband, with segments by gender
     and rural/urban, gender across urban
     and rural, age groups, among other
     relevant metrics.




76.	 A4AI is developing a proposed standard for meaningful access based on this quality of service concept. This will be published
     in the Fall of 2019.
77.	See https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Technology/Pages/InteractiveTransmissionMaps.aspx and
     https://www.mobilecoveragemaps.com
78.	 See A4AI’s Affordability Report, https://a4ai.org/affordability-report/




                                                                               A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa        113
      •	 Digital skills and content: there
           remains a challenge in measuring
           digital skills across countries
           because of a lack of high-quality
           comparable data. Under this
           initiative’s framework, suitable
           metrics need to be identified or
           developed, in partnership with
           other relevant stakeholders such
           as UNESCO, the ITU, and others.
           Content development is another area
           where better data is needed, though
           there are some existing indices that
           measure and track the development
           and availability of locally relevant
           content.79


      •	 Affordability of devices: (1)
           Percentage of the population that
           can afford a mobile broadband
           capable phone with less than 15
           percent of monthly GNI80 and
           with ongoing payments related to
           financing of less than two percent
           of monthly GNI. (2) Cost of internet
           enabled devices as a percentage of
           GNI per capita.

      Overall monitoring progress will be
      publicly available and reported at the
      country, regional and continent level.




      79.	 See for example,
      	https://www.mobileconnectivityindex.com/
      80.	 Analysis of Average Selling Price (IDC) as a percentage
           of income (C-GIDD) for feature phones and ultra-low-
           end smartphones in Nigeria, 2019H1. Assumes ordinality
           between income and corresponding phone purchase, e.g.
           the top 10% of phones are purchased by the top 10% of
           income earners




114    Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   115
                    Appendix A.	
                    Model
                    Methodology
                    and Results




116   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
The estimates outlined in this                  estimates should be considered high
assessment are subject to the following         level and directional in nature. More
considerations and caveats:                     detailed country modelling must be
                                                carried out to build a deeper picture
•	 The focus and scope of the                   of individual country investment
   modelling exercise were strictly             requirements and constraints.
   on estimating the cost to achieve
   the stated targets – namely               •	 The use of the terms 3G and
   anticipated capital expenditures             4G in this assessment does not
   (CapEx), infrastructure operation and        represent an endorsement of some
   maintenance costs, policy, and skills.       technologies at the expense of
   While other components of feasibility        others. This assessment is technology
   are acknowledged to warrant strong           agnostic, and 3G and 4G are used
   consideration (notably service               here only as broad proxies for
   affordability, economic feasibility,         preferred minimum download
   sources of funding, and a broad              speeds, and in recognition of the fact
   assessment of the sustainability of          that mobile networks will be central
   the proposed investments), they are          to achieving the proposed targets.
   beyond the scope of this particular
   modelling exercise. These additional
   factors will be assessed in more detail   Key Assumptions
   in separate, dedicated phases of
   analysis.
                                             and Definitions
                                             The following critical assumptions
•	 While they share some similarities,       underpin the estimates of investment
   the 2021 and 2030 digital
                                             requirements:
   transformation targets are considered
   separately for the purposes of this
   assessment. They address two
                                             Defining Broadband
   related but different questions,
                                             The definition of broadband across
   that is, how much it would cost to
                                             countries continues to evolve as
   double penetration by 2021 versus
                                             technologies improve, new generations
   how much it would cost to achieve
                                             emerge of wireline and wireless
   universal access to broadband
                                             broadband and baseline expectations
   by 2030. They also use different
                                             continue to be raised of what constitutes
   parameters to define broadband
                                             minimum download speeds for the
   (3 Mbps versus 10 Mbps). While
                                             optimal end-user experience. Our
   complementary, the results of these
                                             quantitative forecast model seeks to
   two assessments should therefore
                                             adhere to these changes by applying a
   not be considered cumulative.
                                             definition of broadband that is consistent
                                             with the minimum levels of download
•	 While based on estimates on a
                                             (and upload) speeds expected to prevail
   country-by-country basis across a
                                             during the period under assessment.
   sample of 54 markets, the model
   was primarily built to develop an
                                             For the purposes of achieving the 2021
   assessment at the regional level, with
                                             objective, “broadband” speeds are thus
   attendant constraints with respect
                                             defined as 3 Mbps or above (download);
   to country-level granularity, along
                                             for mobile connectivity, 3G is used as
   with some region-wide, or cluster-
                                             the primary proxy for broadband. For
   based assumptions. The resulting


                                                   A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   117
      the purposes of achieving the 2030                   penetration target for 2021 was set. In
      universal access to broadband target, it             effect, the 2021 target is thus “doubling
      is anticipated that the definition of what           penetration from 2016 levels by 2021,
      constitutes a basic level of broadband               or increasing penetration to at least 20
      speed is likely to evolve. In turn,                  percent, whichever is higher.”
      “broadband” speeds are defined as 10
      Mbps or above (download). For mobile                 Network Capital Expenditure
      connectivity, 4G is used as the primary              (CapEx) Assumptions
      proxy for broadband.
                                                           Infrastructure investment requirements
      Universal Access                                     are estimated for three main network
      and Target Population                                segments:

      For the purposes of this analysis, the               •	   Mobile radio network CapEx:
      population aged 10 and older is used as                   While acknowledging that other
      the baseline for calculating broadband                    technologies will likely be available,
      penetration. In addition, connectivity                    3G network coverage and 4G
      penetration numbers are based on the                      network coverage are used as the
      estimated number of “unique” broadband                    main proxies for broadband network
      connections, that is, adjusted where                      availability and the baseline for
      applicable for multi-SIM usage. Finally,                  estimating network infrastructure
      universal access to connectivity is                       investments for the 2021 target and
      defined as 90 percent penetration of the                  the 2030 target respectively. Mobile
      population aged 10 and older.                             network infrastructure costs are
                                                                based on the capital expenditure
      Estimating Broadband Penetration                          needed to extend coverage to the
                                                                unconnected population, and provide
      For the purposes of this model, estimates                 adequate capacity and allow for
      of broadband adoption are based                           network upgrades once new users
      on unique broadband subscribers.                          have been connected and traffic
      Broadband penetration is obtained                         expands. Estimates include a mix of
      by dividing the estimated number of                       greenfield and upgraded sites, along
      unique broadband subscribers (that                        with existing levels of broadband
      is, connections adjusted for multi-SIM                    network buildout and coverage.
      usage) by the population aged 10 and
      older. In addition, the definition of                •	 Network backhaul: Infrastructure
      broadband with respect to the 2030                        capital investment estimates
      target includes 4G/10 Mbps speeds                         integrate the need to invest in
      or above only. As a result, penetration                   adequate transmission infrastructure
      estimates in this model may differ from                   based on metro fiber, microwave, or
      traditional penetration estimates.                        satellite. The model assumes that a
                                                                countrywide fiber backbone must be
      Defining the Baseline and Notional                        in place to achieve universal access
                                                                to connectivity, using 4G speeds.
      Target Thresholds
                                                                Estimates are based on the total
                                                                fiber backbone kilometers required
      For the purposes of this assessment, the
                                                                to meet this overarching objective,
      year 2016 was established as the baseline
                                                                based on available data and/or
      from which broadband connectivity will
                                                                minimum fiber density target levels.
      be doubled by 2021. In some markets,
      however, this initial baseline was too low
                                                           Satellite for remote areas: It is generally
      to be meaningful, and the proposed 2021
                                                           anticipated that, for a variety of reasons,
      target has already been met as of the
                                                           a proportion of the rural population
      end of 2018. In such cases, a notional,
                                                           in remote locations will typically be
      20 percent minimum broadband


118   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
out of the reach of traditional mobile                        Skills and Content Costs
networks. The forecast model assumes
this proportion at between 10 and 20                          The availability of local, relevant content
percent of the rural population in most                       and adequate end-user skills are vital
countries, with variations depending on                       to a broader, more inclusive adoption
population density levels. Populations in                     of broadband connectivity services.
remote locations will generally need to                       Investments in skills and content may
be covered by local solutions consisting                      take the form of establishing tech hubs,
of satellite backhaul and fixed wireless                      local content ecosystems, or internet
access (predominantly Wi-Fi) for the last                     literacy training programs. The model
mile. In turn, infrastructure investment                      integrates these components, by
estimates include a satellite/Wi-Fi                           including costs per user for training and
requirement for remote communities.                           content. Baseline estimates are based
                                                              on a broad framework as outlined by the
Network Operational Expenditure                               World Economic Forum.81
(OpEx) Assumptions
                                                              Data Sources
For the purposes of this analysis,
infrastructure investment requirements                        The Digital Transformation Initiative
include estimates of network operating                        investment requirement model uses a
expenses, applied on an annual basis.                         variety of sources, including:
Network operating expenses typically
include repair and maintenance, site                          •	 GSMA data, for mobile broadband
leases, and other site operating costs.                             connections, user, network coverage,
For satellite/Wi-Fi infrastructure,                                 and other data;
network OpEx includes support, user
management platform, and bandwidth                            •	 United Nations and World Bank, for
capacity recurring costs.                                           population and demographic data;

Policy and Regulatory Costs                                   •	 The Alliance for Affordable Internet,
                                                                    for affordability and policy rating data;
The model assumes that most countries
will require some form of policy and                          •	 Xalam Analytics, for supplementary
regulatory intervention to develop                                  broadband connections, some
and strengthen frameworks that                                      network assumptions, and fiber
promote cost-effective rollouts, lower                              backbone data;
connectivity retail prices, and increase
broadband usage. This includes fostering                      •	 World Economic Forum, for skills and
the availability of adequate spectrum,                              content investment assumptions.
infrastructure sharing, open access
fiber, and other relevant regulations. Top                    •	 ITU, for population baseline analysis
line policy and regulation investment
requirements are estimated using                              In addition, key assumptions in the
assessments of policy support needed                          model are based on service provider
in each country and based on the policy                       data and/or insights garnered through
and regulation components of the                              consultations with key stakeholders. This
Affordability Driver Index (ADI) score as                     is explained in appendix B.
developed by A4AI.
                                                              Model Structure
                                                              Figures A.1 and A.2 explain how the
                                                              investment models for the 2021 milestone
                                                              and 2030 target were developed.
81.	 World Economic Forum. 2017. Internet for All: An Investment Framework for Digital Adoption.
     http://www3.weforum.org/docs/White_Paper_internet_for_All_Investment_Framework_Digital_Adoption_2017.pdf




                                                                        A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   119
      Figure A.1. Estimating Requirements for the 2021 Target: Model Structure
      (Indicative)



            •	Average number of subs per 3G site varies      •	Network OpEx includes repair and
              between 1500 and 3000                            maintenance, site leases and other site
            •	~100% of new 3G BTS are built on existing 2G     operating costs.
              sites/towers                                   •	Model assumes a basic cost of $17 per
            •	Likewise, ~100% of new 4G sites are built on     incremental unique user for skill training and
              top of existing 2G/3G sites                      to support local content creation.
            •	Assumes that ~10% of mobile network capex      •	Please refer to Excel model for additional
              is allocated to backhaul                         detail




                                2021
           2016
                             broadband
        broadband
        penetration
                      2x     penetration
                               target



                             Number of
                       broadband users that
                       need to be added to
                        hit the 2021 target



              Number of                      Number of
              broadband                      broadband
            users added to                 users added to
             3G networks                    4G networks




            Number of 3G                   Number of 4G                 Total
            BTS needed to                  BTS needed to            number of
           support the new                support the new          sites needed
              customers                      customers              to support
                                                                      the new
                                                                    customers
         # of            # of           # of            # of
         sites        greenfield        sites        greenfield
       upgraded          sites        upgraded          sites                                              Skills &
                                                                     Average             Policy           Content
                                                                     network            costs as          costs per
                Average deployment cost per site                     OpEx per            a % of          connected
                      (including backhaul)                             site              CapEx              user



                                                                                                           Total
                              Total                                  Total              Total
                                                                                                         skills and
                             Network                                Network             Policy
                                                                                                          content
                              CapEx                                  OpEx               Costs
                                                                                                           costs

                                    TOTAL INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS



120   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Figure A.2. Estimating Requirements for the 2030 Target: Model Structure
(Indicative)

 •	Average number of subs per 4G site averaged at        •	Satellite capex only including terminal + Wi-Fi
   5000 over the forecast period;                          setup; OpEx including costs of backhaul capacity
 •	We assume that new 4G BTS are primarily built         •	Model assumes a basic cost of $17 per incremental
   on existing 2G/3G sites/towers; any requirements        unique user for skill training and to support local
   beyond the existing 2G/3G tower base is                 content creation.
   considered greenfield.                                •	While the model does not explicity split out CapEx
 •	Assumes that ~10% of mobile network capex is            dedicated to the connection of public institutions
   allocated to metro backhaul; backbone CapEx             (schools, hospitals, etc.), it implicitly accounts for
   estimated separately based on CapEx per km.             it. It is assumed that a network that reaches ~100%
 •	Network OpEx includes repair and maintenance,           of the population will similarly reach ~100%+ of
   site leases and other site operating costs.             institutions.
 •	~10%-20% of rural population only accessible via      •	Please refer to Excel model for additional detail.
   satellite/FWA infrastructure, depending on density
   levels;



   2018       2030
broadband broadband
penetration penetration
              - 90%



      Number of
   broadband users
    that need to be                             Number of           Total
   added to hit 90%                             broadband         number
      penetration                                  users           of sites
                                                connected        needed to
                                  Total          through          support
                               number of         satellite/       the new
  Number of 4G BTS             backbone            Wi-Fi         customers
  needed to support            fiber Kms
  the new customers             required



   # of          # of                            Number
   sites      greenfield                        of Satellite
                                                                  Average
 upgraded        sites                          Terminals/
                                                                  network
                                                   VSAT
                                                                   OpEx
                                                                 per site -
                                                                 including
                                                                  satellite
                                                                                      Policy           Skills &
                                                  CapEx          backhaul
 Average deployment                                                                  costs as         Content
                                CapEx              per            capacity
  cost per site (inclu.                                                               a % of          costs per
                                per Km           Satellite         costs
   metro backhaul)                                                                    CapEx          connected
                                                 Terminal                                               user




                                                  Total                                                Total
        Mobile                  Total                             Total              Total
                                                Satellite                                            skills and
       Network                Backbone                           Network             Policy
                                                Last Mile                                             content
        CapEx                  CapEx                              OpEx               Costs
                                               BB CapEx*                                               costs

                               TOTAL INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS



                                                                    A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   121
                    Appendix B.	
                    Additional
                    Case Studies
                    for Practical
                    Understanding
                    of Universal,
                    Affordable,
                    and Good
                    Quality
                    Broadband


122   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Benefits of Broadband Infrastructure and Services

    Box B.1. ITU’S Smart Village Platform
    The Smart Village platform is a multistakeholder, cross-sectoral initiative
    that showcases how to cost effectively accelerate the implementation of
    the Sustainable Development Goals in remote areas through an integrated
    development and technology platform model. Through this model,
    governments can aim to increase the efficiency, security, and effectiveness
    of public services while reducing their cost, promote transparency and
    good governance, enhance traceability of transactions, and encourage data
    exchanges, among others.

    The ITU is collaborating with the Niger Agence Nationale pour la Société de
    l’Information (ANSI), as well as other UN agencies and stakeholders to support
    the smart village initiative in Niger, which launched in 2018, to drive sustainable
    rural development in agriculture, commerce, education, finance, and health.


Source: https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/ICT-Applications/Pages/smart-village.aspx




Broadband Access Loan and Grant Programs

    Box B.2. Broadband Access Loan and Grant
    Programs
    The European Fund for Sustainable Development has developed a guarantee
    worth €74 million for loans by the European Bank for Reconstruction and
    Development (EBRD) and the European Investment Bank (EIB) to invest in
    the infrastructure needed to provide affordable high-speed broadband in
    countries neighboring the European Union – especially outside the main urban
    centers and in rural, remote, and unserved areas to enable businesses, public
    administration, and the general public. The program will:

    •	 bring fast broadband to between 300,000 and 600,000 homes in rural
         areas

    •	 enable new small companies outside the main urban centers and in rural
         areas to grow and employ local people

    •	 allow people and businesses to take part more fully in the digital economy
         – for example, by selling goods and services or banking online




                                                               A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   123
      Innovative Business Models and Technologies
      for Expanding Broadband Access

          Box B.3. Developing a Public-Private
          Partnership for International Fiber Optic
          Connectivity – São Tomé and Príncipe
          São Tomé and Príncipe provides one example of a successful partnership. In
          2011 and 2012, the Government of São Tomé and Príncipe and the incumbent
          local fixed and mobile telecommunications service provider, Companhia
          Santomense de Telecomunicações (CST, a subsidiary of Portugal Telecom),
          partnered to invest in access to the Africa Coast to Europe (ACE) submarine
          fiber optic cable, as well as a submarine cable landing station. This shared
          investment resulted in a substantial expansion of telecommunications
          infrastructure to and within São Tomé and Príncipe, and sharp price declines
          for most telecommunications services in the country. This, in turn, helped
          to achieve the government’s related objective of attracting a second mobile
          telephony and internet service provider to São Tomé and Príncipe in 2014.

          The experience in São Tomé and Príncipe highlights the potential of PPPs
          to absorb early-stage project risk and provide a bridge to substantial private
          investment, both initially through the PPP and, subsequently, by facilitating
          the construction of key infrastructure needed by new entrants. The availability
          of low-cost international connectivity and access to the incumbent’s
          infrastructure at cost-based prices were important considerations in attracting
          Unitel as a competitive new entrant into the country’s telecommunications
          market – a move which led to substantial decreases in prices for most
          telecommunications services.




124   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
    The environment for investment in telecommunications infrastructure in
    emerging markets has evolved substantially over the past few decades, with
    important implications for the development of PPPs and other vehicles to fund
    infrastructure in emerging markets. The factors that have helped to drive this
    telecommunications infrastructure market evolution include:

    •	 Private operators have experienced massive increases in mobile broadband
         usage in their emerging market networks, and most now expect that this
         rapid growth will continue.

    •	 Active acquisition, construction, well-funded private infrastructure
         investors (both service providers already active in-country and international
         wholesale infrastructure access providers) are actively acquiring,
         constructing, and investing in telecommunications infrastructure, including
         fiber optic networks, towers (through focused tower owner-operators) and
         data centers.

    •	 Greater interest in sharing the ownership of telecommunications
         infrastructure and capacity by operators, dedicated infrastructure providers,
         banks and other high capacity users – both through the purchase of shares
         and indefeasible right of use (IRUs) by, helping to create a market and set
         tangible commercial values for such infrastructure assets.

    •	 Lower cost and more proven infrastructure technologies that provide
         high-speed broadband connectivity, including less expensive fiber optic
         cable installations, more efficient software overlays that make fiber
         optic terrestrial and submarine cables more productive, and wireless
         technologies that provide broadband solutions for low-density areas and
         irregular terrain.

    •	 Increasing awareness by the government of the importance of
         infrastructure sharing in reducing the cost of telecommunication
         deployment – either by requiring operators to share infrastructure (for
         example, towers), or by providing access to roads, railway lines or power
         grids through a PPP.

    These developments have reduced the risks to private operators in financing
    and constructing telecommunications infrastructure, and have underpinned
    a surge in telecommunications investment across emerging markets. While
    the role of governments will remain important in structuring future PPPs, the
    increase in available private funding would free up government funding to
    achieve other pressing policy objectives while encouraging further use of PPP
    structures that acknowledge the reduced risk and evolving interests of private
    investors.

Source: A4AI. http://a4ai.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/PPPs-in-Sao-Tome-and-Principe.pdf




                                                             A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   125
          Box B.4. OneWeb – Strategy to Connect
          Remote, Rural Villages and Roadways
          OneWeb is building a global communications network powered from space to
          deliver low-latency, high-speed broadband services globally. With commercial
          services due to start in 2021, OneWeb will provide backhaul to last-mile
          networks (for example, mobile and fixed wireless networks, and community
          Wi-Fi hotspots) and direct-to-premise connectivity (for example, institutions,
          enterprises, and households). A key market priority involves the thousands of
          unserved rural/remote communities – especially those in sub-Saharan African
          countries.

          Despite the advantage of having no barriers from geographic location or
          terrain, traditional satellite solutions have been considered a solution of last-
          resort because of high-pricing and performance limitations (that is, slow speed,
          high latency). Moreover, common business practices have exacerbated risks for
          business cases already economically challenged (for example, lower densities,
          ARPU, and/or adoption rates).

          The OneWeb network will consist of 650 low earth orbiting (LEO) satellites
          that will provide bandwidth comparable to high-speed fiber or 5G wireless
          networks. Furthermore, OneWeb’s business model addresses the financial
          viability risks through: sale of bandwidth (“pay as you grow”) and managed
          services packages; upfront capital investment limited to the user terminal
          equipment and installation; and public-private partnerships that pool capacity
          demand and dynamically shift provision to areas of highest demand.

          OneWeb considers such markets as a core part of its mission of bringing the
          “Internet to everyone, everywhere:”

          •	 Small, Scattered Villages: The average village has less than 500 people
              with school enrollment at less than 50 students. The willingness to spend
              is limited to $2-3 per month/user on internet access. Microwave links and
              fiber lines are technically or economically infeasible, especially without
              central planning and coordination.

          •	 Operator Dynamics: Potential operators of a Wi-Fi network are
              fragmented. The MNO may soon deploy a 3G network; however, 4G
              services are only planned for the distant future given the low investment
              returns.

          •	 Government Programs: Universal service funds are limited, unavailable, or
              small for sustainable purposes.




126   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Potential Service Package and Deal Structure via Public-Private Partnership

The potential solution design can vary, but the following public-private
partnership arrangements are being considered:

•	 Pooled Purchase Contract: Government stakeholders and operators (for
   example, MNO, ISP) may band together to aggregate demand and purchase
   capacity. The master contract holder would then assign bandwidth to
   each group member, and service packages to each user-terminal, through
   OneWeb’s service portal.

•	 Multidimensional Network and Cost Sharing: The last-mile solution
   envisages a community Wi-Fi public hotspot that also has a fixed wireless
   link to a school. The school would serve as the anchor client for the
   hotspot owner. The government would have access to reporting and
   analysis regarding usage at the school level. Capital expenditures (for user
   terminal and base station) would then be shared across different user
   segments.

•	 Redundant Links: The government and/or operators could seek satellite
   services for redundant links to their terrestrial network. Otherwise,
   bandwidth would be fully utilized for everyday broadband. During the
   increasingly common event of a fiber-cut, mission critical sites could be
   quickly activated through OneWeb. This approach is cost effective as it
   obviates the need to purchase dedicated capacity for redundancy. But
   the option to have this a redundant backup would incur a charge, which
   in effect would contribute to the contract value and further drive volume
   discounts.

•	 Alignment of Cost with Usage: The MNOs will be able to dynamically
   allocate capacity to remote and rural roadways and towns with limited
   usage – aligning cost with usage. Similarly, public hotspot operators would
   only pay for the usage, as long as the master contract calls for a minimum
   amount of capacity purchased.




                                                 A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   127
          Box B.5. KT’s Copper Wire-Based Gigabit
          Internet Technology Solution
          KT developed GiGA Wire solution to improve gigabit broadband accessibility
          for old buildings and historical sites where fiber installation is not available or
          difficult. FTTH is considered to be the best solution for fixed broadband access,
          however, last mile deployment is not possible in every situation. Since it can
          cause environmental impact because of overhead cable installation, cable
          attachment on the facade and cable work inside of the building, GiGA Wire
          was introduced to provide gigabit broadband through existing copper/coaxial
          infrastructure.

          The GiGA Wire is a field-proven, market-oriented solution to provide over
          1.4 Gbps of speed with existing copper/coaxial infrastructure. GiGA Wire can
          provide gigabit broadband service to customers with shorter lead-time and
          smaller investment cost than FTTH. In particular, GiGA Wire prevents damage
          to buildings because it does not require any additional wiring by utilizing
          existing lines and provides a quick and easy installation.

          GiGA Wire is based on the international standard, ITU-T Gigabit Home
          Networking, G.hn standard. It can be provided through copper and coaxial
          cable and can also coexist with legacy xDSL technology and different vendors’
          solutions in the same bundle.

          KT implements GiGA Wire solution in old apartment complexes and historic
          sites where difficult to attach fiber on façade or deploy fiber in vertical shaft. It
          provides broadband speeds seven times faster than legacy VDSL.

          KT has developed partnerships with several governments and companies in
          the United States, Malaysia, Botswana, and so on, and pilot projects have been
          conducted in Turkey and Egypt.




128   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Box B.6. Talia’s Quika Brings HTS Ka Band
Services to Remote Locations
Quika has partnered with GEO, High Throughput Satellite (HTS), Ka band providers
to provide low-cost internet services to remote locations with 0.75m antennas:
Arabsat-5C for Afghanistan and Iraq; Yahsat-3 for eleven countries in Africa. Later
in 2019, OneWeb’s LEO constellation will provide low latency services in the
Middle East and Africa regions with potentially full global coverage.

Quika’s unique business model integrates advertising and content to make
high-speed, low-latency broadband affordable as well as sustainable. Quika
Free’s consumer model is free to the consumer and funded by advertising or
government-funded Public Service Announcements (PSAs). The integrated
Wi-Fi network with the satellite system allows user access by computer
or smartphone. Communities have become empowered through the
transformational educational, economic, and social benefits online connectivity
brings.

Quika addresses the availability, affordability, throughput, simplicity and
sustainability issues of broadband services to the over 70 percent of African
households unconnected. Quika partners with local licensed operators and
regulators using USAFs to implement current and expanded coverage in African
and the Middle East. Quika’s service platform is scalable to support the regional
expansions and consumer-oriented applications.




Box B.7. The Smart Africa Broadband
Strategy Document
In an effort to improve the situation of broadband and internet, Smart Africa
launched an initiative with the aim of making broadband accessible and
affordable for the member states and organizations. This project seeks to
define a strategy which will serve as an overarching guideline for the member
states, on increasing the broadband penetration in Africa, with specific focus
on pragmatic ways of increasing the broadband penetration and finding
innovative economic models to support the projects that come out of this
strategy.

The vision of this strategy is encompassed into the Alliance global strategy to
transform the continent into a single digital market and a knowledge-based
economy by 2030.




                                                   A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   129
          A working group comprising of representatives from all member states and
          some selected private sector members such as Facebook, Inmarsat, SES,
          Orange, AfDB, GIZ, RISA were present at the first consultative meeting held on
          the 30th and 31st July 2019 in Kigali, Rwanda.

          The purpose of the working group was to identify the policies, rules and
          guidelines the countries must put in place to ensure they are on the path
          to achieving the Alliance vision, both individually and collectively, through
          broadband connectivity. At the end of the workshop, a vision to ‘’Achieve
          affordable broadband connectivity of 50% increase for Africa Citizens by 2025
          facilitated by harmonized policy and regulation that emphasizes private sector
          at all levels to enable the transformation of the continent into a single digital
          market and a knowledge-based economy’’ was agreed upon.

          Smart Africa Projects Towards the development of affordable digital
          infrastructure in Africa:

          •	 Inter-African cross border connectivity: This project being a collaboration
              between the private sector, the republic of Guinea and Smart Africa, is set
              to connect all the African Countries either by Submarine, Terrestrial or
              Satellite technology. In its first phase, 3 countries comprising Mali, Guinea
              and Senegal have been connected, 4 more are being worked on to be
              closed by the end of 2020. The second phase consists of ten (10) African
              countries and scheduled to complete by 2021.The remaining African
              countries, with priority on the Smart Africa members will be in the third and
              final phase, planned to be completed by 2025.

          •	 One Africa Network: The goal of this project is to build infrastructure to
              keep Africa traffic within Africa and to lower the tariff and costs of roaming.
              This initiative started about 3 years ago and, until now, 7 west African
              countries have activated this agreement as well as 3 east African countries.

          •	 Data centers: The lack of local infrastructure, such as datacenters, diverts
              internet traffic from Africa, poses quality problems (latency) and makes
              internet costs high. African countries thus have no control over their data,
              which leads to security and governance problems. Africa must face these
              problems quickly, by focusing on developing storage and data processing
              infrastructures in Africa.




130   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
Digital Skills Development

    Box B.8. GSMA’s Mobile Internet Skills
    Training Toolkit
    GSMA’s Connected Society program has developed the Mobile Internet Skills
    Training Toolkit (MISTT), a resource for mobile operators, NGOs, development
    organizations, and governments wanting to provide training to improve
    people’s basic knowledge and understanding of the mobile internet. It provides
    a visual and easy-to-understand introduction to using the mobile internet on
    an entry-level smartphone:

    •	 The MISTT is available in English, French, Hindi, Bengali, Kinyarwanda, and
        Swahili and may be translated into other languages.

    •	 The GSMA has been working to implement the training with a number of
        partners including Tigo Rwanda, Banglalink in Bangladesh, DOT and the
        Government of Rwanda, Ooredoo and Facebook in Myanmar, and several
        others with positive results with large increases in internet adoption levels.

    •	 In 2017, a pilot study of the toolkit was conducted in Sub-Saharan Africa,
        by Tigo Rwanda. This resulted in over 300 sales agents being trained to
        use the MISTT, who in turn trained over 250,000 data-paying customers.
        Overall, Airtel Tigo Rwanda witnessed substantial benefits with 77 percent
        of MISTT trained customers increase their data usage in the period after
        their sales agents introduced the training, and MISTT trained sales agents
        managed to increase the number of new data subscribers by 15 percent.
        This led to a 240 percent increase in quarterly return on investment.

    •	 More recently, by using a force of 3,200 sales agents, Banglalink trained
        over 117,000 customers over three months following which, amongst
        customers who were trained, there was a 228 percent increase in mobile
        internet usage, a 143 percent growth in data revenue, and increased traffic
        to Banglalink’s self-care app.

    Those who received the training were able to access key services in the areas
    of education, health, financial services, often for the first time, leading to
    increased economic empowerment and socioeconomic opportunities.

Source: https://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/connected-society/mistt/




                                                          A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   131
          Box B.9. KT’s GiGA Island Initiative
          KT’s GiGA Island Initiative cooperated with Bangladesh ICT Department,
          International Organization for Migration (IOM), Korea International Cooperation
          Agency (KOICA) and local nonprofit and nongovernment organizations
          to improve the standard of living in Moheshkhali Island in Bangladesh. KT
          introduced GiGA network and ICT solutions to solve social problems including
          digital skills, education, medical services under Bangladesh government’s
          national development policy named “Digital Bangladesh 2021.”

          Moheshkhali Island has a population of 320,000 with a density of 900 per
          square kilometer. The island, geographically isolated, lacks access to universal
          services. The average literacy rate of the island is 30 percent, much lower than
          the Bangladesh average of 50 percent. Additionally, there are a number of
          public institutions, including schools and local medical clinics; there are not
          enough teachers capable of teaching foreign languages or upper-level courses.
          In medical services, there are limited hospitals, a low ratio of doctors to the
          population – which is only 11: 20,000 – and a lack of female doctors to deliver
          medical support and reproductive services that the population deserves. KT has
          addressed digital skills and local content in four major industries, successfully,
          as follows:

          1.	 Remote education – creating/providing smart classrooms
              and e-learning content

          •	 Partnered with the NGO
              Jaago Foundation, created
              smart classrooms in 12
              elementary schools

          •	 Provided English and
              literature classes using
              e-learning content
              (Teacher’s Portal)

          2.	 Digital healthcare –
              connecting through
              telemedicine and mobile
              health system and devices

          •	 Connected community
              clinics using the
              telemedicine system

          •	 Utilized mobile health
              check-up devices
              for diagnosis (Sonon
              (ultrasound device), Yodoc
              (urine tester), myCheck
              (blood tester))




132   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
    3.	 Information access – teaching
        ICT skills and building IT space

    •	 Created IT space which can be
         used as an IT classroom and
         provides IT information

    •	 Developed a recruiting website
         specifically for low-skilled, manual
         workers

    4.	 E-commerce – manage and
        connects to customers through
        digital platform

    •	 Partnered with KOICA, created
         an e-commerce platform that
         directly connects to customers

    •	 Activated the AICC (Agriculture
         Information and Communication
         Center) and IPM (Integrated Pest/
         Crop Management) by connecting
         to an e-commerce platform

Source: KT Economics and Management Research Institute. 2018 B20 Taskforce Digital Economy, and KT
Integrated Report. 2019. Industry 4.0 Policy Paper.




    Box B.10. ISTIC’s Double Hundred
    Universities Cooperation Project
    The International Science Technology and Innovation Centre for South-South
    Cooperation (ISTIC), which operates under the auspices of UNESCO, is an
    international platform for cooperation among developing countries to increase
    the capacity for the management of science, technology, and innovation
    in developing countries. ISTIC has many programs promoting south-south
    cooperation, prioritizing initiatives with African countries.

    One example is the Double Hundred Universities Cooperation Project, started
    in 2017, a mentorship initiative that matches one hundred technical universities
    in China with one hundred technical universities from countries with relations
    with China, many of which are from African countries. Faculties and students
    involved in the project focus on emerging technological issues, such as big
    data, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things (IoT). The project will
    enhance digital skills, nurture digital entrepreneurs, encourage digital startups,
    and also train personnel in proper maintenance and operation of digital
    infrastructure and the application of digital technologies with support from
    digital technology corporations.

Source: http://www.istic-unesco.org



                                                            A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   133
          Box B.11. WomEng South Africa with One
          Million STEM Girls Project




                   NAADIYA MOOSAJEE                             HEMA VALLABH
                      Co-founder                                 Co-founder

          WomEng was established in South Africa in 2006 by Cofounders Naadiya
          Moosajee and Hema Vallabh. Naadiya is on the World Economic Forum Global
          Future Council on Gender Education and the Future of Work, while Hema
          holds a seat on the World Federation of Engineering Organizations (WFEO)
          Women in Engineering Standing Technical Committee.

          WomEng was founded with the objective of encouraging girls to consider
          STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, Mathematics) as a career by creating
          STEM awareness for girls and developing, mentoring, and supporting them
          through their engineering journey. The model for extending the reach of STEM
          awareness to one million girls is based on an exponential train-the-trainer
          scaling model, working with individuals and/or organizations passionate about
          STEM, who can sign up for a #1MillionGirlsInSTEM toolkit to become an official
          WomEng Activator. The reach is tracked on a live Google Map showcasing
          the number of countries, cities and girls reached. The #1MillionGirlsInSTEM
          campaign is a key component of WomEng’s efforts to meet the Sustainable
          Development Goals by investing in girls’ education and creating gender equity
          for the entire engineering sector.

          WomEng has gained international recognition by winning awards and honors,
          such as Special Mention and Award by the Government of China and UNESCO
          at the BRICS Summit, China, 2017; “Fortune” Most Powerful Women Awardee
          2017; Global finalist for the 2015 Qatar WISE Award for Innovation in Education;
          Finalist for Airbus Diversity Award in 2015; Best Practice in TVET awarded by the
          African Union in 2015, and Top NGO in South Africa awarded by Top Women
          Magazine in 2014.

      Source: https://www.womeng.org




134   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
    Box B.12 Shared-Value Partnership for
    Equitable Access to Digital Literacy in Kenya
    Nokia and the Finnish National Committee for the United Nations
    Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and UNICEF Kenya have launched a shared-value
    partnership, to increase equitable access to digital literacy for some of the
    most disadvantaged children in Kenya. This includes girls and children with
    disabilities in urban informal settlements and some of the most remote areas
    of Kenya.

    The partnership builds on the Government of Kenya’s investment in the Digital
    Literacy Project which provided one million tablets to primary schools with a
    focus on improving the availability and use of quality digital content. In order
    to address challenges and unlock opportunities for digital learning and literacy,
    the partnership between Nokia and UNICEF Kenya brings together:

    •	 Stakeholders from the Government of Kenya’s Ministries of Education
         and ICT.

    •	 The Kenya Institute of Curriculum Development (KICD).

    •	 Children, teachers, content providers, and mobile network operators in
         Kenya.

    As an initial step, the Accessible Digital Textbook with special features for
    children with hearing, visual and intellectual disabilities, was successfully
    piloted in schools during the first quarter of 2019 and will be launched by the
    Government of Kenya more widely. The textbook, which is the first of its kind,
    was produced by KICD with the active involvement of disability stakeholders
    who infused different media overlays with audio for children with visual
    impairment, simplified text for children with intellectual disabilities, and Kenya
    Sign Language video inserts for children with hearing impairment.


Source: Nokia press release, https://www.nokia.com/about-us/news/releases/2019/06/12/
nokia-and-unicef-launch-partnership-to-boost-digital-literacy-in-primary-schools-in-kenya/




                                                              A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   135
                    Appendix C.	
                    Multistakeholder
                    Consultation
                    Process




136   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
As part of the strategy development         A number of consultation meetings took
process, the WBG and A4AI facilitated       place as follows:
multistakeholder consultation meetings
with key ICT industry actors between        •	 December 11, 2018 – WG Kick-
December 2018 and July 2019, including         Off Meeting to discuss objectives,
with the Commissioners from the                approach, and outline of deliverables
Broadband Commission for Sustainable           (Virtual)
Development’s Working Group on
Broadband for All, A4AI members
                                            •	 February 4, 2019 – (Virtual)
and partners, and WBG partners. The         •	 February 21, 2019 – Meeting on a
consultation members helped identify           preliminary assessment, methodology,
possible ways of increasing connectivity       and assumptions (Virtual)
and reaching full coverage in Africa. The
group included representatives from         •	 February 27, 2019 – (Mobile World
over 35 private companies, international       Congress 2019)
organizations, and civil society groups
(see below for a list of the members).      •	 March 21, 2019 – (Virtual)
                                            •	 April 15, 2019 – Meeting on strategy
                                               and roadmap outlines, core
                                               principles, and monitoring framework
                                               (Virtual)

                                            •	 April 17, 2019 – Meeting to review
                                               the final investment model and draft
                                               strategy and roadmap outline (Virtual)

                                            •	 April 28, 2019 – (Broadband
                                               Commission Annual Meetings)

                                            •	 May 22, 2019 – (Virtual)
                                            •	 July 9, 2019 – Meeting on draft
                                               report (Virtual)

                                            Throughout this process, in the spirit
                                            of open communication and inclusivity,
                                            the consultation members were
                                            encouraged to provide feedback to the
                                            investment estimate modeling process,
                                            explain their organization’s suggested
                                            technological and policy approach to
                                            doubling connectivity and reaching full
                                            coverage in the two regions (including
                                            investment estimates associated with
                                            each investment option), and other
                                            thoughts on the strategy of the initiative.
                                            The consultation group’s inputs were
                                            incorporated throughout this strategy
                                            document.




                                                   A “Digital Infrastructure Moonshot” for Africa   137
      Members of the Multistakeholder
      Consultation Group
      •	 African Development Bank                          •	 Nokia
      •	 African Union                                     •	 Novartis Foundation
      •	 Alliance for Affordable Internet (A4AI)           •	 OneWeb
      •	 America Móvil                                     •	 Organisation for Economic
                                                                Co-operation and Development
      •	 Association of Progressive
                                                                (OECD)
         Communications (APC)
      •	 Avanti                                            •	 Paradigm Initiative
      •	 Bluetown                                          •	 SAMENA Telecommunications
                                                                Council
      •	 Collaboration on International ICT
         Policy in East and Southern Africa
                                                           •	 Smart Africa
         (CIPESA)                                          •	 Talia/Quika
      •	 Ericsson                                          •	 Telefonica
      •	 European Commission                               •	 The Office of Electronic
                                                                Communications (UKE), Poland
      •	 EUTELSAT IGO
      •	 Facebook                                          •	 United Nations Development
                                                                Programme (UNDP)
      •	 Google
                                                           •	 International Science,
      •	 GSMA                                                   Technology & Innovation Centre
      •	 Huawei                                                 for South-South Cooperation
                                                                (ISTIC-UNESCO). Malaysia
      •	 Inmarsat
                                                           •	 UNISOC
      •	 Intelsat
                                                           •	 United Nations Office of the
      •	 International Telecommunication                        High Representative for the Least
         Satellite Organization (ITSO)                          Developed Countries, Landlocked
      •	 International Telecommunication                        Developing Countries and Small
         Union (ITU)                                            Island Developing States (UN-
                                                                OHRLLS)
      •	 International Trade Centre (ITC)
                                                           •	 United States Agency for
      •	 Internet Society                                       International Development (USAID)
      •	 KaiOS                                             •	 Vieira de Almeida
      •	 Kenyatta University                               •	 Village Telco
      •	 Korea Telecom (KT)                                •	 Web Foundation
      •	 MainOne                                           •	 World Economic Forum (WEF)
      •	 Microsoft                                         •	 Xalam Analytics
      •	 MTN




138   Broadband Commission Working Group on Broadband for All
#Broadband4Africa
#ConnectAfrica
#ICT4SDG