Public Disclosure Copy

        The World Bank                                                                                 Implementation Status & Results Report
        KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)


KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Kyrgyz Republic | Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation Global Practice |
IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2012 | Seq No: 12 | ARCHIVED on 29-Jan-2018 | ISR30058 |


Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, Kyrgyz Post Office, National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic




Key Dates

  Key Project Dates

  Bank Approval Date:08-Mar-2012                                                Effectiveness Date:25-Dec-2013
  Planned Mid Term Review Date:31-Mar-2016                                      Actual Mid-Term Review Date:31-Mar-2016
  Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2017                                             Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2018




Project Development Objectives

 Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document)
 Project Development Objectives are to: (i) enhance financial sector stability, and (ii) increase access to financial services.

 Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective?
 No

 PHRPDODEL



Components

Name
Strengthening the legal, regulatory, and supervisory framework for banks, MFOs, and credit unions:(Cost $1.50 M)
Enhancing financial services via KPOs network:(Cost $5.55 M)
Modernizing the secured transactions and debt resolution regime:(Cost $1.00 M)
Project coordination and monitoring:(Cost $0.80 M)



Overall Ratings
Name                                                                          Previous Rating                           Current Rating

Progress towards achievement of PDO                                            Moderately Unsatisfactory                Moderately Unsatisfactory
Overall Implementation Progress (IP)                                           Moderately Unsatisfactory                Moderately Unsatisfactory
Overall Risk Rating                                                            High                                     High




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           The World Bank                                                                             Implementation Status & Results Report
           KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)



Implementation Status and Key Decisions

 The Progress towards achievement of PDO and Implementation Progress (IP) stays at Moderately Unsatisfactory. Although there has been significant
 progress in the procurement process, it is yet too early for an upgrade of the ratings given that progress made on critical procurement is not yet
 considered irreversible.
 NBKR (implementing agency of component 1) was downgraded from Moderate Satisfactory to Moderate Unsatisfactory which was communicated in
 Aide - Memoire of July 4, 2017 to client. This was not reflected in the system yet. It therefore seems that the NBKR was downgraded as part of this ISR,
 but it was actually already downgraded mid 2017. In August 2017 the NBKR met a milestone set by the World Bank team. It finished (the revision of) the
 bidding document to procure a key IT system. They are currently in the process of evaluation of the bids. It is expected that the contract will be awarded
 in the first quarter of 2018.
 KPO (implementing agent of component 2) finished in December 2017 the bidding document for the envisioned IT solution and started the bidding
 process. This was an important milestone set by the World Bank team. It is expected that the contract will be awarded at the end of the first quarter of
 2018.
 CCRO (implementing agency of component 3) did successfully implement the online registration system. This warrants the Satisfactory rating.
 As soon as the contracts for the procurement of an IT system have been awarded by both NBKR and KPO, a new ISR (expected end of the first quarter
 of 2018) will revisit the current IP ratings with a very likely upgrading to Moderate Satisfactory if supplemented by progress on financial management
 and financial services. This will also warrant the request an approval for a 2 year extension of the project (level 2 restructuring).
 The authorities are committed to implement the project and achieve the project development objectives.




Risks

 Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool

 Risk Category                                               Rating at Approval              Previous Rating               Current Rating

 Political and Governance                                     --                             Substantial                  Substantial
 Macroeconomic                                                --                             Moderate                     Moderate
 Sector Strategies and Policies                               --                             Moderate                     Moderate
 Technical Design of Project or Program                       --                             High                         High
 Institutional Capacity for Implementation and
 Sustainability
                                                              --                             High                         High
 Fiduciary                                                    --                             Substantial                  Substantial
 Environment and Social                                       --                             Low                          Low
 Stakeholders                                                 --                             High                         High
 Other                                                        --                             --                           --
 Overall                                                      --                             High                         High


Results

 Project Development Objective Indicators




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               The World Bank                                                                                Implementation Status & Results Report
               KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)

 PHINDPDOTBL




      Legal, regulatory, and supervisory framework following international good practice to enhance stability is developed, adopted,
     and implemented (Number, Custom)

                                                 Baseline                        Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)             End Target

         Value                                   0.00                            0.00                         0.00                         12.00

         Date                                    01-Dec-2011                     18-Apr-2017                  11-Jan-2018                  30-Jun-2018


         Comments
         Implementation progress of the underlying activity for the measurement of this indicator does net yet allow for indicator validation. In
         addition, this indicator is outdated, and will be revised in case a two-year extension of the project will be approved.
         It is noteworthy that NBKR is also benefitting from TA funded by SECO (TF of Swiss government). On December 6, 2017 SECO
         extended its own project by 4 years until end 2021 and provided additional finance of USD 3.2M. The activities that receive SECO-funded
         TA are bank supervision and regulation, non-bank supervision and regulation, crisis preparedness and contingency planning, deposit
         protection, and market conduct supervision.




 PHINDPDOTBL




      Number of new annual registrations in the secured transactions registry, using moveable assets as collateral (alone or in
     combination with immoveable collateral) (Percentage, Custom)

                                                 Baseline                        Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)             End Target

         Value                                   0.00                            --                           --                           20.00

         Date                                    31-Dec-2011                     18-Apr-2017                  11-Jan-2018                  30-Jun-2018


         Comments
         This result indicator is needs to be recalibrated (if the project gets an approval for a two year extension (level 2 restructuring)) given that the
         registration of collateral is made voluntary since 2017 (whereas it was mandatory before since 2006). This means that the baseline of
         36.000 registrations in 2011 went back to 9.000 registrations in the first 3 quarters of 2017. Despite the fact that the on-line registration was
         successfully implemented in January 2017. Besides creating awareness with the financial institutions and the public, this result indicator
         should be recalibrated.




 PHINDPDOTBL




          Number of transactions going through KPO related to financial services (Number, Custom)


                                                 Baseline                        Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)             End Target

         Value                                   10,000,000.00                   --                           --                           17,000,000.00




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                   The World Bank                                                                                Implementation Status & Results Report
                   KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)



               Date                                    15-Dec-2012                    --                          11-Jan-2018                  30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               Implementation progress of the underlying activity for the measurement of this indicator does not yet allow for indicator validation. Likely the
               baseline is outdated given that it was determined in 2012. If the project will get an approval for a two-year extension (level 2 restructuring)
               the result indicator will be updated, including the baseline and end target value.




 Overall Comments
 All PDO indicators will be revisited as part of an envisaged level 2 restructuring.




 Intermediate Results Indicators
 PHINDIRITBL




              Adoption of modern supervision methods (Text, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                        Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

                                                                                                                 The NBKR is well
                                                                                                                 advanced in the
                                                                                                                 implementation of the
                                                                                                                 new risk based
                                                      Supervisory framework           This result indicator is   supervisory approach.        Implementation
               Value                                  lacking modern                  outside the scope of       Eighty percent of the        of Pillar 2 and 3
                                                      supervision methods             this IPF.                  banking sector are now       of Basel II
                                                                                                                 supervised according to
                                                                                                                 the new methodology.
                                                                                                                 Though the NBKR is still
                                                                                                                 in the learning phase.

               Date                                   15-Jan-2012                     18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                  30-Jun-2018

 PHINDIRITBL




              Upgraded ICT system (Text, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                        Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

                                                                                                                 The NBKR is in the
                                                                                                                 process of evaluating        No incident of
                                                                                      The procurement of the
                                                                                                                 the three bids for the       supervisory
                                                                                      IT system for NBKR is
               Value                                  No                                                         development and              setback for
                                                                                      put on hold. See Aide-
                                                                                                                 implementation of the        want of IT
                                                                                      memoire for details.
                                                                                                                 Information Analytical       support.
                                                                                                                 System..

               Date                                   15-Jan-2012                     18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                  30-Jun-2018




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                   KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)

 PHINDIRITBL




              Contingency planning and crisis management framework (Text, Custom)

                                                   Baseline                      Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)           End Target

                                                                                                            In the course of 2017 a
                                                                                                            new banking law was
                                                                                                            adopted. Although there
                                                                                                            are still some
                                                                                                            weaknesses in this
                                                                                                            banking law (e.g. court    No systemic
                                                                                 This result indicator is   can overturn decision of   crisis that was
               Value                               No                            outside the scope of       supervisor to withdraw     not adequately
                                                                                 this IPF.                  bank license) it allows    addressed in
                                                                                                            strengthening of the       time.
                                                                                                            regulatory and
                                                                                                            operational framework
                                                                                                            that is key for crisis
                                                                                                            preparedness and
                                                                                                            contingency planning.

               Date                                15-Jan-2012                   21-Feb-2014                11-Jan-2018                30-Jun-2018

 PHINDIRITBL




            Improved staff capacity, measured in terms of number of years of staff experience in supervision departments (Number,
           Custom)

                                                   Baseline                      Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)           End Target

               Value                               2.00                          2.00                       2.00                       4.50

               Date                                15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               No new data on this indicator.




 PHINDIRITBL




            Number of ICT-equipped Post Offices (with installed, operational front office cash terminals) connected to the central hub
           (Number, Custom)

                                                   Baseline                      Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)           End Target

               Value                               0.00                          0.00                       0.00                       360.00

               Date                                01-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               KPO is in the process of procurement of Information Technology. The bidding process started mid December 2017.




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                   KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)




 PHINDIRITBL




              Revenues from non-government transactions as a share of total KPO revenues from financial services (Percentage, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                        Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

               Value                                  15.00                           8.60                       8.60                         20.00

               Date                                   15-Jan-2012                     18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                  30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               KPO drafted mid July 2017 the first draft of new business plan with the help of financial services consultants. It is too early to measure the
               share of revenues from non-governmental transactions. Moreover the envisioned Information Technology needed to support the revenues
               from non-governmental transactions, is not yet procured.




 PHINDIRITBL




            Improved quality, reliability and cost-efficiency of small value payments operations, measured in terms of same day Straight
           Through Processing as a share of total transactions to&from bank accounts (Text, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                        Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)             End Target

               Value                                  0%                              --                         0%                           >30%

               Date                                   15-Jan-2012                     18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                  30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               It is too early to measure this indicator because the needed Information Technology is not yet procured and therefore not implemented.




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                   KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)

 PHINDIRITBL




              Enhanced transparent financial performance (Text, Custom)

                                                    Baseline                      Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

                                                                                  This part of the project
                                                                                                             KPO set-up the IFRS
                                                                                  is in progress. It is
                                                                                                             financial statements of
                                                                                  expected to have the
                                                                                                             2016 , and launched on
                                                                                  financial statements of
                                                                                                             October 26, 2017 the
                                                                                  2016 ready by mid                                      Annual audited
               Value                                No                                                       tender to procure the
                                                                                  2017 (and based on                                     statements
                                                                                                             independent auditor.
                                                                                  IFRS in third quarter of
                                                                                                             Evaluation of the bidding
                                                                                  2017). Budget figures
                                                                                                             process is shortly
                                                                                  of 2017 are expected
                                                                                                             expected.
                                                                                  any moment.

               Date                                 15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                 30-Jun-2018

 PHINDIRITBL




            Introduction of performance measurement, in terms of accounting reports with separated profitability and risk analysis for
           financial services and postal services (Text, Custom)

                                                    Baseline                      Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

                                                                                  This part of the project
                                                                                  is in progress. It is
                                                                                  expected to have the
                                                                                  financial statements of    KPO recently started
                                                                                  2016 ready by mid          with support of the FM      Monthly
               Value                                0.00
                                                                                  2017 (and based on         consultant to pilot an      financial reports
                                                                                  IFRS in third quarter of   ERP.
                                                                                  2017). Budget figures
                                                                                  of 2017 are expected
                                                                                  any moment.

               Date                                 15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                 30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               Also this indicator depends on the procurement of the Information Technology including software for Financial Management currently under
               procurement.




 PHINDIRITBL




            Number of cashiers, tellers, postmasters and other operational staff completed NBKR training to operate financial services at
           KPO (Number, Custom)

                                                    Baseline                      Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                0.00                          0.00                       0.00                        1,200.00

               Date                                 15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                 30-Jun-2018


               Comments

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                   KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)



               It is too early to measure this indicator because the needed Information Technology to support the offering of financial services in the post
               offices is not yet procured and therefore not implemented.




 PHINDIRITBL




            Enhanced competitive outreach for last mile delivery of remittances, measured in terms of market share of KPO in total
           remittances (Percentage, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                        Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                  0.00                            0.00                       0.00                        2.00

               Date                                   15-Jan-2012                     18-Apr-2017                11-Jan-2018                 30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               It is too early to measure this indicator because the needed Information Technology that supports the remittances business is not yet
               procured and therefore not implemented.




 PHINDIRITBL




              Amended legal framework for moveable collateral and debt resolution regimes (Text, Custom)

                                                      Baseline                        Actual (Previous)          Actual (Current)            End Target

               Value                                  No                              yes                        yes                         Yes

               Date                                   15-Jan-2012                     18-Apr-2017                18-Apr-2017                 30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               Important to note is that the registration changed from mandatory registration to a system of voluntary registration.




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                   KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)

 PHINDIRITBL




              Issued regulations for the well-functioning of the collateral registry (Text, Custom)

                                                     Baseline                      Actual (Previous)         Actual (Current)      End Target

               Value                                 No                            yes                       yes                   Yes

               Date                                  15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017               18-Apr-2017           30-Jun-2018




 PHINDIRITBL




              Online system for registering collateral is operational (Text, Custom)

                                                     Baseline                      Actual (Previous)         Actual (Current)      End Target

               Value                                 No online system              yes                       yes                   Yes

               Date                                  15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017               18-Apr-2017           30-Jun-2018




 PHINDIRITBL




              Number of dissemination and capacity-building and training events held (Number, Custom)

                                                     Baseline                      Actual (Previous)         Actual (Current)      End Target

               Value                                 0.00                          0.00                      0.00                  6.00

               Date                                  15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017               11-Jan-2018           28-Feb-2017


               Comments
               Focus of the coming half year is to organize capacity and training events as part of awareness campaign.




 PHINDIRITBL




            Increase in lending based on new registration of security interests in the registry, using moveable assets as collateral
           (Percentage, Custom)

                                                     Baseline                      Actual (Previous)         Actual (Current)      End Target

               Value                                 0.00                          --                        --                    20.00

               Date                                  15-Jan-2012                   18-Apr-2017               11-Jan-2018           28-Feb-2017


               Comments
               There is no data on this yet.




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                   KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)




 PHINDIRITBL




              Increase in the debt recovery rate for creditors (Text, Custom)

                                                           Baseline                   Actual (Previous)       Actual (Current)            End Target

                                                                                                                                          30 cents on the
                                                           To be measured at end-                                                         dollar of 4% of
               Value                                                                  --                      --
                                                           2011                                                                           insolvent
                                                                                                                                          companies

               Date                                        15-Jan-2012                18-Apr-2017             11-Jan-2018                 30-Jun-2018


               Comments
               There is no data on this yet.




 Overall Comments
 There is limited movement on result indicators because component 1 and 2 are still in the phase of procurement.
 The results of component 3 are lower than expected because the registration of collateral changed from mandatory to voluntary registration. In
 addition, there was an economic downturn.
 The result frame will be updated/revised as part of the envisaged level 2 restructuring.




Data on Financial Performance

Disbursements (by loan)

Project                  Loan/Credit/TF        Status        Currency      Original   Revised     Cancelled   Disbursed     Undisbursed                 Disbursed

P125689                  IDA-50670             Effective     USD              7.15         4.03        3.12        0.12            3.49                     3.3%

P125689                  IDA-H7600             Effective     USD              5.85         4.92        0.93        2.53            2.13                        54%


Key Dates (by loan)



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           KG Financial Sector Development Project (P125689)



 Project       Loan/Credit/TF     Status      Approval Date   Signing Date   Effectiveness Date   Orig. Closing Date   Rev. Closing Date

 P125689       IDA-50670          Effective   08-Mar-2012     11-Jul-2013    25-Dec-2013          30-Jun-2017          30-Jun-2018
 P125689       IDA-H7600          Effective   08-Mar-2012     11-Jul-2013    25-Dec-2013          30-Jun-2017          30-Jun-2018



Cumulative Disbursements




 Restructuring History

  Level Approved on 21-May-2013




 Related Project(s)

 There are no related projects.




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