The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Uzbekistan | Energy & Extractives Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2021 | Seq No: 2 | ARCHIVED on 13-Apr-2022 | ISR50487 | Implementing Agencies: JSC "National Electric Grid of Uzbekistan", Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Energy, Ministry of Investment and Foreign Trade, Republic of Uzbekistan Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 25-Jun-2021 Effectiveness Date: -- Planned Mid Term Review Date: 31-Jan-2025 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 31-Jan-2028 Revised Closing Date: 31-Jan-2028 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project development objectives are to (i) strengthen the performance of the National Electricity Grid of Uzbekistan (NEGU), and (ii) improve the capacity and reliability of the power transmission system to integrate large scale renewable energy sources. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name COMPONENT 1: Digitalization of the electricity transmission sector:(Cost $115.00 M) COMPONENT 2: Power grid strengthening and renewable energy integration:(Cost $282.00 M) COMPONENT 3: NEGU institutional development and project implementation support:(Cost $20.00 M) COMPONENT 4: Electricity market development:(Cost $10.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project is not yet effective and is at an early stage to report on progress towards its development objectives. The Government of Uzbekistan and Implementing Agency have been working on the effectiveness conditions. 4/13/2022 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Substantial Substantial Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Substantial Substantial Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other Moderate Moderate Moderate Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Increased capacity of the national power transmission system IN01111558 ►Increased capacity of the national power transmission system (KVA) (Kilovolt-Amphere(KVA), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 2,500,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 The indicator is measured as the nominal capacity of the Koltsevaya substation and capacity expansion Comments: under 22 substations. Average interruption frequency per year in transmission network (SAIFI, number) IN01111557 ►Average interruption frequency per year in transmission network (SAIFI, duration) (Minutes, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 59.00 59.00 59.00 53.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 4/13/2022 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) This is equivalent to the so-called SAIFI and is measured as a system level average duration of outages in transmission network. Due to the absence of accurate SAIFI calculation at appraisal, the baseline and Comments: target values would be revised during the project implementation, once reliable data becomes available through the project-supported SCADA/EMS system. Grid integration of large-scale renewable energy enabled IN01111559 ►Grid integration of large-scale renewable energy enabled (Megawatt, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,500.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 The indicator is measured through the cumulative total nominal capacity of renewable energy IPPs Comments: connected to the national electricity grid during the Project implementation period. Avoided GHG emissions (direct) IN01111560 ►Avoided annual GHG emissions (direct) (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 460,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 The indicator measures the direct avoided greenhouse gas emission as a result of the project. Default grid emission factor for Uzbekistan is used from the WB Guidance Manual: Greenhouse Gas Accounting for Energy Investment Operations-Transmission and Distribution Projects (v.2, January 2015), and the WB Comments: Transmission and Distribution GHG Accounting Tool. This indicator should not be confused with the intermediate indicator on indirect GHG emissions reduction, which results from enabled large scale renewable energy grid integration. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Digitalization of the electricity transmission sector IN01111561 ►SCADA/EMS system procured and installed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 Comments: This indicator tracks the progress of integration of new SCADA/EMS system. Power grid strengthening and renewable energy integration IN01111562 4/13/2022 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) ►Substation “Kolsevaya” 500 kV and associated OHL constructed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This indicator tracks the progress of the construction and commissioning of the new 500 kV "Koltsevaya" Comments: substation IN01111564 ►Number of substations rehabilitated (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 Number of substations rehabilitated under the project. Rehabilitation for a substation is considered Comments: complete when the installation of planned equipment is completed and accepted by the NEGU. IN01111566 ►Percentage of registered project-related grievances responded to within stipulated service standards for response times (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 The indicator captures the extent to which grievances related to the projects are addressed. The service Comments: standards for response times are the ones used internally by the NEGU, according to which customers’ complaints are expected to be responded within 30 days. IN01111568 ►Amount of private sector investment in renewable energy projects enabled (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,500,000,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This indicator will monitor the amount of private and commercial financing mobilized for large-scale RE Comments: PPPs, enabled by this Project. IN01111570 ►Percentage of beneficiaries who report that the Project has established effective citizen engagement processes (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This indicator measures the percentage of beneficiaries who report that the Project has established effective citizen engagement processes through the beneficiary feedback mechanism, consultations, Comments: meetings with Mahalla committees and local communities. The satisfaction level would be measures through surveys / questionnaires distributed among the event participants. IN01111572 4/13/2022 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) ►Avoided annual GHG emissions through enabled integration of large scale renewable energy (indirect) (Metric ton, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,900,000.00 Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This indicator monitors the indirect climate benefits through avoided annual GHG emissions as a result of integration of at least 1.5 GW large scale renewable energy (1 GW solar and 0.5 GW wind) that have been enabled thanks to the strengthening of the power transmission system under the Project. The lifetime of power plants are expected as 25 years and the total GHG emissions avoided over the lifetime Comments: of the power plant operation is expected to be 46 mtCO2. The combined margin grid emission factor used is the official IFI dataset of default grid factors for vRE version 2.0 released in July 2019 (for intermittent energy in Uzbekistan - 610 gCO2/ kWh). This indicator should not be confused with the PDO indicator on direct GHG emissions reduction (refer to the definition of that indicator). NEGU institutional development and project implementation support IN01111563 ►NEGU transition to IFRS completed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target NEGU prepares NEGU IFRS-based NEGU prepares financial NEGU prepares financial financial statements financial statements for statements based on statements based on Value based on national previous year prepared national GAAP, which is national GAAP, which is GAAP, which is not and audited, staff not compliant with IFRS. not compliant with IFRS. compliant with IFRS. trained. Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This indicator measures progress towards strengthening financial reporting function in SE through training Comments: of staff, aligning SE’s accounting policies with IFRS, and implementation of IFRS. IN01111565 ►NEGU obtained a credit rating by an international rating agency (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This indicator measures the progress of NEGU obtaining an international credit rating from a reputable Comments: international agency. IN01111567 ►NEGU HR policy revised to ensure gender inclusivity (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This intermediate indicator will monitor the completion of revision of HR policies of NEGU for gender Comments: inclusivity at NEGU. IN01111569 ►An Electricity Market Regulatory Authority (EMRA) established and functional, and wholesale competitive electricity market design and unbundled cost-reflective transmission tariff approved (Text, Custom) 4/13/2022 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target An Electricity Market Regulatory Authority (EMRA) established No separate regulatory No separate regulatory No separate regulatory and functional, and authority, market design authority, market design authority, market wholesale competitive Value and rules, and regulated and rules, and regulated design and rules, and electricity market transmission tariff in transmission tariff in regulated transmission design and unbundled place. place. tariff in place. cost-reflective transmission tariff approved. Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 This indicator measures the progress of establishment of a sector regulator, development and approval of Comments: a competitive wholesale electricity market and tariff regulation. IN01111571 ►ERP system procured and installed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 31-Dec-2020 24-Sep-2021 08-Apr-2022 31-Dec-2027 Comments: This indicator will monitor the progress of procurement and installation of a new ERP system at NEGU. Performance-Based Conditions Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Not P171683 IDA-69430 USD 330.00 330.00 0.00 0.00 330.00 0% Effective Not P171683 IDA-69440 USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 0% Effective Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date Not P171683 IDA-69430 25-Jun-2021 02-Mar-2022 -- 31-Jan-2028 31-Jan-2028 Effective Not P171683 IDA-69440 25-Jun-2021 02-Mar-2022 -- 31-Jan-2028 31-Jan-2028 Effective Cumulative Disbursements 4/13/2022 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Electricity Sector Transformation and Resilient Transmission (P171683) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 4/13/2022 Page 7 of 7