The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454) Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Armenia | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | Recipient Executed Activities | Investment Project Financing | FY 2021 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 01-Dec-2021 | ISR47830 | Implementing Agencies: Republic of Armenia, Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 22-Apr-2021 Effectiveness Date: 03-Jun-2021 Original Closing Date: 31-May-2022 Revised Closing Date: 31-May-2022 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The grant development objective is to improve the resilience of conflict-affected people and to reduce the financial burdens of hosting families. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO -- Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) -- Moderately Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions Effectiveness and Legal Covenants. The Project became effective on June 3, 2021 and legal covenants are complied with. The Project Operations Manual (POM) was approved by the Bank on June 11, 2021. The project is financed by a Grant under the State and Peacebuilding Fund (SPF). Progress. The project activities are currently executed with Government funds and reached 60 percent of the original targets. The Government informed the Bank of its intention to increase the SPF Grant financing allocation to the Monthly Cash Benefits for Hosting Families program while decreasing the Grant allocation to Cash Benefits to Displaced People program which is mostly financed by the Government own budget and other donors. The revised budget allocation of the project was approved by the Cabinet through Government Decision on November 18, 2021. The project is expected to start disbursing in the first half of December 2021 according to the revised budget, including reimbursements for the eligible expenditure after December 21, 2020. The project original targets will be adjusted accordingly, to correspond to the revised project financing allocation across programs. Risks Overall Risk Rating Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Overall Moderate -- Moderate 12/1/2021 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454) 5. Results Project Development Objective Indicators IN01026708 ►Share of project displaced households in Armenia that report that the conflict reduced their ability to purchase food. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 73.00 -- -- 50.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- -- 31-May-2022 An updated value for this indicator is not available. The data collection instruments for the second round of the Multi-Sector Needs Assessment in Armenia was changed. The question selected to measure this indicator was reformulated and cannot be used anymore to track progress. An alternative indicator was identified and the Comments: Government will submit a restructuring request letter. It is expected that this indicator will be updated in December 2021, pending submission by the Government and approval of the restructuring by the Bank. IN01026709 ►Share of project beneficiary hosting households in Armenia that report that the conflict reduced their ability to purchase food. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 52.00 -- -- 36.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- -- 31-May-2022 An updated value for this indicator is not available. The data collection instruments for the second round of the Multi-Sector Needs Assessment in Armenia was changed. The question selected to measure this indicator was reformulated and cannot be used anymore to track progress. An alternative indicator was identified and the Comments: Government will submit a restructuring request letter. It is expected that this indicator will be updated in December 2021, pending submission by the Government and approval of the restructuring by the Bank. IN01026710 ►Share of project beneficiaries who are employed (by any employer) in Armenia after participating in the temporary subsidized employment program (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- -- 30.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- -- 31-May-2022 An updated value for this indicator is not available. A survey is being implemented and an update is expected by Comments: December 2021. Overall Comments PDO Updated values are not available. A survey is being carried out and results are expected by mid-December 2021. Intermediate Results Indicators 12/1/2021 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454) IN01026711 ►Number of project beneficiary displaced individuals receiving AMD 68K cash grant payments in Armenia (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 3,986.00 11,530.00 Date 16-Mar-2021 -- 31-Aug-2021 31-May-2022 IN01026720 Share of project beneficiary female displaced individuals receiving AMD 68K cash grant payments in Armenia (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 70.00 -- 52.00 70.00 IN01026712 ►Total number of hosting families in Armenia applying for cash grants (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 4,560.00 -- -- 19,898.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 -- -- 31-May-2022 An updated value for this indicator is not available. The current Government reports include only the monthly number of beneficiaries. The Government is assessing if their systems are able to report the total number of Comments: applicants over a certain period without double counting. IN01026717 ►Number of project beneficiary hosting families in Armenia receiving cash grant payments (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 1,918.00 3,975.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- 24-Aug-2021 31-May-2022 The current Government regular reports include only the monthly number of beneficiaries. The reported actual value represents the monthly average number of host families receiving cash grants for the period January- Comments: August 2021. This is an underestimate of the actual total number of beneficiary host families assisted by the project over the period January-August, which is estimated to be around 4,000. IN01026715 ►Number of displaced individuals for whom payments are made to project beneficiary hosting families in Armenia (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 5,477.00 9,937.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- 31-Aug-2021 31-May-2022 The current Government reports include only the monthly number of beneficiaries. The reported actual value represents the monthly average number of displaced people for whom the host families received cash grants for Comments: the period January-August 2021. This is an underestimate of the total actual number of beneficiary displaced people hosted by host families during the same period, which is estimated at around 10,000. 12/1/2021 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454) IN01026716 ►Total number of eligible applicants to the public works program (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 250.00 -- -- 500.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- -- 31-May-2022 An updated value for this indicator is not available. According to the information provided by the government the number of eligible applicants should be the same with the number of beneficiaries. The government is Comments: assessing if this indicator should be dropped or reformulated through project restructuring. IN01026723 Share of female eligible applicants to the public works program (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 18.00 -- -- 18.00 IN01026713 ►Number of project beneficiary participants in public works programs (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 81.00 115.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- 31-Aug-2021 31-May-2022 IN01026721 Share of female project beneficiary participants in public works programs (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- -- 18.00 IN01026718 ►Number of eligible applicants to the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,052.00 -- 824.00 6,000.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- 31-Aug-2021 31-May-2022 This is the number of actual applicants, not "eligible applicants" Comments: IN01026724 Share of female eligible applicants to the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 76.00 -- 75.00 75.00 IN01026714 ►Number of project beneficiary individuals participating in the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 317.00 936.00 12/1/2021 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454) Date 15-Mar-2021 -- 31-Aug-2021 31-May-2022 IN01026722 Share of female project beneficiary individuals participating in the temporary subsidized employment program with an employer in Armenia (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 77.00 75.00 IN01026719 ►Share of project beneficiaries who report that the project has established effective engagement processes (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- -- 90.00 Date 15-Mar-2021 -- -- 31-May-2022 An updated value for this indicator is not available. The indicator started to be collected only in September- October, after being revised together with the Bank team. It is expected it will be available by mid- December Comments: 2021 Overall Comments RE The monitoring system is functioning relatively well, but several indicators and targets need to be revised through restructuring. The main reason for the need to change the targets is the budget reallocation initiated by the government in September (approved by the Cabinet in November 2021). The project development indicators need to be revised for reasons outside of project control (the survey collecting them was implemented by humanitarian agencies, and the data collection instruments were changed) or to improve clarity. It is expected that a restructuring letter will be submitted by the government in November 2021, and the the gaps in the results framework will be addressed subsequently. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P176454 TF-B5651 Effective USD 3.72 3.72 0.00 0.00 3.72 0%% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P176454 TF-B5651 Effective 05-May-2021 07-May-2021 03-Jun-2021 31-May-2022 31-May-2022 Cumulative Disbursements 12/1/2021 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Armenia Support to Conflict Affected Families Project (P176454) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 12/1/2021 Page 6 of 6