The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Eastern and Southern Africa | Water Global Practice | Recipient Executed Activities | Investment Project Financing | FY 2021 | Seq No: 5 | ARCHIVED on 13-Dec-2022 | ISR54071 | Implementing Agencies: East African Community through Lake Victoria Basin Commission, Eastern Nile Regional Technical Organization, Nile Basin Discourse, Nile Basin Initiative Secretariat, Nile Equitorial Lakes Subsidiary Action Program - Coordination Unit Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 27-Feb-2021 Effectiveness Date: 11-Mar-2021 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 01-May-2023 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 30-Nov-2025 Revised Closing Date: 30-Nov-2025 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective is to improve mechanisms for cooperation on water resources management and development in the Nile Basin. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Advancing Nile Basin-Wide Cooperation:(Cost $9.50 M) Component 2: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the NEL Region:(Cost $9.50 M) Component 3: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the Eastern Nile:(Cost $9.50 M) Component 4. Water Quality in the Lake Victoria Sub-Basin:(Cost $0.75 M) Component 5. Enhancing stakeholder engagement in the Nile Basin:(Cost $0.75 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions All five implementing agencies (Nile-Sec, ENTRO, NELSAP-CU, NBD and LVBC) are now advancing key project activities as planned across the five thematic areas of the project--Dam Safety, Floods and Droughts, Information Services, Platforms for Cooperation and Water Quality. The mid- term review for the project is planned for May 2023. 12/13/2022 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Moderate Moderate Moderate Sustainability Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Moderate Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To improve mechanisms for cooperation on water resources management & development in the Nile Basin IN01222518 ►Number of joint governance decisions informed by results from project supported activities (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1.00 4.00 10.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 IN01222519 ►Percentage of users of mechanisms for cooperation on water resources management and development, who rate them as “satisfactory” or higher (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 73.00 97.00 80.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 This value is a cumulative aggregation of percent satisfaction. The sample size in the first (previous) ISR was very small – 40 people. There is some true mean that would result from measuring every possible Comments: person but through sampling a very small subset of people it is similarly likely to measure a wide range of values. Therefore in the previous ISR, a very small sampling for a satisfaction survey cannot be expected to be highly interpretable, and hence the value of 91.6 was much higher than the interim target 12/13/2022 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) (70). However as sampling continues during the project the central tendency will move closer and closer to the true value. Case in point- now the client has sampled 10x more people (roughly 400), and the average is actually much closer to what was anticipated from the predecessor project. In other words closer to the interim target of 70-75. Trends in future measurements will indicate if this explanation is likely to be true or if another explanation is more likely. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Advancing Nile Basin-Wide Cooperation IN01222520 ►Number of people trained (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 512.00 695.00 900.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. IN01222572 number of women (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 64.00 83.00 225.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 IN01222576 number from fragile or conflict affected situations (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 64.00 157.00 225.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 IN01222578 ►Number of fit-for-purpose networks created or strengthened. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 17.00 10.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. IN01222580 ►Number of stakeholders directly supported on applications of the Nile Basin Data Analytics Services (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 286.00 287.00 200.00 12/13/2022 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. IN01222582 ►Number of mechanisms for cooperation improved with open platform public data products (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 1.00 4.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures. Component 2: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the NEL Region IN01222566 ►Number of new or improved dam safety units (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 4 new dam safety unit 5 dam safety units 5 dam safety units exist 5 dam safety units exist are established. 5 dam Value exist in Nile Basin in Nile Basin countries in Nile Basin countries safety units are countries improved Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01222570 ►Mechanisms for increasing equivalence in regional dam safety management developed (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Mechanisms for increasing equivalence Value None None None in regional dam safety management developed. Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Jan-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01222574 ►Number of Water Quality Hotspots where investment prioritization is supported by stakeholder dialogue and relevant analysis (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 4 Water Quality Criteria to identify water Two WQ hotspots Hotspots for which quality hotspots will be identified for investment ready” with the conducting MCA prioritization is Value 0.00 subsequent year analysis and two supported by identifying two water hotspots for which WQ stakeholder dialogue quality hotspots (target baseline assessments and multi-criteria #1) completed (target 2). analysis 12/13/2022 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures Component 3: Improving Mechanisms for Cooperation in the Eastern Nile IN01222567 ►Enhanced flood and drought information available in the public domain (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Mapping of riverine flood Mapping of riverine Enhanced flood and prone areas in the Nile flood prone areas in drought information Value none Basin completed (target the Nile Basin available in the public #1) completed (target #1) domain - y/n Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01222571 ►Number of institutions consulted to enhance or monitor usability of flood related information (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 3.00 20.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01222575 ►Total number of interns/Young Professional (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 9.00 12.00 48.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Jan-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 and the Project Implementation Manual for the full standard operating procedures. IN01222579 Number of women (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3.00 4.00 15.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 IN01222581 Number from Fragile and Conflict affected Situations (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 5.00 8.00 24.00 12/13/2022 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Component 4: Water Quality in the Lake Victoria Sub-Basin IN01222569 ►Number of Instruments developed to guide/govern water quality investment planning in the Lake Victoria Basin/NEL region (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 2 instruments: (i) A draft harmonized policy on water quality management, and (ii) a 1 WQ hotspot Water Quality Value zero Zero identified in the EN for Management Strategy conducting MCA. & Action Plan draft; all prepared in consultation with EAC Partner States and DRC. Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures Component 5: Enhancing stakeholder engagement in the Nile Basin IN01222568 ►Number of community level stakeholders consulted for usability of flood warning notifications (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 750.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Comments: See Annex 9 for the full standard operating procedures IN01222573 number of women (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 300.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 IN01222577 number from fragile or conflict affected situations (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 300.00 Date 26-Feb-2021 09-May-2022 29-Nov-2022 28-Nov-2025 Performance-Based Conditions 12/13/2022 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P172848 TF-B4716 Effective USD 30.00 30.00 0.00 10.42 19.58 35% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P172848 TF-B4716 Effective 11-Mar-2021 11-Mar-2021 11-Mar-2021 30-Nov-2025 30-Nov-2025 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) 12/13/2022 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Nile Cooperation for Climate Resilience (P172848) There are no related projects. 12/13/2022 Page 8 of 8