STEP-BY-STEP
THE LOGIC
BEHIND THE TOOL


                  June 2015
   EXAMPLE
   What determines the quality of the
   judicial system in a country?
             The Capacity
                 of the               The IT
                Judicial          Infrastructure
              Authorities

                                                    The
                                                Organization
The Integrity               The                     and
   of the                Quality of             Coordination
  Judicial                  the
 Authorities              Judicial
                          System*




* This variable is only for illustrative purposes and does not appear in the tool itself.
                                                                                 Scores
  Simple Average                                                    Integrity
                                                                    Capacity
                                                                                  0.80
                                                                                  0.20
                                                                           IT     0.60
                                                                Organization      0.50
                     0.20                0.60
                 The Capacity                          SIMPLE AVERAGE             0.53
                     of the             The IT
                    Judicial        Infrastructure                       SCALE
                  Authorities
     0.80                                            0.50                1.00 Excellent

     The Integrity                                   The
        of the                                   Organization
       Judicial                The                   and
      Authorities           Quality of           Coordination
                               the
                             Judicial
BLUE: Input variable.        System
Requires input.
                                                                          0.00 Very Poor

PINK: Intermediate
                          0.53
variable. Calculated by               Does not capture the negative
the Tool.
                                      impact of low capacity!
                                                                           Scores   Weights
Weighted Average                                               Integrity
                                                               Capacity
                                                                            0.80
                                                                            0.20
                                                                                      5
                                                                                      5
                                                                      IT    0.60      1

           5 0.20               1 0.60                     Organization     0.50      2

                                                        SIMPLE AVERAGE   0.53
                 Capacity of             IT             WEIGHTED AVERAGE             0.51
                 the Judicial
                  Authorities      Infrastructure    2
5 0.80                                              0.50
  Integrity of                                  Organization
  the Judicial                The                   and
   Authorities             Quality of           Coordination
                              the
                            Judicial
                            System

                         0.51
                                  Still, does not capture the
                                  negative impact of low capacity!
Adding conditions                                                       Integrity
                                                                        Capacity
                                                                                    Scores
                                                                                     0.80
                                                                                     0.20
                                                                                              Weights
                                                                                                5
                                                                                                5

             1                    0                                            IT
                                                                    Organization
                                                                                     0.60
                                                                                     0.50
                                                                                                1
                                                                                                2



             5 0.20               1 0.60                     SIMPLE AVERAGE
                                                             WEIGHTED AVERAGE
                                                                                       0.53
                                                                                               0.51
                                                       0     Condition 1:
                                                             Output cannot exceed Integrity
                   Capacity of             IT
1
                                                             Condition 2:
                   the Judicial
                    Authorities      Infrastructure     2    Output cannot exceed Capacity
                                                             If Integrity and Capacity > WA
                                                             then Output=WA

5 0.80                                                0.50
                                                                                    1
    Integrity of                                  Organization    means that the quality
    the Judicial                The                   and
     Authorities                                  Coordination    of that input is a pre-
                             Quality of                           condition for the
                                the                               quality of higher level
                              Judicial                            (intermediate)
                              System
                                                                  variable. For example,
                                                                  the quality of the
                              0.20                                judicial system cannot
                                                                  be better than the
                                                                  capacity of the judicial
                     More Realistic                               authorities.
    The WB Tool
6



       Not based on the simple average,
       Not based only on the weighted average,
       Is based on a combination of weighted averages
        and pre-conditions.

    The tool’s structure, weights, and the pre-conditions constitute
    the assumptions of the model and were decided on during the
    model-building phase. These can be seen on the “Weights” page
    of the National Vulnerability and Banking Sector Excel
    templates.
Adding                           Number of
                                  the Staff
One
       Knowledge
more and Skills                                         Resources

layer
                                  The Capacity
                                     of the
                                    Judicial
                                   Authorities
                                         Capacity of                  IT
                                           Judicial             Infrastructure
                                          Authorities
PINK: Intermediate
variable. Calculated by
the Tool.
                          Integrity of                                Organization
BLUE: Input variable.     the Judicial                The                 and
Requires input.            Authorities             Quality of         Coordination
                                                      the
                                                    Judicial
                                                    System
Actual structure of the tool:
Same logic applies!