The World Bank                                                                                         Implementation Status & Results Report
            Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454)



Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454)


 EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Armenia | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice |
 Recipient Executed Activities | Investment Project Financing | FY 2021 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 01-Dec-2021 | ISR47830 |


 Implementing Agencies: Republic of Armenia, Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs



 Key Dates


  Key Project Dates

   Bank Approval Date: 22-Apr-2021                                                 Effectiveness Date: 03-Jun-2021
   Original Closing Date: 31-May-2022                                              Revised Closing Date: 31-May-2022
 pdoTable

 Project Development Objectives

  Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document)
  The grant development objective is to improve the resilience of conflict-affected people and to reduce the financial burdens of hosting families.

  Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective?
  No


 Overall Ratings

 Name                                                                         Previous Rating                             Current Rating

 Progress towards achievement of PDO                                          --                                          Moderately Satisfactory
 Overall Implementation Progress (IP)                                         --                                          Moderately Satisfactory


 Implementation Status and Key Decisions

  Effectiveness and Legal Covenants. The Project became effective on June 3, 2021 and legal covenants are complied with. The Project
  Operations Manual (POM) was approved by the Bank on June 11, 2021. The project is financed by a Grant under the State and Peacebuilding
  Fund (SPF).
  Progress. The project activities are currently executed with Government funds and reached 60 percent of the original targets. The Government
  informed the Bank of its intention to increase the SPF Grant financing allocation to the Monthly Cash Benefits for Hosting Families program while
  decreasing the Grant allocation to Cash Benefits to Displaced People program which is mostly financed by the Government own budget and other
  donors. The revised budget allocation of the project was approved by the Cabinet through Government Decision on November 18, 2021. The
  project is expected to start disbursing in the first half of December 2021 according to the revised budget, including reimbursements for the eligible
  expenditure after December 21, 2020. The project original targets will be adjusted accordingly, to correspond to the revised project financing
  allocation across programs.



  Risks


 Overall Risk Rating


  Risk Category                                               Rating at Approval                 Previous Rating               Current Rating

  Overall                                                     Moderate                          --                            Moderate


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            The World Bank                                                                                     Implementation Status & Results Report
            Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454)




  5. Results


  Project Development Objective Indicators
   IN01026708
   ►Share of project displaced households in Armenia that report that the conflict reduced their ability to purchase food. (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)          End Target

   Value                               73.00                       --                           --                         50.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                 --                           --                         31-May-2022
                                      An updated value for this indicator is not available. The data collection instruments for the second round of the
                                      Multi-Sector Needs Assessment in Armenia was changed. The question selected to measure this indicator was
                                      reformulated and cannot be used anymore to track progress. An alternative indicator was identified and the
  Comments:
                                      Government will submit a restructuring request letter. It is expected that this indicator will be updated in
                                      December 2021, pending submission by the Government and approval of the restructuring by the Bank.

  IN01026709
  ►Share of project beneficiary hosting households in Armenia that report that the conflict reduced their ability to purchase food. (Percentage,
  Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)          End Target

   Value                               52.00                       --                           --                         36.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                 --                           --                         31-May-2022
                                      An updated value for this indicator is not available. The data collection instruments for the second round of the
                                      Multi-Sector Needs Assessment in Armenia was changed. The question selected to measure this indicator was
                                      reformulated and cannot be used anymore to track progress. An alternative indicator was identified and the
  Comments:
                                      Government will submit a restructuring request letter. It is expected that this indicator will be updated in
                                      December 2021, pending submission by the Government and approval of the restructuring by the Bank.

  IN01026710
  ►Share of project beneficiaries who are employed (by any employer) in Armenia after participating in the temporary subsidized employment
  program (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)             Actual (Current)          End Target

   Value                               0.00                        --                           --                         30.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                 --                           --                         31-May-2022
                                      An updated value for this indicator is not available. A survey is being implemented and an update is expected by
  Comments:                           December 2021.




  Overall Comments PDO

  Updated values are not available. A survey is being carried out and results are expected by mid-December 2021.



  Intermediate Results Indicators




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            The World Bank                                                                                    Implementation Status & Results Report
            Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454)


   IN01026711
   ►Number of project beneficiary displaced individuals receiving AMD 68K cash grant payments in Armenia (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

   Value                               0.00                       --                            3,986.00                  11,530.00

   Date                             16-Mar-2021                  --                         31-Aug-2021             31-May-2022
    IN01026720
    Share of project beneficiary female displaced individuals receiving AMD 68K cash grant payments in Armenia (Percentage, Custom
    Supplement)

                                      Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

    Value                             70.00                       --                            52.00                      70.00

   IN01026712
   ►Total number of hosting families in Armenia applying for cash grants (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

   Value                               4,560.00                   --                            --                        19,898.00

   Date                                31-Dec-2020                --                            --                        31-May-2022
                                      An updated value for this indicator is not available. The current Government reports include only the monthly
                                      number of beneficiaries. The Government is assessing if their systems are able to report the total number of
  Comments:
                                      applicants over a certain period without double counting.

   IN01026717
   ►Number of project beneficiary hosting families in Armenia receiving cash grant payments (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

   Value                               0.00                       --                            1,918.00                  3,975.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                --                            24-Aug-2021               31-May-2022
                                      The current Government regular reports include only the monthly number of beneficiaries. The reported actual
                                      value represents the monthly average number of host families receiving cash grants for the period January-
  Comments:                           August 2021. This is an underestimate of the actual total number of beneficiary host families assisted by the
                                      project over the period January-August, which is estimated to be around 4,000.

   IN01026715
   ►Number of displaced individuals for whom payments are made to project beneficiary hosting families in Armenia (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)          End Target

   Value                               0.00                       --                            5,477.00                  9,937.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                --                            31-Aug-2021               31-May-2022
                                      The current Government reports include only the monthly number of beneficiaries. The reported actual value
                                      represents the monthly average number of displaced people for whom the host families received cash grants for
  Comments:                           the period January-August 2021. This is an underestimate of the total actual number of beneficiary displaced
                                      people hosted by host families during the same period, which is estimated at around 10,000.




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            The World Bank                                                                                     Implementation Status & Results Report
            Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454)


   IN01026716
   ►Total number of eligible applicants to the public works program (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

   Value                               250.00                      --                           --                         500.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                 --                           --                        31-May-2022
                                      An updated value for this indicator is not available. According to the information provided by the government the
                                      number of eligible applicants should be the same with the number of beneficiaries. The government is
  Comments:
                                      assessing if this indicator should be dropped or reformulated through project restructuring.
    IN01026723
    Share of female eligible applicants to the public works program (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

                                      Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)            End Target

    Value                             18.00                        --                           --                          18.00

   IN01026713
   ►Number of project beneficiary participants in public works programs (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

   Value                               0.00                        --                           81.00                      115.00

   Date                             15-Mar-2021                   --                         31-Aug-2021                  31-May-2022
    IN01026721
    Share of female project beneficiary participants in public works programs (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

                                      Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)            End Target

    Value                             0.00                         --                           --                          18.00

   IN01026718
   ►Number of eligible applicants to the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia (Number, Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

   Value                               1,052.00                    --                           824.00                     6,000.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                 --                           31-Aug-2021               31-May-2022

                                   This is the number of actual applicants, not "eligible applicants"
  Comments:
   IN01026724
   Share of female eligible applicants to the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia (Percentage, Custom
   Supplement)

                                      Baseline                     Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)            End Target

    Value                             76.00                        --                           75.00                       75.00

  IN01026714
  ►Number of project beneficiary individuals participating in the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia (Number,
  Custom)

                                       Baseline                    Actual (Previous)            Actual (Current)           End Target

   Value                               0.00                        --                           317.00                     936.00



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            The World Bank                                                                                      Implementation Status & Results Report
            Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454)




   Date                             15-Mar-2021                   --                           31-Aug-2021             31-May-2022
    IN01026722
    Share of female project beneficiary individuals participating in the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia
    (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

                                      Baseline                        Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)          End Target

    Value                             0.00                            --                          77.00                     75.00

   IN01026719
   ►Share of project beneficiaries who report that the project has established effective engagement processes (Percentage, Custom)

                                       Baseline                       Actual (Previous)           Actual (Current)         End Target

   Value                               0.00                           --                          --                       90.00

   Date                                15-Mar-2021                    --                          --                       31-May-2022
                                      An updated value for this indicator is not available. The indicator started to be collected only in September-
                                      October, after being revised together with the Bank team. It is expected it will be available by mid- December
  Comments:
                                      2021



  Overall Comments RE

   The monitoring system is functioning relatively well, but several indicators and targets need to be revised through restructuring.
   The main reason for the need to change the targets is the budget reallocation initiated by the government in September (approved by the
   Cabinet in November 2021). The project development indicators need to be revised for reasons outside of project control (the survey
   collecting them was implemented by humanitarian agencies, and the data collection instruments were changed) or to improve clarity. It is
   expected that a restructuring letter will be submitted by the government in November 2021, and the the gaps in the results framework will be
   addressed subsequently.



 Data on Financial Performance


 Disbursements (by loan)

 Project        Loan/Credit/TF     Status       Currency          Original   Revised      Cancelled    Disbursed     Undisbursed                % Disbursed


 P176454        TF-B5651           Effective    USD                  3.72       3.72           0.00         0.00             3.72                      0%%


 Key Dates (by loan)

 Project         Loan/Credit/TF     Status        Approval Date       Signing Date     Effectiveness Date    Orig. Closing Date      Rev. Closing Date

 P176454         TF-B5651           Effective     05-May-2021         07-May-2021      03-Jun-2021           31-May-2022             31-May-2022


Cumulative Disbursements




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            The World Bank                                                    Implementation Status & Results Report
            Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454)




  Restructuring History


  There has been no restructuring to date.


  Related Project(s)


 There are no related projects.




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