Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT ON A SMALL GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF US$1.50 MILLION TO THE Republic of Madagascar FOR Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) {Date} Urban, Resilience And Land Global Practice Africa East Region Confidential Regional Vice President: Hafez M. H. Ghanem Country Director: Idah Z. Pswarayi-Riddihough Regional Director: Mark R. Lundell Practice Manager: Meskerem Brhane Task Team Leader(s): Michel Matera ICR Main Contributor: Gael Fetraniaina Raserijaona Confidential ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AAL Average Annual Losses AFD Agence Française de Développement (French Development Agency) BNCCC Bureau National pour la Coordination du Changement Climatique (National Bureau of Climate Change Coordination) BNGRC Bureau National de Gestion des Risques et des Catastrophes (National Disaster Risk Management Bureau) CAMEO Comité d’Appui à la Mise en Œuvre du PPCR (PPCR Implementation Support Committee) CATDDO Deferred Drawdown Option for Catastrophe Risks CIF Climate Investment Funds COVID-19 2019 Coronavirus Disease CPF Country Partnership Framework CPGU Cellule de Prévention et d’appui à la Gestion des Urgences (Emergency Prevention and Management Unit) CSO Civil Society Organization DPO Development Policy Operation DRM Disaster Risk Management FM Financial Management GoM Government of Madagascar ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MDB Multilateral Development Bank NAP National Adaptation Plan NGO Nongovernmental Organization PAD Project Appraisal Document PDO Project Development Objective PEM Plan Emergence Madagascar PIU Project Implementation Unit PPCR Pilot Program for Climate Resilience PRD Plans Régionaux de Développement RF Results Framework RIMES Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia SNGRC Stratégie Nationale de Gestion des Risques et des Catastrophes (National Strategy for Disaster Risk Management) SPCR Strategic Program for Climate Resilience SRAT Schémas Régionaux d’Aménagement du Territoire STEP Systematic Tracking of Exchange in Procurement TA Technical Assistance Confidential TABLE OF CONTENTS DATA SHEET ....................................................................... ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES ....................................................... 4 II. OUTCOME ...................................................................................................................... 8 III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME ................................ 13 IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME .. 15 V. LESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDATIONS .............................................................. 16 ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS ........................................................... 18 ANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT ........................................................................... 26 ANNEX 3. RECIPIENT, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS ...... 27 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) DATA SHEET BASIC INFORMATION Product Information Project ID Project Name P158816 Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I Country Financing Instrument Madagascar Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Revised EA Category Organizations Borrower Implementing Agency The Republic of Madagascar Cellule de Prevention et Gestion des Urgences Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to support Madagascar in the formulation of a Strategic Program for Climate Resilience (SPCR) and the development of a programmatic multi-sector and climate resilient investment plan, and to establish the enabling environment for its implementation. Page 1 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) FINANCING FINANCE_T BL Original Amount (US$) Revised Amount (US$) Actual Disbursed (US$) Donor Financing TF-A5362 1,500,000 1,480,235 1,480,235 Total 1,500,000 1,480,235 1,480,235 Total Project Cost 1,500,000 1,480,235 1,480,235 KEY DATES Approval Effectiveness Original Closing Actual Closing 29-Jun-2017 18-Jul-2017 31-Dec-2018 30-Sep-2020 RESTRUCTURING AND/OR ADDITIONAL FINANCING Date(s) Amount Disbursed (US$M) Key Revisions 28-Dec-2018 0.41 Change in Loan Closing Date(s) 27-Dec-2019 1.03 Change in Loan Closing Date(s) 30-Jun-2020 1.47 Change in Loan Closing Date(s) KEY RATINGS Outcome Bank Performance M&E Quality Satisfactory Satisfactory Substantial RATINGS OF PROJECT PERFORMANCE IN ISRs Actual No. Date ISR Archived DO Rating IP Rating Disbursements (US$M) 01 28-Dec-2017 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0.30 02 25-Jun-2018 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 0.36 03 27-Jun-2019 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 0.75 Page 2 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) 04 29-Jun-2020 Satisfactory Satisfactory 1.47 ADM STAFF Role At Approval At ICR Regional Vice President: Makhtar Diop Hafez M. H. Ghanem Country Director: Mark R. Lundell Idah Z. Pswarayi-Riddihough Director: Ede Jorge Ijjasz-Vasquez Mark R. Lundell Practice Manager: Bernice K. Van Bronkhorst Meskerem Brhane Task Team Leader(s): Michel Matera Michel Matera ICR Contributing Author: Gael Fetraniaina Raserijaona Page 3 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES A. Context at appraisal Context 1. Madagascar is considered one of the world's most exposed and vulnerable countries to climate change, with the most likely risks involving extreme weather events such as cyclones, flooding, and drought. A disaster risk modeling study completed in 2016 shows that Madagascar faces Average Annual Losses (AAL) of US$100 million for all combined hazards (cyclone, flood, and earthquake) and that every year there is a 10 percent probability and 5 percent probability that damages will exceed US$240 million and US$600 million, respectively. Extreme weather risks are projected to become more acute in the future due to climate change. Unfortunately, Madagascar climate projections was outdated as developed in 2008. The institutional framework to implement and coordinate action on disaster risks and climate change established multiple agencies which are not sufficiently coordinated, making the consistent integration of climate resilience in the country's development planning highly challenging. Moreover, the country's resilience is constrained by the population's pre-existing vulnerability and the weakness of the public infrastructure and services. 2. Rationale for Bank involvement. It is within this context that the country had expressed an interest in accessing funding from the Pilot Program for Climate Resilience (PPCR) of the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) and subsequently requested a technical assistance (TA) grant for the preparation process of a Strategic Program for Climate Resilience (SPCR). 3. Contribution to higher-level objectives. The Government of Madagascar (GoM) has developed and approved a series of policy instruments and planning documents, such as the National Climate Change Policy (2010), to manage, mitigate, and prevent climate risks and the longer effect of climate change. The National Adaptation Plan (NAP) currently under development by the GoM will identify medium- and long- term adaptation needs and develop and implement strategies and programs to address those needs. The PPCR was completed before the NAP and will inform and complement its preparation process. Through the SPCR and TA, the grant supported the World Bank Group Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Madagascar for the period FY17–21 in its first focus area: increase resilience and reduce fragility. Theory of change 4. The theory of change is illustrated in Figure 1 and is implicit in the Project Appraisal Document (PAD) as no theory of change was developed during project preparation. Page 4 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) Figure 1: Madagascar PPCR theory of change Project Development Objectives (PDOs) 5. The PDO was to support Madagascar in the formulation of a Strategic Program for Climate Resilience and the development of a programmatic multi-sector and climate-resilient investment plan, and to establish the enabling environment for its implementation. 6. Financing from the PPCR prepared Madagascar in mainstreaming climate resilience into public investment, public finances, and territorial development; identifying priority investments; and leveraging climate financing. Key Expected Outcomes and Outcome Indicators 7. The primary outcome was the development of an SPCR—a country-owned strategic document that spells out the resilience vision and plan for Madagascar—accompanied by a set of technical assessments, capacity building, and institutional/climate risk analysis. The main outcomes were the following: (a) knowledge of climate resilience and climate risk management in Madagascar has been strengthened; (b) an institutional environment favorable to the development and implementation of the SPCR has been established; and (c) priority investments have been identified and planned, and the consultation process has been realized. 8. Overall, the Government is better equipped to integrate climate resilience into planning and financing processes, build consensus on an approach to climate-resilient development, and mobilize Page 5 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) resources in the event of extreme weather events. The SPCR was a clear roadmap to mainstream climate resilience into public investment, public finances, and territorial development. 9. The key indicators linked to the PDO were: (a) SPCR document was developed and agreed by the Government of Madagascar; (b) Studies funded under the preparation grant identified key evidence gaps on building resilience to climate impacts; and (c) Government staff trained (disaggregated by gender) on climate resilient aspects. Components Component 1: Strengthening climate resilience and climate risk management (US$0.6 million) 10. This component provided support to strengthen the knowledge and awareness of climate resilience and climate risk management in Madagascar, therefore strengthening through the process the capacity of the GoM in addressing climate resilience. Activities under this component took stock of all studies related to risk analysis, climate modeling, risk mapping and sectoral as well as territorial vulnerability assessment, and thematic studies in the field of hydrometeorology, early warning systems, and the resilience of infrastructure and public finances. 11. Activities were categorized into five groups of complementary studies designed to provide basic knowledge and information to conduct vulnerability analyses and build resilience: (a) Conducting a diagnostic of existing studies and vulnerability analyses. This activity included a stock of studies and analyses including research studies regarding the links between adaptation to climate change and sectors such as agriculture, food security, and nutrition. Specific activities involved: (i) conducting a diagnostic of finished and ongoing studies related to the assessment of sectoral vulnerability to climate change, in order to identify potential gaps as well as significant achievements in building resilience and (ii) compiling an inventory of existing policies, strategies, and programs related to strengthening climate resilience and comparing it to best practices at the global level, in order to inform the preparation of the SPCR. (b) Building knowledge of climate risks. Based on the analysis of vulnerability and resilience, this activity aimed to: (i) integrate climate change projections into existing risk models and (ii) finalize and disseminate the atlas of climate risk targeting sensitive sectors and regions. (c) Developing knowledge on the vulnerability of public infrastructure. This activity sought to: (i) assess public infrastructure vulnerability (road, agriculture, and water resources) and (ii) prepare studies about construction standards related to the resilience of different types of public infrastructure. (d) Conduct an analysis of the links between climate change and land use planning. The following cross-cutting activities were carried out: (i) updating climate vulnerability studies in coastal zones Page 6 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) (based on results from the diagnostic assessment carried out in activity (a), including the assessment of the vulnerability of marine and coastal ecosystems [ecosystem-based assessments]), developing an inventory of actions undertaken on resilience of coastal zones, and performing an analysis of the shape and costs of adaptation and (ii) strengthening studies on climate-related threats in urban planning to compile quantitative information (mainly in Antananarivo and selected mid-size towns). (e) Conduct an analysis of economic and financial impacts of disasters and climate change. This activity focused on assessing the financial and economic impacts of climate change and disasters, which constitute an important factor for resilience, to better inform the control of adaptation costs. Component 2: Development of the SPCR and investment plan (US$0.7 million) 12. This component supported the development of the SPCR document and the identification and planning of priority investments. This objective was achieved through a series of activities including: (a) Development of an SPCR. Specific activities included: (i) assessing the institutional capacities of each concerned sector, including organizational setup, internal and inter-sectoral coordination, and implementation capacity; (ii) supporting the coordination mechanisms; (iii) raising awareness among decision makers, stakeholders, and the general population; (iv) supporting the consultations; and (v) developing a multi-sectoral communication plan to mainstream climate change and building resilience. (b) Capacity building in targeted sectors. Considering the results of the institutional analysis, a series of trainings was carried out as part of this activity, including training on: (i) the development of regional climate projections, modeling, and ‘downscaling’; (ii) the integration of issues related to climate change in budget planning; (iii) financing in the context of climate resilience; (iv) land use planning associated climate-related risks; (v) technical adaptation and protection of coastal areas; and (vi) training sectoral experts (Disaster Risk Reduction and Management, Water Resources, Research, Land Use Planning, Energy, Food Security, Agriculture-Livestock-Fisheries, Transport, Tourism, Coastal Zones, and Environment) as users and beneficiaries of climate services, in the context of the implementation of the National Framework of the Climate Services. (c) Identification and planning of priority investments. Based on the vulnerability and climate resilience sectoral assessment, this activity consisted of: (i) determining priority actions and planning their implementation, (ii) conducting a consultation process with all stakeholders to select priority activities, and (iii) conducting feasibility studies of the investments. Component 3: Support implementation and M&E (US$0.4 million) 13. This component supported the establishment of the Project Implementation Unit (PIU) for project implementation and monitoring and evaluation (M&E), and will secure the necessary resources, including Page 7 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) staff, to coordinate the activities related to climate change coordination across the government, the SPCR preparation, and the monitoring, management, and support to capacity building activities, as needed. 14. This support function was housed at the Cellule de Prévention et d’appui à la Gestion des Urgences (Emergency Prevention and Management Unit CPGU) under the supervision of the Prime Minister’s Office and overall guidance of the National Climate Change Steering Committee—chaired by the Prime Minister’s Office and co-chaired by the Ministry of Environment—and the Ministry of Economy and Finance. Support under this component will include: (a) consultancy services to strengthen management, coordination, and monitoring/reporting capacity; (b) training and capacity strengthening; (c) incremental project management costs; and (d) M&E. B. Significant changes during implementation 15. There were no significant changes made during implementation. However, the project underwent three restructurings (December 21, 2018, December 27, 2019, and June 30, 2020) due to the extension of the project closure date from December 31, 2018 to September 30, 2020. The main rationale for restructuring the project was to provide additional time for implementing prioritized activities aligned with the Deferred Drawdown Option for Catastrophe Risks (CATDDO) preparation and final training. Apart from this, there were no changes in the PDO, PDO results indicators, and project components and activities. II. OUTCOME A. Relevance of PDOs: High 16. The PPCR was consistent with the Bank’s CPF (FY17–21) and focusing on increasing resilience and reducing fragility. PPCR contributed to CPF Focus area 1 – Increase resilience and reduce fragility and its objective 2 – Enhance resilience of livelihoods of vulnerable households in rural and urban areas on building knowledge on climate change and resilience. Financing from the PPCR prepared Madagascar in mainstreaming climate resilience into public investment such as within urban public investments (Integrated Urban Development and Resilience Project for Greater Antananarivo, PRODUIR, P159756) and public finances as developed under the CATDDO reforms as part of Bank’s CPF. At completion, the PDO remained highly relevant to the Madagascar CPF. B. Assessment of Achievement of Each Objective/Outcome: High 17. The PPCR supported Madagascar in the formulation of an SPCR and the development of a programmatic multi-sector and climate-resilient investment plan, and in the establishment of the enabling environment for its implementation. The objective was achieved as demonstrated and proved by the three PDO-level indicators. Assessment of each aspect of the PDO is stated below: Page 8 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) (a) SPCR developed and agreed by the Government of Madagascar 18. The SPCR, and its investment plan, were developed by the Government and submitted to the CIF in November 2017. It was successfully endorsed by the PPCR sub-committee on December 12, 2017. 19. The design of Madagascar’s SPCR was based on a participatory approach involving a wide range of representatives from the Government, civil society organizations (CSOs) (including the private sector and nongovernmental organizations [NGOs]), development partners, and local communities’ representatives. In total, more than 250 people were consulted during the preparation. To continue raising awareness among decision makers, stakeholders, and the general population on the SPCR and NAP under preparation, five consultation workshops were organized in the cities of Fianarantsoa, Tamatave, Toalagnaro, Mahajanga, and Antsiranana. The broad-based national and regional consultations and workshops contributed to identify the existing challenges, vulnerabilities, and gaps with regard to adaptation to climate change in Madagascar and framed how the PPCR could complement existing approaches to climate adaptation and disaster risk management (DRM) and engage stakeholders’ efforts in an inclusive manner. 20. Based on the various diagnostics and assessments conducted throughout previous planning instruments and on further analysis performed during the SPCR consultation and formulation phase, a broad consensus has emerged around the need to:  Pillar 1. Strengthen the enabling environment through knowledge, information, and institutional capacities across key national institutions; and  Pillar 2. Implement a selection of investments to address specific climate challenges at sector and geographical level. 21. Pillar 1 of the PPCR is designed to support such efforts by focusing on '“Strengthening institutional and policy frameworks for climate resilience.� To this end, PPCR Pillar 1 concentrated on the following objectives: (a) improving the understanding of climate risks and their gender implications, (b) strengthening institutional and policy frameworks for climate resilience, and (c) enhancing coordination efforts to mainstream climate resilience. These activities were integrated into Component 1 of the grant. 22. In Pillar 2, six priority investment projects have been identified to strengthen climate resilience in Madagascar. (b) A programmatic multi-sector and climate resilient investment plan has been developed 23. The SPCR developed a programmatic multi-sector investment plan to address specific climate challenges at the sector and geographical level as part of its Pillar 2. The plan was structured around the following vulnerable sectors: hydrometeorology, urban development, coastal management, social protection, agriculture, and biodiversity. This plan was estimated at US$165 million and expected to be implemented within a time frame of 2–10 years. Page 9 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) 24. Six priority investment projects have been identified to strengthen climate resilience in Madagascar and developed within SPCR document:  Project 1: Strengthening Hydro-Met Services (US$25 million) to (a) enhance the weather, climate and hydrological information and monitoring networks, and early warning systems and (b) strengthen the capacity of hydro-met institutions to collect and analyze data, and provide quality and timely climate-weather services  Project 2: Enhancing Climate Resilience of Urban Communities and Infrastructure in Greater Antananarivo (US$30 million) to improve living conditions of the poor in selected low-income neighborhoods of Greater Antananarivo through enhancing basic service delivery and flood resilience; and to strengthen the Government’s capacity for integrated urban management and effective response to eligible crises and emergencies  Project 3: Strengthening Climate Resilience of Coastal Cities (US$30 million) to strengthen the resilience of coastal cities to natural hazards and climate risk and strengthen the municipal and community capacities to effectively respond to their impacts  Project 4: Climate-proofing Social Infrastructure and Regional Development in the ‘Grand Sud’ (US$20 million) to build climate resilience by scaling up social protection efforts, rehabilitating selected lifeline infrastructure, and strengthening livelihood diversification of selected communities in the Grand Sud  Project 5: Enhancing Climate-Resilient Agricultural Production and Food Security in the ‘Grand Sud’ (US$35 million) to promote shared economic growth based on the drivers of growth and local livelihoods and reduce poverty and vulnerability zones  Project 6: Biodiversity and Ecotourism Promotion (US$25 million) to preserve biodiversity, develop ecotourism to accelerate economic growth, improve the conditions of communities living on the periphery of protected areas, promote the emergence of a local private sector that invests in green growth, and increase the resilience of biodiversity to climate change (c) Enabling environment for the SPCR and its investment plan implementation has been developed 25. The PPCR provided TA such as analytical works and training for improving the understanding of climate risks and strengthening institutional and policy framework to provide an enabling environment for the SPCR and its investment plan. 26. TA included analytical works to build knowledge on climate risks, on vulnerability of public infrastructure, on the links between climate change and land use planning, and on economic and financial impacts of disaster and climate change. This included the following studies and activities: Diagnostic des lacunes en matière de politiques publiques et stratégie, des constats du point de vue institutionnel en matière de résilience climatique (June 2019); Les tendances climatiques et futurs changements climatiques à Madagascar (September 2019) developed by the Regional Integrated Multi- Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia (RIMES) with the Meteorology Office for reliable climate projections at national and regional levels based on the results of the climate models used in the 5th IPCC report (CMIP5); development of the MAPROOM climate information service carried out by the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society in Columbia University; Atlas des risques climatiques de Madagascar (April 2020) developed with a georeferenced database and a Quantum Page 10 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) Geographic Information System Plugin for cyclone impact simulation; Guide méthodologique pour l’intégration de la résilience climatique dans les Plans Régionaux de Développement (PRD) et les Schémas Régionaux d’Aménagement du Territoire (SRAT) (December 2019); Norme nationale de construction de bâtiments résistants aux aléas naturels à Madagascar (October 2019); Guide pour l’amélioration de la résistance des cases d’habitation traditionnelles face aux cyclones (April 2019); Norme nationale sur les infrastructures routières résistantes aux inondations et aux phénomènes géologiques à Madagascar (September 2020); and Etude des impacts économiques et budgétaires des catastrophes à Madagascar (July 2019). The PPCR supported specific analytical works for strengthening the DRM system as well as the Strategic Plan for territorial deployment of the Bureau National de Gestion des Risques et des Catastrophes (National Disaster Risk Management Bureau BNGRC) (September 2020), the Action Plan for the Stratégie Nationale de Gestion des Risques et des Catastrophes (National Strategy for Disaster Risk Management SNGRC) (June 2020), and Basic Essential Services Continuity Plans for the Water, Sanitation and Hygiene, Energy, and Health sectors in case of disasters (September 2020). 27. Training was provided on climate projections and data management, on integrating climate resilience in Regional Development Plans and Regional Land Use Plans, and on cyclone-resilient construction standards for public buildings and infrastructure. Overall, 1149 participants (of which 22 percent were women) drawn from central, regional, and local government institutions (746 representatives); CSOs; the private sector; research and academia; media; and development partners were trained. Training was organized in the cities of Ambatondrazaka, Fianarantsoa, Morondava, Manakara, Mahajanga, Fenerive-Est, Antalaha, Antsohy, Sambava, Antsiranana, and Antananarivo. 28. The PPCR enhanced the GoM DRM and climate resilience system and its regulatory framework. The grant financed the elaboration of DRM regulatory text for updating the DRM system at the national and regional levels, which includes the provision of regional DRM offices and defining the respective roles of BNGRC, CPGU and the National Platform from Disaster Risk Reduction for a better coordination. Thus, the GoM adopted the following decrees: (a) decree No 2019-1957 of October 2019, 16 regulating Law No. 2015-031 of February 12, 2016, on National Disaster Risk Management; (b) decree No 2019-1949 of October 16, 2019, establishing the organization, functioning, and role of the CPGU; and (c) decree No 2019-1958 of October 16, 2019, establishing the organization, functioning, and role of the BNGRC. Following the Norme nationale de construction de bâtiments résistants aux aléas naturels à Madagascar, Guide pour l’amélioration de la resistance des cases d’habitation traditionnelles face aux cyclones, and Norme nationale sur les infrastructures routières résistantes aux inondations et aux phénomènes géologiques à Madagascar, the GoM adopted the decree No 2019-1957 of October 16, 2019 defining the national standard for the construction of disaster-resistant buildings, the decree No 2020-1156 of September 16, 2019 defining the national standard for resilient road Infrastructure in Madagascar, and the Land Planning and Public Works’ ministerial order No 24494-2019 of October 30, 2019 enforcing the integration of climate resilience into SRAT and PRD development. 29. The PPCR supported the development of GoM disaster risk financing instruments such as a national contingency fund. The study on economic and fiscal impact of disasters in Madagascar recommended operationalizing a national contingency fund dedicated to emergency response and early recovery leveraged from international experiences. As part of the DRM system regulatory framework, the decree establishing the organization, functioning, and role of the BNGRC also set up a national contingency fund within this agency. The grant brought international expertise to benchmark existing Page 11 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) practices and develop a procedural manual for the national contingency fund – set up in Madagascar for the first time. The manual was completed in September 2020. C. Efficiency: Substantial 30. Economic Analysis. The project supported the development of a strategic framework for climate resilience and an investment strategy. The traditional cost-benefit analysis is not applicable here due to the nature of the project, given that its result will be a strategy. However, supported by the grant activities, the GoM leveraged US$75 million from the Bank for the PPCR Investment Project 2 to enhance climate resilience of urban communities and infrastructure in Greater Antananarivo in May 2018 (Integrated Urban Development and Resilience Project for Greater Antananarivo, PRODUIR, P159756) and US$50 million and US$25 million, respectively, from the Bank and the Agence Française de Développement (French Development Agency AFD) supporting Madagascar DRM policy in November 2019 (Madagascar Disaster Risk Management Development Policy Grant with a Catastrophe Deferred Drawdown Option, CATDDO, P167941). 31. Design. The project design was relatively simple, and the objective and the PDO result indicators were clear, measurable, and realistic. The project’s technical design builds on the ongoing programs related to climate resilience and is based on the consultations held during the scoping missions. 32. Implementation. The PPCR suffered from delays due to administrative procedures such as the legal obligation to register the project, on an exceptional basis, in the 2017 Finance Rectifications Act (Loi des finances rectificative); the designation of project signatories; the opening of the project bank account, and complex procedures to unblock funds in advance during the first year of implementation. The Bank helped ensure regular follow-up and carried out high-level dialogue to manage bottlenecks. The GoM (Ministry of Finance) requested a 12-month extension of the project closing date until December 31, 2019 to provide adequate time to reprioritize and implement PPCR activities aligned with the preparation of the CAT-DDO. The 2nd and 3rd GoM extension request permitted the implementation of final activities hampered by delays in validation of some technical documents involving a large numbers of decision- makers and because of the 2019 Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) which has restricted meetings and local face-to-face training. D. Justification of overall outcome rating 33. The overall outcome rating is Satisfactory based on the high relevance rating of the PDO, high efficacy rating in achieving the PDO, and a substantial efficiency rating. While the project was extended three times, the project achieved all its outcomes and all its intermediate results targets. Other Outcomes and Impacts 34. The PPCR informed and supported the preparation of the Madagascar Disaster Risk Management Development Policy Grant with a CATDDO as well as the implementation of DRM reforms. The CATDDO Development Policy Operation (DPO) is to strengthen the GoM’s institutional, technical, and financial capacity to manage disaster and climate-related risks. This operation supports reforms that are critical in achieving certain Government priorities outlined in the Plan Emergence Madagascar (PEM), Page 12 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) SPCR, and DRM policies and strategies. The program is structured around three pillars: (a) strengthening the national system for DRM, (b) strengthening financial resilience to disasters, and (c) mainstreaming disaster and climate resilience into territorial and urban planning. Prior actions and legal evidence1 of the policy reforms were developed and adopted by the Government when supported by PPCR activities. The US$50 million and EUR 25 million program is financed by the Bank and AFD, respectively. 35. PPCR Investment Project 2, Enhancing Climate Resilience of Urban Communities and Infrastructure in Greater Antananarivo, was financed by the Bank since May 2018. The Government leveraged the US$75 million credit for the Integrated Urban Development and Resilience Project for Greater Antananarivo. The project’s PDO is to enhance urban living conditions and flood resilience in selected low-income neighborhoods of Greater Antananarivo. The project consists of four main components: (a) improving urban drainage, services, and resilience in targeted areas; (b) strengthening institutional capacity for resilient urban governance; (c) project management; and (d) contingent emergency response component. 36. The previous other overall outcome should be considered as transformational impacts bring by PPRC: a strong and detailed regulatory framework and urban projects. It will lead to changes into urban areas as well as establish the basis of DRM system and finances in Madagascar. 37. Lastly, there are no unintended negative outcomes or impacts related to this project. III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME 38. Coordination. At the early stage of SPCR preparation, a lack of coordination at the institutional level existed which needed better coordination efforts and clarification between the roles and 1 Prior action 1: The Recipient has: (a) updated the DRM system at the national and regional levels which includes, among others, the provision of creating DRM offices at the regional level and (b) defining the respective roles of the BNGRC and the CPGU by identifying that the BNGRC leads all operational aspects of DRM, while the CPGU is responsible for strategic planning; Legal Evidence: (a) Adoption of Decree No 2019-1954 of October 16, 2019 implementing Law No 2015-031 of February 12, 2016 on National Policy on Disaster and Catastrophe Risk Management; (b) adoption of Council of Government’s Decree No 2019-1949 of October 16, 2019 defining the organization, attributions, and the functioning of the CPGU; and (c) adoption of the Council of Minister’s decree No 2019-1958 of October 16, 2019 defining the organization, attributions, and the functioning of the BNGRC. Prior action 3: The Recipient has strengthened its financial capacity to respond to disaster and address the challenge of insufficient immediate disaster response through the creation of the National Disaster Fund to finance disaster preparedness and emergency response; Legal Evidence: (a) Adoption of the Council of Government’s Decree No 2019-1954 of October 16, 2019 implementing Law No 2015-031 of February 12, 2016 on the National Policy on Disaster and Catastrophe Risk Management; and (b) adoption of the Council of Ministers’ decree No 2019-1958 of October 16, 2019 defining the organization, attributions, and the functioning of the BNGRC. Prior Action 5: The Recipient has adopted a resilient buildings regulatory framework implementing Law No 2015-052 of February 3, 2016 on urban development and housing. Legal Evidence: (a) Adoption of the Council of Government’s Decree No 2019-1957 of October 16, 2019 defining the national standard for the construction of disaster-resilient buildings. Prior Action 6: The Recipient has adopted a methodology and issued guidelines to mainstream climate change adaptation and DRM into urban, communal, and regional planning. Legal Evidence: (a) Adoption of the Council of Government’s decree No 2019- 1932 of October 9, 2019 on the methodology for elaborating, validating, and implementing urban plans; (b) the adoption of the Council of Government’s decree No 2019-1934 of October 9, 2019 on the elaboration, validation, and implementation of municipal and inter-municipal territorial planning schemes; and (c) the adoption of the Council of Government’s decree No 2019 - 1931 of October 9, 2019 on the elaboration, validation, and implementation of regional territorial plans. Page 13 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) responsibilities of the CPGU and the Bureau National pour la Coordination du Changement Climatique (National Bureau of Climate Change Coordination BNCCC). The two main governmental units were both operating at the national level to build climate resilience. Progress in this direction was made during the process of formulation of the SPCR. The CPGU and BNCCC signed on August 2, 2017 a Memorandum of Understanding with the objective to clarify the roles and attributions of both institutions during the SPCR preparation phase. The CPGU and BNCCC both committed to ensure the coordination, complementarity, and synergy of PPCR and NAP activities, while collaborating through all stages of the preparation phase and communicating regularly on the process evolution. However, the weak coordination between key institutions for PPCR implementation (CPGU and line-ministries) persisted despite initial efforts, creating delays in the completion of activities and particularly in the validation of technical reports involving a large number of decision-makers. 39. Commitment and leadership. The CPGU, a coordination unit within the Prime Minister’s Office, was the PPCR Country Focal Point and Implementing Agency. The CPGU demonstrated strong commitment and leadership when preparing and implementing the PPCR. The GPGU established the Comité d’Appui à la Mise en Œuvre du PPCR (PPCR Implementation Support Committee CAMEO) as an integral part of the PPCR coordination structure derived from the SPCR steering committee.2 Its role was to: (a) serve as a platform for guidance, consultation, and exchange during the various phases of the process; (b) provide technical support to the Implementing Agency in seeking funding to implement the program; and (c) facilitate access to information by the various stakeholders concerned. CAMEO assisted as a direct interlocutor between the PPCR and the sectors in all phases of technical document review and validation. The committee brought together several institutions, including sectoral ministries and government agencies, and high-level technical staff. 40. CATDDO preparation. The GoM (Ministry of Finance) requested the World Bank for a CATDDO project in March 2018, which has resulted in a reassessment of PPCR (Phase 1) priority activities to accommodate for CATDDO possible reforms (identification of Prior Actions). Subsequently, the GoM requested a 12-month extension of the project closing date until December 31, 2019 to provide adequate time to adjust, re-prioritize, and implement PPCR (Phase 1) activities in alignment with the CATDDO preparation. 41. COVID-19. Several PPCR training sessions have been organized for the development of climate services and climate scenarios, the newly adopted resilient norms under Component 1. Also, an international knowledge exchange event was planned for March 2020 in Morocco. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and travel restrictions, the international knowledge exchange event was canceled. National 2 An inter-ministerial SPRC Steering Committee was set up by Decree No. 13216/2016 on June 17, 2016. The committee’s main function is to support the SPCR preparation and its investment plan and participate in the implementation of the PPCR-Phase 1 TA project, ensuring the complementarity of activities between the various initiatives related to climate change in Madagascar. The committee met for the preparation and validation of the TA request document in 2016, at the first multilateral development banks (MDBs) joint meeting, and during the consultation meeting organized on August 2, 2017 to review the first SPCR draft. The committee is composed of representatives from the Prime Minister’s Office, the Ministries of Land Use Planning and Equipment, Agriculture and Livestock, Finances and Budget, Economy and Planning, Public Works, Transports and Meteorology, Education and Scientific Research, Environment, Water, Sanitations and Hygiene, Population, Social Protection and Women Affairs, CPGU, BNCCC, National Committee on Integrated Coastal Zones Management, Conservation International, Fondation Telma, World Wildlife Fund, National Organization for Environmental Actions, Municipality of Antananarivo, and Intergovernmental Group of International Experts on Climate Evolution. Page 14 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) travel restrictions and sanitary measures restricting meetings limited face-to-face training sessions. Final training on climate resilience construction standards in June 2020 was virtual. Project activities were temporarily interrupted and slowed down, causing delays to the implementation schedule. The Bank approved the Government request for an extension of three months (3rd and last restructuring) of the project closing date to finalize all planned activities by September 30, 2020. IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME Quality of Monitoring & Evaluation: Substantial 42. M&E Design. The objectives were clearly specified, and the indicators encompassed all outcomes of the PDO. The Results Framework (RF) and indicator description were relatively simple. No revision was made during the implementation. However, considering the CATDDO support from the PPCR, specific indicators should have been integrated into the RF capturing the associated results. 43. M&E Implementation. M&E data collection relied on the annual progress reports. The CPGU’s reports were comprehensive and helped the project identify the strengths and bottlenecks in place during project implementation which were addressed together by the Government and the Bank Task Team. 44. M&E Utilization. The accurate number of Government staff trained was not reported on an annual basis within the RF. This would have informed the subsequent interventions required early on and would have allowed a better strategy of city targeting and participant selection for the training. 45. The quality of the M&E is rated Substantial considering that a simple RF enables clear M&E implementation and utilization. Quality of Environmental, Social and Fiduciary Compliance 46. Safeguards. The project was a Category C project. It did not trigger any World Bank social and environmental safeguards policies as it financed supportive TA activities such as consultancy services, nonconsulting services, workshops, travel, and operating costs. 47. Procurement. This recipient-executed grant did not involve any high value or complex procurement. It was focused on providing TA which financed consultant services, workshops and seminars, travel and transportation, and operating costs. All procurement activities were post review. The GPCU team was comprised a senior officer and two assistants to implement procurement activities. Systematic Tracking of Exchange in Procurement (STEP) shows that several activities are always under implementation or pending implementation and numerous activities have been cancelled. While the procurement risk was rated Substantial, the procurement performance is rated Moderately Satisfactory. 48. Financial management (FM). The overall FM risk related to this project was assessed Substantial, while the FM performance is rated Moderately Satisfactory throughout the project life. As per the project arrangements, the CPGU was supported by one qualified Finance Officer recruited on a contractual basis Page 15 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) for the implementation. The FM arrangements remained broadly adequate during the implementation, except frequent changes of the contractual staff that urged the CPGU to take over FM tasks in between and permanently since early 2020. Such disruption in the staffing resulted in moderate shortcomings noticed through the supervision missions, for instance delay in the accounting process, lack of budget monitoring, and low quality of expenditures documentation for some transactions. Furthermore, the CPGU staff has limited knowledge of Bank procedures and encounters delay in closing the project due to anomalies recorded in a few withdrawal applications submitted to the Bank. At the time of this report, the documentation of the designated account is underway, with the support of the Bank team, and is expected to be completed by the end of March 2021. Bank Performance: Satisfactory 49. Quality at Entry. During the preparation phase, the Bank raised a critical point—the need for strong coordination among stakeholders in the field of climate resilience and DRM. The Government decision to set up the CPGU as an implementing agency provided strategical oversight of the climate and DRM sector as well as the PPCR at the Prime Minister’s Office. Furthermore, the CPGU demonstrated strong commitment and mobilization of central, regional, and local government authorities. The Bank worked closely with the CPGU during the SPCR consultation phase. 50. Quality of Supervision. The Bank team provided regular support to the PPCR with regular meetings and supervisor missions. 51. Overall Bank performance is satisfactory to reflect the general relevance of project design (quality at entry) and the efforts made during implementation (quality of supervision). V. LESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDATIONS 52. The major lessons learned from the implementation of the project are as follows. 53. Engagement and commitment sustained by key government institutions, along with inclusive and participatory processes, are beneficial for successfully achieving project results and ensuring sustainability. The active engagement and commitment maintained by key government stakeholders, including the CPGU and governmental agencies, helped achieve the PDO. 54. Knowledge and experience of the administrative procedures (opening of designated accounts, procurement, and financial management) could have accelerated the implementation and closing of the PPCR. The project was delayed for several months after effectiveness when opening the project designated account. Project closing procedures were not yet completed due to some errors in the FM reporting system. These processes were managed six months after Project closing date by CPGU team, who had limited experience with Bank financed project and because PPCR consultants had already left the project. Projects would benefit from dedicated, experienced FM and procurement specialists involved at an early stage of the project design, during implementation, and assuring the project end-activities. Page 16 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) 55. Carefully designed/restructured components and M&E results indicators and metrics can help reach much better results at the end of the project period. The project’s components and M&E could have been strengthened using a rational for feasible activities. For example, it was not clear on what was really achieved under the program in terms of gap analysis of building resilience to climate impacts. Usually it can be considered as very expensive, intensive, and time-consuming exercise. However, PPCR deliverables broadly assess these gaps and directly referred to recommendations. Results indicators could have been updated to during restructuration phase to capture effective and complete achievement. 56. The results of the different TA activities financed through the project should be disclosed and disseminated with larger authorities to support implementation of the recommendation and promote knowledge sharing. To this end, it is necessary to coordinate actions at both the inter-institutional and sectoral levels to facilitate the prioritization of the SPCR interventions to reduce climate risks and the implementation of appropriate technologies that generate greater climate resilience among the most vulnerable populations. Moreover, more extensive public dissemination is needed to complement this approach. 57. Alignment between projects when seeking complementarity is critical for successful policy reforms development and implementation. The PPCR informed and supported the preparation of the CAT-DDO and the implementation of DRM reforms through studies and sectoral assessment. The grant financed the development of a DRM regulatory framework as part of policy reforms and the development of a financial instrument for the DRM. Mobilizing international experts, the PPCR analyzed fiscal impacts of the cyclones, recommended to set up a national contingency fund, and developed the fund operation manual considered as part of the CATDDO reforms. The two operations complemented each other and brought joint success in the Madagascar climate resilience and DRM sector. The alignment of projects should often seek to bring support when developing and implementing policy reforms. Furthermore, operation complementarity allows for the Bank to have a continuous dialogue with the client and brings impactful results. . Q Page 17 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS A. RESULTS INDICATORS A.1 PDO Indicators Objective/Outcome: The Strategic Program for Climate Resilience (SPCR), and its investment plan, were developed by the Government and submitted to CIF in November 2017. It was successfully endorsed by the PPCR sub-commi Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion SPCR developed and endorsed Yes/No N Y Y Y by the Government of Madagascar 03-Jul-2017 29-Jun-2018 30-Jun-2018 30-Sep-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): The Strategic Program for Climate Resilience (SPCR), and its investment plan, were developed by the Government and submitted to CIF in November 2017. It was successfully endorsed by the PPCR sub-committee on December 12, 2017. Objective/Outcome: Studies which identify key evidence gaps on building resilience to climate impacts and provide strategic, operational, and technical recommendation were delivered. These analytical works include a dia Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Studies funded under Yes/No N Y Y Y preparation grant identify key evidence gaps on building 03-Jul-2017 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2018 30-Sep-2019 Page 18 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) resilience to climate impacts Comments (achievements against targets): Studies which identify key evidence gaps on building resilience to climate impacts and provide strategic, operational, and technical recommendation were delivered. These analytical works include a diagnostic of existing studies and vulnerability analysis, reliable climate projections at the national and regional level based on the results of the climate models, atlas of climatic risk translated into documents and spatial data, updated and new construction standards for public and private infrastructure, an analysis of the economic and financial impacts of disasters and climate change, analysis, and guidance on how to link climate change and land use planning. Sectoral and technical assessment and studies were also delivered and focused on the DRM system and coastal resilience. Objective/Outcome: 746 government staff of which 22% are women were trained. Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Government staff trained Number 0.00 50.00 50.00 746.00 (disaggregated by gender) on climate resilient aspects 03-Jul-2017 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2018 30-Sep-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): 746 government staff of which 22% are women were trained. A.2 Intermediate Results Indicators Component: Component 1: Strengthening climate resilience and climate risk management provided support to strengthen the knowledge and awareness of climate resilience and climate risk management in Madagascar Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Page 19 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) Sectoral and technical Number 0.00 6.00 6.00 12.00 assessments and studies completed on key resilience 03-Jul-2017 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2018 30-Sep-2020 information gaps Comments (achievements against targets): Component: Component 2: Development of the SPCR and investment plan Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Consultative Engagement Number 2.00 6.00 6.00 5.00 events for the development of the SPCR 03-Jul-2017 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2018 15-Jun-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Investment priorities for Number 0.00 5.00 5.00 6.00 improving climate resilience in priority areas developed 03-Jul-2017 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2018 30-Sep-2020 Comments (achievements against targets): Page 20 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) Page 21 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) B. ORGANIZATION OF THE ASSESSMENT OF THE PDO Objective/Outcome 1 SPCR was developed and agreed by the GoM Outcome Indicators 1. SPCR developed and endorsed by the GoM Intermediate Results Indicators 2. Consultative engagement events for the development of the SPCR Under Component 2, the SPCR, and its investment plan, were developed by the Government and submitted to the CIF in November 2017. It was successfully endorsed by the PPCR sub-committee on December 12, 2017. The design of Madagascar’s SPCR was based on a participatory approach involving a wide range of representatives from the Government, CSOs (including the private sector and NGOs), development partners, and local communities’ representatives. In total, more than 250 people were consulted Key Outputs by Component during the preparation. The broad-based national and regional consultations and workshops (linked to the achievement of the contributed to identify the existing challenges, vulnerabilities, and gaps with regard to adaptation to Objective/Outcome 1) climate change in Madagascar and framed how the PPCR could complement existing approaches to climate adaptation and DRM and engage stakeholders’ efforts in an inclusive manner. To continue raising awareness among decision makers, stakeholders, and the general population on the SPCR and NAP under preparation, five consultation workshops were organized in the cities of Fianarantsoa, Tamatave, Toalagnaro, Mahajanga, and Antsiranana. Objective/Outcome 2 A programmatic multi-sector and climate resilient investment plan has been developed 1. SPCR developed and endorsed by the GoM Outcome Indicators Intermediate Results Indicators 3. Investment priorities for improving climate resilience in priority areas developed Page 22 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) Under Component 2, the SPCR developed a programmatic multi-sector investment plan to address specific climate challenges at the sector and geographical level as part of its Pillar 2. The plan was structured around the following vulnerable sectors: hydrometeorology, urban development, coastal management, social protection, agriculture, and biodiversity. This plan was estimated at US$165 million and expected to be implemented within a time frame of 2–10 years. Six priority investment projects have been identified to strengthen climate resilience in Madagascar: Key Outputs by Component (linked to the achievement of the  Project 1: Strengthening Hydro-Met Services (US$25 million) Objective/Outcome 2)  Project 2: Enhancing Climate Resilience of Urban Communities and Infrastructure in Greater Antananarivo (US$30 million)  Project 3: Strengthening Climate Resilience of Coastal Cities (US$30 million)  Project 4: Climate-proofing Social Infrastructure and Regional Development in the ‘Grand Sud’ (US$20 million)  Project 5: Enhancing Climate- Resilient Agricultural Production and Food Security in the “Grand Sud� (US$35 million)  Project 6: Biodiversity and Ecotourism Promotion (US$25 million) Objective/Outcome 3 Enabling environment for SPCR and its investment plan implementation has been developed 1. Studies funded under preparation grant identify key evidence gaps on building resilience to Outcome Indicators climate impacts 2. Government staff trained (disaggregated by gender) on climate resilient aspects Intermediate Results Indicators 1. Sectoral and technical assessments and studies completed on key resilience information gaps The following studies and technical assistance were developed during grant implementation under Component 1: Diagnostic des lacunes en matière de politiques publiques et stratégie, des constats du Key Outputs by Component point de vue institutionnel en matière de résilience climatique (June 2019); Les tendances climatiques (linked to the achievement of the et futurs changements climatiques à Madagascar (September 2019) developed by the Regional Objective/Outcome 3) Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia (RIMES) with the Meteorology Office for reliable climate projections at national and regional levels based on the results of the climate Page 23 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) models used in the 5th IPCC report (CMIP5); development of the MAPROOM climate information service carried out by the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society in Columbia University; Atlas des risques climatiques de Madagascar (April 2020) developed with a georeferenced database and a Quantum Geographic Information System Plugin for cyclone impact simulation; Guide méthodologique pour l’intégration de la résilience climatique dans les Plans Régionaux de Développement (PRD) et les Schémas Régionaux d’Aménagement du Territoire (SRAT) (December 2019); Norme nationale de construction de bâtiments résistants aux aléas naturels à Madagascar (October 2019); Guide pour l’amélioration de la résistance des cases d’habitation traditionnelles face aux cyclones (April 2019); Norme nationale sur les infrastructures routières résistantes aux inondations et aux phénomènes géologiques à Madagascar (September 2020); and Etude des impacts économiques et budgétaires des catastrophes à Madagascar (July 2019). The PPCR supported specific analytical works for strengthening the DRM system as well as the Strategic Plan for territorial deployment of the Bureau National de Gestion des Risques et des Catastrophes (National Disaster Risk Management Bureau BNGRC) (September 2020), the Action Plan for the Stratégie Nationale de Gestion des Risques et des Catastrophes (National Strategy for Disaster Risk Management SNGRC) (June 2020), and Basic Essential Services Continuity Plans for the Water, Sanitation and Hygiene, Energy, and Health sectors in case of disasters (September 2020). Under capacity building activities of Component 2, training was provided on climate projections, data management integrating climate resilience in Regional Development Plans and Regional Land Use Plans and on cyclone-resilient construction standards for public buildings and road infrastructure. Overall, 1149 participants (of which 22% were women) drawn from central, regional, and local government institutions (746 representatives), CSOs, private sector, research and academia, media, and development partners were trained. Training was organized in the cities of Ambatondrazaka, Fianarantsoa, Morondava, Manakara, Mahajanga, Fenerive-Est, Antalaha, Antsohy, Sambava, Antsiranana, Toliara, Taolagnaro and Antananarivo. Based on Component 1 outputs, the PPRC supported the elaboration of DRM regulatory text for updating the DRM system at the national and regional levels, which includes the provision of regional Page 24 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) DRM offices and defining the respective roles of the BNGRC and the CPGU and the preparation for the establishment of a national contingency funds. Page 25 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) . ANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT Amount at Approval Actual at Project Percentage of Approval Components (US$M) Closing (US$M) (US$M) Strengthening climate resilience and climate risk 0.50 0.50 0 management Development of the SPCR 0.60 0.60 0 and investment plan Implementation Support and 0.40 0.40 0 M&E Total 0.00 1.50 0.00 Page 26 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) ANNEX 3. RECIPIENT, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS Recipient The World Bank received a completion report from the CPGU in December 2020. The completion report covers different aspects, including SPCR relevance, knowledge products, capacity building/training activities, participation and involvement of stakeholders, the contribution of the World Bank and the GoM to the achievement of results, and indicators, among others. Observations on performance and impacts were overall aligned with those discussed in this Implementation Completion and Results Report (ICR). Page 27 of 28 Confidential The World Bank Madagascar Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Phase I (P158816) ANNEX 4. LIST OF PPCR MAIN DELIVERABLES  Diagnostic des lacunes en matière de politiques publiques et stratégie, des constats du point de vue institutionnel en matière de résilience climatique delivered on June 2019 is a diagnostic on the policy, institutional and legal DRM and climate resilience framework in Madagascar which identifies the main policy and institutional gaps, including the need to operationalize the National DRM System. This diagnosis concluded the importance to institutionalize climate resilience through disaster risk management and adaptation to climate change in all business lines (planning, human resource allocation, budgeting); and to establish a single, strong, high-level, coordinating entity to federate efforts when building climate resilience.  Les tendances climatiques et futurs changements climatiques a Madagascar in September 2019 regroup reliable climate projections at national and regional level based on the results of the climate models used in the 5th IPCC report (CMIP5) to respond to the needs of national actors in resilience and climate adaptation in Madagascar and also provide technical assistance to DGM to enable them to use climate downscaling approaches such as the Regional Climate Models (RCMs).  The Atlas of Climate Risks of Madagascar delivered in April 2020 is an information and awareness document on the natural risks to which Madagascar is exposed and which are likely to worsen with climate change (Cyclone, Floods, Marine Submersions, Coastal Erosion, Land Movements, Drought). This atlas is addressed to local and national authorities and planners, donors and civil society, and any interested person or institution by natural risk issues... It gathers reference information and contains about ten maps on the scale of the Malagasy territory. The Atlas is a tool for defining priorities for the realization of hazard maps and risk assessments on the areas that are a priori the most at risk. and at scales compatible with those of planning documents (for considering natural risks in the planning of a municipal territory or neighborhood). As part of the document, a QGIS plugin LOZA were developed to manage exiting compiled data and maps and allow easier visualization of atlas maps. Moreover, a tool under QGIS for cyclone impacts simulation have been developed.  Guide méthodologique pour l’intégration de la resilience climatique dans les Plans Régionaux de Développement (PRD) et les Schémas Régionaux d’Aménagement du Territoire (SRAT) is an analysis and recommendation to how to link climate change and land use planning. The methodological guide to mainstream climate resilience in Regional Development Plans and Regional Land Use Plans was developed in December 2019. The guide is based on a "standardized" SRAT/PRD process derived from a review of recent SRAT and PRD documents and climate resilience approached from the perspective of climate risks and their inherent impacts.  Norme nationale de construction de bâtiments résistants aux aléas naturels à Madagascar delivered in October 2019, Guide pour l’amélioration de la resistance des cases d’habitation traditionnelles face aux cyclones in April 2019 and Norme nationale sur les infrastructures routières résistantes aux inondations et aux phénomènes géologiques à Madagascar (NIRIPG) in September 2020 were delivered to strengthen the climate resilience of public and private infrastructure in Madagascar. The new standards were built on recent climate projection withi Les tendances climatiques et futurs changements climatiques a Madagascar.  Etude des impacts économiques et budgétaires des catastrophes à Madagascar, delivered in July 2019 is an analysis of economic and financial impacts of disasters and climate change. The study on the Economic and Fiscal Impact of Disasters in Madagascar informed and recommend operationalizing a national fund contingency fund dedicated to emergency response and early recovery. Page 28 of 28 Confidential