The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P147839) Pacific Resilience Program (P147839) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Pacific Islands | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 15 | ARCHIVED on 31-Dec-2022 | ISR52866 | Implementing Agencies: PACIFIC COMMUNITY, Pacific Community Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 19-Jun-2015 Effectiveness Date: 22-May-2013 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 31-Dec-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 10-Dec-2018 Original Closing Date: 30-Nov-2020 Revised Closing Date: 31-Oct-2023 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To strengthen early warning, resilient investments and financial protection of participating countries. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? Yes Board Approved Revised Project Development Objective (If project is formally restructured) To strengthen early warning and resilient investments of participating countries Components Table Name Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness:(Cost $2.28 M) Component 2: Mainstreaming Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments:(Cost $5.71 M) Component 3: Disaster Risk Financing Component 4: Project and Program Management:(Cost $1.48 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions There has been satisfactory progress in strengthening early warning and resilient investments of the participating countries. The integration of impact-based forecasting tools for cyclone induced coastal inundation, storm surge, rainfall, flooding and seasonal forecasting in the early warning systems for Tonga and Samoa is expected to protect lives and improve disaster preparedness and response for 135,000 people in the two countries. In addition, 150 personnel in disaster management areas have strengthened their technical capacities through various capacity building trainings supported under the project, including operations and maintenance of the regional seismic warning network. The completed Pacific Resilience Nexus now provides a regional platform for disaster risk management and climate change information to be widely shared and be more 12/31/2022 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P147839) easily accessed by users around the world. Activities on LiDAR data acquisition for Tonga and Vanuatu and the case study on risk informed town planning in two provincial townships in Vanuatu are nearing completion. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial High High Sustainability Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Moderate Low Low Stakeholders Moderate Substantial Substantial Other Substantial Substantial Substantial Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Strengthen early warning and resilient investments of participating countries IN01221080 ►Direct Project Beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 62,000.00 62,000.00 135,000.00 135,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 22-Oct-2021 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2023 The end target has been achieved. Impact forecasting models are now in place for Samoa and Tonga. Comments: The populations of the immediate surrounding areas of Nuku’alofa and Apia exceed the target. Overall Comments PDO 12/31/2022 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P147839) The end target has been achieved. Impact forecasting models are now in place for Samoa and Tonga. The populations of the immediate surrounding areas of Nuku’alofa and Apia exceed the target. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness IN01221081 ►Number of personnel working in the disaster management area applying learned skills on the job (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 40.00 120.00 150.00 70.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 22-Oct-2021 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2023 Gross number of personnel trained is better than expected due to successful rollout of training provided for PDNAs, seismic monitoring, use of LiDAR imagery, International Skills Training, Cert IV DRM (Team Leadership) course, impact forecasting. Figure based on trainee feedback. Technical staff in ORSNET countries have received hands-on training by PREP seismic consultants during country visits in seismic detection and monitoring and applying skills on the job. Initially feedback showed that all personnel trained Comments: (120) would apply the skills learnt in their job immediately after the training. However, subsequent feedback has showed a lower percentage responding to date applying the skills learnt in their job. The project will need to explore ways to obtain a wider group of trainees responding such as interviews and questionnaires noting that final target of 70 has been achieved. This will be the focus of the next 6 months. Component 2: Mainstreaming Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments IN01221082 ►Satisfaction of users with the early warning system (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 40.00 15.00 Date 15-Jun-2015 22-Oct-2021 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2023 Trainings were conducted virtually and in-country to build the technical capacities of Pacific Islands countries to do timely detection and monitoring of earthquakes and tsunamis as part of their multi-hazard early warning systems. Operationalizing the impact-forecasting models/tools to Samoa and Tonga Comments: stakeholders and related training has been completed and the new early warning system is now being used. National Seismic officers from Fiji, Vanuatu, Papua New Guinea, Samoa and Tonga participated in the trainings. IN01221083 ►Multi-hazard risk information systems strengthened and in use (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 15-Jun-2015 22-Oct-2021 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2023 12/31/2022 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P147839) Pacific Resilience Nexus has been launched and provide a platform for DRM data and information to be more easily accessed. Specialised training on GIS and use of lidar data also provided to PREP countries Comments: and SPC. Acquisition of lidar data in Tonga and Vanuatu completed with final data processing in progress. IN01221084 ►Hazard model for forecasting of impacts of extreme events operationalized (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 22-Oct-2021 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2023 Forecasting of inundation caused by common hazard events such as cyclones, tsunami, storm surge, rainfall and wind has been operationalized in Tonga and Samoa and now used for early warning Comments: forecasting. IN01221085 ►Post disaster needs assessment undertaken and strengthened (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Nov-2020 22-Oct-2021 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2023 Five “on-call” post disaster needs assessments experts in social/gender, infrastructure, water & sanitation, disaster risk management and PDNA Coordination were recruited. The experts have provided inputs on the PDNA training and are on standby to support PDNA exercises should the countries request in the Comments: aftermath of a disaster. PDNA training has been delivered to all PREP countries. So far 160 officials from Fiji, RMI, Samoa, Tonga and Vanuatu benefited from the trainings. Two missions have been undertaken to map coastal inundation. More PDNA training planned during project extension period. IN01221086 ►High- Resolution Digital Elevation Model (DEM) developed and operationalized in target areas (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 30-Nov-2020 22-Oct-2021 31-Oct-2022 31-Oct-2023 Acquisition of LiDAR data in Vanuatu and Tonga have been completed and the quality control checks on the data will be taken by January 31, 2023. Using this data, the development of Town Plans for Lenakel Comments: and Lakatoro is in progress and expected to be delivered by December 2022. Resilient Investment Plans will also be delivered by December 2022. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) 12/31/2022 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P147839) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P147839 IDA-D0740 Effective USD 3.68 3.68 0.00 3.25 0.45 88% P147839 TF-14369 Closed USD 0.32 0.29 0.03 0.29 0.00 100% P147839 TF-A1131 Effective USD 5.79 5.79 0.00 4.34 1.45 75% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P147839 IDA-D0740 Effective 19-Jun-2015 02-Oct-2015 13-Oct-2015 30-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2023 P147839 TF-14369 Closed 08-May-2013 22-May-2013 22-May-2013 30-Sep-2014 31-Mar-2015 P147839 TF-A1131 Effective 19-Jun-2015 02-Oct-2015 13-Oct-2015 30-Nov-2020 31-Oct-2023 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 21-Jun-2019 ,Level 2 Approved on 18-Feb-2021 ,Level 2 Approved on 11-Oct-2022 Related Project(s) 12/31/2022 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pacific Resilience Program (P147839) There are no related projects. 12/31/2022 Page 6 of 6