WOCRLD BANK DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE (Joint Ministerial Committee of the Boards of Governors of the Bank and the Fund on the Transfer of Real Resources to Developing Countries) ONE HUNDRED AND SIXTH MEETING WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 14, 2022 DC/S/2022-0047 October 14, 2022 Statement by H.E. Paulo Guedes Minister of Finance Brazil On behalf of Brazil, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Haiti, Panama, Philippines, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago Statement by H.E. Paulo Guedes Minister of Finance Brazil on behalf of Brazil, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Haiti, Panama, Philippines, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago 106th Meeting of the Development Committee October 14, 2022 Washington, DC The war in Ukraine, which sparked a terrible humanitarian disaster, exacerbated the challenges for development across the globe. Brazil has already spoken out clearly against it: in the UN General Assembly and in the UN Security Council. Meanwhile, cascading effects on a world managing the scars from Covid- 19 raise the challenge for the path of sustainable recovery in many countries. First, a severe global inflation, effect of the coronavirus pandemic and the further war in Ukraine, as affected supply chain networks failed to meet rising food and energy demand as economies recovered. Second, an acute crisis in the global food and energy sectors, which has already manifested in the previous year and was exacerbated by the ongoing geopolitical conflict. Third, a mammoth crisis in the education sector, with waves of school closures that have led to huge learning losses. Finally, the impacts of climate change and its extreme weather events that affect harvests and energy production in many parts of the world, adding to market volatility and uncertainty. Decisive, sound economic policy responses and structural reforms are required to deal with the dire economic and social impacts produced by this ominous global situation. Brazil has been experiencing a solid economic recovery, mainly due to the fiscal consolidation policies and business enabling environment reforms that took place in the last few years. In the early stages of the recovery from the pandemic, the Brazilian economy rebounded strongly, and in the beginning of 2021, GDP returned to its pre-pandemic level. Government spending to boost the health system and initiatives to preserve lives and livelihoods were converted to more targeted programs, with fiscal accounts showing a small surplus in 2021. Brazil also started a monetary policy tightening early in 2021, ahead of most countries, and has come a long way in battling inflation. In 2022, while inflation entered a downtrend, GDP growth is being revised consistently upward, also by the IMF and the World Bank. Brazilian GDP growth in 2022 is expected to be around 3%. Furthennore, unemployment records are on a downward trend, 8.9% in August 2022 vs. 14.9% in August 2020. These results were achieved through a bold structural refonn agenda that has been advancing steadily since 2019 to enable the business environment in sectors such as infrastructure (sanitation, 5G, cabotage, electricity, natural gas, transportation), financial markets, startups, and trade liberalization. This agenda, coupled with the solid fiscal framework, has opened space for private sector investments as the main driver of Brazil's economic recovery. Indeed, almost USD 200 billion in infrastructure investment commitments are contracted for the next ten years. Besides, the trade integration agenda is increasing the competitiveness and productivity of the Brazilian economy. In the last four years, Brazil has concluded fifteen agreements on trade, promoted a horizontal 20% cut on import tariffs and removed a significant part of non-tariff barriers. The openness of the Brazilian economy to international trade and its integration into the world economy have reflected on the ratio of the country's trade surplus in goods and services to GDP: 28.9% in 2018 to 39.2% in 2021. Development Committee Agenda: The Food and Energy Crisis Concerning the current global food and energy crisis, it is worth noting that the conflict in Ukraine has profoundly changed international trade, production, and consumption patterns, thus escalating food shortages and inflation. In this context, the 2022 Global Report on Food Crises Mid-Year Update predicts that up to 205.1 million people in 45 of the 53 countries/territories will be experiencing food crisis or worse. Exacerbating the scenario, since the commencement of the conflict in Ukraine, the number of countries imposing trade-related policies has drastically increased. The appropriate response to this crisis, nevertheless, points in another direction. The international community needs to promote further an agenda of trade liberalization that removes barriers, such as tariffs and quotas, especially in the agriculture sector. Moreover, additional concrete steps to alleviate the food crisis and build a more sustainable and resilient global food system for the years ahead are necessary. We need to increase production capacity appropriately in different regions of the world, sustainably, in accordance with best environmental practices, and without delay. Locally, to guarantee the provision of sustainable food production in Brazil, several initiatives have been launched. The Harvest Plan 2022/23, composed of loans for sustainable production and investments, prioritizes small and medium size producers. Moreover, we threw a major milestone for Brazilian agribusiness, the Investment Funds in Agro-industrial Productive Chain, comprising 31 funds that will enable foreign and local investors to structure loans and investment operations, as an alternative pathway to financing the food sector. At the same time, Brazil has established the National Policy of Payments for Environmental Services (PNPSA), which aims to encourage the preservation of ecosystems, water resources, soil, biodiversity, genetic heritage and associated traditional knowledge, valuing ecosystem services economically, socially, and culturally. Considering the energy crisis, diversifying the mix to incorporate a variety of low-carbon resources, both renewable and non-renewable, is crucial, as it promotes political independence, economic growth, and environmental protection. In this regard, Brazil can also serve as an example for having one of the world's most decarbonized and diversified energy sectors. In 2019, Brazil generated 82.3% of its electricity from renewable sources and 46.2% of its total energy supply from renewable sources, including biomass and hydropower. Furthennore, the green hydrogen segment in Brazil has started to grow this year with the installation of the country's first industrial-scale green hydrogen production plant. Brazil operates onshore wind projects with some of the highest capacity factors in the world. Partly as a result, Brazil has the lowest potential levelized cost for zero-carbon hydrogen. Development Committee Agenda: Climate and Development Goals We emphasize the importance and urgency to address climate challenges, as imminent hinders for our sustainable development goals. Integrated actions for a low-carb transition will require massive investment to accelerate the adoption of clean technologies on all economic sectors. Despite Brazil's leadership in the clean energy matrix, we continue to engage in developing innovative programs that integrate environmental, social and governance improvements. The National Solid Waste Plan and the Recycling Credit Certificate, which will improve the regulation on solid waste management and incentivize recycling and reverse logistics, demonstrate the importance of developing environmental actions related to the development agenda. Protecting biodiversity and the responsible use of natural resources is an essential investment in our future. One third of the Brazilian terrestrial area is protected by law. These areas integrate the National System of Nature Conservation Units or belong to one of the seven hundred Indigenous Territories, and in a whole, are larger than Eastern Europe territory. Additionally, one fourth of Brazilian waters are protected, far exceeding the targets committed to the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (Aichi Target 11). Mainstreaming sustainability ensure that both development premises and environment safeguarding are mutually supportive. In this regard, Brazil created the National Green Growth Program to combine the 2 reduction of carbon emissions, the conservation of forests and the rational use of natural resources with the generation of green jobs and economic growth, thus improving the living conditions of the Brazilian population. In parallel, we are embedding the second phase of the Plan for Adaptation to Climate Change and Low Carbon Emissions in Agriculture 2020-30, which aims to promote resilience to extreme climate conditions and control greenhouse gas emissions in Brazilian agriculture. Furthermore, ahead of COP26 Brazil has pledged to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2030, compared to 2005 levels. Also, the goal of achieving carbon neutrality was anticipated from 2060 to 2050. To support a low-carbon future and achieve sustainable development and global climate goals, we consider market-based mechanisms as the most effective instruments for enabling a just transition. The mobilization of the private sector is essential in pursuing innovative ways to shift energy matrixes and to adopt clean technologies. Considering these elements and the context of overlapping crises, World Bank should pursue ways to increase the funding available to tackle current and future global challenges. Additional resources to deal with climate change and pandemics should be provided, while keeping the emphasis on achieving the WBG's Twin Goals of ending extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity. Development Committee Agenda: Learning Losses Covid-19 has led to a dramatic increase in learning poverty. Although the globe was already experiencing an increase in the quality of education, the pandemic has profoundly worsened this crisis. According to the World Bank Group, students today run the risk of losing 10% of their anticipated future average yearly salaries in the absence of an immediate policy adjustment. Learning losses result in lower wages as well as decreased productivity, increased inequality, and a larger chance of social unrest. Thus, the global community must act swiftly and decisively. In this context, we fully concur with the outcomes of the World Bank compendium of lessons taken from the pandemic: (i) keep schools open and lengthen class periods; (ii) evaluate students' learning and provide teachers with the tools they need to adapt instruction to each student's level; (iii) simplify the curriculum and concentrate on the fundamentals; (iv) establish a national political commitment for learning recovery that is driven by reliable learning measurement. Besides, our Constituency commends the World Bank initiatives in leading the implementation of best practices for learning recovery, consolidating adequate policies and complementary financing. We would like to highlight the partnership between Brazil's Ministry of Education and the World Bank in the project "Recovering Learning Losses from Covid-19 Pandemic in Brazil". The goals of this project are to support states and municipalities in the most vulnerable North and Northeast regions to recover from dropouts and strengthen education management in primary and lower secondary schools. Undoubtedly, the challenges that the globe is now bounding demand compelling and coordinated actions. We invite the World Bank to continue assisting developing countries through its extensive and leading approaches, ramping-up expertise diffusion and financing mobilization. Finally, we would like to call your attention to the case of Haiti, the only FCS and IDA country in our constituency. In addition to the pandemic, on the last two years, the country had to respond to a devastating earthquake, a destructive tropical stonn and increased food insecurity. As learning losses, environmental damage and development losses are at their maximum, we call on the global community, including World Bank Group, to lead a package of humanitarian, financial and technical assistance for Haiti. 3