The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Kenya | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2019 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 28-Jun-2022 | ISR52044 | Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Labour and Social Protection, National Drought Managemnet Authority, Republic of Kenya Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 27-Nov-2018 Effectiveness Date: 31-Jan-2019 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 20-Sep-2021 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 27-Sep-2021 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2023 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To strengthen delivery systems for enhanced access to social and economic inclusion services and shock-responsive safety nets for poor and vulnerable households. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1 - Strengthening Social Protection Delivery Systems:(Cost $719.87 M) Component 2 - Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions:(Cost $303.08 M) Component 3 - Improving the Shock Responsiveness of Safety Net System:(Cost $323.27 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The implementing agencies for the Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (KSEIP)--the State Department for Social Protection and the National Drought Management Authority--continue to advance project implementation. The review of the project progress carried out in early June 2022 noted acceleration in selected areas. Several Disbursement-Linked Results have been achieved by both implementing agencies who are preparing the evidence to share with the World Bank. The inadequate funding of the Hunger Safety Net Program that is one of the Eligible Expenditure Programs supported by the project remains a concern. The Government’s self-assessment report recommended an extension in the project closing date to allow more time to achieve the pending results. However, it will be important to receive the Government`s confirmation of the continued relevance of various project activities as well as its commitment to project objectives, especially those related to shock-responsive safety net, for the World Bank management`s consideration. 6/28/2022 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Strengthening social protection delivery systems IN01158458 ►Number of counties where the roll out of enhanced Single Registry covers at least 75 percent of targeted households (Text, Custom, PBC) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Roll-out completed in 4 An SR, linked to the MIS Roll-out completed in 2 non-HSNP counties, of four cash transfer non-HSNP counties, Roll out completed in Value pending third-party programs, is functional pending third-party 39 non HSNP counties validation of data with links to the IPRS validation of data quality quality Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 Data collection have been completed in four non-HSNP counties. The data collection has been launched for another 14 counties. A third-party quality assurance firm has been engaged for an independent verification of quality of the household data collected in two counties. Another quality assurance firm is Comments: being hired to cover the other two counties and those that will be covered by the data collection exercise in the coming month. Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions IN01158459 6/28/2022 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) ►Number of households receiving nutrition-sensitive cash transfer (Number, Custom, PBC) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 600.00 12,054.00 10,000.00 23,500.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 Over 10 thousand households were in receipt of NICHE top-ups and nutrition counselling in May 2022. Comments: IN01158546 ►Number of sub-counties where economic inclusion model is initiated (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 10.00 9.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 A substantial progress was made after signing the TA contract in December 2020. This includes completion of the EI interventions design, establishment of coordination mechanisms, capacity building of government officers to support the program and development of implementation tools such as operational guidelines, local support structures, monitoring framework, funds flow mechanism, CD-MIS, mentors` Comments: network and others. Moreover, the targeting has been completed and three thousand beneficiaries identified in Muranga and Makueni counties. Identification and targeting are still underway in three other counties, which was postponed to give time for preparation of program evaluation baseline. Improving the shock-responsiveness of the Safety Net System IN01158460 ►Number of new regular HSNP households enrolled and paid for through the GoK’s budget in expansion counties (Number, Custom, PBC) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 32,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2019 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 Registration in the four expansion counties of Samburu, Isiolo, Tana River and Garissa is underway. NDMA has registered over 70% of the registration target. However, payment of the new beneficiaries has Comments: not started yet because of HSNP funding gap. IN01158547 ►Enhanced financing mechanism for HSNP scalability is implemented (Text, Custom, PBC) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Emergency payments Emergency payments Emergency payments No formal financing plan made for 100% of are delayed for made for 100% of Value in place households triggered in 4 households triggered households triggered HSNP counties in 4 HSNP counties in HSNP 8 counties Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 31-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 The HSNP Financing Plan for FY21/22 envisages the HSNP emergency payments to be fully covered by Comments: the NT. However, the national budget allocations fall short of KES1.2 billion to cover the HSNP needs. The current program deficit jeopardizes continuous progress. 6/28/2022 Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Strengthening Social Protection Delivery Systems IN01158549 ►IRI 1: Percentage of beneficiaries receiving payments through the new Inua Jamii Payment Mechanism for the Consolidated Cash Transfer Program (Percentage, Custom, PBC) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 85.00 85.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 31-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 The indicator has been achieved at 85% of the total planned beneficiaries receiving their cash transfers through the new payment mechanism. Further progress remains challenging for several reasons. One is the fluctuation in the number of beneficiary households due to the change in their eligibility status as well as the change in OPCT targeting criteria after introduction of the new payment mechanism in 2018 that Comments: makes it difficult to re-target the earlier program beneficiaries. Another is persistent funding issues in the Consolidated Cash Transfers Program (CCTP) to enable dynamic replacement of the existed households with the new ones to achieve and maintain the 100% target . IN01158552 ►IRI 2: Integrated G&CM mechanism is strengthened and rolled out at decentralized level (Text, Custom, PBC) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target CCTP G&CM NSNP G&CM G&CM system for all four mechanism rolled out in Enhanced G&CM mechanism has been Value NSNP programs piloted 5 counties. HSNP G&CM functional in all KSEIP decentralized in all in 20 sub-counties mechanism rolled out in counties counties. 4 counties Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 The nationwide rollout of the decentralized G&CM system has been completed. The Government enhances the scope of the G&CM to cover KSEIP activities with subsequent decentralized implementation. This entails: (i) revised G&CM procedures in the CCTP and HSNP operational manual Comments: detailing the procedures for receiving, recording and responding to cases; (ii) revised design and update of CCTP-MIS and HSNP MIS modules to record KSEIP and NSNP cases, and action taken; and (iii) the development of clear institutional roles and responsibilities for the intake and resolution of all cases. IN01158554 ►IRI 3: Beneficiary Outreach Strategy for NSNP and KSEIP rolled out (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target BOS for the CCTP rolled- Enhanced BOS rolled Value Roll-out pending Roll-out pending out in 20 sub- counties out in all 47 counties Date 31-Dec-2019 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 SDSP expects to have an enhanced Beneficiary Outreach Strategy completed in June 2022. The rollout is pegged on strengthening of the implementing structures as part of the preparation for roll out. This Comments: involves training of county officers, Beneficiary Welfare Committees (BWCs) and relevant stakeholders in KSEIP counties that is expected to begin in FY22/23. IN01158556 6/28/2022 Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) ►Beneficiaries of social safety net programs (Number, Corporate) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 12,054.00 78,000.00 341,500.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 This indicator counts individual beneficiaries, both direct and indirect, of KSEIP-supported interventions i.e. HSNP beneficiaries in expansion counties as well as NICHE and economic inclusion beneficiaries. Over 10 thousand households were enrolled in the NICHE program in ten sub-counties. Comments: Another 5.5 thousands have been enrolled in the Economic Inclusion pilot. HSNP enrollment in the expansion counties is yet to start pending allocation of budget. The indicator`s value is an estimate made using the methodology described below. IN01158558 Beneficiaries of social safety net programs - Female (Number, Corporate Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 12,054.00 12,054.00 170,750.00 Component 2: Increasing Access to Social and Economic Inclusion Interventions IN01158550 ►IRI 5: Establishment and implementation of referral mechanism for the NHIF (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 30 percent of NSNP households enrolled in 90 percent of NSNP Value the NHIF but no 26% 44% beneficiaries enrolled systematic referral in the NHIF system in place Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 IN01158553 ►IRI 6: Number of households receiving package of nutrition-sensitive social protection services (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 600.00 0.00 10,000.00 23,500.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 29-Dec-2023 Over 10 thousand households were enrolled in NICHE and received their top-ups and nutrition Comments: counselling. Component 3: Improving the Shock-Responsiveness of the Safety Net System IN01158548 ►IRI 7: Percentage of payments that are made on time to Payment Service Providers for transfer to regular HSNP beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 35.00 67.00 67.00 95.00 6/28/2022 Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 27-Sep-2021 29-Dec-2023 All regular payments were made on time up to December 2020 cycle. After that, the HSNP started to see Comments: interruptions in budget financing. IN01158551 ►IRI 8: Percentage of regular HSNP cash transfers financed by the GoK in the original four HSNP counties (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 64.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 27-Sep-2021 31-Dec-2024 In FY21/22, because of HSNP budget deficit and delays in release of exchequer 2 cycles of regular CTs (4 months p paid as of May 30, 2022. Comments: IN01158555 ►IRI 9: HSNP registration exercise in original and expansion counties completed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Registration completed in original counties and HSNP registry beneficiary lists Registration compleed in updated and linked HSNP re-registration in updated. Registration original counties, 38.3K with enhanced SR Value four original counties has is completed by 70% households registered in according to design commenced in the expansion expansion counties and operating counties. Beneficiary procedures lists are being prepared. Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 31-Dec-2024 The re-registration of beneficiaries in the four HSNP counties of Turkana, Wajir, Mandera and Marsabit was completed in March 2021 with a total of 568,539 households registered. Registration in the four expansion counties of Samburu, Isiolo, Tana River and Garissa is underway. NDMA has registered over 70% of the target number of households. SDSP has initiated the process of feeding the HSNP registry Comments: data into the national social registry under the ESR. The migration is to be completed in the coming months. Furthermore, the ESR and HSNP MISs should be synchronized so that the household data being collected for HSNP can also reflect in the ESR database. IN01158557 ►IRI 10: HSNP scalability strategy updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Updated HSNP Updated HSNP Updated HSNP HSNP scalability strategy Value scalability strategy in scalability strategy in scalability strategy in in place place place place Date 31-Dec-2018 27-Sep-2021 27-Sep-2021 29-Dec-2023 During MTR, NDMA submitted the revised scalability strategy. The revisions proposed are in line with previous discussions and modelling completed with the Bank technical support. The changes are Comments: expected to be broadly budget neutral based on the updated list of households registered in the existing HSNP counties. 6/28/2022 Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Performance-Based Conditions IN01158559 ►PBC 1 Number of counties where the roll out of enhanced Single Registry covers at least 75 percent of targeted households (Text, Outcome, 57,900,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 An SR, linked to the MIS of Roll-out completed in 2 Roll-out completed in 4 four cash transfer non-HSNP counties, non-HSNP counties, Value -- programs, is functional with pending third-party pending third-party links to the IPRS validation of data quality validation of data quality Date -- 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 -- IN01158560 ►PBC 2 IRI 1: Percentage of beneficiaries receiving payments through the new Inua Jamii Payment Mechanism for the Consolidated Cash Transfer Program (Percentage, Intermediate Outcome, 14,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 Value 0.00 85.00 85.00 -- Date -- 27-Sep-2021 31-May-2022 -- IN01158561 ►PBC 3 IRI 2: Integrated G&CM mechanism is strengthened and rolled out at decentralized level (Text, Intermediate Outcome, 20,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 CCTP G&CM G&CM system for all four mechanism rolled out in NSNP G&CM mechanism Value NSNP programs piloted in 5 counties. HSNP G&CM has been decentralized in -- 20 sub-counties mechanism rolled out in all counties. 4 counties Date -- 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 -- IN01158562 ►PBC 4 Number of households receiving nutrition-sensitive cash transfer (Number, Intermediate Outcome, 34,000,000.00, 2.53%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 Value 600.00 12,054.00 10,000.00 -- Date -- 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 -- 6/28/2022 Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) IN01158563 ►PBC 5 Number of new regular HSNP households enrolled and paid for through the GoK’s budget in expansion counties (Number, Outcome, 58,300,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 -- Date -- 27-Sep-2021 30-May-2022 -- IN01158564 ►PBC 6 Enhanced financing mechanism for HSNP scalability is implemented (Text, Outcome, 71,500,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) December 2023 Emergency payments Emergency payments are No formal financing plan in made for 100% of delayed for households Value -- place households triggered in 4 triggered in 4 HSNP HSNP counties counties Date -- 27-Sep-2021 31-May-2022 -- Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P164654 IDA-63480 Effective USD 250.00 250.00 0.00 52.03 178.08 23% P164654 TF-A9527 Effective USD 70.35 70.35 0.00 36.93 33.41 53% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P164654 IDA-63480 Effective 27-Nov-2018 31-Jan-2019 20-Mar-2019 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2023 P164654 TF-A9527 Effective 16-Jan-2019 31-Jan-2019 31-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2023 31-Dec-2023 Cumulative Disbursements 6/28/2022 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Social and Economic Inclusion Project (P164654) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/28/2022 Page 9 of 9