Report No: PAD4959 INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF EUR 69.3 MILLION (US$75.0 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO GEORGIA FOR THE GEORGIA RESILIENT AGRICULTURE, IRRIGATION, AND LAND PROJECT March 6, 2023 Water Global Practice Europe and Central Asia Region This document is being made publicly available prior to Board consideration. This does not imply a presumed outcome. This document may be updated following Board consideration and the updated document will be made publicly available in accordance with the Bank’s policy on Access to Information. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective January 31, 2023) Currency Unit = Euro (EUR) EUR 0.92 = US$1 US$1.08= EUR 1 FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 Regional Vice President: Anna M. Bjerde Country Director: Sebastian-A Molineus Regional Director: Sameh Naguib Wahba Practice Manager: Winston Yu Task Team Leader(s): Ranu Sinha, Jan Joost Nijhoff, Nadege Orlova ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADB Asian Development Bank AFD Agence Française de Développement B/C Benefit/Cost CERC Contingency Emergency Response Component CPF Country Partnership Framework CSA Climate Smart Agriculture DA Designated Account DGA Digital Governance Agency DPO Development Policy Operation ECA Europe and Central Asia EFA Economic and Financial Analysis EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return ENPV Economic Net Present Value ESF Environment and Social Framework ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework ESMP Environment and Social Management Plan ESCP Environment and Social Commitment Plan ESS Environmental and Social Standards ET Evapotranspiration AET/ETa Actual Evapotranspiration PET/ETp Potential Evapotranspiration EU European Union EX-ACT Ex-Ante Carbon-balance Tool FAO Food and Agriculture Organization FIG Farmer Initiative Group FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return FLL Field-Level Leadership FM Financial Management FNPV Financial Net Present Value FFS Farmer Field Schools GA Georgian Amelioration Limited Liability Company GCRF Global Crisis Response Framework GDP Gross Domestic Product GEL Georgian Lari GeoStat National Statistics Office of Georgia GHG Greenhouse Gas GILMDP Georgia Irrigation and Land Market Development Project GNERC Georgian National Energy and Water Supply Regulatory Commission GoG Government of Georgia GRAIL Georgia Resilient Agriculture Irrigation and Land Project GRID Green, Resilient, and Inclusive Development GRM Grievance Redress Mechanism GWS Green Water Scarcity HAIC Hydrological and Agricultural Informatics Center I&D Irrigation and Drainage IA Implementing Agency IDCDP Irrigation & Drainage Community Development Project IDPs Internally Displaced People IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development IFC International Finance Corporation IFR Interim Financial Report IGIF Integrated Geospatial Information Framework ICCs Information Consultation Centers IPRS Immovable Property Registration System IRR Internal Rate of Return IT Information Technology LMA National Agency for Sustainable Land Management and Land Use Monitoring LMP Labor Management Procedures LPIS Land Parcel Identification System LIS Land Information System M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MEPA Ministry of Environmental Protection and Agriculture MIS Monitoring Information System MoF Ministry of Finance MoJ Ministry of Justice NAPR National Agency of Public Registry NASP National Agency of State Property NDC Nationally Determined Contribution NEA National Environment Agency NGO Non-Governmental Organization NLC National Land Consolidation Strategy NPV Net Present Value NSDI National Spatial Data Infrastructure O&M Operations and Maintenance OECD Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development OMM Operations, Maintenance, and Management PAD Project Appraisal Document PDO Project Development Objective PIU Project Implementation Unit POM Project Operations Manual PPP Purchasing Power Parity PPSD Project Procurement Strategy for Development RDA Agricultural Rural Development Agency RET Reference Evapotranspiration RPF Resettlement Policy Framework SCADA Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition SEP Stakeholder Engagement Plan SEIA Social and Economic Impact Analysis SLM Sustainable Land Management Strategy SLR Systematic Land Registration SOE Statement of Expenditures STEP Systematic Tracking of Exchanges in Procurement TA Technical Assistance TORs Terms of References TSA Treasury Single Account UN United Nations US United States WBG World Bank Group WUO Water User Organization The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) TABLE OF CONTENTS DATASHEET ........................................................................................................................... 1 I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT ...................................................................................................... 7 A. Country Context................................................................................................................................ 7 B. Sectoral and Institutional Context .................................................................................................... 8 C. Relevance to Higher Level Objectives............................................................................................. 13 II. PROJECT DESCRIPTION.................................................................................................. 15 A. Project Development Objective ..................................................................................................... 15 B. Project Components ....................................................................................................................... 16 C. Project Beneficiaries ....................................................................................................................... 27 D. Results Chain .................................................................................................................................. 29 E. Rationale for Bank Involvement and Role of Partners ................................................................... 29 F. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design .................................................................... 31 III. IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS ............................................................................ 33 A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements .......................................................................... 33 B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation Arrangements......................................................................... 34 C. Sustainability................................................................................................................................... 34 IV. PROJECT APPRAISAL SUMMARY ................................................................................... 35 A. Technical, Economic and Financial Analysis (if applicable) ............................................................ 36 B. Fiduciary.......................................................................................................................................... 40 C. Legal Operational Policies ............................................................................................................... 42 D. Environmental and Social ............................................................................................................... 42 E. Climate Change, Disaster Screening and Climate Co-Benefits ....................................................... 44 F. Gender ............................................................................................................................................ 47 V. GRIEVANCE REDRESS SERVICES ..................................................................................... 50 VI. KEY RISKS ..................................................................................................................... 50 VII. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING ................................................................... 52 ANNEX 1: Implementation Arrangements and Support Plan .......................................... 63 ANNEX 2: Map .............................................................................................................. 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) DATASHEET BASIC INFORMATION BASIC_INFO_TABLE Country(ies) Project Name Georgia Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project Project ID Financing Instrument Environmental and Social Risk Classification Investment Project P175629 Substantial Financing Financing & Implementation Modalities [ ] Multiphase Programmatic Approach (MPA) [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Performance-Based Conditions (PBCs) [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made Disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) [ ] Hands-on Enhanced Implementation Support (HEIS) Expected Approval Date Expected Closing Date 24-Mar-2023 30-Sep-2029 Bank/IFC Collaboration No Proposed Development Objective(s) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to: (a) improve irrigation, and drainage services, and agricultural production in project areas; and (b) strengthen national irrigation and land management institutional capacity for climate resilient planning. Page 1 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Components Component Name Cost (US$, millions) Resilient Irrigated Agriculture 119.81 Improved Land Management Capacity 24.00 Project Management 6.00 Contingent Emergency Response Component 0.00 Organizations Borrower: Georgia Implementing Agency: Ministry of Environmental Protection and Agriculture National Agency of Public Registry PROJECT FINANCING DATA (US$, Millions) SUMMARY -NewFin1 Total Project Cost 150.00 Total Financing 150.00 of which IBRD/IDA 75.00 Financing Gap 0.00 DETAILS -NewFinEnh1 World Bank Group Financing International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) 75.00 Non-World Bank Group Financing Counterpart Funding 75.00 Borrower/Recipient 75.00 Expected Disbursements (in US$, Millions) WB Fiscal Year 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Page 2 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Annual 0.19 6.43 11.84 17.42 18.10 13.91 6.23 0.88 Cumulative 0.19 6.62 18.47 35.88 53.98 67.89 74.12 75.00 INSTITUTIONAL DATA Practice Area (Lead) Contributing Practice Areas Water Agriculture and Food, Urban, Resilience and Land Climate Change and Disaster Screening This operation has been screened for short and long-term climate change and disaster risks SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL (SORT) Risk Category Rating 1. Political and Governance ⚫ Moderate 2. Macroeconomic ⚫ Low 3. Sector Strategies and Policies ⚫ Moderate 4. Technical Design of Project or Program ⚫ Moderate 5. Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability ⚫ Moderate 6. Fiduciary ⚫ Moderate 7. Environment and Social ⚫ Substantial 8. Stakeholders ⚫ Substantial 9. Other ⚫ Moderate 10. Overall ⚫ Substantial COMPLIANCE Policy Does the project depart from the CPF in content or in other significant respects? [ ] Yes [✓] No Page 3 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Does the project require any waivers of Bank policies? [ ] Yes [✓] No Environmental and Social Standards Relevance Given its Context at the Time of Appraisal E & S Standards Relevance Assessment and Management of Environmental and Social Risks and Impacts Relevant Stakeholder Engagement and Information Disclosure Relevant Labor and Working Conditions Relevant Resource Efficiency and Pollution Prevention and Management Relevant Community Health and Safety Relevant Land Acquisition, Restrictions on Land Use and Involuntary Resettlement Relevant Biodiversity Conservation and Sustainable Management of Living Natural Relevant Resources Indigenous Peoples/Sub-Saharan African Historically Underserved Traditional Not Currently Relevant Local Communities Cultural Heritage Relevant Financial Intermediaries Not Currently Relevant NOTE: For further information regarding the World Bank’s due diligence assessment of the Project’s potential environmental and social risks and impacts, please refer to the Project’s Appraisal Environmental and Social Review Summary (ESRS). Legal Covenants Sections and Description Loan Agreement, Schedule 2, Section B.1. Unless agreed otherwise between the Bank and the Borrower, the Borrower shall, no later than 30 days after the Effective Date: (a) through MEPA, designate a project implementation unit within MEPA (“MEPA PIU”) and vest the responsibility of implementation of Components 1, 2.1, and 3.1 of the Project with such MEPA PIU; and (b) cause the Project Implementing Entity to designate a project implementation unit within the Project Implementing Entity (“NAPR PIU”) and vest the responsibility of implementation of Components 2.2 and 3.2 of the Project with such NAPR PIU. Page 4 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Sections and Description Loan Agreement, Schedule 2, Section B.2. The Borrower shall: (a) ensure through MEPA, that the MEPA PIU is operated and maintained at all times throughout Project implementation with structure, functions, responsibilities, resources sufficient to operate, and with sufficient staff with experience, qualifications, and responsibilities necessary to carry out its functions under the Project; all in accordance with the MEPA POM and acceptable to the Bank; and (b) cause the Project Implementing Entity to ensure that the NAPR PIU is operated and maintained at all times throughout Project implementation with structure, functions, responsibilities, resources sufficient to operate, and with sufficient staff with experience, qualifications, and responsibilities necessary to carry out its functions under the Project; all in accordance with the NAPR POM and acceptable to the Bank. Sections and Description Loan Agreement, Schedule 2, Section E.1.Without limitation to the provisions of Section 5.03 of the General Conditions, the Borrower through MOF, shall provide resources in the amounts agreed upon as Counterpart Funds for the financing of the Project, which shall be made available in accordance with the Borrower’s internal procedures related to the budget process and the Project’s financing plan and schedule set forth in the Annual Work Plans and Budgets. Sections and Description Loan Agreement, Schedule 2, Section E.2. Unless agreed otherwise between the Bank and the Borrower, through MOF shall, by not later than fifteen (15) days after the approval of the state budget in each Fiscal Year commencing in 2023, and throughout the Project implementation period, submit to the Bank the relevant approved expenditure documents to reflect that the amount of Counterpart Funds required for the carrying out of activities under the Project in the subsequent Fiscal Year, have been secured within the Borrower’s budgetary system, in a manner satisfactory to the Bank. Conditions Type Financing source Description Effectiveness IBRD/IDA The Borrower through MEPA has adopted the MEPA POM; and (ii) the Project Implementing Entity has adopted the NAPR POM. Type Financing source Description Effectiveness IBRD/IDA The Subsidiary Agreement has been executed between MOF (representing the Borrower), MOJ, the Project Implementing Entity, and DGA. Type Financing source Description Disbursement IBRD/IDA Notwithstanding the provisions of Part A above, no withdrawal shall be made for Emergency Expenditures under Category (5), unless and until all of the following conditions have been met in respect of said expenditures: (i) (A) the Borrower has determined that an Eligible Crisis or Emergency has occurred, and has furnished to the Bank a request Page 5 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) to withdraw Loan amounts under Category (5); and (B) the Bank has agreed with such determination, accepted said request and notified the Borrower thereof; and (ii) the Borrower has adopted the CERC Manual and Emergency Action Plan, in form and substance acceptable to the Bank. Page 6 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT A. Country Context 1. Georgia is an upper-middle-income country with an annual gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of US$5,023 in 2021 and a population of about 3.7 million.1 The country’s economy grew at an average annual rate of nearly 5 percent between 2005 and 2021 despite numerous upheavals, including: the global financial crisis of 2007–08, conflict with the Russian Federation in 2008, the drop in commodity prices since 2014, the 2020 COVID- 19 pandemic, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. In 2021, the economy rebounded strongly (10.5 percent growth), driven by the recovery of consumption and exports. Like in the other economies in the South Caucasus and Central Asia, negative impacts of the crisis were somewhat dampened by the large inflows of money transfers and people in the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent sanctions on Russia. In 2022, economic growth averaged 10.1 percent. 2. Georgia implemented important economic reforms that facilitated a decrease in the national poverty rate from 38.8 percent in 2007 to 17.5 percent in 2021. The reforms led to improved income and living conditions for the country’s bottom 40 percent. However, more than half of the population remains in poverty in relation to the upper middle-income line (US$6.86 per person per day in 2017 Purchasing Power Parity). Although inequality declined after 2010, with a Gini Index of 33.9 in 2021, Georgia has one of the highest levels of income inequality in the Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region. The incidence of poverty and inequality is higher in rural areas than in urban areas. However, poverty dropped by over six percent in rural areas, and by two percent in urban Georgia in 2021.2 3. As a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, global food and fertilizer prices have increased with negative impacts on agricultural exports. Domestic food price inflation in Georgia was 15.8 percent in August 2022. In 2021, agriculture contributed 27 percent of total exports, and agriculture export values increased during the past decade. However, from January to November 2022, exports of fruits, nuts, and vegetables amounted to approximately US$166 million, 17 percent below the same period in 2021. At the same time, domestic demand for fruit and vegetables increased, thus providing market opportunities for local produce. Physical access to Russian markets also has been constrained, affected by the financial sanctions. Despite these constraints, Russia remains the largest export destination for fruits, nuts, and vegetables, followed by Italy and Germany. Nonetheless, the Russian invasion of Ukraine highlights the importance of agriculture competitiveness to increase export diversification. 4. Climate change is a critical risk to Georgia’s development and stability, particularly for the agriculture sector. Current trends, such as increasing temperatures, eroding soils, intensifying droughts, floods, and an increased occurrence of hail, are expected to reduce yields in major agricultural regions, including the eastern regions, where irrigation is prevalent. The availability of water resources is highly seasonal in Georgia. Rivers fed by glaciers and snow, such as the Khrami-Debed and Alazani, are projected to see reduced flows between 30 percent and 55 percent by the end of the 21st century, posing a threat to an important source of water supply. Precipitation is also projected to decrease during the farming season (June–August) and increase in autumn, 1 National Statistics Office of Georgia (GeoStat) 2021. 2 National Statistics Office of Georgia (GeoStat) 2021. Page 7 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) spring, and winter.3 Up to 30 consecutive dry days are expected by mid-century, increasing agricultural water scarcity, and reducing crop productivity during the summer months. Droughts are expected to exert further pressure on water availability. The annual risk exposure of the population to climate change is estimated to be between 1.5 and 6.6 percent of Georgia’s national GDP (that is, between US$238 million and US$1.04 billion annually). B. Sectoral and Institutional Context Sectoral Context 5. Constraints and opportunities in Georgia’s agriculture, water, and land sectors are interlinked. Land and water are finite resources upon which agricultural production and productivity depend. While agriculture in Georgia is primarily rainfed, irrigation and drainage (I&D) investments are vital to guard against hydrological variability, and critical for high-value agriculture production. The eastern part of the country requires irrigation to buffer climatic extremes, while the western part is confronted with drainage problems. In most parts of the country, however, I&D infrastructure has deteriorated due to lack of maintenance and reduced financial resources allocated to I&D management. Pressure on fragmented land resources is also growing, making improvements in agricultural land management in Georgia critical for increasing productivity. Due to these interlinked challenges in the agriculture, water, and land sectors, interventions to address them must be implemented in the three sectors concurrently. 6. The agriculture sector accounted for 41 percent of all jobs in 2017 and continues to be important in the poorer and more rural parts of the country, which are most vulnerable to climate risks. Approximately 41 percent of the total population live in rural areas, and the majority of those living in those areas rely partly on agriculture for their livelihoods. Subsistence agriculture makes up 73 percent of employment in rural areas.4 Almost 80 percent of rural farmers operate less than 1 hectare (ha) of agricultural land. Most smallholdings produce crops primarily for subsistence purposes and lack direct commercial potential. Productivity is low and stagnant for most crop and livestock products, both in absolute terms and relative to comparator countries. Present and future climate change pose further risks to production and livelihoods for these marginal groups. Past droughts (a severe event occurred in 2000) caused wheat yields to drop by more than half. 7. According to the most recent agricultural census conducted in 2014, the share of commercial farms producing higher-value crops for export remains low. Forward and backward links with input suppliers and the agro-processing sector are weak, although their improvement would have a positive impact on agriculture modernization, value chain development, and competitiveness. Despite the apparent limitations of smallholder farms, a small but increasing number of medium-size and larger commercially oriented producers and agri- business enterprises are driving the development of domestic market and export-oriented value chains (World Bank 2022).5 From 2010 to 2020, the value of exports of agricultural food products, especially high-value commodities such as wine, hazelnuts, fruits, and vegetables, more than doubled, while imports remained stable. As new export markets are being explored, private investment in processing capacity has started to increase, and 3 https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/country/georgia/climate-data-projections. 4 Geostat. 2020. Based on International Labour Organization (ILO) methodology. 5 World Bank. 2022. Agriculture, Water, and Land Policies to Scale Up Sustainable Agri-Food Systems in Georgia: Synthesis Report and Way Forward. Washington, DC: World Bank. Page 8 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) various canned, dried, and frozen products are being exported to the EU, the United States (US), and other markets. 8. Following independence in 1991, Georgia experienced a turbulent transition period resulting in the deterioration of a large part of its irrigation infrastructure. This caused a sharp decline in the irrigated area. However, from 2012 to 2020, the public irrigable area steadily increased to about 130,000 ha,6 of which about 6,500 ha is served by pumping systems.7 In addition, some of Georgia's dams are aging and in need of repair or rehabilitation. Thus, in recent years, Government of Georgia (GoG) took steps to improve dam safety in the country. The Ministry of Environment Protection and Agriculture (MEPA) established regulations and guidelines for the design, construction, and maintenance of dams. GOG also produced an upcoming draft law “on the safety of hydraulic structures and launched several projects to upgrade existing dams and build new, safer ones. 9. In 2020, there was a total of 123 irrigation schemes in use and the actual irrigated area was about 65,000 ha, according to the Georgian Amelioration Limited Liability Company (GA), the national state-owned enterprise that builds, owns, maintains, and operates I&D infrastructure. The share of irrigable land to total agricultural land is about 16.5 percent. Most of the high-value agricultural production in Georgia is in the central and eastern regions and relies on irrigation.8 However, most of the infrastructure under GA management is relatively old and has suffered decades of deferred maintenance. The underlying reasons are weak investment planning processes, absence of investment prioritization, low irrigation service fees, and insufficient capacity within GA. As a result, supply disruptions are common, and maintenance budgets and activities often focus on dealing with emergencies. 10. Local GA service centers are at the forefront of operations, maintenance, and management (OMM), but are underfunded and lack adequate asset management systems. They also lack both an inventory of infrastructure, an understanding of the condition of the infrastructure, and adequate maintenance plans. Skills and staffing at GA service centers are also weak. As a result, irrigation service delivery is not grounded in customer needs, have little or no performance monitoring, and maintain limited communication with farmers. The irrigation service also reflects a significant gender gap; only 3.7 percent of female landowners have irrigation service contracts. Women landowners or co-owners represent 40 percent of landowners or co-owners, and their parcels are on average 30 percent smaller than those owned by the men. This affects their ability to use land as collateral for access to finance. These factors underscore the need for institutional service delivery reform. 11. During Soviet times, about 130,000 ha of the lowlands was equipped with drainage . Following independence, however, drained, and cultivated land declined to 4,000–5,000 ha as maintenance services collapsed. In 2012, the Government began funding selective rehabilitation activities. The rehabilitated drains now provide primary drainage for 34,400 ha of agricultural land, 89 percent of which is in Western Georgia.9 GA currently estimates the total design area of pre-existing drainage systems in the country at 114,000 ha, with 6 International School of Economics at TSU (ISET)-PI 2016), MEPA/GA 7 Between 2016 and 2020, approximately US$50 million was invested in infrastructure projects with World Bank funding (under the Land Market and Irrigation Development Project). 8 The Kakheti region represents about 40 percent of the agricultural land and Kvemo Kartli 15.5 percent (Geostat 2014). 9 Agriculture in Western Georgia is dominated by two crops—maize (50 percent) and hazelnuts (33 percent)—with vegetables and citrus also important. Following rehabilitation of drainage systems within Western Georgia, it is anticipated that both yields and areas of annual and perennial crops will steadily increase over the next 10 years as drainage improves and abandoned land that is drained returns to production. It is also anticipated that there will be a notable increase in the proportion of hazelnut, citrus, and other fruit crops as well as vegetables, in response to an increasing demand from both domestic and export markets. Page 9 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 34,400 ha partially rehabilitated and another 3,212 ha under rehabilitation. This leaves about 76,000 ha of service area yet to be rehabilitated. To prevent further deterioration, there is an urgent need to (a) rapidly expand the drained area through rehabilitation, and (b) improve the OMM of these drainage systems. 12. Land privatization reform conducted in the 1990s resulted in small, subsistence agriculture-oriented landholdings in private property, which could not be used for development of commercial agriculture. The land administration and management framework in Georgia today is still not conducive to commercial agriculture development because the average agricultural plot size in private property is less than 1 ha, and only about 50 percent of agricultural plots are registered by the National Agency of Public Registry (NAPR). In addition to the high-level of land fragmentation, there is a gender gap in land ownership. The plots owned by men are on average twice the size of those owned by the women alone or jointly with men. The state land lease system also requires improvement due to the absence of transparent land valuation methodologies as well as low taxation and tax recovery rates. The low tax recovery rates do not encourage private and public owners to optimize their land use. 13. Women’s access to land and water resources, finance, modern technologies, markets, and information is low compared to men. Consequently, women are more involved in low-income activities such as subsistence agriculture.10 Their contribution to agricultural production, which remains invisible and under-recognized, highlights a significant gender gap.11 On average, Georgian women receive 75 percent of men’s income (MEPA 2019). Although the Constitution guarantees equal rights for men and women (including in inheritance of property), women in Georgia (particularly rural women) often are considered secondary heirs with fewer rights. This has been attributed to their limited involvement in economic decision-making within the family due to cultural reasons and a lack of awareness about their legal rights. 14. To address the productivity and climatic challenges faced by food producers in Georgia, there is a need to take an integrated approach by focusing on a joint program supporting concurrent investments in the agriculture, water, and land sectors. To provide adequate water for agriculture and to enhance the economic potential of all types of farms, the priority need is to increase access to irrigation by more farmers. This can be done by enhancing rehabilitation and modernization of main, secondary, and tertiary systems, which need to be complemented with a detailed Operations & Maintenance (O&M) plan for ensuring the sustainability of the infrastructure. Although irrigation investments are necessary, they are insufficient to accelerate Georgia’s agricultural growth thus, measures are needed in the agricultural sector across agricultural value chains from farm to market. The measures should encourage market links and product aggregation between smallholders to agri- businesses, close knowledge gaps, increase access to finance, improve transport and agro-logistics, and foster small and medium farmers to transition from subsistence to commercial agriculture. Simultaneously, interventions in the land sector are critical, to develop agricultural land markets, encourage small landholders 10 MEPA. 2019. Agriculture and Rural Development Strategy of Georgia 2021–2027. p. 14 and 15, citing the United Nations Development Programme ‘Gender Barriers in Georgia: Barriers and Recommendations’. Part II, p. 37 and FAO United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Gender, Agriculture and Rural Development. Country Gender Assessment Series. Rome. 2018. Pp. 51–54. 11 A report by the UN (United Nations) Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) on ‘Gender, Agriculture and Rural Development’ st ates that 59 percent of self-employed women involved in small family farming remain unpaid. Even though women provide a significant share of the labor, they do not have an equal share in the benefits produced by irrigated agriculture. And when women are involved in irrigated production, they often lack access to markets because private means of transportation are not available to them. The overlooked contribution of rural women to agriculture is that their work is largely associated with family responsibilities and remains unpaid, and women employed in all sectors of agriculture receive less pay than men. Page 10 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) with fragmented plots to consolidate their land, which incentivizes farmers to shift crop and production practices towards more commercial agriculture resulting in increased income returns from irrigated agriculture. Institutional and Policy Context 15. MEPA has started supporting the agriculture sector in a more holistic manner. The Agricultural Rural Development Agency (RDA, an agency under MEPA) developed several initiatives that support farm commercialization and agribusiness development, including the agriculture credit support program and the Plant the Future program that promotes farm-level investment in perennial crop orchard development using irrigation. However, existing RDA programs focus on perennial crops and do not support development of high-value annual crop production in a holistic manner. In addition, the share of women beneficiaries in GoG agriculture grants programs was only 7.6 per cent during the period 2014–2019 (UNWOMEN, 2021). 16. MEPA recently adopted the Agriculture and Rural Development Strategy of Georgia 2021 –2027. The strategy aims to “diversify and develop economic opportunities in rural areas and improve social conditions and quality of life.” The strategic goals are: (a) development of competitive agricultural and nonagricultural rural sectors; (b) sustainable use of natural resources, ecosystem conservation, and climate change adaptation; and (c) development of efficient systems in food/feed safety and veterinary and plant protection. Achieving sustainable growth will require targeted investments in the agriculture sector, including investments in the management of land and water. 17. The Irrigation Strategy for Georgia 2017–202512 aims to modernize irrigation infrastructure and boost the area of irrigated land to 200,000 ha by 2025. The strategy sets out an ambitious agenda aimed at: increasing irrigated areas, transforming GA into a professional and financially sustainable irrigation service provider, introducing a new irrigation tariff system, and transforming local-level management entities into customers (for example, Water User Organizations (WUOs)). The strategy’s objectives are to: (a) improve the reliability of the water supply through rehabilitation of infrastructure, (b) ensure financial sustainability of service providers by reducing their dependency on direct government subsidies, (c) ensure efficient allocation of water across alternative uses, and (d) increase the competitiveness of Georgia’s agricultural sector by providing reliable I&D services at reasonable prices.13 18. To support the reform agenda, the World Bank First Green and Resilient Georgia Development Policy Operation includes two actions related to the irrigation tariff. They aim to expand the mandate of the Georgian Energy and Water Supply Regulatory Commission (GNERC) to: (a) allow GNERC to set tariffs for irrigation and non- irrigation water users that are clients of GA,14 and (b) adopt a new method for setting bulk water tariffs. These actions will help (a) ensure efficient irrigation water consumption and other water uses; (b) facilitate investments and expansion of the serviced area; and (c) ensure the financial sustainability of GA. GNERC has started to prepare the financial and economic modeling that will support the design and structure of the new irrigation tariff methodology and is expected to engage in consultations with stakeholders (including water users) during the first quarter of 2023. The proposed project will support this effort and help the gradual rollout of the new tariff, 12 The preparation of the strategy was assisted by the World Bank-funded Georgia Irrigation and Land Market Development Project (GILMDP) (P133828). 13 USAID (United States Agency for International Development). 2016. Regulatory Impact Assessment (RIA) of Draft Irrigation/Drainage Tariff Methodology. USAID Governing for Growth (G4G) in Georgia. 14 By the end of 2022, MEPA had already submitted the first package of amendments proposed for the WUO law to Parliament to enable GNERC to regulate the tariff for all water users serviced by GA. Page 11 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) including consideration of opportunities to provide direct subsidies to farmers to allow them to pay the revised tariff through e-vouchers. The revised tariff would aim to achieve increased coverage of O&M costs of GA for irrigation service provision from 25 percent (baseline as of 2021) to 100 percent by 2025.15 19. MEPA is setting up a decentralized irrigation service delivery model. Georgia established WUOs in the past to improve local O&M in public irrigation schemes.16 In recent years, supported by the ongoing World Bank- funded Georgia Irrigation and Land Markets Development Project (GILMDP), GoG approved the 2019 Law on WUOs to support the formal establishment and operation of WUOs, where GA assumes the role of bulk water supplier to local level organizations that operate local facilities and supply individual farms. Although these issues were assigned priority during the early years of GILMDP, there was limited momentum on establishing WUOs due to frequent leadership changes within GA and senior MEPA management, limited political will, and delays in interactions with farmers due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Since 2021, however, momentum has accelerated with the formation of Water User Support Units given responsibility for the formation of WUOs. Reengagement with farmers in the GILMDP areas in the formation of farmer initiative groups (FIGs)17 led by the staff of the WUO Support Unit in 2021 and 2022 resulted in increased interest by farmers in providing feedback on irrigation construction and water management topics within their communities.18 20. GoG’s vision on land sector development is reflected in the 2021–2024 Toward Building a European State Program, which considers completing land reform a top priority for Georgia. Two state land policy goals were outlined in the State Budget for 2021: (a) land market development and (b) support for land registration and improving NAPR services. As of 2022, only 37 percent of registered agricultural land was privately owned. There is also an incomplete legislative framework for land registration, gaps in land taxation and valuation systems, and substantial state ownership of agricultural land (56 percent of registered agricultural land excluding occupied territories). In addition, there are data gaps and discrepancies among the land management systems operated by the NAPR, National Agency for Sustainable Land Management and Land Use Monitoring (LMA), and the National Agency of State Property (NASP). To address these challenges, GoG planned a range of activities in the next few 15 The bulk irrigation tariff in Georgia does not cover the costs of service provision or provide any incentive to use water efficiently. The current irrigation tariff in Georgia was set by the Georgian National Energy and Water Supply Regulatory Commission (GNERC) in 2010 at GEL 75 (about US$25) per year per hectare in eastern Georgia and GEL 45 (US$16) per hectare for western Georgia. GA, at present, is only able to recover 25 percent of its operational expenses from water users’ contributions, while the balance is provided by stat e subsidies. The strategy clearly points out that the current tariff arrangements are suboptimal, not only about the level of the tariff but also that it is structured as a per-hectare payment based on voluntary annual contracts with water users. Therefore, the development of a new I&D tariff methodology is urgently needed. 16 After the independence of the country, around 200 amelioration service cooperatives were created on a command area of 200,000 ha. They failed and management was transferred to village councils. With the support of the World Bank-financed Irrigation & Drainage Community Development Project IDCDP (2001–2009), 259 amelioration associations (equivalent of WUOs) were established but the GoG closed all amelioration association-related activities in 2006 as part of an ideologically driven push to privatize public services. All amelioration associations were formally dissolved in 2010. Local organizations in charge of O&M of irrigation schemes were thus introduced several times but have not sustained over a longer period. Lack of training of WUO members and financial resources to support them and political instability were key reasons for mixed results. 17 FIGs are established on a voluntary basis, based on an informal agreement among local farmers, to come together on a regular basis to provide feedback to MEPA and GA on contractual works related to the GILMDP modernization of irrigation schemes as well as discuss topics related to water management, O&M, and other irrigation service delivery aspects linked to WUO formation. FIGs are a necessary precondition for supp orting the creation of WUOs in GILMDP areas. 18 The GILMDP has also recently launched a tender to contract an external service provider to support GA and MEPA to establish the first pilot WUO in the Kvemo Samgori irrigation command area during 2023, until the close of the project in September 2023, which has been approved by MEPA. Page 12 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) years: (a) systematic land registration in 74 settlements of five municipalities (Sagarejo, Tetri Tskaro, Gardabani, Gori, and Kareli); (b) upgrade of NAPR property information system for systematic registration of irrigation areas; (c) capacity building for specialists who prepare plot sketch plans and carry out systematic registration of land (1.2 million ha); (d) creation of records for property ownership, leases, and other documents; (e) development of National Spatial Data Infrastructure (NSDI); and (f) updating of NAPR with spatial data. 21. Despite GoG’s progress in establishing national legislative frameworks and developing gender equality policies during the past two decades, gender inequality persists in agriculture, water, and land. Women’s contribution to agriculture is often overlooked and largely underpaid and even unpaid. In agriculture, women earn 75 percent of what a man would earn; in fisheries, a woman’s wage is 35 percent of that of a man (FAO 2018).19Thus, resolving agriculture and food system constraints will require simultaneous and complementary interventions in irrigation and land management with a gender first approach, the timing of which is urgent given that the impacts of climate change (increasing temperatures and variability in rainfall) are expected to intensify inequality in rural communities.20 22. The Georgian Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) set a target to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 35 percent below 1990 levels by 2030.21 The main sectors that would be affected by these emission target levels are energy, industry, agriculture, and water resources management (including food production). Improving the policies that govern these sectors are part of the GoG’s adaptation priorities, which are to: introduce innovative irrigation management and water application techniques, implement coastal zone protection technologies, and implement a list of strategic documents/policies (OECD 2020).22 With regard to the agriculture sector, the 2030 Vision outlined in the Climate Change National Adaptation Plan calls for Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) practices in Georgia, ensuring food security, rural poverty elimination, and sustainability of agro- ecosystem services through introduction of highly effective production methods and management of climate change-associated risks (MEPA 2017).23 C. Relevance to Higher Level Objectives A. ALIGNMENT WITH WORLD BANK STRATEGIES AND CORPORATE PRIORITIES 23. The proposed Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land (GRAIL) Project is aligned with the current FY19–22 Country Partnership Framework (CPF).24 The Project is aligned with the World Bank Group CPF for FY19-FY22 (Report No. 121853-GE), discussed at the Board of Executive Directors on April 25, 2018, and as updated by the Performance and Learning Review (Report No. 166148-GE), endorsed by the Board on April 14, 2022). The PLR also extended the CPF by one year until end of FY23. This project is consistent with Focus Area 1: Enhance Inclusive Growth and Competitiveness, specifically Objective 1.1 which relates to agricultural modernization and access to markets. The project aims to: (a) improve access to irrigation services; (b) develop a 19 Gender Barriers in Georgia: Barriers and Recommendations’. Part II, p. 37 and FAO United Nations Food and Agricultur e Organization (FAO). Gender, Agriculture and Rural Development. Country Gender Assessment Series. Rome. 2018. Pp. 51–54. 20 Climate Risk Country Profile: Georgia (2021): The World Bank Group and the Asian Development Bank. 21 https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-06/NDC%20Georgia_ENG%20WEB-approved.pdf 22 OECD. 2020. OECD Investment Policy Reviews: Georgia. OECD Investment Policy Reviews. OECD: Paris. https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/finance-and-investment/oecd-investment-policy-reviews-georgia_0d33d7b7-en 23 MEPA. 2017. Climate Change National Adaptation Plan for Georgia’s Agriculture Sector. 24 Report Number: 121853-GE. Page 13 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) land management system for more secure land tenure; and (c) provide support to high‐value irrigated agriculture and horticulture production and accelerate adoption of modernized agricultural practices. The project also highlights the importance of citizen engagement and cross-cutting priorities (gender empowerment and climate resilience) in water use and management. In addition, the project aligns with Focus Area 3: Build Resilience, specifically Objective 3.3 which is to enhance management of natural resources and climate risks. The project will: (a) improve access to surface irrigation water for food production, particularly for smallholder farmers in the eastern part of Georgia which is exposed to drought risks; (b) improve irrigation service delivery and the capacities of irrigation institutions to measure, monitor, and manage meteorological and climatological risks leading to enhanced resilience to climate change in the water and agricultural sectors; and (c) provide value chain support to farmers for increased crop yields in areas where irrigation schemes will be modernized and rehabilitated. 24. The project is aligned with the (a) World Bank COVID-19 response; (b) the Green, Resilient, and Inclusive Development (GRID) approach; and (c) the Global Crisis Response Framework (GCRF). First, the project is aligned with Pillar 2 (protecting the poor/vulnerable) and Pillar 4 (Strengthening policies, institutions, and investment for rebuilding better) of the World Bank COVID-19 Crisis Approach Paper.25 Second, the project is aligned with the GRID approach because it will enhance the resilience of agriculture in a drought-prone region of Georgia. It will do so by supporting an integrated approach in bundling interventions in water, land, and agriculture at the national policy scale as well as at the farm scale. These interventions are aligned with improved land use management and promote CSA practices in target areas where irrigation schemes will be rehabilitated and modernized. In addition, the project is aligned with the ECA Green Transition Frameworks which call for a shift toward green, resilient, and inclusive development. This will be achieved by reducing risks associated with, and strengthening resilience to, natural disasters and climate change (Priority 3) and through inclusive infrastructure service delivery by ensuring equitable access to quality water services (Priority 4). Finally, the project aligns with the GCRF because it will strengthen resilience as it supports infrastructure, institutional, and information driven pathways to respond to food insecurity (Pillar 1), build long-term resilience in the water, agriculture, and land sectors (Pillar 3), and focuses on modernizing irrigation infrastructure to improve development outcomes (Pillar 4). 25. Through its integrated approach to improving water, land, and agriculture service delivery, the project aligns with the WBG Action Plan on Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience (Report No. 136368), notably with Objective 1 (Boosting Adaptation Financing). The action plan identifies water as one of six adaptation themes that the WBG will support. It states that the WBG is seeking to support interventions that provide at least 100 river basins with climate-informed management plans and/or improved river basin management governance, as well as at least 15 million people with improved flood and drought risk management infrastructure. 26. To further align with corporate priorities on climate and strengthen alignment to the WBG action plan, the project is explicitly designed to address three major risks related to climate change . First, it will address drought risks, which are currently classified as medium26 and are expected to increase due to climate change as droughts during the summer months are predicted to have major impacts on rural livelihoods, the agricultural sector, and national food security. Second, it will address temperature and extreme heat risks, which are classified as medium in Eastern Georgia. Georgia is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change in Eurasia. Temperatures have increased consistently during the past 120 years at an average rate of 0.1˚C per decade. The 25 World Bank. 2020. COVID-19 Crisis Response Approach Paper: Saving Lives, Scaling-up Impact and Getting Back on Track. Unpublished paper. Washington, DC: World Bank. 26 https://www.wri.org/applications/aqueduct/water-risk-atlas/. Page 14 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) water sector is the primary medium through which the negative impacts of climate change are felt and is the main sector to ensure adaptation and build resilience. The climate events can damage crops and reduce agricultural incomes, but their impacts can be buffered through reliable service delivery in irrigated agriculture. Third, river flood risks are classified as high in Georgia. The project will increase resilience to flood risk because it will support the rehabilitation of existing drainage schemes. Thus, it is critical to rapidly expand the drainage area, which is essential for productive agriculture in Western Georgia. 27. Beyond addressing climate adaptation priorities, the project will contribute to Georgia’s mitigation agenda. The proposed investment will promote improved energy and water efficiency in irrigation and agriculture, thus reducing the water and agriculture sector’s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions. However, all target short-listed schemes are gravity based. Diesel pumping generally is not used in Georgia. Most pumping for irrigation already uses the more efficient and lower carbon electric pumps. The project also will support MEPA efforts to improve dam safety to ensure the long-term sustainability of hydropower production. In addition, the proposed modernization investments will add pressure into the system in locations where it is generated by natural pressure (topography). However, in areas where topography is not suitable for natural pressure and farmers are required to pump, the project will provide financial support to farmers for investing in renewable energy pumps (for example, solar pumps (as a booster) for supporting farmers to adopt drip irrigation systems). II. PROJECT DESCRIPTION A. Project Development Objective PDO Statement 28. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to: (a) improve irrigation, and drainage services, and agricultural production in project areas, and (b) strengthen national irrigation and land management institutional capacity for climate resilient planning. 29. The primary project beneficiaries comprise farmers and agricultural enterprises across the project targeted regions. Overall, the rural population will benefit from enhanced services provided by land management, irrigation services, and agricultural support. In the public sector, the project will support institutional strengthening of MEPA, including GA, the National Environment Agency (NEA), RDA, and LMA. The State Property Agency under the Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development (MoESD) will participate in the capacity building and training activities as a beneficiary. 30. The project will improve the coverage and quality of irrigation and drainage services and agricultural production in selected irrigation command areas. Regarding the first part of the PDO, improved I&D services will be measured by the number of landowners that have access to the services affected by the project interventions. Improvements in agricultural production in project areas will be defined as the increase in the gross value of agricultural production. Regarding the second part of the PDO, at the national level, the project will strengthen irrigation management institutional capacity for climate resilient planning by establishing both (a) an irrigation service delivery performance monitoring system within GA, and (b) a Hydro-Agro Informatics Center for monitoring and dissemination of water, land, agriculture, and climate information within MEPA. The project will strengthen capacities for land management through support to the LMA in building the multipurpose Land Information System (LIS) and operationalizing its different applications. Page 15 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) PDO Level Indicators 31. Key results will be measured with the following indicators: (a) Increase in gross value of agricultural production in project areas. (b) Landowners with access to improved irrigation and drainage services (disaggregated by gender). (c) Irrigation service delivery performance monitoring and decision support system established and operational in central office and selected service centers of Georgian Amelioration in project areas. (d) Hydro-Agro Informatics Center established and operational for real-time monitoring and dissemination of water, land, agriculture, and climate information for water efficient and climate resilient planning. (e) Multi-purpose agricultural LIS operationalized. B. Project Components 32. The proposed project will finance three components for the total cost of US$150 million. Due to the GoG’s prudent external fiscal borrowing, the project will be financed by an IBRD loan of US$75 million27 with the GoG providing counterpart financing of US$75 million (equivalent) from budgetary resources. Table 1 summarizes the proposed financing plan for each component/subcomponent. The GoG will allocate state resources for the project as part of its annual budget programming. If there is a need to redeploy resources during project implementation, the GoG will explore alternative financing mechanisms with the World Bank. Table 1. Summary of Project Costs, Financing Allocations, and Responsible Entity GoG Responsible IBRD Loan GoG Counterpart Implementing Cost (US$, Financing IBRD Loan Counterpart Project Component Financing Agency million) (US$, % of Total Financing % (US$ million) of Total million) Component 1: Resilient Irrigated MEPA 119.8 59.8 50 60 50 Agriculture Subcomponent 1.1: I&D MEPA infrastructure rehabilitation and 84.8 42.3 50 42.5 50 modernization Subcomponent 1.2: Irrigated MEPA agriculture and value chain 20 10 50 10 50 development Subcomponent 1.3: Improved MEPA performance of irrigation service 15 7.5 50 7.5 50 delivery Component 2: Improved Land MEPA and NAPR 24 12 50 12 50 Management Capacity 27The amount of US$75 million is inclusive of the Front End Fee for the IBRD loan. Table 1 reflects the cost of individual components net of the Front End Fee. Page 16 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) GoG Responsible IBRD Loan GoG Counterpart Implementing Cost (US$, Financing IBRD Loan Counterpart Project Component Financing Agency million) (US$, % of Total Financing % (US$ million) of Total million) Subcomponent 2.1: Strengthening MEPA agricultural land management 14 7 50 7 50 and monitoring Subcomponent 2.2: Enhancement NAPR of land administration service 10 5 50 5 50 delivery and building digital governance infrastructure Component 3: Project MEPA and NAPR 6 3 50 3 50 Management Component 4: Contingent Ministry of 0 0 0 0 0 Emergency Response Finance Total 149.8 74.8 50 75 50 33. Component 1: Resilient Irrigated Agriculture (US$119.8 million). This component encompasses implementation of high priority investments in I&D infrastructure, agriculture support, and institutional strengthening for national irrigation and rural development agencies aligned with the country’s agriculture strategy, irrigation strategy, and climate change adaptation and mitigation agendas. It finances civil works, goods, equipment, and related services as well as technical training for agency staff and farmers to boost productivity of irrigated agriculture. The infrastructure investments will enhance the reliability of water supply for irrigation to reduce risks from climate-induced precipitation variability. The agriculture investments will promote CSA technologies (for example, crop varieties adapted to crop water stress, on-farm water saving techniques and technologies, anti-hail, and frost protection equipment) that enhance farm-level productivity and promote agronomic practices that generate adaptation and mitigation benefits for smallholder farmers in water stressed areas. The digital decision support services to farmers, with improved access to water saving irrigation technologies, and training for rural water users will improve on-farm water use efficiency. The investments also will be designed to minimize GHG emissions through reductions in energy consumption by promoting water conservation through water metering and on-farm interventions (see table 3). The component includes the following sub-components. 34. Subcomponent 1.1: Irrigation & Drainage Infrastructure Rehabilitation and Modernization (US$84.8 million). This subcomponent will finance rehabilitation and modernization of selected I&D schemes using a framework approach. The five short-listed schemes are: (a) Tashiskari and (b) Tiriponi schemes in Shida Kartli region, (c) Zeda Arkhi scheme in Kvemo Kartli region, (d) Zemo Alazani scheme in Kakheti region, and (e) Narekvavi scheme in Mtskheta-Mtianeti region located in Eastern Georgia (see table 2). The short list also includes a drainage scheme (Shavgele Massif in Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti region) in Western Georgia. The total command area of the Page 17 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) I&D systems under consideration is 26,88728 ha selected based on hydrological, technical, economic, and agricultural parameters. This subcomponent is aligned with Pillar 4 of the GCRF – Strengthening Policies, Institutions, and Investments for Rebuilding Better. 35. Scope of Activities. The activities financed under this subcomponent will include the rehabilitation/modernization of main, secondary, and tertiary canals and drains with all the ancillary structures (for example, headworks, flow regulating and measurement structures, outlets, bypass, flood protection, water meters). Studies, surveys, preliminary and detailed engineering designs, and bidding documents will be prepared after project effectiveness. Finally, a dam safety assessment will be conducted for all dams upon which correspond to the rehabilitated irrigation schemes but no major physical works on dams will be carried out under the project. However, additional procurement may be considered such as purchase of instruments for monitoring reservoir behavior or capacity building activities to upgrade the existing dams to an acceptable standard of safety. In the case of the Narekvavi dam, for example, the project may finance equipment to remove sedimentation and enhance reservoir capacity if the Narekvavi scheme and reservoir are selected for financing. 36. Scheme selection. The final selection of the schemes will take place after the preliminary design phase. The design process will consist of two phases within the framework of the same consultancy. During the preliminary design phase (Phase 1), the consultant will conduct hydrological, topographical, and agricultural surveys and suggest options for rehabilitation and upgrading together with cost estimation for each option, which will be discussed with GA and the water users before final decisions are made. In Phase 2, the consultant will develop a detailed design for the agreed options. Given the nature of the civil works (upgrading and rehabilitation of existing infrastructure), it is envisaged that this will not require multiyear complex technical assessments. While a large part of the rehabilitation will involve reconstruction of original systems, the technical studies undertaken during project implementation will examine opportunities to modernize water control and delivery structures. Where the adjacent topography will allow conversion of secondary and tertiary networks to pressurized systems, the modernization option will be considered to ease adoption of modern irrigation technologies (for example, drip and sprinkler) (see Subcomponent 1.3) by water users in the project areas. The final areas/schemes applicable for pressurization can only be derived after the topographic surveys are completed. Table 2. Summary of GRAIL Short-listed I&D Schemes Irrigation/ Average 3 Area Main Head- Main Main Estimated Unit Cost Network Drainage Years Considered Canal/ works Canal Canal Cost (US$ (US$/ha) Rehabilita Scheme Irrigated/ under the Drain Rehab. Capacity Rehab. million) tion Drained Project (ha) Length (Yes/No) (m3/s) (Yes/No) Area (ha) (km) Tashiskari 1,530 12,615 63.8 Yes 12.0 YES 27.59 2,187 Full rehabilitati on & modernizat ion Tiriponi 5,560 5,210 50.0 No 12.0 NO 9.03 1,733 Full 28This is an indicative number based on the assumption that all short-listed schemes will qualify for project investment upon completion of the preliminary and detailed design studies. This number is considered as a ‘high scenario’ and the final project areas may be reduced after selection of I&D schemes for the project rehabilitation program, which also has implications for the total beneficiaries under the project. Page 18 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Irrigation/ Average 3 Area Main Head- Main Main Estimated Unit Cost Network Drainage Years Considered Canal/ works Canal Canal Cost (US$ (US$/ha) Rehabilita Scheme Irrigated/ under the Drain Rehab. Capacity Rehab. million) tion Drained Project (ha) Length (Yes/No) (m3/s) (Yes/No) Area (ha) (km) rehabilitati on & modernizat ion Zeda Arkhi 1,250 1,490 33.9 Yes 2.0 YES 2.98 2,000 Full rehabilitati on & modernizat ion Zemo 1,230 6,110 78.0 Yes 20.0 Only 30 km 23.43 3,835 Full Alazani, in Phase I rehabilitati Phase I on & modernizat ion Narekvavi 320 655 8.5 Yes 1.0 YES 2.10 3,206 Full rehabilitati on & modernizat ion Shavgele 0 807 69.68 No 6.0 YES 1.25 1,549 Full Massif rehabilitati on & modernizat ion Total 26,887 66.38 2,469 37. Final design. The final designs for the I&D infrastructure will be informed by the World Bank’s Resilient Water Infrastructure Design Brief to ensure that each structure is rehabilitated and modernized to minimize service disruptions in the face of climate and other disasters. Flow measurement devices will be installed on the main, secondary, and tertiary canal systems across the full 26,000+ ha of the five short-listed irrigation schemes (see table 2). The use of flow measurement data will be integrated into institutional development activities and will strengthen water management, promote conservation, and underpin cost-recovery efforts. The project will pressurize the irrigation network where topography allows, enabling the use of efficient drip or sprinkler systems from field hydrants rather than pumps. Where topography is flat with transmission in open canals, water efficient irrigation technology will require booster pumps. Although solar pumps have significant comparative life-cycle cost savings and climate mitigation benefits and strengthen resilience, they are not widely used or well known in Georgia today. Thus, the project will set up demonstration plots targeting up to 500 farmers, covering a total of 200 ha, supported through the matching grant program for farmers to co-finance the equipment (see details under Subcomponents 1.2 and 1.3). 38. Preparation of a National Irrigation Master Plan. This subcomponent will include the preparation of a National Irrigation Master Plan to be guided by: (a) the provision of reliable water supply to existing or potential irrigation schemes, including under water scarcity scenarios; (b) technical feasibility of the investments; (c) economic and financial justification; (d) environmental sustainability, including at a wider basin scale; (e) social inclusivity; and (f) adaptation to climate change in water stressed areas, including drought-prone and flood-risk Page 19 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) areas. The exercise will require a sound analysis of the agricultural dynamics and potential (for example, crops and marketing), a key driver of successful investments. The terms of reference (TOR) for this plan will include an examination of any potential riparian issues as per paragraph 7(b) of OP 7.5 (Projects on International Waterways). 39. Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Co-benefits for Subcomponent 1.1. The rehabilitation and modernization of I&D infrastructure will improve food security and increase rural livelihoods and economic development. The climate adaptation co-benefits for this subcomponent are linked to the modernization of I&D infrastructure which will improve conveyance efficiency, reduce water losses, and increase the uptake of renewable energy. The irrigation investments also will support adaptation to drought risks through improved conveyance efficiency and control of water use with modern structures in selected irrigation schemes. The water supply will be gravity-based, thus producing zero emissions. The drainage investments will support adaptation to floods, flash floods, and mud-flow risks through improved bypasses and protection structures. 40. Subcomponent 1.2: Irrigated agriculture and value chain development (US$20 million) . This sub- component will: (i) provide primary producers (farmers), in areas where irrigation schemes will be modernized, with access to matching grants, training, and knowledge on market aspects, including compliance with international food safety and other market standards, and other factors that will enhance the viability of the farm enterprise; (ii) provide agribusinesses (including agro-processors, cold chain operators, farm input suppliers, and commercial plant nurseries), in areas where irrigation schemes will be modernized, with financial support through matching grants to enhance their capacity and competitiveness; and (iii) implement a capacity building program at RDA and its agriculture extension service operated by a network of Information Consultation Centers (ICCs) at the municipal level. RDA will administer the matching grants program. This subcomponent is aligned with GCRF Pillar 1 – Responding to Food Insecurity. 41. Matching grants for primary producers. The matching grants are intended to be used to finance farm- level capital investments in equipment, inputs, and CSA technologies29 such as on-farm irrigation equipment, certified planting material for perennial crops, on-farm storage and packing facilities, greenhouses, anti-hail and frost protection equipment, and technologies such as drones and field sensors for digital soil-water management. The average grant amount is estimated at US$6,000, which is approximately 40 percent of the total investment.30 The project will aim to target an estimated 1,500 grant recipients, of which 20 percent are female farmers (300 grants).31 A maximum grant amount (approximately US$20,000) will be established and confirmed in the Matching Grant Manual. Eligibility criteria include: (a) maximum farm size of 15 ha; (b) registered customer of GA; and (c) registered landowner or tenant. 32 Most grant recipients will be expected to obtain loans from commercial banks, and the matching grants will thus leverage commercial finance. Calls for proposals will be coordinated by type of 29 The concept of Climate Smart Agriculture seeks to identify technologies and practices that allow increasing production, strengthening resilience to climate change impacts and reducing emissions when possible. CSA technologies include water saving technologies (e.g., drip irrigation), solar powered water pumps, drought tolerant crop varieties, mulching to retain soil moisture, and minimum tillage to preserve soil structure and fertility. 30 For the introduction of certain equipment such as soil-water sensors or other innovations with clear public good benefits, the grant amount may be adjusted to a maximum of 75 percent of the value. 31 The target number is derived from: (a) total resources available for the grant activity for farmers, (b) capacity of RDA and the MEPA to administer the grant, (c) past experiences of adoption of matching grants schemes under the recently completed IFAD funded AMMAR project in Georgia, and (d) number of farmers who are registered as GA clients in GRAIL Project schemes, out of which around 20 percent are more commercially oriented and will likely meet the eligibility criteria. The remaining beneficiaries of the project will benefit from improved access to irrigation and drainage services under Component 1.1. 32 Farmers will be requested to indicate how they are applying CSA technologies, as well as provide a business plan that confirms commercial orientation and market linkages with agribusinesses, and co-financing capacity. Page 20 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) value chain to ensure that linkages between farmers and processors/buyers are explored and included in proposals. Technical support for grant applicants will be contracted out to a third-party service provider. A grant manual will outline the full implementation details. Women will be specifically supported in applying for matching grants. Training and outreach programs, including demonstration plots on selected beneficiary farms, will introduce and demonstrate new technologies and practices to farmers. The number of commercially oriented33 Training and demonstration plot development will be contracted out to a third-party service provider. 42. Matching grants for agribusinesses. Three areas for agribusiness investment include: (a) processing and packing equipment that would enable firms to increase their production capacity, reduce losses, reduce energy consumption, and develop new products for new markets; (b) cold storage facilities and packhouses, of which there is currently a shortage, that would allow agribusiness companies to expand and become more efficient; and (c) commercial nurseries that produce disease-free and certified saplings, seedlings, and other planting materials for commercial varieties. The number of beneficiaries under this grant scheme is estimated at 25 to 35 firms. A maximum grant amount (approximately US$150,000 per company) will be established and will cover approximately 40 percent of the total investment cost. The maximum grant amount and required own contribution will be established and confirmed in the Matching Grant Manual.34 Selection criteria will be defined in the Matching Grant Manual and will relate to the proposals’ commercial viability and the scope to engage farmers in the supply chain, among others. 43. Collaboration with the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and sustainability. The project may benefit from a planned initiative by IFC to develop innovative financing instruments such as crop and warehouse receipts, including regulatory support and capacity building among government and banks. IFC is preparing a program that will support the adoption of CSA technologies, including capacity building among farmers and agribusinesses in meeting international market standards (for example, GLOBAL G.A.P., EU food safety standards, and organic production standards), and the development of financing products by commercial banks. Farmers and agribusinesses supported under the GRAIL Project could be part of these initiatives and benefit directly. Regarding agriculture finance, crop, and warehouse receipts, to be supported by IFC in collaboration with the project, would reduce commercial lending risk and thus reduce the need for subsidized credit. To ensure sustainability, the support provided under this sub-component includes development of the technical and entrepreneurial capacity of farmers to provide them with the needed skills to continue operating their farm enterprise beyond the life of the project. 44. Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Co-benefits For Subcomponent 1.2. The agriculture investments will promote CSA technologies that enhance farm-level productivity and promote agronomic practices that generate adaptation and mitigation benefits. For adaptation benefits, the project will promote (a) soil conservation technologies to improve soil structure, soil fertility, and soil water retention, and (b) selection of water-efficient crops and drought-resistant varieties of high-value fruit and vegetable crops. Regarding mitigation, the project will promote CSA technologies that (a) minimize the use and waste of mineral fertilizers, (b) increase soil organic carbon through soil conservation, and (c) promote energy-saving storage and processing technologies. To ensure 33 The remaining landowners are mostly subsistence farmers for whom farming is not their main source of income. Based on previous experience, 50 percent of farmers reached are expected to adopt new technologies and farm management practices. The adoption rate following training of beneficiaries experienced under the AMMAR project was around 40 percent. 34 For the introduction of certain equipment such as energy-saving technology or other innovations with clear public good benefits, the grant amount may be adjusted to a maximum of 75 percent of the value. Page 21 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) women farmer’s benefit equally from these innovations, technology demonstrations will be held in female farmers’ fields. 45. Subcomponent 1.3: Improved Performance of Irrigation Service Delivery (US$15 million). This subcomponent aims to achieve operational and financial sustainability through reform of the institutional environment for OMM of irrigation. The main activities under this subcomponent focus on comprehensive reform of GA with a focus on the redefinition and decentralization of functions to the lowest practical level. This subcomponent is aligned with GCRF Pillar 3 – Strengthening Resilience and Pillar 4 – Strengthening Policies, Institutions, and Investments for Rebuilding Better. Through this subcomponent, the project will support the reform process by financing the following activities (additional details about this activity are described in annex 2 in the special project files): (a) Comprehensive institutional reform program to improve functions of Georgian Amelioration (at the central and service center levels). The activity will finance (a) TA for an in-depth organizational audit of the GA internal structure at the national, regional, and local levels. The audit process would assess and redefine structural organizational arrangements with a focus on the optimization of functions centered around a service-oriented and performance-based work culture; (b) a separate follow-on TA for internal capability development of GA and service-center personnel will be supported, to ensure staff competency for the re-defined roles identified in the organizational audit. Related purchases will include essential instruments and equipment for effective organizational functioning at all levels (including computers, field instruments, transport, water measurement instruments) as well as an Asset Management System comprising a GIS based MIS system (which will be linked to tariff calculations, administration and payment notifications, monitoring of operations, management, and maintenance in selected service centers); and, (c) TA to aid GA to establish an internal public relations and marketing team, including the development of a communications strategy. The transformation approaches will include elements of field level leadership35 and performance-oriented planning, leading to explicit performance-based service contracts between GA and its irrigation clients, including efforts to increase formal access to irrigation services for female landowners; (b) Implementation of a revised irrigation tariff, with a strategically planned and phased rollout that supports an increase in fee collection rates simultaneously with modernization of roll-out. Phasing in of the increased tariffs and cost-recovery initiatives will follow agreed and measurable service-delivery metrics monitoring to justify the increase in tariffs for farmers as well as a comprehensive awareness and communications campaign targeted for farmers; (c) Goods provided to male and female farmers in water saving and management technologies, in alignment with the matching grants program under Subcomponent 1.2, for the purpose of mitigating heat stress, reducing climate risks from rainfall variability for farming in the drought-prone areas of Eastern Georgia, and promoting water efficient management practices. The activity will finance the purchase of goods and equipment such as solar pumps (targeted to selected demonstration plots), irrigation application technologies, and use of Decision Support Systems via mobile applications to provide farmers with data from the HAIP on climate and weather-related aspects. Training will be coupled with 35 Field-Level Leadership (FLL) aims to develop broad-based decentralized leadership that engages the entire institution. It makes the process of culture change more organic and self-driven, and less vulnerable to changes in the top leadership or external funding. FLL taps into the knowledge and creativity of the field-level staff, and thus encourages ingenious solutions that are appropriate for the specific local contexts. GA staff will be trained in Field Level Leadership approach, which is supporting organizational culture change in public agencies. Page 22 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) access to technologies, equipment, and digital advisory services (for example, via mobile phones) for enhanced access to the data and information needed to reduce the risks from hydrological and climate variability; (d) Establishing and strengthening the operations of water management organizations at the local level (either WUOs and/or GA service centers), which will include training that specifically targets women to increase their active involvement in the work of WUOs. The implementation approach will follow the model developed by the GILMDP by creating voluntary FIGs to allow beneficiaries to provide feedback directly to the scheme-level rehabilitation and modernization works; and (e) Establishing the Hydrological and Agricultural Informatics Center (HAIC) within MEPA specifically to address climate risks to agriculture. HAIC will provide data and information on water, land, agriculture, and climate and will upgrade the capacity of GA, the LMA, and NEA in climate resilient planning. 46. Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Co-benefits For Subcomponent 1.3. Subcomponent 1.3 addresses growing climate risks such as floods, drought, and heat stress through the establishment and operationalization of HAIC. HAIC will provide essential information, tools, and applications that are required for climate adaptive water management (for example, water accounting, crop monitoring, weather and climate information and weather forecasting services for farmers, flood and drought monitoring, and irrigation management planning). These tools and services will improve water and land productivity and thus reduce energy needs for producing crops. HAIC will also collect and provide information on water variables such as groundwater level, water quality, environmental flows by supporting investments in hardware and equipment to improve MEPA’s monitoring capacity. In addition, HAIC will promote environmentally sustainable water allocation decisions by investing in a water allocation model and plan that will help reduce and, if applied at scale, reverse some of the negative implications of poor water and irrigation management that have resulted in groundwater depletion, water and land degradation, and loss of biodiversity. 47. Component 2: Improved Land Management Capacity (US$24 million). This component will finance activities aimed at improving national land administration and management systems and facilitating access to and use of geospatial data through development and implementation of an NSDI. It is expected that implementation of the activities would contribute to the activation of agricultural land markets, facilitate investments into the agri- businesses, and contribute in a meaningful way to climate change mitigation and adaptation measures. The component would also provide regulatory and operational support to the LMA to optimize monitoring and management of agricultural land including female land ownership and gender inclusiveness of the land consolidation process. These activities and the rationale for their inclusion in this operation and the details of implementation are provided in annex 2 in the special project files. 48. Subcomponent 2.1: Strengthening of agricultural land management and monitoring (US$14 million). This subcomponent would support the creation of a solid foundation for improved land management and agricultural land market development, and land use efficiency. The subcomponent has a particular focus on agricultural land through investments in the development of policy and institutional reforms, institutional capacity building of LMA, upgrading of LMA’s information technology (IT) and other infrastructure, and acquisition and processing of targeted spatial data for their operations. For that purpose, regulatory, institutional, and operational support will be provided to the LMA and NASP. This subcomponent is aligned with Pillar 4 of the GCRF – Strengthening Policies, Institutions, and Investments for Rebuilding Better. The subcomponent would finance the following: Page 23 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) (a) Operationalization of the LIS including update of the land balance database and report; the LIS should be connected and interoperable with the HAIC, the NAPR Immovable Property Registration System (IPRS), the NSDI, and its implementation would be piloted in selected project areas. The LIS will also incorporate the results of the assessments of needs, design and piloting of the agricultural mass land valuation methodology and system. (b) Enhancement of the Farm Registry for Georgia; (c) Support to the preparation of the Sustainable Land Management (SLM) strategy and National Land Consolidation (NLC) strategies and piloting of the NLC strategy in the GRAIL Project areas; (d) Redesign of methodologies of land balance and inventory and state agricultural land management activities, leveraging good international practices and their implementation in selected areas, such as use of remote sensing technologies for creating and monitoring land use, land cover data and the creation and monitoring of the soil quality database; and (e) Preparation and implementation of training and capacity building for the staff of the LMA, NASP, and other relevant stakeholders’ potential partners and users of the LIS. 49. It is expected that the above activities, will contribute to the activation of agricultural land markets. They also will facilitate investments in agri-businesses and create opportunities for additional income generation for small landholders. 50. Subcomponent 2.2: Enhancement of the land administration service delivery and building digital governance infrastructure (US$10 million). This subcomponent will finance enhancement of the NAPR IPRS and operationalization of the NSDI. The IPRS, initiated under the GILMDP, will be further enhanced to finalize the redevelopment of the core cadastral and registration modules, connect additional stakeholders, and subsequently redevelop and operationalize new e-services to further improve NAPR customers’ experience. The additional cadastral and registration data collected through the National Systematic Land Registration Program implemented by the NAPR between 2022 and 2025 and built on the successful piloting and scale-up of the Systematic Land Registration (SLR) under the GILMDP, will also require review and update in the National Address Registry, which is currently outdated by 70 percent. This subcomponent will also finance inter-institutional capacity building and deployment of Georgia’s NSDI. This would be the next step in the implementation of the Integrated Geospatial Information Framework (IGIF).36 The NAPR already completed a baseline assessment, alignment with governmental policy drivers, and social and economic impact analysis (SEIA) with support from the Norwegian State Mapping Agency. The activity will focus on implementing the recommendations of the above-mentioned reports, design, and development of the IT infrastructure, and will identify use cases for potential implementation by the SEIA report. This subcomponent is aligned with Pillar 4 of the GCRF – Strengthening Policies, Institutions, and Investments for Rebuilding Better 51. Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Co-Benefits for Component 2. Improvements in land management and land administration will play a critical role in mitigating and adapting to the effects of climate change by ensuring that land allocation and use is more resilient, equitable and sustainable. Mitigation activities will include: 36 IGIF was endorsed in August 2018, by the United Nations Committee of Experts on Global Geospatial Information Management (UN GGIM). Page 24 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) (a) promoting sustainable land use, management, and allocation practices through the preparation and implementation of the SLM strategy; (b) encouraging comprehensive agricultural land use planning as a part of the LIS operationalization; (c) strengthening land tenure security through enhancement of the IPRS; (d) improving land-use data management and dissemination; and (e) enhancing stakeholder engagement through establishment of the NSDI. Adaptation activities include: (a) providing secure access to the land needed to adapt to changing environmental conditions, (b) supplying the means for compensating those who lose land or other resources due to climate change impacts, and (c) delivering the information necessary for land use planning and decision-making that considers the impacts of climate change. 52. Table 3 summarizes the climate co-benefits of the project. Table 3. Project Activities Are Explicitly Designed to Address Climate Vulnerabilities Climate Project Intent to Address Link to Project Activities Subcomponent Vulnerability Vulnerability Rehabilitation and modernization of I&D infrastructure to improve conveyance efficiency, reduce water losses, increase Increase economic development and rural ability to control water deliveries, and livelihoods and promote food security. reduce water logging and flood risk in Help farmers cope with water stress, drainage areas. 1.1 reduce vulnerability of crop yields, and enhance the resilience of irrigation water Finance equipment and services to services to severe climate events. advance dam management and improve dam operations to manage floods and droughts and dam safety. Promote on-farm adoption of CSA Reduce climate vulnerability of crop practices such as the introduction of 1.2 production Increasing risk of climate adapted crop varieties. droughts and river Integrate remote sensing and in situ floods, warming surface water and groundwater temperatures, and accounting mechanisms in water extreme heat allocation planning and irrigation intensify crop water performance management, together with stress and increase expansion of hydrological and demand for agrometeorological data collection and irrigation, leading to visualization functionalities to enable GA, water deficits and the NEA, and LMA to (a) manage and potential yield monitor water use during drought, floods, Strengthen institutional capacity to declines. and other extreme hydrological and predict, monitor, plan, and respond to climatological events that pose direct and drought and flood risks to irrigation and 1.3 and 2 indirect risks to agriculture; (b) expand the drainage services as well as land evidence base as a main pillar of CSA that management allows for understanding the current and projected effects of climate change in Georgia; and (c) identify key vulnerabilities of irrigated agriculture and subsequently determine adaptation intervention and solutions. Train selected farmers and WUOs in climate-smart irrigation, improve access to water saving irrigation technologies, and Page 25 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Climate Project Intent to Address Link to Project Activities Subcomponent Vulnerability Vulnerability provide decision support tools on critical water and climate data to enable farmers to adapt to water stress. Build capacity of irrigation and environmental management actors to respond to climate risks. Adaptation activities include: (a) providing secure access to the land needed to adapt to changing environmental conditions, (b) supplying the means for compensating those who lose land or other resources due to climate change impacts, (c) delivering the information necessary for land use planning and decision-making that considers the impacts of climate change, (d) promoting sustainable land use management and practices through the preparation and implementation of the SLM strategy, (e) encouraging comprehensive agricultural land use planning as a part of the LIS operationalization, (f) strengthening land tenure security through enhancement of the IPRS, and (g) improving land-use data management and dissemination. Risk of river floods Reduce the vulnerability of drainage Rehabilitate and upgrade structures in and mudflows in services to disruptions caused by floods 1.1 target drainage scheme rural areas and mudflows Rehabilitate gravity-based schemes and support farms to adopt on-farm water efficient irrigation technologies, and where applicable, install solar pumps and flow measurement devices to reduce emissions in project areas. The short-listed schemes are all gravity based, reducing the need to introduce Prevent carbon lock-in and committed pumps, thus producing zero emissions. emissions from energy-intensive diesel Where pumping is prevalent, most Increasing carbon pumping systems. Project will advance farmers in Georgia use electric pumps. footprint of mitigation by preventing carbon lock-in, as 1.1 and 1.3 irrigation from well as reducing future demand for energy Train selected farmers and WUOs trained intensive pumping intensive diesel systems. All irrigation in climate-smart irrigation, improve access schemes would be accessed and to water saving irrigation technologies upgraded/rehabilitated to use solar and/or coupled with access to solar pumps for gravity pressurized systems which have drip irrigation, where applicable. zero emissions. Solar based irrigation systems will avoid use of diesel in the future and the emissions from installation of new diesel-powered irrigation. Flow measurement devices will be installed to reduce water use. Page 26 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 53. Component 3: Project Management (US$6 million). This component, divided into two subcomponents, will finance two Project Implementation Units that will be responsible for project management, including coordination and technical supervision of project implementation, financial management (FM), procurement, monitoring, and evaluation (M&E), social and environmental standards management and oversight including gender-focused activities, communications and outreach, and progress reporting. The first Project Implementing Unit (PIU) will be established within MEPA, which is responsible for management of Component 1 and Subcomponent 2.1. The second PIU will be established within the NAPR, which is the Project Implementing Entity and will be responsible for implementation of Subcomponents 2.2 and 3.2. It will benefit from a successful experience of the current NAPR PIU gained during the implementation of the Component 2 of the GILMDP. This component will also finance oversight of detailed engineering designs and civil works with the support of a Technical Assistance (TA) firm for quality assistance on studies and works37 and compliance with environmental and social management measures for the PIU. This will mostly include staff and operational costs as well as consultancies for the TA. MEPA would rely on the experienced PIU that currently manages Component 1 of the GILMDP and was until recently responsible for an IFAD38 funded agricultural project with additional staff (for example, in land management and gender) to be recruited to support the PIUs in project implementation. 54. Component 4: Contingent Emergency Response Component (US$0 million). This component establishes a disaster response contingency funding mechanism that can be triggered in the event of an eligible crisis or emergency, such as a natural disaster involving a formal declaration of a national or regional state of emergency, or a formal request from the GoG in the wake of a disaster, health pandemic, or other types of disasters such as armed conflict. C. Project Beneficiaries 55. Direct beneficiaries. Direct project beneficiaries, defined as landowners across all short-listed schemes, number approximately 36,377 (see table 4), with 95 percent of beneficiaries across schemes designated as smallholders (farm plots of less than 1 ha).39 These comprise farmers, low-income households, women, and youth. Out of these, 16,711 are registered female landowners; thus, around 45 percent of beneficiaries are expected to be women. All project activities were designed to encourage proactive engagement of women and women’s groups, thus ensuring equal benefits. The range of expected benefits to these groups include increased livelihood opportunities and jobs in irrigated agriculture, and reduced vulnerability to droughts and floods. Table 4. Beneficiaries by Short-listed Project Scheme and Gender Short-listed Scheme Region Municipality Total Number Number of Landowners with of Landowners Female Less Than 1 ha (% out Landowners of total) Tashiskari Shida Kartli Borjomi and 9,501 4,614 95 Khashuri 37 The experience of the GILMDP (poor quality of some studies and of some cost estimates) and that of many donor-funded projects proves how critical this TA can be. The benefit of using such TA in the PK Sindh Water Sector Improvement Project Phase I (P084302, Pakistan) is one of the successful lessons learned mentioned in the draft Implementation Completion and Results Report (September 2021). 38 IFAD (International Fund for Agricultural Development). 39 Indicative number. Due to a framework approach, the scope of works, that is, the irrigation schemes and the area to be rehabilitated by the project, will be finalized during the first year of implementation once the design studies are completed on the short-listed schemes. This will affect the final number of beneficiaries. Page 27 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Short-listed Scheme Region Municipality Total Number Number of Landowners with of Landowners Female Less Than 1 ha (% out Landowners of total) Tiriponi Shida Kartli Gori 20,124 9,488 96 Zeda Arkhi Kvemo Kartli Bolnisi 1,326 371 87 Zemo Alazani (sum Kakheti Telavi and 4,345 1,751 92 of all secondaries) Akhmeta Narekavi irrigation Mtskheta- Dusheti and 464 222 98 scheme Mtianeti Mtskheta Shavgele Drainage Samegrelo Lanchkhuti and 617 265 97 Zugdidi Total 36,377 16,711 Total Average 95 56. The project will support beneficiaries in rural areas having a high incidence of poverty. The short-listed I&D schemes are in Shida Kartli, Kvemo Kartli, Mtsheta-Mtianeti, and Kakheti regions of Eastern Georgia and Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti region of Western Georgia (figure 1). These areas have some of the highest poverty rates in Georgia, ranging from 37 percent of the population living on less than US$2.5 a day (Samegrelo) to more than 50 percent (Shida Kartli) (figure 1). A large share of Georgia’s population, and most of its rural population, work in low- productivity agricultural activities. This contributes to continued high levels of poverty in the rural areas (World Bank 2022).40 As of 2013, the average annual salary of a farmworker was only 64 percent of the national average (Geostat 2021).41 Figure 1. Percentage of the population living under less than US$2.5/day PPP poverty line in 2014 (Source: World Bank, 2016) 57. Institutional beneficiaries. Activities supported under Components 1 and 2 target central and decentralized state agencies managing water resources, delivering irrigation services, and implementing agricultural programs, as well as land management services. Staff in these public agencies are expected to benefit from increased technical and operational capacity to carry out their mandates, improved equipment, and more accessible data to support user-centered and timely decision-making related to water resources and hydro- climatic risks. 40 World Bank. 2022. Agriculture, Water, and Land Policies to Scale Up Sustainable Agri-Food Systems in Georgia: Synthesis Report and Way Forward. Washington, DC: World Bank. 41 National Statistics Office of Georgia (GeoStat) 2021. Page 28 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) D. Results Chain 58. The critical assumptions underlying the results chain are that: (a) farmers respond positively to the matching grant packages and the training/outreach programs provided by the project, (b) climate-smart technologies are attractive to farmers, (c) project infrastructure investments and value chain support packages would result in higher productivity enabling farmers to diversify their crops and change their water and cropping practices towards more climate resilient food production; and (d) the reform agenda in the irrigation sector will be implemented as planned and result in improved irrigation services. The results chain for GRAIL is presented in Figure 2. Figure 2. GRAIL Results Chain E. Rationale for Bank Involvement and Role of Partners 59. The World Bank has a long history supporting the water sector in Georgia. The Bank has been the primary donor for I&D development in the country since the early 2000s. The ongoing GILMDP has been the catalyst for Page 29 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) the development of water legislation (for example, WUO Law of 2019), the Irrigation Strategy 2017–2025, and the upgrading of irrigation infrastructure and establishment of WUOs. In the land sector, the GILMDP has been instrumental in enhancing and digitalizing the procedures for systematic registration and kick-starting an agile process for IT system upgrade across the NAPR and its partner organizations. In addition, past World Bank engagements in Georgia, such as the Irrigation and Drainage Community Development Project (IDCDP), which were implemented between 2001 and 2009, introduced innovative irrigation schemes design options that have been internalized by GA and remain in use today. Building on this rich history of engagement in Georgia, the GRAIL Project will capitalize on lessons learned from previous engagements and exploit the World Bank’s comparative advantage in providing long-term support to enhance irrigation service provision and land tenure benefits for Georgia’s rural communities. The project also is well aligned with and contributes to relevant World Bank strategies for the sector and sustainable development more broadly. The project supports activities that touch all three of the Water Global Practice pillars (sustain water resources, deliver water services, and build resilience to hydro-climatic shocks) and thus contributes to the Bank’s vision of constructing A Water-Secure World for All. 60. Many lessons from World Bank investments in irrigation development and modernization worldwide in the past decades are relevant to Georgia today. Based on these lessons, the World Bank’s support will help (a) enable integrated project planning, design, implementation, and operational management; (b) strengthen inclusive and sustainable development focus; (d) ensure quality of project studies and designs (adoption of the most appropriate and cost-effective technologies) as well as infrastructure rehabilitation and modernization; and (d) implement the project efficiently, including the management of environmental and social impacts. There is a high expectation from GoG that the synergistic investments in agriculture, water, and land from the World Bank can lead to increased production and productivity by transitioning away from the low returns from agriculture to high-value crop production. 61. The World Bank brings long-term global and local experience and knowledge on climate change adaptation, mitigation, and sustainable agriculture. In 2020, 52 percent of World Bank financing in agriculture also targeted climate adaptation and mitigation. In its first Climate Change Action Plan (2016–2020) and the forthcoming update covering 2021–2025, the World Bank remains committed to working with countries to deliver CSA that achieves the triple win of increased productivity, enhanced resilience, and reduced emissions. At a technical level, the World Bank has a wealth of experience in assisting clients in the selection of CSA measures adapted to the context and in designing effective delivery mechanisms. 62. The project advances GRID. The proposed investments are designed to sustain and restore natural capital (land and water resources) by conserving water resources (modernization of infrastructure assets and encouraging rural water users to change practices toward more water efficient irrigation methods using renewable energy pumps). The proposed investments also address resilience by (a) enhancing reliability of water infrastructure and related services in the face of climatic extremes (Subcomponent 1.1); (b) integrating CSA practices (Subcomponent 1.2); and (c) mainstreaming climate resilience know-how and planning in the water sector, including strengthening the information systems and technical capacity required to prepare for the impacts of climate shocks (Subcomponent 1.3). Finally, the project addresses inclusion because it finances gender awareness training that empowers women and men to enhance their access to irrigation, agricultural, and land services for marginalized and underserved rural and peri-urban communities in Eastern Georgia, the poorest region of Georgia. Gender inclusive actions related to female water user registration for irrigation services, access to finance and technologies through grants, and land consolidation and registration will make the investments more viable. Page 30 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 63. The IFC provides support to increase private sector participation in agriculture in Georgia. IFC brings extensive international experience in value chain development using different models to suit the local context. An ongoing advisory services engagement in the honey subsector in Georgia assisted in developing private sector capacity in compliance with food safety regulations. An upcoming IFC advisory services program on promoting and financing CSA technologies and developing innovative sustainable agriculture financing mechanisms is under preparation and would complement project activities on promoting and financing CSA technologies, and value chain development. The project may also leverage IFC’s global and Georgia-specific experience in helping agribusinesses and farmers meet food safety and other product standards, with an emphasis on competitiveness in export markets. 64. The World Bank is coordinating with other development partners involved in irrigation in Georgia. These partners include the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the Agence Française de Développement (AFD), the European Investment Bank (EIB), and FAO. Component 1 builds on the joint World Bank and FAO CSA profile of Georgia and supports complementary reforms in the institutional restructuring of GA and on the improvements in the irrigation tariff, which are also supported by complementary projects by EIB/AFD and ADB/AFD. The project and analytical studies underpinning the design of Components 1 and 2 were presented to and endorsed by the community of development partners working in the water, land, and agriculture sectors in Georgia. F. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design 65. The project design reflects important lessons from World Bank-financed water projects in Georgia and worldwide. These are discussed in the following paragraphs. 66. Integrated irrigation and agricultural investments need to be implemented in parallel to ensure the success of the project. International experiences in irrigation projects indicate that irrigation investments sometimes do not yield the intended increases in production and productivity, and thus the expected economic and financial return on investment, due to the lack of synergy between infrastructure investments and support to farms to help them transition from rainfed to irrigated agriculture. This entails providing support to smallholders to adopt productive inputs (improved seeds, fertilizers, mechanization) as well as support to value addition and access to markets, which will allow for higher returns from rehabilitated irrigation infrastructure and enable farmers to obtain higher incomes. In the GRAIL Project, subcomponents 1.1, 1.2, and 1.3 will be implemented concurrently but will be staggered to ensure that certain activities (for example, adoption of irrigation technologies or changes in irrigation tariff) are introduced only after systems are upgraded. 67. Split contracting of design and construction activities for the main canals, secondary, and tertiary network was one of the factors that delayed works under the GILMDP. The original design of the main canals was developed by GA. Due to technical omissions, the works had to be suspended several times to correct design solutions after the project started construction works, leading to multiple delays. Further, works on main canals were completed when the design of secondary and tertiary network was initiated. The Terms of References (TORs) for developing the irrigation network required development of modernization plans that required additional investments in the main canals for regulating and other structures, which were not considered in the original design. Based on these lessons, within the framework approach, all GRAIL short-listed I&D schemes will be contracted to one consultant for design, final selection, and supervision during construction works. The consultant will examine each system from the headworks, intake, down to the farm-gate in close cooperation with GA and Page 31 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) MEPA. 68. Strengthening the institutions that maintain the canals and drains is critical to good irrigation performance. The important lessons from the ongoing GILMDP are that irrigation projects in Georgia need to not only support the development of infrastructure and related investments but also help promote good irrigation performance management and enhance service delivery capacity of the national irrigation agency. Supporting institutional development is critical to ensure that infrastructure investments are planned, implemented, operated, and managed for long-term climate resilience and inclusion. As a result, the GRAIL Project invests resources in reforming GA functions related to investment planning, OMM, capacity to use remote sensing to address climate threats to irrigation management, training, and focus on shifting to a customer orientation mindset in the delivery of water and agriculture services. 69. To achieve institutional reforms in public sector agencies in the irrigation and agriculture sectors, invest in champions within those agencies. FLL is an operational approach that seeks to build on the intrinsic motivation of public sector staff. The approach is currently being applied by the World Bank to support organizational culture change in public agencies (Pahuja 2021).42 Instead of focusing mainly on senior leadership, FLL aims to develop broad-based, decentralized leadership that engages the entire institution. FLL is implemented through a peer-to- peer learning model, in which a public agency that has successfully implemented an FLL program provides the initial training and implementation support for an agency that is seeking to do the same. By identifying the internally motivated individuals and relying on peer-to-peer dynamics of behavior change, FLL offers a cost- effective and sustainable model for motivating staff that effectively complements technical and organizational training to catalyze growth in organizational capability. For example, there may be initial resistance among some GA staff to the changes proposed by the GRAIL Project. Thus, Subcomponent 1.3 will focus on integrating technical and operational reforms within GA by using a series of FLL-style workshops, specifically within selected GA service centers, to create a positive enabling environment that inspires staff to design and implement reforms based on their needs and motivations. 70. Farmers’ financial contribution is key to ensure ownership and sustainability of irrigation development and to gradually improve cost recovery irrigation services. To ensure the financial and infrastructure sustainability of irrigation systems and the financial health of GA, the current area-wise tariff of GEL 75 per ha needs to be revised. This area of intervention was not given enough attention in past World Bank engagements in the irrigation sector in Georgia. The GRAIL Project will work to significantly upgrade irrigation systems while investing in farmers to upgrade their access to technologies and information, and in this context, the project will seek to encourage greater ownership and trust among water users. Within this nexus of interventions, the project will encourage an increase in the irrigation fees paid by GA’s clients and invest in the implementation of water metering to measure volumetric water use in irrigation schemes. Farmers will be required to contribute to the purchase of on-farm irrigation equipment but at a lower cost because of the project matching grant mechanism. Similarly, farmers will be asked to contribute a small fee to access the mobile-based decision support services on climate data and the training package. 71. Establishment of WUOs needs to start early and requires a long-term effort. Strengthening WUOs requires substantial long-term effort. It requires considerable nurturing that cannot start only at the end of the project after systems are constructed. The ongoing project, GILMDP, provides excellent lessons on how to initiate WUO development by engaging with farmers grounded in a strong central and regional unit focused on leading 42 Pahuja, S., (2021). FLL Interim Information Paper. Working draft. World Bank Water Global Practice. Page 32 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) and supporting WUO establishment in Georgia. However, the GILMDP accelerated implementation of these activities only in the last 18 months of the project, which is too late to effectively establish WUOs. The GRAIL Project will build on these lessons by continuing to support the already established central WUO Support Unit, regional units with sufficient operational budget, and ongoing training and study tours. In addition, the project will focus on (a) providing early stage training and technical support to farmers in the irrigation command areas of intervention at the design stage and encouraging water users to contribute to infrastructure design, work monitoring, and feedback on supervision of works by focusing on the formation of FIGs; (b) investing in knowledge, awareness, and information campaigns to ensure farmers understand the WUO law and its benefits, costs, and their roles and responsibilities, with a specific focus on female farmers; and (c) providing farmers with support in the early years of WUO formation to ensure they feel confident to take control of O&M activities for their field channels and tertiary networks. III. IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements 72. MEPA and the NAPR will share overall responsibility for project implementation. Each implementing agency will take the lead on project elements under their respective institutional mandate and capacity. Under MEPA, GA, RDA, and the LMA will support implementation of the project. In terms of their legal status, GA is a state-owned limited company, with 100 percent of the shares of the company owned by the Ministry of Economy. GA’s transfer to MEPA give MEPA full management control over GA. RDA is a non-commercial legal entity considered subordinate to MEPA. The Agency has a supervisory board chaired by the Minister of MEPA and deputy ministers are its members. The LMA is a Legal Entity of Public Law (LEPL) under MEPA. The NAPR and the Digital Governance Agency (DGA) are LEPLs under the overall supervision of the Ministry of Justice (MoJ). The NAPR is designated as a Project Implementing Entity, DGA will provide technical support as required under Component 2.2, especially for IT development and maintenance, as required. In addition, it was proposed that the staff of the two PIUs of the GILMDP will also serve as the staff for the GRAIL Project. Each PIU will develop a separate procurement plan and manage the flow of funds on behalf of MEPA and the NAPR. 73. Both PIUs have adequate capacity to manage the GRAIL Project. Currently, they are implementing the GILMDP, and based on the FM assessment, it was concluded that there is adequate capacity within both PIUs to manage the GRAIL project. The implementation arrangements of both PIUs in the GILMDP have been generally satisfactory. In addition, coordination between the PIUs specifically across MEPA and NAPR, under the ongoing GILMDP, has been excellent in producing regular progress reports as well as regular and timely M&E reporting. The proposed project aims to build on the existing close working relationship across both PIUs grounded on their history of coordination. 74. Project implementation will be guided by two Project Operations Manuals (POMs), developed by each of the two PIUs acceptable to the World Bank. The development of the POMs will be a condition for effectiveness of the legal agreement. The POM will include details on institutional and implementation responsibilities, technical aspects of all components and activities, guidance on M&E of project results and outcomes, environmental and social risk mitigation measures, disbursements, FM aspects, arrangements for training and operating costs, supervision, and reporting provisions. The MEPA POM will include a detailed matching grants manual for Page 33 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) supporting implementation of relevant activities in subcomponent 1.2.43 Both POMs will provide detailed guidelines for project coordination, especially detailing how formal coordination mechanisms will be established between MEPA and NAPR and will include an annex for a Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) manual. 75. The two PIUs will have environmental and social development specialists responsible for all environmental and social requirements. The requirements will include environmental and social assessment, preparation, and supervision of site-specific Environmental and Social Management Plans (ESMPs), and reporting on the environmental and social performance and project outcomes, as relevant. The PIU under MEPA will hire at least one environmental specialist, one occupational health and safety specialist, one social specialist, and one gender and community liaison specialist. The latter will also be responsible for mitigating potential risks against gender-based violence. B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation Arrangements 76. The PIUs in MEPA (Component 1) and the NAPR (Component 2.2) will be responsible for M&E of the Irrigated Agriculture and Land Management components, respectively. The objectives of the M&E system are to measure input, output, and outcome indicators to provide project staff and stakeholders with regular information on project implementation and outputs, identify potential problems, and determine to what extent the project is achieving its development objective. As an integral part of project management, the M&E system is designed to provide timely and reliable results for management decision-making. 77. The PIUs will use the M&E system that is well-established in the GLMDP, adjusting the M&E procedures to serve the needs of the GRAIL Project. M&E will be based on the collection and reporting of the quantitative and qualitative outcome and intermediate results indicators specific to the activities under each component/subcomponent in accordance with the project Results Framework (section VII). The project’s M&E specialist will be responsible for coordinating the M&E tasks for all components, organizing, and updating the database, and liaising with the implementing agencies of each activity, hosted within MEPA. The MEPA PIU will work closely with the GA, RDA, LMA, and WUO Support Units in collecting and reporting required data, while the NAPR will provide M&E inputs directly to MEPA. 78. The PIUs will report on the M&E results and project implementation status through regular quarterly reports. A baseline survey will be carried out during the first five months of the project followed by surveys at mid-term and at the end of the project. A mid-term review will be undertaken to evaluate whether the project design remains valid, identify any key issues affecting implementation, and if necessary, adjust the project design. A final assessment at the end of the project will be undertaken to provide inputs for the Implementation Completion and Results Report. The surveys will be carried out by an independent firm. The M&E specialist will oversee the process and ensure that the data are collected, processed, and analyzed to meet the project’s M&E needs. C. Sustainability 43 The matching grants manual will outline detailed implementation modalities, including definitions of eligible technologies, eligibility criteria, selection criteria, maximum grant amounts, and modalities of the review process of applications for both farmers and agribusinesses. Page 34 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 79. The project addresses sustainability in three distinct areas: infrastructure, institutions, and information. 80. Infrastructure scheme selection and design. The final short list of infrastructure schemes was informed by multiple considerations such as (a) current and future levels of water demand and water stress under climate change, (b) current cropping patterns as well as future diversification opportunities, (c) gender considerations in terms of the number of female landowners, (d) engineering needs of the systems, and (e) economic and financial returns expected by the investments. This was informed by and decided in close consultation with MEPA and GA. Choice of exact designs for the I&D infrastructure will be informed by the World Bank’s Resilient Water Infrastructure Design Brief to ensure that each structure is rehabilitated and modernized to minimize service disruptions in the face of climate and other disasters. In this context, the capital investment provided under the project will help to improve conveyance efficiency and water delivery to farmers. At the farm level, the project will promote climate-smart irrigation utilization through improved on-farm water management and introduction of modern irrigation techniques. To ensure that water infrastructure can adapt to changing circumstances and long-term shifts in external conditions, the project also directly builds additional institutional capacity to monitor hydrological and climatological disasters and unforeseen events within the respective agencies of MEPA. 81. Infrastructure operations and maintenance. The project will target interventions to strengthen GA’s capacity to perform O&M functions. In this context, Subcomponent 1.3 will focus on (a) improving the asset management functions of GA in terms of staffing, budget, planning, developing a monitoring information system (MIS) to track O&M of schemes, billing, fee collection, and contracting at the service center and central levels, (b) supporting GA to develop performance management contracts and carry out customer satisfaction surveys to ensure water delivery to farms takes into account user water and cropping needs, and (c) strengthening management arrangements in all project intervention irrigation schemes, either by supporting GA and MEPA to establish WUOs where farmers are willing to cooperate and take over management of the schemes at the tertiary and field levels, and/or by upgrading the capacities of the GA service center. These actions will be complemented by the efforts of the operation to improve recovery of O&M costs by reforming the irrigation tariffs. 82. Institutional capacity of water, agriculture, and land agencies. At the institutional level, project activities will explicitly aim to (a) build capacity of GA in key areas of irrigation service delivery and organizational performance (contract management, data collection and dissemination, and cost recovery mechanisms), (b) build capacity of RDA to become an EU paying agency and improve the reach of its matching grant schemes, and (c) enhance capacity of the state agricultural land management system. 83. Information sustainability through digital innovations to improve irrigation monitoring. The agricultural sector in Georgia is adversely affected by the deterioration of I&D infrastructure, low efficiencies, and low crop productivity. Advancements in the methods and applications that provide timely, accurate, and continuous high- resolution data and information on land use variables and water balance components using open-source, open- access, satellite-based remote sensing have revolutionized irrigation management in several countries around the world. Under Subcomponent 1.3, HAIC will use remote sensing and local data to provide services on irrigation scheme performance monitoring for MEPA and GA to ensure the sustainability and climate resilience of the irrigation and water management infrastructure investments, and to provide a basis for quantitative impact evaluation. IV. PROJECT APPRAISAL SUMMARY Page 35 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) A. Technical, Economic and Financial Analysis (if applicable) Technical Analysis 84. Overview. The project builds on the following analytical studies: (a) Agriculture, Water, and Land Policies to Scale up Sustainable Agri-Food Systems in Georgia: Synthesis Report and Way Forward,44 (b) Constraints to Sustainable, Efficient, and Resilient Irrigation Systems in Georgia - What is a Possible Way Forward?,45 (c) Climate Smart Agriculture in Georgia,46 (d) Supporting Climate Smart Agriculture and Value Chain Development in Georgia (forthcoming), (e) Policy note on agricultural land market development in Georgia, (f) Earth Observation Application for Irrigation Performance Benchmarking in Georgia, (g) Assessment of Irrigation Investment Project Cycle and Service Delivery Performance of Georgian Amelioration, and (h) infrastructure investment and capacity- building activities undertaken as part of the GILMDP. In addition, the project design is based on the principles of the national Irrigation Strategy, the WUO Law, and the World Bank’s Water Global Practice approach to water service delivery. The project will be implemented in a participatory and inclusive manner to consider inputs from a diverse range of stakeholders and experts. The project’s technical analysis shows high project readiness and emphasizes the project’s approach to resilience, as detailed below. 85. Integrated design. To address the complexities facing the agriculture sector in Georgia, the project invests in water, agriculture, and land simultaneously; operates at multiple, nested scales; and ensures that interventions are guided by the vision to advance climate change adaptation and mitigation in Georgia’s irrigated agriculture sector. This vision is informed by (a) relevant higher-level national strategies and action plans of the GoG of Georgia in rural development, irrigation, agriculture, and land management; (b) remote sensing and global climate change analysis conducted by the project team; and (c) global principles relating to climate resilient and low- carbon water sector interventions adopted and championed by the World Bank. These include the productive use of water in agriculture and measures to increase adaptive capacity for rural populations exposed to climate shocks through improved water, agriculture, and land management services. These principles are integrated in the infrastructure investments supported by the project, but also in the institutional strengthening activities aimed at equipping water and agriculture sector institutions with the knowledge and tools required to confront and manage the impacts of climate change on agricultural development in Georgia. 86. Farm survey results. The design of the project has been informed by the results of a September 2022 survey of 193 farmers in six different irrigation systems (Kvemo Alazani, Naurdali, Khrami-Vakhushti, Tsknari, Tashiskari, and Tiriponi). The survey provides information on the level and nature of water service delivery, aspects of crop cultivation, and crop marketing. The survey covered farms in areas where irrigation services are being successfully provided, and in areas where irrigation services are poor or nonexistent. The findings help to anticipate how farmers currently without irrigation will adjust and benefit from irrigation services following rehabilitation. The survey data also informed the economic and financial analysis (EFA) as well as the design of 44 World Bank. 2022. Agriculture, Water, and Land Policies to Scale Up Sustainable Agri-Food Systems in Georgia: Synthesis Report and Way Forward. Washington, DC: World Bank. 45 Vidal, Romain, Norberto Pignatti, Ranu Sinha, Mariam Chachava, Levan Pavlenishvili, and Pierrick Fraval. 2022. Constraints to Sustainable, Efficient, and Resilient Irrigation Systems in Georgia - What is a Possible Way Forward?: Irrigation Sector Policy Note. Washington, DC: World Bank. 46 World Bank, and Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. 2022. Climate-Smart Agriculture in Georgia (English). Washington, DC: World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099515003142224173/P1757050ef513000f08c7e06db4bf027f59. Page 36 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) gender-inclusive actions because they shed light on the role of women in irrigation agriculture. 87. Land management. The project will invest in strengthening capacity of the LMA under MEPA. The project will also develop a LIS47 that would provide support to address the risks associated with unsustainable land use, abandonment of arable agricultural land, misallocation of land resources, and related climate change challenges. The sale, lease, or consolidation of the currently idle or subsistence agriculture-oriented private land plots and the more efficiently managed state-owned land should generate more available land plots suitable for commercial agriculture and thus foster their development. 88. NSDI implementation. NAPR was designated as a leading state agency for the implementation of the NSDI since 2013, although full-scale implementation is yet to be undertaken. The SEIA prepared by the NAPR, with support from the Norwegian State Mapping Agency, established that investment in the NSDI would generate a net present value (NPV) of US$30 million based on the benefits derived from the implementation of 15 percent of the identified 32 use cases. The expected benefits include better land tenure security, effective decision- making, and public services’ delivery. Nationwide security of land tenure and accessibility of spatial reference data are among the prerequisites for a country’s accession to the EU (alignment with requirements of the EU directive INSPIRE) and should provide a solid foundation to attract private investments into commercial agriculture. As a result, this project aims to invest in the operationalization of NSDI. 89. Agricultural production. To support improvement in agricultural production in irrigated areas, the project will aim to scale up and improve farm-level support programs implemented by RDA and further develop institutional capacity within RDA. The support will include a combination of agriculture technologies and market facilitation as well as access to skills and finance for food producers. In addition, these investments can be complemented by support to the agriculture extension service of the regional centers of RDA to provide demonstration plots and training to beneficiaries. 90. Readiness for implementation. For infrastructure works under Component 1, schemes were short-listed based on an initial survey and analysis of their technical, hydrological, and economic viability. Preliminary and detailed engineering design studies, surveys, and bidding documents will be prepared after project effectiveness. A preliminary TOR for the design consultancy contract is already prepared and under finalization by MEPA. For institutional strengthening activities in the irrigation sector under Component 1, readiness is high given that a GA reform road map is being prepared and expected to be approved by MEPA before project effectiveness. A TOR is being prepared now for consultancy services to be launched over the first year of project implementation, which will be cleared in the first few months after the effective date. In addition, the ongoing GILMDP is in advanced stages of establishing a pilot WUO in the ongoing project area. This approach will be ready to be scaled up under the GRAIL Project schemes. Under Component 2, TORs are under preparation for the formulation of a National Land Consolidation Strategy and a National Strategy on Sustainable Land Management. The Environment and Social Commitment Plan (ESCP), Stakeholder Engagement Plan (SEP), Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF), Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF), and Labor Management Procedures (LMP) have been prepared by MEPA and NAPR and were disclosed in English on the Bank website on January 12, 2023 (ESCP and 47The creation of the LIS for multiple users (state agencies, private sector, individual citizens, and so on) would contribute to the activation of agricultural and nonagricultural land markets, provide new land-related services, facilitate new investments, and contribute to reliable information-based policy making in a climate resilient manner. The LIS can support such core activities of the LMA as enhancement of the Farm Registry, completion of the land balance database, and implementation of the voluntary land consolidation activities ensuring standardized and interoperable data management and dissemination. Page 37 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) SEP), January 25, 2023 (RPF and LMP) and January 26, 2023 (ESMF). The Georgian versions of ESCP, SEP, RPF, LMP, and ESMF were disclosed on February 6, 2023. Stakeholder consultations on these documents have been held in January and February 2023. 91. Technical readiness (resilience of project). The following natural hazards have been identified as potentially harmful to the project: (a) mudflows and flash floods, and (b) drought and extreme heat. Drainage investments will support adaptation to floods, flash floods, and mudflow risks through improved bypasses and protection structures. To mitigate drought and extreme heat risk on water supply security and on the performance of the planned infrastructure investments, the project will improve the overall quality of water infrastructure. For irrigation infrastructure, the project reduces conveyance losses and supports the uptake of improved agricultural practices (promoting drought-tolerant seeds, and on-farm water-efficient irrigation technologies with the option to install solar pumps, where applicable), which are known to reduce drought vulnerability and improve water resource utilization and energy efficiency, leading to reductions in GHG emissions. 92. Technical analysis (resilience through project). The introduction of international best practice for resilient design based on the Water Global Practice standards; improvements to the MEPA’s water, land, and agriculture management systems (via the HAIC); and the introduction of risk management approaches for dam safety will build system-wide resilience and strengthen disaster risk governance. It is expected that this information and institution-related outputs will improve the resilience of future projects and investments to the inevitable shocks arising from climate change and other uncertain drivers of change. Economic and Financial Analysis 93. Ex ante cost-benefit analysis was conducted to determine the project’s feasibility. It included both financial analyses carried out using actual market prices inclusive of taxes, subsidies, and other distortions as well as economic analysis using economic prices adjusted in some instances to correct for taxes, subsidies, and other distortions known to be present in the Georgian economy. The results of the financial analysis show the returns to project-supported activities from the perspective of the private sector. The results of the economic analysis show the social returns. 94. Summary of the economic and financial analysis. Economic and financial indicators such as NPV, internal rate of return (IRR), benefit/cost (B/C) ratio, and payback period were estimated to evaluate the level of return on investment for the entire project, components, subcomponents, and activities. The analysis was conducted by considering the following general investment parameters, as a base scenario: (a) evaluation period: 30 years, (b) cost of capital: 9.4 percent, and (c) social discount rate: 6 percent. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the robustness of the results under a range of possible changes in key variables: prices, production costs, and yields. The EFA indicators were estimated for different scenarios: evaluation periods, costs of capital, and social discount rates. 95. The results of the EFA show positive returns on the overall investment, components, subcomponents, and activities considering the project’s environmental benefits (reflected in the valuation of the GHG emissions reduction with a scenario of low shadow price of carbon48). The main indicators are presented in Table 5. 48 The GHG emissions from the project are presented in external project files - Annex 4. Page 38 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Table 5. Summary of the EFA for the Project Financial Indicators (9.4% cost of capital) Financial Net Financial Incremental Incremental NPV Present Value Internal Rate of B/C Payback Period per beneficiary NPV per ha (FNPV) Return (FIRR) Ratio (years) (US$) (US$) (US$, millions) (percent) 52.8 11.95 1.31 11.66 1,452 1,965 Economic Indicators (6% social discount rate) Economic Net Economic Incremental NPV Incremental Present Value Internal Rate of B/C Payback period per beneficiary NPV per ha (ENPV) Return (EIRR) Ratio (years) (US$) (US$) (US$, millions) (percent) 158.5 12.33 1.63 10.81 4,357 5,895 96. The sensitivity analysis revealed that EIRRs are somewhat sensitive to changes in prices and yields. However, they are relatively insensitive to changes in production costs. Moreover, the ENPV and the EIRR would be higher considering the high shadow price of carbon (US$160.7 million and 12.41 percent, respectively). 97. The implementation of Component 1 and Component 2 would generate positive and attractive returns both economically and financially (see table 6). Table 6. Summary of Economic Analysis for Components 1 and 2 Financial Indicators (9.4% cost of capital) FNPV (US$, millions) FIRR (%) B/C Ratio Payback Period (years) Component 1 50.1 13.01 1.37 10.54 Component 2 2.7 9.81 1.08 12.04 Economic Indicators (6% social discount rate) ENPV (US$, millions) EIRR (%) B/C Ratio Payback Period (years) Component 1 125.5 13.41 1.57 10.12 Component 2 32.9 10.08 1.88 11.82 98. To determine the relative profitability of different types of subcomponents under Component 1, the measures of project worth were calculated separately. Positive financial and economic returns to different subcomponents under Component 1 are shown in table 7. Table 7. Detailed Summary of Economic Analysis for Component 1 Financial Indicators (9.4% cost of capital) NPV (US$, millions) FIRR(%) B/C Ratio Payback Period (years) Subcomponent 1.1 41.7 16.08 1.51 9.97 Subcomponent 1.2 1.9 9.81 1.04 11.56 Subcomponent 1.3 2.6 10.60 1.33 11.10 Economic Indicators (6% social discount rate) NPV (US$, millions) EIRR (%) B/C Ratio Payback Period (years) Subcomponent 1.1 116.4 17.19 2.07 9.81 Page 39 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Subcomponent 1.2 39.5 11.77 1.53 10.47 Subcomponent 1.3 12.7 10.62 1.66 11.08 99. Positive financial and economic returns to different subcomponents under Component 2 are shown in Table 8. Table 8. Detailed Summary of Economic Analysis for Component 2 Financial Indicators (9.4% cost of capital) NPV (US$, millions) FIRR (%) B/C Ratio Payback Period (years) Subcomponent 2.1 1.3 9.60 1.04 12.06 Subcomponent 2.2 1.2 10.57 1.15 12.35 Economic Indicators (6% social discount rate) NPV (US$, millions) EIRR (%) B/C Ratio Payback Period (years) Subcomponent 2.1 24.8 9.61 1.80 12.06 Subcomponent 2.2 7.8 12.64 2.19 11.14 100. The project is expected to generate direct and indirect benefits for farmers. The project is expected to generate benefits for farmers cultivating a plot in the selected irrigation schemes in the form of incremental annual income derived from mostly commercial agriculture arising from improved irrigation services and support to agriculture production and value chains. These benefits will be attributable to (a) irrigated land rehabilitation (better irrigation services), (b) agricultural support measures at the farmer level (increased margin per hectare, diversification into higher-value crops, and improved conditions for access to market), (c) improved land tenure security and availability of fairly priced agricultural land, which should contribute to the enhancement of the agricultural land market, increase of the agriculture-related portion supported by foreign direct investment, and creation of value for current landowners and the state. The establishment of and TA to WUOs will improve irrigation water delivery to farmers while generating economies of scale in the process as well as increasing the potential for the adoption of water-efficient irrigation technologies and uptake of improved crop water management practices by farmers. The project also will generate benefits from the titling of agricultural plots (that is, clarity over landholding, enhanced land tenure rights and their transferability, stimulating of land market development). The adoption of CSA practices by farmers will maintain the soil fertility and structure. The irrigation master plan will help the Government select the most cost-efficient investments. B. Fiduciary (a) Financial Management 101. The overall Financial Management (FM) arrangements meet the minimum requirements of the World Bank’s Policy and Directive on Investment Project Financing (IPF).49 Disbursements under the proposed project will be carried out in line with the World Bank Disbursement Guidelines for IPF (February 2017). The PIUs within MEPA and the NAPR will oversee the project’s fiduciary responsibilities including FM with quarterly reporting and annual audit of project’s financial statements. 49 An FM assessment was conducted in accordance with the Financial Management Manual for World Bank Investment Project Financing Operations (2010, revised 2017). Page 40 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 102. The PIUs will be responsible for the preparation of unaudited interim financial reports (IFRs) and annual project financial statements. Accounting software, acceptable to the World Bank, will be used for project accounting and reporting, including principal financial reports being quarterly IFRs and annual project financial statements. Throughout the life of the project, the borrower will send unaudited IFRs covering all components using a format agreed between the GoG and the World Bank. IFRs will be due 45 days after the end of each calendar quarter. The borrower will provide annual audited project financial statements to the World Bank within six months of the end of each fiscal year and at the closing of the project. The audit will be conducted by an independent auditor acceptable to the World Bank and in line with the agreed TOR. 103. Internal controls and procedures to be used by the project will be described in the FM Manual, an integral part of the POM. The POM will include FM aspects, detailed procedures, and processes for the project’s planning and budgeting, accounting, financial reporting, internal controls, flow of funds, and external audit. It will also describe the roles and responsibilities of the Ministry of Finance (MoF) and PIU and communication channels and modes between them. This will minimize risk of errors, safeguard project assets, and ensure use of funds for intended purposes. Application of the controls and procedures will be verified through World Bank supervision. 104. Separate Designated Accounts (DAs) in foreign currency for administering the project funds (separate for each PIU) will be opened in the treasury within the MoF, found to have an acceptable control environment by the World Bank. The accounts will be managed by the MoF, with the PIUs processing the payments according to their fiduciary role. Statement of Expenditures (SOE) based disbursement will be applied, with advances being the primary disbursement method. Direct payments and reimbursement will also be allowed. In addition, the GoG’s co-financing share of the expenditures will be allocated to the project on an annual basis through the Treasury Single Account (TSA) in the MoF. 105. Overall FM risk is assessed to be moderate. (b) Procurement 106. Procurement will be conducted following the World Bank Procurement Regulations for IPF Borrowers (July 2016, revised in November 2020). All the procurement-related data will be processed through Systematic Tracking of Exchanges in Procurement (STEP). The ‘Guidelines on Preventing and Combating Fraud and Corruption in Projects Financed by IBRD Loans and IDA Credits and Grants’, dated October 15, 2006, and revised in January 2011 and as of July 1, 2016, will be also applied. The NAPR and MEPA have developed an acceptable version of the Project Procurement Strategy for Development (PPSD) defining the procurement methods and arrangements to be applied under the project to enable the delivery of value for money in achieving the PDO. The World Bank will arrange its oversight (prior or past) on the risk-based approach. The project procurement risk rating is moderate considering the residual risk after planned mitigation measures highlighted in the PPSD, are implemented. 107. Both agencies have the required knowledge and experience to ensure the compliance of the followed procedures to the Bank’s rules and regulations. The market analyses and needs assessment to be done on timely manner will help the agencies prepare procurement packages, mitigate further risks of applying noncompetitive arrangements, and reduce the frequency of PPSD revision. The country e-procurement system will be used for all the procurement of goods, works, and non-consulting services. Details on decision-making internal processes will be reflected in the POM. The streamlined procurement arrangements will be defined in the CERC manual. Page 41 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) .C. Legal Operational Policies . Triggered? Projects on International Waterways OP 7.50 Yes Projects in Disputed Areas OP 7.60 No . 108. The project triggers OP 7.50 - Projects on International Waterways. The project will support the rehabilitation and modernization of irrigation schemes in Eastern Georgia and drainage schemes in Western Georgia. These activities involve the potential use and pollution of the waters from the Mtkvari (Kura) River system and the Black Sea which are considered international waterways as per the policy. The exception to the riparian notification requirement according to paragraph 7(a) of the policy applies because the project will only focus on the rehabilitation and modernization of existing irrigation (small-scale) infrastructure and will not support construction of any new infrastructure. Further, project implementation is not expected to cause any measurable qualitative/quantitative changes in the water flow of the international waterways concerned. The exception according to paragraph 7(b) of the policy also applies and accordingly, the TOR for the National Irrigation Master Plan will consider an examination of any potential riparian issues as required by the policy. The exception to the notification requirement was approved by the RVP on January 6, 2023. 109. OP 7.60 is not triggered. The project will be implemented countrywide, excluding the Autonomous Republic of Abkhazeti (Abkhazia) and several municipalities of Tskhinvali region currently not under de facto jurisdiction of the national GoG of Georgia. Thus, no activities will be undertaken in disputed areas. D. Environmental and Social 110. The project environmental and social risk rating is substantial due to the nature of project activities, contextual risks, and the capacity of the IAs that do not have experience with the World Bank Environmental and Social Framework (ESF). The Environmental and Social Standards (ESS) relevant to this project are: ESS 1: Assessment and Management of Environmental and Social Risks and Impacts; ESS 2: Labor and Working Conditions; ESS 3: Resource Efficiency and Pollution Prevention and Management, ESS 4: Community Health and Safety, ESS 5: Land Acquisition, Restrictions on Land Use and Involuntary Resettlement; ESS 6: Biodiversity Conservation and Sustainable Management of Living Natural Resources, ESS 8: Cultural Heritage, and ESS 10: Stakeholder Engagement and Information Disclosure. 111. Direct environmental risks are associated with physical works and include the typical impacts of construction activities. The direct environmental impacts include generation of noise and dust, vibration, emissions from construction machinery and equipment, water pollution, sourcing of natural construction materials, generation of construction waste, transportation of construction materials and waste, hazard to workers’ health and safety, and nuisance to local communities. In addition, risks typical for this type of project include disturbance of water balance in watersheds, negative impact on aquatic life in the affected surface water bodies, threat of inundation and associated impacts on livelihoods or assets downstream from dam operations causing uncontrolled spills or failure, and soil salinization and water erosion resulting from the use of inappropriate irrigation techniques. Indirect environmental impacts from the TA will be related to the recommendations derived from project-supported preliminary and detailed design studies and technical Page 42 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) assessments aimed at the development of a national irrigation master plan for investing in I&D and infrastructure. 112. Project implementing agencies have had no prior exposure to the World Bank’s ESF . This shortfall manifested itself during GRAIL Project preparation and is likely to affect project implementation, especially in the early phase. While these inherent risks are substantial, the application of well-planned and executed mitigation measures would reduce the residual risk level to moderate. Risk management will be undertaken by: (a) screening individual investment designs to filter out any high-risk activities following the guidance of the project’s ESMF, (b) undertaking site-specific environmental and social impact assessment and/or environmental and social management planning, (c) incorporating environmental risk reducing elements into the designs of individual irrigation/drainage schemes, (d) implementing and monitoring effectiveness of impact mitigation measures prescribed in ESMPs, and (e) obligating construction contractors to produce and adhere to the Environmental and Social Code of Conduct and the contractor’s ESMP. The existing capacity of MEPA to apply ESF requirements to investment projects will be enhanced by recruiting additional specialists and providing tailored training for skills enhancement, including intensive on-the-job mentoring and assistance from the World Bank team. The approach to environmental risk mitigation of emergency response actions in case of activating CERC will be detailed in the CERC Manual to be prepared by the borrower before operationalizing CERC. 113. Dam safety. The project will finance rehabilitation and modernization of irrigation systems that draw water from five existing upstream reservoirs: Lakublo, Pantiani, Mtisdziri, Khorkhori, and Narekvavi (see annex 5 in the special project files). Each of the rehabilitated and modernized irrigation systems will depend on the storage and operation of the corresponding upstream embankment dam for supply of water and would not function if the dam failed. To ensure the safety of upstream dams, the borrower will hire at least one dam safety specialist with expertise in the various technical fields relevant to the safety aspects of the dams. The dam safety specialist will: (a) inspect and evaluate the safety status of the existing dams, their appurtenances, and performance history, including the risk downstream in case of dam maloperation or failure; (b) review and evaluate the owners’ operation, maintenance, and emergency procedures; and (c) provide a report of findings and recommendations for any remedial work or safety-related measures necessary to upgrade the existing dams to an acceptable standard of safety (dam safety assessment). Depending on the findings of the dam safety assessment, and in case of high hazard and complex remedial work, a dam safety panel of experts could be required. A preliminary study on dam safety, financed by the GILMDP, covers three of the five dams.50 Based on available information, all the dams are currently in operation and no structural deficiency affecting their normal condition has been observed. The World Bank task team will work with the borrower and independent dam safety specialist(s) in applying the Good Practice Note on Dam Safety and a series of Technical Notes on Dam Safety to ensure that the recommended actions are properly addressed, and that project preparation and implementation are compliant with the requirements of ESS 4/Annex A on Safety of Dams. The project team also will coordinate with the borrower to support the dam safety assessment, dam safety plans, training, and capacity-building activities, all of which will be based on the existing reports and lessons learned from the GILMDP. 114. Social risks. The social risks of the project relate to, among others: (a) the physical footprint of civil works which may require land acquisition and land use restrictions, and occupational and community health and safety risks, including those related to dam safety; (b) poverty, social, and economic impacts associated with project- financed TA (for example, management of agricultural land and taxation); (c) social tension or conflict related to the sharing of water resources across communities or among members of a community or WUO; and (d) the risks 50 “PreliminaryAssessment Study of the East Georgia Irrigation Reservoirs Rehabilitation and Construction Program” D6 - Final Report. Tractebel-Engie, October 2022. Page 43 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) of exclusion and inadequate participation and consultation related to shortcomings in information disclosure, participatory consultations, stakeholder engagement, and the engagement of vulnerable groups. If during project implementation significant risks related to project suppliers are identified, the supervision company will be responsible for conducting due diligence on the primary supply workers to ensure there is no forced and/or child labor. This includes suppliers responsible for supplying the solar irrigation pumping equipment under Component 1. Mitigation measures will include having an RPF in place, developing site-specific Resettlement Action Plans as required, implementing a SEP and LMP, and operating project-level and contractors’ grievance redress mechanisms (GRMs). 115. The borrower carried out environmental and social assessments during the project preparation stage to assess environmental and social risks. To manage these risks during project implementation, the borrower prepared, disclosed, and consulted with stakeholders on the ESMF, RPF, SEP, and LMP. The main environmental and social requirements are described in the borrower’s ESCP, including those on enhancing the institutional capacity of the PIU through recruitment of qualified environmental, social, gender and community liaison, and operational health and safety (OHS) specialists. E. Climate Change, Disaster Screening and Climate Co-Benefits 116. Average temperatures in Georgia have increased steadily since the 1960s and are projected to rise by more than the global average by the end of the 21st century. Figure 351 shows the projected future monthly average air temperature for the periods 2045–2060 and 2085–2100 under SSP585, which represents the upper boundary of the range of scenarios described in the literature, against the 2015–2020 baseline. In addition to increased average temperatures, the frequency of heat waves is also expected to increase substantially by the end of the century under higher emissions pathways which pose major risks to human health, livelihoods, and agricultural productivity. The rapid retreat of glaciers is also expected, and likely to shift the regional hydrological flow regime, thus increasing the risk of flooding and ultimately driving transitions in local ecosystems. The effects of rising temperatures on agricultural output could threaten an important source of income and employment in the poorer rural areas and may consequently increase inequality. In addition, the projected long-term reductions in the flow rates of rivers in Georgia, rising average temperatures, and existing issues with energy distribution networks are expected to increase the risk of water shortages in the spring and summer. River flow reductions during the summer months, coinciding Figure 3. Comparison of current monthly average air temperature and future with peak demand, have important implications for Georgia’s projection under SSP585 in Georgia energy and food supply. Warmer temperatures will increase evapotranspiration rates and crop water demand,52 requiring additional water to reduce water-stressed crop growth. Crop water use efficiency needs to be increased by adapting efficient irrigation techniques that produce more crops per drop, while expanding irrigation to adapt rainfed croplands to future water scarcity. 51Source: Rosa, L. World Bank, 2023. 52 Hatfield, J. L., and C. Dold. 2019. “Water-Use Efficiency: Advances and Challenges in a Changing Climate.” Frontiers in Plant Science 10: 103. Page 44 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 117. Rainfed agricultural systems, which depend solely on green water (soil moisture from rainfall), sustain 89 percent of the cropland area,53 and are particularly vulnerable to vagaries in temperature and precipitation patterns, which are intensifying due to climate change.54 Using projections of crop water demand and green water availability under warming scenarios,55 agricultural green water scarcity (GWS) was assessed in order to determine when the rainfall regime is unable to meet crop water requirements.56 Under 1.5°C and 3°C warming, the global warming projected from current climate targets and business-as- usual policies, GWS will affect most of the irrigated areas in Eastern Georgia (figure 4). With respect to the specific short-listed irrigation schemes under present day climate conditions, few of those schemes are facing GWS (red shaded area of figure 4) and only half of the irrigation scheme in Zeda Arkhi are affected by GWS (figure 5). Thus, investing in sustainable Figure 4. Share of each irrigation scheme facing GWS under irrigation development in water-stressed rainfed the current climate and 1.5 degrees and 3 degrees warmer croplands is a prominent adaptation and climate. The figure shows that under global warming there will be a substantial exacerbation of GWS and water-stressed crop mitigation measure that can provide a reliable growth will be widespread unless adaptation solutions, such as water supply to water-stressed crops, alleviate irrigation expansion are adopted. heat stress, and contribute to more reliable and resilient crop production.57 These are some of the main objectives of Component 1. 53 FAO, Georgia Country Profile: https://www.fao.org/aquastat/en/countries-and-basins/country-profiles/country/GEO. 54 Rosa, L., D. D. Chiarelli, M. Sangiorgio, A. A. Beltran-Peña, M. C. Rulli, P. D’Odorico, and I. Fung. 2020. “Potential for Sustainable Irrigation Expansion in a 3 C Warmer Climate.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117 (47): 29526–29534. 55 We used CMIP5 RCP8.5 and downloaded monthly precipitation, evaporation, and runoff (surface and subsurface) from the outputs of three global climate models (GFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2-ES, MIROC-ESM-CHEM) and three global hydrological models (LPJmL, H8, WATERGAP2) as provided by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (https://www.isimip.org/). 56 Rosa, L., D. D. Chiarelli, M. C. Rulli, J. Dell’Angelo, and P. D’Odorico. 2020. “Global Agricultural Economic Water Scarcity.” Science Advances 6 (18): eaaz6031. 57 Rosa, L. 2022. “Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change Via Sustainable Irrigation: Biophysical Potentials and Feedbacks.” Environmental Research Letters 17: 063008. Page 45 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 118. Climate adaptation co-benefits. A summary of the project’s adaptation co-benefits is provided in table 3. Subcomponent 1.1 supports the adaptation of irrigation water services and the broader irrigated agricultural sector to drought, warming temperatures, and long-term reduction in precipitation. It does so through improvements in water conveyance efficiency and upgrading of existing irrigation structures, improved control of water delivery to farms, and introduction of water metering. These measures are expected to reduce water use, crop water stress, and soil erosion. Under Component 1, the project finances modernization and focuses on enhancing dam safety measures using resilient design principles based on World Bank guidelines. These measures will ensure that each infrastructure asset maintains the desired performance across a range of climate conditions and minimizes service disruptions in the face of floods and droughts. Under Subcomponent 1.2, the project invests in and promotes CSA practices on-farm (for example, use of biofertilizers and appropriate soil health management practices, integrated pest management, use of drought-tolerant and heat stress adapted crop varieties). Institutional strengthening activities under Subcomponent 1.3 are also explicitly designed to reduce vulnerability to climate risks through activities that support farmers in adopting on-farm irrigation technologies (drip and sprinkler irrigation) and provide them with just-in-time decision support tools (for example, mobile- based applications that provide satellite-based temperature, heat, and precipitation data) tailored to Eastern Georgia along with Figure 5. Extent of Agricultural Green Water training on how to use the applications and technologies to reduce Scarcity (GWS) under global warming in Georgia. Figure shows GWS under current the environmental footprint of their water management practices. climate conditions and 1.5 degrees and 3 Subcomponent 1.3 is also investing in the establishment of a HAIC degrees warming. *Note: Figures shows and a multi-agency center for tracking agrometeorological GWS under current climate conditions and parameters for improved irrigation and land management 1.5°C and 3°C warming. monitoring, which will significantly enhance the ability and capacity of institutions within MEPA (for example, NEA, LMA, and GA) to plan for and respond to these risks (see annex 2 in the special project files). 119. Climate mitigation co-benefits. The project will modernize irrigation infrastructure over approximately 26,887 ha, assuming that all short-listed schemes will be included in the project. Within this area, irrigation schemes will be rehabilitated. In areas where there is the possibility of modernization, farmers will be given opportunities to adopt drip and sprinkler on-farm irrigation technologies. In areas where the topography allows, the project will convert some gravity-fed irrigation schemes to pressurized irrigation, allowing farmers to easily install sprinkler or drip irrigation using the natural topography to create the required pressure. This will increase water savings, reduce the volume of water pumped, and thus reduce energy and CO2 emissions. In addition, increased agricultural productivity will be achieved through increased vegetation/land cover, recovery (for Page 46 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) irrigated agriculture) of drought/flood degraded soils, and prevention of erosion through soil and plant cover, all of which potentially reduce GHG emissions. 120. Using the FAO Ex-Ante Carbon-Balance Tool (EX-ACT) Model, it is estimated that the project will mitigate 307,584 tCO2 over 30 years or 10,253 tCO2-eq per year. For the irrigation investments (Subcomponent 1.1), the GHG analysis estimates that the net carbon balance over a 30-year period is 1688 tCO2-eq (approximately 56 tCO2-eq/year). Some of the improved irrigation and new irrigation systems will be highly efficient using pressurization from topography, which does not require energy for pumping, and allow farmers to adopt sprinkler and drip irrigation for annual and orchards cultivation, respectively. The project, therefore, will prevent carbon lock-in energy intensive diesel systems to lower emissions. The gravity-based irrigation systems will be designed to remain and thus maintain zero emissions from irrigation. The Results Framework includes four climate indicators to monitor progress. F. Gender 121. The project will integrate lessons and good practices from the ongoing GILMDP as well as other projects in Georgia and throughout the ECA region to ensure that the design and implementation of project interventions and awareness raising campaigns include a central role for women’s groups. These interventions will be designed to guarantee that both male and female farmers and landowners will benefit equally from project outcomes. The project is expected to: (a) target the provision of irrigation water supply to activities that particularly benefit and generate jobs/income for women (for example, horticulture and home gardens), (b) facilitate female farmers’ access to matching grants to pay for irrigation technologies, (c) provide irrigation technologies preferred by women (for example, small-scale, labor-saving, cost-effective, and socially acceptable), and target outreach to women to inform them about available irrigation technologies, including demonstrations on their farms. The project will also build on the importance and benefit of women’s voice and decision-making in local irrigation management organizations such as WUOs. Training will be specifically targeted to women to build their confidence and encourage active involvement in the work of WUOs. Thus, the project will increase the visibility of women farmers by promoting the consolidation of women’s land to make their farm sizes more viable for irrigation and high-value agricultural production (see annex 2 in special project files). A summary of the gender gaps, activities, and indicators to measure gender gaps in the project are presented in table 9. Page 47 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Table 9. Gender gaps, actions, and indicators Identified gender gap Gender action to close the gap Indicator to measure progress toward closing the gender gap • The percentage of female landowners with • The irrigation service reform • Increase in the irrigation service contracts with GA is only process will be accompanied by irrigated area under 3.7 percent of all contract holders, targeted training support to GA formal contracts with indicating a gender gap in access to water service centers (at scheme the water users by GA resources and irrigation services. This is level) to enhance customer (disaggregated by because irrigation service contracts are orientation and customer gender). traditionally signed by men, even where satisfaction in irrigation services, women are engaged in irrigation, meaning and to improved gender focus their contribution to agricultural and awareness. production remains invisible and under- • The transformation approaches recognized. will include efforts to increase formal access to irrigation services for female landowners (Sub-component 1.3.) • The participation of women in agricultural • Under sub-component 1.2, the • Beneficiaries reached activities is less visible, their access to project will carry out with the project water and land resources, finance to invest demonstration activities targeted financial support in modern technologies, is low compared to the land plots of female (gender- to men; as a result, women are more farmers on a priority basis and disaggregated). involved in subsistence agriculture. promote matching grant • Grants awarded to • Women female landowners or co-owners mechanisms that target the female water users for represent 40 percent of landowners or co- needs of female landowners in adopting water owners, and their parcels are on average terms of agricultural inputs, efficient on-farm 30 percent smaller than those owned by trainings, machinery, and irrigation technologies the men, affecting women’s ability to use equipment. and practices. land as collateral for access to finance for • The proposed matching grants water saving irrigation technologies. programs will conduct outreach to make sure these funds are used (Subcomponent 1.2 and 1.3). • The land privatization reform conducted in • Providing regulatory and • Average size of the the 1990s in Georgia resulted in small, operational support to LMA and plots owned by subsistence agriculture-oriented land NAPR to optimize land and real women alone or holdings not conducive for the estate markets monitoring jointly with men in development of commercial agriculture. including female land ownership selected irrigation • There is a gender gap in land ownership. and gender-inclusiveness of the scheme(s) where pilot Plots owned by men are on average twice land consolidation process voluntary land the size of those owned by women alone or (Component 2). consolidation jointly with men. Consolidation and activities have been registration of plots by female owners will implemented. allow them to invest and engage in commercial high value agricultural production because these measures will allow them to access: (a) adequately sized agricultural land suitable for sustainable Page 48 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) and successful production, and (b) finance/credit needed for seasonal operations and longer-term investments. 122. A detailed gender needs assessment will be carried out during the first year of project implementation. The assessment will help fine-tune the proposed training and recommend additional capacity-building activities tailored to women’s needs and other interventions and prerequisites to improve gender diversity in the WUOs, value chain activities, and the water and climate training. The Results Framework includes the following indicators that address gender: (a) women landowners with access to improved I&D services, (b) women farmers adopting improved agricultural technologies, (c) women farmers trained in the application of CSA technologies and practices, and (d) number of grants awarded to women farmers to adopt irrigation technologies and improve water management practices. G. Citizen Engagement and Social Inclusion 123. Citizen engagement is central to the participatory change-oriented processes with local stakeholders. Citizen engagement mechanisms are an integral part of the project to enable effective and inclusive two-way interactions at all stages of the project. Project design and implementation will follow a participatory approach in decision-making and project monitoring to empower citizens to provide feedback and suggestions on project design and implementation. Under Component 1, as revealed in international experience, one of the conditions for farmers to willingly engage in irrigated agriculture and to actively participate in the O&M of rehabilitated irrigation schemes is to formally involve them at all stages of the project cycle (that is, design of rehabilitation works, choice of irrigation modality at plot level, works and O&M requirements, engagement of tariff reform and tariff setting design, and communication during irrigation service delivery performance improvement of GA). The participatory multi-stakeholder methods designed to stimulate change (key project activities in several subcomponents) are considered citizen engagement. Under Component 2, a pilot land consolidation will be prepared and driven with citizen participation targeting farmers. Considering that the project focuses on building resilience in rural communities around irrigation schemes and reducing inequalities, engagement with all citizens will be carried out throughout the project to measure awareness, satisfaction, and impacts as well as to verify if feedback and grievance mechanisms are known, used, and satisfactory. Implementation arrangements will also include GRMs at appropriate geographic scales. In the Results Framework, a beneficiary feedback indicator that will correspond to at least one citizen engagement activity is included to measure feedback from beneficiaries on their role in decision-making related to irrigation works and services and will be measured early in the project. 124. Social inclusion. Approximately 95 percent of beneficiaries across the selected irrigation schemes will include smallholders. These comprise farmers, low-income households, women, and youth. All Component 1 activities have been designed in a way to ensure proactive engagement of women and women’s groups, ensuring equal benefit. Improved irrigation service delivery is expected to provide a range of benefits to these social groups. These include livelihood opportunities and jobs in irrigated agriculture and reduced vulnerability to droughts and floods. Two of the short-listed irrigation schemes are expected to have particularly large populations of vulnerable groups. The Tiriponi scheme in Shida Kartli region is the largest among the short-listed schemes and is located near the conflict zone. Shida Kartli region also has one of the largest numbers of internally displaced people (IDPs) who fled Tsklhinvali region due to the 2008 war.58 In total, there are 75 IDP settlements with almost 17,000 IDPs 58Institute for Development of Freedom of Information. 2015. “Statistics of IDP Settlements and the Number of IDP Families Provided with Accommodation (2009–2015).” https://idfi.ge/ge/number-of-provided-living-areas-for-idps. Page 49 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) in Shida Kartli. The settlements located close to the Tiriponi irrigation scheme include Karaleti, Shavshvebi, Berbuki, and Khurvaleti. The living conditions in these settlements are poor. Residents have little access to social and health infrastructure (kindergartens and ambulatories) and agricultural land. Some of the settlements also face drinking water and sanitation issues.59 The largest post-2008 war settlement is Tserovani, in Mtsketa-Mtianeti region, where the Narekvavi irrigation scheme is located. Lastly, the Zeda Arkhi irrigation scheme will benefit farmers in Bolnisi. According to the latest census, of around 56,000 inhabitants of this municipality, about 60 percent are ethnic Azerbaijani.60 Generally, the youth in the ethnic minority regions generally communicate well in Georgian, but the older generations have limited knowledge of Georgian. The SEP will take this into account. V. GRIEVANCE REDRESS SERVICES 125. Communities and individuals who believe that they are adversely affected by a World Bank supported project may submit complaints to existing project-level grievance redress mechanisms or the Bank’s Grievance Redress Service (GRS). The GRS ensures that complaints received are promptly reviewed to address project- related concerns. Project affected communities and individuals may submit their complaint to the Bank’s independent Inspection Panel which determines whether harm occurred, or could occur, because of the Bank’s non-compliance with its policies and procedures. Complaints may be submitted at any time after concerns have been brought directly to the World Bank’s attention, and Bank Management has been given an opportunity to respond. Information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank’s corporate GRS is available at http://www.worldbank.org/en/projects-operations/products-and-services/grievance-redress-service. Information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank Inspection Panel is available at www.inspectionpanel.org. VI. KEY RISKS 126. The overall residual risk rating of the project is Substantial . Although almost all project risks are rated Low or Moderate, the environmental and social risks, as well as stakeholder risks are rated Substantial. Thus, the overall risk rating for the project is Substantial. 127. Environmental and social risks are Substantial. Environmental and social risks are inherent prior to mitigation. The main social and environmental risks and mitigation measures will revolve around the activities of Subcomponent 1.1 (rehabilitation and modernization of selected irrigation schemes). Environmental risks would be contained through the conceptual designs of the individual irrigation schemes selected for project intervention. The main social risks and impacts of the project would relate to the physical footprint of civil works (upgrading existing irrigation schemes), which may require land acquisition and land use restrictions. Nonetheless, the PIU in MEPA, which has overseen irrigation works under the GILMDP, has experience applying World Bank safeguard policies to the investment operations. To date, there have been no significant environmental or social issues encountered during the irrigation scheme rehabilitation works in that project. 128. The residual stakeholder risk is Substantial. The project financing arrangements depend on 50 percent 59GeoWel Research. 2009. “Baseline Survey of the IDP Settlements and their Neighboring Communities in Kvemo Kartli and Shida Kartli.” https://geowel.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/idp_research_geowel_2010_full_eng.pdf. 60 National Statistics Office of Georgia. 2014. “2014 General Population Census, Demographic and Social Characteristics .” http://census.ge/en/results/census1/demo. Page 50 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) counterpart financing. Consequently, risks can emerge related to availability of state funds to finance project activities, across all components. These risks are mitigated through provisions in the legal agreement that ensure annual funding by the borrower based on the workplan and budget presented by the PIUs. Another risk is related to achieving full participation of farmers, especially smallholders, in project activities that contribute to the financial and operational sustainability of the project. In addition, there is a substantial stakeholder risk relating to the implementation of the NSDI. Effective stakeholders’ engagement and ultimate active participation in the data sharing activities can take a long time, especially in the case of institutional stakeholders. Thus, creating and implementing a stakeholder engagement plan early in the project will be an important mitigating factor. Moreover, the project will focus on strategic messaging and effective communications, which are also important for managing stakeholder risk and for exploring feasible financing modalities with the borrower in case of a funding shortfall by the counterpart. 129. Institutional capacity for implementation and sustainability residual risk is Moderate. Overall, institutional capacity within MEPA for reforming GA, RDA, and LMA is weak. In addition, there are institutional risks associated with certain aspects of project management, such as handling environmental and social issues. However, based on focused efforts to establish the foundation for reform through a gap analysis for GA, RDA, and LMA, with targeted trainings, the project aims to mitigate these risks. Thus, the residual risk is Moderate. 130. Technical design of project/program residual risk is Moderate. Although the project is complex and consists of linked interventions in the water, land, and agriculture sectors, the World Bank will support its implementation closely, drawing on lessons from the ongoing GILMDP’s expertise, documentation, and experiences. The residual technical risk related to the enhancement of the IPRS and operationalization of the LIS and NSDI is assessed as moderate because capacity for implementation is already built within NAPR and LMA. These institutions should have sufficient time to do the same during the GRAIL Project implementation period. Resources to inform the new project include: (a) design reviews from GILMDP, (b) detailed technical specifications for the design of infrastructure and procurement of consulting services, (d) experience in reforming irrigation management from ongoing WUO pilots and regional successes, and (e) experience in delivering training in agriculture and managing matching grant programs. . Page 51 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) VII. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING Results Framework COUNTRY: Georgia Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project Project Development Objectives(s) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to: (a) improve irrigation, and drainage services, and agricultural production in project areas; and (b) strengthen national irrigation and land management institutional capacity for climate resilient planning. Project Development Objective Indicators RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ PD O Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target Improved irrigation and drainage services and agricultural production in project areas Increase in gross value of agricultural production in project areas 0.00 20.00 (Percentage) Landowners with access to improved irrigation and drainage 0.00 36,377.00 services (Number) Landowners with access to improved irrigation and drainage 0.00 13,800.00 services - female (Number) Strengthened national irrigation and land management institutional capacity Irrigation service delivery performance monitoring & decision Performance monitoring and decision support system support system established & operational in central office & No performance monitoring system exists in Georgian established and operational in GA central and selected selected service centers of Georgian Amelioration in project Amelioration. service centers in project areas. areas (Text) Page 52 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ PD O Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target Hydro-Agro Informatics Center established & operational for real-time monitoring & dissemination of water, land, agriculture No Hydro-Agro informatics center exists Center established and operational & climate information for water efficient & climate-resilient planning (Text) Multi-purpose land information system (LIS) operationalized 0.00 100.00 (Percentage) PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target Component 1.1 Irrigation infrastructure rehabilitation and modenization Area provided with new/improved irrigation or drainage services (CRI, Hectare(Ha)) 0.00 26,887.00 Area provided with improved irrigation or drainage services 0.00 26,887.00 (CRI, Hectare(Ha)) Cropped area exposed to water shortage in project areas 25.00 15.00 (Percentage) Component 1.2 Support to irrigated agriculture and value chain development Increase in the value of marketed output of farmers and agribusinesses benefited from the project grant facility, 0.00 20.00 extension services and improved irrigation services (Percentage) Increase in yields of key crops in farms benefited from project 0.00 30.00 grant facility and improved irrigation services (Percentage) Farmers adopting improved agricultural technology (CRI, 0.00 3,000.00 Number) Farmers adopting improved agricultural technology - Female 0.00 750.00 Page 53 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target (CRI, Number) Farmers adopting improved agricultural technology - male (CRI, Number) 0.00 2,250.00 Beneficiaries reached with the project financial support 0.00 1,500.00 (Number) Female beneficiaries reached with the project financial 0.00 300.00 support (Number) Farmers trained and adopting CSA technologies and practices (Number) 0.00 3,000.00 Female farmers trained and adopting CSA technologies and 0.00 750.00 practices (Number) Component 1.3: Improved performance of irrigation service delivery Design and adoption of revised irrigation tariff system (Text) Area-wise tariff at 75 GEL/Ha Differentiated tariff agreed and adopted Grants awarded to water users for adopting water efficient on- 0.00 250.00 farm irrigation technologies and practices (Number) Grants awarded to female water users for adopting water efficient on-farm irrigation technologies and practices 0.00 50.00 (Number) Increase in the irrigated area under formal contract with water 7,800.00 8,100.00 users by Georgian Amelioration (Hectare(Ha)) Increase in the irrigated area under formal contract with female water users by Georgian Amelioration (Hectare(Ha)) 800.00 1,000.00 Members of the Farmer Initiative Groups (FIG) reporting FIG meetings are effective in incorporating their feedback in the 0.00 70.00 decisions about irrigation works and services (Percentage) Component 2: Improvement of Land Management Practices Number of requests for spatial information fulfilled by NSDI 0.00 10,000.00 (Number) Enhancement of Immovable property registration system (IPRS) 0.00 100.00 Page 54 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_ IO Indicator Name PBC Baseline End Target (Percentage) Average size of the plots for all landowners in selected irrigation scheme(s) where pilot voluntary land consolidation activities 0.50 1.00 have been implemented (Hectare(Ha)) Average size of the plots owned by women alone or jointly with men in selected irrigation scheme(s) where pilot 0.30 1.00 voluntary land consolidation activities have been implemented (Hectare(Ha)) IO Table SPACE UL Table SPACE Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: PDO Indicators Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection Measures changes in the Survey of farmers- total value of produce based beneficiaries of the on the farm gate prices. Geostat, project and Geostat (for Gross Value Production surveys, commodity prices). The Annually, (GVP) aggregates the value remote first survey will be Increase in gross value of agricultural starting Year MEPA PIU M&E system of different annual crops sensing, conducted a year after production in project areas 3 produced in the project area project M&E the first irrigation by registered landowners database season in the schemes with or without contracts rehabilitated by the with GA. project. Landowners with access to improved This gender-disaggregated Semi- NAPR All registered MEPA PIU M&E system irrigation and drainage services indicator measures the annually landowners will have Page 55 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) cumulative number of starting in access to improved current and potential water Year 4 irrigation and/or users (includes enterprises drainage services upon and government-owned completion of land) with access to rehabilitation works. improved irrigation and/or The gender- drainage services resulting disaggregated number from the project is calculated based on interventions. Targeted the cadastral and number will be adjusted registration information upon final selection of the provided by NAPR. schemes for the project rehabilitation program. Landowners with access to improved irrigation and drainage services - female Measures progress with Monitoring of progress Irrigation service delivery performance establishing and with establishing the monitoring & decision support system Georgian MEPA PIU working operationalizing Quarterly system at central office established & operational in central office Amelioration closely with GA performance monitoring and selected service & selected service centers of Georgian and benchmarking system in centers of GA . Amelioration in project areas GA for service delivery. This climate indicator Hydro-Agro Informatics Center reports on the status of Qualitative assessment established & operational for real-time establishing and Annually, of progress with monitoring & dissemination of water, operationalizing the center starting Year MEPA PIU MEPA PIU establishing and land, agriculture & climate information for to provide data services for 4 services of the center. water efficient & climate-resilient boosting climate resilience planning to droughts and (agricultural) water scarcity. Multi-purpose land information system This climate indicator Annually MEPA LMA Monitored through MEPA PIU (LIS) operationalized monitors progress of LIS statistics and LMA submissions for Page 56 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) operationalization to progress progress reports and provide eServices and data reports once LIS is operational for climate resilient planning through LIS dashboard and management of land and standard statistical resources. It monitors all report. components of LIS, such as IT infrastructure, software modules and functionalities, data and staff capacities. ME PDO Table SPACE Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: Intermediate Results Indicators Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection This indicator measures the total area of land provided with irrigation and drainage Data will be collected Semi- GA unit in charge of services under the project, from the progress annually, Remote collecting and analyzing including in (i) the area reports of contractors Area provided with new/improved starting sensing data, remote sensing data in provided with new irrigation for civil works. This will irrigation or drainage services from Year survey data partnership with MEPA and drainage services, and be supplemented by 4 PIU M&E unit (ii) the area provided with remote sensing data. improved irrigation and drainage services, expressed in hectare (ha). Measures in hectares the Semi- Remote Data will be collected GA unit in charge of total area of land provided annually, sensing data, from the progress collecting and analyzing Area provided with improved with new or improved starting ground data reports of contractors remote sensing data in irrigation or drainage services irrigation or drainage from Year from GA and for civil works. This will partnership with MEPA services in operations 4 PIU M&E be supplemented by PIU M&E unit supported by the World database remote sensing data. Page 57 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Bank. This climate indicator Semi- Remote sensing will be Remote measures the percentage of annually, used to measure actual Cropped area exposed to water shortage sensing & MEPA PIU M&E unit the cropped area facing a starting in and potential ET. RET in project areas ground data Relative Evapotranspiration Year 4 will be AET/PET. (RET) less than 0.75. Survey of beneficiaries Increase in the value of marketed output Measures changes in value Annually, RDA grant and sales data declared of farmers and agribusinesses benefited of marketed output of starting in program MEPA PIU M&E unit at grant program from the project grant facility, extension farmers and agribusinesses Year 3 database application. services and improved irrigation services benefiting from the project. Survey, RDA Survey of beneficiaries Annually, grant Increase in yields of key crops in farms and yield data declared Measures increase in yields starting in program MEPA PIU M&E unit benefited from project grant facility and at grant program of beneficiaries. Year 3 database improved irrigation services application stage. Adoption will be recorded when (i) This indicator measures the direct or indirect number of farmers (of beneficiaries use agricultural products) who Annually, technology promoted Survey, RDA Farmers adopting improved agricultural have adopted an improved starting in by the project (ii) the MEPA PIU M&E system database technology agricultural technology Year 3 technology has positive promoted by operations impact and (iii) supported by the World adoption for a Bank. minimum of two consecutive cycles. Farmers adopting improved agricultural technology - Female Page 58 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) Farmers adopting improved agricultural technology - male RDA grant Data on number of This gender indicator Semi- Beneficiaries reached with the project program grant recipients will be MEPA PIU M&E system measures the progress of annually financial support database reported by RDA, grant support program. Female beneficiaries reached with the project financial support Number of training This climate indicator is participants will be RDA Reports, measured by counting (i) provided by the RDA. Semi- RDA MEPA PIU working closely Farmers trained and adopting CSA beneficiaries of the CSA The data on farmers Annually database, with RDA technologies and practices training; and (ii) number of adopting CSA will be Surveys farmers adopting the CSA obtained from the technologies. RDA and field survey. End Target: 3,000 female farmers trained and 1,500 of them adopting CSA technologies and practices. Data on training participants will be This climate and gender provided by the RDA. RDA reports indicator measures the The data on farmers Semi- and MEPA PIU working closely Female farmers trained and adopting number of female adopting CSA annually database, with the RDA CSA technologies and practices beneficiaries of the GRAIL technologies will be Surveys training program trained obtained from the RDA and adopting CSA database and also technologies and practices through the surveys also digital technologies and integrated pest management (IPM); and (ii) number of female farmers Page 59 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) adopting the CSA technologies MEPA PIU together with MEPA, GNERC, Annually, Measures the progress in and GA to monitor the MEPA PIU working closely Design and adoption of revised irrigation starting GA design and adoption of progress with irrigation with the RDA tariff system Year 5 revised tariff. tariff reform design and adoption. This climate indicator counts Annually, Grants awarded to water users for the number of grants RDA grant Numerical count from starting MEPA PIU adopting water efficient on-farm awarded for adopting on- database the grant database year 2 irrigation technologies and practices farm irrigation technologies and practices. This gender-taggable indicator will count the Annually, Numerical count from Grants awarded to female water users RDA grant number of grants awarded starting the grant program MEPA PIU M&E system for adopting water efficient on-farm database to female water users for year 2 database. irrigation technologies and practices adopting water efficient and water saving technologies. Captures the changes (increase) in the area GA Billing Using data availbale Increase in the irrigated area under MEPA PIU working closely covered by formal contract Annually and Contract with the GA billing and formal contract with water users by with GA between GA and water Unit contract unit. Georgian Amelioration users in GRAIL supported irrigation systems. This gender-taggable The data on the indicator is to capture the GA Billing number of contracts Increase in the irrigated area under MEPA PIU working closely changes (increase) in the Annually and Contract and area covered by formal contract with female water with GA area covered by formal Unit the contracts is users by Georgian Amelioration contract between GA and accumulated in the female water users in GRAIL database of the GA Page 60 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) supported schemes. billing and contract unit. Baseline survey of FIGs in the GRAIL areas This Citizen Engagement would determine how (CE) indicator measures the the feedback of FIG Members of the Farmer Initiative Groups percentage of members of Semi- members are (FIG) reporting FIG meetings are effective the Farmers Initiative Group annually, WUO considered in the MEPA PIU M&E system in incorporating their feedback in the reporting that FIG meetings starting Support Unit decisions about decisions about irrigation works and are effective in Year 2 irrigation services. services incorporating their feedback Semi-annual in the decision about questionnaires among irrigation services. FIG members. Quarterly statistics on Monitors number of NAPR/NSDI the number of received Number of requests for spatial requests/connections Quarterly portal requests will be NAPR PIU information fulfilled by NSDI fulfilled by the NSDI database generated from the Geoportal. NSDI statistical module Monitor the progress of the Semi- Through quarterly Enhancement of Immovable property NAPR NAPR PIU IPRS and eServices annually reports registration system (IPRS) enhancement . Average size of the plots for all Monitors the evolution of landowners in selected irrigation the average scheme-level Semi- LMA Count and trend MEPA PIU/LMA scheme(s) where pilot voluntary land size of the agricultural plots annually database analysis of land records consolidation activities have been as a result of pilot voluntary implemented land consolidation activities. Average size of the plots owned by Monitors the evolution of Semi- LMA Count and trend MEPA PIU/LMA women alone or jointly with men in the average size of the plots annually database analysis of land records selected irrigation scheme(s) where of agricultural land owned Page 61 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) pilot voluntary land consolidation by women alone or jointly activities have been implemented with men in result of pilot voluntary land consolidation activities in selected GRAIL irrigation scheme(s) ME IO Table SPACE Page 62 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) ANNEX 1: Implementation Arrangements and Support Plan COUNTRY: Georgia Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project A. Project Institutional and Implementation Arrangements 1. The Ministry of Environmental Protection and Agriculture (MEPA) and the National Agency of Public Registry (NAPR) will share overall responsibility for project implementation. Each implementing agency will take the lead on project elements under their respective institutional mandate and capacity. It has been proposed that the same staff of the two IAs of GILMDP will compose the staffing for the GRAIL Project. Each PIU will develop a separate procurement plan and manage the flow of funds on behalf of MEPA and the NAPR. 2. MEPA oversees regulation of economic activity in the agriculture sector and environment protection to increase the sector’s production capacity, while NAPR is responsible for land registration and is highly efficient by international standards. Both PIUs have adequate capacity because they are currently implementing the GILMDP. The implementation arrangements of both PIUs in GILMDP have been generally satisfactory. Based on the FM assessment, it was concluded that the capacities within the IAs are sufficient to manage the GRAIL Project. 3. Project implementation will be guided by two Project Operations Manuals (POMs), developed by each of the two PIUs acceptable to the World Bank. The development of the POMs will be a condition for effectiveness of the legal agreement. The POM will include details on institutional and implementation responsibilities, technical aspects of all components and activities, guidance on M&E of project results and outcomes, environmental and social risk mitigation measures, disbursements, FM aspects, arrangements for training and Operating Costs, project supervision and reporting provisions. The MEPA POM will include a specific matching grants manual. Both POMs will also provide detailed guidelines for project coordination, especially the formal coordination mechanisms between MEPA and NAPR and will include an annex for a Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) manual. 4. Component 1: Resilient Irrigated Agriculture will be implemented by MEPA. Component 1 has three subcomponents: (a) Subcomponent 1.1: Irrigation & Drainage Infrastructure Rehabilitation and Modernization. While MEPA will implement Component 1 overall, Georgia Amelioration will lead implementation of Subcomponent 1.1 as GA is the sole provider of irrigation and drainage services in Georgia. (b) Subcomponent 1.2: Irrigated Agriculture and Value Chain Development. Likewise, within MEPA, RDA is the key implementing agency that oversees administering matching grants for agricultural services to farms across Georgia. Therefore, for Subcomponent 1.2, will serve as the key implementing agency. (c) Subcomponent 1.3: Improved Performance of Irrigation Service Delivery. Under the supervision of MEPA, this subcomponent aims to improve GA’s capacity on investment planning and irrigation service delivery from national to local levels. The activities under this component will also be implemented by GA at the central offices in Tbilisi and the respective service centers. In addition, Page 63 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) the Water User Organization Support Unit at the central and regional offices of GA, will also be leading many of the local irrigation service delivery and on-farm training activities. 5. Component 2: Improved Land Management Capacity. Component 2 has two subcomponents: (a) Subcomponent 2.1: Strengthening of agricultural land management and monitoring. This subcomponent will be implemented by MEPA through the LMA. LMA will be responsible for implementing the activities covered in this subcomponent. The main activity would be the LIS, initiating the design and methodology for agricultural mass valuation, and piloting the implementation of the national land consolidation strategy. (b) Subcomponent 2.2: Enhancement of land administration service delivery and building digital governance infrastructure. This subcomponent will be implemented by the NAPR with technical support by the DGA, as required. The core staff of the NAPR PIU currently managing implementation of the Component 2 under GILMDP, will be designated for implementation of the activities under this Subcomponent. 6. Component 3: Project Management. Each PIU will be responsible for overall project management, including coordination and technical (specifically engineering, construction supervision and quality control) supervision, and shall carry out the fiduciary function (disbursement, FM, procurement, environmental/social standards, and M&E). 7. Environmental and social functions. MEPA PIU will have an environmental specialist, an OHS specialist, a social specialist, and a gender and community liaison specialist responsible for all environmental, and social, health and safety aspects of the project, such as environmental and social assessment, supervision, preparation of site-specific ESIAs/ESMPs, stakeholder engagement, grievance redress (including gender-based violence related), monitoring, and reporting. 8. Procurement. MEPA and NAPR will perform procurement functions under the project. Currently, both have employed procurement experts with adequate experience, capacity, and knowledge of the World Bank’s Procurement Regulations. The PPSD61 has been developed jointly by MEPA and NAPR and presents all arrangements to be followed for each of the expected procurement activities. The project procurement plan, procurement processes, and contract management will be reported/recorded via STEP. Detailed procurement risks have been identified in the PPSD, as well as clear mitigation actions on how to address each risk, these will be monitored closely during project implementation and procurement risks adjusted accordingly. B. Financial Management and Disbursements 9. Risk analysis. The overall FM risk for the project is substantial before mitigation measures. With adequate mitigation measures agreed, the FM residual risk is rated moderate. 61The PPSD is a methodology that is used to determine the optimum procurement approach to deliver the right procurement result. The PPSD, which is required for each project, includes an analysis of the project procurement needs, a strategic assessment of the operating context and the Borrowers capacity for procurement, a procurement risk analysis and recommends a procurement approach for the project. The Borrower is responsible for preparing the PPSD Page 64 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 10. FM performance of the active project. As mentioned in the Appraisal Summary section of the PAD, the FM arrangements of the ongoing project implemented by the PIUs is satisfactory. There are no outstanding IFRs or audit reports under the current project. 11. Planning and budgeting. The project budget will be prepared by the respective PIUs for the components under their implementation. There is sufficient capacity for planning and budgeting within both PIUs to manage project funds, including funds allocation, liquidity planning, and overall performance. Variances of actual versus budgeted figures should be checked on a regular basis, appropriately analyzed, and corrective actions taken. The PIUs will prepare in-year financial plans and cash forecast based on the project’s budget, thus ensuring adequate liquidity management and withdrawal of funds. 12. Accounting system. The PIUs will use and administer acceptable accounting software. The accounting records should include proper analytics of expenditures per contract and each specific payment. 13. Cash basis will be applied for the project accounting, and IPSAS “Financial Reporting Under the Cash Basis of Accounting” issued by the International Public Sector Accounting Standards Board (the IPSASB) of the International Federation of Accountants (IFAC) will be used for the project financial reporting. There should be proper backup of accounting records on external drives, as well as proper security regulation on access and editing rights of the financial information. 14. Internal control. The POM will detail the procedures and controls to be applied for the project. Some of the key internal controls to be applied should include: (a) Appropriate authorizations and approvals of all purchases, relevant documentation, and transactions of payments; (b) Segregation of duties because different people handle different phases of a transaction; (c) Reconciliations between project accounting records and other relevant sources of information (for example, Client Connection and bank account statements) performed at least monthly by the Senior Finance Management Officer; and (d) Original documentation supporting all project transactions properly filed. 15. Contract Management. Contract implementation will be checked in the software and checks and controls of the total contract amount and payments due will be checked before each payment. Respective technical staff and financial department will review and approve invoices and accompanying documentation against contract provisions for ceilings, dynamics of payments, and quality of deliverables. 16. Financial reporting. Unaudited IFRs, which will include financial information relating to the whole project, will be prepared for each quarter and due 45 days after the end of each quarter by each PIU, respectively. IFRs will be prepared in line with cash basis accounting. The format of the IFRs will be agreed between the GoG and World Bank. The PIUs will handle preparation of the IFRs and the annual project financial statements. The reporting currency will be the US dollar. IFRs will include the following reports (subject to any modifications agreed with the IA between the date of the report and negotiations): (a) Receipts and Payments, including comparison of budgeted versus actual amounts, (b) Uses of Funds by Activity, (c) DA statement, and (d) Accounting policies and explanatory notes. Page 65 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) 17. External audit. The annual audit of the project financial statements will be conducted by an independent audit firm acceptable to the World Bank and in line with agreed TOR acceptable to the World Bank. The audit report will be submitted to the World Bank no later than six months after the end of the audited period. The TOR will be agreed between the GoG and the World Bank during the selection of the auditor. In addition, the audit will review compliance with procedures laid out in the financial manual. The project will fund the audit of project financial statements. The audited project financial statements will be posted by the client on the agencies’ website within one month of their receipt from the auditors and World Bank acceptance. 18. FM covenants. The FM covenants require: (a) PIUs to support an adequate financial management system; (b) PIUs to prepare IFRs for each calendar quarter and deliver them to the World Bank no later than 45 days after the end of the reporting quarter; and (c) annual project financial statements audited by a private audit firm acceptable to the World Bank, and such audit should be delivered to the World Bank not later than six months after the end of the audit period. 19. Funds flow and disbursement arrangements. Two DAs (one for each PIU) will be opened for the project to be managed by PIUs for activities to be implemented under the project. The DAs will be opened in US dollars, in a TSA within the MoF. The SOE-based disbursement method will be applied for the project. Project funds will flow from the World Bank, either (a) via the DA, which will be replenished based on SOEs or full documentation, or (b) based on direct payment withdrawal applications and/or special commitments, received from PIUs. Withdrawal applications documenting funds utilized from the DAs will be sent to the World Bank at least every three months. The following disbursement methods may be used: Reimbursement, Advance, Direct payment, and Special Commitment. The DAs’ ceilings for each DA as well as the detailed instructions on withdrawal of project proceeds will be provided in the Disbursement and Financial Information Letter. In addition, the separate treasury account will be used for receiving on an annual basis the GoG’s co-financing share of the project. 20. FM supervision. The World Bank will supervise the project’s FM arrangements in two main ways: (a) reviewing the project’s unaudited IFRs for each calendar quarter, as well as the project’s and implementation entity’s annual audited financial statements and auditor’s management letter, and (b) performing on-site supervision and reviewing the project’s financial management and disbursement arrangements to ensure compliance with the World Bank’s minimum fiduciary requirements. The on-site supervision will include monitoring of agreed actions, review of randomly selected transactions, review of internal controls, and other supervision activities C. Implementation Support Plan 21. The World Bank will provide implementation support and oversee the implementation of the project in line with World Bank procedures, standards, and requirements. The World Bank has put in place a task team having diverse skills covering the Water, Agriculture, and Urban Resilience and Land Global Practices. The skills required for continuous implementation support include irrigation management, water resources management, water supply and wastewater, dam safety, agriculture, land, procurement, FM, and environmental and social risk management. It is expected that implementation support by the World Bank team will be more intense during the first two years of project implementation. The World Bank also will review project reports periodically as part of the project implementation support missions to be carried out at least twice a year. Page 66 of 67 The World Bank Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project (P175629) ANNEX 2: Map COUNTRY: Georgia Georgia Resilient Agriculture, Irrigation, and Land Project Page 67 of 67