The World Bank                                                                                         Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)



Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)


 EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Sao Tome and Principe | Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation Global Practice |
 IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2018 | Seq No: 9 | ARCHIVED on 05-Jan-2023 | ISR53725 |


 Implementing Agencies: Central Bank, Ministry of Justice, Ministry of Planning, Finance, and Blue Economy, National Statistics Agency



 Key Dates


  Key Project Dates

   Bank Approval Date: 18-May-2018                                               Effectiveness Date: 28-Aug-2018
   Planned Mid Term Review Date: 17-Feb-2023                                     Actual Mid-Term Review Date:
   Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2023                                            Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2024
 pdoTable

 Project Development Objectives

  Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document)
  To contribute to improved capacity of public institutions to: i) supervise the banking system; ii) promote access to finance; iii) manage public
  finances; and, iv) produce national statistics.

  Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective?
  No


 Components Table

 Name
 Financial Soundness and Access:(Cost $8.80 M)
 Strengthening Budget Credibility, Tax Base and SOE Governance:(Cost $5.70 M)
 Property Registration and Statistical Development:(Cost $2.70 M)
 Project Implementation Support:(Cost $1.80 M)

 Overall Ratings

 Name                                                                          Previous Rating                            Current Rating

 Progress towards achievement of PDO                                           Satisfactory                              Moderately Satisfactory
 Overall Implementation Progress (IP)                                          Moderately Satisfactory                   Moderately Satisfactory
 Overall Risk Rating                                                           Substantial                               Substantial


 Implementation Status and Key Decisions

  There has been progress in some Project components and the project development objective remains achievable. The four commercial
  banks currently licensed by the central bank comply with capital and provisioning requirements, having corrected the deficiencies identified in the
  2019 asset quality review. However, with only two years to the end of the Project, some result indicators are still far from being achieved, namely: (i)
  the population covered by the credit registry, particularly women; (ii) tax revenues, and (iii) the Global Statistical Capability Index score. The Project
  shows a moderate level of execution—58 percent of funds still to be disbursed with two years of implementation remaining—mainly due to delays in
  procurement, the impact of the pandemic and, more recently, the legislative elections. Achieving the project development objective remains subject
  to substantial risks.




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            The World Bank                                                                                      Implementation Status & Results Report
            Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




  Risks


 Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool


  Risk Category                                               Rating at Approval             Previous Rating                Current Rating

  Political and Governance                                    Substantial                   Substantial                   Substantial
  Macroeconomic                                               Moderate                      High                          High
  Sector Strategies and Policies                              Moderate                      Moderate                      Moderate
  Technical Design of Project or Program                      Substantial                   Substantial                   Substantial
  Institutional Capacity for Implementation and
                                                              High                          Substantial                   Substantial
  Sustainability
  Fiduciary                                                   Moderate                      Moderate                      Moderate
  Environment and Social                                      Low                           Low                           Low
  Stakeholders                                                Substantial                   Moderate                      Moderate
  Other                                                       --                             --                             --
  Overall                                                     Substantial                   Substantial                   Substantial



  Results


 PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes



   Financial Soundness

   IN01211994
   ►Improved capacity of BCSTP to promote financial stability as measured by the percentage of banks that corrected provisioning and capital
   shortfalls identified by AQR (Percentage, Custom)

                                        Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                               0.00                         80.00                        100.00                    80.00

    Date                                01-Jun-2018                  31-Mar-2022                  30-Sep-2022              31-Dec-2024
                                        Banks have been implementing the BCSTP issued instructions to reclassify their loan portfolios according
                                        to the approved AQR action plan. With the removal of the license of one bank in 2022, all remaining four
   Comments:
                                        banks have complied with the indicator.



   Financial Inclusion

   IN01211992
   ►Improved Capacity of BCSTP to promote financial inclusion by expanding percentage population coverage of the Credit Registry
   (Percentage, Custom)

                                        Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target


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           The World Bank                                                                                     Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




    Value                              11.90                       15.78                        15.80                     25.00

    Date                               01-Jun-2018                 31-Mar-2022                  30-Sep-2022               31-Dec-2024

                                       This is based on the latest Central Bank data.
   Comments:

     IN01211995
     of which women (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)            End Target

     Value                           4.10                        5.79                         5.80                        10.00


   Public Financial Management

   IN01211991
   ►Improved Capacity of Ministry of Finance to generate revenues as measured by Tax Revenues Collected as Percentage of GDP
   (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              13.00                       11.60                        11.60                     15.50

    Date                               01-Jun-2018                 31-Dec-2021                  31-Dec-2021               31-Dec-2024
                                       According to recent Bank and IMF estimates, the ratio was 11.60% as of December 2021. Figures are
   Comments:                           updated at the end of each calendar year.



   Statistcs Capacity

   IN01211993
   ►Improved Capacity of the National Statisitcs Institute to produce national statistics as measured by the Overall Statistical Capacity Score
   (SCI) (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              63.30                       54.30                        57.70                     68.00

    Date                               01-Jun-2018                 31-Mar-2022                  31-Dec-2021               31-Dec-2024
                                       The Statistical Capacity Indicator was adjusted downwards due to the COVID-19 pandemic which forced
                                       the delay of a new household survey in 2020/21. This has led to the reduction in the score of 4
                                       components of the SCI which rely on higher frequency or more recent household survey. The preferred
                                       schedule for the collection of the next household survey is in 2025 so that it will rely on the updated
                                       master sampling frame (which will be based on the 2024 population census). There is potential to update
   Comments:
                                       two of the affected SCI components using administrative records before the next survey. The decrease in
                                       SCI was mitigated by the publication of updated HIV/Aids indicators. The SCI is expected to increase in
                                       2023 with the collection of the Agricultural census and some updates to the national accounts/price
                                       monitoring methodologies.



 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components



   Financial Soundness and Access

    IN01211998



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           The World Bank                                                                                     Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




    ►Average lag between end of a quarter and availability of banking sector information for risk based supervision (Days, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              50.00                       40.00                        40.00                      35.00

    Date                               01-Jun-2018                 29-Apr-2022                  30-Sep-2022               31-Dec-2024
                                       AFAP and BCSTP are preparing the procurement for a new banking supervision system and banks still
                                       submit information via external disk. For this reason, the deadline required by regulations for banks to
   Comments:
                                       submit information for prudential supervision purposes remains at 40 days after the end of the quarter.

    IN01212002
    ►Secured Transactions Law and Regulation(s) enacted (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              0.00                        0.00                         1.00                       2.00

    Date                               30-Nov-2020                 29-Apr-2022                  30-Sep-2022               31-Dec-2024
                                       As of September 2022, the indicator reflects the enactment of the Law on Movable Guarantees (Lei das
   Comments:                           Garantias Mobiliárias) in July 2022. The Project will support preparation of the underlying regulations.

   IN01212005
   ►Improved operational efficiency of BCSTP through process automation of transactions and eventual elimination of manual reconciliation
   requirement (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              0.00                        0.00                         0.00                       100.00

    Date                               30-Nov-2020                 29-Apr-2022                  30-Sep-2022               31-Dec-2024
                                       As of September 2022, the indicator remains at 0, given that the implementation of the new core banking
   Comments:                           system is yet to start.



   Strengthening Budget Credibility, Tax Base and SOE Governance

    IN01211997
    ►Difference between projected and actual public revenues collected (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              20.00                       13.40                        13.40                      10.00

    Date                               01-Jun-2018                 31-Mar-2022                  31-Mar-2022               31-Dec-2024

                                       Data supplied by the Budget Department
   Comments:

    IN01211999
    ►Difference between projected and actual public expenditures (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              20.00                       16.61                        16.61                      10.00




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           The World Bank                                                                                     Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




    Date                               01-Jun-2018                 31-Mar-2022                  31-Mar-2022              31-Dec-2024

                                       Data supplied by the Budget Department
   Comments:

    IN01212001
    ►Tax Revenue Contributors Registered (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              0.00                        0.00                         0.00                      3,000.00

    Date                               01-Jun-2018                 29-Apr-2022                  29-Apr-2022              31-Dec-2024

                                       Once the VAT is rolled out, the contributors would be registered
   Comments:

    IN01212004
    ►Public procurement practitioners trained in the new framework (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              0.00                        6.00                         6.00                      40.00

    Date                               01-Jan-2018                 29-Apr-2022                  31-Oct-2022              31-Dec-2024
                                       In October 2019, 6 staff from COSSIL concluded successfully their post-graduate degree (3 women and 3
                                       men).
                                       Since then, COSSIL staff provided training to several staff of procuring entities in both islands of Sao
   Comments:                           Tome and Principe. This does not count as training in the new framework, but is a good step towards
                                       capacity building and preparation to the new framework as it allowed to get inputs for the upcoming
                                       revision of the procurement framework.

     IN01212008
     of which women (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

     Value                           0.00                        50.00                        50.00                      25.00

    IN01212010
    ►All fully owned SOEs have a functional Board (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              0.00                        0.00                         0.00                      4.00

    Date                               01-Jan-2018                 29-Apr-2022                  30-Sep-2022              31-Dec-2024
                                       A decree has suspended all Boards of SOEs. However, the project has supported the recruitment of a
                                       consultant, and efforts are continuing to strengthen the corporate governance in SOEs, including the
   Comments:
                                       instituting of Boards of Directors.

    IN01212011
    ►SOEs audited anually by independent institution and reports published (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                              0.00                        4.00                         4.00                      4.00




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           The World Bank                                                                                     Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




    Date                               01-Jan-2018                 29-Apr-2022                  31-Oct-2022               31-Dec-2024
                                       The four SOEs that are fully owned by the government have had their 2020 financial statements audited.
                                       The full financial statements and audit reports were published on the Treasury's website
   Comments:
                                       (https://www.financas.gov.st/index.php/publicacoes/documentos/category/147-publicacoes).

    IN01212013
    ►Number of certified accountants and auditors trained on new standards (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              0.00                        0.00                         0.00                       100.00

    Date                               01-Jan-2018                 29-Apr-2022                  30-Sep-2022               31-Dec-2024
                                       OTOCA is in the process of preparing the new standards and therefore no training has been provided yet
                                       on new standards, although 191 accountants and auditors have received relevant information about
   Comments:
                                       improvements to be made in the accounting system in the country.



   Property Registration and Statistical Development

   IN01211996
   ►Number of Real Estate and Vehicle Registries in the new Information System "Sistema Integrado de Registo de Propriedade - SIRP"
   (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              0.00                        72,000.00                    87,003.00                  133,151.00

    Date                               01-Jan-2018                 31-Mar-2022                  30-Sep-2022               31-Dec-2024
                                       All registries are estimated to have about 200,000 registries (162,000 property registries and 38,000
                                       vehicle registries). The Project is targeting the digitalization of at least 65% of these records and
   Comments:
                                       their cataloging is ongoing.

     IN01212000
     Real Estate Registries (Number, Custom Breakdown)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

     Value                           0.00                        72,000.00                     87,003.00                  113,000.00

     Date                            01-Jan-2018                 31-Mar-2022                   30-Sep-2022                31-Dec-2024

     IN01212003
     Of which are women registered (Percentage) (Number, Custom Breakdown)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

     Value                           0.00                        36.80                         25.00                      35.00

     Date                            01-Jan-2018                 31-Mar-2022                   30-Sep-2022                31-Dec-2024

     IN01212006
     Vehicle Registries (Number, Custom Breakdown)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

     Value                           0.00                        0.00                          0.00                       20,151.00



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           The World Bank                                                                                       Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




     Date                            01-Jan-2018                  31-Mar-2022                   30-Sep-2022                 31-Dec-2024

    IN01212007
    ►Number of new household surveys/census micro-datasets available (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                     Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              0.00                         3.00                          3.00                       3.00

    Date                               01-Jan-2018                  28-Apr-2022                   30-Sep-2022                31-Dec-2024
                                       This update reflects the publication of the Enterprise Census. Microdata for the census cannot be
                                       published in order to protect privacy and confidentiality. Instead, INE published detailed tabulations as is
   Comments:
                                       standard practice in such cases.

    IN01212009
    ►Number of participants in short term statistics/demography training for whom scholarships may be awarded (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                     Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              0.00                         43.00                         78.00                      25.00

    Date                               01-Jan-2018                  28-Apr-2022                   31-Oct-2022                31-Dec-2024
                                       The indicator on number of women for whom a scholarship was awarded was changed from 4 to 6 to
   Comments:                           correct a previous mistake and does not reflect new training activities.

     IN01212012
     of which women participants (Number, Custom Supplement)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)             End Target

     Value                           0.00                         24.00                         36.00                        5.00

     IN01212014
     For whom a scholarship is awarded (Number, Custom Breakdown)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)             End Target

     Value                           0.00                         10.00                         10.00                        5.00

     Date                            01-Jan-2018                  28-Apr-2022                   31-Oct-2022                 31-Dec-2024

     IN01212015
     For whom a scholarship is awarded (women) (Number, Custom Breakdown)

                                     Baseline                     Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)             End Target

     Value                           0.00                         6.00                          6.00                         2.00

     Date                            01-Jan-2018                  28-Apr-2022                   31-Oct-2022                 31-Dec-2024

   IN01212016
   ►Percentage of inquiries addressed in 15 working days from the public feedback mechanism established at the Ministry of Justice for the
   new property registry system (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                     Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                              0.00                         0.00                          73.00                      60.00




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           The World Bank                                                                                        Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




    Date                               01-Jan-2021                  31-Mar-2022                    31-Oct-2022              31-Dec-2024
                                       The citizen information website http://dgrn.gov.st/ where citizens can make inquiries is already operational
   Comments:                           and consultations via Facebook have started.



 Performance-Based Conditions



 Data on Financial Performance


 Disbursements (by loan)

 Project       Loan/Credit/TF     Status       Currency        Original   Revised     Cancelled       Disbursed       Undisbursed              % Disbursed


 P162129       IDA-D3080          Effective    USD               12.00      12.00           0.00           6.37              4.94                     56%

 P162129       IDA-D8180          Effective    USD                7.00       7.00           0.00           1.35              5.30                     20%


 Key Dates (by loan)

 Project        Loan/Credit/TF     Status      Approval Date       Signing Date     Effectiveness Date      Orig. Closing Date      Rev. Closing Date

 P162129        IDA-D3080          Effective   18-May-2018         12-Jun-2018      28-Aug-2018             30-Jun-2023             30-Jun-2023
 P162129        IDA-D8180          Effective   28-May-2021         08-Jun-2021      08-Jun-2021             31-Dec-2024             31-Dec-2024


Cumulative Disbursements




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           The World Bank                                                             Implementation Status & Results Report
           Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project (P162129)




  Restructuring History


  There has been no restructuring to date.


  Related Project(s)


  P174153-Sao Tome and Principe: Institutional Capacity Building Project - AF




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