The World Bank
       CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)




                                                                                              REPORT NO.: RES32087




                                             RESTRUCTURING PAPER

                                                      ON A

                                      PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING

                                                          OF
         CAMEROON - STRENGTHENING PUBLIC SECTOR EFFECTIVENESS AND STATISTICAL CAPACITY PROJECT
                                       APPROVED ON NOVEMBER 20, 2017
                                                          TO

                                            REPUBLIC OF CAMEROON



GOVERNANCE

AFRICA WEST




                               Regional Vice President:    Ousmane Diagana
                                     Country Director:     Abdoulaye Seck
                                     Regional Director:    Abebe Adugna Dadi
                           Practice Manager/Manager:       Manuel Antonio Vargas Madrigal
                                  Task Team Leader(s):     Marieta Fall, Clarence Tsimpo Nkengne
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      CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS




CADRE          Auxiliary Accounting of State Expenditures and Revenues
COLEPS         Cameroon Online E-Procurement System
CTR            Technical Commission for Restructuring
DPC            Division of Shares and Contributions
ECAM           Cameroonian Household Survey
HRMIS          Human Resources Management Information System
ICC            Construction Cost index
IPPI           Industrial Product Price Index
IPPS           Price Index for Services
IFMIS          Integrated Financial Management Information System
INS            National Statistical Institute
IRI            Intermediate Result Indicator
MINEDUB        Ministry of Basic Education
MINEPAT        Ministry of Economy and Planning
MINFI          Ministry of Finance
MINMAP         Ministry of Public Contracts
MINSANTE       Ministry of Health
MTEF           Medium Term Expenditure Framework
MTR            Mid-Term Review
NGO            Non-Governmental Organization
OTP            Online Tax Payment
PBF            Performance -Based Financing
PDO            Project Development Objective
PFM            Public Financial Management
RRI            Rapid Results Initiative
SIGIPES        Computerized System for Integrated Staff and Pay Management
SISEP          Integrated Monitoring System of Public Enterprises
SOE            State-Owned Enterprise
TSA            Treasury Single Account
           The World Bank
           CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)




Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal.




BASIC DATA


Product Information

Project ID                                                     Financing Instrument
P151155                                                        Investment Project Financing

Original EA Category                                           Current EA Category
Not Required (C)                                               Not Required (C)

Approval Date                                                  Current Closing Date
20-Nov-2017                                                    31-Dec-2023


Organizations

Borrower                                                       Responsible Agency
Republic of Cameroon



Project Development Objective (PDO)
Original PDO
The project development objective is to improve the effectiveness of public spending in selected sectors and strengthen
the statistics system for evidence-based decision making.
OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO
Summary Status of Financing (US$, Millions)
                                                                                        Net
Ln/Cr/Tf                  Approval        Signing Effectiveness          Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed

IDA-61400             20-Nov-2017 16-May-2019       27-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2023               31.00         9.06     19.23

Policy Waiver(s)

Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)?
No
        The World Bank
        CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)




Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here.


I. PROJECT STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING


1. The Cameroon Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project was approved on November
   20, 2017 by the Board of Directors, but was only signed by the Government in May 2019, allowing it to become
   effective on June 27, 2019. At the time of concept, the country had enacted several reforms in Public Financial
   Management that had however not yet translated into significant improvements in service delivery. The Project was
   thus designed to help address the significant challenges faced in making public spending more effective notably by
   supporting the operationalization of key PFM reforms. That included the operationalization of the program budgeting
   reform, addressing key bottlenecks in the planning, programming, budgeting, monitoring and execution of public
   investments, supporting the implementation of procurement reforms aimed notably at reducing delays and improving
   the performance of actors and the system, as well as improving the management of SOEs for greater transparency
   and performance. In addition, the project aimed to help fill an important gap and need in the production of key and
   regular statistics that can inform public policies and resources allocation. The Project selected basic education and
   health as pilot sectors through which to demonstrate its impact on public spending effectiveness and as sectors
   especially impacted by the identified persistent weaknesses in budget preparation and execution.

2. The Mid-Term Review of the Project, which was conducted in March-April 2022, downgraded the Project’s overall
   progress in implementation and towards achieving its Overall Development Objective (ODP) to ‘Moderately
   Unsatisfactory.’ Notwithstanding the fact that the project started under unfavorable circumstances given the
   effectiveness delays incurred, after almost three years of effective implementation, it is not on track to achieve most
   of the results targeted. Out of six (6) PDO related indicators: three (3) were achieved in 2020 (average procurement
   time for contracts that fall under the purview of the Ministry of Public Works (MINMAP) and the execution rate of
   public investments for the two pilot ministries of Basic Education (MINEDUB) and health (MINSANTE); two (2) were
   not achieved (the related activities under the project not having started) and one was partially achieved (average
   variance between the annual budget allocation and the projection of the Medium Term Expenditure Framework -
   MTEF- in the pilot sectors). For 2021, the latter indicator’s target was achieved and four (4) are awaiting validation.
   With regard to the Intermediate Results Indicators (IRI), out of 12, only two (2) IRIs have achieved their targets for
   2021 (average procurement times for MINEDUB and MINSANTE) and one is fully achieved under the statistics
   component (revised methodology for the implementation of the new household survey in line with new international
   standards). Project implementation has been greatly hampered by operational issues in the form of very long delays
   in the completion of key recruitments for consultancies and the execution of contracts especially. This is particularly
   illustrated by two medium-term technical assistance firm consultancies respectively on consolidating the budgeting
   reform and the integrated management of public investments, for which the selections of the firms have still not been
   completed after being launched two years ago. Initiatives and objectives that are centered on publication of fiscal
   reports and greater transparency are not gaining sufficient traction and the focus on them will thus be enhanced but
   calibrated to align with the government’s processes and requirements. All pilot initiatives undertaken under the
   Project included MINEDUB and MINSANTE. Project disbursement currently stands at 32%.

3. Component 1 on “Consolidating the program budgeting reform” is moderately unsatisfactory. Support to the
   implementation of the budgeting and in particular program-based budgeting reform adopted in 2013 has been
   provided at the central level and yielded improvements to the budget preparation process notably through the
         The World Bank
         CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


   revision of the formats for the annual Finance Law and annexes in use since 2020, an updated program budgeting
   manual and the alignment of the organizational charts of six ministerial departments with the program budget reform.
   A new format for the preparation of annual performance reports has also been elaborated. However, the full
   operationalization of the reform including at the pilot ministries level is lagging. Support to the regular publication of
   public finance data notably through the development of a BOOST database on public budget and expenditures has
   suffered from the lack of comprehensiveness, disaggregation, and reliability of the existing data. Initiatives to
   strengthen government oversight of public enterprises have diagnosed the issues related to the production,
   transmission and publication of key SOE financial data but a less fragmented data management system, targeted
   capacity building and the leveraging of incentives are needed for improved management and transparency.

4. Component 2 on “Improving the quality of public investment in selected sectors” is moderately unsatisfactory.
   Under the project, a public investment budgeting manual has been developed (and is being used) as well as an
   improved mechanism for the medium-term programming of sectoral budgetary transfers to the subnational
   governments (Decentralized Territorial Collectivities) to increase their transparency and predictability, but the latter
   remains to be implemented. Efforts have been deployed to strengthen the capacity of sectoral ministries for appraisal
   and for the preparation of quality, implementation-ready projects through a Project maturation Fund. However, the
   decree for the establishment of the Fund is now awaiting approval by the President. While a manual to strengthen
   the monitoring of the physical and financial execution of projects has been elaborated and equipment to that end has
   been acquired, the integrated ICT-based platform that is to greatly improve such monitoring has not yet been
   developed. A number of tools have also been developed to monitor especially the implementation of externally
   funded projects (including a project M&E dashboard and mechanisms to evaluate the performance of PIUs) but are in
   the finalization and validation stages and are thus not in use yet.

5. Component 3 on “Strengthening the performance of the public procurement system and developing capacity for
   better service delivery” is moderately unsatisfactory. A diagnostic of the needs and existing offer in terms of trainings
   has been conducted – albeit with much delay – and informed a Strategy aiming at the professionalization of staff
   engaged in procurement. The Project supported the operationalization of Cameroon’s fledgling Online Procurement
   Platform (COLEPS) through two phases of Rapid results Initiatives (RRI) targeting in total 50 contracting agencies. A
   significant acceleration was noted on average for the procurement steps made through COLEPS vs offline for contracts
   (56 days in 2020 vs 70 days offline). Performance-based financing (PBF) was piloted in 8 contracting agencies to
   incentivize the completion of specific procurement steps and deliverables (planning and execution) rather than
   attendance of procurement commissions meetings as is currently the case. The PBF mechanism however encountered
   difficulties especially linked to delays in the signing of performance contracts and in the payment of bonuses. An
   application was also developed to accompany the PBF initiative and allow to monitor performance and notably
   automatically calculate the accompanying compensation to start being deployed in June 2022. TA was also provided
   early on the finalization of the new Procurement Code. RRIs also helped support the development of secondary
   regulations and a number of elaboration and dissemination activities of the related tools (e.g. standard bidding
   documents) have taken place throughout the country.

6. Component 4 on “enhancing the use of statistics for policy-making” is moderately satisfactory. The implementation
   of the 5th Cameroonian household survey, using a new methodology to assess poverty and key to the collection of
   updated poverty data, has been finally underway after suffering delays linked to the Covid-19 pandemic and the
   security issues in some of the regions. The field collection is set to be completed in September 2022 with two out of
   three (3) phases as well as an experimental survey for comparability with the last 2014 household survey having been
   implemented. Data collection for the Labor Force Survey has also been completed. A number of activities that aim to
   feed the national accounts have been undertaken including the collection of data for the first time on informal cross
   border trade (5 rounds out of 6 completed) and the elaboration of various indices (Industrial Product Price Index –
         The World Bank
         CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


    IPPI, Construction Cost index - ICC) and the Price Index for Services - IPPS, the latter for the first time). The
    implementation of the long-delayed population census continues however to be held up by technical, security and
    financing issues. Enhancing the use and dissemination of statistical data by the Government was supported through
    the equipping of the new statistical agency (INS) headquarters with technology, the establishment of a data
    warehouse (CAMSED) and the integration of new features in the Open Data platform, but more efforts are needed to
    ensure the dissemination and actual usage of the statistics being produced. A yearly survey to assess the satisfaction
    of users of public statistics has still not taken place although data on user satisfaction is being collected online with
    visitors of the INS’ website.

7. A project restructuring has been requested by the government following the MTR and is needed in order to improve
   project implementation. In addition, measures are being implemented for improved procurement and contract
   management in the project. The objectives sought by the Project remain highly relevant and instrumental to helping
   implement the country’s rolling Global Reform Program for Public Financial Management, which is updated and
   assessed every year. The objectives of the restructuring therefore are to : i) review the scope of the project’s activities
   to streamline and select priority interventions most directly linked to the achievement of targeted results for the
   remaining duration of the project and for improved project management (less dispersion of efforts); ii) revise the
   project results framework to ensure indicators are clear and measurable and remain in the sphere of influence of the
   project, and to strengthen the links between activities and results sought ); iii) identify in a very selective manner key
   gaps in terms of technical interventions to achieve the PDO; iv) and undertake re-allocations from lower-performing
   components (in terms of disbursement notably) to address financing gaps under the statistical component.

 II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES

    A. Project Components

8. Main changes to project components are summarized as follows in light of the above restructuring objectives and
   the prioritized activities: i) sub-component 1.3 on deploying the new integrated human resources and payroll
   management system (which has not yet been put in place) will be dropped; ii) support to the interconnection of select
   financial management information systems of MINFI will be added under sub-component 1.2 (enhancing the system
   for monitoring programs’ execution and results); iii) sub-components 2.2 and 2.3 will be merged (enhancing public
   investment budget monitoring) as well as the subcomponents 3.1 and 3.3 (strengthening the competencies of public
   officials responsible for public procurement) and 3.2 and 3.4 (Enhancing the capacity and performance of
   organizations in the procurement system) for coherence and funds fungibility; iv) and greater funds will be allocated
   to the statistical component through a reallocation of $ $2 million from the other three components. The following
   section details activities retained as priorities, added and dropped as well as revised costs.

Consolidating the Program Budgeting Reform

9. Subcomponent 1.1 on strengthening program budgeting is maintained with a focus on the priority activities to be
   undertaken under the medium-term Technical Assistance on consolidating the program budgeting reform at both
   the central and sectoral pilot levels. Program budgeting was launched in 2013 in Cameroon but has not been
   sufficiently operationalized to truly impact practices. At the central level (Ministry of Finance), improved
   operationalization requires revised budget preparation and execution practices and guidelines that the project will
   support, including the production of a methodological guide for applying the new budgetary classification and the
   strengthening of the management of authorized commitments and payment credits (which have been decoupled) to
   support multi-year budget execution. At the sectoral level, every ministry now prepares three-year programs and
         The World Bank
         CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


    identifies objectives and indicators, but programs are not aligned with sectoral strategies and the quality of results is
    lacking. The project’s TA is thus also designed to support MINSANTE and MINEDUB to improve the design (including
    results indicators) and operationalization of their program budgets and their alignment with Medium-Term
    Expenditure Frameworks (MTEFs) and sectoral strategies.

10. Subcomponent 1.2 on enhancing the system for monitoring programs’ execution and results will focus on the
    quality and availability of expenditure data. Since the Project’s inception, efforts have been made to improve
    transparency including through the publication of a citizens’ budget, but the available budget execution data remain
    incomplete. Actual payments are difficult to track during the fiscal year. They are reported only in the final budget
    expenditure Law (Loi de Règlement), which is issued a year later, and lack adequate disaggregation (e.g. to track capital
    expenditure at the subnational levels). In the remaining period of project implementation, efforts will be focused on
    utilizing the BOOST platform to integrate budget data from different sources and present them in a user-friendly
    manner, starting with the analysis of the 2020 data. Relevant government officials in will be trained to regularly update
    the BOOST data and use it to analyze budget execution. Indeed, under this sub-component, the existence of
    fragmented information systems has been identified as a key challenge, as it prevents the government from having a
    comprehensive and real time view of budget data. This information gap negatively affects budget execution (as
    manifested in the existence of large payment arrears), and unless it is addressed, the benefits of the ongoing TSA
    reform will be limited. Although the development of an Integrated Financial Management Information System (IFMIS)
    constitutes a longer-term objective of the government, the project will build on a targeted diagnostic of the MINFI
    systems (Treasury, Directorate General of Budget, Directorate General of Taxation) to identify actionable solutions for
    data integration. In particular, the interconnection of the Treasury ‘s application CADRE with the information system
    of the tax administration (OTP) will be supported for better visibility on tax revenue in support of smoother budget
    execution.

11. Subcomponent 1.3 on supporting the deployment of the new integrated HR and payroll management system will
    be dropped. Although there is a need for an HRMIS in Cameroon that would integrate career, payroll, and pension
    information (SIGIPES II) to strengthen payroll controls and inform more strategic planning and allocation of human
    resources, the reform long-in-the-making has still not been undertaken by the government and its outside the purview
    of the project. The project was to provide support downstream to prepare the two pilot ministries for deployment of
    the HRMIS notably through updating their HR files, organizational frameworks and staffing plans. It should be noted
    that the organizational frameworks for six ministries were updated. With the cancellation of this activity, $ 1 million
    of the $1.3 million allocated to this sub-component will be reallocated to the statistical component (for the population
    census) and the remaining funds will be utilized for the pilot integration of MINFI systems.

12. Subcomponent 1.4 on strengthening the management of the SOE portfolio will be streamlined to focus on the
    production, reporting and publication of key financial data, and retain three key activities: i) the development of
    the strategy for State-Owned enterprises and establishments - a draft has been developed; ii) the production and
    publication of the financial statements of SOEs; iii) and the development of an ICT system for monitoring the
    performance and financial situation of SOEs, which would allow to automate data reporting and analysis. On ii), RRIs
    will be implemented to build the capacity of 14 SOEs (including a few of the largest in their categories) and the relevant
    MINFI bodies (Technical Commission for Restructuring – CTR and Division of Shares and Contributions – DPC) to better
    monitor SOEs’ financial performance. On iii) and to that end, the existing ICT-based monitoring platform of CTR (SISEP)
    will be upgraded to accommodate new functionalities and be accessible to the MINFI bodies and other attached
    agencies that need access.
         The World Bank
         CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


13. Component 1 will be renamed “consolidating the program budgeting reform and improving the management of
    public funds” to better capture the range of activities and targeted results in terms of i) operationalizing the program
    budgeting reform and ii) improving government budget execution and oversight of SOE finances, notably through the
    strengthened production and reporting of the related data.

Improving the quality of public investment in selected sectors

14. Sub-component 2.1 on strengthening public investment planning and budgeting has a number of ongoing and
    planned activities, which will be reprioritized as follows: i) the development of a new selection framework for public
    investment projects including a new manual that includes poverty impact as a selection criterion; and the
    establishment of a Project maturation Fund to build project appraisal capacity of line ministries. On ii), the Project
    will allocate $1 million to the maturation of projects under MINSANTE and MINEDUB. In addition, TA support will be
    provided to revise the project preparation and appraisal guidelines (“guide de maturation”) to improve the process as
    well as to strengthen the preparation and implementation of large capital projects (“grands projets”) of the two pilot
    ministries.

15. Sub-component 2.2 on enhancing public investment execution monitoring will be focused on the development and
    deployment of the ICT-based platform for the monitoring of public investments projects (financial and physical
    execution) with geo-referencing and the integration of citizen feedback. In the meantime, the existing database of
    projects will be reviewed for comprehensiveness and to enable online publication of project information.

16. Subcomponent 2.3 on strengthening the management of public investment projects financed by international and
    bilateral donors will be consolidated into component 2.2 for flexibility and fungibility in the use of funds. The various
    tools developed to strengthen the monitoring and execution of externally financed projects (FINEX) also remain to be
    disseminated including with donors, finalized and operationalized for the remaining duration of the project. $ 500,000
    under this component will be reallocated to the statistical component for the conduct of the population census.

Strengthening the performance of the public procurement system and developing capacity for better service delivery

17. Subcomponent 3.1. on strengthening the competencies of public officials responsible for public procurement
    retains the priority of developing and implementing a training strategy. The training strategy will be based on the
    draft Strategy for the professionalization of procurement specialists, which has already been developed on the basis
    of a diagnostic. The project will now support the implementation of the Professionalization Strategy, e.g. with the
    establishment of an accreditation platform. Greater efforts will be made to increase the share of women participants
    in the trainings, but relevant targets need to be revised to take account of the actual numbers of women in relevant
    procurement functions in the public administration (see changes to Results Framework).

18. Subcomponent 3.2. on enhancing the capacity of organizations in the procurement system to carry out their
    functions will only be focused on continuing to operationalize the Cameroon Online Procurement System (COLEPS).
    Relevant activities will include a diagnostic of the system to identify the challenges and possible improvements to
    enable all procurement actors to use the modules of phase 1 of the platform and to define a roadmap for the effective
    implementation of phases 2 and 3 of the government’s e-Procurement project.

19. Subcomponent 3.3. Streamlining the procurement regulatory framework will be merged with component 3.1. The
    activities under this subcomponent mostly consist of finalizing and disseminating the procurement regulatory
    framework and the accompanying tools that have been developed, through trainings. These activities can be
    considered an integral part of strengthening the competencies of the relevant public officials in the two institutions
          The World Bank
          CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


     responsible for public procurement (Ministry of Public Contracts and Procurement Regulatory Agency) and in the
     contracting entities at large.

 20. Subcomponent 3.4. on Improving the management and monitoring of procurement performance will be focused
     on the implementation of the PBF mechanism and will be consolidated with sub-component 3.2. The PBF approach
     has been piloted in eight public contracting entities. A formal evaluation of the pilot phase will be conducted to identify
     key results, lessons and especially recommendations before extending the mechanism to more contracting entities.
     As the regulation on the PBF covered only the eight pilot agencies, a new regulation will be needed to extend the
     applicability of PBF to other entities and to institutionalize the process. The PBF digitalization mechanism which has
     been developed in support under the project will need to be operationalized and deployed. $ 500,000 under this
     component will be reallocated to the statistical component for the completion of the 5th Cameroonian Household
     Survey (ECAM 5).

    Enhancing the use of statistics for policy making

21. Subcomponent 4.1 on Improving poverty-related data will remain focused on the conduct of ECAM 5 and increase
    its support to the 4th population Census. The last household survey was undertaken in 2014 and was supposed to be
    repeated at a five-year interval. The National Statistical Agency has prepared the methodology, implemented a pilot
    and a comparative survey, and has started data collection in the field for the main survey, which is currently in its
    second phase. However, the financing gap for the completion of the survey has increased due to reduced counterpart
    funding and the additional costs of covid-19 related safeguards measures. This financing gap (low estimate of $
    300,000) will be covered through reallocations from other components. The main change under this component is an
    additional allocation of $1.5 million for the 4th population census, bringing the total project allocation to this activity
    to $ 2.5 million. The project was initially designed to support the analysis of the census data. However, given the long-
    awaited need and many benefits and impacts of a census (which has not been conducted since 2005 in Cameroon)
    including providing the sampling framework of all other statistical operations (that lack of a sampling framework has
    for e.g. hampered ECAM 5) and the construction of poverty maps which can inform policies and can allow to target
    programs, the project will help close the financial gap for its conduct. The census implementation will be coupled with
    that of the agricultural and livestock census and a full assessment of its financing needs to be completed promptly,
    indicating all its sources of financing as well as how the technical and security challenges that it still faces in a few
    regions will be addressed. One of its proposed sources of financing is a new Bank-financed regional project on building
    statistical capacity for census activities to be carried out in 2023.

22. Subcomponent 4.2. on strengthening the national accounts remains largely unchanged but needs to emphasize the
    development of regular collection methodologies. The main priorities of this sub-component will be the completion
    of the data collection for the informal cross-border trade survey, including three additional rounds to cover one full
    fiscal year (baseline year), and the validation of for the methodology for continuing the data collection for subsequent
    surveys beyond the duration of the project. This reflects the overarching challenge of Cameroon’s statistical system,
    which is developing mechanisms for regular data collection in order to update key statistical indicators and securing
    adequate financing for this work. Activities related to the production of various indices will continue as planned.

23. Subcomponent 4.3. on enhancing the dissemination of statistical data and their use by the Government to improve
    policy making and implementation needs to be strengthened. The MTR recommended that the project support the
    dissemination of the results of key statistical surveys (e.g. Covid-19 panel surveys, Labor Force survey and the other
    upcoming key surveys) in order to reach more users and ensure that policy makers are well informed of the availability
    of data so that they can use them to inform their decision-making. A satisfaction survey of users of public statistics will
    be undertaken in 2022 and will go beyond government users to include NGOs, academia, etc. The project will
         The World Bank
         CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


   implement mechanisms for tracking user satisfaction on a regular basis such as through ongoing surveys administered
   to visitors of the statistical agency’s website. Under this sub-component, training to relevant government officials in
   the use of policy impact simulation models will continue according to the needs.

    Projects components and sub-components pre and post-restructuring

 Component/Sub-components               Original         Revised         Component/Sub-components              Original       Revised
                                        Allocation       Allocation                                            Allocation     Allocation
                                        USD million      USD million                                           USD million    USD million
 1. Consolidating the program           6.0              5.5             3.        Strengthening        the    7.0            6.0
 budgeting reform and improving                                          performance of the public
 the management of public funds                                          procurement system
 1.1. Strengthening program             2.3              2.3             3.1. Strengthening the                2.5            2.2
 budgeting                                                               competencies of public officials
                                                                         responsible for public
                                                                         procurement
 1.2. Enhancing the system for          1.4              2.2             3.2. Enhancing the capacity and       0.5            3.8
 monitoring programs’ execution                                          performance of organizations in
 and results                                                             the procurement system
 1.3 Deployment of new payroll          1.3              0.0             3.3. Streamlining the                 0.7            0.0 (merged
 management                                              (dropped)       procurement regulatory                               with 3.1)
                                                                         framework
 1.4. Strengthening the management      1.0              1.0             3.4. Improving the management         3.3            0.0 (merged
 of the SOE portfolio                                                    and monitoring of procurement                        with 3.2)
                                                                         performance
  2. Improving the quality of public 5.5                 5.0             4. Enhancing the use of statistics    9.0            11.0
  investment in selected sectors                                         for policy making
  2.1. Strengthening public           3.0                3.0             4.1. Improving poverty-related        5.4            7.1
  investment planning and budgeting                                      data
  2.2. Enhancing public investment    1.5                2.0             4.2. Strengthening the national       2.5            2.8
  execution monitoring                                                   accounts
  2.3. Strengthening the management 1.0                  0.0 (merged     4.3 Enhancing the dissemination       1.1            1.1
  of public investment projects                          with 2.2)       and use of statistical data
  financed by international and
  bilateral donors
Italics: sub-component dropped or merged

      B. Results Framework
   24. Five PDO indicators are revised to adjust for evolving conditions since the project’s design and to clarify what is
   meant to be measured and how, while one PDO indicator will be dropped as shown in the following table. New
   formulations of indicators can be seen in the results framework annex.

                   PDO Indicators                Status                              Changes/Comments
       Average variance by economic                            The definition and formulation of the indicator is revised to
       classification between annual                           clarify what is being measured and how to measure it. New
       budget allocation and MTEF                              formulation: variance between the annual budget allocation
                                               Revised
       projection in selected sectors                          and the initial MTEF projection for the first MTEF year (one
       (Percentage)                                            indicator each for MINSANTE and MINEDUB). That initial MTEF
                                                               is approved by the Parliament. Project activities are supporting
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   CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


                                                         these ministries in the preparation of credible MTEFs that are
                                                         to inform annual budget allocations.




 Public investment projects in
                                                         This indicator depends on the elaboration of the new selection
 selected sectors included in the
                                            Dropped      manual and is vague as «full compliance » has not been
 national budget that fully complied
                                                         defined.
 with the new selection manual
 Decentralized Public investment
                                                         These indicators were defined as the execution rate of public
 execution rate by December 31 in
                                                         investments in health and basic education respectively
 selected sectors (MINSANTE)                 Revised
                                                         managed by the deconcentrated and decentralized entities.
 (Percentage)
                                                         For coherence and in alignment with the baseline, these
                                                         indicators are revised to report overall PIB execution for
 Decentralized Public investment
                                                         MINSANTE and MINEDUB. Strictly decentralized PIB in these
 execution rate by December 31 in
                                             Revised     sectors will also be monitored in support of the overall
 selected sectors (MINEDUB)
                                                         decentralization agenda.
 (Percentage)
 Average time for procurement                            The definition of this indicator is revised to clarify that it
 process of public investment                            covers all procurement activities undertaken by relevant State
 projects for MINMAP contracts                           entities (entities subject to the use of the public procurement
 (Days)                                      Revised     code issued in June 2018) that meet the threshold for prior
                                                         review by the MINMAP Central Control Commission for
                                                         Contracts. In addition, the percentage of contracts awarded
                                                         through COLEPS will also be monitored.
 Satisfaction of public statistics users                 This indicator is revised to refer to all users to be surveyed,
 from public administration                  Revised     not just from the public administration (academia, NGOs,
 (Percentage)                                            private sector, etc …)

25.        Nine IRIs are revised, one is dropped, two remain unchanged and one is added as shown in the following
table:

                  IRI                       Status                            Changes/Comments
 Number of program budget and
 associated result indicators                          Notwithstanding the fact that the newest budget classification
 redesigned (based on the new              Dropped     (2019) has yet to be applied, this indicator lacks clarity regarding
 budget classification)                                what it meant to measure and how to measure it.

 Annual performance plans
                                                       This indicator is proposed to capture the operationalization of
 prepared on the basis of the new
                                            New        program budgeting in the two pilot ministries through the TA to
 program format and indicators in
                                                       be provided to the ministries.
 MINEDUB and MINSANTE
 Publication of annual budget and                      Given the fragmented systems in use causing delays in updating
 spending through on-line BOOST                        the expenditure data, this indicator is revised to set a more
 database by January 30 (Yes/No)           Revised     realistic timeline for publication on the basis of authorized
                                                       payments (December for 2021 data and July of following year for
                                                       2022 data) focusing on more recent budget data.
 Publication of key annual financial                   This indicator is revised to focus on the publication of audited
 and performance data of the 10            Revised     financial statements for a specific group SOEs that will be
 largest SOEs (Number)                                 accompanied to that effect (production, transmission and
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  CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


                                                 publication). Financial statements should be published on the
                                                 websites of the SOE or the website of the Ministry of Finance or
                                                 in a legal notice newspaper (journal d’annonce légal) per the
                                                 Cameroonian legislation.
Validation of Public Investment                  Although this result is delayed, it remains important to
Selection Manual that include                    strengthen the investment project selection process. The new
Poverty in selection criteria                    project selection manual will include as a criterion the impact of
                                     No change
(Yes/No)                                         a given project on poverty (for example, by assessing the
                                                 percentage of people living under the poverty line in the areas of
                                                 intervention of the project).
Comprehensive budgeted                           The definition of this indicator will clarify that it refers to the
Investment Projects database                     integrated ICT-based monitoring platform for public investment
available online and updated                     projects, as there has been confusion in practice between this
                                      Revised
quarterly within 4 weeks after the               platform (in development) and the existing projects database
end of each quarter (Yes/No)                     used by the Ministry of Economy and Planning (currently not
                                                 available online).
Average time for procurement                     It will be confirmed in the indicator definition that it refers to the
process of public investment          Revised    average processing time for procurement activities for MINEDUB
projects of MINEDUB (Days)                       that fall below the competency threshold of MINMAP.
Average time for procurement                     It will be confirmed in the indicator definition that it refers to the
process of public investment                     average processing time for procurement activities for
                                      Revised
projects of MINSANTE (Days)                      MINSANTE that fall below the competency threshold of
                                                 MINMAP.
Procurement staff trained with                   This indicator’s definition will be clarified to confirm the
demonstrated competency in                       denominator but with however a gradual % of actors to be
procurement (Percentage)                         trained each year. Its targets will thus be revised accordingly to
                                      Revised
                                                 progressively reach 70%. Demonstrated competency had already
                                                 been defined as evidenced by testing administered at the end of
                                                 the trainings to assess learning achievements
Female beneficiaries of                          The definition of this indicator will be revised to refer to the
procurement training (Percentage)                proportion of women working in procurement who have been
                                                 trained with a final target of 70%. Without this clarification, this
                                      Revised    indicator has been interpreted primarily as the percentage of
                                                 trained women among overall Procurement staff, which makes
                                                 the final current target of 50% unrealistic given that women
                                                 represent about 21.4% of total staff working in procurement.
ECAM 5 survey revised
methodology is aligned with new
                                     No change   This indicator has been met.
international standards on Poverty
surveys (Yes/No, Custom)
Regions for which cross border
trade statistics are produced and                On track to be met and surpassed (from 4 to 7 regions). Target is
                                      Revised
taken into account in National                   thus increased to 7 (all border regions).
accounts (Number)
Interval between two Population                  Although the Project has made efforts to mobilize additional
Census reduced (Years)                           funding for the census, that still does not cover the entire
                                                 financing gap which is yet to be confirmed by the government.
                                      Revised
                                                 Given the fact that the conduct of the census is dependent on
                                                 security and financial factors beyond the project’s control, it is
                                                 recommended this indicator be revised and formulated in terms
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        CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


                                                      that are under the project’s control, i.e. the revision of the
                                                      census mapping.

  24. The project’s overall risk rating was “high” at approval and is now “Substantial.” This is due to the previous
      downgrading of the “political and governance as well as “macroeconomic“ risks taking into account only the
      residual risks to the project. In addition, with this restructuring, efforts have been made to identify priority
      activities under each component and consolidate a few sub-components and discontinue activities. It is expected
      that this streamlining reduces the risk linked to the technical design of the project in the form of several project
      subcomponents and a de facto proliferation of activities. The remaining financing gap for the conduct of the 4th
      population census as well as security challenges for its conduct in a few regions, reinforce however the
      “substantial” institutional capacity for implementation and sustainability risk.

  25. A 12-month project extension was requested in light of the time taken for the project to for reach effectiveness
      and to allow sufficient time to implement project activities. The matter will be revisited by December 2022 and
      will be considered on the basis of the achievements of key milestones, the main proposed one being an
      improvement in the project disbursement rate to at least 40%.

Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal.



III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES

                                                                        Changed                          Not Changed
Results Framework                                                           ✔
Components and Cost                                                         ✔
Overall Risk Rating                                                         ✔
Implementation Schedule                                                     ✔
Implementing Agency                                                                                             ✔
DDO Status                                                                                                      ✔
Project's Development Objectives                                                                                ✔
PBCs                                                                                                            ✔
Loan Closing Date(s)                                                                                            ✔
Cancellations Proposed                                                                                          ✔
Reallocation between Disbursement Categories                                                                    ✔
Disbursements Arrangements                                                                                      ✔
Disbursement Estimates                                                                                          ✔
Safeguard Policies Triggered                                                                                    ✔
                                       The World Bank
                                       CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



EA category                                                                                                                       ✔
Legal Covenants                                                                                                                   ✔
Institutional Arrangements                                                                                                        ✔
Financial Management                                                                                                              ✔
Procurement                                                                                                                       ✔
Other Change(s)                                                                                                                   ✔
Economic and Financial Analysis                                                                                                   ✔
Technical Analysis                                                                                                                ✔
Social Analysis                                                                                                                   ✔
Environmental Analysis                                                                                                            ✔


IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S)


OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_COMPONENTS_TABLE




COMPONENTS
                                                                       Current
Current                                                                                         Proposed                                Proposed
                                                                          Cost         Action
Component Name                                                                                  Component Name                        Cost (US$M)
                                                                       (US$M)
                                                                                                Consolidating the program
Consolidating the program
                                                                                                budgeting reform and
budgeting reform in selected                                              6.00        Revised                                                5.50
                                                                                                improving the management of
sectors
                                                                                                public funds
Improving quality of public                                                                     Improving the quality of public
                                                                          5.50        Revised                                                5.00
investment in selected sectors                                                                  investment in selected sectors
                                                                                                Strengthening the
Strengthening the performance
                                                                                                performance of the public
of the public procurement
                                                                          7.00        Revised   procurement system and                       6.00
system and developing capacity
                                                                                                developing capacity for better
for better service delivery
                                                                                                service delivery
Enhancing the use of statistics                                                                 Enhancing the use of statistics
                                                                          9.00        Revised                                               11.00
for policy-making                                                                               for policy-making
 Project coordination                                                     3.50     No Change    Project coordination                         3.50

 TOTAL                                                                   31.00                                                              31.00
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                                 CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)


OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_SORT_TABLE




          SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL (SORT)

       Risk Category                                                         Rating at Approval           Current Rating

         Political and Governance                                            High                        Substantial
         Macroeconomic                                                       Substantial                 Moderate
         Sector Strategies and Policies                                      Moderate                    Moderate
         Technical Design of Project or Program                              Substantial                 Moderate
         Institutional Capacity for Implementation and                       Substantial                 Substantial
         Sustainability
         Fiduciary                                                           Substantial                 Substantial
         Environment and Social                                              Low                         Low
         Stakeholders                                                        Substantial                 Substantial
         Other
         Overall                                                             High                        Substantial
 .
                                   The World Bank
                                   CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



.
                                                                                          Results framework
                                                                                     COUNTRY: Cameroon
                                                         CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project

    Project Development Objectives(s)
    The project development objective is to improve the effectiveness of public spending in selected sectors and strengthen the statistics system for evidence-
    based decision making.

    Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes
    RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO




                           Indicator Name   PBC Baseline                                                 Intermediate Targets                         End Target

                                                                   1              2               3                4                5            6
    Enhanced coherence between policy and budgeting (Action: This Objective has been Revised)
    Variance between the
    annual budget allocation
    and the initial MTEF
                                                 50.00            50.00          40.00           30.00            20.00                              20.00
    projection for the first
    MTEF year (MINSANTE)
    (Percentage)
    Action: This indicator has
    been Revised
    Variance between the
    annual budget allocation
    and the initial MTEF
                                                 50.00            50.00          40.00           30.00            20.00                              20.00
    projection for the first
    MTEF year (MINEDUB)
    (Percentage)
    Action: This indicator is
    New
    Improved preparation, execution and value for money of projects in selected sectors (Action: This Objective has been Revised)
                               The World Bank
                               CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO




                       Indicator Name   PBC Baseline                                                Intermediate Targets                    End Target

                                                             1               2              3                 4             5       6
Public investment
projects in selected
sectors included in the
national budget that fully                   0.00           0.00           10.00           20.00             40.00         50.00   50.00   50.00
complied with the new
selection manual
(Percentage)
Action: This indicator has
been Marked for
Deletion
Public investment
execution rate by
December 31 in selected                      52.60          55.00          60.00           65.00             70.00                         75.00
sectors (MINSANTE)
(Percentage)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Public investment
execution rate by
December 31 in selected                      73.15          75.00          75.00           80.00             80.00                         85.00
sectors (MINEDUB)
(Percentage)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Average procurement
time of public contracts
                                             255.00         230.00         210.00          190.00            180.00                        180.00
subject to MINMAP's
prior review (Days)
                               The World Bank
                               CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO




                       Indicator Name   PBC Baseline                                               Intermediate Targets                              End Target

                                                             1               2              3                4                5            6
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Improved decision-making process based on reliable statistical data
Satisfaction of public
statistics users                             0.00           50.00          60.00           70.00            70.00                                70.00
(Percentage)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised

 PDO Table SPACE

Intermediate Results Indicators by Components
RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                       Indicator Name     PBC Baseline                                             Intermediate Targets                         End Target

                                                                    1               2                 3                   4          5
Consolidating the program budgeting reform and improving the management of public funds (Action: This Component has been Revised)
Number of program budget
and associated result
indicators redesigned
                                               0.00              0.00              6.00              6.00            6.00           6.00       6.00
(based on the new budget
classification) revised
(Percentage)
Action: This indicator has
been Marked for Deletion
Annual performance plans
prepared on the basis of the                   No                Yes                                                                           Yes
new program format and
                             The World Bank
                             CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                      Indicator Name    PBC Baseline                                           Intermediate Targets                 End Target

                                                               1                 2                3                4           5
indicators in MINEDUB
(Yes/No)
Action: This indicator is
New
Annual performance plans
prepared on the basis of the
new program format and                       No               Yes                                                                  Yes
indicators in MINSANTE
(Yes/No)
Action: This indicator is
New
Publication of annual
budget and spending
through on-line BOOST                        No               No               No                Yes              Yes              Yes
database by July 31st
(Yes/No)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Publication of audited
financial statements of                      0.00             0.00             0.00              5.00                              10.00
SOEs (Number)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Improving the quality of public investments (Action: This Component has been Revised)
Validation of Public
Investment Selection                         No               Yes              Yes               Yes              Yes              Yes
Manual that include
                             The World Bank
                             CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                      Indicator Name    PBC Baseline                                            Intermediate Targets                End Target

                                                               1                 2                 3                  4        5
Poverty in selection criteria
(Yes/No)
Comprehensive public
investment projects
database available online                    No               No               No                Yes                 Yes           Yes
and updated at least twice a
year (Yes/No)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Strengthening the performance of the public procurement system and developing capacity for better service delivery
Average procurement time
of public contracts under
                                             128.00           120.00           110.00            100.00              90.00         90.00
MINEDUB's exclusive
competence (Days)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Average procurement time
of public contracts under
                                             128.00           120.00           110.00            100.00              90.00         90.00
MINSANTE's exclusive
competence (Days)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Procurement staff trained
with demonstrated
                                             0.00             0.00             50.00             60.00               70.00         70.00
competency in
procurement (Percentage)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
                             The World Bank
                             CAMEROON - Strengthening Public Sector Effectiveness and Statistical Capacity Project (P151155)



RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                      Indicator Name    PBC Baseline                                           Intermediate Targets                 End Target

                                                               1                 2                3                4           5
Beneficiaries of
procurement training                         0.00             0.00             0.00              60.00            70.00            70.00
among women (Percentage)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
Enhancing the use of statistics for policy-making
4th Population Census
                                             No                                                                                    Yes
mapping revised (Yes/No)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised
ECAM 5 survey revised
methodology is aligned with
                                             No                                                                                    Yes
new international standards
on Poverty surveys (Yes/No)
Regions for which cross
border trade statistics are
produced and taken into                      0.00             0.00             4.00              4.00             7.00             7.00
account in National
accounts (Number)
Action: This indicator has
been Revised

IO Table SPACE
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