Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) MX Social Protection System (P147212) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Mexico | Social Protection & Labor Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 10-May-2018 | ISR32280 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance, SEDESOL/PROSPERA, SEDESOL Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:24-Oct-2014 Effectiveness Date:17-Feb-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date:15-Feb-2017 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:24-Mar-2017 Original Closing Date:28-Jun-2019 Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2021 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed Project Development Objectives are to support the Government’s effort to: (i) increase access of PROSPERA beneficiaries to social and productive programs, and (ii) develop instruments for an integrated social protection system. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Component 1 - Support to the PROSPERA Program and its linkage with social and productive programs:(Cost $317.52 M) Component 2 - Strengthening the Social Protection System:(Cost $31.60 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions 5/10/2018 Page 1 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) This ISR is based on the latest progress report (period July-December 2017), and the supervision and technical missions held in January and April 2018. Implementation progress is moderately satisfactory given delays in technical assistance activities, mainly due to difficulties in timely access to the allocated budget by the corresponding implementing agencies. The actual disbursement of the project, to date, is on par with planned disbursements (at 90% as of April 2018) and the project has adequate implementation arrangements. It is complying with legal covenants, social safeguards, and financial reporting. On January 29th, 2018, the Executive Board of the World Bank approved the Additional Financing (AF) which included a simple restructuring of the parent project. All effectiveness conditions of the AF have been met, and a letter declaring AF effective was sent to the Government on April 30, 2018. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Substantial  Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program  --  High  High Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Substantial  Substantial Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Moderate Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Substantial  Substantial Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  # of PROSPERA beneficiaries that participate in social programs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 465,842.00 1,115,894.00 880,002.00 1,174,811.00 Date 30-Jun-2014 30-Dec-2016 29-Dec-2017 30-Jun-2021 5/10/2018 Page 2 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) Comments While the number of beneficiaries that participate in social programs decreased from December 2016 to December 2017, the number is above the planned target for year 3 and is on track to meet the overall goal of the indicator. PHINDPDOTBL  # of PROSPERA beneficiaries that participate in productive programs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 14,370.00 236,625.00 236,625.00 236,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2014 30-Dec-2016 30-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2021 Comments PROSPERA through the General Directorate of Coordination (PROSPERA-DGCV) has requested the information on the number of PROSPERA beneficiaries to the different productive inclusion programs. However, the information has not yet been received as the information will need to be cross-checked across multiple databases. PHINDPDOTBL  # of instruments for an integrated social information system implemented (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3.00 4.00 8.00 Date 30-Jun-2014 07-Jul-2017 29-Dec-2017 30-Jun-2021 PHINDPDOTBL  Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 25,000,000.00 25,091,590.00 25,420,311.00 25,000,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2016 29-Dec-2017 30-Jun-2021 5/10/2018 Page 3 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) PHINDPDOTBL  Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 52.80 53.30 53.70 52.80 Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  % of PROSPERA beneficiaries in Q1 and Q2 (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 68.50 69.10 68.97 71.00 Date 31-Dec-2010 31-Jul-2014 19-Jan-2018 30-Jun-2021 Comments This indicator is updated every two years with Mexico's National Income and Expenditure Survey (ENIGH). The latest ENIGH available is 2016, published in the summer of last year. The ENIGH 2018 will become available in the summer of 2019 and the indicator will then be updated again. PHINDIRITBL  % of PROSPERA’ students that transition to upper secondary (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 73.94 73.23 73.00 Date 31-Dec-2013 31-Dec-2016 29-Dec-2017 30-Jun-2021 5/10/2018 Page 4 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) PHINDIRITBL  Curriculum for PROSPERA personnel capacity building updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Curriculum content updated and the new Evaluation of Curriculum content Value None content is being the new updated delivered to PROSPERA curriculum personnel Date 31-Dec-2013 07-Jul-2017 29-Dec-2017 30-Jun-2021 PHINDIRITBL  % of PROSPERA beneficiaries that are aware of complementary social and productive programs (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 47.40 47.40 80.60 Date 31-Dec-2013 31-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2021 Comments PROSPERA collects this information through a survey called Puntos Centinela. In 2017, Puntos Centinela was redesigned and the collection of the survey was delayed. PROSPERA is working on putting together the final information to report this indicator and will do so in the next progress report (due in July 2018). PHINDIRITBL  Number of certified bilingual promoters (promotores bilingues) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 136.00 -- 136.00 160.00 Date 04-Jul-2017 -- 18-Jan-2018 30-Jun-2021 Comments This indicator was included in the recently approved restructuring of the project. The first amendment to the legal agreement of the project was signed on March 28th, 2018. The baseline value is reported for this ISR. PROSPERA will report this indicator in the following progress reports (next one due in July 2018). 5/10/2018 Page 5 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) PHINDIRITBL  % of citizen's demands received that are resolved within the time period established in the Protocol (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 90.00 Date 04-Jul-2017 -- -- 30-Jun-2021 Comments This indicator was included in the recently approved restructuring of the project. The first amendment to the legal agreement of the project was signed on March 28th, 2018. The baseline value is reported in this ISR. PROSPERA will report this indicator in the following progress reports (next one due in July 2018). PHINDIRITBL  % of municipalities that report the executed FISMDF in the integrated information system (MIDS-SFU) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 63.00 -- 63.00 80.00 Date 04-Jul-2017 -- 18-Jan-2018 30-Jun-2021 Comments This indicator was included in the recently approved restructuring of the project. The first amendment to the legal agreement of the project was signed on March 28th, 2018. The baseline value is reported in this ISR. SEDESOL will report this indicator in the following progress reports (next one due in July 2018). PHINDIRITBL  % of municipal FAIS liaison (enlaces) that completed capacity building activities (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.00 -- 30.00 70.00 Date 04-Jul-2017 -- 18-Jan-2018 30-Jun-2021 Comments This indicator was included in the recently approved restructuring of the project. The first amendment to the legal agreement of the project was signed on March 28th, 2018. The baseline value is reported in this ISR. SEDESOL will report this indicator in the following progress reports (next one due in July 2018). 5/10/2018 Page 6 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) PHINDIRITBL  Development of a planning system (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Consolidated Value No system in place -- No System in Place system Date 04-Jul-2017 -- 18-Jan-2018 30-Jun-2021 Comments This indicator was included in the recently approved restructuring of the project. The first amendment to the legal agreement of the project was signed on March 28th, 2018. The baseline value is reported in this ISR. SEDESOL will report this indicator in the following progress reports (next one due in July 2018). PHINDIRITBL  % of female PROSPERA beneficiaries that participate in social programs (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 60.00 55.00 Date 09-Nov-2017 -- 29-Dec-2017 30-Jun-2021 PHINDIRITBL  % of female PROSPERA beneficiaries that participate in productive programs (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- -- 50.00 Date 09-Nov-2017 -- -- 30-Jun-2021 Comments 5/10/2018 Page 7 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) PROSPERA has requested the information to the productive programs and will update the information when it becomes available as it requires cross-checking multiple databases. PHINDIRITBL  Number of services provided by the Integrated Social Information System (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- -- 9.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 -- -- 30-Jun-2021 Comments This indicator was included in the recently approved restructuring of the project. The first amendment to the legal agreement of the project was signed on March 28th, 2018. The baseline value is reported in this ISR. SEDESOL will report this indicator in the following progress reports (next one due in July 2018). Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P147212 IBRD-84470 Effective USD 350.00 350.00 0.00 313.91 36.09 90% P147212 IBRD-88230 Effective USD 300.00 300.00 0.00 0.75 299.25 0.3% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P147212 IBRD-84470 Effective 24-Oct-2014 19-Nov-2014 17-Feb-2015 28-Jun-2019 28-Jun-2019 5/10/2018 Page 8 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Social Protection System (P147212) P147212 IBRD-88230 Effective 29-Jan-2018 26-Mar-2018 30-Apr-2018 30-Jun-2021 30-Jun-2021 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) P164152-Additional Financing for Social Protection System Project 5/10/2018 Page 9 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy